Juxtaposition of Shallow Reservoir-Triggered Seismicity and Deep Tectonic Locking in the Qiaojia-Dongchuan Seismic Gap

Y Zhou, H Zhang, SM Mousavi, G Yin, P He… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2026 - arxiv.org
Y Zhou, H Zhang, SM Mousavi, G Yin, P He, Y Guo, S Yi, Y Shi
arXiv preprint arXiv:2607.19606, 2026arxiv.org
Identifying the critical state of mature seismic gaps is challenging, especially when
anthropogenic stress perturbations, such as reservoir impoundment, superimpose on
tectonic loading. Here, utilizing a high-resolution dense array catalog from the Qiaojia-
Dongchuan seismic gap (hosting the second-largest hydropower station in the world), we
reveal a distinct vertical decoupling mechanism. The shallow activities exhibit high b-values
(1.0), indicative of fluid-driven reservoir-triggered seismicity. Conversely, deep seismicity (20 …
Identifying the critical state of mature seismic gaps is challenging, especially when anthropogenic stress perturbations, such as reservoir impoundment, superimpose on tectonic loading. Here, utilizing a high-resolution dense array catalog from the Qiaojia-Dongchuan seismic gap (hosting the second-largest hydropower station in the world), we reveal a distinct vertical decoupling mechanism. The shallow activities exhibit high b-values (1.0), indicative of fluid-driven reservoir-triggered seismicity. Conversely, deep seismicity (20 km) outlines a 'locked asperity' characterized by low b-values (less than 0.8) and high Coulomb stress accumulation rate. We further identify a complex dipping structure, suggesting compound fault kinematics. Additionally, the calculated stress accumulation suggests this seismic gap is in a critical state with elevated rupture potential. Our findings indicate that shallow induced seismicity can mask the silent accumulation of deep tectonic strain. This decoupling model provides a new framework for assessing seismic risks in reservoir-fault systems globally.
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