Outside The Box: The Tsukuba Multi-Lingual Forum: Volume 4, Issue 1
Outside The Box: The Tsukuba Multi-Lingual Forum: Volume 4, Issue 1
Autumn, 2011
Tsukuba University
            Japan
Special Section: Discussing Geopolitics
• Prologue: The Origins of Geopolitical Thinking       7
  Christian W. Spang
• An Introduction to Early 20th Century Geopolitics        8
  Christian W. Spang and Igor Milovanovic
• The Pivot Moves Eastward: Mackinder and the Okinawa Problem              18
  Naoto Aizawa and Christian W. Spang
• Civilizations in International Relations: Huntington’s Theory of Conflict     24
  Nurlan Tussupov, Christian W. Spang, and Kuanish Beisenov
Theory and Other Dangerous Things
• Pragmatic Translation Choices Using Etsuo Iijima’s “On the Concept of the
  Universal Ki-energy”     33
  Jeroen Bode
• Loanword Associations and Processes           37
  John P. Racine
Teaching Tips & Techniques
• The Language of Young People and its Implications for Teaching      46
  Sachiho Mori
• Teaching Creative Writing in an ESL Context         50
  Simon Kenny
• Collaboration Using Sentence Strips       55
  Marshall Hughes
Around the World
• Travel Outside The Box        60
  Shinichi Nagata
• Bangkok – The City Beyond Belief         64
  Pariyapa Amornwanichsarn
   Creative Writing
• Snow, Snow, Snow         69
  Yuka Nishimura
                                                2
   Special Section:
Discussing Geopolitics
       6
          Civilizations in International Relations: Huntington’s Theory of Conflict
                    Nurlan Tussupov, Christian W. Spang, and Kuanish Beisenov
                                             University of Tsukuba
Keywords: civilization, class, Cold War, criticism, Fukuyama, geopolitics, Huntington, Islam, Japan,
Mackinder, religion, Spengler
Introduction
   After the end of the Cold War, many                         listed in the reference section of this paper. 3
scholars predicted the future course of world                  It should be kept in mind, though, that the
affairs. Arguably, the two most influential                    former Harvard professor had originally
views were Francis Fukuyama’s “The End of                      presented his thesis shortly after the end of
History” (1989) and Samuel P. Huntington’s                     the Cold War. Following more than four
“The Clash of Civilizations?” (1993). Both                     decades of ideological conflicts between
men later extended their argument and                          Capitalism and Communism, he was arguing
published books, in which they elaborated                      in his 1993 Foreign Affairs article, that the
their original theses further. 1 At first, there               main source of future struggles would be the
was much debate going on between                               cultural divisions between civilizations rather
supporters and critics of both views, 2 yet a                  than ideology. 4
few years later, globalization, the Internet,                      In this paper we want to elucidate some of
and global warming attracted more interest                     the basic problems of Huntington’s concept
than theoretical discussions about an                          by assessing how valid his division of the
effectively unpredictable world future.                        world into a limited number of “civilizations”
   This changed with the notorious 9/11                        really is. We are skeptical if the eight
attacks in 2001, the subsequent military                       civilizations Huntington suggested are really
intervention in Afghanistan, and the Second                    homogeneous enough to be portrayed as units.
Gulf War. These developments revived                           While this might be the case for some, others
interest in Huntington’s thesis, leading to a                  seem to be far too heterogeneous. If this
new wave of critiques, some of which are                       assumption is accurate or if his partition is
                                                               unjustified, we would argue that the whole
    Tussupov, N., Spang, C. W., & Beisenov,                    hypothesis loses much of its potential validity.
    K. (2011). Civilizations in international                  Contents
    relations: Huntington’s theory of conflict.
    OTB Forum,4(1), 24-31.                                        At the outset of his 1993 article,
                                                               Huntington claims that nearly all wars up to
                                                               the French Revolution had been based on
                                                               disputes among monarchs; most 19th century
                                                               conflicts were derived from tensions among
1
  See the reference page, where the original articles          nation-states, while 20th century hostilities
as well as the later books are listed. In this critique        since the Russian Revolution were mainly
we are mostly concerned with Huntington’s original
1993 Foreign Affairs manuscript, though.
2                                                              3
  Chiozza, 2002, p. 711, summarized the effect of the            We want to thank one of the reviewers of this paper
1993 article the following way: “According to the              for drawing our attention to Bilgrami (2003),
editors of Foreign Affairs, the article that Huntington        Chiozza (2002), Fox (2002), and Said (2001), all of
wrote in 1993 generated more discussion [...] than             which provide valuable ideas, which we tried to
any other article they had published since the 1940s”.         incorporate.
                                                               4
Rose/Hoge/Peterson compiled the most important                   One of Huntington’s most severe critics, Edward
contributions to the early discussion in a 1999 edited         Said (2001, p. 2), calls Huntington himself “an
volume. A concise summary of the most important                ideologist”. He sees Huntington as “someone who
strands within the heterogeneous group of critics can          wants to make ‘civilizations’ [...] into shut-down,
be found in Fox, 2002, pp. 417-418.                            sealed-off entities”.
                                                          24
characterized by the struggle between                       what defines them. 6 In 1993, Huntington
incompatible ideologies (Communism,                         distinguished eight major civilizations. Yet,
Democracy, Fascism/National Socialism, etc.).               he did not clearly specify the criteria he used
Huntington argues that future confrontations                to do so. According to him, a civilization may
are going to be much less based on                          be characterized by a single religion (such as
ideological (or economical) differences but                 Islam or Hinduism), a nation (such as Japan),
derive from the cultural incongruity of                     a group of nations (such as “the West”) or
civilizations. With the end of the Cold War,                even an entire continent (such as Africa). If
he states, the “principal conflicts of global               we take a closer look at the (major)
politics will occur between nations and                     civilizations Huntington distinguished, we can
groups of different civilizations” and goes on              see that the basic concepts and categories he
to formulate his key-argument: “the clash of                applied are very heterogeneous.
civilizations will dominate global politics”                1. Western civilization (geographical category,
(Huntington, 1993, p. 22).                                     subcategories: ideology, economics,
    This being Huntington’s world view, it is                  politics)
surprising that he does not provide a clear
definition of “the nature of civilizations”                 2. Confucian civilization (philosophical
(Huntington, 1993, p. 23). Instead, he                         concept, subcategory: geography)
describes the term rather vaguely as “the                   3. Japanese civilization (ethnic category,
highest cultural grouping of people and the                    subcategories: geography, politics,
broadest level of cultural identity”                           possibly religion (Shintō)
(Huntington, 1993, p. 24 5). Huntington asserts
that after the end of the Cold War, many                    4. Islamic civilization (religious concept)
people, having grown up in a dangerous but                  5. Hindu civilization (religious concept,
easy to understand bipolar world, began                        subcategories: ethnicity, geography)
asking themselves, “Who are we?” In other
words, citizens were looking for a new                      6. Slavic Orthodox civilization (linguistic and
common identity and ended up redefining                        religious concept, subcategory: geography)
themselves in cultural terms. Huntington later              7. Latin American civilization (geographical
clarified this point, saying that at a time of                 concept, subcategory: language(s))
crisis “people rally to those with similar
                                                            8. African civilization (geographical category,
ancestry, religion, language, values, and
                                                               subcategory: ethnicity).
institutions” (Huntington, 1996, p. 126). To
him, religious identity is one of the most                      Even though Huntington might not have
potent forces to form a coherent cultural unity,            insinuated any ranking, the order in which he
which is – for example – not convincing in                  lists the civilizations elucidates a distinctly
the Western and Central European case,                      white American intellectual point of view.
where the schism between Catholics and                      Apparently without a second thought, he puts
Protestants has been a source of conflict for               “the West” on top, while Africa comes last,
centuries but is now considered rather                      which is just one of many indications that
irrelevant in countries like Germany.                       Huntington is most concerned with the
Characterizing Civilizations
                                                            6
   At first sight, Huntington’s idea seems                    Between 1934 and 1961, the British Historian Arnold
                                                            J. Toynbee, published A Study of History in 12 volumes.
easy enough to understand. However, we
                                                            Influenced by Oskar Spengler, he traces the
would argue that the main problem is how                    development of more than 20 major civilizations since
many civilizations exist and who as well as                 ancient times: Egyptian, Andean, Sinic, Minoan,
                                                            Sumerian, Mayan, Indic, Hittite, Hellenic, Western,
                                                            Orthodox Christian: Russia, Far Eastern: Japan,
5
                                                            Orthodox Christian: general, Far Eastern: general,
 It is therefore no surprise that Edward Said (2001,        Persian, Arabic, Hindu, Mexican, Yucatec, and
p. 1) criticized that Huntington’s whole argument           Babylonic. He also mentions four so-called “abortive
“relied on a vague notion of something Huntington           civilizations” as well as five so-called “arrested
called ‘civilization identity’.”                            civilizations”.
                                                       25
 Figure 1. The world according to Huntington
 Note: The eight civilizations include (1) Western (dark blue), (2) Confucian (dark red), (3)
 Japanese (bright red), (4) Islamic (green), (5) Hindu (orange), (6) Slavic Orthodox (medium-
 light blue), (7) Latin America (purple), and (8) African (brown). The remaining colors indicate
 countries which do not fit into Huntington’s system of eight major civilizations, most notably
 Southeast Asia, Mongolia, and Turkey. Retrieved from http://tinyurl.com/ylxrbtv
 “Western” civilization. At first glance “the            in the case of the “Slavic Orthodox
West” appears to be a geographical category              civilization”, Huntington reverts to two
but has, of course, much wider implications.             jointly applied criteria: a branch of
Following this thinking, one would assume                Christianity and a language group.
that other civilizations had some kind of                    Overall, the criteria to define Huntington’s
geographical denominations as well. Yet, this            major civilizations are rather arbitrary, a point
applies only to some of the other civilizations,         that Jonathan Fox (2002, p. 421-42) stresses
most notably the “African”, the “Latin                   by presenting various cases, which do not fit
American”, and arguably the “Japanese” ones.             into this rather limited system. Huntington’s
The latter is the only example where a single            entities certainly reflect cultural units, but
nation forms its own category. If narrowly               they refer to different levels of self-
applied the “Confucian civilization”, similarly,         identification. The use of incompatible
covers only one nation, and could therefore be           criteria to define civilizations indicates some
called a pseudo-geographical category. Still,            insufficiencies of such divisions. Furthermore,
Huntington does not call it “Chinese” but                Huntington himself admits that they are not
“Confucian”, thus making it the only case                all-encompassing even though some actually
where a philosophical concept is used to                 overlap considerably. If we just think about
define a civilization.                                   the term “the West”, it becomes obvious that
   “Islamic” and “Hindu” are examples where              his world view is still based on the Cold War.
Huntington takes up religion as the basic                Yet, there are obviously many layers of
principle to define civilizations. While this            connotations involved with this terminology
seems to be rather convincing in the case of             concerning culture, history, etc. The real
Hinduism because it is considered to be a                question is if we can in fact talk about a
mono-ethnic religion, the same cannot be said            unified “Western” civilization. Even between
about Islam as the main factor constituting a            societies that seem to be close because they
distinct civilization. Along with Christianity           are predominantly Christian, there are as
and Buddhism, it has to be considered a world            many differences as similarities. If we
religion because people of various ethnicities           randomly compare Finland or the Baltic states
and in different continents practice it. Finally,        with New Zealand or Malta, this becomes
                                                    26
obvious. It is also perplexing to see that Spain             civilization. Huntington was apparently aware
and Portugal fall into a different civilization              of this problem: at one point he enumerates
than their former colonies in South and                      “Western, Latin American and Arab
Central America even though cultural,                        civilizations” but continues by referring to
political, and economic ties between the                     “Arab, Turkic and Malay subdivisions” of the
Iberian Peninsula and Latin America are still                Islamic civilization (Huntington, 1993, p. 24).
strong.                                                      As Islam and Hinduism are singled out as
   The African civilization is another example               forming civilizations, it would seem logical to
of a vague and unclear category. It is                       call for a distinct Christian civilization as well.
impossible to determine any common feature                   However, Huntington elaborates on
applicable to all African states except the fact             “Western”, “Latin American” and “Slavic-
that they are located in the same continent. In              Orthodox” civilizations, without uniting them
other cases, Huntington asserts that                         into one entity. 8 Yet, the divide between the
civilizations are defined on the basis of                    80-90% Sunni and the 10-20% Shia followers
religion or culture, yet in the case of Africa               is at least as important to Muslims as the
there is no such linking factor. A look at the               differences between Catholics, Protestants,
distribution of religions in Africa illustrates              and Orthodox adherents are to Christians.
this. In the north of the continent, there are               Another question that remains open within
some Arab states which are part of the Islamic               Huntington’s system is the position of Israel
world, while in sub-Sahara Africa,                           and the Jews. Supposedly, Huntington
Christianity is the predominant religion,                    assumed they belong to “the West” (Fox,
which is depicted in the world map shown                     2002, pp. 422-423), thus stretching this
above where Africa is actually divided in two                concept to the limit.
parts, a fact which the recent establishment of                  Huntington refers to various aspects of
the predominantly Christian Republic of                      international relations, but his interpretations
South Sudan seems to aptly exemplify. From                   are sometimes biased, as the following
this, it follows that there is no unified                    statement clearly shows: “Islam has bloody
“African” civilization, which clearly shows                  borders” (Huntington, 1993, p. 24). Here we
that the usage of the geographical term                      can see again Huntington’s above-mentioned
“Africa” to denominate a distinctive                         decidedly white American point of view. He
civilization does not suffice.                               uses an incomplete picture to defend his
   As for Huntington’s Islamic civilization, it              concept. In fact, many confrontations on the
seems to be as diverse as the African or the                 edges of the Islamic world are not directly
“Western” one. Differences in lifestyle,                     related to issues of religion or civilization at
economic and political situation, and the local              all. For example, the conflict over Nagorno-
culture of Muslims in Europe (mostly Albania,                Karabakh has little to do with Azerbaijanis
Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, and                          being Muslims and Armenians being
Macedonia) 7, Asia Minor (Turkey), the Arab                  Christians. In fact, it is mainly a territorial
world, the Indian sub-continent, and                         dispute based on the fact that Nagorno-
Southeast Asia (Indonesia, Malaysia, Brunei                  Karabakh is a predominantly Armenian-
etc.) are so huge that it seems to be a gross                inhabited enclave in Azerbaijan. If
oversimplification to talk about one common
                                                             8
                                                               It is interesting to note here that Huntington
7
                                                             apparently did not group the Orthodox churches
  Muslims also live in areas most people would not           together but separated them into Eastern and Greek.
consider European, but which are officially part of          In the map presented in the text above, however,
Europe: the westernmost region of Kazakhstan and             Greece is shown in the same group as the Eastern
the northern part of Azerbaijan. Bosnia is dealt with        Orthodox countries. Whether this reflects
by Fox, 2002, p. 424. He stresses Bosnia’s character         Huntington’s idea correctly remains open to
as a melting pot where three civilizations closely           discussion. Drawing the line between Western and
interact: Half of the population is made up by               Eastern Europe, Huntington, 1993, p. 31, writes:
Moslem Bosniaks, while over one third are Slavic-            “The Velvet Curtain of culture has replaced the Iron
Orthodox Serbs, and the remaining roughly 15%                Curtain of ideology as the most significant dividing
Catholic and therefore “Western” Croats.                     line in Europe.”
                                                        27
Huntington’s statement about Islam holds up                  societies will help end this clash in a secular
to any critical scrutiny at all, it is not because           direction” (Bilgrami, 2003, p. 92).
Muslims are aggressive or warlike people, but                    Another aspect that makes Huntington’s
because Islam is a widespread religion                       theory increasingly doubtful is the trend
practiced by more than 1.5 billion people                    towards ethnically heterogeneous societies.
worldwide, mostly spreading over the three                   By now only about 10% of states can be said
continents (Africa, Asia, Europe) that Sir                   to be more or less ethnically homogenous. 10
Halford J. Mackinder (1919, p. 194) used to                  In an Oxford University Press publication,
call the “World-Island”.                                     Sujit Choudhry (2008, p. 5) therefore wrote
    While the above-mentioned civilizations                  the following statement: “The age of the
encompass many diverse countries, the                        ethnoculturally homogeneous state, if ever
opposite is true for the “Japanese civilization”.            there was one, is over.” The benevolent
Huntington does not provide any convincing                   influence of individuals to solve intercultural
reason why Japan forms a civilization of its                 problems is a further aspect Huntington pays
own. Instead he just writes: “Japan has                      little attention to. Yet, to take just one
established a unique position for itself (…). It             example, a look at South Africa shows that
is the West in some respects but clearly not                 the country’s fast track out of the Apartheid
the West in important dimensions”                            regime, and thus back into the international
(Huntington, 1993, p. 45). The question                      community, would hardly be imaginable
remains why other Asian countries, such as                   without Nelson Mandela at the helm.
Korea, the Philippines, or Thailand are not                      Huntington (1993, p. 25) states that
given the same status in Huntington’s                        “civilization identity will be increasingly
system. 9                                                    important in the future”, but it remains
                                                             unclear why he is so certain about this. Even
Homogeneity vs. Heterogeneity
                                                             if clashes will occur between the major
   The key assumption of “The Clash of                       civilizations, the question remains why this
Civilizations?” would be applicable only if                  will be the case. Huntington explains this by
governments acted according to the (nowhere                  saying these differences refer to our most
specified) principal convictions of the                      “basic” understanding of life, which is of
civilization that their nation belongs to.                   course correct in some cases but does not
Nonetheless, supposing that a causal relation                seem to be true in others. 11 Comparing
can be established between diverse                           “Western” and “Latin American” civilization,
civilizations and the handling of (armed)
conflicts, that link is far from being properly              10
                                                                See Welsh, 1993, p. 45. Out of roughly 180 states,
demonstrated by Huntington. On the one hand,
                                                             Welsh suggests that less than 20 can be interpreted
he plays down the differences between                        as homogenous because minorities make up less
peoples belonging to the same civilization and               than 5% of their population. In the USA, the
on the other hand, oversimplifies international              percentage of Hispanic, African, and Asian
relations by interpreting states as                          Americans is increasing, so that at some point in the
representatives of civilizations on the world                not too distant future, their combined numbers will
stage. Against this, many critics argued that                surpass 50% of the whole population. Japan is
                                                             considered to be a homogeneous nation, but even
conflicts are more likely to erupt within than
                                                             here, foreigners account for more than 1% of the
between civilizations. Akeel Bilgrami (2003,                 population. With the new government-sponsored
p. 88-89) for example describes the “clash                   “Global 30” program, which aims at attracting
within Muslim populations as a clash between                 300.000 foreign students, this number is bound to
secularists and absolutists.” He concludes in                rise further in the long run.
                                                             11
optimistic fashion that “sheer arithmetic                       Inglehart/Norris, 2003, point out that while the
suggests that democratization in Muslim                      World Values Surveys 1995/96 and 2000-2002
                                                             illustrate that Westerners and Muslims value
                                                             Democracy equally high (approval rates: 68% -
9
 It remains unclear how many civilizations                   68%), the real cultural divide can be seen in areas
Huntington sees in total. The only small civilization        such as gender equality (82% - 55%), divorce (60%
he actually mentions is the “Anglophone Caribbean”.          - 35%), abortion (48% - 25%), and homosexuality
See Huntington, 1993, p. 24.                                 (53% - 12%).
                                                        28
for instance, it is hard to think about “basic”          that the “kin-country syndrome” 12 that
differences. Huntington (1993, p. 25) takes              Huntington refers to, is far from being a
the fact that “the world is becoming a smaller           general rule. Muslim states have also fought
place” as another reason why the predicted               each other as the Iran-Iraq War of 1980-1988
clashes are going to increase. Yet, growing              or the participation of some (predominantly)
interactions between different civilizations             Arab countries in the liberation of Kuwait and
might actually relieve tensions instead of               the invasion of Iraq during the “Desert Storm”
creating them. His argument that religion is             operation in 1991 show.
most important seems convincing, at first                    In some ways, Huntington’s overall idea
glance. Huntington (1993, p. 27) writes, “A              and his focus on a balance of power between
person can be half-French and half-Arab and              the civilizations reminds the reader of realist
simultaneously a citizen of two countries. It is         international relations theory. 13 Indeed, his
more difficult to be half-Catholic and half-             reference to “the West versus the Rest”
Muslim.” However, he fails to take two                   (Huntington, 1993, pp. 39-41) means that his
aspects into account. First, what seems to be            world view can be interpreted as a set of
virtually impossible to Huntington is common             bipolar relations, an idea that seems to be
in Japan, where many people practice both                strongly influenced by the earlier binary Cold
Buddhism and Shintō. Second, while the                   War system. 14 Huntington (1993, pp. 31-32)
number of religious fanatics might be on the             elaborates at some length on the history of
rise, the number of atheists may also grow,              Western-Islamic conflicts. But his particular
thus potentially reducing this problem in the            concern seems to be possible frictions
long run.                                                between the West and the “Confucian-Islamic
   Surely, some of Huntington’s observations             military connection” (Huntington, 1993, pp.
are valuable but his conclusions are only one            48-49), a scenario that lacks any solid basis in
way of interpreting them. One reason for                 late 20th century international relations.
skepticism is the fact that the basic character          Actually, many political alliances as well as
of his eight major civilizations remains                 conflicts have reasons that cannot be
unclear because his explanations do not get              explained by the concept of civilizations, i.e.,
beyond statements of rather superficial                  they are not based on cultural or religious
cultural differences. Economic, political, or            similarities or differences but on other – often
social factors seem to be either absent from             geopolitical or economic – reasons.
his analytical framework or their connection
to his basic thesis is arbitrary. Generally, one
gets the impression that Huntington avoids
mentioning anything that does not support his            12
                                                            Huntington, 1993, p. 35 mentions H. D. S.
theory. As we have already stated, Huntington            Greenway in relation with the “kin-country
asserts at the beginning of his article, that the        syndrome”. In his 2006 New York Times commentary,
bloody conflicts that occurred within any                “The ethnic card”, Greenway described the
given civilization during the 20th century               phenomenon the following way: “But there is also a
were ideologically based. While this is true             kin-country syndrome, in which nationals of one
                                                         country care deeply about the affairs of another
for the Chinese Civil War between
                                                         because of ties of blood, language or religion.
communists and the Kuomintang, most of the               Consider Russia’s pro-Serbian sentiments when
numerous border disputes in Latin America or             Yugoslavia fell apart, or the early recognition of
Africa cannot be said to be ideological.                 Catholic Croatia and Slovenia by Germany and
Furthermore, one has only to think about the             Austria.” Retrieved May 13, 2011, from
infighting between many EU member states                 http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/09/opinion/09iht-
(most notably France and Germany) and the                edgreenway.html
                                                         13
                                                            See Donnelly, 2000, for a discussion of this.
US administration of George W. Bush over                 14
                                                            A very interesting comment in the same direction
the Second Gulf War or the European origins              comes from Said, 2001, p. 2. Comparing
of both World Wars, to see that “the West”               Huntington’s original article with the later book, he
has not always been a harmonious group. The              wrote: “The basic paradigm of West versus the rest
World Wars are also an example that shows                (the cold war opposition reformulated) remained
                                                         untouched [...] and has persisted”.
                                                    29
Conclusion                                              data, Chiozza (2002, p. 711) and Fox (2002, p.
                                                        433) conclude similarly that “state
    Despite much criticism, Huntington’s
                                                        interactions across the civilizational divide are
article has remained an object of attraction in
                                                        not more conflict prone” and “civilizational
academic as well as non-academic circles, and
                                                        conflicts constitute a minority of ethnic
it must be said that the term “civilization” is
                                                        conflicts both during and after the Cold War”.
widely used today. However, equipped with
                                                           Huntington’s 1993 article surely provides a
ill-defined concepts and at some points rather
                                                        thought-provoking academic hypothesis. If
selective use of data, Huntington’s claim to
                                                        taken at face value, it could even create a
explain the future of international relations
                                                        serious political problem. Were world leaders
fails to survive careful scrutiny because he
                                                        to adopt this somehow “messianic vision”
does not specify what factors are used to
                                                        (Bilgrami, 2003, p. 88), world peace could be
determine the eight major civilizations he
                                                        seriously threatened, and Huntington’s
presents. If one uses certain criteria in one
                                                        speculation could turn out to become a self-
case, the same or at least similar criteria
                                                        fulfilling prophecy: “The next world war, if
should be applicable in all cases. This kind of
                                                        there is one, will be a war between
consistency is lacking in Huntington’s
                                                        civilizations.”15 Huntington’s text should be
conceptual framework.
                                                        read as a stimulating paradigm of
    His theory was developed in the early
                                                        international relations, representing the
1990s. Therefore, it is a good example of the
                                                        immediate post Cold War era, when –
discomfort experienced at that time by
                                                        according to Huntington (1993, p. 39) – the
politicians and scholars who had been busy
explaining the Cold War for their entire                West was “at an extraordinary peak of power”.
professional life. Consequently, Huntington             Huntington’s theory itself seems to be one of
presents a rather alarmist vision of the future,        the results of this feeling of superiority. 16
in some ways comparable to Oswald
                                                        References Cited
Spengler’s The Decline of the West (Der
Untergang des Abendlandes) of 1918/22. As a             Bilgrami, A. (2003). The clash within
result of World War I, Spengler had                         civilizations. Daedalus, 132(3), 88-93.
developed a cyclical theory of the rise and fall            Retrieved August 2, 2011, from
of civilizations. Like Spengler 75 years before             http://www.amacad.org/publications/
him, Huntington predicted the decline of                    summer2003/bilgrami.pdf
Western civilization. As one of the reasons             Chiozza, G. (2002). Is there a clash of
for this, he mentions the constant progression             civilizations? Evidence from patterns of
of multiculturalism within Western societies,              international conflict involvement, 1946-
whereas at the same time other civilizations               97. Journal of Peace Research, 39(6),
(and especially the Islamic one) remain –                  711-734. Retrieved August 2, 2011, from
according to him – more homogenous. Due to                 http://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/pnorris/
the fact that Huntington’s article is nearly 20            Acrobat/Chiozza_Clash.pdf
years old, his point of view does not take the
forces of transnationalism (culture,                    Choudhry, S. (2008). Bridging comparative
globalization of the economy, the Internet,                politics and comparative constitutional
modern telecommunications and                              law: constitutional design in divided
transportation) into account that nowadays
exert influence on world politics from the              15
                                                           Huntington, 1993, p. 39. It has to be mentioned
individual to the systematic level.                     here, though, that this pessimistic prophesy contrasts
    Furthermore, empirical studies on                   with the last sentence of his article, in which he calls
international conflicts by Chiozza (2002) and           on the different civilizations “to learn to coexist with
on ethnic disputes within multiracial states by         each other.”
                                                        16
Fox (2002) for example have shown that                     Said ends his article, “The clash of ignorance”,
actual developments in the second half of the           2001, p. 4, with a similar argument, saying that
20th century do not support Huntington’s                Huntington’s thesis was “better for reinforcing
                                                        defensive self-pride than for critical understanding
thesis. Based on different sets of empirical            of the bewildering interdependence of our time.”
                                                   30
   societies. In S. Choudhry (Ed.),                  Mackinder, H. J. (1919). Democratic ideals
   Constitutional design for divided                   and reality: A study in the politics of
   societies: Integration or                           reconstruction. London - New York:
   accommodation? (pp. 3-40). Oxford:                  Henry Holt.
   University Press.                                 Rose, G., Hoge J. F., Jr., & Peterson, P. G.
Donnelly, J. (2000). Realism and                        (Eds.). (1999). The clash of civilizations?
   international relations. Cambridge:                  The debate. New York: Foreign Affairs.
   University Press.                                 Said, E. (2001, October 22). The clash of
Fox, J. (2002). Ethnic minorities and the               ignorance. The Nation, 1-4. Retrieved
   clash of civilizations: A quantitative               August 2, 2011, from http://www.
   analysis of Huntington’s thesis. British             ecfs.org/Projects/EastWest/Readings/Nat
   Journal of Political Science, 32(3), 415-            ionSaidHuntington.pdf
   435. Retrieved August 2, 2011, from               Spengler, O. (1926). The decline of the West
   http://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/pnorris/A              [Der Untergang des Abendlandes].
   crobat/Fox_Clash.pdf                                 London: Alfred A. Knopf.
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   The National Interest, 16, 3-18.                     (12 volumes). Oxford: University Press.
Fukuyama, F. (2006). The end of history and          Welsh, D. (1993). Domestic politics and
   the last man. New York: Free Press.                 ethnic conflict. In M. E. Brown (Ed.),
Greenway, H. D. S. (2006, May 9). The                  Ethnic conflict and international security
   ethnic card. New York Times. Retrieved              (pp. 43-60). Princeton: University Press.
   May 13, 2011 from http://www.nytimes.             About the author: Nurlan Tussupov received
   com/2006/05/09/opinion/09iht-                     Master’s degree in Political Science from the
   edgreenway.html                                   OSCE Academy in Bishkek (Kyrgyzstan); he is
Huntington, S. P. (1993). The clash of               currently studying at the Graduate School of
   civilizations? Foreign Affairs, 72(3), 22-        Humanities and Social Sciences of the University
                                                     of Tsukuba. His main research interests include
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                                                     international relations, energy politics, and
Huntington, S. P. (1996). The clash of               Central Asian studies.
   civilizations and the remaking of world           Christian W. Spang is an associate professor at the
   order. New York: Simon & Schuster.                University of Tsukuba. His major research
Inglehart, R., & Norris, P. (March/April             interests are German-Japanese relations,
                                                     geopolitics, and German as well as Japanese
    2003). The true clash of civilizations.
                                                     contemporary history.
    Foreign Policy, 135, 63-70. Retrieved
    August 2, 2011, from http://tinyurl.com/         Beisenov Kuanish comes from Kazakhstan. He
    4f5bgrz                                          earned his M.A. in International Relations from
                                                     the Graduate School of Humanities and Social
Kassam, K. A. (1997). “The clash of                  Sciences at the Masters Program in Area studies,
   civilizations”: The selling of fear. Islam        Tsukuba University.
   in America, 3(4). Retrieved July 13,
   2011, from https://dspace.ucalgary.ca/
   bitstream/1880/44170/1/Islam.pdf
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