The Weather Guide
The Weather Guide
4th Edition
2007
The desired effect of this guide is to help the general public and journalism community gain a
greater understanding of our local weather and the functions of the National Weather Service.
We hope to improve relationships among members of the local media, emergency management,
and other agencies with responsibility to the public. With a spirit of greater cooperation, we can
together provide better services and understanding to our residents and visitors.
The National Weather Service in San Diego invites anyone with any interest to our office for a
free and informal tour. We especially encourage members of the weather community or
meteorology students to take advantage of this nearby resource and become familiar with the
science, our work, and the local weather. We have various training and educational resources for
those pursuing a career in meteorology or for those seeking a greater understanding of the
science and its local applications.
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Contents
The National Weather Service…………………………………………………….…………5
Mission
Brief History
Organization
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Appendices
Appendix A: A History of Significant Weather Events in Southern California (organized by
weather type)
Heavy Rain: Flooding and Flash Flooding, Mud Slides, Debris Flows, Landslides….53
Heavy Snow, Rare Snow at Low Elevations………………………………………....86
Severe Thunderstorms: Large Hail, Strong Thunderstorm Winds, and
Killer Lightning (See flash flooding in heavy rain section)…………………….…....93
Tornadoes, Funnel Clouds, Waterspouts, and Damaging Dust Devils………….…..101
Strong winds (For thunderstorm related winds, see severe thunderstorms)…….…..114
Extreme Heat…………………………………………………………………….….125
Extreme Cold……………………………………………………………………..…131
High Surf, Stormy Seas, Tsunamis, Coastal Flooding and Erosion……………...…133
Miscellaneous: Dense fog, barometric pressure, dry spells, etc………………….…138
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The National Weather Service
Mission
The National Weather Service (NWS) provides forecasts and warnings for weather, hydrologic,
and climate needs for the United States, its territories, adjacent waters and ocean areas. The
mission is to protect of life and property and enhance the national economy. NWS data and
products form a national information database and infrastructure which can be used by other
governmental agencies, the private sector, the public, and the global community.
Brief History
The National Weather Service was created as a branch of the Signal Service, later the Signal
Corps of the Army, by a Joint Congressional Resolution in 1870. It provided “for taking
meteorological observations at the military stations in the...United States, and for giving
notice...of the approach and force of storms.”
Before World War II, technology and communications improved slowly, but the war accelerated
the need for aviation forecasts, and an increase in technology and participation by all sectors of
society, including women. More employees, training and resources were poured into the war
effort. Advances in satellite and radar technology soon followed. During the 1950s and 1960s
organizational changes took place, including the distribution of local forecast offices across the
country. In addition, numerous national centers were established to provide support for
numerical weather prediction, research, climate archives, climate prediction, hydrology, aviation
weather, marine weather, severe storms and hurricanes. In 1970 the Weather Bureau changed its
name to the National Weather Service (NWS) and became part of the newly formed National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
Since then many more advances have taken place in computer technology, allowing for greater
power in producing numerical model guidance used by meteorologists. Satellites have become
more sophisticated in the weather features they can detect. In the 1990s a “Modernization and
Restructuring” effort was realized. Doppler Weather Radars were installed nationwide,
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representing a vast improvement over the old radars. New Advanced Weather Interactive
Processing Systems (AWIPS) were installed nationwide in 1999. These workstations provide
meteorological data, model guidance, satellite imagery and radar data with great flexibility in
data manipulation and analysis. In 2000 a massive computer upgrade was made to allow greater
speed and stability in generating numerical model guidance. In 2004 the NWS changed the
forecast landscape with new digital forecasts designed to offer more spatial and temporal detail
and to adapt to emerging digital technology. As the capacity of technology and understanding
increases, forecasts become more accurate and extend further into the future. The NWS is the
world leader for all operational weather forecasting and provides its basic infrastructure. For
more history and stories, click on: www.history.noaa.gov.
The Role
The National Weather Service is part of NOAA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, which is part of the Department of Commerce (DOC) in the U.S. Government.
As noted in the mission statement, the entire weather database and infrastructure in this country
(i.e. satellites, radars, weather monitoring stations, model guidance, etc.), is provided and
maintained by the NWS. Private weather companies, consultants, media outlets, and research
organizations all depend on this infrastructure.
It is easy to see why the NWS is part of the Department of Commerce. Numerous professions are
directly impacted by the weather and countless decisions are made in response to weather
forecasts. For example, anybody who works outdoors such as construction crews must monitor
the forecast and make cost-saving decisions. Industries of transportation, agriculture and
recreation depend heavily on weather information. Indirectly, some industries like the stock
market may be impacted as entire local economies can be affected by flood, drought, freezes, or
damaging weather. In fact, it is hard to find a profession not in some way affected by the
weather.
The global economy is also increasingly dependent on weather forecasts. As much as one-third
of the U.S. gross domestic product—three trillion dollars' worth of goods and services—is at
least partially dependent on weather, according to estimates. Obvious examples include road,
sea, and air transportation. Less obvious, perhaps, are power companies, which depend on
temperature forecasts to anticipate consumer demand, and school systems.
Most Americans get weather information from media sources, such as television and radio, the
Internet, and newspapers. These media sources are in effect weather retailers, selling weather
information to customers through advertising money or subscriptions to services. But there is yet
another layer in the process. For example, let’s say a local newspaper features a weather page.
To prepare this page and to do it every day, the newspaper employs a private weather company.
The newspaper gives the company its requirements for their weather page. The company fulfills
the requirements at the appointed times and sends the bill to the newspaper. This works in a
similar way for television and radio. The daily temperatures and rainfall amounts you see on the
evening news were probably first collected and disseminated by the NWS, then gathered by the
private weather company, then included in their weather package delivered to the paying
television station. The private company may have some weather infrastructure of their own, but
largely their data and guidance are provided as public access by the NWS, namely satellite and
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radar data, and weather model guidance. In this way the NWS serves as a sort of giant wholesale
weather warehouse, where the weather retailers can shop for free to produce their products and
services specific to their customers’ needs.
The Organization
The NWS is organized into headquarters, national centers, regional offices, and various field
offices. See www.weather.gov/organization.php. The headquarters offices are located in
Maryland (metro Washington DC) which oversee and administrate the entire agency. Nine
national centers provide guidance to offices in the field scattered across the country, comprising
the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), most of which are also located in
Maryland. They include:
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Other specialized support centers, not part of NCEP include:
• National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL)
• Spaceflight Meteorology Group (SMG)
• Climate Diagnostics Center (CDC)
• Hydrologic Research Laboratory (HRL)
• National Climatic Data Center (NCDC)
• Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC)
• Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
• West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Warning Center (WC/ATWC)
For hydrologic support, there are 13 River Forecast Centers (RFCs) across the country. For
aviation support, there are 22 Center Weather Service Units (CWSUs) across the country, co-
located with Air Route Traffic Control Centers. The country is divided into 122 forecast areas,
also known as County Warning Areas (CWAs), each serviced by the local Weather Forecast
Office (WFO) (see map below).
Regional offices in the Eastern, Central, Southern, Western, Alaskan and Pacific regions oversee
these field offices within their region of the country. The Western Region Headquarters directs
NWS operations in the western states from its office in Salt Lake City, Utah. This includes 24
WFOs, including the office in San Diego, three RFCs, and four CWSUs.
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The NWS in San Diego
The San Diego Forecast Office prepares forecasts and any necessary warnings for a sizable area
of Southern California, which is called a County Warning Forecast Area (CWFA or CWA). The
San Diego CWA comprises all of Orange and San Diego Counties, western Riverside County,
southwestern San Bernardino County and adjacent coastal waters off San Diego County. The
CWA is divided into forecast zones, each containing
roughly similar climates. A zone forecast is routinely
made for each zone, the text of which is generated from
a highly detailed graphical database. Forecast operations
run continuously 24 hours a day, 365 days a year,
providing its citizens a constant monitoring of the
weather and protection of life and property in the form
of timely warnings. In this way the NWS is the “weather
police.” The San Diego Forecast Office meteorologists
are the experts of local weather and climate. They keep
informed of research developments and the latest
discoveries and news that impact the weather, such as El
Niño and climate prediction, but do not conduct the
research themselves and therefore are not experts in
those research fields.
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A History of the NWS in San Diego
“A very great gale blew from the southwest; the port being good, we felt nothing,” commented
Juan Rodriguez Cabrillo in 1542, upon sailing into what is now San Diego Bay. It was probably
the first documented weather observation in California.
Officially, weather observations were first taken in San Diego from 1849 to 1871 at the San
Diego Mission de Alcalá and at Ft. Stockton, now part of Presidio Park, by the Medical Corps of
the Army. When the Army’s Signal Service assumed the task in 1871, the weather observing
station was moved downtown to Horton Square at present day Broadway between 3rd and 4th
Avenues. In 1909 a city ordinance allowed the U.S. Weather Bureau to install a weather kiosk to
be placed in the San Diego Plaza containing weather instruments, posted forecasts, and weather
charts. It is not known when the kiosk was discontinued. The official station moved around the
Horton Square area several times from 1871 until 1940, but always remained within a stone’s
throw of present day Horton Plaza. In 1890 the first Weather Bureau Office was located on 5th
Avenue between E and F streets. In 1930 the office and a second weather observing station were
relocated to the Lindbergh Municipal Airport 1 ½ miles northwest of the city office, but
observations were continued downtown. In 1940 observations became official at Lindbergh
Field. This new site was considered close enough and sufficiently similar in climate to the
downtown location that the climate record was continued uninterrupted rather than starting a new
separate record for the new location. In 1969 the weather equipment was moved to its current
location at the General Aviation Building at Lindbergh Field, now San Diego’s International
Airport. A history of the early observations in San Diego has been published and can be found at:
www.wrh.noaa.gov/sgx/cpm/SanDiegoHistory.pdf.
The function, purpose and importance of the NWS were stated eloquently by Ford A. Carpenter
in The Climate and Weather of San Diego California, published in 1913. “A few years ago a
member of the French Academy of Science visited the San Diego Weather Bureau office, and
having being shown the meteorological apparatus and informed as to the application of the data
to the everyday needs of commerce and agriculture, exclaimed, “You Americans are a wonderful
people. You not only equal the French in the use of delicate instruments from which theories are
evolved, but you excel us in making the results worth dollars and cents.”
Carpenter also observed, “An article in the Century magazine a few years ago stated that the
Weather Bureau costs the United States a million and a half dollars a year, but that a
conservative insurance company figured that on an average the people of the United States saved
annually $30,000,000 because of their weather service, and this in addition to thousands of
lives.”
The Meteorologist-in-Charge (MIC) is Jim Purpura. He ultimately oversees all operations and
work in the office and implements changes in policy or practices when needed. Questions about
policy, funding, employment, technology, and the future are best directed to the MIC.
Ivory Small is the Science and Operations Officer (SOO). He ensures that good forecasting
techniques and good science are used by meteorologists through training and development. He
implements the latest technology and meteorological theory from the research community and
produces some of the research himself. He can answer questions regarding student volunteer and
employment programs. He is the best resource for questions about the meteorology behind the
weather.
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The first line of phone communication is usually with a hydrometeorological technician (HMT).
They answer general questions about the weather, climate, or forecast, or can point you in the
right direction for the answer. Forecasters on duty can provide greater detail about the reasons
behind the current weather or forecast. Many questions of this nature can be answered by
consulting the latest Area Forecast Discussion, updated at least four times a day.
When not working basic operations directly, each member of the staff completes focal point
duties. These include directing local programs, conducting special projects or overseeing other
areas of responsibility. A list of the entire staff and the numerous duties they perform in addition
to operational duties can be found on our staff web page:
weather.gov/sandiego/office/staff.php?wfo=sgx.
The NWS relies heavily on its partners in emergency management and the media to keep
communities safe and well informed. Emergency managers and the media have timely access to
severe weather information through a number of systems and services listed below. For
information on how to set up a service to receive real-time weather information, contact our
Warning Coordination Meteorologist, Ed Clark, at 858-675-8700 ext. 223.
The Family of Services includes the NOAA Weather Wire Service, NOAAPort and news
agencies such as AP, UPI and City News Service. These systems provide paying subscribers
consistent and timely weather information in real time. For more information, visit:
www.weatherwire.net and www.noaaport.com.
Private commercial information vendors supply numerous paying customers with weather
information packages tailored to their needs. These are easily found on the Internet by doing a
search for weather software.
Emergency management and flood control agencies in California can receive timely information
through the California Law Enforcement Telecom System (CLETS). This originates from the
State Office of Emergency Services in Sacramento. The Emergency Manager’s Weather
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Information Network (EMWIN) provides real time information for a one-time cost for
equipment and installation. Email and pager notification can be easily set up. However, this
information may not be as reliable or timely as that found with the Family of Services. You can
always consult the NWS web page (www.weather.gov)for up to date information from a
national perspective. However, it is subject to the availability and connection limitations inherent
to the Internet.
Weather information can also be obtained from the National Weather Service anywhere and
anytime using a wireless device. All you need is a wireless device that can surf the Internet along
with a wireless Internet service provider. For more details, visit www.srh.noaa.gov/cte.htm.
RSS feeds and podcasts are also available, see www.nws.noaa.gov/rss.
Please note: The Internet is not the primary means of disseminating weather information from
the NWS and should not be solely relied on at any time, especially during significant weather
events. The clickable map on the home page is not the official means of communicating
current watches, warnings or advisories in effect. A backup source of information is
recommended, such as NOAA weather radio or other systems mentioned above.
Local Programs
The Aviation program encompasses the preparation,
transmission and verification of Terminal Aerodrome
Forecasts (TAFs) and Transcribed Weather Broadcasts
(TWEBs). TAFs are coded 24-hour forecasts updated at
least every six hours. TAFs give detailed weather
conditions expected at six area airports: San Diego-
Lindbergh Field (SAN), McClellan-Palomar Airport
(CRQ), Orange County-John Wayne (SNA), Ontario
(ONT), Palm Springs (PSP), and Thermal (TRM). Soaring forecasts are also generated daily.
Airport weather warnings are issued when severe weather threatens Lindbergh Field. Aircraft
accident reports are issued for fatal accidents.
The San Diego Mesonet is a network of public and private providers of weather data. Using
existing weather stations, providers can transmit data from their own weather stations to the
NWS in real-time. See www.wrh.noaa.gov/sgx/cpm/sdm.php?wfo=sgx.
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Fire Weather forecasts are essential for fire fighting
efforts by a number of agencies. Routine Fire Weather
Forecasts are issued detailing sky condition, winds,
relative humidity, and lightning potential. Specific spot
forecasts are given by request for particular fire fighting
or controlled burn situations, and also for hazardous
material incidents. Fire Weather Watches and Red Flag
Warnings are issued when dangerous fire potential
exists.
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San Diego (east of Poway) KEC-62 162.40 MHz
Santa Ana Mountains (south of Corona) WWG-21 162.45 MHz
Coachella Valley (east of Indio) KIG-78 162.40 MHz
Strawberry Peak (south of Lake Arrowhead) WXM-66 162.50 MHz
Mt. Soledad Marine (La Jolla) WNG-637 162.425 MHz
Coachella Valley Spanish (east of Indio) WNG-712 162.525 MHz
The Public Forecast Program is a suite of forecasts and warnings designed for the entire public
community. The traditional flagship product of the NWS has been the Zone Forecast, the routine
forecast issued at least twice daily. The forecast is text generated from our digital forecast
database. Forecasts of sky condition, temperatures, precipitation and significant winds are
included in the forecast which extends to seven days. Area Forecast Discussions are issued at
least four times a day. They give the current reasoning behind the forecast and explain any
additional action taken. Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts are issued during the wet season and
as needed during the dry season to indicate expected rainfall amounts. Hazardous Weather
Outlooks are issued when any hazardous weather is expected for the upcoming week and contain
flash flood potential indices during the monsoon season. Any necessary watches, warnings,
advisories, and other statements are issued under the direction of the Public Forecaster on duty.
The Weather Spotter Program is a network of volunteers. A weather spotter is a person who
observes significant weather and relays the information to the NWS. With this information,
forecasters can issue warnings and update forecasts if necessary in a more accurate and timely
manner. Around 1300 weather spotters are keeping an eye to the sky in our forecast area.
Information about the program, including the quarterly newsletter can be found at:
www.wrh.noaa.gov/sgx/spotter/spotter.php.
Skywarn is a more proactive spotter network involving ham radio communications to relay
weather information during active weather events. When forecasters deem appropriate, Skywarn
is “activated” and a Skywarn member operates radio communications from the San Diego office.
Reports of significant weather or damage are actively solicited from the Skywarn community.
The reports are then immediately forwarded to the forecasters on duty to aid in the forecast and
warning process. For more information on the local Skywarn organization, visit
www.swskywarn.org.
Spotter and Skywarn training presentations are held occasionally to recruit and train weather
spotters.
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Products and Services Offered by the NWS in San Diego
The NWS prepares a large number of various products that provide specific information. Each
product name is identified by its code containing nine letters. The code formula is explained
under “Communications and Product Dissemination” above. For a listing of NWS products, see
Appendix A. The products are organized and described in the following categories. Note: All
products originating from San Diego begin with the LAX identifier. For simplicity, the products
below will be identified only by the following six letter code.
The Daily Temperature and Precipitation Summary (RTPSGX) reports the daily maximum
and minimum temperatures and precipitation for numerous cities in our forecast area from a
variety of weather stations, such as airports, cooperative observers, and remote weather systems.
The RTP is issued at 430 am/pm and again at 530 pm largely to provide the data to local news
media for early morning and late afternoon broadcasts. Updates may occur during the evening if
and when additional data arrives. Note that these temperatures are the 24 hour high and low,
which may not necessarily agree with the calendar day because thermometers are reset at the
time of the 4 pm observation. This can lead to a problem. For example, let’s say the high in
Anaheim was 80 degrees one day. The 4 pm report gave the high of 80 and the current
temperature of 77. The next day is much cooler; Fullerton and Santa Ana each report a high of
65 degrees. The report from Anaheim is a high of 77. Clearly, this is what we call a “carry-over”.
The high of 77 occurred at the time the thermometer was reset around 4 pm the previous day.
Stations that report once daily are susceptible to carry-overs when the following day is cooler.
Other problems are more rare, but also possible. An observer may not have reported for multiple
days for a variety of reasons and the thermometer would not have been reset. The data given may
then be the highest and lowest temperatures for the period, not the current day. Also, the high
temperature may actually occur after the 4 pm observation. Please take special note of the
disclaimer on the product and understand that some highs that appear abnormally high may be
carried over from the previous day.
The Climate Report (CLIxxx) shows the updated climate values for the day for a number of
cities in our area. Daily climate reports are prepared for many sites with automated weather
equipment. In the product’s header, xxx represents the three-letter identifier, normally an airport.
Each CLI product is a daily almanac of temperature, precipitation, and several other weather
conditions displayed with daily normal values, updated totals and records. These products are
updated twice daily early in the morning and in the afternoon.
The Local Climatological Data (CF6) chart is a look at the current month of daily records. This
is not an issued product, but is available on our web site. These are prepared for all cities for
which there is a climate report (CLIxxx).
The Monthly Weather Summary (CLMSAN) is updated on the 1st day of each month, detailing
the previous month’s statistics for these same cities/airports that have a CLI report. This product
summarizes the weather of the previous month.
The Record Report (RERSGX) is a report of daily record temperatures or rainfall amounts met
or exceeded at many cities in the area. This product is automatically headlined on the home page.
Only some of the cities that report daily on the RTPSGX keep a history of daily records. Some of
these cities have a short history dating back only to the 1970s. This makes the records easier to
reach, and therefore less than remarkable. San Diego, Santa Ana, and Riverside are three stations
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with a much longer climate record.
Public Forecasts
The Zone Forecast Product (ZFPSGX) has traditionally been the most well known and used
product we prepare. It is issued at 330 am and 230 pm every day and as necessary (when the
forecast does not match current or expected conditions). It is generated from a digital database
maintained and updated by forecasters. Graphical digital forecasts are also available providing
spatial and temporal detail not previously available with text products, see Forecasts – Digital for
more on these increasingly popular forecasts.
The Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWOSGX) is a product issued when any expected weather
in the following week may need the issuance of an advisory or a warning. It is issued by 6 am on
days when these expected conditions exist, and updated as necessary. The outlook also presents a
flash flood potential rating during the monsoon season in each mountain and desert zone as none,
low, moderate or high.
The Short Term Forecast (NOWSGX), also called the “nowcast”, is a brief detailed forecast
usually covering two hours, but no more than six hours. These forecasts are issued to add
beneficial detail, for example, describing location, movement, and possible impact of
thunderstorms.
The Area Forecast Discussion (AFDSGX) is a discussion of the reasoning and thinking behind
the forecast. A simple explanation of the general weather pattern for the coming week is given in
the synopsis. The discussion portion contains a wealth of information about the current and
future weather developments and the particular challenges involved in the current forecast. It is
routinely updated four times daily, at 330 am, 930 am, 230 pm, 930 pm and other times when
needed. The discussion on the web contains links that go to the non-routine products in effect
and links that explain some of the more complex meteorological terms that may be used.
The Tabular State Forecast for California (SFTSGX) and the Point Forecast Matrix
(PFMSGX) are part of the digital suite of products generated by the gridded digital database. The
SFTSGX is a forecast of specific temperatures and chances of precipitation for selected cities
across Southern California. The PFMSGX is a highly detailed forecast of numerous weather
parameters in three hour increments for the next two days for a select few cities. Both these
products are issued at least twice daily at 330 am and 230 pm.
The Quantitative Precipitation Statement (QPSSGX) is a routine forecast of rainfall amounts
during the wet season, roughly November through April, but also during other times of the year
when a significant precipitation event is expected. The product shows in table format expected
rainfall amounts in 6-hour intervals for the coming three days for numerous locations in the
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forecast area. This product is issued twice daily by 4 am/pm.
Non-routine Products
A Watch is issued well in advance when conditions are favorable for a weather event to occur
that can threaten life and/or property in the watch area.
A Warning is issued when a weather event that can threaten life and/or property is imminent or
already occurring in the warned area. Emergency Alert Systems (EAS) are activated for short-
fused warnings, such as a Severe Thunderstorm Warning.
An Advisory is issued when serious conditions are present and cause significant inconvenience.
It may lead to a watch or warning.
Verification
Observed weather conditions are essential to help the NWS determine which non-routine
products to issue. When warnings are issued, weather reports are collected to verify the warning.
A collection of these reports will be issued as a Local Storm Report (LSRSGX). With the
verification data, studies can be made to learn how well the forecast team warns correctly or
creates a false alarm. In this way the NWS takes responsibility for its warnings. Verification is an
important part of the ongoing improvement of the warning process.
Flash floods are defined as a rapid rise in water flooding a local area, followed by a rapid drop in
water level. Any small stream, creek, arroyo, wash or paved urban areas can be briefly inundated
by a flash flood. Flash floods should be water flowing rapidly at least six inches deep. Dam
breaks or breaches cause flash flooding downstream. When any of these are expected a Flash
Flood Watch (FFASGX) and subsequently a Flash Flood Warning (FFWSGX) are issued. A
Flood Advisory for Urban and Small Stream Flooding (FLSSGX) informs of inundation
conditions not threatening life and property, but can be dangerous if not taken seriously.
Examples of advisory conditions include a flooded intersection or onramp to a freeway that is
blocked by water and disrupting traffic flow. The Flash Flood Statement (FFSSGX) is issued to
update or cancel Flash Flood Warnings (FFWSGX).
A Flood Watch (FFASGX) and subsequently a Flood Warning (FLWSGX) are issued when a
mainstem river is expected to overflow its banks. A Flood Statement (FLSSGX) updates a
warning and may update and summarize more than one warning. The NWS defines a flood as a
normally dry area inundated with water along an established watercourse such as a mainstem
river. In San Diego’s forecast area, there are four rivers that qualify as such watercourses: The
San Diego River at Fashion Valley, the San Luis Rey River at Oceanside, the Santa Margarita
River at Ysidora, and the Mojave River at Victorville (Mojave Narrows). The River Statement
(RVSSGX) provides specific forecast levels at these flood gages during flooding events.
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Winter Weather
All of the following winter weather watches, warnings and advisories come under the product
header WSWSGX. The Winter Storm Watch and Winter Storm Warning are issued when a
significant winter storm will impact the region. These detail the adverse impacts caused by heavy
snowfall combined with strong winds. When the snowfall and winds are not expected to reach
warning criteria, a Snow and Blowing Snow Advisory is issued to communicate the lesser
impact. If heavy snowfall is expected without strong winds, a Heavy Snow Warning is issued.
If the snow will be heavy, but not reach warning criteria, a Snow Advisory is issued. When
snowfall and strong winds combine to create white-out conditions and near zero visibilities, a
Blizzard Warning is issued. Although unheard of in Southern California, ice storms or freezing
rain events would be covered by an Ice Storm Warning and a Freezing Rain (or Drizzle)
Advisory, respectively. Several different winter weather hazards can be in effect at once under
one WSWSGX product.
Severe Weather
Severe weather is associated with thunderstorms, which can bring any combination of deadly
lightning, tornadoes, large hail, heavy rain (with associated flooding), and any other strong
damaging winds. When conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms or tornadoes, the
Storm Prediction Center issues a Severe Local Statement (SLSCA). This becomes a Severe
Weather Watch for Southern California in a redefining statement issued by the Oxnard office.
A Severe Thunderstorm Warning (SVRSGX) is issued when severe thunderstorm warning
criteria are met or are imminent. It is not mandatory that a local statement or a watch be in effect
before a warning is issued (in fact, it is rare). When a tornado is detected by weather spotters or
Doppler Weather Radar, or the forecaster strongly believes a tornado is about to develop, a
Tornado Warning (TORSGX) is issued. Updates are made to either or both of these warnings
with a Severe Weather Statement (SVSSGX). Flash floods occurring with severe
thunderstorms are detailed in their own separate Flash Flood Warning (FFWSGX). Severe
weather over coastal waters is covered by a Special Marine Warning (SMWSGX), which
warns of waterspouts and other severe and hazardous boating weather. Severe weather is often
extremely localized in time and space. Accordingly, these products are very short-fused and
cover a small area.
A Non-Precipitation Weather product (NPWSGX) covers a great variety of weather events that
do not include precipitation. This product can be an advisory, a watch or a warning. A High
Wind Watch and subsequently a High Wind Warning are issued when strong winds causing
potential damage are expected. A Wind Advisory is issued when strong winds are expected, but
fall below warning criteria. A Wind Chill Warning or a Wind Chill Advisory is issued when
strong winds combine with very low temperatures. Blowing dust and/or sand that reduce
visibility may prompt a Blowing Dust/Sand Advisory. When dense fog develops in more than
just a localized sense, a Dense Fog Advisory is issued. Extremes in temperature are also covered
by the product. High temperatures and humidity may warrant an Excessive Heat Warning when
the Heat Index becomes dangerous. A Freeze Warning is issued when freezing temperatures
present a serious threat to crops. A Frost Advisory is issued when a freeze is less serious.
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Marine Forecasts and Warnings
The Coastal Waters Forecast (CWFSGX) is a routine forecast of winds and sea state on the
coastal waters out to five days. It is issued four times daily at 230 and 830 am/pm PST and 330
and 930 am/pm PDT. The forecast covers the coastal waters from the San Diego County shore
out to 60 nautical miles (about five nm beyond San Clemente Island). The area is divided into
two zones by a line 30 nautical miles off the coast parallel to the coast. Within the body of the
forecast a Small Craft Advisory may be headlined when winds begin to present a hazard for
small vessels. If seas are especially hazardous, it will be specified as a Small Craft Advisory for
Hazardous Seas. The following rare warnings, Gale, Storm, Tropical Storm, or Hurricane,
may be headlined when very strong winds and/or stormy seas are expected. The Surf Zone
Forecast (SRFSGX) is issued twice daily at 2 am/pm and contains surf and rip current risk
information for the beaches of Orange and San Diego Counties. A Marine Weather Statement
(MWSSGX) describes potentially dangerous boating conditions such as waterspouts or non-
severe thunderstorms on the open water. A High Surf Advisory (CFWSGX) is issued when
large and dangerous surf is widespread along the coast or when minor tidal overflow occurs.
When the weather over the water becomes severe with strong thunderstorms, a Special Marine
Warning (SMWSGX) is issued. Coastal flooding caused by very high tides and/or large surf is
covered by a Coastal Flood Watch and subsequently a Coastal Flood Warning (CFWSGX). If
an earthquake occurs along the Pacific Rim that will generate a tsunami along the coast, a
Tsunami Warning (TSUWCA) will be issued by the West Coast and Alaska Tsunami Warning
Center. A Tsunami watch, Tsunami Advisory, or Tsunami Information Statement
(TIBWCA) may be issued. If Southern California impacts are expected, these products are
reissued with more local details by the San Diego Forecast Office.
Aviation Products
Aviation products are coded and disseminated to the aviation community, not through the
standard media to the public, but are available on our web site. A Terminal Aerodrome
Forecast (TAF) provides detailed changes in wind speed and direction, visibility, cloud
coverage, cloud ceiling height and precipitation for local airports out to 24 hours. These airports
include San Diego-Lindbergh Field (TAFSAN), McClellan-Palomar in Carlsbad (TAFCRQ),
Orange County-John Wayne in Santa Ana (TAFSNA), Ontario (TAFONT), Palm Springs
(TAFPSP), and Thermal (TAFTRM). A Transcribed Weather Broadcast Text (TWB432) is
the 12-hour air-route corridor forecast encompassing the route between SNA and SAN, including
the mountains of San Diego County. This describes weather conditions to be expected along the
route. All forecasts are updated every six hours or updated more frequently as necessary.
Fire Weather
A Fire Weather Forecast (FWFSGX) is similar to the public zone forecast, but gives more
detail regarding relative humidity, winds and lightning potential. A Fire Weather Watch and
subsequently a Red Flag Warning (both RFWSGX) are issued when dangerous wildfire
potential exists, i.e., when strong winds combine with low relative humidity and low fuel
moisture. Spot weather forecasts, which are site specific for wildfires, controlled prescribed
burns, hazardous material spills, or for any other public agency support, are issued upon request.
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News Products
Weather Safety and Preparedness – Click on “Weather Safety – Education” on our homepage
for more information.
The primary mission and responsibility of the National Weather Service is to protect life and
property. The goal is to warn for all potentially dangerous weather events with sufficient lead
time so emergency personnel and the public can take action to eliminate or minimize the loss of
life and/or property. However, for many reasons a dangerous weather event may strike without a
warning being issued, or the public may not be otherwise prepared. Weather awareness and
preparedness are vitally important especially in our region where residents can become
complacent because dangerous weather is relatively infrequent and the population is dense.
Upon the initial issuance of a warning, the Emergency Alert System (EAS) is activated. Local
news radio stations with this responsibility receive this alert of three tone bursts and proceed to
broadcast the warning over their station, in accordance with regulations of the Federal
Communications Commission (FCC). On television the warning message scrolls across the top
or bottom of the screen. NOAA weather radios broadcast the warning direct from the NWS
office (specially designed receivers kick on automatically when a warning is issued). The NWS –
San Diego web site will indicate the warning on a color coded map. Sadly, these efforts are
sometimes not sufficient to inform all endangered parties in a timely fashion. We encourage all
residents and visitors to become aware of the potential weather dangers associated with the area
in which the live, work, and visit, and the means to receive these warnings, and to prepare
accordingly.
Two programs of the NWS help communities to better prepare themselves for disasters.
Stormready communities are better prepared to save lives from the onslaught of severe weather
through better planning, education, and awareness. The TsunamiReady program is designed to
help coastal communities reduce the potential for disastrous tsunami-related consequences. For
more information about how to become involved, see www.stormready.noaa.gov and
www.tsunamiready.noaa.gov. See Appendix E for weather safety information.
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Behind The Forecasts
Terminology and Forecast Language
The NWS has a unique way of describing expected weather. Some of the terms used to describe
time periods and weather conditions may seem arbitrary, but there are rather specific meanings
attached to them.
In the forecast the days are divided into both day and night periods. A night period crosses over
midnight as outlined above. For example, “Sunday night” means from sunset Sunday evening
until sunrise Monday morning. Lows for Sunday night most of the time would technically occur
early Monday morning around sunrise, but are mentioned in the Sunday night period.
Sky Conditions
Sky conditions are described depending on how many tenths of the sky is covered by opaque
clouds (clouds that completely block the sun).
High cirrus clouds are often somewhat transparent, so even if the sky is full of them the term
mostly clear or partly cloudy may be used. In contrast, a small patch of fog can entirely obscure
the sky from an observer’s point of view. It may be cloudy or foggy at that point, but only a mile
or two away the skies are completely clear. That patch of fog is so low it is below the horizon
from an outside observer’s perspective. This is often the case with varying terrain, a shallow
22
marine layer, and dense fog. Fog may persist at the beaches while only a quarter mile inland it is
clear. Forecasters attempt to include language to specify the range of possibilities, but cannot
describe every possibility without becoming entirely too wordy. A mostly sunny forecast may be
a bad forecast to the few people underneath a tiny isolated patch of fog, but a correct forecast to
the other 99% of the population. By contrast, high clouds can be seen hundreds of horizontal
miles away.
Winds
Wind direction is described as the direction from which the wind is blowing (e.g., a northwest
wind is a wind coming from the northwest). Wind speeds are given in miles per hour. Terms that
may be used to describe wind speeds are defined in the following table.
Since winds are highly variable in time and space, usually the strongest winds expected
anywhere in the zone are mentioned. For people in areas normally protected from the wind, this
understanding is important. “Local” is a term often used to imply that indicated winds will not
blow over the entire area, but at some unspecified locations that may differ in time and space.
Often, winds are influenced by terrain creating a predictable wind pattern. If there is enough
confidence about exactly where and when the winds will take place, a better description is given.
For example, phrases such as “mainly below Cajon Pass in the morning” are often included to
add beneficial detail.
Temperatures
Temperatures are given in simple numerical ranges such as “lows 42 to 50”. In many weather
situations temperature ranges can be very large; a forecast of the entire range would not be
useful, and a detailed description would be too wordy. In these cases, extreme temperature
outliers are simply left out of the range and the forecast is made for the majority of the area. For
example, on a clear morning in the San Bernardino Mountains low temperatures may range from
29 degrees in a high mountain valley to 51 degrees on a foothill slope. A forecast covering that
entire range (28 to 52 for example) is not very useful, so a judgment is made that most lows
within that zone will be 33 to 47. Observers over time will come to know where their local
temperatures fit with respect to the standard forecast ranges. The details can still be found using
the point-specific digital forecast, however.
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Precipitation
The idea to use probabilities for whether it was going to rain began with the National Weather
Service in 1965. The original concept was to provide a risk-benefit assessment for people to
whom the occurrence of rain was critical. For example, a contractor might decide to pour
concrete if the chance of rain is only 30 percent, but might decide not to pour if it's 60 percent.
Probability of Precipitation (PoP) is the likelihood (expressed as a percent) of measurable
liquid precipitation (or the water equivalent of frozen precipitation) during a specified period of
time for any point in the forecast zone. Measurable precipitation is defined as 0.01 inch or
more. PoPs accompany expressions of uncertainty or areal qualifiers within the forecast
narrative. For example, a slight chance of rain (20%) is an expression of uncertainty that means
at least one location in a zone should receive measurable precipitation 2 out of 10 times (20%)
given a similar weather situation. Or, to state the converse, rain is NOT expected 8 out of 10
times. The probability has nothing to do with the amount, duration, or the percentage of the area
that will get rain. When showers are mentioned in a
forecast, there is a high likelihood of them
occurring somewhere in the area, and thus the
probability refers to the amount of the area in the
forecast that will receive measurable rain, and
receive an areal qualifier. “Scattered showers”
means that 30 to 50 percent of the zone’s area gets
hit by at least one shower and receives measurable
precipitation. Below is a table of these two
descriptive methods and their relationship to PoPs.
Other qualifying terms may be used with the above non-numerical expressions.
Terms of duration: brief, occasional, intermittent, frequent
Terms of intensity: Very light: less than 0.01 inch per hour
Light: 0.01 to 0.10 inch per hour
Moderate: 0.10 to 0.30 inch per hour
Heavy: greater than 0.30 inch per hour
For trace events (precipitation of less than 0.01 inch), the terms “drizzle,” “light rain” or
“sprinkles” will be used, often with a PoP of 10%. Our marine environment can bring dense fog
(which can be very misty), heavy condensation, and drizzle. Most of the time these marine layer
precipitation events result in a trace, even when road surfaces become completely wet. For more
on the philosophy of probabilities, see the Uncertainty section under Forecast Challenges below.
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Forecast Tools
Today’s forecaster has a large variety of tools available. Many advances in technology and the
understanding of meteorological principles in recent decades have added a great deal to the
science. Seven day forecasts today are about as accurate as three day forecasts were 20 years
ago. Meteorologists blend their own knowledge and experience with the data provided by these
tools to make a forecast.
Satellite
Satellite data is one of the more essential forecasting tools. The satellite in use over the western
U.S. is the GOES - West Satellite. This satellite is geostationary, meaning that it rotates along
with the earth so that it is always over the same place on the earth. Three basic images are
generated from this satellite: visible, infrared and water vapor imagery. Polar-orbiting satellite
data are also used. These satellites orbit the earth crossing the poles. Several additional
specialized images are also available.
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Water vapor images are useful for identifying
regions of moist and dry air. Dark colors such as
black and dark grey indicate dry air while bright
colors such as white or light grey indicate moist
air. Swirling wind patterns in low pressure
systems and jet streams are easily identified.
Colors have also been added to these images to
more easily discern the moisture differences.
Radar
Doppler Weather Radars were installed during the early 1990s and marked the beginning of a
new era in detecting and forecasting weather. The official name is NEXRAD WSR-88D,
meaning NEXt Generation Weather Service RADar-1988 Doppler.
Technicians at the San Diego office maintain two Doppler radars: one
east of Scripps Ranch in San Diego, and one in the Santa Ana
Mountains south of Corona. While some media outlets claim ownership
of WSR-88D Doppler Radars, only the National Weather Service owns
and maintains weather radars in our area. In addition to detecting areas
of precipitation called echoes, the Doppler Radar also detects
movement and intensity of the precipitation. The radar also detects
wind velocity and direction, useful for detecting rapid shifts in wind
direction, including tornadoes. These data alert forecasters to the
possible need of warnings or advisories.
How does it work? The radar sends out a beam of energy that
strikes an object. Some of that energy is reflected back to the
radar. The velocity of the object can be derived from the phase
change of the beam’s wavelength as it returns to the radar. The
radar has many limitations. Due to occasional atmospheric
conditions, the beam is bent toward the ground and detects
ground effects (hills, trees, structures) called “clutter.” The
beam scans the atmosphere in slices, one angle at a time. As the beam angles upward, the beam
may be over 20,000 feet high at a distance beyond 100 miles. Significant weather can occur
below the beam completely undetected. In addition to raindrops and ground effects, the radar can
detect birds, insects, dust, etc. Military operations often include spreading chaff (tiny, fine metal
strips) into the atmosphere. Chaff is a very good reflector for the radar beam and shows up on the
radar display as an intense radar echo. Often, a quick look at the satellite image can help verify
that this is not precipitation. Echo signatures of chaff look quite different in appearance than
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actual precipitation and can be easily identified by the trained eye, but it becomes more difficult
when echoes of legitimate precipitation are also present. For more information about Doppler
Radar, click on: www.srh.weather.gov/jetstream/remote/doppler.htm.
Observations
Surface observations are current weather conditions measured at a point on the earth’s surface.
The most reliable and accurate source of hourly weather observations are automated surface
observation systems, called ASOS
stations, a network of standardized
equipment funded and maintained by the
NWS. This equipment, usually located at
airports, transmits at least one hourly
observation called a METAR
(METeorological Aviation Routine
weather report). METARs are written in
METAR code, an international weather
descriptive code.
A network of ALERT (Automated Local Evaluation in Real Time) equipment is used primarily
for hydrological purposes, measuring rainfall and river levels, but also temperature and wind in
some cases. This equipment is maintained by flood control agencies in cooperation with the
NWS.
The San Diego Mesonet is a relatively new network comprising private citizens or external
agencies providing real-time data to the NWS in San Diego from their own privately funded
equipment. Participants collect their data on a data logger installed on their computer. Using high
speed Internet and the ftp process, the data is transmitted automatically to workstations at the
NWS in San Diego. The siting, placement, and accuracy of the equipment of these sites have
been verified and approved by NWS personnel, so forecasters can trust them. For more
information, click on “San Diego Mesonet” on our home page. The Mesowest is a collective of
numerous observational data maintained by the University of Utah. It is a useful tool used by
NWS forecasters to monitor all observational data at once.
A large variety of other weather data sources are available, mainly on the Internet. These
include school networks, resorts, businesses and private citizens with weather equipment. We
use these sources only as a last resort and with caution due to their occasional low levels of
accuracy and reliability. On occasion we invite these providers to join the San Diego Mesonet.
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Upper Air Observations provide valuable data for a lot of
reasons. Forecasters need to know the behavior of the
atmosphere in three dimensions, not just at the earth’s
surface. Observations of the upper air are taken by weather
balloons with an attached radiosonde, a small packet of
weather instruments. As the radiosonde rises, it sends a
constant stream of data, which is crucial for understanding
the current state of the atmosphere. The data is collected
by radio receivers on the ground and plotted as a vertical
trace called a sounding, on a thermodynamic diagram
called a “Skew-T.” This snapshot of temperature, dew
point and winds in the atmospheric column is a most
valuable set of data. A forecaster can identify temperature
inversions common to our region, levels of instability and
moisture, changes in wind speed and direction, and infer
many other atmospheric behaviors. More than 2,000 of
these balloons are launched around the world at 00z and
12z universal “zulu” time (locally 4 am/pm PST and 5
am/pm PDT). In this way the world is synchronized with
an accurate three dimensional picture of the weather
conditions twice a day. These data are among the most
important input to computerized numerical weather
models. It's only by getting a complete picture of what the
weather is doing now that forecasters can hope to say what
it will do next. Unfortunately, the sounding network is
rather sparse and soundings are taken only twice a day.
Locally, soundings are taken at Miramar MCAS (pictured
at right, below). Around the region, other soundings are
taken at Vandenberg AFB, Oakland, and occasionally at
Edwards AFB, Yuma, Arizona, and Guaymas, Mexico.
Satellite Sounders are becoming more adept at correctly inferring temperatures and winds at all
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levels of the atmosphere from GOES Satellites. Satellites have equipment that will acquire
profiles of temperature and moisture for clear or partly clear fields of view. In addition, cloud
tracking allows for the measurement of wind in the atmosphere. This information is used for
input to the weather models which result in improved weather analysis and forecasting.
Wind Profilers are surface based instrument grids that detect winds and temperatures in the
atmospheric column. Most of these are maintained by the military, universities, or other research
institutions.
ACARS (Aircraft Communication Addressing and Reporting System) data are vertical traces of
weather data taken by commercial airliners during ascents out of and descents into major
airports. The frequent upper air observations are valuable because they often fill in the gaps of
time and space between weather balloon soundings.
Data is input into mathematical equations of Ingredients are mixed and put in the oven.
motion to be solved by powerful computers.
The solutions are checked for quality and The warm bread is sliced and served.
plotted graphically on maps.
In its finished form, the numerical model guidance arrives at each forecast office a few hours
after the “run time”: 00z, 06z, 12z, and 18z universal time (a few models are run more
frequently, but do not extend very far into the future). The main supercomputer in use by the
NWS is named Blue and is located at an IBM facility in Gaithersburg, Maryland. Weather data
arrives from an array of sources, including observation stations, ocean buoys, and global weather
balloons. Some aircraft even carry sampling instruments. But satellites increasingly provide
extensive coverage that can penetrate and monitor different layers of the atmosphere. The
number of daily weather observations crunched by NOAA's supercomputers is around 200
million. After the guidance is computed and post-processed, it is sent to each forecast office
where the data is ingested by AWIPS equipment. The guidance packages are then available to
the forecaster to analyze and formulate a forecast. It comes in graphical format or statistically
generated text format. Just like bread, the model guidance package becomes stale with time, and
obsolete with the arrival of the new model guidance run.
Some guidance is received from national or regional centers regarding rainfall amounts, flooding
and flash flooding potential, severe thunderstorms, hurricanes, hazardous fire weather, etc. For
example, if a big storm is coming and forecasters need to figure out how much rainfall is
coming, the San Diego office will receive guidance from the Hydrometeorological Prediction
Center (HPC) in Maryland and the River Forecast Center (RFC) in Sacramento. They will
provide valuable input for deciding how much precipitation will fall and what flooding impacts
may occur. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Oklahoma provides guidance on the
probability of severe thunderstorms. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami projects
tropical cyclone tracks and intensities in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific Oceans. In the end, final
decisions regarding local warnings and forecasts rest with the forecasters in the San Diego office.
AWIPS is a workstation that provides one-stop shopping for weather data and guidance used by
the forecaster. Numerical model guidance, satellite imagery, radar data, and analyses can be
viewed graphically. AWIPS offers the capability of viewing the model guidance in a variety of
ways to get a four-dimensional understanding of the atmosphere’s behavior. NWS alphanumeric
guidance, observations, and text products nationwide are also available.
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Interactive Forecast Preparation System (IFPS)
The grids generated by each local NWS forecast is collected and merged into one seamless
National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD). To ensure consistency and quality along forecast
office boundaries, weather elements are coordinated between offices. The NDFD database is
made available to all customers and partners (public and private) who can then create a wide
range of text, graphic, and image products of their own. Any individual user with a computer and
access to the internet can download information from the NDFD to suit his or her needs.
Forecast Challenges
Regarding Southern California weather, some observers may joke, “What weather?” Our climate
and our profession have often been the target of jokes (e.g., “why don’t you get a real job?!”, “if
I were wrong as often as you are, I’d be fired!” or “isn’t this where they send the junior
meteorologists?”). It is true that our climate does not suffer the extremes of temperature, wind,
and precipitation that many other climates do. The challenge of predicting our weather lies in the
uncertainties, subtleties, and relatively infrequent extremes, not often in the severity. Our
enormous population base is largely unfamiliar with severe life-threatening weather is less
prepared for it when it comes, and that presents a new risk. For these reasons Southern California
is prone to low-probability yet high-impact weather events. Dense fog, drizzle, or light rainfall
can be a killer. Compare traffic accident reports in Southern California when it rains with those
reports when it does not rain, then look at the same figures for Seattle. Additionally, expectations
differ with professions. A surgeon is expected to be perfect or very near perfect all the time, but
baseball players are considered successful when they get a hit in only one third of their attempts.
Stock market analysts are much less accurate and far more ambiguous than are weather
forecasters.
Despite popular belief, forecasting the weather in our region is not as easy at it seems. “You guys
have it easy, it’s always nice here” is an often heard comment. A common misconception is that
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difficulty to forecast corresponds to severity of the weather, and conversely, it is easy to forecast
for benign weather. For example, it is very difficult to forecast tornadoes and hurricanes and easy
to forecast coastal fog. Understandably, more research has been conducted on severe life-
threatening weather (because that’s where the funding goes) and better model guidance has come
from it. Much less model improvement has been made for coastal fog, Santa Ana winds, and
terrain issues common to our region. Therefore, forecasting for weather that is not severe can
often be more difficult, but is overlooked because the weather remains benign and low impact.
However, when active weather occurs very locally, but in a very sensitive area, it can be
catastrophic. For example, only one hour of strong wind on only one hillside can make a wildfire
explode. Advances in the science have led to greater forecast accuracy, and that has increased the
public’s expectations of weather forecasters to get the forecast right. While forecasters may
claim and promise greater forecast accuracy, the weather is still the weather: chaotic, complex,
and inherently unpredictable.
There are a number of questions to answer and puzzles to solve each day. These puzzles may be
as innocuous as determining when the coastal clouds will clear or what the high temperature will
be, but most of the time there are more significant issues. These issues are mentioned in the
forecast discussion. Reasons, opinions, clarifications, and expressions of model performance
and preference are included in the discussion. Formerly, discussions were meant only for
coordination purposes within the NWS meteorology community and transmitted through
equipment that required extreme brevity. For these reasons, many complex meteorological terms,
abbreviations, contractions, and jargon were used. In recent years discussions have become much
more public (and posted on the Internet) and have become much more readable for non-
meteorologists. One who reads the discussions day after day will quickly gain an understanding
of the particular challenges the forecasters are facing, even when the weather is benign. A
glossary is linked to select terms often used in the discussion, providing explanations of these
complex terms. Click on “Discussion” on our home page for the latest update.
Uncertainty
“To the often-heard question, ‘Why can't we make better weather forecasts?’ I have been
tempted to reply, 'Well, why should we be able to make any forecasts at all?’”
- Edward N. Lorenz, MIT researcher, in The Essence of Chaos.
Chaos Theory is very real in meteorology. The tiniest errors in the initial conditions become
very large errors in the solution. If a computer model does not initialize well, it is like a golf club
swinging through the ball at an angle only slightly off perfection. The result, as many golfers
know, is a large error in where the ball ends up.
Some uncertainties in our forecasts arise because of the lack of essential information. With our
current knowledge and technology, it is impossible to account for all the possible variables that
impact the weather. Our data networks may not be dense enough to detect some significant local
effect. The leading researchers in the field may not have discovered the meteorological theory
behind an event and forecasters may not even understand everything that is actually taking place.
The forecaster may not be fully aware of the situation or sufficiently experienced to detect
something important. Sometimes the weather simply defies explanation, or at least an
explanation that forecasters can come up with. For example, if we look at two identical low
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pressure systems with the same dynamics, moisture, temperature profile, structure, etc., we often
see different results, like rain with one system, but not with the other. We often ask how and
why. After the event forecasters can speculate on why it rained or didn’t rain, and even come up
with an acceptable explanation, but that’s after the fact. Forecasters keep that in their records and
in their brains for future reference. If the event is rather significant, forecasters may even collect
the data surrounding the event, analyze and study it in depth, and write and publish a paper as a
case study.
Our climate and global position add to the uncertainty in our forecasts. San Diego is located just
far enough south to be on the southern edge of the normal winter storm track. We may be on the
edge of the area of expected rain. Promising weather systems may not maintain strength as they
approach us. The weather system may bring local showers where some spots measure rain while
the rest of the area remains dry.
Comparisons of satellite data to model guidance can be done on AWIPS to determine the quality
of the guidance. This is called model initialization. For example, if the model guidance at 00z
does not match closely to the observed atmosphere (model data and observations can be overlaid
on a satellite image) at 00z, then the initialization was not good. The forecaster may conclude
that since this particular model did not initialize well (does not have a good handle on the current
weather pattern), there is no way its prognoses will have a good handle on it for future time
periods; the forecaster will then discount or ignore its solutions. The model guidance may give us
different solutions with each new model run, or the models’ solutions differ from one model to
another. When the models seem to disagree from run to run and/or with each other, forecaster
confidence lowers. At times with a particular feature such as a storm, the models are very tardy
to come into agreement, perhaps less than one day before the storm. When the confidence is low,
the forecaster relies more on experience and the observed weather data than the guidance, and as
a result the forecast may become less specific.
In contrast to our challenges, the Seattle forecaster has it relatively simple: A storm approaches,
forecast rain. It is only a question of when and how much. Many local folks demand that
forecasters could be so certain: “Just tell us, is it going to rain or not?” The science of
meteorology is young. Many
discoveries in meteorology
theory and improvements in
numerical model guidance are
taking place, but there are still
numerous hidden variables or
nuances that can go undetected
and change the weather. Our
efforts to correctly define
atmospheric motion in real
time are clumsy at best. The
NWS prefers to avoid giving an
irresponsible and possibly
misleading forecast of certainty
when no such certainty exists.
This is why forecasters use
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terms of probability. The following true example is illustrative. One day the NWS issued a
forecast with a 40% chance of rain for the next day. When the next day arrived, a radio
personality reported rain where he was and questioned on the air: “Does this mean that the
chance of rain was really 100%?” No. If we were to flip a coin, we know the chance of it coming
up heads is 50%. If it comes up heads, it does not mean the chance of coming up heads before
the coin flip should have been 100%. The chance is again 50% before the next coin flip. Failure
of the broadcast media to grasp the probability concept can unintentionally change the meaning
of the forecast that much of the public receives. Broadcasters are often heard to report a chance
of rain, or even a slight chance, as “rain in the forecast,” significantly altering the meaning. It is
human nature to add certainty where there is little.
Forecasts can be misinterpreted or trusted too much. “A chance of showers” would have been a
good forecast if only some areas get measurable rain (in the radio personality example above, the
shower he experienced may have been the only one in the area). “Mostly sunny” is a good
forecast if most coastal areas are sunny, even if a few beaches experience fog all day. “Locally
windy” is a good forecast if a few spots are windy, even if most areas are not. Conditions change
in both time and space. “Partly cloudy” may mean mostly cloudy at times or mostly sunny at
times during the day, but for brevity’s sake the forecaster chose to simplify the wording. With
the common low clouds, it may be completely cloudy in some spots and completely sunny in
other spots, then the reverse occurs, all within the same zone; for this, “partly cloudy” might be
appropriate forecast wording as well. It should also be remembered that forecasts are refreshed
often. A forecast is routinely issued every 12 hours. Often, the forecast is updated between those
routine issuances. By the time the morning newspaper reaches your door, there may already be
two or three updates made to the forecast you are reading.
Forecasts for future time periods become more and more uncertain with each future forecast day.
The NWS issues seven-day forecasts as part of the routine public forecasts. On average, NWS
forecasters accurately predict the next day’s weather 90% of the time. Today's four-day forecast
is as accurate as the two-day forecast was in 1985. The accuracy deteriorates as the forecast goes
further out; the day seven forecast is just over 50% accurate. Beyond seven days, let’s be frank,
the forecast is a flip of the coin, but some extended models can indicate which way to lean, warm
or cool, wet or dry. Actually, the climatological normals become the best forecast much beyond
about ten days. When someone calls requesting a forecast for an outdoor wedding two months
away, we give them the climatological normal high, low, and chance of rainfall for the date.
Long Term Prediction is fraught with uncertainty, but significant advances have been made in
understanding the global climate and today there are more data available for analysis. In recent
decades the climate altering mechanism El Niño has been a catalyst for these advances (for more
on El Niño, see
“The Weather of
Southwest
California - A
Climate
Overview”). The
Climate
Prediction
Center (CPC) is a
34
national agency and world leader in climate studies and long term predictions. They produce
monthly and seasonal outlooks for the entire country. The outlooks are not exactly forecasts, but
graphical outlooks of whether temperature and precipitation will be above normal, near normal,
or below normal. Sophisticated climate models take into account all important effects on global
weather such as sea surface temperatures, pressure patterns, upper level winds, and solar
radiation. Occasional press releases on outlooks of significance are one way the CPC informs us
of the weather trends in the weeks and months ahead. Many of these press releases are headlined
on our home page when they occur.
To the west and south of California lies the vast, open Pacific Ocean. There are a few buoys and
ship reports, but it is largely devoid of data. To the south and east is Mexico with very few
reliable data sources. Because much of our weather comes from the west or south, it is difficult
to know just what kind of weather is headed our way. By contrast, most of the country has the
advantage of looking west (where most of their weather comes from) to learn exactly what kind
of weather is headed their way. An old axiom states that if you want to know what weather to
expect in New York City tomorrow, just look at the weather in Chicago today. The lack of
upstream observations hurt California forecasters in another way. Numerical model guidance
depends on initial data to get a correct start on the forecast. With very few data points over the
ocean, the model has only a vague idea of the weather conditions before they reach land.
Accordingly, the model often has trouble ascertaining the strength, position and/or timing of
approaching weather systems. Yet another problem arises. Several model domains (areas
covered by the model) have a western boundary not far out to sea. So these models do not “see”
a weather system before it enters the domain. Once it sees the system, it may struggle to
correctly represent and define it before it reaches land.
Microclimates
Microclimates are very small scale climate zones. Southern California’s highly complex terrain
and proximity to the ocean create a variety of microclimates. The weather can be very different
between canyons and mesas, beaches and inland areas, mountain tops, slopes and valleys, urban
and rural areas, and a number of other variables. On a clear night, overnight low temperatures
may be 15 degrees lower in a canyon compared to a neighboring mesa. High temperatures at a
foggy beach may be 15 degrees lower compared to the temperature under the sun only a mile
inland. Winds may be strong through certain corridors, while neighboring areas are nearly calm.
A mountain area may receive significantly more precipitation from a storm than that received in
the valley at its foot.
The digital forecasts generated by the IFPS (Interactive Forecast Preparation System) are our
way to provide this kind of microclimate detail to our users. But even with this cutting-edge
IFPS technology, more weather instrumentation and weather spotters, these slight nuances
continue to be very difficult to pinpoint.
36
The Weather of Southwest California: A Climate Overview
Climate Zones
“In enumerating the peculiar advantages of San Diego, there seems to be one which is of very
great importance. Perhaps, as a scientific man, I may lay more stress upon it than is necessary,
but I hardly think it possible; I have seen many parts of the world, and have made some study of
this subject. It is the question of the climate of your latitude that I refer to. You have a great
capital in your climate. It will be worth millions to you. This is one of the favored spots of the
earth, and people will come to you from all quarters to live in your genial and healthful climate,
a climate that has no equal.” – Alexander Agassiz, 1872.
The agreeable coastal California climate is the stuff of legend and lore. It has inspired artists and
writers. Most people visualize the mild coastal climate when asked about the climate of Southern
California, forgetting for a moment that there are coastal, inland, mountain and desert climate
zones that are highly distinct and very close together. These climate zones are determined by
several factors: proximity to the ocean, terrain, elevation and latitude. Using the Koppen climate
classification system, the metropolitan areas of Southern California have a Mediterranean
climate, characterized by mild, sometimes wet winters and warm, very dry summers. The climate
types in the mountains range from Mediterranean, to Subtropical Steppe (not as mild as
Mediterranean with more precipitation in all seasons) to Highland (more extreme and variable
due to elevation). Desert climate types include Mid-latitude Desert, a dry climate with hot
summers and cool winters, and
Subtropical Desert, relatively
hotter and drier. The
Mediterranean climate includes
all coastal areas, valleys and
foothills. Subtropical Steppe
climates would include the
mountains between the foothills
and the higher peaks. Highland
climates would encompass the
mountain tops, probably above
7,000 or 8,000 feet. Mid-latitude
Deserts include the Mojave
Desert, at elevations above 2,000
feet. Subtropical Deserts include
the Colorado Desert, at elevations
below 2,000 feet.
Annual precipitation amounts increase gradually from the coast to the mountain crests, then drop
dramatically into the deserts.
California owes its agreeable climate to a semi-permanent high pressure area located over the
eastern Pacific Ocean, which deflects storms northward and secures fair weather for the region.
During the winter months, this high breaks down allowing the jet stream to steer mid-latitude
weather systems along a more southern track of the prevailing westerly winds. For this reason,
37
the vast majority of precipitation comes from winter storms between November and March.
“The American public is familiar on all sides with elaborate and detailed statements of the
weather at a thousand and one resorts. If we may believe all we read in such reports, the
temperature never reaches the eighties, the sky is flecked with just enough of cloud to perfect the
landscape, the breezes are always balmy, and the nights ever cool. There is possibly one place in
the United States where such conditions obtain, a bit of country of about forty square miles at the
extreme southwestern part of the United States, in which San Diego is situated; but even here,
perhaps, once in two or three years, the sultry blasts of the Mojave Desert pass over the low
mountain range and parch this favored district.” - General Greely, Chief Signal Officer of the
United States, in an exhaustive article on summer climates appearing in the magazine Scribners
in April, 1888.
Winter Storms
“The wind [the southeaster] is the bane of the coast of California. Between the months of
November and April, including a part of each (which is the rainy season in this latitude), you are
never safe from it; and accordingly, in the ports which are open to it, vessels are obliged during
these months to lie at anchor at a distance of three miles from the shore, with slip-ropes on their
cables, ready to slip and go to sea at a moment’s warning. The only ports that are safe from this
wind are San Francisco and Monterey in the north and San Diego in the south.” – Richard
Henry Dana in Two Years Before the Mast, 1835.
Southern California’s wildfires create burn areas that are ill-suited to absorbing rainfall for a
number of reasons. Vegetation helps mitigate flash flooding in two ways. Leaves and branches
intercept and absorb some of the rain falling before reaching the ground. Root systems absorb
some of that water as it percolates below the surface. If the vegetation is destroyed by a fire, the
important component of vegetation in reducing some of the runoff is taken away. Southern
California’s soils contain a high content of clay, a soil type that is very slow to absorb water. It
also dries into a hard packed surface resembling concrete. The soils dry out and compact even
39
further from the heat of a fire. As a result, a high percentage of the rainfall becomes runoff;
therefore, much less rain is needed to produce a flash flood. Rain falling on these burn areas can
gather mud, ash, and debris (trees, rocks) on its way downhill. These debris flows can be very
dangerous and damaging, like an extra thick flash flood with the additional mass of the debris
within the channel.
The phenomenon of El Niño makes its presence known during winter by altering the traditional
path of the jet streams and directing frequent storms into California. Occasionally, the polar jet
stream brings a cold front that coincides with the subtropical jet stream and produces massive
amounts of rain. Any strong individual storm during the wet season can bring disaster, but the
real problem with El Niño comes from the frequent arrival of strong storms. They simply
continue to exacerbate the problems left by the previous storm(s) and do not allow enough time
for people or the environment to recover. See El Niño and La Niña later in this chapter.
Thunderstorms pose a number of problems. They bring intense rain, which can cause flash
flooding. They contain lightning, hail, and very strong wind gusts, which can kill or injure
people and damage property and crops. Thunderstorms also develop in warm air masses when
tropical moisture is introduced from the southwest
monsoon or a decaying tropical cyclone. A
thunderstorm is considered severe when winds are
strong enough and hail is big enough to produce
damage.
Flash flooding in rough terrain can be very deceptive. A mountain thunderstorm can flood desert
areas with water, mud and rock, even if no rain falls in the desert. Flash floods in areas of steep
terrain, impenetrable rocky soil, and little vegetation are the most volatile.
Normally, monsoon thunderstorms are relatively rare west of the mountains, but can occur under
the right conditions. If the winds from the mountain top level upward are rather strong from the
east or southeast, thunderstorms can drift from the mountains to the valleys, and even to the
coast.
43
The Marine Layer
However, if the low pressure has enough cold air aloft, it can wipe out the inversion; the cold air
replaces the warm air above the marine layer. This “busts up” the marine layer, the warm dry
layer and the cool moist layer mix, and the low clouds clear. When the inversion is very strong
and relatively shallow, the coastal clouds can stick to the beaches all day, which occasionally
happens during June and July, just when schools get out and locals and tourists hit the beaches.
The common cloudiness near the coast occurs mainly during the night and early morning, and
then evaporates during the day. The clouds normally clear during the morning as a progression
from inland areas to the coast. As the sun begins to warm the land surface (even through the
cloud layer), the cloud layer begins to evaporate from the ground upward until the clouds
completely evaporate. At dusk, the sun has set and the evaporation slows, so the onshore flow
can move the clouds over land without evaporating. Very little mixing takes place between the
cool moist marine layer and the warm dry layer above it due to stability. Cold air is denser than
warm air and finds stability or equilibrium at lower levels. As an analogy, the cool marine air is
like water in a bathtub,
content to stay at the
bottom and not mix with
the air above it. The clouds
will not rise over the
mountains without
evaporating. If you hike in
the sunny dry foothills
early on a summer morning
you can see an “undercast”
sky condition, a solid cloud
layer below.
At times with a deep marine layer, probably at least 2000 feet deep, the atmosphere below the
inversion can become unstable as the sun warms the land surface. The initial stratus clouds clear,
but the warm and moist surface air rises to produce shallow convection and cloud development
capped by the inversion. Meanwhile, at the beaches the sea breeze is drawing cool surface air
onshore, which stabilizes the atmosphere. In these situations, the coast clears while clouds
continuously redevelop inland. This is what we call “reverse clearing” because clearing occurs
from the beaches toward inland areas, the reverse of the standard clearing pattern.
At the surface, the sun warms both the ground and ocean at the same rate. However, since the
heat in the ground is not absorbed well it returns heat to warm the air. The warmed air, with its
decreased density, begins to rise (1, see diagram). The rising air creates a weak low pressure area
(called a thermal low) due to a decrease in air mass at the surface (2). Typically, from 3,000 to
46
5,000 feet above this low pressure, as the air cools, it begins to collect resulting in an increase in
pressure, creating a “high” (3). These differences in pressures over land, both at the surface and
aloft are greater than the differences in pressures over water at the same elevations (4 and 5).
Therefore, as the atmosphere seeks to reestablish the equal pressure both on land and on the sea,
two airflows from high pressure to low pressure develop; the offshore flow aloft (6) and the
onshore flow at the surface, called the sea breeze (7). The prevailing wind flow with a present
marine layer is from the ocean to
the land, or onshore flow. The
strength of the onshore flow is
determined and measured by
pressure differences (gradients)
between higher pressure over the
ocean and lower pressure over the
desert. If the gradient is steep, the
onshore flow is strong, and vice
versa. In our forecast discussions
we often refer to the pressure
gradient between Lindbergh Field
(SAN) and the Imperial Airport near
El Centro (IPL) as a local
benchmark.
On rare occasions, there may be precipitation with the system and a “wet Santa Ana” results, but
most of the time a Santa Ana event brings clear skies and warm weather. Clockwise circulation
around this high pressure area and subsidence (sinking motion) forces air down the mountain
slopes from the higher plateau. As the air descends, the higher pressure at lower elevations
compresses the air, like a bicycle pump warms the compressed air. The dry warm air accelerates
as it descends toward the coast. When the temperature gradients or winds aloft do not provide the
upper support to push the winds, the pressure gradient by itself can drive them. These “gradient
driven” winds are often quite localized, narrow corridors or rivers of winds and are channeled
mainly through topographical breaks like canyons and passes. Without the upper support, they
also are not as strong.
Hot weather is relative in our region of wide variations. In the lower deserts it is a staple of life.
48
Near the coast it is a rather rare occurrence. Extreme heat most often comes when strong high
pressure aloft is present over the region. This produces an atmosphere that is generally subsiding,
or sinking. As the air subsides, it compresses and warms as the pressure increases near the
surface. When the monsoon flow over the desert southwest sends moisture into our region, this
added humidity compounds the danger of the heat. Years ago, the National Weather Service
developed the Heat Index to properly account for the body’s reaction to the combined effects of
heat and humidity. See appendix H for the Heat Index Table.
Dust devils are products of a heated land surface and do not need extreme heat to develop. On
sunny days, the ground heats up in a non-uniform way producing rising pockets of air called
thermals. In strong thermals, the rising air develops a spin and the result is a dust devil, a narrow
rotating column of air that can sometimes reach several hundred feet into the sky. Dust devils are
usually not dangerous, but some can cause minor property damage. They are not associated with
tornadoes, since tornadoes only develop from strong thunderstorms. They are most common in
the inland valleys and deserts of our region.
However, on October 2, 1858, a category 1 hurricane did indeed strike San Diego. This is
documented by leading hurricane researchers and published by the American Meteorological
Society. You can find the article on their website www.ametsoc.org. On two other occasions in
recorded history has a tropical storm hit Southern California. Since a legitimate hurricane has
struck our coast, that means it can in the future, with a similar likelihood as a major earthquake
or tsunami. It may not happen in our lifetimes, but we should think about hurricane preparedness
in the same way we think about preparedness for major earthquakes and tsunamis.
The eastern Pacific hurricane season runs generally from June through October, officially from
May 15 to November 30. Hurricanes or tropical storms moving into the cooler waters will decay,
but on occasion are strong enough to come very close to California at tropical storm strength and
produce a wild, off-season rainfall event with widespread flash flood damage. Some of Southern
California’s heaviest rainfall events have been the result.
More likely, only the remnants of these storms will provide a source of warm, moist and unstable
air off the coast of Mexico. If the upper level flow is from the south, this unstable air is brought
into the region. There is very little rising motion associated with these moist air masses, but the
great amount of moisture is sufficient to produce showers. Some local effects can enhance the
precipitation. The ocean waters are warmest during late summer, so the stabilizing effect of the
normally cool ocean waters is reduced. As these unstable tropical remnants move into Southern
49
California, the orographic (mountain) effect and surface heating provide additional uplift
necessary to produce the showers and thunderstorms.
Tropical cyclones can generate large swell. If the track and speed of the cyclone are just right,
and it moves through a narrow window of area off the coast of Mexico, the hurricane can send
these large swell to Southern California beaches and the result is large surf, particularly on south-
facing beaches.
The term El Niño (Spanish for the “Christ child”) was originally used by fishermen along the
coasts of Ecuador and Peru to refer to a warm ocean current that typically appears around the
Christmas season. The term El Niño has come to be used for these exceptionally strong warm
intervals that not only disrupt the fishing industry but also bring heavy rains to the normally dry
region. La Niña (El Niño’s sister) is the opposite of El Niño, where equatorial Pacific Ocean
waters are cooler than normal.
The impacts of El Niño and La Niña show up most clearly during the northern winter. El Niño
winters are milder over Canada and the northern United States, while cooler and wetter than
normal winters are experienced in the southern U.S. During La Niña years, winters are warmer in
the upper Midwest and cooler in the Southeast and Southwest. It is wetter than normal in the
Northwest and drier than normal in the southern third of the U.S. For more information about El
Niño and La Niña, click on: www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina or
meteora.ucsd.edu/~pierce/elnino/elnino.html.
In recent decades it has been observed that the average temperature of the earth is rising. The
numerous effects of this rise in temperature can greatly impact global climates and human life.
This has produced cause for concern well beyond the scientific community. At the NWS in San
Diego, no direct research or study of global warming is performed. For more information on the
subject, click on: www.epa.gov/globalwarming.
The sun, earth, sea and sky produce naturally occurring phenomena that generate questions
directed to the NWS for explanation. These may include solar and lunar phenomena, optics,
astronomy, space weather such as aurora borealis or solar flares, ocean behaviors beyond sea
state, earthquakes, volcanoes, and geology.
These phenomena do not fall under the expertise of meteorologists at the NWS. Meteorologists
may have some knowledge about these phenomena and may offer it, but the knowledge or
opinion is not qualified professionally, only possibly from a personal interest or hobby.
51
Appendix A
The following weather events occurred in or near the forecast area of the National Weather
Service in San Diego, which includes Orange and San Diego Counties, southwestern San
Bernardino County, and western Riverside County. Some events from Los Angeles and
surrounding areas are included. Events were included based on infrequency, severity, and
impact. An electronic copy is found at: www.wrh.noaa.gov/sgx/document/weatherhistory.pdf.
52
Heavy Rain: Flooding and Flash Flooding, Mud Slides, Debris
Flows, Landslides
10.2.1858 Category 1 hurricane hits San Diego, Extensive wind damage to property
the only actual hurricane on record to (F2). Streets swept clean by heavy
strike California. Implied winds of 75 rains.
mph.
1861-1862 Epic floods. It rained 30 days in The Santa Ana River in Anaheim
succession, beginning 12.24.1861 to ran 4’ deep and spread in an
1.23.1862. 35” fell in LA. In San unbroken sheet to Coyote Hills, 3
Diego over 7” fell in January alone. miles beyond (present Fullerton).
The worst flooding in San Diego
County occurred after six weeks of
rain. All of Mission Valley was
underwater, Old Town was
evacuated. The tide backed its
waters into the San Diego River
and cut a new channel into the bay.
20 died in Orange County.
8.11-12.1873 1.95” fell in San Diego from a tropical 1’ of water was reported on the
storm. 1.80” fell on 8.12, the wettest ground at “Cajon Ranch”.
calendar day in August on record.
1.72” fell in Paradise Valley (SE San
Diego). Nearly 3” fell in “Cajon
Ranch”. This was called the greatest
summer rainfall in history. The
previous daily August rainfall record
was 0.31” in 1867.
53
12.18.1880 Heavy rains. San Diego streets flooded.
2.14-20.1884 5+” of rain falls in Spring Valley. Flooding and damage to crops,
Fallbrook gets heavy rain (more than livestock and railroads in the area,
15” in the month). Rains continued all including Temecula Canyon. San
during the spring with disastrous Diego River “booming” through
results. The season ended as the Mission Valley on 3.10.1884.
wettest in San Diego history.
2.19-23.1891 33” of rain was reported in Descanso Heavy damage and losses to
in a 60 hour period. 2.56” in San homes, land, livestock,
Diego. From 2.16 to 2.25, a total of transportation and power
4.69” fell in San Diego. Reverend throughout the Tijuana and San
Father Ubach of St. Joseph’s had Diego River Basins. The worst was
prayed for rain on 2.2.1891. flooding along the Tijuana River
where all structures were swept
away and a man was killed. Three
prospectors died at Table Mountain
in Baja California.
54
7.20-21.1902 A dying tropical cyclone brought 2”
of rain to the mountains and deserts of
Southern California during a very
strong El Niño event of 1901-02.
1905-1907 Heavy rainfall in 1905 in the Colorado The Colorado River swells and
River basin. eventually breaches an Imperial
Valley dike. It took nearly two
years to finally control the River’s
flow into the Salton Basin and stop
the flooding. The result of the
sudden influx of water and the lack
of natural drainage from the basin
resulted in the formation of the
Salton Sea.
55
1.14-21.1916 Widespread heavy rains in Southern Widespread flooding. At least 22
California. 16.71” in 24 hours at dead. Roofs in Chula Vista, poultry
Squirrel Inn (near Lake Arrowhead) farm in Vista, boats in Coronado
during 1.16 and 1.17, a record 24 hour and Newport damaged. Most cities
rainfall for California until 1943. completely inundated. Pine trees
More than 9” fell in two storms in the from Palomar Mountain floating
Coachella Valley. Previous storms down San Luis Rey River through
had deposited deep snow in the Oceanside. The cities of Indio,
mountains, adding to the runoff. Coachella and Mecca underwater.
2.11-17.1927 Continual rain for 6 days. 21.86” fell Unprecedented flow of the
at Cuyamaca, 13.10” at El Capitan, Whitewater River. Floods washed
10.70” at El Cajon, 9.54” at La Mesa out roads and bridges in Thousand
and 6.33 at San Diego. On 2.17, Palms and Palm Desert. Levees
12.81” at Cuyamaca, 2.65” at El broken, Thermal inundated. Several
Capitan, 2.20” at El Cajon, 1.47 at La San Diego County dams
Mesa. Heavy warm rains melted overtopped, causing widespread
mountain snows. Snow Creek flooding downstream. Bridges and
recorded 7” of rain in one day. roads were washed out in east San
Diego metro area. Large areas of
Long Beach, Fullerton and
Anaheim inundated.
57
12.30-1.1.1934 A major storm. 7.36” in 24 hrs at LA 45 die all over Southern California
(8.26” storm total since 12.30.1933). in floods. Walls of water and
Storm totals in southern slopes of debris up to 10’ high were noted in
mountains topped 12” (heaviest: some canyon areas.
16.29” in Azusa). Daily totals on 1.1:
6.21” at Fullerton, 6.90” Placentia,
5.16” Yorba Linda, 4.69” Buena Park,
5.04” Anaheim, 5.38” Orange , 4.81”
Garden Grove, 3.24” Newport Beach,
2.96” Laguna Beach, 3.55” San Juan
Cap., 3” San Clemente, 2.65”
Redlands, 2.68” Oceanside, 1.56”
Carlsbad, 2.44” Escondido, 0.67” San
Diego , 0.48” Victorville.
2.6.1937 2.71” of rain fell in San Diego, the Flooding kills several. LA basin
third wettest calendar day and the flooded in many communities.
wettest February day on record. 2.60” Hodges Dam overtopped.
fell in 12 hours. For the storm, 8.20” Mountain snowmelt added to the
fell in Descanso, 5.70” in Escondido. flooding.
4.25” fell in Long Beach, a 24-hr
record.
58
2.27-3.4.1938 Storm of tropical origin. 11.06” at LA. 210 reported dead or missing in
More than 30” at several mountain flooding across Southern
stations of San Gabriel and San California. 45 in Orange County, of
Bernardino Mountains (32.2” at which 43 perished in Mexican-
8,300’ elev.). More than 22” in the American Atwood from an 8 ft.
Santa Ana River headwaters. wall of water. Hundreds injured.
Considerable snow was melted, Santa Ana River floods, inundates
adding to the runoff. This led to nearly all of northern Orange
unprecedented flood control efforts, County. Catastrophic damage to
including a network of dams and more than 1,500 residences. 400
canals and concrete channels. On 3.3 cabins and buildings washed away
2.80” fell at Descanso, 2.47” at in and around San Antonio
Escondido, where the storm total was Canyon. Whitewater River floods,
6.95”. isolates Palm Springs.
59
9.24-26.1939 “El Cordonazo” or “The Lash of St. 45 killed in floods all over
Francis” a tropical storm hits Southern Southern California, and 48 more
California and causes the greatest at sea. $2 million damage to
September rainfall ever. The storm structures along the coast and to
lost hurricane status shortly before crops. Eastern Coachella Valley
moving onshore at San Pedro at under 2’ of water. Californians
tropical storm strength. Torrential were generally unprepared and
rains: LA 5.42” in 24 hours, Mt. were alerted to their vulnerability
Wilson 11.60” (also records for the to tropical storms. In response, the
month of September). Nearly 7” in weather bureau established a
three hours at Indio from one forecast office for southern
thunderstorm. 9.65” at Raywood Flat, California, which began operations
1.51” Palm Springs. A thunderstorm in February of 1940.
preceding the tropical storm dropped
6.45” in 6 hours at Indio on 9.24.
12.23-24 .1940 3.62” at San Diego, the greatest 24 Heavy rains loosened soil in Del
hour rainfall on record. Mar that led to a landslide along a
train track, derailing the train and
killing three.
60
12.22.1945 2.60” of rain fell in San Diego, the
sixth wettest calendar day and the
wettest December day on record.
61
7.25.1956 Thunderstorms: 1.26” Riverside, Flash flooding in San Bernardino,
1.05” Yucaipa, 1.01” Lytle Creek, Riverside and Ontario.
1.15” Upland. Almost 0.5” in five
minutes at Glendora.
8.4.1961 Heavy thunderstorm near El Capitan Los Coches and Quail Creeks flood
Reservoir: 1.75” in 90 minutes. Lakeside.
62
9.17-19.1963 Northeastward moving Tropical
Storm Katherine made landfall in
northern Baja California with rainfall
of up to 6.50” in the mountains. 1.90”
fell in San Diego.
8.30-31.1967 Hurricane Katrina crossed the La Quinta cut off for several hours.
southern tip of Baja California, then 150 homes damaged by floods in
traversed almost the entire length of Palm Desert and Indian Wells.
the Gulf of California before making Numerous roads washed out in
landfall again and rapidly weakening. Coachella Valley.
2”+ of rain fell on parts of the lower
desert. 2” at La Quinta on 8.30.
63
11.18-21.1967 14”+ in mountains above LA, 7.96” in 2 killed. Flash flooding and mud
LA. Called “worst since 1934.” On slides. 400 stranded in mountains
11.21 0.51” in San Diego in 10 due to closed highways.
minutes, the greatest 10 minute
rainfall on record.
1.18-28.1969 Heavy rains of tropical origin hit in 87 reported dead from flooding and
two waves, one beginning 1.18 and mud slides all over California.
the other 1.23. The totals: as much as Scores dead in traffic accidents.
50” of rain at 7,700’ elev., 37.5” at Hundreds of homes and buildings
Lake Arrowhead, 31” of rain on south destroyed in slides, including 14
slopes of Mt. San Gorgonio, 15.5” at destroyed and 11 damaged homes
San Jacinto Peak, 13.4” in LA, ~10” in Mt. Baldy Village. 50 homes
at Banning, less than 1” from Indio near Forest Home (Forest Falls)
southeast. 11.72” at Forest Falls on were damaged by flooding.
1.25. Highways and railroads washed
out. Power outages. Cucamonga
Creek itself caused $10 million in
damage. The Mojave River took
out numerous bridges and flooded
farmlands in the upper desert.
64
2.16-26.1969 Heavy rain continued. Up to 30” of The death and destruction
rain on south slopes of Mt. San continued from the previous month.
Gorgonio, 13” northwest of Mt. San 21dead from flooding and mud
Jacinto, ~10” at Banning, less than 1” slides all over California. An entire
in eastern Coachella Valley. 5-15” of family was killed in Mt. Baldy
rain in the lowlands from 2.22 to 2.25. Village when a mud slide hit their
9.25” at Forest Falls on 2.24. home. Extensive damage to crops,
farmland and livestock. Creeks
around Yucaipa all left their banks
and substantial flooding occurred
to residences and businesses. In the
upper desert farmlands became
lakes and more than 100 homes
along the Mojave River were
damaged. Roads and bridges
recently repaired from previous
month’s damage either washed out
or were destroyed again.
65
10.6.1972 Hurricane Joanne recurved making
landfall in northern Baja California,
maintaining tropical storm strength
into Arizona and generating rainfall
up to 2” in the southeast deserts. This
occurred during the strong El Niño of
1972-73.
1.16-18.1973 Local amounts up to 3” on 1.16 and Local flooding, mud slides, power
an additional 3” on 1.18. outages.
2.10-11.1973 1-2” at coast, 3-7” coastal valleys, up Flooding and mud slides closed
to 12” at Mts. Wilson and Baldy. 6” in many roads.
6 hours at Mt. Wilson on 2.11.
9.9-12.1976 Record rains, flooding from Tropical 6 buried and killed in sand in
Storm Kathleen (a 160+ year event). Ocotillo. Much of the Imperial
14.76” on south slopes of Mt. San Valley flooded. I-8 and other
Gorgonio, 8” Mt. San Jacinto, 10.13” highways ripped out in several
Mt. Laguna, 4+” in Little San locations in the mountains and
Bernardino Mountains, 1.8”-2.8” in desert. Floods of record attained at
the Coachella Valley. Deep Canyon numerous streams above the
(above La Quinta) recorded 2.96” in 3 Coachella Valley. Widespread
hours on 9.10. Rainfall in the Santa property damage on the eastern
Rosa Mountains above the Coachella slopes of the peninsular range and
Valley called “heaviest in recorded the adjacent deserts.
history.” 1” in San Diego. 2.8” fell in
3 hrs in Borrego Valley on 9.10. This
occurred during the El Niño of 1976-
77.
66
5.8.1977 1.49” of rain fell in San Diego, the
wettest calendar day in May on
record.
8.15-17.1977 Hurricane Doreen tracked north 4 dead and $25 million in damage
northwestward along the west coast of in Southern California. Debris
Baja California, dissipating over the flows and flooding from Henderson
coastal waters. Most areas received at Canyon into Borrego Springs De
least 2” of rainfall with up to 8” in the Anza neighborhood, damaging 100
mountains. This occurred during the homes. Mud flows up to 5’ deep.
El Niño of 1977-78. Heavy rainfall Flooded roads in desert areas.
included 4.9” Mt. Laguna, 4.5” Floods and crop damage at the
Borrego Palm Canyon, 4.0” Palomar Salton Sea.
Mtn. and Lake Henshaw, 3.26”
Borrego Springs (2.53” in 6 hrs on
8.16, a 100 year event), 2”+ Palm
Springs, 4.5” Salton Sea in several
hours. 2.13” at San Diego for the
period, 1.44” on 8.16.
9.10.1977 Heavy rains in Little San Bernardino Floods down Thousand Palms
Mountains (Joshua Tree NP) produced Wash caused extensive damage to
a rainfall of nearly 5” fell in 1 hour Thousand Palms area, nearly
above the Thousand Palms Wash. destroying the oasis in the valley.
The California Aqueduct that runs
just north of the preserve was
clogged with debris, resulting in
the flood of nearly a billion gallons
of water through this area.
2.8-10.1978 Heavy rain: 16.4” at Lytle Creek, 20 killed all over Southern
13.64” Lake Arrowhead, 11.97” California, 13 of them in Hidden
Wrightwood, 11.15” Devore, 10.4” Springs in the San Gabriel
Santiago Peak, 8.5” Crestline, 5” Mountains. Widespread flooding,
Ontario, 4.79” Big Bear Lake, 3.83” flash flooding, and mud slides.
Santa Ana. Numerous homes washed away.
67
3.4-5.1978 Heavy rain. 20 deaths from flooding and
mudslides in LA area. 3 drowning
deaths and disastrous flooding in
Lakeside. 26 dead and 600 left
homeless in Tijuana and Ensenada.
1.30-31.1979 2-4” rainfall in 24 hours over much of Flooding along Silver Strand
coastal Southern California. 2.57” of highway, in Fashion Valley, also in
rain fell in San Diego on 1.31, the Spring Valley, Lemon Grove,
seventh wettest calendar day and the Lakeside and Carlsbad. Lake
wettest January day on record. 4.82” Hodges overflowed.
fell in National City, 4.25” in La
Mesa, 3.30” at SDSU, 3.78” in El
Cajon.
7.20.1979 Big thunderstorm in Palm Desert and Debris flow killed one and caused
Rancho Mirage. $7 million damage. Flash flooding
hit hundreds of homes in Rancho
Mirage, Palm Desert and La
Quinta. Some residents swept out
of their homes at night.
2.13-21.1980 Six storms hit Southern California. 30 killed in widespread floods and
31.69” in Mt. Wilson, 25.56” in mud slides. Post-fire flooding
Palomar Mtn., 24.34” in Cuyamaca, overwhelmed a basin below
20.65” in Julian, 18.27” in Mt. Harrison Canyon in north San
Laguna, 12.88” in Ramona, 12.75” in Bernardino four times. Forty homes
LA, 10.09” in Escondido, 6.80” in La were damaged or destroyed there.
Mesa, 4.47” in San Diego. Roads and hundreds of homes
destroyed or damaged. Mission
Valley completely inundated
between Friars Rd. and I-8.
3.1-3.1981 3” along coast and 5-6” in local Widespread street flooding and
mountains. mud slides. Power outages.
3.16-18.1982 2-4” in San Diego County. 2.13” of Local flooding closed many streets.
rain fell in 24 hours in Pt. Loma from
3.17-3.18.
68
9.17-18.1982 The remnants of Hurricane Norman
tracked northeastward across northern
Baja California into Arizona with
scattered rainfall amounts up to 1 inch
in the southern mountains and deserts.
This occurred during the strong El
Niño of 1982-83.
3.15-16.1986 Heavy rain in Orange County. Mud slides along the coast.
69
9.24-25.1986 Unseasonable rainfall hit San Diego
County: 1.04” at San Diego, 5.14” in
Palomar Mountain, 2.07” in Julian,
1.88” in Mt. Laguna, 1.61” in Lemon
Grove, 1.58” in Pt. Loma, 1.57” in
Vista, 1.47” in SDSU.
11.17-18.1986 Early season storm brought 1.16” to Numerous traffic accidents, a few
San Diego, more rain that falls in than power outages. The San Diego
a normal November. Montgomery River flooded causing many road
Field 1.49”, 1.21” at Mt. Laguna, closures in Mission Valley. Street
1.07” at Miramar, 1.03” in Oceanside flooding occurred in North Park
and 0.41” in Chula Vista. and Midway areas and in Encinitas.
A mudslide blocked Malibu
Canyon road. A traffic accident
claimed two lives in LA.
12.20.1986 Thunderstorm and heavy rain for two Power outages occurred from
hours. 0.70” Oceanside, >0.5” Alpine, lightning strikes and power lines
0.32” in San Diego. blown down.
1.4-5.1987 Heavy rain and snow from powerful Two died on slick roads in San
Pacific storm: 1-2”+ in the northern Diego County. The San Diego
Inland Empire, 2.20” at Chino. 1.68” River flooded Mission Valley,
at San Diego, Cuyamaca Park 2.73”, stranding cars and closing roads,
Julian 2.59”, Lemon Grove 1.52”, including Friars Rd. Lots of street
National City 1.40”, El Cajon 1.34”, flooding in Pacific Beach, Sorrento
Escondido 1.30”, Coronado 0.95” and Valley and Spring Valley near the
Del Mar 0.80”. Sweetwater River. Sewage spilled
into Mission Bay. Road washouts
in the high desert. Scattered power
outages. Mud slides occurred on
the Sunrise Highway. A mud slide
in Pomona blocked traffic on the
60 freeway.
70
5.15.1987 The monsoon made a very early visit.
Thunderstorms arrived in the
mountains and deserts. 0.20 inch fell
in Mt. Laguna.
10.22.1987 Heavy rain with amounts ranging up Flash flooding resulted in 2 deaths,
to 5” at Blue Jay. Heavy rain also in 10 injuries, and more than a million
northern San Diego County: 0.95” in dollars damage in Blue Jay. Flash
Palomar Mountain. flooding and debris/mud flows in
Pauma Valley (exacerbated by a
previous fire on southwest slopes
of Palomar Mountain). A building
destroyed, 4 homes evacuated.
10.31.1987 Heavy rain. Mt. Wilson received Numerous mudslides. 3 die and 25
3.14” of rain in 24 hours. 2.34” in Mt. are injured in weather-related auto
Laguna, 1.1” in El Cajon. accidents. Sewage spills closed an
80-mile stretch of beaches in LA.
11.4-5.1987 Low pressure of the California coast Numerous flooded roadways and
produces heavy rain and intersections around San Diego. A
thunderstorms. 2.02” fell in Palomar roof collapsed in San Diego. Minor
Mountain and 1.16” in San Diego. mud slides on I-8 at SDSU,
Mission Valley and near Temecula.
Flash flooding stranded 8,000 in
Death Valley.
71
12.4-5.1987 A cold front crossing the Pacific Coast Flooding in downtown LA
brought heavy rain. Mt. Wilson was prompted some evacuations.
drenched with 2.17” in 6 hours. 1.02” Flooded intersections, power
fell at LA between 5 and 7 pm and outages, tree damage, numerous
rain rates of 1” per hour were reported traffic accidents. Flooding,
for a time at John Wayne Airport, and including water into some houses,
0.61” fell in 30 minutes in San Diego was reported in Fallbrook. More
all on 12.4. Storm totals: 1.5” in San flooding was reported all across
Diego, 1.05” in Montgomery Field, San Diego County, including
0.89” in La Mesa, 0.82” San Diego downtown San Diego, where
State Univ, Miramar 0.75”, Chula numerous motorists were trapped
Vista 0.32”. in their vehicles. A mudslide closed
Valley Center Road and Lake
Wohlford Road.
12.16-17.1987 A heavy rain storm hit San Diego Minor flooding in Mission Valley.
County. 2.01” in Oceanside, 2” in El
Cajon and La Mesa, 1.97” National
City, 1.85” Poway, 1.73”
Montgomery Field.
2.2.1988 A dying subtropical system drops 4” Standing water 5' deep in some
in the mountains of San Diego intersections. 50 homes in Imperial
County. More than 4” fell in Imperial Beach flooded. Some homes
Beach in 24 hours and 3.71” in 8 hrs. flooded with 3-6' of water. $0.5
1.5” fell in Chula Vista. 1.25” fell in million in damage. 30 families
San Diego and less than an inch fell in displaced by flooded homes. Power
other parts of San Diego County. outages, road closures.
72
4.19-23.1988 Heavy rain. 4.15” of rain fell in 24 Flooding, mud slides, and
hours at Mt. Wilson. 1.75” fell at numerous traffic accidents. 26
Cuyamaca Rancho State Park on from injured in major collision around
2.22 to 2.23. 0.79” at San Diego. LA. Flooding of intersections and
several road closures occurred all
over San Diego, Orange and LA
Counties. A Mission Valley hotel
was flooded. Los Penasquitos
Creek flooded a portion of Poway.
Street flooding occurred in
southern San Diego County along
with downed trees, power outages,
and overflowed sewer lines. 3
straight Dodgers games rained out
(only 12 rainouts in previous 26
years). Trees fell on power lines
causing power outages.
73
3.17-22.1991 A vigorous storm produced 1-8” in Local flooding and mud slides.
lower elevations, up to 14” in the Mud and rock slides along Del
mountains. 4” fell in Santa Barbara. Dios highway on 3.19. On 3.20
On 3.19 1.58” at Lindbergh Field in Hwy. 78 was closed for a long time
24 hours. More than 1” in Poway, due to flooding. Streets in Mission
Alpine, Julian, Campo and Ramona. Valley flooded. On 3.21 mud
On 3.21 1.98” fell in La Mesa, 0.81” slides, road washouts and power
at Lindbergh Field. outages were reported at Rincon
Indian Res.
3.26-27.1991 A strong winter storm produced 1.80” Golf courses and shopping centers
in 24 hours in Escondido, 1.71” in flooded by the San Diego River in
Poway, 1.56” in Fallbrook, 1.55” in Mission Valley. Flooding damaged
La Mesa, 1.52” in Ramona, 1.48” in apartments in North Park. Flooding
El Cajon, 1.09” in San Diego. damaged Highway 78 east of the
San Diego Wild Animal Park.
12.27-29.1991 Back to back storms dropped 2-7” at Flooding of low lying areas, mud
lower elevations. slides, and closed highways.
74
8.13.1992 Massive outbreak of tropical moisture
created thunderstorms with some of
the heaviest rainfall rates in history.
6.5” in 90 minutes at Palomar
Mountain, 4” in 2 hours at Mt.
Laguna.
12.4-7.1992 Big storm produces 0.5-6” from the Local flooding. Mud slides,
coast to the mountains. standing water, and road closures.
1.1993 Subtropical moisture joined a strong Flooding and flash flooding, mud
upper level low in the Pacific. A series slides, etc.
of storms produced 20-50” of
precipitation in the mountains and up
to 12” at lower elevations over a two
week period (1.6-1.18). One of the
longest periods of consecutive days of
rain on record (13) and measurable
rain fell nearly every day from 1.2 to
1.19.
1.5-10.1993 14+” of rain fell in Cuyamaca and The State declared San Diego
Palomar Mountain. 6+” in Escondido. County a disaster area.
1.12-18.1993 A second stormy period in the month Heavy flooding occurred on the
dropped 18+” at Palomar Mountain, Santa Margarita and San Luis Rey
12+” at Cuyamaca and De Luz. Rivers. Hwy. 76 was washed out
11.62” fell at De Luz in 48 hours on near I-15. The airports at Camp
1.16-1.17. Pendleton and Oceanside sustained
flood damage. In Tijuana, homes
and streets were flooded along the
Tijuana River. 5 died and 139
people were caught in floodwaters,
600 were evacuated.
75
6.5.1993 A strong, late season spring storm
moved into California. The 0.76” of
rain at LA set a new daily rainfall
record for June. Lake Gregory was
deluged with 3.24” of rain. 1” in
Palomar Mountain.
2.14.1995 3” of rain fell in San Diego County. The San Diego River overflowed
onto adjacent streets in Santee,
forcing some residents to evacuate
their homes. In eastern San Diego,
heavy rains flooded some homes.
One woman drowned in her
basement when it became
submerged with 5’ of water.
3.11.1995 3.07” at Banning - Beaumont, 2.75” at Section of I-5 washed out, lots of
Murrieta, 2.10” at Moreno Valley, local flooding.
1.23” at Riverside, 0.84” at Palm
Springs, 7.73” at Wrightwood in 48
hours.
76
2.25-28.1996 0.5-1.5” in coastal areas.
9.4.1997 Hurricane Linda became the strongest Disastrous flooding and debris
storm recorded in the eastern Pacific flows at Forest Falls: $3.2 million
with winds estimated at 180 mph and damage, 2 houses destroyed, 77
gusts to 218 mph. For a time it damaged, car-size boulders, wall of
threatened to come ashore in mud 150' wide and 15' tall.
California as a tropical storm, but the Flooding damage also at Oak Glen.
storm turned away, affecting the
region with added moisture for
showers and thunderstorms. This
occurred during the strong El Niño of
1997-98. 2.5” per hour rain rates were
recorded at Forest Falls.
9.24-26.1997 Heavy rain and thunderstorms from Flooding in Palm Springs, Borrego
Hurricane Nora. 5.50” at Mt. San Springs and Spring Valley. Traffic
Jacinto, 4.70” Mt. Laguna, 4.41” Mt. deaths.
San Gorgonio, 3-4” at several
locations in mountains, 3.07”
Twentynine Palms, 1.5-2” at
Coachella and Borrego Valleys, 2.88”
Hemet, 1-2” in many inland areas.
10.7.1997 Heavy rain in Inland Empire. Storm Floods and debris flows. $2.5
was of 100 year intensity. 1.65” in 1 million damage. Large trees, mud
hour and 15 minutes, 0.31” in 3 and boulders swept down canyons.
minutes at Hemet. Homes, apartments flooded at north
San Bernardino and Highland.
77
12.6-8.1997 Heavy rains of 4-8” across Orange Widespread flooding in Orange
County, heaviest in 70 years. 10” at County. Mud slides and coastal
Mission Viejo, over 4” Corona. Heavy erosion. Flooding in Corona and
downpours in Victor Valley. several communities of Victor
Valley. Mud flow through
Adelanto.
1.8-10.1998 Heavy rain of 2”. Floods and mud in Del Dios (near
Escondido).
2.14-15.1998 1-2” in coastal areas, 3-5” in valleys Flooding and mud slides.
and foothills.
2.23-24.1998 Heavy rain. 2-5” rainfall over all of 2 dead, 2 injured. $100 million
Southern California. estimated damage. Power outages.
Catastrophic and widespread
flooding. Hundreds of homes
damaged. Numerous evacuations
and swift water rescues.
Landslides, mud slides, and sink
holes. Roads, bridges, and railroads
damaged. Livestock and crop loss.
78
8.29-31.1998 Strong thunderstorms. 0.77” in 45 Flash flooding in Hemet. Homes
minutes at Wrightwood, 1.5” at Apple and roads flooded with 4 to 6” of
Valley, 0.68” in 30 minutes at Forest water in Hesperia and Apple
Falls. Valley. Rock slides in Mill Creek.
Flooding of roads in Sugarloaf and
Forest Falls.
6.21.2000 Heavy rains (about one inch) at La Flooding and mudslides along
Jolla Indian Reservation near Palomar Hwy. 76. 200’ of highway covered
Mountain on a recently burned area. by up to 18” of mud.
79
9.7.2000 Heavy thunderstorm in Morongo Flash flooding.
Valley.
1.10-11.2001 Heavy winter storm. Two to four” of Flash flooding from Seal Beach to
rain. 1.74” of precipitation (some Garden Grove to Costa Mesa.
snow) at Phelan. Several mud slides in San Diego
County
2.11-13.2001 Heavy winter storm. 2-5” at Orange Extensive urban flooding and mud
County and the western Inland slides. Trees and power lines
Empire. 1-2” over the rest of the knocked down.
lowlands.
7.7.2001 Strong thunderstorms in Victor and Roads closed due to flash flooding,
Lucerne Valleys. 0.25” in five mud slides.
minutes at Lucerne Valley.
9.2-3.2001 Thunderstorms generated from Flash floods and mud slides in the
remnants of Hurricane Flossie. 2.1” in San Bernardino Mountains and
1 hour at Lake Cuyamaca. Lake Cuyamaca.
81
10.20,27.2004 Monthly record rainfall received in On 10.20: Widespread flooding.
one day, and in 6 hours in many Bridge washed out near
locations of Orange Co. Totals for last Wrightwood. One killed in
two weeks of Oct: 4-8” in lower floodwaters near Lytle Creek.
elevations, up to 14” at Lake Many mountain roads impassable
Arrowhead. 2.70” fell at Lindbergh with mud and rockslides. Railroad
Field, the fourth most on a calendar tracks washed out, derailing train.
day on record. Horses neck deep in flood waters.
Golf course rescue. 10.27: 7
rescued from vehicles in flooded
intersection in Sun City. 12
vehicles trapped in mud at Scissors
Crossing (east of Julian). Homeless
man rescued in San Diego River.
Several vehicles stuck in San
Jacinto River floodwaters near
Perris.
12.28-29.2004 Heavy rain from a big storm. 1.10 in Flash flooding in Waterman
40 minutes at San Diego Country Canyon and other mountain areas.
Estates (east of Ramona). Debris flow in San Diego Country
Estates. Flooding on Lytle Creek
road and Hesperia.
12.31.2004 Mud slides occurred on Hwy. 138 and Hwy. 138 closed for three days.
on Hwy. 18 in the San Bernardino
Mountains.
82
1.7-11.2005 Five consecutive days of heavy Widespread and catastrophic
precipitation all over Southern flooding and damage totaling $100
California. More than 30” of million. A mountain slope failed on
precipitation in the San Bernardino top of La Conchita. Damage to
Mountains. 4-10” at lower elevations. crops, golf courses, and there were
31.75” of precipitation fell at Lake sewage spillages. A state of
Arrowhead, 29.70” at Lytle Creek, emergency was declared for all
19.86” at Devore, and 15.09” at four counties. On 1.10 a woman
Palomar Mountain. This followed and her unborn child were swept
heavy storms in late Dec and early away by City Creek in Highland
Jan. and killed. Debris flows in City
Creek. Lytle Creek grew to 200’
wide and flooded homes. 350
homes were flooded in Placentia.
Numerous rescues needed across
the region. Debris flows across I-
215 in Devore. In Big Bear City,
111 homes, schools and businesses
were flooded. On 1.9 mudslides
destroyed three homes, damaged 7
others in Lake Arrowhead area.
Mudslides in Anaheim caused
damage. I-15 in Temecula damaged
and closed by mudslides and
flooding. Ortega Highway closed.
Homes were flooded in southern
Inland Empire and Valley Center.
San Luis Rey River flooded and
washed out Pacific St. in
Oceanside, cresting above flood
stage twice, peaking at 20.7’ on
1.11. On 1.11 a hotel in Crestline
was destroyed by mudslide. A tree
killed one in San Diego. Felled
trees caused extensive damage in
San Diego County. By 1.11
numerous highways in the San
Bernardino Mountains were closed.
The Mojave River flooded 3 homes
and other structures, and caused
extensive damage in Hesperia and
Oro Grande. On 1.14 a forced
release of water at Prado Dam
flooded the Santa Ana River valley
and damaged the Corona Airport.
83
2.18-23.2005 Heavy storm rains dumped 3-6” near Dairy Farm losses in the northern
the coast and valleys, 6-12” in the Inland Empire. Most back roads
mountains, more than 2” in the damaged in the San Bernardino
deserts. 18.79” fell at Lytle Creek, Mountains beyond use. Lake
12.33” at Lake Arrowhead and 6.80” Hodges, which was only 17% of
at Fullerton. capacity in October, began to spill.
San Diego River flooded, killing
one. On 2.21 an earthen dam near
Wrightwood gave way, flooding
and causing extensive damage
downstream. Numerous mudslides
across the region damaged many
homes. A landslide sent boulders
into a home in Silverado Canyon
and killed one.
7.24.2005 Heavy thunderstorms hit the Flash floods hit Lucerne Valley and
mountains and deserts. 2.30” fell in highway 247. Vehicles swept off
Mt. Laguna in 40 minutes. 0.72” fell roads and rescues needed. Roads
in Cuyamaca in 36 minutes. 5.58” fell washed out in Apple Valley. Three
in 12 hours in Victorville. major mud slides hit Forest Falls.
Flash flooding also in Phelan,
Hemet, and east of Julian.
7.29.2005 Intense rain from thunderstorms hit Flash flooding was reported in the
the mountains and deserts. 0.91” hit Mt. San Jacinto Wilderness, also in
Mt. Laguna in 28 minutes, 0.63 in 14 Ranchita and Warner Springs.
minutes. 0.5” hit San Felipe Wash in
10 minutes.
84
7.31.2005 Thunderstorms produced 0.52” in 13 Flash flooding occurred in Big
minutes fell at Lake Morena. 0.75” Bear City, Anza, and south of
fell in 22 minutes at Yucaipa Ridge. Warner Springs.
6.28.2006 A heavy thunderstorm produced 1.25” Visibility was reduced to near zero
in 15 minutes at Loma Tova, just in the heavy rain along Interstate 8.
south of the border east of Tecate.
9.3.2006 A microburst hit northeast of Sun Power lines and poles were
City. knocked down. Power outages
resulted.
9.6.2006 Heavy thunderstorms occurred along Flash floods closed roads in Hemet,
the Elsinore Convergence Zone near cars were stalled, a mudslide along
Hemet. Hwy. 74.
85
Heavy Snow, Rare Snow at Low Elevations
1.12-14.1882 15” at San Bernardino. 3' in Campo Birds and livestock killed,
over four days producing 8’ drifts. 2- telegraph lines down. Citrus
5” in outlying San Diego, including: damage.
4” along Poway Grade, 3” at El
Cajon, 1” Poway (disappearing in a
few hours). The foothills above
Poway stayed white for 2 or 3 days.
Light snow in Del Mar. 5” in
Riverside. 20” in Campo on 1.13.
Snow flakes, but not sticking at San
Diego.
86
1.9-11.1949 Snow in lowlands: 14” Woodland Snarled all kinds of transportation.
Hills, 8” La Canada and Catalina Power outages and emergencies.
Island (2,100'), 6” Altadena, 5” Plane crash kills 5 and injures 1
Burbank, 4” Pasadena, 1” Laguna near Julian. Camping group
Beach and Long Beach.. A trace in stranded at Cuyamaca.
San Diego, the only time since 1882.
3' Mt. Laguna, 18” Cuyamaca, 1'
Julian, 4-8” as low as 1000' elevation.
A light covering in La Jolla, Point
Loma, Miramar, Escondido, Spring
Valley, and other outlying San Diego
areas.
1.29.1957 24” at Mt. Laguna, 21” at Palomar The snowstorm stranded 200
Mtn., 20” at Lake Cuyamaca, 12” at people north of LA.
Julian, 10” at Mesa Grande, 6” at
Lake Henshaw.
87
3.11.1973 8” fell at Mt. Laguna and 4” at
Palomar Mountain.
1.3-5.1974 Over 18” in San Bernardino Structures and a few roofs collapse
Mountains. 17” fell in Victorville on due to weight of snow. Power lines
1.5, the greatest daily amount on and trees snapped.
record. On 1.4, flurries were reported
in Palm Springs.
11.28-29.1975 First winter storm of season was 20 stranded campers rescued after a
heavy. Up to 2' in San Bernardino few days.
Mountains, 16” at Big Bear Lake.
1.30-2.2.1979 Widespread snow. 2” at Palm Springs. On 1.31, all major interstates into
56” fell in Big Bear Lake, the greatest LA (I-5, I-15, and I-10) were
snowfall on record. On 1.31, snow fell closed. Snow drifts shut down
heavily in Palm Springs and 8” fell at Interstate 10 on both sides of Palm
Lancaster. Snow and rain mix at Springs, isolating the city. Schools
Borrego Springs. Mt. Laguna 2’ and were closed and hundreds of cars
Julian 1’. were abandoned.
88
10.3.1986 Rain and thunderstorms hit LA area. Classes were cancelled at CSU-
1.50” in Pasadena, 1.02” in LA. 3” of Northridge because of hail. Several
hail piled up in Pasadena. serious traffic accidents in
Pasadena.
2.22-25.1987 24” at Mt. Laguna, 22” at Cuyamaca, Roads and schools were closed in
12-17” in the San Bernardino mountain areas. An aircraft
Mountains (17” at Big Bear Lake), 6” accident in a snow squall near
Pine Valley, 3” Lake Morena. 4” fell Anza killed four.
in one hour at Lake Hughes. Snow
pellets to coastal areas: 2-3” at
Huntington Beach, measurable sleet
and hail at San Diego Bay front. On
2.25 light snow was recorded in
Tarzana, Northridge, Torrance,
Fontana and Redlands.
12.16-17.1987 Snow fell for two minutes at Malibu Disneyland was closed due to the
Beach on 12.16. A foot of snow fell in weather for only the second time in
the mountains north and east of LA. 24 years. Other theme parks and I-5
24” of snow fell in Julian. 9” of snow and I-15 were closed on stretches
fell at Mt. Laguna on 12.17. through the mountains stranding
motorists in the Southland.
Numerous accidents killed some
motorists. Snow cancelled all
schools in the mountains of San
Diego County and sent 16,000
students home in the Santa Clarita
Valley.
89
1.16-17.1990 Snow flurries within San Diego city
limits. None officially at San Diego.
14” at Mt. Laguna. 10-16” in
mountains.
3.17-20.1991 2-5' in the mountains. On 3.19 1’ of Schools and roads closed in the
snow fell at Mt. Laguna, 6” at mountains, including I-8 from
Palomar Mountain and Cuyamaca. Alpine to Imperial County.
Downed trees and power outages.
3.26-27.1991 36” at Lake Arrowhead, 27” Big Bear An avalanche of snow isolated 100
Lake, and 18.5” Idyllwild. 18” fell at people in Big Bear Lake by
Mt. Laguna. blocking Highway 18.
90
3.12-13.1996 8-12” in the San Bernardino
Mountains.
1.12-15.1997 18” at Mt. Laguna. 18”-3' snow above 13 illegal immigrants die near Pine
2500'. Ski resort at Snow Valley open Valley.
until 5.18, the latest in 78 year history.
2.23-24.1998 1-2' above 6000', 3-4' above 7000'. Trees and power lines down.
3.28-29.1998 Coldest storm of the year. 1-3' above Considerable damage to crops.
5000', 4-8” above 3000'. Ice pellets Serious traffic accidents.
and hail 1” deep in some coastal and
foothill areas.
4.1-2.1999 18” in 12 hours at Mt. Laguna. 7-9” at 8 illegal immigrants found dead
Pine Valley and Descanso, 2” at near Descanso, 2 just over the
Boulevard, “heavy snow” reported at border. 50 survived wearing only
Cherry Valley (3000'), 1” at light clothing and tennis shoes and
Homeland (1,700'). had never experienced snow; they
had been on foot for 3 days.
2.6-14.2001 Over a week of heavy snow called Roof of ice rink caves in at Blue
“most in a decade”: 5' at Blue Jay and Jay.
Mountain High, 2' Snow Summit, 5-
12” at Apple Valley. Mountain High
reports 12” on 2.6, 10” on 2.11, 36”
on 2.12, 30” on 2.13, 8” on 2.14.
10.27.2004 2’ in Big Bear, most of which fell in A few local ski resorts opened on
12 hour period. the earliest date in their history.
1.7-8.2005 Heavy snow up to several feet fell in 200 motorists were rescued on
the mountains. Hwy. 18 west of Big Bear Lake.
2.19-23.2005 A strong winter storm brought 4-8’ to Lift chairs and shacks had to be
Mt. Baldy and Mountain High ski dug out of the snow at Mountain
resorts. Reports of 10’ on the highest High.
peaks. Only 1-2’ of new snow at Big
Bear ski resorts. Big Bear Lake only
measured 9”.
3.10-11.2006 Snow fell as low as 1500’. 36” fell at All the mountain highways were
Big Bear Lake, Lake Arrowhead and closed. Roof damage in Guatay.
the Palm Springs Tram. 27” at Pine One immigrant was killed and
Cove and Idyllwild, 25” at Cuyamaca, seven injured near Pine Valley.
13” in Warner Springs, 12” in Pine
Valley.
92
Severe Thunderstorms: Large Hail, Strong Thunderstorm Winds,
and Killer Lightning (See flash flooding in heavy rain section)
9.20.1939 Lightning struck two street cars and Several small fires started in the
other structures. city. Damage to structures.
9.2.1960 Golf ball size and baseball size hail at Considerable damage to houses.
Boulevard area. 2-3” precipitation.
Hail diameter measured at 2.75” and
weighed over 1 lb., some stones
estimated larger. 2.75” hail also in
Riverside County. This is the largest
known hail to hit Southern California.
4.1.1982 Strong storm winds hit Encinitas – Trees were downed, greenhouses
Leucadia. destroyed.
10.3.1986 Rain and thunderstorms hit LA area. Classes were cancelled at CSU-
1.50” in Pasadena (in a little more Northridge from power outages and
than 1 hour), 1.02” in LA (in less than several serious traffic accidents
1 hour) and 0.77” in Monrovia. 3” of resulted in Pasadena because of
hail piled up in Pasadena. Wind gusts hail. Minor flooding.
to 35 mph. Hail nearly ½” in diameter
in Westwood. In Blythe, winds gusted
over 50 mph and 0.79” fell in 30
minutes.
93
2.23.1987 Thunderstorms with hail and lightning 2” of sleet and hail piled up in
hit San Diego, Coronado and downtown San Diego (a snowman
Encinitas. was built at Seaport Village).
Lightning struck a transformer in
Logan Heights, knocking out
power.
6.6.1987 Rare June thunderstorms hit the LA Power was knocked out. Lightning
region and Mojave Desert. A severe sparked small fires. In Lancaster,
thunderstorm hit Palmdale and mobile homes were damaged by
Lancaster. 1” diameter hail at Mt. strong winds (possible tornado?)
Pinos in northern LA County, ¾” hail and lightning. Two-by-fours were
at Palmdale, 1/2” hail hit Pine driven into the roofs of mobile
Mountain near the LA-Kern county homes. Utility poles were uprooted
line. Lightning struck the Santa and broken in half.
Monica Bay.
94
12.4.1987 Thunderstorm winds gusted to 60 mph In Westminster winds damaged 40
in Westminster and 55 mph at mobile homes, 9 of which were
Newport Beach. ripped out of the ground, leaving
24 people homeless. Winds
knocked down power lines in
Newport Beach. Lightning struck a
radio tower in Newport Beach,
knocking the station off the air, and
knocked out power to the area.
3.20.1991 Lightning struck North Park – San Power knocked out by lightning
Diego. Hail reported in El Cajon, struck transformer. A house fire
Miramar and University City. was started.
7.30.1991 Lightning struck San Diego in City Several grass fires were started. A
Heights. big power outage occurred.
5.24.1996 A cold storm system came from the Crop damage around Fallbrook
north and produced thunderstorms. from the hail. Lightning struck two
Streets were buried in pea-size hail in palm trees in Oceanside and burned
Fallbrook. “Ping pong size” hail also like torches. Power was knocked
fell there. Lightning strikes were out.
common.
7.10.1996 Lightning hit the San Diego region. Power was knocked out in central
San Diego, the zoo and other metro
areas.
5.18.1997 Wet microburst in Apple Valley (in Building and structure damage.
addition to two tornadoes). Power lines arcing down and
producing fires.
95
9.1-2.1997 Strong thunderstorm winds: three Large tree blown down in Apple
gusts to 104 mph at Twentynine Valley.
Palms. Apple Valley gust 62 mph.
7.20.1998 Thunderstorms erupted near the coast Lightning sparked at least five fires
and in the mountains. in San Diego County. Strikes also
hit a Clairemont home, and two
trees in Pacific Beach. Lightning
also caused a few power outages.
8.29-31.1998 Severe thunderstorms. Wind gust of Downed trees and power lines.
86 mph at Sage (south of Hemet), gust Fires started by lightning near
50 Rialto, 45 San Marcos. Barona Ranch.
3.5-6.2000 Golf ball size hail at Garden Grove, Property damage and trees downed
Santa Ana, and Running Springs. along the coast from Huntington
Strong thunderstorm winds at the Beach to Sunset Cliffs.
coast: gust 60 mph at Huntington
Beach.
96
4.18.2000 A severe thunderstorm brought Severe damage to factories and
downburst winds estimated at 80 to mobile home parks in Paramount
100 mph from Bellflower to Diamond (one mobile home was blown
Bar. ¾” hail was reported in Downey. over). Wind damage was done to
trees, power lines and numerous
buildings along the entire path. In
Norwalk, a large Eucalyptus fell
onto I-5, closing the freeway for 3
hours.
7.3.2001 A microburst hit Hesperia creating a A radio tower was toppled and
wall of sand and dust and a moaning other property was damaged.
sound.
97
1.75” hail in Joshua Tree and 29
9.4.2003
Palms. 0.75” hail in Julian area.
2.19.2005 ¾” hail reported in Anaheim. In Winds blew down fences and trees
Laguna Hills thunderstorm winds had and damaged a mobile home in
estimated gusts of 81 mph. Laguna Hills.
4.28.2005 A squall line raced ashore in Orange Homes and businesses damaged in
County with 70 mph winds. Dana Point, San Clemente and San
Juan Capistrano. Numerous trees
felled.
98
7.24.2005 Thunderstorm winds were estimated A fence was blown over.
to 60 mph at Canyon Lake.
9.20.2005 Numerous thunderstorms hit northern Lightning was the big problem,
San Diego County. knocking out power, starting a
number of tree fires from Carlsbad
to Escondido, and producing
damage to a school in Valley
Center.
7.9.2006 Lightning sparked the Sawtooth and The Sawtooth burned 62,000 acres,
Millard Wildfires near Morongo caused considerable damage in
Valley and Banning. Pioneertown and killed a man. The
Millard Fire burned 24,000 acres.
7.22.2006 Strong thunderstorm winds hit Lake A 40’ tree was blown over.
Elsinore.
99
7.23.2006 Strong thunderstorm winds hit Numerous trees were blown down,
Menifee. Lightning sparked the some of which fell on homes. The
Coyote Fire southeast of Anza. Coyote Fire burned 460 acres.
100
Tornadoes, Funnel Clouds, Waterspouts, and Damaging Dust Devils
12.9.1898 A waterspout was observed off Mt. Vegetation was washed out,
Soledad – La Jolla and Pt. Loma for leaving bare rock exposed in
10 minutes. This was considered the considerable areas on the south
first such thing in history on this slope of Mt. Soledad.
stretch of coast. It was reported to
move ashore a few thousand yards.
4.5.1926 A tornado hit San Diego. Waterspout 8 injured. Roofs torn off homes.
comes ashore in National City
resulting in the most damaging
tornado on record in San Diego
County.
4.13.1956 Strong storm winds hit Chula Vista. Roof damage done to 60 homes
Counted officially as a tornado (one and extensively to a school. Two
witness, a Texas native, claimed it injured by flying glass. Trees
was). uprooted, TV antennas toppled and
windows shattered. 10 fish were
sucked out of San Diego Bay and
deposited on the ground.
101
4.1.1958 Tornado in Laguna Beach.
5.3.1959 A tornado hit North Island Naval Air Metal shelter was picked up. Power
Station. lines and trees down, debris
scattered.
10.8.1961 At least 10 waterspouts were observed Roof ripped off, trees felled, fences
between Del Mar and Oceanside. A downed in Carlsbad and Oceanside.
waterspout moved ashore to become a Three injured from flying objects.
tornado in Carlsbad. Three of the Boats torn from moorings in
waterspouts were observed off Del Oceanside. Damage to Carlsbad
Mar. SDG&E electric generator plant.
102
9.4-6.1976 Six tornadoes. 5 around El Mirage, Property damage.
west of Adelanto, one near Mt. Baldy.
1.5.1978 Tornado in Costa Mesa at 9 pm. Trees fell and caused roof damage.
Roof damage, power lines down.
1.5.1979 A waterspout came ashore and Several boats were tossed and
became a tornado at Mission Beach. damaged. A catamaran was tossed
50’ on to the boardwalk, damaging
it.
11.9.1982 Seven tornadoes touched down in the Property damage, especially with
LA Basin. Three of the tornadoes the Long Beach
began as waterspouts at Pt. Mugu, waterspout/tornado.
Malibu and Long Beach. The Long
Beach waterspout moved ten miles
inland, becoming an F2 tornado.
Another tornado reached F2 strength
in Van Nuys. Two other tornadoes
were in Garden Grove and Mission
Viejo.
3.1.1983 Two tornadoes around LA, an F2 and In all, 30 people were injured and
an F0. 100 homes were damaged. At 8 pm
one F2 tornado damaged seven
businesses and 50 homes in South
Central LA, caused 30 injuries and
lifted about one mile before
reaching the civic center. The F0
tornado injured a motorist when his
Cadillac was lifted 15’ and carried
across a highway in San Marino.
104
2.25.1986 Waterspout reported 5 miles west of
Lindbergh Field – San Diego and
reported from Silver Strand. 2 funnel
clouds were reported near Pacific
Beach.
2.25.1987 Several funnel clouds and waterspouts Waterspouts damaged many boats
around San Diego County. One in Coronado harbors. A waterspout
waterspout was 7 miles west of picked up a dropped a 30’, 5-ton
Crystal Pier in Pacific Beach, another cabin cruiser. A dinghy was also
7 miles west of the San Diego River tossed and reported to have been in
channel. A funnel cloud was observed the air for 15-20 seconds.
off Imperial Beach.
9.1.1987 Thunderstorms hit San Diego Valleys What was reported as a dust devil
with lightning and strong damaging was probably a microburst or a
winds (possibly a tornado). tornado damaged awnings and
other items to mobile homes near
Lake Jennings. In El Cajon a tree
with an 8-inch trunk was snapped
in half.
1.14.1990 Tornado in East City Heights - San Property damage. Boats tossed in
Diego. A waterspout turned tornado Shelter Island.
hit Shelter Island – San Diego.
105
3.19-20.1991 Tornadoes in East City Heights and Property damage in San Diego. In
San Carlos areas of San Diego on San Carlos pines were ripped out
3.19. Tornadoes in Riverside and by roots, palm and cottonwood
Muscoy (near San Bernardino) on trees snapped in half. Cars were
3.20. Also on 3.20 a waterspout came smashed by falling objects, debris
ashore to become a tornado at Camp and patio furniture was strewn
Pendleton. Two other waterspouts throughout the neighborhood,
were seen off the coast there. including a refrigerator. A car was
moved 60’ by a falling palm.
3.26-27.1991 On 3.26 tornado at Vandenberg AFB. In Huntington Beach the roofs were
On 3.27 Tornadoes in Huntington taken off of six homes. Dozens of
Beach and rural San Marcos. The other homes were damaged and 50
tornado in Huntington Beach cut a mobile homes were severely
five-mile swath. damaged.
2.7.1994 Tornado from Newport Beach to Roof and window damage. Trees
Tustin. blown down.
8.12.1994 Tornado in Valle Vista (east of Trees uprooted. Power poles blown
Hemet) and several funnel clouds in over. A home damaged and a trailer
Hemet. destroyed.
5.18.1997 Two tornadoes in Apple Valley and a Building and structure damage.
wet microburst. Estimated 130-140 Power lines arcing down and
mph winds. producing fires.
107
12.8.1997 Funnel cloud in Del Mar.
1.9.1998 Waterspout 3 miles off Laguna Beach. Property damage in Long Beach.
Tornado at Long Beach
108
9.2.1998 Funnel cloud in Pomona.
109
8.25.2000 Funnel cloud came within 200’ of the
ground in Jacumba.
9.5.2004 A strong dust devil hit Vista. Ripped a sign off a fence and threw
it 40’ away over a house.
111
1.2-4.2005 On 1.2: Funnel clouds were reported
10 miles west of Huntington Beach
pier, off Dana Point and northwest of
San Diego Bay. On 1.3: Funnel clouds
were reported in Fullerton and
Huntington Beach. On 1.4: A funnel
cloud was reported in Costa Mesa.
1.9.2005 A tornado hit Hemet. A funnel cloud The tornado picked up a storage
was reported in Mira Loma. shed in Diamond Valley and threw
it into a power pole.
2.22-23.2005 On 2.23 A tornado hit Chula Vista. The tornado stopped traffic on the
On 2.22 funnel clouds were reported 805 freeway.
in San Diego – Clairemont, Dana
Point, north of Victorville, and Mira
Loma. On 2.23 funnel clouds were
reported in La Jolla and Spring
Valley.
3.4.2005 A tornado hit Fontana. A funnel cloud The tornado felled several trees and
was reported in Carmel Valley – Del power lines. Roof damage to three
Mar. homes. Roof taken off of building.
113
Strong winds (for thunderstorm related winds, see severe thunderstorms)
8.11-12.1873 A tropical storm hit San Diego with Damage to roof tops and felled
winds that “stiffened up to quite a trees.
gale”.
2.24.1891 Strong and continuous storm winds Boats were smashed on shore. A
blew at 40 mph. roof was taken off a warehouse.
1.10.1918 Strong offshore winds. Peak wind at Skies were full of dust with 300
San Diego was north at 31 mph at yards visibility. At noon visibility
6:38 am. was only a few miles.
5.23.1932 Strong winds and low humidity. 12 serious brush fires resulted,
blackening nearly 2000 acres in
San Diego County. The biggest fire
was in Spring Valley.
9.24-25.1939 Tropical storm lost hurricane status 48 dead from sinking boats.
shortly before moving onshore at
San Pedro. Sustained winds of 50
mph.
114
1.10.1949 Cold winter storm. Gust to 75 mph Plane crash kills 5 and injures 1
in the mountains of San Diego near Julian.
County, gust to 40 mph in San
Diego.
4.13.1956 Strong storm winds hit Chula Vista. Roof damage done to 60 homes
Possible tornado (one witness, a and extensively to a school. Two
Texas native, claimed it was). injured by flying glass. Trees
uprooted, TV antennas toppled and
windows shattered. 10 fish were
sucked out of San Diego Bay and
deposited on the ground.
11.5-6.1961 Strong Santa Ana winds fanned fires Fire in Topanga Canyon. 103
in Bel Air and Brentwood. 74° at 10 injured firemen, $100 million
pm at LA, 5° dew point. 3% relative economic losses including 484
humidity in Burbank on 11.6. buildings (mostly residential) and
6,090 acres destroyed.
9.26.1963 Santa Ana winds. Gusts over 50 Hottest heat wave west of
mph in the mountains of San Diego mountains in the county on record.
County.
2.10-11.1973 Strong storm winds. 57 mph at Some 200 trees uprooted in Pacific
Riverside, 46 Newport Beach. Beach alone.
115
3.25.1975 Wind gust of 101 mph at Sandberg,
a California record.
11.30-12.1.1982 Widespread strong wind with a big Power out to 1.6 million homes.
storm.
3.1.1985 Strong storm winds struck San Trees and antennas were toppled,
Diego County. causing numerous power outages.
3.26.1984 Ferocious winds strafed the Mojave Power outages, road closures. A
Desert with winds of 60-90 mph. CHP officer reported a car door
Peak wind at Mojave 103 mph, ripped off and hit by a sizable rock
Daggett 66 mph. near Indio and another car had its
windows blown out.
11.23.1986 Strong Santa Ana winds hit LA and An unfinished house in Glendale
mountain foothills. Gusts to 54 mph was blown to bits. Numerous beach
were recorded, but estimated gusts rescues were needed for sailors and
were 70 mph. Only 30-40 mph gusts windsurfers. Two sailboat masts
were estimated at Mt. Laguna. were snapped in a boat race at
Channel Islands.
1.20.1987 Wind gusts to 80 mph below Cajon Thick dust clouds. Trucks blown
Pass, 70 mph in San Bernardino, 60 over. Trees down. A hundred
mph at Mt. Laguna and 40 mph in power poles were down in the
El Toro. Inland Empire. Numerous power
outages. Schools closed in Fontana
as a result of power outages. A
mobile classroom was knocked
over. Brush fires were started.
2.6-7.1987 Santa Ana winds: Gusts up to 75 Plane flipped over at Brown Field.
mph Cuyamaca and Palomar Winds forced a sailboat into the
Mountain areas. Gusts to 60 mph hit rocks at Pt. Loma. I-8 was closed
Brown Field and Warner Springs, for two hours in eastern San Diego
40 mph in Julian and Valley Center. County. Trees, power lines and
35 mph at San Diego. fences were downed, causing
damage and power outages. A
highway sign fell on cars.
116
2.23-24.1987 Storm winds were clocked at 50
mph in Mt. Laguna. Gusts reached
34 mph at San Diego.
3.15.1987 Widespread strong storm winds. Power outages all over San Diego
Gusts to 40 mph at San Diego with metro area. Motor homes toppled
sustained winds 25-35 mph all day. in the desert. A light standard fell
over onto cars in Coronado. Boats
flipped over in harbors. A 22’ boat
turned over at Mission Beach jetty.
Catalina cruise ships were delayed,
stranding 1,200 tourists there.
12.4-5.1987 Strong Pacific storm brought gale Trees down, power outages.
force winds along the coast
exceeding 40 mph.
12.12-13.1987 Strong Santa Ana winds in San 80 power poles were blown down
Bernardino, with gusts to 60 mph. within a ½ mile stretch in Fontana
Gusts up to 80 mph around San and Rancho Cucamonga. One was
Bernardino. Strong damaging winds injured when a tree fell on a truck.
in San Diego County. 38 mph Downed tree limbs damaged cars,
recorded at San Diego. homes and gardens. Power poles
and freeway signs were damaged.
A parked helicopter was blown
down a hillside in Altadena. Trees
blown down and power outages in
San Diego County. One was killed
by a Eucalyptus tree falling on a
truck in Spring Valley.
117
1.17.1988 Major Pacific storm produced a gust Trees uprooted in the San Diego
to 64 mph from the west at San area. Boats in San Diego harbor
Diego - Lindbergh Field, highest damaged intensively. Apartment
wind on record. windows were ripped out in
Imperial Beach, where damage
estimated $1 million. Trees were
knocked down and debris was
strewn all around San Diego and
the zoo. Zoo was closed for the
first time in 72 years to remove
damage. Kelp beds were damaged.
1.21-22.1988 Strong offshore winds following a Power poles, road signs big rigs
major Pacific storm. Gusts to 80 knocked down in the Inland
mph at the Grapevine and gusts to Empire. In San Diego County, 6
60 mph at Ontario on the night of were injured, roofs were blown off
1.21. Gusts were reported up to 80 houses, trees were toppled and
mph in San Diego County on 1.22. crops destroyed. A barn was
demolished and a garage crushed
by a giant tree in Pine Valley. 20
buildings were destroyed or
damaged at Viejas. Avocado and
flower crops were destroyed in
Fallbrook and Encinitas,
respectively. Five greenhouses
were destroyed in Encinitas.
118
2.16-19.1988 Very strong Santa Ana winds: Gusts Numerous trees and power lines
of 90 mph at Newport Beach, 70+ downed and power outages all near
mph in the San Gabriel Mountain the foothills of the San Gabriel and
foothills on 2.17. Gusts to 76 mph at San Bernardino Mountains. On
Monument Peak - Mt. Laguna on 2.19 in Pauma Valley a mobile
2.18. Gust 63 at Ontario on 2.17, home was overturned and shingles
gust 50 at Rancho Cucamonga on were torn off roofs. Fontana
2.16. schools were closed due to wind
damage at schools. Three were
killed when a big rig truck
overturned and burned, one was
killed having stepped on a downed
power line). Power outages hit
200,000 customers in LA and
Orange counties. Minor structural
damage occurred to signs, etc.
Grass fires resulted. Roof damage
was widespread in communities
around Glendale and Pasadena.
Planes flipped in Burbank and at
John Wayne airports. Boats were
torn from moorings in Newport
Harbor.
5.29.1988 Gale force winds hit the coast. Gusts Hang glider crashed and died.
to 60 mph in the mountains, 45 mph Power went out. Brush fires started.
at LAX. Gusts to 40 mph at San
Diego.
12.8.1988 Strong Santa Ana winds across Winds fanned several major fires.
Southern California. Gust 92 mph at Buildings unroofed, trees and
Laguna Peak (Ventura Co.). power lines brought down.
Estimated damage $20 million.
11.28.1989 Strong Santa Ana winds. Gusts to 70 Several tractor- trailer trucks were
mph at the Rialto Airport. overturned east of Los Angeles.
12.11.1989 Strong Santa Ana winds. Gusts to Winds reduced visibilities to near
100 mph near the Grapevine. zero in the desert areas, and closed
major interstate highways east of
Ontario.
119
3.18-19.1991 Storm winds gusted to 125 mph on Extensive damage in San Carlos
Laguna Peak (Ventura Co.). Winds area of San Diego.
of 60 mph in San Carlos area of San
Diego, probably a tornado.
10.26-27.1993 Santa Ana winds: gust 62 mph at Twenty fires ravaged Southern
Ontario. California including in Laguna Hills. 4
dead, 162 injured, $1 billion
economic losses in property alone
and 194,000 acres were destroyed.
12.14.1996 Santa Ana winds: gust 111 mph at 2 killed from flying debris.
Fremont Canyon, gust 92 Rialto.
1.29.1997 Santa Ana winds: gust 100 mph at Big rigs blown over.
Fremont Canyon, 87 Rialto.
10.14.1997 Santa Ana winds: gusts 87 mph in Large fire in Orange County.
central Orange County.
12.10-12 .1997 Santa Ana winds: gust 96 mph at 2 killed from flying debris.
Pine Valley, 87 Upland. Property damage in Sun City. Crop
damage. Boats damaged and sunk
at Coronado and Avalon.
12.18-22 .1997 Gusts 60 mph at Rialto. Gusts 67 1 killed. Fire, trees down, and
mph at Idyllwild and below Cajon widespread wind damage.
Pass.
120
2.3-4.1998 Strong storm winds: gust 60 mph at
Newport Harbor, 51 San Clemente.
2.23-24.1998 Strong widespread storm winds 40- Trees and power lines knocked
60 mph. down. Damage.
3.28-29.1998 Strong storm winds in Orange Trees down, power out, and
County: sustained 30-40 mph. Gust damage across Orange and San
70 mph at Newport Beach, gust 60 Diego Counties. 1 illegal
Huntington Beach. Gusts to 60 mph immigrant dead in Jamul.
in the mountains.
12.9-10.1998 Santa Ana winds: gust 101 mph at Trees and power lines down.
Modjeska Canyon, gust 93 Fremont Overturned vehicles. Property
Canyon, 52 Santa Ana, 83 Ontario. damage.
12.21-22.1999 Santa Ana winds: gust 68 mph at House and tree damage in Hemet.
Campo, 53 Huntington Beach, 44
Orange.
2.21-23.2000 Winter storm winds: gust 75 mph Trees down at Lake Arrowhead.
along Highway 91.
121
4.1.2000 Santa Ana winds: gust 93 mph at
Mission Viejo, 67 Anaheim Hills.
12.25-26.2000 Santa Ana winds: gust 87 mph at Damage and injuries in Mira Loma,
Fremont Canyon. and Orange and Riverside
Counties.
1.2-3.2001 Santa Ana winds: gust 52 mph at Viejas Fire. 5,500 acres burned.
Ontario, 60 Rialto. Trees and power lines down.
11.27.2001 Strong Santa Ana winds extend Damage. A boat accident off
offshore from the coast. Newport Beach.
122
11.21.2004 A cold storm brought wind gusts to
84 mph to Fremont Canyon.
12.16.2004 Santa Ana winds sustained 51 mph Big rigs blown over, closing a
with gusts to 78 mph at Fremont freeway for a short time. Other
Canyon. Gusts to 69 mph northwest damage.
of San Bernardino and 66 mph near
Pine Valley.
2.3.2005 Strong storm winds of 70 mph hit Homes in Idyllwild were damaged
the region. by felled trees. Downed power
lines in the Inland Empire. Big rig
overturned on I-8.
1.2.2006 Post frontal winds more than 50 The “M” above Moreno Valley was
mph widespread across the region. demolished. Trees were downed,
power lines, power poles, on to
houses and cars. In Crestline there
were 20 homes left uninhabitable.
In San Diego Bay boats broke
loose from their moorings.
1.22-24.2006 Santa Ana wind event. Peak winds 7 big rigs overturned in Fontana.
occurred on 1.24 at Fremont Canyon Downed power lines and trees
at 71 mph. During these days, wind caused power outages and property
gusts exceeded 60 mph on 19 hourly damage. Roof of a car port torn off
observations. in Hemet. Dust storm closed
Ramona Expressway.
2.6-7.2006 Santa Ana winds blew. The Sierra Fire east of Orange
burned nearly 11,000 acres. Eight
minor injuries.
123
10.26.2006 Offshore winds blew to 40 mph in The Esperanza Fire was started by
the Banning Pass. an arsonist. It burned 40,200 acres
from Cabazon to San Jacinto. It
destroyed 34 homes and killed 5
firefighters.
12.27.2006 Strong storm winds hit the coast. Numerous trees were downed,
Gusts hit 54 mph at La Jolla, 52 damaging several vehicles.
mph at Torrey Pines and San
Clemente Island, 51 mph at Pt.
Loma, 49 mph at Huntington Beach,
46 mph at North Island and 40 mph
at San Diego Lindbergh Field.
124
Extreme Heat
6.17.1859 133° in Santa Barbara from hot Roasted fruit on one side.
offshore (sundowner) winds.
Accuracy discredited as temperature
sensor was in full sun.
125
6.16.1917 124° at Mecca climaxes the most
destructive heat wave of record in
California history.
9.18-22.1939 95+° records at San Diego each day, Eight heat-related deaths in LA.
highest of 106° on 9.21. LA reaches
100° for seven consecutive days,
peaking at 107° on 9.20. On 9.20 it
was 107° in Escondido and 104° in
the San Diego - College area.
9.26.1963 113° at El Toro, the hot spot in the Crop damage and animals killed.
nation for the date. 111° at Lindbergh Schools dismissed, workers sent
Field, highest temperature on record home, etc.
(95° at 8 am). 112° at El Cajon, 109° Surf temperature dropped from 70°
at Imperial Beach, 108° at Carlsbad, to 64° in one day due to the
Oceanside, Santee and Chula Vista, increased upwelling caused by
107° at SDSU, Lemon Grove, La offshore winds.
Mesa and Escondido, (only) 96° at
Coronado.
126
11.1.1966 101° at LA airport, 100° at LA, the all Santa Ana winds fan fires, which
time November high, 97° at San killed 16 fire fighters.
Diego.
9.25-30.1970 Drought in southern California came The Laguna Fire consumed whole
to a climax. Hot Santa Ana winds sent communities of interior San Diego
the temperature soaring to 105° at LA County were. Half a million acres
and 97° at San Diego on 9.25. were burned, and the fires caused
fifty million dollars damage.
6.30.1985 100+° in parts of the city of San Fire in Normal Heights - San
Diego. Diego.
4.21-22.1987 A rare springtime weak Santa Ana Numerous small brush fires erupted
event brought 90°+ temperatures. 97° in the San Diego valleys.
in El Cajon, 95° in Spring Valley, 94°
in Santee, 93° at SDSU, Miramar, La
Mesa, LA and Borrego Springs. It was
91° in Poway, Escondido and
Fallbrook, and 87° in San Diego.
127
9.1.1987 A tropical air mass (remnants of
tropical storm Lidia) brought heat to
the region: 109° at the Wild Animal
Park, 106° in El Cajon, 105° in
Escondido and Santee, 99° at SDSU,
89° in National City and 83° at San
Diego.
10.3-4.1987 108° in LA on both days, a record for Dry weather and winds fuel the
October. It was 109° in El Cajon, 106° Palomar Mountain fire.
in Chula Vista, Fallbrook and Santee,
and 104° in San Diego on 10.3.
128
8.12.1991 Tropical storm Hilda sent hot humid
air into the region. 94° at San Diego.
8.29-31.1998 Record heat near coast. 112° at Yorba Firefighters were slowed while
Linda and the Wild Animal Park, 110° battling blazes at Lake Jennings
at El Cajon, Hemet and Riverside, and Camp Pendleton.
108° at Ramona, 106° in Vista and
Escondido, over 100° in most of
Orange County. 114° at Dulzura on
8.29.
129
7.10-20.2005 Strong high pressure brought a One death in the Anza Borrego
lengthy heat wave to the region. 121° Desert. Near record power
in Thermal, 120° in Palm Springs and consumption.
Borrego Springs, 116° in Hesperia.
Big Bear Lake tied their all-time
record at 94° on 7.18. 98° at Idyllwild.
Low temperature at Indio was 90° on
7.13.
7.22.2006 A major heat wave with humidity, in 16 were killed from the heat, and
some ways unprecedented, hit many more were treated. Some
Southern California. 121° in Palm power outages occurred.
Springs, 120° at Indio and Thermal,
114° at Ontario and the Wild Animal
Park, 113° at El Cajon. It was 112° at
Escondido and 109° in La Mesa (both
highest all time). Record minimum
temperatures were recorded in most
places. Desert locations reported the
all-time warmest month on record.
Sea temperatures hit 80°.
130
Extreme Cold
1.6-7.1913 25° at San Diego on 1.7, the lowest Killing freeze all over San Diego
temperature on record. 28° on 1.6 County and many crops and fruit
with a high temperature of only 45°, lost. Water pipes frozen, trolley
the lowest maximum temperature on lines disrupted, fishing nets
record. Also on 1.7: 4° at Campo, 9° unusable. Ice skating in a San
Cuyamaca, 13° Alpine , 15° Julian Diego fountain on ice 0.75” thick.
and Lakeside, 20° El Cajon, 22° Extreme damage to citrus crop all
Lemon Grove, 24° La Mesa, and 26° over California. This directly led to
Chula Vista. the establishment of the U.S.
Weather Bureau’s Fruit Frost
forecast program.
1.5.1971 1° at Idyllwild.
1.16-18.1987 A very cold air mass remained over Substantial avocado crop loss in the
the region. It was 10° at Mt. Laguna, millions of dollars. Two homeless
17° at Bonsall, 22° at Valley Center, died of hypothermia on 1.17.
24° in Poway, 26° in El Cajon, 31° in
Chula Vista and 36° at San Diego. On
1.17 it was 24° in Fallbrook, 28° in
Del Mar
131
2.22-25.1987 Lows below 40° at Lindbergh for
three consecutive days (coldest stretch
since 1978).
12.14-15.1987 13° in Mt. Laguna, 18° in Campo, 23° Minor damage to crops.
in Valley Center, 24° in Escondido,
28° in El Cajon, 31° in Del Mar, 32°
in Imperial Beach, 33° in Chula Vista.
12.25-26.1987 9° at Mt. Laguna and 22° in Valley Extensive damage to avocado and
Center on 12.25. On 12.26: 15° in citrus crop.
Julian and Mt. Laguna, 16° in Campo,
22° in Poway, 26° in El Cajon, 30° in
Del Mar, 37° at San Diego.
2.14.2001 0° at Wrightwood.
1.30-31.2002 13° at Shelter Valley, 17° Campo, 22° Crops damaged in northern San
Ramona, 28° Escondido. Diego County.
12.1-3.2004 30s at the coast, 20s in inland valleys Crops were damaged.
and deserts, teens and single digits in
the mountains. 8° on all three
mornings at Big Bear. Wrightwood
dipped to 9°.
132
High Surf, Stormy Seas, Tsunamis, Coastal Flooding and Erosion
1.4-5.1959 High surf from a big storm. Coastal damage in San Diego and
Orange Counties. Boats and
harbors damaged.
133
5.22-24.1960 An 8.5 magnitude earthquake hits Docks near Pt. Loma were
Chile. Waves 8' above normal hit San destroyed. A barge broke in half.
Diego. Tide currents estimated at 20- Extensive damage to docks
25 kts. throughout the harbor. In LA:
scuba diver drowned, major
damage to small craft, $1 million
damage.
2.9-11.1963 High surf from a big storm. Damage to coastal homes and
structures.
1.22-29.1983 A series of storms produces surf up to On 1.26 several piers were heavily
20’ high. High tides and surf produce damaged in Santa Monica, Seal
the peak of the damage on 1.26. Beach and Crystal Pier in Pacific
Beach. Flooding damage to
numerous businesses and homes in
Malibu, Venice, Redondo Beach.
Residents were evacuated from
Seal Beach and Sunset Beach.
Several injuries to people swept off
rocks.
12.1-2.1986 High tides of 7.7’ at San Diego. Minor flooding at La Jolla Shores’
parking lot. A few beach closures.
On 12.1 minor flooding (4” of sea
water) along Pacific Coast Hwy. in
Huntington Beach from rising tides
prompted lane closures.
134
12.31.1986 High tide in San Diego 7.8’. In Eureka Luckily the weather was fine and
the tide was 9.1’, thought to be the surf was small. Minor flooding at
highest in a century. coastal low spots on Mission Beach
and Ocean Beach. Water lapping at
the curbs of streets in Balboa
Island, Newport Beach.
1.12.1987 Waves of 6-9’ with sets up to 12’ hit One suspected drowning. 11’ boat
the coast. swamped.
2.2-4.1987 On 2.2 5-6’ waves hit the coast. Large surf inundated Seacoast Dr.
in Imperial Beach. A man and his
son were swept off Sunset Cliffs
and died.
12.16.1987 Stormy seas resulted from a strong 6 were rescued and 3 feared dead in
Alaskan storm. a sinking of a fishing boat near
Santa Barbara Island. A barge and
fishing boat uprooted moorings and
smashed into a wharf, and three
sailboats were thrown onto the
beach in Santa Barbara.
1.18-19.1988 Surf rose to 20’ along beaches, some 8 killed, 3 reported missing all over
breakers to 25’. Southern California. More than $68
million damage caused by surf.
Boulders protecting Mission Bay
were washed away. Asphalt and
dunes were washed out in
Coronado. Mission Beach condos
flooded by ocean water and kelp;
3’ of kelp landed in a front yard
and more kelp went through a
garage window! A boat was
capsized. 7 beach swimmers were
missing and 4 presumed drowned
on 1.21.
2.17.1988 Santa Ana winds reach 60 mph in LA 3 killed when truck overturned and
and Orange Counties. burned. 1 killed having stepped on
a downed power line. Power
outages (200,000 customers in LA
and Orange Co.). Minor structural
damage to signs, etc. Grass fires.
135
4.30.1988 An earthquake 46 miles west of San
Diego generates large surf of 14' with
sets to 20'.
5.29.1988 Gale force winds cause stormy seas. Avalon Harbor was closed after
several boats were driven ashore or
scattered. One boater presumed
dead. In Mission Bay one was
injured when a catamaran was
capsized. Piers were closed and
surf claimed part of a restaurant in
Redondo Beach. Boats were
capsized around San Pedro. Two
boaters died. Several boats were
smashed against the rocks in
Avalon Harbor.
3.19.1991 Strong storm winds created large A 33’ sailboat was blown aground
waves and surf. and destroyed at Pt. Loma.
7.24-26.1996 7-10’ surf with sets to 12’ generated by 500+ rescues made at Southern CA
an intense South Pacific storm south of beaches.
Tahiti.
9.25-26.1997 Hurricane Nora produces waves 20'+ at Tidal flooding over a 14 block
Seal Beach. stretch in Seal Beach.
136
2.23-28.1998 High surf from a big storm combined Coastal damage and flooding
with high tides. (damage to Ocean Beach Pier).
Several homes destroyed in San
Diego County. Rocks were on
highway 101 in Cardiff. Parking
lots of restaurant row were littered
with rocks and debris up to 1’ deep.
Restaurants forced to cover
windows with plywood.
10.27.2000 Heavy rain and very high tides. Coastal inundation and flooding at
Sunset Beach (Seal Beach).
1.9.2001 Very high tide, but only 4' surf. Surfside in Seal Beach flooded.
11.27.2001 Strong winds off the coast. Boat accident off Newport Beach.
9.5-6.2004 Large surf from Hurricane Howard. More than 1,000 rescues during the
Waves 6-12’ throughout Orange hottest day of the year at the beach.
County. Water temperature 72°. Estimated 575,000 beach visitors.
1.8.2005 Large waves on top of very high tides Coastal flooding of PCH and
greater than 7’. boardwalk at Seal Beach.
12.21.2005 A powerful storm in the east Pacific Broken surfboards, rescues, beach
generated large surf with sets of 20’. erosion. All piers were shut down.
Surf flooded a parking lot in
Carlsbad and floated several cars.
Boardwalk damage in Dana Point.
Tow-in surfing occurred 1.5 miles
off Seal Beach.
137
Miscellaneous: Dense fog, barometric pressure, dry spells, etc.
2.21.1985 A sticky white rain fell across Southern Everything was covered with fine
California. Apparently, strong winds white grit, slightly alkaline, but
blew dust from the dry Owens and non-toxic.
China Lakes and mixed with rain
clouds.
138
1.17.1988 Lowest barometric pressure at Los
Angeles: 29.25”.
11.3.2002 Dense fog in south LA. 194 vehicles were involved on two
pileups on the 710 freeway. 0
deaths and 41 injuries.
139
Appendix B - Weather Glossary
Acid Rain: Cloud or rain droplets containing pollutants, such as oxides of sulfur and nitrogen, to
make them acidic (eg. pH <7.0). < 7.0)
Adiabatic Process: The change of temperature of air without transferring heat. In an adiabatic
process compression results in warming, and expansion results in cooling.
Advection: The horizontal transport of air or atmospheric properties. Commonly used with
temperatures, i.e., “warm air advection”.
Advection Fog: Fog that forms as warmer, moist air moves over a cold surface. The air is cooled
to saturation by the loss of heat to the cold surface.
Advisory: Advisories are issued for weather situations that cause significant inconveniences but
do not meet warning criteria and, if caution is not exercised, could lead to life-threatening
situations. Advisories are issued for significant events that are occurring, are imminent, or have a
very high probability of occurrence.
Air Mass: A large body of air having similar horizontal temperature and moisture
characteristics.
Air Mass Thunderstorm: Generally, a thunderstorm not associated with a front or other type of
synoptic-scale forcing mechanism. Air mass thunderstorms typically are associated with warm,
humid air in the summer months; they develop during the afternoon in response to insolation,
and dissipate rather quickly after sunset. They generally are less likely to be severe than other
types of thunderstorms, but they still are capable of producing downbursts, brief heavy rain, and
(in extreme cases) hail over 0.75” in diameter. Also, see Pulse Thunderstorm, Popcorn
Convection and Single Cell Thunderstorm.
Air Parcel: An imaginary small body of air that is used to explain the behavior of air. A parcel is
large enough to contain a very great number of molecules, but small enough so that the
properties assigned to it are approximately uniform throughout.
Air Pressure: The force exerted on a surface by the weight of the air above it. The
internationally recognized unit for measuring this pressure is the kilopascal.
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Air Stagnation: A meteorological situation in which there is a major buildup of air pollution in
the atmosphere. This usually occurs when the same air mass is parked over the same area for
several days. During this time, the light winds cannot “cleanse” the buildup of smoke, dust,
gases, and other industrial air pollution.
Aleutian Low: A semi-permanent, subpolar area of low pressure located in the Gulf of Alaska
near the Aleutian Islands. It is a generating area for storms and migratory lows often reach
maximum intensity in this area. It is most active during the late fall to late spring. During the
summer, it is weaker, retreating towards the North Pole and becoming almost nonexistent.
During this time, the North Pacific High pressure system dominates.
Algorithm: A computer program (or set of programs) which is designed to systematically solve
a certain kind of problem. Numerical Prediction models have algorithms programmed into them
to determine derived fields, such as precipitation or rising motion. WSR-88D radars (NEXRAD)
employ algorithms to analyze radar data and automatically determine storm motion, probability
of hail, VIL, accumulated rainfall, and several other parameters.
Altimeter: An instrument that indicates the altitude of an object above a fixed level. Pressure
altimeters use an aneroid barometer with a scale graduated in altitude instead of pressure.
Altimeter Setting: That pressure value to which an aircraft altimeter scale is set so that it will
indicate the altitude above mean sea-level of an aircraft on the ground at the location for which
the value was determined.
Altitude: Height expressed as the distance above a reference point, which is normally sea level
or ground level.
Altocumulus (Ac): These clouds are composed of mainly water. They appear as white or gray
colored roll like elements or bands. The individual elements are large and darker than in
cirrocumulus clouds. These clouds form between 6,500 and 23,000 feet.
Altocumulus Castellanus (ACCAS): They are middle level convective clouds and possibly they
should be classified as clouds with extensive vertical development. They are composed of mainly
water vapor. They are characterized by their billowing tops and comparatively high bases. These
clouds form between 6,500 and 23,000 feet. These clouds are a sign of instability aloft, and may
precede the rapid development of thunderstorms.
141
Altocumulus Standing Lenticular (ACSL): These clouds are formed on the crests of waves
crested by barriers in the wind flow, such as mountains. The clouds show little movement and
have the shape of a lens, hence the name standing lenticular. Wind, however, can be quite strong
blowing through the cloud. They are characterized by their smooth, polished edges and may look
like a stack of pancakes or a UFO. These may also form on wave crests. They are composed of
mainly water vapor and form between 6,500 and 23,000 feet.
Altostratus (As): It is a bluish veil or layer of clouds having a fibrous appearance. The outline of
the sun may show dimly as through frosted glass. It often merges gradually into cirrostratus. As
with cirrostratus, it often is part of a cloud shield associated with a front. This type of cloud is
composed of mainly water vapor and result from lifting a layer. These clouds form between
6,500 and 23,000 feet.
Anabatic Wind: A wind which blows up a steep slope or mountain side. It is also known as an
upslope flow. These winds typically occur during the daytime in calm sunny weather. A hill or
mountain top will be radiatively warmed by the sun which in turn heats the air just above it. See
Katabatic Wind.
Anticyclone: An area of high pressure around which the wind blows clockwise in the Northern
Hemisphere and counterclockwise in the Southern Hemisphere. At the center of the circulation,
there is sinking air. Generally, this sinking air provides clear skies.
Anvil: The flat, spreading top of a Cumulonimbus Cloud (Cb). Thunderstorm anvils may spread
hundreds of miles downwind from the thunderstorm itself, and sometimes may spread upwind.
Apparent Temperature: A measure of human discomfort due to combined heat and humidity. It
measures the increased physiological heat stress and discomfort associated with higher than
comfortable humidity. The apparent temperature is less than the actual air temperature when the
humidity is relatively low and that the apparent temperature indicates the reduced stress and
increased comfort associated with the higher rate of evaporative cooling of the skin.
.
Arctic Air: A mass of very cold, dry air that usually originates over the Arctic Ocean north of
Canada and Alaska.
Arctic High: A very cold high pressure that originates over the Arctic Ocean.
Area Forecast Discussion (AFD): This NWS product is intended to provide a well-reasoned
discussion of the meteorological thinking which went into the preparation of the Zone Forecast
Product. The forecaster will try to focus on the most particular challenges of the forecast. At the
end of the discussion, there will be a list of all advisories, watches and warnings that are not
short-fused (lasting less than 6 hours).
142
Arid: An adjunctive applied to regions where precipitation is so deficient in quantity, or occurs
at such times, that agriculture is impracticable without irrigation.
Arroyo: A water-carved channel or gully in arid country, usually rather small with steep banks,
dry most of the time, due to infrequent rainfall and the shallowness of the cut which does not
penetrate below the level of permanent ground water.
Atmosphere: The gaseous envelope surrounding the earth, composed primarily of nitrogen and
oxygen.
Atmospheric Pressure: The pressure asserted by the mass of the column of air directly above
any specific point (also called air pressure or barometric pressure).
Atmospheric Stability: An indication of how easily a parcel of air is lifted. If the air is very
stable it is difficult to make the parcel rise. If the air is very unstable the parcel may rise on its
own once started.
Aurora: A glowing light display in the nighttime sky cause by excited gases in the upper
atmosphere giving off light. In the Northern Hemisphere, it is called the aurora borealis (northern
lights). In the Southern Hemisphere, it is called aurora australis (southern lights).
Automated Local Evaluation in Real Time (ALERT): A local flood warning system where
river and rainfall data area collected via radio signals in real-time at an ALERT base station.
Automated Surface Observing System: ASOS serves as the nation's primary surface weather
observing network. It is designed to support weather forecast activities and aviation operations
and, at the same time, support the needs of the meteorological, hydrological, and climatological
research communities.
Avalanche: A mass of snow, rock, and/or ice falling down a mountain or incline. In practice, it
usually refers to the snow avalanche. In the United States, the term snow slide is commonly used
to mean a snow avalanche.
Aviation Area Forecast (FA): This NWS aviation product is a forecast of clouds and weather
conditions over an area as large as the size of several states. It must be used in conjunction with
Airmet bulletins for the same area in order to get a complete picture of the weather. The area
forecast together with the Airmet Sierra bulletin are used to determine forecast enroute weather
and to interpolate conditions at airports which do not have terminal forecasts (FT's) issued.
Aviation Weather Center (AWC): One of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction.
The Aviation Weather Center (AWC), located in Kansas City, Mo., enhances aviation safety by
issuing accurate warnings, forecasts and analyses of hazardous weather for aviation interests.
The Center identifies existing or imminent weather hazards to aircraft in flight and creates
warnings for transmission to the aviation community. The Center also originates operational
143
forecasts of weather conditions that will affect domestic and international aviation interests.
AWIPS: Advanced Weather Information Processing System. NWS computer workstations that
integrate graphics, including computer models, satellite and radar imagery.
Back Door Cold Front: A cold front moving south or southwest, the opposite of typical cold
fronts which move eastward.
Backing: A counterclockwise change in wind direction with increasing height in the atmosphere.
For example, the wind direction would change from the north at the ground to the northwest
aloft. This is indicative of the airmass cooling or cold air advection (CAA).
Bar: An obstacle formed at the shallow entrance to the mouth of a river or bay.
Baroclinic Zone: A region in which a temperature gradient exists on a constant pressure surface.
Baroclinic zones are favored areas for strengthening and weakening systems; barotropic systems,
on the other hand, do not exhibit significant changes in intensity. Also, wind shear is
characteristic of a baroclinic zone. See Barotropic System.
Barometer: An instrument for measuring atmospheric pressure. The two most common types
are the mercury barometer and the aneroid barometer.
Barotropic System: A weather system in which temperature and pressure surfaces are
coincident, i.e., temperature is uniform (no temperature gradient) on a constant pressure surface.
Barotropic systems are characterized by a lack of wind shear. See Baroclinic Zone.
Base Reflectivity (R): This WSR-88D radar product depicts a full 360° sweep of echo intensity
data. It is available for every elevation angle that is sampled in a volume scan. It is used to
observe precipitation intensity and movement; determine storm structure; estimate hail potential;
locate boundaries (cold front, outflow, sea breeze, etc.); identify cloud layers; and detect light
snow, drizzle, birds, insects, and smoke plumes.
Base Velocity (V): This WSR-88D radar product depicts a full 360° sweep of radial velocity
data. It is available for every elevation angle that is sampled in a volume scan. It is used to
estimate wind speed and direction; determine regions of significant shear (convergence, etc.);
locate boundaries (cold front, outflow, sea breeze, etc.); identify areas of circulation; and
determine storm structure.
Beach Erosion: The carrying away of beach materials by wave action, currents, tides, or wind.
144
Bermuda High: A semi-permanent, subtropical area of high pressure in the North Atlantic
Ocean off the East Coast of North America that migrates east and west with varying central
pressure. Depending on the season, it has different names. When it is displaced westward, during
the Northern Hemispheric summer and fall, the center is located in the western North Atlantic,
near Bermuda. In the winter and early spring, it is primarily centered near the Azores in the
eastern part of the North Atlantic. Then it may be referred to as the Azores High.
Best Track: A subjectively smoothed path, versus a precise and very erratic fix-to-fix path, used
to represent tropical cyclone movement. It is based on an assessment of all available data.
Black Ice: Thin, new ice on fresh or saltwater, appearing dark in color because of its
transparency; also popularly applied to thin hazardous ice coverings on roads.
Blizzard: A winter storm which produces the following conditions for at least 3 hours:
* Sustained winds or frequent gusts to 35 miles per hour or greater, and
* Considerable falling and/or blowing snow reducing visibility to less than 1/4 mile.
Blizzard Warning: This product is issued by the NWS when blizzard conditions are life
threatening. The criteria for this warning varies from state to state.
Blocking High: The development of a warm ridge or cutoff high aloft at high latitudes which
becomes associated with a cold high at the surface, causing a split in the westerly winds. Such a
high will move very slowly, tending to move west during intensification and east during
dissipation. It prevents the movement of migratory cyclones across its latitudes. Two examples
are a cut-off high and an Omega block.
Blowing: A descriptor used to amplify observed weather phenomena (dust, sand, snow, and
spray) whenever the phenomena are raised to a height of 6 feet or more above the ground and
reduces horizontal visibility to less than 7 statue miles.
Blowing Dust (BLDU): Wind-driven dust that significantly reduces surface visibility to less than
7 miles.
Blowing Snow (BLSA): Wind-driven sand that significantly reduces surface visibility to less
than 7 miles.
Blowing Snow (BLSN): Wind-driven snow that significantly reduces surface visibility to less
than 7 miles. BLIZZARD: Snow with winds in excess of 35 mph and visibilities of 1/4 mile or
less, for an extended period of time (e.g. > 3 hours).
Boundary Layer: In general, a layer of air adjacent to a bounding surface. Specifically, the term
most often refers to the planetary boundary layer, which is the layer within which the effects of
friction are significant. For the earth, this layer is considered to be roughly the lowest one or two
kilometers of the atmosphere. It is within this layer that temperatures are most strongly affected
by daytime insolation and nighttime radiational cooling, and winds are affected by friction with
the earth's surface. The effects of friction die out gradually with height, so the “top” of this layer
cannot be defined exactly.
145
Broken (BKN): An official sky cover classification for aviation weather observations,
descriptive of a sky cover of 5/8 to 7/8.
Cap or Cap Strength: It measures the ability of stable air aloft (a layer of relatively warm air) to
inhibit low-level parcel ascent. Empirical studies show that a cap greater than 2°C often
precludes thunderstorms in the absence of a strong dynamical or forced lift. This occurs even
when the instability is excessive. A strong cap prevents widespread convection from occurring.
Also called a lid.
Categorical: An NWS precipitation descriptor for a 80%, 90%, or 100% chance of measurable
precipitation (0.01”). See Precipitation Probability (PoP).
Ceiling: The height of the lowest layer of clouds, when the sky is broken or overcast.
Ceilometer: A device used to evaluate the height of clouds or the vertical visibility into a
surface-based obscuration.
Celsius: A temperature scale in which 0° is the freezing point of water and 100° is the boiling
point.
Chaff: Small strips of metal foil usually dropped in large quantities from aircraft or balloons.
Chaff typically produces a radar echo which closely resembles precipitation. Chaff drops once
were conducted by the military in order to confuse enemy radar, but now are conducted mainly
for radar testing and calibration purposes.
Chance: An NWS precipitation descriptor for 30%, 40%, or 50% chance of measurable
precipitation (0.01”). When the precipitation is convective in nature, the term scattered is used.
See Precipitation Probability (PoP).
Chinook Wind: A warm, dry foehn wind that descends the eastern slope of the Rocky
Mountains. The warmth and dryness of this wind can quickly melt and evaporate snowcover.
Another kind of foehn wind is the Santa Ana.
Cirriform: High altitude ice clouds with a very thin wispy appearance.
146
Cirrocumulus(Cc): They are thin clouds, the individual elements which appear as small white
flakes or patches of cotton, usually showing brilliant and glittering quality suggestive of ice
crystals. They form at altitudes between 16,500 to 45,000 feet above ground.
Cirrocumulus Standing Leticular (CCSL): These clouds are formed on the crests of waves
crested by barriers in the wind flow. The clouds show little movement hence the name standing.
Wind, however, can be quite strong blowing through the cloud. They are characterized by their
smooth, polished edges. They may also form on wave crests. They are ice crystal clouds and
generally are whiter than ACSL. These clouds from between 16,500 and 45,000 feet.
Cirrostratus (Cs): They are thin, whitish cloud layers appearing like a sheet or veil. They are
diffuse, sometimes partially striated or fibrous. Due to their ice crystal makeup, these clouds are
associated with halos - large, luminous circles or arcs of circles surrounding the sun or moon.
The layer frequently is the edge of a frontal shield. They form at altitudes between 16,500 to
45,000 feet above ground.
Cirrus (Ci): They are thin, feather like clouds composed entirely of ice crystals. They form at
altitudes between 16,500 to 45,000 feet above ground. Thunderstorm anvils are a form of cirrus
cloud, but most cirrus clouds are not associated with thunderstorms.
Civil Emergency Message (CEM): These NWS statements are issued when a local or state
official wants a warning disseminated regarding nuclear accidents, spills of toxic material, and
other similar situations.
Climate: The historical record of average daily and seasonal weather events.
Climatological Data (CD): This National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) publication, also
produced monthly and annually, contains daily temperature and precipitation data for over 8,000
locations.
Climate Diagnostics Center (CDC): The CDC is part of the National Oceanic & Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA). Their mission is to identify the nature and causes of climate variations
on time scales ranging from a month to centuries. The goal of this work is to develop the ability
to predict important climate variations on these time scales.
Climate Prediction Center (CPC): The CPC is one of nine national centers that comprises the
National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). Their mission is to maintain a
continuous watch on short-term climate fluctuations and to diagnose and predict them. These
efforts are designed to assist agencies both inside and outside the federal government in coping
with such climate related problems as food supply, energy allocation, and water resources.
Closed Low: A low pressure area with a distinct center of cyclonic circulation which can be
completely encircled by one or more isobars or height contour lines. The term usually is used to
distinguish a low pressure area aloft from a low-pressure trough. Closed lows aloft typically are
147
partially or completely detached from the main westerly current or jet stream, and thus move
relatively slowly and erratically. See Cutoff Low.
Cloud: A visible aggregate of minute water droplets or ice particles in the atmosphere above the
Earth's surface.
Cloud Height: The height of the base of a cloud or cloud layer above the surface of the earth.
Cloud Layer: An array of clouds whose bases are at approximately the same level.
Cloud Seeding: An experimental process used to weaken hurricanes or enhance rainfall in dry
areas.
Cloud Streets: Rows of cumulus or cumulus-type clouds aligned parallel to the low-level flow.
Cloud streets sometimes can be seen from the ground, but are seen best on satellite photographs.
Cloudy: When the predominant/average sky condition is covered completely by opaque (not
transparent) clouds.
Clutter: Radar echoes that interfere with observation of desired signals on the radar display.
Coalescence: The process by which water droplets in a cloud collide and come together to form
raindrops.
Coastal Convergence: The convergence or running together of land and sea winds, creating a
stronger band of wind near the shore. Factors such as the shape of the shoreline and the angle
between the wind and the shore determine the severity of this effect. See also Island Effect and
Convergence Zone.
Coastal Flood Statement: This NWS product keeps the public and cooperating agencies
informed of the status of existing coastal flood watches and warnings as well as provides an
update on local conditions. It is also used to cancel a Coastal Flood Watch or a Coastal Flood
Warning.
Coastal Flood Warning: This NWS product alerts residents along the Atlantic, Pacific, and
Gulf Coasts that coastal flooding is either imminent or occurring.
Coastal Flood Watch: This NWS product alerts residents along the Atlantic, Pacific, and Gulf
Coasts to the possibility of coastal flooding.
Coastal Flooding: Flooding that occurs where water is driven onto land from an adjacent body
of water, usually caused by a combination of high surf and high tides. The high surf can come
from strong winter storms or tropical cyclones.
Coastal Waters Forecast (CWF): A forecast of wind, wave and weather conditions between the
coastline and 60 miles offshore.
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Cold Air Advection: Transport of cold air into a region by horizontal winds.
Cold Core Low: A low pressure area which is colder at its center than at its periphery. Mid-
latitude cyclones exhibit this temperature pattern. They usually produce much of their cloud
cover and precipitation during the daytime when the instability is the greatest. At night, the
clouds and precipitation usually diminishes significantly.
Cold Front: The leading edge of a relatively colder airmass which separates two air masses in
which the gradients of temperature and moisture are maximized. In the northern hemisphere
winds ahead of the front will be typically southwest and shift into the northwest with frontal
passage.
Cold Pool: A region of relatively cold air, represented on a weather map analysis as a relative
minimum in temperature surrounded by closed isotherms. Cold pools aloft represent regions of
relatively low stability, while surface-based cold pools are regions of relatively stable air.
Comma Cloud: A synoptic scale cloud pattern with a characteristic comma-like shape, often
seen on satellite photographs associated with large and intense low-pressure systems.
Composite Reflectivity(CR): This WSR-88D radar product displays the maximum reflectivities
for each resolution grid box for all elevation angles in a volume scan. Available with combined
attribute table which provides valuable information concerning storm characteristics, such as
storm tops, maximum radial velocity and reflectivity, and possible existence of hail and
mesocyclones. It is used to observe the highest reflectivities in a storm from any scanned
elevation angle; determine intensity trends; and generate cross section through maximum
reflectivity.
Continental Air Mass: A dry air mass originating over a large land area.
Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE): It defines the vertically integrated positive
buoyancy of an adiabatically rising air parcel on a sounding. This is proportional to the amount
kinetic energy that the air parcel gains while it is warmer that the surrounding environment. As a
result, CAPE provides the best measure of the potential instability available in the atmosphere.
Increasing values of CAPE generally lead to progressively vigorous convection. However,
severe thunderstorms can form in environments showing weak to moderate CAPE, especially if
the Storm Relative Helicity values are high.
Convective Clouds: The vertically developed family of cumulus and cumulonimbus clouds. The
height of their bases range from as low as 1,000 feet to a bit more than 10,000 feet. Clouds with
extensive vertical development are positive indications of unstable air. Strong upward currents in
vertically developed clouds can carry high concentrations of supercooled water to high levels
where temperatures are quite cold. Upper portions of these clouds may be composed of water
and ice.
Convective SIGMETs: These NWS aviation products are issued in the conterminous U.S. for
any of the following. Severe thunderstorm due to: surface winds greater than or equal to 50
knots, hail at the surface greater than or equal to 0.75” in diameter, tornadoes, embedded
thunderstorms, line of thunderstorms, or thunderstorms greater than or equal to VIP level 4
affecting 40% or more of an area at least 3000 square miles. Any Convective SIGMET implies
severe or greater turbulence, severe icing, and low level wind shear.
Convergence Line or Zone: A horizontal line or zone along which horizontal convergence of
the airflow is occurring. Common forms of convergence lines are sea-breeze fronts, cold-air
outflow from thunderstorms, and synoptic fronts. In areas of complex terrain, these are often
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produced by air moving around terrain features. The effect is rising air motion along a line of
convergence in the lee of the features, causing convective showers, thunderstorms, waterspouts
or funnel clouds. See also Island Effect.
Cooperative Observer: An individual (or institution) who takes precipitation and temperature
observations-and in some cases other observations such as river stage, soil temperature, and
evaporation-at or near their home, or place of business. Many observers transmit their reports by
touch-tone telephone to an NWS computer, and nearly all observers mail monthly reports to the
National Climatic Data Center to be archived and published.
Coriolis Effect: The effect caused by the Earth's rotation which deflects air moving between two
places. It causes an object to move to the right in the Northern Hemisphere and to the left in the
Southern Hemisphere.
County Warning Area (CWA): The area assigned to a specific NWS Forecast Office for the
purpose of warnings issuance and hazard awareness responsibility.
Creek: A small stream of water which serves as the natural drainage course for a small drainage
basin.
Cumuliform: Descriptive of all clouds with vertical development in the form of rising mounds,
domes, or towers.
Cumulonimbus Cloud (Cb): They are the ultimate manifestation of instability. They are
vertically developed clouds of large dimensions with dense “boiling” tops often crowned with
thick veils of dense cirrus (anvil). This is also called a “thunderstorm cloud”. It can produce very
heavy precipitation, lightning, large hail (greater than 0.75”), damaging winds, and tornadoes.
Cumulus Cloud (Cu): These clouds form in convective currents and are characterized by
relatively flat bases and dome-shaped tops. Fair weather cumulus do not show extensive
“towers” or vertical development and do not produce precipitation. A cumulus may, however, be
an early stage in the development of towering cumulus or cumulonimbus. More often fair
weather cumulus indicate a relatively shallow layer of instability.
Cumulus Congestus: Same as towering cumulus. Sometimes referred to just as congestus.
Cutoff Low: A closed low which has become completely displaced (cut off) from basic westerly
current (such as the jet stream), and moves independently of that current. Cutoff lows may
remain nearly stationary for days, or on occasion may move westward opposite to the prevailing
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flow aloft (i.e., retrogression), or erratically. “Cutoff low” and “closed low” often are used
interchangeably to describe low pressure centers aloft. However, not all closed lows are
completely removed from the influence of the basic westerlies. Therefore, the recommended
usage of the terms is to reserve the use of “cutoff low” only to those closed lows which clearly
are detached completely from the westerlies. See also Closed Low.
Cyclone: An area of low atmospheric pressure that has a closed circulation. Cyclones (or more
commonly called “low pressure areas”) rotate counter-clockwise in the Northern Hemisphere
and clockwise in the Southern Hemisphere. They often bring about clouds and precipitation.
Also the term used for a hurricane in Australia and the Indian Ocean.
Cyclonic Circulation (or Cyclonic Rotation): Circulation (or rotation) which is in the same
sense as the Earth's rotation, i.e., counterclockwise (in the Northern Hemisphere) as would be
seen from above. Nearly all mesocyclones and strong or violent tornadoes exhibit cyclonic
rotation, but some smaller vortices, such as gustnadoes, occasionally rotate anticyclonically
(clockwise). Compare with anticyclonic rotation.
Daily Climate Report: As the name indicates, this tabular climatological product is issued daily
by each NWS office. It is organized so that similar items are grouped together (i.e., temperature,
precipitation, wind, sunrise and sunset times, etc.).
dBZ: A logarithmic expression for reflectivity factor, referenced to (1 mm6 / 1 m3). dBZ = 10 log
( z / 1 mm6 m3). See decibel.
Dead Fuel Moisture: Dead fuel moisture responds solely to ambient environmental conditions
and is critical in determining fire potential. Dead fuel moistures are classed by time lag. Dead
fuels in NFDRS have four classes. 1-hr fuels are fine flashy fuels, less than 0.25” diameter, that
respond quickly to weather changes and are computed from observation time temperature,
humidity and cloudiness. 10-hr fuels are 0.25” to 1” in diameters and are computed from
observation time temperature, humidity, and cloudiness, or may be a standard set of “10-Hr Fuel
Sticks” that are weighed as part of the fire weather observation. 100-hr fuels are 1” to 3” in
diameter and computed from 24 hour average boundary condition composed of day length, hours
of rain, and daily temperature/humidity ranges. 1000-hr fuels are 3” to 6” in diameter and
computed from a 7-day average boundary condition composed of day length, hours of rain, and
daily temperature/humidity ranges.
Debris Cloud: A rotating “cloud” of dust or debris, near or on the ground, often appearing
beneath a condensation funnel and surrounding the base of a tornado. Note that a debris cloud
appearing beneath a thunderstorm will confirm the presence of a tornado, even in the absence of
a condensation funnel.
Decibel (dB): This is a logarithmic expression comparing the energy that the radar emits (Z1) to
the energy that radar receives back from a radar target (Z2). It is expressed mathematically as
Z (dBZ) = 10 log (Z1/Z2) The solution to this equation lets the radar operator know the strength
of a target. The value of Z is a function of the amount of radar beam energy that is back scattered
by a target and detected as a signal (or echo). Higher values of Z (and dBZ) thus indicate more
energy being back scattered by a target. See also dBZ.
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Decouple: The tendency for the surface wind to become much lighter than wind above it at night
when the surface temperature cools.
Degree Day: It gauges the amount of heating or cooling needed for a building using 65°F as a
baseline. To compute heating/cooling degree-days, take the average temperature for a day and
subtract the reference temperature of 65°F. If the difference is positive, it is called a Cooling
Degree Days. If the difference is negative, it is called a Heating Degree Days. The magnitude of
the difference is the number of days. For example, if your average temperature is 50°F for a day
in December, the difference of the average temperature for that day and the reference
temperature of 65°F would yield a minus 15°. Therefore, you know that you are going to have 15
Heating Degree Days that day. Electrical, natural gas, power, and heating, and air conditioning
industries utilize heating and cooling degree information to calculate their needs.
Dense Fog Advisory: This product is issued by the NWS when widespread fog reduces visibility
to less than or equal to ¼ mile.
Dew: Water droplets that form upon surfaces on or near the ground when air is cooled toward its
dew point.
Directional Shear: The component of wind shear which is due to a change in wind direction
with height, e.g., southeasterly winds at the surface and southwesterly winds aloft. A veering
wind with height in the lower part of the atmosphere is a type of directional shear often
considered important for tornado development.
Dirty Ridge: Most of the time, upper-level ridges bring fairly clear weather as the storms are
steered around the ridge. Sometimes, however, strong storms undercut the ridge and create
precipitation. Ridges that experience this undercutting by storms are known as dirty ridges
because of the unusual occurrence of precipitation.
Diurnal: Daily; related to actions which are completed in the course of a calendar day, and
which typically recur every calendar day (e.g., diurnal temperature rises during the day, and
diurnal falls at night).
Divergence: A measure of the expansion or spreading out of a vector field; usually said of
horizontal winds. It is the opposite of convergence. Divergence at upper levels of the atmosphere
enhances upward motion, and hence the potential for thunderstorm development (if other factors
also are favorable).
Doppler Radar: A Weather Surveillance Radar (WSR-88D) system developed in 1988. About
120 systems were installed at Weather Forecast Offices. An additional 24 systems were installed
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at Department of Defense (Air Force Bases) sites. This powerful and sensitive Doppler system
generates many useful products for meteorologists, among them: standard reflectivity echoes,
wind velocity or atmospheric air motion pictures, and areal 1-hour, 3-hour, or storm-total
precipitation images. This radar can also measure radial velocity, the instantaneous component of
motion parallel to the radar beam (i.e., toward or away from the radar antenna).
Doppler Shift: The change in observed frequency of wave energy due to the relative motion of
the observer and wave source. For example, as a train approaches your location, you hear a
higher pitch sound. After the train has passed your location, you will hear a lower pitch sound.
The Doppler radar uses this change in frequency to determine the velocity and direction of the
wind.
Downdraft: A small-scale column of air that rapidly sinks toward the ground as in a shower or
thunderstorm. A downburst is the result of a strong downdraft.
Downslope Flow: Air that descends down a mountain chain or over sloping terrain (pressurized
air moving from high pressure to low pressure), resulting in subsequent drying, and in some
cases, dramatic warming of air that can quickly melt a snowcover. Local names for downslope
winds or “foehn winds” in the western United States are Chinook Winds, East Winds, North
Winds, Mono Winds and Santa Ana Winds. Usually associated with little or no clouds.
Drainage Basin or Area: A part of the surface of the earth that is occupied by a drainage
system, which consists of a surface stream or a body of impounded surface water together with
all tributary surface streams and bodies of impounded surface water.
Drizzle (DZ): Fairly uniform precipitation composed exclusively of fine drops with diameters
less than 0.02” (0.5 mm) which are very close together. Drizzle appears to float while following
air currents, although unlike fog droplets, it falls to the ground. The intensity of drizzle is based
solely on visibility.
Drought: A period of abnormally dry weather sufficiently prolonged from the lack of
precipitation to cause a serious hydrologic imbalance.
Drought Index: Computed value which is related to some of the cumulative effects of a
prolonged and abnormal moisture deficiency. (An index of hydrological drought corresponding
to levels below the mean in streams, lakes, and reservoirs.).
Dryline: A boundary separating moist and dry air masses and an important factor in severe
weather frequency in the Great Plains. It typically lies north-south across the central and
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southern high Plains states during the spring and early summer, where it separates moist air from
the Gulf of Mexico (to the east) and dry desert air from the southwestern states (to the west).
Dry Microburst: A microburst with little or no precipitation reaching the ground, most common
in semi-arid regions. They may or may not produce lightning. Dry microbursts may develop in
an otherwise fair-weather pattern; visible signs may include a cumulus cloud or small Cb with a
high base and high-level virga, or perhaps only an orphan anvil from a dying rain shower. At the
ground, the only visible sign might be a dust plume or a ring of blowing dust beneath a local area
of virga. Compare with wet microburst.
Dry Slot: A zone of dry (and relatively cloud-free) air which wraps east or northeast into the
southern and eastern parts of a large or small scale low pressure system. A dry slot generally is
seen best on satellite photographs.
Dust Devil: A small, vigorous whirlwind, usually of short duration, rendered visible by dust,
sand, and debris picked up from the ground. They range from 10 feet to greater than 100 feet in
diameter, and can extend up to 1000 feet above the ground. They are caused by intense surface
heating. This heating causes the air to rapidly rise and thus, a mini low pressure system is
formed. They are usually found in desert or dry climatic regions where dust and dirt can be easily
lifted. Only rarely do they cause any damage. Wind speeds can reach 30 to 60 mph.
Dynamics: Generally, any forces that produce motion or effect change. In operational
meteorology, dynamics usually refer specifically to those forces that produce vertical motion in
the atmosphere.
Easterly Wave: A wavelike disturbance in the tropical easterly winds that usually moves from
east to west. Such waves can grow into tropical depressions.
Ebb Current: A receding tidal current that moves water away from shore or down a tidal river
or estuary.
Echo: Energy back scattered from a target (precipitation, clouds, etc.) and received by and
displayed on a radar screen.
ECMWF: An acronym for European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting model.
See European Model.
El Niño: The warm phase of the Southern Oscillation (SO). Characterized by the warming of the
sea surface temperatures (SST) in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, beginning at
about Christmas time (hence the name “El Niño”, which is Spanish for “Christ child”). This
causes the sardine population to die off the Peru coast. The anomalously warm water also causes
the deep convection to shift from its normal position near Indonesia to the east. This is also
preceded and accompanied by anomalous westerly wind at low levels. During the warm phase of
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the SO severe drought occurs over Indonesia and Australia. The warming of the ocean in the
tropical Pacific increases the strength of the Hadley circulation (a global wind pattern) and
causes the entire tropics to warm. The strengthened hemispheric north-south temperature
gradient adds energy to the atmosphere. In particular, the subtropical jet is stronger and its
maximum wind extends farther to the east than is normal. This is often related to the deeper than
normal Aleutian low, a split jet-level flow over the western U.S. and a trough in the southeastern
U.S.. This pattern is called the “Pacific North American Teleconnection pattern”. When
established, it leads to warm, dry conditions over the northern U.S., particularly the Northwest,
and to unusually wet conditions over the southern U.S.. The El Niño typically lasts from 12 to 18
months. See Southern Oscillation, ENSO, and La Niña.
El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO): An acronym designed to stress the special importance
of the warm phase (El Niño) of the Southern Oscillation. See El Niño and Southern Oscillation.
Enhanced Fujita Scale (EF-scale): A system originally developed as the Fujita Scale by Dr.
Theodore Fujita of the University of Chicago to classify tornadoes based on wind damage. The
Enhanced Fujita Scale is an adaptation implemented by the NWS in 2007 to more accurately rate
tornadoes from EF0 for weakest to EF5 for strongest tornadoes. See also Fujita F Scale.
Environmental Modeling Center (EMC): This is one of 9 centers that comprises the National
Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). This center improves numerical weather, marine
and climate predictions, through a broad program of research in data assimilation and modeling.
In support of the NCEP operational forecasting mission, the EMC develops, improves and
monitors data assimilation systems and models of the atmosphere, ocean and coupled system,
using advanced methods developed internally as well as cooperatively with scientists from
Universities, NOAA Laboratories and other government agencies, and the international scientific
community.
European Model: One of medium-range (3 to 7 days) forecast models that forecasters use to
write their extended forecasts. It has a resolution of 75 kilometers and covers the entire northern
hemisphere. This model comes from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
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(ECMWF) which is an international organization supported by 18 European Member States. See
GFS and UKMET.
Excessive Heat Warning: This product is issued by the NWS when excessive heat is life
threatening. The criteria for this warning varies from state to state.
Extratropical: A term used in advisories and tropical summaries to indicate that a tropical
cyclone has lost its “tropical” characteristics. The term implies both poleward displacement of
the cyclone and the conversion of the cyclone's primary energy source from the release of latent
heat of condensation to baroclinic (the temperature contrast between warm and cold air masses)
processes. It is important to note that cyclones can become extratropical and still retain winds of
hurricane or tropical storm force.
Eye: The relatively calm center in a hurricane that is more than one half surrounded by wall
cloud. The winds are light, the skies are partly cloudy or even clear (the skies are usually free of
rain) and radar depicts it as an echo-free area within the eye wall. The hurricane eye typically
forms when the maximum sustained tangential wind speeds exceeds about 78 miles an hour. The
eye diameter, as depicted by radar, ranges typically from as small as 5 to 10 miles upwards to
about 100 miles. The average hurricane eye diameter is a little over 20 miles. When the eye is
shrinking in size, the hurricane is intensifying.
Fahrenheit (F): The standard scale used to measure temperature in the United States, in which
the freezing point of water is 32° and the boiling point is 212°.
Fair: It is usually used at night to describe less than 3/8 opaque clouds, no precipitation, no
extremes of visibility, temperature or winds. It describes generally pleasant weather conditions.
Fetch: The area in which ocean waves are generated by the wind. Also refers to the length of the
fetch area, measured in the direction of the wind.
Few (FEW): An official sky cover classification for aviation weather observations, descriptive
of a sky cover of 1/8 to 2/8. This is applied only when obscuring phenomenon aloft are present--
that is, not when obscuring phenomenon are surface-based, such as fog. Also, an NWS
convective precipitation descriptor for a 10% chance of measurable precipitation (0.01”). Few is
used interchangeably with isolated. See Precipitation Probability (PoP).
Fire Behavior: A complex chain-reaction process that describes the ignition, buildup,
propagation, and decline of any fire in wildland fuels.
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Fire Danger: The result of both constant factors (fuels) and variable factors (primarily weather),
which affects the ignition, spread, and difficulty of control of fires and the damage they cause.
Fire Danger Rating: A fire control management system that integrates the effects of selected
fire danger factors into one or more qualitative or numerical indices from which ease of ignition
and probable fire behavior may be estimated.
Fire Weather Services: Routine daily forecasts; spot forecasts; prescribed burn forecasts; smoke
management forecasts and information, advisories, observations, summaries, and briefings
produced in and by an NWS office during normal working hours, plus warnings of critical
weather conditions. Generally, these basic services are tailored to meet the specific needs of user
agencies.
Fire Weather Watch: A product issued by the NWS when fuel conditions and weather portray a
high or extreme fire danger, usually when very low humidity and strong winds are forecast. This
is usually followed by a Red Flag Warning.
Flash Flood: A flood which follows within a few hours (usually less than 6 hours) of heavy or
excessive rainfall, or dam or levee failure. This is a dangerous situation that threatens lives and
property.
Flash Flood Statement (FFS): This product is issued after either a Flash Flood Watch or a Flash
Flood Warning has been issued by a local NWS Forecast Office. It will provide the latest
information on the flash flooding situation or event. It will also be used to remove parts of the
geographical area covered by the original watch or warning when the flash flooding event is no
longer a threat or has ended in a certain area. Finally, this statement can be used to terminate the
original watch or warning when it is no longer valid.
Flash Flood Warning (FFW): This warning signifies a short duration of intense flooding of
communities, streams, or urban areas with high peak rate of flow. Flash floods may result from
such things as torrential downpours or dam and levee breaks. They are issued by the local NWS
Office for 4 hours or less. \
Flash Flood Watch (FFA): This product is issued by the local NWS office for events that have
the potential for short duration (usually less than 6 hours) intense flooding of communities,
streams or areas for which the occurrence is neither certain nor imminent. This watch indicates
that flash flooding is a possibility in or close to the watch area. Those in the affected area are
urged to be ready to take action if a Flash Flood Warning is issued or flooding is observed. A
Flash Flood Watch may be issued for potential flooding from eitherdam breaks, or torrential
downpours.
Flood: The inundation of a normally dry area caused by high flow, or overflow of water in an
established watercourse, such as a river or stream. This is a duration type event with a slower
onset than flash flooding, normally greater than 6 hours.
Flood Stage: A gage height at which a watercouse overtops its banks and begins to cause
damage to any portion of the defined reach.
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Flood Statement (FLS): This product is issued after either a Flash Flood Watch or a Flash Flood
Warning has been issued by a local NWS Forecast Office. It will provide the latest information
on the flash flooding situation or event. It will also be used to remove parts of the geographical
area covered by the original watch or warning when the flash flooding event is no longer a threat
or has ended in a certain area. Finally, this statement can be used to terminate the original watch
or warning when it is no longer valid.
Flood Warning (FLW): This warning signifies a longer duration and more gradual flooding of
communities, streams, or urban areas. Floods usually begin after 6 hours of excessive rainfall.
Flood Watch (FLA): This watch is issued by a local NWS Office to indicate that there is a
potential of flooding in or close to the watch area. Those in the affected area are urged to be
ready to take action if a flood warning is issued or flooding is observed. In flooding, the onset of
flooding take place much slower (usually greater than 6 hours) than a flash flood.
Flow: 1. The general movement of air, either in the upper or lower atmosphere, e.g. “onshore
flow” is air moving from the ocean to land. 2. Volume of water in a river or stream, passing a
specific observation site, during a specific time period. It is typically expressed in units of cubic
feet per second.
Flurries: Light snowfall that generally does not produce a measurable accumulation.
Fog (FG): A visible aggregate of minute water particle (droplets) which are based at the Earth's
surface and reduces horizontal visibility to less than 5/8 statue mile, and unlike drizzle, it does
not fall to the ground. It occurs most frequently in coastal regions because of the great water
vapor content of the air. However, it can occur anywhere. The rapidity with which fog can form
makes it especially hazardous. It forms by any atmospheric process that does one of the
following: Cools the air to its dew point, or raises the dew point to the air temperature. Names
given to fog types identify their methods of formation. The principle types are radiation fog, ice
fog, advection fog, upslope fog, rain induced fog, and steam fog. These types of fog are called
“dense” when the surface visibility is equal to or less than 1/4 mile. A Dense Fog Advisory will
be issued when the dense fog becomes widespread.
Foëhn: A warm dry wind on the lee side of a mountain range. The heating and drying are due to
adiabatic compression as the winds descend downslope. Foëhn winds are Mistrals in France,
Sciroccos in North Africa, Chinooks in the northern plains of the U.S., Mono Winds in Northern
California, Diablo Winds in the San Francisco Bay Area, and Santa Ana Winds in Southern
California.
Forecast Models: Forecasters use numerical weather models to make their forecasts. These
numerical models are classified into four main classes. The first is global models, which focus on
the entire northern hemisphere. The second is national models, which focus on the USA. The
third is regional models. These regional models have a finer grid than national models and are
run out for smaller periods of time. The final class of models is relocatable models, which do not
focus on any permanent geographical location. Relocatable models are very limited on the size
of the geographical area for which they can forecast, but these models have very high
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resolutions, or very small forecast grid boxes.
Freeze: It is when the surface air temperature is expected to be 32°F or below over a widespread
area for a climatologically significant period of time. Use of the term is usually restricted to
advective situations or to occasions when wind or other conditions prevent frost. Adjectives such
as “killing”, “severe”, or “hard” will be used when appropriate. “Killing” may be used during the
growing season when the temperature is expected to be low enough for a sufficient duration to
kill all but the hardiest herbaceous crops or plants.
Freezing Level: The lowest altitude in the atmosphere, or a given location, at which the air
temperature is 32°F.
Freezing Rain or Drizzle: This occurs when rain or drizzle freezes on surfaces (such as the
ground, trees, power lines, motor vehicles, streets, highways, etc.) that have a temperature of
32°F or below. Small accumulations of ice can cause driving and walking difficulties.
Meanwhile, heavy accumulations of ice can pull down trees and utility lines. In this situation, it
would be called an Ice Storm.
Front: A boundary or transition zone between two air masses of different density, and thus
(usually) of different temperature. A moving front is named according to the advancing air mass,
e.g., cold front if colder air is advancing. See cold front, occluded front, stationary front, and
warm front.
Frost: The formation of ice crystals on the ground or other surfaces in the form of scales,
needles, feathers, or fans. Frost develops under conditions similar to dew, except the
temperatures of the Earth's surface and earthbound objects fall below 32°F. As with the term
“freeze”, this condition is primarily significant during the growing season. If a frost period is
sufficiently severe to end the growing season or delay its beginning, it is commonly referred to
as a “killing frost”. Some objects cool more efficiently than the air, and can cause frost to form
on objects, even when air temperatures are well above freezing.
Frost/Freeze Advisory: This product is issued by the NWS when freezing temperatures or
conditions conducive to the formation of frost occur during the growing season.
Fuel Moisture: The water content of fuel particle expressed as a percent of the oven dried
weight of the fuel particle. Fuel moisture observations are generally for the 10-hour time lag
fuels (medium-sized roundwood 0.25” to 1” in diameter).
Fujita Scale (F-scale): A scale used to classify the strength of a tornado. It was devised by Dr.
Theodore Fujita from the University of Chicago. The F-scale gives tornadoes a numerical rating
from F0 to F5 based on wind damage. This system was adjusted by the NWS as the Enhanced
Fujita Scale and implemented in 2007.
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Funnel Cloud (FC): A condensation funnel extending from the base of a towering cumulus or
Cb, associated with a rotating column of air that is not in contact with the ground (and hence
different from a tornado). A condensation funnel is a tornado, not a funnel cloud, if either it is in
contact with the ground, or a debris cloud or dust whirl is visible beneath it.
Gale Warning: The NWS will issue marine warnings for 1-minute sustained winds between 34
(39 mph) and 47 knots (54 mph) are expected in coastal waters.
Geostationary Satellite: Satellites orbiting at 22,370 miles above the Earth's surface with the
same rotational velocity as the Earth; therefore, the satellite remains over the same location on
the Earth 24 hours a day.
Glaze: Ice formed by freezing precipitation covering the ground or exposed objects.
Global Forecast System (GFS): The MRF and AVN forecast models from NCEP were
combined into a single system and renamed the Global Forecast System (GFS). The GFS
produces forecasts out to 16 days, four times per day.
Global Warming: An overall increase in world temperatures which may be caused by additional
heat being trapped by greenhouse gases.
Graupel: Small pellets of ice created when supercooled water droplets coat, or rime, a
snowflake. The pellets are cloudy or white, not clear like sleet, and often are mistaken for hail.
Also called soft hail, snow pellets, or tapioca snow.
Gravity Wave: A wave disturbance in which buoyancy acts as the restoring force on parcels
displaced from hydrostatic equilibrium. Waves on the ocean are examples of gravity waves.
Greenhouse Effect: The heating effect caused by gases in the atmosphere absorbing heat (solar
radiation) instead of letting it escape back into space. There are 2 types: Natural - It is what
keeps the Earth's average temperature at 59°F instead of 0°F. In this case, the most abundant
greenhouse gas is water vapor. Anthropogenic - Additional warming caused by having too
much carbon dioxide (CO2).
Ground Clutter: A pattern of radar echoes from fixed ground targets (buildings, hills, etc.) near
the radar. Ground clutter may hide or confuse precipitation echoes near the radar antenna. It is
usually more noticeable at night when the radar beam is encountering superrefractive conditions.
Ground Fog: Fog produced over the land by the cooling of the lower atmosphere as it comes in
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contact with the ground. Also known as radiation fog, and in Central California as tule fog.
Groung fog has little vertical extent (usually 20 feet or less).
Gust: A brief sudden increase in wind speed. Generally the duration is less than 20 seconds and
the fluctuation greater than 10 mph.
Gust Front: Formed when the down draft and rain-cooled air of a thunderstorm reach the
ground, and then spread out along the ground. Usually marked by a sudden wind shift, sharply
falling temperatures, and possibly heavy downpours and/or hail. If two or more of these gust
fronts intersect each other, a new thunderstorm could possibly develop. Sometimes it is
associated with a shelf cloud or roll cloud. Also, see downburst, gustnado, and outflow
boundary. .
Gustnado: Slang for a gust front tornado. A small tornado, usually weak and short-lived, that
occurs along the gust front of a thunderstorm. Often it is visible only as a debris cloud or dust
whirl near the ground. Gustnadoes are not associated with storm-scale rotation (i.e.
mesocyclones).
Hail (GR): Precipitation in the form of balls or lumps usually consisting of concentric layers of
ice. A thunderstorm is classified as severe when it produces hail 0.75” or larger in diameter.
Haines Index: This is also called the Lower Atmosphere Stability Index. It is computed from the
morning (12Z) soundings from RAOB stations across North America. The index is composed of
a stability term and a moisture term. The stability term is derived from the temperature difference
at two atmosphere levels. The moisture term is derived from the dew point depression at a single
atmosphere level. This index has been shown to be correlated with large fire growth on initiating
and existing fires where surface winds do not dominate fire behavior. The Haines Indexes range
from 2 to 6 for indicating potential for large fire growth: 2 – Very Low Potential (Moist Stable
Lower Atmosphere), 3 – Very Low Potential, 4 – Low Potential, 5 – Moderate Potential, 6 –
High Potential (Dry unstable lower atmosphere.
Halos: Rings or arcs that seem to encircle the sun or moon. They are caused by the refraction of
light through the ice crystals in cirrus clouds.
Haze (HZ): A concentration of salt particles or other dry particles not readily classified as dust
or other phenomenon. Occurs in stable air usually only a few thousand feet thick, but may extend
as high as 15,000 feet. Haze layers often have definite tops above which the visibilities are good.
However, the visibility in the haze layer can be very poor.
Heat Advisory: This product is issued by the NWS when excessive heat may pose a hazard or is
life threatening if action is not taken. The criteria for this advisory varies from state to state.
Heat Index: The Heat Index (HI) or the “Apparent Temperature” is an accurate measure of how
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hot it really feels when the Relative Humidity (RH) is added to the actual air temperature. As an
example, if the air temperature is 90°F and the Relative Humidity (RH) is 70%, the Heat Index
(HI)--or how hot it actually feels--is 106°F. This index was devised for shady, light wind
conditions. Exposure to full sunshine can increase Heat Index (HI) values by up to 15°F. Also
strong winds, particularly with very hot, dry air, can be extremely dangerous. Any value Heat
Index (HI) greater than 105°F is in the Danger Category. When the Heat Index is between 105-
115°F for 3 hours or more, a Heat Advisory will be issued by the local NWS Forecast Office.
See also Apparent Temperature.
Heat Island: A dome of elevated temperatures over an urban area caused by the heat absorbed
by structures and pavement.
Heat Lightning: Lightning that occurs at a distance such that thunder is no longer audible.
Heavy Snow: Depending on the region of the USA, this generally means that four or more
inches of snow has accumulated in 12 hours, or six or more inches of snow in 24 hours.
Height: The altitude above sea level at which a specified pressure is present, e.g. a 500 millibar
height may be 5640 meters in altitude. Lower values indicate an upper trough of low pressure
while higher values indicate an upper ridge of high pressure.
Helicity: A property of a moving fluid which represents the potential for helical flow (i.e. flow
which follows the pattern of a corkscrew) to evolve. Helicity is proportional to the strength of the
flow, the amount of vertical wind shear, and the amount of turning in the flow (i.e. vorticity).
Atmospheric helicity is computed from the vertical wind profile in the lower part of the
atmosphere (usually from the surface up to 3 km), and is measured relative to storm motion. This
value allows the forecaster to determine the rotational tendency of a thunderstorm. Higher values
of helicity (generally, around 150 m2/s2 or more) favor the development of mid-level rotation
(i.e. mesocyclones). Extreme values can exceed 600 m2/s2. It is dependent on the local
environmental wind profile in which a thunderstorm develops and the thunderstorm motion.
High: A region of high pressure, marked as a blue “H” on a weather map. A high is usually
associated with fair weather. See anticyclone.
High Clouds: These clouds have bases between 16,500 and 45,000 feet in the mid latitudes. At
this level they are composed of primarily of ice crystals. Some clouds at this level are cirrus,
cirrocumulus, and cirrostratus.
High Wind Advisory: This product is issued by local NWS Forecast Offices when high wind
speeds may pose a hazard. The criteria for this advisory varies from state to state.
High Wind Watch: This product is issued by local NWS Forecast Offices when there is the
potential of high wind speeds developing that may pose a hazard or is life threatening.
High Wind Warning: This product is issued by local NWS Forecast Offices when high wind
speeds may pose a hazard or is life threatening. The criteria for this warning varies from state to
state.
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Hook or Hook Echo: A pendant or hook on the right rear of a radar echo that often identifies
mesocyclones on the radar display. The hook is caused by precipitation drawn into a cyclonic
spiral by the winds, and the associated notch in the echo is caused by precipitation-free, warm,
moist air flowing into the storm. A hook often is associated with a mesocyclone, and indicates
favorable conditions for tornado development.
Humidity: Generally, a measure of the water vapor content of the air. Popularly, it is used
synonymously with relative humidity.
Hurricane: A warm-core tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained surface wind (using
the U.S. 1-minute average) is 64 kt (74 mph or 119 kph) or more. The term hurricane is used for
Northern Hemisphere cyclones east of the International Dateline to the Greenwich Meridian. It
has a diameter of 250 to 500 miles and a cyclonic circulation typically extending to near 50,000
feet. It is called a Typhoon in the western Pacific north of the Equator and west of the
International Dateline, a Cyclone in the Indian Ocean, and Baguio in the Philippines area. See
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Intensity Scale.
Hurricane Local Statement (HLS): This product is issued by a local NWS office when it is in
or near an area threatened by a tropical storm or a hurricane. This statement will take the place of
Special (SPS) and Severe (SVS) Statements, Flash Flood/Flood (FFS) Statements, Coastal Flood
Statements, and Marine Weather (MWS) Statements. This statement does not replace the tropical
storm or hurricane advisory from a hurricane center; rather, it complements the advisory with
crucial local information. Inland offices close to the coast may use HLSs if tropical storm or
hurricane conditions are forecasted or observed.
Hurricane Season: The portion of the year having a relatively high incidence of hurricanes. The
hurricane season in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico runs from June 1 to November
30. The hurricane season in the Eastern Pacific basin runs from May 15 to November 30. The
hurricane season in the Central Pacific basin runs from June 1 to November 30.
Hurricane Warning: A warning that sustained winds 64 kt (74 mph or 119 kph) or higher
associated with a hurricane are expected in a specified coastal area in 24 hours or less. A
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hurricane warning can remain in effect when dangerously high water or a combination of
dangerously high water and exceptionally high waves continue, even though winds may be less
than hurricane force.
Hydrologic Cycle: The constant movement of water above, on, and below the Earth's surface.
Processes such as precipitation, evaporation, condensation, infiltration, and runoff comprise the
cycle. Within the cycle, water changes forms in response to the Earth's climatic conditions.
Hydrology: The applied science concerned with the waters of the earth, their occurrences,
distribution, and circulation through the unending hydrologic cycle of: Precipitation, consequent
runoff, infiltration, and storage; eventual evaporation; and so forth. It is concerned with the
physical and chemical reaction of water with the rest of the earth, and its relation to the life of the
earth.
Hydrometeor: A particle of condensed water (liquid, snow, ice, graupel, hail) in the atmosphere.
Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC): This is one of 9 centers that comprises the
National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). This national center provides basic
hydrometeorological analysis and forecasts for NWS Field Offices and the entire meteorological
community. HPC meteorologists serve as experts in quantitative precipitation forecasting and
numerical model interpretation. Products provided by the HPC include surface analyses,
outlooks for heavy rain and snow, as well as guidance weather forecasts through five days.
Hydrometeorologists: Individuals who have the combined knowledge in the fields of both
meteorology and hydrology which enables them to study and solve hydrologic problems where
meteorology is a factor.
Hydrometeorology: The interdisciplinary science involving the study and analysis of the
interrelation between the atmospheric and land phases of water as it moves through the
hydrologic cycle.
Ice Crystals (IC): A fall of unbranched (snow crystals are branched) ice crystals in the form of
needles, columns, or plates. They are also referred to as Diamond Dust.
Ice Fog: Occurs when the temperature is much below freezing and water vapor condenses
directly as ice crystals (sublimation). It is a radiational fog and the conditions for its formation
are the same as for radiational fog except that the temperature must be cold. It occurs mostly in
Arctic regions, but it is not unknown in middle latitudes during the cold season.
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Ice Pellets (PL): Precipitation of transparent and translucent pellets of ice, which are round or
irregular, rarely conical, and which have a diameter of 0.2” (5 mm), or less. Ice Pellets bounce
when they make contact with the ground. It is sometimes called “Sleet”. There are two main
types: 1 – Hard grains of ice consisting of frozen raindrops, or largely melted and refrozen
snowflakes. 2 – Pellets of snow encased in a thin layer of ice which have formed from the
freezing, either of droplets intercepted by the pellets, or of water resulting from the partial
melting of the pellets.
Ice Storm: Occasions when damaging accumulations of ice are expected during freezing rain
situations. Significant accumulations of ice pull down trees and utility lines resulting in the loss
of power and communications. These accumulations of ice make walking and driving extremely
dangerous. Significant ice accumulation are accumulations of 0.25” or greater.
Ice Storm Warning: This product is issued by the NWS when freezing rain produces a
significant and possibly damaging accumulation of ice. The criteria for this warning varies from
state to state.
Indian Summer: An unseasonably warm and calm period near the middle of autumn, usually
following a substantial period of cool weather. Usually referred to in northern climates.
Infrared (IR) Satellite Imagery: This satellite imagery senses surface and cloud top
temperatures by measuring the wavelength of electromagnetic radiation emitted from these
objects. This energy is called “infrared”. High clouds are very cold, so they appear white. Mid-
level clouds are somewhat warmer, so they will be a light gray shade. Low clouds are warmer
still, so they appear as a dark shade of gray or black. Often, low clouds are the same temperature
as the surrounding terrain and cannot be distinguished at all. This imagery can be used both
during the day and night.
Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ): The boundary zone separating the northeast trade
winds of the Northern Hemisphere from the southeast trade winds of the Southern Hemisphere.
This region often contains convection along the zone.
Inversion: Generally, a departure from the usual increase or decrease in an atmospheric property
with altitude. Specifically it almost always refers to a temperature inversion, i.e., an increase in
temperature with height, or to the layer within which such an increase occurs. This occurs when
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warm air sits over cold air, possibly trapping moisture and pollutants in the surface air layer. An
inversion is present at the top of the marine layer and in the lower part of a cap.
Iridescent Clouds: Clouds that exhibit brilliant bright spots, bands, or borders of colors, usually
red and green, observed up to about 30 degrees from the sun. The coloration is due to the
diffraction with small cloud particles producing the effect. It is usually seen in thin cirrostratus,
cirrocumulus, and altocumulus clouds.
Island Effect (Bands): The effect that produces lines of convection in the lee of islands. As
winds are forced around the islands, they collide on the lee side and air is forced upward. In an
unstable air mass, this can produce convective showers, thunderstorms, waterspouts and funnel
clouds. See also Convergence Zone.
Isolated Storm: An individual cell or a group of cells that are identifiable and separate from
other cells in a geographic area.
Isothermal Layer: Any layer where the temperature is constant with altitude, such that the
temperature lapse rate is zero. Specifically, the approximately isothermal region of the
atmosphere immediately above the tropopause.
Jet Max (or Speed Max, Jet Streak): A point or area of relative maximum wind speeds within
a jet stream.
Jet Streak: A concentrated region within the jet stream where the wind speeds are the strongest.
It sets up unique wind currents in its vicinity which either enhance or diminish the likelihood of
clouds and precipitation. It will propagate downstream along the jet stream axis.
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Jet Stream: A narrow band of strong winds in the atmosphere that controls the movement of
high and low pressure systems and associated fronts. Jet Streams meander from time to time.
Wind speeds can reach 200 mph or higher in certain cases. It is usually found at 30,000 to 40,000
feet above the earth's surface. It owes its existence to the large temperature contrast between the
polar and equatorial regions. The position and orientation of jet streams vary from day to day.
General weather patterns (hot/cold, wet/dry) are related closely to the position, strength and
orientation of the jet stream (or jet streams).
Jetty: A structure (e.g.; a pier, or mole of wood or stone) extending into a sea, lake, or river to
influence the current or tide or to protect a harbor.
Katabatic Wind: A wind that blows down a topographic incline such as a hill, mountain, or
glacier as a result of cold, dense air flowing downhill.
Knot: Unit of speed used in aviation and marine activities which is equal to 1 nautical mile per
hour or about 1.15 statue miles an hour.
Land Breeze: A wind that blows from the land towards a body of water and caused by the
difference in surface temperature (heating) of the land and water. Also known as an offshore
breeze.
Landspout: Slang for a tornado that does not arise from organized storm-scale rotation and
therefore is not associated with a wall cloud (visually) or a mesocyclone (on radar). Landspouts
typically are observed beneath Cbs or towering cumulus clouds (often as no more than a dust
whirl), and essentially are the land-based equivalents of waterspouts. It is believed that most
California tornadoes are of the landspout variety.
La Niña: The cool phase of the Southern Oscillation (SO), or the opposite of El Niño.
Characterized by the cooling of the sea surface temperatures (SST) in the central and eastern
equatorial Pacific Ocean. See El Niño, Southern Oscillation and ENSO.
Lapse Rate: The rate of change of an atmospheric variable, usually temperature, with height. A
steep lapse rate implies a rapid decrease in temperature with height (a sign of instability) and a
steepening lapse rate implies that destabilization is occurring.
Lee Effect: The effect of topography on winds to the lee (downwind) side of an obstacle such as
a steep island, cliff, or mountain range.
Leeside Low: Extratropical cyclones that form on the downwind (lee) side of a mountain chain.
In the United States, they frequently form on the eastern side of the Rockies and Sierra Nevada.
Left Front Quadrant: The area downstream from and to the left of an upper-level jet max (as
would be viewed looking along the direction of flow). Upward motion and severe thunderstorm
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potential sometimes are increased in this area relative to the wind speed maximum. Also, see
right rear quadrant.
Lightning: A sudden visible flash of energy and light caused by electrical discharges from
thunderstorms.
Lightning Flash: The total luminous phenomenon accompanying a lightning discharge. It may
be composed of one to a few tens of strokes that use essentially the same channel to ground.
Lightning Stroke: Any of a series of repeated electrical discharges comprising a single lightning
discharge (strike). Specifically, in the case of a cloud-to-ground discharge, a leader plus its
subsequent return streamer.
Likely: An NWS precipitation descriptor for a 60% or 70% chance of measurable precipitation
(0.01”). When the precipitation is showery or convective in nature, the term numerous will
occasionally be used. See Precipitation Probability (PoP).
Loaded Gun (Sounding): Slang for a sounding characterized by extreme instability but
containing a cap, such that explosive thunderstorm development can be expected if the cap can
be weakened or the air below it heated sufficiently to overcome it.
Local Storm Report (LSR): A product issued by local NWS offices to inform users of reports
of severe and/or significant weather-related events.
Longwave Trough: A trough in the prevailing westerly flow aloft which is characterized by
large length and (usually) long duration. Generally, there are no more than about five longwave
troughs around the Northern Hemisphere at any given time. Their position and intensity govern
general weather patterns (e.g., hot/cold, wet/dry) over periods of days, weeks, or months. Smaller
disturbances (e.g., shortwave troughs) typically move more rapidly through the broader flow of a
longwave trough, producing weather changes over shorter time periods (a day or less).
Low: A region of low pressure, marked as “L” on a weather map. A low center is usually
accompanied by precipitation, extensive cloudiness, and moderate winds. See cyclone.
Low Clouds: The bases of these clouds range from near the surface to about 6,500 feet in middle
latitudes. These clouds are almost entirely of water, but the water may be supercooled at sub-
freezing temperatures. Low clouds at sub-freezing temperatures can also contain snow and ice
particles. The two most common members of this family are stratus and stratocumulus.
Macroburst: One of 2 categories of downbursts (the other category is called a microburst). This
Downburst has an affected outflow area of at least 2.5 miles wide and peak winds lasting
between 5 and 20 minutes. Intense macrobursts may cause tornado-force damage up to F-3.
Main Stem: The reach of a river/stream formed by the tributaries that flow into it.
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Major Flooding: A general term including extensive inundation and property damage. (Usually
characterized by the evacuation of people and livestock and the closure of both primary and
secondary roads.)
Mammatus Clouds: Rounded, smooth, sack-like protrusions hanging from the underside of a
cloud (usually a thunderstorm anvil). Mammatus clouds often accompany severe thunderstorms,
but do not produce severe weather; they may accompany non-severe storms as well.
Marine Inversion: A temperature inversion created by the cooling of a warm air mass from
below by the cooler ocean.
Marine Weather Statement: The NWS will issue this statement: 1. To provide follow-up
information on Special Marine Warnings and to cancel all or part of a warning. 2. To describe
short duration, non-severe, but potentially hazardous conditions which sustained winds or
frequent gusts are less than 34 knots for 2 hours or less. Short-lived increases in winds, although
below threshold for Special Marine Warnings, that may make small craft handling difficult
especially for inexperienced boaters. 3. To provide information for a variety of conditions not
covered by warnings or routine forecasts (e.g., low water conditions, dense fog, etc.). 4. To
discuss increasing or decreasing winds and to convey details on possible later warnings.
Maritime Air Mass: A moist air mass originating over the ocean.
Mean Low Water (MLW): The average height of the daily low tides recorded over a 19-year
period at a specific location.
Mean Lower Low Water (MLLW): The average height of the lower of the two low tides
occurring during a tidal cycle recorded over a 19-year period at a particular location.
Mean Sea Level (MSL): The average height of the surface of the sea at a particular location for
all stages of the tide over a 19-year period. This is usually determined from the hourly height
readings of the tide gage at that site.
Mean Temperature: The average of a series of temperatures taken over a period of time, such
as a day or a month.
Melting Level: The altitude which ice crystals and snowflakes melt as they descend through the
atmosphere.
Meniscus: The curved surface of the liquid at the open end of a capillary column, as in a rain
gage.
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Meridional Flow: Large-scale atmospheric flow in which the north-south component (i.e.,
longitudinal, or along a meridian) is pronounced. The accompanying zonal (east-west)
component often is weaker than normal. Compare with zonal flow.
Mesocyclone (MESO): A storm-scale region of rotation, typically around 2-6 miles in diameter
and often found in the right rear flank of a supercell (or often on the eastern, or front, flank of an
HP storm). The circulation of a mesocyclone covers an area much larger than the tornado that
may develop within it. Properly used, mesocyclone is a radar term; it is defined as a rotation
signature appearing on Doppler radar that meets specific criteria for magnitude, vertical depth,
and duration.
Mesoscale: Size scale referring to weather systems smaller than synoptic-scale systems but
larger than storm-scale systems. Horizontal dimensions generally range from around 50 miles to
several hundred miles. Squall lines and large thunderstorm complexes are examples of mesoscale
weather systems.
METAR: A weather observation near ground level. It may include date and time, wind,
visibility, weather and obstructions to vision, sky condition, temperature and dew point, sea level
pressure, precipitation amount and other data used for aircraft operations.
Microburst: One of 2 categories of downbursts (the other category is called a macroburst). This
downburst has an affected outflow area of less than 2.5 miles wide and peak winds lasting less
than 5 minutes. They may induce dangerous horizontal/vertical wind shears, which can adversely
affect aircraft performance and cause property damage. They can be sub-classified into either dry
or wet microburst depending on how much (or little) rain accompanies the microburst when it
reaches the ground. Most microbursts are rather short-lived (5 minutes or so), but on rare
occasions they have been known to last up to 6 times that long.
Middle Clouds: In the middle family are the altostratus, altocumulus, and nimbostratus clouds.
The height of the bases of these clouds ranges from 6,500 to 23,000 feet in middle latitudes.
These clouds are primarily water; however, much of the water may be supercooled and the
clouds can contain some ice crystals.
Mid-Latitude Areas: Areas between 30° and 60° north and south of the Equator.
Millibar (mb): Unit of atmospheric pressure. It is equal to 0.03” of mercury and 100 Pa (pascal).
One thousand millibars equals 29.55” of mercury on a barometer. Normal surface pressure is
approximately 1013 millibars.
Minor Flooding: A general term indicating minimal or no property damage but possibly some
public inconvenience.
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Minor Tidal Overflow: Minor flooding caused by high tides, which results in little if any
damage.
Mist (BR): A visible aggregate of minute water particles suspended in the atmosphere that
reduces visibility to less than 7 statue miles, but greater than or equal to 5/8 statue miles.
Mixing: Air movements (usually vertical) that make the properties of a parcel of air
homogeneous. It may result in a lapse rate approaching the moist or dry adiabatic rate.
Model Output Statistics (MOS): A set of statistical equations that use model output to forecast
the probability of precipitation, high and low temperature, cloud cover, and precipitation amount
for many cities across the USA. The statistical equations were specifically tailored for each
location, taking into account factors such as each location's climate.
Monsoon: A persistent seasonal wind, often responsible for seasonal precipitation regime or a
wind which blows from opposite directions between winter and summer. Usually the wind blows
from land to sea in winter and from sea to land in summer. In the Southwest U.S. the “Southwest
Monsoon” occurs during late summer, producing usually diurnal thunderstorms. For many desert
locations, this is the cause of the majority of the annual rainfall.
Mostly Clear:When the predominant/average sky condition is covered 1/8 to 2/8 with opaque
(not transparent) clouds. Sometime called Mostly Sunny if it is during the day.
Mostly Cloudy: When the predominant/average sky condition is covered by more than half, but
not completely covered by opaque (not transparent) clouds. In other words, 5/8 to 7/8 of the sky
is covered by opaque clouds.
Mostly Sunny: When the predominant/average daytime sky condition is covered 1/8 to 2/8 with
opaque (not transparent) clouds. Same as mostly clear.
MRF - Medium-Range Forecast model: The MRF was one of the main models forecasters use
for the medium range time period beyond 48 hours into the future. It is has been replaced by the
Global Forecast System (GFS).
Multicell Thunderstorms: These thunderstorms are organized in clusters of at least 2-4 short-
lived cells. Each cell generates a cold air outflow and these individual outflows combine to form
a large gust front. Convergence along the gust front causes new cells to develop every 5 to 15
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minutes. The cells move roughly with the mean wind.
NAM: An acronym for the North American model. generated every 6 hours by NCEP.
National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP): The National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration created the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)
to take advantage of improving technology and better serve the public and modernized NWS.
The NCEP's goal is to protect life and property, as well as mitigate economic loss, by providing
accurate forecasts and forecast guidance products to weather service field offices. The NCEP
prepares and makes available national forecasts and outlooks of weather and climate.
Meteorologists currently generate weather forecasts to seven days. Climate predictions are made
for two weeks out to a year. Nine national centers comprise the NCEP: Aviation Weather Center,
Climate Prediction Center, Environmental Modeling Center, Hydrometeorological Prediction
Center, NCEP Central Operations, Ocean Prediction Center, Space Environmental Center, Storm
Prediction Center, and Tropical Prediction Center.
National Climatic Data Center (NCDC): Located in Asheville, North Carolina, the agency that
archives and distributes climatic and forecast data.
National Fire Danger Rating System (NFDRS): A system that directly integrates the effects of
fuels, topography, and weather into components that associates with occurrence and fire behavior
potential. The system uses the components to derive indices that indicate the number of fires,
difficulty of containment, and finally, the total fire control job in a rating area. The system is
intended to provide guidance for short-range planning by evaluating the near upper limits of the
behavior of fires that might occur in an area during the rating period. It is not designed to serve
as a direct fire behavior forecast.
National Hurricane Center (NHC): This center maintains a continuous watch on tropical
cyclones over the Atlantic, Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico, and the Eastern Pacific from 15 May
through November 30. The Center prepares and distributes hurricane watches and warnings.
During the “off-season” NHC provides training for U.S. emergency managers and
representatives from many other countries that are affected by tropical cyclones. NHC also
conducts applied research to evaluate and improve hurricane forecasting techniques, and is
involved in public awareness programs.
National Weather Service (NWS): The National Weather Service (NWS) provides weather,
hydrologic, and climate forecasts and warnings for the United States, its territories, adjacent
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waters and ocean areas, for the protection of life and property and the enhancement of the
national economy. NWS data and products form a national information database and
infrastructure which can be used by other governmental agencies, the private sector, the public,
and the global community. This mission is accomplished by providing warnings and forecasts of
hazardous weather, including thunderstorms, flooding, hurricanes, tornadoes, winter weather,
tsunamis, and climate events. The NWS is the sole United States official voice for issuing
warnings during life-threatening weather situations.
Neap Tide: A minimum tide occurring at the first and third quarters of the moon.
Negative-Tilt Trough: An upper level system which is tilted to the west with increasing latitude
(i.e., with an axis from southeast to northwest). A negative-tilt trough often is a sign of a
developing or intensifying system.
Negative Vorticity Advection (NVA): A region of negative vorticity usually several hundred of
kilometers wide on a upper level chart that moves with the general wind flow. It aids in weather
prediction by showing where regions of sinking air. This is typically associated with clear skies.
NESDIS: An acronym for National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service.
Nimbostratus (Ns): A dark, gray cloud characterized by more or less continuously falling
precipitation. It is not accompanied by lightning, thunder, or hail. They normally occur between
6,500 and 23,000 feet above the ground.
NOAA All-Hazards Radio: It is the voice of the NWS. NOAA All-Hazards Radio broadcasts
NWS warnings, watches, forecasts and other hazard information from other government
agencies 24 hours a day. It is provided as a public service by the Department of Commerce's
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The NOAA All-Hazards Radio network has
more than 700 stations.
NOAA Weather Wire Service (NWWS): The NOAA Weather Wire Service is the primary
telecommunications network for NWS forecasts, warnings and other products to the mass media
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(newspapers, radio stations, TV, etc.) and emergency management agencies. The NWWS is a
satellite communications system that transmits NWS products directly from NWS offices to
external users. The NWWS satellite communications system is operated by GTE Corp., under
contract to the NWS. The system uses satellite transmitting (i.e. “uplink”) equipment at more
than 58 major NWS forecast offices.
Noctilucent Clouds: Wavy, thin, bluish-white clouds that are best seen at twilight in polar
latitudes. They form at altitudes about 80 to 90 km above the Earth's surface.
North American Model (NAM): The North American model, which is generated every 6 hours
by NCEP. This model is more regional in nature and contains a higher spatial resolution than the
more global GFS model.
Normal: The long-term average value of a meteorological element for a certain area. For
example, “temperatures are normal for this time of year”. Usually averaged over 30 years.
Nowcast: A weather forecast, generally out to six hours or less. This is also called a Short Term
Forecast.
NSSL (National Severe Storms Laboratory): NSSL is one of NOAA's internationally known
Environmental Research Laboratories, leading the way in investigations of all aspects of severe
weather. Headquartered in Norman OK with staff in Colorado, Nevada, Washington, Utah, and
Wisconsin, the people of NSSL, in partnership with the NWS, are dedicated to improving severe
weather warnings and forecasts in order to save lives and reduce property damage.
Nucleus: A particle of any nature upon which molecules of water or ice accumulate.
Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP): Forecasting weather by the use of numerical models,
run on high speed computers. Most of the NWP for the NWS is done at the National Centers for
Environmental Prediction (NCEP).
Occluded Front (Occlusion): A complex frontal system that ideally forms when a cold front
overtakes a warm front. When the air is colder than the air ahead of it, the front is called a cold
occlusion. When the air behind the front is milder than the air ahead of it, it is called a warm
occlusion. These processes lead to the dissipation of the front in which there is no gradient in
temperature and moisture.
Ocean Prediction Center (OPC): This is one of 9 centers that comprise the National Centers
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for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). The Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) is an integral
component of NCEP. OPC is located at the NOAA Science Center in Camp Springs, MD. The
primary responsibility is the issuance of marine warnings, forecasts, and guidance in text and
graphical format for maritime users. Also, the OPC quality controls marine observations globally
from ship, buoy, and automated marine observations for gross errors prior to being assimilated
into computer model guidance. In addition OPC coordinates with the National Hurricane Center
(NHC) with forecast points for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean E of 65°W.
Offshore Flow: Air movement from the interior toward the ocean, usually associated with dry
weather. Can be caused by any combination of offshore pressure gradients (higher pressure over
the interior and lower pressure off the coast), temperature gradients (colder air over the interior
and warmer air off the coast), and/or northeast winds aloft that transfer to the surface. See Foehn
and Santa Ana.
Offshore Forecast (OFF): This marine forecast is designed to serve users who operate beyond
the coastal waters where it usually requires more than a day or more of sailing to and from port
(from 60 to 250 nautical miles). These users are mainly commercial fishermen and merchant
shipping and, to a lesser extent, government and research vessels and large recreational craft.
Omega: A term used to describe vertical motion in the atmosphere. Omega is determined by the
amount of spin (or large scale rotation) and warm (or cold) advection present in the atmosphere.
On a weather forecast chart, high values of omega (or a strong omega field) relate to upward
vertical motion in the atmosphere. If this upward vertical motion is strong enough and in a
sufficiently moist air mass, precipitation results.
Omega High: A blocking ridge of high pressure that forms in the middle or upper troposphere. It
looks like the Greek letter omega (Ω).
Onshore Flow: Air movement from the ocean across land. A sea breeze is indicative of onshore
flow. It usually indicates an increase in moisture. Can be caused by onshore pressure gradients
(higher pressure over the ocean and lower pressure over land).
Orographic: Related to, or caused by, physical geography (such as mountains or sloping
terrain).
Orographic Lifting (Upslope Flow): Occurs when air is forced to rise and cool due to terrain
features such as hills or mountains. If the cooling is sufficient, water vapor condenses into
clouds. Additional cooling results in rain or snow. It can cause extensive cloudiness and
increased amounts of precipitation in higher terrain.
Orphan Anvil: Slang for an anvil from a dissipated thunderstorm, below which no other clouds
remain.
Overcast (OVC): An official sky cover classification for aviation weather observations, when
the sky is completely covered by an obscuring phenomenon. This is applied only when obscuring
phenomenon aloft are present--that is, not when obscuring phenomenon are surface-based, such
as fog.
Overrunning: A weather pattern in which a relatively warm air mass is in motion above another
air mass of greater density at the surface. Embedded thunderstorms sometimes develop in such a
pattern; severe thunderstorms (mainly with large hail) can occur, but tornadoes are unlikely.
Overrunning often is applied to the case of warm air riding up over a retreating layer of colder
air, as along the sloping surface of a warm front. Such use of the term technically is incorrect,
but in general it refers to a pattern characterized by widespread clouds and steady precipitation
on the cool side of a front or other boundary.
Overshooting: The failure of the radar to detect a target due to the radar beam passing above the
target.
Overshooting Top (or Penetrating Top): A dome-like protrusion above a thunderstorm anvil,
representing a very strong updraft and hence a higher potential for severe weather with that
storm. A persistent and/or large overshooting top (anvil dome) often is present on a supercell. A
short-lived overshooting top, or one that forms and dissipates in cycles, may indicate the
presence of a pulse storm or a cyclic storm.
Ozone: A nearly colorless (but faintly blue) gaseous form of oxygen, with a characteristic odor
like that of weak chlorine. Its chemical formula is O3. It is usually found in trace amounts in the
atmosphere, but it is primarily found at 30,000 to 150,000 feet above the ground. Its production
results from photochemical process involving ultraviolet radiation. Because it absorbs harmful
radiation at those heights, it is a very beneficial gas. However, photochemical processes
involving industrial/vehicle emissions can produce ozone near the ground. In this case, it can be
harmful to people with respiratory or heart problems.
Palmer Drought Severity Index: An index whereby excesses or deficiencies of precipitation are
determined in relation to average climate values. The index takes in to account precipitation,
potential and actual evapotranspiration, infiltration of water into the soil, and runoff.
Partly Cloudy: When the predominant/average sky condition is covered 3/8 to 4/8 with opaque
(not transparent) clouds. Same as Partly Sunny.
Partly Sunny: When the predominant/average sky condition is covered 3/8 to 4/8 with opaque
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(not transparent) clouds. Same as Partly Cloudy.
Patchy or Patches of: Used with fog to denote random occurrence over relatively small areas.
Peak Wind Speed: The maximum instantaneous wind speed since the last observation that
exceeded 25 knots.
Pineapple Connection or Pineapple Express: Slang for a water vapor plume from the tropics.
Usually used on the West Coast describing a plume of water vapor extending from Hawaii.
Polar Front: A semipermanent, semicontinuous front that separates tropical air masses from
polar air masses.
Polar Jet Stream: A jet stream that is associated with the polar front in the middle and high
latitudes. It is usually located at altitudes between 9,000 and 12,000 km.
Polar Orbiting Satellite: A weather satellite which travels over both poles each time it orbits the
Earth. It orbits about 530 miles (850 km) above the Earth's surface.
Ponding: In flat areas, runoff collects, or ponds in depression and cannot drain out. Flood waters
must infiltrate slowly into the soil, evaporate, or be pumped out.
Popcorn Convection: Slang for showers and thunderstorms that form on a scattered basis with
little or no apparent organization, usually during the afternoon in response to diurnal heating.
Individual thunderstorms typically are of the type sometimes referred to as air-mass
thunderstorms. These thunderstorms are small, short-lived, very rarely severe, and they almost
always dissipate near or just after sunset. See Pulse Thunderstorm, Air Mass Thunderstorm and
Single Cell Thunderstorm.
Positive-Tilt Trough: An upper level system which is tilted to the east with increasing latitude
(i.e., from southwest to northeast). A positive-tilt trough often is a sign of a weakening weather
system, and generally is less likely to result in severe weather than a negative-tilt trough if all
other factors are equal.
Positive Vorticity Advection (PVA): A region of positive vorticity usually several hundred of
kilometers wide on an upper level chart that moves with the general wind flow. It aids in weather
prediction by showing where regions of rising air occur. This usually results in clouds and
precipitation.
Precipitable Water (PW): It measures the depth of liquid water at the surface that would result
after precipitating all of the water vapor in a vertical column usually extending from the surface
to 300 mb.
Precipitation: 1. The process where water vapor condenses in the atmosphere to form water
droplets that fall to the Earth as rain, sleet, snow, hail, etc. 2. As used in hydrology, precipitation
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is the discharge of water, in a liquid or solid state, out of the atmosphere, generally onto a land or
water surface. It is the common process by which atmospheric water becomes surface, or
subsurface water. The term “precipitation” is also commonly used to designate the quantity of
water that is precipitated. Precipitation includes rainfall, snow, hail, and sleet, and is therefore a
more general term than rainfall.
Prescribed Burn: Fire applied to wildland fuels, in a definite place for a specific purpose under
exacting weather and fuel conditions (the prescription), to achieve a specific objective of
resource management.
Present Movement: The best estimate of the movement of the center of a tropical cyclone at a
given time and given position. This estimate does not reflect the short-period, small scale
oscillations of the cyclone center.
Pressure: The force exerted by the weight of the atmosphere, also known as atmospheric
pressure. When measured on a barometer, it is referred to as barometric pressure and it is
expressed in inches of mercury, millibars, or kiloPascals.
Pressure Gradient: The amount of pressure change occurring over a given distance.
Pressure Gradient Force: A three-dimensional force vector operating in the atmosphere that
accelerates air parcels away from regions of high pressure and toward regions of low pressure in
response to an air pressure gradient. Usually resolved into vertical and horizontal components.
Pressure Tendency: The character and amount of atmospheric pressure change during a
specified period of time, usually 3-hour period preceding an observation.
Prevailing Visibility: The visibility that is considered representative of conditions at the station;
the greatest distance that can be seen throughout at least half the horizon circle, not necessarily
continuous.
Prevailing Westerlies: Winds in the middle latitudes (approximately 30° to 60° N/S) that
generally blow from west to east.
Prevailing Wind: A wind that consistently blows from one direction more than from any other.
Profiler: An instrument designed to measure horizontal winds directly above its location, and
thus measure the vertical wind profile. Profilers operate on the same principles as Doppler radar.
Psychrometer: An instrument used to measure the water vapor content of the air. It consists of
two thermometers, one of which is an ordinary glass thermometer, while the other has its bulb
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covered with a jacket of clean muslin which is saturated with distilled water prior to use. After
whirling the instrument, the dew point and relative humidity can be obtained with the aid of
tables.
Public Information Statement (PNS): This narrative statement can be used for a current or
expected nonhazardous event of general interest to the public that can usually be covered with a
single message. This may include: Unusual atmospheric phenomena such as sun dogs, halos,
rainbows, aurora borealis, lenticular clouds, and stories about a long-term dry/cold/wet/warm
spell; public educational information and activities, such as storm safety rules, awareness
activities, storm drills, etc, or information regarding service changes, service limitations,
interruptions due to reduced or lost power or equipment outages, or special information
clarifying interpretation of NWS data. For example, this product may be used to inform users of
radar equipment outages or special information clarifying interpretation of radar data originating
from an unusual source which may be mistaken for precipitation (such as chaff drops, smoke
plumes, etc., that produces echoes on the radar display.
Pulse Thunderstorm: A thunderstorm within which a brief period (pulse) of strong updraft
occurs, during and immediately after which the storm produces a short episode of severe
weather. These storms generally are not tornado producers, but often produce large hail and/or
damaging winds. Also, see Air Mass Thunderstorm, Popcorn Convection and Single Cell
Thunderstorm.
QPF (Quantitative Precipitation Forecast): A spatial and temporal precipitation forecast that
will predict the potential amount of future precipitation for a specified region, or area.
Radar Beam: The straight line that a radar pulse travels along. As the radar beam gets further
away from the radar, it gets wider and wider. In order for a precipitation target to be detected by
the radar, it must fill the entire radar beam; therefore, the radar will have a difficult time
detecting small showers and thunderstorms at a great distance from the radar.
Radar Reflectivity: The sum of all backscattering cross-sections (e.g., precipitation particles) in
a pulse resolution volume divided by that volume.
Radiation: Energy emitted in the form of electromagnetic waves. Radiation has differing
characteristics depending upon the wavelength. Radiation from the sun has a short wavelength
(ultra-violet) while energy re-radiated from the Earth's surface and the atmosphere has a long
wavelength (infra-red).
Radiation Fog: Fog produced from the air near the ground being cooled to saturation by contact
with the cold ground. The cooling of the ground results from night time loss of heat from the
Earth to space (terrestrial radiation). Favorable conditions for radiation fog are clear sky, little or
no wind, and high relative humidity. It occurs in stable air and is primarily a night time or early
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morning phenomenon. As the Earth and the lower layers of the atmosphere warm during the day,
air that was stable during the early morning hours may become unstable - at least in the lower
levels. For this reason visibility usually improves as the temperature rises during the day. Mixing
in the lower levels disperses the fog into a thicker layer, and eventually it evaporates into the
warmer air. When cloud layers form aloft over a radiation fog and retard heating from the sun,
visibility improvement is very slow. It is also known as Ground Fog and Valley Fog, and in
Central California as tule fog.
Radiational Cooling: The cooling of the Earth's surface. At night, the Earth suffers a net heat
loss to space due to terrestrial cooling. This is more pronounced when you have a clear sky.
Rain (RA): Precipitation, either in the form of drops larger than 0.02” (0.5 mm), or smaller
drops, which in contrast to drizzle, are widely separated.
Rain Shadow: Areas of the leeward side of a mountain or mountain range which often receive
much less rain than the windward side.
Rainbow: An arc that exhibits in concentric bands the colors of the spectrum and is formed
opposite the sun by refraction and reflection of the sun's rays in rain drops.
Record Report: This non-routine narrative product is issued by the NWS to report
meteorological and hydrological events that equal or exceed existing records.
Red Flag: This a fire weather program which highlights the onset of critical weather conditions
conducive to extensive wildfire occurrences.
Red Flag Warning: A term used by fire-weather forecasters to call attention to weather
conditions that may result in extreme burning conditions. It is issued when it is an on-going
event or the fire weather forecaster has a high degree of confidence that Red Flag criteria will
occur within 24 hours of issuance. Red Flag criteria occurs whenever the following forecast
weather parameters are forecasted to met: 1. A sustained wind average 15 mph or greater, 2.
Relative humidity less than or equal to 25%, and when dry lightning is expected.
Return Flow: South winds on the back (west) side of an eastward-moving surface high pressure
system.
Rex Block: A blocking pattern where there is an upper level high located directly north of a
closed low.
RFC (River Forecast Center): Centers that serve groups of Weather Service Forecast offices in
providing hydrologic guidance and is the first echelon office for the preparation of river and
flood forecasts and warnings.
Right Rear Quadrant: The area upstream from and to the right of an upper-level jet max (as
would be viewed looking along the direction of flow). Upward motion and severe thunderstorm
potential sometimes are increased in this area relative to the wind speed maximum. Also, see left
front quadrant.
Rip Current: A strong, narrow current of surface water that flows seaward through the surf into
deeper water. Waves approaching the shoreline create a water buildup which results in a return
flow. This return flow (rip current) transports the excess water into deeper waters. Bubbles and
debris usually float on the surface of the rip current. Although this current is extremely localized,
they result in numerous deaths every year. These deaths are contributed to swimmers becoming
exhausted by trying to swim against the rip current. If you are a swimmer caught in a rip current,
wade sideways parallel to the beach until you are out of its pull. Another means of escape for
those who are good swimmers is to ride the current out beyond the surf zone where the rip
current dissipates then swim to shore outside the effects of the narrow current. This phenomenon
is sometimes mistakenly called a “rip tide” or an “undertow”.
River Flood Statement (FLS): This product is used by the local NWS to update and expand the
information in the River Flood Warning. This statement may be used in lieu of a warning if
flooding is forecasted, imminent, or existing and it presents no threat to life or property. The
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statement will also be used to terminate a River Flood Warning.
River Flood Warning (FLW): This is product is issued by the local NWS when forecast points
(those that have formal gaging sites and established flood stages) at specific communities or
areas along rivers where flooding has been forecasted, is imminent, or is in progress. Flooding is
defined as the inundation of normally dry areas as a result of increased water levels in an
established water course. The flood warning normally specifies crest information. It usually
occurs 6 hours or later after the causative event and it is usually associated with widespread
heavy rain and/or snow melt or ice jams.
River Flooding: The rise of a river to an elevation such that the river overflows its natural banks
causing or threatening damage.
Roll Cloud: A low, horizontal tube-shaped cloud associated with a thunderstorm gust front (or
sometimes with a cold front). Roll clouds are relatively rare; they are completely detached from
the thunderstorm base or other cloud features, thus differentiating them from the more familiar
shelf clouds. Roll clouds usually appear to be “rolling” about a horizontal axis, but should not be
confused with funnel clouds.
Rope (or Rope Funnel): A narrow, often contorted condensation funnel usually associated with
the decaying stage of a tornado. See rope stage.
Rope Cloud: In satellite meteorology, a narrow, rope-like band of clouds sometimes seen on
satellite images along a front or other boundary. The term sometimes is used synonymously with
rope or rope funnel.
Rope Stage: The dissipating stage of a tornado, characterized by thinning and shrinking of the
condensation funnel into a rope (or rope funnel). Damage still is possible during this stage.
Rotor Cloud: A turbulent cloud formation found in the lee of some large mountain barriers. The
air in the cloud rotates around an axis parallel to the mountain range.
RUC - Rapid Update Cycle: A numerical model run at NCEP that focuses on short-term (up to
12 hours) forecasts and small-scale weather features. Forecasts are prepared every 3 hours.
Runoff: That part of precipitation that flows toward streams on the surface of the ground or
within the ground. Runoff is composed of base flow and surface runoff.
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Intensity Scale: This scale was developed in an effort to estimate
the possible damage a hurricane's sustained winds and storm surge could do to a coastal area.
The scale of numbers is based on actual conditions at some time during the life of the storm. As
the hurricane intensifies or weakens, the scale number is reassessed accordingly.
Sandstorm (SS): Particles of sand carried aloft by strong wind. The sand particles are mostly
confined to the lowest ten feet, and rarely rise more than fifty feet above the ground.
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Santa Ana Wind: A strong, hot, dry foehn-like wind that blows from the north, northeast, or
east into Southern California. Occasionally, the term is used even if the temperatures are low.
The winds are generated by surface high pressure (an anticyclone) located over the high deserts
of the Great Basin (Nevada) and produce warmth and dryness from compressional heating as the
air descends to lower elevations near the coast.
Scattered (SCT): 1. An official sky cover classification for aviation weather observations,
descriptive of a sky cover of 3/8 to 4/8. This is applied only when obscuring phenomenon aloft
are present--that is, not when obscuring phenomenon are surface-based, such as fog. 2. A NWS
convective precipitation descriptor for a 30%, 40%, and 50% chance of measurable precipitation
(> Trace). See Probability of Precipitation (PoP).
Scud (or Fractus): Small, ragged, low cloud fragments that are unattached to a larger cloud base
and often seen with and behind cold fronts and thunderstorm gust fronts. Such clouds generally
are associated with cool moist air, such as thunderstorm outflow.
Sea Breeze: A wind that blows from a sea or ocean towards a land mass as a result of
temperature and pressure gradients along the coastal interface. Also known as an onshore breeze.
Seas: This term is used in NWS Marine Forecasts to describe the combination or interaction of
wind waves and swells (combined seas) in which the separate components are not distinguished.
This includes the case when swells are negligible or are not considered in describing sea state.
Sea Level Pressure: The pressure value obtained by the theoretical reduction or increase of
barometric pressure to sea-level.
Sea Surface Temperature (SST): Surface temperature of ocean water. This data is collected
using IR satellite imagery, buoy and ship data.
Severe Thunderstorm: A strong thunderstorm with a tornado, wind gusts in excess of 58 mph
(50 knots), and/or hail with a diameter of 0.75” or more.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning (SVR): This is issued when either a severe thunderstorm is
indicated by the WSR-88D radar or a spotter reports a thunderstorm producing a hail 0.75” or
larger in diameter and/or winds equal or exceed 50 kts (58 mph); therefore, people in the affected
area should seek safe shelter immediately.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch (WWA): This is issued by the NWS when conditions are
favorable for the development of severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. The size of
the watch can vary depending on the weather situation. They are usually issued for a duration of
4 to 8 hours. They are normally issued well in advance of the actual occurrence of severe
weather. During the watch, people should review severe thunderstorm safety rules and be
prepared to move a place of safety if threatening weather approaches. The Watch is issued by the
Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma. Prior to the issuance, SPC will usually contact
the affected local NWS Forecast Office and they will discuss what their current thinking is on the
weather situation. Afterwards, SPC will issue a preliminary Severe Thunderstorm Watch and
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then the affected NWFO will then adjust the watch (adding or eliminating counties) and issue it
to the public by way of a Watch Redefining Statement. During the watch, the local forecast
office will keep the you informed on what is happening in the watch area and also let the you
know when the watch has expired or been cancelled.
Severe Weather Statement (SVS): An NWS product which provides follow up information on
severe weather conditions (severe thunderstorm or tornadoes) which have occurred or are
currently occurring.
Shear: Variation in wind speed (speed shear) and/or direction (directional shear) over a short
distance. Shear usually refers to vertical wind shear, i.e., the change in wind with height.
Sheet Flow: Water flow that occurs overland in places where there are no defined channels; the
flood water spreads out over a large area at a uniform depth.
Shelf Cloud: A low, horizontal wedge-shaped arcus cloud, associated with a thunderstorm gust
front (or occasionally with a cold front, even in the absence of thunderstorms). Unlike the roll
cloud, the shelf cloud is attached to the base of the parent cloud above it (usually a
thunderstorm). Rising cloud motion often can be seen in the leading (outer) part of the shelf
cloud, while the underside often appears turbulent, boiling, and wind-torn. It is accompanied by
gusty, straight-line winds and is followed by precipitation.
Shoaling: The process whereby waves coming into shallow waters are slowed by bottom friction
and become closer together and steeper.
Short-Fuse Warning: A warning issued by the NWS for a local weather hazard of relatively
short duration. Short-fuse warnings include tornado warnings, severe thunderstorm warnings,
and flash flood warnings. Tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings typically are issued for
periods of an hour or less, flash flood warnings typically for three hours or less.
Short Term Forecast: This NWS narrative summary describes the weather in the local area and
includes a short-range forecast (not more than 6 hours). This product will be updated more
frequently when it is used during active weather. This product is also sometimes referred to as a
nowcast.
Shortwave (or Shortwave Trough): A disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere
which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion
can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.
Shower (SH): It implies short duration, intermittent, and scattered precipitation (rain, snow, ice
pellet) of a more unstable, convective nature.
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Significant Wave Height: The average height (trough to crest distance) of the one-third highest
waves. An experienced observer will most frequently report heights equivalent to the average of
the highest one-third of all waves observed.
Single Cell Thunderstorm: Generally, a thunderstorm not associated with a front or other type
of synoptic-scale forcing mechanism. Air mass thunderstorms typically are associated with
warm, humid air in the summer months; they develop during the afternoon in response to
insolation, and dissipate rather quickly after sunset. They generally are less likely to be severe
than other types of thunderstorms, but they still are capable of producing downbursts, brief heavy
rain, and (in extreme cases) hail over 0.75” in diameter. Also, see Air Mass Thunderstorm,
Popcorn Convection and Pulse Thunderstorm.
Sky Condition: Used in a forecast to describe the predominant/average sky condition based
upon octants (eighths) of the sky covered by opaque (not transparent) clouds. The usual
descriptors are: clear or sunny, 0/8, mostly clear or mostly sunny, 1/8 to 2/8, partly cloudy or
partly sunny, 3/8 to 4/8, mostly cloudy, 5/8 to 7/8, and cloudy, 8/8.
Sleet (PL): Describes solid grains of ice formed by the freezing of raindrops or the refreezing of
largely melted snowflakes. These grains usually bounce upon impact with the ground or
pavement. Heavy sleet is a relatively rare event defined as an accumulation of ice pellets
covering the ground to a depth of 0.5” or more. See Ice Pellets.
Small Craft Advisory: This is issued by the NWS to alert small boats to sustained (more than 2
hours) hazardous weather or sea conditions. These conditions may be either present or
forecasted. Winds in excess of 22 knots (25 mph), and less than 34 knots (39 mph), that may
cause hazardous conditions for operators of small vessels. The advisory may be issued for winds,
hazardous seas, or both.
Smog: Originally smog meant a mixture of smoke and fog. Now, it means air that has restricted
visibility due to pollution or pollution formed in the presence of sunlight--photochemical smog.
Smoke (FU): A suspension in the air of small particles produced by combustion. A transition to
haze may occur when smoke particles have traveled a great distance (25 to 100 miles or more)
and when the larger particles have settled out and the remaining particles have become widely
scattered through the atmosphere.
Snow (SN): Precipitation of frozen crystals, mostly branched in the form of six-pointed stars. It
usually falls steadily for several hours or more. Like drizzle, its intensity is based on visibility.
The amount of snow that falls is highly dependent upon temperature. For example, at 10°F, one
inch of precipitation will produce 30” of snow. At 20°F, one inch of precipitation will produce
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20” of snow. At 30°F, one inch of precipitation produces 10” of snow. At freezing, one inch
precipitation will produce approximately 6” of snow.
Snow Advisory: This product is issued by the NWS when a low pressure system produces snow
that may cause significant inconvenience, but do not meet warning criteria and if caution is not
exercised could lead to life threatening situations. The advisory criteria vary from area to area.
Snow and Blowing Snow Advisory: This product is issued by the NWS during situations that
cause significant inconvenience, but do not meet warning criteria and if caution is not exercised
could lead to life threatening situations. The warning criteria in this definition vary from area to
area.
Snow Depth: The combined total depth of both the old and new snow on the ground.
Snow Flurries: Intermittent light snowfalls of short duration (generally light snow showers) with
no measurable accumulation.
Snow Grains (SG): Precipitation of very small, white, and opaque grains of ice. They can be
distinguished from ice pellets, because ice pellets bounce and snow grains do not bounce at all.
Snow Pack: The combined layers of snow and ice on the ground at any one time. It is also called
snowcover.
Snow Pellets (GS): Precipitation of white, opaque grains of ice. The grains are round or
sometimes conical. Diameters range from about 0.08” to 0.2” (2mm to 5 mm).
Sounding: A plot of the vertical profile of temperature and dew point (and often winds) above a
fixed location. Soundings are used extensively in weather forecasting, e.g., to determine
instability, locate temperature inversions, measure the strength of the cap, obtain the convective
temperature, measure the depth of the marine layer, etc.
Southern Oscillation (SO): A “see-saw” in surface pressure in the tropical Pacific characterized
by simultaneously opposite sea level pressure anomalies at Tahiti, in the eastern tropical Pacific
and Darwin, on the northwest coast of Australia. The SO was discovered by Sir Gilbert Walker
in the early 1920s. Later, the three-dimensional east-west circulation related to the SO was
discovered and named the “Walker Circulation”. The SO oscillates with a period of 2-5 years.
During one phase, when the sea level pressure is low at Tahiti and High at Darwin, the El Niño
occurs. The cold phase of the SO, called La Niña, is characterized by high pressure in the eastern
equatorial Pacific, low in the west, and by anomalously low sea surface temperature (SST) in the
central and eastern Pacific. This is called El Niño Southern Oscillation or ENSO.
Space Environment Center (SEC): This center provides real-time monitoring and forecasting
of solar and geophysical events, conducts research in solar-terrestrial physics, and develops
techniques for forecasting solar and geophysical disturbances. SEC's Space Weather Operations
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is jointly operated by NOAA and the U.S. Air Force and is the national and world warning center
for disturbances that can affect people and equipment working in the space environment.
Special Marine Warning (SMW): This is issued by the NWS for hazardous weather conditions
over water (thunderstorms, funnel clouds, or waterspouts) usually of short duration (2 hours or
less) and producing sustained winds or frequent gusts of 34 knots or more.
These are tone alerted on NOAA All-Hazards Radio. Boaters can also get this information by
tuning into Coast Guard and commercial radio stations that transmit marine weather information.
Special Weather Statement (SPS): This is issued by the NWS to provide additional information
about expected or ongoing significant weather changes not covered in other statements. This
would include non-severe convective, winter weather, and non-precipitation events.
Specific Humidity: In a system of moist air, the ratio of the mass of water vapor to the total
mass of the system.
Speed Shear: The component of wind shear which is due to a change in wind speed with height,
e.g., southwesterly winds of 20 mph at 10,000 feet increasing to 50 mph at 20,000 feet. Speed
shear is an important factor in severe weather development, especially in the middle and upper
levels of the atmosphere.
Spot Forecasts: These are NWS site-specific fire weather forecasts. They are issued upon
request of User Agencies for wildfires, prescribed burns, hazardous material incidents, or special
projects.
Spray (PY): An ensemble of water droplets torn by the wind from the surface of the of an
extensive body of water, generally from crests of waves, and carried a short distance into the air.
Spring Tide: A tide higher than normal which occurs around the time of the new and full moon.
Squall (SQ): A strong wind characterized by a sudden onset in which the wind speed increases
at least 16 knots and is sustained more than 22 knots or more for at least one minute.
Squall Line: A line or narrow band of active thunderstorms. The line may extend across several
hundred miles. It forms along and ahead of an advancing cold front.
Stable: An atmospheric state with warm air above cold air which inhibits the vertical movement
of air.
Station Pressure: The pressure that is read from a barometer but is not adjusted to sea level.
Stationary Front: A front that barely moves with winds blowing in almost parallel, but in
opposite directions on each side of the front. Occasionally, these fronts can cause widespread
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flooding, because showers and thunderstorms moving along them will continue to move across
the same area. This weather situation is called “train echoing”.
Steam Fog: It forms as cold air moves over warm water. Water evaporates from the warm water
surface and immediately condenses in the cold air above. Heat from the water warms the lower
levels of the air creating a shallow layer of instability. It rises like smoke from the warm surface.
The low level convection can become quite turbulent. Steam fog is most common in Arctic
regions where it is called “Arctic Sea Smoke”, but it can and does occur occasionally at all
latitudes.
Steering Winds (or Steering Currents): A prevailing synoptic scale flow which governs the
movement of smaller features embedded within it.
Storm: Any disturbed state of the atmosphere, especially affecting the Earth's surface, and
strongly implying destructive and otherwise unpleasant weather. Storms range in scale from
tornadoes and thunderstorms through tropical cyclones to widespread extratropical cyclones. In
marine usage, winds 48 knots (55 mph) or greater.
Storm Prediction Center (SPC): A national forecast center in Norman, Oklahoma, which is
part of NCEP. The SPC is responsible for providing short-term forecast guidance for severe
convection, excessive rainfall (flash flooding), and severe winter weather over the contiguous
United States. This includes the issuance of Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Watches.
Storm Relative: Measured relative to a moving thunderstorm, usually referring to winds, wind
shear, or helicity.
Storm Surge: A rise above the normal water level along a shore caused by strong onshore winds
and/or reduced atmospheric pressure. The surge height is the difference of the observed water
level minus the predicted tide. Most hurricane deaths are caused by the storm surge. It can be 50
or more miles wide and sweeps across the coastline around where the hurricane makes landfall.
The maximum rises in sea-level move from under the storm to the right of the storm's track,
reaching a maximum amplitude of 10 to 30 feet at the coast. The storm surge may even double or
more in height when the hurricane's track causes it to funnel water into a bay. The storm surge
increases substantially as it approaches the land because the normal water depth decreases
rapidly as it approaches the beaches. The moving water contains the same amount of energy;
thus, resulting in an increase of storm surge. Typically, the stronger the hurricane, the greater the
storm surge.
Storm Tide: The actual sea level resulting from astronomical tide combined with the storm
surge. This term is used interchangeably with “hurricane tide”.
Storm Warning: A marine warning of sustained surface winds of 48 kt (55 mph or 88 kph) or
greater, either predicted or occurring, not directly associated with tropical cyclones.
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Straight Line Winds: Generally, any wind that is not associated with rotation, used mainly to
differentiate them from tornadic winds.
Stratiform Rain: Horizontally widespread rain, uniform in character, typically associated with
macroscale fronts and pressure systems.
Stratocumulus (Sc): It has globular masses or rolls unlike the flat, sometimes definite, base of
stratus. This cloud often forms from stratus as the stratus is breaking up or from spreading out of
cumulus clouds. They usually consist of mainly water vapor and are located between the ground
and 6,500 feet. Stratocumulus often reveals the depth of the moist air at low levels, while the
speed of the cloud elements can reveal the strength of the low-level jet.
Stratosphere: The layer of the atmosphere above the troposphere, where temperature increases
with height.
Stratus (St): It is a low, uniform sheet-like cloud. Stratus may appear in the form of ragged
patches, but otherwise does not exhibit individual cloud elements as do cumulus and
stratocumulus clouds. It usually is located between the ground and 6,500 feet. It usually consists
of mainly water vapor. Fog is a stratus cloud with its base located at the ground.
Stream Gage: A site along a stream where the stage (water level) is read either by eye or
measured with recording equipment.
Sublimation: The change from ice (a solid) directly to water vapor (a gas) without going
through the liquid water phase. It is the opposite of Deposition.
Subrefraction: The bending of the radar beam in the vertical which is less than under standard
refractive conditions. This causes the beam to be higher than indicated, and lead to the
underestimation of cloud heights.
Subsidence: The slow sinking of air usually associated with high pressure areas. It is usually
over a broad area and is associated with warming air and little if any cloud formation.
Subsidence Inversion: It is produced by adiabatic heating of air as it sinks and is associated with
anticyclones (high pressure) and/or stable air masses. These inversions form between sinking
heated air and air below and they are characterized by temperature increase with height through
the inversion, while above the inversion, the temperature cools. The dew point temperature,
relative humidity, and mixing ratio values all decrease with height through the inversion.
Subtropical Jet: This branch of the jet stream is usually found between 20° and 30° latitude at
altitudes between 12 and 14 km.
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Supercell: A thunderstorm with a persistent rotating updraft. Supercells are responsible for a
remarkably high percentage of severe weather events - especially tornadoes, extremely large hail
and damaging straight-line winds. They frequently travel to the right of the main environmental
winds (i.e., they are right movers). Visual characteristics often include a rain-free base (with or
without a wall cloud), tail cloud, flanking line, overshooting top, and back-sheared anvil, all of
which normally are observed in or near the right rear or southwest part of the storm. Storms
exhibiting these characteristics often are called classic supercells; however HP storms and LP
storms also are supercell varieties.
Supercooled Liquid Water: In the atmosphere, liquid water can survive at temperatures lower
than 0°C (32°F); many vigorous storms contain large amounts of supercooled liquid water at low
temperatures. Important in the formation of graupel and hail.
Supersaturation: The condition which occurs in the atmosphere when the relative humidity is
greater than 100%.
Superrefraction: Bending of the radar beam in the vertical which is greater than sub-standard
refractive conditions. This causes the beam to be lower than indicated, and often results in
extensive ground clutter as well as an overestimation of cloud top heights.
Surface Pressure: The pressure that is read from a barometer but is not adjusted to sea level.
Surface Runoff: The part of runoff, caused by precipitation and/or snowmelt, that moves over
the soil surface to the nearest stream channel. Rain that falls on the stream channel is often
lumped with this quantity.
Sunny: When there are no opaque (not transparent) clouds. Same as clear.
Swell: Wind-generated waves that have traveled out of their generating area. Swells
characteristically exhibit smoother, more regular and uniform crests and a longer period than
wind waves.
Synoptic Chart: Chart showing meteorological conditions over a region at a given time; a
weather map.
Synoptic Scale (or Large Scale): The typical weather map scale that shows features such as
high and low pressure areas and fronts over a distance spanning a continent. Compare with
mesoscale and storm-scale.
Teleconnection: A strong statistical relationship between weather in different parts of the globe.
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For example, there appears to be a teleconnection between the tropics and North America during
El Niño.
Temperature: A measure of the warmth of the ambient air measured by a suitable instrument
such as a thermometer.
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF): This NWS aviation product is a concise statement of
the expected meteorological conditions at an airport during a specified period (usually 24 hours).
TAFs use the same weather code found in METAR weather reports.
Thermal: A relatively small-scale, rising air current produced when the Earth's surface is heated.
Thermals are a common source of low level turbulence for aircraft.
Thermal Highs: Areas of high pressure that are shallow in vertical extent and are produced
primarily by very low surface temperatures.
Thermal Lows: Areas of low pressure that are shallow in vertical extent and are produced
primarily by high surface temperatures.
Thermodynamics: In general, the relationships between heat and other properties (such as
temperature, pressure, density, etc.) In forecast discussions, thermodynamics usually refers to the
distribution of temperature and moisture (both vertical and horizontal) as related to the diagnosis
of atmospheric instability.
Thunder: The sound emitted by the rapidly expanding gases along the channel of a lightning
discharge. Thunder is seldom heard farther than about 15 miles from the lightning discharge,
with 25 miles an approximate upper limit and 10 miles a typical value.
Tides: They are the periodic (occurring at regular intervals) variations in the surface water level
of the oceans, bays, gulfs, and inlets. Tides are the result of the gravitational attraction of the sun
and the moon on the earth, but mostly from the moon. Every 27.3 days, the earth and the moon
revolve around a common point. This means that the oceans and other water bodies which are
affected by the earth-moon system experience a new tidal cycle every 27.3 days. Because of the
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physical processes which occur to produce the tidal system, there are two high tides and two low
tides each day. Because of the angle of the moon with respect to the earth, the two high tides and
the two low tides each day do not have to be of equal height. Tides also differ in height on a
daily basis, due to the changing distance between the earth and the moon. Scientists use
measurements of the height of the water level to examine tides and the various phenomena which
influence tides, such as hurricanes and winter storms.
Tilted Storm or Tilted Updraft: A thunderstorm or cloud tower which is not purely vertical but
instead exhibits a slanted or tilted character. It is a sign of vertical wind shear, a favorable
condition for severe storm development.
Tipping-Bucket Rain Gage: A precipitation gage where collected water is funneled into a two
compartment bucket; 0.01”, 0.1 mm, or some other designed quantity of rain will fill one
compartment and overbalance the bucket so that it tips, emptying into a reservoir and moving the
second compartment into place beneath the funnel. As the bucket is tipped, it actuates an electric
circuit, recording the rainfall.
Tornado (+FC): A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending
from the base of a thunderstorm. A condensation funnel does not need to reach to the ground for
a tornado to be present; a debris cloud beneath a thunderstorm is all that is needed to confirm the
presence of a tornado, even in the total absence of a condensation funnel. It nearly always starts
as a funnel cloud and may be accompanied by a loud roaring noise. Tornadoes are classified by
the amount of damage that they cause. See Fujita Scale and Enhanced Fujita Scale.
Tornado Alley: The area of the United States in which tornadoes are most frequent. It
encompasses the great lowland areas of the Mississippi, the Ohio, and lower Missouri River
Valleys. Although no state is entirely free of tornadoes, they are most frequent in the Plains area
between the Rocky Mountains and Appalachians.
Tornado Warning (TOR): This is issued when a tornado is indicated by the WSR-88D radar or
sighted by spotters; therefore, people in the affected area should seek safe shelter immediately.
They can be issued without a Tornado Watch being already in effect. They are usually issued for
a duration of around 30 minutes. A Tornado Warning is issued by the local NWS office. It will
include where the tornado was located and what towns will be in its path. After it has been
issued, it will be followed up by periodic Severe Weather Statements. These statements will
contain updated information on the tornado and they will also let the public know when warning
is no longer in effect.
Tornado Watch (SEL): This is issued by the NWS when conditions are favorable for the
development of tornadoes in and close to the watch area. The watch is in a form of a rectangle
whose size and orientation varies depending on the weather situation. They are usually issued for
a duration of 4 to 8 hours. They normally are issued well in advance of the actual occurrence of
severe weather. During the watch, people should review tornado safety rules and be prepared to
move a place of safety if threatening weather approaches.
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Towering Cumulus (TCU): It signifies a relatively deep layer of unstable air. The bases are flat
and usually appear darker than the bases of fair weather cumulus. They show considerable
vertical development and have billowing “cauliflower” tops. Showers can result from these
clouds. Same as cumulus congestus.
Trade Winds: The winds that occupy most of the tropics and blow from subtropical highs to the
equatorial low.
Transcribed WEather Broadcasts (TWEBs): This NWS aviation product is similar to the Area
Forecast (FA) except information is contained in a route format. Forecast sky cover (height and
amount of cloud bases), cloud tops, visibility (including vertical visibility), weather, and
obstructions to vision are described for a corridor 25 miles either side of the route.
Tropical Cyclone: It is a warm-core low pressure system which is non-frontal. It originates over
tropical and subtropical waters and a has an organized cyclonic (counter-clockwise) surface wind
circulation.
Tropical Depression: Cyclones that have maximum sustained winds of surface wind speed
(using the U.S. 1-minute average) is 33 kt (38 mph or 62 kph) or less. They are either located in
the tropics or subtropics. They characteristically have one or more closed isobars. They usually
intensify slowly and may dissipate before reaching Tropical Storm intensity.
Tropical Prediction Center (TPC): One of NOAA's 9 National Centers for Environmental
Prediction (NCEP). The mission of the Tropical Prediction Center (TPC) is to save lives and
protect property by issuing watches, warnings, forecasts, and analyses of hazardous weather
conditions in the tropics. TPC products are generated for use in both the domestic and
international communities. To fulfill its mission, the TPC is comprised of the following
branches: The National Hurricane Center, Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch (TAFB), and
the Technical Support Branch (TSB).
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Tropical Storm: It is a warm-core tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface wind
speed (using the U.S. 1-minute average) ranges from 34 kt (39 mph or 63 kph) to 63 kt (73 mph
or 118 kph).
Tropical Storm Warning: A warning for tropical storm conditions including sustained winds
within the range of 34 to 63 kt (39 to 73 mph or 63 to 118 kph) that are expected in a specified
coastal area within 24 hours or less.
Tropical Storm Watch: An announcement that a tropical storm poses or tropical storm
conditions pose a threat to coastal areas generally within 36 hours. A tropical storm watch should
normally not be issued if the system is forecast to attain hurricane strength.
Tropical Wave: A trough or cyclonic curvature maximum in the trade wind easterlies and it is
not classified as a tropical cyclone. The wave may reach maximum amplitude in the lower
middle troposphere.
Tropopause: The upper boundary of the troposphere, usually characterized by an abrupt change
in lapse rate from positive (decreasing temperature with height) to neutral or negative
(temperature constant or increasing with height). It is also the boundary between the troposphere
and the stratosphere.
Troposphere: The layer of the atmosphere from the earth's surface up to the tropopause,
characterized by decreasing temperature with height (except, perhaps, in thin layers - see
inversion, cap), vertical wind motion, appreciable water vapor content, and sensible weather
(clouds, rain, etc.).
Trough: An elongated area of relatively low atmospheric pressure, usually not associated with a
closed circulation, and thus used to distinguish from a closed low. The opposite of ridge.
Tule Fog: Radiation fog in California’s Central Valley. It forms during night and morning hours
in late fall and winter months following rainfall. A leading cause of weather related casualties in
California.
Turbulence: Disrupted flow in the atmosphere that produces gusts and eddies.
Turkey Tower: Slang for a narrow, individual cloud tower that develops and falls apart rapidly.
The sudden development of turkey towers from small cumulus clouds may signify the breaking
of a cap.
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TWEB: Accronym for Transcribed WEather Broadcast.
Typhoon: A tropical cyclone of hurricane strength in the Western Pacific Ocean (west of the
international dateline).
Ultraviolet Radiation: The energy range just beyond the violet end of the visible spectrum.
Although ultraviolet radiation constitutes only about 5 percent of the total energy emitted from
the sun, it is the major energy source for the stratosphere and mesosphere, playing a dominant
role in both energy balance and chemical composition.
Unstable Air: An atmospheric state of warm air below cold air. Since warm air naturally rises
above cold air (due to warm air being less dense than cold air), vertical movement and mixing of
air layers can occur.
Updraft: Current(s) of air with marked vertical upward motion. If the air is sufficiently moist,
then the moisture condenses to become a cumulus cloud or an individual tower of a towering
cumulus or cumulonimbus.
Upper-Level Disturbance: A disturbance in the upper atmospheric flow pattern which is usually
associated with clouds and precipitation. This disturbance is characterized by distinct cyclonic
flow, a pocket of cold air, and sometimes a jet streak. These features make the air aloft more
unstable and conducive to clouds and precipitation.
Upper Level System: A general term for any large-scale or mesoscale disturbance capable of
producing upward motion (lift) in the middle or upper parts of the atmosphere. This term
sometimes is used interchangeably with impulse or shortwave.
Upslope Flow: Air that flows toward higher terrain, and hence is forced to rise. The added lift
often results in widespread low cloudiness and stratiform precipitation if the air is stable, or an
increased chance of thunderstorm development if the air is unstable.
Upwelling: The process by which cold waters from the depths of a lake or ocean rise to the
surface. This often occurs along the California coast during the summer and is an important
component in the development of coastal stratus clouds.
Urban & Small Stream Flood Advisory (FLS): This advisory alerts the public to flooding
which is generally only an inconvenience (not life-threatening) to those living in the affected
area. Issued when heavy rain will cause flooding of streets and low-lying places in urban areas.
Also used if small rural or urban streams are expected to reach or exceed bankfull. Some damage
to homes or roads could occur.
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Urban Flooding: Flooding of streets, underpasses, low lying areas, or storm drains. This type of
flooding is mainly an inconvenience and is generally not life threatening.
Urban Heat Island: The increased air temperatures in urban areas in contrast to cooler
surrounding rural areas due to the increased heat retention properties of concrete and pavement.
UTC: Coordinated Universal Time. The time in the zero degree meridian time zone.
UV (Ultraviolet) Index: This index provides important information to help you prevent
overexposure to the sun's rays. It was designed by the National Weather Service and the
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). It is computed using forecasted ozone levels, a
computer model that relates ozone levels to UV incidence on the ground, forecasted cloud
amounts, and the elevation of the forecast cities.
Valley Winds: The tendency of wind to funnel down a pronounced valley. Also the movement
of air down the slopes of a valley at night (katabatic winds) or up the slopes of valley during the
day (anabatic winds).
Veering Wind: Wind which changes in a clockwise direction with time at a given location (e.g.,
from southerly to westerly), or which change direction in a clockwise sense with height (e.g.,
southeasterly at the surface turning to southwesterly aloft). Veering winds with height are
indicative of warm air advection (WAA).
Vertical Wind Shear: The rate of change of wind speed or direction, with a given change in
height. This is a critical factor in determining whether severe thunderstorms will develop.
Vertically Stacked System: A low-pressure system, usually a closed low or cutoff low, which is
not tilted with height, i.e., located similarly at all levels of the atmosphere. Such systems
typically are weakening and are slow-moving, and are less likely to produce severe weather than
tilted systems. However, cold pools aloft associated with vertically-stacked systems may
enhance instability enough to produce severe weather.
Virga: Precipitation that evaporates before it reaches the ground. It appears as wisps or streaks of
rain or snow falling out of a cloud. As the precipitation evaporates, it cools the air and starts a
down draft. In certain cases, shafts of virga may precede a microburst.
Visible (VIS) Satellite Imagery: This type of satellite imagery uses reflected sunlight (this is
actually reflected solar radiation) to see things in the atmosphere and on the Earth's surface.
Clouds and fresh snow are excellent reflectors, so they appear white on the imagery. Clouds can
be distinguished from snow, because clouds move and snow does not move. Meanwhile, the
ground reflects less sunlight, so it appears black on the imagery. The satellite uses its 0.55 to
0.75 micrometer (um) channel to detect this reflected sunlight. Since this imagery relies on
reflected imagery, it cannot be used during night.
Visibility: The greatest distance an observer can see and identify prominent objects.
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Visual Flight Rules (VFR): Refers to the general weather conditions pilots can expect at the
surface. VFR is ceiling greater than or equal to 1,000 feet and visibility greater than or equal to 3
miles. Marginal VFR (MVFR) is a sub-category of VFR (ceiling 1,000 - 3,000 feet and/or
visibility 3 to 5 miles).
Vort Max: This short for vorticity maximum. It is a center, or maximum, in the vorticity field of
a fluid.
Vortex: In its most general use, any flow possessing vorticity. More often the term refers to a
flow with closed streamlines.
Vorticity: A vector measure of the local rotation in a fluid flow. In weather analysis and
forecasting, it usually refers to the vertical component of rotation (i.e., rotation about a vertical
axis) and is used most often in reference to synoptic scale or mesoscale weather systems. By
convention, positive values indicate cyclonic rotation.
Warm Air Advection: Transport of warm air into an area by horizontal winds.
Warm Core Low: A low pressure area which is warmer at its center than at its periphery.
Tropical cyclones exhibit this temperature pattern. Unlike cold core lows, these lows produce
much of their cloud cover and precipitation during the nighttime.
Warm Front: A front that moves in such a way that warm air replaces cold air.
Warning: A type of product issued by NWS offices indicating that a particular weather hazard is
either imminent or has been reported. A warning indicates the need to take action to protect life
and property. The type of hazard is reflected in the type of warning (e.g., tornado warning,
blizzard warning). See short-fuse warning.
Warning Stage: The level of a river or stream which begins to cause flooding, and at which
concerned interests should take action.
Watch: A type of NWS product indicating that a particular hazard is possible, i.e., that
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conditions are more favorable than usual for its occurrence. A watch is a recommendation for
planning, preparation, and increased awareness (i.e., to be alert for changing weather, listen for
further information, and think about what to do if the danger materializes).
Watch Redefining Statement (SLS): This product tells the public which areas are included in
the watch and is issued by the local NWS Forecast Office.
Water Equivalent: The liquid content of solid precipitation that has accumulated on the ground
(snow depth). The accumulation may consist of snow, ice formed by freezing precipitation,
freezing liquid precipitation, or ice formed by the refreezing of melted snow.
Watershed: The total area drained by a river and its tributaries. Sometimes called a basin.
Water Vapor (WV) Satellite Imagery: This satellite imagery uses that detects moisture
between 700 and 200 mb; therefore, it is good for determining mid and upper level moisture in
the atmosphere. Abundant water vapor appears white in this imagery. Meanwhile, dry air appears
black in this satellite imagery. This satellite imagery can be used both day and night.
Water Vapor Plume: This appears in the water vapor satellite imagery. It is a plume-like object
that extends from the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) northward or southward into the
higher latitudes and is a favored region for very heavy rain. It is thought that the ice crystals
located in this plume help thunderstorms to become highly efficient rainfall producers. In North
America, this is sometimes called the “Mexican Connection” for moisture moving into the
southwestern US from Mexico or the “Pineapple Connection” for moisture moving into the west
coast from the tropics.
Weather Forecast Office (WFO): This National Weather Service office is responsible for
issuing advisories, warnings, statements, and short term forecasts for its county warning area.
There are 122 WFOs that cover the entire U.S. and its territories.
Weather balloon: Large balloon filled with helium or hydrogen that carries a radiosonde
(weather instrument) aloft to measure temperature pressure and humidity as the balloon rises
through the air. It is attached to a small parachute so that when the balloon inevitably breaks, the
radiosonde doesn't hurtle back to earth dangerously quickly.
Wet-Bulb Temperature: The lowest temperature that can be obtained by evaporating water into
air.
Wet-Bulb Zero (WBZ): The height where the wet-bulb temperature goes below 0°F. WBZ
heights between 7000 ft and 10,500 ft (above ground level) correlate well with large hail at the
surface when storms develop in an air mass primed for strong convection. It is also a good
indicator of the elevation of snowfall.
Wet Microburst: A microburst accompanied by heavy precipitation at the surface. A rain foot
may be a visible sign of a wet microburst. See dry microburst.
Wildfire: Any free burning uncontainable wildland fire not prescribed for the area which
consumes the natural fuels and spreads in response to its environment.
Wind: The horizontal motion of the air past a given point. Winds begin with differences in air
pressures. Pressure that's higher at one place than another sets up a force pushing from the high
toward the low pressure. The greater the difference in pressures, the stronger the force. The
distance between the area of high pressure and the area of low pressure also determines how fast
the moving air is accelerated. Meteorologists refer to the force that starts the wind flowing as the
pressure gradient force. High and low pressure are relative. There's no set number that divides
high and low pressure. Wind is used to describe the prevailing direction from which the wind is
blowing with the speed given usually in miles per hour or knots.
Wind Advisory: Issued for sustained winds strong enough to cause inconvenience or minor
damage. Criteria for Southern California are sustained winds 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts to 57
mph in coastal and valley areas, and sustained winds 35 to 44 mph and/or gusts to 57 mph in the
mountains and deserts.
Wind Aloft: The wind speeds and wind directions at various levels in the atmosphere above the
area of surface.
Wind Chill: The wind chill is the effect of the wind on people and animals. The wind chill
temperature is based on the rate of heat loss from exposed skin caused by wind and cold and
gives an approximation of how cold the air feels on your body. As the wind increases, it removes
heat from the body, driving down skin temperature and eventually the internal body temperature.
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Therefore, the wind makes it FEEL much colder. If the temperature is 0°F and the wind is
blowing at 15 mph, the wind chill temperature is -19°F. At this level, exposed skin can freeze in
just a few minutes. The only effect wind chill has on inanimate objects, such as car radiators and
water pipes, is to shorten the amount of time for the object to cool. The inanimate object will not
cool below the actual air temperature. For example, if the temperature outside is -5°F and the
wind chill temperature is -31°F, then your car's radiator temperature will be no lower than the air
temperature of -5°F.
Wind Chill Advisory: The NWS issues this product when the wind chill becomes dangerous.
The criteria for this warning vary from state to state.
Wind Chill Warning: The NWS issues this product when the wind chill is life threatening. The
criteria for this warning vary from state to state.
Wind Direction: The true direction FROM which the wind is moving at a given location. It is
normally measured in tens of degrees from 10° to 360°.
Wind Gust: They are rapid fluctuations in the wind speed with a variation of 10 knots or more
between peaks and lulls. The speed of the gust will be the maximum instantaneous wind speed.
Wind Rose: A diagram that shows the percent of time that the wind blows from different
directions at a given location over a given time.
Wind Shear: The rate of change of wind speed and/or direction over a given distance. Also, see
shear.
Wind Shift: A change in wind direction of 45° or more in less than 15 minutes with sustained
wind speeds of 10 knots or more throughout the wind shift.
Wind Sock: A tapered fabric shaped like a cone that indicates wind direction by pointing away
from the wind. It is also called a wind cone.
Wind Speed: The rate at which air is moving horizontally past a given point. It may be a 2-
minute average speed (reported as wind speed) or an instantaneous speed (reported as a peak
wind speed, wind gust, or squall).
Wind Vane: An instrument that determines the direction from which a wind is blowing.
Wind Waves: Local, short period waves generated from the action of wind on the water surface
(as opposed to swell). Commonly referred to as waves.
Winter Storm Warning: Issued when more than one type of hazardous winter weather is
occurring, imminent, or highly likely over part or all of the forecast area. Winter storm warnings
are normally issued for the first period of the forecast but can be extended into the second period.
They are reissued whenever there is a change to the timing, areal extent, or expected condition.
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Winter Storm Watch: Issued when conditions are favorable for hazardous winter weather
conditions to develop over part or all of the forecast area in the next 6-36 hours, but the
occurrence is still uncertain. Watches will be reissued whenever there is a change in the timing,
areal extent, or expected conditions. Winter storm watches either evolve into winter storm
warnings or advisories, or they are canceled.
Zone Forecast Product (ZFP): This NWS product will provide the general public with a clear
statement of the expected weather conditions within a given zone. The forecast will include: sky
condition, temperature, type of precipitation and its probability, and wind direction and speed
(probability of precipitation and winds are normally given only during the first 5 periods of the
forecast).
Zonal Flow: Large-scale atmospheric flow in which the east-west component (i.e., latitudinal) is
dominant. The accompanying meridional (north-south) component often is weaker than normal.
Compare with meridional flow.
Zulu (Z) Time: For practical purposes, the same as Coordinated Universal Time (UTC). The
notation formerly used to identify time Greenwich Mean Time. The word “Zulu” is notation in
the phonetic alphabet corresponding to the letter “Z” assigned to the time zone on the Greenwich
Prime Meridian.
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Appendix C - Weather Education Resources and Bibliography of
Local Weather
Education in person
Most colleges and universities offer courses in basic Meteorology. Many of these are part of the
Geography department in a Physical Geography course, which usually contain significant study
in weather and climate. In Southern California, the only university to offer a degree in
Atmospheric Science or Meteorology is UCLA.
Online Education
Many resources for learning more about weather in general are available online. Here are some
of our favorite weather education web sites on the Internet:
Online tutorials
www.srh.noaa.gov/jetstream
ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu/(Gh)/guides/mtr/home.rxml
Disaster Preparedness
www.fema.gov/hazard/index.shtm
emergency training courses: training.fema.gov
Weather Books
Numerous books about weather and meteorology are available, including these finest examples:
Understanding Weather and Climate by Edward Aguado and James Burt. This book focuses on
explaining, rather than describing, the processes that produce Earth's weather and climate.
Companion web site available.
The Audubon Society Field Guide to North American Weather by David M. Ludlum can be
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used to identify clouds and other sky phenomena in much the way a field guide to birds is used.
The USA TODAY Weather Book by Jack Williams explains the basics of meteorology with easy
to understand text and colorful graphics.
(Archives of Western Region Technical Attachments and Technical Attachment-Lites since 1996
can be found at the Western Region web site at: www.wrh.noaa.gov/wrh/ta.php.)
Aldrich, John, and Meadows, Myra, 1962: Southland Weather Handbook. Brewster Publications.
51 pp.
Atkin, D.V., and Reynolds, J.A., 1995: Composite Maps of Selected Rainfall Events in San
Diego. Western Region Technical Attachment No. 95-06.
Atkin, D. V., and Dandrea, J.A., 1998: Composite Maps of Selected Warm Events in San Diego.
Western Region Technical Attachment No. 98-09.
Bailey, Harry P., 1966: Weather of Southern California. University of California Press. 87 pp.
Burger, M., 2003: An Analysis of the December 16, 2002 Grapevine Wind Event - A WES Case
Western Region Technical Attachment-Lite 03-48.
Carpenter, Ford A., 1913: The Climate and Weather of San Diego, California. San Diego
Chamber of Commerce.
Danielson, David, 2003: Southern California Wind Event 9-10 February 2003 - A WES Case
Study. Western Region Technical Attachment-Lite 03-22.
Danielson, David, 2003: Labor Day Weekend 2002: An Exercise Involving Flash Flood and
Lightning Potential Forecasts, “The Curve Fire”. Western Region Technical Attachment-Lite 03-
204
45.
Danielson, David, 2004: The Eastern Antelope Valley Eddy (EAVE) and Its Impact on Severe
Weather. Western Region Technical Attachment-Lite 04-45.
Evans, T.E., and Halvorson, D.A., 1998: Climate of San Diego, California. NOAA Technical
Memorandum, NWS WR-256.
Garza, A.L., and Atkin D. V., 1996: Southern California Severe Thunderstorm Event and a First
Look at Precipitation Data From the San Diego-Miramar WSR-88D. Western Region Technical
Attachment
No. 96-22.
Garza, A.L., 1999: 1985-1998 North Pacific tropical cyclones impacting the southwestern United
States and northern Mexico: An updated climatology. NOAA Technical Memorandum, NWS
WR-258.
Isla, E., and Lee, J., 2006: Climate of San Diego, California, Third edition. NOAA Technical
Memorandum, NWS WR-275.
Kurtz, Emil S., 1977, revised by Stitt, Whitlow and Tarczy 2002: Southern California Weather
for Small Boaters. NWS publication. 42 pp.
Markell, Jeff, 1997: Coastal Weather Guide for Southern California and Western Mexico.
Lighthouse Presss. 139 pp.
Martin, G., 1997: Applications of the RUC and Meso-ETA to Forecasting the Catalina Eddy.
Preprints of the 7th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology.
Martin, G., 1998: An Outstanding Performance by the ETA-10 for the Southern California Storm
of 23 February 1998. Western Region Technical Attachment No. 98-36.
Maxwell, B., and Atkin, D.V., 1998: Chaff in the Vicinity of Thunderstorms in Southern
California on 6 June 1997. Western Region Technical Attachment No. 98-04.
Maxwell, B., 2000: Thunderstorms in San Diego and associated easterly wave of 20 July 1998.
Western Region Technical Attachment No. 00-02.
Maxwell, B., 2006: Analysis of the 22-23 July 2006 Extreme Heat in San Diego County.
Western Region Technical Attachment No. 06-12.
Small, I., 1995: Santa Ana Winds and the Fire Outbreak of Fall 1993. NOAA Technical
Memorandum NWS WR-230.
Small, I., Atkin, D.V., and Evans, T.E., 1998: Severe Hail Detection Using VIL Density and its
Application in the Western States. Western Region Technical Attachment No. 98-37.
205
Small, I., and Shah, A., 1999: A Case Study of a Wind Event In the Palm Springs Region.
Western Region Technical Attachment 99-17.
Small, I., 1999: An Observational Study of Island Effect Bands: Precipitation Producers in
Southern California. Western Region Technical Attachment 99-18.
Small, I., 1999: An Observational Study of a California Bight Coastal Convergence Zone
Produced by Flow Interaction with Mainland Topography: Precipitation Producer in Southern
California. Western Region Technical Attachment 99-19.
Small, I., Mackechnie, T., and Bower, B., 2000: Mesoscale Interactions Triggering Severe
Thunderstorms and Flash Flooding in Southwestern California July 1999. Western Regional
Technical Attachment 00-01.
Small, I., Martin, G., LaDochy, S., and Brown, J., 2002: Topographic and Synoptic Influences on
Cold Season Severe Weather Events in California. Preprints of the 16th Conference on
Probability and Statistics, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor Soc., 146-153.
Small, I., Atkin, D., 2002: Analysis of a Severe Thunderstorm using the Weather Event
Simulator (WES). Western Regional Technical Attachment-Lite 02-02.
Small, I., Atkin, D., 2003: A WES Simulation of the Extreme Santa Ana Wind Event of 6-7
January 2003. Western Regional Technical Attachment-Lite 03-08.
Small, I., 2003: A WES Simulation of the Interaction between a Trough in the Westerlies and
Monsoon Flow Leading to Flash Flooding in Southern California. Western Regional Technical
Attachment-Lite 03-42.
Small, I., Dandrea, J., 2003: A Low Level Blocking Ridge Along With Downward Motion Aloft
in the Right Front Quadrant of the Upper Level Jet - A Recipe for Minor Flooding and High
Winds. Western Regional Technical Attachment 03-05.
Small, I., Dandrea, J., 2004: Some Interesting Characteristics of Southern California Wildfires
and the Resulting Waterman Flash Flood/Mudslide Event of December 25, 2003. Western
Regional Technical Attachment-Lite 04-29.
Small, I., Atkin, D., 2004: A Pacific Storm As Seen Via The WES: Focus on a Gap Wind
Enhanced Convergence Zone and Associated Flooding. Western Regional Technical
Attachment-Lite 04-03.
Small, I., Gonsalves, P., 2005: A Dramatic Shift from a Warm Monsoonal Pattern to a Cold
Northwest Express Pattern. Western Regional Technical Attachment-Lite 05-05.
Small, I., Atkin, D., 2006: An Inside Slider with Very Low Elevation Snow and High Winds in
Extreme Southwestern California. Western Regional Technical Attachment-Lite 06-02.
Small, I., Dandrea, J., 2006: Characteristics of a Record Breaking Heat Wave and Monsoon
206
Event in Southern California during the Summer of 2006. Western Regional Technical
Attachment 06-08.
Tubbs, A.M., 1972: Summer thunderstorms over Southern California. Monthly Weather Review,
100, 799-807.
Wilson, Harlan L., 1959: Guide to Weather and Climate of San Diego. San Diego City Schools.
145 pp.
Zierer, Clifford, 1956: California and the Southwest. John Wiley & Sons. 376 pp. Chapter 4.
207
Appendix D - Product Cross Reference
The following chart is a cross references for weather products issued by the NWS with the World
Meteorological Organization (WMO) headers. The NWS identifier used is the final five or six
letters of the complete nine digit identifier. Actual issuance times may occur before the indicated
issuance times below.
Area Forecast Discussion AFDSGX FXUS66 330 am, 930 am, 230 pm,
930 pm, and as needed
Climatological Report CLM XXX (XXX CSUX46 1st day of the month
(Monthly) dependent on
location)
Regional Max/Min Temp RTPSGX ASUS66 530 am, 430 pm, 530 pm,
and Precipitation Table and as needed
209
Severe Weather Statement SVSSGX WWUS34 as needed
210
Non- Routine Products
For the current Watches, Warnings and Advisories issued by the San Diego Weather Forecast
Office please use this link: www.wrh.noaa.gov/warnings.php?wfo=sgx.
211
Appendix E – Warning and Advisory Criteria
WIND
Coastal Areas and Valleys Sustained 30 mph (26 kt) or Sustained 40 mph (35 kt) or more
more and/or gusts 35 mph (30 and/or gusts 58 mph (50 kt) or more
kt) or more
Desert and Mountains Sustained 35 mph (30 kt) or Sustained 45 mph (39 kt) or more
below 7000 ft more and/or gusts 45 mph (39 and/or gusts 58 mph (50 kt) or more
kt) or more
Mountains above 7000 ft Sustained 45 mph (39 kt) or Sustained 55 mph (48 kt) or more
more and/or gusts 55 mph (48 and/or gusts 75 mph (65 kt) or more
kt) or more
FOG
Usually for 2 or more locations Less than ½ mile visibility for any length of time
WINTER WEATHER
Mountains above 7000 ft 4-7” in 12 hours with visibilities below 12” in 12 hours or 18” in
½ mile in strong wind 24 hours
Mountains below 7000 ft (3000- 4-7” in 12 hours with visibilities below 8” in 12 hours or 12” in
7000 ft) ½ mile in strong wind 24 hours
Location Wind Chill Wind Chill Blizzard Warning Blowing Snow Advisory
Warning (NPW) Advisory (NPW) (WSW) (WSW)
any -20 degree wind -10 to -19 degree Sustained wind 35 Widespread visibilities ½
chill wind chill mph (30 kt) or mile or less
more with visibility
1/4 mile or less for
3 hours or more
212
Location Freezing Rain or Drizzle Advisory Ice Storm Warning (WSW)
(WSW)
any Hail 3/4” or larger and/or winds 58 mph If tornado is sighted or if radar or other data
(50 kt) sustained or gusts suggest existence or formation is likely
TEMPERATURE
Coastal Heat Index 105 Widespread temps from 28 to Widespread temps 28 degrees
Sections degrees or more 32 degrees or less
Valleys Heat Index 110 Widespread temps from 28 to Widespread temps 28 degrees
degrees or more 32 degrees or less
Apple and Heat Index 120 The 1st and 2nd time temp is The 1st and 2nd time temp is
Yucca degrees or more forecast to be 32 degrees or less forecast to be 28 degrees or less
Valleys for 2 or more consecutive hours for 2 or more consecutive hours
or anytime between 1 Mar and or anytime between 1 Mar and
15 Nov 15 Nov
Lower Heat Index 120 Widespread temps from 28 to Widespread temps 28 degrees
Deserts degrees or more 32 degrees or less
MARINE
Small Craft Advisory (incl. for hazardous seas) Gale Warning Storm Warning
email: wrcc@dri.edu
phone: 775-674-7010
fax: 775-674-7016
Internet address: www.wrcc.dri.edu
Southern California archives of climate normals are also available on the Western Regional
Climate Center’s web site at: www.wrcc.dri.edu/summary/climsmsca.html
For a narrative describing the monthly climate for the city of San Diego, click on:
www.wrh.noaa.gov/sgx/climate/san-san-month.htm
Many detailed (daily and hourly) historical weather conditions are available on our website
www.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=sgx through the NOWData link (from our home
page, click on Climate – Local, then NOWData). Additional climate data are made available
through this web site for numerous sites in our area (Observed Weather tab). A wealth of various
other climate information data is available on the Local Data/Records tab. These data featured on
the web site are preliminary and not official data suitable for insurance claims or legal purposes.
The history or weather in Southern California can be viewed on a day-to-day basis each day and
is headlined on our home page as “This Day in History” with a link to the daily archive. More
weather history is available on our home page by clicking on “Weather History” on the left side
menu.
214
Appendix G – Weather Safety Tips for Southern California
For more information about these and other hazards, visit: weather.gov/safety.php
Flash Floods
• Get out of areas subject to flooding, such as dips, low spots, canyons, washes, etc. Climb to
higher ground.
• Do not let children play near storm drains.
• Avoid already flooded and high velocity flow areas. Do not attempt to cross flowing streams.
• If driving, be aware that the road bed may not be intact under flood waters. Turn around and
go another way. Never drive through flooded roadways.
• If the vehicle stalls, leave it immediately and seek higher ground. Rapidly rising water may
engulf the vehicle and its occupants and sweep them away.
• Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize flood dangers.
• Do not camp or park your vehicle along streams and washes, particularly during threatening
conditions.
• If advised to evacuate, do so immediately.
Lightning
• Postpone outdoor activities if thunderstorms are imminent. This is your best way to avoid
being caught in a dangerous situation.
• Move to a sturdy building or car. Do not take shelter in small sheds, under isolated trees, or
in convertible automobiles. Stay away from tall objects such as towers, fences, telephone
poles, and power lines.
• If lightning is occurring and a sturdy shelter is not available, get inside a hard top automobile
and keep the windows up. Avoid touching any metal.
• Utility lines and metal pipes can conduct electricity. Unplug appliances not necessary for
obtaining weather information. Avoid using the telephone or any electrical appliances. Use
phones ONLY in an emergency.
• Do not take a bath or shower during a thunderstorm.
• Turn off air conditioners. Power surges from lightning can cause serious damage.
• Find a low spot away from trees, fences, and poles. Make sure the place you pick is not
subject to flooding.
• If you are in the woods, take shelter under the shorter trees.
• If you feel your skin tingle or your hair stand on end, squat low to the ground on the balls of
your feet. Place your hands over your ears and your head between your knees. Make yourself
the smallest target possible and minimize your contact with the ground. DO NOT lie down.
• If you are boating or swimming, get to land and find shelter immediately!
215
Tornadoes
• In a home or building, move to a pre-designated shelter, such as a basement.
• If an underground shelter is not available, move to a small interior room or hallway on the
lowest floor and get under a sturdy piece of furniture. Put as many walls as possible between
you and the outside.
• Stay away from windows.
• Get out of automobiles.
• Do not try to outrun a tornado in your car; instead, leave it immediately for safe shelter.
• If caught outside or in a vehicle, lie flat in a nearby ditch or depression and cover your head
with your hands.
• Be aware of flying debris. Flying debris from tornadoes causes most fatalities and injuries.
• Mobile homes, even if tied down, offer little protection from tornadoes. You should leave a
mobile home and go to the lowest floor of a sturdy nearby building or a storm shelter.
Outside:
In a Vehicle:
• Stay in the vehicle. You will become quickly disoriented in wind-driven snow and cold.
• Run the motor about 10 minutes each hour for heat.
• Open the window a little for fresh air to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning.
• Make sure the exhaust pipe is not blocked.
• Be visible to rescuers. Turn on the dome light at night when running the engine.
• Tie a colored cloth, preferably red, to your antenna or door.
• After snow stops falling, raise the hood to indicate you need help.
• Exercise. From time to time, move arms, legs, fingers and toes vigorously to keep blood
circulating and to keep warm.
Inside:
• Stay inside.
• When using alternate heat from a fireplace, wood stove, space heater, etc., use fire safeguards
and properly ventilate.
• If no heat: close off unneeded rooms, stuff towels or rags in cracks under doors, cover
windows at night. Eat and drink. Food provides the body with energy for producing its own
heat. Keep the body replenished with fluids to prevent dehydration. Wear layers of loose-
fitting, lightweight, warm clothing. Remove layers to avoid overheating, perspiration and
216
subsequent chill.
Extreme Heat
• Slow down. Limit strenuous activities to the coolest time of the day.
• Dress for summer. Wear lightweight, light-colored clothing.
• Reduce the consumption of proteins to slow down metabolism and water loss.
• Drink plenty of water even if you are not thirsty. Avoid alcoholic beverages.
• Spend more time in air-conditioned places.
• Avoid too much exposure to the sun. Sunburn reduces the body’s ability to dissipate heat.
Boating
217
Appendix H — Charts and Tables
Temperature Conversion
In the formulas below, / means to divide, * means to multiply, - means subtract, + means to add
and = is equal. Tc = temperature in degrees Celsius, Tf = temperature in degrees Fahrenheit.
To convert a Fahrenheit temperature into Celsius: Tc = (5/9)*(Tf-32)
To convert a Celsius temperature into degrees Fahrenheit: Tf = ((9/5)*Tc)+32
to C C or F to F to C C or F to F to C C or F to F to C C or F to F
-28.89 -20 -4 -6.67 20 68 15.56 60 140 37.78 100 212
-28.33 -19 -2.2 -6.11 21 69.8 16.11 61 141.8 38.33 101 213.8
-27.78 -18 -0.4 -5.56 22 71.6 16.67 62 143.6 38.89 102 215.6
-27.22 -17 1.4 -5 23 73.4 17.22 63 145.4 39.44 103 217.4
-26.67 -16 3.2 -4.44 24 75.2 17.78 64 147.2 40 104 219.2
-26.11 -15 5 -3.89 25 77 18.33 65 149 40.56 105 221
-25.56 -14 6.8 -3.33 26 78.8 18.89 66 150.8 41.11 106 222.8
-25 -13 8.6 -2.78 27 80.6 19.44 67 152.6 41.67 107 224.6
-24.44 -12 10.4 -2.22 28 82.4 20 68 154.4 42.22 108 226.4
-23.89 -11 12.2 -1.67 29 84.2 20.56 69 156.2 42.78 109 228.2
-23.33 -10 14 -1.11 30 86 21.11 70 158 43.33 110 230
-22.78 -9 15.8 -0.56 31 87.8 21.67 71 159.8 43.89 111 231.8
-22.22 -8 17.6 0 32 89.6 22.22 72 161.6 44.44 112 233.6
-21.67 -7 19.4 0.56 33 91.4 22.78 73 163.4 45 113 235.4
-21.11 -6 21.2 1.11 34 93.2 23.33 74 165.2 45.56 114 237.2
-20.56 -5 23 1.67 35 95 23.89 75 167 46.11 115 239
-20 -4 24.8 2.22 36 96.8 24.44 76 168.8 46.67 116 240.8
-19.44 -3 26.6 2.78 37 98.6 25 77 170.6 47.22 117 242.6
-18.89 -2 28.4 3.33 38 100.4 25.56 78 172.4 47.78 118 244.4
-18.33 -1 30.2 3.89 39 102.2 26.11 79 174.2 48.33 119 246.2
-17.78 0 32 4.44 40 104 26.67 80 176 48.89 120 248
-17.22 1 33.8 5 41 105.8 27.22 81 177.8 49.44 121 249.8
-16.67 2 35.6 5.56 42 107.6 27.78 82 179.6 50 122 251.6
-16.11 3 37.4 6.11 43 109.4 28.33 83 181.4 50.56 123 253.4
-15.56 4 39.2 6.67 44 111.2 28.89 84 183.2 51.11 124 255.2
-15 5 41 7.22 45 113 29.44 85 185 51.67 125 257
-14.44 6 42.8 7.78 46 114.8 30 86 186.8 52.22 126 258.8
-13.89 7 44.6 8.33 47 116.6 30.56 87 188.6 52.78 127 260.6
-13.33 8 46.4 8.89 48 118.4 31.11 88 190.4 53.33 128 262.4
-12.78 9 48.2 9.44 49 120.2 31.67 89 192.2 53.89 129 264.2
-12.22 10 50 10 50 122 32.22 90 194 54.44 130 266
-11.67 11 51.8 10.56 51 123.8 32.78 91 195.8 55 131 267.8
-11.11 12 53.6 11.11 52 125.6 33.33 92 197.6 55.56 132 269.6
-10.56 13 55.4 11.67 53 127.4 33.89 93 199.4 56.11 133 271.4
-10 14 57.2 12.22 54 129.2 34.44 94 201.2 56.67 134 273.2
-9.44 15 59 12.78 55 131 35 95 203 57.22 135 275
-8.89 16 60.8 13.33 56 132.8 35.56 96 204.8 57.78 136 276.8
-8.33 17 62.6 13.89 57 134.6 36.11 97 206.6 58.33 137 278.6
-7.78 18 64.4 14.44 58 136.4 36.67 98 208.4 58.89 138 280.4
-7.22 19 66.2 15 59 138.2 37.22 99 210.2 59.44 139 282.2
218
Wind Speed Conversion
219
Beaufort Wind Scale
This scale is used to estimate wind speeds when no wind equipment is available.
1-4 Light air: Direction of wind shown by smoke but not by wind vanes
4-7 Light breeze: Felt on face; leaves rustle; ordinary wind vane moved by wind
8 - 12 Gentle breeze: Leaves and small twigs in constant motion; wind extends light flag
13 - 18 Moderate breeze: Raises dust and loose paper; small branches are moved
19 - 24 Fresh breeze: Small trees in leaf begin to sway; crested wavelets form on inland
water
25 - 31 Strong breeze: Large branches in motion; telephone wires whistle; umbrellas used
with difficulty
47 - 54 Strong gale: Slight structural damage occurs; chimney pots and slates removed
220
Pressure Conversion
inches millibars inches millibars inches millibars inches millibars inches millibars
28.50 965.1 29.00 982.1 29.50 999.0 30.00 1015.9 30.50 1032.8
28.51 965.5 29.01 982.4 29.51 999.3 30.01 1016.3 30.51 1033.2
28.52 965.8 29.02 982.7 29.52 999.7 30.02 1016.6 30.52 1033.5
28.53 966.1 29.03 983.1 29.53 1000.0 30.03 1016.9 30.53 1033.9
28.54 966.5 29.04 983.4 29.54 1000.3 30.04 1017.3 30.54 1034.2
28.55 966.8 29.05 983.7 29.55 1000.7 30.05 1017.6 30.55 1034.5
28.56 967.2 29.06 984.1 29.56 1001.0 30.06 1017.9 30.56 1034.9
28.57 967.5 29.07 984.4 29.57 1001.4 30.07 1018.3 30.57 1035.2
28.58 967.8 29.08 984.8 29.58 1001.7 30.08 1018.6 30.58 1035.6
28.59 968.2 29.09 985.1 29.59 1002.0 30.09 1019.0 30.59 1035.9
28.60 968.5 29.10 985.4 29.60 1002.4 30.10 1019.3 30.60 1036.2
28.61 968.8 29.11 985.8 29.61 1002.7 30.11 1019.6 30.61 1036.6
28.62 969.2 29.12 986.1 29.62 1003.0 30.12 1020.0 30.62 1036.9
28.63 969.5 29.13 986.5 29.63 1003.4 30.13 1020.3 30.63 1037.3
28.64 969.9 29.14 986.8 29.64 1003.7 30.14 1020.7 30.64 1037.6
28.65 970.2 29.15 987.1 29.65 1004.1 30.15 1021.0 30.65 1037.9
28.66 970.5 29.16 987.5 29.66 1004.4 30.16 1021.3 30.66 1038.3
28.67 970.9 29.17 987.8 29.67 1004.7 30.17 1021.7 30.67 1038.6
28.68 971.2 29.18 988.1 29.68 1005.1 30.18 1022.0 30.68 1038.9
28.69 971.6 29.19 988.5 29.69 1005.4 30.19 1022.4 30.69 1039.3
28.70 971.9 29.20 988.8 29.70 1005.8 30.20 1022.7 30.70 1039.6
28.71 972.2 29.21 989.2 29.71 1006.1 30.21 1023.0 30.71 1040.0
28.72 972.6 29.22 989.5 29.72 1006.4 30.22 1023.4 30.72 1040.3
28.73 972.9 29.23 989.8 29.73 1006.8 30.23 1023.7 30.73 1040.6
28.74 973.2 29.24 990.2 29.74 1007.1 30.24 1024.0 30.74 1041.0
28.75 973.6 29.25 990.5 29.75 1007.5 30.25 1024.4 30.75 1041.3
28.76 973.9 29.26 990.8 29.76 1007.8 30.26 1024.7 30.76 1041.6
28.77 974.3 29.27 991.2 29.77 1008.1 30.27 1025.1 30.77 1042.0
28.78 974.6 29.28 991.5 29.78 1008.5 30.28 1025.4 30.78 1042.3
28.79 974.9 29.29 991.9 29.79 1008.8 30.29 1025.7 30.79 1042.7
28.80 975.3 29.30 992.2 29.80 1009.1 30.30 1026.1 30.80 1043.0
28.81 975.6 29.31 992.6 29.81 1009.5 30.31 1026.4 30.81 1043.3
28.82 976.0 29.32 992.9 29.82 1009.8 30.32 1026.8 30.82 1043.7
28.83 976.3 29.33 993.2 29.83 1010.2 30.33 1027.1 30.83 1044.0
28.84 976.6 29.34 992.6 29.84 1010.5 30.34 1027.4 30.84 1044.4
28.85 977.0 29.35 993.9 29.85 1010.8 30.35 1027.8 30.85 1044.7
28.86 977.3 29.36 994.2 29.86 1011.2 30.36 1028.1 30.86 1045.0
28.87 977.7 29.37 994.6 29.87 1011.5 30.37 1028.4 30.87 1045.4
28.88 978.0 29.38 994.9 29.88 1011.9 30.38 1028.8 30.88 1045.7
28.89 978.3 29.39 995.3 29.89 1012.2 30.39 1029.1 30.89 1046.1
28.90 978.7 29.40 995.6 29.90 1012.5 30.40 1029.5 30.90 1046.4
28.91 979.0 29.41 995.9 29.91 1012.9 30.41 1029.8 30.91 1046.7
28.92 979.3 29.42 996.3 29.92 1013.2 30.42 1030.1 30.92 1047.1
28.93 979.7 29.43 996.6 29.93 1013.5 30.43 1030.5 30.93 1047.4
28.94 980.0 29.44 997.0 29.94 1013.9 30.44 1030.8 30.94 1047.7
28.95 980.4 29.45 997.3 29.95 1014.2 30.45 1031.2 30.95 1048.1
28.96 980.7 29.46 997.6 29.96 1014.6 30.46 1031.5 30.96 1048.4
28.97 981.0 29.47 998.0 29.97 1014.9 30.47 1031.8 30.97 1048.8
28.98 981.4 29.48 998.3 29.98 1015.2 30.48 1032.2 30.98 1049.1
28.99 981.7 29.49 998.6 29.99 1015.6 30.49 1032.5 30.99 1049.4
221
Sunrise/Sunset Table and Tide Predictions for San Diego
Sunrise and Sunset Tables have been computed for any location by the U.S. Naval
Observatory. Click on: aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/RS_OneYear.html
The chart below shows the times of sunrise and sunset in San Diego for any year in
Pacific Standard Time. Add one hour for daylight time (between the second Sunday in
March and the first Sunday in November at 2 am).
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
Rise Rise Rise Rise Rise Rise Rise Rise Rise Rise Rise Rise
Set Set Set Set Set Set Set Set Set Set Set Set
1 0651 0644 0617 0537 0502 0442 0444 0502 0523 0543 0606 0633
1653 1721 1746 1809 1830 1851 1901 1847 1814 1733 1658 1642
2 0651 0643 0615 0536 0501 0441 0445 0503 0524 0543 0607 0634
1654 1722 1746 1809 1831 1852 1900 1846 1812 1732 1657 1642
3 0651 0642 0614 0534 0500 0441 0445 0504 0524 0544 0608 0634
1655 1723 1747 1810 1832 1853 1900 1845 1811 1731 1656 1642
4 0651 0641 0613 0533 0459 0441 0445 0504 0525 0545 0609 0635
1656 1724 1748 1811 1832 1853 1900 1845 1810 1730 1655 1642
5 0652 0641 0612 0532 0458 0441 0446 0505 0526 0545 0610 0636
1657 1725 1749 1811 1833 1854 1900 1844 1808 1728 1654 1642
6 0652 0640 0611 0530 0457 0440 0446 0506 0526 0546 0610 0637
1657 1726 1750 1812 1834 1854 1900 1843 1807 1727 1654 1642
7 0652 0639 0609 0529 0456 0440 0447 0506 0527 0547 0611 0638
1658 1727 1750 1813 1835 1855 1900 1842 1806 1726 1653 1642
8 0652 0638 0608 0528 0455 0440 0447 0507 0528 0547 0612 0638
1659 1728 1751 1813 1835 1855 1900 1841 1804 1724 1652 1642
9 0652 0637 0607 0527 0454 0440 0448 0508 0528 0548 0613 0639
1700 1729 1752 1814 1836 1856 1859 1840 1803 1723 1651 1643
10 0652 0637 0606 0525 0454 0440 0448 0508 0529 0549 0614 0640
1701 1729 1753 1815 1837 1856 1859 1839 1802 1722 1651 1643
11 0652 0636 0604 0524 0453 0440 0449 0509 0530 0550 0615 0641
1702 1730 1753 1816 1837 1856 1859 1838 1800 1721 1650 1643
12 0652 0635 0603 0523 0452 0440 0450 0510 0530 0550 0616 0641
1702 1731 1754 1816 1838 1857 1859 1837 1759 1719 1649 1643
13 0651 0634 0602 0522 0451 0440 0450 0510 0531 0551 0617 0642
1703 1732 1755 1817 1839 1857 1858 1836 1758 1718 1649 1643
14 0651 0633 0600 0521 0451 0440 0451 0511 0531 0552 0618 0643
1704 1733 1756 1818 1840 1858 1858 1835 1756 1717 1648 1644
15 0651 0632 0559 0519 0450 0440 0451 0512 0532 0552 0618 0643
1705 1734 1756 1818 1840 1858 1857 1834 1755 1716 1648 1644
16 0651 0631 0558 0518 0449 0440 0452 0513 0533 0553 0619 0644
1706 1735 1757 1819 1841 1858 1857 1833 1754 1715 1647 1644
222
17 0651 0630 0557 0517 0449 0440 0452 0513 0533 0554 0620 0645
1707 1736 1758 1820 1842 1859 1857 1832 1752 1713 1646 1645
18 0650 0629 0555 0516 0448 0440 0453 0514 0534 0555 0621 0645
1708 1737 1759 1821 1842 1859 1856 1830 1751 1712 1646 1645
19 0650 0628 0554 0515 0447 0441 0454 0515 0535 0555 0622 0646
1709 1737 1759 1821 1843 1859 1856 1829 1750 1711 1646 1646
20 0650 0627 0553 0513 0447 0441 0454 0515 0535 0556 0623 0646
1710 1738 1800 1822 1844 1859 1855 1828 1748 1710 1645 1646
21 0649 0626 0551 0512 0446 0441 0455 0516 0536 0557 0624 0647
1711 1739 1801 1823 1844 1900 1855 1827 1747 1709 1645 1646
22 0649 0625 0550 0511 0446 0441 0456 0517 0537 0558 0625 0647
1712 1740 1801 1823 1845 1900 1854 1826 1746 1708 1644 1647
23 0649 0624 0549 0510 0445 0441 0456 0517 0537 0559 0626 0648
1713 1741 1802 1824 1846 1900 1853 1825 1744 1707 1644 1647
24 0648 0622 0547 0509 0445 0442 0457 0518 0538 0559 0627 0648
1714 1742 1803 1825 1847 1900 1853 1823 1743 1706 1644 1648
25 0648 0621 0546 0508 0444 0442 0458 0519 0539 0600 0627 0649
1714 1742 1804 1826 1847 1900 1852 1822 1741 1705 1643 1649
26 0647 0620 0545 0507 0444 0442 0458 0519 0539 0601 0628 0649
1715 1743 1804 1826 1848 1900 1852 1821 1740 1704 1643 1649
27 0647 0619 0543 0506 0443 0443 0459 0520 0540 0602 0629 0649
1716 1744 1805 1827 1848 1900 1851 1820 1739 1703 1643 1650
28 0646 0618 0542 0505 0443 0443 0500 0520 0541 0603 0630 0650
1717 1745 1806 1828 1849 1901 1850 1819 1737 1702 1643 1650
29 0645 0541 0504 0443 0443 0500 0521 0541 0604 0631 0650
1718 1806 1829 1850 1901 1849 1817 1736 1701 1643 1651
30 0645 0540 0503 0442 0444 0501 0522 0542 0604 0632 0650
1719 1807 1829 1850 1901 1849 1816 1735 1700 1642 1652
Tide Predictions
Tide predictions for California and coastal locations throughout the country can be found
on the National Ocean Service’s web site: co-ops.nos.noaa.gov/tide_pred.html.
223
Heat Index
The NWS has devised the Heat Index, sometimes called the “apparent temperature.” It is the
temperature the body feels when the heat and humidity are combined. High relative humidity
inhibits the evaporation of perspiration and hence the body’s ability to cool itself. For more
information about the heat index: www.nws.noaa.gov/om/heat/index.shtml.
Note: Exposure to full sunshine can increase HI values by up to 15° F
HEAT INDEX °F
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (%)
Temp. 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
110 136
108 130 137
106 124 130 137
104 119 124 131 137
102 114 119 124 130 137
100 109 114 118 124 129 136
98 105 109 113 117 123 128 134
96 101 104 108 112 116 121 126 132
94 97 100 103 106 110 114 119 124 129 135
92 94 96 99 101 105 108 112 116 121 126 131
90 91 93 95 97 100 103 106 109 113 117 122 127 132
88 88 89 91 93 95 98 100 103 106 110 113 117 121
86 85 87 88 89 91 93 95 97 100 102 105 108 112
84 83 84 85 86 88 89 90 92 94 96 98 100 103
82 81 82 83 84 84 85 86 88 89 90 91 93 95
80 80 80 81 81 82 82 83 84 84 85 86 86 87
Category Heat Index Possible heat disorders for people in high risk groups
130°F or
Extreme higher
Heat stroke or sunstroke likely.
Danger (54°C or
higher)
105 - 129°F Sunstroke, muscle cramps, and/or heat exhaustion likely. Heatstroke possible with
Danger
(41 - 54°C) prolonged exposure and/or physical activity.
Extreme 90 - 105°F Sunstroke, muscle cramps, and/or heat exhaustion possible with prolonged exposure
Caution (32 - 41°C) and/or physical activity.
80 - 90°F
Caution Fatigue possible with prolonged exposure and/or physical activity.
(27 - 32°C)
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Wind Chill
The wind chill temperature is how cold people and animals feel when outside. Wind chill
is based on the rate of heat loss from exposed skin caused by wind and cold. As the wind
increases, it draws heat from the body, lowering skin temperature and eventually the
internal body temperature. Therefore, the wind makes it feel much colder. See chart and
calculation formula below. Inanimate objects, such as car radiators and water pipes will
not cool below the actual air temperature. For more information about wind chill, click
on: www.nws.noaa.gov/om/windchill/index.shtml.
225
Ultraviolet Index
The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and the National Weather Service
developed the Ultraviolet Index (UVI) to provide important information to help you plan
your outdoor activities and prevent overexposure to the sun’s rays.
The UV Index can range from 0 (at night) to 15 or 16 (in the tropics at high elevations
under clear skies). UV radiation is greatest when the sun is highest in the sky and rapidly
decreases as the sun approaches the horizon. The higher the UV Index, the greater the
rate of skin-damaging (and eye damaging) UV radiation. Consequently, the higher the
UV Index, the shorter the time it takes before skin damage occurs. For more information
about the UVI, including forecast maps, click on:
www.epa.gov/sunwise/uvindex.html, also see
www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/uv_index.
012 Minimal
34 Low
56 Moderate
789 High
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Tropical Cyclones
Common Definitions
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a 1-5 rating based on the hurricane's present
intensity. This is used to give an estimate of the potential property damage and flooding
expected along the coast from a hurricane landfall. Wind speed is the determining factor
in the scale, as storm surge values are highly dependent on the slope of the continental
shelf in the landfall region. Note that all winds are using the U.S. 1-minute average. For
more information about hurricanes, click on: www.nhc.noaa.gov.
Names have been given to tropical cyclones attaining tropical storm status by the
National Hurricane Center since 1953. Currently, the name lists are maintained and
updated by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization. The
lists featured only women's names until 1979. Since then, men's and women's names have
been alternated. When a hurricane is particularly deadly or costly, the name is retired and
a new name is chosen to replace it. These lists are recycled every six years (e.g., the 2004
list will be used again in 2010). For these lists and more information about the naming of
tropical cyclones and hurricanes, click on: www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml.
228
Tornadoes - The Enhanced Fujita (EF) Scale
The original Fujita (F) Scale was developed in 1971 by T. Theodore Fujita of the
University of Chicago. It is a scale that measures the severity of tornadoes based on
extent of damage. In 2007 the NWS implemented the Enhanced Fujita Scale as an update.
It continues to support and maintain the original tornado database.
For more information about tornadoes, click on: www.spc.noaa.gov/faq/tornado.
EF3 136-165 Severe damage. Roofs and some walls torn off well-
constructed houses; trains overturned; most trees in
forest uprooted; heavy cars lifted off the ground and
thrown.
EF5 Over 200 Incredible damage. Strong frame houses leveled off
foundations and swept away; automobile-sized missiles
fly through the air in excess of 100 meters (109 yards);
trees debarked; incredible phenomena will occur.
* IMPORTANT NOTE ABOUT EF-SCALE WINDS: The Enhanced F-scale still is a set
of wind estimates (not measurements) based on damage. Its uses three-second gusts
estimated at the point of damage based on a judgment of 8 levels of damage to 28
indicators. These estimates vary with height and exposure. Important: The 3 second gust
is not the same wind as in standard surface observations. Standard measurements are
taken by weather stations in open exposures, using a directly measured, “one minute
mile” speed.
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Earthquake Magnitude Classes (based on the Richter Scale)
Classes Magnitude
Major 7 to 7.9
Strong 6 to 6.9
Moderate 5 to 5.9
Light 4 to 4.9
Minor 3 to 3.9
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Time Zone Conversions (UTC, GMT, Z) Conversions from UTC to US time zones:
* = previous day
07 11 pm* / 12 am 12 mid / 1 am 1 am / 2 am 2 am / 3 am
08 12 mid / 1 am 1 am / 2 am 2 am / 3 am 3 am / 4 am
09 1 am / 2 am 2 am / 3 am 3 am / 4 am 4 am / 5 am
10 2 am / 3 am 3 am / 4 am 4 am / 5 am 5 am / 6 am
11 3 am / 4 am 4 am / 5 am 5 am / 6 am 6 am / 7 am
12 4 am / 5 am 5 am / 6 am 6 am / 7 am 7 am / 8 am
13 5 am / 6 am 6 am / 7 am 7 am / 8 am 8 am / 9 am
14 6 am / 7 am 7 am / 8 am 8 am / 9 am 9 am / 10 am
15 7 am / 8 am 8 am / 9 am 9 am / 10 am 10 am / 11 am
16 8 am / 9 am 9 am / 10 am 10 am / 11 am 11 am / 12 pm
17 9 am / 10 am 10 am / 11 am 11 am / 12 pm 12 pm / 1 pm
18 10 am / 11 am 11 am / 12 pm 12 pm / 1 pm 1 pm / 2 pm
19 11 am / 12 pm 12 pm / 1 pm 1 pm / 2 pm 2 pm / 3 pm
20 12 pm / 1 pm 1 pm / 2 pm 2 pm / 3 pm 3 pm / 4 pm
21 1 pm / 2 pm 2 pm / 3 pm 3 pm / 4 pm 4 pm / 5 pm
22 2 pm / 3 pm 3 pm / 4 pm 4 pm / 5 pm 5 pm / 6 pm
23 3 pm / 4 pm 4 pm / 5 pm 5 pm / 6 pm 6 pm / 7 pm
Appendix I – Weather Extremes
Temperature
The world’s highest temperature on record was 136° at Al Aziziyah, Libya, on September 13,
1922.
Vostok, Antarctica holds the world's record for coldest temperature: -129° on July 21, 1983.
On January 22, 1943 in Spearfish, SD: The temperature rose 49 degrees in two minutes, from - 4
to 45; later the same morning, it dropped 60 degrees in 27 minutes, from 56° to - 4°. Plate glass
windows cracked as a result of the wild fluctuation in temperatures caused by Chinook winds.
The greatest 24- hour U.S. temperature difference in one place was set January 23- 24, 1916, in
Browning, MT, at 100 degrees when it went from a low of -56° to a high of 44°.
Alaska and Hawaii share the same record high temperature of 100°. Pahala, Hawaii, reached that
temperature on April 27, 1913; Fort Yukon, Alaska, hit 100° on June 27, 1915.
It was 134° at Death Valley on July 10, 1913. It remains the highest reading on record for the
Western Hemisphere, the nation’s highest temperature on record for July, and the second highest
reading in the world. Sandstorm conditions accompanied the heat.
The greatest diurnal range of temperature on record for the U.S. is 65 degrees, at Deeth, NV.
After a morning low of 12°, the mercury rose to 87° on 9.21.1954.
Precipitation
Dry
Arica, Chile is the world’s driest place, receiving 0.03” of rain annually. It never rained at all in
one 14- year period.
Death Valley is the driest place in the United States, receiving 2.33” annually (1971-2000
normals). In 1929, it did not rain at all.
Bagdad, California holds the U.S. record for continuous days without rain at 767.
The driest state in the U.S. is Nevada, with an average annual rainfall of 9.0”.
Wet
The wettest locations in the world according to the most average annual rainfall are Mawsynram,
India: 467.4 inches, Tutunendo, Colombia: 463.4 inches, and Mt. Waialeale, Kauai, Hawaii: 460
inches. At Mt. Waialeale it averages more than one inch a day, on the average of 355 days a
year. In India, most of the rainfall occurs in a six month period.
232
Greatest one minute rainfall in the world: 1.5 inches in Guadeloupe, West Indies, on Nov 26,
1970.
In the U.S.: 1.23 inches in Unionville, MD, on July 4, 1956.
Greatest one hour rainfall in the world: 15.78 inches in Muduocaidoang, Inner Mongolia, on Aug
1, 1977.
In the U.S.: 12.0 inches in Holt, MO, in June 1947.
Greatest 24- hour rainfall in the world: 73.62 inches at La Reunion Island, Indian Ocean, on
March 15- 16, 1952.
In the U.S.: 43 inches in Alvin, Texas, on July 25- 26, 1979.
Greatest one month rainfall in the world: 366 inches in Cherrapunji, India, in July 1861.
In the U.S.: 107 inches in Kukui, Hawaii, in March 1942.
Greatest one year rainfall in the world: 1,042 inches in Cherrapunji, India, in 1860- 1861.
In the U.S.: 739 inches in Kukui, Hawaii, in 1981- 1982.
Hail
Hailstones sometimes contain foreign matter such as pebbles, leaves, twigs, nuts, and insects.
The costliest U.S. hailstorm occurred in Denver, Colorado, on July 11, 1990. Total damage was
$625 million.
The most deadly international hailstorm on record occurred in India on April 30, 1888. This
hailstorm killed 230 people at Moradabad, about 100 miles east of Delhi, and 16 others at
Bareilly.
The heaviest hailstones on record reportedly weighed 2.25 pounds and killed 92 people in
Gopalganj, a district of Bangladesh, on April 14, 1986.
A hailstone that fell June 22, 2003 at Aurora, NE, measured 7.0 inches in diameter and 18.75
inches in circumference. This was the largest hailstone ever recorded in the state of Nebraska,
and the largest hailstone ever documented in the U.S. and the world. Another hailstone from the
same storm measured 6.5 inches in diameter, with a circumference of 17.3 inches, and weighed
1.33 pounds. The previous U.S. record was held by a Coffeyville, KS hailstone, which fell on
September 3, 1970. It measured 5.7 inches in diameter, had a circumference of 17.5 inches, and
weighed 1.67 pounds. A Potter, NE hailstone that fell on July 6, 1928, held the U.S. record for
42 years. It measured around 7 inches in diameter and weighed about 1.5 pounds.
A 1959 hailstorm in northwestern Kansas lasted 1.5 hours and covered an area of 54 square
miles with hailstones 18 inches deep.
233
Hail was swept into drifts in Iowa on August 6, 1890. The hail was so deep in some protected
areas that hail remained on the ground for 26 days.
Snow
Greatest 24- hour snowfall in the world: 75.8 inches at Silver Lake, Colorado, on April 14- 15,
1921.
Greatest one storm snowfall in the world: 189 inches at Mt. Shasta Ski Bowl, California, on
February 13- 19, 1959.
Greatest one month snowfall in the world: 390 inches at Tamarack, California, in January 1911.
Greatest one season snowfall in the world: 1140 inches at Mt. Baker, Washington, in 1998- 99.
The largest reported snowflake on record fell at Bratsk, Siberia, in 1971 and was 12 inches
across.
Wind
The highest surface wind speed of 231 mph was recorded at Mt. Washington, New Hampshire
on April 12, 1934. Its average wind speed is 35 mph.
Tornadoes
In the year 2005, California was hit by 27 tornadoes, while Oklahoma managed only 25.
Thunderstorms
At any given time, there are nearly 2,000 thunderstorms occurring over the planet.
The U.S. has over 100,000 thunderstorms annually.
Hurricanes
Hurricane Andrew was the costliest hurricane on record, leaving $25-30 billion in damage on
August 24, 1992. It left a quarter of a million people homeless before it died. Only 40 lives were
lost thanks to advanced warning.
The deadliest weather event in U.S. history was the Galveston Hurricane that hit Galveston,
Texas, on September 8, 1900. More that 8,000 people (some estimates say nearly 12,000) lost
their lives.
234
Typhoon Tip in the Northwest Pacific Ocean on October 12, 1979 was measured to have the
lowest central pressure on record of 870 mb and estimated surface sustained winds of 190 mph.
Hurricane Gilbert's 888 mb lowest pressure in mid-September 1988 is the most intense [as
measured by lowest sea level pressure] for the Atlantic basin.
The most deadly tropical cyclone was the infamous Bangladesh Cyclone of 1970. The death toll
has had several estimates, some wildly speculative, but it seems certain that at least 300,000
people died from the associated storm tide [surge] in the low-lying deltas.
Pressure
The world’s highest barometric reading at sea level was 32.01 inches (1083.6 mb) recorded on
December 31, 1968 at Agata, U.S.S.R (Siberia). The station elevation is 263 meters; the
temperature was -46° C. Extraordinarily high surface pressures observed nearby at the same time
corroborated the record measurement.
The North American record for high pressure was 31.85 inches (1078.4 mb) set on January
31,1989, in Northway Alaska (on the Alaska highway in east central Alaska). When pressures
occur in this range, many commercial aircraft are grounded because their altimeters aren’t
designed for such high settings.
The lowest pressure ever recorded was 25.69 inches (870 mb) in the eye of Typhoon Tip, in the
tropical western Pacific Ocean, on October 12, 1979. Since average sea level pressure is 29.92
inches (1013.25 mb), this record pressure was more than 14% lower than average.
The lowest pressure ever recorded in the United States was 26.35 inches (892.3 mb), recorded at
Matecumbe Key, Florida, on September 2, 1935.
San Diego, because of its unique location and favorable latitude, has the U.S. record for the least
difference or “shortest” barometer between the record high and record low. It is only 1.16 inches
of mercury. The highest sea level pressure recorded in the downtown area was 30.53 inches of
mercury on February 17, 1883 and the lowest was 29.37 inches of mercury, 100 years later on
March 3, 1983.
235
Appendix J - Web Sites for Weather Information
Forecasts, Current Conditions, Maps, Satellite, Radar, Etc.
National Weather Service (NWS) San Diego weather.gov/sandiego
236
University Corp. for Atmospheric Research www.eo.ucar.edu
237
The Tornado Project www.tornadoproject.com
StormReady www.nws.noaa.gov/stormready
238
Climate Data and Long Term Prediction
Climate Diagnostics Center (El Niño-La Nina) www.cdc.noaa.gov
Aviation Weather
Aviation Digital Data Service adds.aviationweather.noaa.gov
239
Weather Organizations, Publications
National Weather Service weather.gov
240