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Week 6 Macro M

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42 views43 pages

Week 6 Macro M

Uploaded by

patelrari97
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Money, Banking & the Money Supply

Alex Peden

International College of Manitoba

June 29, 2020

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Homework

Assignment #2 available
Due date July 13th
Must be completed before the second midterm.

Test #2 is on July 13th. It will begin at 8am (Winnipeg time),


and it will be conducted on Moodle just like the first midterm.

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Review

Given the following information about an economy, answer the


questions below:
C = 75 + 0.8YD
I0 = 200
G0 = 275
NT = 0.25Y

1 Calculate Y* using the multiplier.


2 Calculate the BB and draw a BB graph showing where the
country’s equilibrium point belongs.
3 Describe the change in Y* that would occur if G decreased by
50?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Review Exercise

If the government chooses to raise the tax rate:


1 Will the multiplier increase or decrease?
2 Will the budget balance increase or decrease?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy describes how government’s can use their policy


tools (G0 and t) to improve economic performance

There are two main objectives of fiscal policy:


Stabilize equilibrium Y from business cycles
Close recessionary gaps
Close inflationary gaps
Manage budget deficits and public debt

Sometimes, these goals can be at odds, and policy-makers will


need to choose how to act

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Fiscal Policy - Stabilize Y

How can the government use fiscal policy to close a recessionary


gap? Demonstrate with a graph.

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Fiscal Policy - Stabilize Y

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Fiscal Policy - Stabilize Y

How can the government use fiscal policy to close an inflationary


gap? Demonstrate with a graph.

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Fiscal Policy - Stabilize Y

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Fiscal Policy - Stabilize Y

At equilibrium, leakages = injections

S + NT = G + I
Government uses its fiscal policy tools to:
Increase injections to stabilize a recessionary gap
Increase leakages to stabilize an inflationary gap

Without fiscal policy, the economy should move back towards


equilibrium (as we discussed last week). Fiscal policy can be used
to avoid waiting for this to occur, and smooth transitions.

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Fiscal Policy - Stabilize Y

Fiscal policy takes place in two manners:


Automatic fiscal stabilization
Discretionary fiscal policy

What is the difference between these two?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Fiscal Policy - Stabilize Y

Fiscal policy takes place in two manners:


Automatic fiscal stabilization occur without political
intervention
Since NT = tY , if incomes begins to fall or rise, NT will
automatically stabilize since the fraction ‘t’ will lead to more or
less leakage
Discretionary fiscal policy occur when governments
intervene in the economy to smooth transitions
Raising or lowering t and G

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy describes how government’s can use their policy


tools (G0 and t) to improve economic performance

There are two main objectives of fiscal policy:


Stabilize equilibrium Y from business cycles
Close recessionary gaps
Close inflationary gaps
Manage budget deficits and public debt

Sometimes, these goals can be at odds, and policy-makers will


need to choose how to act

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Fiscal Policy - Public Debt

Governments do not need to run a balanced budget every year


Government bonds can be issued to finance a negative budget
balance
Public debt (PD) refers to the total value of government
bonds released

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Fiscal Policy - Public Debt

PD = Σ (past BB, both + and -)


Public Debt Ratio = PD/Y

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Exercise

Given the following information about an economy, answer the


questions below:
C = 55 + 0.7YD
I0 = 300
G0 = 280
NT = 0.2Y

1 Use the multiplier to solve for Y*, and draw an AE-Y graph.
2 On your graph, show where YP belongs if there is a
recessionary gap.
3 If the recessionary gap is $300, calculate the change in
Government expenditure needed to close the gap.

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Money

What is money?
Why is it needed?
What alternatives are there?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Money

Money is:
a medium of exchange
unit of account
store of value

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Money as a Medium of Exchange

Money can be anything that is generally accepted for


payments
Using money lowers transaction costs, makes it easier for
individuals to trade

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Barter Economy

Without money, economies must rely on bartering (trading goods


for other goods)
Trade requires a double coincidence of wants
Trade involves multiple ’exchange ratios’

What do these mean? How does money improve trade and


efficiency?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Measures of the Money Supply

The monetary base is made up of all bills and coins in


circulation, as well as cash held by banks.
The money supply includes bills and coins in circulation as
well as bank deposits.

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Measures of the Money Supply

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Types of Banks

Commercial banks:
Provide banking services to the public
Profit-oriented, private businesses
Issue bank deposits and lend to customers
Create deposits by their lending activity
Deposits are a medium of exchange

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Types of Banks

Central banks (Bank of Canada)


Not profit-oriented
Regulates money and supports financial markets
Responsible for monetary policy
Banker for commercial banks
Lender of last resort
Banker for the government

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Banking Operations: Money Creation

Under four conditions, the bank can create deposits (money):


1 Non-bank public has confidence in banks, holds & uses bank
deposits as money
2 Non-bank public borrows from the banks
3 The banks operate with fractional cash reserve ratios
4 The banks accept risks involved in lending to the non-bank
public

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Banking Operations: Money Creation

Two important factors determine banks’ money creation:


the currency ratio (cr) describes how the public chooses to
hold their holdings
the reserve ratio (rr) describes how banks choose to hold
their holdings

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Currency Ratio

public cash holdings


cr =
public bank deposits

1 Imagine you have $150 in your wallet and your night-stand.


You also have another $450 in a chequing account. What is
your currency ratio?
2 What about if you withdraw another $150?
3 How can you interpret a currency ratio of 0.1?
4 How does this translate to the entire population?
5 How does the currency ratio affect banks’ ability to lend
money?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Reserve Ratio

reserve assets
rr =
deposit liabilities

1 If the public deposits $100,000 at a bank, and the bank


chooses not to lend any money out, what is the reserve ratio?
2 Now, if the bank decides to provide a $100,000 loan to a
business, what is the new reserve ratio?
3 What does a reserve ratio of 0.25 mean?
4 How does the reserve ratio affect banks’ ability to lend?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Exercise

If the public has a currency ratio of 0, and the banks have a


reserve ratio of 0.10, what will happen when the public begins with
$1000? Who will be holding how much money?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Exercise

1. Initial Position
Bank Assets Bank Liabilities Public Assets Public Liabilities
Cash: 0 Deposits: 0 Cash: $1000 Bank Loans: 0
2. Public deposits cash
Bank Assets Bank Liabilities Public Assets Public Liabilities
Cash: $1000 Dep: $1000 Cash: 0 Loans: 0
- - Dep: $1000 -
3. Banks lend deposits
Bank Assets Bank Liabilities Public Assets Public Liabilities
Cash: $1000 Dep: $10,000 Cash: 0 Loans: $9000
Loans: $9000 - Dep: $10,000 -

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Exercise

What happens to cash and deposits when:


cr = 0
rr = 0.2
Initial cash = $5000

How would the above change if the cr began to rise?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Banking Operations: Money Creation

Banks will expand their lending & create new deposits when:
they have excess reserves
they can find credit-worthy borrowers
they are willing to accept the risk of lending and issuing
deposits

assuming the public:


has confidence in the safety of bank deposits
is willing to borrow from banks

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Banking Operations: Money Creation

What limits are there on money creation by banks?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Banking Operations: Money Creation

Behaviour of banks
Higher rr: lowers bank lending and deposit creation
Caution over risks of lending and withdrawal of deposits

Behaviour of public
Higher cr: lowers bank lending and deposit creation
Uncertainty about safety of bank deposits
Uncertainty about future stability of financial markets

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Financial Panics

A financial panic sequence can occur when the public loses


confidence in bank deposits
Customers rush to withdraw deposits, known as a bank run
Banks will call for central bank support
Central bank acts as a lender of last resort
This may lead to government take-over of the bank, and/or
liquidation
Customers may also be protected by deposit insurance

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Banking Operations: Money Creation

Let’s re-visit the four conditions for banks creating deposits:


1 Non-bank public has confidence in banks, holds & uses bank
deposits as money
2 Non-bank public borrows from the banks
3 The banks operate with fractional cash reserve ratios
4 The banks accept risks involved in lending to the non-bank
public

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Money Multiplier

The money multiplier is similar in concept to the AE multiplier.


When initial autonomous spending is increased, the AE
multiplier explains the total effect on overall spending
When the monetary base is increased, the money multiplier
explains the total effect on the money supply

Reminder:
Monetary base (MB): bills and coins in circulation & cash
held by banks
Money supply (M): bills and coins in circulation & bank
deposits

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Money Multiplier

M = MB ∗ money multiplier
1 + cr
Multiplier =
rr + cr

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Exercise

1 + cr
Multiplier =
rr + cr

1 If the monetary base is $5000, how large is the money supply


if the cr = 0 and the rr = 0.2?
2 If the monetary base is $5000, how large is the money supply
if the cr = 0.1 and the rr = 0.2?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Exercise

1 + cr
Multiplier =
rr + cr

1 What happens to the money multiplier if cr increases?


2 What happens to the money multiplier if rr decreases?
3 In (1) and (2), what happens to the money supply?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Exercise

How big is the money multiplier in Canada?


MB: $70.6 billion
M: $592.4 billion

What does this number mean?

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Money Supply Function

1 + cr
M0 = ∗ MB0
rr + cr
The money supply depends on three variables:
1 MB - monetary base
2 cr - the public’s currency ratio
3 rr - the bank’s reserve ratio

So if the central bank controls MB, it controls M, provided that cr


and rr are constant.

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture


Review Fiscal Policy Money & Banking

Review

Reminder:
Assignment #2 is now available. You have July 13th to complete
it. Please note there is one question that includes a the marginal
propensity to import in a calculation. We will cover this concept
later in the term, but for now, a brief introduction...
You should continue preparations for Test #2 on July 13th.

Alex Peden ECON1020 - Macro Week 6 Lecture

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