Al Hassan 2015
Al Hassan 2015
                                                                  Access to this document was granted through an Emerald subscription provided by emerald-srm:463575 []
                                                                  For Authors
                                                                  If you would like to write for this, or any other Emerald publication, then please use our Emerald for Authors service
                                                                  information about how to choose which publication to write for and submission guidelines are available for all. Please
                                                                  visit www.emeraldinsight.com/authors for more information.
                                                                  About Emerald www.emeraldinsight.com
                                                                  Emerald is a global publisher linking research and practice to the benefit of society. The company manages a portfolio of
                                                                  more than 290 journals and over 2,350 books and book series volumes, as well as providing an extensive range of online
                                                                  products and additional customer resources and services.
                                                                  Emerald is both COUNTER 4 and TRANSFER compliant. The organization is a partner of the Committee on Publication
                                                                  Ethics (COPE) and also works with Portico and the LOCKSS initiative for digital archive preservation.
                                                                  twenty (20) in the non-life insurance business that control at most 25% of the market have been
                                                                  gaining some points in their share of the market. The industry has also been experiencing growth in
                                                                  premium mobilization above the growth of the non-life insurance business (FINSSP II, 2012).
                                                                  These changes would have an impact on the structure of the industry and reflect a growing
                                                                  insurance industry which has the benefit of accumulating long term funds for access by financial
                                                                  agents for investment purpose to propel economic growth.
                                                                  The pricing policy of insurance companies reflects assumed risks with high risk clients charged high
                                                                  premiums. Low risk clients being charged low premiums to reflect the risk they bring into an
                                                                  insurance pool. However, the ability of the insurers to correctly classify their clients depends on the
                                                                  factors that interplay in the marketplace with the impact of market structure on firm pricing
                                                                  behaviour having received considerable attention in empirical literature studies from an industrial
                                                                  organization perspective. The traditional structure conduct hypothesis (SCP) hypothesis of Bain
                                                                  (1951) and made popular by Baumol (1982) posits that a firm’s pricing and conduct are determined
                                                                  by the structural features of the market within which it operates and that a highly concentrated
                                                                  industry is characterized by collusion among the few large firms in setting prices to achieve
                                                                  abnormal profits. This theoretical view of the market structure hypothesis was subsequently
                                                                  challenged by the efficient structure (ES) hypothesis of Demsetz (1973) and Peltzman (1977).
                                                                  According to the ES hypothesis, efficient producing firms generate higher sales through lower
                                                                  pricing. This would result in higher market share for efficient firms leading to concentration. An
                                                                  understanding of the interrelationships between market structure, efficiency and profitability is
                                                                  therefore necessary to inform both competition and regulatory policies.
                                                                  Since effective regulation requires realistic understanding of consumer and firm behaviour, there is a
                                                                  need for the insurance regulator to better understand the dynamics of pricing behaviour among
                                                                  firms in the industry to formulate policies for a stable industry. With different empirical studies
                                                                  having found mixed results regarding the relationship between market structure and the pricing
                                                                  behaviour of firms, this study seeks to extend regulators understanding of firm behaviour in
                                                                  emerging markets. The coming into effect of the Insurance Act 724 (2006) coincided with the
                                                                  dwindling in market share of the top five insurers in both life and non-life market. This study seeks
                                                                  to find answers to the following questions, “How has the structure of the new markets (life and
                                                                  non-life markets) impacted on firms pricing behaviour? While several studies have examined
                                                                  insurance markets in Europe and America,1 very few studies have been carried out in African
                                                                  insurance markets2 with only three empirical studies3 having been carried out on the insurance
                                                                  market in Ghana. While Ansah-Adu et al. (2012) focused on cost efficiencies of both life and non-
                                                                  life insurance companies, Akotey et al. (2013) examined the financial performance of life insurers in
                                                                  Ghana. The obvious omission from these two studies is the link between insurer’s efficiency and
                                                                  profitability. Additionally, the effect of the structure of the emerging Ghanaian insurance market on
                                                                  profitability has not been empirically investigated. This study enhances the understanding of the
                                                                  industrial economics of the Ghanaian insurance industry by investigating the impact of market
                                                                  structure and efficiency on profitability. The main contribution of this study is the empirical
                                                                  application of the classical industrial economics theory on SCP and ES paradigms to an emerging
                                                                  insurance market in Africa. This study thus extends the work of Akotey et al. (2013) by examining
                                                                  the effect of market structure on profitability of both life and non-life insurers. With regards to
                                                                  Ansah-Adu et al. (2012), we further explore the relationship between efficiency and profitability.
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                  The rest of the paper is organized into section 2 on the overview of both life and non-life insurance
                                                                  markets in Ghana, Section 3 on related studies on the SCP and ES paradigms, section 4 on
                                                                  methodology and section 5 empirical findings. Section 6 concludes the study and discusses the
                                                                  policy implication of the findings.
                                                                  1 Chidambaran et al. (1997), Choi and Weiss (2005), Jedlicka and Jumah (2006), Berry-Stölzle et al.(2011)
                                                                  2 Jones et al. (1999), Liebenberg (2000), Theron (2001) and Liebenberg and Kamerschen (2008) have all examined the
                                                                  South African Insurance market
                                                                  3 Ansah-Adu et al. (2012), Akotey et al. (2013) and Akotey and Abor (2013)
                                                                  Table 2.1: Growth in Total Gross Premium Income (Non-Life and Life) (GHS)
                                                                                             Non-Life Insurance           Life Insurance
                                                                  2007                       142,020,077                    67,534,641
                                                                  2008                       187,010,274                    91,245,062
                                                                  2009                       220,704,263                   122,269,456
                                                                  2010                       270,773,967                   187,343,779
                                                                  2011                       358,352,702                   270,176,073
                                                                  Source: National Insurance Commission (NIC) Report, 2010; 2011
                                                                  Table 2.1 presents the gross premiums written for both the non-life and the life markets from 2007
                                                                  to 2011. It is observed that the industry has experienced consistent growth in premiums throughout
                                                                  the period. The gross premiums written for the non-life and the life businesses increased to
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
10.00%
                                                                    0.00%
                                                                              2006 - 2007     2007 - 2008   2008 - 2009    2009 - 2010    2010 - 2011
                                                                  Enterprise life, Star life and Metropolitan life insurance. Between these five companies, they
                                                                  accounted for 77.7% of total premiums in 2007, 76.9% in 2008, 76.4% in 2009, 73.7% in 2010 and
                                                                  77.5% in 2011. Figure 2.2 below illustrates the market share among these top five life insurance
                                                                  companies.
35.0
30.0
                                                                                   25.0
                                                                                                                                                            SIC
                                                                     Percentages
20.0 Glico
                                                                                   15.0                                                                     ELAC
                                                                                                                                                            Star
                                                                                   10.0
                                                                                                                                                            MET Life
                                                                                    5.0
                                                                                    0.0
                                                                                          2007    2008          2009           2010           2011
40.00
35.00
                                                                                   30.00
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                                                                                                             SIC
                                                                     Percentages
                                                                                   25.00
                                                                                                                                                             EIC
                                                                                   20.00
                                                                                                                                                             MET
                                                                                   15.00                                                                     Vanguard
                                                                                   10.00                                                                     Star
5.00
                                                                                    0.00
                                                                                           2007    2008          2009           2010          2011
                                                                  Fewer studies have examined the insurance industry. One of the first researchers in the insurance
                                                                  industry that studied S-C-P hypothesis was Joskow (1973). In examining the U.S. non-life insurance
                                                                  industry competitive structure, he found that despite competitive market structure, insurers set
                                                                  prices through cartel-like rating bureaus. The author concludes that the collusive behaviour among
                                                                  insurers lead to the cuts in supply, inefficient sales systems and over-capitalized industry.
                                                                  Chidambaran et al. (1997) empirically analysed the economic performance across 18 different lines
                                                                  of the U.S. property and liability insurance industry covering a 10-year period from 1984 to1993.
                                                                  The main was that profitability was driven by market concentration to the SCP hypothesis.
                                                                  Bajtelsmit and Bouzouita (1998) also analysed the structure-conduct-performance and efficient
                                                                  structure hypotheses in the automobile market in US from 1984 to 1992, the authors found no
                                                                  evidence in support of the efficient structure hypothesis. In extending the work of Chidambaran et
                                                                  al. (1997) using a different dataset on the US property and liability insurance market, Choi and Weiss
                                                                  (2005) examined the market structure, efficiency, and performance over the period 1992–1998 using
                                                                  data at the company. By estimating both revenue and cost efficiencies, they found evidence in
                                                                  support of the ES hypothesis to indicate that cost-efficient firms charge lower prices and earn
                                                                  higher profits. Taking motivation of regulatory differences in different state in the US, Weiss and
                                                                  Choi (2008) examined the structure–conduct–performance (SCP), relative market power (RMP),
                                                                  and efficient structure (ES) hypotheses. They find evidence to that market power is mostly exercised
                                                                  by insurers in non-stringently regulated but competitive markets.
                                                                   Meanwhile, Jedlicka and Jumah (2006) tested the SCP hypothesis on Austrian insurance industry by
                                                                  considering a sample of 52 insurers between 2002 and 2003. Although they find evidence to suggest
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                  the insurance market is concentrated, the SCP hypothesis of collusive firm’s behvaiour was rejected.
                                                                  Pope and Ma (2008) examined the SCP hypothesis on life insurance market from an international
                                                                  perspective by employing a multiple regression analysis on a panel of 23 countries from 1996 to
                                                                  2003 and found evidence in support of SCP hypothesis although they concluded that the effect of
                                                                  market concentration on performance depended on the level of market liberalisation.
                                                                  By employing data from 1980 to 2000, Liebenberg and Kamerschen (2008) examined South African
                                                                  auto insurance market and found no support for S-C-P hypothesis. In an examination of the effect
                                                                  of liberalisation on market structure and performance in the non-life insurance industry in Eastern
                                                                  European countries, Njegomir and Stojic (2011) employed a panel data from 2004 to 2008 to
                                                                  provide evidence in support of the SCP. With motivation from restructuring and consolidation of
                                                                  the European insurance markets, Berry-Stölzle et al. (2011) studied the SCP, RMP and ES
                                                                  hypotheses in the property and liability insurance industry in 12 European countries from 2003 to
                                                                  2007. They find strong support for the efficient structure hypothesis while the SCP was rejected.
                                                                  The findings of the above studies provided strong evidence in support of the ES hypothesis. This
                                                                  could be explained in terms of anti-competitive legislation that promotes easy entry and exits which
                                                                  serves as a check on the collusive behaviour in concentrated markets in these developed countries as
                                                                  per Baumol (1982) contestable market theory. However in less than developed financial markets in
                                                                  developing economies like Ghana, the market imperfections and high levels of concentrations
                                                                  makes collusive behaviour very likely. To this end, we seek to provide empirical evidence on the
                                                                  SCP and ES hypotheses in less developing insurance market in Africa.
                                                                  In examining profitability determinants of life insurers in Ghana, Akotey et al. (2013) employed a
                                                                  panel of ten life insurers over a 10 year period to identify gross premium written, insurers size,
                                                                  reinsurance, claims, management expenses and interest rate as the significant determinants of life
                                                                  insurer’s profitability in Ghana. The authors however, did not consider the effect of the structure of
                                                                  the life insurance industry on profitability. Based on the mixed results for the SCP hypothesis in
                                                                  empirical studies reviewed, this study seeks to bring new evidence on the SCP hypothesis from a
                                                                  developing insurance market undergoing structural changes. In this study, we employ the DEA
                                                                  technique of Charnes et al. (1974) and Banker et al. (1984) to estimate both technical and pure
                                                                  technical efficiency scores for both non-life and life insurers while using the structural measures of
                                                                  market structure in the form of the Herfindahl index and 4-firm concentration ratio. Unlike
                                                                  Liebenberg and Kamerschen (2008), we bring robust evidence to our findings by considering other
                                                                  known correlates of profitability in leverage, size, underwriting risk, GDP growth and inflation.
                                                                  Additionally, this study employs two different estimations in the panel corrected standard errors of
                                                                  Beck and Katz (1995) and the random effects estimation to provide robust evidence on the
                                                                  relationship between profitability and market structure and efficiency of both life and non-life
                                                                  insurance market in Ghana.
                                                                  4.0 Methodology
                                                                  This section describes the empirical strategy employed to examine the relationship between market
                                                                  structure, efficiency and profitability of Ghanaian insurance companies. We first describe our choice
                                                                  of market structure proxies and how they are measured. The data envelopment analysis (DEA)
                                                                  technique is employed to measure insurance efficiency. This study employed a panel dataset which
                                                                  covers 14 life and 22 non-life insurance companies in Ghana covering the period 2007 to 2011. This
                                                                  sample was taken from the 18 life and 24 non-life insurance firms in operation during the study
                                                                  period. The 14 life insurers account for about 95% of premium market share while the 22 non-life
                                                                  insurers also account for about 93% of premium market share. The data is contained in annual
                                                                  financial report of the sample as obtained from the National Insurance Commission (NIC), the
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                  Several metric measures have been provided by literature on how to measure the market structure of
                                                                  an industry. Among these measures are the Herfindahl Hirschman Index (henceforth HHI), the
                                                                  Lerner index and the concentration ratios. For the purpose of the study, both the HHI and
                                                                  concentration ratio (4-firm CR) were used to proxy the structure of the Ghanaian life insurance
                                                                  market. The HHI is measured as the sum of squares of the market share of firms with an industry.
                                                                                                            =  	
                                                                                                                    
                                                                  Where	 is the market share of insurer i. The market share is proxied as the ratio an insurer’s
                                                                  premium to gross industry premium. The concentration ratios, which is common indicator for the
                                                                  market structure measures the degree to which few dominant firms within an industry account for
                                                                  greater portions of economic activities within the market. This study employs the 4-firm
                                                                  concentration ratio (CR4) as it has been found to be the most preferred concentration ratios
                                                                  (Scherer and Ross, 1990).
                                                                  The data envelopment analysis (DEA) technique was employed in estimating efficiency. The DEA
                                                                  technique measures the relative performance of firms by comparing multiple inputs and outputs.
                                                                  The efficiency score is estimated as the ratio of the weighted sum of outputs to weighted sum of
                                                                  inputs. Assuming n number of decision making units (DMU’s), with m inputs and s outputs, we
                                                                  obtain the relative efficiency score of a test DMU p through the estimation of a model proposed by
                                                                  Farrell (1957) and made popular Charnes et al. (1978) described below;
                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                            max ℎ =   
                                                                                                                       
                                                                                           −    ≤ 0,  = 1,2, … (																								(1)
                                                                                                   
, ≥ 0 , = 1,2, … - = 1,2, …
                                                                  where xij is the quantity of input i used by bank j,  is the quantity of output r produced by bank j,
                                                                  and  and  refer to weights chosen for output r and input i respectively
                                                                                                                min ℎ = 0
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
∑3 1 ≥ 4
1 >0
                                                                  The input oriented model above seeks to minimize cost in achieving a desired level of output. An
                                                                  efficient DMU has an efficiency score 0, of one (1) and serves as the bench mark for the DMU’s
                                                                  within in an industry and employing the same technology. The modeled linear programming
                                                                  assumes constant returns to scale as per Charnes et al. (1974) which implies that each DMU operate
                                                                  at their optimal scale and that any increase in inputs will result in proportional increase in outputs.
                                                                  The efficiency scores estimated under the assumption of constant returns to scale is called technical
                                                                  efficiency (TE) which denotes the ability of firms to employ technology to maximize out. However,
                                                                  when inputs changes results in disproportional changes in the output variables, the DMU’s are said
                                                                  to be operating at variable returns to scale, which Banker et al. (1984) describes as pure technical
                                                                  efficiency (PTE).
                                                                  Based on three principal services provided by insurers in the form of real services, risk pooling and
                                                                  risk bearing and intermediation functions, there is a general consensus on what constitute input
                                                                  variables in efficiency studies. The input variables are classified into labour input and capital inputs.
                                                                  While labour inputs are classified into business services input and labour cost, equity capital and
                                                                  debt capital make up capital inputs. Our choices of input and outputs variables employed were
                                                                  influenced by data availability. In line with Ansah-Adu et al. (2010) and Al-Amri et al. (2012), the
                                                                  input variables considered were total operating expenditure and equity capital. Total operating
                                                                  expenditure proxy for both labour and business services input. Although the issue of insurance
                                                                  output remains contentions in literature, we follow the arguments of Leverty et al. (2004) and Al-
                                                                  Amri et al. (2012) to employ net premiums instead of claims incurred as our choice of output. Since
                                                                  outputs have to be desirable, no insurer seeks to maximize incurred losses. We also employ net
                                                                  income after tax as the other output measure. The efficiency scores are estimated under the out-
                                                                  orientation based on the notion that insurers seek to maximize their earned premiums and profits to
                                                                  be able to adequately cater for cover for any incurred losses. The descriptive statistics of the input
                                                                  and output variables are presented in Table 4.14.
                                                                  The estimated market structure based on the Herfindahl index (HHI) and four firm concentration
                                                                  ratio (CR-4) in section 4.1 and the efficiency scores under both constant returns to scale (TE) and
                                                                  variable returns to scale (PTE) are used to model the SCP and efficient structure hypotheses.
                                                                  Profitability is measured as the ratio of profit after tax to total assets. While the market structure
                                                                  variables are proxied by the HHI and CR, the efficiency scores estimated in section is used to proxy
                                                                  for the efficient structure hypothesis. The empirical model to test the hypotheses is presented
                                                                  below;
                                                                  Where subscripts i and t denotes insurer and years respectively, Υ is the profitability of insurers
                                                                  proxied as the return on assets, 9: represents market structure proxied by the Herfindahl index and
                                                                  4-firm concentration ratio, ;: represents efficiency scores estimated under DEA technique namely
                                                                  technical efficiency (TE) and pure technical efficiency (PTE), while = denotes list of both firm
                                                                  specific and macroeconomic determinants of insurers profitability. >, is the disturbance term.
                                                                  Size: This variable is measured as the natural logarithm of total assets. The relationship between size
                                                                  and profitability is ambiguous. A positive relationship indicates the benefits of economies of scale
                                                                  advantages while a negative relationship is attributed to diseconomies of scale.
                                                                  4   Firms with negative values were excluded from the efficiency analysis.
                                                                  Risk: Insurers risk is proxied by the ratio of incurred losses to earned premiums. This measure
                                                                  captures the uncertainty that premiums earned may not be enough to cover for losses incurred
                                                                  under the policies underwritten. We hypothesize that insurers with high underwriting risk would be
                                                                  less profitable, hence a negative relationship with profitability is expected.
                                                                  Leverage: Insurer generate leverage from unearned premiums from unexpired policies and any
                                                                  outstanding claim amount. The quality of investments of from the leverage assumed determines its
                                                                  impact on profitability. Hence, the relationship between leverage and insurance becomes positive
                                                                  through sound investment choices that generate revenues above expected losses. Bad investments
                                                                  decisions leads to a negative leverage-profitability relationship. While Studies like Adams (1996),
                                                                  Adams and Buckle (2003) and Akotey et al. (2013) have found evidence in support of a positive
                                                                  relationship, Malik (2011) and Ahmed et al. (2011) find an inverse leverage-profitability relationship.
                                                                  GDP Growth: The confidence of every business environment in reflected in the growth in the real
                                                                  economy as captured by the gross domestic product. Increasing growth stimulates demand for
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                  services such insurance cover by businesses to provide cover their expanding businesses. The
                                                                  growth would also lead to increasing demand by consumers for goods and services. In this line, we
                                                                  expect GDP growth to have a positive relationship with profitability through growth in premium
                                                                  income.
                                                                  Inflation: Increases in interest rate arising from high inflationary pressures means that returns on
                                                                  investments also increases. Hence, we expect inflation to have a positive effect on insurer’s
                                                                  profitability due to high investment yields. However, a negative relationship can be experienced
                                                                  when incurred losses exceeds any gains in investment returns. Additionally, the negative effect of
                                                                  inflation on real incomes means that increasing inflation would result in reduced sale by insurance
                                                                  companies.
                                                                  Where ?@A, is the return on assets for insurer i in year t. Return on assets is defined as the ratio of
                                                                  profit after tax to total assets.  denotes the firm specific-fixed effects whiles , represents the
                                                                  firm specific unobservable effects which vary over time. The measurements of the independent
                                                                  variables are presented Table 4.2.
                                                                  The panel data methodology employed in this study enables a better identification and measurement
                                                                  of phenomenon that are not captured in either cross-sectional or time series models. This allows for
                                                                  the modelling and testing of complex behavioural models (Baltagi, 2001). The structure of the error
                                                                  terms in panel data modeling makes the ordinary least estimations an inefficient and biased
                                                                  estimator of panel models. The time-series increases the likelihood of correlation between the error
                                                                  terms of different periods. Additionally, the assumption of homoskedasticity does not always hold
                                                                  for panel data models. In estimating panel’s models therefore, Beck and Katz (1995, 2011) argued
                                                                  that by considering the presence of non-spherical error terms (the presence of autocorrelation or
                                                                  heteroskedasticity), the OLS can be an efficient estimation technique for estimation of panel data
                                                                  models. Accordingly, the authors proposed the ordinary least squares panel-corrected standard
                                                                  errors (OLS-PCSE) to replace the OLS standard errors in an OLS estimation, making the OLS
                                                                  robust to the presence of non-spherical error terms. This study therefore employs the OLS-PCSE
                                                                  after the providing evidence of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation. Panel data models are
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                  traditionally estimated using the fixed or random effects. The choice of either is influenced by the
                                                                  Hausman (1978) test under the null hypothesis of random effects model. We test the robustness of
                                                                  the OLS-PCSE estimation by employing the Hausman test to select between the fixed effects (FE)
                                                                  and random effects (RE) estimations.
                                                                  Presented in Table 5.1 is the indicators for the structure of both non-life and life markets in the CR
                                                                  and the HHI. Consistently across all the study period, the life markets is highly concentrated than
                                                                  the life markets. This probably reflected by the high number of firms in the non-life market as
                                                                  opposed to fewer firms in the life market.
                                                                  Table 5.1: Indicators of Market Structure
                                                                                       Non-Life                         Life
                                                                    Years         CR4            HHI           CR4             HHI
                                                                   2007         0.6700           0.1723       0.6956           0.1554
                                                                   2008         0.5800           0.1306       0.6766           0.1478
                                                                   2009         0.5900           0.1126       0.6665           0.1377
                                                                   2010         0.5400           0.1054       0.6538           0.1386
                                                                   2011         0.5100           0.0985       0.7086           0.1570
                                                                  Source: Authors’ Estimation from NIC Data, 2007 to 2011
                                                                  The results of the efficiency scores estimated using the Data envelopment analysis technique under
                                                                  intermediation approach assuming both constant returns to scale (Technical efficiency) of Charnes
                                                                  et al. (1978) and variable returns to scale (Pure Technical efficiency) of Banker et al. (1984) is
                                                                  presented in Table 5.2. Across both technical and pure technical efficiency scores, life insurers have
                                                                  exhibited higher efficiency scores compared to non-life insurers implying that life insurers in Ghana
                                                                  are more efficient in resource utilization compared to their non-life counterparts. This findings
                                                                  support the findings of Ansah-Adu et al. (2012) who examined the cost efficiency of insurance
                                                                  companies in Ghana.
                                                                  Table 5.2 Efficiency of Ghanaian Insurers (2007 to 2011)
                                                                                            NON-LIFE                      LIFE
                                                                                     TE              PTE          TE                     PTE
                                                                   2007              0.290           0.570      0.7337                  0.8780
                                                                   2008              0.778           0.885      0.8051                  0.8908
                                                                   2009              0.773           0.857      0.7381                  0.8795
                                                                   2010              0.617           0.779      0.6948                  0.8458
                                                                   2011              0.692           0.759      0.7582                  0.8453
                                                                  Source: Authors’ Computation from EMS
                                                                  As shown in Table 5.2, obvious differences exist among the efficiency scores for both life and non-
                                                                  life insurers. Table 5.3 presents the results of both Kruskal-Walis and Man Whitney U tests for
                                                                  differences mean values for both technical and pure technical efficiencies. As indicated, significant
                                                                  differences was found between the technical efficiency scores for life and non-life insurers at 10%
                                                                  but no significant differences was found for pure technical efficiency. This indicates that life
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                  insurance firms in Ghana have the ability to better maximize their outputs from the production
                                                                  inputs compared to insurers in the non-life market.
                                                                  Table 5.4 presents a summary statistics of the regression model variables. Insurer’s profitability,
                                                                  earnings before interest and taxation is on average 6% of total assets for life insurers compared to
                                                                  3.3% for non-life insurers over the study period. Over the period, the concentration ratios for the
                                                                  four largest insurers (CR4) were 57.8% and 67% for non-life and life insurers respectively indicating
                                                                  a degree of market concentration. The Herfindahl Index as a measure of market structure confirms
                                                                  that the life insurance market is more concentrated compared to the non-life market. On the
                                                                  efficiency scores, both pure technical efficiency (PTE) and technical efficiency (TE) for life insurers
                                                                  were higher than that of non-life insurers implying that Ghanaian life insurers are more efficient
                                                                  compared to non-life insurers. Insurer’s size, leverage ratio and underwriting risk were 15.977%,
                                                                  60.2%, 18.1% respectively for non-life insurers with the corresponding ratios for life insurers of
                                                                  16.2%, 33% and 36% respectively. On the macroeconomic variables, inflation rate and GDP growth
                                                                  rate averaged 13.188% and 8.256% respectively over the study period.
                                                                  5.2 Correlation Matrix
                                                                  In examining the possibility of high correlation among the independent variables, the Pearson
                                                                  correlation coefficient was estimated and the results is presented in Table 5.5. There is strong and
                                                                  significant correlation between both market structure measures and efficiency scores for both life
                                                                  and non-life insurers. With regard to the correlations between the independent variables to test for
                                                                  the presence of multicollinearity, correlation coefficients of less than 0.5 was found among pairs of
                                                                  the independent variables giving an indication that potential multicollinearity problems will not be
                                                                  encountered in using all the independent variables in the regression equation.
                                                                  From Table 5.6, the SCP hypothesis was rejected in all estimations using the two different measures
                                                                  of market structure. In the non-life insurance model, inconsistent evidence was found for the SCP
                                                                  hypothesis. Using the HHI as a proxy for market power, a significant positive relationship was
                                                                  found at 10% whereas a negative and significant relationship at 10% when CR4 proxied for
                                                                  insurance market structure. This results clearly does not provide strong evidence for the SCP
                                                                  hypothesis in the non-life insurance market in Ghana. The tendency for firms to follow market
                                                                  leaders in their pricing conduct could explain the conflicting evidence for the SCP; such behaviour
                                                                  characterises oligopolistic markets where market leaders compete against each other. The proxies
                                                                  for efficient structure (PTE and TE) exhibited significant positive relationships with return on assets
                                                                  at 1% to provide support for the efficient structure hypothesis. This implies that efficient non-life
                                                                  insurance firms produce at a lower prices to drive up sales and market share, hence higher
                                                                  profitability. This results is consistent with the findings of Liebenberg and Kamerschen (2008) who
                                                                  found mixed results5 for the SCP hypothesis in the South African Auto insurance market.
                                                                  With regard to the life model, the coefficients of market power (HHI and CR4) are negative and
                                                                  statistically significant at between 5% and 1%. This indicates that a competitive life insurance
                                                                  industry leads to higher profitability implying a rejection of the SCP hypothesis in the Ghanaian life
                                                                  insurance industry and denotes the absence of collusive behaviour in the non-life market. This result
                                                                  is also consistent with the findings of Choi and Weiss (2005), Jedlicka and Adusei (2006) and Stölzle
                                                                  et al. (2011). Evidence was also found for the Efficient Structure (ES) hypothesis as indicated by the
                                                                  positive significant coefficient of technical efficiency and pure technical efficiency at 1%. This
                                                                  implies that profitability of life insurers in Ghana thus results from efficient firms being able to
                                                                  lower per unit cost to sell more products to capture larger market.
                                                                  For the control variables, size, underwriting risk, leverage, and inflation exhibited significant
                                                                  relationships with profitability of non-life insurers in Ghana whereas underwriting risk, leverage, and
                                                                  inflation rate exhibited significant relationship with life insurer’s profitability. For insurer’s size,
                                                                  larger life insurers exhibited significant positive relationship with profitability which could imply the
                                                                  benefits of economies of scale enjoyed by larger firms. This results is consistent with Akotey et al.
                                                                  (2013) on Ghanaian life insurers. This relationship was significant at 1%. However, larger non-life
                                                                  5   Generally, the SCP hypothesis was rejected for most indicators of market structure except 10 firm concentration ratio.
                                                                  insurers were found not able to leverage on their size to earn higher profitability as indicated by
                                                                  insignificant relationship between size and profitability in the non-life model.
                                                                  Underwriting risk which indicates the riskiness of the insurance business exhibited significant
                                                                  negative relationship with return on assets in both non-life and life models at significance of 1% and
                                                                  5% respectively. As insurers underwrite high risky policies, the likelihood of high claims payout
                                                                  lowering underwriting profits, hence reduced return on the insurer’s assets all other things being
                                                                  equal. This effect of risk on profitability for the non-life insurance market was greater than that of
                                                                  the life insurance market. This indicates that selling more risky insurance business leads to high
                                                                  claims payment, hence reduced profitability. The non-life market would therefore benefit stringent
                                                                  regulatory policies that improve underwriting practices. These results are consistent with Akotey et
                                                                  al. (2013).
                                                                  Leverage exhibited mixed relationships with profitability for non-life and life models. For non-life
                                                                  models, leverage exhibited significant positive relationship at 1% implying that highly levered non-
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                  life insurers are profitable. For the life model however, a significant negative relationship was
                                                                  exhibited between leverage and profitability. On the macroeconomic variables, only inflation rate
                                                                  exhibited significant relationship with profitability for both non-life and life insurers. The
                                                                  relationship between inflation rate and insurers profitability was negative at a 1% significance level
                                                                  confirming the findings of Akotey et al. (2013) who reported similar relationship for the life
                                                                  insurance industry in Ghana.
                                                                  In examining the robustness of the results presented in Table 5.7, both the random and fixed effects
                                                                  estimations were considered. In choosing between the most efficient estimators, the Hausman
                                                                  (1978) specification test was employed and the results as shown in Table 5.6 favoured the random
                                                                  effects estimation. With heteroskedasticity and autocorrelations established through the Breusch and
                                                                  Pagan (1979) test and Wooldridge (2002) respectively, the random effects estimation was carried in
                                                                  the presence of heteroskedasticity and serial correlations. Consistent with the OLS-PCSE
                                                                  estimations, the results for the SCP hypothesis was mixed for the non-life sample by exhibiting
                                                                  significant positive relationship with profitability using HHI as a proxy market structure whilst
                                                                  exhibiting negative relationship with profitability using concentration ratio to proxy market
                                                                  structure. These relationships were significant at 10%. For the life model, the SCP hypothesis was
                                                                  rejected in all four models with the market structure (HHI and CR4) either exhibiting significant or
                                                                  insignificant negative relationship with profitability. Consistent with the basic estimation, the ES
                                                                  hypothesis was accepted for both life and non-life samples in the random effects estimations.
                                                                      Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
Table 5.7: Random Effects Estimations with Heteroskedastic and Autocorrelated Error Terms
                                          DEPENDENT VARIABLE: RETURN ON ASSETS
                         NON-LFE INSURANCE                                                                                                    LIFE INSURANCE
                      Model 1      Model 2      Model 3       Model 4          Model 1                                                         Model 2    Model 3                        Model 4
 Constant               0.205        0.174        0.254         1.379 *       -0.809***                                                       -0.601***   -0.753**                       -0.569 **
 HHI                   0.006        2.323*                                     -1.732 *                                                          -1.114
 CR4                                             -0.210        -2.019 *                                                                                  -0.560 **                          0.332
 PTE                  0.367**                   0.379 **                      0.434 ***                                                                  0.428 ***
 TE                               0.566***                   0.579 ***                                                                        0.370 ***                                 0.362 ***
 SIZE                   0.001       -0.003        0.004          0.001        0.063 ***                                                        0.052 ***  0.067 ***                      0.054 ***
 RISK                -0.549***    -0.497***    -0.547***     -0.501***        -0.451***                                                       -0.396 *** -0.453***                      -0.400 ***
 LEV                 0.362 ***     0.304***     0.360***      0.301 ***         -0.054                                                           -0.011     -0.057                         -0.013
 GDP                   -0.004       -0.011       -0.001          0.010          -0.001                                                           -0.004     -0.001                         -0.004
 INF                 -0.031***    -0.045***    -0.031***     -0.043 ***       -0.008***                                                       -0.010 *** -0.007 ***                     -0.009 ***
        	
 Wald O               2833.29      3103.66      2773.27        3070.12          103.64                                                          185.42       99.1                         174.32
          	
 Prob > O              0.0000       0.0000       0.0000         0.0000          0.0000                                                          0.0000     0.0000                         0.0000
 R-squared              0.608       0.6693       0.6084          0.672           0.668                                                          0.6937     0.6736                         0.6923
 Adj. R-squared        0.5694       0.6367       0.5698         0.6397          0.6286                                                          0.6574     0.6349                         0.6558
 Hausman                 7.8         6.84         3.10           5.17            1.74                                                             1.32       1.72                           1.39
 Prob > O 	            0.1676        0.336       0.3771         0.3956          0.9729                                                          0.9878     0.9738                         0.9867
 Insurers                 22           22          22             22              14                                                               14         14                             14
 Observations             79           79          79             79              67                                                               67         67                             67
Note: HHI=Herfindahl Hirschman Index, CR4=4 firm Concentration ratio, PTE= Pure Technical Efficiency, TE=Technical efficiency, SIZE=Insurers Size, Risk=Underwriting Risk, LEV= Leverage,
GDP= Economic Growth Rate, INF=Inflation Rate. Numbers in parentheses are z- statistics. ‘***’, ‘**’, and ‘*’ indicate significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels respectively. Source: Authors Estimation
in STATA12
                                                                  6.0 Conclusions and Recommendations
                                                                  This paper sought to examine how the structure of both non-life and life insurance markets in
                                                                  Ghana has impacted on the behaviour of firms with regards to their pricing policies after the
                                                                  enactment of the Insurance Act 724 (2006) which led to the separation of both life and non-life
                                                                  businesses. By empirically testing the structure-conduct- performance (SCP) and efficient structure
                                                                  (ES) hypotheses on the insurance industry in Ghana, the study sought to provide an understanding
                                                                  of firm behaviour in the new markets created to inform regulatory and competition policies.
                                                                  Based on our structural measures of market structure, both markets have levels of concentration
                                                                  with the premiums concentrated among the four biggest insurers. However, the life market is highly
                                                                  concentrated than the non-life market. From the data envelopment analysis, we also conclude that
                                                                  the life insurers are more efficient compared to non-life insurers. In the non-life market, we find
                                                                  inconclusive evidence in support of the SCP hypothesis but strong evidence is alluded for the ES
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                  hypothesis that profitability is driven by efficient producing insurers. For the life market, we find
                                                                  also find strong evidence for the ES hypothesis while rejecting the SCP hypothesis. We also
                                                                  identified underwriting risk, leverage and inflation as the other significant determinants of
                                                                  profitability in both markets. Most importantly, the effect of underwriting risk on profitability is
                                                                  more pronounced in the non-life market compared to the life market. Larger life insurers were also
                                                                  found to be more profitable than small life insurers. In conclusion, we do not find any evidence of
                                                                  collusive behaviour in the concentrated insurance markets in Ghana.
                                                                  The results of this study have implications for the regulation of insurance markets in Ghana and
                                                                  other developing countries. The rejection of the SCP hypothesis coupled with the high levels of
                                                                  concentration in both markets indicates that competition policies would not only lead to increased
                                                                  profitability but also improve consumer welfare. Hence, we recommend that efforts aimed at
                                                                  promoting competitive industry should be accelerated within a conducive framework to promote
                                                                  healthy competition among industry players. Management of insurance companies should also aim
                                                                  to develop manpower and invest in new technology to improve efficiency. This could result in new
                                                                  product development and effective delivery systems to maximize resource usage. Adherence to the
                                                                  best underwriting practices should be pursued at both the regulatory level and firm level to reduce
                                                                  the risk inherent in premium underwriting. This recommendation therefore re-enforces the decision
                                                                  by the NIC in the adoption of the risk based supervision framework and also in line with the
                                                                  solution proffered by Akotey et al. (2013). Other significant determinants of profitability identified
                                                                  could serve a benchmark for insurance companies in improving profitability.
                                                                  It is the recommendation of this study that future researchers could examine the effect of
                                                                  competitive insurance market on efficiency of insurers. Other forms of efficiency such as profit and
                                                                  revenue efficiency as well as different forms of insurance profitability could also be examined in
                                                                  both markets. Data limitations made it impossible for this current study. Productivity analysis of the
                                                                  Ghanaian insurance market could also be an area of interest to for further studies. From a
                                                                  methodological perspective, a dynamic panel estimation can employed to deal with a potential of
                                                                  endogeneity common with panel data models as well as examine the persistence of insurer’s
                                                                  profitability in Ghana.
                                                                  Acknowledgements
                                                                  The authors are grateful to the Editor and Area Editor Prof. Ronald Schramm for their comments.
                                                                  Comments from two anonymous reviewers which greatly improved the earlier draft of the paper is
                                                                  appreciated. We also appreciated the help of Cosmos Owusu of the National Insurance
                                                                  Commission in us with the data. This paper was prepared while the corresponding author was a
                                                                  Teaching Assistant at the Department of Finance at the University of Ghana Business School. An
                                                                  earlier draft of this paper was presented at the 1st University of Ghana Business School Conference
                                                                  on Business and Development, April 8-9, Accra, Ghana.
References
                                                                  Ahmed, N., Ahmed, Z. and Usman, A. (2011), “Determinants of performance: a case of life
                                                                       insurance sector of Pakistan”, International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, Vol. 61, pp.
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                       123-128.
                                                                  Akotey, J.O. and Sackey, F.G., Amoah, L. and Manso, R.F. (2013) The financial performance of life
                                                                            insurance companies in Ghana, The Journal Risk Finance, Vol. 14 No. 3, 2013 pp. 286-302.
                                                                  Akotey, J.O. and Abor, J. (2013), Risk management in the Ghanaian insurance industry, Qualitative
                                                                            Research in Financial Markets, Vol. 5 No. 1, 2013, pp. 26-42
                                                                  Al-Muharrami, S. & Matthews, K. (2009). “Market power versus efficient-structure in Arab GCC
                                                                              banking” Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 19, No. 18, pp. 1487 – 1496.
                                                                  Alzaidanin, J.S. (2003). “An Investigation of Bank Profitability and Market Concentration in the
                                                                                  United Arab Emirates Financial System”, Bangor Business School Staff Publications &
                                                                                  Working Papers.
                                                                  Ansah-Adu, K., Andoh, C. and Abor, J. (2012), “Evaluating the cost efficiency of insurance
                                                                               companies in Ghana”, The Journal of Risk Finance Vol. 13 No. 1, pp. 61-76
                                                                  Banker, R., Charnes, A. and Cooper, W.W. (1984), “Some models for estimating technical and scale
                                                                               inefficiencies in data envelopment analysis”, Management Science, Vol. 30, pp. 1078-92.
                                                                  Baltagi, B.H. (2001). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, 2nd Ed. Chichester: John
                                                                           Wiley & Sons.
                                                                  Bain, J.S. (1951) “Relation of Profit-Rate to Industry Concentration: American Manufacturing”,
                                                                               1936-1940, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 65: 293-324.
                                                                  Bajtelsmit, V.L. and Bouzouita, R. (1998), “Market Structure and Performance in Private Passenger
                                                                               Automobile Insurance”, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 65, No. 3.
                                                                  Baumol, W.J. (1982), “Contestable Markets: An Uprising in the Theory of Industry Structure”, The
                                                                            American Economic Review, Vol. 72, No. 1, pp. 1-15
                                                                  Beck, N. and Katz, J.N. (1995), “What To Do (and Not To Do) with Time Series Cross-Section
                                                                            Data”, American Political Science Review 89:634–47
                                                                  Berger, A.N. and Hannan, T.H. (1998), “The Efficiency Cost of Market Power in the Banking
                                                                          Industry: A Test of the “Quiet Life” and Related Hypotheses”, Review of Economics and
                                                                          Statistics, 80: 454-465.
                                                                  Berry-Stölzlea, T.R., Weiss, M.A. and Wende, S. (2011), Market Structure, Efficiency, and
                                                                          Performance in the European Property-Liability Insurance Industry, Accessed: 9th August,
                                                                          2013. American Risk and Insurance Association Meeting, 2011
                                                                   Available                                                                                           at:
                                                                          http://www.aria.org/meetings/2011%20papers/Market_Structure_in_EU_insurance_mark
                                                                          ets%20072311.pdf
                                                                  Breusch, T. and Pagan, A. (1979). A Simple Test for Heteroskedasticity and Random Coefficient
                                                                               Variation. Econometrica, 47, 1287-1294
                                                                  Charnes, A., Cooper, W.W. and Rhodes, E. (1978), “Measuring the efficiency of decision-making
                                                                               units”, European Journal of Operations Research, Vol. 2, pp. 429-44.
                                                                  Choi, B.P. and Weiss, M.A. (2005), “An Empirical Investigation of Market Structure, Efficiency, and
                                                                          Performance in Property-Liability Insurance”, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 72: 635-673.
                                                                  Demsetz, H. (1973) Industry Structure, Market Rivalry, and Public Policy, Journal of Law and
                                                                            Economics, 16: 1-9.
                                                                  Evanoff, D.D. and Fortier, D.L. (1988), Re-evaluation of the Structure-Conduct-Performance
                                                                          Paradigm in Banking, Journal of Financial Services Research, 1: 277-294.
                                                                  Farooq, A.M. (2003). Structure and Performance of Commercial Banks in Pakistan, State Bank of
                                                                          Pakistan, Munich Personal RePEc Archive Paper No. 4983
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                  NIC (2011), National Insurance Commission Annual Report, (Accessed: 15th July, 2013. Available
                                                                        at: http://www.nicgh.org/live/images/photos/downloads/NIC_Annual_Report_2011.pdf)
                                                                  Park, K.H., and Weber, W. (2006). Profitability of Korean Banks: Test of Market Structure versus
                                                                            Efficient Structure, Journal of Economics and Business, Vol. 58, pp.222-239.
                                                                  Peltzman, S. (1977), “The Gains and Losses from Industrial Concentration”, Journal of Law and
                                                                            Economics 20(2), 229–263.
                                                                  Purkayastha, S. (2005), “Structure Conduct Performance (SCP) Paradigm and the Indian Steel
                                                                            Industry: An Analysis”, The Icfai University Journal of Industrial Economics, Vol. 2, No. 3
                                                                  Pope, N. and Ma, Y-L (2008). The Market Structure–Performance Relationship in
                                                                            the International Insurance Sector, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Volume 75, Issue 4, Pages
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
                                                                            947–966,
                                                                  Rhoades, S.A. (1985), “Market Share as a Source of Market Power: Implications and Some
                                                                              Evidence”, Journal of Economics and Business, 37: 343-363.
                                                                  Samad, A. (2008). Market Structure, Conduct and Performance: Evidence from the Bangladesh
                                                                           Banking Industry, Journal of Asian Economics, Vol.19, pp.181-193.
                                                                  Sathye, M. (2005). Market Structure and Performance in Australian Banking, Review of Accounting and
                                                                           Finance, Vol. 4, No2, pp.107-122.
                                                                  Shepherd, W.G. (1986), On the Core Concepts of Industrial Economics, in: H.W. de Jong, and W.
                                                                           G. Shepherd eds., Mainstreams in Industrial Organization (Boston: Kluwer Academic).
                                                                  Tregenna, F. (2009). The fat years: the structure and profitability of the US banking sector in the
                                                                              pre-crisis period. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 33, pp. 609–632
                                                                  Tung, G., Lin, C. and Wang, C. (2009), “The Market Structure, Conduct, Performance Paradigm
                                                                              Reapplied to the International Tourist Hotel Industry”, paper presented at the
                                                                              International Symposium on Finance and Accounting in Asia, Kuala Lumpur.
                                                                  Weiss, M.A. and Choi, B.P. (2008), “State regulation and the structure, conduct, efficiency and
                                                                        performance of US auto insurers”, Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol., 32, Issue 1, Pg 134–156
                                                                  Wooldridge, J. (2002). Econometric Analysis of Cross-Section and Panel Data. MIT Press, 130, 279,
                                                                           420-449.
                                                                  About the Authors:
                                                                  Abdul Latif Alhassan is currently pursuing his PhD in Business Administration (Finance) at the
                                                                         Graduate School of Business, University of Cape Town, South Africa. His research
                                                                         interests are in Insurance economics, efficiency and productivity analysis, development
                                                                         finance, econometric modelling and industrial organization theory. He has undertaken ad-
                                                                         hoc refereeing for the Journal of Risk Finance, International Journal of Emerging Markets
                                                                         and The Journal of International Trade and Economic Development. He can be contacted
                                                                         at lateef85@yahoo.com; alhabd004@myuct.ac.za
                                                                  George Kojo Addisson is the Managing Director of StarLife Insurance Company in Ghana with
                                                                         over ten years’ experience in the Ghanaian insurance industry. He has an MBA in Finance
                                                                         at the University of Ghana Business School. He can be contacted at
Downloaded by UNIVERSITY OF EXETER At 12:08 16 August 2015 (PT)
gaddison@starlife.com.gh.
                                                                  Michael Effah Asamoah is Lecturer at the Central University College in Ghana. He is also a
                                                                         Chartered Accountant and has an M.Phil in Finance from the University of Ghana
                                                                         Business School. His research interests are in Foreign Direct Investment and
                                                                         Macroeconomic uncertainties. He can be contacted at iameffah@gmail.com.