ENGINEERING ECONOMY
INFLATION
INFLATION – is the increase in the price of goods and services from one year
to another, thus decreasing the buying power of money.
𝑛
𝐹 = 𝑃 (1+ 𝑓 )
EXAMLPLE:
1. Assuming an average inflation rate of 6% during the next 5 years, how
much approximately would a car costing $400,000 now cost 5 years hence?
2. Ten years ago, an item cost $2,500. the rate of inflation for the first 4 years
was 4%, during the next 3 years, 6% and for the last years, 9%. Assuming that
the increase in price were due to inflation alone, what is the average inflation
rate during the 10 years?
VALUE OF MONEY IN TERMS OF CURRENT BUYING
POWER
𝑛
′ 𝑃 (1+ 𝑖 )
𝑃= 𝑛
( 1+ 𝑓 )
′
𝑃 =𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑦 𝑖𝑛 𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑡h𝑒𝑐𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 ( 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 0 ) 𝑏𝑢𝑦𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑝𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟
𝑖=𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒
𝑓 =𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒
EXAMPLE :
A company invest $10,000 today to be repaid in 5 years in one lump sum at
12% compounded annually. If the rate of inflation is 3% compounded annually,
how much profit in the present day dollar, is realized over the 5 years?
𝑛 5
′ 𝑃 (1+ 𝑖 ) 10000 ( 1+12 % )
𝑃= 𝑛
→= 5
= $ 𝟏𝟓 , 𝟐𝟎𝟐 . 𝟏𝟏
( 1+ 𝑓 ) ( 1+3 % )
𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑖𝑛𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑑𝑎𝑦 𝑑𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑟=$ 15,202.11− % $ 10,000=$ 𝟓 ,𝟐𝟎𝟐 .𝟏𝟏
COMBINED “INTEREST-INFLATION RATE” OF RETURN
𝑛
𝐹 = 𝑃 ( 1+𝑖𝑐 )
𝑖𝑐 =𝑖+ 𝑓 +𝑖𝑓
𝑖𝑐 =𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑏𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 − 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛
𝑖=𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒
𝑓 =𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒
EXAMPLE:
What is the uninflated present worth of $2000 in 2 years if inflation rate is 6%
and standard interest rate is 10%?
𝑖𝑐 =𝑖+ 𝑓 +𝑖𝑓 → 0.10+ 0.06+ 0.10 ( 0.06 ) =𝟎 . 𝟏𝟔𝟔
𝐹 = 𝑃 ( 1+𝑖𝑐 ) 𝑛 → 𝑃 = 𝐹 ( 1+𝑖 𝑐 ) −𝑛
𝑃=2000 ( 1.166 )− 2= $ 𝟏𝟒𝟕𝟏
PRACTICE PROBLEM
1. A man invested $10,000 at an interest rate of 10% compounded annually. What
will be the final amount of his investment in terms of today’s dollar, after 5 years
if inflation rate remains the same at the rate of 8% per year? $10,960.86
2. One economist has predicted that there will be a 7% per year inflation rate of
prices during the next 10 years. If proves to be correct, an item that presently sells
for $100 would sell for what price 10 years hence? $196.67
3. An engineer has received $10,000 from his employer for the patent disclosure. He
has decided to invest the money in a 15 year savings certificate that pays 8% per
year, compounded annually. What will be the final value of his investment, in terms
of today’s dollars, if the inflation continues at the rate of 6% per year? $13,236.35
4. An engineer is considering the purchase of an annuity that will pay $1000 per year
for 10 years. The engineer feels he should obtain a 5% rate of return on the annuity
after considering the effect of an estimated 6% inflation rate per year. The amount he
would be willing to pay to purchase the annuity is __________? $5815.88