Module 6: Correlation and Experimentation
Correlation
   ● Correlation: a measure of the extent to which 2 variables change together
   ● Direction
            ○ Positive correlation = 2 variables act the same (↑↑ / ↓↓)
            ○ Negative correlation = 2 variables act differently (↑↓ / ↓↑)
   ● Strength
            ○ Strong correlation = more predictive variables
                  ■ E.g. gal of gas pumped in increases as the $ spent on gas increases
            ○ Weak correlation = less predictive variables
                  ■ E.g. car uses more gas as car color gets darker
   ● Correlation coefficient: a statistical measure of the relationship between 2 variables
            ○ Ranges from -1.0 to +1.0
            ○ Closer to ± 1 = stronger relationship
            ○ Sign depicts direction/slope
            ○ Number/value depicts strength
   ● Scatterplots: a graphed cluster of dots
            ○ Slope depicts direction
            ○ Scatter depicts strength of relationship
   ●   Correlation ≠ causation
            ○ Correlation indicates the possibility of a cause-effect relationship but does not prove it
            ○ E.g. both ice cream sales and murder rates increase during summer, but ice cream does not
               cause murder
   ●   Illusory correlation: a perceived but nonexistent correlation
            ○ When we believe there’s a relationship, we are likely to notice/recall instances that confirm our
               belief
            ○ When we notice random coincidences, we may forget that they are random and instead see
               them as correlated. Thus, we can easily deceive ourselves by seeing what’s not there
Experimentation
   ● Samples should be representative of the population so that researchers can generalize and apply their
       findings to the population
           ○ Representative sample: a sample of a larger group that represents it
           ○ Stratified sample: population is divided into subcategories and a random sample is taken from
               each subcategory
   ● Researchers randomly assign people to a group to minimize any preexisting differences between them
           ○ Experimental group gets the “special treatment”
           ○ Control group doesn’t get the “special treatment”
   ● Variables
           ○ Independent variable: factor manipulated by experimenter
           ○ Dependent variable: factor that may change in response to IV; data
           ○ Both groups get the IV; the difference is the “degrees” of the IV
   ●   Placebo: fake treatment
           ○ Placebo effect: when someone’s mental/physical health appears to improve after taking a fake
               treatment
   ●   Addressing biases
           ○ Single-blind procedure: when participants don’t know what group they are
           ○ Double-blind procedure: when neither participants nor experimenters know which group is which
   ●   Third variable (extraneous variable)
           ○ 2 variables can be related but not bc they cause each other
           ○ Confounding variable: other items that could impact the data
   ●   Validity is the key goal of experimental design
           ○ Construct validity: do the variables represent/measure what they’re supposed to?
           ○ Internal validity: how well constructed was the experiment to control for confounding variables?
           ○ Predictive validity: how well do the variables measured predict other measures of the same
               construct?
           ○ External validity: how well do the results of the experiment translate to other
               settings/participants?
Types of Research Methods
   ● Descriptive
          ○ Observe and record behavior
          ○ Case studies, naturalistic observations, surveys
   ● Correlational
          ○ Detect naturally occurring relationships; assess how well 1 variable predicts another
          ○ Collect data on 2+ variables; no manipulation
   ● Experimental
          ○ Explore cause and effect
          ○ Manipulate 1+ variables; use random assignment