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King's Gubernatorial Poll

Democrat Brian King released poll results Wednesday showing him 11 points behind Gov. Spencer Cox. While internal polling should be viewed with skepticism, if the numbers are accurate the race has tightened dramatically with less than a month until Election Day.

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Robert Gehrke
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
3K views21 pages

King's Gubernatorial Poll

Democrat Brian King released poll results Wednesday showing him 11 points behind Gov. Spencer Cox. While internal polling should be viewed with skepticism, if the numbers are accurate the race has tightened dramatically with less than a month until Election Day.

Uploaded by

Robert Gehrke
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Utah Survey Results

Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q7 The candidates for Governor include Democrat
of Kamala Harris? Brian King, Republican Spencer Cox,
Libertarian Robert Latham, and write-in
Favorable........................................................ 38%
candidate Phil Lyman. If the election was today,
Unfavorable .................................................... 58% who would you vote for?
Not sure .......................................................... 4% Brian King ....................................................... 24%
Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Spencer Cox ................................................... 35%
of Donald Trump?
Robert Latham ................................................ 3%
Favorable........................................................ 48%
Phil Lyman ...................................................... 19%
Unfavorable .................................................... 49%
Not sure .......................................................... 18%
Not sure .......................................................... 3%
Q8 If the candidates for Governor were just
Q3 The candidates for President this fall are Democrat Brian King and Republican Spencer
Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Cox, who would you vote for?
Donald Trump. If the election was today, who
would you vote for? Brian King ....................................................... 32%

Kamala Harris ................................................. 39% Spencer Cox ................................................... 45%

Donald Trump ................................................. 54% Not sure .......................................................... 23%


Q9 In the 2020 election for President, did you vote
Not sure .......................................................... 8%
for Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Joe
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Biden, someone else, or did you not vote in the
of Brian King? election?
Favorable........................................................ 16% Donald Trump ................................................. 55%
Unfavorable .................................................... 17% Joe Biden........................................................ 35%
Not sure .......................................................... 67% Someone else / Did not vote........................... 10%
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q10 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
of Spencer Cox? If you are gender non-binary, press 3.
Favorable........................................................ 36% Woman ........................................................... 52%
Unfavorable .................................................... 47% Man................................................................. 46%
Not sure .......................................................... 18% Gender non-binary.......................................... 2%
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q11 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
of Phil Lyman? press 2. If an independent, press 3.
Favorable........................................................ 21% Democrat ........................................................ 14%
Unfavorable .................................................... 34% Republican...................................................... 53%
Not sure .......................................................... 45% Independent.................................................... 33%
Q12 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.
White .............................................................. 87%
Other............................................................... 13%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


Survey of 612 Utah voters
Q13 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65, Q14 What is the highest level of education you have
press 2. If older than 65, press 3. received: high school graduate or less, some
college but did not finish, 2-year college
18 to 45........................................................... 36%
degree, 4-year college degree, or post-
46 to 65........................................................... 40% graduate degree?
Older than 65 .................................................. 24% High school graduate or less .......................... 15%
Some college but did not finish....................... 28%
2-year college degree ..................................... 14%
4-year college degree ..................................... 28%
Post-graduate degree ..................................... 15%
Q15 Mode
Landline .......................................................... 29%
Text ................................................................. 71%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


Survey of 612 Utah voters
2020 Vote
Donald Joe Someone else
Base Trump Biden / Did not vote
Harris Favorability
Favorable 38% 5% 90% 38%
Unfavorable 58% 93% 4% 49%
Not sure 4% 2% 6% 13%

2020 Vote
Donald Joe Someone else
Base Trump Biden / Did not vote
Trump Favorability
Favorable 48% 83% 2% 15%
Unfavorable 49% 14% 96% 78%
Not sure 3% 4% 2% 7%

2020 Vote
Donald Joe Someone else
Base Trump Biden / Did not vote
Harris / Trump
Kamala Harris 39% 4% 93% 45%
Donald Trump 54% 92% 2% 20%
Not sure 8% 4% 5% 35%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
2020 Vote
Donald Joe Someone else
Base Trump Biden / Did not vote
King Favorability
Favorable 16% 2% 39% 13%
Unfavorable 17% 22% 10% 11%
Not sure 67% 75% 51% 77%

2020 Vote
Donald Joe Someone else
Base Trump Biden / Did not vote
Cox Favorability
Favorable 36% 40% 29% 33%
Unfavorable 47% 44% 53% 38%
Not sure 18% 16% 17% 29%

2020 Vote
Donald Joe Someone else
Base Trump Biden / Did not vote
Lyman Favorability
Favorable 21% 36% 1% 8%
Unfavorable 34% 17% 62% 38%
Not sure 45% 47% 37% 54%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
2020 Vote
Donald Joe Someone else
Base Trump Biden / Did not vote
King / Cox / Latham /
Lyman
Brian King 24% 3% 60% 22%
Spencer Cox 35% 42% 26% 31%
Robert Latham 3% 4% 1% 6%
Phil Lyman 19% 33% - 6%
Not sure 18% 18% 13% 35%

2020 Vote
Donald Joe Someone else
Base Trump Biden / Did not vote
King / Cox
Brian King 32% 12% 64% 31%
Spencer Cox 45% 58% 26% 35%
Not sure 23% 30% 10% 34%

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Harris Favorability
Favorable 38% 41% 35% 36%
Unfavorable 58% 56% 60% 62%
Not sure 4% 4% 5% 1%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Trump Favorability
Favorable 48% 45% 51% 47%
Unfavorable 49% 52% 45% 48%
Not sure 3% 3% 3% 5%

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Harris / Trump
Kamala Harris 39% 42% 36% 20%
Donald Trump 54% 52% 56% 60%
Not sure 8% 7% 8% 20%

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
King Favorability
Favorable 16% 16% 15% 31%
Unfavorable 17% 15% 20% 3%
Not sure 67% 68% 66% 65%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Cox Favorability
Favorable 36% 34% 38% 23%
Unfavorable 47% 48% 45% 53%
Not sure 18% 18% 17% 25%

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
Lyman Favorability
Favorable 21% 24% 19% 3%
Unfavorable 34% 33% 36% 32%
Not sure 45% 43% 46% 65%

Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
King / Cox / Latham /
Lyman
Brian King 24% 26% 22% 32%
Spencer Cox 35% 33% 38% 14%
Robert Latham 3% 1% 5% 20%
Phil Lyman 19% 21% 17% 3%
Not sure 18% 18% 18% 30%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Gender
Gender
Base Woman Man non-binary
King / Cox
Brian King 32% 35% 29% 37%
Spencer Cox 45% 41% 50% 18%
Not sure 23% 24% 21% 45%

Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Harris Favorability
Favorable 38% 92% 17% 49%
Unfavorable 58% 6% 79% 45%
Not sure 4% 2% 4% 6%

Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Trump Favorability
Favorable 48% 4% 68% 34%
Unfavorable 49% 95% 30% 61%
Not sure 3% 1% 3% 5%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Harris / Trump
Kamala Harris 39% 92% 18% 51%
Donald Trump 54% 4% 76% 38%
Not sure 8% 4% 7% 11%

Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
King Favorability
Favorable 16% 34% 6% 23%
Unfavorable 17% 10% 21% 14%
Not sure 67% 56% 72% 63%

Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Cox Favorability
Favorable 36% 17% 44% 30%
Unfavorable 47% 63% 41% 50%
Not sure 18% 20% 15% 20%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
Lyman Favorability
Favorable 21% 1% 31% 13%
Unfavorable 34% 58% 27% 36%
Not sure 45% 41% 42% 51%

Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
King / Cox / Latham /
Lyman
Brian King 24% 73% 8% 31%
Spencer Cox 35% 12% 45% 29%
Robert Latham 3% 5% 3% 3%
Phil Lyman 19% 0% 28% 11%
Not sure 18% 10% 16% 26%

Party
Base Democrat Republican Independent
King / Cox
Brian King 32% 78% 17% 38%
Spencer Cox 45% 14% 58% 36%
Not sure 23% 8% 26% 26%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Race
Base White Other
Harris Favorability
Favorable 38% 36% 51%
Unfavorable 58% 60% 46%
Not sure 4% 5% 3%

Race
Base White Other
Trump Favorability
Favorable 48% 49% 38%
Unfavorable 49% 48% 58%
Not sure 3% 3% 5%

Race
Base White Other
Harris / Trump
Kamala Harris 39% 37% 51%
Donald Trump 54% 56% 41%
Not sure 8% 8% 8%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Race
Base White Other
King Favorability
Favorable 16% 15% 21%
Unfavorable 17% 18% 12%
Not sure 67% 67% 66%

Race
Base White Other
Cox Favorability
Favorable 36% 36% 34%
Unfavorable 47% 47% 44%
Not sure 18% 17% 22%

Race
Base White Other
Lyman Favorability
Favorable 21% 24% 2%
Unfavorable 34% 33% 40%
Not sure 45% 43% 58%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Race
Base White Other
King / Cox / Latham /
Lyman
Brian King 24% 23% 35%
Spencer Cox 35% 35% 35%
Robert Latham 3% 2% 14%
Phil Lyman 19% 21% 2%
Not sure 18% 19% 15%

Race
Base White Other
King / Cox
Brian King 32% 30% 47%
Spencer Cox 45% 46% 36%
Not sure 23% 24% 17%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Harris Favorability
Favorable 38% 40% 37% 36%
Unfavorable 58% 53% 61% 58%
Not sure 4% 7% 2% 6%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Trump Favorability
Favorable 48% 37% 55% 52%
Unfavorable 49% 57% 45% 43%
Not sure 3% 6% 0% 5%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Harris / Trump
Kamala Harris 39% 44% 36% 36%
Donald Trump 54% 46% 57% 58%
Not sure 8% 10% 6% 6%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
King Favorability
Favorable 16% 21% 12% 15%
Unfavorable 17% 17% 17% 16%
Not sure 67% 62% 70% 69%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Cox Favorability
Favorable 36% 29% 36% 45%
Unfavorable 47% 52% 47% 37%
Not sure 18% 18% 17% 17%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
Lyman Favorability
Favorable 21% 25% 19% 18%
Unfavorable 34% 35% 33% 36%
Not sure 45% 40% 48% 46%

Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
King / Cox / Latham /
Lyman
Brian King 24% 30% 20% 23%
Spencer Cox 35% 25% 38% 47%
Robert Latham 3% 2% 5% 2%
Phil Lyman 19% 22% 18% 14%
Not sure 18% 20% 19% 14%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Age
18 to 46 to Older
Base 45 65 than 65
King / Cox
Brian King 32% 37% 29% 30%
Spencer Cox 45% 35% 45% 58%
Not sure 23% 28% 26% 11%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Harris Favorability
Favorable 38% 24% 32% 41% 43% 49%
Unfavorable 58% 68% 66% 50% 53% 47%
Not sure 4% 8% 2% 9% 3% 3%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Trump Favorability
Favorable 48% 65% 55% 44% 42% 32%
Unfavorable 49% 31% 42% 55% 54% 63%
Not sure 3% 4% 2% 1% 5% 5%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Harris / Trump
Kamala Harris 39% 28% 32% 46% 43% 47%
Donald Trump 54% 65% 63% 48% 50% 37%
Not sure 8% 7% 5% 6% 6% 16%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
King Favorability
Favorable 16% 11% 10% 19% 20% 20%
Unfavorable 17% 28% 12% 23% 16% 12%
Not sure 67% 62% 77% 58% 64% 68%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Cox Favorability
Favorable 36% 32% 37% 29% 37% 41%
Unfavorable 47% 44% 49% 54% 44% 44%
Not sure 18% 23% 15% 17% 19% 15%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
Lyman Favorability
Favorable 21% 27% 25% 23% 17% 13%
Unfavorable 34% 22% 22% 44% 40% 49%
Not sure 45% 51% 53% 33% 43% 38%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
King / Cox / Latham /
Lyman
Brian King 24% 13% 19% 26% 32% 31%
Spencer Cox 35% 34% 35% 38% 34% 38%
Robert Latham 3% 1% 6% - 2% 5%
Phil Lyman 19% 21% 22% 19% 18% 12%
Not sure 18% 30% 18% 17% 15% 14%

Education
High school Some college but 2-year college 4-year college Post-graduate
Base graduate or less did not finish degree degree degree
King / Cox
Brian King 32% 20% 31% 34% 37% 35%
Spencer Cox 45% 43% 42% 49% 44% 48%
Not sure 23% 37% 27% 17% 19% 17%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Mode
Base Landline Text
Harris Favorability
Favorable 38% 38% 38%
Unfavorable 58% 58% 58%
Not sure 4% 4% 5%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Trump Favorability
Favorable 48% 51% 46%
Unfavorable 49% 44% 51%
Not sure 3% 4% 3%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Harris / Trump
Kamala Harris 39% 38% 39%
Donald Trump 54% 56% 53%
Not sure 8% 6% 8%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Mode
Base Landline Text
King Favorability
Favorable 16% 11% 18%
Unfavorable 17% 13% 19%
Not sure 67% 76% 63%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Cox Favorability
Favorable 36% 37% 35%
Unfavorable 47% 43% 49%
Not sure 18% 21% 16%

Mode
Base Landline Text
Lyman Favorability
Favorable 21% 19% 22%
Unfavorable 34% 32% 35%
Not sure 45% 50% 43%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters
Mode
Base Landline Text
King / Cox / Latham /
Lyman
Brian King 24% 24% 25%
Spencer Cox 35% 38% 34%
Robert Latham 3% 3% 3%
Phil Lyman 19% 15% 20%
Not sure 18% 20% 18%

Mode
Base Landline Text
King / Cox
Brian King 32% 29% 33%
Spencer Cox 45% 47% 44%
Not sure 23% 25% 23%

September 27-28, 2024 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988


survey of 612 Utah voters

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