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    Cover
                                               title:      China, Xinjiang and Central Asia : History, Transition
                                                           and Crossborder Interaction Into the 21st Century
                                                           Routledge Contemporary China Series ; 38.38
                                           author:         Mackerras, Colin.; Clarke, Michael.
                                        publisher:         Taylor & Francis Routledge
                                   isbn10 | asin:          0415453178
                                     print isbn13:         9780415453172
                                   ebook isbn13:           9780203881705
                                        language:          English
                                          subject          Uighur (Turkic people)--Asia, Central, Uighur (Turkic
                                                           people)--China--Xinjiang Uygur Zizhiqu, Xinjiang Uygur
                                                           Zizhiqu (China)--Relations--Asia, Central, Asia, Central--
                                                           Relations--China--Xinjiang Uygur Zizhiqu, Asia, Central-
                                                           -History, China--Politics and go
                               publication date:           2009
                                             lcc:          DS793.S62C5273 2009eb
                                            ddc:           951/.6
                                        subject:           Uighur (Turkic people)--Asia, Central, Uighur (Turkic
                                                           people)--China--Xinjiang Uygur Zizhiqu, Xinjiang Uygur
                                                           Zizhiqu (China)--Relations--Asia, Central, Asia, Central--
                                                           Relations--China--Xinjiang Uygur Zizhiqu, Asia, Central-
                                                           -History, China--Politics and go
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    China, Xinjiang and Central Asia
    Central Asia and Xinjiang – the far north-western province of China – are of increasing international
    importance. The United States, having established military bases in Central Asia after September
    2001, has now become a force in what was previously predominantly a Russian sphere of influence,
    while China, Russia and Iran all continue to exert strong influence. These external, international
    influences have had a significant impact on local politics, with the overthrow of a long-standing
    regime in Kyrgyzstan, continued unrest and opposition to the current regime in Uzbekistan and the
    intensification of Chinese control in Xinjiang.
    This book explores the effect of global and local dynamics across the region: global influences include
    the ‘War on Terror’ and international competition for energy resources; local dynamics include Islamic
    revival, Central Asian nationalism, drugs trafficking, economic development and integration. The
    authors argue that these multiple challenges, in fact, unite Xinjiang and Central Asia in a common
    struggle for identities and economic development.
    This book provides a comprehensive overview of the region’s historical significance, the contemporary
    international forces which affect the region, and of current political, economic and cultural
    developments.
    Colin Mackerras is Professor Emeritus at Griffith University, Australia. His main works on ethnic
    minorities include China’s Minorities: Modernization and Integration in the Twentieth Century and
    China’s Ethnic Minorities and Globalisation. He has written a paper on Tibetans in contemporary
    China for the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, 2005.
    Michael Clarke is a Research Fellow at the Griffith Asia Institute at Griffith University, Australia. He
    has published numerous articles on the history and contemporary politics of Xinjiang in such journals
    as Asian Security, Asian Studies Review, Issues & Studies and Terrorism & Political Violence.
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    Routledge Contemporary China Series
    1 Nationalism, Democracy and National Integration in China
    Leong Liew and Wang Shaoguang
    2 Hong Kong’s Tortuous Democratization
    A comparative analysis
    Ming Sing
    3 China’s Business Reforms
    Institutional challenges in a globalised economy
    Edited by Russell Smyth and Cherrie Zhu
    4 Challenges for China’s Development
    An enterprise perspective
    Edited by David H. Brown and Alasdair MacBean
    5 New Crime in China
    Public order and human rights
    Ron Keith and Zhiqiu Lin
    6 Non-Governmental Organizations in Contemporary China
    Paving the way to civil society?
    Qiusha Ma
    7 Globalization and the Chinese City
    Fulong Wu
    8 The Politics of China’s Accession to the World Trade Organization
    The dragon goes global
    Hui Feng
    9 Narrating China
    Jia Pingwa and his fictional world
    Yiyan Wang
    10 Sex, Science and Morality in China
    Joanne McMillan
    11 Politics in China Since 1949
    Legitimizing authoritarian rule
    Robert Weatherley
    12 International Human Resource Management in Chinese Multinationals
    Jie Shen and Vincent Edwards
    13 Unemployment in China
    Economy, human resources and labour markets
    Edited by Grace Lee and Malcolm Warner
    14 China and Africa
    Engagement and compromise
    Ian Taylor
    15 Gender and Education in China
    Gender discourses and women’s schooling in the early twentieth century
    Paul J. Bailey
    16 SARS
    Reception and interpretation in three Chinese cities
    Edited by Deborah Davis and Helen Siu
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     17 Human Security and the Chinese State
     Historical transformations and the modern quest for sovereignty
     Robert E. Bedeski
     18 Gender and Work in Urban China
     Women workers of the unlucky generation
     Liu Jieyu
     19 China’s State Enterprise Reform
     From Marx to the market
     John Hassard, Jackie Sheehan, Meixiang Zhou, Jane Terpstra-Tong and Jonathan Morris
     20 Cultural Heritage Management in China
     Preserving the cities of the Pearl River delta
     Edited by Hilary du Cros and Yok-shiu F. Lee
     21 Paying for Progress
     Public finance, human welfare and inequality in China
     Edited by Vivienne Shue and Christine Wong
     22 China’s Foreign Trade Policy
     The new constituencies
     Edited by Ka Zeng
     23 Hong Kong, China
     Learning to belong to a nation
     Gordon Mathews, Tai-lok Lui, and Eric Kit-wai Ma
     24 China Turns to Multilateralism
     Foreign policy and regional security
     Edited by Guoguang Wu and Helen Lansdowne
     25 Tourism and Tibetan Culture in Transition
     A place called Shangrila
     Åshild Kolås
     26 China’s Emerging Cities
     The making of new urbanism
     Edited by Fulong Wu
     27 China-US Relations Transformed
     Perceptions and strategic interactions
     Edited by Suisheng Zhao
     28 The Chinese Party-State in the 21stCentury
     Adaptation and the reinvention of legitimacy
     Edited by André Laliberté and Marc Lanteigne
     29 Political Change in Macao
     Sonny Shiu-Hing Lo
     30 China’s Energy Geopolitics
     The Shanghai Cooperation Organization and Central Asia
     Thrassy N. Marketos
     31 Regime Legitimacy in Contemporary China
     Institutional change and stability
     Edited by Thomas Heberer and Gunter Schubert
     32 U.S.-China Relations
     China policy on Capitol Hill
     Tao Xie
     33 Chinese Kinship
     Contemporary anthropological perspectives
     Edited by Susanne Brandtstädter and Gonçalo D. Santos
     34 Politics and Government in Hong Kong
     Crisis under Chinese sovereignty
     Edited by Ming Sing
     35 Rethinking Chinese Popular Culture
     Cannibalizations of the Canon
     Edited by Carlos Rojas and Eileen Cheng-yin Chow
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    36 Institutional Balancing in the Asia Pacific
    Economic interdependence and China’s rise
    Kai He
    37 Rent Seeking in China
    Edited by Tak-Wing Ngo and Yongping Wu
    38 China, Xinjiang and Central Asia
    History, transition and crossborder interaction into the 21st century
    Edited by Colin Mackerras and Michael Clarke
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    China, Xinjiang and Central Asia
    History, transition and crossborder interaction into the 21st century
    Edited by
    Colin Mackerras and Michael Clarke
    LONDON AND NEW YORK
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    First published 2009 by Routledge
    2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN
    Simultaneously published in the USA and Canada
    by Routledge
    270 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016
    Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business
    This edition published in the Taylor & Francis e-Library, 2009.
    To purchase your own copy of this or any of Taylor & Francis or Routledge’s collection of thousands
    of eBooks please go to www.eBookstore.tandf.co.uk.
    © 2009 Colin Mackerras and Michael Clarke for selection and editorial
    matter; individual contributors for their contribution
    All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or
    reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic,
    mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter
    invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any
    information storage or retrieval system, without permission in
    writing from the publishers.
    British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data
    A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library
    Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data
    A catalog record for this book has been requested
    ISBN 0-203-88170-2 Master e-book ISBN
    ISBN 10:0–415–45317–8 (hbk)
    ISBN 10:0–203–88170–2 (ebk)
    ISBN 13:978–0–415–45317–2 (hbk)
    ISBN 13:978–0–203–88170–5 (ebk)
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    Contents     
       Figures and maps                                                                                                     ix
       List of contributors                                                                                                 x
       Acknowledgements                                                                                                     xiii
       List of abbreviations                                                                                                xiv     
    1 China, Xinjiang and Central Asia – ‘glocality’ in the year 2008                                                         1
       DONALD H. McMILLEN
    2 The ‘centrality’ of Central Asia in World History, 1700–2007: From pivot to                                           21
       periphery and back again?
       MICHAEL CLARKE
    3 Positioning Xinjiang in Eurasian and Chinese History: Differing visions of the ‘Silk                                  55
       Road’
       JAMES A. MILLWARD
    4 ‘Failed States’ on the ‘Perilous Frontier’: Historical bases of state formation in                                    75
       Afghanistan and Central Asia
       GEOFF WATSON
    5 Xinjiang and Central Asia: Interdependency – not integration                                                          94
       ANN McMILLAN
    6 Uyghurs in the Central Asian republics: past and present                                                             115
       ABLET KAMALOV
    7 Xinjiang and Central Asia since 1990: views from Beijing and Washington and                                          133
       Sino-American Relations
       COLIN MACKERRAS
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     8 Central Asia’s domestic stability in official Russian security thinking under Yeltsin                                151
        and Putin: from Hegemony to Multilateral Pragmatism
        KIRILL NOURZHANOV
     9 ‘Glocality’, ‘Silk Roads’ and new and little ‘great games’ in Xinjiang and Central                                   173
        Asia
        MICHAEL CLARKE      
        Index                                                                                                               190
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    Figures and maps
    Figures     
             1.1  The ‘glocal continuum’                                                                                     6
             1.2  A different skin                                                                                           7
    Maps     
      1.1  China and Central Asia                                                                                           11
      1.2  Commonwealth of Independent States – Central Asian States                                                        12
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    List of contributors
    Michael Clarke is currently a Research Fellow at the Griffith Asia Institute, Griffith University,
    Brisbane, Australia. His doctoral thesis, ‘In the Eye of Power: China and Xinjiang from the Qing
    Conquest to the New Great Game for Central Asia, 1759–2004’, examined the expansion of Chinese
    state power in the ‘Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region’ since the eighteenth century and the
    implications of this complex process for China’s foreign policy in Central Asia. His research expertise
    and interests concern Chinese history, politics and foreign policy, ethnic separatism and terrorism in
    Xinjiang and Central Asia, and nuclear proliferation in the Asia–Pacific. He has published on these
    subjects in journals such as Issues & Studies; Asian Studies Review; Australian Journal of Politics and
    History; Asian Security; Terrorism and Political Violence; and the Nonproliferation Review .
    Ablet Kamalov is Leading Research Associate at the Institute of Oriental Studies (Center for Uyghur
    Studies) and Academic Leader at the Central Asian Resource Center (CARC) of the Educational Center
    ‘Bilim-Central Asia’ funded by the Open Society Institute, Kazakhstan. He earned his doctorate in
    history from the St Petersburg Branch of the Institute of Oriental Studies, Russia (1990). He has
    been a Fulbright Scholar at the University of Washington (Seattle, 1997–8), a visiting scholar at the
    University of Oxford (2001–2), Georgetown University (2003) and the J.W. Kluge Center at the
    Library of Congress (2003–4). He has published numerous articles on the history and culture of
    Central Asian peoples, most particularly the Uyghurs.
    Colin Mackerras is professor emeritus at Griffith University, Queensland. He has researched in
    many areas of Chinese history and contemporary China, especially theatre, minority nationalities and
    international relations and has written widely on all those topics. His main works on ethnic minorities
    include China’s Minorities: Modernization and Integration in the Twentieth Century, Hong Kong:
    Oxford University Press, 1994 and China’s Ethnic Minorities and Globalisation, London:
    RoutledgeCurzon, 2003. He also wrote a web paper on the Tibetans in contemporary China for the
    United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, 2005.
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    Ann McMillan has a PhD in Political Science from Griffith University in Queensland, Australia. Her
    doctoral research assessed the strategic and economic interdependency which has developed in the
    Xinjiang–Central Asian region since the demise of the Soviet Union. Ann has travelled extensively
    worldwide and since 1996 has led several tours to China. She has been a convenor/lecturer for China
    Field Studies and has lectured in Australia–Asia Pacific studies. She is presently working in China
    teaching English as part of a cooperation programme between Australia and China.
    Donald H. McMillen (PhD, Colorado, 1976) is Professor of Asian and International Studies,
    Department of Humanities and International Studies, Faculty of Arts, University of Southern
    Queensland (USQ), Australia. His previous positions have included Director of Research and Research
    Development in the Faculty of Arts and Head of the Department of Asian Studies. He has also been:
    Head of the Department of Government and International Studies and Director of the ‘Hong Kong
    Transition Project’ at Hong Kong Baptist University; Director of the Centre for the Study of Australia–
    Asia Relations at Griffith University; Senior Research Fellow; and Acting Head of the Strategic and
    Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University. He is also a Member of the Editorial
    Board of The China Journal (Canberra), a Consulting Editor for several international publishing
    houses, and has delivered scholarly lectures or seminars at many institutions around the world. He is
    the author of a number of important works on Xinjiang, including Chinese Communist Power and
    Policy in Xinjiang, 1949–1977, Boulder: Westview Press, 1979; ‘The Xinjiang Production and
    Construction Corps: A Han Organization in a Non-Han Region’, Australian Journal of Chinese Affairs,
    1981, July, no. 6, 65–91; ‘The Urumqi Military Region: Defense and Security in China’s West’, Asian
    Survey, 1984, August, 22 (8), 705–29; and ‘Xinjiang and Wang Enmao: New Directions in Power,
    Policy, and Integration?’, China Quarterly, 1984, no. 99, 569–93.
    James A. Millward (BA Harvard 1982; MA, School of Oriental and African Studies, University of
    London, 1986; PhD, Stanford, 1993) is Associate Professor of Intersocietal History in the Edmund
    Walsh School of Foreign Service, Georgetown University. He specializes in the modern history of
    China and Central Asia, including Mongolia, Tibet and especially Xinjiang, where he travels
    frequently. He also teaches world history, and his current research combines Central Eurasian and
    world perspectives by following the paths of stringed instruments and musical exchanges along the
    silk roads and globally, with a particular focus on the globalization of the guitar over the past 500
    years. He has delivered papers in China, France, Germany, Sweden, India, Japan and Korea and has
    been elected to serve on the councils of major academic associations (the Association for Asian
    Studies China and Inner Asia Council; Central Eurasian Studies
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    Society Executive Board). His publications include Eurasian Crossroads: A History of Xinjiang , New
    York: Columbia, 2006; New Qing Imperial History: the Making of Inner Asian Empire at Qing
    Chengde, London; New York: RoutledgeCurzon 2004; and Beyond the Pass: Economy, Ethnicity and
    Empire in Qing Central Asia, 1759–1864, Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1998; Chinese
    translation, 2006.
    Kirill Nourzhanov holds a PhD from the Australian National University and a Master of Arts from
    the Moscow State University. He is currently a Lecturer at the Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies
    (the Middle East and Central Asia). Dr Nourzhanov’s areas of expertise include Russian and Eurasian
    politics, the strategic and security environment in Central Asia and the Caucasus, and Islamic
    radicalism. He teaches courses on the relevant subjects at the ANU, ADFA and CDSS. He comments
    regularly on the conflict in Chechnya, the geopolitics of oil, and terrorism in the Australian mass
    media. In 2000–2, Dr Nourzhanov acted as an international adviser to the governments of Tajikistan
    and Kyrgyzstan in the field of public administration reform. He has published widely in refereed
    academic journals, and contributed chapters to books on Central Asia. His most recent publication
    was ‘Caspian Oil: Geopolitical Dreams and Real Issues’, Australian Journal of International Affairs,
    2006, March, 60 (1).
    Geoff Watson is a lecturer in the history programme in the School of History, Philosophy and
    Politics, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand. He completed his MA on Central Asian
    influences on the Mughal Empire at Canterbury University in Christchurch under the supervision of Dr
    S.A.M. Adshead and Dr Ian Catanach in 1992. He then completed his PhD on British images of
    Central Asia between 1830 and 1914 at Griffith University under the supervision of Professor Colin
    Mackerras and Dr John Butcher in 1998. He has published a number of articles based on his doctoral
    research in the Worlds of the Silk Roads series and also contributed an article on representations of
    Central Asian ethnicities to Asian Ethnicity in 2002.
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     Acknowledgements
     Colin Mackerras and I would like to express our sincere thanks to the Griffith Asia Institute and its
     Director, Professor Michael Wesley, for funding and supporting our research workshop on Xinjiang
     and Central Asia held at Robertson Gardens, Brisbane, 26–27 June 2006. Griffith Asia Institute’s
     support allowed us to assemble a range of Xinjiang and Central Asia scholars from Australia, New
     Zealand, the United States and Kazakhstan to contribute to a wide-ranging discussion of the history,
     politics, culture and international relations of Xinjiang and Central Asia.
     We would also like to thank our contributors not only for their wholehearted participation during the
     workshop itself but also for their willingness to revisit and revise their papers for publication.
     Moreover, we also appreciate their meeting of our deadlines to produce what we feel is a collection
     of high-quality research papers.
     Finally, we would also like to thank Ms Robyn White, Publications Manager for the Griffith Asia
     Institute, for preparing the final copy of the manuscript.
     Michael Clarke
     Griffith Asia Institute
     Brisbane, Queensland
     8 April 2008
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    List of abbreviations
    CAU                 Central Asian Union
    CCP                 Chinese Communist Party
    CFDP                Council on Foreign and Defense Policy
    CIS                 Commonwealth of Independent States
    CST                 Collective Security Treaty
    ETIM                East Turkestan Islamic Movement
    ETR                 East Turkestan Republic
    EurAsDec            Eurasian Economic Commonwealth
    FSU                 Former Soviet Union
    IES                 Institute of Eurasian Studies
    IMU                 Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan
    IROU                Inter-Republican Organization of Uyghurs
    ISAF                International Security Assistance Force
    HT                  Hizb ut-Tahrir
    MPR                 Mongolian People’s Republic
    NATO                North Atlantic Treaty Organization
    OSCE                Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe
    PDPA                People’s Democratic Party of Afghanistan
    PRC                 People’s Republic of China
    RATS                Regional Anti-Terrorist Structure
    SCO                 Shanghai Cooperation Organisation
    SES                 Single Economic Space
    TIRET               Turkic Islamic Republic of East Turkestan
    UN                  United Nations
    UNDP                United Nations Development Fund
    UNDP-HDR-CA         United Nations Development Fund
                        Human Development Report for Central Asia
    UNPO                Unrepresented Nations and Peoples Organization
    UNRFET              United National Revolutionary Front of East Turkestan
    USSR                Union of Soviet Socialist Republics
    XPCC                Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps
    XUAR                Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region
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    1
    China, Xinjiang and Central Asia
    ‘Glocality’ in the year 2008
    Donald H. McMillen
    University of Southern Queensland, Australia
    Introduction
    The contributors to this volume are grateful to the Griffith Asia Institute for hosting the June 2006
    Workshop on ‘Central Asia and Xinjiang into the twenty-first century’ that has led to the publication
    of these timely and thought-provoking essays. The participants, many of whom had travelled far to
    be in Australia, offered informed, indeed fascinating, insights focused on the relationship between
    developments in Xinjiang and China’s ties with the rest of Central Asia. In a broader sense, the
    proceedings touched on a range of significant global and international issues pertinent to that
    ‘region’, including recent views from Beijing, Moscow, Washington and Australia. In a more particular
    sense, and very correctly in my mind, they also critically delved into the more ‘local’ conditions of life,
    attitudes, history of events, and states’ policies that have had equally profound effects on the various
    peoples and players there. All of these were placed in the context of a number of important
    ‘transitions’ that are variously underway today.
    One of the main points made in my opening address, and one that will be discussed in greater detail
    later, was the need for an analytical framework that would assist in the contextualization and
    assessment of the issues treated by Workshop contributors – and one that would provide overall
    coherence for this volume. I suggested that one such framework could be based on the notion of
    ‘glocality’. As it happened, just such a framework was consistently embedded in contributors’ essays
    and served our aims well. First, however, I believe it is appropriate to briefly discuss the generations
    of scholars, and others, who have written about this ‘Eurasian Outback’ as a backdrop to the essays
    that follow.
    The earlier generations of Xinjiang/Central Asia scholars
    To be honest, when the workshop organizers, Professor Colin Mackerras and Dr Michael Clarke,
    invited me to present the opening paper, I was a bit anxious. This was because I began my own
    research career some 35 years ago by focusing on the efforts of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
    to
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    establish its power in Xinjiang and, thereafter, formulate ‘revolutionary re-integrationist’ policies that
    would create a post-Liberation Xinjiang that was truly an integral part of the new People’s Republic
    of China (PRC). I was fascinated by the fact that after 1949 the CCP had to deal with several
    ‘historical truths’, including that Xinjiang remained a rather remote, non-Han region along the Sino-
    Soviet border in Central Asia where complex ethnicities had become predominantly coloured by
    adherence to varieties of the Islamic faith. Indeed, these features were to have continuing impacts
    on Beijing’s efforts to exert Chinese rule and establish a communist ethos there. Much the same had
    previously been the case in Soviet Central Asia for the leadership in Moscow.
    At that time, I also was drawn to the study of Xinjiang by the work of at least two previous
    generations of largely Western scholars, many of whom had ventured there to either uncover the
    mysteries of ‘Inner Asia’,1 to fathom the ‘Great Games’2 then being played out by a combination of
    exogenous and indigenous empires in that ‘Pivot (or Pawn?) of Asia’3 or, more simply, to tell ‘the
    story’ of Central Asia and Xinjiang.4 Many of my colleagues in the United States at that time were
    quizzical, if not sceptical, about the region’s importance – even when they knew where it was!
    In my mind, the first lot of Central Asia and Xinjiang scholars composed the ‘Generation of
    Adventurers, Explorers and Romantics’ – even ‘Exoticists’; while the second was basically a
    ‘Generation of Traditional Geopoliticians’ who assessed the imperial ambitions of extra-regional
    powers in those novel Eurasian continental lands beyond the Great Wall where Silk Roads and oasis
    cultures were seen to predominate.
    In any case, these first two generations of writers brought the distant domains of Central Asia and
    Xinjiang to the attention of outsiders. However, in my view, they wrote relatively little about the
    particularities of the peoples and places there, and when they did so it was usually from Euro- or
    Sino-centric perspectives. More recently, this prompted S. Frederick Starr to lament the fact that
    many earlier studies of Xinjiang (and Central Asia) set the precedent of being based on ‘hoary
    generalities and self-serving clichés’ in explaining these places and peoples – treatments he claims
    were a ‘tableau of exotica’ or works that treated them as ‘a crude geopolitical problem’.5 In his
    words concerning such writings on Xinjiang: ‘Bluntly, there is hardly any “fact” concerning Xinjiang
    [and, one might add, Central Asia] that is so solid, no source information that is so independent, and
    no analysis based on such overwhelming evidence that someone does not hotly contest its validity or
    meaning.’6
    That aside, but perhaps on account of these reasons, I was attracted to study that region and its
    peoples, and my initial research led to the 1979 publication of Chinese Communist Power and Policy
    in Xinjiang, 1949–77 , which explored the political integration of that ‘new frontier region’ into the
    nascent PRC. That volume was followed by a 1981 article in The Australian Journal of Chinese
    Affairs, entitled ‘Xinjiang and the Production and Construction
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    Corps: A Han Organisation in a Non-Han Region’. Admittedly, I published these studies at a time
    when my own research, and that of the generation of Western scholars in that period, was largely
    framed by the ideological and geostrategic contexts of the then Cold War and, later, the development
    of the Sino-Soviet dispute.7 But this is not to say that no attempt was made by me, or others, to
    look ‘beyond ideology’ in undertaking such research and writing!
    That notwithstanding, I would label that cohort of Western writers as scholars belonging to the
    ‘Generation of Ideologists and Academic Voyeurs’. As a then young American researcher, and like
    most of my contemporaries, I had no direct access to China, and certainly not to Xinjiang or Central
    Asia.8 I was therefore compelled to pursue ‘research’ about that region from a distance (largely from
    Taiwan and Hong Kong). Thus, my investigations were undertaken in a very ‘second-hand’ manner,
    adopting analytical methodologies that were subsequently labelled ‘Pekingology’ for such studies
    focused on ‘Red China’ (or ‘Kremlinology’ for those pertaining to the then Soviet Union).
    I nonetheless feel very gratified that Gardner Bovingdon would refer to my earlier research in one of
    his more recent writings on Xinjiang as follows:
    A generation ago, Donald McMillen captured the central dilemma confronting Xinjiang’s rulers [the
    CCP]. On the one hand, out of security considerations, the Party had to develop policies that
    respected the Uyghurs’ (and others’) cultural and religious differences – though not, McMillen adds
    parenthetically, ‘their right of self-determination’ – to avoid provoking popular antagonism. On the
    other hand, nation-building concerns led to policies such as forced Han immigration and language
    reforms ‘designed to undercut the very ethnic and cultural uniqueness which the Party outwardly
    promised to safeguard….’ The ultimate aim was assimilation. According to McMillen, the path chosen
    by Wang Enmao, who by 1965 was both military commander and first party secretary of Xinjiang,
    was ‘to maintain actively the façade of regional autonomy for [the various minzu ] … while at the
    same time adopting measures that would gradually make them, and the territory they inhabited,
    unquestionably Chinese’.9
    While I shall return to some of these themes later, as do many of the contributors in this volume, my
    point is that by the mid-1980s my own research interests shifted away from Xinjiang, and it has
    been over 20 years since I last studied or wrote about that place.10 Hence, in making the opening
    remarks at the 2006 Workshop, I felt a definite sense of going ‘back to the future’!
    The newer generation of Xinjiang/Central Asia scholars
    Nonetheless, I have remained fascinated by developments in Central Asia and Xinjiang and often
    have read, with much admiration, the more recent,
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    and excellent, scholarship about these places and peoples by the latest generation of scholars. Most
    of them have had the good fortune to experience greater direct access to China and Xinjiang and the
    peoples there since the 1980s and to the places of ‘ethnic cousins’ in the post-Soviet states of
    Central Asia since the early 1990s. As a consequence of their ability to undertake such fieldwork
    there, they have obtained greater ‘ground truths’ about the region than I (or ‘my generation’) could
    have done earlier. Certainly, my own ‘academic voyeurism’ of the 1970s seems a far cry from today’s
    more open and globalized research environment – where ‘travel’ (both real and virtual) across
    borders into such places, combined with newer technologies, has nearly removed ‘curtains and walls’
    for interested researchers and policy-makers. Moreover, the newer (hence, current) generation of
    scholars, both Western (‘exogenous’) and ‘Non-Western’ (‘indigenous’), also is frequently fluent not
    only in putonghua (or Russian) but also competent in at least one of the languages of the
    nationalities of that region.11
    Therefore, this more current scholarship fits into what I call the ‘Generation of Scholarly Visitors’. It is
    composed of exogenous micro-specialists who have the capacities to dissect Xinjiang, and Central
    Asian, lifestyles and relevant government approaches to political, economic and social management.
    Moreover, it also is a generation that now includes scholars indigenous to these places who have, to
    a considerable degree, stepped out from behind former ‘barriers and dispositions’ to more freely
    interact with their peers both locally and internationally. This has added a valuable degree of what I
    call ‘rounded dimensionality’ in terms of the perspectives represented in assessments and discussions
    about the region. It also supports the idea that we now have a generation of contemporary Central
    Asia and Xinjiang scholarship that is conditioned by processes and events that range through a
    ‘continuum’ from the local, national and regional to the global. For these reasons, therefore, this is an
    era of scholarship when ‘glocality’ already has become an important contextual and analytical
    component.
    Xinjiang/Central Asia: ‘glocality’ as a framework of analysis
    Conceptually, the notion of ‘glocality’ presents us with a context wherein continuing little and great
    ‘games’ are being played out, frequently as components of contests at all levels in the region of focus
    here; where there is an apparent seamlessness between the macro and the micro affairs of actors
    within Central Asia and Xinjiang (and of actors from elsewhere , both proximate and distant, including
    both nation states and others); and where the immediate lives of ‘everyday peoples’ are variously
    deemed to be of consequence. As Smith and Baylis suggest, ‘the processes of increasing
    interconnectedness between societies is such that events in one part of the world more and more
    have effects on peoples and societies far away’.12 This view holds that ‘the world is increasingly seen
    and experienced as a single place’,
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    whereby if ‘someone “sneezes” in, say, Urumqi (or Beijing, and even Kashgar or Tashkent), others
    elsewhere could “catch a cold”’.
    In a brief, but brilliant, discussion of globalization, Anthony McGrew has noted that [with some
    additions by the author]:
    The growing extensity, intensity , and velocity of global interactions is associated with a deepening
    enmeshment of the local and the global in so far as local events may come to have global [and
    regional] consequences and global [and regional] events can have serious local consequences
    creating a growing collective awareness or consciousness of the world as a shared social space.
    Rather than social, economic and political activities being organized primarily on a local or national
    scale, they are also increasingly organized on a trans-national or global [glocal] scale. This is not to
    argue that territory and borders are now irrelevant, but rather to acknowledge that under conditions
    of globalization their relative significance , as constraints upon social action, and the exercise of
    power, is declining. In an era of instantaneous, real-time global communication and organization, the
    distinction between the domestic and the international, inside and outside the state, breaks down.13
    McGrew goes on to equate this with a form of ‘relative de-nationalization’ of power, in so far as, in
    an increasingly interconnected global system, power is organized and exercised on a transregional,
    transnational, or transcontinental basis. In a similar fashion, Holton has argued that:
    To be ‘glocal’ means the combination of global and local elements within human activities. Examples
    include local marketing by global corporations, or the environmentalist practice of thinking globally
    but acting locally. Glocalization, meanwhile, is the process whereby ‘glocal fusions’ take place.
    The term ‘glocal’, while not widely used in academic or popular debate, nonetheless has a significant
    presence in a range of areas from business and management, to city-to-city collaboration and social
    movements seeking to empower civil society to combat market-based globalization and the power of
    multinational corporations.14
    Holton’s words draw on a core insight of Roland Robertson’s seminal discussion of ‘global fields’,
    which reasoned that much which might be called global or local may be better regarded as a
    syncretic, albeit a complex and shifting mix of both elements which thereby creates glocal rather than
    global relationships.15 In other words, the global and the local interpenetrate rather than maintain a
    distinct free-standing character.16 The idea of glocal levels of social life is a key example of the more
    general trend that Robertson refers to as relativization, which involves the combination, or
    interpenetration, of
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    what he sees as universal and particular aspects of social life. In Figure 1.1, this writer attempts to
    depict such a ‘glocal continuum’, recognizing that some ‘elements’ (in brackets) are fungible.
    Therefore, one could suggest that in this era of ‘contemporary accelerated globalization’ (CAG), it is
    appropriate to analytically consider this concept of glocality, including as a reflection of actors’
    thoughts and actions.17 Perhaps the recent thoughts of a young Australian schoolgirl, shown in
    Figure 1.2, capture similar feelings on a personal level – and ones that are likely held glocally.
    Putting aside the fact that globalization processes, including those that pertain to glocalization,
    remain uneven and in many cases unfair (what might be termed ‘asymmetrical globalization’), it
    seems more than reasonable that, taken together, they can provide an interesting and coherent
    analytical framework that draws attention to ‘fusions’ of global and local processes and players –
    whether configured by states, cities, business enterprises, social movements, or individuals. One
    could suggest that other dimensions, say those of sociocultural identity, human security, economic
    and resource development, and the world’s environment, should be included with those elements
    which heretofore have tended to focus on the territorial state’s ‘national
    Figure 1.1 The ‘Glocal Continuum’.
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    I am a person who was born to live in a skin with a different colour than yours.
    I could not choose my parents, nor you yours.
    The colour pigments embedded in your skin by the unchangeable hands of nature
    Are perchance white, while mine are black, brown or yellow.
    But underneath, I am just like you.
    My muscles ripple with the same waves of power, and thrill to the same throbs of
    Joyous action.
    My mind has the same functions as yours.
    I reach out, just as you do, in aspirations of the soul.
    I love and hate, hope and despair, rejoice and suffer, along with you.
    When my children lose fair chances at life, and become aware of the bitter road of prejudice they
    must tread,
    Then I know what my colour has cost them.
    I offer you my hand in rebuilding an unjust world, a world you and I must make better than we
    found.
    I am a person of a different skin.
    Figure 1.2 A different skin.
    security’ and policies or other factors associated with it. As Chief Rabbi Jonathan Sacks recently
    noted:
    Throughout history and until very recently most people (for most of their lives) were surrounded by
    others with whom they shared a faith, a tradition, a way of life, a set of rituals and narratives of
    memory and hope. Under such circumstances it was possible to believe that our truth was the only
    truth; that our way was the only way. Outsiders were few, dissidents fewer still. That is not our
    situation today. We live in the conscious presence of ‘difference’. In the street, at work and on the
    television screen we constantly encounter cultures whose ideas and ideals are unlike ours. That can
    be experienced as a profound threat to identity…
    Religion is one of the great answers to the question of identity. But that, too, is why we face danger.
    Identity divides. The very process of creating an ‘Us’ involves creating a ‘Them’ – people not like
    ourselves. In the very process of creating community within borders, religion can create conflict
    across borders .18
    And one could extend this thinking to an assessment of the recent intensification of asymmetrical
    conflict as illustrated by the American-led ‘global war on terror’, within which notions of glocality
    seem to shape associated actions and policies (such as those based on the doctrine of pre-emption
    in what has been termed the ‘paradigm of prevention’). And these seem to be utilized to promote
    the affinities of particular nation states’ national interests in the face of threats or challenges by other
    state or non-state actors (the ‘Them’ and ‘Us’ equation) in any locality, worldwide.
    The nature of this glocality, particularly the interconnectedness of the
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    ‘Them’ and ‘Us’ dichotomy, can be clearly seen in the ‘Abstract’ that publicized the 2006 Workshop:
    The September 11 incidents have exerted a profound effect on Central Asia as a whole and, due to
    the predominantly Islamic confession of the region’s population and proximity to Afghanistan, the
    region has been caught up in the war against terrorism. The United States has established bases in
    Central Asia, the first time in history that the Americans have been involved in what have up to now
    been Russian and to some extent Chinese and British spheres of influence. Since the 11 September
    incidents, the region has been assailed by a multiplicity of extreme influences that have impacted
    significantly upon the internal development of the Central Asian republics and Xinjiang. Indeed, the
    post-11 September period has witnessed the overthrow of a long-standing regime in Kyrgyzstan (the
    ‘Tulip Revolution’, March 2005), continued unrest in Uzbekistan (Andijan Incident, 2005), and the
    intensification of Chinese control in Xinjiang. Meanwhile, the contested nature of the region’s
    international politics has been heightened by the July 2005 statement of the Shanghai Cooperation
    Organisation [SCO] that requested the establishment of a timeline for the withdrawal of United
    States military forces from bases in Central Asia. Thus, the region’s international relations and the
    future development of its constituent states remain in a state of flux.19
    Of course, one could ask how such a glocal framework could be specifically relevant to today’s
    Central Asia and Xinjiang. According to S. Frederick Starr, and others, Central Asia and Xinjiang are
    ‘defined by their unique position along multiple cultural fault lines’ – they are ‘zones of cultural
    interaction’ and ‘cultural blotters’.20 But, as Starr adds, in reference to Xinjiang:
    While it is an exaggeration to say that external influences have defined Xinjiang, it is hard to find
    another region on which such diverse external cultural forces have been so consistently exerted.
    Together, these act like external gravitational fields, pulling Xinjiang in different directions and away
    from whatever inward cultural moorings it may have.21
    The view here is that there has been a recent tendency for some comparatively powerful ‘extra-
    regional players’ to focus on the more macro dimensions of security in that region out of self-interest
    – and, frequently, at the expense of the micro conditions of life at the local levels. Embedded within
    the aforementioned glocal continuum are many crucial processes (‘missions’) that remain unfinished,
    such as: the establishment and management of global institutions (and regimes) that provide
    accepted governance that is just and accountable; the construction (or maintenance) of extant and
    new/aspired integrated and more than nominally independent nation states; the challenges
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    of managing the aspirations of evolving ‘imagined communities’ or unfulfilled ethnonationalisms; and
    the struggle of individuals to ‘make a fair go of it’ in their lives – both locally and in wider regional
    and global (glocal) spheres.
    On the one hand, it is contended here that today ‘Xinjiang’, in particular, is variously ‘constructed’ as
    an intra -state entity (primarily) by the Han-dominated CCP and PRC nation-state structure from the
    east – thus, a ‘Hanjiang’? But, more reluctantly, it is constructed this way by most local minority
    nationalities (in the 1990s, Beijing changed the terminology governing its minority policies, moving to
    the use of ‘ethnic’ rather than the previous term ‘national’). On the other hand, ‘Xinjiang’ is
    imagined/constructed by some locals, and by pan-ethnic/religious forces in the adjacent Central Asian
    region and amongst Diaspora elsewhere, as an ‘East Turkestan’ or an ‘Uyghurstan’ – that is, as a
    potential ‘nation state’. Undoubtedly, such imaginings have been fuelled not only by recent events in
    the adjacent region but also by those at greater distance in places like the Balkans and Palestine. Nor
    is it insignificant that the formal names of the post-Soviet nation states of Central Asia bear reference
    to the predominant ethnic groups there. To a considerable degree, nonetheless, all actors (including
    many extra-regional and/or glocal players) also view ‘place’ in a regional context with Xinjiang being
    part of a larger construct called ‘Central Asia’. However, these various imaginings and constructions
    of Xinjiang and Central Asia frequently do contend with one another, and sometimes with
    considerable volatility. And it is here that any aspirations for real local autonomy, more viable
    independence, or profitable interdependence often collide – whether through the application of ‘soft’
    or ‘hard’ power by various actors.
    There is little doubt, for instance, that in the case of Xinjiang the main stimulus for reactive or
    assertive ethnic unrest has been the consequence of Chinese policies, whether intended or not. To
    assure Chinese control there, the CCP-dominated PRC centre has concurrently adopted a ‘dual
    strategy’. On the one hand, it has tried to calm and entice the locals through policies of rapid
    economic reform and the potential benefits that they would likely obtain, as well as through a
    diplomacy of ‘separatist containment’ with neighbouring Central Asian states (often under the guise of
    combating so-called terrorism). On the other hand, Beijing has also increased Chinese military/police
    presence and encouraged continuing Han migration there. This latter dimension of central policy, it
    appears, has had the effect of politicizing the more fervent ethnics and/or devout Muslims towards
    Xinjiang independence ( Jiangdu ). Most of the latter may be biding their time or operating
    underground, waiting for appropriate opportunities to actively and openly challenge the Chinese state
    or ‘Han settlers’ (‘Chinese infidels’) who have encroached on their homelands. This theme will be
    revisited below.
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    Xinjiang and Central Asia: ‘remoteness’ and ‘otherness’
    The remoteness and the otherness of Central Asia and Xinjiang are factors long emphasized in
    scholarly works, and are illustrated in Maps 1.1 and 1.2. One needs to be reminded that in many
    societies around the world, including those located in Central Asia and Xinjiang, there remains a deep
    economic and cultural – even spiritual-like – attachment to ‘the land’ (even as harsh as nature has so
    often made life there). This is no less the case for traditionally more agrarian and/or nomadic
    peoples than it is for city/oasis dwellers. Beyond ‘land/place’, ethnicity, and especially its religious
    component, has variously shaped identities and notions of ‘difference’ amongst local peoples, and has
    also partially oriented their thinking towards other ‘centres’ – including alternatives to any ‘nation-
    state centre’, including that of the PRC.
    It is understandable, therefore, that when non-ethnic/non-Muslim settlers from ‘Mother Russia’ or
    Han migrants from ‘China Proper’ have settled on vast tracts of land in Central Asia or Xinjiang
    (‘China Improper’?) and have come to dominate the local economies and strategic resources there,
    senses of marginalization, displacement/dispossession and frustration have developed among the
    indigenous peoples. This is especially the case in Xinjiang, where such lands and local economies
    have come to be administered by the predominantly Han-populated Production and Construction
    Corps ( bingtuan). The bingtuan had 2.54 million members in 2001, or 13 per cent of Xinjiang’s total
    population and a third of all Han there, and has been constantly augmented by a stream of ‘non-
    Muslim settlers or workers from the east’. In 2000, Uyghurs and Han comprised 44 per cent and 41
    per cent of the region’s population, respectively.
    All of this has had the consequence of pushing some non-Russian/non-Han peoples towards even
    greater feelings of ethnic identity and solidarity locally as well as towards an enhanced affinity with
    their ethnic cousins (or religious brethren) elsewhere – often despite the historic competition
    amongst them or efforts to make them all ‘Russian’ or ‘Chinese’ (the ‘Older Great Games’). Notions of
    a religious capital outside of Russia or China (in Mecca, for example), or dreams of a new ‘East
    Turkestan’ or ‘Uyghurstan’, have contributed to such local mindsets (and to the clandestine
    organization of, and sympathies towards, many politicized groupings). The saying ‘where you sit is
    what you see’ thus seems to reflect the perceptions (if not the realities) about how ideas of place
    and centrality (whether in narrower or wider contexts) are conceived there politically, socially,
    culturally or in economic terms. In one sense, ‘borders’ do count both for those who have recently
    created nation-state structures in Central Asia and, in an ‘aspirational’ sense, for those in Xinjiang
    who may have similar longings. But, in another sense, there must exist some sentiment that in social,
    cultural and economic terms such ‘borders’ have little meaning and actually could be obstacles to ‘a
    more comfortable life’.
    Moreover, it could be argued that these dimensions of ‘remoteness and
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    Map 1.1 China and Central Asia.
    Source: Maps of Asia, University of Texas Libraries, University of Texas, USA.
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    Map 1.2 Commonwealth of Independent States – Central Asian States.
    Source: Maps of Asia, University of Texas Libraries, University of Texas, USA.
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    otherness’ are conditioned quite differently in the year 2007. To a significant degree, the revolution
    in information and communication technologies (ICT) that continues to shape the current era of CAG
    has allowed such peoples to at least begin to ‘overcome geography’. The remoteness and isolation of
    Central Asia and Xinjiang, as conceived in the past, have been substantially eroded as distance and
    borders at all levels now are, or can be, transcended by freer flows of goods, capital, people,
    information and ideas. The latest ICT revolution involving satellite television, laptops, mobile phones
    and other ‘smarter innovations’ has especially contributed to this. Even in terms of memory and
    identity, the senses of remoteness and otherness long felt by local peoples (or imposed on them by
    others) may be slowly shifting towards a mindset of ‘liberation and recovery’ as a consequence of
    this revolution in technology – despite the efforts of authorities of some states to prevent or control
    it.
    This recent networking amongst locals and with others elsewhere has the potential for greater
    contest and/or for increased dialogue and cooperation. Importantly, it also enhances the possibilities
    for a reshaping of political (and other) communities, and offers a number of vehicles to achieve it –
    such as more borderless financial, trade and other transactions, greater access to knowledge,
    increased cross-border movements of peoples, more clever organizational skills, and even better
    weapons systems.22 John Urry, for instance, has argued that the conceptual tools we use to make
    sense of societies, as ‘bounded areas of social life that correspond to the territories of nation-states’,
    are less and less adequate to the task of making sense of ‘emerging flows of social life and conflict
    that are increasingly global’.23 He suggests that, increasingly, technologies are the ‘media’ through
    which social relationships are constructed, and widened. In a similar vein, Manuel Castells has argued
    that globalization represents a ‘planetary shift to a network society’:
    The fundamental dilemma in the network society is that political institutions are not the site of power
    any longer. The real power is the power of instrumental flows, and cultural codes, embedded in the
    networks. Therefore, the assault to those immaterial power sites, from outside their logic, requires
    either the anchoring in eternal values, or the projection of alternative, communicative codes that
    expand through networking of alternative networks. That social change proceeds through one way or
    another will make the difference between fragmented communalism and new history making.24
    Therefore, the suggestion here is that access to such technologies (and consequent networking) by
    peoples in Central Asia and Xinjiang, while now comparatively limited, is nonetheless happening and
    it will increase! One need only note how both nation-state and non-state actors (such as terrorist
    cells with avowed or assumed connections to groups such as al-Qaeda) have utilized such features
    associated with CAG in the service of their agendas, glocally.
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    The ‘New Great Games’
    In any case, these are some of the factors that now shape the perimeters of the contemporary ‘New
    Great Games’ being played in a glocalizing Central Asia and Xinjiang. Even if some of the current
    players have changed somewhat, the technological environment is vastly different from that which
    existed even two decades ago. And this environment further underscores, and contributes to, the
    emerging glocal processes (and glocalities) in these places – where both centripetal and centrifugal
    forces actively impact on events, lives and outlooks. However, this raises the question about the
    degree to which the phenomenon of glocalization there is being shaped by the greater state players
    (including China, Russia and the United States) or by non-state transnational actors such as
    multinational enterprises or avowed terrorist organizations. Or, is it evolving a character of its own
    based on indigenous ethnicities contoured by religious preferences and coloured by locality that seek
    a minimum objective of greater real autonomy (if not real independence)? The future for peace or
    volatility there is likely to be shaped by just such ‘tensions’.
    One could note some recent examples of such volatility in Xinjiang. In an insightful chapter entitled
    ‘Xinjiang and the “War against Terror”’, Michael Dillon stated:
    One reason for China’s enthusiastic espousal of the campaign against terrorism became clear when
    the Foreign Minister of the PRC, Tang Jiaxuan, claimed in a telephone conversation with his Russian
    opposite number Igor Ivanov on October 10th [2001] that China was also the victim of terrorism by
    Uyghur separatists…
    By defining all separatist activity in Xinjiang as terrorist, the government of the PRC is hoping to
    obtain carte blanche from the international community to take whatever action it sees fit in the
    region.25
    According to a web-based assessment authored by You Ji, Jiang Zemin’s July 1999 statement
    outlining China’s anti-terrorism policy had two components: a preventative strategy emphasizing
    tough measures against insurgents at home and enhanced cooperation with neighbouring Central
    Asian states through the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO); and a policy of minimizing
    contact with Afghanistan (as a base of al-Qaeda).26 This amounted to a further broadening of
    ‘locality’ towards ‘regionality’. After the events of 11 September 2001 (9/11), this ‘regionality’ was
    further broadened to ‘glocality’ as China – for its own purposes – became at least nominally linked to
    the American-led ‘coalition’ waging a global war against terrorism and ramped up its efforts with the
    formation of specialist anti-terrorist fast-response units, anti-terrorist research and intelligence
    operations under the Ministry of State Security, as well as a three-month campaign to seek and
    destroy avowed terrorist bases and networks. By November 2001, Beijing claimed
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    that 20 such bases had been eliminated, with over 250 arrests having been made (including 100
    ‘insurgents’ trained in Afghanistan).27
    An earlier BBC report suggested that Beijing had ‘come out of the closet’ in terms of its earlier
    secretiveness about separatist problems in Xinjiang that were deemed to be embarrassing, but
    private, matters.28 There then began a steady flow of such reports in the international media – as
    well in official PRC releases (a document on ‘East Turkestan terrorism’, a white paper on Xinjiang,
    and a list of avowed terrorist groups) signifying Beijing’s concerns.29 China claimed that as many as
    500 Xinjiang separatists (classified now as ‘terrorists’) had been trained in Afghanistan by al-Qaeda,
    which also provided them with funding, weapons, indoctrination and sanctuary. As You Ji then
    argued, ‘ Jiangdu activists have built base networks both at home and abroad, with extensive foreign
    connections revolving around three centres of activity, each of them interconnected.’30 These
    ‘centres of activity’ were said to include anti-China campaigns launched in the West under the banner
    of human rights and ethnic equality, dozens of Islamic organizations comprised of PRC exiles legally
    registered in Central Asia, and training and indoctrination centred in Afghanistan.
    On 9 January 2007, Al Jazeera reported that China had announced that police from the Xinjiang
    Public Security Department had raided a remote south-western ‘terrorist training camp’ in the Pamir
    Mountains the previous Friday. Eighteen people described as terrorists were killed, while 17 more
    were captured and several others were being pursued. One policeman was killed and another
    wounded. The police claimed to have seized guns, 22 hand grenades and materials to produce 1,500
    more. The authorities said that the camp was run by the ‘East Turkestan Islamic Movement’, listed
    after 9/11 as a terrorist organization in Xinjiang now having links with al-Qaeda (even though by
    China’s own accounts the restiveness by separatists there pre-dates those tragic events).31
    Whatever the nature of such incidents or the source and veracity of claims made about them, the
    common characterization in all of this is one of ‘glocal networking’. Furthermore, all of this must leave
    the Beijing leadership feeling no little discomfort, as just under the surface of its Xinjiang (and
    Central Asian) policies there remains a constant worry about that region’s vulnerability to any ‘forces’
    – whether domestic or foreign – that could impede China’s ambitions. Hence, this largely explains the
    CCP’s earlier implementation of a ‘Strike Hard, Maximum Pressure’ campaign against separatism in
    the 1990s, the ‘Western Development Strategy’, or ‘Develop the West’ ( xibu da kaifa ), campaign from
    2001, and its very active agenda of Central Asian diplomacy in recent years based on anti-separatism
    and securing access to vital energy resources.32
    Several points can be made about China’s more public face concerning separatism-cum-terrorism in
    Xinjiang (and in the adjacent region). First, China’s projection of a higher public profile against such
    so-called terrorist (or other dissident activities) may have assuaged fears held by some in the
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    lead-up to the 2008 Olympic Games in Beijing that the central authorities could prevent or manage
    possible incidents. While not diminishing human rights concerns here, the centre’s harsh quelling of
    disturbances in Tibet prior to the Games reflected its attempts to ‘handle such fears’. Second, and in
    a related sense, it may be a signal to all potentially disruptive elements, and possible supporters
    elsewhere, that the PRC authorities will not tolerate any display of opposition to CCP (read Chinese)
    rule or excessive ethnic/religious preferences, and that they are actively ‘on the hunt’ on both fronts.
    Third, it may be Beijing’s way of allaying worries amongst potential investors or contractors wishing
    to be involved in the larger region’s booming resource sector, implying that ‘it is business as usual’.
    Fourth, in more strategic terms, China may be playing a subtle ‘anti-terrorism card’ to counter recent
    US moves into the adjacent region. Finally, if Beijing is incautious in its recognition of the newer
    states in adjacent Central Asia, and in its attempts to tap those nationalisms for its own grander
    purposes, it risks establishing counterproductive precedents that might have the rebound effect of
    stirring latent nationalist ( Jiangdu ) inclinations within Xinjiang that could have spillover effects more
    widely.
    Despite the examples of volatility mentioned above, which did increase as the 2008 Olympic Games
    approached (at least in the case of Tibet), and as a ‘global theatre’ presented itself to dissidents,
    there has been considerable recent evidence pointing to the fact that for the majority of non-Han
    peoples in Xinjiang a ‘begrudging accommodationism’ to (Han) Chinese rule has evolved. And, so
    long as the local economy under central guidance continues to deliver positive results in terms of
    local livelihoods and other life opportunities there, such accommodationism will likely continue
    (obviously abetted by strict military/police conditions). Some dissatisfaction there may be, and not
    surprisingly so given the history of ethnic and other tensions there. But the turmoil of the 1980s and
    1990s seems to have largely abated for the moment as, on balance, for local peoples the ‘pastures
    seem greener’ within the Chinese state. This assessment is similar to that made by James Millward,
    which is worth quoting at some length:
    Although the catalogue of incidents [in Xinjiang] seems to indicate the existence of an organized,
    unified, and violent Uyghur movement, careful scrutiny reveals problems with the evidence presented
    in both media and official sources. In fact, both the frequency and severity of violent incidents in
    Xinjiang have declined since 1997–98, possibly because of Chinese efforts at interdiction. While it is
    not negligible, the current threat of organized Uyghur separatism and particularly of terrorist attacks
    on civilian targets seems less serious than claimed in official and media reports.
    Episodes of resistance to rule from Beijing, while relatively common, have been discontinuous and
    characterized by a variety of ideologies, Islam being only one of them. The period since 1990 is the
    main concern
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    of [this] study and presents two main theses. First, from the analysis of Chinese official documents
    and international press accounts of violent activity attributed to Uyghurs, the record contains much
    inaccurate, questionable, or contradictory reporting and slanted conclusions reflecting ulterior
    agendas. Second, contrary to the implication conveyed by these materials and commonly voiced by
    journalists and analysts alike, both the frequency and severity of violent activity associated with
    Uyghur separatism have in fact declined since the late 1990s.33
    In sum
    So, where has, or where might, all of this take us in terms of serious and appropriately framed
    discussions about this ‘Eurasian Outback’-cum-‘Chinese Continental Frontline’? First, any overall
    assessment of the record of Chinese rule in Xinjiang and, hence, its relations with other actors
    involved in the larger region of Central Asia, must be mixed. On balance, there is little evidence to
    suggest that the CCP’s long-term strategies of dealing with that restive region based on the ruthless
    suppression of separatism in Xinjiang, coupled with economic development and investment to
    improve the living conditions of the locals, has had all the effects desired by Beijing. Indeed, some
    have rightly argued that the strategies of the CCP in its ‘ethnic borderlands’ (such as Xinjiang) are
    akin to a process of ‘internal colonization’ whereby the non-Han peoples are placed in a position of
    considerable ‘marginalization’.34 This is demonstrated by assimilationist policies that produce social
    and cultural exclusion for the ‘ethnics’, integrationist (and Han-dominated) economic policies,
    extractionist resource development that benefits ‘China to the east’, and increased regional
    militarization against ‘dissent and separatism’ under the cover of anti-terrorism.
    Second, and associated with this, is the probability of emerging and possibly contending glocalities
    that are conditioned by alternative loyalties or agendas that compete with those of China, or other
    ‘great state players’. Therefore, what happens in Xinjiang today may somewhere, some time or
    somehow have an effect on other glocalities in the larger ‘region’ of Central Asia (or vice versa).
    Indeed, the early twenty-first century has become a time in human history when the search for
    strategic resources (especially fossil fuels) coupled with the maintenance of state regimes has
    become imperative for all players – and Central Asia and Xinjiang loom large in this quest. This hunt
    for strategic resources is especially crucial for the PRC if it is to fuel continued dynamic economic
    development and solidify its great power status – which, in turn, are essential factors in maintaining
    the CCP’s legitimacy as the sole arbiter of politics in China. Thus, the issues attached to both ethnic
    nationalisms as well as to the importance of their lands, and particularly what lies beneath such
    lands, take on a significantly different meaning. The view here is that, unfortunately, it well could be
    that neither the peoples nor the lands they treasure in Xinjiang or Central Asia will be allowed to
    count much
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    or obtain what is felt to be a ‘fair share’ in the intensifying competition for strategic resources and all
    that is associated with it.
    Third, there are other geopolitical factors that conceivably could have a telling influence on events in
    Central Asia and Xinjiang. On the one hand, there is the distinct possibility of a wind-down of
    American-led forces in an Iraq that seems to be sliding further into the bloody chaos of a civil war
    marked by Islamic sectarianism. If this eventuates, based on a policy shift following the next United
    States presidential elections and abetted by increasing American public opinion against the Iraqi
    imbroglio, it might bring Beijing some joy in terms of the loss of face felt by its rival superpower, as
    well as a further erosion of American presence in the broader region. On the other hand, the same
    events could give succour to ethnonationalist and religious elements in terms of their abilities to ‘take
    on and cast out’ the forces of any great state actor. In the future, this could mean that a ‘Rising
    China’ might face similar challenges in consolidating its broader security interests in its own
    backyard. So far as Xinjiang and Central Asia are concerned, such a scenario also might entail a set
    of policies from the Chinese capital that are either ‘more relaxed’ or ‘even tougher’, or some
    combination of both. In any case, the situation there could have significant implications for the CCP
    in terms of ‘added costs’ that could impede its management of the economy and, hence, its
    continued political predominance in the Chinese political arena.
    Finally, even though I personally have not been closely engaged in research about Central Asia and
    Xinjiang for some years now, in perhaps a somewhat idealistic vein I hope that the various
    dimensions of glocality will be objectively considered in future scholarly and official assessments.
    Moreover, I also would like to think that our attention to issues of broadly based security would
    include concerns about the more human conditions of those peoples situated in such glocal realms.
    Issues that ought to be factored into any assessment concerning the future of that region and its
    peoples include accountable governance, human rights and human dignity, environmental
    sustainability, poverty, ‘grey area phenomena’ related to well-being and health (including the scourge
    of HIV/AIDS), and reasonable aspirations that are universal to peoples no matter their locality or
    ethnicity.
    To be honest, though, one could be somewhat anxious that those in variously located policy-making
    circles might think this is ‘just all too academic, theoretical or utopian’ – that we do not need to be
    concerned about the largely faceless individuals in faraway places within any so-called glocal
    continuum who are deemed to have little impact on the realpolitik of any New Great Games that
    others play on their fields of dreams. One only need remember, too, that one person’s ‘terrorist’ is
    another person’s ‘liberation fighter’ – although this is not to forgive anyone who commits crimes
    against humanity, let alone against the very basic tenets of their avowed values or beliefs.
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    Notes
    1 This is reflected in the works of: Owen Lattimore, Inner Asian Frontiers of China , New York: Capitol
    Publishing Company, 1950; Colin Mackerras, The Uighur Empire According to the T’ang Dynasty
    Histories: A Study in Sino-Uighur Relations, 744–840 , Canberra: Australian National University Press,
    1972; Martin Nornis, Gateway to Asia, New York: John Day, 1944; Andrew Forbes, Warlords and
    Muslims in Chinese Central Asia: A Political History of Republican Xinjiang, 1911–1949 , Cambridge:
    Cambridge University Press, 1986; and Aurel Stein, On Ancient Central Asian Tracks – a brief
    narrative of three expeditions in innermost Asia and north-western China , London: Macmillan, 1933.
    2 O. Edmund Clubb, China and Russia: The ‘Great Game’ , New York: Columbia University Press,
    1971.
    3 A.S. Whiting and Sheng Shih-ts’ai, Sinkiang: Pawn or Pivot?, East Lansing: Michigan State
    University Press, 1954.
    4 Jack Chen, Sinkiang Story, London: Macmillan, 1977.
    5 S. Frederick Starr, ‘Introduction’, (ed.) Xinjiang: China’s Muslim Borderland, Armonk, New York:
    M.E. Sharpe, 2004, p. 16.
    6 Starr, ‘Introduction’, p. 6.
    7 For example, Immanuel C.Y. Hsu, The Ili Crisis: A Study of Sino-Russian Diplomacy, New York:
    Monthly Review Press, 1972; George Moseley, A Sino-Soviet Cultural Frontier: The Ili Kazakh
    Autonomous Chou , Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1962; Morris Rossabi, China and Inner
    Asia, From 1368 to the Present Day , London: Thames and Hudson, 1975; and David Wang, Under
    the Soviet Shadow: The Yining Incident – ethnic conflicts and international rivalry in Xinjiang, 1944–
    1949, Hong Kong: The Chinese University Press, 1999.
    8 My first visit to Xinjiang was in early 1982, and in August of that year I authored an article in Asian
    Survey entitled ‘The Urumqi Military Region: defense and security in China’s west’.
    9 Gardner Bovingdon, ‘Heteronomy and its discontents: “Minzu regional autonomy” in Xinjiang’, in M.
    Rossabi (ed.) Governing China’s Multiethnic Frontiers , Seattle: University of Washington Press, 2004,
    p. 122.
    10 My last substantive publication about Xinjiang appeared in The China Quarterly, no. 99,
    September 1984, under the title ‘Xinjiang and Wang Enmao: new directions in power, policy and
    integration?’.
    11 There are a significant number of very talented scholars and experts in this newer generation of
    Xinjiang researchers (including a few ‘old hands’). Only a few can be mentioned here, such as: Dru
    Gladney, Gardner Bovingdon, Morris Rossabi, Michael Dillon, David Bachman, A. Doak Barnett, James
    Seymour, Thomas Heberer, William Clark, Sean Roberts, Jay Dautcher, Justin Rudelson, Graham
    Fuller, Jonathan Lipman, Linda Benson, Yitzhak Shicor, S. Frederick Starr, Stanley Troops, Calla
    Wiemer, Michael Clarke, Nabijan Tursun, Colin Mackerras, June Dreyer, Nicolas Becquelin, James
    Millward, Ahmed Rashid, Marika Vicziany, Harry Hongda Wu, Geoff Watson, and even Amnesty
    International.
    12 S. Smith and J. Baylis, ‘Introduction’, in J. Baylis and S. Smith (eds) The Globalization of World
    Politics: An Introduction to International Relations , 3rd edn, London: Oxford University Press, 2005,
    p. 8.
    13 A. McGrew, ‘Globalization and Global Politics’, in J. Baylis and S. Smith (eds) The Globalization of
    World Politics: An Introduction to International Relations , 3rd edn, London: Oxford University Press,
    2005, pp. 19–40.
    14 R.J. Holton, Making Globalization, London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2005, p. 22.
    15 Holton, Making Globalization, pp. 25–44.
    16 R. Robertson, Globalization: Social Theory and Global Culture, London: Sage, 1992, p. 64.
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    17 See Smith and Baylis, ‘Introduction’, pp. 1–14 and J.A. Scholte, Globalization: A Critical
    Introduction , 2nd edn, London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2005.
    18 Chief Rabbi J. Sacks, quoted in Hon. Andrew Robb (Federal Member for Goldstein and
    Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Immigration and Multicultural Affairs, Australia), ‘In
    Support of a Formal Citizenship Test: address to the Jewish National Fund Gold Patron’s Lunch’,
    Melbourne, 25 October 2006, p. 4. My emphasis.
    19 Email to the author from Pearl Lee, Griffith Asia Institute, on 20 December 2005.
    20 Starr, ‘Introduction’, p. 7 and one also might note Samuel S. Huntington’s interesting, but
    controversial, 1993 article, ‘The Clash of Civilizations?’, Foreign Affairs, 1993, vol. 72, no. 3, 22–49.
    21 Starr, ‘Introduction’, p. 7.
    22 See Andrew Linklater, ‘Globalization and the transformation of political community’, in J. Baylis
    and S. Smith (eds) The Globalization of World Politics: An Introduction to International Relations , 3rd
    edn, London: Oxford University Press, 2005, pp. 709–26.
    23 John Ury, Global Complexity , New York: Polity Press, 2003, pp. 255–74. Also, Arjun Appadurai, in
    Modernity at Large: Cultural Dimensions of Globalization, Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press,
    1996, pointed to the changing nature of contemporary experience by attaching primary importance to
    the cultural rather than the economic or institutional dimensions as being most critical in shaping
    contemporary globalization. He argued that it is the imagination that constitutes the field of social
    practices, and underlined the importance of ‘disjunctive experience’ – namely, the sense that
    globalization consists of experiencing multiple places and multiple temporalities. His term
    ‘ethnoscapes’ referred to the shifting terrains of people that constitute the world in which we live:
    tourists, immigrants, refugees, exiles, and guest workers.
    24 Manuel Castells, The Power of Identity , London: Blackwell, 1997, pp. 5–24.
    25 Michael Dillon, Xinjiang – China’s Muslim Far Northwest , London: Routledge Curzon, 2004, pp.
    156–62.
    26 You Ji, ‘China’s Post-9/11 Terrorism Strategy’, Association for Asian Research, 5 November 2004.
    Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.asianresearch.org/ articles/2047.html> (accessed 24 October
    2008).
    27 Ji, ‘China’s Post-9/11 Terrorism Strategy’.
    28 T. Luard, (2003) ‘China’s Changing Views of Terrorism’, BBC News , 15 December. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/3320347.stm> (accessed 24 October 2008).
    29 See James A. Millward, ‘Violent separatism in Xinjiang: a critical assessment’, Policy Studies 6,
    Washington, DC: East-West Center, 2004.
    30 Ji, ‘China’s Post-9/11 Terrorism Strategy’.
    31 Al Jazeera [in English], (2007) China raids Xinjiang ‘terror camp’ , 9 January. Online. Available
    HTTP: <http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia-pacific/2007/01/ 2008525141225209448.html>
    (accessed 24 October 2008).
    32 Qian Tian, ‘China develops its West: motivation, strategy and prospect’, Journal of Contemporary
    China, 2004, vol. 13, no. 41, 611–36.
    33 Millward, ‘Violent separatism in Xinjiang: a critical assessment’, pp. vii–viii.
    34 See Dru C. Gladney, ‘Whither the Uighur?’, Harvard Asia Pacific Review , 1999, Winter, vol. 3, no.
    1, 11–16; Gardner Bovingdon, ‘“Autonomy” in Xinjiang: Han nationalist imperatives and Uyghur
    discontent’, Policy Studies , 2005, no. 11, Washington, DC: East-West Center; and Minority Rights
    Group International, China: Minority Exclusion, Marginalization and Rising Tensions , London:
    Commissioned Report of Human Rights in China, February 2007.
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    2
    The ‘centrality’ of Central Asia in world history, 1700–2008
    From pivot to periphery and back again?
    Michael Clarke
    Griffith Asia Institute
    The term ‘Central Asia’, for most people, conveys a primarily descriptive geographical image of a
    specific region on the globe. In contemporary usage this is confined to describing the five post-Soviet
    states of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan. This, however, highlights
    an important theme in the context of the region’s role in world history that will be the focus of this
    chapter – the expansion and contraction of the limits of ‘Central Asia’. What has determined this
    dynamic of expansion and contraction over the centuries has been the very geographic centrality of
    the region on the Eurasian continent. The establishment of any geographic, political or cultural limits
    to ‘Central Asia’ at any given point in history has been due to its interactions with regions around it.
    Thus, it is necessary to present ‘Central Asia’ as primarily a cultural rather than a purely geographic
    concept. Importantly, the factor that has aided in geoculturally distinguishing that which lay within
    and without ‘Central Asia’ throughout history has been the surrounding civilizations’ agricultural basis.
    Central Asia in this paper is therefore understood as constituting the core of the Eurasian continent –
    not only the five post-Soviet states noted above but also Xinjiang, Mongolia (the Mongolian Republic
    and Inner Mongolia), northern Iran and northern Afghanistan – that is largely coterminous with the
    area termed the ‘geographical pivot of history’ by Halford Mackinder.1 Although the interactions of
    this ‘geographical pivot of history’ with the surrounding civilizations can be traced across millennia,
    this chapter will focus upon the interactions of ‘Central Asia’ with that of the surrounding agricultural
    civilizations from 1700 to the present. This period is significant for the reason that from 1700 onward
    this Eurasian core contracted under pressure from the expansion of the surrounding civilizations,
    most notably Russia and China. This chapter, in addressing the interactions of Central Asia and the
    surrounding civilizations between 1700 and the present, will argue three major points:
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    1 Central Asia is central to an understanding of ‘world history’;
    2 Central Asia was gradually ‘removed’ from world history by the expansion of civilizations on its
    periphery;
    3 The Soviet collapse has resulted in the re-emergence of Central Asia as a region of contestation in
    world history and politics.
    These arguments will be placed within a broad conceptual framework that revisits the geopolitical
    description of Central Asia as ‘pivot’ and ‘periphery’ in world history and aligns these concepts with
    S.A.M. Adshead’s conceptions of Central Asian history as falling into ‘active’ and ‘passive’ phases of
    development with associated functions of ‘diffusion’ and ‘convergence’.2 I conceive, in accord with
    Adshead, that the period of Central Asian history during the 1700 to 2007 period falls into a ‘passive’
    phase of development characterized by the dialectic of geopolitical peripheralness and political,
    economic and cultural ‘convergence’. As such the paper takes a broad-brush approach to the
    complex processes of the absorption of the major regions of Central Asia into the expanding states of
    China and Russia and seeks to highlight commonalities in these developments.
    The centrality of Central Asia in World History: the confluence of geography and culture
    ‘Central Asia’ in its widest possible definition can be considered to be that vast belt of territory on the
    Eurasian continent that extends along a west–east axis from the Carpathian Mountains to Korea and
    a north–south axis from the Arctic Ocean to the Himalayas. This vast region is given unity through its
    distance from the sea, continentality of climate and shortage of rainfall. However, although there is
    great diversity within this wide expanse of territory, three distinct features mark Central Asia: (1) a
    belt of steppes and deserts which extend in latitudinal direction; (2) several latitudinal mountain
    chains that separate the steppe and desert region from South Asia; and (3) the interior drainage of
    several rivers that terminate in lakes or ‘seas’ (such as the Caspian and Aral Seas) or evaporate in
    the deserts.3 The steppe zone is delimited on the north by the Eurasian forest zone (the taiga of
    Siberia) and in the south by the latitudinal mountain chains and deserts. The variables of topography,
    orography and climate resulted in the evolution of three major ecological systems or ‘natural zones’
    within this conception of ‘Central Asia’ that crucially impacted upon the forms of human habitation
    practised within them.4 The steppe zones are characterized by extensive grasslands or prairies.
    Within the steppe zones there is a distinction between the northern wooded or forested steppe and
    the generally more southern grasslands. This latter region, encompassing a broad belt from the lands
    north of the Black Sea in the west to the plains of Manchuria in the east, constitutes a distinct
    ecological system distinguished by the almost continuous coverage of grasses. In the west the steppe
    zone includes Ukraine, the northern Caucasus and southern Urals, and
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    the Kazakh steppe. This latter region flows into the pre-eminent eastern steppe zones of Zungharia
    (northern Xinjiang), Mongolia and Manchuria.5
    The southern portion of ‘Central Asia’, meanwhile, is dominated by large desert regions from the
    Caspian Sea to the eastern marches of the Gobi and Ordos deserts in Mongolia. From west to east,
    this southern portion is geographically dominated by the Karakum, Kizilkum, Taklamakan, Gobi and
    Ordos deserts. These regions, in contrast to the steppes, are characterized by separate but
    interrelated oases. In the west, major oases developed, most importantly in the Ferghana, Tashkent
    and Samarkand valleys, between the Syr Darya and Amu Darya which ultimately terminate in the
    Aral Sea. This belt of fertile oases is interrupted by the western spurs of the Tien Shan Mountains
    and the Pamirs. The Taklamakan Desert of Xinjiang, occupying the Tarim Basin, is enclosed to the
    north by the Tien Shan, to the west by the Pamirs and to the south by the Kunlun Shan. On the
    fringes of this elliptical area oases were formed, watered by the melting snows of the surrounding
    mountain chains forming such rivers as the Khotan, Yarkand, Aksu and Tarim.6 It is these latter two
    ‘natural zones’ – the steppe and the desert – that historically have been the geographical regions of
    concentrated human habitation which form the core of ‘Central Asia’ as understood in this chapter.
    This thus encompasses the contemporary states of Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan,
    Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, the Republic of Mongolia and the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region of
    China.
    The major defining characteristics of Central Asia are in fact ecological, and these ecological
    pressures have determined the nature or form of human habitation within them. The primary zones
    which are capable of sustaining human habitation – the steppe and the desert oases – resulted in the
    evolution of two distinct, but interrelated, cultural realms. The open grasslands, limited rainfall and
    dispersed utilizable water of the steppe fostered the development of nomadic pastoralism – the
    ‘following of the grass and water’ of the Chinese histories – while the limited rainfall and
    concentration of utilizable water in the oases of the desert zone fostered the development of settled,
    urban and intensive agricultural settlements.7 The one variable was thus the relationship between
    the nomadic pastoralist and the sedentary.8 The uniqueness of Central Asia thus lay not only in the
    closeness of the contrasting landscapes of the steppe and oasis, and the relative proximity of the
    great sedentary civilizations, but primarily in the development of the historical phenomenon of the
    horse-breeding, highly mobile nomadic pastoralist.9 It is important to examine the unique political,
    economic and military implications of the development of this form of lifestyle, as it generated
    Central Asia’s centrality in world history.
    The lifestyle of nomadic pastoralism was made possible through the technological advances of the
    ‘secondary products revolution’ circa 4000 BCE, whereby new techniques were developed to exploit
    domestic livestock more intensively.10 Two innovations in particular – the harnessing of the traction
    power of livestock (especially the horse) and the extraction of animal products
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    (e.g. milk, hair/wool and blood) without slaughtering the animals – resulted in the production, for the
    first time, of most of the food, clothing, shelter and traction power required for survival from
    domesticated livestock. This in turn permitted the exploitation of the steppe regions, characterized by
    large areas of grasslands that were unsuitable for early forms of agriculture.11 Moreover, the
    ecological conditions of pastoralism also encouraged the development of nomadism. The constants of
    nomadic pastoralism were thus grass, animals and mobility.12
    The full significance of these conditions, however, was not felt until the later centuries of the first
    millennium CE with the emergence of a series of Turkic peoples from Mongolia and their gradual
    displacement of the extant Indo-European populations. Indeed, the core regions of present-day
    Central Asia, historical Transoxiana – the lands between the Syr Dayra and Amu Dayra – were from
    antiquity to around the ninth and tenth centuries CE populated by primarily sedentary Iranian-
    speaking peoples (e.g. Sogdians).13 From this point onward successive waves of Turco-Mongolian
    peoples from the steppe dominated the political history of Central Asia.14 The question that arises
    here is what was the force generating the predominance of the nomadic pastoralist over the
    sedentary? The most obvious feature shared by the nomadic peoples that inhabited the steppes of
    Central Asia from the Scythians of antiquity to the Huns and Mongols was their acquisition and
    refinement of a complex of individual military skills generated by their specific lifestyle on the steppe
    regions of Central Asia.15 The combination of extensive animal husbandry and migration encouraged
    the development of martial qualities such as leadership, constant vigilance against external threats,
    intimate knowledge of the animals (especially the horse), coordination of men and resources,
    specialization in mounted archery, pragmatism and stamina.16 The nomadic pastoralist’s utilization of
    the steppe horse/pony was also of central importance in converting such martial qualities into a
    superior advantage over sedentary states/societies. The impact and utility of the nomadic military
    technique/method of the mounted archer is evidenced by its dominance from the time of the
    Scythians (c. fifth century BCE) until the eighteenth century.17 As such, Sinor has argued that ‘Inner
    Asia’ exerted its influence in human history ‘through the excellence of its armed forces’.18
    The main theories of nomadic pastoralist political, economic and social activity focus on ‘greed’ or
    ‘need’ and hinge upon the economic shortcomings of nomadic pastoralism.19 The notion of the
    nomadic pastoralist’s greed was common throughout much of the historiography of the classical eras
    of the sedentary world, with both the ancient Greek and Chinese perceiving in the nomad an
    aggressive, acquisitive and ferocious nature, likening them to ravenous ‘wolves’ and ‘tigers’.20 In this
    view interaction between the sedentary and nomadic pastoral worlds was determined by the nomad’s
    insatiable desire for the goods of the former – such as grain, metals and luxury goods – and
    achieved through the exercise of their military capabilities. This view has developed, particularly in
    the twentieth century, into a perspective
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    based upon the supposed perennial economic deficiencies of the steppe. The emphasis is placed not
    upon the nomadic pastoralist’s desire for the fruits of the sedentary world but on the relationship of
    dependency of the nomadic pastoral world upon the sedentary engendered by the unstable nature of
    the steppe economy.21 The undiversified economic basis of steppe society – the stock-raising of
    horses, camels etc. – could not directly improve the individual’s or group’s living standards as
    producer and consumer were one and the same.22 The goal of the steppe economy was not the
    accumulation of wealth ‘but the acquisition of goods which, for one reason or another, it was
    impossible to produce’.23 According to this model, the nomadic pastoralist could either acquire such
    externally produced resources through trade/ exchange with sedentary populations, or take what was
    not given by force.24
    Scholars such as Fletcher, Barfield and Christian have suggested that the dynamic generated by this
    cycle of ‘trade or raid’ had important implications for the internal social and political development of
    nomadic pastoral societies. In particular they argue that the ecologically derived symbiosis between
    the steppe and agrarian regions of Central Asia, and between Central Asia and the sedentary
    civilizations of the Eurasian periphery, created the stimulus for the development of forms of political
    and social organization above that of the tribe.25 From this perspective the creation of a ‘steppe
    empire’ (such as that of the Xiongnu or the Mongols) was the result of a conscious effort to construct
    more efficient and effective methods of extracting resources exogenous to the steppe
    environment.26 Di Cosmo and Christian, however, go further by suggesting that although the
    stimulus could be external, it was also often generated through political, economic and social
    processes endogenous to the steppe environment.27 As such the formation and consolidation of
    tribal and supratribal associations are seen as a response to the instability of the pastoralist world.
    This instability generally took the form of conflict over resources that could, in the pastoral
    environment, result in intense periods of mobility and mobilization of tribal groupings. The chief
    resource – herds of animals – could multiply rapidly in the course of a few years or vanish almost
    overnight due to adverse climatic conditions, disease or theft. This variability resulted in the nomad
    having to manage the amounts of human labour and pasture required, and this could lead to the
    abandonment of traditional territories and migration routes, potentially bringing different groups into
    conflict. This internal instability could also bring nomadic pastoral societies into conflict with the
    sedentary:
    In this way, the inherent instability of pastoralist lifeways leads to a constant jostling which
    encourages skirmishing and raiding. In Inner Eurasia, raiding often escalated into warfare which
    could spread over vast areas of steppeland, eventually spilling over into neighbouring agrarian
    regions. The exceptional mobility of horse pastoralism, and the ability to fight from horseback,
    explain why in Inner Eurasia these conflicts could embrace very large areas indeed.28
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    Such a state of crisis could, along with external non-steppe originating pressures, generate the re-
    ordering of nomadic groups into tribal or supratribal associations.29 Central to both notions of state
    formation in the steppe environment is that the ecological imperatives of nomadic pastoralism
    typically resulted in the organization of nomadic pastoralists into small groups of related parental
    groups (known as aul in Turkic languages) that only formed higher levels of social and political
    organization under stress or threat from within or without the steppe.30
    This dynamic defined Central Asia’s relations to its sedentary peripheries and thus its centrality in
    world history. As noted above, a number of scholars have identified a need to establish more
    sophisticated means of accessing external resources as a constant in the development of nomadic
    polities.31 Indeed, Di Cosmo bases a periodization of Central Asian history upon the evolution of
    various methods employed by nomadic polities, in particular tribute empires (209 BCE–551 CE),
    tribute-trade empires (551–907), dual-administration empires (907–1259) and direct-taxation
    empires (1260–1796).32 This evolution of nomadic polities, and their direct involvement in trans-
    Eurasian political, military, cultural and economic flows, highlights the centrality of the region in world
    history. In the phase of the ‘tribute empires’ (209 BCE–551 CE), such as the Xiongnu (209 BCE–60
    BCE), the health of the nomadic polity rested upon its ability to continue to extract resources through
    tribute from sedentary states, such as China, and other nomadic groups. The singularity of this
    mechanism, however, resulted in fragile polities as resistance from tributary states and groups could
    result in the collapse of the political structure of the empire.33 However, as Di Cosmo and others
    have shown, the Xiongnu also had intimate contact with other nomadic polities in Central Asia and
    actively facilitated trans-Central Asian trade.34 The following period of the ‘trade-tribute empires’
    was characterized by nomadic polities’ augmentation of the tribute mechanism by intense
    involvement in both long-distance and regional trade. The major polities of this period were the first
    and second Türk empires (552–630 and 680–745), the Uyghur empire (744–840) and the Khazars
    (630–965) in the west.35 That trade was equally important as tribute as a source of externally
    derived revenue for these polities, particularly in the case of the Türk and Uyghur empires, is
    suggested by the development of close relations with Central Asian merchants.36 Such linkages also
    facilitated the diffusion of religions, as evidenced by the practice of Buddhism, Zoroastrianism and
    Nestorian Christianity in the Türk empires and the conversion of the Uyghur to Manichaeism.37 The
    bases of these polities, however, were also fragile as they depended upon the ability to extract
    tribute and maintain control over trade.
    The phase of the ‘dual-administration empires’, whereby nomadic polities acquired knowledge and
    administrative skills to directly rule sedentary regions, witnessed the decreasing importance of
    exacting tribute and a greater tendency toward direct conquest and administration. Such patterns
    were
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    evident in the reigns of the Khitan Liao (907–1125) and the Jurchen Jin (1115–1234) dynasties in
    north China, and were repeated on a vaster scale under the Mongols. As such the Khitan and
    Jurchen states’ government was largely based upon the separate administration of the realm’s
    sedentary and nomadic populations. The Mongols under Genghis, however, initially established a
    pattern reminiscent of the ‘trade-tribute’ variety and it was not until the rule of Ögödei that it was
    overturned in favour of conquest and direct administration, with Uyghurs and other Central Asian
    peoples taking a prominent role in the latter.38 The transition to the phase of the ‘direct-taxation
    empires’ (1260–1796) resulted in nomadic empires no longer relying for survival upon tribute but
    rather on the extraction of resources from conquered territories (mainly sedentary). The final step in
    the Mongols’ transition to such a mode of governance can be identified as beginning with Khubilai’s
    conquest of China (1260) and the simultaneous conquest of Persia and establishment of the Mongol
    Il-khanate. The control and manipulation of trade also assumed major importance under Genghis’s
    successors in China, Iran and Central Asia.39 The tendency of nomadic polities to rely increasingly
    upon direct rule and exploitation of sedentary regions was further evidenced by the expansion of
    Timur and his successors from 1370 onward. The Timurids, although combining the pastoral and
    agricultural economies, focused their military and administrative energies upon the sedentary regions
    of their realm, in particular Transoxiana.40 Such patterns were also present in the establishment and
    development of the Ottoman empire in the west, but also in the evolution of the Manchu Qing empire
    in the East.41 In the latter instance, however, as Barfield has demonstrated, the Qing combined
    elements of ‘Inner Asian’ rulership that were significantly tempered by the precedent of the
    ‘Manchurian’ conquest dynasties of the Khitan and Jin.42
    It can thus be argued that Central Asia was given a cultural unity through the existence and
    development of nomadic societies and polities. This is not to say, however, that the nomad always
    dominated the region that we have defined as Central Asia. Rather, what served to distinguish
    Central Asia, including the various desert, agrarian oases, from the agrarian civilizations on Central
    Asia’s peripheries was the existence of the nomad. This factor played a central role in defining the
    dynamic relationship between Central Asia and the major agricultural civilizations. The differences
    between the two divisions of Eurasia – the agricultural civilizations of the periphery and the central
    lands – were thus rooted in the peculiar ecologically determined economic and social forms of
    nomadic pastoralism. As Sinor notes, the definition of Central Asia rests upon the relative economic
    and cultural standard of the area, not its absolute content.43 The importance of the region lay in the
    basic distinction between sedentary and nomadic pastoral life-ways as captured in the Scythian
    leader Idanthyrus’s reply to Darius concerning the Persian charge that he was evading battle during
    the latter’s invasion of the Pontic steppes circa 513 BCE:
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    I have never run from any man in fear; and I am not doing so now from you. There is, for me,
    nothing unusual in what I have been doing: it is precisely the sort of life I always lead, even in time
    of peace.44
    Central Asia, 1700–2008: from pivot to periphery and back again?
    These factors are also important in generating conceptions of Central Asia’s function throughout
    history. Common throughout much of the discourse on Central Asian history is the question of how to
    perceive Central Asia: as the pivotal, ‘living heart’ of the globe or the peripheral, ‘dead centre’ of the
    world. In this regard it is a well-established paradigm to view the development of Central Asian
    history since the early centuries of the first millennium CE as falling into two major phases. Halford
    Mackinder, who famously termed Central Asia the ‘geographical pivot of history’, temporally delimited
    this pivotalness as falling between the fifth and fifteenth centuries.45 For Mackinder, the ‘pivotal’
    nature of Central Asia during this period was determined by the strategic advantage accruing to the
    highly mobile, horse-riding nomad through the geographic conditions of Central Asia.46 This ‘pivotal’
    nature, however, was overturned in the early sixteenth century through the circumnavigation of the
    globe and expansion of the sedentary states beyond their ‘homelands’ on the periphery or ‘Marginal
    Crescent’ of the Eurasian continent.47 S.A.M. Adshead also develops a similar periodization of Central
    Asian history, although going beyond a geopolitical description through the ascription of a specific
    function or role for the region. Thus, the period from 1200 to 1650 is asserted to be the climax of
    Central Asia’s ‘active’ phase in world history, whereby it became a point of diffusion to the sedentary
    ‘homelands’ of Europe, Iran, India and China for political, military, economic, technological and
    cultural developments.48 Adshead’s second period, from 1650 onward, that corresponds to our
    period of focus here, is deemed to encapsulate Central Asia’s decline into a ‘passive’ role in world
    history whereby it gradually became a point of convergence, and a recipient, for political, military,
    economic, technological and cultural developments generated from the surrounding ‘homelands’.49
    A combination of Mackinder and Adshead’s conceptual framework can be usefully adapted to describe
    the development of Central Asian history since the eighteenth century. The following discussion will
    suggest that the 1700 to 2007 period in Central Asian history has been one of ‘passivity’
    characterized by the dialectic of geopolitical peripheralness and political, economic and cultural
    ‘convergence’. In terms of the question alluded to in the title of this section, Adshead’s analysis
    appears to point toward an uncertain conclusion as to whether Central Asia may return to an ‘active’
    and diffusionist phase in history due to the transformation of the region during this passive and
    convergent phase. The overarching argument that frames my elucidation of the three points outlined
    in the introduction is that it
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    was the geographically and ecologically determined ‘life-way’, in Christian’s terminology, of nomadic
    pastoralism that generated Central Asia’s ‘centrality’ and importance in world history from antiquity to
    the latter centuries of the second millennium CE.50 Once the basis of the dynamism was weakened
    and ultimately controlled by the expansion of the centralized sedentary states of Russia and China in
    particular, the peoples and societies of Central Asia were effectively inhibited from continuing the
    processes of interaction, conflict and cooperation between Central Asia and the major sedentary
    areas of the Eurasian periphery that had been in operation since antiquity. This broad process in
    Central Asia can be characterized as one of the convergence of geopolitical, political, economic, and
    cultural pressures and structures from China and Russia.
    A tentative periodization of the three centuries of history addressed here (i.e. 1700 to 2007) can thus
    be outlined in light of the considerations addressed above. Three major periods can be identified and
    correlated to the gradual process in the transformation of Central Asia’s political, economic and
    cultural environment and role in world history. The 1700 to 1900 period can be seen as constituting
    an era of the gradual apportionment of the region between the imperial states of Russia and China,
    whereby the political and military power of these external societies overcame that of Central Asia.
    The overriding theme throughout this period was one the convergence or parallelism of geopolitical,
    economic and cultural developments through the agency of the Qing and Russian imperial states.
    The following period, 1900 to 1991, was one characterized by themes of both continuity with and
    change from the preceding imperial order. Of particular importance were the political and ideological
    dynamics emerging from the near simultaneous collapse of the imperial orders in Russia and China,
    and the consequent disarray of the former imperial centres. Significantly, the expansion of these
    sedentary states was renewed and reinvigorated by the mid-twentieth century in new forms and
    resulted in the insulation of the region from the major external areas of the Eurasian periphery that it
    historically had interacted with in favour of exclusive orientations toward Russia and China. Once
    more Central Asia became ‘pivotal’ during the first half of this period, as external states competed
    with each other and Central Asian forces for pre-eminence. Finally, the re-establishment of part of
    Central Asia’s political independence with the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 has resulted in the
    return of the region to a situation similar in a number of important respects to that which
    characterized the region during the 1700 to 1900 period. Once more the region has entered a period
    of transition that may redefine its role in world history, and the final section of this chapter will
    explore the potentialities of contemporary Central Asia to resume its ‘centrality’ in world history.
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    The ‘removal’ of Central Asia from world history, 1700–1900: from pivot to periphery
    As we have noted, Central Asia prior to the eighteenth century was generally characterized by
    fluidity, or in Toynbee’s phrase ‘conductivity’, whereby the dynamic relationship between the steppe
    and the agrarian regions encouraged/permitted the relatively free transmission of ideas, commodities
    and technologies.51 This situation was changed irrevocably, however, from the mid-1700s onward
    through the near contemporaneous expansion of the imperial states of the Qing and Russia into
    Central Asia. The factors behind the expansion of both of these states into Central Asia were
    multifaceted and encompassed historically generated strategic, political and economic concerns. Qing
    and Russian expansion were also aided by the division, from the seventeenth century onward, of the
    major nomadic pastoral peoples they encountered, in particular the Mongols and the Kazakhs.
    Significantly, the exertion of Qing and Russian pressure on their respective Central Asian frontiers did
    not induce the forging of ‘supratribal’ polities amongst these nomadic pastoral peoples. Rather, the
    conflict and competition between Mongol and Kazakh tribes resulted in the weaker or more
    threatened groups seeking the aid or protection of the pressing external sedentary power.
    The linkage between these processes at either end of the steppe belt was the rise and expansion of
    the last great nomadic pastoral polity of the Zunghar Mongols, which from the mid-seventeenth to
    the mid-eighteenth century dominated Xinjiang, parts of Kazakhstan, and western Mongolia.52 The
    pressures placed by the Zunghar expansion on the Mongolian tribes to the east in the present-day
    Republic of Mongolia and upon the Kazakh Hordes to the west resulted in these nomadic pastoralists
    seeking the succour of external powers – the Qing and the Russians. In the case of the Qing
    expansion into Mongolia and Xinjiang, it can be said that this coincided with the contemporaneous
    initiation of a military, diplomatic and cultural strategy to persuade the remaining Mongol tribes of
    the benefits of voluntarily submitting to an imperial state that shared their ‘Inner Asian’ heritage.53
    This strategy only succeeded in the face of continued Zunghar threat to the lands of the other
    Mongolian tribes, with the Zunghar invasion of Mongolia in 1690 prompting a prolonged military
    struggle over the subsequent five decades between the Qing and the Zunghars that brought Qing
    dominion over not only Mongolia but also Xinjiang.54 The final destruction of the Zunghars in 1756
    brought the Qing control over northern Xinjiang, and facilitated their absorption of the Tarim Basin
    oases with the expulsion of the ruling elites of these cities – the Makhdumzada Khojas – from
    Xinjiang.55
    Simultaneously, the Kazakh Hordes sought Russian assistance against Zunghar expansion into their
    territories, with a loose Russian protectorate enveloping the lands of the Little Horde in 1731, the
    Middle Horde in 1740 and the Great Horde in 1742.56 The conversion of this nominal control over
    the Kazakh steppe into true, direct Russian rule, however, was not completed
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    for another century when direct Russian military intervention suppressed the khans of the three
    hordes between 1822 and 1848.57 Russian dominance of the Kazakh steppe was then used as a
    launching pad for the southward thrust of expansion toward the Khanates of Khiva, Koqand and the
    Emirate of Bukhara that were extinguished in a series of military campaigns between 1865 and
    1875.58 The final Russian absorption of all the territory of the contemporary Central Asian republics
    was completed with the subjugation of the Turkmen between 1881 and 1884.59 Thus within the
    space of roughly 150 years the steppe and oasis regions of Central Asia had been apportioned
    between the Qing in the east and the Russians in the west, a division that was to remain in effect for
    over a century.
    How did the advent of external sedentary state rule impact upon the ‘centrality’ of Central Asia? Both
    Qing and Russian rule were demonstrably colonial, with both states first weakening existing political
    orders/structures, and then subsuming them within their own administrative and political
    frameworks.60 Moreover, the objectifying aspect of imperial policies also contributed to the
    solidification of ethnic, political and territorial boundaries between the peoples of Central Asia. The
    methods and techniques of Qing and Russian rule within their respective Central Asian territories
    actively weakened and managed the key factors that had generated the region’s ‘centrality’ from
    antiquity onward – the distinctive ‘life-way’ of nomadic pastoralism and its free interaction with the
    sedentary world. Important in this regard was the deployment of ‘the hegemony of inscription’ by
    both the Qing and Russia through the delimitation of not only the territorial boundaries of their
    imperial possessions but also through the classification of who lived within those bounds and where,
    which limited the ‘dangerous’ mobility of the nomadic pastoralist.61 Thus both imperial endeavours
    undertook major cartographic and ethnographic surveys of their Central Asian lands immediately
    after their conquest.62 Perhaps the most complete example of this process was the absorption of the
    Mongolian tribes into the Qing ‘banner system’, which comprised ‘territorial divisions, with definite
    boundaries subject to regular survey and mapping’.63
    In Russian Central Asia meanwhile, after the Kazakh steppe had been subsumed but prior to the
    conquest of the states of Khiva, Koqand and Bukhara, the military governors under the auspices of
    the Tsar’s ‘Steppe Commission’ began to conduct a census of the Central Asian population in order to
    establish administrative units and begin the collection of taxes.64 The mobility and martial life-way of
    such nomadic pastoralists as the Mongols and Kazakhs was also further weakened by state action in
    Mongolia and the steppe regions of Russian Central Asia. Both the Qing and Russia sought to de-
    nomadize these peoples through the encouragement of religion – Tibetan Buddhism in Mongolia and
    Islam in the Kazakh steppe – and the conversion of the steppe into agricultural land. Moreover, both
    the Qing and Russia encouraged the colonization of the steppe regions of Mongolia, Xinjiang and the
    Kazakh steppe by Han Chinese peasants and Russian and Ukrainian
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    peasants respectively, a process that accelerated by the second half of the nineteenth century.65
    In the context of the oasis regions of Central Asia, Qing and Russian control displayed a parallel
    indirect mode of imperial rule during the initial phase of dominion. Both displayed caution in
    establishing imperial control over the concentrated, sedentary populations of the oasis regions of
    Central Asia, who had an entrenched political and social order based on Islamic civilization. Thus, the
    Qing ruled southern Xinjiang through the co-option of the existing Turkic–Muslim elites ( begs ) in the
    major oases of the region. The Qing construed the usage of the title beg to erode the prestige and
    leadership of the traditional aristocracy and religious establishment of Altishahr, and establish the
    Qing as the sole legitimate source of secular political authority.66 Moreover, in contrast to its policy
    in the steppe regions of Zungharia and Mongolia, the Qing between 1760 and the 1830s actively
    prohibited the colonization of southern Xinjiang by Han Chinese peasants due to the scarcity of
    agricultural land and a desire not to generate cultural tensions in this staunchly Muslim region.67
    The oasis regions of Russian Central Asia, although ruled directly by a military governor general and
    a civilian bureaucracy directly responsible to the Tsar, also experienced indirect colonial rule. Thus,
    for example, the legal system based upon Islamic law was preserved and local administration left in
    ‘native’ hands under Russian supervision.68 Moreover, the Russians did not encourage colonization of
    these lands due to the scarcity of agricultural land, although a significant number of Russians
    employed by the colonial administration did reside in urban centres, such as Tashkent.69
    Economically, the establishment of imperial control imposed a stable political environment over
    Central Asia that was generally beneficial to trade.70 The pax Manjurica and the relatively low Qing
    taxation within its Central Asian lands resulted in the generation of economic growth and commercial
    development, with trans-Central Asian trade unhindered by overzealous imperial control.71 The
    exception to this was the case of Mongolia, whereby the conversion of pasture to agricultural land,
    Han colonization and the growth of monastic centres had a deleterious impact on the economic well-
    being of the Mongols.72 Russian Central Asia, however, experienced economic and commercial
    exploitation along the lines of the classical colonial model, whereby the region became a supplier of
    raw materials and a consumer of Russian products.73 Thus the Russians actively encouraged cotton
    cultivation in their Central Asian lands in order to supply their emerging textile industry, which
    resulted in the increasing dependence of the region on other parts of the empire for its main food
    staple of wheat.74 The region also became a lucrative market for Russia’s growing industrial base,
    with Russia developing a trade monopoly in its Central Asian territories by the later decades of the
    nineteenth century, facilitated by the completion of the Trans-Caspian, Trans-Siberian and Orenburg–
    Tashkent railroads.75
    In summary the 1700 to 1900 period witnessed the initial reorientation of
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    the Russian and Chinese spheres of Central Asia toward exclusive relations with the imperial centre.
    The most significant alteration induced by the advent of external sedentary state rule was the
    weakening of Central Asia’s nomadic pastoral peoples through the imposition of more rigid forms of
    territorial and political organization, and the encouragement of sedentary colonization of steppe
    regions. The oasis regions of Central Asia also experienced, for the first time, the direct rule of an
    external non-steppe-based state. Central Asia’s passivity and peripheralness to the processes of
    expansion/ conquest and imperial administration, noted above, can be seen in the development of
    Central Asian revolt and ‘great power’ politics in the latter stages of the nineteenth century. For
    example, although Qing Central Asia, most notably Xinjiang, was racked by Turkic–Muslim revolts
    from the 1820s until the 1870s, it was largely a response to externally generated political and
    economic impetuses from the imperial centres of China and Russia.76 Moreover, the often
    romanticized ‘Great Game’ between Russia, Britain and the Qing for supremacy in Central Asia during
    this same period was played upon a strategic chessboard not of Central Asia’s making. Once the
    boundaries of the respective empires were consolidated and agreed upon in the 1890s, Central Asia
    became of peripheral importance for the respective imperial centres.
    Central Asia, 1900–91: imperial collapse and reassertion
    The collapse of the Qing and Tsarist states in the first decades of the twentieth century did not
    ultimately result in the re-emergence of Central Asia as an independent region in world history.
    Instructively, the events that precipitated the temporary release of the respective imperial grips were
    generated from the core, rather than from the direct actions of the Qing and Russia’s Central Asian
    subjects. The collapse and subsequent political weakness at the core generated a process somewhat
    analogous to that which encompassed Central Asia in the mid-eighteenth century, whereby internal
    crisis within the region induced the expansion of external sedentary states into the region. Thus,
    common to all three major parts of Central Asia across this period were the interaction of internal
    political developments with those emanating from their previous imperial centres of China and
    Russia. Ultimately, this resulted in the reassertion of Chinese and Russian power to the exclusion of
    other external influences and the re-absorption of Central Asia into reformed and restructured
    imperial endeavours. As such this period was characterized by the continued convergence of
    geopolitical, economic and cultural dynamics from outside of Central Asia.
    That the three major regions of Central Asia did not achieve independence following the collapse of
    the Qing and Russian imperial orders is suggestive of the transformations of the region’s broad
    political, economic and cultural situation initiated by the elements of imperial rule noted above. The
    imperial administrative divisions of Central Asia that distinguished between
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    the steppe and the oasis regions were importantly mirrored in the development of local or
    ‘indigenous’ political movements after the fall of the imperial orders. Moreover, these divisions were
    also exploited by external powers in the case of Mongolia and Xinjiang, and the previous imperial
    centre in the case of the Central Asian republics. Once again this process resulted in Central Asia
    becoming a recipient of the emerging political and ideological developments generated within the
    former imperial heartlands of China and Russia over the course of the 1900 to 1991 period.
    In the case of Mongolia, the division in practice of Inner and Outer Mongolia through the Qing
    encouragement of Han Chinese colonization of the former, for example, resulted in the more remote
    and more ‘Mongol’ Outer region leading the way toward the establishment of an independent
    state.77 Indeed, the pressures placed upon the autonomous Outer Mongolia by China during the
    second decade of the twentieth century induced the Mongols to seek the protection of Russia, a
    process that was intensified after the Bolshevik revolution in 1917.78 Although Russia’s influence
    over Mongolia was eclipsed between 1917 and 1921 through the turmoil of revolution, it was soon
    reasserted with the Red Army intervening in 1921 to combat the activities of the White Russian
    forces of Ungern-Sternberg.79 Soviet intervention led to the rise to power of the Mongolian People’s
    Revolutionary Party, and the pre-eminence of the ‘Mongolian Stalin’, Marshal Choibalsan. From 1924
    onward, when the country was officially proclaimed a ‘People’s Republic’, Mongolia experienced the
    dynamics of radical political, economic and cultural transformation through the implementation of
    Marxist–Leninist strategies of development closely resembling those pursued in the Soviet Union.80
    The subsequent 1924 to 1991 period thus witnessed the collectivization of the nomadic pastoral
    economy, state initiation of industrialization, promotion of agriculture, the suppression of Mongolia’s
    Tibetan Buddhist institutions and the elimination of the country’s lay and Lamaistic aristocracy.81 The
    Mongolian People’s Republic (MPR) also adopted a Cyrillic script for the Mongol language in 1940,
    further cementing its ties to the Soviet Union and establishing a further barrier between itself and
    the non-Soviet world.82
    During the 1930s and 1940s, Mongolia was essentially isolated from the outside world save for its
    close relationship with the Soviet Union, a dependency which enabled it to resist Japanese expansion
    and remain relatively untouched by World War II. Similar to the Soviet experience, Mongolia
    experienced a limited post-war ‘liberalization’ of the one-party state and in the words of one
    observer became a ‘semi-modernized state well on the way to possessing a fully socialized economy
    and society’.83 Importantly, China did not give up its claims to Mongolia until 1945’ Mao Zedong
    reaffirming the renunciation in 1950. Diplomatically, the MPR remained isolated well into the 1980s
    with only socialist states such as the Soviet Union, the Eastern bloc, North Korea and China, and
    ‘neutral’ states such as India, exercising relations with it.84 Even contact with China was postponed
    during the Sino-Soviet conflict of the 1960s and 1970s, depriving
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    Mongolia of Chinese assistance, which prior to the split contributed significantly to the country’s
    development, such as the completion of the Trans-Mongolian railway in 1955.85 Only after 1991 and
    the initiation of political reform did Mongolia again become open to external non-Russian/Soviet
    influences.
    The political fragmentation of China following the overthrow of the Qing in 1911 also presented
    Xinjiang with the opportunity to reassert itself. The duality of weak political authority at the centre
    and along the frontiers facilitated the development of a dynamic that permitted a Han elite that
    retained its position in Xinjiang to have almost total autonomy from the Republic, albeit in the face of
    strong Russian and Soviet challenges.86 The successive ‘warlord’ administrations of Yang Zengxin,
    Jin Shuren and Sheng Shicai exhibited large measures of continuity with the Qing period regarding
    the strategies and methods of rule employed, particularly in the maintenance of divisions between
    the Turkic–Muslim populations.87 However they all experienced the vicissitudes of Xinjiang’s
    ambiguous position between China and Russia and then the Soviet Union. Important in generating
    such external influence was the instability of Xinjiang from 1930 onward. This was largely the result
    of major revolts of the Turkic–Muslim population and it compelled the isolated Han Chinese elite,
    nominally in control of the region, to turn toward Russia/the Soviet Union for support.88 Indeed,
    Soviet support in crushing Turkic–Muslim rebellions in 1933 created a Xinjiang that was essentially a
    Soviet satellite.89 There were four key elements to the Soviet Union’s influence in Xinjiang under
    Sheng Shicai: direct military intervention, economic exploitation, direct involvement of Soviet
    personnel in the administration and ideological domination of the region.90 The advent of Soviet
    support also brought with it processes similar to that which encompassed the present Central Asian
    republics in the 1920s and 1930s. Thus there occurred a ‘reform’ of the provincial authorities’
    approach to the non-Han populations of Xinjiang based upon adoption of a Soviet-inspired
    ‘nationalities policy’ which included the granting of limited cultural autonomy for the non-Han
    population and the co-optation of certain non-Han leaders into Sheng’s government.91
    This situation remained until the exigencies of World War II intervened to leave Sheng Shicai bereft
    of Soviet support in 1941, and inducing the warlord to seek the aid of the Republic of China the
    following year.92 The Republic’s writ, however, was never consolidated, with the outbreak of a major
    Turkic– Muslim rebellion in late 1944 and proclamation of the East Turkestan Republic (ETR) in early
    1945 in the north-west of Xinjiang, which left the region divided between Chinese- and ETR-
    controlled spheres. This rebellion is seen by a number of scholars as having been directly or
    indirectly inspired and supported by the Soviet Union in an attempt to re-establish its influence in
    Xinjiang and prejudice the ongoing Sino-Soviet negotiations regarding the Yalta agreement.93 The
    fate of Xinjiang was only finalized with the victory of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in China in
    October 1949. The CCP’s
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    policies in Xinjiang over the period from 1949 to 1991 were framed by the twin imperatives of
    internally consolidating and accelerating the region’s integration with China and isolating it from
    Soviet influence.94 The constants of Chinese policy in Xinjiang over this period were the
    establishment of military–agricultural colonies, encouragement of Han colonization, control and
    management of religion, and co-optation of ethnic minority elites within the administrative apparatus
    and assimilation of the region’s non-Han populations.95 The intensity with which individual
    components of this strategy were pursued, however, varied with the ideological fluctuations of the
    Maoist era, but the overall intent of Chinese rule did not. The subsequent post-Mao period witnessed
    the substantial re-evaluation of the techniques and methods of Chinese rule, which resulted in the
    initiation of a more ‘liberal’ approach to the region’s ethnic minorities and the undertaking of
    economic reform.96
    In contrast to developments in Mongolia and Xinjiang, the former Central Asian territories of the Tsar
    experienced the almost simultaneous reassertion of the imperial centre’s power. The rapidity of this
    reassertion can perhaps be seen as the result of the combination of the ideological imperatives of the
    Bolsheviks, the strategic approach of Lenin, the contours of the civil war and the different responses
    of the Russian and Turkic–Muslim populations of Central Asia to the Russian and then Bolshevik
    revolutions.97 Indeed, it was clear as early as April 1917 with the establishment of the ‘Council of
    Turkestani Muslims’ in Tashkent and the ‘Alash Orda’ movement of the Kazakhs that the Turkic–
    Muslim peoples of Russian Central Asia wished to secure their autonomy from whatever political
    order was constructed to replace that of the tsars.98 However, the fact that the Russian opponents
    of the revolution sought to utilize the rebelliousness of the former subject peoples for their own
    counter-revolutionary ends, as illustrated by the activities of ‘White’ generals in Siberia and Mongolia,
    compelled Bolshevik action.99
    The ideological imperatives of the Bolsheviks also played a role in the reabsorption of Russian Central
    Asia. When it became clear that the revolution would not spread to the west as Lenin and others had
    hoped, the Leninist analysis of ‘imperialism’ offered the way forward with the ‘Asiatic’ lands of the
    Tsar looming as a stepping stone for the export of the revolution, with Stalin remarking in 1919 that:
    Turkestan, because of its geographical position, is a bridge connecting socialist Russia with the
    oppressed countries of the East, and in view of this the strengthening of the Soviet regime in
    Turkestan might have the greatest revolutionary significance for the entire Orient.100
    Moreover, regardless of the appeal of the chimera of Bolshevik ‘national self-determination’, the
    second Russian absorption was achieved through coercive means. Between 1919 and 1924 the
    Soviets gradually established a political and military presence in Russian Central Asia which
    successively suppressed the Turkic–Muslim autonomy movements in Koqand, the Kazakh
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    steppe, Bukhara and the Basmachi guerrilla movement in the countryside.101 There followed in 1924
    the process of ‘national delimitation’ that saw the division of the former Tsarist Central Asian lands
    along ethnolinguistic lines that led to the creation of the five ‘national republics’ of Kazakhstan,
    Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan.102
    The delimitation of Soviet Central Asia largely served to strategically weaken the competing
    political/ideological movements of pan-Turkism and pan-Islamism of the Central Asian population.
    Moreover, the processes and trappings of ‘nation-building’ that accompanied this process – such as
    the development of national languages, national communist parties, symbols and national anthems –
    served to strengthen the boundaries between the peoples of Central Asia.103 The further erection of
    barriers around Soviet Central Asia was also achieved through the reform of the scripts of the Turkic–
    Muslim languages. Although the Arabic script, the script shared by all Russian Central Asian peoples
    prior to the Bolshevik revolution, had been abolished in favour of a Latin one in 1926, the Soviet
    authorities further signalled their desire to integrate the region more effectively with Russia by
    imposing the Cyrillic script in 1938.104 It is not coincidental that this was achieved without
    generating resistance from the Central Asians, as throughout the 1920s and 1930s, in parallel with
    the establishment of ‘national republics’, the intelligentsia of the Central Asian nations had been
    systematically suppressed and an ongoing campaign against Islam’s influence implemented.105
    This period also witnessed the imposition of the Stalinist economic and political system upon Central
    Asia, with perhaps the two most consequential changes being collectivization and the subordination
    of the Central Asian economy to central planning. The impact of these measures was to effectively
    ‘solve’ the nomadic pastoral question and encourage an agricultural monoculture of cotton cultivation
    in Soviet Central Asia.106 The forcible collectivization of the nomadic pastoral peoples, such as the
    Kazakhs, amounted to forced sedentarization, as the First Secretary of the Kazakh Communist Party
    bluntly stated in 1930:
    Settlement is collectivization. Settlement is the liquidation of the semifeudal bias. Settlement is the
    destruction of tribal attitudes … Settlement is simultaneously the question of Socialist construction
    and the approach of socialism…107
    Not only was the basis of their life-way, extensive animal pastoralism, effectively destroyed, but up
    to 1.5 million Kazakhs died during the 1930s as a result of collectivization.108
    The assault on the nomadic pastoralist life-way was also furthered, much as in Xinjiang and Inner
    Mongolia, through the reclamation of pasture in the Kazakh steppe for Russian and Ukrainian
    agricultural colonists.109 Cotton cultivation, as noted earlier, had also been a concern of the Tsarist
    administration, but under Soviet rule cotton cultivation became the major
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    agricultural commodity in Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan and Kazakhstan. Moreover, as the
    central economic planning agency (Gosplan) set cotton prices artificially low, the colonial exploitation
    of the region was taken to an extreme.110 The political, military and economic dominance of
    Moscow was also furthered by the completion of numerous infrastructure projects such as the
    Turkish–Siberian railway. As such, Soviet policies could be seen as a continuation of the imperatives
    of Tsarist rule but implemented with greater ruthlessness and thoroughness.
    Thus the major regions of Central Asia – Mongolia, Xinjiang and the present Central Asian republics –
    experienced the return of external sedentary state power, and in all three realms the life-way of
    nomadic pastoralism was significantly altered. Moreover, the action of the Chinese state in Xinjiang
    and the Soviet state in the Central Asian republics continued the processes, initiated under their Qing
    and Tsarist predecessors, of the solidification of political, territorial and ethnic boundaries between
    the peoples of Central Asia. Throughout the 1900 to 1991 period, Central Asia thus remained the
    recipient of political, economic and cultural dynamics rather than the diffuser, and the return to the
    division of the region between the Soviet Union and the People’s Republic of China by mid-century
    maintained its peripheral role in world history.
    Central Asia, 1991–2008: from pivot to periphery?
    The collapse of the Soviet Union and the subsequent assertion of the independence of the five
    former Soviet Central Asian republics and the emergence of the Republic of Mongolia from behind the
    Soviet shadow augured a new phase in Central Asian history. Although Xinjiang remained entrenched
    in the People’s Republic of China, China’s strategy there was also significantly affected by both
    external developments in the form of the collapse of the Soviet Union and internal dilemmas
    stemming from the Tiananmen Massacre of 1989. Significantly, due to the processes outlined in the
    preceding discussion, two-thirds of Central Asia (re)emerged in the form of six modern, territorially
    defined nation states. This in and of itself is a major development in the long-term historical
    development of the region, whereby the broad historically and culturally defined realm of Central Asia
    has been divided into discreet ‘actors’ in world history. As such a major component of the post-Soviet
    experience has been concerned with the re-establishment/ redefinition of relations between these
    Central Asian states and the outside world, including the former imperial centre, and the revitalization
    of interconnections that had existed prior to the exclusive orientation of Central Asia toward the
    imperial centres.111 This complex process, combined with the difficult task of consolidating and
    developing the national identity and independence of these new states, has produced a period of flux
    in the evolution of Central Asia’s place in world history.
    The 1991 to 2007 period has been characterized by the re-emergence of the
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    region as a site of geopolitical contention that has been likened to that which took place in Central
    Asia during the nineteenth century. This contemporary ‘game’, however, differs substantially from its
    predecessor in terms of both the ‘players’ and the object of the game. For the external states such as
    China, Russia, and to a lesser degree the US, this ‘game’ impinges upon political, strategic and
    economic concerns connected to internal dilemmas. China, for example, has since 1991 attempted to
    forge strong relations with the Central Asian states, both individually and collectively, in order to
    buttress its ongoing project of development and integration in Xinjiang.112 For the Central Asian
    states, the geopolitical competition directly impacts upon domestic political and economic
    development. Across this period, the Central Asian states have struggled to strike a balance between
    the strategic, political and economic benefits deriving from cooperation and partnerships with such
    powerful external states and the possible dependency that this may create.113 Their ability to do so,
    however, has been constrained by the development of internal political and economic instability,
    including the spread of Islamist organizations, which prior to 11 September 2001 induced external
    powers such as Russia and China to seek a broader role in the region. Indeed, between 1991 and
    2001 Central Asia was characterized by a confluence of inter-state geopolitical competition, ‘pipeline
    politics’ and transnational ethnoreligious movements.114 The most prominent result of this was the
    formation and development of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), involving China, Russia,
    Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan (as of 2001) from a multilateral dialogue on
    border normalization to a regional political and security organization to combat the ‘three evils’ of
    ‘separatism, extremism and terrorism’.115
    In contrast to the Central Asian republics, Xinjiang remains within its imperial centre – the PRC.
    Although thus distinguished from independent Central Asia, Xinjiang is very much connected with it,
    and according to some observers, developing a relationship of interdependence with Central Asia.
    This is primarily the result of the implementation of a development strategy for Xinjiang aimed at
    securing its simultaneous integration with Central Asia and China.116 The economic policies
    encompassed in the state’s strategy – such as the promotion of cotton cultivation and infrastructure
    development – also played an instrumental role in generating ethnic minority opposition in
    Xinjiang.117 Particularly important in this regard were the waves of Han in-migration facilitated and
    required by these policies, with population transfer effectively being re-invigorated as a key facet of
    the state’s integrationist project in Xinjiang.118 The state’s strategy in Xinjiang was also underpinned
    by continued control of the parameters of ethnic minority cultural and religious practices. The
    establishment and goals of the ‘Shanghai Five’, and ultimately its transformation into the SCO in
    2001, clearly illustrated such a projection of China’s overwhelming concern for the integration and
    security of Xinjiang. Moreover, China’s relations with individual Central Asian states, particularly
    Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, emphasized issues
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    intimately connected to China’s integrationist project in Xinjiang, such as control of Uyghur émigré
    organizations in Central Asia, energy procurement and security, development of infrastructure links,
    and water policy.119 The ‘Great Western Development/Open Up the West’ campaign (2000–10), in
    which the government has arguably placed much political and economic capital, aims to make
    China’s western provinces into an industrial and agricultural base and a trade and energy corridor for
    the national economy.120 Due to two related reasons, Xinjiang is central to this long-term strategy:
    its geostrategic position at the crossroads of Central Asia and the logic of Beijing’s political strategy
    for Xinjiang. What I mean by this second aspect is that the Chinese government has viewed
    economic development and prosperity for Xinjiang’s ethnic minority populations as a cure-all for
    ‘ethnic separatist’ tendencies. Therefore, the economic development of Xinjiang is perceived to be
    central to the state’s ability to secure the region and ensure its integration.
    These processes were of course intensified as a result of the events of 11 September 2001 and the
    expansion of US military and political power into Central Asia. Thus as in the case of the Qing and
    imperial Russia being ‘drawn’ into Central Asia through the development of crisis in the steppe
    environment during the mid-seventeenth century, so too have new forms of crisis attracted the
    attention of powerful neighbours at the beginning of the twenty-first century. Significantly, the
    expansion of the US into Central Asia post-11 September 2001 has generated strategic competition
    among the external powers in the region. However, in contrast to the outcomes of the seventeenth-
    century process, the contemporary one appears to have been (and may continue to be) beneficial to
    the Central Asian states by providing an unprecedented opportunity to maximize the strategic,
    political and economic benefits of cooperation with Russia, China or the US.121
    The period from 2001 to 2007 has also largely been defined by the implications of the events of 11
    September 2001 and the subsequent projection of US military and political influence into Central
    Asia. The impact of this process has been somewhat contradictory for Russia and China’s position in
    the region. In a regional sense, the projection of US political and military influence into four of the
    five Central Asian states is perceived to be a negative consequence of the ‘War on Terror’. This is the
    case as US involvement has undermined to a degree Russia and China’s foreign policy efforts in
    Central Asia since 1991, whereby they have played a key role in establishing and determining the
    function of such regional organizations as the SCO.122 Moreover, US involvement in the region has
    impacted on Russia and China’s bilateral relations with the states of Central Asia, as the Central Asian
    states were compelled to choose between emphasizing their long-standing relationships with Russia
    and China or their new-found one with the US.123 In this regard, during the immediate post-9/11
    period the Central Asian states clearly tilted toward the US. Between September 2001 and August
    2002 all of the Central Asian states bar Turkmenistan had signed military cooperation
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    and base access agreements with the US, as well as receiving significant economic aid packages.
    Uzbekistan especially benefited from increased US interests in the region, receiving not only an initial
    aid package worth US$150 million but also the conclusion of a US–Uzbek ‘Strategic Partnership’ in
    March 2002.124 The level of unease that China in particular felt as a result of these developments
    was highlighted in a May 2002 article in the weekly publication Liaowang ( Outlook) entitled ‘The Real
    Purpose of the American March into Central Asia’, which asserted that US activities in Central Asia
    were a central component of a larger ‘grand strategy for global domination’.125 As such it argued
    that the US strategy in Central Asia had four goals: to ‘squeeze and press’ Russia, to ‘encircle’ Iran
    and Iraq, to control South Asia and ‘march all the way down to the Indian Ocean’, and to contain the
    rise of China.126 The expansion of US power into Central Asia was also perceived as directly aimed
    at undermining China’s relations with the Central Asian states and thus not only threatening China’s
    sensitive ‘back door’ in Xinjiang but China’s wider foreign policy strategy:
    Various countries in Central Asia have been good neighbors of China … China has signed mutual
    trust treaties with regard to border regions with these countries. China has constantly strengthened
    its political, security, economic and trade relations with Central Asian countries. To this American
    officials seem mute, but are perfectly aware of these developments. The American press explains it
    this way: China is the ‘potential enemy’ of the United States; and Central Asia is China’s great rear of
    extreme importance. The penetration of the United States into Central Asia not only prevents China
    from expanding its influence, but also sandwiches China from East to West, thus ‘effectively
    containing a rising China’.127
    Within Xinjiang, however, the US government’s focus on combating Islamic ‘extremism’ and
    ‘terrorism’ in Chinese perceptions strengthened their efforts against separatist ethnic minorities in the
    province. This has been illustrated by China’s contemporary framing of its struggle against ethnic
    separatists by reference to the goals of the US ‘War on Terror’. Such an approach was outlined in the
    release of a Chinese government paper that detailed alleged incidents of Uyghur ‘terrorism’ in
    Xinjiang since 1990, entitled ‘East Turkestan Terrorist Forces Cannot Get Away with Impunity’.128
    In a broad regional sense the projection of US power in Central Asia also posed a challenge to
    China’s strategy as it raised questions as to the viability and staying power of China’s pet regional
    project, the SCO. Significantly, however, China has re-invigorated its position in Central Asia post-
    9/11 by forging new bilateral security agreements and cooperation with the region and bolstering the
    role of the SCO. China’s strategy has been to present itself as a real and reliable security partner for
    the states of Central Asia and thus to provide them with a viable alternative to closer security and
    military
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    relations with the United States. Thus since 2002 China has concluded a number of significant
    military and security cooperation agreements with the Central Asian states, including joint military
    exercises with and extension of military aid to Kyrgyzstan in July 2002 and 2003, the conclusion of a
    Sino-Kazakh Mutual Cooperation Agreement in December 2003, and bilateral agreements on
    cooperation in combating ‘extremism, terrorism and separatism’ with Uzbekistan and Tajikistan in
    September 2003.129 Moreover, in 2002 and 2003 China, by virtue of bilateral security agreements
    and police cooperation, extradited alleged Uyghur ‘separatists and terrorists’ from neighbouring
    Central Asian states, particularly Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, and from as far afield as Nepal.130
    Such bilateral agreements, however, also developed in parallel to China and Russia’s re-invigoration
    of the SCO over the 2001 to 2006 period. These efforts made limited headway in 2002 due to the
    wide array of US agreements and cooperation with the Central Asian states.131 The SCO-related
    initiatives in the immediate post-9/11 period were focused on establishing the organization’s
    operational framework, rather than active, ‘on the ground’ military and security activities. Thus the
    heads of SCO states’ border guards met in Almaty (Kazakhstan) to coordinate responses to border
    security, illegal migration, and drug trafficking on 24 April 2002.132 Furthermore, the SCO’s official
    charter was adopted at its 7 June 2002 meeting in St Petersburg and agreement reached regarding
    the establishment of the SCO secretariat in Beijing and the ‘Regional Anti-Terrorism’ (RAT) centre in
    the Kyrgyz capital, Bishkek.133 The lack of concrete practical action to make good on SCO rhetoric
    regarding regional military and security cooperation in 2002 led some observers to consider the SCO
    a ‘stillborn’ organization and a regional talkfest made irrelevant by the penetration of US power into
    Central Asia.134 Yet China and Russia’s intent to make the SCO an important regional player was
    further underlined at a 30 November 2002 summit between presidents Vladimir Putin and Jiang
    Zemin in Beijing that focused on promoting the role of the SCO and declared the continuation of the
    Sino-Russian ‘strategic partnership’.135 This Sino-Russian commitment was borne out in the
    following year. On 6–11 August 2003, the SCO states except Uzbekistan conducted ‘Cooperation-
    2003’ joint military exercises on Kazakh and Chinese soil.136 The absence of Uzbekistan illustrated
    Tashkent’s half-hearted commitment to the SCO and served to strengthen Russian and Chinese
    perceptions that Karimov’s government was yet to be convinced of the benefits that the SCO could
    contribute to Uzbek security. The 8 September 2003 SCO meeting in Tashkent (Uzbekistan) thus
    assumed great significance for the strategic imperatives of China and Russia in Central Asia. At this
    summit it was announced that the SCO secretariat would begin its functions on 1 January 2004 in
    Beijing and the executive committee of the RAT centre would open on 1 November 2003 in Tashkent
    and not Bishkek as previously announced.137 The transfer of the RAT to Uzbekistan from Kyrgyzstan
    was symptomatic of Russia and China’s desire to see Uzbekistan drawn away from the US orbit.
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    This pandering to Karimov’s regional leadership pretensions appeared to be accepted by the other
    SCO states, particularly Kyrgyzstan, as a necessary concession to actively encourage Tashkent into
    wider involvement in the organization.138 Therefore, by the beginning of 2004, Russia and China
    through their bilateral relations with the Central Asian republics and the SCO had achieved a measure
    of success in re-establishing their pre-September 11 positions in the region. For China this was
    particularly accurate with respect to its relations with Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan.
    China’s endeavours to re-assert its position in Central Asia after the expansion of US influence in the
    region through such bilateral and multilateral channels as those noted above has borne significant
    fruit since 2005. Chinese and indeed Russian credibility as viable security and, to a lesser degree,
    economic partners for the largely authoritarian Central Asian states was significantly strengthened by
    internal political dynamics within key republics in 2005. In March 2005, Kyrgyzstan experienced the
    Tulip Revolution that toppled President Askar Akayev, who had been in power since independence. In
    May the same year, Uzbekistan also experienced a wave of violent unrest, in particular the Andijan
    Incident in which approximately 4,000 people rioted and were subsequently violently suppressed by
    the Uzbek military. The significance of these events stemmed from their role in souring Central Asian
    perceptions of the US role in the region. Indeed, Uzbekistan’s Islam Karimov, but also other Central
    Asian leaders, severely criticized the US government’s promotion of democracy and human rights as
    opposed to ‘stability’. Indeed, China’s emphasis on common interests in economic development,
    security, stability and ‘anti-terrorism’ through its bilateral relations with Central Asia and the SCO
    combined with China’s emphasis on ‘non-interference’ in other states’ internal affairs to make China
    appear as reliable partner from the perspective of the region’s remaining authoritarian leaders.139
    This was underlined by President Karimov’s state visit to China barely two weeks after the Andijan
    Incident, during which a Sino-Uzbek bilateral security agreement was signed.140
    The SCO’s subsequent July 2005 summit in Astana, Kazakhstan, furthered the tilt of the Central Asian
    states away from the US, with the organization releasing a heads-of-state declaration requesting that
    the members of states of the SCO consider it necessary that the respective members of the
    antiterrorist coalition set a final timeline for their temporary use of objects of infrastructure and stay
    of their military contingents on the territories of the SCO member states.141
    Uzbek President Islam Karimov also used the forum to further criticize US interference in the internal
    affairs of Uzbekistan. Uzbekistan subsequently cancelled its agreement with the US regarding the
    American military’s use of the Karshi–Khanabad air base, with the last US Air Force plane flying out
    on 21 November 2005.142 Furthermore, the SCO’s June 2006 summit
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    in Shanghai – which also saw the attendance of representatives of four observer states in the form of
    Iran, India, Pakistan and Mongolia – restated its commitment to combating the ‘three evils’ of
    terrorism, extremism and separatism while celebrating the organization’s promotion of a ‘new security
    architecture’:
    The SCO will make a constructive contribution to the establishment of a new global security
    architecture of mutual trust, mutual benefit, equality and mutual respect. Such architecture is based
    on the widely recognized principles of international law. It discards ‘double standards’ and seeks to
    settle disputes through negotiation on the basis of mutual understanding. It respects the right of all
    countries to safeguard national unity and their national interests, pursue particular models of
    development and formulate domestic and foreign policies independently and participate in
    international affairs on an equal basis.143
    Finally, the 16 August 2007 summit of SCO leaders in the Kyrgyz capital Bishkek illuminates some key
    successes for Russia and China’s diplomacy in Central Asia but also some emergent challenges in the
    immediate future. A Chinese commentary a week prior to the summit suggested three emergent
    trends in international relations in the Central Asian context that bear on the discussion presented
    here. Firstly, the article ‘SCO Reshaping International Strategic Structure’ argues that there is an
    emerging balance between the ‘great powers’ in Central Asia, in particular between China and
    Russia.144 Second, that ‘as US strategic pressure on Russia mounts’, the SCO’s importance in
    Russia’s ‘international strategy’ has consequently risen, making Russia ‘even more dependent on help
    from the SCO’ to combat US challenges to Russia’s traditional pre-eminence in the region.145 Finally,
    that securing China’s western frontier will play a key role in China’s overall foreign policy, in
    particular to act as a ‘safety valve’ for strategic pressures in the East:
    Even more importantly, as China embarks on the great enterprise of national resurgence, the biggest
    threats to its national security continue to be attempts to damage China’s territorial integrity and
    interference of outside forces in its unification process. In this sense, China’s strategic focus will
    remain in the southeast in the foreseeable future, with western China continuing to be the ‘rear’ in
    China’s master strategy for many years to come. Nevertheless, only if the rear is secured will the
    strategic frontline be free from worry … As the squeeze on China’s strategic space intensifies, a
    stable western region takes on additional importance as a strategic support for the country. The
    strategic significance of western China is self-evident .146
    The immediate outcomes of the 2007 SCO summit, however, suggest that these observations,
    particularly those regarding Russia, may have been overly
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    optimistic. This summit, much as the 2006 summit, captured headlines for the anti-US rhetoric of
    Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, but more significant was the further re-emergence of
    Russia as a driver of the organization’s agenda.147 Indeed, Russian President Vladimir Putin was
    publicly enthusiastic about the SCO ‘Peace Mission 2007’ joint military exercises held between 9 and
    17 August at Chelyabinsk, arguing that ‘The idea of holding such regular exercises on the territory of
    various SCO member-countries deserves consideration.’ Moreover, he also explicitly asserted that
    such enhancement of the SCO’s ability to respond to security threats in the region is ‘intended to
    help bolster the SCO’s potential in security matters’.148 While the summit itself produced the now
    customary declarations of ‘good neighbourliness, friendship and cooperation’, perhaps the most
    significant factors were the conspicuous absence of overt Chinese criticism of the US role in Central
    Asia, simultaneous with the explicit Russian and Iranian anti-US rhetoric and Sino-Russian hesitancy
    to admit new members to the organization.149 In this regard, it would seem that both China and
    Russia’s position on SCO expansion is running counter to that of the Central Asian members with
    Kyrgyz President Kurmanbek Bakiyev asserting confidently prior to the summit that expansion was
    simply ‘a matter of time’.150 This, of course, is unsurprising given that expansion of the SCO to
    include such current observers as Iran and India would introduce extra-regional powers and further
    strategic complications, while diluting Sino-Russian dominance over the direction of the organization.
    In the context of the Russia–China–US triangle in Central Asia, it is increasingly apparent that Russia
    has a clear preference for further Chinese rather than US engagement and influence in the region. As
    one observer has recently noted of Sino-Russian relations in Central Asia, ‘To put it in simple terms,
    although Russia is challenging China in Central Asia and the other way around both prefer this state
    of relations to a US presence.’151 Moreover, the notion that the SCO will soon emerge as a NATO-
    like security organization to counter the US presence in Central Asia is also undermined by this rather
    limited common interest on behalf of the organization’s key players.
    As the question mark in the title of this chapter would suggest, I believe that the answer to the
    question of whether Central Asia has resumed its ‘centrality’ in world history is an equivocal ‘no’.
    Given the preceding definition of Central Asia and identification of the factors which made it ‘central’
    and ‘pivotal’ to world history, it is not possible to argue that the region today is characterized by the
    same ‘centrality’ that it was prior to 1700. Primarily, this stems from the argument that it was the
    unique life-way of nomadic pastoralism, and its associated military, political and economic
    implications/ imperatives, that defined the region’s ‘centrality’ and ‘pivotalness’. Moreover, division of
    Central Asia into the five post-Soviet states of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and
    Turkmenistan, the Republic of Mongolia and the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region of China also
    suggests separate future development, particularly in the case of Xinjiang and Mongolia.
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    However, as the latter segment of this chapter has noted, post-Soviet Central Asia and Xinjiang are
    very much interconnected and experiencing many of the same political and economic pressures. Yet
    Central Asia may reconstitute its ‘centrality’ through the development of a new political and economic
    basis that combines the potential and resources of its independent regions, perhaps along the lines
    of the European Union. Although this may seem a far-fetched contingency, the region has seen the
    proliferation of multilateral security and economic bodies,152 although a distinguishing feature of
    these has been the refusal of participants to diminish their hard-won sovereignty in order to achieve
    effective institution-building. Central Asia moving into the twenty-first century, as we have seen, is
    once more a site of contestation for the competing imperatives of external states, in particular two
    ‘old stagers’ – Russia and China – and the relative newcomer to the ‘geographical pivot of history’ –
    the US.
    Notes
    1 Halford J. Mackinder, ‘The geographical pivot of history’, in Democratic Ideals and Reality , New
    York: Norton and Co., 1962.
    2 S.A.M. Adshead, Central Asia in World History , London: Macmillan, 1993.
    3 See Svat Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000, pp. 1–2;
    Gavin Hambly, ‘Introduction’ in Gavin Hambly (ed.) Central Asia, New York: Delacorte Press, 1969,
    pp. 1–3; and Robert N. Taaffe, ‘The geographical setting’ in Denis Sinor (ed.) The Cambridge History
    of Early Inner Asia, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990, pp. 19–20.
    4 Taaffe, ‘The geographical setting’, p. 27.
    5 Taaffe, ‘The geographical setting’, pp. 34–5.
    6 James A. Millward and Peter C. Perdue, ‘Political and cultural history through the late nineteenth
    century’, in S. Frederick Starr (ed.) Xinjiang: China’s Muslim Borderland, Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe,
    2004, pp. 29–30.
    7 Beatrice Manz, ‘Historical background’, in Beatrice Manz (ed.) Central Asia in Historical Perspective ,
    Boulder: Westview Press, 1998, p. 5.
    8 Adshead, Central Asia in World History , pp. 13–14.
    9 Manz, ‘Historical background’, p. 5; and Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, p. 1.
    10 David Christian, ‘State formation in the inner Eurasian steppes’, in David Christian and Craig
    Benjamin (eds) Worlds of the Silk Roads, Ancient and Modern: Proceedings from the 2nd Conference
    of the Australasian Society for Inner Asian Studies , Turnhout: Brepols, 1998, p. 55.
    11 Christian, ‘State formation in the inner Eurasian steppes’, pp. 55–7.
    12 Adshead, Central Asia in World History , p. 15.
    13 A.K. Narain, ‘Indo-Europeans in inner Asia’, in Denis Sinor (ed.) The Cambridge History of Early
    Inner Asia, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990, pp. 151–60; and Maria Eva Subtelny, ‘The
    symbiosis of Turk and Tajik’, in Beatrice Manz (ed.) Central Asia in Historical Perspective , Boulder:
    Westview Press, 1998, p. 47.
    14 Subtelny, ‘The symbiosis of Turk and Tajik’, p. 47.
    15 Nicola Di Cosmo, ‘Introduction: inner Asian ways of warfare in historical perspective’, in Nicola Di
    Cosmo (ed.) Warfare in Inner Asian History, 500–1800, Leiden: Brill, 2002, p. 3.
    16 For example see, Denis Sinor, ‘The inner Asian warriors’, Journal of American
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    Oriental Society , 1981, vol. 101, no. 2, 133–44; Joseph F. Fletcher, ‘The Mongols: ecological and
    sociological perspectives’, Harvard Journal of Asiatic Studies , 1986, June, vol. 46, no. 1, 12–14; and
    Di Cosmo, ‘Introduction: inner Asian ways of warfare in historical perspective’, pp. 3–4.
    17 Sinor, ‘The inner Asian warriors’, pp. 133–44; and Di Cosmo, ‘Introduction: inner Asian ways of
    warfare in historical perspective’, pp. 3–5.
    18 Sinor, ‘The inner Asian warriors’, p. 133.
    19 Nicola Di Cosmo, ‘Ancient inner Asian nomads: their economic basis and its significance in
    Chinese history’, Journal of Asian Studies , 1994, November, vol. 53, no. 4, 1092.
    20 Di Cosmo, ‘Ancient inner Asian nomads’, p. 1092; and Burton Watson, Records of the Grand
    Historian of China, II, translated from the Shih-chi of Ssu-ma Ch’ien, New York: Columbia University
    Press, 1961, p. 171.
    21 For the many variations on this theme see Sechin Jachid and Van Jay Symons, Peace, War and
    Trade along the Great Wall , Bloomington: Indiana University Press, 1989, p. 165; Owen Lattimore,
    Inner Asian Frontiers of China , New York: American Geographical Society, 1940, pp. 306–7; and
    Denis Sinor, ‘Introduction: the concept of inner Asia’, in Denis Sinor (ed.) The Cambridge History of
    Early Inner Asia, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990, pp. 10–19.
    22 Sinor, ‘Introduction: the concept of inner Asia’, pp. 8–9.
    23 Sinor, ‘Introduction: the concept of inner Asia’, p. 9.
    24 Lattimore, Inner Asian Frontiers of China , p. 484.
    25 See for example, Fletcher, ‘The Mongols: ecological and sociological perspectives’, pp. 11–50;
    Tomas J. Barfield, ‘The Hsiung-nu Imperial Confederacy: organization and foreign policy’, Journal of
    Asian Studies , 1981, November, vol. 41, no. 1, 45–62; and Christian, ‘State formation in the inner
    Eurasian steppes’, pp. 61–5.
    26 Barfield, ‘The Hsiung-nu Imperial Confederacy’, pp. 49–52.
    27 See Nicola Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization in inner Asian history’, World History
    Journal , 1999, vol. 10, 12–15; and Christian, ‘State formation in the inner Eurasian steppes’, pp. 62–
    3.
    28 Christian, ‘State formation in the inner Eurasian steppes’, pp. 62–3.
    29 Nicola Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization’, p. 14.
    30 Fletcher, ‘The Mongols: ecological and sociological perspectives’, p. 15; Christian, ‘State formation
    in the inner Eurasian steppes’, pp. 58–9; and Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization’, p. 14.
    31 For example, Fletcher, ‘The Mongols’, pp. 11–50; Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization in
    inner Asian history’, pp. 27–40; and Barfield, ‘The Hsiung-nu Imperial Confederacy’, pp. 45–62.
    32 Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization’, pp. 29–34.
    33 Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization’, p. 25 and p. 39.
    34 Di Cosmo, ‘Ancient inner Asian nomads’, pp. 1094–5; and David Christian, ‘Silk Roads or Steppe
    Roads? The Silk Roads in world history’, Journal of World History , 2000, vol. 11, no. 1, 16–17.
    Christian argues that the real impact of the Han emperor Wudi’s conquests of the Tarim city-states at
    the close of the second century BCE was to create a new branch of the Silk Road that bypassed the
    older route through the steppe lands of Xiongnu-controlled territory.
    35 Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization’, p. 30; David Christian, ‘Silk Roads or Steppe Roads?
    ’, pp. 16–18; Denis Sinor, ‘The establishment and dissolution of the Türk empire’, in Denis Sinor
    (ed.), The Cambridge History of Early Inner Asia, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990, pp
    285–316; and Colin Mackerras, ‘The Uighurs’, in Denis Sinor (ed.) The Cambridge History of Early
    Inner Asia, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990, pp. 317–42.
    36 Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization’, p. 31.
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    37 For the Türks see Sinor, ‘The establishment and dissolution of the Türk empire’, p. 306 and for
    the conversion of the Uighurs to Manichaeism, see Mackerras, ‘The Uighurs’, p. 318.
    38 Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization’, pp. 31–4.
    39 Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization’, p. 35; Adshead, Central Asia in World History , pp.
    70–77; and Morris Rossabi, ‘The legacy of the Mongols’, in Beatrice Manz (ed.) Central Asia in
    Historical Perspective , Boulder: Westview Press, 1998, p. 29.
    40 Manz, ‘Historical background’, p. 7; and Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization’, p. 35.
    41 Di Cosmo, ‘State formation and periodization’, pp. 35–6.
    42 See Thomas J. Barfield, The Perilous Frontier: Nomadic Empires and China , Oxford: Oxford
    University Press, 1989.
    43 Sinor, ‘Introduction: the concept of inner Asia’, p. 16.
    44 Herodotus, The Histories, tr. Aubrey de Sélincourt, London: Penguin, 2003, Book IV, section 127.
    45 Mackinder, ‘The geographical pivot of history’, pp. 241–65.
    46 Mackinder, ‘The geographical pivot of history’, p. 262.
    47 Mackinder, ‘The geographical pivot of history’, p. 257.
    48 Adshead, Central Asia in World History , pp. 53, 86–90, 112–19.
    49 Adshead, Central Asia in World History , p. 177.
    50 Christian, ‘State formation in the inner Eurasian steppes’, pp. 51–76.
    51 Arnold J. Toynbee, A Study of History , 12 vols, New York: Oxford University Press, 1945, pp. 391–
    94; and Arnold J. Toynbee, ‘Notes on the history of the Oxus-Jaxartes Basin’, Bulletin of the School
    of Oriental Studie s, 1924, vol. 3, no. 2, 241–62.
    52 See for example, Peter C. Perdue, ‘Military mobilization in seventeenth and eighteenth century
    China, Russia and Mongolia’, Modern Asian Studies , 1996, vol. 30, no. 4, 757–93; and Gavin Hambly,
    ‘Lamaistic civilization in Tibet and Mongolia’, in Gavin Hambly (ed.) Central Asia, New York: Delacorte
    Press, 1969, pp. 243–62.
    53 See for example, Elizabeth Endicott, ‘The Mongols and China: cultural contacts and the changing
    nature of pastoral nomadism (twelfth to early twentieth centuries)’, in Reuvan Amitai and Michael
    Biran (eds) Mongols, Turks and Others: Eurasian Nomads and the Sedentary World , Leiden: Brill,
    2005, p. 473; and Ning Chia, ‘The Lifanyuan rituals and the inner Asian rituals in the early Qing
    (1644–795)’, Late Imperial China , 1993, June, vol. 14, no. 1, 60–92.
    54 Perdue, ‘Military mobilization’, pp. 763–8.
    55 Joseph F. Fletcher, ‘Ch’ing inner Asia c.1800’, in Denis Twitchett and John K. Fairbank (eds) The
    Cambridge History of China, vol. 10, Late Ch’ing, 1800–1911, Pt. 1, Cambridge: Cambridge University
    Press, 1978, pp. 58–60.
    56 See Chantal Lemercier-Quelquejay, ‘The Kazakhs and the Kirghiz’, in Gavin Hambly (ed.) Central
    Asia, London: Delacorte Press, 1969, pp. 146–7; and Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, p. 196.
    57 Lemercier-Quelquejay, ‘The Kazakhs and the Kirghiz’, p. 148; and Alexandre de Bennigsen, ‘The
    Turks under tsarist and Soviet rule’, in Gavin Hambly (ed.) Central Asia, London: Delacorte Press,
    1969, pp. 197–8.
    58 Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, pp. 196–7; Richard Pierce, Russian Central Asia, 1867–1917: A
    Study in Colonial Rule, Berkeley: University of California Press, 1960, pp. 29–37; and V.G. Kiernan,
    ‘Kashgar and the politics of central Asia, 1868–1878’, Cambridge History Journal , 1955, vol. 11, no.
    3, 319.
    59 Pierce, Russian Central Asia, pp. 37–42.
    60 Peter C. Perdue, ‘Comparing empires: Manchu colonialism’, International History Review , 1998,
    June, vol. 20, no. 2, 254–61; and Mehrdad Haghayeghi, Islam and Politics in Central Asia, New York:
    St. Martin’s Press, 1995, pp. 1–2.
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    61 Peter C. Perdue, ‘Boundaries, maps and movement: Chinese, Russian and Mongolian empires in
    early modern Eurasia’, International History Review , 1998, June, vol. 20, no. 1, 263–5.
    62 For the Qing see Perdue, ‘Boundaries, maps and movement’, pp. 263–5; and James A. Millward,
    ‘“Coming onto the map”: “Western regions” geography and cartographic nomenclature in the making
    of the Chinese empire in Xinjiang’, Late Imperial China, 1999, December, vol. 20, no. 2, 61–98; and
    for Russia see Pierce, Russian Central Asia, pp. 46–7.
    63 C.R. Bawden, ‘Mongolia and the Mongolians: an overview’, in Shirin Akiner (ed.) Mongolia Today ,
    London: Kegan Paul, 1991, p. 14.
    64 Pierce, Russian Central Asia, p. 49; and Haghayeghi, Islam and Politics in Central Asia, p. 4.
    65 For the Mongols see Bawden, ‘Mongolia and the Mongolians’, pp. 14–15; and Joseph F. Fletcher,
    ‘The Heyday of the Ch’ing Order in Mongolia, Sinkiang and Tibet’, in Denis Twitchett and John K.
    Fairbank (eds) The Cambridge History of China, vol. 10, Late Ch’ing, 1800–1911, Pt. 1, Cambridge:
    Cambridge University Press, 1978, pp. 352–8; and for the Kazakh steppe see Haghayeghi, Islam and
    Politics in Central Asia, pp. 7–8.
    66 Fletcher, ‘Ch’ing Inner Asia ca. 1800’, p. 78; and Hodong Kim, Holy War in China: The Muslim
    Rebellion and State in Chinese Central Asia, 1864–1877, Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2004, p.
    11.
    67 See Fletcher, ‘Ch’ing Inner Asia ca. 1800’, p. 77; and Dorothy Borei, ‘Ethnic conflict and Qing land
    policy in Southern Xinjiang’, in Robert J. Antony and Jane Kate Leonard (eds) Dragons, Tigers and
    Dogs: Qing Crisis Management and the Boundaries of State Power in Late Imperial China , Ithaca,
    NY: Cornell East Asia Series, Cornell University, 2002, pp. 273–301.
    68 Pierce, Russian Central Asia, pp. 75–8.
    69 de Bennigsen, ‘The Turks under Tsarist and Soviet rule’, pp. 204–5.
    70 See for example, Saguchi Toru, ‘Kashgaria’, Acta Asiatica, 1978, vol. 34, 58.
    71 Toru, ‘Kashgaria’, p. 58 and Fletcher, ‘Ch’ing Inner Asia ca. 1800’, pp. 83–6.
    72 See Bawden, ‘Mongolia and the Mongolians’, pp. 15–17; and Fletcher, ‘The heyday of the Ch’ing
    Order in Mongolia, Sinkiang and Tibet’, pp. 352–8.
    73 Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, p. 203.
    74 See Pierce, Russian Central Asia, pp. 163–74.
    75 Pierce, Russian Central Asia, p. 198; and Haghayeghi, Islam and Politics in Central Asia, p. 5.
    76 Hodong Kim, Holy War in China , pp. 15–35.
    77 Owen Lattimore, ‘The historical setting of Mongolian nationalism’, in Studies in Frontier History:
    Collected Papers, 1928–1958, London: Oxford University Press, 1962, pp. 446–8.
    78 Lattimore, ‘The historical setting of Mongolian nationalism’, pp. 446–8; and Gavin Hambly, ‘The
    Mongols in the twentieth century’, in Gavin Hambly (ed.) Central Asia, London: Delacorte Press,
    1969, p. 277.
    79 Alan J.K. Sanders, Mongolia: Politics, Economics and Society , Boulder: Lynne Reiner, 1987, pp.
    16–17.
    80 See Sanders, Mongolia: Politics, Economics and Society , pp. 16–17; Bawden, ‘Mongolia and the
    Mongolians’, pp. 18–20; and Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, pp. 298–300.
    81 Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, p. 299; Bawden, ‘Mongolia and the Mongolians’, pp. 19–20; and
    Hambly, ‘The Mongols in the twentieth century’, p. 290.
    82 Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, p. 298.
    83 C.R. Bawden, ‘Economic advance in Mongolia’, The World Today , June 1960, p. 259.
    84 Bawden, ‘Mongolia and the Mongolians’, pp. 20–21.
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    85 Bawden, ‘Mongolia and the Mongolians’, pp. 20–21.
    86 For the seminal accounts of this period see for example Owen Lattimore, Pivot of Asia: Sinkiang
    and the Inner Asian Frontiers of China and Russia , Boston: Little Brown & Co., 1950; and Allen S.
    Whiting, Sinkiang: Pawn or Pivot , East Lasing: Michigan State University Press, 1958.
    87 Justin Jon Rudelson, Bones in the Sand: The Struggle to Create Uighur Nationalist Ideologies in
    Xinjiang, China, Ann Arbor, MI: University Microfilms, 1991, p. 98.
    88 For example see Andrew D.W. Forbes, Warlords and Muslims in Chinese Central Asia: A political
    history of Republican Sinkiang, 1911–1949, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1986; David D.
    Wang, Under the Soviet Shadow: The Yining incident. Ethnic conflicts and international rivalry in
    Xinjiang, 1944–1949, Hong Kong: The Chinese University Press, 1999, pp. 40–43; and John W.
    Garver, Chinese–Soviet Relations, 1937–1945: The diplomacy of Chinese nationalism , Oxford: Oxford
    University Press, 1988, pp. 154–62.
    89 The Turkic–Muslim rebellions against Jin Shuren resulted in the formation of the first East
    Turkestan Republic in Kashgar in November 1933 and precipitated Jin’s downfall. See James A.
    Millward and Nabijan Tursun, ‘Political history and strategies of control’, in S. Frederick Starr (ed.)
    Xinjiang: China’s Muslim Borderland, Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2004, pp. 77–8.
    90 Garver, Chinese–Soviet Relations 1937–1945, pp. 154–5.
    91 Rudelson, Bones in the Sand , p. 98.
    92 Forbes, Warlords and Muslims , p. 159; and Garver, Chinese–Soviet Relations , pp. 172–3.
    93 For example see Wang, Under the Soviet Shadow, pp. 60–65; and Forbes, Warlords and Muslims ,
    pp. 168–70.
    94 For the general contours of Chinese policy in the Maoist period, see Donald H. McMillen, Chinese
    Communist Power and Policy in Xinjiang, 1949–1977, Boulder, CO: Westview, 1979; and Millward
    and Tursun, ‘Political history and strategies of control’, pp. 63–98. For the post-Mao period, see
    Michael Clarke, ‘Xinjiang in the “reform” era: the political and economic dynamics of Dengist
    integration’, Issues and Studies , 2007, June, vol. 43, no. 2, 39–92; Dru C. Gladney, ‘The Chinese
    program of development and control, 1978–2001’, in S. Frederick Starr (ed.) Xinjiang: China’s Muslim
    Borderland, Armonk, New York: M.E. Sharpe, 2004, pp. 101–19; and Nicolas Becquelin, ‘Xinjiang in
    the nineties’, The China Journal , 2000, July, no. 44, 65–90.
    95 Michael Dillon, Xinjiang: Ethnicity, Separatism and Control in Chinese Central Asia, University of
    Durham, Department of East Asian Studies: Durham East Asian Papers 1, 1996, pp. 2–3; June Teufel
    Dreyer, ‘The Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region at thirty: a report card’, Asian Survey, 1981, July,
    vol. 26, no. 7, 722–3; and Donald H. McMillen, ‘Xinjiang and Wang Enmao: new directions in power,
    policy and integration?’, The China Quarterly, 1984, September, no. 99, 570.
    96 Gladney, ‘The Chinese program of development and control’, pp. 101–19.
    97 Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, p. 210; and Hélène Carrère d’Encausse, ‘The Russian Revolution
    and Soviet policy in Central Asia’, in Gavin Hambly (ed.) Central Asia, New York: Delacorte Press,
    1969, p. 230.
    98 Carrère d’Encausse, ‘The Russian Revolution and Soviet policy in Central Asia’, p. 233; and
    Haghayeghi, Islam and Politics in Central Asia, pp. 16–17.
    99 Carrère d’Encausse, ‘The Russian Revolution and Soviet policy in Central Asia’, p. 233.
    100 Cited in Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, p. 213.
    101 Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, pp. 213–22; and Haghayeghi, Islam and Politics in Central Asia,
    pp. 17–18.
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    102 Manz, ‘Historical background’, pp. 16–17.
    103 Manz, ‘Historical background’, pp. 16–17; Subtelny, ‘The symbiosis of Turk and Tajik’, pp. 51–4;
    and Carrère d’Encausse, ‘The Russian Revolution and Soviet policy in Central Asia’, pp. 234–5.
    104 Carrère d’Encausse, ‘The Russian Revolution and Soviet policy in Central Asia’, p. 239.
    105 Carrère d’Encausse, ‘The Russian Revolution and Soviet policy in Central Asia’, pp. 236–40.
    106 Carrère d’Encausse, ‘The Russian Revolution and Soviet policy in Central Asia’, pp. 236–40; and
    Moshe Gammer, ‘Russia and the Eurasian steppe nomads’, in Reuven Amitai and Michael Biran (eds)
    Mongols, Turks and Others: Eurasian Nomads and the Sedentary World , Leiden: Brill, 2005, p. 496.
    107 Cited in Gammer, ‘Russia and the Eurasian steppe nomads’, p. 497.
    108 Gammer, ‘Russia and the Eurasian steppe nomads’, p. 497; and Soucek, A History of Inner Asia,
    p. 236.
    109 Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, p. 236.
    110 Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, p. 236; and Haghayeghi, Islam and Politics in Central Asia, pp.
    51–2.
    111 Gregory Gleason, The Central Asian States: Discovering Independence , Boulder: Westview Press,
    1997.
    112 See Michael Clarke, ‘China’s strategy in Xinjiang and Central Asia: towards Chinese hegemony in
    the “geographical pivot of history”?’, Issues and Studies , vol. 41, no. 2, June 2005, pp. 75–118.
    113 See for example, Annette Bohr, ‘Regionalism in Central Asia: new geopolitics, old regional order’,
    International Affairs, 2004, vol. 80, no. 3, 485–502; Niklas Swanstrom, ‘China and Central Asia: a
    new great game of traditional vassal relations?’, Journal of Contemporary Asia, 2005, November, vol.
    45, no. 14, 569–84; and Tsedendamba Batbayar, ‘Foreign policy and domestic reform in Mongolia’,
    Central Asian Survey, 2003, June, vol. 22, no. 2, 45–59.
    114 For the dynamics of inter-state rivalry see Kenneth Wesibrode, ‘Central Eurasia, prize or
    quicksand? Contending Views of Instability in Karabakh, Ferghana and Afghanistan’, Aldelphi Papers ,
    No. 338 (2001), pp. 20–45; Ahmed Rashid, Taliban: Islam, Oil and the New Great Game in Central
    Asia, London: Pluto Press, 2001, for ‘pipeline politics’ see Carolyn Miles, ‘The Caspian pipeline debate
    continues: Why not Iran?’, Journal of International Affairs, 1999, Fall, vol. 53, 325–47; and for the
    development of transnational ethnoreligious movements see Ahmed Rashid, Jihad: The Rise of
    Militant Islam in Central Asia, New Haven: Yale University Press, 2002.
    115 Boris Rumer, ‘The powers in Central Asia’, Survival , vol. 44, no. 3, pp. 57–68; and Chien-peng
    Chung, ‘The Shanghai Cooperation Organization: China’s changing influence in Central Asia’, The
    China Quarterly, 2004, December, no. 180, 990–91.
    116 Becquelin, ‘Xinjiang in the nineties’, pp. 70–77; and Yueyao Zhao, ‘Pivot or periphery? Xinjiang’s
    regional development’, Asian Ethnicity , 2001, September, vol. 2, no. 2, 197–224.
    117 For the impact of the so-called ‘cotton strategy’, see Ildiko Beller-Hann, ‘The peasant condition in
    Xinjiang’, Journal of Peasant Studies , 1997, vol. 25, no. 1, 87–112.
    118 Nicolas Becquelin, ‘Staged development in Xinjiang’, The China Quarterly, Vol. 178, (June 2004),
    pp. 368–70; Clifton Pannell and Laurence J.C. Ma, ‘Urban transition and interstate relations in a
    dynamic post-Soviet borderland: the Xinjiang Uyghur autonomous region of China’, Post-Soviet
    Geography and Economics , 1997, vol. 38, no. 4, 206–29; and Colin Mackerras, ‘Xinjiang at the turn
    of the century: the causes of separatism’, Central Asian Survey, 2001, vol. 20, no. 3, 291–4 and 298–
    300.
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    119 For the Chinese government’s connection of Uyghur separatism to wider regional dynamics and
    its implications for regional politics see, for example, M. Eshan Ahrari, ‘China, Pakistan, and the
    “Taliban Syndrome”’, Asian Survey, 2000, July/August, vol. 40, no. 4, 658–71; Sally N. Cummings,
    ‘Happier bedfellows? Russia and Central Asia under Putin’, Asian Affairs, 2001, June, vol. 32, no. 2,
    142–52; and Felix K. Chang, ‘China’s Central Asian power and problems’, Orbis, 1997, Summer, vol.
    41, no. 3, 401–25.
    120 Qunjian Tian, ‘China develops its West: motivation, strategy and prospect’, Journal of
    Contemporary China, 2004, vol. 41, no. 13, 611–36.
    121 Bohr, ‘Regionalism in Central Asia’, p. 490; and Clarke, ‘China’s strategy in Xinjiang and Central
    Asia’, pp. 88–99.
    122 B. Rumer, ‘The powers in Central Asia’, pp. 57–68.
    123 Chung, ‘The Shanghai Cooperation Organization’, pp. 994–6.
    124 See United States–Uzbekistan Declaration on the Strategic Partnership and Cooperation
    Framework, (12 March 2002). Online. Available HTTP: <http://
    www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2002/8736.htm>; B. Rumer, ‘The powers in Central Asia’, pp. 59–60; and
    Sean L. Yom, ‘Power politics in Central Asia’, Harvard Asia Quarterly , 2002, Autumn, vol. 6, no. 4.
    Online. Available HTTP: <http:// www.asiaquarterly.com/content/view/129/40/> (both sites accessed
    13 November 2008).
    125 Gao Fuqiu, ‘The real purpose of the American March into Central Asia’, Liaowang Magazine , 10
    May 2002, English translation. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.uscc.gov/researchpapers/2000_2003/pdfs/reapur.pdf> (accessed 28 October 2008).
    126 Gao, ‘The real purpose of the American March into Central Asia’.
    127 Gao, ‘The real purpose of the American March into Central Asia’. My emphasis.
    128 See James A. Millward, ‘Violent Separatism in Xinjiang: A Critical Assessment’, Policy Studies 6,
    Washington: East-West Center, 2005; and Information Office of the State Council of the PRC, ‘East
    Turkistan terrorist forces cannot get away with impunity’, People’s Daily, 21 January 2002. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http:/ /english.peopledaily.com.cn/200201/21/eng20020121_89078.shtml>
    (accessed 13 November 2008).
    129 Sergei Blagov, ‘Russia probes to bolster its authority in Central Asia’, Eurasianet, 27 March 2002.
    Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav032702.shtml>
    (accessed 28 October 2008); Charles Carlson, ‘Central Asia: Shanghai Cooperation Organization
    makes military debut’, RFE/RL , 5 August 2003. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.rferl.org/
    content/Article/1103974.html> (accessed 28 October 2008); Antoine Blua, ‘Kazakhstan: President
    Nazarbaev signs Mutual Cooperation Agreement with China’, RFE/RL , 27 December 2002. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http:// www.rferl.org/content/Article/1101766.html> (accessed 28 October 2008).
    130 Rustam Mukhamedov, ‘Uyghurs in Kyrgyzstan under careful government supervision’, Central
    Asia-Caucasus Analyst , 28 January 2004. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.cacianalyst.org/?
    q=node/1850> (accessed 13 November 2008). For the Nepal case see Amnesty International,
    People’s Republic of China: Uighurs Fleeing Persecution as China Wages its ‘War on Terror’ , 7 July
    2004. Online: available HTTP: <http://www.amnesty.org/en/library/info/ASA17/021/ 2004>
    (accessed 13 November 2008).
    131 B. Rumer, ‘The powers in Central Asia’, pp. 57–68.
    132 Sergei Blagov, ‘Shanghai Cooperation Organization prepares for new role’, Eurasianet, 29 April
    2002. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.eurasianet.org/
    departments/insight/articles/eav042902.shtml> (accessed 28 October 2008).
    133 Sergei Blagov, ‘SCO continues to search for operational framework’, Eurasianet,
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    11 June 2002. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/
    insight/articles/eav061102a.shtml> (accessed 28 October 2008).
    134 See, for example, Sean Yom, ‘Russian–Chinese Pact a “great game” victim’, Asia Times, 30 July
    2002. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.atimes.com/atimes/ Central_Asia/DG30Ag01.html>
    (accessed 28 October 2008); and Stephen Blank, ‘The Shanghai Cooperation Organization and its
    future’, Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst , 22 May 2002. Online. Available HTTP: <http://
    www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/272> (accessed 13 November 2008).
    135 Sergei Blagov, ‘Russia seeking to strengthen regional organizations to counter-balance Western
    influence’, EurasiaNet, 4 December 2002. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav120402a. shtml> (accessed 28 October
    2008).
    136 Carlson, ‘Central Asia: Shanghai Cooperation Organization makes military debut’; and ‘Central
    Asians perform military maneuvers, training against terrorists’.
    137 Charles Carlson, ‘Uzbekistan: Foreign Ministers of Shanghai Cooperation Organization Converge
    in Tashkent’, RFE/RL, 5 September 2003. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.rferl.org/content/Article/1104261.html> (accessed 13 November 2008).
    138 Carlson, ‘Uzbekistan: Foreign Ministers of Shangai Cooperation Organization Converge in
    Tashkent’.
    139 See Eugene Rumer, ‘The US interests and role in Central Asia after K2’, The Washington
    Quarterly, 2006, Summer, vol. 29, no. 3, 141–54.
    140 Martha Brill Olcott, ‘The great powers in Central Asia’, Current History , 2005, October, no. 104,
    335; N.T. Tarimi, ‘China–Uzbek Pact bad news for Uighurs’, Asia Times, 30 July 2004. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.atimes.com/ atimes/Central_Asia/FG30Ag01.html> (accessed 28
    October 2008); and ‘FBIS analysis: PRC strengthening Central Asian ties to counter US presence’,
    Cuba FBIS Report, 12 August 2005, T21:34:42Z.
    141 Pan Guang, ‘The Chinese perspective on the recent Astana Summit’, The China Brief , 2005, vol.
    5, issue 18, 16 August. Online. Available HTTP: <http:// www.jamestown.org/china_brief/article.php?
    articleid=2373127> (accessed 28 October 2008).
    142 E. Rumer, ‘The US interests and role in Central Asia after K2’, p. 141.
    143 See ‘Declaration on the fifth anniversary of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization’, Shanghai,
    15 June 2006. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.sectsco.org/ 502.html> (accessed 28 October
    2008); and Zhou Yan, Wang Zuokui and Li Zhenyu, ‘SCO sets example for building new security
    architecture’, Xinhua Domestic Service , 2006, 16 June, T14:58:55Z.
    144 Li Yong, ‘Shanghai Cooperation Organization reshaping international strategic structure’, Ta Kung
    Pao, 2007, 5 August, T03:49:13Z.
    145 Yong, ‘Shanghai Cooperation Organization reshaping international strategic structure’.
    146 Yong, ‘Shanghai Cooperation Organization reshaping international strategic structure’. My
    emphasis.
    147 See for example, Joshua Kucera, ‘Shanghai Cooperation Organization summiteers take shots at
    US presence in Central Asia’, Eurasianet, 20 August 2007. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav082007a.shtml> (accessed 28 October
    2008).
    148 ‘Putin wants regular SCO exercises’, Interfax, 16 August 2007 in Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst:
    News Digest , 22 August 2007. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/4682>
    (accessed 28 October 2008). Almost simultaneously, Russia announced that it will be increasing the
    number of its military personnel at the Kant air base in Kyrgyzstan and extending US$2.5
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    million of military aid to the Kyrgyz government. See Alima Bissenova, ‘Kazakhstan agrees to expand
    counterterror cooperation with Jordan’, Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst, 22 August 2007. Online:
    available HTTP: <http:// www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/4682> (accessed 13 November 2008).
    149 See Erica Marat and Asel Murzakulova, ‘The SCO seeks energy cooperation, but problems
    remain’, Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst , 21 August 2007. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/4676> (accessed 28 October 2008); and Igor Rotar, ‘Is SCO
    unity an illusion?’, Eurasianet, 22 August 2007. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/ articles/eav082207.shtml> (accessed 13 November
    2008).
    150 ‘Admission of new SCO members is a matter of time – Kyrgyzstan’s Bakiyev’, ITAR-TASS, 3
    August 2007, T17:47:28Z.
    151 Nicklas Norling, ‘China and Russia: partners with tensions’, Policy Perspectives , 2007, vol. 4, no.
    1, 45.
    152 Bohr, ‘Regionalism in Central Asia’, pp. 493–500.
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    3
    Positioning Xinjiang in Eurasian and Chinese history
    Differing visions of the ‘Silk Road’
    James A. Millward
    Georgetown University
    This chapter considers some of the historiographical and political implications of Xinjiang’s position as
    a geographical and cultural crossroads of Eurasia. The region known as Xinjiang today has since
    prehistoric times lain between Chinese, Indian, Mediterranean and Islamic culture centres and astride
    the trade routes that facilitated exchanges of goods, ideas and arts between them. The Xinjiang
    region was also on the front lines of interactions between nomadic powers and oasis-based agrarian
    states of Central Eurasia; it played an important geostrategic role in relations between states based
    in north China and nomadic-type Inner Asian states based in what is now Mongolia and Kazakhstan.
    Xinjiang has always been significant for its intermediate position. Nor has the cultural and
    geopolitical significance of this ‘betweenness’ lessened as Xinjiang has become more closely
    integrated with China, for it has simultaneously been drawing closer to the world.
    In recent decades, in both Chinese and western writing, one predominant metaphor used to depict
    Xinjiang’s intermediate position between China, Central Asia and beyond has been that of ‘the Silk
    Road’. Indeed, with official PRC claims for the primordial ‘Chinese’ identity of the Xinjiang region
    increasing in shrillness and ahistoricality, it is only in the context of ‘the Silk Road’ that the region’s
    cultural diversity and multidirectional linkages may be safely discussed in China. Yet the Silk Road
    metaphor is used in different ways and to convey different messages in China than elsewhere.
    Whereas outside China the cross-cultural exchanges of ‘the Silk Road’ can serve as a heart-warming
    counter-argument to the ‘clash of civilizations’ world view, Chinese silk-roadism is more parochial and
    nationalistic. As this chapter will demonstrate, recent Chinese materials stake claims on the ‘Silk
    Road’ and treat exchanges across its length so as to stress Chinese cultural and commercial exports
    and Chinese uniqueness over bilateral exchanges and long-term pan-Eurasian integration. When
    imports such as Buddhism are undeniable, then the Chinese take on the Silk Road notion serves to
    highlight aspects of the Chinese past that resonate with today’s vision of ‘rising China’ playing a
    major role on the world stage.
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    The historiography and imagery of Xinjiang qua Silk Road is thus collared by contemporary political
    concerns. This chapter explores the implications of this through propaganda, history-writing, tourism
    packaging, and the official musicology of Uyghur art music, or muqam .
    Games with names – is Xinjiang in Central Asia?
    Let us begin with an apparently simple question. Is Xinjiang part of China? Is it part of Central Asia?
    Is to say that it lies in one place or the other to make an imperialist or a separatist claim? Can one
    safely say it is part of China and Central Asia simultaneously?
    The first response to these questions is to state the obvious: Xinjiang is part of China: no national
    entity in the international community disputes China’s sovereignty in the region; scholars outside
    China do not dispute it; even among Uyghur groups in exile, the calls for an independent Uyghur
    state are increasingly rare and, unlike their human rights concerns, get no serious hearing. It is also
    obvious to anyone who has read about or visited the region that geographically, ethnically, culturally
    and historically, Xinjiang shares much with its neighbours Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan,
    Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan and Mongolia. If you look at a map, Xinjiang lies smack-dab in the middle of
    the Eurasian continent – there is even a roadside attraction within convenient driving distance of the
    tourist hotels in Urumqi that claims to be the ‘geographic centre of Eurasia’. So, by any definition of
    Central Asia (Central Eurasia) broader than simply ‘former-Soviet Central Asia’, Xinjiang is part of
    Central Asia.
    All of this is self-evident, one might think, but the issue of Xinjiang’s geographic labelling is
    surprisingly fraught. As specialists in Xinjiang know, one cannot use the terms ‘Uyghurstan’ or ‘East
    Turkistan’ for Xinjiang around Chinese or in any sort of official context, even when referring to
    periods before the Qing conquest in the eighteenth century. This is because both terms have been
    used at various points by Uyghurs or other Turkic peoples with separatist aspirations. (In the past
    few years, Chinese publications have for the first time begun using the word ‘East Turkistan’
    [ Dongtu], but only in scare quotes to indicate Uyghur terrorist organizations.)
    More to the point here is that, in China, Xinjiang is not included within the concept of ‘Central Asia’.
    The old Soviet studies centres in western countries have, since 1991, redefined themselves as
    centres for the study of Eastern Europe, Russia and Eurasia – with the latter notion increasingly
    including Xinjiang as well as Mongolia, Afghanistan and sometimes even Tibet. The Central Eurasian
    Studies Society, the main academic organization for Central Asianists in the United States (with
    members from outside the US as well, including China), explicitly includes Xinjiang within its ambit.
    Indiana University’s recently created position in ‘Xinjiang Studies’ resides officially in the Uralic and
    Altaic Studies department, not its East Asian Studies Center
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    (Uralic and Altaic Studies also houses Indiana’s Tibetanists, although Tibetan is neither a Uralic nor
    an Altaic language).
    In China, however, Xinjiang is not considered part of Central Asia. The Institute of Russian, Eastern
    European and Central Asian Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences is officially dedicated
    only to ‘international studies’.1 A volume of papers produced by a Swedish–Chinese academic
    conference and study tour in Xinjiang in 1992 is entitled in English Explorations and Studies on
    Central Asia. In the Chinese title, however, where the English reads ‘Central Asia’, the Chinese
    substitutes ‘ Xiyu’ (Western regions – more on this term below.)2
    Central Asia as a geographic concept is notoriously vague, with little agreement even among
    specialists about its boundaries; it is not surprising that for the purposes of dividing fields of study
    China lumps Xinjiang together with China, not with foreign countries. Since no one disputes that
    Xinjiang is part of China anyway, one might think it hardly matters that western and Chinese
    scholars slice the Eurasian pie differently.
    However, when it comes to writing history, the implications become more troubling. Even for the
    thousand-year period (eighth through eighteenth century) when no China-based power controlled
    the region, recent Chinese writing nonetheless treats Xinjiang as part of Chinese history, and
    periodizes it according to the names and dates of Chinese dynasties based thousands of kilometres
    away. Chinese historiography considers ancient peoples of the Xinjiang region to be the ancestors of
    today’s recognized Chinese minzu (nationalities). Invasions or local wars become ‘rebellions’. Trade is
    regarded as ‘tribute’ to the Chinese court. And the official line that China has enjoyed uninterrupted
    control over ‘the western regions’ since 60 BC is so far from what is clearly recorded even in the
    official histories compiled by the Chinese dynasties themselves over some 2,000 years – let alone in
    the secondary scholarship readily available in any good modern library – that much rhetorical sleight
    of hand is necessary to perpetuate the government-mandated position.
    Names, we all learn in our earliest courses on China, must be rectified, and indeed Confucius
    stressed that the first thing a ruler should do upon assuming office is to straighten out what things
    are called. ‘If names be not correct, language is not in accordance with the truth of things. If
    language be not in accordance with the truth of things, affairs cannot be carried on to success.’3
    Names, then, are not mere conventions. They have political force, and can be used to establish
    ‘truth’. That strategic onomastics has been and remains a prime concern of Chinese regimes is made
    abundantly clear in the case of Xinjiang. Han dynasty conquerors applied Chinese characters to
    places that had their own Indo-European names already: Loulan and Krorän are one such pair. The
    Tang’s command centre in the Tarim Basin was named to reflect the Tang’s strategic goal: Anxi, or
    ‘pacified west’. (The town, or at least its name and garrison, had later to be relocated further east in
    response to military reality on the ground.) Some thousand years later,
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    when the Qing conquered both the Tarim Basin and Zungharia, onomastic chaos ensued as different
    field officials each chose different Chinese characters to transliterate local Turkic and Mongolian
    place-names. The initial confusion was soon resolved through an imperially-sponsored project of
    onomastic name standardization (the Xiyu tongwen zhi, 1763),4 which also attempted to reconcile
    the ‘new’ names with the Chinese names from the Han and Tang periods. Throughout most of the
    Qing period, the Han-era term Xiyu, ‘Western Regions’ was still commonly used for the Xinjiang
    region, but with some ambiguity as to whether it included Qinghai or even Ferghana and parts
    further west. Interestingly, transcription was no problem in the alphabetic Manchu script, and for that
    reason the great Qing imperial atlases, compiled with Jesuit help, kept all place-names outside the
    Wall in Manchu. Perhaps it was in this spirit of Manchu pragmatism that the straightforward
    neologism ‘Xinjiang’ (New Frontier) – a term with no prior historical associations – was officially
    applied to the region in the second half of the eighteenth century and became its unique and
    exclusive administrative moniker.
    Han Chinese leaders in the Republican period, indulging an undisguised assimilative agenda, stripped
    Ural–Altaic names from the Xinjiang map, and replaced them with old Han names, such as Shule for
    Kashgar, or patronizing ones like Ti-hwa (Dihua, ‘come to be transformed’) for Urumqi.5 The more
    multicultural Communists, in building their multi-nationality state ( duo minzu guojia ), restored many
    of the Turko-Mongolian and other non-Sinic names, but without quite eliminating the Han dynasty
    terms either (many remain as county names).6 And the PRC then added another layer of onomastic
    complexity with its nested system of ‘autonomous’ nationality counties, prefectures and regions:
    former Xinjiang province itself was rechristened after 1955 as the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous
    Region ( Xinjiang Weiwuer zizhiqu ). While this ‘autonomous’ minority nationality place system did not,
    in fact, invest its eponymous nationalities with any autonomy, it did serve the immediate purposes of
    a state bent on divide et impera .7
    How does this relate to situating Xinjiang in China and Central Asia? A battle is raging now over the
    names used for and – a closely related matter – the narratives about Xinjiang. Scholars outside of
    China may not realize that they are engaged in this struggle, but relevant units and think tanks in
    China are geared up to the academic equivalent of a wartime footing. Consider a recent salvo edited
    by Li Sheng, with an introduction by Ma Dazheng, entitled Xinjiang of China: Its Past and Present.
    Both Li and Ma are fellows in the Research Center for China’s Borderland History and Geography
    Studies,8 a unit of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. The book was published in 2005 in
    English, French, Japanese, Russian, Uyghur, Kazak and Arabic. Its cover copy reads:
    Xinjiang of China: Its Past and Present is not a book about general history, but one focused on facts
    bearing on stability and development in
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    Xinjiang. It has been written on the basis of reality with the purpose of respecting history and
    clarifying the truth.9
    This volume was one of a raft of Chinese publications from the past decade in Chinese, English and
    other languages that summarize Xinjiang’s history for general readers. These include white papers
    from the State Council of the PRC on terrorism and one on the ‘History and Development of Xinjiang’,
    as well as several trade publications.10 There are probably several reasons why the Chinese
    government and academic units saw a need for a new publicity push at this point in time. As Xinjiang
    grew more integrated with and known to the world, it was no doubt deemed necessary to step up
    propaganda efforts aimed at general readers. Xinjiang and the Uyghurs came into the news after
    9/11 as China sought to position Uyghur separatism as part of a global Islamic movement. More
    specifically, however, authorities and scholars in China were likely responding to a research initiative
    then ongoing in the United States which produced the book entitled Xinjiang: China’s Muslim
    Borderland (2004). For idiosyncratic reasons this volume came directly to the attention of China’s
    security apparatus, apparently arousing great concern. Its articles surveyed the history, economics,
    education, security, geography and other aspects of Xinjiang (I collaborated on two history
    chapters). Most readers would agree, I think, that it differs little from most academic edited volumes:
    mixed in content and outlook, stronger in some parts than others, on balance useful, but free of
    startling revelations, trenchant critiques or thundering polemics and already somewhat outdated by
    the time it came into print. Why then the furore in China? One reason, I believe, was because the
    editor, S. Frederick Starr, is director of the Central Asia–Caucasus Institute at Johns Hopkins
    University. This, I suspect, raised alarms in Beijing: why was Xinjiang, properly part of China, being
    studied by a Washington DC think tank devoted to Central Asia? The cubbyholing of Xinjiang into
    ‘Eurasia’ highlighted parallels with Kyrgyzstan, Georgia and Ukraine – where occurred the ‘colour
    revolutions’ that Chinese and Russian authorities see as stage managed by a US government intent
    on undermining their power. Specifically, since the 1999 NATO intervention in Yugoslavia, Chinese
    analysts and leaders have feared that the US was planning to exploit Uyghur separatism and ethnic
    tension in Xinjiang to foment a Kosovo-style rebellion. The mere existence of the Starr-edited book
    touched a nerve, therefore, because it put Xinjiang in the wrong geographical category, and thus, in
    the eyes of some in China, seemed to challenge China’s sovereignty in Xinjiang. The authors who
    contributed to the volume had no political or non-academic purpose, of course, and did not question
    Chinese sovereignty in Xinjiang. Nevertheless, Pan Zhiping of the Xinjiang Academy of Social
    Sciences (XJASS) summed up in this way the PRC fears about the Starr book in his preface to the
    pirated ‘secret’ translation published by XJASS:
    [The American authors’] core thinking is that there is a great problem
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    with the legality of Chinese sovereignty in Xinjiang. One can say that this thought comprises
    American interference in Chinese internal affairs, and moreover provides a theoretical basis for one
    day taking action to dismember China and separate Xinjiang.11
    This context, then, explains the stress on ‘facts’, ‘reality’, ‘history’ and ‘truth’ shouting from the cover
    of Li Sheng’s volume. It also explains the odd title phrase ‘Xinjiang of China’, which is not a
    formulation used much, if ever, before in English. More than simply an awkward translation of
    Zhongguo Xinjiang , it has the character of an assertion. It is an attempt to rectify the names, to
    educate foreign audiences.
    Xinjiang in World History
    More than in the past, then, Chinese authorities and scholars in the 2000s feel an urgent need to
    internationalize their narrative of Xinjiang history. This shift parallels two other ongoing aspects of
    globalization: first, the greater integration of Xinjiang since the late 1980s (and especially since 1991)
    with the rest of China and with the world, thanks to improved communications, the collapse of the
    Soviet Union, expanding tourism, ‘rising China’s’ role in the global economy, oil and gas exploration in
    and pipelines through the region, and even the concept of a ‘global war on terror’ which Chinese
    leaders have used to frame Uyghur separatism as part of a worldwide Islamic movement. Second,
    there has been a revival of general scholarly, pedagogical and popular interest in the Xinjiang region
    and in Central Eurasia more broadly. In part this arises from urgent contemporary issues (oil,
    Afghanistan), but it also owes something to a ‘globalization’ of history: the revived interest in world
    history as a discipline and an ideology, with its relative stress on interconnections, exchanges,
    networks and parallels between civilizations. This is a historiography well suited for an age of
    internationalism, multiculturalism, neoliberal free-tradism and we’re-all-in-this-together
    environmentalism. Whether the Huntingtonians, religious fundamentalists and trade protectionists can
    reverse the trend perhaps remains an open question, but for now, speaking as a teacher of college-
    level history who has surveyed the new textbooks, I can say the one-worldist approach is well
    entrenched.
    This affects our understanding of Xinjiang in significant ways. As a distant, dusty corner of China,
    Xinjiang seemed to figure little in the creation of Chinese civilization and the Chinese nation. It was
    remote, sparsely populated, climatically harsh and seemingly contributed nothing in itself. It was little
    more than a corridor along which admittedly important things, like Buddhism and silk, came and
    went. Like other parts of Central Eurasia, it was also a redoubt for barbarian tribesmen who
    repeatedly and mercilessly attacked the cultured centres of Cathay.
    But what about when the focus shifts, as it does in the world historical narrative, to ‘the places in
    between’?12 Then it is intercultural contact,
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    exchanges of goods and biological material and the transmission of ideas that become central. The
    erstwhile barbarians are now facilitators of cross-cultural exchange. One student of mine
    demonstrated perfect internalization of this lesson when he wrote in an exam, ‘in the thirteenth
    century, Genghis Khan set out to globalize the known world’.
    This revised outlook is not restricted to academic or pedagogical contexts, but enters the broader
    popular consciousness is various ways. Viewers of television history programmes and readers of
    popular science magazines thrill to learn about mummies with ‘European’ features turning up in the
    Xinjiang desert. Television documentaries, travel writings, museum exhibitions and similar texts
    stress the themes of interconnectivity. In Washington DC, the Smithsonian Institution in 2002 hosted
    a two-week ‘Silk Road Festival’ on the National Mall between the Capitol and the Washington
    Monument in which tens of thousands participated. Tourists sign up in droves for Silk Road package
    tours. And books on the Silk Road, or playing on the idea of the Silk Road, are published by the
    dozens: in September 2007 Amazon.com listed over 70 English-language books published since the
    year 2000 with the words ‘Silk Road’ in their titles.
    Not all ‘Silk Road’ fascination focuses on Xinjiang, of course, but it is certainly a key link. The ways in
    which the Xinjiang region has been involved in broader regional or world history are manifold. It is in
    fact much more than ‘China’s Muslim Borderland’. In the bronze and iron ages, Indo-European
    speaking peoples settled and nomadized across the northern tier of Eurasia, from the Black Sea to
    Gansu. Xinjiang and Mongolia were conduits and points of contact between these early peoples and
    the proto-Chinese societies developing in the North China Plains, Manchuria, Sichuan and elsewhere.
    Then and later, the Xinjiang region’s primary historical significance lay in its position between Sinic,
    on the one hand, and Indic, Mediterranean/Islamic zones, on the other; and in the goods, ideas and
    people that passed through Xinjiang in getting from one of these areas to another: barley, wheat,
    domesticated sheep and camels, and, later, larger horse breeds, cotton, viniculture, plague, tea and
    that mighty purgative, rhubarb; ‘animal-style’ art, the chariot, possibly aspects of the bronze or iron
    metallurgical package, Han silks, Roman glass, Sassanian metalwork, Hellenic motifs, Chinese
    elements in Islamic miniatures, and Mughal forms in Manchu jade work; Buddhism, Manichaeism,
    Nestorian Christianity, Islam; paper, gunpowder, blue-and-white ceramics, astronomical and
    mathematical methods, medicines, musical theory and such instruments as the lute, spike fiddle and
    hourglass drum; chess; the travellers Zhang Qian, Faxian and Xuanzang and many more Buddhist
    pilgrims and translators; the ubiquitous whirling Soghdians, William of Rubruck, Marco Polo, Sven
    Hedin, Aurel Stein. And furthermore, to reduce to chaos any gathering at which Uyghurs, Chinese,
    Poles or Italians are present, one need only add noodles, pizza or the humble mante (also known as
    jiaozi, pierogi or ravioli) to this list.
    One could write very large books dealing with exchanges over Xinjiang’s
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    roads. Indeed, they have been written: the works of Edward Schafer and Joseph Needham come to
    mind; more recently, Liu Xinru has contributed to this body of scholarship.13 To be sure, one may
    question whether Xinjiang’s contribution to the globalization of paper or the dumpling rises above
    simply that of a transit point. While this may be a legitimate caveat with regard to specific goods and
    some technologies, the Tarim oases did serve as mediators of and thus contributors to the idea
    systems that passed through them. Uyghur cooks are renowned in Central Asia for a reason.
    Buddhism was initially translated for Chinese consumption in such places as Khotan, Kucha and
    Dunhuang and by Khotanese or Kuchean monks in Chinese monasteries. The Central Asian and
    Tarim passage filtered and amplified aspects of the religion, stressing certain sutras, teachings and
    practices, and helping shape its form in China. The same might be said a fortiori for Islam in China,
    which owes much to the missionary Sufi networks hailing originally from Bukhara and who set down
    roots in Xinjiang before moving into Gansu and Qinghai.
    Xinjiang’s world historical status, in short, is as the crossroads of Eurasia; no mere byway, but a
    crossroads where things happened. To the east–west dimension of its world historical role, moreover,
    we must add the equally significant north–south dimension. Xinjiang is linked to the steppe-sown
    dynamic – a long-running issue in world history – both as a setting where that dynamic was played
    out, and, more broadly, as an inevitable sideshow to any conflict between nomadic states based in
    Mongolia and agrarian states based in North China. Schematically put, the argument for this goes as
    follows.
    The Tarim Basin oases were agriculturally fertile and stood astride lucrative trade routes. They
    produced grain and revenue, but could not support herds of horses, so they tended to be dominated
    by powers based in the north, where steppes and mountain slopes provided good pasture and thus a
    military edge. These equestrian powers might be based as far away as Balasaghun and the Yettisu
    area (modern Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan), whence they could simultaneously extend power over the
    northern and western Tarim as well as Transoxiana; most important, however, were the powers that
    controlled the Turfan basin and northern Tarim cities from just beyond the Tianshan passes in
    Zungharia (northern Xinjiang) or even from Mongolia. When strategic rivalries between Mongolia-
    based and north China-based states intensified and Chinese states attempted to cut off the nomads’
    access to grain and trade revenue, the value to nomad states of the Hami–Turfan– Kucha belt rose.
    China-based states then expanded operations westward, ‘to cut off the right hand of the Xiongnu’, in
    the famous phrase from the Hanshu . Xinjiang was in this fashion drawn into China–Mongolia conflicts
    not only during the Han–Xiongnu rivalry, but during that of the Tang with the Turks, of Khubilai with
    Arigh Böke and Khaidu, of the Ming and the Mongols, and of the Qing and the Zunghars. The
    Xinjiang region, then, particularly its eastern portion, is tied to what was an enduring face-off
    between north China-based and nomadic-type states across the Great Wall line. Most clearly seen in
    the China–Mongolia case, similar dynamics were a
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    feature of steppe-sown relationships in South Asia, Iran, the Middle East, the Black Sea coast and
    Russia.
    The Silk Road in Chinese eyes
    If ‘Crossroads of Eurasia’ represents Xinjiang’s position in world history from a non-Chinese
    perspective (in particular, mine, hence my use of the phrase as the title of my history of Xinjiang),
    then Li Sheng’s ‘Xinjiang of China’ sums up how Chinese scholars – officially, at least – present it. It
    is not that Chinese scholars entirely ignore Xinjiang’s important world historical role as a conduit
    between cultures, but that they must discuss that interconnectivity in a Chinese national context.
    Since it is problematic for them to include Xinjiang in ‘Eurasia’, or ‘Central Asia’, the old Han dynasty
    term Xiyu, ‘Western Regions’, is still commonly used and is politically acceptable, as it blurs the
    question of pre-modern sovereignty over the Tarim Basin and Zungharia. But ‘Western Regions’ does
    not work well when translated into English, as it is too easily confused with ‘the West’.
    However, it turns out that the term ‘Silk Road’ fits the bill rather nicely. Sichou zhi lu (or silu ) in
    Chinese, the term proves useful in allowing discussion of Xinjiang’s cross-continental linkages while
    avoiding the awkward question of Xinjiang’s place in ‘Central Eurasia’. In part for this reason, I
    believe, as well as for its marketing potential, China has embraced this romantic, nineteenth-century
    German term as or more eagerly than anywhere else. The ‘Amazon test’ when conducted with the
    bookseller’s Chinese site yields 90 current book titles including the phrases sichou zhi lu or silu .14
    But Chinese sources often use ‘Silk Road’ somewhat differently than do Western materials. Outside
    Xi’an (the old Tang capital of Chang’an, often called the eastern Silk Road terminus) stands the
    Famen temple, whose ancient pagoda has been maintained, despite collapses, over the centuries. A
    piece of the Buddha’s finger-bone once housed here was the subject of a xenophobic, anti-Buddhist
    polemic by the Confucian scholar Han Yu, a rather dyspeptic piece that has been enshrined in the
    canon of Chinese literature. A hidden vault under the stupa recently yielded a trove of artefacts
    demonstrating early Chinese links with Indian Tantric Buddhism, including two pieces of finger-bone,
    one purported to be the very bone that so exercised Han Yu. The Famensi pagoda itself is today
    again a religious pilgrimage site, but the artefacts and nearby structures has been museumized.
    What is interesting about the exhibits is the secular ideological uses to which they put the site and its
    Silk Road ties. When I visited in 2004, a large billboard over the parking lot showed General
    Secretary Jiang Zemin posing with some of the precious artefacts from the vault (but not, sadly, with
    the Buddha’s finger). Text plaques in the exhibit included the following:
    The ancient China in Tang’s period has strong national power, stable society, prosperous economy,
    and advanced culture. Her dignified and
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    vigorous royal manners, and all embracing opening attitude gained the respect from all over the
    world. China becomes the prosperous paradise enjoying popular confidence. The treasures unearthed
    from the underground palace of Famen temple reflect the magnificent scene of ‘the whole world are
    longing to go to Tang’, and reproduce the Tang’s elegance as a proudest country in the world. The
    all-embracing opening spirit of Tang creates the matchless vigorous Tang Dynasty. The completeness
    and perfection of Tang’s civilization just consist in extensively assimilating the advanced culture from
    all over the world. Chinese nation processes the spirit of perseverance and creativity since the ancient
    times. After assimilating the outside civilization, this national spirit burst out the much stronger force ,
    which is the profound inspiration and spiritual encouragement presented by the ‘elegance of grand
    Tang’ and ‘oriental light’ to our common people.15
    (Verbatim English text; emphasis added)
    In other words, for the curators, this Silk Road site demonstrates, first, the openness of China in the
    Tang as now in the post-Deng era (but unlike during certain other periods of Chinese history); and
    second, that people from the across the world, like today’s Silk Road tourists, were drawn inexorably
    to this elegant, confident, prosperous, matchless, dynamic, vigorous – the adjectives go on and on –
    advanced, magnificent world power. All it lacks is a reference to the 2008 Olympics.
    When expressed this way, the Silk Road metaphor well serves the ideological purposes of today’s
    Chinese state. By emphasizing silk, Buddhism and the high imperial periods of the Han and Tang
    Dynasties (the last time China had a presence in Xinjiang until the eighteenth century), China
    represents Xinjiang and the Silk Road as a stage on which China plays the leading historical role. Just
    as early Euro-American scholarship on south-west Asia and India once focused on traces of lost
    classical civilizations and ignored or denigrated the more recent Islamic past, the historical packaging
    of Xinjiang has de-emphasized the more recent, Islamic millennium in favour of Buddhist and pre-
    Buddhist antiquity and Han and Tang-period areas. This is particularly noticeable at tourist sites. For
    example, in Xinjiang’s westernmost, still predominantly Uyghur and Muslim city of Kashgar,
    developers recently built a faux ancient city-site commemorating the Han Dynasty general Ban Chao,
    complete with a mini-Great Wall (anachronistically in the Ming dynasty style), a ‘spirit road’ flanked
    with life-size figures of soldiers and ministers, and of course a statue of the conquering general
    himself. Ban Chao originally consolidated his control over Kashgar in the year AD 87 by calling a
    banquet to celebrate a truce with the towns’ local defenders, getting them drunk, and slaughtering
    them. It is hard to say whether planners or city officials considered the sensitivity of erecting a
    monument to him. In any case, Pantuo City, as the park is called, has now become a new station on
    the Silk Road, at least for some tourists.
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    Even where the monuments are undeniably Islamic, the stress in tourist materials and guided
    presentations often falls on those aspects linking the site to places further east in China. For
    example, the Amin Khoja or Sulayman mosque (Su Gong Ta) in Turfan once stood by itself amid
    fields and grape-drying arbours. Recently, however, developers have erected a modern statue of the
    Amin Khoja, a Turki noble who collaborated in the Qing conquest of Xinjiang. He is posed in the act
    of receiving an edict from the Qianlong emperor, his eyes cast reverently upwards, as if the emperor
    were floating in the sky over the vast new parking lot. At the Afaq Khoja Mazar in Kashgar, much is
    made of the so-called ‘fragrant concubine’ (Xiang Fei), a woman from Afaq Khoja’s family who was
    married to the same Qianlong emperor after the Qing conquest. She is not in fact buried at the site.
    It is Afaq Khoja and his male descendents, a powerful Sufi order who once controlled western
    Xinjiang, for whom the mazar was originally erected and maintained. Still, at a concession just
    outside the shrine doors one may be photographed (for a fee) with girls playing Xiang Fei in either
    Uyghur dress or in martial get-up with helmet and sword.
    The Silk Road idea also resonated positively with developments in the post-Deng, post-Soviet era of
    openness and economic reforms, and especially the region’s renewed communications with Central
    Asia and increased autonomy from Beijing in dealing with foreign tourists, governments, NGOs, trade
    partners and investors. The general preface to a series of academic ‘Silk Road Researches’ published
    in 1993 by Xinjiang Renmin press made the relevant connection:
    …Some authors [in the series] have attempted to combine their [Silk Road] studies with the reform
    and the open door policy of China in hope that the past can serve the present and show what we can
    learn from our ancestors…. There is no demand that the views of the authors should be in
    conformity with that of the editors. Instead, we appreciate the contention of different schools and
    ideas in the studies, for we believe that it is the only way to promote the Silk Road studies…. It is
    not a coincidence that the [UNESCO-affiliated] Centre for Silk Road Studies, Urumchi, has been
    founded in Xinjiang: the most important section of the Silk Road. All this proves that a new age to
    rediscover and revitalize the great Silk Road has come to us [emphasis added].16
    The editors wished to say, in other words, that China now officially embraces the openness and
    connectivity implied by the Silk Road idea. These characteristics are, after all, healthy for China’s
    growing foreign trade. But at the same time, China claims a controlling stake in the Silk Road, the
    ‘most important section’ of which is precisely Xinjiang. Thus what in the West are celebrated as Silk
    Road exchanges and interconnectivity are, in China, portrayed rather as evidence that the world is
    beating a path to China’s (once again) open door. Rather than as a transnational
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    bridge between civilizations, the Silk Road here is nationalized as China’s doorstep.
    Yet despite such Silk Road boosterism, Chinese authorities today are not terribly interested in cultural
    exchanges or linkages other than touristic or commercial ones over the revitalized Silk Road. In fact,
    one of the top priorities of Xinjiang’s security apparatus today lies precisely in preventing the import
    of religious and political influences, people, news and certain trade items (drugs and arms,
    understandably enough, but also videotapes and books). Likewise, official China remains ambivalent
    or even suspicious about Xinjiang’s historical westward links. The official approach to traditional
    Uyghur music demonstrates this ambivalence.
    Uyghur music and the distortions of Chinese silk roadism
    Uyghur music became the object of a state music project even before the rise of the PRC. The
    Uyghur art music form, muqam , is a series of suites or song cycles considered by many Uyghurs to
    be the acme of Uyghur cultural achievement. Until the mid-twentieth century, the muqam in Xinjiang
    consisted of a flexible tradition with many individual and regional styles (such as those of Kashgar,
    Ili, Dolan and Qumul) passed on from masters to disciples. During their apprenticeship, disciples
    might play percussion on the dap frame-drum while the master sang and played the dutar (a two-
    string long-necked lute), rewab (a mandolin-like lute with doubled strings and a round, skin-covered
    body) or tambur (another long-necked lute, with a doubled melody string).17 In this way, the pupil
    could internalize the complex rhythms, poetic lyrics, melodies and rules of ornamentation before
    performing muqam on a melodic instrument themselves. For the most part, it appears, Uyghur
    musicians traditionally did not perform whole cycles, but rather isolated pieces or sections of muqam .
    Both Ahmetjan Qasimi (leader of the Eastern Turkestan Republic in northern Xinjiang in the 1940s)
    and Seypidin Äziz (Saifuding; former member of the ETR government who served later under the
    PRC both as regional vice chairman and chairman of the Xinjiang Nationalities Committee) sought to
    promote the muqam , and particularly the twelve muqams ( on ikki muqam ) tradition of Kashgar, as
    the prestige music of the Uyghur people.18 In the 1950s, an orchestra director from Nanjing,
    together with scholars in the Muqam Research Group, were charged with collecting and organizing
    the suites, which in fact existed as an unsystematic living tradition with more than twelve suite
    names overall, and with no one performer’s or regional tradition’s repertoire including twelve
    complete suites. The collection and editing project thus focused on ‘reconstructing’ an idealized
    former system of twelve and only twelve complete muqam suites, each consisting of about thirty
    songs and instrumentals. In the event, it was the tradition as known and performed by one master,
    Turdi Akhun, that became the basis of the canon of the twelve muqams that was recorded,
    reordered, transcribed and
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    published in 1960.19 This and subsequent editions (also based solely on the repertoire of Turdi
    Akhun) have become the foundation of most pedagogy and professional performance of the muqams
    in Xinjiang, while other variant traditions from Tarim Basin cities are dismissively treated as ‘local’ or
    ‘individual’. There remains little if any room for improvisation in muqam performance, as many of the
    movements are now played by orchestras rather than small groups of a singer and one to four
    instrumentalists. Thus preserved, systematized and frozen, the Uyghur muqams are lauded as a
    ‘treasure trove’, ‘encyclopaedia’, and ‘perfected’ tradition raised from a ‘germ’ over ‘two thousand
    years’ by the Uyghurs as an ‘expression of their social and productive struggles’.20 The corpus of
    ‘folk classical’ music ( khelq klassik musikisi) has thus been apotheosized as the unique, ancient and
    autochthonous tradition of Uyghur music, now reconstructed nearly in its entirety and enshrined as
    one of the national musical forms of new China.
    Despite the success of this programme of ethnic cultural codification and representation, the Uyghur
    muqam still presents certain problems for PRC nationalist ideology, problems that arise from its Silk
    Road history. Muqam (variously spelled maqâm, mugham, mukâm and so forth) as both suite form
    and music theory belongs to an Arabo-Irano-Turkic tradition that spans Central Asia, the Caucasus,
    Afghanistan, Iran and the Arab countries.21 Of the twelve names applied to the twelve standardized
    suites in Xinjiang today (Rak, Chebbiyat, Mushavrek, Chargah, Penjigah, Özhal, Ejem, Ushshaq,
    Bayat, Nava, Sigah and Iraq), all but two are used elsewhere in the Islamic world, and derive from
    Arabic and Persian, not Turkic language roots. Of the two used uniquely in Uyghur muqam , ‘Rak’
    may in fact be a derivation of an Arabic word, or even of the Indic raga , and Chebbiyat is a
    Turkicized variation on another common Arab maqâm suite name, Bayat. Even the notion of
    specifically twelve muqam (the number twelve having zodiacal significance) appears earliest in the
    thirteenth century Arabic writings of Safi al-Din.22 In Arab and Persian, maqâm refers to the musical
    modes of each suite, in which the pieces of a given suite are composed. The Arab maqâm maintains
    the modes consistently; in Central Asia and Xinjiang in particular, the modes of pieces within the
    suites vary: they may begin and end in a particular mode, but middle pieces adhere only
    inconsistently.23 (A mode is a particular order in which notes of a scale are be played. The muqams
    also use a wider variety of scales than the major, minor and harmonic minor scales most common in
    pre-twentieth-century Western art music.)
    It in no way diminishes the beauty or sophistication of the Uyghur twelve muqam to recognize that it
    is part of a quintessential Silk Road musical form: variations on a theme stretching from the Tarim
    Basin to the Black Sea. The muqam scales, modes, rhythms, lyrics, instruments and terminology tie
    the Uyghurs to a system shared across the Islamic heartlands of Eurasia. They do not, however,
    point to any obvious connections with Chinese musical tradition. Moreover, the fact that the Arab
    versions maintain consistent modality, while the Uyghur and other Central Asian ones do so only
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    partially or nominally, would seem to indicate an Arab centre for the tradition. ( Maqâm literally
    means ‘place or rank’ in Arabic, and is one of the standard terms used for mode in Arabo-Irano
    music theory.)
    Both Uyghur and Han politicians in China have worked to obviate these inconvenient implications. For
    example, in prefaces and keynote speeches delivered over decades on the subject of Uyghur muqam ,
    Seypidin argued that muqam is originally a Uyghur word, corrupted by Persian and Arabic influences;
    he urged the cultivation of a ‘Uighur Mukamology’ that Uyghurizes relevant vocabulary.
    This Chahetai language [Chaghatay is a literary written Turkic, with many Persian loan-words, that
    flourished from the fifteenth through nineteenth century in Central Asia – JM] found its way into the
    terminology and poetry of the mukam, by way of the verses of the Maola [mullah] poets, during the
    Middle Ages. The result was that the Uighurs, creators of the mukam, could hardly understand the
    lyrics themselves. It is time that this mixed language of the mukam be cleansed of its impurities.24
    Chinese musicologists have joined the effort to de-emphasize the obvious transnational nature of
    muqam and its association with Islam, while playing up evidence of local origin and development and
    connections to Chinese music. One approach has been to argue that the muqam began with the pre-
    Islamic Uyghurs. In his historical study of the on ikki muqam , Abdushukur Muhemmet Imin suggests
    that the word ‘muqam’ itself is originally Turkic and dates from the fourth century, well before it is
    attested in Arabic and before the Islamicization of Central Asia. It was during the Karakhanid period
    in the eleventh century, Imin argues, that the muqam spread westward.25 Zhou Jingbao sounds
    both Turkic and Chinese nationalistic notes, making a case for the influence of ‘Chinese’ instruments
    and music – i.e. those of the Turks and of Qiuci (Kucha) – on Abassid period Baghdad from the mid-
    eighth century. He points to five-string lutes in frescoes at Kizil (near Kucha in Xinjiang) as evidence
    that the oud , the central instrument in Arab maqâm, was a Kuchean export.26 Moreover, he argues
    that al-Farabi (870–950), an author of musical treatises as well as a famous commentary on
    Aristotle, was a Turk; likewise, Zhou suggests, Ibn Sina (Avicenna, 980–1037),27 should be seen as
    ‘eastern’ in his thinking and as a beneficiary of Turkic and Chinese influence in his musical theory
    because he was educated in Bukhara. Zhou’s logic is worth quoting:
    In conclusion, the foundation of Ibn Sina’s thinking derives from al Farabi, and Farabi was a Turk.
    Thus, there is no doubt that Ibn Sina’s theory enjoys Turkic influence…. Bukhara [where Ibn Sina
    lived as a youth] fell under the control of the Anxi Commandery ( duhufu) and historical records
    illuminate the influence of Chinese culture on Bukhara.
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    Because before he was 18 years old Ibn Sina lived in the Bukhara area, he unavoidably received the
    influence of Chinese civilization.28
    Never mind the fact that the primary vehicle of the Tang dynasty’s influence in Bukhara was its
    largely Turkic army, or that this army was present in Transoxiana for only a few years, 230 years
    before Ibn Sina’s birth! (Ibn Sina’s autobiography gives no suggestion of Chinese influence.)29
    Other arguments by PRC authors have likewise highlighted local roots and Chinese connections of the
    Uyghur muqam . Some scholars have noted structural and rhythmical similarities of the Tang period
    suites known as daqu with certain subsections of the muqam , and posited a common origin in the
    music of Kucha. Yin Falu goes further still, claiming that the suite form itself was originally introduced
    into the Tarim Basin by the Chinese during the Han dynasty, to be thenceforth adopted by the
    people of Kucha, Kashgar, Turfan and so on as the basis of their own popular music.30
    Mukamology (to use Seypidin’s word) in China, then, has celebrated the Uyghur muqam as a unique
    cultural achievement of the Uyghur people, realized through a process of mutual interchange with
    the fraternal Han people. Links to the musical traditions of Central Asia, Iran and Arab lands which
    share the name muqam were, according to this argument, merely one-way; they allegedly arose
    from the westward spread of Turkic and Uyghur musical culture and contributed significantly to the
    development of Arab music, providing, besides the muqam , certain scales and even the five-string
    lute or oud . On the other hand, according to this preferred Chinese view, the Arab and Persian
    literary and terminological influences that flowed back east with Islam represent not Silk Road
    cultural interaction, but an unfortunate corruption of the original purity of the Uyghur muqam .
    As the Uyghur muqam begins to receive well-deserved international recognition, it is the limited,
    one-way Silk Road along which it is officially situated. The 2005 UNESCO proclamation of Uyghur
    muqam as one of the ‘Masterpieces of the Oral and Intangible Heritage of Humanity’ makes no
    reference to the mukâm, maqâm or mugham of other societies in this trans-Eurasian tradition.
    Rather, muqam is referred to only as Uyghur and Chinese. Moreover, while never mentioning that
    the muqam form is found from Hami to the Hellespont, the UNESCO website takes pains to assert
    that
    The music of Uyghur Muqam is characterized by variations and continuity of musical patterns,
    indicating close affinity with the musical culture of China’s central plains [my emphasis].31
    UNESCO here lends a hand in the internationalization of the official PRC narrative of Xinjiang history.
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    Chinese historical anxieties over Xinjiang
    Are the historiographical nuances I have been discussing here at all relevant to contemporary affairs?
    Does it matter that, in China, Xinjiang is not categorized as part of Central Asia, or that Chinese
    writers conceive of the Silk Road differently than is fashionable elsewhere? The Silk Road is, after all,
    merely a metaphor. Does it even really matter that the Chinese State Council would disseminate an
    English-language document claiming, contrary to the Chinese dynastic histories, that ‘after the
    establishment of a frontier command headquarters ( duhufu) in the Western Region by the Han
    Dynasty in 60 BC, Xinjiang became a part of Chinese territory. From that time on, the central
    government has never ceased jurisdiction over Xinjiang’?32 After all, Xinjiang is what it is, a part of
    China bordering on several South and Central Asian countries as well as Russia, with an economy
    expanding in pace with other rapidly developing regions of China. Half of its 20 million registered
    residents – and even more if its unregistered population is included in the measure – is Han.
    As a historian, of course, I am bound to argue that history – and how it is written – is relevant. It
    matters not only because truth matters, but also because the efforts to ‘rectify names’ and
    internationalize a peculiar narrative of Xinjiang history reveal a profound anxiety on the part of the
    Xinjiang regional and Chinese national leadership, a defensiveness that actually shapes aspects of
    foreign as well as domestic policy. The Chinese government’s efforts in the months following the
    9/11 attacks on the United States to frame Uyghur separatism as part of the Global War on Terror
    were widely seen internationally as a cynical effort to provide cover for an intensified crackdown on
    Uyghurs in Xinjiang. Similarly, its assertions about the threat of Uyghur terrorist groups lack
    credibility, in part because many of its claims about Xinjiang’s ancient and recent history are so
    obviously false. China was internationally embarrassed when Premier Wen Jiabao signed a decree in
    December 2006 that, in fulfilment of a pledge to the International Olympic Committee, China would
    allow foreign journalists freedom to travel throughout the country and report without interference
    between 1 January 2007 and 17 October 2008, to correspond with the Olympics – and then
    specifically excluded Xinjiang and Tibet from this relaxation of restrictions.33
    From the best we can tell, moreover, this sense of insecurity does not arise from serious threats on
    the ground in Xinjiang or anywhere on its borders, official Chinese claims of the existence of a well-
    organized, al-Qaeda-linked Uyghur terrorist network notwithstanding.34 The threat of a Kosovo-style
    intervention in Xinjiang is not plausible, especially now that the US has been driven from its bases in
    Central Asia. Following the 1991 collapse of the Soviet Union, observers predicted that the influence
    of Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Iran, India or the United States would increase in Central Asia. Yet though
    unanticipated, China has been by far the clearest and greatest ‘winner’ in this new Great Game. Far
    from being destabilized by events west of the Pamirs in
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    the 1990s and 2000s, Xinjiang has arguably emerged as one of the most stable places in China,
    given that it seems to have experienced few of the tens of thousands of peasant and worker
    disturbances that now break out in eastern and central provinces annually.35
    Rather, the Chinese defensiveness about Xinjiang and its accompanying efforts to police terminology
    and historiography arises from its own concerns over historical legitimacy. Chinese propaganda has
    barricaded itself behind a nearly indefensible line, claiming that Xinjiang has been part of China for
    2,000 years without interruption; that the borders of China under the Qing empire, and all the
    peoples within them, have comprised ‘China’ since antiquity;36 that the muqams are Chinese in
    origin; and so on. This is a difficult line to maintain in light of more objective historiography
    highlighting the nearly constant flow of peoples and cultural material into and out of Xinjiang, from
    many directions, including but not restricted to regions under the control of Chinese states;
    historiography which, for that matter, also clearly demonstrates the eighteenth-century origins of the
    current Chinese control in Xinjiang.
    This historical anxiety betrays a fetish for historical depth that is, if not uniquely Chinese, at least
    characteristically so. Most states facing separatist or ethnic dissent would be pleased to be able to
    demonstrate 250 years of occupancy in a problem region, even with interruptions, especially if they
    also enjoyed universal international acceptance of their sovereignty there. But China’s own modern
    history, and the emphasis in its national myths on victimization by foreign imperialists in the
    nineteenth century, rather than on Qing creation of empire in the seventeenth and eighteenth, back
    Chinese ideologues and historians into a corner. Xinjiang, Tibet and Taiwan are obvious prizes of
    Manchu expansion that they feel cannot be acknowledged as such.
    There is a great irony here. If we do take the very long view, it is clear that the PRC is now more
    secure in Xinjiang than any state based in the north China plains has ever been before it. The
    stability and extensiveness of its administration far surpasses that of the Qing, the first state based
    on the north China plains to directly govern both the Tarim Basin and Zungharia. Thanks to its
    economic clout and the creation of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, China now enjoys
    influence across the Pamirs that not even the ‘grand Tang’ could boast. With the SCO, moreover,
    China has succeeded in strongly counterbalancing US influence in Central Asia, resolving border
    territorial disputes in its favour and undermining potential resistance from cross-border Uyghur
    enclaves. China now enlists the security agencies of Central Asian states to police Uyghur
    communities and extradite suspects. There remain environmental threats to development, especially
    water shortage. But in its economic, political and diplomatic importance, Xinjiang now more
    resembles that ‘most important link’ on the idealized, China-centred Silk Road than ever in the past.
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    Notes
    1 The IREECAS English-language website is: Online. Available HTTP: <http://
    euroasia.cass.cn/English/About.html> (accessed 29 October 2008).
    2 Ma Dazheng et al. (eds) Xiyu kaocha yu yanjiu (Explorations and studies on Central Asia), Urumqi:
    Xinijiang renmin, 1994. The commemorative T-shirt from the conference likewise glosses ‘Central
    Asia’ as ‘ Xiyu’.
    3 Analects 13:3. From James Legge, trans., The Chinese Classics, Volume I: Confucian Analects,
    Safety Harbor, Florida: Simon Publications, 2001; first published Hong Kong 1861. Downloaded text
    from Project Gutenberg. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.gutenberg.org/etext/4094> (accessed
    29 October 2008).
    4 Fu-heng et al., comp., (Qinding) Xiyu tongwen zhi (Imperially commissioned unified-language
    gazetteer of the Western Regions), Beijing [?]: 1763; Siku quanshu edition, 1782; repr. Minzu guji
    congshu, 2 vols., Wu Fengpei (ed.) Beijing: Zhongyang minzu xueyuan chubanshe, 1984.
    5 Dihua was in Qing times originally the name of a fort in Urumqi; in the Republican period
    authorities applied it to the city as a whole.
    6 James A. Millward, ‘Coming onto the map: “Western regions” geography and cartographic
    nomenclature in the making of Chinese Empire in Xinjiang’, Late Imperial China, 1999, December,
    vol. 20, no. 2, 61–98.
    7 See Gardner Bovingdon, Strangers in their Own Land , book manuscript, ch. 3, for a history and
    incisive analysis of the workings of the local autonomy system in Xinjiang.
    8 Zhongguo bianjiang shidi yanjiu zhongxin. Li Sheng and Ma Dazheng are old acquaintances and
    colleagues of mine; I am pleased to have dined with them on shua yangrou in Beijing and blue crabs
    in Washington, not to mention boiled mutton in the middle of the Taklamakan.
    9 Li Sheng (ed.) Qin Min, trans., Xinjiang of China: Its Past and Present, Urumqi: Xinjiang People’s
    Publishing, 2005.
    10 Information Office of the PRC State Council, ‘East Turkistan terrorist forces cannot get away with
    impunity’, released 21 January 2002. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/200201/21/eng20020121_89078.shtml> (accessed 28 October
    2008), and the websites of PRC embassies in certain countries; Information Office of the State
    Council of the People’s Republic of China, ‘History and development of Xinjiang’, Beijing: New Star
    Publishers, 2003, also available at PRC embassy websites as a white paper; Ji Dachun (ed.) Xinjiang
    lishi baiwen (100 questions on Xinjiang history), Urumqi: Xinjiang meishu xieying chubanshe, 1997;
    Wang Shuanqian (ed.) Huihuang Xinjiang (Splendid Xinjiang), Urumqi: Xinjiang renmin chubanshe,
    2003.
    11 Pan Zhiping, ‘Wo du Meiguo de “Xinjiang gongcheng”’ (My reading of the American ‘Xinjiang
    Project’) in Fuleidelike Sitaer (ed.) Xinjiang: Zhongguo musilin juju de bianchui, Frederick S. Starr
    (ed.) Xinjiang: China’s Muslim Borderland, translated from English by Shi Lan (n.p.: preface dated
    2004), p. 4.
    12 I borrow the phrase from the title of Rory Stewart’s recent travelogue, where he follows the route
    Babur once marched through Afghanistan. Rory Stewart, The Places in Between, New York: Harcourt,
    2004. Babur’s mother was an Islamicized Mongol from what is now Xinjiang – which, some would
    say, makes the founder of India’s Mughal dynasty a Chinese.
    13 E.H. Schafer, The Golden Peaches of Samarkand: A Study of T’ang Exotics , Berkeley: University of
    California Press, 1963; Joseph Needham, Science and Civilization in China , Cambridge: Cambridge
    University Press, 1954–85; Liu Xinru, Ancient India and Ancient China: Trade and Religious
    Exchanges, AD 1–600, Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1988; Liu Xinru, Silk and Religion: An
    Exploration of Material Life and the Thought of People, AD 600–1200, Delhi: Oxford University Press,
    1996.
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    14 Conducted 2 October 2007.
    15 ‘Concluding remarks’ plaque, from Famensi Museum complex, Shaanxi province. The
    accompanying Chinese text conveys the same meaning.
    16 Zhou Jingbao, ‘The general preface to the series of Silk Road studies’ (in English), in Wang
    Binghua (ed.) Sichou zhi lu kaogu yanjiu (Archaeological Research on the Silk Road), Sichou zhi lu
    yanjiu congshu series no. 1, Urumqi: Xinjiang renmin, 1993, pp. 12–14.
    17 Wan Tongshu, Weiwuerzu yueqi (Uyghur instruments), Urumqi: Xinjiang renmin chubanshe, 1986,
    has photos and descriptions of these and other Uyghur instruments.
    18 Nathan Light, ‘Slippery paths: the performance and canonization of Turkic literature and Uyghur
    Muqam song in Islam and modernity’, PhD dissertation, Indiana University, 1998, Ch. 1, ‘Turkic
    history and the Uyghur Muqams’, pp. 29–30. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://homepages.utoledo.edu/nlight/frntmtr1.htm> (accessed 29 October 2008).
    19 Wan Tongshu, On ikki muqam / shier mukamu (The Twelve Muqam). Bilingual Chinese–Uyghur
    edition, 2 vols. Beijing: Yinyue chubanshe and minzu chubanshe, 1959.
    20 Sai-fu-ding (Seypidin Äziz), Lun Weiwuer Mukam (On the Uighur Mukam). In Chinese and English,
    Beijing: Waiyu jiaoxue yu yanjiu chubanshe, 1994, pp. 45–6, 49, 51.
    21 J.-Cl. Ch. Chabrier, ‘Makâm’, in H.R. Gibb (ed.) Encyclopaedia of Islam, 2nd edn, Leiden: Brill,
    1960.
    22 Light, ‘Slippery paths’, Ch. 1, pp. 30–31.
    23 Light, ‘Slippery paths’, Ch. 1, p. 28, p. 28 n. 19.
    24 Seypidin Äziz, ‘On the Uighur Mukam’ (a speech delivered at the Xinjiang Forum on Literature and
    Art, 1991), in Saifuding, Lun Weiwuer mukamu , Beijing: Waiyu jiaoxue yu yanjiu chubanshe, 1994, p.
    72.
    25 Abdushukur Muhemmet Imin, Uyghur khelq kilassik muzikisi ‘On ikki muqam’ heqqide, Beijing,
    1981; Sabine Trebinjac, Le pouvoir en chantant, Tome (vol.) I., ‘L’art de fabriquer une musique
    chinoise’, Nanterre: Société d’ethnologie, 2000, p. 228; Light, ‘Slippery paths’, pp. 58–9.
    26 Zhou Jingbao, Sichou zhilu de yinyue wenhua (Musical culture of the Silk Road), Urumqi: Xinjiang
    renmin chubanshe, 1987, pp. 217–18, 224–7. A five-string lute is depicted in the cave frescoes at
    Kizil (also spelled Qizil; near Kucha) and listed in Tang sources as one of the Kuchean (Qiuci)
    instruments. However, such lutes with vaulted backs are common across Eurasia, and there are
    similar instruments depicted in Mediterranean sites dating from the second century BC. On the pipa’s
    import into China, see Shigeo Kishibe, ‘The origins of the Pipa’, Transactions of the Asiatic Society of
    Japan (Memoirs of the Toyo Bunko), 2nd series, 1940, vol. 19, 259–304.
    27 Avicenna’s Canon became the foundational work of Renaissance medicine in Europe.
    28 Zhou Jingbao, Sichou zhilu de yinyue wenhua , p. 227.
    29 W.E. Gohlman (ed.) trans., The Life of Ibn Sina, Albany: State University of New York Press,
    1974.
    30 Yin Falu, ‘Woguo lishi shang de minzu qianxi yu wudao wenhua jiaoliu’ (ethnic migrations and
    exchange of dance culture in the history of my country), Wudao luncong 3, pp. 48–57, cited in
    Trebinjac, Le pouvoir en chantant, pp. 222–3.
    31 UNESCO (United Nations Educational Scientific and Cultural Organization), ‘Third proclamation of
    masterpieces of the oral and intangible heritage of humanity’ 2005. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.unesco.org/culture/intangible-heritage/10apa_uk.htm> (accessed 29 October 2008).
    32 Information Office of the PRC State Council, ‘East Turkistan terrorist forces
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    cannot get away with impunity’. The more widely available white paper ‘History and development of
    Xinjiang’ makes a similar false claim: ‘Since the Western Regions Frontier Command was established
    in 60 BC, the inflow of the Han people to Xinjiang, including officials, soldiers and merchants, had
    never stopped.’ Information Office of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China, ‘History and
    development of Xinjiang’, p. 2.
    33 Edward Cody, ‘China to allow more freedom for journalists from abroad’, The Washington Post, 2
    December 2006, A08.
    34 I am among those observers of the situation in Xinjiang who believe that claims regarding the
    threat of violent resistance or terrorist attacks in Xinjiang to date have been exaggerated. See James
    Millward, ‘Violent separatism in Xinjiang: a critical assessment’, Policy Studies 6, Washington, DC:
    East-West Center, 2004.
    35 One recent exception was a fight in late September 2007 between thousands of cotton farmers in
    Kuitun and police and paramilitary guards. The police had been searching farmhouses for caches of
    cotton that farmers were hoping to sell at open market rates, rather than at the artificially low fixed
    prices paid by the Xinjiang Production Construction Corps. The issue that sparked the incident had
    nothing to do with ethnicity, and resembles similar conflicts that have broken out frequently
    elsewhere in China over economic issues and abuses by local authorities. ‘Chinese cotton farmers
    clash with police, 40 injured’, Associated Press , 5 October 2007.
    36 The PRC State Council White Paper, ‘History and development of Xinjiang’ makes a point of
    Xinjiang’s multi-ethnic character since ancient times. However, the ‘many tribes and ethnic groups’ it
    mentions only migrate ‘across the land of China’, for which purpose it includes Mongolia and Tibet,
    although these areas were administered by a state based in China only during the Qing period. The
    document (p. 2) refers to the ‘Sai (Sak)’, for example, as ‘a nomadic tribe [that used] to roam about
    the area from the Ili and Chuhe river basins in the east to the Sir (Syrdarya River westward)’. In fact,
    the Sai or Saka were Indo-European speakers, part of a cultural and linguistic continuum of Iron Age
    nomadic and settled peoples that stretched across Central Eurasia and included the Scythians whom
    Herodotus describes at length. (Iranian ‘Saka’ and Greek ‘Scythian’ are cognate words.) Northern
    Xinjiang or Mongolia was probably the easternmost extent of their range. This white paper (pp. 3–5)
    also labels all China’s traditional adversaries, the nomads inhabiting territory that now lies in the
    Republic of Mongolia, as Chinese. For example, ‘The Turks were ancient nomads active on the
    northwestern and northern grasslands of China from the sixth to the eighth centuries’ (p. 4; my
    emphasis). It is worth noting that not only were these grasslands not part of the Tang empire, but
    they are not part of the PRC now! Of Chinese dynasties, only the Qing was able to incorporate and
    control Mongolia (as opposed to sporadically manipulating nomad elites through bribes and
    diplomacy) from north China.
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    4
    ‘Failed States’ on the ‘Perilous Frontier’
    Historical bases of state formation in Afghanistan and Central Asia
    Geoff Watson
    Massey University
    Thomas Barfield chose The Perilous Frontier as the title for his book on relations between the
    nomadic and sedentary worlds. Although written with reference to relations between nomadic
    societies and China between 221 BC and 1757 it will be argued that his work resonates in present
    attempts to create a new polity in Afghanistan.1 Although the present situation in Afghanistan is
    popularly presented as a clash between al-Qaeda and a resurgent Taliban on the one hand, and a
    fledgling Afghan government supported, to varying degrees, by the International Security Assistance
    Force (ISAF), the United States and Afghan warlords on the other hand, this chapter argues that the
    present conflict can more accurately be viewed through the lens of the longer-term dynamics of
    state-formation in Central Asia. The first section analyses the external dynamics of state formation in
    Afghanistan and Central Asia, focusing on the historic usage of security concerns and perceptions of
    ‘oriental despotism’ as pretexts for external intervention in Central Asia. It then analyses internal
    dynamics of state formation, arguing that the external pretexts for intervention can be attributed to
    the historical tensions between nomadic and sedentary societies. It is further argued here that there
    are historical continuities between present rhetoric, which presents Afghanistan as a base of fanatical
    Islam and lawless tribalism, and the dominant discourse of the so-called ‘Great Game’ era between
    1830 and 1914. In both instances, such rhetoric reveals more about mainstream Western thinking
    than the regions they are applied to.
    What purposes does this labelling serve? Historically, there have been three, sometimes interrelated,
    pretexts for outsiders seeking to influence state formation in Central Asia: a desire to annex its
    territories as part of a wider empire; to address a perceived threat from within the borders of its
    territories; and a perceived moral imperative to counter ‘oriental despotism’. The first of these
    pretexts, a desire to incorporate Afghanistan within a formal empire, is not evident in the present
    conflict although it has been argued that Hamid Karzai’s regime has been effectively rendered a
    ‘client state’,
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    dependent upon Western patronage.2 Nevertheless, there is no evidence that the political will exists
    to undertake a permanent occupation of all or part of Afghanistan, something which was advocated
    by advocates of the ‘Forward Policy’ such as Henry Rawlinson and Demetrius Boulger during the
    nineteenth century.3 Attributing the present situation in Afghanistan to lawless tribalism and religious
    fanaticism does, however, serve the second and third pretexts mentioned above. Concomitantly, the
    topographical challenges of Afghanistan and Pakistan, combined with the perceived complicity of its
    rulers and peoples in Oriental despotism, have served as exculpatory factors when the aims of past
    and present objectives, such as the failure to unseat Dost Mohammad in the nineteenth century and
    the continuing failure to arrest Osama bin Laden and prevent traffic of insurgents between Pakistan
    and Afghanistan, have not been realized.
    One of the historic bases of the present situation in Central Asia is a western tendency of caricaturing
    its peoples and environment. One important rhetorical figure in this regard is the phrase ‘The Great
    Game’ or ‘the New Great Game’, which is commonly applied to the region.4 A recent evocation of
    this term came from Richard Dannatt, head of the British Army, who suggested the Army was ‘on the
    edge of a new and deadly “great game” in Afghanistan’.5 In many ways it is a revealing term which
    is important to unpack. It might be argued that the ‘Great Game’ is a useful conceptual tool through
    which to view the present situation in Afghanistan because it acknowledges the contest for political
    influence in Afghanistan and Central Asia which undoubtedly exists. Although acknowledging parallels
    between the present situation in Afghanistan and nineteenth-century geopolitics, the present writer is
    wary of pronouncing the present situation as part of a ‘New Great Game’ in which the objective is to
    gain political and military influence in Central Asia (in particular its oil resources).
    There are three main reasons for this. First, the oil resources of the area are small on a world scale.
    Kirill Nourzhanov has recently noted that present reserves for the Caspian Sea region are estimated
    at 17 billion barrels, far fewer than the 1990s projections of 200 billion barrels. Moreover, at present,
    the Caspian basin produces less than two per cent of the World’s total output of oil.6 Second, the so-
    called ‘Great Game’ of the nineteenth century was as much a contest for knowledge about Central
    Asia and eclipsing the remnants of nomadic power as it was a contest for political and military
    supremacy.7 Alarmed at the prospect of Tsarist Russia expanding its territories, the Government of
    India embarked on a quest for information on Central Asia, which became the focus of sustained
    exploration between the 1860s and the 1880s, culminating in the Anglo-Russian boundary
    commission of the 1880s which achieved its avowed aims of ‘knowing’ the region and delimiting
    mutually satisfactory frontiers.8 In contrast to the nineteenth century, twenty-first-century attempts
    at state formation in Afghanistan and Central Asia have been conducted with a full knowledge of the
    geography of the country and a working knowledge of its political, religious and tribal dimensions
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    obtained as a result of European exploration during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, the
    incorporation of the majority of Central Asia into the Russian and Chinese polities of the twentieth
    century and the extensive Western knowledge of Afghanistan obtained as a result of assistance given
    to the Mujahideen during the Russian invasion of Afghanistan between 1979 and 1988.
    The third, and perhaps most significant, problem with the term ‘Great Game’ is that it positions
    Central Asia as a passive playground upon which the whims of key international actors are played
    out. It appropriates the language of sport, which in popular culture is embedded with notions of
    heroism and myth creation, and thereby minimizes the significant human costs of past and present
    interventions in Central Asia. Just as many nineteenth-century accounts of spying and diplomatic
    intrigue in Central Asia (and much of the twentieth-century analysis of these actions) presented
    Central Asia as a stage on which daring feats occurred (and marginalized the killing of many of its
    peoples during Russian expansion), so too do many present accounts depict present rivalries in the
    region as a form of sporting tournament. To say the least, this masks the complex interplay of
    political rivalry and localized factional interests in Central Asia. At another level, however, the
    appellations ‘Great Game’ or ‘New Great Game’ serve as what Edward Said called ‘rhetorical figures’
    which tacitly legitimate the notion that the territories and peoples of Central Asia are a prize to be
    squabbled over by outsiders.9 As Don McMillen notes, a preoccupation with policy-making intended
    to fulfil the ‘security’ objectives involved in such ‘games’ can lead policy-makers to believe ‘that we
    do not need to be concerned about the “faceless” individuals in far-away places who are deemed to
    have little impact on the “realities” of the “New Great Games” that others play on “glocal fields”’.10
    One wonders if the term ‘Neocolonialism in Central Asia’, arguably a more accurate characterization
    of the present situation, would be as attractive to commentators.
    How might we account for the persistence of such terms in spite of the significant differences
    between the nineteenth and twenty-first centuries? Part of the explanation lies in the historical
    amnesia about Central Asia in mainstream western knowledge. Despite the extensive British and
    American history of involvement in Afghanistan, the region is still referred to in many recent texts as
    a ‘black hole’ about which little is known. This is reflected in popular works, such as the 2001 BBC
    documentary Afghanistan – The Dark Ages, narrated by John Simpson, in which the viewer is
    informed at the beginning that ‘this is one of the wild places of the earth, a black hole in the world’s
    consciousness’.11 This perception of Central Asia as a ‘black hole’ is significant in two ways. It denies
    that the region has any people residing in it who are affected by the actions of outside powers.12 It
    also means that Afghanistan, and indeed much of Central Asia, becomes a blank slate upon which
    any image can be projected (and sometimes old images can be reprojected onto the area). As Ebel
    and Menon noted in relation to Western
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    coverage of the oil and natural gas reserves of the Caspian region, ‘this hyperbole thrives on simple
    ignorance: most Americans know next to nothing about this part of the world and exaggerations go
    unchallenged – or, more likely, are simply unnoticed’.13 A May 2004 editorial on Afghanistan in the
    Free Lance-Star noted that ‘before September of 2001, most Americans would have been hard
    pressed to find the country on an unlabelled map’.14 The commercial success of Sacha Baron
    Cohen’s 2006 mockumentary Borat, which reinforces many caricatures of Central Asia, is partially
    explained by Kazakhstan being largely unknown to its Western audience, thereby enabling Cohen to
    reinvent the country for his own purposes.15 This is not a new element in outside perceptions of the
    region. In previous times, for example, Central Asia was believed to be the realm of Prester John, the
    purported great Christian monarch who persistently eluded discovery.16 In the context of world
    history, Andre Gunder Frank made similar observations about Central Asia, arguing that for those
    from outside Central Asian studies the region appears as something of a black hole. Frank called for
    scholars to recognize the ‘centrality of Central Asia’.17 On one level this has been achieved in that
    the events of 11 September 2001 saw a revival of academic interest in Afghanistan. Much of the
    coverage of Afghanistan in media reports, however, is devoid of any historical context and
    consequently some old characterizations of Afghanistan as an inaccessible land inhabited by warlike,
    untrustworthy peoples and ruled by inherently unstable regimes have been resurrected in modern
    garb.
    External influences on state formation in Afghanistan
    Perceptions of threats from within Afghanistan’s borders
    One dominant image projected onto present-day Afghanistan (and periodically onto Central Asia) is
    the notion of the ‘failed state’. The dominant discourse among Western writers is that Afghanistan is
    a failed state and, significantly, a failed state responsible for an attack on the Western world.
    External intervention in Afghanistan is therefore justified on the basis that it was the source of a
    threat to the western world owing to terrorist activity within its borders. Krasner and Pascual, writing
    in 2005, cited Afghanistan as an example of a failed state that ‘became the base for the deadliest
    attack ever on the US homeland, graphically and tragically illustrating that the problems of other
    countries often do not affect them alone’.18 Condoleezza Rice, United States Secretary of State,
    echoed this view when she asserted that ‘Afghanistan became a failed state and a haven for
    terrorism. We all came to pay for that.’19 The continued presence of Western forces and influence in
    Afghanistan is justified on the basis that Afghanistan remains a potential source of terrorist activity,
    drug smuggling and instability until the present regime is appropriately secure. Frederick Starr, for
    example, has warned that ‘if progress continues, the reconstruction of Afghanistan will mark a
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    significant victory in the war on terrorism. If it flags, the recent gains will start to recede.’20 The
    underlying implication here is that it is the responsibility of what might be termed ‘functioning states’,
    that is polities with the capacity to control their own citizens and deploy armed forces abroad, to
    ensure that events within ‘failed states’ do not harm nations outside their borders.21
    The origins of this type of thinking can be traced back at least as far as the nineteenth century. The
    term ‘failed state’ is something of a rhetorical figure, whereby any polity held to be incapable of
    exerting centralized authority can be deemed a real or potential threat to regional stability, thereby
    becoming a candidate for outside intervention.22 It is argued here that the historical basis of this
    term can be located in the nineteenth century and that it is a twenty-first-century derivative or
    mutation of Social Darwinism. The nineteenth-century forerunner of today’s ‘failed state’ versus
    ‘functioning state’ dichotomy was the perceived opposing forces of ‘civilization’ versus ‘barbarism’, the
    belief being that ‘when civilization comes into contact with barbarism, barbarism must give way’.23
    In the nineteenth century, two manifestations of this perceived barbarism, the slave trade and
    nomadic raids, were cited as pretexts for British and Russian intervention in Central Asia. These
    moral pretexts made it difficult for British opponents of Russian expansionism to gain traction for
    their arguments that Britain should take stronger action against Russia. For example, even trenchant
    critics of Russian expansion, such as Boulger, agreed that the attempted Russian invasion of Khiva in
    1839 was justified because Russian citizens had been made slaves.24 It will be argued later that the
    pretext of Islamic despotism provided a complementary moral legitimation to the security pretexts of
    suppressing terrorism, when Afghanistan was invaded in 2001.
    The Russian conquests of the Khanates of Khiva, Bokhara and Khokand in 1866, 1868 and 1873
    respectively and their subsequent campaigns against the Turkomans in the 1880s were justified on
    the basis that lawlessness within these polities was affecting Russia and that it was necessary to
    prevent internal disorder within nomadic societies from affecting Russian territory. Accordingly, each
    of these conquests was justified by the Tsarist regime on the pretext of establishing settled
    government and maintaining law and order, arguments which will be familiar to those aware of the
    present-day rhetoric directed at ‘failed states’. Russian generals such as von Kaufman and Skobeleff
    were given free rein in Central Asia, their successes welcomed as just retribution against lawless
    raiders and any failures disavowed as the actions of overzealous generals.25 Russian expansion
    posed a moral dilemma in that, although many felt it threatened Britain’s strategic interests,
    opponents conceded an element of moral justification in Russian expansion. Charles Marvin, for
    example, supported Russia’s policy of occupying the territory of the Turkomans and maintaining
    order, comparing it favourably with the British policy of sending repeated punitive expeditions to the
    North-West frontier and Afghanistan.26 Accordingly, he conceded that the Russian advances in
    Central Asia were justified ‘owing to the provocation of
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    the nomads’.27 Even Rawlinson, the arch-opponent of Russian expansion, justified the Russian
    conquests on the basis that they represented the inevitable triumph of civilization over barbarism.28
    This sense of an inevitable progression in history, where civilization supersedes barbarism, is implicit
    in external intervention in Afghanistan today, where it is asserted that ‘reconstruction’ (a term which
    begs the question of what exactly is being reconstructed? Afghanistan as it was before the 2001
    invasion?) will enable a functioning state to supersede the previous ‘failed state’.29
    British intervention in Central Asia in the 1830s was also justified on the basis that it was an unstable
    entity and accordingly an assertion of influence was necessary. There were two areas of concern for
    the British here: the expansion of the Russian sphere of influence and the fear that Russia would
    foment anti-British sentiment among the tribes of Central Asia and that this would lead to these
    tribes undertaking an invasion of India.30 The effect of the Russian victory in the Russo-Persian war
    of 1826–8 and its failed action against Khiva in December 1839 was that Britain sought to formulate
    strategies for dealing directly with nomadic polities, which had previously only appeared in British
    literature as abstract entities under the generic term of ‘Tartars’. This term was mistakenly applied to
    the Mongols who invaded Europe in the thirteenth century and came to be applied to the peoples of
    Eurasia in general. The term ‘Tartar’ evoked apocalyptic images, being associated with the Greek
    word ‘Tartarus’ meaning hell. Those living in Tartary were deemed to exhibit the warlike and savage
    characteristics of the Mongols to at least some degree. Ethnicities deemed to exhibit ‘Tartar features’,
    such as the Uzbeks, were more likely to be characterized unfavourably than those of a more
    European appearance, such as the Tajiks.31 These underlying perceptions informed British views of
    Central Asian peoples during the nineteenth century.
    Britain’s early encounters in Central Asia provided substantive evidence for the prevailing view that
    its peoples were barbaric and duplicitous. Concerned at the potential for Russian expansion towards
    India, the British sought to create buffer states among the Central Asian Khanates of Bukhara,
    Khokand and Afghanistan. Accordingly, in 1839, it was decided to unseat the then ruler of
    Afghanistan, Dost Mohammad, who, after unsuccessfully appealing to the British to curtail the
    expansionist activities of Ranjit Singh, had received a Russian deputation. He was replaced by Shah
    Shuja, a former ruler who had been exiled to the Punjab. In another echo of the present situation,
    the initial conquest was successful but enduring control proved elusive, and the British suffered a
    catastrophic defeat in 1841–2. Despite a punitive expedition being dispatched, the loss to British
    prestige was considerable and Dost Mohammad was duly restored. The defeat in Afghanistan, and
    the execution of two British envoys, Conolly and Stoddart, by the Amir of Bukhara in 1842, an action
    which was unavenged by Britain, reinforced the underlying view that Central Asia was a region where
    oriental despotism flourished.32 It also signalled a temporary end to
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    British attempts to directly influence state formation in Afghanistan and Central Asia.33
    The expansion of Tsarist Russia in Central Asia during the second half of the nineteenth century,
    however, revived concerns about the potential threat to British India. It was the catalyst for a second
    attempt at state formation, in the form of the Second Afghan War between 1878 and 1880.
    Concerned about Sher Ali Khan negotiating with Russia, a British expeditionary force displaced him
    and installed Yakub Khan as ruler in 1879.34 These actions prompted a revolt, during which the
    British envoy Louis Cavagnari was murdered and a second British expedition, headed by Major
    General Roberts, was dispatched to Kabul. Amir Abdur Rahman (reigned 1880–1901), acceptable to
    both Britain and Russia, was installed as ruler with British support. Profiting from British financial
    assistance, he was able to consolidate his rule, albeit in an authoritarian and bloody manner. An
    Anglo-Russian boundary commission was established to delimit the frontiers of Afghanistan and
    accordingly the Wakhan strip was included to ensure that the British and Russian empires did not
    come into direct contact. Amir Abdur Rahman and his successors had to accept British suzerainty in
    foreign policy until 1919, but this privilege was effectively purchased from Afghanistan via aid.35 It
    was in the mutual interests of Britain and Tsarist Russia to have Afghanistan, as delimited by the
    boundary commission, as a buffer state because both recognized that military occupation of
    Afghanistan was beyond their respective capabilities.36 In a historical sense the defeats of the British
    were significant because they became embedded in Afghan historical memory and remain a point of
    reference today.37
    What nineteenth-century Social Darwinism and the twenty-first-century concept of the ‘failed state’
    share is an underlying presupposition that phenomena can be categorized into hierarchies and that
    moral judgements can be abstracted from these categorizations. Just as in the nineteenth century,
    different ethnicities were categorized on a hierarchical basis and on that basis it was viewed as
    acceptable, indeed inevitable that ‘civilized’ nations would supersede ‘barbaric’ regimes when they
    came into contact, so too is it presently argued that in the interest of global security a ‘failed state’
    can and should be superseded by a ‘functioning state’. The categorization element to the ‘failed state’
    concept is evidenced by a recent study released in the Fund for Peace and Foreign Policy which
    ranked Afghanistan among the world’s ten weakest states in the ‘Failed States Index’ for 2006.38
    Another parallel between the categorization implicit in Social Darwinism and the concept of the ‘failed
    state’ is that the criteria by which polities are judged is both defined and enforced by hegemonic
    Western countries. In the case of the ‘failed state’ the underlying premise appears to be that the
    ideal model of a state is a western-type democracy and its supporting centralized bureaucracy.
    Frederick Starr, for example, sees a reconstructed Afghanistan as a key actor in the establishment of
    a Greater Central Asia Partnership for Cooperation and Development (GCAP), a ‘regionwide forum for
    the
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    planning, coordination, and implementation of a variety of US programs’.39 Promoting democracy is
    seen as a vital part of this reconstruction as is an accompanying programme promoting ‘the
    fundamental American Values that inform them’.40 As in the nineteenth century, judgements of
    Afghanistan and Central Asia are being made on the extent to which they conform to Western
    criteria of what form a successful polity should take. Failure to meet these criteria and exercise
    control over the actions of its citizens means that a polity becomes a possible candidate for outside
    intervention, this intervention being justified by the argument that ‘failed states’ are destabilizing
    influences on functioning polities.41 It will be argued later that seeking to impose the idealized
    western model of a functioning state is particularly problematic in a Central Asian context because of
    a historic pattern of resistance to centralized rule.
    Moreover, just as the concepts of Social Darwinism were generally accepted in the dominant
    discourse of the nineteenth century, the use of the term ‘failed state’ has become embedded into
    everyday language and is largely unchallenged in the Western media.42 As Kolhatkar and Ingalls
    note, the ‘failed state’ label is used when weak states affect powerful ones. Such labels are useful for
    dominant powers because they focus on local issues, specific to a country, thereby ignoring the role
    of external actors (especially the dominant powers) in creating disorder.43 These observations are
    particularly applicable to Afghanistan and much of Central Asia. The present boundaries of
    Afghanistan are a result of nineteenth-century British and Russian intervention and do not reflect any
    pre-existing political or cultural entity. The borders agreed by the Anglo-Russian boundary
    commission were based around the strategic need to separate the borders of British-and Russian-
    controlled territory, hence the narrow Wakhan strip of land. Another nineteenth-century legacy is the
    Durand Line, the boundary between present-day Pakistan and Afghanistan, which is not recognized
    by the Afghan government because it divides Afghan Pashtun communities.44 It is from within this
    area, which some have labelled ‘Jihadistan’ on account of its quasi-autonomous nature, that many
    Taliban cross undetected between Afghanistan and Pakistan.45
    The role of external actors in destabilizing Afghanistan in the twentieth century has been
    comprehensively discussed by scholars such as Saikal and Rubin. Russian intervention in Afghanistan
    in 1979 was motivated partly by concern that the Soviet-backed People’s Democratic Party of
    Afghanistan (PDPA) regime was losing control over the countryside.46 Russia was also concerned
    about the rise of assertive Islamic regimes in the area, given the emergence of Ayatollah Khomeini in
    Iran and Zia-ul-Haq in Pakistan.47 The Mujahideen, whose resistance to the PDPA had been the
    catalyst for the Russian invasion, vigorously resisted the Soviet incursion. After a prolonged
    resistance, Russian armed forces withdrew in 1989. During the Russian invasion, however, extensive
    external support for the Mujahideen was provided via the CIA, who utilized Pakistan’s Inter Services
    Intelligence (ISI) agency
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    as a conduit for arms to Afghanistan. As had previously occurred in the nineteenth century, the unity
    generated among Afghan leaders by external intervention proved ephemeral and after the collapse of
    Najibullah’s regime in 1992 a variety of leaders contended for power. Rabbani was declared leader
    after the Peshawar agreement in 1992 but was soon coming under attack. The ISI-supported Taliban
    took control of much of Afghanistan in 1996 and, supported by Pakistan and the United States (at
    least until American support for the regime ended in 1999), remained the dominant group until
    2001.48
    Islamic fanaticism and ‘oriental despotism’
    Historically, Western imperialism has often been accompanied by a legitimating ideology. In the
    nineteenth century, this often took the form of a ‘civilizing mission’ which sought to uplift the spiritual
    and material conditions of indigenous peoples.49 Similar trends can be discerned in regard to
    present-day Central Asia. Subduing fanatical Islam and alleviating ‘oriental despotism’ have
    consistently been cited as legitimating factors by outside countries seeking to influence state
    formation in Afghanistan, and indeed Central Asia generally. One parallel between the nineteenth-
    and twenty-first-century conflicts in Central Asia is that the region has been cited as the realm of
    Islam in its most extreme forms. In the nineteenth century travellers such as Vámbéry were bitterly
    critical of the ‘fanatical Islam’ practised in Central Asia, comparing it unfavourably with the more
    moderate Islam practised in the Ottoman Empire. Some writers attributed the condition of Central
    Asia to what they regarded as the excessive Islamic piety of the region. Both the ninth and eleventh
    editions of the Encyclopaedia Britannica attributed the decline of Central Asia to the venality of the
    Mullahs.50 In the Encyclopaedia of Religion and Ethics , published in 1915, Vámbéry emphasized the
    ‘fanaticism’ of the region. ‘From Constantinople East’, he asserted, ‘a gradually increasing fanaticism
    and ignorance will be observed and the deeper the penetration into Asia, the more outspoken and
    intense become the hatred and the aversion of the believer to the adherents of a foreign creed.’51
    Moreover, he maintained that the peoples of Central Asia were proud of their standing as strict
    Muslims and viewed themselves as upholding the religion.52 In his view, the Muslim community in
    Central Asia was presented as promulgating a primitive Islamic fundamentalism. ‘There’, he asserted,
    ‘we find a distinctly different religious life, the manners and customs of which do not resemble those
    of West Asia. There everything bears the special stamp of extravagant fanaticism, of an exalted
    conception of the value of ritual trivialities, and of a deep hatred against innovations.’53 He
    reinforced his arguments by citing examples of brutal executions and the oppression of women under
    Islamic rule in Central Asia.54 These attitudes, he believed, were evident in the ‘barbarous
    mountaineers of Afghanistan’.55 Another justification presented for the Russian invasion of the
    Central Asian
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    Khanates was that they were Islamic despotisms. For example, a leading article in The Times on 6
    December 1869 declared:
    A country could with difficulty be named where a change of government would be more desirable
    than Central Asia. The rulers show all the indolence and fanaticism of Mohomedanism with none of
    its virtues. They have succeeded in reducing what were once fertile plains and wealthy cities to
    dreary deserts. Land and people alike cannot but profit by a substitution of Russian genius for order,
    mechanical and routine as it may be for the existing lawlessness.56
    The Taliban regime, which was displaced after the United States-led invasion of Afghanistan in
    September 2001, was characterized in many of the terms previously used to describe ‘oriental
    despotisms’.57 Criticism focused on its rigid adherence to Islam, its intolerance, as exemplified by the
    destruction of the Buddhist statues in Bamiyan in 2000, and its repressive measures against
    women.58 A subtext of the invasion was that not only was it necessary on security grounds to
    remove the terrorist threat, but it was also justifiable because it removed a repressive regime whose
    fanaticism had seen it accommodate terrorists.59 Although in 2001 United States President George
    W. Bush and British Prime Minister Tony Blair were careful to reassure leaders of Muslim countries
    that they respected Islam, Afghanistan was seen as the homeland of a particularly fanatical strain of
    Islam.60 As Amin Saikal has noted, ‘a Western contention, which has resonated more strongly in
    Washington than in any other Western capital, sees those forces of Political Islam which defy US
    control or influence as a serious threat to Western interests that must therefore be combated in
    whatever way necessary’.61 In his analysis of western responses to Islam since 11 September 2001
    Saikal identified three kinds of rhetoric. The first emphasized the non-religious, non-ethnic nature of
    the war on terror. The second identified Western civilization as superior to Islam, arguing that Islam
    was an inherently warlike religion. The third view denounced Islam as a religion which inspired and
    encouraged terrorism.62 The language used to describe the Taliban and, by extension, Islam in
    Afghanistan, embodied the second and third types of views. The Taliban was presented as an
    exemplar of extreme Islamic fundamentalism and United States policy advocated secularizing the
    polities of Afghanistan and Central Asia as an insurance policy against radical Islam.63
    The Taliban regime was not the only perceived Islamic threat emanating from Central Asia. At a
    more general level, Shahram Akbarzadeh has argued that Islam has been seen as a threat to
    regional stability in Central Asia for two reasons: first, a fear that its adherents will demand an
    Islamic fundamentalist state; and second, that Islam has the potential to be a uniting force among
    the peoples of Central Asia, but a uniting force against, rather than for Western interests.64 He
    further argued that modern Central Asian states had the potential to suffer from a cycle of imposed
    westernization, social and
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    economic insecurity, popular disillusionment, Islamic radicalization and state suppression. Akbarzadeh
    also noted a tendency among Central Asian states towards the first stage of this cycle (imposed
    westernization) and that these states have inherited the legacy of a ‘top-down authoritarian
    culture’.65 This is evident today in countries such as Uzbekistan.66
    Internal dynamics of state formation in Afghanistan and Central Asia
    The dialectic between nomadic and sedentary society has been a key challenge to state formation in
    Central Asia. In evaluating this issue, it is important to understand the meanings of statehood in
    Central Asia. If we take a state to mean a polity with clearly delimited boundaries in which power is
    exercised by a centralized regime, assisted by formal institutions of government and complemented
    by civil society, then, with the possible exception of Daoud’s regime between 1953 and 1963, it is
    doubtful whether Afghanistan has ever met these criteria.67 David Christian’s analysis of nomadic
    states is useful here. He argues that ‘state’ formation is often discussed in the context of sedentary
    states and that the nomadic forms of ‘states’ have often been marginalized.68 State formations in
    steppe societies tended to be minimalist, meaning that they allowed considerable autonomy to
    individual chiefs but retained the capability of exerting a degree of coercive power over a large
    number of people for a sustained period. They had the power to extract resources, either from within
    their own sphere of influence or from outsiders.69 Christian identifies six levels of social organization
    in pastoralist societies, beginning with parental groups on level 1, and extending through camping
    groups of 8 to 50; reproductive groups based on kin ties of 50 to 500; tribes, associations of these
    groups numbering between 500 and 1,000; and supratribal associations of between 1,000 and
    100,000; and, finally, pastoralist states/empires with a population ranging upward from 100,000 to
    millions. These last two levels were temporary entities which would come together to fight a common
    enemy and occasionally, at the highest level, pastoralist states which could command the loyalty of
    tribal and supratribal units because of their ability to distribute prestige goods, confer honours and
    retain sufficient internal support to maintain at least a majority among constituent tribal groups.70
    It must also be recognized that the present polities of Central Asia have emerged relatively recently
    in historical terms and that their fixed borders do not reflect a nomadic heritage of migratory
    pastoralism. Sayed Askar Mousavi suggests that the appellation ‘Afghanistan’ emerged in the mid-
    nineteenth century, and came to be applied in a generic sense to a territory composed of many
    different ethnicities.71 Previously the territories of present-day Afghanistan were known by the
    appellation ‘Khorasan’. Khorasan itself denoted a geographical region, in which a number of different
    polities existed, rather than a kingdom or principality per se. When, for example, envoys from Balkh
    visited the Mughal Emperor Aurangzeb in 1661, they
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    were not referred to as envoys of Afghanistan, but were identified as representatives from the
    Kingdom of Balkh.72 As the Mughal and Safavid empires began to break up in the eighteenth
    century, new polities, which Muzaffar Alam refers to as ‘successor states’, emerged.73 It was during
    this process that the present-day Afghanistan emerged and under the leadership of Ahmad Shah
    Abdali Afghanistan attained its greatest territorial extent in the mid-eighteenth century.
    What factors allowed for the coalescence of such a diverse grouping into some type of state
    formation during the reign of Ahmad Shah? Essentially, he was able to satisfy two key preconditions
    – he was able to satisfy his nomadic followers who wanted war with campaigns against the
    sedentary state of India. The wealth he obtained in these campaigns also enabled him to maintain a
    minimalist state infrastructure via strategic redistribution of goods.74 Even at its peak, however,
    Ahmad Shah did not preside over a centralized state; rather he was the head of a number of chiefs,
    each of whom retained control over their own areas.75 Historically, the most successful periods of
    statecraft in Central Asian history have emerged from personalized rule rather than centralized rule.
    It is no coincidence that former nomadic rulers, such as Timur, have been refashioned as exemplars
    of political skill in many Central Asian places.76 The problem from a western perspective is that those
    leaders capable of exerting effective rule (thereby meeting security and strategic objectives) often do
    so by employing repressive tactics and this in turn negates the professed objectives of ending
    despotism and advancing human rights.
    The key problem confronting Central Asian leaders was that supratribal associations tend to be fluid
    and often fragmentary in nature. Their existence is dependent upon the ability of the leader to either
    exercise coercive power and/or distribute rewards. Allegiances are conditional and transferable in the
    event of conditions such as military defeat, superior economic incentives by an outside party or
    intertribal feuding. Joseph Fletcher referred to this phenomenon as ‘Bloody Tanistry’.77 In the
    eighteenth century, the death of Ahmad Shah Abdali resulted in a protracted succession dispute
    among his descendants and it was not until Dost Mohammad that a leader capable of commanding
    the allegiance of a majority of Afghan leaders emerged. A more recent example of this is the
    supratribal organization referred to as the ‘Northern Alliance’, an entity which played a leading role in
    defeating the Taliban in 2001 but then reverted to a diffuse collection of individual groups. Strong,
    charismatic leadership is essential to the functioning of such polities.78 Judged on its own terms, the
    pattern of succession disputes and internecine fighting has its own logic as tribal leaders and their
    followers either seek supremacy or align themselves with what appears to be the ascendant faction.
    This in turn means that the institutions and practices associated with sedentary rule, such as a
    centralized bureaucracy exercising uniform authority over all regions within a territory according to a
    common set of rules, does not develop.
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    To outsiders from the sedentary world, Central Asian conflicts have often been viewed as evidence of
    an inherent lawlessness and a consequent inability to adapt to a settled lifestyle.79 Arminius
    Vámbéry encapsulated the views of many nineteenth-century observers when he wrote in 1885 of
    ‘the idea of a whole Afghan nation being a preposterous one, considering that these unmanageable
    elements can hardly ever be roused into unity’.80 In the nineteenth century, some triumphalist
    accounts of Russian expansion welcomed their victories as a decisive triumph over an age-old enemy
    – the nomadic raiders of Central Asia. A review of Frederick von Hellwald’s book The Russians in
    Central Asia in 1874 proclaimed that ‘the once dreaded power of the Asiatic Nomades has been
    dissipated by the science of Europe, and the bravest and fiercest of the Turkoman races had not
    even a chance of success in a contest with the legions of Russia’.81 The warlords of Afghanistan are
    in many ways a twenty-first-century manifestation of the supratribal organizations of previous
    centuries. Their leaders exercise and maintain power through a mixture of personal charisma, kin
    ties, coercion and a capacity to reward a working majority of their followers. In his analysis of
    warlords in Tajikistan, Kirill Nourzhanov argues that they are ‘perhaps the most efficient instrument
    available to regional populaces to bargain for scarce resources’.82
    Historically, rulers of Central Asian polities needed to reconcile the interests of nomadic and
    sedentary elements.83 The states formed under Amir Abdur Rahman (emir from 1880 to 1901) and
    his successors did so through a pattern of personalized rule which rewarded loyal adherents.
    Constrained by the expansion of the Russian and British empires from attacking sedentary polities in
    Persia and India, the rulers turned inward to reward their followers. The Hazaras, who had
    developed settled agricultural communities, were brutally oppressed and their resources redistributed
    among Abdur Rahman’s supporters.84 In the longer-term context of interaction between nomadic
    and sedentary societies, the Afghan regime stood out as an example of a polity of nomadic heritage
    acting in an active rather than passive way. By the last decade of the nineteenth century the
    formerly independent Central Asian Khanates of Khiva, Bukhara and Khokand and the territories of
    the Turkomans had been absorbed into Tsarist Russia and Yakub Beg’s regime in Kashgar had been
    crushed by the Chinese armies led by Zuo Zongtang. In Afghanistan, by contrast, a polity of nomadic
    heritage was able to remain in power by appropriating the resources of sedentary communities.85
    Resistance to centralizing rule has continued to be a feature of Afghanistan’s history. Daoud’s second
    regime, between 1973 and 1978, lost support when he proposed an ambitious policy of land
    reform.86 The PDPA regime, which came into power in the subsequent coup of April 1978, also
    sought unsuccessfully to impose a centralized regime on Afghanistan. Prime Minister Hafizullah Amin
    used a strategy of mass arrests and executions on the one hand and instituted a series of political
    reforms on the other to assert control.87 These regulations sought to usurp the role of tribal rulers
    by regulating mortgages, marriages and bride price. The state was also given the power to
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    place surplus lands under the jurisdiction of the Land Reform Department, which required landowners
    to register their deeds with the state. These attempts to impose centralizing reforms were vigorously
    resisted and a series of rebellions occurred which undermined the authority of the new
    government.88 Rubin attributes the failure of the PDPA’s reforms to the weak state organization
    inherited by the regime, internal weakening of the army and an inability to convince a majority of
    people in the provincial regions to support the reforms, because they were poorly implemented and
    on balance the villagers preferred the tribal leaders they already knew to the officials of the PDPA.
    The Soviet-installed regime which replaced the PDPA was no more effective in enforcing centralized
    authority than its predecessor. The new government, headed by Babrak Karmal, struggled to achieve
    effective control over the countryside and therefore income from taxation was sharply reduced.
    Foreign aid and sales of natural gas accounted for 60 per cent of total expenditure after the Soviet
    invasion.89 The installed regime had some success in repressing internal dissension by developing
    networks of informers and reorganizing the intelligence agencies but made very little progress in
    convincing countryside leaders to defect to their regime en masse. Nor were the Soviet leaders
    willing to commit sufficient numbers of troops to secure the whole of Afghanistan and, faced with
    mounting casualties and scant evidence of success, they withdrew in 1989.90 Hamid Karzai, the
    present ruler of Afghanistan, has had to accommodate the warlords in his present administration and
    his power over these leaders is minimal.91 Attempts at exerting meaningful authority by stopping
    opium production and forming a credible Afghan National Army have only been partially realised.92
    Conclusion
    This chapter has evaluated the historical bases of state formation in Afghanistan and Central Asia. It
    is argued that the present challenges of constructing modern states in Central Asia reflect the
    difficulties of seeking to impose centralized power in a region where state power has historically been
    indirect. Institutions modelled on sedentary regimes have limited applicability in a region where
    centralizing reforms have historically been resisted, although there have been periods of personalized
    rule. The coercive power needed to maintain personalized rule is, however, incompatible with the
    avowed humanitarian ideals of ‘reconstruction’ in Afghanistan. The reconstruction also presupposes a
    shared nationalism and identity among the ethnicities of Afghanistan, which does not recognize that
    the formation of modern Afghanistan owes more to the geopolitical concerns of the nineteenth
    century than a pre-existing nation state in the sense that it would be conceived today.
    The one dynamic which has been more successful than any other in generating a sense of Afghan
    unity is outside intervention. Although this is a
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    negative rather than a positive motivation, outside intervention has resulted in the formation of
    supratribal coalitions for the purposes of undermining invasions. This was evident in the Afghan wars
    of the nineteenth century and the prolonged resistance of the Mujahideen during the 1980s. Outside
    interventions have been motivated by two key factors. First: a perceived threat to the security of
    Western territories from within the borders of Afghanistan. Second: the perception of Central Asia as
    a heartland of Islamic fanaticism and oriental despotism has provided a humanitarian gloss for
    outside intervention. It has been argued here that the perception of Central Asia as a region
    inhabited by warlike, lawless tribes hostile to Western citizens and ideals is an enduring one which
    can be traced back at least as far as the Mongol invasions of the thirteenth century. Outsiders have
    vacillated between viewing Central Asian polities as potential allies or as a threat to settled societies
    depending on political priorities.
    This labelling has served important purposes in legitimating intervention. In the nineteenth century,
    British and Russian intervention was justified on the basis that Central Asia was a region ruled by
    capricious, unreliable sovereigns and populated by unruly tribes who engaged in immoral activities.
    Nomadic societies were also viewed as degenerate, according to the judgements of Victorian
    literature. The twenty-first-century version of nineteenth-century Social Darwinism is the concept of
    the ‘failed state’, whereby polities deemed a threat to Western countries become candidates for
    outside intervention. One term common to both eras is the notion of the ‘Great Game’, a term which
    simultaneously relegates the peoples and places of Central Asia to a passive position and
    appropriates the heroic elements of sport to romanticize and legitimate external intervention. One
    reason why such recurring allusions are possible is the enduring perception of Afghanistan in
    particular, and Central Asia in general, as a ‘black hole’ whose history and peoples are allegedly
    unknown despite the vast developments in Western knowledge of the region since the nineteenth
    century. This historical amnesia is evident in everyday reporting on Afghanistan and Central Asia and
    as a consequence informed debate on these areas is lacking (despite the existence and accessibility
    of material detailing the historical context of present events). Much work remains to be done before
    the scholarly awareness of the ‘centrality of Central Asia’ filters through to a wider audience.
    Notes
    1 T. Barfield, The Perilous Frontier: Nomadic Empires and China , Cambridge, MA: Basil Blackwell,
    1989.
    2 S. Kolhatkar and J. Ingalls, Bleeding Afghanistan: Washington, Warlords and the Propaganda of
    Silence , New York: Seven Stories, 2006, pp. xvii, 69.
    3 In relation to the ‘Great Game’ period see for example Henry Rawlinson, England and Russia in the
    East: A Series of Papers on the Political and Geographical Condition of Central Asia, London: John
    Murray, 1875, p. 204 and p. 365; D.C.
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    Boulger, England and Russia in Central Asia, London: W.H. Allen, 1879, vol. 2, pp. 338–9. See also
    John Lowe Duthie, ‘Sir Henry Creswicke Rawlinson and the art of great gamesmanship’, Journal of
    Imperial and Commonwealth History 11, 1982–83, 253–74; A. Vámbéry, The Coming Struggle for
    India, London: Cassell: 1885, p. 100.
    4 The phrase the ‘New Great Game’ or ‘The Great Game’ has been evoked since the 1990s in relation
    to contests for political and military influence in Central Asia since the collapse of the former Soviet
    Central Asian Republics in 1991. See, for example, H. Hendrischke, ‘Chinese concerns with Central
    Asia’, in D. Christian and C. Benjamin (eds), Worlds of the Silk Roads: Ancient and Modern,
    Turnhout: Brepols, 1998, p. 97; L. Klevemann, The New Great game: Blood and Oil in Central Asia,
    New York: Atlantic Monthly Press, 2003.
    5 Dominion Post, 29 August 2007, B1.
    6 K. Nourzhanov, ‘Caspian oil: geopolitical dreams and real issues’, Australian Journal of International
    Affairs, 2006, vol. 60, no. 1, 60. See also R. Ebel and R. Menon (eds), Energy and Conflict in Central
    Asia and the Caucasus, Lanham: Rowman and Littlefield, 2000, p. 2.
    7 G. Watson, ‘Beyond the great game: British images of Central Asia c.1830–1914’, Unpublished PhD
    Thesis, Brisbane: Griffith University, 1998, pp. 3, 250–52.
    8 T. Holdich, ‘The use of practical geography illustrated by recent frontier operations’, Geographical
    Journal , vol. 13, 5, 1899, p. 467; G. Watson, ‘Sitting the stage: representations of Central Asian
    environments in British Literature c.1830–1914’, New Zealand Journal of Asian Studies , 2007, vol. 9,
    no. 1, 105.
    9 The term ‘rhetorical figure’ here is applied both in the linguistic sense, where a phrase is used in a
    different sense to the usual literal meanings of its words, and in the sense used in Edward Said’s
    analysis of European ways of depicting other cultures, in which ‘rhetorical figures’, including notions
    such as ‘bringing civilization to primitive or barbaric peoples’ and “they” were not like “us” and for
    that reason deserved to be ruled’, are employed. E. Said, Culture and Imperialism , London: Vintage,
    1994, pp. xi–xii.
    10 D. McMillen, ‘Xinjiang, Central Asia and “glocality” 2006’, Xinjiang and Central Asia into the 21st
    Century, Brisbane: Griffith Asia Institute, 2006, p. 7.
    11 J. Simpson, Afghanistan – The Dark Ages, BBC Education and Training, 2001.
    12 Conversation with Basil Poff, Massey University, 11 May 2006.
    13 Ebel and Menon, Energy and Conflict , p. 1.
    14 Free Lance-Star , May 2004, cited in Kolhatkar and Ingalls, Bleeding Afghanistan , p. xi.
    15 Manawatu Standard , 22 August 2007, p. 2.
    16 On the search for Prester John see L.N. Gumilev, Searches for an Imaginary Kingdom: The
    Legend of Prester John , Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1987. On Western Images of
    Central Asia see Geoff Watson, ‘1200–1800 Yillari Arasinda Bati’daki Orta Asya Imaji’ in Kemal Cicek
    (ed.) Turkler, Ankara: Yeni Turkiye, 2002, vol. 8, pp. 334–44. An English language version ‘Western
    images of Central Asia 1200–1800’ was published in H.G. Guzel, C.C. Orguz and O. Karatay (eds) The
    Turks: vol. 2, Middle Ages, Ankara: Yeni Turkiye Publication House, 2002, vol. 8, pp. 795–804.
    17 A.G. Frank, ‘The centrality of Central Asia’, Studies in History , 1992, vol. 8, no. 1, 43.
    18 S.D. Krasner and C. Pascual, ‘Addressing state failure’, Foreign Affairs, 2005, vol. 84, no. 4, 153.
    19 C. Rice cited in The Toronto Star , 16 September 2006. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.thestar.com/article/96110> (accessed 29 October 2006).
    20 F. Starr, ‘A partnership for Central Asia’, Foreign Affairs July/August 2005, p. 164.
    21 Kolhatkar and Ingalls, Bleeding Afghanistan , p. xii.
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    22 Krasner and Pascual, ‘Addressing state failure’, pp. 153–63.
    23 The Times, 12 July 1869, p. 8. A later article, reflecting on the invasion of Khiva, suggested
    Russian progress in Central Asia followed the ‘inevitable law of contact between civilized and
    uncivilized peoples’, The Times, 17 November 1875, p. 9.
    24 See for example, Boulger, England and Russia in Central Asia, vol. 1, p. 152.
    25 Vámbéry, The Coming Struggle for India, p. 63.
    26 C. Marvin, The Russian Advance Towards India: Conversations with Skobeleff, Ignatieff, and other
    distinguished Russian generals and statesmen, on the Central Asian Question , Nendeln: Kraus, 1882
    [Reprint 1978], p. 130.
    27 Marvin, The Russian Advance Towards India, p. 206.
    28 Rawlinson, England and Russia in the East, p. 269.
    29 Starr, ‘A partnership for Central Asia’, p. 174.
    30 It was also feared that fomenting discontent among the Afghan tribes might inspire a rebellion
    among Indian Muslims. Vámbéry, The Coming Struggle for India, pp. 153–61.
    31 G. Watson, ‘Representations of Central Asian ethnicities in British literature c.1830–1914’, Asian
    Ethnicity , 2002, vol. 3, no. 2, 142–4.
    32 Boulger, England and Russia in Central Asia, pp. 185–91; and Rawlinson, England and Russia in
    the East, p. 159.
    33 V.K. Chavda, India, Britain and Russia: A Study in British Opinion (1838–74) , Delhi: Sterling, 1967,
    p. 221.
    34 S. Tanner, Afghanistan: A Military History From Alexander the Great to the Fall of the Taliban ,
    Cambridge, MA: Da Capo, 2002, pp. 208–9.
    35 A. Saikal, Modern Afghanistan: A History of Struggle and Survival , London: I.B. Tauris, 2004, p.
    36.
    36 R.H. Magnus and E. Naby, Afghanistan: Mullah, Marx and Mujahid, Boulder: Westview, 2000, p.
    58.
    37 D. Walsh, ‘We’ll beat you again, Afghans warn British’, Guardian Weekly, 30 June 2006, p. 3.
    38 J. Lobe, ‘Iraq, Afghanistan among top ten failed states’, Inter Press News Service Agency, 2 May
    2006. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.ipsnews.net/news. asp?idnews=33087> (accessed 29
    October 2009).
    39 Starr, ‘A partnership for Central Asia’, p. 165.
    40 Starr, ‘A partnership for Central Asia’, p. 174. Starr advocated a public diplomacy programme
    beginning with the extension of American cultural centres to all GCAP members.
    41 Kolhatkar and Ingalls, Bleeding Afghanistan , pp. xii–xiii.
    42 Western countries, for the purposes of this chapter, refers to North American, Western European
    and Australasian Democracies. Amin Saikal, Islam and the West: Conflict and Cooperation ,
    Basingstoke: Palgrave, 2003, p. 2.
    43 Kolhatkar and Ingalls, Bleeding Afghanistan , p. xiii.
    44 Saikal, Modern Afghanistan , p. 28.
    45 Newsweek, ‘A nursery for Jihad’, cited in New Zealand Herald, 30 September 2006, B 13–14.
    46 B. Rubin, The Fragmentation of Afghanistan , New Haven: Yale University Press, 2002, p. 123.
    47 Saikal, Modern Afghanistan , p. 196.
    48 Saikal, Islam and the West , pp. 95–110.
    49 Saikal, Modern Afghanistan , p. 25.
    50 Encyclopaedia Britannica, 9th edn, 1875–89, vol. 23, 637; Encyclopaedia Britannica, 11th edn,
    vol. 26, p. 422.
    51 A. Vámbéry, in J. Hastings (ed.), Encyclopaedia of Religion and Ethics , vol. 8, Edinburgh: Clark,
    1915, p. 885.
    52 ‘Strange to say, the Central Asians are themselves fully alive to the exceptional
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    position which they occupy in Islam; they are even proud of it, asserting that they are the most
    rigorous executors of the Ordinances of the Prophet, and the only Muslims whose religious belief has
    not been contaminated by foreign influence.’ Vámbéry, Encyclopaedia of Religion and Ethics , p. 887.
    53 Vámbéry, Encyclopaedia of Religion and Ethics , p. 885.
    54 ‘Women’, Vámbéry contended, ‘are looked upon as mere chattels and slaves in the hand of a
    tyrannical master, in spite of the milder views of the Quran and its expounders. They not only cover
    their faces with a thick, impenetrable veil, but they are literally shrouded in a cloak of greater length
    and width than their body; and, in order not to attract the covetous glance of men, young girls even
    have to feign the appearance of decrepit matrons, and very often walk leaning on a stick, as if
    bowed down by age or infirmities.’ Vámbéry, Encyclopaedia of Religion and Ethics , p. 885.
    55 ‘This difference becomes still more important when we observe that the spirit of zealots has
    extended into N. India, and has particularly infected the barbarous mountaineers of Afghanistan.
    When we hear of the murderous attack by some Pathan or Khaibari on an unoffending British officer,
    we have always to think of those fanatics, who, anxious to become a ghazi, a warrior of the faith, is
    ready to sacrifice his life for the title of martyr, and for the prospect of a place in Paradise. The
    existence of such ghazis was formerly reported among the adherents of Shaikh Shamil in the fierce
    struggle between the Russians and the Lesghians in the N.W. Caucasus but nowhere else in Islam. It
    is therefore, to the wild influence of Islam of Central Asia that their appearance in the North of India
    must be ascribed.’ Vámbéry, Encyclopaedia of Religion and Ethics , p. 885.
    56 The Times, 6 December 1869, p. 8.
    57 This concept has been traced back to the classical era. In the Renaissance and Enlightenment it
    was used to differentiate the embryonic republics in Europe with autocratic rule elsewhere. Franco
    Venturi, ‘Oriental Despotism’, Journal of the History of Ideas, 24 (1963), p. 133.
    58 Kolhatkar and Ingalls, Bleeding Afghanistan , pp. viii–ix.
    59 Taliban leaders refused United States requests to extradite Osama Bin Laden on the basis that he
    was their guest and, under Islamic protocol, such a person could not be asked to leave.
    60 Saikal, Islam and the West , p. 13.
    61 Saikal, Islam and the West , p. 1.
    62 Saikal, Islam and the West , pp. 14–15.
    63 Starr, ‘A partnership for Central Asia’, p. 165.
    64 S. Akbarzadeh, ‘Islam and regional stability in Central Asia’, in David Christian and Craig Benjamin
    (eds), Silk Road Studies IV: Realms of the Silk Roads: Ancient and Modern, Turnhout: Brepols, 2000,
    p. 181.
    65 Akbarzadeh, ‘Islam and regional stability in Central Asia’, pp. 190–1.
    66 S. Akbarzadeh, ‘Uzbekistan and the United States: friends or foes?’, Xinjiang and Central Asia into
    the 21st Century, Brisbane: Griffith Asia Institute, 2006, p. 119.
    67 Saikal, Modern Afghanistan , pp. 8, 130–31.
    68 D. Christian, ‘State formation in the inner Eurasian steppes’ in D. Christian and C. Benjamin (eds),
    Silk Road Studies IV: Realms of the Silk Roads: Ancient and Modern, Turnhout: Brepols, 2000, p. 51.
    69 Christian, ‘State formation in the inner Eurasian steppes’, pp. 53–4; and Barfield, The Perilous
    Frontier, p. 8.
    70 Christian, ‘State formation in the inner Eurasian steppes’, p. 58; see also Barfield, The Perilous
    Frontier, p. 5.
    71 S.A. Mousavi, The Hazaras of Afghanistan: An Historical, Cultural, Economic and Political Study,
    New York: St Martins, 1997, p. 2.
    72 F. Bernier, Travels in the Mogul Empire, A.D. 1656–58 , London: Archibald
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    Constable, 1891, reprinted Delhi 1968, p. 120. See also N. Manucci, Storia Do Mogor or Mogul India
    1653–1708, London: John Murray, 1907, vol. 2, p. 39.
    73 M. Alam, The Crisis of Empire in Mughal North India: Awadh and the Punjab 1707–48 , Delhi:
    Oxford University Press, 1986, pp. 12, 103.
    74 Saikal, Modern Afghanistan , p. 21.
    75 Rubin, The Fragmentation of Afghanistan , p. 22.
    76 Uzbekistan President Islam Karimov, for example, is presented as a reincarnation of Timur.
    Akbarzadeh, ‘Uzbekistan and the United States: friends or foes?’ p. 112. See also, K. Nourzhanov,
    ‘The politics of history in Tajikistan: reinventing the Samanids’, Harvard Asia Quarterly , 2001, Winter,
    pp. 21–6.
    77 J. Fletcher, ‘Bloody tanistry: Authority and succession in the Ottoman, Indian Muslim, and Later
    Chinese Empires’, a paper for the Conference on the Theory of Democracy and Popular Participation,
    Bellagio, Italy, 1978.
    78 Christian, ‘State formation in the inner Eurasian steppes’, p. 64.
    79 Barfield, The Perilous Frontier, p. 1.
    80 Vámbéry, The Coming Struggle for India, p. 128. See also Saikal, Modern Afghanistan , p. 30.
    81 The Times, 1 May 1871, p. 10.
    82 K. Nourzhanov, ‘Saviours of the nation or robber barons? Warlord politics in Tajikistan’, Central
    Asian Survey, 2005, June, vol. 24, no. 2, 126.
    83 Barfield, The Perilous Frontier, pp. 7–8.
    84 Saikal, A History of Modern Afghanistan , p. 36.
    85 Mousavi, The Hazaras of Afghanistan , p. 95.
    86 Saikal, A History of Modern Afghanistan , p. 184.
    87 Rubin, The Fragmentation of Afghanistan , pp. 111–21.
    88 Rubin, The Fragmentation of Afghanistan , p. 120.
    89 Rubin, The Fragmentation of Afghanistan , p. 130.
    90 Rubin, The Fragmentation of Afghanistan , p. 145.
    91 A. Rashid, Afghanistan and its Future, Eurasianet.org, 26 June 2006. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/ eav062606.shtml> (accessed 29 October
    2008).
    92 A. Baker, ‘Taking aim at the Taliban’, Time, 27 August 2007, pp. 18–21.
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    5
    Xinjiang and Central Asia Interdependency – not integration
    Ann McMillan
    Independent Researcher
    The theme of the workshop at the Griffith Asia Institute in June 2006 was political and economic
    integration in the Xinjiang–Central Asian region. The term integration and the connotations that
    spring to mind with usage of this term do not realistically describe the relationships that exist in this
    region. In fact, it is my contention that there is an enormous dearth of integration between
    neighbouring states in this region. This lack of integration between these states is in many ways to
    the disadvantage of the individual states in that it is hindering progress on numerous fronts such as
    border procedures, trade, water and electricity, to name but a few, that could go some way towards
    alleviating the many societal woes that exist in this area.
    However, whereas there is a dearth of integration, another relationship does exist and that is
    interdependency , and it is this relationship of interdependency that is driving certain agendas in this
    region. This economic and strategic interdependency that has built up since the 1991 break-up of the
    Soviet Union between China, specifically the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XUAR) of the
    People’s Republic of China (PRC), and several of the former Soviet Union (FSU) states, will be
    examined in this paper. The initial emphasis will focus on how this relationship of interdependency
    impacts on the reasoning behind many of the decisions that are made by various governments within
    the region, and the implications of such decisions. The lack of integration among these states is a
    drawback to an individual state when it is dealing with a more powerful neighbour and it is this lack
    of willingness to operate as a group that does to a certain extent benefit one of the major players in
    the area – China.
    Nevertheless, even major players in the region such as China or Russia do not entirely have it their
    own way. When it ‘comes to the crunch’, several leaders in the region put their own personal survival
    and the survival of their regime and power base ahead of any other considerations and it is this
    attitude and, in some cases, distrust of each other, that thwart what could be a mutually beneficial
    relationship between all Central Asian states.
    The United Nations Development Fund (UNDP) in its 2005 report on human development in the
    Central Asian region describes the small amount
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    of integration that does exist in the region as superficial, which is an entirely appropriate way of
    describing the current situation.1 Given this description of the state of affairs within the region, and
    following on from my initial emphasis, this chapter will go a step further and present a brief overview
    of how, if interdependency progressed into full integration for all countries within the Xinjiang–
    Central Asian region, the effects of this integration would bring some degree of benefit to all parties.
    Not only would the more powerful players in the field such as China and Russia benefit, but the
    smaller and less powerful states would also enjoy the rewards of such a relationship which would,
    hopefully, given good governance, flow through to the populace of these countries.
    Xinjiang–Central Asia
    Before proceeding further, I will briefly explain the reasoning behind my grouping of the Xinjiang
    Uyghur Autonomous Region of the People’s Republic of China and the neighbouring FSU states as a
    unit, in an interdependent regional relationship, rather than classifying the FSU states as one unit,
    and Xinjiang as completely separate, as part of the People’s Republic of China. Although the historical
    aspect is extremely important, my reasoning for the inclusion of Xinjiang and the neighbouring FSU
    states in this unit is that the interdependency issues at play in this region in the first decade of the
    twenty-first century are clearly becoming dominant. A relationship of interdependency covering such
    diverse issues as trade, security and geophysical matters, among others, has been established and
    impacts on several of the neighbouring Central Asian states and Xinjiang in very similar ways. This
    interconnecting and interdependent environment will continue to develop, thereby building this
    relationship into one that must be analysed together, not just as a group of separate states. The
    overlapping issues are assuming added importance as the interdependency between all of these
    actors (Xinjiang and FSU states) deepens. Given this, throughout this chapter I will refer to this
    relationship as either Xinjiang–Central Asia or simply Central Asia.
    To further clarify the point I am making regarding the relationships in Xinjiang–Central Asia, I am not
    using this term interdependency to convey a relationship of total equality between regional states. I
    do acknowledge that the relationships in the Xinjiang–Central Asian region are not equal: China does
    dominate, economically, politically and militarily. However, a condition of interstate dependency does
    exist, and is continuing to expand, and will prove of benefit to all participating parties to some
    extent, as it is not totally a one-way street in favour of China. On the one hand, the bordering FSU
    states and others have what China needs to maintain its economic growth; and on the other hand,
    China can provide funding to these states to enable infrastructure to be built, which in turn can
    benefit local economies. According to Yang et al.:
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    China’s recent growth is simply not sustainable without access to foreign markets and injections of
    foreign capital
    and
    given the size of the Chinese market and the difficulties in pushing around a country as large as
    China, it is already evident that those who benefit from trade with China are very reluctant to sever
    ties of interdependence. It seems that the economic logic of market forces overcomes most
    opposition.2
    This economic interdependency relationship that has formed in the Xinjiang– Central Asian region is
    not only contributing to economic development in the western regions of China, in particular the
    Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous region, but also in several neighbouring FSU states. As this
    interdependency relationship has coalesced and tightened its grip, the relationship with its ever
    strengthening ties is not only countering previous and new tensions such as border demarcation,
    water diversion, inter-state migration of Han Chinese and Islamic activism, it is also restricting
    secessionist movements, primarily emanating from the Uyghur ethnic group, both within Xinjiang and
    in neighbouring countries. Neighbouring countries, several of which have a substantial number of
    Uyghur diaspora residing in their countries, have previously taken an attitude of leniency towards
    them; but this leniency has evaporated as the economic interdependency in the Xinjiang–Central
    Asian region expands. The crackdown against any group that may impact on the stability of the
    region, be it through secessionist movements or religious ideals, is a direct result of the burgeoning
    economic relationships that have arisen and are continuing to take place within the region.
    The predominantly economic interdependency that now exists in the region encompassing Xinjiang
    and several of the bordering FSU states is such that it has assumed an ever increasing importance to
    all of the states involved in this relationship. This interdependency is not solely based on any one
    factor, although the supply and processing of oil and gas is dominant. Xing Guangcheng argues that
    China and Central Asian states have established an entirely new relationship in the last few years. He
    states that this relationship ‘has been developed to establish good neighbourhood relations, and to
    make progress in common economic prosperity for both China and the Central Asian states.’3 Xing
    believes that mutually beneficial economic cooperation can help economic reforms in both China and
    Central Asia; that in expanding its trade and economic relations with Central Asia, China could not
    only alleviate severe economic difficulties in Central Asian states, but benefit from its stable and
    prosperous neighbouring states. Xing further argues that, ‘ to a large extent the stability and
    prosperity of Northwest China is closely bound up with the stability and prosperity of Central Asia.’4
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    Xing’s argument is pertinent. China recognized at a very early stage of its economic reform that in
    order to progress not only the economics of the north-west, but also of the rest of China, it needed
    to expand economically into the Central Asian region. China also recognized that from the viewpoint
    of security, it needed not only to reinforce its profile in Central Asia, but to become a major player in
    order to keep control in Xinjiang, and post-11 September, with the entry of the US forces into the
    Central Asian region, there was a further incentive for Chinese presence in Central Asia. By
    developing the western regions, and more specifically Xinjiang, to tie it closer to the centre (as many
    analysts stated), does not achieve one of the primary objectives of the Chinese government, that of
    stopping any separatist movement within Xinjiang; control of separatist movements must also be
    exercised from the Central Asian side. The Chinese government recognizes that stability in Central
    Asia is essential to guarantee stability in Xinjiang.
    Stephen Blank’s argument is not dissimilar to Xing’s. Blank argues that:
    Chinese scholars explicitly articulate the connection between Xinjiang and Central Asia, arguing that
    China’s policy to expand economic cooperation with Central Asia is undertaken, among other
    reasons, because to a large extent the stability and prosperity of northwest China is closely tied to
    Central Asia’s stability and prosperity.5
    Chinese expansion into the Central Asian region has in the past been mainly for military purposes,
    but the current push by China into this region is largely an economic exercise. To a certain extent the
    military priority has been superseded, but not downgraded, by economics. Following the break-up of
    the Soviet Union, pressure has been taken off the previous Sino-Soviet border zone in this area, with
    the FSU states providing a buffer zone between the two major powers.
    China, in its relationship with neighbouring states, has been the ‘soul of diplomacy’ in most instances.
    Border disputes that were left over from what is now two centuries ago have been amicably (to
    some) agreed upon. However, not all have been happy with decisions taken by the various
    government leaders, which has led to ongoing tensions both within and without states, and one of
    the issues that have provoked dissent within the states involved in the interdependency relationship
    is border demarcation. In the introduction to this chapter I referred to China as being the beneficiary
    of a lack of integration and coordination between states in Central Asia. The border demarcation and
    water diversion of transboundary river systems is one such instance, and a very important instance,
    where the former FSU states may have produced a better outcome, especially where the diversion of
    the Ili and Irtysh river systems by China is concerned, if matters had been negotiated as a unified
    group, including the involvement of the other affected party in that particular instance of water
    diversion, Russia, rather than as individual states.6 However, it is the specific issue of the border
    agreement between
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    China and Kyrgyzstan that will be addressed in this instance because of its ongoing relevance.
    Since the break-up of the Soviet Union, Russia, China, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan,
    Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan have all been involved in high-stakes negotiations to define their
    respective borders. Strong-arm politics, economic pressures, shadowy backroom deals, nationalist
    sentiments, public dissatisfaction and an environment of mutual mistrust have marked this process.7
    Although border demarcation issues in the region have been resolved to some extent, and certainly
    China has put a lot of effort into attempting to solve its long-standing border disputes, all may not
    be quite as cut-and-dried as initially thought.
    The demarcation of the China–Kyrgyzstan border is one such instance in which, because of the way
    it was negotiated, the result has been dissatisfaction within Kyrgyzstan. In early 2003, a power
    struggle took place between the executive and legislative branches of government in Kyrgyzstan and
    the parliament deputy Azimbek Beknazarov was arrested on abuse of power charges. This charge,
    according to some sources, seemed to disguise the real problem, which was that Beknazarov had
    been a vocal critic of the Kyrgyz government’s decision to cede large portions of the Kyrgyz territory
    to China, Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan. His committee rejected two Chinese–Kyrgyz agreements
    signed in 1996 and 1999 respectively that called on Kyrgyzstan to transfer about 125,000 hectares of
    territory to China in order to settle a territorial dispute.8 The territory in question borders the south
    of Xinjiang, and is in the south of Kyrgyzstan in the Uzengi–Kuush Valley that is situated between the
    provinces of Issyk-Kul and Naryn.
    Although this land deal between the former President Akayev of Kyrgyzstan and the Chinese
    government did not pass through the Kyrgyz parliament in what would normally be termed the
    correct procedure, the local people affected by this loss of land to China were not concerned because
    the land was of poor quality (or so I was informed). It may well be that the land is of poor quality,
    not easily accessible from the Kyrgyz side and seemingly sparsely populated, if at all, but it has what
    China is seeking from wherever they can access it, and that is water. This territory has large volumes
    of fresh water in mountain glaciers.9
    It did appear at the time that the border demarcation issue was being used by political opponents of
    the former Kyrgyz president to generate unrest, since protests did not start in the disputed area, but
    were instigated in a remote province of the Jalal-Abad region of Kyrgyzstan in Aksy by the local
    member of that region, Azimbek Beknazarov, who is a very vocal critic of the territorial concessions.
    Concessions made in border negotiations can be rich fodder for political oppositions (in those Central
    Asian states where opposition groups are allowed to operate), and this has served to further
    constrain the latitude of governments to compromise.10 The main problem with the Chinese/Kyrgyz
    demarcation agreement is that a so-called ‘backroom deal’
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    took place without the authority of the parliament or the wishes of the people being taken into
    account.
    Akayev’s administration and legislators had long been at loggerheads over the delimitation of the
    country’s border with China. The confrontation began brewing in May 2001, when legislators
    discovered the administration’s intention to transfer territory to China.11 MPs contended that, while
    the 1996 agreement was ratified by the previous parliament, officials kept the 1999 amendment
    secret. Opposition deputies also maintained that under Kyrgyz law, ratification of such border
    agreements required a two-thirds majority of votes.12
    According to the then opposition leaders, the 10 May 2002 session of the Legislative Assembly –
    during which the lower house ratified the land transfers – lacked the necessary two-thirds majority.
    They also say the government violated other procedural requirements by not making available to MPs
    specific information concerning the transfer, including topographical maps.13 Government officials
    told local media that Kyrgyzstan could not risk incurring China’s wrath by reneging on the deal.
    During the 10 May parliamentary session, for example, the then pro-governmental deputy Turdakun
    Usubaliev portrayed China as a ‘sleeping dragon’. Akayev, who attended this session, hinted that
    China would exert military pressure on Kyrgyzstan in the event that parliament did not ratify the
    treaties.14 Thus border demarcation is seen as another instance in which China has achieved an
    outcome that on the surface appears to be all to China’s benefit rather than an equitable solution for
    all concerned. There is real unease in Central Asia from many sectors that China is overriding any
    objections, whether it be in matters such as water diversion or border demarcation, and that the
    Central Asian neighbouring states are unable to achieve equality in these matters.
    In March 2005 Kyrgyzstan experienced the ousting of its president of 14 years, Askar Akayev, in the
    ‘Tulip Revolution’. Flawed elections, corruption and general discontent with his leadership among
    other matters – including, once again, dissatisfaction with the outcome of the delineation of the
    Kyrgyz–Chinese border – led to Akayev’s downfall. However, whereas the border issue will continue
    to surface on a regular basis, especially when it suits a political purpose, it is unlikely to cause a
    major rift between Kyrgyzstan and China simply because Kyrgyzstan’s needs from China now and in
    the foreseeable future far outweigh anything China could possibly require from Kyrgyzstan. Apart
    from that, the country’s current president, Kurmanbek Bakiyev, seems certain to continue Akayev’s
    balancing act of being amenable to both Russia’s offer of friendship and prospects of improved
    cooperation with China.15
    Trade with China is increasingly significant to all the states in the region, but its economic presence
    is largest in Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan. Kyrgyzstan hopes to be a gateway to China because both
    are members of the World Trade Organization. Yet the Kazakhs and the Kyrgyz understand there is
    no way that the future of their countries can be fully separated from that of
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    China. And there is little indication that they have become more nervous about China in the past few
    years.16
    In fact, the opposite seems to be true. Both countries appear a bit more comfortable in their ability
    to manage the relationship with Beijing, which they see as sometimes requiring concessions on their
    part, as was the case with delineation of their borders. The long-term relationship with China could
    prove more problematic than the one with Russia: China’s potential power seems almost limitless,
    and the needs of its growing population could overwhelm those of the Central Asians. For the short
    term, however, China’s posture toward the Central Asian states appears generally supportive of the
    goals of these state’s leaders,17 especially given the importance China places on stability in the
    Xinjiang–Central Asian region.
    How significant is Xinjiang?
    The Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region is extremely significant to China. Not only is it significant
    because of its geographically strategic position, it also gives China access to the potentially vast
    quantities of oil and gas in the Central Asian–Caspian area, which can in turn supply much-needed
    energy resources in order to fuel China’s economic development. At the same time, it reopens an
    ancient trade route by providing a springboard for China’s trade expansion into Central Asia, and
    onwards to the Caspian region, the Middle East and Europe. The inlet through Xinjiang provides an
    added source for energy supplies, and as an outlet, it not only functions as a trade route, but it also
    offers additional security to China if, for any reason whatsoever, such areas as the Taiwan Strait
    become unusable.
    Furthermore, as the director of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Organization Department in
    Xinjiang has stated:
    The stability and development of Xinjiang bear on the stability and development of the whole
    country. We must recognize the importance of maintaining stability in Xinjiang from this standpoint …
    we must completely isolate and crack down on a handful of ethnic separatists and serious criminals
    of various kinds.18
    In 1991, the disintegration of the Soviet Union produced five new countries in Central Asia –
    Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan – with a total population of 57
    million people. New borders carved up the region like a jigsaw puzzle. They interrupted trade and
    other human links and weakened critical but vulnerable region-wide water and energy systems. The
    severing of supply connections for industry and agriculture, the flight of many skilled Russians, the
    drying up of subsidies from Moscow, and the disappearance of the central administrative apparatus of
    the Soviet Union led to a dramatic economic collapse. This brought about a significant
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    increase in poverty, severely weakening the region’s human development and human security.19
    Nevertheless, the break-up of the Soviet Union also led to the opening of Central Asia’s previously
    closed borders with China, Iran and, eventually, Afghanistan. This opening up of borders holds the
    potential for reviving the historic trade routes through Central Asia, for sending the region’s rich
    energy resources to world markets, and for establishing dynamic trade and communication links
    between the region and the rest of the world. But if the potential is to be captured it requires the
    Central Asian countries to work together cooperatively towards a common future.20
    Xinjiang borders four former Soviet republics: Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan and a small sliver of
    Russia, as well as four other countries: Mongolia, Afghanistan, Pakistan and India. On the east and
    south-east lie China’s Gansu and Qinghai provinces and the Tibet Autonomous Region.21 Xinjiang’s
    geopolitical location is its most salient feature. During the Cold War, it shared a long border with the
    Muslim underbelly of the Soviet Union; now it has eight neighbours, several of which provide a buffer
    zone between it and Russia. It is the site of China’s nuclear tests and accommodates a heavy military
    presence.22 The combination of geography and security have a major influence on government
    policies in this region, and in recent years this has been emphasized in the ‘Go West Strategy’, a
    government policy which is directed towards more government funding for this region, but also calls
    for private investment from a variety of sources.
    The difference now is that the burgeoning interdependency relationship in the Xinjiang–Central Asian
    area in the first decade of the twenty-first century is possibly tilted more heavily towards the
    economic sector than the security sector. This is not because the security aspect has been
    downgraded; it is simply because the economic development, for China especially, and Xinjiang more
    specifically, is essential in maintaining the overall growth of the Chinese economy, and therefore the
    modernization of the Chinese state. The Chinese government is placing a considerable amount of
    emphasis on economic growth providing stability. China has previously exercised control over the
    trade routes in this region, and this is still highly relevant to the situation today, where China
    appears to be very much in control of this interdependency relationship, and two of the vehicles of
    control are economics and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation.
    The Shanghai Cooperation Organization
    The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) is a vehicle that is starting to show its teeth. Although
    many commentators in the past, and even today, have written off this organization as being of no
    significance, this is an erroneous viewpoint. The SCO has slowly but steadily progressed to the point
    where it has the opportunity to turn into a substantial and influential organization given the extension
    of the present six member states – China, Russia,
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    Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan – to extend observer status, leading to possible
    membership in the future, to Afghanistan, India, Iran, Mongolia and Pakistan.
    The SCO has stated that regional economic cooperation is one of its main tasks. The SCO covers
    territory totalling 30.17 million square kilometres, the population totals 1.5 billion, and the total gross
    domestic product surpasses US$1.5 billion. While China has advantages in textiles, household
    electrical appliances and telecommunications, the other members of the SCO have advantages in
    metallurgy, chemical industry, mechanics, energy sources, space and aviation industry, animal
    husbandry and various other raw materials. At this stage, China does have an advantage in trade
    matters as the other member states are all transitional economies from centrally planned to market-
    oriented, and are also different from each other in their economic strengths and trade regimes.23
    Matthew Oresman stated that many believed that the US deployment to bases in Afghanistan,
    Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan would undermine the need for the SCO, but China and Russia
    had both invested serious political capital in this project and were therefore unwilling to let it fade
    away; they both see the SCO as an essential component of their plans for the region.24 The
    establishment of the secretariat in Beijing and the anti-terrorism centre in Tashkent indicates the
    importance China and Russia have placed on this organization.
    China and Russia continue to solidify their commitment to Central Asia, with China holding its first
    ever combined military exercise with Kyrgyz border forces in October 2002, and Russia committing
    new assets to the Kant air base in Bishkek which is the spearhead for the SCO’s rapid reaction
    forces.25 Following a meeting between the Kyrgyz Defence Minister Esen Topoyev and
    representatives from the General Staff of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army, which took place in
    August 2003 in Kyrgyzstan, China agreed to provide military and technical aid to the Kyrgyz army ‘in
    the form of logistical equipment’ and further agreed that the Kyrgyz military would continue their
    training in Chinese higher military educational establishments in the next few years, and that Beijing
    would continue to allocate resources from the country’s budget for this purpose.26 China’s accession
    to the 2001 SCO treaty stipulates its membership of a collective security organization, thereby
    legalizing for the first time the projection of Chinese troops beyond China’s borders if one of the
    other signatories requests its support.27
    In 2003, both China and Russia increased efforts to dissuade the Uzbeks from further expanding US
    ties. This may be one of the reasons why the long-planned opening of the Regional Anti-terrorist
    Centre in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, was scrapped. On 4 September 2003, Russian Foreign Ministry
    spokesman Aleksander Yakovenko confirmed plans that the centre would be relocated to Tashkent,
    Uzbekistan’s capital.28 This was following a visit to Uzbekistan by Russian President Vladimir Putin,
    where he held talks with Uzbek President Islam Karimov. This visit was seen as being significant
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    because the meeting was Putin’s first visit to Uzbekistan since Karimov contracted a strategic
    partnership with Washington in 2001.29 SCO members had originally planned to establish the anti-
    terrorism centre in the Kyrgyz capital of Bishkek. Karimov’s successful effort to get it moved to
    Tashkent is one of the signs that his regime – having spurned most regional security initiatives, and
    generally shunned Russia, especially after throwing in its lot with the US in the wake of 11
    September 2001 – re-examined the wisdom of putting too many eggs in one basket.30 Karimov at
    this time did a complete turnaround in his attitude towards Russia. Previously he had made countless
    speeches demeaning Russia, but in his speech during the 2003 visit of the Russian president, he
    virtually made a public recantation in Putin’s presence. An emphasis in his speech was that an old
    friend is always better than a new one.31
    Of course, in recent times in Uzbekistan, the Andijan incident has taken place, leading to the
    subsequent termination of the US air base lease. Because of the ongoing repercussions of the Andijan
    incident and its importance in prevailing political considerations in the area and its possible impact on
    neighbouring states, an overview of the incident is necessary.
    On 10 May 2005, media sources reported that approximately 4,000 people had gathered outside the
    courthouse in the eastern city of Andijan to protest in support of 23 residents who were on trial for
    being members of a religious extremist group, Akrimiya.32 On 13 May, the events in Andijan become
    worldwide news.33 During the night of 12 May a group of up to a hundred men reportedly attacked
    a police building and military barracks in the city, seizing guns in the process. They then entered the
    city prison and freed the 23 defendants, together with hundreds more prisoners. The attackers then
    took over the Hokemiyat (government building). The following morning crowds estimated to be up to
    10,000 congregated in the central square, expressing support for the 23 defendants and airing
    grievances.34 According to a Human Rights Watch report, eyewitnesses said that, later that evening,
    the crowd was fired upon by military units and army snipers using heavy-calibre machine guns.
    Unverified accounts claim that up to a thousand people died in the killings. The Uzbek government
    has denied that troops fired on protestors, insisting that only terrorists were targeted and that
    civilians were killed by the terrorists.35
    Following the incident, a group of US senators visited Uzbekistan and called for an independent
    investigation to be carried out by the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), of
    which Uzbekistan is a member. Further demands also came from NATO and the EU. Uzbek
    authorities set up their own investigation.36 The investigation by the Uzbek Prosecutor-General Office
    concluded that the Andijan events were planned and implemented by foreign destructive forces. In
    August 2004 these destructive forces, with the involvement of international terrorist and religious
    extremist organizations such as the Islamic Movement of Turkestan, Hizb-ut Tahrir and one of its
    branches, the Akrimiya, planned to carry out acts of
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    terror in May 2005 with the aim of seizing power and overthrowing the constitutional order.37
    Here we have a very brief outline of the incident giving two very different points of view as to what
    happened in Andijan from the Uzbek government perspective and the outside perspective, which in
    the main consists of various US and European bodies. I would like to add another viewpoint to this
    discussion, which is the viewpoint of Shirin Akiner, published in a Silk Road Paper as an independent
    assessment.38
    Akiner was in Uzbekistan shortly after the occurrence of the Andijan incident and took the
    opportunity to go to Andijan in order to ascertain what may or may not have occurred there on 13
    May 2005. She was in Uzbekistan in order to deal with organizational matters arising from the
    cancellation of a conference which had been due to take place later that month but had been
    aborted in reaction to reports of violence in Andijan.
    The main points that Akiner makes are:
    • It was a carefully prepared attack, not a spontaneous demonstration;
    • This was not a demonstration by peaceful civilians, but by armed men with some degree of military
    training;
    • The action was planned for a Friday to possibly give it a religious overtone;
    • Some of the insurgents were local, but many were from other places in Uzbekistan and
    neighbouring countries;
    • Considerable amounts of foreign currency (US$) were allegedly found on some of the insurgents.39
    To attempt to further clarify certain questions that have arisen as a result of actions either taken or
    not taken by the Uzbek government, I will bring in comment from S. Frederick Starr in his
    introduction to Akiner’s Silk Road Paper.
    Starr asks the obvious question as to why the differences between the different accounts of the
    incident have not been settled by a high-level international fact-finding commission, drawn from
    public citizens and experts with a proven record as dispassionate observers, when such a proposal
    was made by both the European Union and United States but summarily rejected by the Uzbek
    government.40
    As Starr quite rightly points out, Tashkent’s rebuff of this proposal seems the height of irrationality,
    and self-defeating besides. Nonetheless, given what had happened previously, the decision taken by
    the Uzbek government has a certain logic. A year previous to the Andijan incident an Uzbek citizen,
    35-year-old Andrei Shelkovenko, who had been imprisoned for Islamic extremism, died while in
    police custody. Human Rights Watch and other organizations immediately disseminated reports
    asserting categorically that he had died under torture. Most western papers carried these reports.41
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    Meanwhile, however, another international group on the ground in Tashkent, Freedom House,
    proposed that the government of Uzbekistan establish a non-partisan commission of international
    experts to look into the charges. This proposal the Uzbeks duly accepted. A commission was formed;
    among its members were the Chief Forensic Pathologist of the government of Ontario and three-
    times US Ambassador Victor Jackovich. The commissioners were given full access to evidence,
    including to Shelkovenko’s body, which had to be recovered from Human Rights Watch, which had
    illegally hidden it in order to ‘protect the evidence’.42
    The commission found absolutely no evidence to support the claim that Shelkovenko had died under
    torture and much evidence that he had long suffered from a life-threatening medical condition. Yet
    not one major western paper that had carried the earlier story published an update or revision. For
    its part, Human Rights Watch attacked the commission as a gang of Uzbek toadies. Starr believes
    that this previous matter, for better or worse, is the likely reason for which Tashkent now rejects
    calls from Brussels and Washington for an international commission.43 The writer of this chapter also
    concurs with Starr’s conclusion and finds it fully understandable from the viewpoint of the Uzbek
    government that they would have extreme reluctance in allowing a commission to be set up given
    the experience of the Shelkovenko investigation.
    Before ending this brief discussion of the Andijan incident I would like to refer back to a point Akiner
    brought up: the issue of large amounts of American dollars being found on some of the insurgents.
    For several years there have been rumours of outside bodies, namely NGOs or those associated with
    NGOs, funding groups of mainly young men in the Central Asian region for whatever purpose they,
    the NGOs, think fit. Following ‘colour revolutions’ in Central Asia and Eastern Europe in recent times,
    governments in Central Asia have taken action against many NGOs – closing down or restricting their
    operations. Governments in the region, rightly or wrongly, are of the opinion that many of the NGOs
    and associated entities are the source of much of the unrest in the region.
    To conclude this part of the discussion, the question arises as to whether or not such perceived
    interference by NGOs, be it true or not, has an impact on all the states within the region. Since a
    primary focus of this chapter is on the interdependency between China and Central Asian states, it
    would be expected that what has been occurring in Central Asia and elsewhere in relation to NGOs
    would be closely watched by the Chinese government. Certainly, in China, the government has
    heightened scrutiny of NGOs following the ‘colour revolutions’ and this has impacted on local NGOs
    within China as can be seen by their reluctance to comment on the November 2005 toxic spill into
    the Songhua River. The editorial in the China Development Brief summarizes the situation very
    succinctly in stating that
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    the atmosphere in China is not helped by a statement put out by the US State Department in which it
    declares its intention of ‘promoting democracy’ in Iran by funding NGOs. Whatever vision of
    democracy the State Department has – and it appears to be a simplistic vision, uncomplicated by
    much historical understanding – it is a marvel that they cannot see the harm their antics cause to the
    organic development of civil societies across Russia, China and Central Asia.44
    Martha Olcott also comments on this type of perception when she makes the comment that ‘they’
    (meaning the Central Asian states) fell further at odds with Washington during the second
    administration of George W. Bush, when the rhetorical thrust of US foreign policy became focused on
    supporting ‘democratic revolutions’ and ‘freeing the world’s citizens from tyranny’ – policies that could
    be construed as targeting countries in the region, and potentially even Russia and China.45
    The democratization ideals embodied in the Bush administration’s foreign policy have arguably
    undermined American national security by alienating many governments in Central Asia and
    elsewhere in the Islamic world that might otherwise be receptive to strengthening ties with the
    United States. Central Asia, for one, is a more unstable place at present than before Washington
    championed its regime-change agenda, and leaders in the region now view the American government
    not as a force for stabilization, but as a dangerous agent of chaotic change.46 This is one of the
    reasons why integration between countries within the Central Asian region has not progressed. Many
    of the leaders are too focused on protecting their ‘patch’ of territory and power base.
    However, the realization must be there among the majority of these states that this is the only way
    forward if they wish to raise the standard of living in their countries and stabilize the region. As set
    out in the introductory section of this chapter, interdependency certainly does exist and in this
    discussion the interdependency between Xinjiang and neighbouring Central Asian countries has been
    established; who benefits from this state of affairs has been assessed, and the lack of integration has
    been commented on. Because integration needs to happen for the benefit of all of the states in the
    Central Asian region, an overview of the prospects for this to happen will next be considered.
    Integration – what prospect?
    To attempt to get an understanding as to why there is very little in the way of integration in Central
    Asia, a reasonable starting point would be to take a view from the top down; in other words, to look
    at the role of the presidency.
    Strong presidencies emerged from the institution of the Communist Party’s First Secretary in each
    republic at the end of the Soviet era. Presidential elections took place in all the new states shortly
    after independence, but their competitiveness was severely circumscribed. Subsequent presidential
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    referenda, constitutional changes and presidential elections were designed to increase and
    consolidate the power of the chief executive. Even those regimes that had initially liberalized the
    political and/or economic spheres in the early post-Soviet years increasingly followed the more
    autocratic political model of Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. According to constitutional scholars, by
    1996, all the Central Asian regimes had become ‘super-presidential’ systems, in which the president
    and his administration (the ‘apparat’) control political decision-making while the parliament and
    courts are only nominally independent.47 Thus we have seen situations occurring where in matters
    such as border demarcation, especially in reference to the Kyrgyzstan/China border, lack of
    transparency and consultation with the appropriate authorities has been deficient.
    A direct holdover from the Soviet system and political culture is the centralized level of control with
    which the Central Asian presidents seek to manage domestic political and economic systems and
    relations with their neighbours. Although the ideological belief in communism has all but disappeared,
    the belief in the need for state-directed and state-managed economic activity has persisted. The
    presidents characteristically have a high level of distrust of their counterparts in the region, despite a
    significant number of shared interests. They have worries that their neighbours’ actions – whether in
    the area of political liberalization or economic reform or security measures – will impede the security,
    sovereignty and legitimacy of their own state and regime.48
    The Central Asian presidents’ general perspectives on key foreign policy issues have varied
    substantially, while shaping the framework within which they view issues of regional cooperation and
    integration. As has been referred to previously, the Uzbek leadership had since the early 1990s been
    opposed to a Russian presence on Uzbek territory before an about-face, and most recently
    Uzbekistan has turned even more towards Russia in an apparent reversal of external political
    direction. At the same time, it has favoured bilateral regional relations over multilateral approaches,
    and generally has not played a lead role in any of the regional institutions, including the SCO, while
    hosting the SCO’s regional anti-terrorism centre in its capital city of Tashkent.49
    The UNDP-HDR-CA report which is cited throughout this chapter, when discussing integration within
    the Central Asian region, as previously pointed out, uses the term ‘superficial’. It attempts to
    quantify, within the report, the impact in terms of economic losses and gains, and the number of
    people involved, in these states’ not cooperating and integrating. When regional cooperation
    problems are discussed, benefits for the country are considered to be benefits for everybody in the
    country. As the report points out, it is difficult to understand why governments and other
    stakeholders fail to cooperate. However, one must not ignore the multiplicity of interests within
    countries, which imply that benefits for a country are a net result of gains for some and losses for
    others. The resulting position of the country’s
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    leadership may not coincide with the interests of those who benefit from cooperation.50
    It is necessary to distinguish cooperation’s winners and losers. The position then adopted by a
    country’s leadership depends on who – the winners or the losers – is currently in power. This
    explains also why some pro-cooperation agreements are poorly implemented. Those who conclude
    the agreements (national government officials) could be interested in cooperation, while those
    implementing them (local officials) may stand to lose out and therefore sabotage the agreements,
    deliberately or unwittingly.51 Who are the winners and losers from cooperation? As cooperation
    brings increased efficiency, transparency and long-term gains, winners would be those who are
    competitive, who are poor (because cooperation lowers prices and creates jobs), and who have a
    long-term perspective.52 Losers would be rent-seekers of all kinds – corrupt government officials,
    businesspeople preserving their monopoly and/or economizing on environmental protection, and
    unskilled workers fearing competition from migrants.53
    What way forward for integration?
    To quote the UNDP:
    The main external role in the regional integration process of Central Asia can be played by Russia,
    China and the major international technical assistance agencies operating under the aegis and in
    close cooperation with the UN. At the same time, Afghanistan and Iran are the most appropriate and
    strategic transport bridges to the global economy.54
    For geographic, linguistic and historical reasons, the position taken by the UNDP is entirely practical
    and logical while also possibly being, at the present time and in the foreseeable future, especially as
    far as transport bridges are concerned, rather optimistic.
    The most important economic partner for the Central Asian republics is Russia. It has fewer language
    and cultural barriers than others, and offers a vast market, a haven for job seekers, a centre for
    higher education and a source of investment capital. An active partner bilaterally, Russia is engaged
    in most of Central Asia’s regional organizations.55
    The second most important regional economic partner is China. With China engaged in an intensive
    search for new sources of energy to fuel its rapid economic growth, its capital investment in Central
    Asia’s energy sector has grown rapidly. In addition, China’s interest in having stable neighbours has
    kindled its engagement in Central Asia’s economic and political future. Both China and Russia are key
    security partners for the region, mainly through the SCO, which addresses the region-wide problems
    of terrorism and illegal trafficking in drugs and weapons.56 As mentioned previously, the SCO
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    also gives China the mechanism to counter separatist movements both within its borders and in
    neighbouring states.
    The growing sense of mutual security interests and the utility of the SCO in addressing those
    interests have opened up a basis for greater trust and cooperation in other areas. There is an
    opportunity now to build on the shared perception of a need to address common security concerns
    and on the recognition that economic cooperation is an important ingredient in fostering better
    regional development, security and stability.
    However, hindrances to further economic reform and regional cooperation and integration have
    emerged from the presidential institutions, from powerful business interests linked to governments,
    and from the middle and lower levels of the public administrations and security services.57
    These obstacles are closely related to problems of political and economic governance. The formal
    governmental institutions and the widespread informal networks and interest groups have developed
    a symbiotic relationship that benefits from the status quo, at least in the short term. In one country,
    Kyrgyzstan, the political economy has already led to the completion of a vicious cycle in which these
    powerful interest groups have exploited their privileged positions, avoided accountability, and
    repressed competition and opposition, to the point where the opposition reacted in a radical manner
    and overthrew the regime. Unstable social and economic conditions threaten to bring political
    instability and regime breakdown unless the underlying problems are addressed. The collapse of the
    Kyrgyz regime and recent violence in Uzbekistan to differing degrees and in different ways
    demonstrate this process.58
    Before summarizing this chapter, the possible scenarios for what may occur in the Central Asian
    region as put forward by the UNDP-HDR-CA report are worth noting. The report distinguishes five
    scenarios according to three major characteristics of cooperation and integration: openness of
    borders, quality of regional institutions, and scope – breadth and intensity – of cooperation. The five
    scenarios include a pessimistic scenario, where the region takes a step back in all three dimensions
    with very little if any cooperation; a status quo scenario, which perpetuates the current relatively
    low-key approaches; a cluster scenario, where some countries in the region cooperate and integrate,
    but others more or less isolate themselves from their neighbours; a scenario of proactive
    cooperation, with many more open borders, stronger regional institutions, and a broad-gauged scope
    of cooperation that is also intensive in some areas; and a deep integration scenario, where borders
    are fully open for trade, capital and labour, there are strong regional institutions, and the scope of
    cooperation is broad and deep across the board (approaching that of the European Union, for
    example).59
    The UNDP-HDR-CA report does not regard the pessimistic scenario as likely for Central Asia in the
    foreseeable future. While some countries, in particular Turkmenistan, can afford to follow this
    approach for some time to come, due to their energy resources and their access to markets outside
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    Central Asia, the costs of this isolationist scenario for the region would be severe in terms of
    economic stagnation, poverty and political instability and conflict. All indications are that the Central
    Asian countries, with the possible exception of Turkmenistan, do not see isolationism as a desirable
    scenario. The status quo option is more likely, but it too has high costs from risks and forgone
    benefits, which appear to be appreciated at least by some of the countries in the region. This leads
    to two possible alternative scenarios in the foreseeable future: the cluster and proactive cooperation
    scenarios. Under the former, some of the countries would cooperate and integrate more with each
    other and the rest of the world. This would most likely involve Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan,
    if we extrapolate from the current trends in virtually all important areas – trade, transport and
    transit, water and energy, border management and social sectors. In contrast, Uzbekistan and
    especially Turkmenistan remain for now on a more isolationist path.60
    A special area for cooperation is national and regional security – impetus on this issue has been
    gathering recently in Central Asia and this is where an organization such as the SCO can lead the
    way. However, there is a risk with the current joint concerns about regional and national security in
    Central Asia. In the wake of the ‘colour revolutions’ in Georgia and Ukraine, and the forceful removal
    of the Kyrgyz government by protestors in March 2005, followed by the violent events in Uzbekistan
    in May 2005, Central Asian governments have perceived their countries’ stability and their own
    survival threatened by the growth of civil society, by opposition movements, and by radical and
    terrorist forces from inside and outside their borders. This has led governments, mutually supportive
    of each other and backed by China and Russia, to clamp down on these perceived and real political
    threats. While this may help maintain short-term stability, it will not help to build the kind of
    transparent, accountable and honest government structures that are essential in the longer term for
    a stable, peaceful, integrated and cooperative region that will bring some degree of benefits to all the
    states in the Xinjiang–Central Asian region.61
    Conclusion
    China’s influence adds a very important new geostrategic dimension to Central Asian relations. China
    is not yet dominant in any single Central Asian country, nor is it yet comparable in stature to the
    Russians by tradition and history, or to the US presence. Nonetheless, China’s steady expansion of
    regional involvement with the SCO is a geopolitical watershed. China, in effect, is returning to the
    region as a major player.62
    China has not allowed the US move into the Central Asian region to disrupt its agenda. It knows that
    internal stability within China is essential, and China’s development of the western regions, especially
    Xinjiang, and its progression into Central Asia has progressed at a very rapid pace. Notwithstanding
    the rapidity of China’s progression in the Xinjiang–Central
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    Asian region, and its seeming dominance in diverse areas in this region, there has been a relatively
    soft approach from China. They are not taking an aggressive stance. In fact, in many regards, they
    have been very conciliatory, or have given the appearance of being so. This has been evident when
    negotiations on such issues as border demarcation or access to energy have taken place, while
    keeping in mind that, in most instances, the Chinese have obtained their objective. Their primary
    purpose at the present time is to attain and preserve internal stability, and for a vast country such as
    China, with its large and diverse population, this is not an easy goal.
    China has economic might. This economic might is being used in a way that benefits its Central
    Asian neighbours. Chinese money and expertise is flowing into the economies of its neighbours in the
    Xinjiang–Central Asian region. For Central Asia, Chinese investments bring needed capital and
    technical knowledge, and Chinese development assistance offers trade credits and investment
    capital.63
    China has achieved what it set out to accomplish. It has extended its influence into Central Asia.
    New trade routes have been opened, additional sources of energy have been obtained, and last, but
    not least, China has gone a long way towards suppressing, and obtaining the cooperation of other
    countries to suppress, separatist movements both within and outside of Xinjiang. This relationship of
    economic and strategic interdependency in Xinjiang–Central Asia is such that governments involved
    in this relationship are making decisions based on this relationship. To a certain extent, this is in
    China’s favour at the present time, although, as pointed out in the introduction, it is not completely
    one-way as the neighbouring states have what China needs to expand, and that is energy resources.
    Superficial integration is not the way forward; neither is the present state of interdependency. While
    interdependency has certainly brought benefits to all of the states engaged in this relationship, it has
    also produced decisions by individual governments that may rebound on both participating parties in
    the future. Integration, in its fullest sense, could and should produce a more balanced and beneficial
    climate of cooperation. However, for this to happen regional organizations need to lead the way and
    this is where a ‘home-grown’ organization such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, for one,
    could play a pivotal role.
    Notes
    1 UNDP Human Development Report for Central Asia 2005, Central Asia Human Development Report.
    Bringing down barriers: Regional Cooperation for Human Development and Human Security . Online.
    Available HTTP: <http:/hdr.undp.org/
    docs/reports/regional/CIS_Commonwealth_of_Independent_States/Central_Asia_2005_en.pdf>
    (accessed 30 October 2008). (Hereafter referred to as UNDP-HDR-CA 2005).
    2 Richard H Yang, Jason C. Hu, Peter K.H. Yu and Andrew N.D. Yang (eds), Chinese Regionalism: the
    Security Dimension, Colorado: Westview, 1994, p. 8.
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    3 Guangcheng Xing, ‘China and Central Asia: towards a new relationship’ in Yongjin Zhang and
    Rouben Azizian (eds), Ethnic Challenges Beyond Borders: Chinese and Russian Perspectives of the
    Central Asian Conundrum , Basingstoke: Macmillan, 1998, p. 32.
    4 Xing, ‘China and Central Asia: towards a new relationship’, p. 35. The italics are Xing’s own
    emphasis.
    5 Stephen Blank, ‘Xinjiang and China’s strategy in Central Asia’, Asia Times, 3 April 2004. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/ FD03Ad06.html> (accessed 30 October
    2008).
    6 For a detailed examination of the impact of the diversion of the Ili and Irtysh rivers see Ann
    McMillan, Effects of interdependency in the Xinjiang–Central Asian region , unpublished PhD thesis,
    Griffith University, 2004.
    7 ‘Central Asia: border disputes and conflict potential’, ICG Asia Report no. 33 . 4 April 2002. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index-.cfm?id=1439&l=1> (accessed 30 October
    2008).
    8 Alisher Khamidov, ‘MP’s arrest focuses attention on executive-legislative struggle in Kyrgyzstan’,
    Eurasia Insight, 9 January 2002. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/rights/articles/eav010902.shtml> (accessed 30 October
    2008).
    9 Albert Bogdanov, ‘China opening Kyrgyz market’, Times of Central Asia, 13 February 2003.
    10 ‘Central Asia: border disputes and conflict potential’, Times of Central Asia, 12 April 2002.
    11 Alisher Khamidov, ‘Protests continue despite government crackdown in Kyrgyzstan’, Eurasia
    Insight, 20 May 2002. Online. Available HTTP: <http://
    www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav052002.shtml> (accessed 30 October 2008).
    12 Khamidov, ‘Protests continue despite government crackdown in Kyrgyzstan’.
    13 Khamidov, ‘Protests continue despite government crackdown in Kyrgyzstan’.
    14 Khamidov, ‘Protests continue despite government crackdown in Kyrgyzstan’.
    15 Martha Brill Olcott, ‘The great powers in Central Asia’, Current History , October 2005. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.currenthistory.com/Article. php?ID=361> p. 3 (accessed via Carnegie
    Institute, <http://www.carnegie endowment.org/files/CurHistOlcott.pdf>, 30 October 2008).
    16 Olcott, ‘The great powers in Central Asia’, p. 8.
    17 Olcott, ‘The great powers in Central Asia’, p. 3.
    18 Chen Demin, quoted in XJRD, 10 May 1996, p.1, FBIS, 29 May 1996, p.72, quoted in James D.
    Seymour and Richard Anderson, New Ghosts, Old Ghosts: Prisons and Labor Reform Camps in China ,
    Armonk: ME Sharpe, 1998, p. 121.
    19 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, p. 20.
    20 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, p. 20.
    21 June Dreyer, ‘The PLA and regionalism in Xinjiang’, Pacific Review , 1994, vol. 7, no. 1, 4.
    22 Sean L. Yom, ‘Uighur Muslims and separatism in China: a looming dilemma’, Briefing Notes on
    Islam, Society and Politics , Washington: CSIS, 2001, September, vol. 4, no. 1, 16. Alson online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.iias.nl/iiasn/27/ 06_IIASNewsletter27.pdf> (accessed 13 November
    2008).
    23 ‘Economic cooperation to add new life to SCO’, People’s Daily, 29 May 2002.
    24 Matthew Oresman, ‘Day of reckoning for China–Central Asian group’, Asia Times, 24 May 2003.
    Online. HTTP: <http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_ Asia/EE24Ag02.html> (accessed 30 October
    2008).
    25 Oresman, ‘Day of reckoning’.
    26 ‘Kyrgyzstan, China reach military collaboration accord’, ITAR-TASS News
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    Agency , Moscow, reported on the BBC monitoring newsfile. Also available online in Australia via
    factiva database (last accessed 12 September 2003).
    27 Stephen Blank, ‘Central Asia’s great base race’, Asia Times, 19 December 2003. Online. Available
    HTTP: <http://atimes01.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/ EL19Ag01.html> (accessed 30 October
    2008).
    28 McDermott, Roger N., ‘Shanghai cooperation organization takes significant step towards viability’,
    Eurasia Insight, 5 September 2003. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav090503b.shtml> (accessed 13
    November 2008).
    29 Adam Albion, ‘Putin in Samarkand: the “old friend” returns’, RFEFL, 11 August 2003. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.rferl.org/content/Article/ 1142977.html> (accessed 20 October 2008).
    30 Albion, ‘Putin in Samarkand’.
    31 Albion, ‘Putin in Samarkand’.
    32 Akrimiya or Akramia. Break-away group from Hizb ut-Tahrir (HT) founded by previous member of
    HT, Akram Yuldashev.
    33 ‘Uzbekistan: Year in Review 2005 – Growing Isolation’, IRIN, Ankara, 12 January 2006. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.irinnews.org/Report.aspx?Report Id=33646> (accessed 30 October
    2008).
    34 ‘Uzbekistan: Year in Review’.
    35 ‘Uzbekistan: Year in Review’.
    36 ‘Uzbekistan: Year in Review’.
    37 ‘Uzbekistan: Year in Review’.
    38 Shirin Akiner, Violence in Andijan, 13 May 2005: An Independent Assessment, Silk Road Paper
    July 2005, Central Asia–Caucasus Institute Silk Road Studies Programme, 0507Akiner. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.isdp.eu/files/publications/srp/05/sa05violencein.pdf> (accessed 30
    October 2008).
    39 Akiner, Violence in Andijan, pp. 12, 32–3.
    40 S. Frederick Starr, ‘Introduction’, in Akiner, Violence in Andijan, p. 7; and Akiner, Violence in
    Andijan, pp. 12, 32–3.
    41 Starr, p. 8.
    42 Starr, pp. 8–9.
    43 Starr, p. 9.
    44 Editorial section, China Development Brief , 2006, March, vol. X, no. 2, 2. Online. Available HTTP:
    <www.chinadevelopmentbrief.com/node/7> (accessed 30 October 2008).
    45 Olcott, ‘The great powers in Central Asia’, p. 2.
    46 Dmitry Shlapentokh, ‘Rethinking the Islamic radical threat’, Eurasianet Book Review , posted 14
    April 2006. Online. Available HTTP: <http://
    www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav041406.shtml> (accessed 30 October 2008).
    This comment by Shlapentokh is at the end of his book review of John Gray, Al Qaeda and What it
    Means to be Modern, New York: The New Press, 2003.
    47 Stephen Holmes, ‘Superpresidentialism’, East European Constitutional Review , Fall 1993/Winter
    1994, pp. 123–6, quoted in UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, pp. 188–90.
    48 UNDP Country Background Studies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan.
    Forthcoming in Problems of Economic Transition. Quoted in UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, pp. 188–90.
    49 ‘UNDP Country Background Study: Kazakhstan’, pp. 188–90.
    50 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, p. 189.
    51 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, p. 189.
    52 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, p. 189.
    53 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, p. 189.
    54 UNDP Country Background Study: Uzbekistan. Prepared for the UNDP
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    Regional Bureau for Europe and the CIS Central Asian Human Development Report. ‘Bringing down
    barriers: regional cooperation for human development and human security’. Forthcoming in Problems
    of economic transition. Quoted in UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, p. 203.
    55 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, p. 204.
    56 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, p. 204.
    57 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, pp. 202–3.
    58 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, pp. 200–1.
    59 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, p. 226.
    60 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, p. 226
    61 UNDP-HDR-CA 2005, pp. 225–6.
    62 Zbigniew Brzezinski, foreword in Bates Gill and Matthew Oresman, ‘China’s new journey to the
    West: China’s emergence in Central Asia and implications for US interests’, Centre for Strategic and
    International Studies , Washington, August 2003. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.csis.org/component/option,com_ csis_pubs/task,view/id,15/> (accessed 30 October
    2008).
    63 UNDP-HDR-CA, pp. 204–7.
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    6
    Uyghurs in the Central Asian Republics Past and present
    Ablet Kamalov
    Central Asian Resource Center, Kazakhstan
    Uyghurs have communities in almost all of the newly independent Central Asian Republics varying
    from the largest one in Kazakhstan to the smallest group in Tajikistan. With the exception of Uyghurs
    living in the Ili Valley borderlands, which were annexed by the Russian Empire in the nineteenth
    century, who finally found themselves in present-day Kazakhstan, most of the Uyghur communities in
    Central Asia were formed as a result of Xinjiang’s (East Turkestan) geographic proximity and
    migrations caused by internal events in the Uyghur homeland as well as international relations. Two
    main regions densely populated by the Uyghurs in Central Asia until recent times were the
    Semirechye Valley in present Kazakhstan, and the Ferghana Valley (Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan).
    These two main Uyghur groups in Central Asia were made up respectively by the northern Uyghurs
    (Taranchi) from the Kulja region and those who migrated from Kashgaria, the southern realm of East
    Turkestan. These two communities differed not only in the regional representation of the Uyghur
    population in their homeland, but also in the history of their establishment.
    For the Semirechye Uyghurs the starting point of their population’s growth was the Russian
    occupation of the Ili Taranchi (Uyghur) Sultanate in 1871 and the resettling of the Sultan family from
    Kulja, a capital of the Sultanate, to the Russian citadel of Verny (the present city of Almaty,
    Kazakhstan). However, the first major regional population movement across the Qing–Russian border
    occurred in 1881–4 when large numbers crossed over to avoid the Qing imperial armies reoccupying
    the Qing portion of the Ili Valley. Part of the provision of the Treaty of St Petersburg concluded
    between the two empires included the Qing ceding a portion of the western Ili Valley to Russia for
    the resettlement of Chinese Muslims and Uyghur refugees. The return of the Kulja area to the Qing
    was accompanied by the resettlement of a considerable number of Uyghur families who feared
    reprisals and chose not be reintegrated into the Qing Empire. The resettlement of the Uyghur farmers
    was organized by the Russian administration in 1881–4.1 By 1884 more than 45,000 Uyghurs had
    moved from the Kulja area to the Russian portion of the Ili Valley. In the Russian portion of the Ili
    Valley (Semirechye), the Uyghur migrants founded the town of Yarkend and
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    approximately ninety smaller settlements ( qishlaq ).2 Six districts ( volost’) were established for the
    Uyghur migrants in Yarkend, Aksu, Charyn, Koram and Karassu, and four settlements in Verny. From
    this time the Uyghurs have been one of the three main ethnic groups in the Russian portion of the Ili
    Valley along with the Kazakhs and the Russians.
    The formation of an Uyghur community in another part of Central Asia, the Ferghana Valley, differed
    from that of the Semirechye area. Unlike the migration to Semirechye, which took place within a
    couple of years and involved a significant number of Uyghurs, the migration to the Ferghana Valley
    was characterized by an infiltration of small groups of Uyghurs moving from Kashgar, Aksu and
    Yarkand. The motives for their migration were not only political, such as Chinese expansion and the
    struggle of different religious groups, but also economic, such as shortage of lands and trade
    relations. By the middle of the nineteenth century, ancestors of the Ferghana Uyghurs had
    established a number of settlements along the Kara Darya and Naryn rivers in the eastern part of the
    Ferghana Valley. Here, as well as in Semirechye, the Uyghur immigrants established settlements in
    accordance with their kinship patterns. By the end of the nineteenth century a relatively small group
    of Uyghurs also moved further from Semirechye to the Mary region in present Turkmenistan and
    settled in the village of Bairam-Ali.3
    Uyghur migrations across Central Asian frontiers
    The size of the Uyghur population in Russian Central Asia was very much affected by other
    migrations across Central Asian frontiers.4 As a result of the upheaval of the Bolshevik Revolution an
    Uyghur migration ( köch-köch) back to China occurred in 1918, when a group of militia led by
    Commissar Murayev organized a mass extermination of the Uyghurs in the Semirechye region.
    Bayanday and Tashken-saz were two local villages where significant numbers of Uyghurs were killed
    because of the perception that they were anti-Soviet. The soldiers were allied with the emerging Red
    Army. Families heard of the violence and packed up their belongings and moved to the agricultural
    villages across the Republic of China border in order to avoid a Bolshevik terror against Uyghurs,
    apparently in collaboration with the White Russians. Local Uyghur families in Kazakhstan still speak of
    that year as atu yili or ‘the year of the shooting/killing’ that was part of the local violence initiated by
    the Bolsheviks. The shooting became known generally as ‘ Atu’ and during the Soviet period this
    theme was a closed one for public or official discussion.
    In the late 1920s through to the early 1930s there was another population shift of Uyghur and
    Kazakh families from the USSR to China. These families were escaping the terrors of Stalin’s regime
    against the kulaks or prosperous peasants along with many other Turkic peoples across Central Asia.
    As is well known, at that time millions of Kazakhs died of starvation, which was a natural outcome of
    the policy of forced collectivization pursued by the Soviet
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    regime in the agricultural sphere. Many individuals who moved to China nonetheless kept their Soviet
    identification papers in the hope or anticipation of themselves or their children returning to their
    villages and homes. Indeed, Soviet archival materials show that the period between 1930 and 1931
    was the peak of such migration of the Uyghurs from the USSR to Xinjiang.
    In 1932 Sheng Shicai, the Han Chinese warlord in Xinjiang, with the help of Soviet troops, defeated a
    Chinese Muslim army that had besieged the city of Urumqi. For the rest of the 1930s the Soviet
    influence in Xinjiang grew so comprehensive that some scholars believe it became actually a semi-
    colony of the Soviet Union.5 The Soviet government sent instructors and advisors, including many
    Uyghurs and Kazakhs, to Xinjiang in virtually every field. At the same time, Central Asian higher
    education institutions helped train Uyghur specialists for the Xinjiang economy. The heyday of the
    Soviet penetration in Xinjiang came later with the establishment of the pro-Soviet East Turkestan
    Republic (ETR) in the three districts of Xinjiang adjacent to Soviet Kazakhstan – those of Ili, Altai and
    Tarbaghatai, in 1944–9.6 This short-lived republic was handed over to the Chinese Communists
    when they came to power in 1949.
    The last large-scale migration of Uyghurs to Soviet Central Asia was that of the 1950–62 period.
    Approximately 60,000 to 100,000 Uyghurs and Kazakhs migrated to the then Soviet republics in
    Central Asia during that decade. According to some estimates, of this number 35,000 to 40,000 were
    Uyghurs. The majority of these people crossed the border in May 1962. This notorious exodus of
    1962, known as ‘the 29 May incident’, was a logical outcome of deteriorating Sino-Soviet relations.
    When it became obvious that this deterioration of bilateral relations would finally lead to the rupture
    of diplomatic relations, before leaving Xinjiang the Soviets arranged a political action, which was to
    demonstrate the failure of the Chinese national minorities policy and cause internal problems for
    Chinese rule in Xinjiang. In supporting the migration of Uyghurs from Xinjiang in the early 1950s, the
    Soviets also satisfied their own labour needs created by the Virgin Lands Project in northern
    Kazakhstan. In 1962, however, the labour needs had been met and the Uyghurs were allowed to
    settle in Alma-Ata and its environs instead. Only a handful of Uyghurs were sent to northern
    Kazakhstan but, unable to adjust, they finally moved to Semirechye. After 1963 the Soviet–Chinese
    border was closed and did not open again until the late 1980s.
    Soviet policy toward Uyghurs
    The primary goal of the Soviet policy towards neighbouring countries was to create a zone of
    friendly, pro-Soviet regimes along the border of the Soviet Union. The same goal was pursued by the
    Soviets in Chinese Central Asia. When this policy succeeded in this region in the 1930s with the
    establishment of the dictatorship of Sheng Shicai, the Soviets played a controversial role in the life of
    the Uyghurs in Xinjiang. On the one hand, it was the Soviet
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    military force that helped suppress anti-Chinese rebellions of the Muslim population and eliminate the
    Turkic Islamic Republic of East Turkestan (TIRET, 1932–3) in the south of the province. On the other
    hand, the Soviets encouraged the local government to accept the Soviet model of national policy
    stimulating development of the Uyghur nation ( millät ). For implementation of this national project in
    Xinjiang the Soviets had to render special state support to their own Uyghur communities. The 1930s
    marked commencement of the wide-scale cultural and educational development of the Soviet
    Uyghurs. Soviet scholars in Central Asia designed and the Publishing Houses printed textbooks in the
    Uyghur language for Xinjiang students. Central Asian universities, especially Central Asian State
    University (SAGU), trained Uyghur specialists for Xinjiang. Such Uyghur cultural institutions as the
    Uyghur Theatre, first set up in Uzbekistan, then moved to Alma-Ata, and newspapers and magazines
    were published in Uyghur to propagate the Communist ideology among the Uyghur population of
    Xinjiang. This external need also thus promoted the institutional development of Uyghur culture in
    Soviet Central Asia, where the cultural centre gradually moved to Alma-Ata, the capital city of
    Kazakhstan. In 1937 the Uyghur district (Uyγur rayoni) was also established on the territory bordering
    with China.
    The need for institutional support for Uyghur culture in the Soviet Union increased with the
    proclamation of the East Turkestan Republic (ETR) in the three westernmost districts of Xinjiang in
    1944–9. The Soviet Uyghurs as well as other Turkic peoples were actively used by the government in
    providing military, economic and cultural support to this pro-Soviet regime.
    The Soviet Union instituted a special policy toward Uyghurs after 1949, when the Uyghurs’ homeland
    became part of Communist China. Initially, during the era of Sino-Soviet friendship, this special
    attitude was necessary to support the cultural development of the Uyghurs in friendly China. During
    the last three decades of the USSR, Soviet treatment of its Uyghur population aimed to show the
    superiority of Soviet national policy over the Chinese attitude toward their own ethnic minorities.
    The cultural achievements of Soviet Uyghurs were widely publicized, and special governmental efforts
    were undertaken to support Uyghur education and culture. As a result of this policy, a wide network
    of Uyghur cultural institutions was established, especially in Kazakhstan and its capital city of Alma-
    Ata. These institutions included a full secondary education system in the Uyghur language (the only
    non-titular nationality in Kazakhstan which had a secondary education system in its own language),
    mass media in Uyghur (five Uyghur newspapers, magazines, radio and television broadcasts), Uyghur
    theatre, and the Uyghur music theatre and dance groups. In addition, there were Uyghur
    departments at some institutions of higher education and in the main publishing houses (including
    that of the Kazakhstan Academy of Science), an Uyghur section at the Association of Kazakhstan
    Writers and the Ministry of Education, an Uyghur group at the Pedagogical Research Institute and a
    special section of Uyghur studies at the Academy of
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    Sciences of the Kazakh SSR. The latter was transformed in 1986 into the Institute of Uyghur Studies.
    Some Uyghur cultural institutions also existed in Uzbekistan. Among them was an Uyghur radio
    station, broadcasting programmes to Xinjiang, and an Uyghur music and dance group, as well as a
    Department of Uyghur Studies at the Institute of Asian and African Studies (formerly the Department
    of Oriental Studies) at Tashkent State University. The special attention paid to Uyghurs in Kazakhstan
    is also illustrated by the appointment of Uyghur Communist Ismail Yusupov as First Secretary of the
    Communist Party of Kazakhstan from 1961 to 1964.7 As T. Rakowska-Harmstone noted, Yusupov’s
    tenure as Kazakhstan’s First Secretary was ‘an unusual departure from the placement pattern in
    Central Asian republics, according to which the position is reserved for a member of the republic’s
    titular nationality. Yusupov was removed along with Khrushchev; as is well known, the new
    leadership attempted initially to improve Sino–Soviet relations.’8
    Although providing Uyghur cultural institutions with special support, the Soviet authorities never
    recognized Uyghurs as an indigenous people of Soviet Central Asia and avoided giving them any
    administrative autonomy. This attitude was reflected in Soviet scholarship on the origins of the
    Uyghurs. Drawing a new ethnic map of Central Asia in the 1920s, the Soviet authorities made official
    historiography responsible for the justification of new policies in Central Asia. From that time on,
    ‘ethnogenesis’ became a main topic in Soviet historiography. Theoretical works and official histories
    of republics, in particular, substantiated the idea of the indigenous origin of titular ‘nations’ and their
    historical right to the territory of the republics. While official Soviet historiography described the
    titular ethnic groups of Central Asian Republics as indigenous peoples, Soviet writings on Uyghur
    history were different, considering east Turkestan as the historical homeland and ethnic territory of
    the Uyghurs and considering them immigrants from that region.
    The only exception was the period of the existence of the East Turkestan Republic, when the leaders
    of the Communist party of Kazakhstan seriously discussed a possibility of establishing the Uyghur
    autonomy oblast within the Kazakh SSR. On February 1947 the Central Committee of the (Bolshevik)
    Communist party of Kazakhstan submitted to the Central Committee of the All-Union (Bolshevik)
    Communist Party a proposal on establishing the Uyghur Autonomous oblast, which would include the
    territories of the Panfilov and October regions of the Taldy-Kurgan oblast and the Chilik, Enbekshi-
    Kazakh, Uyghur, Narynkol and Keghen regions of Alma-Ata oblast. An Uyghur autonomous oblast
    was proposed to resolve the following problems: a) to revive the Uyghur Socialist culture and oppose
    claims of inequality of the Uyghurs; b) to accelerate economic development of the Uyghur region
    bordering the Ili region of Xinjinag, which was a centre of the national liberation movement of
    Muslims in China; and c) to influence the three million Uyghur population of Xinjiang and activate
    their national liberation movement, orientating it toward the Soviet Union. The Uyghur
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    population constituted 20 per cent of the whole population of the planned autonomous oblast
    comprising 23,000 people. The capital of the proposed oblast was to be the town of Panfilov
    (Jarkent/Yarkend).9
    Although this proposal was not approved by Moscow, it nevertheless undertook some additional
    measures for the case of implementing such a plan. Some influential Soviet historians who were
    responsible for the creation of an Uyghur national history raised a problem of an Uyghur ‘trace’ in the
    history of Semirechye. For example, A.N. Bernshtam published an article on the Uyghur epigraphic
    texts from the region. Another special historical work on the ancient and medieval history of the
    Uyghurs was also written by him at the same time, but published later, in 1951.10 Published in
    Uyghur with Arabic script, it was addressed specifically to Uyghur readers in Xinjiang. However, by
    the time of its publication the political situation had changed dramatically and there was no longer a
    need for such a book, which was considered extremely nationalist by the Xinjiang authorities, and
    the Soviets had to withdraw all copies and stop printing further editions. This book became one of
    the main contributions to the Uyghur nationalist concept of their history. It is important to note that
    the widespread idea of Uyghur autonomy within Kazakhstan which circulated among the Uyghur
    intellectuals in Soviet Central Asia was first proposed by the Kazakh Communist leaders.
    With the Communist takeover in China the idea of Uyghur autonomy within Kazakhstan lost ground
    and very soon nobody remembered it. Hence no discussion of Uyghur autonomy within the Soviet
    Republics was allowed and the Soviet authorities prohibited any deviation from the official concept of
    Uyghur origin in historical writings. When Uyghur historian Malik Kabirov, during the perestroika
    period in 1987–88, took pains to prove that Uyghurs were the native people of Semirechye, his
    unpublished manuscript on this issue ‘The Uyghurs as autochthonous people of Semirechye’, was
    officially criticized by the First Secretary of the Communist Party of Kazakhstan, Gennady Kolbin, who
    accused him and all other Uyghur intellectuals of Uyghur nationalism. The Soviets instead
    encouraged studies on the Uyghur migrations from China to the Russian Empire, the major
    contribution to which was ironically made by the same historian, Malik Kabirov, who in 1951 had
    published his research on the history of the Uyghur migration to Semirechye at the end of the
    nineteenth century. At the same time, any other ‘neutral’ topics on Uyghur history and culture were
    welcome, such as the ancient and medieval history. Of special importance for Soviet propaganda
    were publications on the social and cultural achievements of the Uyghurs in the USSR. The
    propaganda nature of academic and popular writings on Uyghurs is witnessed by books such as The
    Revived Uyghur People (Mashur Ruziev) or The Blossoming of Uyghur Culture (M. Khamrayev),
    whose objective was to demonstrate that only in the Soviet Union were the Uyghurs able to revive
    their culture and have it blossom.11
    Soviet policy towards the Uyghur communities in the Central Asian republics was determined by the
    particular character of Sino-Soviet relations. The
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    Soviet Union used its Uyghur communities as a means of manipulating its political interests in
    Xinjiang. Although the promotion of Uyghur culture was made in the context of general Soviet policy
    on nationalities, the Chinese factor had an impact on the special attention paid to Uyghur institutions
    by the Soviet government. Looking at the establishment of Uyghur cultural institutions or at
    significant Uyghur events in Soviet Central Asia in conjunction with Sino-Soviet relations reveals a
    direct correlation between them. Such a correlation can be seen, for instance, in the development of
    Uyghur Studies in the USSR.
    Uyghurs in the Central Asian Republics
    Kazakhstan
    The largest group of Uyghurs in Central Asia is in Kazakhstan. According to the census of 1999,
    Uyghurs made up 210,300 or 1.4 per cent of the total population of the republic (14,953,000). The
    Uyghurs are densely situated in the south-eastern part of Kazakhstan, mainly in Almaty oblast, where
    they inhabit the Uyghur, Chilik, Enbekshi-Kazakh and Panfilov districts, and in and around the city of
    Almaty itself. Uyghurs rank seventh in population among the ethnic groups of Kazakhstan after the
    Kazakhs, Russians, Ukrainians, Uzbeks, Germans and Tatars. Between the census of 1989 and 1999,
    the number of Uyghurs in Kazakhstan increased by 15.9 per cent from 181,000 to 210,300. This
    increment is less than that of Kazakhs (1,488,200 or 22.9 per cent), but higher than those of other
    substantial ethnic minorities (Kurds and Dungans showed the highest percentage).
    The infrastructure of Uyghur cultural institutions still exists in a modified form. The Kazakh
    government continues to support secondary education in Uyghur and Uyghur cultural institutions. At
    present, there are 64 Uyghur schools in Kazkahstan, totalling 21,000 Uyghur pupils. Of these, 15,
    including three schools in the city of Almaty, are ‘pure’ Uyghur, 31 are mixed, and the remainder only
    have Uyghur groups. Cultural and educational institutions and mass media are represented by
    Uyghur musical theatre, Uyghur teachers training groups at Abai State University in Almaty, an
    Uyghur teachers’ college in Jarkent (Panfilov), a newspaper, Uyghur avazi (Voice of Uyghurs, formerly
    Kommunizm tughi [Communist Flag]), and half an hour of television programming per week as well
    as some radio programmes.
    Kyrgyzstan
    In 1999, according to the official data, 46,733 Uyghurs lived in Kyrgyzstan, or about one per cent of
    the total population of the republic (about five million). Their communities were located in two
    regions of Kyrgyzstan; one in the north and one in the south, with different cultural traditions. The
    Uyghur population in the northern part of the country totalled 32,300 people,
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    distributed in the oblasts as follows: Chu − 14,706, Talas − 166, Naryn − 527, Issyk-kul − 3,969,
    and the capital city of Bishkek − 12,932. A smaller number of Uyghurs, 14,433, inhabited the
    southern districts, with the largest group in Osh oblast (10,352), a smaller one in Jalal-abad oblast
    (3,776) and the smallest group in Batkend oblast (305).12 The Uyghurs of northern Kyrgyzstan
    consist of two subgroups, those of the Issyk-kul region, who were originally migrants from
    Kazakhstan and China in the 1950 and 1960s, and those of the capital city of Bishkek and its
    environs (the villages of Lebedinovka, Pokrovka, Malovodnoye, etc.) who came from Kulja and
    Kashgar during the last wave of migration. In southern Kazakhstan, Uyghurs live in Osh oblast.
    Together with the Uyghurs of Andijan vilayet of Uzbekistan they comprise a special group of
    Ferghana Valley Uyghurs.
    During the Soviet period there were no Uyghur cultural institutions in Kyrgyzstan, and the cultural
    needs of the local Uyghurs were served by institutions located in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. As the
    links between Central Asian Uyghur communities weakened after the demise of the Soviet Union, this
    practice also ceased. More recently, some private Uyghur newspapers and the Uyghur Department at
    the Kyrgyz University at Bishkek have been established. At present, Uyghurs also have their own
    public and cultural organizations in Kyrgyzstan.
    Uzbekistan
    In Uzbekistan, Uyghurs live in the Ferghana Valley and the Tashkent region. In the Ferghana Valley
    they are concentrated in the Pakhtabad district of the Andijan vilayet and the city of Andijan. The
    overwhelming majority of Ferghana Uyghurs, as mentioned above, are descendants of migrants from
    southern Xinjiang (Kashgaria). In both parts of the Ferghana Valley, belonging to Uzbekistan and
    Kyrgyzstan, Uyghurs have been under the strong cultural influence of Uzbeks. Uzbekization of
    Uyghurs was facilitated by cultural and linguistic ties. Both Uyghur and Uzbek belong to the same
    Qarluq subgroup of the Turkic linguistic family. In addition, it should be noted that people of
    different ethnic groups in Uzbekistan were forced to change their official nationality to ‘Uzbek’ under
    pressure from the local government, and many Uyghurs fell victim to this policy, which is even more
    pervasive in post-Soviet Uzbekistan. The process of assimilation of Uyghurs in this republic was also
    hastened by the absence of favourable conditions for the development and preservation of their
    language. The only school with instruction in Uyghur existed in Kashgar-qishlaq in the Karassu district
    of Osh oblast in Kyrgyzstan in the 1940s, and was closed long ago. Today, only secondary education
    in Uzbek and Kyrgyz gives Uyghur students the opportunity to continue on to higher education and
    jobs.
    The process of Uzbekization of the Ferghana Uyghurs was already strong during the Soviet period.
    Scholarly expeditions under the direction of G. Sadvakasov, organized in the 1960s by linguists of the
    Section for Uyghur
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    Studies, Academy of Sciences of the Kazakh SSR, revealed the prevalence of bilinguism among the
    Uyghurs. Describing the linguistic situation in the village of Kashgar-qishlaq, Sadvakasov concluded
    that its Uyghur population consisted of those Uzbekicized, those mixed, and those who preserved
    their spoken Uyghur.13 Though there are still groups of people, mostly elderly, who identify
    themselves as Uyghurs in both parts of the Ferghana Valley, these Uyghurs are no longer linked with
    their ethnic relatives in other parts of Central Asia and are at risk of disappearing.
    At the moment there are no official statistic data available on the Uyghur population of Uzbekistan.
    President Islam Karimov openly declared that there is no Uyghur population in Uzbekistan in order to
    avoid problems with China, which is becoming a strategic partner of his regime. However, the census
    of 1989, just before the collapse of the Soviet Union, gave a total number of Uyghurs in this republic
    as 23,000, including 14,009 (39 per cent of all Uyghurs of this republic) in Andijan oblast, 7,964 (31
    per cent) in Tashkent oblast, and 1,107 (22 per cent) in the capital city of Tashkent.14
    Turkmenistan
    The smallest group of Uyghurs in Central Asia is in Turkmenistan. The history of the Uyghur
    community in Turkmenistan commenced with the migration of a group of 272 Uyghur families (1,308
    people from Semirechye to the oasis of Murgab) in 1890. Those Uyghur families settled at Bairam-Ali.
    During the first years of Soviet power, some Uyghur schools were opened in Bairam-Ali and its
    vicinities. The process of assimilation of Uyghurs by the Turkmen majority has resulted in a lack of
    population growth. According to unofficial information provided by the Uyghur cultural centre of
    Turkmenistan, the number of Uyghurs in the early 1990s reached 1,400. In Bairam-Ali, the Uyghurs
    comprised 1.6 per cent of its population (704 people). Some groups of Uyghurs also live in Mary and
    the village of Turkmen-kala. The Turkmenistan Uyghurs are the most isolated group of Central Asian
    Uyghurs, who have practically lost all ties with Uyghur communities in other parts of Central Asia. It
    is obvious that this situation is likely to lead to the disappearance of the Uyghur language in
    Turkmenistan.15
    Tajikistan
    There are no significant numbers of Uyghurs in modern Tajikistan. It is known that there is a small
    Uyghur community in the capital city of Dushanbe, which has an Uyghur cultural association.
    Uyghur long distance nationalism in Central Asia
    During the Soviet period, the Central Asian republics differed primarily in terms of culture, while
    economic, social, and political conditions did not
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    differ from republic to republic. This resulted in a quite similar development of all Uyghur groups
    dispersed in Central Asia, with local variants related to linguistic and cultural surroundings only.
    Today, the Uyghur communities in independent Central Asian nation states are becoming more and
    more isolated from each other, in large part due to the breakdown of the traditional communication
    system. Separated by custom control posts, different currencies and immigration regulations, as well
    as suffering from economies in transition, the Central Asian Uyghur communities are being forced
    further apart.
    There is, however, a shared trend within all Uyghur communities, which induces the governments of
    different countries to form a common attitude toward the Uyghur communities. This is a restoration
    of ethnic links between the Central Asian Uyghurs and their ethnic relatives in the historical
    homeland – Xinjiang (East Turkestan). After the long period of separation from Xinjiang, when all
    relationships between the Soviet Uyghurs and Xinjiang were interrupted, perestroika saw an
    improvement in Sino-Soviet relations and state borders became open for commerce and mutual visits.
    This restored links between Central Asian Uyghurs and their ethnic brethren across the border.
    These links, however, were different for two main groups of local Uyghurs in Central Asia, at least in
    Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, namely yärlik (locals) and kälgänlär (immigrants of the 1950s and
    1960s). Returning to the last wave of Uyghur migration to Soviet Central Asia, one should admit that
    it played an essential role in the particular development of the social and cultural life of Soviet
    Uyghurs concentrated mostly in Kazakhstan, and is, therefore, of great interest from the standpoint
    of diasporic studies.
    Uyghur migrations in the 1950s and 1960s injected new life into the Uyghur communities in Soviet
    Central Asia. Culturally, it was particularly significant for Soviet Uyghurs since numerous Uyghur
    intellectuals migrated to the USSR and became leading specialists in their fields. Among them were
    well-known writers, journalists, scholars, artists, musicians and teachers. The brochure Uyghur
    Writers of Kazakhstan published by the Pushkin State Library of Kazakhstan in 1982 provides
    information on 34 Soviet Uyghur writers, including 24 contemporary ones. Among the latter, 11 had
    migrated during the 1950s and 1960s, the most prominent of whom was Ziya Samadi, a writer who
    had been Minister of Education in the Xinjiang government in the 1950s.16
    Of great importance was the fact that numerous officials of the East Turkestan Republic, including
    some of its leaders and many senior officers (including State Secretary Abdurauf Makhsum, Minister
    of Education Ziya Samadi, General Zunun Teipov and others) also migrated to the USSR,
    strengthening support among the local Uyghur community for independent East Turkestan. The anti-
    Chinese feelings of the Uyghur migrants were used by the Soviets when Sino-Soviet relations cooled.
    For example, one of the activists, Yusufbek Mukhlisi (1920–2004), was allowed to conduct anti-
    Chinese activity by distributing his newspaper Shärqi Turkestan avazi (Voice of East Turkestan) and
    appealing to the UN and other international
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    organizations asking to settle the ‘Uyghur problem’. The growth of anti-Chinese feelings among the
    Uyghur intellectuals led them to establish political organizations to support the struggle for East
    Turkestan’s independence.
    Yusufbek Mukhlisi’s activities were, if not encouraged, then at least not objected to by the KGB. His
    newspaper was compiled manually. Its first issue in the form of a photocopied leaflet came out in
    1979. Later on, in the early 1980s, many other Uyghur intellectuals started supporting the
    newspaper. Among them were the ETR activists, such as the ETR People’s Hero Ghani Batur,
    Generals Zunun Teipov and Marghup Iskhakov (of Tatar origin), a journalist of the Uyghur Radio of
    Tashkent called Abdulla Baratov, and even a well-known philologist, Professor Murat Khamrayev.17
    The initial stage in the history of Central Asian Uyghur organizations starts with the establishment of
    the first Uyghur organization in Soviet Kazakhstan, which was the United National Revolutionary Front
    of East Turkestan (UNRFET), set up in 1984 by Yusufbek Mukhlisi. This was an informal organization
    without a membership system, but for the Soviet situation it was still an extraordinary event, which
    could not occur without the tacit support of the authorities. The goal of the organization was quite
    radical: ‘a restoration of the Uyghur state on the territory of the so-called Xinjiang Uyghur
    Autonomous Region.’ Activities of the UNRFET nevertheless involved a handful of individuals, mostly
    former ETR leaders and officers, but did not acquire a wider support even among local intellectuals,
    who, although they sympathized with its goals, did not join it.
    One of the most striking features of the early stage of the Uyghur political movement in Central Asia
    was open discussion in local Uyghur newspapers in Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan on issues very
    important for Uyghurs as a nation. Among such issues was that of the name for the Uyghurs’
    homeland. Uyghur nationalists have always rejected the Chinese name of their homeland – ‘Xinjiang’
    (New dominion) – referring to its colonial implications. However, the discussion was not on whether
    or not an official name was acceptable to Uyghurs, but rather on the appropriateness of the names
    ‘East Turkestan’ and ‘Uyghurstan’. The leaders of the ‘Uyghurstan Azatliq Tashkilati’ (UAT or
    ‘Organization for the Freedom of Uyghurstan’), formed in 1982, especially Hashir Vahidi, advocated
    the name ‘Uyghurstan’ in their writings, while Yusufbek Mukhlisi stood for ‘East Turkestan’. At first
    glance, the discussion seemed ridiculous, since the talks were about a country that was a part of
    China and had the official name of the ‘Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region’. However, the
    arguments were not accidental. On the one hand, they were symptomatic of the new contemporary
    stage in the Uyghur nationalist movement in Central Asia, where pan-Turkic ideology was fully
    eradicated in the course of the Communist rule on both sides of the border and ethnic priorities
    became most important against pan-Turkic ones. On the other hand, it was a continuation of
    analogical discussions held in Xinjiang in the early 1950s when Uyghur nationalists, especially those
    from the Ili region, i.e. the former ETR activists, demanded that their homeland be named the
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    ‘Uyghurstan Autonomous Region’. Mao Zedong did not approve the name, referring to the
    continuation of a revolutionary struggle for which the name was not ostensibly beneficial.
    The 1990s discussions of the name ‘Uyghurstan’ among the Uyghur intellectuals had a slight
    difference from that of the previous period in the fact that it was opposed to another ‘separatist’
    name: ‘East Turkestan’. This kind of discussion was not new either. It is sufficient to mention the
    clash between two groups of Uyghur nationalists in Xinjiang in the 1940s: the pro-Soviet ETR leaders
    advocated the Uyghur national idea based on the Soviet model of national policy, while pan-Turkist
    leaders backed by the Chinese Nationalist government of Goumindang perceived the Turkic peoples
    of Xinjiang as a united Turkic nation.
    During the 1990s discussions, proponents of the name ‘East Turkestan’ referred to the necessity of
    gaining support for their struggle from other Turkic peoples, for which the name ‘Uyghurstan’
    seemed quite unsuitable. On the contrary, proponents of the name ‘Uyghurstan’ put forward several
    arguments such as:
    1 the name ‘Uyghurstan’ does not mean that the Uyghur state the name implies is exclusively a state
    for Uyghurs; the name ‘Uyghurstan’ simply stresses that Uyghurs are indigenous inhabitants of this
    territory and in this sense it is of extreme importance for the struggle for self-determination;
    2 the name ‘Uyghurstan’ does not restrict the interests of other peoples; on the contrary, it imposes
    on Uyghurs a serious responsibility for guaranteeing their interests; as for the statehood of other
    Turkic peoples of Central Asia, they have already gained their independence in Kazakhstan,
    Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan;
    3 the name ‘Uyghurstan’ is important to oppose the menace of the assimilation of Uyghurs by
    Chinese colonizers;
    4 those thinking that the name ‘Uyghurstan’ is not known in the world should remember that the
    names ‘Kazakhstan’, ‘Kyrgyzstan’, ‘Uzbekistan’, etc. were not known either, but at present the world
    community recognizes these as the names of nation states.
    The discussions on the name of the Uyghur homeland were less important for the Uyghur diaspora
    outside Central Asia, especially for the Uyghurs in Turkey, where adherence to pan-Turkism is much
    more important and determines the success of Uyghur organizations. Nevertheless, such discussions
    in Central Asia had their impact on international Uyghur organizations with the representation of the
    Central Asian Uyghur. As a result, the East Turkestan (Uyghurstan) National Congress convened in
    1999 in Munich accepted this compromise name with ‘Uyghurstan’ in parentheses.
    Liberalization of Soviet society, beginning with perestroika, opened another stage in the history of
    Uyghur political movement: the emergence of legal
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    public organizations. In Kazakhstan such organizations came to being following the decree of the
    Supreme Soviet of the Kazakh SSR from 14 April 1989, ‘On the procedure of establishment and
    activity of amateur public associations’. A series of Uyghur cultural centres have been set up across
    Central Asian republics from 1989 to 1991 on the initiative of the Communist Party Central
    Committees.18 These centres addressed the problems of the cultural revival of the Uyghur nationality
    by working exclusively on enlightenment and cultural issues such as the establishment of new
    Uyghur schools or Uyghur groups at schools and the holding of cultural events etc. By 1991 Uyghur
    cultural associations, like the analogical organizations of other ethnic groups, had been established in
    almost all Central Asian republics. Thus, during the second period, by the Soviet demise in 1991 there
    were two different types of Uyghur organizations operating in Kazakhstan: legally operating cultural–
    educational organizations working on local problems of Uyghur communities and non-registered
    political organizations propagating the independence of East Turkestan.
    The third period in the life of Uyghur organizations in Central Asia starts with the collapse of the
    Soviet Union and the independence of Central Asian republics. From this point Uyghur associations in
    the different republics faced a problem of disintegration and a need to work in accordance with the
    local political atmosphere in their home countries. This made important a coordination of activities of
    the different Uyghur Associations previously separated geographically, but now also politically. This
    task was to be pursued by the Inter-Republican Organization of Uyghurs (IROU), the first inter-state
    Uyghur organization in Central Asia, established in Almaty on 26 January 1992 at a meeting attended
    by 300 representatives of different Uyghur cultural centres. The IROU was an organization based on
    associated membership of existing cultural organizations in various republics and regions of Central
    Asia. It declared cultural-enlightening work among Uyghurs as its priority task, distancing itself from
    the political struggle for independence of their historical homeland. Such orientation of the
    organization did not find support among some Uyghur leaders, especially former ETR activists, who
    opposed the programme and tactics of the new Association and stood out for another alternative
    political organization.
    The first meeting of the new organization called Uyghurstan Azatliq Tashkilati (UAT or ‘Organization
    for the Freedom of Uyghurstan’) was held on 20 June 1992 in Almaty and gathered about 700
    people, including representatives from all the Turkic republics of Central Asia, as well as those from
    Turkey, Germany and China. As was usual for such kind of meetings, it was also attended by Kazakh
    officials. The initiative for the establishment of the UAT belonged to the prominent Uyghur political
    activist Hashir Vahidi (1922–98), who was elected its leader. According to the documents approved
    by the First Congress of the UAT, it considered its main aim as ‘a promotion of restoration of
    Uyghurstan’s independence’, using exclusively political tools in its activity. The latter was a
    distinguishing feature of this
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    organization, which unlike Yusufbek Mukhlisi’s organization, declared its adherence to non-violent
    forms of struggle.
    Of the three Uyghur organizations with their different goals, status and tactics, the most legitimate
    was the IROU, representing all groups of Uyghurs and not having a political purpose, while the other
    two organizations represented mostly the older generation of the new 1950s and 1960s immigrants
    from Xinjiang. The IROU, registered in Kazakhstan, had to change its status after the government
    issued two new decrees in 1995 and 1996. The latter, called ‘On public associations’, confined
    permitted public associations to three categories only, namely republican, regional and local ones.19
    The inter-state character of the IROU was changed to a republican one. The change of status did not
    affect the organization’s activeness. It very soon became an active member of the international
    network of world Uyghur organizations, including the Unrepresented Nations and Peoples
    Organization (UNPO). Its representatives partook in the work of the First World Congress ( Kurultai )
    of Uyghurs (Istanbul, December 1992), the International Organization of the Uyghur Youth (Munich,
    November 1994), the Fourth Session of the Unrepresented Nations and Peoples Organisation (UNPO)
    (The Hague, January 1995), etc. Participation in such activities became the grounds for a split in the
    IROU leadership. As a result, in 1995 a new organization, the Association of Culture of Uyghurs of
    the Republic of Kazakhstan, broke away from the IROU, which itself was reorganized on 2 December
    1995 into the Regional Public ‘Association of Uyghurs’, the head of which remained Kaharman
    Khojamberdi.
    After the Kulja events of 1997 the three Uyghur organizations of Kazakhstan came to agreement and
    established the United Political Council (UPC). It aimed at the prevention of any split in the Uyghur
    movement and the working out of joint actions of all Uyghur public organizations in order to draw the
    attention of the world community to the ‘Uyghur problem’. The attempts at consolidation of Uyghur
    immigrant organizations were successful and resulted in their participation in the working out and
    discussion of documents on the international coordinating centre of the Uyghur movement, namely
    that of the National Centre of ‘East Turkestan’ (Turkey, 1998) and the East Turkestan (Uyghurstan)
    National Congress (Germany, 1999).
    With the growth of authority and influence of the Association of Uyghurs other immigrant
    organizations in Kazakhstan joined it, reducing their own activities. For example, in 1997 the
    Association of Uyghurs and the Organization for the Freedom of Uyghurstan merged. Despite wide
    support from local Uyghur communities, the Association of Uyghurs finally had to terminate its
    activities due to the obstacles created by local authorities no longer willing to harbour Uyghur
    political organizations striving for an independent East Turkestan. The last attempt of its leader
    Kaharman Khojamberdi to reanimate political activities was the setting up of an ‘Uyghurstan Party’ in
    2003 in Almaty. Since local legislation would never permit this type of organization, it did not apply
    for registration and
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    operated illegally for a short time until the authorities undertook serious measures to stop it. As a
    result, Khojamberdi was fined by the authorities for his ‘illegal activities’. This marked the end of the
    third period in the history of Central Asian Uyghur organizations which was characterized, on the one
    hand, by the extreme increase in anti-Chinese political activism of the Uyghur immigrant and local
    organizations and leaders, and, on the other hand, by the increasing Chinese pressure on Central
    Asian governments to suppress any separatist organization striving for the independence of East
    Turkestan. The elimination of Uyghur separatist organizations in Central Asia was possible due to the
    use of a very effective tool – the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (founded as the ‘Shanghai Five’
    in 1996). As members of this organization, Central Asian states had an obligation to assist China in
    fighting Uyghur separatism. This was done using both legal methods (legislation) and the liquidation
    of Uyghur leaders (some Uyghur leaders, such as H. Vahidi, N. Bosakov and D. Samsakova were
    killed in unclear circumstances, and local authorities have never announced the results of
    investigation of the cases).20 After the American tragedy of September 11, the local authorities,
    following the Chinese government, also contributed greatly to the portrayal of Uyghurs as extremists
    and terrorists.
    At present, Uyghur organizations still exist in the two Central Asian Republics – Kazakhstan and
    Kyrgyzstan. Those based in Kazakhstan include such cultural associations as the Society of Culture of
    Uyghurs of the Republic of Kazakhstan, which stemmed from the IROU in 1995 (chairman: Farkhad
    Khasanov), the Association of Uyghur Businessmen, Entrepreneurs and Agricultural Workers (leader:
    D. Kuziev), the Nazughum Foundation (head: the daughter of murdered Dilbirim Samsakova), the
    Union of Uyghur Youth of Kazakhstan (leader: A. Turdiev) and the Uyghur Cultural Association
    (chairman: A. Shardinov). Most of these organizations focus on the resolution of economic, social and
    cultural and national problems of the Uyghurs living in the republic.
    Organizations based in other republics have never been radical in their agenda. There is no
    information on Uyghur organizations in Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan. More active are the
    organizations in Kyrgyzstan: the Uyghur Association ‘Ittipaq’ (R. Abdulbakiev), the Uyghur
    Information-project Centre on Central Asia (N. Kenjiev) and the Human Rights organization
    ‘Democracy’ of the city of Bishkek (T. Islam).
    Some of the present leaders, for instance F. Khasanov in Kazakhstan and N. Kenji in Kyrgyzstan,
    even propagate the idea of collaboration with the Chinese government in resolving the Uyghur
    communities’ problems. With the death of the most prominent Uyghur immigrant leaders of the older
    generation such as Ju. Mukhlisi, H. Vahiidi, S. Abdurakhmann and so forth, such collaborationist ideas
    do not meet serious opposition, although they are not supported by local Uyghurs either. Another
    trend in Uyghur public life in Kazakhstan is the growing influence of businessmen, who try to control
    all cultural activities among the local Uyghurs. One such businessman,
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    D. Kuziev, has already succeeded in doing this using both his financial and political position, though
    most of the Uyghurs have expressed doubts about his intentions.
    Conclusion
    The Uyghur communities in present Central Asian states were formed mostly in the late nineteenth
    century as a result of the political relations between the two Empires – the Russian and the Qing
    empires. The Soviet government used local Uyghurs in their policy toward the neighbouring Xinjiang
    province of China populated by their ethnic brethren. Economic and political interests prompted the
    Soviet authorities to develop Uyghur cultural and educational institutions in Soviet Central Asia,
    primarily in Kazakhstan where the majority of the Central Asian Uyghur population lived. This
    resulted in the establishment of a number of cultural institutions in Kazakhstan.
    For about three decades of the Soviet–Chinese hostility Soviet Uyghurs were totally separated from
    their historical homeland. The improvement of Soviet–Chinese relations during the perestroika period
    restored the ties, broken for a long time, intensifying mutual visits of Uyghur families and cultural
    exchanges between Uyghurs of both sides of the border. The break-up of the Soviet Union and
    independence of Central Asian nations inspired Central Asian Uyghurs, especially the immigrants of
    the 1950s and 1960s, to undertake political activities aiming at independence for their homeland –
    East Turkestan (Xinjiang). The Uyghur separatist movement in the Central Asian republics, mainly in
    Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, reached its peak in the mid-1990s, but with the establishment of the
    Shanghai Five organization in 1996 (which became the SCO in 2001), under strong Chinese pressure
    Central Asian governments had to suppress all local Uyghur political organizations. Today Uyghur
    public organizations in Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan are exclusively confined to the spheres of culture,
    education and the socio-economic development of Uyghur communities.
    With the collapse of the Soviet Union, Central Asian Uyghurs lost their common political and socio-
    economic space and became isolated from each other, forming separate communities in the newly
    independent Central Asian states. Moreover, the Uyghur culture lost special support from the state,
    and this new situation led to confusion and disillusionment when Uyghurs became merely an ethnic
    minority. At present Central Asian Uyghur communities are experiencing all the economic difficulties
    of the transition period that all new states undergo. These difficulties in Central Asia, as well as
    ethnic clashes in their homeland (East Turkestan/Xinjiang), have put pressure on Uyghur populations
    on both sides of the border, resulting in the migration of Uyghurs to Europe and North America and
    the emergence of small Uyghur communities there.
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    Notes
    1 On the migration of the Ili Uyghurs to the Russian Empire see M. Kabirov, Pereseleniye Iliyskikh
    Uigurov v Semirech’ ie [Migration of the Ili Uyghurs to Semirech’ ie ], Alma-Ata: Kazakhstan, 1951; Iu.
    G. Baranova, ‘K voprosu o pereselenii musulmanskogo naseleniya iz Iliyskogo kraya v Semirech’ie v
    1881–1883’ [The problem of Muslim migration from the Ili area to Semirechye in 1881–1883], Trudy
    Sektora vostokovedeniya , t.1, pp. 34–7; M. Kabirov, Ocherki istorii Uigurov v Semirech’ ie [Essays on
    the History of Uyghurs in Semirech’ ie] , Alma-Ata: Kazakhstan, 1975.
    2 A. Kamalov, ‘Uighur community in 1990s Central Asia: A decade of change’, Central Asia and the
    Caucasus. Transnationalism and Diaspora, T. Atabaki and S. Mehendale (eds), London and New
    York: Routledge, 2005, p. 156.
    3 On the history of the movement of the Uyghurs to the Murghab oasis in Turkmenistan see D. Isiev
    and M. Mamatov, Bairam-Aliliq Ui γurlarning ötmushi vä hazirqi hayati [Past and present life of the
    Uyghurs of Bairam-Ali] , Alma-Ata, 1976, pp. 22–45.
    4 W. Clark and A. Kamalov, ‘Uighur migration across Central Asian frontiers’, Central Asian Survey,
    2004, June, vol. 23, no. 2, 167–82.
    5 On Soviet-Xinjiang cooperation in the 1930s see V. Barmin, SSSR i Sintsian. 1918–1941 [USSR and
    Xinjiang. 1918–1941], Barnaul: Izd-vo BGPU, 1998.
    6 L. Benson, The Ili Rebellion, Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 1990; A. Forbes, Warlords and Muslims in
    Chinese Central Asia: A political history of Republican Sinkiang 1911–1949 , Cambridge: Cambridge
    University Press, 1986; D. Wang, Under the Soviet Shadow: The Ining incident. Ethnic Conflicts and
    International Rivalry in Xinjiang 1944–1949, Hong Kong: The Chinese University Press, 1999.
    7 A. Ghaniev, Ismail Yusupov: ‘S chistotoiy pomyslov’ [Ismail Yusupov: ‘With purity of intentions’] ,
    Almaty: Kazakhstan, 1997.
    8 T. Rakowska-Harmstone, ‘Islam and Nationalism: Central Asia and Kazakhstan under Soviet Rule’,
    Central Asian Survey, 1983, vol. 2, no. 2, pp.7–87.
    9 V. Khliupin, Geopoliticheskii treugolnik Kazakhstan-Kitai-Rossia. Proshloy i nastoyasheye
    pogranizhnoi problemy (Geopolitical triangle Kazakhstan-China-Russia. Past and present of the
    border problems), n/p, 1999, pp. 227–8.
    10 A.N. Bernshtam, Uy γur hälqining qedimqi vä ottura äsir tarihining qissiliri [Essays on ancient and
    medieval history of the Uyghur people], Alma-Ata: Qazaq eli, 1951.
    11 M. Ruziev, Vozrojdionniy Uigurskiy narod [The Revived Uyghur People], Alma-Ata: Kazakhstan,
    1982; M. Khamraev, Rastsvet kultury uigurskogo naroda [Blossoming of the Culture of the Uyghur
    people], Alma-Ata: Kazakhstan, 1967.
    12 ‘Chislenost’ postoyannogo naseleniya Kyrgyzskoi Respubliki po otdelnym natsionalnostiam i
    regionam po perepisi naseleniya 1999 goda’ [Ethnic structure of permanent population of the Kyrgyz
    Republic per the 1999 Census], The Uighur newspaper ‘ Ittipaq ’, 08 (63), 31 August 2000, p. 3.
    13 G.S. Sadvakasov, Yazyk Uigurov Ferganskoi doliny [Language of the Ferghana Valley Uyghurs] ,
    Alma-Ata: Nauka, part 1, 1970; part 2, 1976.
    14 S. Dautova, ‘Yazylovaya situatsiya rayonov kompaktnogo projivaniya Uigurov Srednei Azii i
    Kazakhstana’ [Linguistic situation in the regions of dense Residence of the Uyghurs of Central Asia
    and Kazakhstan], Ui γurlar hayati yashlar näzäridä , Almaty: Gylym, 1996, p. 118.
    15 S. Dautova, op. cit., pp. 121–2.
    16 Qazaqstan Uighur yaghuchiliri. Uigurskiye pisateli Kazakhstana [Uyghur Writers of Kazakhstan] ,
    Alma-Ata, 1982, pp. 38, 89.
    17 K.L. Syroyejkin, Mify i realnost etnicheskogo separatisma v Kitaye i bezopasnost’ Tsentralnoi Azii
    [Myths and reality of ethnic separatism in China and security of Central Asia], Almaty: Daik-Press,
    2003, p. 451.
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    18 K. Khojamberdi, Uygury v rakurse istorii [Uyghurs in historical perspective] , Almaty: Qazaqstan
    joghary mektebi, 2001, pp. 233–4.
    19 Khojamberdi, op. cit., p. 238.
    20 Some of these cases are discussed by B. Bekturghanova, ‘Uygurskiy ekstremism’ v tsentralnoi Azii:
    mif ili realnost? (sotsiologizheskii analiz problemy) [‘Uyghur extremism’ in Central Asia: myth or
    reality? (sociological analysis of the problems)] , Almaty: Kompleks, 2002.
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    7
    Xinjiang and Central Asia since 1990
    Views from Beijing and Washington and Sino-American relations
    Colin Mackerras
    Griffith University
    This chapter explores how China and the United States have viewed Xinjiang and the Central Asian
    region since 1990, but with the main attention paid to the period since the 11 September 2001
    incidents in New York and Washington. It gives a good deal of focus to the ways in which
    developments in the situation in Xinjiang and Central Asia have impacted on the interrelationship
    between China and the United States. Both China and the United States consider Xinjiang to be part
    of China, though China with far more passion than the United States. In the context of this chapter,
    Central Asia is defined as the contemporary nation states Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan,
    Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, all of which were republics of the Soviet Union until that enormous
    state collapsed at the end of 1991. This treatment takes two particular events as particularly
    important to the world as a whole and the Central Asian region in particular: the collapse of the
    Soviet Union at the end of 1991 and the September 11 incidents of 2001.
    The ethnic composition of the Central Asian region, including Xinjiang, is immensely complex. The
    most populous of the Central Asian states is Uzbekistan, with an estimated mid-2007 population of
    27.78 million. A 1996 estimate put the proportion of Uzbeks in the population at 80 per cent, with
    Russians at 5.5 per cent and Tajiks at 5 per cent.1 In China’s Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region,
    non-census estimates for 2005 put the number of Han Chinese at 7.9566 million, which was 39.58
    per cent of the total Xinjiang population of 20.1035 million. The Uyghurs were 9.2350 million, or
    45.94 per cent of the total, with the remainder belonging to the Kazakh, Hui (Sino-Muslim), Kyrgyz,
    Mongolian and other ethnic groups.2 Kazakhstan’s 1999 census showed 14,953,000 people, among
    whom 53.4 per cent were Kazakhs and 30 per cent Russian.3 Tajiks are the majority in Tajikistan
    (population in the 2000 census: 6.1 million) and Kyrgyz in Kyrgyzstan (1999 census: 4,822,938).4
    The Kazakhs, Uyghurs, Kirgiz and Uzbeks are Turkic ethnically and linguistically and the
    overwhelming majority believe in Islam. The Tajiks speak an Iranian language and are also Islamic.
    It follows
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    that the majority of the people of the Central Asian republics of concern to this chapter and Xinjiang
    are Muslims, the vast majority being Sunni.
    The flow-on from the collapse of the Soviet Union
    The collapse of the Soviet Union altered the power arrangements in Central Asia fundamentally.
    Instead of the Soviet Union, China faced to its west a number of independent countries. Although
    their governments were initially the same as what had been in place under the Soviet Union and they
    still remained close to the Russian Federation, they all had their own individual interests. Moreover,
    though to very different extents, they began to be influenced by the kind of Islamic fundamentalism
    (Islamism) that was already a strong enough force in Afghanistan to lead to an Islamist regime’s
    taking power in the capital Kabul in 1994 and again, after being expelled, in September 1996, with a
    considerable extension of their territory and broadening of control in 1998. Meanwhile, the borders
    between Xinjiang and Central Asia began to be opened in the late 1980s, leading to an expansion of
    trade and cultural dealings, but also in the interchange of criminal activities like the smuggling of
    narcotics and arms and the spread of Islamist terrorism. China is particularly concerned with the
    spread of Uyghur separatism due to open borders and Islamist terrorism.5
    Although the Soviet Union had been in decline for some time, among other factors because it was
    unable to cope economically with the arms race imposed by the United States’ Reagan Administration
    of 1981 to 1989, the actual Soviet demise at the end of 1991 left the United States very visibly as the
    world’s only superpower. Both China and the United States continued to push for cordial mutual
    relations, but there were deep-seated conflicting interests over economic, strategic and ideological
    matters, especially trade, Taiwan and human rights. In the 1990s, Sino-American relations were
    extremely unstable and media and popular views of each country in the other became quite
    negative. In the United States, the ‘China threat’ syndrome increased in influence quite markedly,6
    while among Chinese writers, the view that the United States was already or was seeking to become
    the world hegemon was quite normal, even prevalent.7
    In many ways, the period from 1990 to 2001 was not a particularly good one for the Central Asian
    countries. Although this was when they won or obtained independence as nation states, it also saw
    economic stagnation and political instability. There were many tensions in relations among the
    countries of Central Asia, as well as with Russia. Tajikistan experienced a four-year civil war that
    ended with a peace accord only in 1997, and even then outbreaks of violence persisted and national
    unity remained elusive, warlords and Islamists retaining control over most of the country’s territory.
    Kazakhstan has very large reserves of crude oil, and America, South Korea, Germany and other
    countries invested in the country to explore and develop the oil and gas fields, build pipelines and
    develop infrastructure. For
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    example, in August 1998, the German engineering company Siemens signed a large deal to build a
    telecommunications network across the country, while the same year a Belgian company agreed to
    build a domestic gas pipeline that would help overcome serious gas shortages. However, one serious
    problem was that, though the United States was very keen to undertake investments that suited its
    interests, it did all it could to block any energy exports from Central Asia either through or to Iran,8
    which is an important country for all states of the region.
    As a balance, ‘all the Central Asian states dramatically improved their relations, trade and investment
    with China’.9 This trend coincided with China’s increasing concern about energy as its economy
    boomed during the 1990s. In 1993 China became a net importer of crude oil, and in 2000 imports
    reached 60 million tons, compared to production of 200 million tons.10 By the end of 2006, China
    was importing about 40 per cent of its oil.11 In April 1994, during a visit to Uzbekistan,
    Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan and Mongolia, Chinese Premier Li Peng called for a new ‘Silk
    Road’ that would include infrastructure like a network of roads and railways, trade and economic
    collaboration and various strategic issues. For example, he signed an agreement on the 1,700km
    Sino-Kazakhstan border and one for a Turkmenistan–China–Japan gas pipeline.12 Much of the trade
    and infrastructure network eventuated, though the gas pipeline proved abortive at this stage.
    As far as China was concerned, the emerging situation in Central Asia was thus quite positive, but
    also had its dangers. Economically and politically, it had great advantages. It was quite receptive to
    American economic advances there, and one specialist notes that in the 1990s China still saw the
    American role ‘as a stabilising influence on Russia’s great power ambitions’.13 Certainly, China
    preferred the emerging situation as preferable to the Soviet threat that had dominated the earlier
    period and the United States was not yet a strategic presence in Central Asia. However, there was
    one important exception. It did not want any American interference in human rights issues or
    American support for separatism in Xinjiang. Moreover, with Turkey very friendly to the United
    States, the strong growth of Turkish influence could become dangerous from China’s point of view,
    especially given the ethnic links between Turkey and many of the peoples of Central Asia.14
    The Shanghai Five and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation
    In April 1996, the presidents of China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan met in Shanghai
    to discuss matters of mutual interest. Initially called simply the Shanghai Five, this group followed up
    this first meeting with annual conferences in the capitals of the four former-Soviet countries. In June
    2001, also in Shanghai, the presidents of the four countries expanded their group to include their
    Uzbekistani counterpart, and formally established the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation.
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    The first meeting agreed to build military confidence in the border areas, while the second one, held
    in April 1997 in Moscow, agreed on mutual reduction of military forces in border areas. The 1998
    meeting was held in the Kazakhstan capital Alma-Ata (now called Almaty and no longer the capital).
    It expanded concern to other matters as can be seen from Article 5 of the joint statement issued on
    3 July 1998:
    The parties are unanimous that any form of national splittism, ethnic exclusion and religious
    extremism is unacceptable. The parties will take steps to fight against international terrorism,
    organized crimes, arms smuggling, the trafficking of drugs and narcotics, and other transnational
    criminal activities and will not allow their territories to be used for the activities undermining the
    national sovereignty, security and social order of any of the five countries.15
    This agreement was the basis of the Chinese phrase ‘the three evils’ ( sanhai ), these being
    separatism, extremism and terrorism. The following year saw an agreement to set up in Bishkek a
    centre to coordinate anti-terrorism activities. Of course the agreements include the general idea of
    promoting trade.
    Islamism in Xinjiang and Central Asia
    As Article 5 of the Alma-Ata declaration suggests, the governments saw a growth of Islamism in
    Xinjiang and the countries of Central Asia during the 1990s. Ahmed Rashid writes that ‘the floodgates
    of the Islamic revival’ in Central Asia opened in 1989,16 that being the year the Soviet Union agreed
    to withdraw from Afghanistan, signalling the defeat of the invasion it had undertaken at the end of
    1979. While Islamic revival is by no means the same as the rise of Islamism, under the conditions
    prevailing in Central Asia, the former could easily facilitate the latter, especially in the light of what
    was happening in Afghanistan.
    Probably the two most prominent Islamist groups in Central Asia in the period leading up to
    September 11 were the Hizb ut-Tahrir al-Islami (Party for Islamic Freedom) and the Islamic
    Movement of Uzbekistan. The first of these stands for setting up an Islamic state in a united Central
    Asia and Xinjiang and eventually among all Muslims. Ahmed Rashid claims that, by the beginning of
    the twenty-first century, it had become ‘the most popular, widespread underground movement’ in
    the three Central Asian countries of Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan.17
    Among the former Soviet republics, the country to be most seriously affected by Islamism was
    Uzbekistan. The Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan was formally set up in 1998, although as early as
    1990 an Islamist group had established a mosque in a town in Uzbekistan with the sign ‘Long Live
    the Islamic State’ displayed outside.18 The Islamist threat reached its height on 15 February 1999
    when terrorists exploded several massive car bombs in the
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    capital Tashkent, in an attempt to assassinate Uzbekistan President Islam Karimov. Although they
    failed, they succeeded in killing at least thirteen people and injuring over a hundred. Not surprisingly,
    they also provoked Karimov into even fiercer crackdowns than he had undertaken before.19 On 25
    August 1999, the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan issued a call to jihad against the Karimov
    government and declared that it would establish an Islamic state.20 The cycle of terrorism and
    repression appeared to be getting worse.
    In Xinjiang, an Islamist uprising led by Uyghur Zahideen Yusuf took place in April 1990 in Baren
    Township near Kashgar in the south-west. Western journalist Michael Winchester learned from one of
    Zahideen’s enthusiastic supporters that the leader had taken his inspiration from the idea of the ‘holy
    war’ (jihad) being practised in Afghanistan by the mujahideen who had just inflicted a humiliation on
    the Soviet ‘infidel invader’.21 This uprising led on to a whole series of disturbances in Xinjiang,
    especially in Kulja (which the Chinese know as Yining) in 1997. The Chinese suppressed all these
    disturbances violently, believing them to be separatist in intent.22 Uyghur identity feelings and
    resentment against Chinese rule undoubtedly had their own dynamic. However, it also seems likely,
    as one journalist suggests, that there were connections between the rise of Islamism in Central Asia
    and the situation in Xinjiang:
    The newly independent Central Asian states bordering Xinjiang inspire Uighur [Uyghur] separatists.
    They have also become sources of weapons, money, training and places of refuge. Foreign Islamic
    missionaries now target Xinjiang’s Muslims, and Uighurs are starting to take part in armed Islamic
    movements abroad, from Afghanistan to Uzbekistan and even Chechnya.23
    The impact of September 11 and the ‘war on terror’ on Sino-American relations
    The September 11 incidents resulted in an immediate American-led ‘war on terror’, to use the oft-
    repeated phrase of its principal proponent, United States President George W. Bush. The first stage
    of this war was a military invasion of Afghanistan, which overthrew the Islamist regime there late in
    2001. The person Bush held responsible for September 11 was the Islamist Osama bin Laden, a
    Saudi national who had taken refuge in Afghanistan but whom, despite much effort, the American
    forces and their allies failed to capture.
    China, Russia and the newly independent Central Asian states expressed their strong support for the
    war on terror, leading to a temporarily quite strong joint concern over Islamist terrorism. As we saw
    earlier, most of these states were already involved in their own war against terrorism, which
    preceded Bush’s war on terror and mattered greatly to them. The United States used the war on
    terror to establish a military presence in several of the
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    Central Asian countries. Within five months of September 11, there were United States bases in
    Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, while Tajikistan allowed the Americans to use military facilities on its
    territory.24
    This was the first time in history that the Americans had moved militarily into Central Asia. The
    Chinese impact had been growing there since the fall of the Soviet Union, but this was traditionally
    within the Russian sphere of influence. Despite its improved relations with the United States, China
    could scarcely be other than nervous about this new potential threat on its western borders. And as
    for Russia, the new rivalry in an area that not long before had actually been part of the same state
    can only have been extremely unwelcome.
    The immediate aftermath of the September 11 incidents saw the United States, China and Russia on
    the same side in a major conflict for the first time since World War II. In the first instance, China
    was proactive in supporting the American efforts against terrorism. Actions included:
    • Voting for an anti-terrorism resolution in the United Nations Security Council;
    • Supporting Pakistan in its pro-United States efforts against Osama bin Laden;
    • Providing intelligence information on terrorist networks and activities in the region; and
    • Freezing the accounts of terrorist suspects in Chinese banks.25
    For its part, the United States helped the Chinese against separatism and terrorism in Xinjiang.26
    When the United States Department of State issued its report on terrorism in May 2002, the first
    since September 11, it was very positive about China. The report accepted the link China was
    claiming between terrorism and separatism and implied that China’s concern over two groups it had
    declared terrorist was understandable.27 Perhaps most importantly, towards the end of August 2002,
    the United States Deputy Secretary of State, Richard Armitage, announced at a news conference in
    Beijing that the United States had frozen all assets belonging to a body called the East Turkestan
    Islamic Movement (ETIM) because of its activities as a terrorist organization, the United Nations
    following the American lead soon afterward. In January 2002, the Chinese government had issued a
    long document, claiming numerous terrorist activities in Xinjiang by ‘East Turkestan’ separatist
    groups, ETIM being foremost among them.
    By early in 2003 uneasy signs were beginning to appear that seemed not to bode well for the quasi-
    partnership between China and the United States over the war on terror. In November 2002 Hu
    Jintao replaced Jiang Zemin as CCP general secretary and the following March as state president. It
    seems that Hu is somewhat less well disposed towards the United States than Jiang, but
    correspondingly more pro-Russian. Perhaps more important was the American-led war in Iraq, which
    began in March 2003. The Hu Jintao leadership was opposed to this war right from the start. China
    was alarmed
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    about the implications of an invasion of a sovereign country against the wishes of its government,
    without any authorization from an international body like the United Nations, where the United States
    had refused to put the issue of war to a vote after realizing it would lose. The Chinese Islamic
    Association immediately put out a statement, strongly condemning the United States and its allies for
    choosing war over diplomacy. Association Vice-President Ma Liangji, also the imam of the great
    mosque of Xi’an, condemned the war as ‘an incursion of Iraq’s sovereignty’.28
    The continuing violence in Iraq, the exposure of the falsity of the initial casus belli that former Iraqi
    President Saddam Hussein was storing weapons of mass destruction for potential use, and the Abu
    Ghraib prisoner abuse scandal were all factors that hardened Chinese opposition to the war. Among
    ordinary Muslims in China, the war in Iraq has intensified anti-Americanism, many equating it with a
    war against Islam itself.29 The war in Iraq was also one of the many factors that gave the Chinese
    government grounds for criticizing the United States’ human rights performance. In view of the
    constant American inclination to denounce China for human rights abuses, the opportunity to
    counter-attack on similar grounds is always welcome to the Chinese government.30
    Another sign of the decline in Sino-American relations over the war on terror was that, when China
    issued its first-ever list of Uyghur terrorist groups and leaders at the end of 2003 and appealed to
    the international community for support against them, the United States reacted with deafening
    silence. Moreover, in April 2004 the National Endowment for Democracy, an American government-
    funded body, gave $75,000 to the Uyghur American Association, which advocates independence for
    Xinjiang. This was the first time the National Endowment had taken such a step and China reacted
    angrily.
    In July 2005, the SCO held its annual meeting in Astana, the capital of Kazakhstan since the end of
    1997. Its declaration repeated the member states’ determination to resist and conquer separatism,
    terrorism and extremism, but also noted an improvement in the situation in Afghanistan. What this
    meant was that members of the coalition might no longer need troops to be stationed in Central
    Asia, since the original rationale for them was to assist in opposing terrorism in Afghanistan. The
    declaration requested that ‘respective members of the antiterrorist coalition set a final timeline for
    their temporary use of … objects of infrastructure and stay of their military contingents on the
    territories of the SCO member states’.31 The United States response to this demand was that it
    would take up the issue of American presence with the relevant countries. Kyrgyzstan demanded that
    the Americans pay a higher price to retain their Manas base outside the capital Bishkek, and China
    and Russia continue to want it removed. Uzbekistan, by contrast, did demand American withdrawal.
    There is some irony in the reality that Taliban influence in Afghanistan appears to have gathered
    some momentum since the 2005 meeting, with the result that
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    the rationale for the American bases may not have declined as much as the SCO thought it would.
    In the meantime, political instability continued to affect at least part of the region. In March 2005,
    Kyrgyzstan underwent a revolution that removed President Askar Akayev from power. In Uzbekistan,
    disturbances in May the same year failed to topple Islam Karimov, with whom China had moved to
    improve relations. The new Kyrgyzstan authorities are still willing to belong to the SCO. On the other
    hand, China may not be very happy to see popular revolutions that overturn political orders in
    Central Asia, because of the danger that the separatist forces still active in Xinjiang could use them
    to their own advantage. A popular revolution in Xinjiang that overthrew the current political order
    would be complete anathema to China.
    Another change was the death, in December 2006, of Turkmenistan’s Saparmurad Niyazov, who had
    been president of the country since it came into existence in 1991. Although Chinese leaders had got
    on well with Niyazov, they were not so enamoured of the extreme personality cult he sponsored and
    enjoyed, since it was reminiscent of the out-of-fashion years of Mao Zedong. They were quite
    capable of dealing with the successor regimes.
    Because of its unprecedented oil boom, Kazakhstan has loomed very large as a power in Central Asia
    with great significance in Sino-American relations. Both China and the United States have done their
    best to woo and maintain good relations with this large Central Asian country. As of 2008, Nursultan
    Nazarbayev has been president since Kazakhstan’s independence in 1991. There have been several
    prime ministers. Among these, Karim Masimov was appointed in January 2007 and it is especially
    interesting in that he is a Uyghur who can speak Chinese very well and is reputed to be favourably
    disposed towards China.
    Early in May 2006, United States Vice-President Dick Cheney made a visit to Kazakhstan with the aim
    of trying to coax Astana more into its geopolitical orbit. Given the deteriorating relationship with
    Uzbekistan, uncertainty over the American base in Kyrgyzstan and a renewed Russian and Chinese
    confidence vis-à-vis Central Asia, such a move makes sense from Washington’s point of view. Just
    before going to Astana and meeting with President Nazarbayev, Cheney had strongly criticized the
    Russians for trying to use energy as a political weapon. Despite its political and strategic importance,
    Cheney’s visit was mainly economic and will be considered further below. Nazarbayev visited
    Washington in September 2006 and Beijing in December. Both visits boosted bilateral ties between
    Kazakhstan on the one hand and the United States and China on the other. The latter visit resulted
    in a range of agreements on science, culture, trade, energy, border controls and labour migration.
    ‘Before leaving Beijing, a visibly optimistic Nazarbayev told the press that China and Kazakhstan had
    finally eliminated all their border problems and laid a solid foundation for mutual trust and
    friendship.’32
    The mid-June 2006 SCO meeting, held in Shanghai, saw an important
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    factor very unwelcome to the United States and with the potential to damage Sino-American
    relations, namely the presence of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The United States
    includes Iran in George W. Bush’s ‘axis of evil’ and among the main sponsors of terrorism. Along with
    other powers, especially those of the West, the United States is doing all it can to prevent Iran from
    developing nuclear energy, even though it is claimed to be for peaceful purposes only. Both China
    and Russia have been much less enthusiastic for sanctions against Iran designed to prevent it from
    developing nuclear power. China, in particular, has been trying to develop relations with Iran and
    flatly denies the American claim that it is sponsoring terrorism. When questioned early in June about
    the invitation for Ahmadinejad to attend the meeting in Shanghai, SCO Secretary General Zhang
    Deguang responded: ‘We cannot abide other countries calling our observer nations sponsors of
    terror. We would not have invited them if we believed they sponsored terror.’33
    The United States has some reason to be concerned about the growth of the SCO, which has been
    much more successful and influential than it had expected. It continues to be very hostile to Islamist
    terrorism, but its 2005 and 2006 meetings make it abundantly clear that the SCO is taking a more
    overtly anti-American line than was earlier the case.
    The Uyghurs and terrorism outside China: Guantanamo Bay
    One way in which Islamist terrorism has affected Sino-American relations is the way both Chinese
    and American authorities have regarded Uyghurs involved in violent fighting outside China itself. In
    the case of those Uyghurs whom American forces have captured and detained, the issue of American
    refusal of Chinese requests to repatriate detainees has also impacted on bilateral relations.
    When the United States Department of State issued its report on terrorism in May 2002, it had the
    following to say:
    China has expressed concern that Islamic extremists operating in and around the Xinjiang Uyghur
    Autonomous Region who are opposed to Chinese rule received training, equipment, and inspiration
    from al-Qaeda, the Taliban, and other extremists in Afghanistan and elsewhere. Several press reports
    claimed that Uyghurs trained and fought with Islamic groups in the former Soviet Union, including
    Chechnya.34
    In January 2002, the Chinese government spelled out its main ‘concern’ in some detail. It named
    Hasan Mahsum as the leader of ETIM and accused Osama bin Laden of colluding with him to stir up
    a holy war in Xinjiang, ‘with the aim of setting up a theocratic “Islam state” in Xinjiang’. It went on:
    The terrorist forces led by bin Laden have given much financial and
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    material aid to the ‘East Turkistan’ terrorists. In early 1999, bin Laden met with the ringleader of the
    ‘East Turkistan Islamic Movement’ [Hasan Mahsum], asking him to ‘coordinate every move with the
    “Uzbekistan Islamic Liberation Movement” and the Taliban’, while promising financial aid. In February
    2001, the bin Laden terrorists and Taliban leaders met at Kandahar to discuss the training of ‘East
    Turkistan’ terrorists. They decided to allocate a fabulous sum of money for training the ‘East
    Turkistan’ terrorists and promised to bear the funds for their operations in 2001. Moreover, the bin
    Laden terrorists, the Taliban and the ‘Uzbekistan Islamic Liberation Movement’ have offered a great
    deal of arms and ammunition, means of transportation and telecommunications equipment to the
    ‘East Turkistan’ terrorists.35
    Interviewed on Radio Free Asia just after the Chinese government issued this report, Hasan Mahsum
    flatly denied receiving institutional, let alone financial, support from al-Qaeda but refused to
    condemn violence, commenting that ‘any rational human being has the duty to fight against invaders
    to protect his homeland’.36 However, an American newspaper report issued about three years later
    gives a different perspective. It claims that ETIM Deputy Chairman Abdula Kariaji ‘confirmed in an
    interview what China has long alleged: ETIM formed a relationship with Mr bin Laden before the US
    invasion of Afghanistan in 2001’.37 By 2004, Hasan Mahsum was dead: Pakistan military forces had
    killed him in October 2003.
    The American administration seemed in broad agreement with the Chinese view on terrorism in
    Afghanistan. However, there were also areas of disagreement. These seem to have gathered
    momentum in severity, even causing tension between the two countries.
    One of them was over the rich Uyghur businesswoman Rebiya Kadeer. Touted as a minority woman
    who could succeed in the socialist Xinjiang, she even became a member of China’s National People’s
    Congress. However, she turned against Chinese policy after a violent clash in 1997 between youthful
    demonstrators and the police, and her husband had meanwhile fled to the US. In 1999 Kadeer was
    arrested for revealing state secrets to foreigners and sentenced to eight years’ imprisonment.
    Released in March 2006, she went to the US, where she has developed a reputation as a human
    rights, democracy and independence activist. Like the Dalai Lama for Tibetans, Kadeer charges China
    with undermining Uyghur culture: ‘our cultural and traditional values are being deteriorated’, she is
    quoted as saying. ‘This is a moral crisis for the Uighur people.’ The Chinese authorities regard her as
    a terrorist, an accusation to which she pleads guilty, but in a sense very different from how China’s
    leaders understand the term: ‘If I terrify the Chinese government, then yes, I am a terrorist, and
    long may it last.’38 Although her fame is very far short of the Dalai Lama’s, her influence is on the
    increase, especially in the United States. She has attracted the attention of President George W.
    Bush, who in mid-2007 praised her in a speech and met her during a conference in
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    Prague. China reacted by calling the meeting ‘blatant interference’ in Chinese affairs.39 She has
    definitely become a thorn in the flesh of Sino-American relations.
    Another area of disagreement between the American and Chinese government views was the issue of
    Uyghur prisoners in Guantanamo Bay in Cuba, where despite the successful Cuban revolution of 1959
    the Americans had retained a military base, setting up a prison camp for Islamist terrorists. In
    essence, the problem between China and the United States was based on the fact that, though the
    two countries shared concerns over terrorism and agreed that Xinjiang was part of China, the United
    States was much less worried than China about separatism in Xinjiang and far more concerned to
    uphold its particular view of human rights, and was more subject to influence from the Uyghur
    diaspora.
    After the American-led coalition overthrew the Taliban government in Afghanistan in November 2001,
    22 Uyghurs were captured along both sides of the Afghanistan–Pakistan border and transferred to
    Guantanamo Bay. There the American authorities imprisoned them without charge as terrorist
    suspects and enemy combatants who had links with al-Qaeda and thus posed a threat to the United
    States and American lives. The Chinese authorities demanded their extradition on many occasions,
    but the United States refused on the grounds that they would face persecution or unacceptably
    inhumane treatment if sent back to China.
    Late in 2003 the Pentagon decided that seven of the Uyghurs were enemy combatants and should
    continue in detention, but that the other fifteen were innocent or only low-risk terrorists whose
    target was the Chinese government, not the United States. The trouble was, however, that the State
    Department refused them entry into the United States. It approached numerous other countries to
    give them asylum, all of which initially rejected them. In August 2005, the fifteen were transferred
    from cells to Camp Iguana, where conditions are considerably better, but they were ‘still surrounded
    by a fence’, being allowed virtually no contact with the outside world and given no idea when their
    ‘legal limbo’ would end.40
    For five of them this limbo ended in May 2006, when Albania agreed to give them asylum. As the
    five flew off to Tirana, the Pentagon declared that its main objective was ‘to resettle the Uyghurs in
    an environment that will permit them to rebuild their lives’, and that Albania would give them such
    an opportunity. On 9 May 2006, just a few days later, China reacted angrily, lodging formal
    complaints against both the United States and Albania for contravening international law, and
    demanding that Albania hand over the men as terrorist suspects. Foreign Ministry spokesman Liu
    Jianchao declared that ‘These people accepted by the Albanians are by no means refugees but
    terrorist suspects, and so we think they should be returned to China.’41
    As it turned out, the experiment to send these five men to Albania turned out very badly. By the
    middle of 2007, two points were clear about the experiment. Firstly, Albania was clear that it would
    not take any more
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    Uyghurs. This meant that all those remaining in Guantanamo Bay had no escape other than to
    remain where they were or return to China, because no other country had signalled any wish to take
    them. Secondly, the five Uyghurs had been extremely unsuccessful in adapting to their new home.
    They were reduced to remaining ‘in a squalid government refugee center on the grubby outskirts of
    Tirana, guarded by armed policemen’. They expressed themselves even more desperate than they
    had been in Guantanamo Bay, because hope of a better future had evaporated. They could not even
    get work permits, let alone jobs, without knowing Albanian, and this proved very difficult for them.42
    China, the United States, Russia and Central Asia: the energy factor
    China’s rapidly growing economy depends on the availability of oil and other forms of energy. China
    and the United States have become major rivals for oil supplies available from Central Asia, especially
    Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan is quite happy to deal with both countries. In an interview with Tribune
    towards the end of 2006, Kazakhstan Energy Minister Baktykozha Izmukhambetov described both
    China and the United States as ‘strategic partners’.43 Xinjiang is already taking a major role in
    China’s domestic energy production. The west-to-east natural gas pipeline linking the Tarim Basin in
    Xinjiang with Shanghai is highly significant for China’s long-term energy security. Already Xinjiang is
    among China’s main oil and gas producers and is likely to become China’s energy base during the
    twenty-first century.44
    Given China’s growing dependence on foreign oil, it is not surprising that energy has become a
    central factor in China’s foreign diplomacy in recent years. It has aroused American and other
    Western ire by being quite happy to deal with states the United States regards with hostility, such as
    Iran and Sudan. Among the reasons for China’s policy its need for energy supplies ranks high.
    The energy factor has loomed large in the complex web of interrelationships in the Central Asian
    region. Russia holds the world’s largest reserves of natural gas, but the main exports go to Europe,
    none of them to China. However, among numerous agreements Russian President Vladimir Putin
    signed with Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao during a state visit he made to Beijing in March 2006, one
    pledged two natural gas pipelines costing up to US$10 billion. These were to be built within five
    years and will potentially be able to provide China with vast amounts of gas, enough to cause
    concern in Europe that its own gas supplies might be affected.45 Another Putin–Hu agreement
    promised a feasibility study on building a spur line to China from a crude oil pipeline to be built from
    eastern Siberia to the Pacific Ocean. Russia’s earlier agreement to build this pipeline would make
    Russian oil readily available to Japan and had caused some disquiet in China, which felt left out of
    the deal and disliked anything that would yield energy benefits to
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    Japan. Although in March 2006 the Russian and Chinese leaders issued a statement that ‘bilateral
    relations are at an unprecedented level of development’,46 Chinese concern over the Russian eastern
    oil pipeline may not be completely quietened, since there remains doubt over whether Russia can
    fulfil its pledge on the two gas pipelines to China, and the agreement to build the oil pipeline to the
    Pacific appears to carry more weight than a mere feasibility study for the spur line to China.
    Both for China and the United States, Central Asia is becoming more and more important in a new
    competition that is based less on ideology than on energy. Although this new ‘great game’ has been
    developing for some time, it appears to be sharpening as world oil prices rise. Numerous countries
    are involved, all seeking to ensure their energy supplies, but with Russia and Kazakhstan known as
    major suppliers of oil.
    Iran provides a significant proportion of China’s imported oil, and the two countries have agreed on a
    deal by which China buys Iranian liquefied natural gas in return for permission for a Chinese
    company to exploit Iran’s Yadavaran oilfield. The oil pipeline from West Kazakhstan to West China
    proposed in the late 1990s is already in use, and on 25 May 2006 it was used to import crude oil into
    China through a pipeline for the first time in history. It is estimated that some 10 million tons of oil
    will go through this pipeline from Kazakhstan to China, a figure that will more than double when the
    3,000km pipeline is completed in 2011.47 The pipeline was constructed under a 50–50 joint venture
    between China National Petroleum Corporation and Kazakhstan’s KazMunaiGaz, and ‘is a strong
    symbol of Central Asia’s integration by transnational projects’.48 At the same time there is a
    possibility of another oil and a gas pipeline leading from Kazakhstan into China.49
    Early in April 2006, Turkmenistan reached a deal with China to sell it large quantities of oil and
    natural gas for 30 years beginning in 2009. The pipeline that would facilitate the gas sales would go
    through Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan to China, with Turkmenistan likely to rely on China to provide
    finance to build it. The geopolitical implications are extensive, because Russia has always assumed it
    enjoys a quasi-monopoly on Turkmen gas and may not relish the competition.50
    Meanwhile, when Cheney visited Kazakhstan in May 2006, he ‘waded into a messy geopolitical
    struggle for energy and influence in the countries of the former Soviet Union, rapidly becoming one
    of the world’s largest-producing regions’.51 In essence, this ‘messy geopolitical struggle’ sees the
    United States trying to woo Astana away from traditional allies like Russia and to win Kazakhstan’s
    favour against its neighbour and America’s enemy Iran, which is also keen to exert influence in the
    region. The United States wants to direct potential pipelines through countries it can trust or where it
    can exert control. These include Turkey, Pakistan and Afghanistan. Certainly, it does not want
    pipelines that would make it necessary for Central Asian oil to go through such countries as Russia or
    Iran. And, within the context of high and rising world oil prices and the continuing booming Chinese
    economy, the United
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    States would like to limit China’s influence in Central Asia and even oil imports from the region. The
    new ‘great game’ over energy is likely to be a major factor determining Sino-American relations and
    the overall strategic situation in the Central Asian region for the foreseeable future.
    Conclusion
    The great China and Central Asia specialist Owen Lattimore once called Xinjiang the ‘pivot of Asia’.52
    And there is still discussion over whether the phrase is appropriate to describe the area, as shown in
    at least one other chapter in this book. I argue that the phrase can in some ways be applied not just
    to Xinjiang but to the Central Asian region as a whole. Two factors have added weight to the
    region’s geopolitical significance. These are:
    1 It has gained great importance as a source of energy in a world where energy is assuming as
    critical a role as we are witnessing in contemporary times; and
    2 Central Asia has become involved in the war on terror.
    Of the two major events of focus in this chapter, the fall of the Soviet Union and the September 11
    incidents, the former is much the more important for the Central Asian region. While the countries of
    Central Asia were part of the Soviet Union their strategic and economic influence was much more
    crucially determined in Moscow than has been the case since then. It was the fall of the Soviet Union
    that released some of the main forces that have made the region so influential in the Asian political
    economy. It appears, for instance, to have been Soviet decline and disintegration that allowed
    Islamism to rise in the region as quickly as it did. There was a war against terrorism in Central Asia
    well before September 11.
    Yet this is no reason for underestimating the impact of this latter event. While it was much less
    important for Russia and China than the Soviet collapse, it mattered more to the Americans. And it
    was they who invaded Afghanistan, thereby involving the region in the war on terror. This invasion
    has itself crucially altered the geopolitics of Central Asia by bringing American military influence into a
    region where it never existed beforehand.
    From an economic point of view, I again argue that the fall of the Soviet Union was more important
    than September 11. It was Soviet collapse that brought economic involvement in Central Asia both
    from China and the United States. Although the rise of energy politics was not new in the early
    1990s, it has certainly gathered momentum on a big scale since then, with enormous, far-reaching
    and probably long-lasting repercussions in the entire Central Asian region.
    The impact on Sino-American relations has been multifaceted. In some ways involvement in Central
    Asia has improved the relationship, but in other ways it has created tensions that did not exist
    before. The fundamental factor
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    for more positive relations has been a shared concern to defeat terrorism. The war on terror has
    greatly increased American fear of Islamist terrorism and hence diverted some of its negative
    concerns over China, such as human rights and the rise of China. The factors pointing in the opposite
    direction include tensions over the war in Iraq and the Uyghur prisoners detained in Guantanamo
    Bay, and rivalry over energy and influence in Central Asia.
    This chapter has focused on just a couple of major factors in Central Asia with the potential to affect
    Sino-American relations and the geopolitics of the region into the twenty-first century. Many other
    factors are at play that may turn out to be even more important in the future. These include HIV/
    AIDS, which two writers claimed in 2004 was already spreading in Xinjiang ‘like a whirlwind’. They
    believed it would pose a greater immediate threat to Beijing’s control of Xinjiang than Uyghur
    militancy or terrorism.53 And narcotics and water are among issues that have wide-ranging
    implications for the societies, economies, politics and international relations of the Central Asian
    region. Other chapters take up these crucial matters.
    Notes
    1 These figures come from the web version of the Central Intelligence Agency’s The World Factbook,
    section on Uzbekistan. Online. Available HTTPS: <https:// www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-
    world-factbook/geos/uz.html> (accessed 31 October 2008).
    2 Statistics Bureau of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang tongji nianjian Xinjiang Statistical
    Yearbook 2006, Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2006, pp. 82–3.
    3 Barry Turner (ed.) The Statesman’s Yearbook: the Politics, Cultures and Economies of the World
    2003, Basingstoke and New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2002. The World Factbook gives a mid-2007
    estimate of Kazakhstan’s population of 15,284,929. Online. Available HTTPS:
    <https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/ the-world-factbook/geos/kz.html> (accessed 31 October
    2008).
    4 Turner (ed.) The Statesman’s Yearbook, pp. 1531, 1015. July 2007 estimates for Tajikistan and
    Kyrgyzstan are respectively 7,076,598. Online. Available HTTPS:
    <https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ ti.html> and 5,284,149
    <https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/kg.html>, according to The World
    Factbook. Websites accessed on 31 October 2008.
    5 See Sean R. Roberts, ‘A “Land of borderlands”: implications of Xinjiang’s trans-border interactions’,
    in S. Frederick Starr (ed.) Xinjiang, China’s Muslim Borderland, Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2004, pp.
    216–37. On p. 229, Roberts writes that the exposure of the Uyghurs and other Muslims in Xinjiang
    to neighbouring Muslim sovereign nation states ‘has increased the hope for the establishment of
    either a Uyghur or an Eastern Turkistan nation-state’.
    6 For a good scholarly account of this view, see Ross Terrill, The New Chinese Empire and What It
    Means for the United States , New York: Basic Books, 2003.
    7 Samantha Blum, ‘Chinese Views of US Hegemony’, Journal of Contemporary China , 2003, May, vol.
    12, no. 35, 239–64.
    8 Far Eastern Economic Review , ‘Central Asian Republics’, in Michael Westlake (ed.) Asia 1999
    Yearbook, A Review of the Events of 1998, Hong Kong: Review Publishing Company, 1999, p. 96.
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    9 ‘Central Asian Republics’, in Westlake (ed.) Asia 1999 Yearbook, p. 96.
    10 Chien-peng Chung, ‘The Shanghai Co-operation Organization: China’s changing influence in
    Central Asia’, The China Quarterly, 2004, December, no. 180, 1001.
    11 Evan Osnos, ‘The coming fight for oil’, Tribune, 19 December 2006.
    12 ‘Premier’s Tour Opens New “Silk Road”’, Beijing Review , 9–15 May 1994, vol. 37, no. 19, 5.
    13 Hans Hendrischke, ‘Chinese concerns with Central Asia’, in David Christian and Craig Benjamin
    (eds), Worlds of the Silk Roads: Ancient and Modern, Turnhout: Brepols, 1998, p. 101.
    14 See also Hendrischke, ‘Chinese concerns with Central Asia’, pp. 100–1.
    15 ‘Joint Statement of China, Kazkhstan, Krgyzystan, Russia and Tajikistan on the Alma-Ata Meeting’,
    Beijing Review , 27 July–2 August 1998, vol. 41, no. 30, 9.
    16 Ahmed Rashid, The Resurgence of Central Asia, Islam or Nationalism? , London and New Jersey:
    Oxford University Press; Karachi: Zed Books, 1994, p. 244.
    17 Ahmed Rashid, Jihad, The Rise of Militant Islam in Central Asia, New Haven and London: Yale
    University Press, 2002, p. 115.
    18 Rashid, Jihad , p. 138.
    19 Far Eastern Economic Review , ‘Central Asian Republics’, in Michael Westlake (ed.) Asia 2000
    Yearbook, A Review of the Events of 1999, Hong Kong: Review Publishing Company, 2000, p. 105.
    20 For the full text of ‘The call to Jihad by the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan’, see Rashid, Jihad ,
    pp. 247–9.
    21 Michael Winchester, ‘Beijing vs. Islam’, Asiaweek , 24 October 1997, vol. 23, no, 42, p. 31.
    22 For a brief rundown on these disturbances see James A. Millward, Eurasian Crossroads, A History
    of Xinjiang , New York: Columbia University Press, 2007, pp. 324–34; and Colin Mackerras, China’s
    Ethnic Minorities and Globalisation, London and New York: RoutledgeCurzon, 2003, pp. 49–54.
    23 Susan V. Lawrence, ‘Where Beijing fears Kosovo’, Far Eastern Economic Review , 7 September
    2000, vol. 163, no. 36, 23–4.
    24 See Michael Clarke, China’s Post-9/11 Strategy in Central Asia, Regional Outlook Paper No. 5,
    Griffith Asia Institute, Brisbane, 2005, p. 12. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.griffith.edu.au/business/griffith-asia-institute/publications/ regional-outlook> (accessed
    31 October 2008).
    25 See Jia Qingguo, ‘Learning to live with the hegemon: evolution of China’s policy toward the US
    since the end of the Cold War’, Journal of Contemporary China , 2005, August, vol. 14, no. 44, 402–3.
    26 See also Millward, Eurasian Crossroads , pp. 338–41.
    27 US Department of State, Counterterrorism Office, Patterns of Global Terrorism, 2001, Washington
    US: Department of State, 2002, pp. 16–17. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/10290.pdf> (accessed 3 November 2008).
    28 Allen T. Cheng, ‘A surprise move by the Mainland’s Islamic Community’, South China Morning
    Post, 25 March 2003, 6.
    29 See Dru Gladney, Dislocating China, Reflections on Muslims, Minorities, and Other Subaltern
    Subjects , London: Hurst and Co., 2004, pp. 331–4. It might be added that the signs of anti-
    Americanism among non-Muslim Chinese point in contradictory directions. While Chinese policy
    condemns the Iraq war and the overwhelming majority of ordinary people accept this, one study
    finds that Chinese images of the United States may have improved since September 11, and ‘even
    since the outset of the Iraq war in March 2003’. See Wang Jisi, ‘Reflecting on China’, part of ‘A
    Symposium on the American Image’, The American Interest , 2006, Summer, vol. 1, no. 4, 74.
    Wang’s full article extends pp. 774–8. He is Dean of the School of International Studies, Peking
    University.
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    30 For instance, see ‘“Guardian of human rights” shows its true colour’, China Daily, 10 March 2006,
    p. 5. This is the Chinese Information Office of State Council’s white paper on the human rights record
    of the United States in 2005.
    31 Quoted by Pan Guang in ‘The Chinese perspective on the recent Astana Summit’, China Brief , 16
    August 2005, vol. 5, issue 18. Online. Available HTTP: <http://
    www.jamestown.org/terrorism/news/article.php?articleid=2373127> (accessed 3 November 2008).
    32 Marat Yermukan, ‘Amid mounting criticism in Kazakhstan, Beijing and Astana seal new deals’,
    Eurasia Daily Monitor , 9 January 2007, vol. 4, no. 6. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.jamestown.org/edm/article.php?article_id= 2371781> (accessed 3 November 2008).
    33 See Rowan Callick, ‘Iran welcome in China’s new sphere’, The Australian, 13 June 2006. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/ 0,20867,19453012-2703,00.html>
    (accessed 3 November 2008).
    34 US Department of State, Patterns of Global Terrorism, 2001, pp. 16–17.
    35 Information Office of the State Council, ‘“East Turkistan” terrorist forces cannot get away with
    impunity’, Beijing Review , 31 January 2002, vol. 45, no. 5, 19.
    36 Erik Eckholm, ‘U.S. labeling of group in China as terrorist is criticized’, New York Times, 13
    September 2002. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.nytimes.com/
    2002/09/13/international/asia/13CHIN.html?ex=1032924072&ei=1&en=b38311 cb3dc86865>
    (accessed 31 October 2008).
    37 David S. Cloud and Ian Johnson, ‘Friend or foe, in post-9/11 world, Chinese dissidents pose U.S.
    dilemma, Uighur nationalists have peaceful, violent wings; deciding who is a threat: “Omar is not a
    bomb thrower”’, Wall Street Journal , 3 August 2004, p. 1.
    38 Paulette Chu Miniter, ‘Taking a stand for China’s Uighurs’, Far Eastern Economic Review , 2007,
    March, vol. 170, no. 2, 28.
    39 Scott McDonald, ‘China denounces U.S. memorial’, International Herald Tribune, 13 June 2007.
    Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/06/ 14/asia/AS-GEN-China-Bush-
    Memorial.php> (accessed 31 October 2008).
    40 Robin Wright, ‘Chinese detainees are men without a country’, Washington Post, 24 August 2005.
    Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/
    content/article/2005/08/23/AR2005082301362.html> (accessed 3 November 2008).
    41 Edward Cody, ‘China demands Albania return asylum seekers’, Washington Post, 9 May 2006.
    Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.washingtonpost. com/wp-
    dyn/content/article/2006/05/09/AR2006050900478.html> (accessed 3 November 2008).
    42 Tim Golden, ‘Chinese leave Guantánamo for Albanian limbo’, New York Times, 10 June 2007.
    43 Osnos, ‘The coming fight for oil’.
    44 Nicolas Becquelin, ‘Staged development in Xinjiang’, in David S.G. Goodman (ed.) China’s
    Campaign to ‘Open Up the West’: National, Provincial and Local Perspectives , Cambridge: Cambridge
    University Press, 2004, pp. 50–1.
    45 Andrew Yeh, Richard McGregor, Arkady Ostrovsky and Carola Hoyos, ‘Russia pledges gas pipelines
    to China’, Financial Times, 21 March 2006. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://news.ft.com/cms/s/5ed1f5c0-b8d9-11da-b57d-0000779e 2340.html> (accessed 31 October
    2008).
    46 Frank Ching, ‘The uneasy partners’, South China Morning Post, 29 March 2006.
    47 Asia Pulse/XIC, ‘Kazakh oil pours into China through pipeline’, Asia Times, 27 May 2006. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China-_Business/HE27Cb05.html> (accessed 31
    October 2008).
    48 David Gosset, ‘The Xinjiang factor in the New Silk Road’, Asia Times, 22 May 2007. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/ IE22Ag01.html>, p. 2 (accessed 31
    October 2008).
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    49 Yermukan, ‘Amid mounting criticism in Kazakhstan, Beijing and Astana seal new deals’.
    50 Daniel Kimmage, ‘Central Asia: Turkmenistan–China pipeline project has far-reaching implications’,
    Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 10 April 2006. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.rferl.org/content/Article/1067535.html> (accessed 31 October 2008).
    51 Ilan Greenberg and Andrew E. Kramer, ‘Cheney, visiting Kazakhstan, wades into energy battle’,
    New York Times, 6 May 2006.
    52 Owen Lattimore et al., Pivot of Asia, Sinkiang and the Inner Asian Frontiers of China and Russia ,
    Boston: Little, Brown and Co., 1950.
    53 Justin Rudelson and William Jankowiak, ‘Acculturation and resistance: Xinjiang identities in flux’, in
    Frederick Starr (ed.) Xinjiang, China’s Muslim Borderland, Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2004, p. 318.
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    8
    Central Asia’s domestic stability in official Russian security thinking under Yeltsin and
    Putin
    From hegemony to multilateral pragmatism
    Kirill Nourzhanov
    Australian National University
    After the collapse of the USSR in 1991, the Russian leadership did not perceive Central Asia as an
    important area in its foreign relations. The Atlanticist stance of President Boris Yeltsin and his Foreign
    Minister, Andrei Kozyrev, suggested that Moscow’s priorities would aim at integration with the rich,
    enlightened and democratic West. The newly independent Central Asian republics were looked upon
    as aziatshchina , an area of alien Asian values, and a developmental black hole, from which Russia
    ought to isolate itself. Regional threats were to be dealt with in the spirit of liberalism, using
    international norms and institutions. As Kozyrev put it in December 1992,
    We must prevent a drift to ‘Asiaticism’ [ aziatshchina ] … We must draw the region in the CSCE
    [Conference for Security and Cooperation in Europe] process with all its lofty principles … Russia’s
    goals and interests demand ensuring that our international environment is not ‘Asiaticism’ but the
    CSCE area with its democratic standards and market rules, or all that is inherent in European political
    culture.1
    Taking issue with such statements, the Kazak President’s adviser, Umirserik Kasenov, asked: ‘Where
    does this snobbish Europe-centrism and condescending attitude towards Asia come from? And are
    Central Asian states inanimate objects in the hands of Russia that it can give away or not give away?
    ’2 Yeltsin’s ministers inclined to give an affirmative answer to the latter question. The pro-Western
    orientation of the Kremlin was complemented by the residual imperial mentality. The Russian
    government took it for granted that Central Asia would continue to defer to Moscow no matter what.
    The weight of history and innumerable cultural, economic and military ties sustained this conviction.
    Boris Yeltsin personally found it difficult to deal with the regional heads of state as the leaders of
    sovereign independent nations.3
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    The line of complacency and neglect was further reinforced by Moscow’s desire to rid itself of the
    fiscal burden inherited from the Soviet period. In 1989, the all-Union budget financed the Central
    Asian republics to the tune of US$25 billion. In 1992, direct and indirect subsidies from Moscow to
    the region amounted to approximately US$9 billion, or 5 per cent of Russia’s GDP.4 The country’s
    shrinking economy could ill afford such expenditure.
    By the mid-1990s the situation had altered dramatically – Central Asia had moved to the forefront of
    Russian foreign policy discourse. The change was brought about by a number of factors. Russia’s
    honeymoon with the West was over. Idealistic expectations of a harmonious alliance with the West
    had given way to the primacy of the ‘national interest’ – defined in a tantalizingly vague manner, it
    nonetheless dispensed with the ‘romantic, infantile pro-Americanism’5 of the previous years. The
    Central Asian leaders quickly developed a taste for sovereignty and ethnonationalism, and proved to
    be remarkably adroit at bypassing the former ‘Big Brother’. Within Russia, influential groups with
    specific interests in the region coalesced and made their voices heard. The most important of these
    were the military, the so-called national-patriotic political parties, and corporate entities, especially oil
    companies.
    Finally, and most significantly, Russian policy-makers had realized that the southern republics of the
    former USSR formed an integral part of their country’s security zone. As an astute observer
    commented at the time, ‘The motive, as in the past, is fear – not so much of a rival great power, but
    of disorder. The Russians are concerned that turbulence in those regions, if not checked, could creep
    north.’6 Both ‘democrats’ and ‘national-patriots’ in Moscow now agreed that maintaining peace and
    stability in Central Asia formed Russia’s vital interest. Leaving the region, with which Russia shared
    the longest land frontier in the world (an unfortified and porous frontier at that), simply was not an
    option.
    This consensual view has survived until the present day. At the same time, over the past decade
    substantial differences have persisted among the Russian political elite over the practical model that
    Russia ought to follow for the purpose of maintaining stability in Central Asia. Major points of
    contention can be summarized as follows:
    • What are the main factors of instability in Central Asia?
    • What instruments does Russia have to maintain order in the region?
    • Should preference be given to stability over good governance in dealing with the local regimes?
    • How can bilateral, regional and multilateral approaches to security be harmonized?
    • Under what circumstances can Russia become militarily involved?
    These questions do not take into account diversity within the region; nor
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    do they reflect the complexity of geopolitical competition in Central Asia. Nonetheless, they
    accurately represent the ongoing discussion in the Russian political establishment, which has been
    striving to elaborate an overarching cogent policy towards this region without linking it rigidly to
    Russian–US relations or some other area of ‘high geopolitics’. A Russian academic, writing in 1996,
    referred to relations between Moscow and the newly independent states of Central Asia as a
    ‘collection of uncertainties’.7 We can now proceed with an examination of how successfully these
    uncertainties have been rectified by the Russian leadership over the past decade.
    Boris Yeltsin and the magic wand of integration (1994–2000)
    The first concise document outlining the Russian understanding of threats to Central Asian security
    appeared in September 1994. Entitled Russia-CIS: Does the West’s Position Need Correction? , it was
    prepared by the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) and published under the signature of its
    Director, Evgenii Primakov.8 The report highlighted the following factors of insecurity applying to
    Central Asia:
    • tensions between ethnic Russians and the eponymous populations
    • inter-state and ethnic conflicts
    • proximity of Afghanistan
    • involvement of Iran and Turkey
    • encroachment by the ‘leading countries of the “far abroad”’ (i.e. the USA and, possibly, China)
    • deterioration of the socio-economic situation
    • Islamic extremism
    It also suggested a solution to all these problems – reintegration with Russia under the aegis of the
    Commonwealth of Independent States (the CIS). The success of this project ‘would lead to
    stabilization, democratization, the advancement of reform’, while its failure ‘will be accompanied by
    an intensification in authoritarian and undemocratic trends. The criminalization of society, the
    infringement of ethnic minorities’ rights, and mass violations of human rights will be additional
    destabilizing factors.’
    The SVR report was merely a position paper, a statement of intent by a group of intelligence officers
    and analysts influenced by the recrudescent ideology of Eurasianism. However, after Primakov’s
    promotion to head the Foreign Ministry in January 1996, its main clauses were incorporated into the
    official state policy. The Russian National Security Blueprint enacted by presidential edict in December
    1997 stated that ‘The deepening and development of relations with CIS member states is a most
    important factor promoting the settlement of ethno-political and inter-ethnic conflicts, ensuring socio-
    political stability along Russia’s borders, and ultimately preventing centrifugal phenomena within
    Russia itself.’9 It also referred to the attempts by
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    third parties to limit Moscow’s influence in Central Asia as an explicit threat to its national security.
    Despite routine declarations about the equal and voluntary partnership within the CIS, Yeltsin’s
    integrationist project in the second half of the 1990s had all the features of a hegemonic alliance.
    The Central Asian countries were to be corralled into a political and military bloc where they would
    cede part of their sovereignty. In return, the Kremlin promised security and economic prosperity. The
    willing participation of the Central Asian leaders was taken for granted. Their carefully worded
    objections and alternative projects of integration, such as Nursultan Nazarbyaev’s 1994 proposal of a
    Eurasian Union, were ignored as mere opportunistic attempts to carve a better deal within the
    impending Commonwealth. Even the disastrous war in Chechnya did not spoil official Russian
    triumphalism: ‘Moscow indeed has the levers required for the creation of a new type of “velvet
    empire”, based on financial, economic and military dependence of the post-Soviet states on
    Russia.’10
    Rudderless and Sailless: the failure of the CIS solution
    The results of Yeltsin’s strategy for stability in Central Asia were disappointing (to say the least).
    Multiple CIS summits and feverish activity of its bureaucratic structures, sponsored and directed by
    Moscow, led to few concrete results. As of mid-1999, ‘90 per cent of more than 2,000 documents
    signed within the CIS framework remained scraps of paper. The inner problems of the
    Commonwealth have not been solved, on the contrary, they continue to aggravate.’11 The impulse
    for integration failed to mitigate any of the factors of instability in Central Asia.
    The economic sphere
    The main reason for this failure was economic. The key element in Yeltsin’s plan to create a
    prosperous common market consisted of so-called financial– industrial groups (FIGs). By bringing
    under one roof remnants of the highly integrated and specialized Soviet industry, they were supposed
    to evolve as efficient transnational corporations, especially in hi-tech areas such as the nuclear and
    aerospace industries and power generation. The idea was still-born. Very different legal regimes
    (especially property laws), unavailability of start-up capital, obsolete equipment and direct
    competition for markets overseas resulted in a paltry 20 FIGs being established across the CIS
    between 1994 and 2000 (by comparison, Western corporations set up 2,000 affiliates in the CIS over
    the same period).12 Russian trade with Central Asia plummeted, especially following the financial
    crisis of 1998. In 1999, its exports to the region amounted to US$1.67 billion, registering a 2.5 fold
    decrease compared to 1996.13 The situation with imports was not much better.
    Private investors from Russia by and large ignored Central Asia. One study estimated the volume of
    Russian investment at less than 10 per cent of the
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    total foreign direct investment in the region of US$8 billion between 1996 and 2000.14 This figure in
    itself was completely inadequate as far as the development needs of the region were concerned. An
    all-out trade war between Russia and Kazakhstan in 1999 destroyed the last illusions about Moscow’s
    self-ascribed role as a locomotive of joint economic renaissance.
    The only meaningful economic activity that tied Russia and Central Asia throughout the 1990s was
    the endless cycle of politically motivated debt write-offs and trade subsidies from Moscow.15 One
    author assessed the value of such ‘economic gifts’ at 0.7 to 1 billion US dollars a year.16 This was
    enough to elicit token loyalty from the local leaders, but insufficient to expedite an economic
    breakthrough in the region.
    The political sphere
    Political integration did not occur at all. To the contrary, the second half of the 1990s was marked by
    the growing disregard of Moscow’s policy preferences within the CIS on the part of the Central Asian
    elites. Yeltsin tried to check this trend by signing bilateral agreements with the Central Asian leaders.
    The Declaration on Eternal Freedom and Alliance between Russia and Kazakhstan initialled in July
    1998 was a typical document. It contained a bombastic pledge that ‘the Republic of Kazakhstan and
    the Russian Federation as good neighbours take upon themselves to consider in full measure each
    other’s lawful interests in the political, economic, military and other areas’.17 The vagueness of the
    formula and the absence of a practical implementation mechanism made such pronouncements
    useless.
    By that time all Central Asian countries had evolved neo-patrimonial sultanistic regimes, which
    jealously guarded their sovereignty and professed to follow their unique path of political
    development. They reacted nervously to attempts by the Kremlin to position itself as the custodian of
    liberal values and chief mediator between governments and opposition groups in the region.18 Turar
    Koichuev, President of the Kyrgyz Academy of Sciences and advisor to Askar Akayev, publicly
    condemned the perception of Central Asian societies as ‘modern feudalism’ and ‘Asian absolutism’
    current in Russia.19 In July 1994 the leaders of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan formed the
    Central Asian Union (CAU), a virtual entity whose only purpose was to let Russia know of their
    displeasure when it overstepped the line.
    Gradually Moscow abandoned its high moral ground on democracy and authoritarianism. After 1993
    Boris Yeltsin could hardly claim to be an accomplished liberal himself. The course of events in the
    region demonstrated that, contrary to the conviction prevalent in the West (and among the Russian
    Atlanticists), the absence of representative and accountable government was not a serious security
    risk. The peoples of Central Asia were not pining for democracy and liberty; they were primarily
    interested in order and economic survival.20 Finally, the civil war in Tajikistan during 1992–97,
    where the Yeltsin government initially supported one faction on the strength of its
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    implied democratic credentials, demonstrated that ideological affinity is not always the most efficient
    factor for sensible foreign policy aimed at stability.
    Having given up its commitment to Western-type democracy, Moscow did not generate any ideal
    type of political system for the post-Soviet space. In the meantime, Central Asian presidents
    displayed remarkable creativity in this area, tapping into the vast intellectual tradition ranging from
    Plato to John Stuart Mill to justify their rule. President Emomali Rahmonov of Tajikistan eventually
    came up with a fascinating dictum, ‘Democratic political fundamentalism runs contrary to the basic
    freedom of the individual’, while his Turkmen colleague modestly proclaimed: ‘I, as the Head of
    State, have assumed the responsibility for the fate of my people … Political pluralism would threaten,
    if not destroy, the internal harmony for which our country is renowned.’21
    Russian officials ended up putting a premium on the political status quo over democratic and
    representative government in Central Asia. Their position became purely reactive, accepting whatever
    experiments the regional potentates conducted on their populations, so long as they didn’t rock the
    CIS boat. This became evident in 1995, when the presidents of Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and
    Uzbekistan extended their tenure in office without going through the charade of elections. The
    smooth retention of power by the incumbents wouldn’t have been possible without acquiescence
    from Moscow. In a series of bilateral meetings and negotiations, Boris Yeltsin decided not to bring up
    the issue of ethnic Russians in Central Asia – the most vocal critics of authoritarian and exclusionary
    rule in the region.22
    As already discussed, discrimination against ethnic Russians and Russified members of titular
    nationalities was identified as one of the most important factors of instability in Central Asia by
    policy-makers in Moscow. The 1993 Military Doctrine of the Russian Federation listed ‘the
    suppression of the rights, freedoms and legitimate interests’ of compatriots as an ‘external military
    danger’ which may trigger the deployment of armed force against the offender. Thus, it is quite
    remarkable that the Yeltsin government did excruciatingly little throughout the 1990s to improve the
    situation. The litany of grievances emanating from the region was extensive. The physical and
    psychological pressure to leave was compounded by draconian linguistic legislation, restricted access
    to government positions and tertiary education, day-to-day abuse, and cultural blockade. A Kazak
    journalist observed in 1998:
    Over the past 3–4 years the unified information and cultural-psychological space of Russia and
    Kazakhstan has been contracting like chagrin skin. This causes strong discomfort and feelings close
    to despair not only amongst Russians, Ukrainians and Byelorussians, but also amongst a significant
    portion of the Kazak population brought up on Russian literature and culture.23
    ‘The number of people ready for armed struggle against the illegal regime [of
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    Nazarbayev] is on the rise,’ opined one of the leaders of the Russian community in Kazakhstan, and
    added that ‘the leadership of Russia has the right to restore constitutional order in Kazakhstan just
    like it does in Chechnya.’24 Moscow’s response was to arrest a few chauvinist hotheads on its
    territory and push for dual citizenship, which the governments of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and
    Uzbekistan easily rejected. The juggernaut of ethnocratic politics continued to roll on.
    The military and security sphere
    Its economic and political weakness notwithstanding, Russia was uniquely positioned to create and
    lead a military alliance that would contribute to stability in Central Asia. It succeeded in convincing all
    the region’s countries except Turkmenistan to join the CIS Collective Security Treaty (CST). This
    document provided for collective defence, non-aggression, non-violent conflict resolution, and joint
    efforts to counter threats to ‘security, territorial integrity and sovereignty’ involving member states.
    In practice, the CST meant Russia’s military hegemony, which was highlighted in its 1993 Military
    Doctrine: ‘The interests of the security of the Russian Federation and other states belonging to the
    CIS may require troops (forces) and resources to be deployed outside the territory of the Russian
    Federation.’25 Turkmenistan did not join the CST, yet concluded separate agreements with Moscow
    sanctioning the deployment of Russian border guards on its soil.
    Like so many other CIS agreements, the CST remained largely on paper. Its only success in Central
    Asia was a peacekeeping operation in Tajikistan, which put an end to the hottest phase of the civil
    war in that country in the autumn of 1992. Even here the success was relative, because the low-
    intensity warfare continued for five more years. Russia did not emerge as a universal protector and
    conflict arbiter in the region. Throughout the 1990s Central Asia remained a zone of interstate
    tension. Disputes over borders, enclaves, resources such as water and hydrocarbons, perceived
    historical injustices and minorities, which often went unreported and unnoticed by the rest of the
    world, had the potential to escalate into an all-out war.26 That they didn’t was by no means owing
    to Russia’s presence.
    The ultimate test of the CST efficiency came in 1999 when a group of insurgents associated with the
    Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) crossed the frontier from Afghanistan (patrolled by Russian
    border guards) and made a raid through Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan to the Ferghana Valley. Russian
    officials denied military assistance to the government of Kyrgyzstan, which allowed the insurgents to
    escape and return again the next year. The impotence of the CST was accentuated by Uzbekistan’s
    withdrawal from the treaty in May 1999.
    The failure of Yeltsin’s military strategy in Central Asia stemmed from the miscalculation of threats to
    the region. Russia’s apprehensions about the expansionist intentions of foreign powers proved utterly
    unfounded in the
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    eyes of Central Asians. Writing in 1996, Nazarbayev’s national security adviser attacked the ‘myth of
    the Chinese threat’ propounded by Moscow and continued:
    The Central Asian countries have no manifestations of pan-Turkic and pan-Islamist solidarity … Iran
    is not and will not be a source of military threat for the states of Central Asia … contacts with NATO
    are expanding, and joint programmes are being realized in the security sphere.27
    Even the Taliban regime in Afghanistan turned out to be a straw bogeyman. Moscow was preparing
    to defend the region from an external aggression by another state. When it didn’t eventuate, Russian
    services were no longer needed, and the Kremlin had little to offer to the local regimes by way of
    mobile and professional forces capable of dealing with the real danger of Islamist insurgents.28
    Another area where Russian performance in securing stability in Central Asia was below par involved
    transnational organized crime, especially drug trafficking. Multiple agreements on combating narcotics
    were signed within the CIS, but hardly any of these went into effect. Russian border guards who
    stayed in Turkmenistan and Tajikistan until 1999 and 2005 respectively turned out to be helpless in
    stemming the ever increasing flow of drugs from Afghanistan. Most significantly, the emergence of
    powerful drug lords in Tajikistan following the 1997 power-sharing agreement in that country
    occurred with Russia’s connivance.29 Extremely high levels of addiction, an HIV epidemic putting
    strain on the already struggling health systems, rampant criminality and endemic corruption have
    been some of the more pernicious effects of the narcotics business in the region, undermining its
    stability.30
    Russia has been hit by drugs originating from Afghanistan as well. Eighty per cent of heroin
    consumed in Russia comes through Central Asia. The official (and much understated) number of
    addicts in the country has risen fourfold since 1990, and seizures of heroin have increased from 6.5kg
    to 2,093kg between 1995 and 2000.31 In a fit of panic and desperation, the Russian Government
    Commission on Combating Narcotics in 2001 suggested abandoning the unwinnable fight in Central
    Asia and erecting a cordon sanitaire on the border with Kazakhstan.
    In sum, the official Russian strategy of maintaining peace and stability in Central Asia based on
    integration of the CIS under Russian hegemony could not and did not work. From the start Russian
    understanding of security threats and the means to counter them was at variance with the vision of
    the Central Asian leaders. Russia did not have sufficient financial, technological or even military
    resources to carry out the role of a universal protector and benefactor in the region. Moscow’s
    insistence on the exclusivity of its sphere of national interests, exacerbated by the reappearance of
    Cold War-like paranoia about US activities around the Caspian basin, denied it an option
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    of sharing the load with other parties. Interestingly, some Russian observers towards the end of the
    Yeltsin period began to intimate that the West was encouraging Russia to follow its existing flawed
    policy: ‘The West is interested in Russia’s sinking deeper into the ungrateful, laborious and
    unpredictable job of maintaining an acceptable level of stability in Central Asia.’32 The implication
    was that while Russia exhausted itself acting as a gendarme in the region, Western powers would
    reap economic benefits from its vast natural resources. While such conspiracy theories did not gain
    much currency in the Kremlin, Russian policy-makers were in dire need to rethink their approaches
    to Central Asian stability as the twenty-first century dawned.
    The 9/11 interlude
    As Vladimir Putin assumed the presidency of the Russian Federation, nothing suggested a dramatic
    change of course. In 2000 three important documents outlining the new leadership’s vision for the
    Near Abroad and Central Asia in particular were published. They showed a great deal of continuity
    with the preceding era, and at the same time demonstrated a shift in accents and priorities. Attempts
    of other states to ‘weaken Russia’s positions’ in sensitive regions including Central Asia were
    identified as a national security threat in the National Security Concept. This time around it was the
    USA and NATO, and not Iran and Turkey, who were named as the main culprits. The change of
    guard among the ‘bad guys’ was not Putin’s initiative. It simply captured the mood of the last years
    of Yeltsin’s presidency.
    The Foreign Policy Concept continued to refer to the CIS as the best mechanism to implement the
    national security tasks of the country, with a special emphasis on settling conflicts in the former
    Soviet republics. However, it also spoke about ‘different-speed and different-level integration’, which
    was a subtle departure from the one-size-fits-all attitude of Boris Yeltsin. The Military Doctrine played
    down the possibility of direct foreign aggression. It singled out a ‘humanitarian intervention’
    bypassing the UN and international law as the most likely conventional military threat – an obvious
    allusion to the NATO campaign in the Balkans in 1999. It then proceeded to name terrorist structures
    and extreme separatist, nationalist and religious organizations, combined with transnational drug and
    arms trafficking syndicates, as the greatest danger for Russia and its allies. The Doctrine envisaged
    the creation of Russian military bases abroad to ensure prompt reaction to the threats outlined
    above. This clause was not present in the 1993 Doctrine. Thus it appears that on the doctrinal level
    Russia’s official assessment of factors of instability in its ‘soft underbelly’ became more realistic and
    calibrated, while retaining its hegemonic tenor.
    One circumstance did set Yeltsin and Putin apart rather dramatically. The former could never
    overcome the mentality of a tsar or a General Secretary, clinging instinctively to the fading imperial
    grandeur. The latter, a quintessential technocrat with no ideological baggage of Soviet-style politics,
    could
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    adapt to the changing situation rapidly and map out a new course that was in synch with the wishes
    of the region’s leaders, resulting in a much more informed and nuanced approach to stability in
    Central Asia. As Martha Brill Olcott has observed, Putin started by ‘winning favour with his Central
    Asian colleagues by treating each of the region’s presidents more like his equal than Yeltsin had ever
    done’.33
    However, the opportunity to break away from the Procrustean bed of musty doctrines as far as
    Russian policy in Central Asia was concerned did not arise from listening to the ‘philosopher-kings’ of
    the region. It came in the wake of the 9/11 terrorist attacks in the USA. Overcoming the age-old
    stereotypes and resistance from the conservative military-intelligence circles, Putin opted for close
    cooperation with the Bush Administration to ensure stability in Central Asia. The period between late
    2001 and March 2003 was a rare juncture when all Central Asian states, Russia and the USA were in
    agreement about the security needs of the region and worked in unison to destroy Islamic radicals
    and normalize the situation in Afghanistan.
    The joint declaration of Putin and Bush after the Moscow summit on 24 May 2002 read:
    In Central Asia and the South Caucasus, we recognize our common interest in promoting the
    stability, sovereignty, and territorial integrity of all the nations of this region. The United States and
    Russia reject the failed model of ‘Great Power’ rivalry that can only increase the potential for conflict
    in those regions. We will support economic and political development and respect for human rights
    while we broaden our humanitarian cooperation and cooperation on counterterrorism and
    counternarcotics.34
    Now it was the USA’s turn to carry out the ‘ungrateful, laborious and unpredictable job’ of policing
    the region. NATO troops were deployed in Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. So long as
    Washington objectively contributed to stability in Central Asia, the Kremlin was prepared to forgo its
    erstwhile efforts at hegemony: ‘Tashkent’s decision to place itself squarely under the patronage of
    Washington, accompanied by the deployment of American forces in Uzbekistan, was accepted by
    Putin.’35 Simultaneously, the Russian leadership disengaged from the CIS project. The process had
    reached its natural conclusion by 2005, when Putin announced that the organization ‘was created for
    a civilized divorce … If somebody expected of the CIS any particular achievements in the sphere of
    economy, in political, military cooperation, then, naturally, this did not happen because this could not
    happen.’36
    A highly influential Moscow-based think tank, the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy (CFDP),
    released a discussion paper entitled ‘New Security Challenges and Russia’ in November 2002.37
    Praising Putin for using effectively the ‘fortuitous opportunity’ accorded by the War on Terror (a feat
    that it
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    ascribed to CFDP’s sage advice), it recommended further pragmatism and selectivity in relations with
    the Near Abroad. It also provided a new assessment of threats to stability in Central Asia. In addition
    to the obvious dangers of terrorism and extremism, it focused on the notion of ‘failing states’.
    However, far from attributing this failure to the lack of democracy as the West was wont to do, it
    argued that the incumbent regimes were losing control owing to traditional ‘pre-globalization’ factors.
    A former official from the Presidential Archive in Kazakhstan, who later became an adviser to the
    Russian Duma, deciphered this rather vague message: ‘One should clearly understand that in today’s
    Central Asia the determining factor of power consists of clannish tribalism … The trend is towards an
    organic morphing of the formal presidential republics into the informal khanates.’38 His advice was to
    support the incumbents, albeit in a pragmatic manner, without onerous long-term commitments. A
    similar suggestion came from a former Russian diplomat in Tashkent:
    Obviously, we should not borrow American tactics of emphasis on the human rights issue yet we
    should not reject contacts with prominent opposition leaders. Normally, in Central Asia opposition is
    latent, therefore we should use our contacts with the regional and clan figures.39
    Putin took all this on board. References to ‘political development and respect for human rights’
    continued to appear in his speeches; yet they began to mean something quite different from the
    Western liberal interpretation. The ultimate result was the correction of the security condominium
    with the US in Central Asia.
    In search of a pragmatic balance: the democracy redux and multilateralism
    In 2003 signs began to appear that the Central Asians were not happy with the US performance as a
    guarantor of stability. While all five nations endorsed the US-led campaign in Afghanistan in 2001,
    only Uzbekistan welcomed the invasion of Iraq in March 2003. All others joined ranks with France,
    Germany and Russia in calling for the cessation of violence and UN involvement. Their reasoning was
    straightforward: the war in Iraq would undermine the process of normalization in Afghanistan. The
    Taliban may have been ousted from power, but in the opinion of the Central Asian leaders security
    threats associated with radical Islamist groups and drug trafficking had not been fully resolved and
    had in fact gained in acuteness. The head of the Institute of Strategic Studies (KISI), a top think
    tank attached to the President of Kazakhstan, summarized these sentiments:
    If the campaign in Iraq becomes prolonged, in all likelihood the situation in Afghanistan will be put
    even more in the background. And this is
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    fraught with a series of negative outcomes … inevitably affecting the situation in the Central Asian
    region.40
    Furthermore, the Bush Administration repeated the two mistakes of Boris Yeltsin. Despite calls for a
    ‘Marshall Plan for Central Asia’ inside the US and the region, its attempts to create a security system
    in Central Asia were not accompanied by a large-scale programme of economic development. An
    even bigger blunder was the American policy-makers’ conviction that they had the right and the
    ability to prescribe the rules of domestic politics to the local elites.
    The ruling elites of the region tolerated, absorbed and deflected criticism by the West of their
    dubious record of human rights violations, suppression of civic freedoms, and endemic corruption.
    This was the price they were prepared to pay for security. However, when Washington started to
    export its preferred model of liberalization, directly contributing to regime change in the former
    Soviet Union, its image as a harbinger of stability quickly turned into that of a major source of
    instability. A chain of so-called ‘Coloured Revolutions’ began in Georgia in 2003, continued in Ukraine
    in 2004, and finally reached Kyrgyzstan in March 2005. None of them represented a mass
    spontaneous movement aimed at destroying corrupt authoritarianism. Using the discourse of
    democracy, factions from the already existing elite came to power without the slightest desire to
    change the rules of the political game. Even President Islam Karimov started to have second
    thoughts about the utility of a strategic partnership with the United States: ‘Because it did not take
    into account the situation on the ground, the rapid democratization that was ever more persistently
    demanded by Uzbekistan’s Western partners carried with it the risk of severe destabilization.’41
    The riots in Andijan in Uzbekistan in May 2005 were also interpreted by the Central Asian leaders as
    an attempt at a coup d’état inspired from abroad. In the assessment of KISI, ‘The events in
    Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan demonstrated how destructive an abrupt change of power can be.
    Indeed, these experiments showed the extent to which the West is expediting the spread of the
    “coloured revolutions”.’42 The panic mood of the Kazakh leadership in anticipation of the upcoming
    presidential elections, which might have been used to trigger yet another coup, seeped through a
    statement from a high-ranking Kazak official from the department of the State Chancellor: ‘The ruling
    elite, acting not in the interests of staying in power but in the interests of ensuring national security
    and territorial integrity of the state, not only has the right but is obliged to use coercive means at its
    disposal.’43
    The concerns of the Central Asian leaders were shared by Russia. The common perception of the
    ‘coloured revolutions’ as a threat formed a new pivot for Moscow’s thinking about regional stability.
    In his state of the nation address in April 2005, Putin made a programmatic statement: ‘Russia
    should continue its civilizing mission on the Eurasian continent. This mission consists in ensuring that
    democratic values, combined with national interests, enrich and strengthen our historic
    community.’44 Thus the USA was denied a
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    monopoly on interpreting what constitutes ‘democratic values’, and a message was sent to the
    Central Asian leaders that they can count on Russia’s understanding and support in their historically
    distinct Eurasian path of state-building.
    The Putin doctrine?
    The operationalization of the new ‘Putin Doctrine’ for Central Asia is still under way.45 As always,
    there are various schools of thought and interest groups debating the most practical ways to ensure
    stability in the region in the changed conditions. Nonetheless, an official consensus on the nature of
    threats has been reached. It has been well captured by Gennadii Chufrin, an influential academic
    close to the Kremlin:
    The events in Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan have confirmed that challenges to the existing order in the
    Central Asian countries stem not just from the forces of Islamic extremism and international
    terrorism, but also from the USA, which has embarked upon the path of the export of democracy and
    direct support of the ‘coloured revolutions’.46
    Chufrin continued his analysis with a list of factors that make the region vulnerable to these threats:
    • poverty
    • fragmented elites
    • military weakness
    Stanislav Chernyavsky, Deputy Director of the 1st Department (the CIS countries) of the Foreign
    Ministry of Russia, has spelled out basic principles of addressing domestic sources of instability in
    Central Asia as follows:
    The Russian strategy must rest on sound pragmatism stemming from the country’s relatively limited
    foreign-policy resources. These resources must concentrate on key areas, above all, on security, the
    creation of favourable conditions for economic growth, and the protection of the rights of Russian
    citizens and ethnic Russians living in the region.47
    Pragmatism, deference to the opinion of the Central Asians, and multilateralism involving
    international partners (insofar as it does not undermine stability) are the catch cries of the emerging
    Russian line for the time being.
    The economic sphere
    Poverty reduction is regarded as a key element of the overall strategy to maintain order in the
    region. Unless it is accomplished, combating such ills as
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    narcotics, extremism and terrorism would be futile. In sharp contrast to the Yeltsin period, forced
    economic reintegration is not on the Kremlin’s agenda. Projects such as the Eurasian Economic
    Commonwealth (EurAsEC) and Single Economic Space (SES) are extremely slow-moving and boil
    down to the harmonization of trade tariffs. Investment from Russia is a much more efficient tool.
    Again, unlike the 1990s, the flow of capital to Central Asia does not pursue the goal of political
    hegemony and is not orchestrated by officials: ‘the only sector in which we found much evidence of
    Russian government involvement in foreign investment decisions by Russian companies was in the
    energy sector, and even here investments appear to have been driven by corporate rather than
    government motives.’48
    The congruence of interests of the newly confident and cash-rich Russian business, the Kremlin and
    the Central Asian leaders has led to impressive results. The arrival of RusAl, RAO EES, and Gazprom
    in Tajikistan has injected US$2 billion into its struggling economy as of 2006, and will ensure a
    dynamic development of the impoverished republic’s core industries, i.e. aluminium production and
    hydropower generation, for decades to come.49
    Another area where Russia could make a difference for many Central Asians living in poverty is
    labour migration. There are some one million guest workers from the region staying in Russia at any
    given time, and their remittances are vitally important for sustaining a decent quality of life back
    home.50 While on a visit to Tajikistan in 2003, Putin pledged to expedite and regularize labour
    migration and improve living conditions for migrants, primarily through reducing red tape and police
    arbitrariness.
    The political sphere
    Vladimir Lukin, a veteran of Russian diplomacy and presently the country’s Human Rights
    Commissioner, has mapped out Moscow’s official attitude to domestic politics in Central Asia:
    Russia’s experience of dealing with Central Asia is unique in many respects; therefore, the Russian
    Federation should encourage the secular regimes there by working toward good-neighbourly relations
    in the region and practical approaches to the social and economic problems, the main catalysts of
    regional instability. We should bear in mind, however, that excessively harsh domestic policies
    preferred by some of the regional regimes as well as thoughtless ‘games at democracy’ are fraught …
    with outbursts of radicalism and extremism. Our encouragement of the openly authoritarian regimes
    should be conditioned by their step-by-step movement toward a more open and less repressive
    government.51
    In order to allay the fears of the incumbent rulers about the extent and content of Moscow’s
    pressure, as well as the speed of the required change,
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    President Putin has put in place important caveats and intimated that political exchange would go
    both ways:
    We would like to achieve synchronization of the pace and parameters of reform processes under way
    in Russia and the other members of the Commonwealth of Independent States. We are ready to
    draw on the genuinely useful experience of our neighbours and also to share with them our own
    ideas and the results of our work.52
    All things considered, the Russian leader has spoken in favour of a gradual authoritarian withdrawal
    towards some form of guided (limited, electoral, etc.) democracy.
    Moscow has undertaken steps to preclude the use of alleged voting irregularities as a trigger for
    regime change. One major innovation has been the creation of a plethora of international election
    observer missions under the auspices of the CIS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO).
    As one Russian official has explained, ‘Unfortunately, the activity of [Western] observers is being
    increasingly used both by opposition forces within a particular state and by foreign “champions of
    democracy” as a tool for exerting political pressure within that country.’53
    Since 2000, the Kremlin has tried for the first time to project ‘soft power’ across Central Asia in
    earnest. The Russian-sponsored Slavic Universities in Bishkek and Dushanbe are now prestigious
    tertiary institutions churning out future elites. The former was chosen by 186 out of 200 top school
    leavers in Kyrgyzstan to continue their education in 2003.
    In May 2005 an inconspicuous non-profit organization called the Institute of Eurasian Studies (IES)
    was registered in Moscow. Its chartered objective is ‘to restore and develop cultural, humanitarian
    and educational ties among the former republics of the USSR, belonging to the historic Eurasian
    space.’54 The IES appears to have unlimited (if opaque) funding. It has set up local branches not
    only in capital cities but also provincial towns in Central Asia. Its activities include cultural events,
    scholarships, building up libraries – as well as giving friendly advice to the region’s officials on
    constitutional law and public administration – and developing modern civic society. It also supports
    moderate opposition, such as the Democratic Movement of Kyrgyzstan. The IES regularly
    commissions high-quality sociological surveys, which enables it to monitor public opinion on the
    ground closely. The spectrum and depth of the IES operations approximate those of the USAID-
    sponsored NGOs – perhaps it has been designed as a counterweight to the latter.
    Moscow has acknowledged the importance of proactive work with ethnic Russians in the Near
    Abroad. A special department has been set up within the Ministry of Foreign Affairs towards this end.
    According to its director, ‘Russia’s strategic goal is aimed at turning its compatriots into law-abiding
    citizens of their countries, enjoying full rights and actively promoting
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    Russia’s interests.’55 Between 2002 and 2005, the relevant appropriation in the federal budget
    increased by 235 per cent.
    The military and security sphere
    Moscow’s multilateral approach to maintaining Central Asia’s stability is most salient in the
    military/security area. It currently operates two military bases in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, the status
    and responsibilities of which are clearly defined. Speaking about the latter, the Duma’s Defence
    Committee Chairman, Mikhail Babich, named ‘the protection of the most important objects in
    Tajikistan, assistance to the armed forces of that country in case of an armed conflict and/or an
    incursion by terrorist or bandit groups from adjacent territories’ as the Russian troops’ main tasks.56
    This is precisely the guarantee that the local leaders wished to hear, lest the IMU raids of 1999 and
    2000 occur again. At the same time, Babich denied the possibility of opening other bases in the
    region, although such provisions exist, for example, in the 2004 Agreement on Strategic Partnership
    between Russia and Uzbekistan.
    In general, bilateral and region-wide military pacts involving Russia and the Central Asian states
    (such as the Collective Security Treaty Organization) are much more concrete and businesslike in
    tone than their predecessors in the 1990s. The above-mentioned 2004 Agreement prioritizes the
    deliveries of Russian armaments, training of Uzbek officers, and joint exercises.
    Moscow’s strategy since 2001 has been to share policing duties in Central Asia with the USA and
    China. The former retains a base in Kyrgyzstan, and the latter is a dominant member of the SCO,
    which has a counterterrorist and intelligence component. This arrangement has generated fierce
    internal criticism in Russia. Sergei Karaganov, CFDP Chairman of the Board, defended Putin’s current
    policy, citing commonality of interests in securing the region. He also attacked ‘the parrots of the
    Cold War who, because of senility, stupidity or self-interest keep croaking on both sides about a
    “fight over Central Asia” and see in each step a “victory” or a “defeat”’.57
    Dealing with China
    Pragmatic engagement with China has been a hallmark of Putin’s strategy in Central Asia. When
    anxiety about Beijing’s intentions is observed among the top brass in the Russian army and security
    establishment,58 this reflects wishful thinking on the part of Western analysts rather than the
    Kremlin’s official line. In the words of a top-ranking Russian diplomat, ‘one may state that the
    relations between the two countries have reached an unprecedentedly high level. They have no
    major irritants, nor is the emergence of any such irritants on the cards in the future.’59
    The emerging Sino-Russian compact in the region is grounded in the complementarity of objectives
    and threat perceptions. China’s strategic interests
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    in Central Asia have been clearly formulated: containment of separatism in Xinjiang; securing Central
    Asia as a stable and friendly rearguard; and promotion of trade, especially in energy resources.60 So
    long as Beijing does not go beyond this essentially conservative agenda Moscow has no problems
    with any of the above. Indeed, its position concerning the Uyghur question has been very close to
    that of the Chinese government, which expedited the creation and continuous functioning of the
    SCO.61 In 2000, Russia handed over two Uyghur mujahideen captured in Chechnya to the Chinese
    authorities.
    The SCO’s consensual treatment of Uyghur separatism, Chechen insurgency and Central Asian
    Islamist opposition as elements of a global terrorist network found its institutional embodiment in
    2004 when the Regional Anti-Terrorist Structure (RATS) was launched under its auspices. Situated in
    Tashkent, it is charged with tracking regional terrorist activities, sharing intelligence and advising
    members about counterterrorist policies. In March 2006 RATS held its first anti-terrorist exercises in
    Uzbekistan with all SCO member-states participating.
    The success of RATS also highlights the limits of China’s power in the region. It is the only specialized
    permanent body of the SCO (apart from a tiny Secretariat) currently in existence. Neither Russia nor
    the Central Asian republics have been keen to embrace initiatives at greater political, economic and
    security cooperation floated, rather tentatively, by China. Russia does not want to share fully its
    newly acquired leadership role, while the Central Asians still feel apprehensive about their neighbour
    to the East. According to a 2005 sociological survey, 84 per cent of Kyrgyz citizens viewed Russia as
    a ‘friend’, while China topped the list of ‘enemies’ with 23 per cent; 74 per cent of those polled
    objected to the presence of Chinese troops on Kyrgyz soil under any circumstances.62 The Central
    Asian countries are happy to pursue free trade and massive development projects with Russia.
    However, when it comes to opening economically to China, they ‘are likely to want to apply the
    brakes and channel as many benefits as possible through direct bilateral investments for some
    time’.63
    In summary, Russia and the Central Asian states consider China as an important ally in preserving
    the political status quo in the region against internal opposition (especially of the extremist
    persuasion) and external pressures for regime change. They grow rich from trade with China, but
    maintain protectionist barriers. In return, Beijing receives support in its efforts to pacify its
    troublesome Western provinces. ‘China is afraid to encroach on the domineering influence of Russia,’
    opined its former Ambassador to Moscow, Li Fenlin: ‘Taking into account the self-awareness of the
    region’s countries as newly independent states, China has been avoiding actions which might be
    interpreted as imposing its will upon these countries’.64 It is difficult to predict for how long this
    balance of interests will persist. A well-informed Kazak analyst has forecast that by 2020 China will
    eclipse Russia and acquire a hegemonic position in the region, primarily through ‘economic and
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    demographic methods’.65 It is unclear whether Moscow has a contingency plan for such an
    eventuality.
    Conclusion
    Official Russian thinking on Central Asian stability has travelled a long way. As a subset of Moscow’s
    general foreign policy strategy, it followed the latter’s twists and turns with unfailing regularity.
    However, with the exception of the first couple of years after the USSR’s dissolution, it has been
    founded on recognition of the fact that order, internal peace and absence of conflicts in this region
    are vitally important for Russia’s own security.
    In the final analysis, all the issues covered above can be reduced to one question – ‘What does
    Russia want from the Central Asian republics?’ According to Konstantin Kosachev, Chairman of the
    Duma Committee on International Relations, the answer is ‘loyalty, friendship, good neighbourly
    relations, continued economic ties and secure borders’.66 The present course of Putin’s government
    seems to be well suited to achieve these objectives. However, it is not set in stone; it hasn’t even
    been codified in a concise doctrine. Demands for greater certainty, transparency and continuity in
    Moscow’s official position vis-à-vis Central Asia are on the rise from the region: ‘Sooner or later
    Russia will have to formulate the principal foundations of its policy more cogently ... It cannot regard
    the countries of Central Asia in the same category as other CIS states. A special approach is required
    here.’67 Whether Russia stays the present course, lapses into neo-imperialism or withdraws into
    isolationism depends on many internal and external factors, which warrant separate and thorough
    investigation beyond the scope of this study.
    Notes
    1 ‘What foreign policy Russia should pursue’, International Affairs (Moscow) , 1993, no. 2, 3–21.
    2 U.T. Kasenov, Tsentralnaia Aziia i Rossiia: ternistyi put’ k ravnopravnym otnosheniiam , Almaty:
    KISI, 1994, p. 10.
    3 Yeltsin’s bodyguard, Alexander Korzhakov, related an incident from 1992 when Yeltsin performed a
    musical number with a spoon on the head of Kyrgyz President Askar Akayev (Alexander Korzhakov,
    Boris Yeltsin: ot rassveta do zakata . Moscow: Interbuk, 1997, p. 82.) Such behaviour was
    reminiscent of the relationship between the omnipotent Tsar and a court jester.
    4 Mark Khrustalev, Tsentralnaia Aziia vo vneshnei politike Rossii , Moscow: Tsentr mezhdunarodnykh
    issledovanii MGIMO, 1994, p. 6.
    5 Vladimir Lukin, ‘Russia and its interests’, in Stephen Sestanovich (ed.) Rethinking Russia’s National
    Interests , Washington, DC: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 1994, p. 106–15.
    6 Michael Mandelbaum, ‘The reluctance to intervene’, Foreign Policy , 1994, issue 95, 3–18.
    7 Alexei Malashenko, ‘The Islamic factor in relations between Russia and Central Asia’, in Roald
    Sagdeev and Susan Eisenhower (eds) Islam and Central Asia: An
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    Enduring Legacy or an Evolving Threat?, Washington, DC: Center for Political and Strategic Studies,
    2000, pp. 155–69.
    8 Rossiia – SNG: nuzhdaetsia li v korrektirovke pozitsiia Zapada? , Moscow: Sluzhba vneshnei
    razvedki, 1994.
    9 ‘Russian National Security Blueprint’, FBIS-SOV-97–364 , 30 December 1997. Online. Available
    HTTP: <http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/russia/doctrine/blueprint.html> (accessed 31 October 2008).
    10 V. Baranovskii, ‘Rossiia i ee blizhaishee okruzhenie: konflikty i usiliia po ikh regulirovaniiu’,
    Mirovaia ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniia, 1996, no. 1, 46–55.
    11 Alexei Vasilyev, ‘Russia and the Central Asian countries of the CIS’, Russia and the Moslem World ,
    1999, vol. 86, no. 8, 23–5.
    12 V.A. Gustov, V.Kh. Manko, ‘Sokhranit’ nyneshnee polozhenie v Sodruzhestve Nezavisimykh
    Gosudarstv – znachit lishit’ ego perspektivy’, Problemy sovremennoi ekonomiki , 2003, vol. 6, no. 2.
    Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.m-economy.ru/art.php3?artid=16458> (accessed 13 November
    2008).
    13 S.V. Zhukov and O.V. Reznikova, Tsentralnaia Aziia v sotsialno-ekonomicheskikh strukturakh
    sovremennogo mira , Moscow: Moskovskii obshchestvennyi nauchnyi fond, 2001, p. 206.
    14 L.Z. Zevin, N.A. Ushakova, ‘Rossiia i Tsentralnaia Aziia: ekonomicheskie otnosheniia’, Vostok
    (Oriens) , 2005, no. 2, 77–89.
    15 For details of the discussions on the issue within the Russian government, see Alexander A.
    Pikayev, ‘The Russian domestic debate on policy toward the “Near Abroad”’, in Lena Jonson and Clive
    Archer (eds) Peacekeeping and the Role of Russia in Eurasia , Boulder: Westview Press, 1996, pp.
    51–6.
    16 Zhukov and Reznikova, Tsentralnaia Aziia , p. 230.
    17 Deklaratsiia o vechnoi druzhbe i sotrudnichestve. Online. Available HTTP: <http://
    www.russia.kz/dis.html> (accessed 31 October 2008).
    18 A think tank associated with the Russian Foreign Ministry advised as early as September 1992 that
    ‘Russia must use its influence to assist in the smooth transformation of the Central Asian states’
    political structures in order to establish cooperation between the main competing groupings of the
    ruling elite and the opposition.’ (TsMI MGIMO, Sodruzhestvo nezavisimykh gosudarstv: protsessy i
    perspektivy . Moscow: MGIMO, 1992, p. 13.)
    19 T. Koichuev, Postsovetskaia Tsentralnaia Aziia: Sostoianie, poisk puti, vozmozhnosti, Almaty: KISI,
    1994, p. 13.
    20 This mood was clearly captured by an extensive sociological survey conducted by the US Institute
    of Peace in Kazakstan and Uzbekistan in 1993–4: the absolute majority of respondents showed
    strong support for authoritarian presidents so long as they guaranteed order and stability – ‘there
    were no obvious alternatives to challenge their power.’ See Nancy Lubin, ‘Leadership in Uzbekistan
    and Kazakhstan: the Views of the Led’, in Timothy J. Colton and Robert C. Tucker (eds) Patterns in
    Post-Soviet Leadership , Boulder: Westview Press, 1995, pp. 217–34. Another study of public opinion
    in Kazakstan revealed that only 21.3 per cent of the population believed that democracy can resolve
    the country’s social problems, while 44 per cent did not have trust in it. See R.K. Kadyrzhanov,
    ‘Voprosy demokratizatsii v obshchestvennom mnenii kazakhstanttsev’, Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniia ,
    2001, no. 12, 41–6.
    21 For a detailed discussion of the philosophical views of Central Asian leaders on the nature of
    power and authority, see Kirill Nourzhanov, ‘Nursultan Nazarbaev, the visionary president of
    Kazakstan’, Russian and Euro-Asian Bulletin , 1998, vol. 7, no. 4, 1–5.
    22 In 1995, ethnic Russians numbered 6.2 million in Kazakstan and 3.3 million in other Central Asian
    republics. S. Savoskul, ‘Rossiia i russkie v blizhnem zarubezh’e’, Etnopoliticheskii vestnik , 1995, no. 3,
    129–40.
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    23 ‘V Rossii obsuzhdaiut fenomen Kazakhstana’, Rossiia i musulmanskii mir, 1998, vol. 72, no. 6, 74.
    24 Nikolai Gunkin, ‘Opasnost’ zakliuchaetsia ne v voine, a v samoobmane, kotoryi opravdyvaet
    nereshitelnost’ rossiiskoi vlasti’, Shturm , 1996, no. 3, 31–7.
    25 The basic provisions of the military doctrine of the Russian Federation. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/russia/doctrine/russia-mil-doc.html> (accessed 31 October 2008).
    26 A concise analysis of interstate conflict potential in Central Asia can be found in: International
    Crisis Group, ‘Central Asia: Border disputes and conflict potential’, Asia Report, 2002, no. 33, 4 April.
    27 Umirserik Kasenov, ‘Tsentralnaia Aziia: natsionalnye I regionalnye aspekty bezopasnosti’,
    Kazakhstan i mirovoe soobshchestvo , 1996, no. 1, 21–35.
    28 Roy Allison highlights the absence of trained personnel and commitments to the North Caucasus
    theatre as major operational constraints on Russian military activities in the Near Abroad. See Roy
    Allison, ‘The military background and context to Russian peacekeeping’, in Lena Jonson and Clive
    Archer (eds) Peacekeeping and the Role of Russia in Eurasia , Boulder: Westview Press, 1996, pp.
    33–50.
    29 For details, see Kirill Nourzhanov, ‘Saviours of the nation or robber-barons? Warlord politics in
    Tajikistan’, Central Asian Survey, 2005, vol. 24, no. 2, 109–30.
    30 See International Crisis Group, ‘Central Asia: Drugs and conflict’, Asia Report, 2001, no. 25, 26
    November.
    31 ‘Kratkii obzor itogov raboty, iiul’ 1999 – iiul’ 2001’, Net Narkotikam . Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.narkotiki.ru/research_2227o.html> (accessed 31 October 2008).
    32 Zhukov and Reznikova, Tsentralnaia Aziia , p. 410.
    33 Martha Brill Olcott, Central Asia’s Second Chance, Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for
    International Peace, 2005, p. 61.
    34 The White House, The President’s trip to Europe and Russia . Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/05/20020524–2.html> (accessed 31 October
    2008).
    35 Boris Rumer, ‘The powers in Central Asia’, Survival , 2002, vol. 44, no. 3, 57–68.
    36 ‘SNG bylo zaprogrammirovano na raspad, zaiavil Putin’, Novosti Rossii , 25 March 2005. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.newsru.com/russia/ 25mar2005/doomed.html> (accessed 31 October
    2008).
    37 ‘New security challenges and Russia’, Russia in Global Affairs, no. 1, 2002. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://eng.globalaffairs.ru/printver/453.html> (accessed 31 October 2008).
    38 Vitalii Khliupin, ‘Kitai i Rossiia v bor’be za Tsentral’nuiu Aziiu’, Informatsionnoanaliticheskii bulleten’
    stran SNG , 2001, no. 28. Online. Available HTTP: <http:// www.e-journal.ru/p_bzarub-st6–14.html>
    (accessed 31 October 2008).
    39 Dmitry Trofimov, ‘Russia and the United States in Central Asia: Problems, Prospects, and
    Interests’, Central Asia and the Caucasus, 2003, vol. 19, no. 1. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.ca-c.org/online/2003/journal_eng/cac-01/ 09.troeng.shtml> (accessed 31 October
    2008).
    40 M.S. Ashimbaev, ‘Vyzovy i ugrozy bezopasnosti regiona v pervom desiatiletii XXI veka’, Analytic,
    2003, no. 2, 2–10.
    41 Vitaly Naumkin, ‘Uzbekistan’s state-building fatigue’, The Washington Quarterly, 2006, vol. 29, no.
    3, 127–40.
    42 M.T. Laumulin, ‘Novye geopoliticheskie factory i geopolitika Tsentralnoi Azii’, in A.Zh. Shomanov,
    ed. Kitai, Rossiia, SshA: Interesy, pozitsii, strategii i vzaimootnosheniia v Tsentralnoi Azii na
    sovremennom etape . Almaty: KISI, 2005, pp. 17–21.
    43 M.E. Shaikhutdinov, ‘SShA, Kitai Rossiia v Tsentralnoi Azii: ot strategii sopernichestva – k strategii
    sotrudnichestva’, in A.Zh. Shomanov (ed.) Kitai, Rossiia,
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    SshA: Interesy, pozitsii, strategii i vzaimootnosheniia v Tsentralnoi Azii na sovremennom etape .
    Almaty: KISI, 2005, pp. 32–7.
    44 Vladimir Putin, ‘Annual Address to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation’, President of
    Russia Official Web Portal, 25 April 2005. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.kremlin.ru/eng/text/speeches/2005/04/25/2031_type-70029type82912_87086.shtml>
    (accessed 31October 2008).
    45 A recent and informed analysis of competing views on foreign policy in Putin’s Russia can be
    found in Yury E. Fedorov, ‘“Boffins” and “Buffoons”: Different strains of thought in Russia’s strategic
    thinking’, Johnson’s Russia List , 2006, no. 125, 30 May.
    46 G.I. Chufrin, ‘Zadachi povysheniia effektivnosti ShOS’, in B.K. Sultanov et al. (eds) ShOS i
    problemy bezopasnosti v Tsentralnoi Azii . Almaty: KISI, 2005, pp. 14–19.
    47 Stanislav Chernyavsky, ‘Central Asia in an era of change’, Russia in Global Affairs, 2006, no. 1.
    Online. Available HTTP: <http://eng.globalaffairs.ru/numbers/14/ 1001.html> (accessed 31 October
    2008).
    48 Keith Crane, D.J. Peterson and Olga Oliker, ‘Russian investment in the Commonwealth of
    Independent States’, Eurasian Geography and Economics , 2005, vol. 46, no. 6, 405–44.
    49 Ivan Iniutin, ‘Russian strategy in Central Asia’, Central Asia and the Caucasus, 2006, vol. 38, no.
    2, 27–36.
    50 See Elena Tiuiukanova, ‘Denezhnye perevody migrantov v rossiiskom kontekste’, Pro et Contra,
    2005, vol. 9, no. 1, 91–6.
    51 Vladimir Lukin, ‘2005: Fewer illusions, more realism’, International Affairs (Moscow) , 2006, vol. 52,
    no. 1, 74–5.
    52 Putin, ‘Annual Address’.
    53 Vladimir Gorovoi, ‘CIS election observer missions in Commonwealth States’, International Affairs
    (Moscow) , 2005, vol. 52, no. 2, 79–87.
    54 ‘Institut evraziiskikh issledovanii’, Sootechestvennik informatsionnyi portal. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://compatriot.su/about/iei/> (accessed 31 October 2008).
    55 A.V. Chepurin, ‘Sootechestvenniki kak zarubezhnyi resurs’, Nezavisimaia gazeta , 13 February
    2006.
    56 Cited in Yuri Kotenok, ‘Bez Srednei Azii my stanem mladshim bratom’, Utro , 1 June 2006.
    57 Sergei Karaganov, ‘O Rossii, SShA i Srednei Azii’, Rossiiskaia gazeta , 20 October 2005.
    58 See, for example, Stephen Blank, ‘China in Central Asia: The hegemon in waiting?’, in Ariel Cohen
    (ed.) Eurasia in Balance: The US and the Regional Power Shift, Aldershot: Ashgate, 2005, pp. 149–
    82.
    59 Konstantin Vnukov, ‘Moscow-Beijing: New Vistas of Cooperation’, International Affairs (Moscow) ,
    2006, vol. 52, no. 3, 40–45.
    60 Zhao Huasheng, Kitai, Tsentralnaia Aziia i Shankhaiskaia Organizatsiia Sotrudnichestva . Moscow:
    Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2005, p. 31.
    61 Pan Guang, ‘East Turkestan terrorism and the terrorist arc: China’s post-9/11 anti-terror strategy’,
    The China and Eurasia Forum Quarterly, 2006, vol. 4, no. 2, 19–24.
    62 ‘Poll: main “enemies” of Kyrgyzstan are China and US’, 12 June 2005. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://regnum.ru/english/555319.html> (accessed 31 October 2008).
    63 Ruslan Maksutov, The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation: A Central Asian Perspective .
    Stockholm: SIPRI, 2006, p. 29.
    64 Quoted in Mikhail Kurnikov, ‘Kitai zainteresovan v stabilnosti v regione Tsentralnoi Azii’, Materik,
    18 September 2006. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.materik.ru/print.php?
    section=analitics&bulsectionid=15634>
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    (accessed 31 October 2008).
    65 M.T. Laumulin, ‘Geopoliticheskaia strategiia Kitaia i bezopasnost’ v Tsentralnoi Azii’, in B.K.
    Sultanov et al. (eds) ShOS i problemy bezopasnosti v Tsentralnoi Azii . Almaty: KISI, 2005, pp. 33–47.
    66 Konstantin Kosachev, ‘From the logic of the “near abroad” to the community of interests’,
    International Affairs (Moscow) , 2005, vol. 51, no. 3, 85–91.
    67 Shaikhutdinov, ‘SShA, Kitai Rossiia v Tsentralnoi Azii’, p. 34.
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    9
    ‘Glocality’, ‘Silk Roads’ and new and little ‘great games’ in Xinjiang and Central Asia
    Michael Clarke
    Griffith Asia Institute
    Don McMillen began this volume by outlining an analytical framework of ‘glocality’ that he suggested
    was implicit to the essays of all contributors. It is now timely to revisit this idea not only in the
    context of the specific issues explored and analysed by each of the contributors but also to explore
    the broader themes that link what on the surface might appear to be disparate papers with discrete
    concerns. His suggestion to begin thinking ‘glocally’ about the various geopolitical, political,
    economic, diplomatic and cultural issues that were the focus of the contributors highlights the pre-
    eminent theme that binds all the preceding essays together – the ‘apparent seamlessness between
    the macro and the micro affairs of actors within Central Asia and Xinjiang’ and their subsequent
    impact on regional and global ‘fields’. In this process, however, one particular issue appears to frame
    all others – the issue of identity. What is striking in contemporary Xinjiang and Central Asia, and is
    borne out in the contributions to this volume, is the simultaneous existence, evolution and
    development of forms of identity from the individual to state to regional levels that often pull in
    opposite directions.
    One of particular importance, which the contributors have touched on in significant detail, concerns
    conceptions or visions of ‘Central Asia’ from both outside and inside the region itself. Much of the
    period since the watershed moment of the Soviet collapse of 1991 has witnessed attempts by both
    the newly independent states of Central Asia and the dominant external players, Russia and China, to
    come to grips with the political, economic and strategic consequences of this development. Questions
    raised explicitly and implicitly in this regard have concerned, for example, whether one can speak of
    ‘Central Asia’ as a region, whether Xinjiang or Afghanistan are rightly encompassed by the term,
    whether ‘Central Asia’ is the ‘pivot’ or ‘periphery’ of world history and whether ‘integration’ is
    occurring between Xinjiang and Central Asia. Yet these questions are asked from an external
    perspective in an attempt to establish knowledge of the region from the outside-in. A number of
    contributors have dwelt upon this theme at length, particularly those concerned with the approaches
    of the dominant external powers in the region, Russia, China and, in the post-11 September 2001
    period, the US, and those concerned with a long-term historical perspective of the region’s place and
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    role in world history. Indeed, the contributions of James Millward, Geoff Watson, Colin Mackerras and
    Kirill Nourzhanov have highlighted the central role that such a re-visioning of the region by dominant
    external powers has played in shaping their policies toward the region.
    Complementing these approaches have been those contributions that have sought to provide a
    perspective of the region from within. In this respect Ann McMillan and Ablet Kamalov’s chapters
    have dwelt at length upon such issues as the underlying economic and political interdependency of
    Xinjiang and Central Asia and the changing approach of the Soviet Union and the Central Asian states
    to the Uyghur diaspora in Central Asia. These contributions highlight not only the increasing
    interconnectivity across the region but also the impact of developments at the micro-level on the
    macro-level and vice versa. Thus the chapters in this volume encompass perspectives that address,
    in Don McMillen’s phrase, the ‘little and great “games”’ that are currently being played out in Xinjiang
    and Central Asia. Prior to turning to discuss the significant interconnections between these little and
    great games in Xinjiang and Central Asia it is useful to explore how the concept of ‘glocality’ can be
    effectively deployed to help us develop new perspectives and understandings of the region’s
    geopolitical, economic and cultural ‘realities’.
    The dynamics of ‘Glocality’ in contemporary Xinjiang and Central Asia
    ‘All experience is local … We are always in place, and place is always with us.’1
    Drawing on the scholarship of Roland Robertson and Robert Holton, Don McMillen reminded us in his
    thoughtful introduction that many of the dominant themes of post-1991 developments in Xinjiang
    and Central Asia addressed by the contributors – from great power politics, radical Islamism,
    terrorism and ethnic nationalism to economic modernization – encompass actors and actions that are
    often simultaneously local and global in origin and effect.2 More importantly, the reality of ‘glocality’
    – the syncretic interpenetration of the ‘global’ and the ‘local’ – raises to the forefront the salience of
    identity for scholars and other observers interested in developing an understanding of contemporary
    Xinjiang and Central Asia. This dynamic operates at least at two levels: the state level and the
    societal level. With respect to the state level, what emerges from the accounts of the dominant
    external actors here, Russia, China and the US, is that the respective governments bring to the table
    distinct visions or conceptions, firstly, of what the region currently is, and secondly, predispositions
    as to what it should be in the future. Moreover, these visions and predispositions are embedded
    within ongoing global debates and discourses about the shape and content of international ‘order’
    that impinge directly upon Xinjiang and Central Asia, most notably those surrounding the ‘War on
    Terror’, radical Islam and democratization.
    Simultaneously, such dynamics and debates also play out at the local,
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    societal level within the states of Central Asia and Xinjiang; witness the ‘Tulip Revolution’, the Andijan
    Incident and the activities of Uyghur advocacy organizations in Central Asia and beyond, for example.
    In this regard the reflection of Chief Rabbi Jonathan Sacks regarding the importance of identity,
    noted in the opening chapter of this volume, is significant:
    We live in the conscious presence of ‘difference’. In the street, at work and on the television screen
    we constantly encounter cultures whose ideas and ideals are unlike ours. That can be experienced as
    a profound threat to identity … Religion is one of the great answers to the question of identity. But
    that, too, is why we face danger. Identity divides. The very process of creating an ‘Us’ involves
    creating a ‘Them’ – people not like ourselves.3
    While Rabbi Sacks’ reflection is directly concerned with one particular form of identity – religious
    identity – it nonetheless rings true not only for political, cultural and social identities within a given
    nation state but also across nation states. Indeed, Geoff Watson’s chapter in particular identified the
    lingering predisposition of external actors, particularly Western ones, not only to objectify the region
    and its peoples in civilizational terms but then to use this as a justification for intervention in the
    region. That is to juxtapose their self-identity against that of the perceived other in Central Asia.
    Thus, the discourse of Social Darwinism and ‘oriental despotism’ of the late nineteenth century
    justified British and Russian attempts to ‘tame’ Central Asia and its peoples, while the contemporary
    post-Cold War and post-11 September 2001 discourse of ‘state failure’ and ‘Islamic fundamentalism’
    has guided the West’s re-engagement with and reintervention in Central Asia.
    However, it is useful to note here that classical sociologists such as Charles Horton Cooley and
    George Herbert Mead argued that identity, particularly self-identity, is a reflected concept.4 Thus,
    according to this view, ‘we understand the social “meaning” of our behaviours and words as we
    imagine how others are imagining us. The self develops through our perceptions of others’
    perceptions.’5 This not only has implications for how external actors view the region and their actions
    toward it, but also for those ‘within’ the region itself and for their actions toward external powers.
    Thus, the development of the ‘looking glass self’, in Cooley’s terms, is not unidirectional in the
    context of Central Asia either in the contemporary period or historically. For example, Michael
    Clarke’s chapter clearly highlighted how ‘Central Asia’ was distinguished on the basis of the enduring
    perception of the divergent life-ways of the pastoral nomadic peoples living ‘inside’ the region from
    the sedentary and agricultural life-ways of those living ‘outside’. Of particular importance here is
    Mead’s conception of ‘significant others’, which are defined as those with whom we have important
    relationships and whose ‘imagined’ perceptions of us are particularly influential.6 As a number of
    chapters in this volume have demonstrated, Xinjiang and Central Asia have had numerous
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    ‘significant others’ throughout history, from the relationship between the nomadic pastoralist and the
    sedentary civilizations of the Eurasian core and periphery, to the imperial states of Russia and the
    Qing, through to the contemporary web of relations between independent Central Asia and Russia,
    China and the US. While Meyrowitz’s assertion that ‘place is always with us’ remains in many
    respects a major factor in identity formation in contemporary Xinjiang and Central Asia, what appears
    to be novel in the era of ‘glocality’ is that this sense of place and identity is often no longer the sole
    definer of communities. ‘Glocality’ in many respects may be defined by this unbinding of place and
    identity. As Meyrowitz suggests:
    We are now more likely to understand our place, not just as the community, but as one of many
    possible communities in which we could live. We are less likely to see our locality as the center of the
    universe. We are less likely to see our physical surroundings as the source of all our experiences.7
    This dynamic in the context of contemporary Xinjiang and Central Asia may perhaps be seen in the
    resurgence or revitalization of Islam as a unifying force or rallying point for opposition and as a
    vehicle through which to challenge the existing political and social orders. The post-11 September
    2001 revelations of an, albeit small, Uyghur presence in Taliban-controlled Afghanistan and Chinese
    government charges of Uyghur collusion with radical Islamists in Central Asia suggests the continued
    potential for cross-border interactions beyond the control of the state.8 Meanwhile, in key Central
    Asian states such as Uzbekistan, much of the last decade has witnessed the existing political order
    increasingly being challenged by the growth of radical Islamist organizations, both violent and non-
    violent, such as the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) and Hizb ut-Tahrir (HT).9 However, it is
    important not to overstate this point in the Xinjiang and Central Asian context, as the region’s history
    as a ‘crossroads’ between Europe and Asia has often had multiple identities and multiple reference
    points for those identities beyond that of Islam.10
    Nonetheless, post-9/11 dynamics suggest that Uyghurs in Xinjiang may increasingly look beyond
    their immediate region, toward Western Europe and the US, for models of political activism and to
    establish support for Uyghur autonomy or independence in Xinjiang. Instructive in this respect, and
    emblematic of the ‘glocality’ outlined by Don McMillen’s chapter, was the response of prominent
    Uyghurs to the ‘Tulip Revolution’ in Kyrgyzstan in 2005. As noted by a number of contributors, China
    had exerted considerable influence on former Kyrgyz President Askar Akayev since the early 1990s to
    keep a tight rein on the Uyghur émigré community in Kyrgyzstan. However, with his removal from
    office in March 2005, Uyghurs hoped for greater freedom to promote the pro-separatist cause.11
    Although the Tulip Revolution’s effect within Xinjiang is difficult to gauge at this juncture, it
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    appears at the least to have served an exemplary purpose for the Uyghur. Such sentiment was
    expressed by perhaps the most prominent Uyghur dissident now exiled in the US, businesswoman
    Rebiya Kadeer. Kadeer stated that, ‘When I heard the news about what happened in Kyrgyzstan, I
    was so excited ... Whatever happens to our brothers and sisters in Kyrgyzstan affects people in East
    Turkistan’, clearly embedding Xinjiang and the Uyghur struggle for independence from Beijing within
    the context of the contemporary ‘struggle’ for ‘democracy’ in Central Asia.12
    More alarmingly for both the remaining authoritarian rulers of the Central Asian states and the
    governments of Russia and China was the perceived role played by the US government in the last of
    the so-called ‘Colour Revolutions’ in Kyrgyzstan that had also swept through Ukraine and Georgia.13
    While Washington denied that its programme of ‘democracy promotion’ in Central Asia was aimed at
    subverting either Russian or Chinese influence, it can hardly have been surprised at the adverse
    reaction of both these powers to events in Kyrgyzstan.14 Such a perception on the part of the
    remaining Central Asian rulers and Russia and China was of course reinforced by the subsequent
    outbreak of the Andijan Incident in Uzbekistan in May 2005. As noted by Ann McMillan, the Uzbek
    authorities clearly blamed US government-funded organizations for contributing in part to the unrest
    of May 2005 while one external observer, Shirin Akiner, clearly questioned the prevailing opinion in
    many Western media and government circles that the Andijan Incident was a cognate of the ‘Tulip
    Revolution’.15
    As these and other issues addressed by contributors demonstrate, the majority of developments in
    Xinjiang and Central Asia encompass the interpenetration of the truly ‘global’ and ‘local’, with a
    resulting cross-cutting of influences, interests, interpretations of events and outcomes for all actors
    engaged in the region. In this sense it is possible to suggest that Xinjiang and Central Asia at
    present can be conceived of as simultaneously the ‘pivot’ and ‘periphery’ in world history as it is
    simultaneously assailed by multiple external powers and influences, while itself being a source of
    major dynamics. It is at once an actor and acted upon on the historical stage. As argued in Michael
    Clarke’s chapter, historically Central Asia as a region has often been defined by the nature of its
    relationship to major civilizations on its periphery, most particularly those based in Russia and China.
    Therefore it is necessary to address the interaction of the region with its ‘significant others’, with a
    particular emphasis on the ways in which these external powers have framed their interests in
    Xinjiang and Central Asia through their own overarching visions of ‘Central Asia’.
    The ‘great games’ of Central Asia’s ‘significant others’: China, Russia and the United
    States
    As noted above, ‘significant others’ are those with whom we have important relationships and, more
    importantly in the context of this section, those
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    ‘whose imagined views of us are especially powerful’.16 As explored by a number of contributors
    such as Geoff Watson, James Millward, Colin Mackerras and Kirill Nourzhanov, the ‘imagined’ views of
    Xinjiang and Central Asia that have come to dominate Western/US, Chinese and Russian thinking
    about ‘Central Asia’ have had a significant impact in both defining their interests and shaping the
    exercise of their influence in the region. Moreover, the dominant views of the region held by these
    three ‘significant others’ also shape to a significant degree the ‘field of play’ upon which local actors
    interact with ‘global’ processes. Ultimately, all of the various issues explored by the contributors, from
    Central Asia’s role in world history to Beijing and Washington’s view of Central Asia, concern politics.
    In this regard, however, Levy suggests that:
    Globalization is probably the first major event that is reflexively thought of at the same time as, or
    even before it is lived. Billions of people are now discussing what the world is, what it is becoming,
    what it should and should not be, and what we can do to make it fit our desires. Unsurprisingly,
    these intense discussions are mainly about politics. All of the most pressing global issues involve
    politics, such as environmental sustainability, economic regulation, cultural diversity, good
    governance, fair development, desirable solidarity, ethical values, global law enforcement and
    international justice, representation and legitimacy.17
    Levy’s suggestion is that in the contemporary era the location of ‘politics’ – wherein these questions
    are resolved or contested – is no longer certain or indeed bound to the territorial nation state.
    Simultaneously, however, ‘the substance of the spatial objects involved matters, and this substance
    has a very strong historical dependence’.18 As we have seen throughout the chapters of this volume,
    the ‘substance’ of contemporary ‘Central Asia’ does indeed matter and this has clearly been shaped
    by the region’s history. This, I suggest, is particularly important to consider when exploring the
    ‘imaginings’ of Russia, China and the US in the Central Asian context.
    China’s problematic ‘Silk Road’
    James Millward’s exploration of the historiographical and political implications of Xinjiang’s position at
    the crossroads of Eurasia was particularly illuminating in outlining the parameters of China’s
    ‘imagining’ of both Xinjiang and Central Asia. He argued persuasively in his chapter that there is a
    clear disjuncture between Chinese conceptions and deployment of the Silk Road metaphor and
    international (generally Western) commentary on the Silk Road, which may point to a number of
    permutations regarding the future exercise of Chinese influence in Central Asia. Indeed, his chapter
    suggests that China increasingly conceives the Silk Road, to which Xinjiang is seen as being central,
    in nationalistic terms reflecting China’s identity as a
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    ‘rising power’. In particular, Millward’s discussion of the discourse surrounding Silk Road ‘sites’ and
    Uyghur muqam points toward the possible re-emergence of a Chinese conception of world order that
    sees, in Mark Mancall’s famous phrase, ‘China at the centre’.19 Moreover, Millward has argued that
    such a conception of the Silk Road equates the openness of China under the Tang Dynasty (618–
    907) with today’s post-Deng China and its attraction to the people of the world, who are drawn to a
    dynamic and vigorous world power.20
    Thus, as Millward argued, ‘China represents Xinjiang and the Silk Road as a stage on which China
    plays the leading historical role. ’ Suggestive of China’s purpose is the historically selective nature of
    its Silk Road discourse, whereby the region’s recent Islamic past is downgraded in favour of
    highlighting the Buddhist and pre-Buddhist antiquity and Han (206 BCE–220 CE) and Tang period
    sites. This selectivity is generated by the fact that the interconnectivity between China and Central
    Asia which lies at the heart of the Silk Road metaphor has presented China with both opportunities
    and challenges in the context of Xinjiang since 1991 that it has sought to manage through a
    programme of development and an active foreign policy in Central Asia.21 Thus the clear distinction
    between Western and Chinese conceptions of the Silk Road is that, for the former, it is conceived of
    as a trans-national bridge linking civilizations, while for the latter, it is increasingly conceived of in
    national terms that reinforce current Chinese sovereignty over Xinjiang.
    However, what does this entail for the practice of China’s foreign policy and influence in Central
    Asia? Colin Mackerras’s chapter concerning the ‘view’ of Xinjiang and Central Asia from Beijing and
    Washington, and the region’s overall impact on Sino-US relations, offered an analysis and discussion
    that complements the insights of James Millward’s chapter. It is clear from Mackerras’s discussion
    that two major and interrelated factors stimulated significant anxiety in Beijing regarding the Chinese
    position in Xinjiang. First, the collapse of the Soviet Union ultimately presented China with both
    opportunities and challenges. The relative retreat of Russian power and influence in the immediate
    post-Soviet period was undoubtedly received as a welcome development given the long-standing
    tensions along the Sino-Soviet frontier. However, the subsequent emergence of five independent
    states in Central Asia, three of which shared borders with Xinjiang, held a number of potential threats
    to China’s position in Xinjiang, not the least of which were the example of the achievement of
    independent statehood and the potential for cross-border ethnic affinities to translate into support for
    Xinjiang’s restive ethnic minorities. Second was the re-emergence of Islam as a political force in
    Central Asia, but also in Afghanistan, which held the potential to spread among the Muslim ethnic
    groups of Xinjiang. As Mackerras noted, such an outcome came to pass in the Chinese government’s
    perception with the outbreak of ‘Islamist’ inspired unrest in Xinjiang throughout the 1990s.22
    China’s key interests with respect to Central Asia in the 1990s therefore revolved around securing its
    frontiers with the new Central Asian republics
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    and ensuring internal security within Xinjiang. These interests were also increasingly complemented
    by an attempt to broaden the ‘reform and opening’ strategy implemented under Deng Xiaoping’s
    leadership to facilitate greater Xinjiang–Central Asian trade and accelerate the economic
    modernization of the region in order to placate ethnic minority opposition to Chinese rule.23 Key to
    this programme was the establishment of constructive relationships with Central Asia, in particular
    Xinjiang’s immediate neighbours Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. Thus China’s Xinjiang-centric
    concerns provided the bases for Beijing’s foreign policy in Central Asia and contributed to the
    establishment of the multilateral ‘Shanghai Five’ in 1996 and its subsequent transformation into the
    Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) in 2001.
    Indeed, Sino-Central Asian relations benefited significantly from the convergence of interest between
    Beijing and the various Central Asian capitals with what became known in the official statements of
    the Shanghai Five and SCO as the ‘three evils of separatism, extremism and terrorism’ – that is,
    Uyghur opposition in Xinjiang and radical Islamism in Central Asia.24 These issues were of course
    raised in prominence with the events of 11 September 2001 and the subsequent US invasion of
    Afghanistan. As Mackerras notes, the injection of an unprecedented US political, military and
    economic presence in Central Asia after 2001 was a contradictory development for Beijing. While the
    US emphasis on combating ‘terrorism’ was beneficial to China’s interests within both Xinjiang and
    Central Asia, the establishment of close US–Central Asian relations, largely at the expense of the
    SCO, was not.
    In terms of Beijing’s approach to the region, however, Mackerras concludes that the consequences of
    the Soviet Union’s collapse, in comparison to those of 11 September 2001, remain more important
    although the latter event has certainly resulted in the reconfiguration of the region’s geopolitics. In
    this latter respect, the advent of a major US presence has arguably exacerbated existing great power
    competition around such issues as energy security. Nonetheless this more recent development has
    permitted Beijing to deploy the discourse of terrorism more forcefully both internally and externally.
    In this latter respect, Mackerras and other contributors have noted that China’s cooperation in the
    US-led ‘War on Terror’ has resulted in an acknowledgement from Washington that China’s claims to
    be combating terrorism in Xinjiang are not totally spurious, and has led to an improvement in Sino-
    US relations. The picture that emerges from Millward and Mackerras’s contributions regarding how
    China perceives Xinjiang and the bases of its foreign policy and interests in Central Asia is a
    complementary one. James Millward’s conclusion that the Chinese attempt to ‘internationalize a
    peculiar narrative’ of Xinjiang’s history discloses ‘a profound anxiety’ on behalf of the provincial and
    national authorities that informs Beijing’s foreign policy in Central Asia is reinforced by Colin
    Mackerras’s overview of China’s approach to Central Asia since 1991. Indeed, both contributors
    reveal that China’s position both in Xinjiang and in Central Asia is characterized by a profound
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    paradox or contradiction. As both note, China’s position in Xinjiang is arguably more secure and
    consolidated than at any other time in its recorded history of relations with the region. Yet this is
    coupled with an acute sensitivity and anxiety over its current sovereignty over Xinjiang that stems
    not only from the relatively recent consolidation (1949) of Chinese rule but ultimately its position as
    the Eurasian ‘cross-road’.
    Russia’s ‘near abroad’
    Meanwhile, as Kirill Nourzhanov demonstrates, after some early indecision and debates between
    those advocating an ‘Atlanticist’ orientation toward Western Europe and those stressing the natural,
    and historically informed, ‘Eurasian’ strategic orientation of the country, Russia has increasingly
    framed its approach to Central Asia in neo-imperial terms. During the early 1990s with the
    ascendancy of the ‘Atlanticist’ orientation in the Kremlin, he noted that the region was largely looked
    upon as ‘an area of alien Asian values and a developmental black hole’ from which Russia had to
    isolate itself. This approach in effect amounted to a benign neglect of Central Asia. Yet this situation
    changed rapidly by the middle of that decade as the government of President Yeltsin became
    disillusioned with the ‘Atlanticist’ strategic option as efforts to establish closer ties with Western
    Europe and the US failed to yield adequate benefits. Moreover, a return to a ‘Eurasianist’ orientation
    was also encouraged by contemporaneous developments in Central Asia such as the escalation of the
    Tajik civil war, continued instability and warlordism in Afghanistan, the deterioration of Central Asian
    economies, the rise of radical Islamism and the ‘encroachment’ of regional (Turkey, Iran) and extra-
    regional powers (China, US). As noted by Nourzhanov, Russia’s re-engagement with Central Asia was
    determined by fear – a fear that the instability and insecurity that had come to characterize the
    region could ‘creep’ northward if left unchecked. Thus, this dynamic in important respects revisited
    the imperial discourse surrounding Russian expansion into the lands of the present Central Asian
    states during the late nineteenth century. This is now, however, recast in contemporary rhetoric with
    Russia promoting ‘integration’ of the region within the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) as
    the solution to the ‘instability’ and ‘insecurity’ that is deemed to characterize Central Asia. Indeed, as
    Nourzhanov demonstrates, Russia’s political, economic and military/security strategies toward the
    region under Yelstin, particularly after Evgenii Primakov’s promotion to the head of the Foreign
    Ministry in 1996, were framed at the rhetorical level by the assertion that only greater engagement
    and integration with Russia on the part of Central Asia could ensure both Russia’s legitimate security
    concerns and lead to ‘stabilization’, ‘democratization’ and ‘reform’ amongst the Central Asian states.
    Beyond the rhetoric, however, Russian policy throughout the 1990s clearly privileged the
    maintenance of the political status quo and stability in Central Asia over any high-minded promotion
    of ‘democracy’.
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    As with China, the events of 11 September 2001 intervened to significantly alter Russian policy
    toward Central Asia. As Nourzhanov highlights, however, Russia had also recently experienced a
    change in leadership with the ascent of Vladimir Putin to the presidency, which also impacted on the
    Kremlin’s response to events in Central Asia. Putin’s ‘pragmatism’ resulted in close Russian
    cooperation with the Bush administration’s invasion of Afghanistan and stabilization of Central Asia
    from 2001 to 2003. However, US political, economic and military penetration of Central Asia, and the
    development of close relationships with individual states such as Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, was
    also a contradictory development for Moscow. Certainly Washington’s assumption of responsibility for
    ensuring stability and security, including the destruction of the Taliban and the various radical
    Islamists that it had harboured (e.g. al-Qaeda, IMU) in Central Asia served Russia’s immediate
    security interests, while the significant strategic reorientation of the region toward the US (and the
    West more generally) ultimately weakened Russia’s position. However, as a number of contributors
    note, from 2003 onward Washington’s increasing efforts to pressure its new Central Asian partners to
    undertake political reform and ‘democratization’, and the impact of the invasion of Iraq, undermined
    the US position as Central Asian leaders bridled at the former suggestion and questioned the effect of
    the latter upon the security situation in Afghanistan. These dynamics, as we have seen across a
    number of chapters, resulted in the reassertion of Russian and Chinese influence, with the former felt
    largely through the regeneration of bilateral ties and the latter through the revitalization of the SCO.
    The Central Asian estrangement from Washington reached an apex in 2005 with the third of the so-
    called ‘Colour Revolutions’ sweeping Kyrgyzstan in March and the outbreak of the Andijan Incident in
    Uzbekistan in May. The leaders of Central Asia thus began to perceive the US no longer as a
    ‘harbinger of stability’ but as ‘a major source of instability’, resulting in a questioning of their relations
    with the US in favour of closer relations with Moscow. According to Nourzhanov’s analysis, Russia
    now perceives that challenges to the existing order in Central Asia not only stem from radical
    Islamism and international terrorism but also the role of the US itself through Washington’s
    promotion of ‘democracy and human rights’. However, he also notes that while Russian foreign policy
    elites subscribe to the notion of the dangers of ‘state failure’ in the region as much as their Western
    counterparts, this is blamed not so much on the lack of ‘democracy and human rights’ but upon the
    ‘traditional’ ‘clannish and tribal’ nature of Central Asian politics.
    Thus, while Russia under Putin ostensibly criticizes the West (the US in particular) for its imperialist
    promotion of ‘democracy’, it nonetheless has itself returned to a theme that has clear continuities
    with Russia’s own imperial past (both Tsarist and Soviet), with President Putin asserting in 2005, for
    example, that Russia should continue in its ‘civilizing mission’ on the Eurasian continent. Therefore
    the Russian imperative to project its influence and secure its ‘near abroad’ remains framed not only
    by its contemporary
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    political, economic and strategic interests but also by major historical legacies. In the future, both
    Russia and China would prefer to define Central Asia according to the extent of ‘stability’.
    The West’s ‘black hole’
    The West’s and in particular the US approach to Central Asia across the 1991 to 2007 period has
    largely fallen into two clear phases: pre- and post-11 September 2001. As S. Frederick Starr noted in
    his 2005 piece in Foreign Affairs, the US throughout the 1990s suffered somewhat from ‘attention
    deficit’ with respect to Central Asia and Afghanistan.25 Indeed, prior to 11 September 2001, US and
    Western attention to Central Asia was often fixated upon discrete issues directly impacting on
    Western interests rather than upon the trajectory of the region’s development as a whole. For
    example, Western concern focused sporadically on issues surrounding the fate of former Soviet
    nuclear weapons and materials in Kazakhstan in 1992/3, the ‘pipeline politics’ surrounding the
    Caspian Basin between 1996 and 1998 or the human rights ‘outrages’ of the Taliban in Afghanistan
    after 1996.26 Such a lack of direct US, and indeed Western, engagement with the region during this
    period could be accounted for on the basis of a number of factors such as geographical remoteness,
    relative inaccessibility and a degree of ignorance of the region’s history and culture.27
    Yet, perhaps most importantly, as President Clinton’s Deputy Secretary of State, Strobe Talbott
    asserted in a 1997 address, the US had no compelling interest in Central Asia that would drive it to
    become a competitor in the ‘new great game’ for political and strategic influence in the region.28
    Indeed, he stressed that a situation in which the region became the sight of a geopolitical arm-
    wrestle between major external powers such as Russia, China, Iran and Turkey would be the worst
    possible outcome for the region and argued that ‘Our goal is to avoid and actively discourage that
    atavistic outcome.’29 Nonetheless, Talbott framed US goals toward the region in now all too familiar
    terms, suggesting that Washington sought the ‘promotion of democracy, the creation of free market
    economies, the sponsorship of peace and cooperation within and among the countries of the region
    and their integration with the larger international community’.30 As one observer noted, this resulted
    in an ‘unspoken but obvious conclusion: the United States would be willing to help with economic
    development and democratization, but most of all it would like to keep the region from becoming an
    American problem’.31 By the close of the 1990s, however, Central Asia and Afghanistan had
    increasingly become characterized as something of a quagmire of ‘failing states’, ethnic conflict,
    authoritarian rule and radical Islamism in which the US should avoid becoming ensnared.32
    The events of 11 September 2001 of course intervened to make such an approach untenable for the
    US and made the region very much an ‘American problem’. The contours of US intervention in
    Afghanistan and
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    the establishment of close political, economic and military ties with the Central Asian states are now
    well documented, as are the effects of these developments for the geopolitics and domestic politics
    of the region.33 But what has been of greater interest, given the context of the discussion presented
    here, is how the US ‘imaginings’ of Central Asia have affected its approach to the region.34 As Geoff
    Watson identified in his chapter, the relative neglect of Central Asia and Afghanistan by the West
    resulted in the resurfacing of familiar tropes and ‘imaginings’ of the region in policy circles, scholarly
    treatments and the popular media. Whether the region has been imagined as a ‘black hole’,35 a
    geopolitical ‘cockpit of terrorism and ideological confrontation’36 or as part of the ‘non-integrating
    gap’ of the global system,37 the implication is that the region remains to a large degree ‘outside’ of
    the trajectory of ‘modernity’ – which is largely framed in Western terms. Here we see a resurgence of
    a theme of some antiquity where, for the ‘civilized’ societies that surround the Eurasian core, Central
    Asia is identified as that amorphous and incomprehensible place, ‘from whence all bad things
    come’.38 Indeed, we have seen that in the contemporary period it is not marauding, bloodthirsty
    barbarians on horseback bent on conquest and destruction that emanate from Central Asia in such
    perceptions but rather stateless Islamic radicalism/ fanaticism and authoritarian political regimes that
    present at once an anomaly and a challenge to the dominant Western narrative of history.39
    In contrast to current Russian perceptions, however, the Bush administration placed the blame for
    the parlous state of the region largely upon the failure of the Central Asian states to consolidate, in
    the words of the 2002 US National Security Strategy, the ‘single model for national success: freedom,
    democracy and free enterprise’.40 Thus, what we see here is a geopolitics defined not only by the
    spatial and geographic relations of the region defined as ‘Central Asia’ to other such bodies/regions
    but also increasingly by the content, or more correctly the perceived content, of that body/region. A
    clear example of the importance of this process can be seen in the furore surrounding the souring of
    US–Uzbek relations after the May 2005 Andijan Incident, whereby the self-identity of the US as a
    promoter and upholder of ‘democracy and human rights’ was explicitly juxtaposed with that of a
    ‘corrupt’ and authoritarian Central Asian state. Some critics of US policy in this respect have
    suggested that the Bush administration in effect should have downplayed such concerns in order to
    consolidate the ‘strategic partnership’ with Tashkent.41 S. Frederick Starr, for example, argued that
    Washington’s failure to do so resulted in a strategic blunder:
    As US and European pressure increased in the area of democratization and human rights, both
    Russia and China were able to dangle before Tashkent alliances based on a less rigorous standard in
    these areas, yet promising greater rewards than were forthcoming from Washington. Both were
    pursuing long-term strategic objectives, which they could present as less threatening to Tashkent
    than the US’s preoccupations.42
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    As noted by another observer, however, such a ‘realist’ critique of US–Uzbek relations ignores the
    ‘real-world’ importance of identity in the context of the ‘great game’ among the ‘great’ and ‘little’
    powers in Central Asia.43 As we have seen throughout a number of contributions to this volume,
    from China’s attempt to ‘nationalize’ the Silk Road metaphor to Russia’s re-embrace of the concept of
    the ‘near abroad’ as central to its security, images and identity (both of self and other) matter. With
    respect to the US position in Central Asia it is useful to conclude by noting Heathershaw’s argument
    that the US is ‘understood as a qualitatively different actor in the region than Russia or China’ due to
    the fact that it ‘is an “outside” actor that must downplay its outsiders’ expectations and
    representations and construct an illusion of “partnership”’.44
    Xinjiang and Central Asia in the era of ‘glocality’: back to the future?
    It will be recalled that Michael Clarke noted in his chapter Denis Sinor’s judgement that the definition
    of what constituted ‘Central Asia’ throughout history was the relative economic and cultural standard
    of the area and not its absolute content.45 Thus, for Sinor and other scholars of the region, it was
    the geographically and ecologically determined ‘life-way’ of nomadic pastoralism that generated its
    ‘centrality’ and importance in world history from antiquity until the latter centuries of the second
    millennium CE. As Clarke demonstrates, once the nomadic pastoral ‘life-way’ of the various Turco-
    Mongolian peoples of the region was weakened and ultimately controlled by the expansion of the
    centralized sedentary states of imperial Russia and China, ‘Central Asia’ was effectively ‘removed’
    from the processes of interaction and interconnectivity with the civilizations on the Eurasian periphery
    that had characterized its existence since antiquity. Thus ‘Central Asia’, in S.A.M. Adshead’s terms,
    became a site of the ‘convergence’ of geopolitical, political, economic, military, religious and cultural
    pressures and structures generated from outside of the region (i.e. from Russia and China), rather
    than as a site of ‘diffusion’ of such processes.46 Such a theme of convergence for Adshead was also
    aligned to a change in function for ‘Central Asia’ in world history. In contrast to early periods of
    history where the region had been an active diffuser of political, economic, religious/cultural and
    technological processes and dynamics, the region since at least the sixteenth century by his
    reckoning had gradually become a passive recipient of dynamics from external civilizations. However,
    as Clarke suggests in his contribution, Central Asia, understood as consisting of the five post-Soviet
    Central Asia states, Xinjiang, Afghanistan and Mongolia, has re-emerged since 1991 simultaneously
    as both a diffuser and recipient of broad geopolitical, political, economic and cultural developments.
    Moreover, this assessment is reinforced by the analysis and discussion of the other contributors
    which clearly highlight that the region is once more characterized by a
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    high level of interconnectivity and interaction with the civilizations on its periphery as it was prior to
    the twentieth century.
    Nonetheless, as a number of contributors have noted, the nature of this interconnectivity and
    interaction is of a different order to that referred to by scholars such as Sinor or Adshead. As
    discussed above, this reconnection of ‘Central Asia’ with world history – in the sense of becoming
    once more an independent actor therein – takes place in the context of an international system
    arguably in a state of flux in a number of important senses from the ‘rise’ of ‘new’ great powers such
    as China and India, the renegotiation of state–society relations under the pressures of globalization
    to heightened concern with ‘trans-national’ threats posed by terrorism, pandemics and environmental
    disasters. In the Central Asian context that has been our focus, such issues are clearly prominent
    and important. Yet what emerges from the discussions presented throughout the volume and in this
    concluding chapter is that ‘Central Asia’ is once more defined by the relative political, economic and
    cultural standards of the region. Thus we have seen how the major external actors in the region –
    Russia, China and the US – have structured their responses to developments in the region since 1991
    on the basis of distinct ‘imaginings’ of its content. Indeed, for all of these external actors their
    connections with and approaches toward Central Asia are framed to a significant extent by their
    juxtaposition of their self-image against what they perceive Central Asia to be defined by. As we
    have seen, the region is perceived by Moscow, Beijing and Washington as being characterized by
    Islamic radicalism and authoritarian and/or ‘weak’ or ‘failing’ states that inherently threaten their
    interests and security.
    Finally, what of the region itself, of the various peoples that inhabit Xinjiang and Central Asia? Given
    the analysis and discussion presented by the contributors here, what may be increasingly important
    and significant for the development of the region in the near future is the interaction of what Don
    McMillen referred to as ‘contending glocalities’ with the imperatives of not only the three great
    powers noted above but also the governments of the five Central Asian states themselves. The
    region is arguably replete with numerous political, religious, ethnic and social identities that are
    competing with the governments of the region and the great powers for the loyalties of the peoples
    of Central Asia from radical movements such as HT or the IMU to ‘civil society’ groupings or
    organizations seeking to embed the region within global discourses of ‘democracy’ and ‘human
    rights’. Thus, while one may suggest that Flashman has ‘returned’ to Central Asia, in the sense that
    external powers are once more explicitly jostling for strategic and economic advantage, they must
    now contend with the interests and imperatives of not only the independent governments of the
    region but also increasingly with those of the diverse populations of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan,
    Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Turmenistan, Afghanistan and Xinjiang.
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    Notes
    1 Joshua Meyrowitz, ‘The rise of glocality: new senses of place and identity in the global village’ in
    Kristof Nyrini (ed.) A Sense of Place: The Global and Local in Mobile Communication , Vienna:
    Passagen Verlag, 2005, p. 21.
    2 See for example, Roland Robertson, Globalization: Social Theory and Global Culture, London: Sage,
    1992; and Robert Holton, Making Globalization, London: Palgrave MacMillan, 2005.
    3 Chief Rabbi J. Sacks, quoted in Hon. Andrew Robb (Member for Goldstein and Parliamentary
    Secretary to the Minister for Immigration and Multicultural Affairs, Australia), ‘In Support of a Formal
    Citizenship Test: address to the Jewish National Fund Gold Patron’s Lunch’, Melbourne, 25 October
    2006, p. 4. My emphasis.
    4 See Charles Horton Cooley, Human Nature and the Social Order (rev. ed.), New York: Schocken,
    1964 (originally published in 1922); and George Herbert Mead, Mind, self, and society: from the
    standpoint of a social behaviorist, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1934.
    5 Meyrowitz, ‘The rise of glocality’, p. 22.
    6 See Mead, Mind, Self, and Society and Meyrowitz, ‘The rise of glocality’, p. 22.
    7 Meyrowitz, ‘The rise of glocality’, p. 23.
    8 For a thorough account of the extent of Uyghur separatism and an examination of Chinese claims
    of Uyghur ‘terrorism’ and links to radical Islamists in Afghanistan and Central Asia, see James A.
    Millward, Violent Separatism in Xinjiang: A Critical Assessment, Washington DC: East-West Center,
    2004; and also Michael Clarke, ‘China’s “War on Terror” in Xinjiang: human security and the causes
    of violent Uighur separatism’, Terrorism and Political Violence, 2008, vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 271–301.
    9 For the history and development of the IMU and Hizb ut-Tahrir see Ahmed Rashid, Jihad: The Rise
    of Militant Islam in Central Asia, New Haven: Yale University Press, 2002, pp. 137–52; Emmanuel
    Karagiannis and Clark McCauley, ‘Hizb ut-Tahrir al-Islami: evaluating the threat posed by a radical
    Islamic group that remains nonviolent’, Terrorism and Political Violence, 2006, vol. 18, no. 2, 315–
    34; and Svante E. Cornell, ‘Narcotics, radicalism, and armed conflict in Central Asia: the Islamic
    Movement of Uzbekistan’, Terrorism and Political Violence, 2005, vol. 17, no. 4, 619–39.
    10 See for example, James A. Millward, Eurasian Crossroads: A History of Xinjiang , New York:
    Columbia University Press, 2006; S.A.M. Adshead, Central Asia in World History , London: Macmillan,
    1993; and Svat Soucek, A History of Inner Asia, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001.
    11 Nury Turkel, ‘People power sends a message to oppressive regimes’, W all Street Journal , 21 April
    2005. Online at the Uyghur American Association. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.uyghuramerican.org//articles/74/1/People-Power-Sends-a-Message-To-Oppressive-
    Regimes/People-Power-Sends-a-Message-To-Oppressive-Regimes.html> (accessed 31 October
    2008).
    12 Cited in Turkel, ‘People power sends a message to oppressive regimes’.
    13 See for example, Pepe Escobar, ‘The Tulip Revolution takes root’, Asia Times, 26 March 2005.
    Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/GC26Ag03.html> (accessed 31
    October 2008).
    14 For an account of the role of US government-funded organizations in the ‘Tulip Revolution’ see
    Richard Spencer, ‘Quiet American behind the Tulip Revolution’, The Telegraph, 2 April 2005. Online.
    Available HTTP: <http://www.telegraph. co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/kyrgyzstan/1486983/Quiet-
    American-behind-tulip-revolution.html> (accessed 31 October 2008).
    15 See Shirin Akiner, Violence in Andijan, 13 May 2005: An Independent Assessment,
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    Silk Road Paper July 2005, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute Silk Road Studies Programme,
    0507Akiner. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://www.isdp.eu/files/publications/srp/05/sa05violencein.pdf> (accessed 30 October 2008).
    16 Meyrowitz, ‘The rise of glocality’, p. 22.
    17 Jacques Levy, ‘Globalization as a political invention: geographical lenses’, Political Geography , vol.
    26, 2007, p. 15.
    18 Levy, ‘Globalization as a political invention’, p. 15.
    19 Mark Mancall, China at the Center: 300 Years of Foreign Policy , New York: The Free Press, 1984.
    20 James Millward, ‘Positioning Xinjiang in Eurasian and Chinese History: Differing Visions of the “Silk
    Road”’ (Chapter 3 of this volume).
    21 For example see, Sean R. Roberts, ‘A “Land of Borderlands”: implications of Xinjiang’s trans-border
    interactions’, in S. Frederick Starr (ed.) Xinjiang: China’s Muslim Borderland, Armonk, NY: M.E.
    Sharpe, 2004, pp. 216–37; Nicolas Becquelin, ‘Xinjiang in the nineties’, The China Journal , 2000, July,
    no. 44, 65–90; and Michael Clarke, ‘China’s strategy in Xinjiang and Central Asia: Toward Chinese
    hegemony in the “geographical pivot of history”?’, Issues and Studies , 2005, June, vol. 41, no. 2,
    75–118.
    22 For accounts of unrest in Xinjiang during the 1980s and 1990s see Millward, Violent Separatism in
    Xinjiang ; Michael Clarke, ‘Xinjiang in the “reform” era, 1978–1991: the political and economic
    dynamics of Dengist integration’, Issues and Studies , 2007, June, vol. 43, no. 2, 39–92; and Colin
    Mackerras, ‘Xinjiang at the turn of the century: the causes of separatism’, Central Asian Survey, 2001,
    vol. 20, no. 3, 289–303.
    23 Becquelin, ‘Xinjiang in the nineties’, pp. 70–5; and Yueyao Zhao, ‘Pivot or periphery? Xinjiang’s
    regional development’, Asian Ethnicity , 2001, September, vol. 2, no. 2, 200–5.
    24 See Sally N. Cummings, ‘Happier bedfellows? Central Asia under Putin’, Asian Affairs, 2001, June,
    vol. 32, no. 2, 142–52; Eshan Ahrari, ‘China, Pakistan and the “Taliban Syndrome”’, Asian Survey,
    2000, July/August, no. 40, 658–71; and Chien-peng Chung, ‘The Shanghai Cooperation Organization:
    China’s changing influence in Central Asia’, The China Quarterly, 2004, December, no. 180, 989–
    1009.
    25 S. Frederick Starr, ‘A partnership for Central Asia’, Foreign Affairs, 2005, July/ August, vol. 84,
    164–78.
    26 See for example George Perkovich, ‘The plutonium genie’, Foreign Affairs, 1993, Summer, vol. 72,
    153–65; S. Frederick Starr, ‘Making Eurasia stable’, Foreign Affairs, 1996, January/February, vol. 75,
    80–92; Martha Brill Olcott, ‘Pipeline and pipe dreams: energy development and Caspian society’,
    International Affairs, 1999, Fall, vol. 53, no. 1, 305–24; Adam Garfinkle, ‘Afghanistanding’, Orbis,
    1999, Summer, vol. 43, no. 3, 405–20; and Ahmed Rashid, ‘Afghanistan: ending the policy
    quagmire’, Journal of International Affairs, 2001, Spring, 395–410.
    27 Eugene Rumer, ‘Flashman’s revenge: Central Asia after September 11’, Strategic Forum , 2002,
    December, no. 195.
    28 Strobe Talbott, ‘Farewell to Flashman: American policy in the Caucasus and Central Asia’, address
    by the Deputy Secretary of State to the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies,
    Baltimore, Maryland, 21 July 1997. Online. Available HTTP:
    <http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1584/is_n6_v8/ ai_19715181> (accessed 13 November
    2008).
    29 Talbott, ‘Farewell to Flashman’.
    30 Talbott, ‘Farewell to Flashman’.
    31 Rumer, ‘Flashman’s revenge’.
    32 See for example, Kenneth Weisbrode, ‘Central Eurasia: Prize or quicksand? Contending views of
    instability in Karabagh, Ferghana and Afghanistan’, Adelphi
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    Papers , no. 338, 2004; and Rashid, ‘Afghanistan: ending the policy quagmire’, pp. 395–410.
    33 See for example, Svante E. Cornell, ‘The United States and Central Asia: In the Steppes to stay?’,
    Cambridge Review of International Affairs, 2004, July, vol. 17, no. 2, 239–54; Michael Clarke,
    ‘“Making the crooked straight”: China’s grand strategy of “peaceful rise” and its Central Asian
    dimension’, Asian Security , 2008, Spring, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 107–42; and Shahram Akbarzadeh,
    ‘Uzbekistan and the United States: Friends or foes?’, Middle East Policy , 2007, Spring, vol. 14, no. 1,
    107–16.
    34 For an excellent analysis of this, see John Heathershaw, ‘Worlds apart: the making and remaking
    of geopolitical space in the US–Uzbekstani strategic partnership’, Central Asian Survey, 2007, March,
    vol. 26, no. 1, 123–40.
    35 J. Simpson, Afghanistan – The Dark Ages, BBC Education and Training 2001.
    36 Stephen Blank, ‘Making sense of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization’s Astana Summit’, Central
    Asia-Caucasus Analyst , 27 July, 2005. Online. Available HTTP: <http://www.cacianalyst.org/?
    q=node/3242> (accessed 13 November 2008).
    37 Thomas P.M. Barnett, ‘The Pentagon’s new map’, Esquire, 2003, March, vol. 139, no. 3, 174–82.
    38 Denis Sinor, ‘The Hun Period’, in Denis Sinor (ed.) The Cambridge History of Early Inner Asia,
    Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1991, p. 180.
    39 This dominant narrative can perhaps be characterized as viewing history as the inevitable
    progress of political communities toward ‘democracy’, ‘free markets’ and ‘liberalism’.
    40 White House, ‘The National Security Strategy of the United States of America’, September 2002.
    41 See for example, Eugene Rumer, ‘The US interests and role in Central Asia after K2’, The
    Washington Quarterly, 2006, Summer, vol. 29, no. 3, 141–54.
    42 S. Frederick Starr, ‘Introduction’, in John C.K. Daly, Kurt H. Meppen, Vladimir Socor and S.
    Frederick Starr (eds) Anatomy of a Crisis: US–Uzbekistan Relations, 2001–2005 , Silk Road Paper,
    Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and Silk Road Studies Program – Cambridge, MA: Harvard University
    Press, February 2006, p. 5.
    43 Heathershaw, ‘Worlds apart: the making and remaking of geopolitical space in the US–Uzbekstani
    Strategic Partnership’, p. 136.
    44 Heathershaw, ‘Worlds apart: the making and remaking of geopolitical space in the US–Uzbekstani
    Strategic Partnership’, p. 136.
    45 Denis Sinor, ‘Introduction: the concept of Inner Asia’, in Denis Sinor (ed.) The Cambridge History
    of Early Inner Asia, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990, pp. 10–19, p. 16.
    46 See Adshead, Central Asia in World History .
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    Index
    Abdur Rahman, Amir 81, 87
    Adshead, S.A.M. 22, 28, 185
    adventurers, explorers and romantics, scholarship of 2
    Afaq Khojar Mazar 65
    Afghanistan 14, 15, 75–93, 134, 161–2;
    drugs trafficking 158;
    external influences on state formation 78–85, 88–9;
    internal dynamics of state formation 85–8;
    perceptions of threats from within borders of 78–83;
    ‘war on terror’ 137
    Afghanistan – The Dark Ages 77
    Ahmad Shah Abdali 86
    Ahmadinejad, M. 45, 141
    Ahmetjan Qasimi 66
    Akayev, A. 43, 98, 99, 140, 176
    Akbarzadeh, S. 84–5
    Akhun, T. 66–7
    Akiner, S. 104, 105, 177
    Akrimiya 103–4
    al-Din, Safi 67
    al-Farabi 68
    al-Qaeda 15
    Alam, M. 86
    Albania 143–4
    Amin, H. 87
    Amin Khoja mosque 65
    Andijan incident 43, 103–5, 177
    Appadurai, A. 20
    Armitage, R. 138
    Association of Culture of Uyghurs of the Republic of Kazakhstan 138
    Association of Uyghurs 128
    autonomous nationality place system 58
    Babich, M. 166
    Bakiyev, K. 45, 99
    Balkh 85–6
    Ban Chao 64
    barbarism 79
    Barfield, T.J. 25, 27, 75
    Baylis, J. 4
    Beknazarov, A. 98
    Bernshtam, A.N. 120
    bilateral agreements:
    China 41–2;
    Russia 155;
    US 40–1
    bin Laden, O. 137, 141–2
    ‘black hole’ perception of Central Asia 77–8
    Blair, T. 84
    Blank, S. 97
    Bolshevik Revolution 36, 116
    Borat 78
    border demarcation 97–100
    Bosakov, N. 129
    Boulger, D.C. 76, 79
    Bovingdon, G. 3
    Britain 79–81
    Buddhism 63–4
    Bukhara 80, 87
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    Bush, G.W. 84, 137, 142–3, 160
    Castells, M. 13
    Cavagnari, L. 81
    Central Asia 9;
    confluence of geography and culture 21, 22–8;
    from 1991 to 2007 29, 38–46;
    imperial collapse and reassertion in the 20th century 29, 33–8;
    inclusion of Xinjiang in 56–60;
    interdepency with Xinjiang 95–100;
    pivot and periphery 28–46;
    remoteness and otherness 10–13;
    ‘removal’ from world history 1700–1900 29, 30–3;
    Russian security thinking and domestic stability in 151–72;
    scenarios for 109–10;
    state formation in 75–93;
    US military bases 8, 137–8, 139–40;
    in world history 21–54
    Central Asian Union (CAU) 155
    Central Eurasian Studies Society 56
    central planning 37–8
    Cheney, D. 140, 145
    Chernyavsky, S. 163
    China 178–81;
    bilateral agreements with Central Asia 41–2;
    economic and security partner for Central Asian republics 108–9;
    historical anxieties over Xinjiang 70–1;
    interdependency between Xinjiang and Central Asia 95–100, 110–11;
    policies towards Xinjiang 9, 35–6, 39–40;
    Russian thinking on Central Asia and 166–8;
    and SCO 42–5, 102–3;
    Silk Road metaphor 63–6, 178–9;
    Sino-American relations 133–50, 179–81;
    and terrorism 14–17;
    Uyghur music 66–9;
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    views on Xinjiang and Central Asia since 1990 133–50, 179–81
    China Development Brief 105–6
    Chinese Communist Party (CCP) 1–2, 35–6
    Chinese Islamic Association 139
    Christian, D. 25, 85
    Chufrin, G. 163
    civilization 79
    cluster scenario 109–10
    Cohen, S.B. 78
    Collective Security Treaty (CST) 157
    collectivization 37
    colonization, internal 17, 31–2
    ‘colour revolutions’ 105, 162, 177, 182
    Commission on Combating Narcotics 158
    Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) 153–4, 181;
    failure of integration project 154–9
    Confucius 57
    Cooley, C.H. 175
    cotton cultivation 32, 37–8
    cotton farmers’ conflict 74
    Council on Foreign and Defense Policy (CFDP) 160–1
    crossroads of Eurasia, Xinjiang as 61–3
    culture:
    confluence of geography and 21, 22–8;
    Uyghur cultural organizations 118–19, 121, 122, 127
    Cyrillic script 37
    Dannatt, R. 76
    Daoud Khan, M. 85, 87
    Darius 27
    deep integration scenario 109
    democracy 81–2, 162–3;
    US promotion of 105–6, 162, 177, 182
    deserts 22, 23
    Di Cosmo, N. 25, 26
    difference 7
    Dillon, M. 14
    direct-taxation empires 27
    diversion of river systems 97
    Dost Mohammad 80, 86
    drug trafficking 158
    dual-administration empires 26–7
    Durand Line 82
    East Turkestan, as name for Uyghur homeland 56, 125–6
    East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM) 15, 138, 141–2
    East Turkestan Republic (ETR) 35, 117, 118, 119, 124–5, 126
    East Turkestan (Uyghurstan) National Congress 126
    Ebel, R. 77–8
    economic development 101
    economic sphere 154–5, 163–4
    election observers 165
    energy resources 76, 134–5, 144–6
    ethnic composition 10, 133–4
    ethnogenesis 119
    ethnoscapes 20
    Eurasia 56–7;
    Xinjiang as crossroads of 61–3
    Eurasian Economic Commonwealth (EurAsEC) 164
    exploration 76–7
    external interventions, in Afghanistan 75–85, 88–9
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    ‘failed states’ 78–83
    Famen temple 63–4
    fanaticism, Islamic 83–5;
    see also Islamism
    Ferghana Valley 115, 116, 122
    financial–industrial groups (FIGs) 154
    five-string lutes 68, 69, 73
    Fletcher, J.F. 25, 86
    Foreign Policy Concept (Russia) 159
    Frank, A.G. 78
    Free Lance-Star 78
    Freedom House 105
    ‘functioning states’ 79
    gas resources 134–5, 144–5
    geography, confluence of culture and 21, 22–8
    global fields 5
    globalization 5, 60, 178
    ‘glocal continuum’ 6
    ‘glocality’ 173, 185–6;
    as a framework of analysis 4–9;
    dynamics of 174–7
    ‘Go West Strategy’ 40, 101
    ‘great games’ 75, 76–7, 89;
    ‘great games’ of Central Asia’s significant others 177–85;
    ‘new great games’ 14–17, 76–7
    ‘Great Western Development/Open Up the West’ campaign 40, 101
    Greater Central Asia Partnership for Cooperation and Development (GCAP) 81–2
    greed 24
    Guantanamo Bay 143–4
    Han Yu 63
    Hazaras 87
    Heathershaw, J. 185
    Hellwald, F. von 87
    hierarchies 81
    historical anxiety 70–1
    HIV/AIDS 147
    Hizb ut-Tahrir al-Islami (Party for Islamic Freedom) 136, 176
    Holton, R.J. 5
    Hu Jintao 138–9, 144
    human conditions 18
    Human Rights Watch 104, 105
    Ibn Sina 68–9
    Idanthyrus 27–8
    idea systems 61–2
    identity 7, 175–6
    ideology and academic voyeurism, scholarship of 3
    Imin, Abdushukur Muhemmet 68
    imperialism 30–3
    imposed Westernization 84–5
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    India 76
    indirect imperial rule 32
    information and communication technologies (ICT) 13
    Ingalls, J. 82
    Institute of Eurasian Studies (IES) 165
    Institute of Russian, Eastern European and Central Asian Studies 57
    integration 94–114;
    prospects for 106–8;
    way forward 108–10;
    Yeltsin and the CIS 153–9
    Inter Services Intelligence (ISI) 82–3
    Inter-Republican Organization of Uyghurs (IROU) 127, 128
    interaction 185–6
    interconnectivity 185–6
    interdependency 94–114;
    SCO 101–6;
    significance of Xinjiang 100–1;
    Xinjiang and Central Asia 95–100
    interest groups 109
    internal colonization 17, 31–2
    internecine conflict 86
    Iran 141, 145
    Iraq 18, 138–9, 161
    Islamic fanaticism 83–5
    Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) 136–7, 157, 176
    Islamism 39, 134, 136–7, 176
    isolationism 109–10
    Izmukhambetov, B. 144
    Ji You 14, 15
    Jiang Zemin 42
    Jurchen Jin dynasty 27
    Kabirov, M. 120
    Kadeer, R. 142–3, 177
    Karaganov, S. 166
    Kariaji, A. 142
    Karimov, I. 43, 102–3, 123, 137, 140
    Karmal, B. 88
    Karzai, H. 88
    Kasenov, U. 151
    Kashgar 64, 87
    Kazakhs 30–1, 37
    Kazakhstan 37, 78, 100, 133, 134–5;
    China and 99–100;
    Russia and 155, 156–7;
    Uyghurs in 118–19, 121, 129
    Kazakhstan Institute of Strategic Studies (KISI) 161–2
    Kenji, N. 129
    Khamrayev, M. 120
    Khan, Sher Ali 81
    Khan, Yakub 81
    Khasanov, F. 129
    Khitan Liao dynasty 27
    Khiva 87
    Khojamberdi, K. 128–9
    Khokand 80, 87
    Khorasan 85
    Kohlhatkar, S. 82
    Koichuev, T. 155
    Kolbin, G. 120
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    Kosachev, K. 168
    Kozyrev, A. 151
    Krasner, S.D. 78
    Kuziev, D. 129–30
    Kyrgyzstan 37, 100, 109, 133;
    border demarcation between China and 98–9;
    relationship with China 99–100;
    Tulip Revolution 43, 99, 176–7;
    Uyghurs in 121–2, 129
    labour migration 164
    Lattimore, O. 146
    Levy, J. 178
    Li Fenlin 167
    Li Peng 135
    Li Sheng 58, 60, 63
    Liu Jianchao 143
    Liu Xinru 62
    Lukin, V. 164
    lutes, five-string 68, 69, 73
    Ma Dazheng 58
    Ma Liangji 139
    Mackinder, H. 21, 28
    Mahsum, H. 141–2
    Mancall, M. 179
    Mao Zedong 126
    mapping 31
    martial qualities 24
    Marvin, C. 79–80
    Masimov, K. 140
    May 29 incident 117
    McGrew, A. 5
    McMillan, A. 177
    McMillen, D. 77
    Mead, G.H. 175
    Menon, R. 77–8
    Meyrowitz, J. 176
    migration 10, 39;
    labour migration 164;
    Uyghur migrations 115–17, 124
    Military Doctrine (Russia) 159
    military and security sphere 157–9, 166
    Millward, J. 16–17
    Mongolia 30, 31, 32, 34–5, 61
    Mongols 27, 30, 80
    Mousavi, S.A. 85
    Mujahideen 77, 82–3
    Mukhlisi, Y. 124–5
    multilateralism 161–6
    music, Uyghur ( muqam ) 66–9
    names:
    rectification of 57–8;
    for Uyghur homeland 125–6
    nation-building 37
    National Endowment for Democracy 139
    national security 110;
    Russian security thinking 151–72
    National Security Concept (Russia) 159
    nationalism, Uyghur long distance 123–30
    Nazarbayev, N. 140
    Needham, J. 62
    network society 13
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    new global security architecture 44
    ‘new great games’ 14–17, 76–7
    Niyazov, S. 140
    nomadic pastoralism 23–8, 31, 185;
    Soviet rule of Central Asia and 37–8;
    state formation 85
    nomadic polities 26–7
    non-governmental organizations (NGOs) 105–6
    Northern Alliance 86
    Nourzhanov, K. 76, 87
    oases 23
    oil resources 76, 134–5, 144–6
    Olcott, M.B. 106, 160
    Olympic Games 2008 16, 70
    onomastics 57–8
    Oresman, M. 102
    ‘oriental despotism’ 75, 83–5
    otherness 10–13
    oud 68, 69
    Pakistan 76, 82–3
    Pan Zhiping 59–60
    Pantuo City 64
    Pascual, C. 78
    People’s Democratic Party of Afghanistan (PDPA) 82, 87–8
    personalized rule 86
    pessimistic scenario 109–10
    pipelines, oil and gas 134–5, 144–6
    political sphere 155–7, 164–6
    poverty reduction 163–4
    presidencies, role of 106–8
    Prester John 78
    Primakov, E. 153, 181
    proactive cooperation scenario 109–10
    propaganda 56–60, 71
    Putin, V. 144, 182;
    SCO 42, 45, 102–3;
    security thinking and Central Asia 159–60, 161, 162, 163–6
    Qing empire 30–3
    Rahmonov, E. 156
    raiding 24–5
    Rakowska-Harmstone, T. 119
    Rashid, A. 136
    Rawlinson, H. 76, 80
    Regional Anti-terrorism (RAT) centre 42, 102–3, 136, 167
    regional security 110
    relativization 5–6
    religion 7, 175;
    see also Islamic fanaticism, Islamism
    remoteness 10–13
    Rice, C. 78
    river systems, diversion of 97
    Roberts, Major General 81
    Robertson, R. 5–6
    Rubin, B. 82, 93
    Russia 34, 108, 181–3;
    dealing with China 166–8;
    expansionism 79–81;
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    imperial control of Central Asia 30–3;
    official security thinking and Central Asia’s domestic stability 151–72;
    and SCO 42–5, 102–3;
    see also Soviet Union
    Ruziev, M. 120
    Sacks, J. 7, 175
    Sadvakasov, G. 122–3
    Sai (Saka) 74
    Said, E. 77
    Saikal, A. 82, 84
    Samadi, Z. 124
    Samsakova, D. 129
    Schafer, E.H. 62
    ‘scholarly visitors, generation of’ 3–4
    scholars of Xinjiang/Central Asia 1–4
    secondary products revolution 23–4
    security 6–7;
    cooperation on 110;
    military and security sphere 157–9, 166;
    new global security architecture 44;
    Russian security thinking 151–72
    sedentary states 85
    Semireche Valley 115–16
    separatism 14–17, 59, 70, 124–9, 130, 138
    September 11 terrorist attacks 8, 137–8, 160, 183–4
    Seypidin Äziz 66, 68
    Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) 8, 14, 39, 41, 71, 129, 135–6, 180;
    interdependency 101–6, 108–9;
    RAC 42, 102–3, 136, 167;
    re-invigoration of 42–5;
    war on terror and Sino-Soviet relations 139–41
    Shanghai Five 39, 135, 180
    Shärqi Turkestan avazi (Voice of East Turkestan) 124–5
    Shelkovenko, A. 104–5
    Sheng Shicai 35, 117
    Shuja, Shah 80
    Siemens 135
    significant others 175–6;
    ‘great games’ of Central Asia’s 177–85
    Silk Road 55–74;
    Chinese view 63–6, 178–9;
    Uyghur music and distortions of Chinese silk roadism 66–9
    ‘Silk Road Researches’ academic series 65
    Simpson, J. 77
    Single Economic Space (SES) 164
    Sinor, D. 24, 27, 185
    Smith, S. 4
    Smithsonian Institution 61
    Social Darwinism 79, 81–2
    Soviet Union 34–8;
    Afghanistan 82, 88;
    collapse of 38, 100–1, 134–5, 146, 180;
    policy toward Uyghurs 117–21;
    see also Russia
    sport 77
    stability 109, 140;
    Russian security thinking and Central Asian 151–72
    Stalin, J. 36
    Starr, S.F. 2, 8, 59, 78–9, 81, 104–5, 183, 184
    state formation 75–93;
    external influences 78–85, 88–9;
    internal dynamics 85–8
    status quo scenario 109–10
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    steppe zones 22–3
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    strategic resources 17–18
    succession disputes 86
    suites, musical 66–7, 69
    supratribal associations 25, 26, 85, 86
    surveys 31
    Tajikistan 37, 100, 123, 133, 134;
    civil war 155–6, 157
    Talbott, S. 183
    Taliban 83, 84, 158
    Tang dynasty 63–4
    Tarim Basin oases 62
    ‘Tartars’ 80
    terrorism:
    Afghanistan as source of 78–9;
    September 11 attacks 8, 137–8, 160, 183–4;
    Uyghur separatism and 14–17, 70;
    Uyghurs and terrorism outside China 141–4;
    war on see war on terror
    Tibet 16
    Times, The 84
    Timur 27, 86
    Timurids 27
    tourism 63–6
    trade 24–5
    trade-tribute empires 26
    traditional geopolitics, scholarship of 2
    tribal associations 25–6
    tribute empires 26
    Tulip Revolution 43, 99, 176–7
    Türk empires 26
    Turkey 135
    Turkic Islamic Republic of East Turkestan (TIRET) 118
    Turkic-Muslim movements 33, 35, 36–7
    Turkmen 31
    Turkmenistan 37, 100;
    Uyghurs in 123
    UNESCO 69
    United National Revolutionary Front of East Turkestan (UNRFET) 125
    United Nations Development Fund Human Development Report for Central Asia (UNDP-HDR-CA) 94–
    5, 107–8;
    scenarios 109–10
    United Political Council (UPC) 128
    United States of America 18, 40–2, 45;
    Afghanistan 82–3;
    military bases in Central Asia 8, 137–8, 139–40;
    promotion of democracy 105–6, 162, 177, 182;
    Russian cooperation with 160–1, 182;
    Sino-American relations 133–50, 179–81;
    and Uzbekistan 41, 43, 184–5;
    views on Xinjiang and Central Asia since 1990 133–50, 183–5
    Unrepresented Nations and Peoples Organization (UNPO) 128
    Urry, J. 13
    Usubaliev, T. 99
    Uyghur American Association 139
    Uyghur autonomous oblast 119–20
    Uyghur empire 26
    Uyghur Writers of Kazakhstan 124
    Uyghurs 115–32;
    in the Central Asian republics 121–3;
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    long distance nationalism 123–30;
    migrations 115–17, 124;
    music 66–9;
    separatism 14–17, 59, 70, 124–9, 130, 138;
    Soviet policy towards 117–21;
    and terrorism outside China 141–4;
    and Tulip Revolution 176–7
    Uyghurstan, as name for Uyghur homeland 56, 125–6
    Uyghurstan Autonomous Region 125–6
    Uyghurstan Azatliq Tashkilati (UAT) 125, 127–8
    Uyghurstan Party 128–9
    Uzbekistan 37, 41, 42–3, 43, 100, 107, 133;
    Andijan incident 43, 103–5, 177;
    RAC 42, 102–3, 167;
    and US 41, 43, 184–5;
    Uyghurs in 119, 122–3
    Vahidi, H. 125, 127, 129
    Vámbéry, A. 83, 87
    Wang Enmao 3
    war on terror 7, 8, 180;
    Sino-American relations 137–41;
    Sino-Soviet relations 146–7
    warlords 35, 87, 88
    water diversion 97
    Wen Jiabao 70
    Western-type democracies 81–2
    Winchester, M. 137
    women 83, 92
    world history 185–6;
    Central Asia in 21–54;
    Xinjiang in 60–3
    Xiang Fei 65
    Xing Guangcheng 96–7
    Xinjiang 133;
    Chinese historical anxieties over 70–1;
    Chinese view of Silk Road 63–6;
    constructions of 8–9;
    in Eurasian and Chinese history 55–74;
    from 1991 to 2007 39–40;
    imperial collapse and reassertion 35–6;
    inclusion in Central Asia 56–60;
    interdependency with Central Asia 95–100;
    remoteness and otherness 10–13;
    separatism 14–17;
    significance of 100–1;
    Uyghur migrations into 116–17;
    Uyghur music and distortions of Chinese silk roadism 66–9;
    in world history 60–3
    Xinjiang: China’s Muslim Borderland (Starr) 59–60
    Xinjiang of China: Its Past and Present (Li Sheng) 58–9, 60
    Xiongnu empire 26
    Yakovenko, A. 102
    Yang, R.H. 95–6
    Yeltsin, B. 151, 153–4, 155, 156, 159–60, 181
    Yin Falu 69
    Yusupov, I. 119
    Zahideen Yusuf 137
    Zhang Deguang 141
    Zhou Jingbao 68–9
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    Zunghars 30
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