Category Archives: Investment outlook

Bitcoin, Crypto Plunge Accelerates as Leveraged Players (“Treasuries”) Like Strategy Dump Holdings

A big leverage unwind in Bitcoin is accelerating, dragging down other crypto. How much further will the fall go before hitting bottom?

The Cloud’s Not Fluffy, It’s a Hot, Loud, Energy-Voracious Factory

A more detailed look at why to resist massive pressures for data center buildout and question claims of inevitability.

Has Ed Zitron Found the Fatal Flaw with OpenAI and Its Flagship ChatGPT?

The Financial Times has re-reported cautious but devastating-looking findings by Ed Zitron on OpenAI’s inference costs and truthfulness.

Call Your Congresscritters: OpenAI Laying the Groundwork for Massive Federal Bailout

AI is not just coming for your job. Industry leaders plan to pick your pocket on a massive scale via a bailout.

Commodities: Why They Are a Challenge for Investors

Uncertainty is pushing investors to consider commodities but playing them is not as easy as you think!

What Does New High in US Stock Market Margin Debt Portend?

Looking at the significance, or not, of a record high in stock market margin debt.

The Huge US Bond Market and the US Dollar Blow Off the “Debasement Trade”

Why the dollar and Treasuries have rallied despite the Liberation Day swoon and “debasement trade” patter.

AI: Is it Really Different this Time?

AI is huge. But so is the hype, hocus-pocus deals, and piles of real money fortified by leverage that caused stock prices to explode.

Waiting for the Wheels to Come Off as Jamie Dimon, the IMF and Bank of England Warn of Damage of an AI Bubble Burst

A look at the increasingly expected AI bubble implosion and what the impact might be.

The AI Bubble and the U.S. Economy: How Long Do “Hallucinations” Last?

Why the AI, as in Artificial Information, bubble looks primed to pop soon despite it being a top bipartisan project in the US.

“AI Makes Past Hype Cycles Look Tame”: PitchBook on the Stunning Venture Capital Mania for AI

At these venture capital AI valuations, “exit hurdles become exceptionally large.” That translates into “Look out below!”

What Slowdown? Q2 GDP Growth Revised Up to Hot Zone of 3.8%, Stronger Consumer Spending & Private Fixed Investment

The second upward revision of GDP is a headscratcher in light of other data and on the ground reports. Can readers help make sense of this?

The Dollar: Ripples Presaging a Financial Tsunami

A detailed analysis of the poor prospects for dollar hegemony and the forces that could trigger a sharp unwind.

Quelle Surprise! CEOs Overwhelmingly Negative on Trump’s Economic Policies as Shallow Fed Rate Cut Confirms Stagflation Worries

Even a bastion of Republican support, CEOs, has soured on Trump’s economic policies, as the damage to regular citizens mounts.

Is Europe Preparing for War Against Russia or Against Own Populations?

Population control toys aren’t all that useful on the Eurasian Steppe.