SSRN 2335637
SSRN 2335637
Abstract
We empirically investigate the effect of the Internet on racial hate crimes in the United States from
the period 2001–2008. We find evidence that, on average, broadband availability increases racial
hate crimes. We also document that the Internet’s impact on these hate crimes is not uniform in
that the positive effect is stronger in areas with higher levels of racism, which we identify as those
with more segregation and a higher proportion of racially charged search terms, but not significant
in areas with lower levels of racism. We analyze in depth whether Internet access will enhance
hate group operations but find no support for the idea that this mechanism is driving the result. In
contrast, we find that online access is increasing the incidence of racial hate crimes executed by
lone wolf perpetrators. We describe several other mechanisms that could be driving the results.
Overall, our results shed light on one of the many offline societal challenges from increased online
access.
Keywords: Internet, broadband, online-offline interaction, hate crime, hate groups, race,
econometrics, panel models
1
Authors are listed alphabetically by last names. Chan: Department of Information and Decision Sciences, Carlson
School of Management, University of Minnesota, 321 19th Ave S., Minneapolis, MN 55455 (email:
jchancf@umn.edu); Ghose: Department of Information, Operations, and Management Sciences, Stern School of
Business, New York University, 44 West 4th Street, New York, NY 10012 (email: aghose@stern.nyu.edu); Seamans:
Department of Management, Stern School of Business, New York University, 44 West 4th Street, New York, NY
10012 (email: rseamans@stern.nyu.edu). We thank Avi Goldfarb, Jed Kolko, and Seth Stephens-Davidowitz for
sharing data. We are grateful to Chris Forman, Avi Goldfarb, Mitch Hoffman, Ann Morning, Sonny Tambe, and Feng
Zhu for valuable comments and suggestions. The authors are grateful to the Networks, Electronic Commerce, and
Telecommunications Institute (http://www.NETinst.org) for financial support. All errors are our own.
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1. Introduction
Widespread Internet penetration is associated with several benefits, but it has also introduced
unique societal challenges as documented by other research.2 One such challenge is online hate
content. The Internet provides an accessible, affordable, unscreened, and anonymous channel for
posting and sharing hate ideologies. Anecdotally, this has led to an increase in hate-related
websites.3 In 2011, close to 14,000 sites were reported to contain hate-related content, representing
a six-fold increase from that in 2000.4 In particular, over 65 percent of the active hate sites tracked
by the anti-bigotry NGO, Southern Poverty Law Center, is found to contain racial and ethnicity
related hate ideologies (SPLC 2009). More recently, a multitude of hate activity has appeared on
social media and networking sites such as Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube (Gerstenfeld 2013)
and extremist social media sites such as NewSaxon, all of which further facilitates the ease with
It is not clear, however, whether or how the increase in online hate content affects offline
racial hate crimes.6 There are a number of channels through which greater Internet availability may
increase the number of hate crimes committed. For example, increased Internet access may
increase the efficiency with which extremists can spread hate ideology and connect with like-
2
For example, Ayyagari et al. (2011) draw a connection between online enabled technologies and stress, Bhuller et
al. (2013) uncover a positive relationship between sex crimes and Internet availability, Chan and Ghose (2014) and
Greenwood and Agarwal (2015) find a link between online classified ads and HIV incidence, and White and Horvitz
(2009) show how online medical searches can lead to unfounded escalations of concerns about common illnesses (i.e.,
cyberchondria).
3
In fact, extremists were among the earliest to adopt Internet technologies. For instance, hate groups were utilizing
Internet Relay Chat channels (e.g., #Nazi and #Klan), online newsgroups (e.g., alt.politics.white-power and
alt.revisionism), and listservs to spread hate agendas even before the first hate site, Stormfront, was launched in 1995.
4
Figures for online hate activity for various years come from the Digital Terror and Hate Report issued by the Simon
Wiesenthal Center.
5
Available at http://www.civilrights.org/publications/hatecrimes/exploiting-internet.html, accessed on May 27, 2015.
6
For ease of readability, the term hate crimes is used henceforth to refer to racial hate crimes. These crimes are
traditional offenses that are committed against individuals or groups based on real or perceived social and physical
traits including race.
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minded members. Anecdotally, there is evidence that hate related material found on the Internet
has led to hate crimes (Wolf 2004). For example, Benjamin Nathaniel Smith, who went on a
shooting spree in 1999 that targeted racial and ethnic minorities, told a documentary film maker:
“It wasn’t really ’til I got on the Internet, read some literature of these groups that … it really all
came together” (Wolf 2004). Another way in which greater Internet availability may increase the
number of hate crimes committed is by facilitating the training of individuals to commit hate
crimes. For example, the Tsarnaev brothers reportedly relied on online instructions to build the
pressure cooker bombs used in the 2013 Boston marathon bombing.7 To the best of our knowledge
there has been no systematic study about whether increased access to online hate content would
increase offline hate crimes. In addition, it would be useful to get a better understanding of
conditions under which offline hate crimes increase so as to motivate proper policy responses.
To empirically examine these issues, we use geographic and temporal variation in county-
level broadband availability to study the effect of Internet penetration on hate crime in the United
States between 2001 and 2008. We find evidence that increases in the number of broadband
providers leads to increases in racial hate crimes, on average. The relationship between Internet
access and these hate crimes further holds after using an instrumental variable (IV) approach to
address endogeneity and is robust to a number of auxiliary checks and falsification tests. The
positive relationship does not appear to be due to increased crime reporting or reclassification of
crimes over time. The positive relationship between Internet penetration and offline racial hate
crime is most evident in areas with higher levels of racism, as indicated by higher levels of
segregation and higher propensity to search for racially charged words. On the other hand, we
7
Todd Wallack and Beth Healy, “Tsarnaev brothers appeared to have scant finances,” The Boston Globe, April 24,
2013. Available at: http://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2013/04/23/tsarnaev-brothers-appeared-have-scant-
finances/ZbNBuN2Gcz8IOFddKDIU0N/story.html
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observe that Internet access does not have an impact on racial hate crimes in areas with lower
levels of racism. We do not find any evidence that an increase in Internet access leads to an increase
in local hate group formation, and the presence of a local hate group does not seem to strengthen
the link between Internet penetration and hate crimes. However, Internet access appears to increase
This paper aims to make the following contributions: First, we believe our study is the first
to document the relationship between the Internet and hate crime using a large-scale dataset and
document some of the downsides to increased online access (e.g., Ayyagari et al. 2011; Bhuller et
al. 2013; Chan and Ghose 2014; Greenwood and Agarwal 2015; White and Horvitz 2009) that has
been enabled by the platform nature of the Internet in connecting disparate groups of users (Bailey
and Bakos 1997; Bennett, Seamans and Zhu 2015; Parker and Van Alstyne 2005). Second, we
document conditions under which the positive relationship is present, which we believe can help
motivate policy responses. Specifically, we focus on two salient factors─entropy scores (Massey
and Denton 1988) and racially charged search terms (Stephens-Davidowitz 2014)─that show
interesting moderating effects of the Internet on hate crime. We therefore believe that our findings
should be of interest to policy-makers, interest groups, NGOs, and academics. Third, we provide
insights into some plausible mechanisms driving the relationship between the Internet and hate
crimes. In particular, our results appear to challenge the general notion that the Internet has played
a role in the increase in hate group formation. Additionally, the analyses found some support that
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2. Data
To examine the link between Internet penetration and hate crime, we combine detailed data from
various official sources including the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the Federal
Communications Commission (FCC), the U.S. Census Bureau, and the U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics. Hate crime data come from the FBI’s annual report, Hate Crime Statistics. We restrict
our empirical focus to the years 2001–2008 because the population coverage in the hate crime data
is relatively stable for this time period.8 Table 1 provides the descriptive statistics of our data.
Our main dependent variable is hate crimeit, which is the number of hate crimes in county
i in year t. In the study sample, close to two-thirds of reported hate crimes arise from racial-bias
motivations (60.4%), making it by far the most typical form of bias-motivated crime in the United
States. The distinct divide in prevalence between racially motivated crimes and other categories of
hate crimes drives our main focus on racially motivated hate crimes. Moreover, the nature of hate
crime varies as a function of the target group, and the prevalence of each type of hate crime is
Our main independent variable is the average number of broadband providers in county i
broadband access to the Internet over other forms of access such as dial-up, as extant research
shows that broadband adoption significantly increases the overall usage of the Internet, heightens
the consumption of online content in quantity and diversity, and affects a range of online and
8
The coverage is over 80% for this time period, with a high of 88.6% in 2008 and a low of 82.8% in 2003.The high
coverage of Hate Crime Statistics is an effort due in part to local agencies consistently furnishing hate crime reports
to the FBI, voluntarily. In states that do not impose data collection statutes (e.g., Alabama, Georgia, and Mississippi),
some agencies have nevertheless chosen to submit their reports.
9
Though the FBI data on hate crime is unlikely to suffer from documentation issues and ambiguous classification, it
may still face the problem of changing levels in reporting behavior (DiIulio 1996). We address the potential effects of
crime reporting trends through a separate test described in Section 6.
10
Counts of ZIP code level providers are averaged across each county to derive this measure.
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offline activities (Hitt and Tambe 2007; Kolko 2010a). Specifically, the reduction in waiting times
for loading images, sounds, and videos via broadband availability facilitates the likelihood and
Data on broadband availability comes from FCC Form 477, which reports the number of
broadband providers offering broadband services at 200 kilobits per second or faster in a ZIP
code.11 The FCC data is the only comprehensive indicator of U.S. broadband availability that has
been recorded annually since 1999 (Kolko 2010b), and is extensively used by policy makers and
Grubesic 2008; Kolko 2012; Seamans and Zhu 2014; Xiao and Orazem 2011). Using data on the
number of broadband providers from the FCC and proprietary data on broadband use from
Forrester Research, Kolko (2010b) shows that the extent of broadband availability increases
monotonically with the number of broadband providers. 12 Given that broadband policies often
work by adding providers to an area via public provision, subsidization, and regulation, it is
meaningful in a policy context to employ the number of broadband providers as a proxy for Internet
penetration.
As noted in past literature, the use of the FCC data to measure broadband availability may
introduce measurement error for certain study contexts (Greenstein and Mazzeo 2006; GAO 2006,
2009; Kolko 2010b; Xiao and Orazem 2011). 13 For example, there may be business but not
residential subscribers in a given ZIP code, so the FCC’s count will overstate residential broadband
availability. In addition, the FCC does not report the actual number of providers for locations with
11
Broadband providers include telephone-line DSL, cable modems, wireless, satellite, and power-line technologies.
12
To assess the integrity of the broadband provider data, we correlate it with household Internet adoption data at the
state level. Results show a strong positive correlation between broadband providers and the Internet measures from
two other official data sources (see Table A1 of the Online Appendix).
13
The FCC does not report whether providers serve consumers or businesses, how much they charge for service, the
speed of their service, and whether they provide service to the whole or only part of a ZIP code.
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one to three providers, instead grouping them into a single category. Following Kolko (2012), we
assign a value of two to ZIP codes reported as having one to three providers, which introduces
measurement error in our estimations. Below we describe an IV approach to help account for
endogeneity, which also helps address the measurement error inherent in our measure of
broadband availability.
socioeconomic, and crime-related variables from a variety of official sources which allow us to
control for the underlying propensity of hate crimes across locations. The U.S. Census and the
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics provide county-level information on population density, age
proportions, race proportions, international migration rates, number of persons below the poverty
line, employment level, and size of various industry sectors. These demographic and
socioeconomic factors are important for controlling for characteristics which are known to
influence crime rates (Bell et al. 2013; Dollard et al. 1939; Glaser and Sacerdote 1999; Hansmann
and Quigley 1982; Kelly 2000; Sampson et al. 1997), although there is some debate about the
relative importance of some of the characteristics as they pertain to hate crime in particular. For
example, Dollard et al. (1939) argue that economic factors are important determinants of hate
crime, and others, including Green and Rich (1998), find evidence of a positive relationship
between unemployment and hate crime. On the other hand, Krueger and Pischke (1997) find no
relationship between unemployment and hate crime. While not the focus of our research, we
discuss the impact of our control variables on hate crime in our setting, thereby shedding additional
light on a topic that has been subject to much debate in prior literature. We also account for crime-
related prevalence by controlling for the number of police employees and prevailing crime levels.
The FBI database Law Enforcement Officers Killed and Assaulted provides information on the
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annual count of police employees by county, and the FBI’s Uniform Crime Report provides counts
of general crime levels by county. All log transformed variables are constructed using log(X+1) to
3. Empirical Methodology
We first motivate our approach with graphical evidence of the positive relationship between
broadband availability and hate crime. Figure 1 provides scatter plots of number of broadband
providers (x-axis) and number of racial hate crimes (y-axis) for each of the years 2001 to 2008.
The plots include a linear trend, which indicates a positive relationship between the number of
broadband providers and racial hate crimes. OLS results (provided in Online Appendix Table B1)
include the full set of controls and confirm the statistical relationship apparent in the raw data. The
OLS results may be biased due to endogeneity or measurement error, so we next describe our
econometric approach to address these issues and more rigorously investigate the relationship
for each year 2001−2008, where yit is the number of racial hate crimes in county i for year t,
Internetit-1 is the number of broadband providers in county i for year t-1, and Xit-1 includes various
specifications, all covariates are lagged by one period to avoid simultaneity biases. In all
To address potential endogeneity issues such as omitted variable biases and measurement
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error in broadband availability, we apply an IV identification strategy on our cross-sectional
using the Slope of the local terrain. This is the same instrument used by Kolko (2012). To be a
valid instrument, slope should directly affect broadband availability and not directly affect hate
crime. The slope instrument identifies cross-sectional variance in the costs to broadband providers
in extending Internet service to an area. As noted by the Government Accounting Office (GAO
2006) and Prieger (2003), terrain features such as slope affect the cost to extend broadband service
in an area. Since much of the cost in providing broadband service comes from the fixed costs in
setting up telecommunications infrastructure, providers would face high cost barriers to deploy
broadband services in areas with steep terrain. This negative relationship is empirically confirmed
in Kolko (2012). In Figure 2, we provide scatter plots of terrain slope (x-axis) and the number of
broadband providers (y-axis), as well as a trend line. Across the years, we observe a consistent
negative relationship between the two variables. Note, however, that the negative relationship
appears weaker in early years and stronger in later years. This suggests that the relationship
between terrain slope and number of broadband providers may vary by year, which we will exploit
The exclusion restriction holds if slope does not have a direct effect on the incidence of
racial hate crime, independent of its relationship with Internet availability. Terrain characteristics
such as slope are unlikely to bear direct effects on hate crime, as these criminal acts are largely
induced by human ideologies, prejudices, and influences. Although there may not be direct effects
on hate crime, the slope of a location may be linked to crime incidence indirectly. Locations with
flat terrains are likely to be urbanized areas that may possess demographic and economic features
associated with higher incidence of crime levels (Glaeser and Sacerdote 1999). To account for
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these effects, demographic, socioeconomic, and crime-related variables mentioned earlier are
included in the first stage regressions as controls.14 In later sections, we describe additional checks
An additional issue we face is that the relationship between hate crimes and broadband providers
may be heterogeneous across locations (Cornwell and Trumbull 1994). Unobserved local
conditions such as the level of racial intolerance, discriminatory cultures and practices may cause
some counties to experience a greater effect from broadband availability on its incidence of hate
crimes. In order to address this issue, we specifically pool racial hate crime data across the years
2001–2008 and use county-level fixed effects models of the following type:
where yit is the number of racial hate crimes in county i in year t, Internetit-1 is the number of
broadband providers in county i in year t-1, and Xit-1 includes various time-varying demographic,
socioeconomic, and crime characteristics of county i in year t-1. The county-level fixed effects Ci
help address the unobserved heterogeneity across counties that may explain the observed
relationship between number of broadband providers and racial hate crime. We include year
dummies Yt to account for temporal shocks such as the occurrence of terrorism that may produce
shifts in racial attitudes (e.g., the September 11, 2001 terrorism incident).
regressions in which we instrument for broadband providers using a variant of terrain slope.
Specifically, we interact the slope values with year dummies to construct instruments that allow
for heterogeneous time impacts on broadband growth. We then include these instruments in IV
14
A correlation table consisting of the correlations of slope and covariates is provided in Online Appendix Table B2.
10
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regressions that follow Equation (2). The approach of utilizing cross-sectional instruments
interacted with time dummies has been used in past research (e.g., Forman and van Zeebroeck
2013, Stevenson 2008), and, we believe, is valid in our setting. Notably, the slope of terrain not
only affects the number of broadband providers in the cross-section, but also influences the growth
rate of broadband providers over time. That is, the number of broadband providers at locations
with steep terrain will increase at a slower rate, compared to areas with flat terrain. Reports have
noted a similar trend in favor of this argument, in that broadband growth has been unevenly
focused on areas that already have broadband capabilities, namely the urban areas, but proceeds
sluggishly in rural and remote areas over the years (OCED 2008). We verify graphically that the
broadband growth patterns within our dataset are similar (see Online Appendix Figure A1).
Alternative specifications are used to assess the IV assumptions and stability of the results. First,
we follow Kolko (2012) and use a first-difference IV model of the following form:
1+𝑦𝑖𝑡+1
ln ( ) = + ln(1 + 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑛𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑡+1 − 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑛𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑡 ) + 𝑋𝑖𝑡 (3)
1+𝑦𝑖𝑡
where the dependent variable is the log change in racial hate crime, the independent variable is the
covariates with the log change in broadband providers, and additional controls (Zit) to account for
local economic growth and crime trends. 15 Whereas the fixed effects specification detailed in
Equation (2) requires us to use slope-year interacted instruments, the first-differences specification
detailed in Equation (3) allows us to use slope alone as an instrument. County-level effects are
15
The choice of variables to be interacted with change in broadband providers follows closely those proposed by
Kolko (2012), including population density, population size, median household income, and college attainment
percentage. Road density is also included as a covariate as per the specification in Kolko (2012).
11
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controlled for in either case, either by differencing out or by including a county-specific intercept.
Thus, the results from Equation (3) will serve to cross-validate the directionality of the results from
Second, we collapse the data set into pre- and post-intervention periods to check whether
our results are sensitive to measurement issues that arise from serially correlated outcomes
(Bertrand et al. 2004). To do this, we supplement the current set of racial hate crime data with that
from 1992 to 1998. We then create a pre-broadband period and a post-broadband period and use
average values of racial hate crimes and broadband providers for each county in each of these two
periods. We also check that the results using this approach are robust to alternate cut-offs for the
definition of pre and post. Finally, we run a large number of robustness tests with additional
controls, alternative functional forms, and outlier removal. Various falsification checks are also
employed to assess whether the main results arise spuriously and to test for the possibility of
alternative explanations.
4. Results
Table 2 reports our IV regression results linking broadband availability to racial hate crime. We
report both the first stage and second stage coefficients in the same table. Across all years, we see
that the slope coefficient is consistently negative and significant in the first stage results, satisfying
the correlation requirement that instruments should have with the endogenous regressor,
conditional on other covariates. This result supports the claims in Kolko (2012) and the negative
trend observed in Figure 2. To assess whether slope suffers from problems of being a weak
instrument, we check the significance of the first-stage F-statistics and find that they are all
12
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significant above the 1% level. We further contrast the F-statistics with the Stock and Yogo (2005)
critical thresholds for weak instruments. Across all years, the F-statistics surpass the critical value,
suggesting that the slope variable does not suffer from weak instrument biases.
Next, we turn to the second stage regression results. We observe that the coefficients for
broadband providers are positive and significant in all years, except in 2001.16 We also note that
the magnitude of the relationship differs across the years. Contrasting the year with the smallest
significant coefficient (2006) to the year with the largest significant coefficient (2002), we see that
a one-unit increase in broadband providers produces a 66.8 and 271.4 percent, respectively,
increase in racial hate crimes, mapping out to 1,176 to 4,779 annual cases of racial hate crime
The regression results also reveal other relationships that are of interest. Poverty, police
staffing, and crime levels appear to be positively correlated with the incidence of racially motivated
crimes, although we find little effect from the rate of unemployment on racially motivated hate
crime, in line with findings in Krueger and Pischke (1997). Locations with higher mean ages
appear to experience more racial hate crimes in general. This trend agrees with the findings of von
Hippel et al. (2000), which reasoned that older individuals are less likely to inhibit innate
prejudices. In addition, employment levels hold a negative but not significant relationship with
racial hate crimes. Finally, the negative relationships between racial hate crimes and proportion of
African Americans and foreign nationals seem to suggest that a larger presence of racial/national
minorities in a community may reduce racial tensions, possibly by introducing greater familiarity
and acceptance.
16
We note that cross-sectional OLS results across the years also produce a similar result (Online Appendix Table B1).
17
A one-unit increase in broadband providers corresponds to an approximately 65% increase in the average number
of providers (1.56). We estimate the annual increase in racial hate crimes by multiplying the percentage increases
(66.8 and 271.4) by the average annual number of racial hate crimes across the study period (1,761).
13
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As a robustness check, we repeat the above analysis for ethnicity hate crimes.18 Given that
a significant proportion of the online hate content contains racial and ethnicity ideologies (SPLC
2009), we expect to see a similar positive relationship between online access and ethnicity hate
crimes. Results for ethnicity hate crimes are provided in Table B3 of the Online Appendix. The
Internet appears to also have a positive effect for ethnicity hate crimes, although the magnitude of
this effect is not as large as that for racial hate crimes. Contrasting the smallest and largest
coefficients, we see that a one-unit increase in broadband provider brings about 15.6 to 188.6
Table 3 gives the results of our fixed effects IV regressions. Model 1 is the IV regression based on
the pooled sample in which we use slope as the instrument along with year fixed effects. In Models
2 and 3, we include slope-year dummies as instruments and add county-fixed effects, respectively.
We further estimate a model that includes additional covariates to reflect the sizes of common
with broadband availability and this relationship is significant under various model specifications.
Of greater importance, we observe that the magnitudes of the interaction terms are generally
increasing over the years; interaction terms for early years (i.e., 2004 and earlier) tend to hold
smaller coefficient values, while those for later years tend to hold larger coefficient sizes. This set
of estimates supports our argument that the slope of terrain affects the rate at which broadband
providers enter into locations over time. The first stage F-statistics are all significant above the 1%
18
Victims of ethnicity hate crimes are targeted as a result of their nationality and cultural heritage. The FBI identifies
ethnicity hate crimes as separate from racial hate crimes.
14
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level and they surpass the critical values indicated by the threshold given by Stock and Yogo
In the second stage results, the estimates for broadband providers are all positive and
significant, suggesting that racial hate crimes increase as broadband availability increases. Results
from Model 3 suggest that a one-unit increase in broadband providers leads to a 21.39 percent
increase in racial hate crimes, which equates to 865 additional annual incidents of racially driven
crimes in the United States. We further find that the estimates for broadband providers in Model 4
remain qualitatively similar after including additional urbanization factors that may correlate with
terrain slope. However, goodness-of-fit for Model 4 performed worse in terms of root mean square
error. Taken jointly, this indicates that the existing framework of covariates and fixed effects in
Model 3 are sufficiently robust in capturing extraneous effects that may affect the exclusion
restriction, without undermining model fit. The over-identification statistics in the full models
indicate that the exclusion restriction of our instruments cannot be rejected at conventional levels,
indicating that the slope-time instrument does not correlate with the error term in the explanatory
equation. We also performed an auxiliary check on the exclusion restriction by regressing racial
hate crimes on the instrument and the abovementioned covariates and find that the instrument is
not correlated with racial hate crimes after controlling for these demographic, socioeconomic, and
We next provide analyses that further explore the nature of the relationship between
broadband providers and racial hate crimes in Table 4. In particular, we consider situations in
which there are indicators that racial and ethnic differences are salient. In line with the Dollard et
situations. We use two state-level variables to identify these situations, and we then split the sample
15
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using the median values of these measures. The level of racism at a location is likely indicated by
the intensity of its racial segregation (Cell 1982). A common racial segregation measure used in
sociology is entropy, which indicates the level of integration or segregation exhibited in a subarea’s
population composition (Massey and Denton 1988).19 Lower levels of entropy reflect lower levels
of racism and vice versa. In fact, Glaeser (2005) writes: “Hatred declines when there is private
incentive to learn the truth. Increased economic interactions with a minority group may provide
that incentive (p. 45).” In addition, we use on an online measure of racial animus, using the volume
of Google search queries that include racially charged language (Stephens-Davidowitz 2014).20
Models 1 and 2 of Table 4 examine the impact of broadband availability split by entropy
scores, and Models 3 and 4 examine the impact of broadband availability split by racially charged
online searches. The results show an interesting pattern. The coefficient on broadband providers
is positive and significant for the areas with above-median segregation and racially charged search,
but not significant for the areas with below-median segregation and racially charged search. Thus,
while increased Internet access leads to an increase in hate crime, on average, there are situations
in which Internet access does not affect hate crime incidence. These findings suggest that the
Internet’s impact on hate crime is not uniform and is predominantly present in areas with higher
racism tendencies.21
19
Gentzkow and Shapiro (2011) use similar indices of segregation to construct measures of ideological segregation.
20
Stephens-Davidowitz creates the index by averaging the counts of searches for racial epithets in each market from
2004-2007. He notes that the racial epithet is typically preceded or followed by search terms including “hate” or
“joke(s).”
21
In additional checks included in the Online Appendix Table B5, we break out locations by high and low proportion
of poverty and employment. These characteristics are chosen for additional focus given prior literature and our results
from the cross-sectional panel. Poverty in particular appears to be a strong moderator of the relationship between the
Internet and hate crime.
16
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5. Robustness Checks
In this section, we investigate the robustness of the main results to a variety of alternative
specifications, models, and other tests. By performing these checks, we hope to rule out as many
alternative explanations as possible. We proceed in several steps. First, as discussed in Section 3.3,
we show that our findings are robust to alternate model specifications. These robustness tests help
to rule out the possibility that our findings arise because of model misspecification. Second, we
show that our findings are robust to a large number of robustness tests with additional time-varying
and time-invariant covariates, as well as to the removal of outliers. These tests help to rule out the
possibility that our findings are biased by omitted variables. Finally, we conduct several tests to
rule out our findings being driven by changes in crime reporting behavior over time or by changes
in hate crime classification over time. Collectively, these tests help to rule out our findings having
arisen spuriously because of other factors that are changing at the same time as broadband
penetration.
As described in Section 3.3, we utilize two approaches to address concerns with potential model
misspecification. First, we cross-validate the coefficient signs and significance using a first
Equation (3). The results in Online Appendix Table B6 show that the broadband provider
coefficient in the first difference specification holds a positive and significant relationship with
racial hate crime trends.22 First stage results also suggest that the slope does not suffer from weak
instrument issues. For the second approach, we adopt the pre- and post-intervention specification
22
The magnitude of the broadband provider estimate in Model 1 of Table B6 is comparable to its equivalent
counterpart (Model 3) of Table 3, lending weight to the validity of the results under the panel IV framework.
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in Bertrand et al. (2004) to assess the stability of the results with respect to serial correlations issues
that may be present in multiple-period panels. Analyses using the collapsed dataset (Online
Appendix Table B7) indicate a positive and significant relationship between Internet availability
and racial hate crime, which provides further confidence in the validity of the baseline results.
We also perform a falsification check using lagged values of racial hate crime to rule out
that the relationship is arising spuriously. A significant coefficient in this check would suggest that
there is some omitted variable that drives the trends in racial hate crimes and broadband expansion
simultaneously, as values of the predictor variable should not be related to past values of the
outcome variable. Under a stricter test, we look for a relationship between racial hate crimes in the
period 1992−1998 and broadband availability in the period 1999−2006. Given limited availability
and accessibility to online hate content in the pre-broadband period, coefficients on broadband
availability are expected to be smaller and nonsignificant. Significant estimates would suggest that
the IV is correlated with underlying location-specific trends in racial hate crimes, which
undermines its exclusion restriction. In addition, these two falsification checks could jointly reveal
potential inflation of estimates that the slope-time instrument creates.23 We find no evidence of
significant correlations between the broadband availability and racial hate crime in both
Next, we explore the robustness of the results to the inclusion of additional or alternate control
variables in order to assuage potential concern about omitted variables bias. Broadband availability
may increase more rapidly in locations that have large population sizes and rapid income
growth─factors that are also known to correlate with crime levels (Glaeser and Sacerdote 1999;
23
In the case where slope-time instrument artificially inflates estimates, we would expect to see significant estimates.
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Levitt 1999).24 In addition to these two factors, racial hate crimes may be driven by the racial
composition of the location, which may be associated with broadband growth due to differences
in the socioeconomic status of these racial groups. To assess the potential impact of this
endogeneity bias on our baseline estimates, we examine the coefficient magnitudes and
significance of broadband providers with respect to the inclusion of population size, median
also run these additional models using non-log model specifications to assess result stability with
models are of comparable magnitudes to the baseline estimate in Table 3 (see Online Appendix
Table B9). Improvements in model fit from including these covariates are marginal, suggesting
that the estimation framework of Equation (2) performs well. Moreover, our results do not appear
to be affected by the log-transformation process which smoothens out skewed data points.
We also check the robustness of our cross-section results after adding additional nontime-
varying covariates such as college attainment proportion, entropy scores, racially charged
searches, and road density, as these variables may correlate with unobserved factors that are related
with slope and crime levels. College attainment levels may affect the intensity of Internet usage
and is also indicative of the population size of young adults, the largest population group who
constitute the group committing hate crimes. Entropy and racially charged search are indicators of
racism that are likely to be correlated to neighborhood segregation patterns. These are added to
control for residential segregation that might result from steep slope features. Road density is a
proxy for transportation costs of a location, which in turn is correlated with the slope of the terrain
24
For instance, the probability of incarceration for committing crimes is lower in places with large populations as the
pool of potential suspects is larger, thereby giving rise to a positive link between population size and crime rates. Also,
families with high household incomes tend to cluster in better neighborhoods with lower crime rates.
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and the ease of accessing target victims in the area. Results remain qualitatively similar even after
Next we remove potential outlier years, which might upwardly bias our main results. The
prevalence of racial hate crimes may reach abnormally high levels in periods experiencing external
shocks. Our dataset includes the period in which the major terrorist attack on September 11, 2001,
took place. Anger, frustration, and fear after a terrorist attack can result in indiscriminate, racially
based attacks on innocent individuals who appear to be of Muslim, Middle Eastern, or South Asian
descent (Kaplan and Moss 2003). We rerun the baseline regression models after removing
observations from 2001 and 2002, and obtain similar result to those in Table 3 (see Online
Finally, we consider the possibility that the positive link between racial hate crime and broadband
availability may be an artifact of heightened levels of crime reporting that coincided with the
hate crime. To this end, we first assess the effect of broadband providers on the likelihood of crime
reporting via a separate dataset constructed through the combination of the National Crime
Victimization Survey (NCVS) and the FCC. 25 These results are provided in Table 5. The
coefficients on broadband providers are not statistically significant, suggesting that broadband
availability does not shift crime reporting behaviors. Thus, it is unlikely that the relationship
between Internet access and racial hate crime is driven by an increase in crime reporting behavior
25
Details of the NCVS dataset and the regression specifics are provided in Online Appendix C.
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We also examine the regression coefficients for additional types of crime (see Online
Appendix Table B12). Aggravated and simple assault are commonly committed forms of hate
crime. A reclassification of these crimes as hate crime via the increased ability to recognize their
inherent bias motivations may result in an artificial spike in hate crime statistics, which may
coincide with the broadband growth trends. However, the coefficient on broadband providers is
not significant, suggesting that crime reclassification is unlikely. We also assess the impact of
broadband providers on alternative crimes that are unlikely to be affected by the growth in
broadband usage. For this, we focus on murder, robbery, and burglary as alternative crimes.26 The
presence of a statistical relationship between the incidence of these crimes and broadband
providers would suggest that the observed relationships in the main results arise spuriously.
However, we find the coefficients on broadband providers are not significant across these
alternative crimes, providing additional confidence that the main results are not spurious.
In Section 4 we provide evidence that increased Internet access leads to an increase in hate crime,
on average, but that there are situations in which Internet access does not affect hate crime
prevalence. The results from Table 4 suggest that the positive relationship between Internet
penetration and racial hate crimes increases in areas with more segregation (higher entropy scores)
and more racially charged search behavior, but that the relationship is not affected by Internet
access in areas with less segregation (lower entropy scores) and less racially charged search
26
According to FBI statistics, most hate crimes manifest through assault, intimidation, and vandalism/property
damage, with very few (if notany) manifesting via murder, robbery, and burglary. Less than 2% of hate crimes fall
under murder, robbery or burglary. Also, the latent risk factors for murder, robbery, and burglary are not known to
have any relationships with Internet availability, unlike other crimes such as rape and other sexual offenses, which are
found to be exacerbated by increased access to online pornography (Bhuller et al 2013).
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behavior. In this section we conduct additional post hoc analyses to uncover the potential
There are several pathways through which the Internet might increase offline hate crime.
We focus our discussion on two potential pathways. First, online hate sites can be used to recruit
individuals to offline hate groups and coordinate group efforts. In fact, both hate group
membership and the number of hate groups increased dramatically during the 2000s (Potok 2010).
Given that Internet usage is highly prevalent among youths, hate groups have utilized specific
strategies for recruiting youths including the use of online membership forms, subscription-based
mailing lists, hate-related music, video games, and other activities on hate sites (Gerstenfeld et al.
2003; Schafer 2002). Internet communications can also help hate groups in the coordination of
their activities by facilitating the interactions between committed group members to discuss
strategies and tactics (Anti-Defamation League 2001). Content analyses of hate websites suggest
a fair amount of grass-roots mobilization (Bostdorff 2004). For instance, the Imperial Klans of
America posted an invitation on the White Camelia Knights’ website to a “Unity Gathering” in
Kentucky. Thus, a potential mechanism through which access to/use of the Internet increases hate
crimes is the enhancement of offline hate group operations through more efficient recruitment and
coordination.
Another major pathway through which access to/use of the Internet might increase offline
hate crime is by advocating for racial based ideologies online and compelling individuals to act on
the hate agenda by carrying out hate crimes on their own, as was apparently the case for Benjamin
Nathaniel Smith. Adams and Roscigno (2005), using text-based analysis of material from six
supremacist websites, find that in addition to recruitment, the texts of these websites advise on
courses of action that one could take. They specifically write that a “relatively new strategy that
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makes these organizations a legitimate threat is the ‘lone wolf’ approach to social action” (p. 771).
In fact, survey responses in our NCVS data revealed that over sixty-four percent of hate crimes in
the United States during the period 2004−2008 were committed by single perpetrators, lending
plausibility to the idea that the mechanism through which the Internet induces more hate crime is
by motivating more individual-based hate crimes (Appendix C). Below, we elaborate potential
ways to further investigate the role of hate group recruitment and lone-wolf attacks in the link
To examine whether use of/access to the Internet increases hate crimes via the enhancement
of offline hate group operations through more efficient recruitment and coordination, we perform
several analyses using hate group data obtained from the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC).27
We use a specification similar to Equation (2) to estimate the relationship between broadband
providers and number of offline hate groups. If the Internet enables hate groups to recruit members
more effectively, we would expect the coefficient on broadband providers to be positive and
significant. Note that this rests on the assumption that the number of hate groups is positively
correlated with the number of members. There is some anecdotal evidence in support of this
assumption (Mulholland 2010), but it is possible that the number of hate groups is uncorrelated
with total hate group membership. Models 1 and 2 of Table 6 analyze the relationship between the
Internet and number of hate groups. The coefficients on broadband providers are negative but
statistically insignificant in both of these models.28 Thus there is little support for the notion that
27
Founded in the 1970s, the SPLC is the leading center in tracking and exposing activities of hate groups. SPLC
provides data on city and state location of hate groups on its website http://www.splcenter.org/get-informed/hate-map.
We obtained historical data on hate group locations using the Internet Archive https://archive.org/.
28
The SPLC has noted an increase in the number of hate groups between 2000 and 2008 (see
http://www.splcenter.org/home/2013/spring/the-year-in-hate-and-extremism). The insignificant result here suggests
that the Internet is unlikely to be responsible for the increase in hate group formation.
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the Internet has led to an increase in offline hate group formation (although it is possible that hate
group membership has increased without the number of hate groups increasing).
Second, we explore the impact of broadband providers on racial hate crimes in areas with
varying levels of hate group presence. Specifically, we contrast the effect of broadband providers
in counties with at least one hate group during the study period to that of counties with no hate
groups in all years of the same period. If the underlying mechanism is that the Internet facilitates
the coordination of attacks by offline hate groups, then we would expect counties with one or more
hate groups to experience a larger effect than counties with no hate groups. Models 3 and 4 of
Table 6 provide results from our baseline specification (Table 3, Column 3) after splitting the
sample into those counties with no hate groups and those with one or more hate groups. The
coefficient on broadband providers is positive and significant in Model 3 (counties with no hate
groups) and negative but insignificant in Model 4 (counties with one or more hate groups). Thus,
it does not appear that hate crime increases more in counties with hate groups.
In order to examine whether hate content motivates lone wolves to engage in hate crimes,
we perform several analyses using additional hate crime perpetrator information obtained from the
FBI. In order to perform this analysis, we obtained the hate crime yearly master records directly
from the FBI. These records contains perpetrator information about the hate crimes committed.29
We proceeded by identifying racial hate crimes that were committed by a single perpetrator versus
those that were committed by more than one perpetrator. The number of perpetrators in the dataset
is recorded by the police officer(s) in charge of the hate crime incident and it denotes the number
of known offenders who are involved in executing the crime. This information is largely derived
29
An email request was made to the FBI to access the master records. Requests can be made via
crimestatsinfo@ic.fbi.gov.
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from the accounts of the victims and the efforts of police investigations. We sum the number of
racial hate crimes committed by single and multiple perpetrators separately by county and year.
We then use each of these counts as dependent variables and replicate the regression specification
in Table 3, Column 3. These results are presented in Columns 5 and 6 of Table 6. When the
dependent variable is the log count of racial hate crimes committed by single perpetrators, the
coefficient on the number of broadband providers is positive and significant, and similar in
magnitude to the main results. When the dependent variable is the log count of racial hate crimes
positive but not significant. To better understand the lone-wolf mechanism, we did a further
investigation via a split-sample analysis to explore the impact of Internet access on the incidence
of racial hate crimes committed by single and multiple perpetrators for locations with high and
low levels of racism. Similar to our previous analysis in Table 4, racism levels are measured by
entropy scores and incidence of racially charged searches. Based on this analysis, we find that the
impact of Internet access largely induces lone-wolf attacks in areas with a high level of racism. In
contrast, racial hate crimes committed by multiple perpetrators do not exhibit any meaningful
patterns by racism levels. These results are reported in Table B14 of the Online Appendix.
In summary, the results in Table 6 provide suggestive evidence that the main result is driven
by the number of single perpetrator acts of hate crime, which is consistent with the explanation
that our results are driven by lone-wolf actors. In contrast, the results of our analyses on the role
of hate groups does not lend much support to the idea that the primary mechanism through which
the Internet increases hate crimes is through the enhancement of offline hate group operations
through more efficient recruitment and coordination. However, additional work is needed in order
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to fully understand what role, if any, hate groups play in mediating the link between the Internet
The Internet, like other information and communications technologies (ICTs), has had both
positive and negative spillovers to society (Kling 1996). In this paper, we study the link between
broadband availability and racial hate crimes. We use slope of terrain as an instrument for the
number of broadband providers and a fixed effects framework to address potential endogeneity
issues. Our results provide evidence consistent with the idea that an increase in Internet access
leads to an increase in racial hate crimes, on average. This increase is most evident in areas with
higher levels of racism, as indicated by more segregation and higher propensity to search for
racially charged words. On the other hand, we observe that Internet access does not have an impact
on racial hate crimes in areas with lower levels of racism. We do not find any evidence that an
increase in Internet access leads to an increase in local hate group formation, and the presence of
a local hate group does not seem to strengthen the link between Internet access and hate crime.
However, Internet access appears to increase the incidence of racial hate crimes committed by
lone-wolf perpetrators. Our findings provide several key insights for academics, policy makers,
and law enforcement officials on the societal challenges related to Internet growth.
First, our study is the first to use a large-scale dataset to empirically quantify the impact of
Internet access on hate crimes─in particular, racially motivated hate crimes. We further show that
reclassification schemes over time. Translating the coefficient estimates from our cross sectional
IV regression to raw counts, the results suggest that a one unit increase in broadband providers
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could lead to between 1,200 and 4,800 additional cases of hate crime per year. We also note that
hate crime has tangible and intangible costs. Tangible costs to victims include property damage,
medical expenses, lost earnings due to injuries, and to society through police protection costs, legal
and adjudication costs, and correction costs (McCollister et al. 2010). Intangible costs of these
crimes involve pain and suffering for the victims, and emotions of fear and anger directed toward
Second, the findings on the moderating impact of racism indirectly support the notion that
Internet facilitates the specialization of individual interests (Van Alstyne and Brynjolfsson 2005).
A heightened effect of online access on racial hate crimes in areas with higher levels of racism
suggests that individuals go online to engage in the construction and affirmation of individual
racial identities (Byrne 2007; Daniels 2009). This finding contributes to the literature on how users
interact with the online medium and the resulting consequences of increased Internet usage (e.g.,
Kraut et al. 1998; Teo et al. 1999; Wellman et al. 2003). In particular, the specialization of interests
allows the Internet medium to amplify the messages, values, and ideas that are posted on it (Earl
and Schussman 2003), which have the opposite effect of promoting the more inclusive, democratic
society that was envisioned by early thought leaders regarding usage of the Internet (Jenkins and
Thorburn 2003).
Third, we find little evidence that increased Internet access facilitates offline hate group
operations (e.g., member recruitment and organizing planned attacks).31 This result is perhaps not
30
These costs can be quite large. The 2011 Norway massacre and 2013 Boston marathon bombing are instances of
bias-motivated crimes linked to online hate materials (Beirich 2014; Bergen and Rowland 2014), that have dire
consequences including multiple deaths, injuries, business disruptions, subsequent copycat terror acts, and social
instability, which can in turn fuel retaliatiatory responses as evidenced in the post-September 11 spike in hate crimes.
NBC reports the financial loss of the Boston bombing to be over $330M (see
http://usnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2013/04/29/17975443-adding-up-the-financial-costs-of-the-boston-bombings).
31
As seen in Table B13 of the Online Appendix, the number of hate groups does not hold a significant relationship
with racial hate crimes at the county-level analysis. Similar results are found when the analysis is conducted at the
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surprising given the mixed evidence linking hate groups to hate crimes. For example, Daniels
(2009) found in her interview studies that while online hate content holds the danger of eroding
ideas and values of racial equality, it is ineffective at recruiting teenagers into hate groups. A
qualitative study on the major white extremist sites reveal that their recruitment efforts are more
reactive than proactive, and are far less aggressive than suggested by the media (Ray and Marsh
2001). Ryan and Leeson (2011) find no relationship between hate groups and hate crime, and
suggest that “hate groups, though populated by hateful people, may be a lot of hateful bluster” (p.
260). As their quote suggests, it is possible that hate groups provide an outlet that serves to
ultimately reduce the number of hate crimes by allowing racists to express their frustrations in less
physical ways (Glaser et al. 2002). Mulholland (2010) finds support for the idea that hate groups
are more likely to form in areas with fewer government services. In these situations, hate groups
serve as a social and/or economic net. On the other hand, there may be reasons to believe that hate
groups do lead to greater hate crime. For example, Dharmapala and McAdams (2005) use a formal
economic model to argue that a desire for fame or esteem may in part drive individuals to commit
hate crimes, and Adamczyk et al (2014) find a positive relationship between hate groups per capita
Fourth, we find some evidence that much of the increase in racially motivated hate crime
is due to an increase in crimes committed by single perpetrators. While further work is needed in
order to fully understand the mechanisms, we believe a fruitful avenue to consider is the role
played by lone wolf, single perpetrators and how Internet communication facilitates the grooming
of these individuals. Spaaij (2010) notes an increasing threat from lone-wolf extremists who carry
state level. This suggests that the null result holds even when accounting for the possibility of individuals travelling
out of local vicinities for organized hate group activities.
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out attacks individually and independently from established organizations. The increase in lone-
wolf attacks may arise partly due to a change in hate group strategy that involves adopting a
leaderless resistance operating model. In this process, racial extremists are employing the Internet
and instructions to spur like-minded individuals in carrying out lone-wolf attacks.32 In particular,
Ray and Marsh (2001) found evidence that all major white-extremist sites have promoted the lone-
wolf mentality to varying degrees. Moreover, an online “Lone Wolf Point System” was instituted
by the racial extremist, Alex Curtis, on his website to encourage and reward individuals who
engage in lone-wolf attacks on victims.33 In addition to these findings, the split sample results
suggest that the impact of online access on lone-wolf attacks tends to be stronger in locations where
there are preexisting levels of racism. In line with the notion of specialization of personalized
interests, it is likely that racially biased individuals tend to self select into the personal consumption
of online content that supports their racial ideologies, which in turn motivate and incite them
toward being lone-wolf extremists. The lack of a distinct pattern for racial hate crimes executed
by multiple perpetrators further suggests that the selective viewing of online hate content is largely
an individual process.
This paper has several limitations. First, given that experimental variation of broadband
availability across counties does not exist, we have to rely on variation generated by instrumental
variables for identification. While the diagnostic checks provide statistical validation of our IV,
future research may wish to explore alternative IVs and verify our findings. Second, while we have
examined two potential mechanisms through which Internet access might affect hate crime,
32
For instance, the White American Resistance has listed lone wolf tactics on its hate site:
http://www.resist.com/Articles/literature/LawsForTheLoneWolfByTomMetzger.htm.
33
Available on http://archive.adl.org/learn/ext_us/curtis.html?LEARN_Cat=Extremism, accessed on June 2, 2015.
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additional research is needed to study each of these mechanisms in greater depth. In addition to
these two mechanisms, future research may wish to explore alternative mechanisms that are
beyond the scope of this study. For instance, our work did not examine micro-level online
interactions that hate crime perpetrators had prior to committing the crimes. Future work may wish
to examine the various online communication patterns involved in the grooming process of racial
extremists. In particular, are offline communications used in conjunction with online media at
some point in time, and do “to-be perpetrators” communicate with the other extremists using more
intimate forms of online communication (e.g., email, site messaging) as opposed to broadcast types
of communication (e.g., forum thread discussions, public poll responses)? Knowledge of the
communication patterns of perpetrators can allow for a better understanding of the online process
of inciting and motivating perpetrators to action. In addition, another alternative mechanism could
be that enhanced Internet access may provide a faster and more voluminous inflow of information
related to the attacks on U.S. troops in foreign countries, which may in turn incite extremists to
perpetrate hate crimes locally. It is important to test such alternative mechanisms as the pertinent
policy implications can be very different from that of increased hate crimes induced by a growth
in online hate propaganda. Finally, forward-looking questions on this topic remain unanswered
due to the nascent nature of technological events. For instance, with the increased use of video and
social networking sites in the last six years,34 will Internet access promote even more hate crimes,
and will this lead to new and sophisticated forms of bias-driven activity?
Our findings also suggest some possible policy implications. By assessing the impact of
Internet access on racial hate crimes over the years, the study results serve to evaluate the early
34
Reuters report that the use of sites like YouTube, Facebook and Twitter by militant and hate groups grew by almost
20% from 2009 to 2010. See http://www.reuters.com/article/2010/03/15/us-internet-hate-
idUSTRE62E40O20100315.
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policies that were erected to keep the effects of online hate content at bay. First, given that online
access continues to exert a positive influence on racial hate crimes despite existing efforts in
monitoring and screening online hate content,35 it is reasonable to infer that these technologically
driven solutions fall short in addressing an issue that is inherently social in nature (Daniels 2009).
(e.g., cloaked websites and implicit messages) could undermine the effectiveness of these
technological solutions.36 Instead of engaging in a technological rat race with extremists, it may
be more worthwhile to incorporate critical multiple literacies of digital media, anti-racism, and
social justice in the education curriculum for youths, so that individual users can be skillful in
analyzing online content, criticizing stereotypes, values, and ideologies, and be competent in
interpreting the multiple meanings and messages found in online media (Kahn and Keller 2005).
Second, the fact that most of the increase in hate crimes is concentrated in areas with a history of
racism, and that there appears to be no impact on hate crimes in areas with lower levels of racism,
implies that policies drawn to combat online hate content would need to consider the peculiar
pattern users take in traversing the Internet. Empowered by online search engines and automatic
filters, Internet users are able to play an active role in choosing information sources to interact
with, making them more likely to seek out content that is aligned with their personal preferences
(Van Alstyne and Brynjolfsson 2005). Given that users are unlikely to seek out online content that
is counter to their viewpoints, strategies aimed at shining light on hate and exposing the lies
35
The FBI has been monitoring websites of hate groups since the early 2000s. See
http://www.firstamendmentcenter.org/fbi-steps-up-monitoring-of-hate-groups-web-sites. Most public libraries and
schools frequented by children use filtering software to screen out hate content from search results (Daniels 2009).
36
Since the monitoring and filtering software can only respond to certain predetermined words or themes, new
websites and social media sites devoted to hate propaganda may not even be identified as such.
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underlying online hate propaganda may have limited applicability.37 As such, findings from this
study suggest a need to consider alternative strategies apart from counter-speech tactics, which
cannot be effectively deployed on the same online medium as hate propaganda. Third, our findings
suggest that efforts directed at identifying and stopping lone wolves might be an effective means
to mitigate the proliferation of hate crimes induced by the Internet. Given that lone wolves can
come from various backgrounds and have widely varying motives for their actions (Spaaij 2010),
a major challenge is to distinguish individuals who intend to commit actual hate crimes from those
who have radical beliefs but stay within the law. The use of big data techniques to search for digital
traces on online hate sites and communities may be an appropriate solution. Going forward, this
motivates the need to develop additional data-driven approaches within the MIS field in order to
harvest and analyze large volumes of texts (e.g., Brynielsson et al. 2013; Cohen et al. 2014), with
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Christopher Wolf, chair of the Anti-Defamation League’s Internet Task Force, listed such a strategy to combat
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2001 2002 2003 2004
4
2
Log (No. of Racial Hate Crimes)
0
-2
0 1 2 3 0 1 2 3 0 1 2 3 0 1 2 3
Log (No. of Broadband Providers)
Figure 1: Relationship between racial hate crimesProviders)
Log (Broadband andthe number of broadband providers
Notes: One-year lagged values of number of broadband providers are matched to racial hate crime observations from the study period (2001 to
2008) to derive this graph. As seen, the positive slope is particularly steep for 2001, the year when the September 11 terrorism incident took place.
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2000 2001 2002 2003
3
2
Log (No. of Broadband Providers)
1
0
0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4
Log (Slope)
Figure 2: Relationship between thenumber of broadband providers and slope
Log (Slope)
Notes: Since one-year lagged values of broadband providers are used in our analyses, we show the graphical correlation between broadband
providers and slope for 2000 to 2007. A trend is apparent in this graph: counties with low slope values (situated on the left side of each cell) are
gaining more broadband providers than counties with high slope values (situated on the right side of each cell) over time. The trend leads to a
stronger negative relationship over the years (i.e., steeper downward-sloping red line), which motivates the use of the slope-year interaction term
as an instrument variable.
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Table 1: Descriptive Statistics (N = 8200)
Variables Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max. Description Source
Dependent Variables:
No. of Racial Hate Crimes 1.718 5.65 0 118.00 Count of crimes with anti-Black, anti-White, anti-American Indian,
FBI
Log (No. of Racial Hate Crimes) 0.477 0.80 0 4.78 anti-Asian and anti-Multiple races biases
No. of Religion Hate Crimes 0.656 3.39 0 79.00 Count of crime with anti-Jewish, anti-Catholic, anti-Protestant, anti-
Islamic, anti-other religion anti-Atheism and anti-multiple religion FBI
Log (No. of Religion Hate Crimes) 0.190 0.54 0 4.38 biases
No. of Sexual Orientation Hate Crimes 0.398 1.69 0 51.00 Count of crimes with anti-male homosexuals, anti-female
homosexuals, anti-homosexuals, anti-heterosexuals, and anti- FBI
Log (No. of Sex. Orientation Hate Crimes) 0.172 0.44 0 3.95 bisexuals biases
No. of Ethnicity Hate Crimes 0.378 1.85 0 62.00 Count of crimes with anti-Hispanic, and anti-other national origin
FBI
Log (No. of Ethnicity Hate Crimes) 0.152 0.43 0 4.14 biases
No. of Disability Hate Crimes 0.036 0.38 0 16.00 Count of crimes with anti-physical disability and anti-mental
FBI
Log (No. of Disability Hate Crimes) 0.018 0.14 0 2.83 disability biases
Demographic Factors:
Population Density 261.86 768.47 0 11999
Population per square mile US Census
Log (Population Density) 4.553 1.33 0 9.39
Population Size 0.124M 0.214M 2068 2.057M
Annual population estimates for counties US Census
Log (Population Size) 10.922 1.21 7.63 14.54
Mean Age 38.189 2.51 29.34 52.80
Average age of population, calculated across different age groups US Census
Log (Mean Age) 3.666 0.06 3.41 3.99
No. of International Migrants 286.85 1002.05 0 15827
Annual inflow of foreign migrants to county US Census
Log (No. of International Migrants) 3.324 2.15 0 9.67
Proportion of African American 0.093 0.13 0 0.80 Ratio of African American to total population US Census
Proportion of Whites 0.879 0.14 0.17 0.99 Ratio of Whites to total population US Census
Proportion of Asians 0.011 0.02 0 0.20 Ratio of Asians to total population US Census
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Socioeconomic Indicators:
Median Household Income 41239 10916 17345 107200
Median household income in each county US Census
Log (Median Household Income) 10.596 0.24 9.76 11.58
No. of People in Poverty 13041 23734 203 407333
Count of people below the poverty level US Census
Log( No. of People in Poverty) 8.732 1.15 5.32 12.92
Percentage of employed individuals out of the employable
Employment Percentage 0.948 0.02 0.86 0.99 BLS
population
Crime-related factors:
No. of Police Employees 279.22 604.24 0 8342
Annual number of staff including police officers in police agencies FBI
Log (No. of Police Employees) 4.653 1.34 0 9.03
No. of Crimes 723.44 1455.75 0 21075
Annual number of crimes reported FBI
Log (No. of Crimes) 5.186 2.01 0 9.96
Information Industry Payroll 79703 278490 0 6.00M Total annual payroll of employees in industry with
US Census
Log (Information Industry Payroll) 8.099 3.70 0 15.61 NAICS code 51 (in $1000)
Finance & Insurance Industry Payroll 181874 677938 0 13.7M Total annual payroll of employees in industry with
US Census
Log (Finance & Insurance Ind. Payroll) 9.831 2.28 0 16.44 NAICS code 52 (in $1000)
Professional, Sci. & Tech. Industry Payroll 189627 703088 0 15.3M Total annual payroll of employees in industry with
US Census
Log (Professional, Sci. & Tech. Ind. Payroll) 9.481 2.72 0 16.55 NAICS code 54 (in $1000)
Administrative and Support Industry Payroll 95713 262142 0 2.69M Total annual payroll of employees in industry with
US Census
Log (Admin. & Support Industry Payroll) 8.720 3.52 0 14.81 NAICS code 56 (in $1000)
Notes. Hate crime data are from the years 2001 to 2008, while the regressors are from 2000 to 2007. Statistics are tabulated at the county-year level for all variables. All log
transformed variables are constructed using log(X+1). Payroll information for each industry sector is used as a proxy to denote the size of each industry for each county.
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Table 2: Cross Sectional IV Regressions for Racial Hate Crimes
Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)
1st stage DV: Log (No. of BB Providers)
-0.012*** -0.032*** -0.051*** -0.057*** -0.042*** -0.080*** -0.042*** -0.057***
Log (Slope)
(0.00) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
0.028*** 0.058*** 0.075*** 0.084*** 0.073*** 0.089*** 0.071*** 0.067***
Log (Population Density)
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.01)
0.101 0.173 -0.311** -0.114 -0.100 -0.075 -0.327*** -0.443***
Log (Mean Age)
(0.08) (0.12) (0.13) (0.14) (0.15) (0.15) (0.12) (0.12)
0.031*** 0.047*** 0.040*** 0.027*** 0.058*** 0.055*** 0.047*** 0.044***
Log (No. International Migrants)
(0.00) (0.01) (0.01) (0.00) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
-0.015 0.143** -0.082 -0.060 -0.176*** -0.158** 0.183*** 0.168***
Proportion of African Americans
(0.04) (0.06) (0.06) (0.07) (0.06) (0.07) (0.05) (0.05)
0.035*** 0.067*** 0.094*** 0.141*** 0.101*** 0.095*** 0.027* 0.034***
Log (No. of People in Poverty)
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.01) (0.01)
1.236*** 3.930*** 2.424*** 3.489*** 2.471*** 2.137*** 1.285*** -0.054
Employment Percentage
(0.42) (0.50) (0.48) (0.49) (0.56) (0.58) (0.47) (0.46)
-0.032*** -0.034** -0.038** -0.044*** -0.031* -0.018 0.002 -0.008
Log (No. of Employees in Police Force)
(0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.01) (0.01)
0.004 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.004 -0.013*** -0.007* -0.011***
Log (No. of Crimes)
(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
2nd stage DV: Log (No. of Racial Hate Crimes)
2.322 2.620*** 1.582*** 1.254*** 1.224** 1.022*** 1.573*** 1.180***
Log (No. of BB Providers)
(1.86) (0.74) (0.43) (0.39) (0.53) (0.27) (0.55) (0.40)
-0.034 -0.131*** -0.063* -0.035 -0.051 -0.052 -0.078* -0.037
Log (Population Density)
(0.05) (0.05) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03)
0.230 -0.239 0.928* 0.787* 0.821* 0.261 0.833* 0.343
Log (Mean Age)
(0.40) (0.45) (0.47) (0.44) (0.42) (0.40) (0.47) (0.45)
-0.005 -0.096** -0.048* 0.009 0.021 -0.013 -0.002 -0.015
Log (No. International Migrants)
(0.07) (0.04) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03)
-0.024 -0.561** -0.309* -0.178 -0.166 0.169 -0.537** -0.331
Proportion of African Americans
(0.16) (0.25) (0.16) (0.16) (0.16) (0.17) (0.23) (0.20)
0.119* 0.041 0.121** 0.038 0.003 0.064* 0.090** 0.085**
Log (No. of People in Poverty)
(0.07) (0.06) (0.05) (0.05) (0.05) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04)
2.487 -5.798* 1.448 -1.127 -2.225 -1.239 -3.607** 0.019
Employment Percentage
(3.16) (3.51) (1.91) (2.03) (1.98) (1.53) (1.67) (1.40)
0.145** 0.174*** 0.104*** 0.112*** 0.125*** 0.131*** 0.098*** 0.139***
Log (No. of Employees in Police Force)
(0.06) (0.05) (0.04) (0.03) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04)
0.024* 0.037*** 0.043*** 0.030* 0.051*** 0.060*** 0.055*** 0.080***
Log (No. of Crimes)
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.01)
Observations 1025 1025 1025 1025 1025 1025 1025 1025
First stage F-statistics 49.319 34.781 37.519 37.338 37.99 38.898 31.285 36.229
Stock Yogo Critical Value 8.96 8.96 8.96 8.96 8.96 8.96 8.96 8.96
Root MSE 0.6424 0.7075 0.6706 0.6609 0.6682 0.6452 0.6963 0.6718
Notes. All models are 2SLS regressions. Robust clustered standard errors are reported in parentheses. All regressors in the second stage are lagged by one period to
avoid simultaneity biases. Following Stock et al. (2002), we report Stock and Yogo (2005) critical values for maximal IV size > 15%. * Significant at 10%; ** Significant at
5%; *** Significant at 1%.
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Table 3: Panel IV Regressions, Baseline Specifications
(1) (2) (3) (4)
1st Stage DV: Log (No. of BB Providers)
-0.049***
Log (Slope)
(0.00)
-0.038*** -0.039*** -0.043***
Log (Slope) * Year = 2001
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
-0.048*** -0.041*** -0.047***
Log (Slope) * Year = 2002
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
-0.052*** -0.042*** -0.051***
Log (Slope) * Year = 2003
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
-0.043*** -0.036*** -0.041***
Log (Slope) * Year = 2004
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
-0.085*** -0.079*** -0.085***
Log (Slope) * Year = 2005
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
-0.060*** -0.053*** -0.062***
Log (Slope) * Year = 2006
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
-0.074*** -0.064*** -0.072***
Log (Slope) * Year = 2007
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
2nd stage DV: Racial Hate Crimes
1.448*** 1.208*** 0.387** 0.332*
Log (No. of BB Providers)
(0.16) (0.16) (0.19) (0.19)
-0.058*** -0.044*** 0.066* 0.063
Log (Population Density)
(0.01) (0.01) (0.04) (0.04)
0.544*** 0.478*** 3.052*** 3.434***
Log (Mean Age)
(0.15) (0.15) (0.97) (1.08)
-0.011 -0.000 0.007 0.009
Proportion of African Americans
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
-0.208*** -0.181*** -0.010 -0.033
Log (No. of People in Poverty)
(0.06) (0.06) (1.78) (2.05)
0.067*** 0.082*** 0.092 0.093
Employment Percentage
(0.02) (0.02) (0.10) (0.10)
Log (No. of employees in Police Force) 0.125*** 0.124*** 0.026 0.055
(0.01) (0.01) (0.04) (0.04)
Log (No. of Crimes) 0.049*** 0.047*** -0.012 -0.005
(0.01) (0.00) (0.01) (0.01)
Year Fixed Effects
County Fixed Effects
Industry Size Controls
Observations 8200 8200 8200 7530
First Stage F-statistics 323.152 45.943 25.687 28.228
Stock-Yogo Critical Value 8.96 11.29 11.29 11.29
Hansen J Statistics - 17.471 6.692 6.755
P-value of Hansen J Statistics - 0.008 0.35 0.344
Root MSE 0.6724 0.6551 0.4199 0.4282
Notes. All models are 2SLS IV regressions. We estimate the baseline specification by incrementally adding slope-year instruments and
county fixed effects in Models 1 to 3. In Model 4, we estimate the basic specification with the addition of industry size covariates, which
are captured by the annual aggregate payrolls of various industries common in urbanized locations. Robust clustered standard errors
are reported in parentheses. All covariates are lagged by one period to avoid simultaneity biases. Following Stock et al. (2002), we
report the Stock and Yogo (2005) critical values for maximal IV size > 15% (for just-identified models) and for relative bias > 10% (for
over-identified models). Demographic controls include population density, mean age, no. of international migrants and proportion of
African Americans; socioeconomic controls include no. of people in poverty and employment percentage; crime-related controls include
no. of police employees and no. of crimes at the county level.* Significant at 10%; ** Significant at 5%; *** Significant at 1%.
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Table 4: Panel IV Regressions, Split Sample Specifications
Low High Low Racially High Racially
Subsample Description: Entropy Entropy Charged Search Charged Search
(1) (2) (3) (4)
2nd Stage DV: Racial Hate Crimes
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Table 5: Effect of Broadband on Crime Reporting Behavior
Logistic Regression
Zero for 1995 and earlier Zero for 1990 and earlier
(1) (2) (3) Time FE (4)
-0.007 -0.004 0.000 0.003
Log (No. of BB Providers)
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
MSA and Year-quarter Dummies
Demographic Controls
Crime-related Controls
Observations 131237 131232 88343 88338
Log Pseudo-Likelihood -86140.36 -78290.00 -58047.85 -52885.21
Notes. The dependent variable is a binary variable denoting whether the respondent reported the crime. In Models 1 and 2,
the broadband providers are imputed with zeros for the years 1995 and earlier. In Models 3 and 4, the broadband providers
are imputed with zeros for the years 1990 and earlier. All regressions include MSA dummies and year-quarter dummies.
Robust clustered standard errors are reported in parentheses. Demographic controls include race, gender, household income,
marital status, and educational attainment of the respondent. Crime-related controls include the crime location and crime type.
Five observations were dropped in Models 2 and 4, as the covariates predicted the outcomes perfectly. * Significant at 10%;
** Significant at 5%; *** Significant at 1%.
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Table 6: Hate Groups and Single vs. Multiple Perpetrator Effects
No. of Hate Groups Log (No. Racial Hate Crimes) Log (No. Racial Hate Crimes)
Log Non-log Counties with Counties with ra Single Multiple
2nd stage DV: Specification Specification no hate groups hate groups Perpetrator Perpetrators
Listed at the top of each column (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
-0.200 -0.042 0.440* -0.070 0.229** 0.043
BB Providers Measure
(0.15) (0.03) (0.26) (0.26) (0.12) (0.06)
Log (Population Density) -0.002 0.040 0.065** 0.047 -0.004 0.013
(0.02) (0.07) (0.03) (0.05) (0.01) (0.01)
Log (Mean Age) -1.694*** -3.848*** 1.572* 4.212** 1.596*** -0.156
(0.54) (1.07) (0.95) (1.82) (0.49) (0.31)
Log (No. International Migrants) -0.003 -0.007 -0.001 0.013 -0.003 0.000
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.00)
Proportion of African Americans -1.476** -1.734 -0.001 -0.541 1.125* 0.257
(0.73) (1.28) (1.49) (3.12) (0.66) (0.42)
Log (No. of People in Poverty) 0.117 0.187 -0.034 0.390** -0.027 0.042
(0.07) (0.12) (0.10) (0.15) (0.06) (0.03)
Employment Percentage 0.106 -0.212 0.066 -2.242* -0.787* 0.404
(0.40) (0.73) (0.85) (1.33) (0.41) (0.26)
Log (No. of Employees in Police 0.000 -0.011 0.002 0.074 -0.004 -0.000
Force) (0.02) (0.03) (0.04) (0.08) (0.02) (0.01)
Log (No. of Crimes) 0.004 -0.000 -0.010 -0.014 0.003 -0.002
(0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.03) (0.01) (0.00)
Year Fixed Effects
County Fixed Effects
Observations 7175 7175 4976 3224 8200 8200
First Stage F-statistics 17.497 42.377 12.244 19.201 18.737 18.737
Stock-Yogo Critical Value 11.12 11.12 11.29 11.29 11.29 11.29
Hansen J Statistics 3.907 1.418 6.226 12.486 2.159 8.865
P-value of Hansen J Statistics 0.563 0.922 0.398 0.052 0.905 0.181
Root MSE 0.2108 0.4192 0.3646 0.4900 0.233 0.1393
Notes. All models are 2SLS IV regressions. Models 1 and 2 are examining the impact of broadband providers on hate group incidence. Model 1 is a log specification
where both the dependent and independent variables are logged; Model 2 is a non-log specification which regresses number of hate groups on number of broadband
providers. Models 3 and 4 examine the effect of broadband providers on racial hate crime across locations without and with hate group presence, respectively.
Models 5 and 6 examine the impact of broadband providers on the incidence of racial hate crimes committed by single perpetrator and multiple perpetrators,
respectively. Covariates used are similar to that in Table 3. * Significant at 10%; ** Significant at 5%; *** Significant at 1%.
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