Prediction market odds & probabilities
Live probabilities from prediction markets — elections, the economy, crypto and sports. Every number is the market price, updated continuously.
Movers today
- Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?26.6% 97.3%+70.7
- Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?2.0% 49.1%+47.1
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?44.0% 88.0%+44.0
- Will George Pickens play for Green Bay Packers in 2026-27?1.6% 44.2%+42.6
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31, 2027?51.0% 13.0%-38.0
Top markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202819.8%$1.2BRepublican Presidential Nominee 202849.0%$678.3MPresidential Election Winner 202820.0%$670.3MF1 Drivers' Champion72.8%$200.0MNetanyahu out by...?43.5%$123.7MNext French Presidential Election30.9%$115.8MBrazil Presidential Election60.5%$115.5MVenezuela leader end of 2026?82.9%$94.1MFed Decision in July?74.3%$90.9MKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?9.6%$66.2MWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?1.9%$64.8MWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?5.5%$63.5MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?52.5%$49.7MWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?29.5%$46.9MHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?85.0%$44.7MNBA: LeBron James Next Team99.8%$43.7MNFL Champion 202715.0%$41.8MCalifornia Governor Election Winner92.8%$40.4MWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?3.9%$39.0MMLB World Series Champion 202633.5%$36.3MWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?4.3%$35.1MIran leader end of 2026?73.5%$34.7MNew "Stranger Things" episode released by...?13.0%$30.7MWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?48.6%$29.1MUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?13.5%$28.7MF1 Constructors' Champion87.5%$27.8MWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?3.5%$27.1MIsrael closes its airspace by...?48.5%$24.4MWhat will happen before GTA VI?49.9%$23.4MWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?9.5%$23.0MNobel Peace Prize Winner 202610.5%$22.9MWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?6.5%$21.7MBallon d'Or Winner 202640.9%$20.7MIran leadership change by...?40.0%$20.5MStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?0.5%$20.4MMLS Cup Winner 202629.0%$19.5MPutin out as President of Russia by...?15.5%$18.4MWhich companies will be acquired before 2027?54.0%$18.1MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in July?55.4%$17.5MIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?13.5%$17.4M