Latest Sei (SEI) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Technical Weakness (Bearish Impact)

Overview: SEI broke below its 7-day SMA ($0.136) and pivot point ($0.127), with RSI7 at 21.52 – deepest oversold reading since 29 November 2025.

What this means:
- Price sits 10% below the 30-day SMA ($0.155), confirming bearish momentum
- Fibonacci retracement shows next support at $0.1205 (Nov 25 swing low)
- MACD histogram (+0.0009) suggests weak bullish divergence but no reversal confirmation

What to watch: Daily close above $0.127 could signal short-term relief.

2. Altcoin Liquidity Crunch (Bearish Impact)

Overview: SEI’s 24h volume ($91.3M) fell 9.75% despite price decline – turnover ratio (volume/market cap) of 0.117 indicates shallow liquidity.

What this means:
- Low liquidity amplifies downside moves during risk-off periods
- Mirrors broader altcoin struggles – Bitcoin dominance rose to 58.91% (up 0.19% in 24h)
- Fear & Greed Index at “Extreme Fear” (16/100) deters speculative altcoin buying

3. Mixed Ecosystem Developments (Neutral Impact)

Overview: Positive news (Binance validator role, BlackRock fund integration) failed to offset macro headwinds.

What this means:
- Network growth (13M monthly active addresses) hasn’t translated to price support
- Recent “Black Friday discounts” narrative (Yahoo Finance) may have triggered profit-taking

Conclusion

SEI’s decline reflects technical breakdowns and sector-wide risk aversion, overshadowing strong fundamentals. The $0.12–$0.127 zone becomes critical – a sustained break below could invite deeper correction toward $0.10.

Key watch: Can SEI hold November’s $0.1205 low alongside Bitcoin’s $90K support? Monitor Friday’s U.S. PCE data for macro cues.

Deep Dive

1. Stablecoin Utility Boost (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
Tether’s USDT0 expanded to Sei on November 25, enabling 1:1 USDT transfers across 15 chains via LayerZero. Over $10B flowed through Sei in 24h post-integration.

What this means:
Enhanced cross-chain liquidity improves SEI’s DeFi utility, attracting traders seeking low-fee stablecoin settlements. SEI’s role in Tether’s “monetary mesh” aligns with growing RWA narratives, though competition from Paxos’ USDG0 poses risks.

What to look out for:
USDT0’s adoption rate on Sei and whether daily transfers sustain above $300M.

2. Technical Rebound Signals (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
SEI formed a hidden bullish divergence – price made lower lows while RSI (35.37) and MACD histogram (+0.0016) rose. The $0.127 support held despite BTC’s drop below $90K.

What this means:
Traders interpreted this as fading bearish momentum, with liquidation heatmaps showing $0.169 as critical resistance. However, SEI remains below all key EMAs (7-day: $0.138), suggesting weak structural recovery.

Key watch:
A daily close above $0.138 (pivot point) to confirm reversal potential.

Conclusion

SEI’s partial recovery reflects its strengthened stablecoin infrastructure and oversold technicals, though macro headwinds (Fear & Greed Index: 20/100) limit upside. Key watch: Can SEI hold $0.127 if Bitcoin retests $85K? Monitor USDT0 volume trends and the $0.138 resistance break.