Investor Presentation Lodha
Investor Presentation Lodha
BSE Limited
Scrip Code: 543287
Debt Segment – 974163, 974199, 974473, 974511, 974986, 975053, 975115
Dear Sirs,
Ref: SEBI (Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations, 2015 (‘the Listing
Regulations’)
We enclose herewith Investor’s presentation on the Un-audited Financial Results for the quarter and half year
ended September 30, 2023.
Thanking you,
Yours faithfully,
For Macrotech Developers Limited
Digitally signed by SANJYOT
SANJYOT NILESH NILESH RANGNEKAR
RANGNEKAR Date: 2023.10.28 18:20:48
+05'30'
Sanjyot Rangnekar
Company Secretary & Compliance Officer
Membership No F4154
Encl: As above
Macrotech Developers Limited: Lodha Excelus N M Joshi Marg, Mahalaxmi, Mumbai 400 011, India
Regd. Office : 412, Floor-4, 17G Vardhaman Chamber, Cawasji Patel Road, Horniman Circle, Fort, Mumbai 400 001, India
CIN: L45200MH1995PLC093041 • T + 91 22 6773 7373 • E: investor.relations@lodhagroup.com
www.lodhagroup.in
Investor Presentation
Second Quarter FY2024
28th October 2023
INDEX
Page No
Highlights 4
Growth Drivers 10
Performance Update 22
Financials 33
Company Overview 36
Annexures 43
2
Lodha – India’s leading real estate developer
3
World Tower – Ball Room
01 Highlights 4 4
Key Performance Indicators
INR 35.3bn ( 12% YoY), best ever quarterly performance despite Q2 being
Pre-sales* seasonally the weakest quarter and no new location launch
Embedded
~30% for Q2 and ~30% for 1HFY24
EBITDA Margin#
2 projects with INR ~23bn GDV (>80% of INR 175bn full-year guidance
New Projects achieved in 1H)
Added o One project each added at new location in focus markets of Eastern &
Western suburbs of MMR, in-line with our supermarket strategy
INR 67.3bn
Operating cash flow
• Debt down by INR 5.4bn
INR 12.6bn • Avg. borrowing cost
reduced by ~5bps to 9.6%
vs Jun-232
1YTD Price Growth– Weighted average of projects having sales in Q2FY24 vs. Sales price in Q4FY23
2 Exit cost of debt as of Sep-23 and Jun-23
6
Cash Flow INR bn
*Net of any stamp duty, GST and Hospitality & Property Management expenses;
#Growth investment: Land & approval cost and investment in platform 7
Guidance for FY24
INR bn
8
Strong launch pipeline for rest of FY24
8.1 120.3 19
With seven new location launches, well placed to meet full-year pre-sales guidance
1st Bangalore launch in Q3
9
Palava
GDP Growth
USD ~3tn USD ~7-8tn ~2.5x
FY22 FY31 FY22-31
Doubling of
Real Estate Contribution 6-7% 13-15%
to GDP
FY22 FY31
contribution
FY22-31
~5x
Real Estate Industry Size
USD 200bn USD ~1tn
FY22 FY31
(20% CAGR)
FY22-31
3,000
0.2-0.5 Lower Mid 85mn (29%) 119mn (31%)
2,000
2,000
92mn 1,000
<0.2 Low 134mn (45%)
(24%)
FY20
FY22
FY24
FY26
FY28
FY30
FY32
134n
(4%)
1981
1991
2001
2011
2026E
2021E
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Large no of educated workforce added every year Improved affordability to support demand
Total placements from AICTE approved institutes (in ‘000s)
Affordability ratio1
No of students graduating every year 4.6x
from AICTE affiliated colleges: ~1.5mn 4.4x
4.1x
796 798 815 3.8x 3.7x
674 702 723 716 711 3.5x
613 3.3x 3.3x
560 3.2x 3.2x
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
FY22
FY23
As long a housing price growth is slightly below white collar salary growth, housing demand will sustainably grow
Source: United Nations, India Census, AICTE, HDFC Note: 1Affordability index is the ratio of property price to annual income 13
Other industry tailwinds
Consolidating supply unlikely to keep pace with accelerating demand, creating lot of opportunities for
Tier-1 developers
o On the demand side, housing sales in top 7 cities to reach ~1mn units by CY30 from ~360k in CY22
o Consolidation wave due to policy reforms, liquidity crisis and Covid disruption led to:
Market share gains for listed developers – from 6% in FY17 to 17% in FY22
o Conservative Central Bank, allows only plain vanilla mortgage product – LTV <75% & no teaser rates
o A floating rate product; rate cycle well understood by homebuyers – Interest rate change modifies tenure,
not EMI
o Construction costs typically forms only 25% to 45% of sales price – of which one-third related to skilled &
semi-skilled labor which faces low risk of inflation
o Commodity inflation generally of short cycle – 3 years of construction provide flexibility to manage costs
across project lifecycle
14
‘20:20’ Action Plan
INR bn
Focus to deliver ~20% Pre-sales CAGR & 20% RoE with net debt ceiling of 0.5x D/E and 1x D/OCF
~210
~20%
~20 % CAGR
~300bps
121
~17%
Pre-Sales RoE
15
Significant headroom for growth in core markets of MMR & Pune
INR bn
Market share by
~20% ~15% ~15%
decade end
10+% market
Likely market share share
~15% ~8% ~2%
by FY26
FY26 Pre-sales
~225 ~40 ~12
potential
Keeping our growth with conservative capital structure approach in mind, guiding for ~20% pre-sales CAGR i.e. INR
~210bn by FY 26 against higher potential basis market share
16
Township growth set for a significant leap
INR bn
Two large township projects at Palava & Upper Highest ever Pre-sales in FY23
Thane with land already paid for – 4300+ 2x 23
acres of surplus land
19
11
Multiple asset classes –
FY21 FY22 FY23
o High quality residential with exceptional
amenities
o Multiple schools & Hospitals Collections to ramp-up with the rising pre-sales trajectory
17
Ongoing infra projects (Airport, Metro, Bullet Train etc.) to
supercharge Palavas’ growth…on the lines of Gurgaon
Virar
Project Likely completion & impact
Extended Western
Suburbs Extended Eastern
Suburbs
Mumbai Trans CY23 – Brings South Mumbai
Harbor Link closer
Kalyan
Upper Thane CY24 – Cuts travel time b/w
Airoli Katai Naka
Western
Mumbai/ Airoli & Palava by 20
Thane Freeway
Suburbs Dombivli mins
Thane Station Navi Mumbai CY24 – Boost to economic
Goregaon International Airport activity around Palava (35mins)
Mulund
Airoli
Navi Mumbai
BKC Mumbai – st
Central Mumbai CY28 – 1 station after BKC at
Taloja Ahmedabad
Palava, travel time -15mins
Bullet Train
Sewri
Mulund Goregaon CY28 – Brings Western
Link Road Suburbs closer to Palava
South Mumbai
Chirle Junction
PUNE Virar – Alibaug CY30 – Puts Palava at center
Multimodal Corridor of major commercial trade route
Alibaug
18
Building annuity income portfolio
Growing facilities
management business with
digital services layer
Have a captive base of
60,000 households with high
spending power; to grow to
250,000+ by 2030 Annuity income
Pilot initiated for digital
services app servicing wider Select high quality office and
gambit of resident needs. retail portfolio
Facilities
Commercial
Management
Targeting INR ~5bn of net annual income by FY26 and INR ~15bn by FY31
19
Digital Infra.: potential to generate significant recurring income
Recurring income from lease as well as outright sale Digital infra boosting Palava Ecosystem
Skechers & Schlumberger facilities to start generating Aptar Pharma & Flyjack (outright sold)
rent from 3QFY24 along with Schlumberger & Skechers to
be operational in FY24, boosting
economic activity & job creation at Palava
Pursuing land acquisition in NCR, Maharashtra &
Bengaluru for the platform
Strong land demand from end users of
diverse industries
Land sales generating INR 5-7bn cashflow annually
o E-Commerce, Fashion & Sportswear
retailers, Consumer Goods, 3-PL, Logistics,
(INR bn) Jan-21 to Sep-23 Q2FY24 Data Center, EV Ecosystem, FMCG,
Engineering Goods, Life Sciences, etc.
Cashflow from land sales 16.2 0.6
20
Commercial & retail assets with annual rent potential of INR ~2.6 bn
Area in msf
03 Performance Update 22
Operational Performance
INR bn
27.5
51.5
23.8 16%
Collections 49.9 3%
*Others include rental asset sales, sale of land for digital Infra & govt. infra and tenancy 23
Pro-forma P&L (basis operating performance)
24
Financial Performance INR bn
44.4
17.7 17.5
-24% 33.7
-1%
Revenue
5.5 14.3
5.3 5% -29% 10.2
Adj. EBITDA
30% 32% 32% 30%
3.7
7.2
Lower Adj. EBITDA & PAT Margin in 1HFY24 as (i) Revenue recognized is ~50% of pre-sales, (ii) overhead costs being linked to pre-sales
(accounted largely in the quarter of incurrence) is higher by ~800bps
Contracts entered w.e.f. 1st April 2023 qualify for revenue recognition under POCM (Progressive). Financial performance to reflect underlying
business by FY26-27 as prior period projects get completed
Adj. EBITDA = After Grossing up of Finance cost included in cost of project Adj. PAT = before impact of Forex and Exceptional Items
*Exceptional Items : Provision against UK investment for Q2FY23 and 1HFY23 25
xx% Adj. EBITDA margin & PAT margin
Micro-market performance for Q2FY24
INR bn
Own/ JDA
Micro-market Launch Period Area (Mn .Sq.ft) Est. GDV (INR bn)
Project
28
Business Development: 80%+ of annual target achieved in H1
INR bn
8.3 143
29
Lodha: Micro-market wise supply
182.4+ 300
Total 106.6 80.3 5.3 6.7 58.7 11.6 4,000+
acres
^as on Sep-23 30
*Includes ~70 acres land under JV with Morgan Stanley (MDL interest 25%) and 110 acres in JV for Digital Platform (MDL interest 33%)
Market wise completion plan of ongoing ‘for sale’ projects (1/2)
Mn.sq ft.
Sold-PCM - - 0.32 - - - - -
Extended Western Sold-POCM - - 0.01 - - - - -
0.40
Suburbs
Unsold - - 0.07 - - - - -
Total 29.37 Sold-POCM 0.25 - 0.98 0.37 0.98 0.73 0.18 0.80
03 Financials 33
Financial highlights for Q2FY24
INR bn
Networth 130.5
As at As t As at As at
ASSETS EQUITY AND LIABLITIES
30-Sep-23 31-Mar-23 30-Sep-23 31-Mar-23
Trade Rec. (Incl. accrued rev.) 12.4 12.4 Other Financial Liabilities 51.3 45.6
Other Financial Assets 13.1 10.7 Current Tax Liabilities (Net) 0.0 0.4
Non-Current Tax Assets 1.9 2.9 Deferred Tax Liabilities (Net) 0.4 0.3
Total Asses 410.2 391.5 Total Equity and Liabilities 410.2 391.5
35
The Park
05 Company Overview
36 36
Eminent Board of Directors
37
Strong management team
Shaishav Dharia Deepak Chitnis
Sushil Kumar Modi Chief Designer
CEO – Townships, Director – GDI Chief Financial Officer
Platform Previously served as senior architect
Formerly worked at GMR, Aditya 27+ Excellent
at Oberoi domain knowledge
Constructions Pvt Ltd
24+ Formerly worked with McKinsey & Birla Group & JSW Steel
26+
Company and Logic Tools
Prateek Bhattacharya Prashant Bindal Rajat Kumar Singh
CEO – Western Suburbs & Thane Chief Sales Officer President- Finance
Formerly served as Expert Associate Formerly part of Spice Mobilitiy, Formerly worked with Adani Group,
23+ Principal at McKinsey and Co. Walmart India and Hindustan Coca Reliance Group & GMR
24+ 27+
Cola Beverages
38
xx Experience in the industry
Our Sustainability Strategy: Do Good, Do Well
39
We are best-in-class globally when it comes to measured ESG performance
Second highest CSA score out of ~200 Ranked 1st in Asia with a 5-star rating Ranked 8th in Asia with a 5-star rating
companies in Real Estate Management and score of 100/100 in the category and score of 90/100 in the category
and Development industry (as on 22nd Residential: Multi-Family | Listed Diversified - Office/Retail | Listed
Sep 2023)
40
Our commitment to Sustainability: Progress across key focus areas
Environment
• Organized the first edition of RMI-Lodha Sustainability Conclave in September 2023; Brought experts together for co-creating actionable strategies
which can accelerate net-zero transition of the built environment
• Green Certification received for ~42.6 million sqft across projects; process ongoing for ~49.4 million sqft across 35 residential projects
• 98% of renewable energy share in our total energy consumption, across construction activities and standing assets as of Sep-23
• ~3 MWp of on-site solar panel installations completed and work-in-progress
Social
Governance
• Robust Enterprise Risk Management Framework to proactively manage key risks to ensure growth with stability
• Robust policies, procedures and internal controls in place, which are reviewed and updated periodically
• Maintained global leadership position across sustainability benchmarks through regular transparent reporting
• Highest level of disclosures – only company reporting Embedded EBITDA Margin on its Pre-sales
RMI-Lodha Sustainability Conclave: Two-day event serving as a platform for industry experts and visionaries to synergise and
create actionable strategies for accelerating Net-Zero transition of the built environment
42
World Towers
06 Annexure
43
Significant opportunity to scale up in other micro-markets of MMR
Market leading position in most micro-markets, with potential for growth in other regions
Market share by absorption in INR bn
4. Thane
1. Extended Western Suburbs
Vasai Developer Market share (%)
Developer Market share (%) Naigaon 1 19.6%
First 12.3% Bhayander Second
1 11.9%
2 5.4% Third 7.7%
Third 4.8% Mira Road
Added 2 projects with GDV of INR 15bn
Absorption: INR 24bn Absorption: INR 101bn
Ghodbunder 4 Kalyan
Thane
5. Extended Eastern Suburbs
Dombivali
2. Western Suburbs
2 Wagle Estate Developer Market share (%)
Asangaon 1 20.2%
Malad
Pre-IPO, had limited presence Airoli
Goregaon Second 4.8%
Added 5 projects with GDV of INR 52bn Ghansoli 5
Mulund Third 3.4%
Absorption: INR 170bn Andheri
Powai Vikhroli Absorption: INR 73bn
Bandra Vashi
6
Kurla 6. Navi Mumbai
3. South Central Mumbai CBD
Developer Market share (%) Prabhadevi
7 Belapur Potential growth micro-market for Lodha
1 Worli Dadar
33.9% Absorption: INR 111bn
Second 13.4% Lower Parel
Third 9.9%
7. Eastern Suburbs
Added 7 projects with GDV of INR 177bn 3
Pre-IPO, had no presence
Absorption: INR 126bn Colaba
Added 10 projects with GDV of INR ~175bn
Absorption: INR 173bn
Tied up INR ~403bn of GDV and development potential of ~20 msf across 24 projects in various micro-markets of MMR
1. Pimpri-Chinchwad 4. Central
2. North-West 5. North-East
3. South-West 6. South-East
Tied up INR ~60bn of GDV with development potential of ~7.6 msf across four projects in various micro-markets of Pune
Signed four projects at NIBM, Hinjewadi, Bund Garden & Kharadi; advanced stage of signing definitive
documents for multiple projects
o Bella Vista, off NIBM Road (South-East) in Aug’21, sold INR 7.5bn in 25 months (69% of launched
inventory)
o Giardino at Kharadi (North-East) in Nov-22, sold INR 8.3bn in 11 months (64% of launched
inventory)
o Panache at Hinjewadi (North-West) in March-23, sold INR 5.5bn in 7 months (57% of launched
inventory)
46
Entered Bangalore housing market…
1 South 185.0
2 East 80.0
3 North 112.0
4 West 20.0
5 Central 3.0
Total 400.0
o Fragmented market with Top 5 players accounting for ~30% market share
Signed two projects through JDA with development potential of ~2.3 msf and GDV of INR 20bn; targeting
to launch both in FY24
48
Supply side consolidating - unlikely to keep pace with
accelerating demand
Consolidation wave due to policy reforms and liquidity crisis… …has led to market share gains for listed developers
17%
60% >50%
Incremental supply from 3x
Developers count
branded developers
6%
Remaining Tier - 2 & 3 players develop:
Regulatory push: RERA, Demonetization, GST, Amendment to Benami Act. Housing sales in top cities to reach 1mn by 2030
Funding squeeze for Tier – 2 & 3 developers:
~1mn
NBFC’s exiting market after large losses – wholesale lending bubble popped
~15% CAGR
after IL&FS implosion
Source: Anarock 49
Steady as it goes: Mortgage an enabler, not inducer of demand
Conservative Central Bank, low
risk mortgage market: LTV <
85%, no teaser rates Mortgage as % of GDP
89%
India
USA
Malaysia
Germany
UK
Singapore
Netherlands
Thailand
China
Japan
A floating rate product; rate cycle
well understood by homebuyers.
Interest rate change modifies
tenure, not EMI
Housing sales driven by fundamental need and nominal price growth, not by mortgage inducement
o Of which, one-third is related to low skilled and semi-skilled labor: plentiful supply though migration
from rural areas (250+ mn people estimated to be ‘underemployed’ in agriculture). Hence, labour
inflation is low and keep inflation from being ‘sticky’
Commodity inflation, though often sharp, generally of short cycles as demand and supply adjust to new
normal, bringing price moderation in the short term
~3 year period of construction provides flexibility to manage costs across the project lifecycle
Ready and advance under-construction inventory provides hedge against the commodity price inflation
58
Construction cost – inflation moderation since Mar-22
Construction cost increase since 1st April 21 at ~4% annualized rate (expected to continue moderating)
This, in turn, implies impact on COGS of <2% p.a. for our portfolio
52
Multiple benefits of consistent housing price increase below wage
growth
Improves affordability leading to increased volumes
Leads to significant wealth creation for home owning middle class (‘Wealth Effect’)
o Housing is a vehicle for generating retirement surplus; rising home prices enable older population to
maintain spending power
Rising home prices have a positive impact on the housing and allied industries which in turn has a big multiplier
effect on the economy
o Has among the biggest multiplier effects on SME segment through supply chain
o Highest ability to pull the unskilled masses from the farm & convert them into skilled workforce over time
53
Key affordable & mid-income projects delivered
Unique ability to create destinations
54
Key premium & luxury projects delivered
Unique ability to create destinations
55
Disclaimer
Certain statements in this document may be forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks
and uncertainties like regulatory changes, local political or economic developments, technological risks, and many other factors that
could cause our actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the relevant forward looking statements. Macrotech
Developers Limited will not be in any way responsible for any action taken based on such statements and undertakes no obligation to
publicly update these forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.
56
Thank You!
57