Banking 1.2
Banking 1.2
Johnson, S & Upadhyaya, R 2015, Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector 2000 - 2012. in A Heyer & M King
(eds), Kenya's Financial Transformation in the 21st Century. Financial Sector Deepening Kenya, Nairobi, pp. 17.
Publication date:
2015
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ISBN: 978-9966-093-91-2
Transformation of Kenya’s
Banking Sector, 2000–2012
RADHA UPADHYAYA AND SUSAN JOHNSON
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 17
Authors’ note: The authors would like to thank Mr. Ochieng Oloo of Think Business Ltd and Mr. Ashif Kassam of RSM
Ashvir Ltd for sharing their datasets on the financial statements of banks in Kenya. The authors would also like to thank
participants at the Kenyan Financial Transformation (2006–2014) workshop at FSD Kenya, Nairobi on 13–14 June
2014, and an anonymous referee for useful comments. The views expressed here remain the authors’ own.
1 Harambee and Nyayo were the terms used by the first and second presidents of Kenya, President Jomo Kenyatta and
President Daniel Arap Moi, to capture the philosophy of their leadership.
18 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
The chapter shows that the banking sector in Kenya transformed significantly
during this period, with increased depth, stability and access. The chapter also
shows that the composition of the banking sector changed significantly during
this period. The transformation has been led by local large privately owned
banks that have pursued expansionary strategies, including developing products
for small and medium-sized enterprises and a focus on the ‘unbanked’.
However, the chapter highlights that key challenges remain, including (i)
high interest rate spreads; (ii) a decreasing proportion of lending going to key
economic sectors including agriculture and manufacturing; and (iii) slower
transformation of local small privately owned banks.
The chapter is organised as follows. Section 2 provides a historical perspective
on the banking sector in Kenya, summarising the major changes in the banking
sector from 1896 to 2000. Section 3 analyses the changes that took place in
the banking sector as a whole in the period 2000–2012. Section 4 discusses the
changes in the industry composition and focuses on the segmented nature of
the banking sector in Kenya. It also highlights the rise of local large privately
owned banks and their contribution to increased financial access. Section 5
concludes.2
2 The data sources for this chapter are listed in Appendix 1. For aggregate-level indicators, we have used data that
are publicly available from the World Bank website and the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) website. Data on banks’
financial statements are also publicly available, as banks are required to publish their financial statements quarterly
in the Kenyan press. However, these bank-level data are not available in a database from the CBK website. We have
therefore relied on two companies – Think Business and RSM Ashvir – that collate the publicly available data into
a database and use the data to present annual awards for banks. The dataset was randomly checked against original
bank balance sheets to confirm its veracity.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 19
‘… these banks lent money to the farmers at [interest rates of] anything
from 8 to 10 per cent. When crisis came [after the First World War]
they operated their traditional policy and shut down on credit at the
moment when it was most required. When European farmers were
mortgaged to the hilt and the wages of Africans were at least halved,
these banks remained woefully prosperous. Throughout the crisis the
Standard Bank of South Africa did not declare a dividend of no less
than 10 per cent… A good deal of property as well as money passed
into their hands during these years. Organised to take money out of the
colony, there is little evidence that the banks have proved adventurous
in promoting industrial development in Kenya.’ Aaronovitch and
Aaronovitch (1947, p. 177)3
Interestingly, the restriction of credit by the three banks led to pressure on
the government to relieve the heavily indebted white farmers. The colonial
government established the Land Bank in 1931 as a source of alternative
credit. However, it has been observed that the private banks benefited more
3 Emphasis added.
20 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
than farmers, as 39% of the funds of the Land Bank were used to discharge
existing mortgages with private banks and therefore did not increase the total
availability of credit (Aaronovitch and Aaronovitch, 1947).
4 The establishment of the EACB in 1919 led to the introduction of the East African florin in 1920 and the East
African shilling in 1922. Prior to that, the currency of use in East Africa was the Indian rupee, due to centuries-old
trade connections between India and East Africa. However the fluctuations in the value of the rupee in relation to
sterling during the First World War led to the establishment of the EACB (Central Bank of Kenya, 1976). The Board,
operating through commercial banks, issued shillings at a fixed exchange rate of 20 East African shillings for every
£1. The Board had all its assets in UK securities and all its currency issues had to be fully backed by foreign exchange
(Hazlewood, 1979).
5 The first three banks to be established during the colonial period were regulated by the Banking Ordinance of 1910.
This Act was repealed and replaced by the Banking Ordinance of 1956, which specified for the first time minimum
capital requirements for banks and established a Registrar of Banks with power to license banks. The minimum
capital was set at 2 million East African shillings (approximately US$0.28 million).
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 21
Note: It has not been possible to get a breakdown of these figures between the three East African countries (Kenya,
Uganda and Tanzania).
Source: Engberg (1965).
It has been documented that the banks tended to be very conservative, applying
credit standards set by their head offices that were not realistic in the extremely
under-developed countries in which they were operating (Engberg, 1965).
The unwillingness of banks to extend credit led to a situation in the 1950s
where there was an export of capital from the under-developed periphery to
the developed metropole (Maxon, 1992).
The second important point to note is that the safety of the deposits held by the
branches of the main banks did not depend on the quality of assets of these
banks in East Africa, but was linked to the capital and reserves of the parent
banks overseas. Therefore, when large withdrawals of deposits took place in
1955, 1960 and 1963, the banks were able to use the inter-bank borrowing
facilities of their London head office (Abdi, 1977). This point is crucial to keep
in mind for our discussion below on segmentation – foreign banks had already
established a reputation as ‘safe banks’ before independence.
On 30 June 1963, on the eve of independence, there were nine banks operating
in Kenya.6 Table 2 lists these banks.
6 The financial sector also included three private NBFIs: Diamond Jubilee Investment Trust established in 1946;
Credit Finance Corporation established in 1955; and National Industrial Credit established in 1959. In addition,
there were two private housing finance companies: Savings and Loans established in 1949; and East African Building
Society established in 1959 (Central Bank of Kenya, 1972, 1986). Though it has not been possible to find the exact
figures for the asset bases of these financial companies at independence, it would be reasonable to assume that they
were very small compared to the banks. These NBFIs were restricted from raising deposits and were also single
branch institutions.
22 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
Notes: It has not been possible to establish the exact size of these banks in terms of asset base in 1963. However,
Barclays D.C.&O. was the largest in terms of asset size (Onyonka, 1968, quoted in Maxon, 1992).
Source: Engberg (1965) and Central Bank of Kenya (1986).
7 Diamond Jubilee Investment Trust was set up by members of the Ismaili community (a sub-community of the Asian-
African community) to commemorate the Diamond Jubilee (60th anniversary) of leadership of His Highness Aga
Khan III of the community.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 23
8 In the 1970s, Standard Bank became Standard Chartered Bank Ltd and Barclays Bank D.C.&O changed its name to
Barclays Bank International Ltd, both becoming wholly owned subsidiaries of the parent banks in London (Central
Bank of Kenya, 1976).
9 This was part of the resource mobilisation and ‘Africanisation’ strategy of the government discussed below. The
purchase of National and Grindlays Bank was on a willing seller, willing buyer basis. In 1968, the Ottoman Bank
was taken over by National and Grindlays Bank. Then in 1970, an agreement was reached between National and
Grindlays Bank and the government. The bank was split into an international bank in which the government took a
40% share, and the local branch system of the bank, renamed Kenya Commercial Bank, in which the government
took a 60% share. The remaining shares were quoted on the London and Nairobi stock exchanges, respectively
(Hazlewood, 1979).
10 The loans-to-deposit ratio in 1969 was even lower than the 1963 figure of 77%.
24 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
2.4 Nyayo: The rise of indigenous and political banks – 1980 to 1990
When President Kenyatta died in 1978, he was succeeded by President Moi,
who was from the Kalenjin community. The watchword chosen by Moi for
his presidency was Nyayo (meaning ‘footsteps’), emphasising continuity with the
11 ICDC was originally incorporated in 1954 as Industrial Development Corporate (IDC) to assist and encourage
medium- and large-scale investment in the industrial sector. In 1973, IDB was set up as a subsidiary of ICDC.
However, ICDC, DFCK and IDB had overlapping and duplicating roles (Grosh, 1991).
12 It should be noted that this ratio is different from the private credit-to-GDP ratio, as it includes public as well as
private lending and also includes liquid assets which are not lent out.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 25
13 See Table 3. It should be noted that it has been difficult to get data on the exact number of banks that opened and
closed each year. In particular, it has been difficult to establish the exact number of banks in 1983 prior to large
number of bank failures in 1984. Therefore, these trend figures do not capture the full details of the movements in
the number of banks.
14 From 1963 to 1980, the minimum share capital for banks remained KSh2 million and the minimum share capital of
NBFIs was KSh500,000 (Brownbridge, 1998). See Table 4 for a list of capital requirements of the Central Bank of
Kenya from 1956 onwards.
15 This policy was reversed in 1993, as will be discussed below.
16 The Banking Act is Chapter 488 of the Laws of Kenya; the Central Bank of Kenya Act is Chapter 491 of the Laws
of Kenya (see www.centralbank.go.ke).
26 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
and budget deficits, and was forced into undertaking structural adjustment
policies recommended by the IMF and the World Bank (Ngugi, 2000).17
The banking system was repressed according to the McKinnon-Shaw
hypothesis, as interest rates up to the early 1980s were low and negative in
real terms (Mwega et al., 1990). It was acknowledged that:
‘it had been official policy in Kenya since independence to follow a ‘low
interest rate policy’ in order to encourage investment and to protect the
small borrower.’ Central Bank of Kenya (1986, p. 54)
The main structural adjustment policy relating to the financial sector was a
gradual increase in interest rates, and real lending rates of banks increased
from -2.5% in 1980 to 9% in 1990 (Brownbridge, 1998).
The rapid rise of financial institutions, very poor regulation, shifting political
economy trends and also declining economic growth resulted in the failure of
12 banks between 1984 and 1989 (see Table 3). In December 1989, nine of
these banks were taken over by the government to form the Consolidated Bank
(Ngugi, 2000).18 A more detailed discussion on the reasons for bank failures,
in particular the political economy shifts, is presented below. In 1989, there
was a major amendment to the Banking Act and Central Bank of Kenya Act
establishing stricter guidelines for the licensing of institutions and establishing
single borrower limits (Nasibi, 1992). 19 In 1989, the Deposit Protection Fund
Board was also established to compensate small depositors in case of bank
failures. This institution also assumed responsibility for liquidating failed banks
(Nasibi, 1992).
This section has shown that the banking sector in Kenya immediately prior
to full-scale liberalisation in the 1990s was fragile. Despite the increase in the
number of financial institutions to 94 in 1990, the M2-to-GDP ratio and the
loans-to-deposits ratio of banks remained constant throughout the 1980s at
about 30% and 80% respectively. Furthermore, the ratio of total financial
17 The main external factor was the oil price shocks of 1973 and 1979 and the key internal factor was the drought of
1979 and 1984 (Ngugi and Kabubo, 1998). From an average rate of 7.1% (mentioned above), GDP growth fell to
3.9% in 1980 and then to a low of 0.8% in 1984, but grew again to 5% by 1989.
18 These are Union Bank, Jimba Credit Corporation, Estate Finance, Estate Building Society, Business Finance,
Nationwide Finance, Kenya Savings and Mortgages, Home Savings and Mortgages, and Citizens Building Society
(Nasibi, 1992; Brownbridge, 1998).
19 The Central Bank of Kenya Act was only tinkered with from 1969 to 1984. In 1985, it was overhauled. The key
amendments were that first, applications for the license of banks had to go through the CBK and not directly to
the Minister of Finance; second, minimum capital requirements were increased to KSh15 million; and third, single
borrower limits were set at 100% of share capital (Central Bank of Kenya, 1986). See Table 4 for a list of changes to
capital requirements through the years.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 27
institutions’ assets to GDP rose only marginally from 40% in 1980 to 41.6%
in 1989 (Central Bank of Kenya, 1986; Ngugi, 2000).20
20 Ngugi (2000) argues that this is because the M2/GDP figure does not take into account assets and liabilities of NBFIs.
She shows that NBFI assets as a percentage of GDP grew from 12.1% in 1980 to 22% in 1984, but dropped again
to 14.5% in 1989, while bank assets as a percentage of GDP were constant at around 28% throughout the decade.
However, she does not give a figure of the loan-to-deposit ratio of NBFIs. It is estimated that the M3-to-GNP ratio
increased from 38% in 1973 to 45% in 1985 (Mwega et al., 1990).
21 It should be noted that in Kenya, the clamour for liberalisation was not only external. Leaders of the private sector,
including several chairmen of the Kenya Association of Manufacturers (the principal manufacturing and trade
lobby group), were calling for a deregulation of interest rates and commodity prices (Nasibi, 1992). Though it
should also be noted that there were differences in positions between export-oriented manufacturers, such as textile
manufacturers, who opposed the liberalisation and import-oriented manufacturers who lobbied for the liberalisation.
22 The references to the McKinnon-Shaw hypothesis are explicit. The objectives of financial liberalisation were stated
as:
‘to encourage mobilisation of savings and contribute to the maintenance of financial stability...and to ensure
that funds flow into those areas which are most productive, and that the biases which have existed against
lending to small business are eliminated.’ Central Bank of Kenya (1988, p. 18), quoted in Kariuki (1995,
p. 6).
28 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
1993, peaked at 85% in July 1993, and then dropped steadily but remained
still very high at 44% in December 1993.23
This liberalisation of interest rates and exchange rates provided further avenues
for local banks to compete with more established banks, and was an added
stimulus for local bank entry (Brownbridge, 1998; Ndung’u and Ngugi, 1999).
While the 1980s witnessed the rise of African (mainly Kikuyu) banks, the late
1980s and 1990s witnessed the rise of several African (Kalenjin) and Asian-
African banks.24 By the mid-1990s, it is estimated that local banks controlled
about a quarter of the market (Brownbridge, 1998).25 Table 3 shows the growth
in the total number of financial institutions from 1990 to 1993. The total
number of banks grew by 67% and the total number of NBFIs by 13%.
Banks 9 14 17 24 40 37 53 53 49
NBFIs 3 8 20 53 60 44 19 15 5
Building
2 2 2 17 11 6 6 4 4
Societies
Total 14 22 39 94 111 87 78 72 58
Source: Engberg (1965); Brownbridge (1998); Central Bank of Kenya (2000a, 2003, 2005).
23 Data for Kenyan GDP growth rates, inflation rates, exchanges rates and T-bill rates from 1990–2005 are displayed
in Appendix 7.
24 The Asian-African community is a new label of identity used by people of Indian origin who settled in Kenya (Asian-
African Heritage Trust, 2000). This community is often also referred to as Kenyan-Asians, East African-Asians or
South Asian-Kenyans.
25 It has not been possible to get disaggregated data at the segment level on banks’ assets for the periods before 2000.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 29
26 President Moi did not contest the December 2002 elections and in 2003, President Mwai Kibai became the third
president of Kenya as head of NARC (the National Rainbow Coalition), a coalition of parties of which the two
largest were the NAK (National Alliance Party of Kenya) and LDP (Liberal Democratic Party of Kenya).
27 The single borrower limit is aimed at reducing exposure to one borrower. The previous limit of 100% meant that a
single non-performing loan to one borrower could wipe out the entire capital of a bank.
30 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
1956–68 2 0.28–0.28
1968–80 2 0.28–0.27
1980–82 5 0.67–0.46
1982–85 10 0.92–0.61
1985–92 15 0.91–0.41
1992–1999 75 2.07–1.37
The Central Bank of Kenya also passed regulations allowing the establishment
of credit registries. The legislation was tabled in Parliament in 2006 and
passed as a Bill in 2008. In 2009, the first company – Credit Reference
Bureau Africa Limited – was licensed to operate a credit reference bureau
and began operations in July 2010. In 2011, a second company, Metropol
Credit Reference Bureau Limited, was licensed.
As will be seen below, following the introduction of these guidelines and the
high levels of provisioning undertaken by banks, non-performing loans have
fallen.
The Central Bank of Kenya also brought in regulations that enabled innovation
in the banking sector, in particular regulations on agent banking enacted in
2011. Agent banking is an arrangement by which licensed institutions (banks
and microfinance banks) engage third parties to offer specified banking services
on behalf of the institution. In Kenya, agent banking is governed by the
Prudential Guideline on Agent Banking (CBK/PG/15). As will be seen below,
this has enabled banks to increase access to finance throughout the country.
28 The minimum capital requirements were stipulated in Kenyan shillings and remained constant during each of the
periods. The dollar value fluctuates depending on the exchange rate and the values quoted are for the beginning and
end of the period.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 31
In the rest of this section, we discuss general trends in the financial sector in
Kenya, focusing on depth, efficiency, stability and access.
29 The causal nexus between savings and growth has also been questioned, with some economists suggesting that the
causation may run in the opposite direction – from growth to savings; see Mavrotas (2005) for a summary of the
debates.
32 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
20
15
Percent
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
45
40
35
30
Percent of GDP
25
20
15
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
60
50
40
Percent
30
20
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: Authors’ calculations from the World Bank Financial Sector Database (2000, updated 2009, 2012 and 2013).
34 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
Figure 4 displays the trend in banking sector efficiency. Interest rate spreads
and interest rate margins are the most common measure of bank inefficiency.
The spread is often thought of as a ‘premium in the cost of external funds’
introduced due to informational and enforcement frictions (Gertler and Rose,
1994; Honohan and Beck, 2007).30 The lower the margin and the spread, the
higher the efficiency of the banking system. It should be noted that there is a
difference between bank-level efficiency and overall banking system efficiency.
In using management theory, a more efficient bank would have higher margins
and higher profitability. At an economy-wide level, however, theory suggests
that in a competitive banking system, these profits should be competed away
and hence lower margins and lower spreads are a sign of overall efficiency of
the banking system.
14
12
10
Percent
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
The figure shows that the net interest margin increased from 6.43% in 2000
to 8.17% in 2011, and hence efficiency has worsened. Interest rate spreads
decreased from 14.24% in 2000 to 7.8% in 2005, but have remained steady
since then. In 2012, the interest rate spread was about 8.15%.31 This is the key
intractable issue in the banking system. There is agreement amongst economists
and policymakers that the interest rate spread in Kenya is high. Theory predicts
that countries with greater financial depth have lower interest rate spreads,
30 The net interest margin is the accounting value of a bank's net interest revenue as a share of its interest-bearing (total
earning) assets.
31 Interest rate spread calculated as the difference between the lending rate and the deposit rate.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 35
yet Kenya has achieved an increase in depth with a relatively minor decrease
in spreads (World Bank, 2013). However, two recent papers have highlighted
that the determinants of interest rate spreads in Kenya are still debated. While
some authors argue that the unstable macro environment, including exchange
rate volatility, contributes to the high spread (World Bank, 2013), others have
argued that macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and inflation
are not useful in explaining high spreads (Were and Wambua, 2013). Both
studies emphasise the role of internal factors such as overhead costs and high
profitability, and both indicate that the larger banks in Kenya enjoy a higher
spread. We will discuss later in this chapter the segmented nature of the
banking system in Kenya, as this partly explains why despite the increasing
depth of the banking sector and reduced concentration, interest rate spreads
still remain high.
The profitability of the banking sector (as measured by return on assets and
return on equity) has been steadily increasing (except for dips in 2002 and
2008). Figure 5 shows that return on assets (ROA) increased from 0.8% in
2000 to 3.5% in 2011, and return on equity (ROE) increased from 14.2%
in 2000 to 23.09% in 2011. Again, this shows that despite the reduction in
concentration and the increase in competition, sustained interest rate margins
and spreads have meant that banks are able to maintain high profit margins.
4.0
25
3.5
Return on assets (percent)
3.0 20
2.5
15
2.0
1.5 10
1.0
5
0.5
0.0 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Figure 6: Banking sector capitalisation and liquidity, 2000, 2005 and 2012
45
42% 42% 42%
40
35
30
25
Percent
23%
20% 20%
20 17%
17% 17%
16% 15%
15 14% 14%
12%
10 8% 8%
0
Total capital/risk Core capital/risk Core capital/total Liquidity ratio
weighted assets weighted assets deposits
Figure 7 shows that the key improvement in the banking sector in Kenya
between 2000 and 2012 was the large reduction in non-performing loans
(NPLs). The NPL ratio fell from an average of 37% in 2000 to 5% in 2012. This
can be attributed to the stricter regulatory regime that was put in place after
2000, the introduction of credit reference bureaus and consistent economic
growth over the period.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 37
35
30
25
Percent
20
15
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Another study, which carried out stress tests on the Kenyan banking sector
using data from 2007 and 2008, suggests that the banking sector is resilient
to shocks such as an increase in bad debt provisions by 50% and a reduction
in performing loans by 50%. However, the extreme shock of an increase in
provisions by 100% would lead to 17 banks failing to meet the minimum capital
standards (Beck et al., 2010).32 Furthermore, as the global financial crisis of
2008 showed, high liquidity in a banking system can be an illusion that can
quickly dry up if all banks become illiquid at the same time (Davidson, 2008;
Nesvetailova, 2010). While this may not be a concern for the moment, it
may become more important as the Kenyan banking system becomes more
integrated with the regional and global banking systems.
32 Data used to stress test the banking system are not in the public domain and therefore we cannot repeat these tests.
38 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
the adult population totally excluded from financial services declined to 25.4%
in 2013 from 31.4% in 2009 and 39.3% in 2006 (CBK and FSD Kenya, 2013).
Table 6 shows that bank access increased by 64% between 2006 and 2013.
On the supply side, the increase in outreach can be assessed by looking at the
availability of access points and the uptake of accounts. For access points, two
common measures are bank branches and ATMs, while for accounts the key
measure is the number of deposit accounts. In the period for which data are
available (from 2004 to 2012), there was a marked increase in bank branches
and ATMs both in terms of numbers and geographic coverage (see Figure 8
and Figure 9).
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 39
10
Number per 100,000 adults
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
ATMs
Source: IMF Financial Access Survey (various years).
3.5
Number per 1,000 sq km
2.5
1.5
0.5
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Commercial bank branches
ATMs
Source: IMF Financial Access Survey (various years).
During the same period there was also a six-fold increase in the number
of deposit accounts – from 2.5 million accounts in 2005 to 17.6 million
accounts in 2012 (Figure 10). This growth significantly exceeded the growth
in population, with the number of deposit accounts per 1,000 adults therefore
increasing from 50 to 662. As we will discuss in Section 4, this growth has
mainly come from the large private banks.
40 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
16,000
14,000 500
12,000
400
10,000
300
8,000
6,000 200
4,000
100
2,000
0 0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Figure 11: Contribution of sectors of the economy to GDP in 2000, 2005 and
2012
30 28.4
25.9
25 23.8
20
Percent of GDP
15
10.3 10.5
9.2
10
5.2
5 3.5 3.4
0
Agriculture sector Manufacturing sector Financial sector
Figure 12: Changing structure of lending to different sectors in 2000, 2005 and
2012 (percentage of total lending)
30
25 24.6
21.4
19.8
20 18.9
16.3
Percent
10 8.7 8.6
8.3 7.8
4.9 5.2
5 3.9 3.8
3.3
0
Agriculture Manufacturing Financial Household Real estate Trade
services
large privately owned banks segment. However, segmentation has not been
completely eroded, and this partly explains structural features such as the
persistent interest rate spread.
We use the same definition for segments used in Upadhyaya (2011) – foreign-
owned banks (FOBs), government-owned banks (GOBs), large private locally
owned banks (LPOBs), and small and medium private locally owned banks
(SPOBs). 33 Foreign- and government-owned banks are classified as such if
foreign or government shareholding is more than 50%.34 Privately owned
banks are classified as LPOBs or SPOBs based on an economic measure – the
asset size of the bank. Banks with total assets of KSh50 billion (approximately
US$580 million) or more are classified as LPOBs.35 This definition is based on
the convention used by bankers in Kenya. The definition recognises that banks
are segmented along both ownership and size lines. Furthermore, both size
and ownership affect the perceived reputation of banks in the market, which
affects their ability to raise deposits.36 Key data points used are 2000, 2005 and
2012. The year 2000 is used as a starting point as data at the bank level are
not available before then; 2012 is used as the end point as 2013 data were not
available at the time the analysis of this chapter was initiated; and 2005 is a
key middle point as significant transformation of the banking sector took place
after this date, with Equity Bank converting from a building society in 2004.
the SPOB segment, there were 18 banks controlling 15.4% of the market. This
stark difference means that the concentration ratio (discussed above) reveals
little about the true nature of competition in the banking sector.
SPOB
15% FOB
33%
LPOB
35% GOB
17%
2000–
2000 2005 2012 2005 2012
2012
The key change that has occurred is the rising share of the LPOB segment
and the falling share of both the FOB and GOB segments (see Figure 14).
In 2000, the LPOB segment controlled 19.7% of total assets in the banking
sector. This grew to 30% in 2005, and 34.5% in 2012.38 The FOB segment
steadily lost its share, from control of 43.6% of the market in 2000 to 32.8%
in 2012. Similarly, the GOB segment also saw its share fall from 25.5% in
2000, to 18.4% in 2005, to 17.3% in 2012. The SPOB segment, meanwhile,
managed to marginally increase its share from 11.2% in 2000 to 15.4% in
38 The number of banks in this segment has fallen as one bank was taken over by a bank in the FOB segment and two
other banks were moved to the SPOB segment because they no longer met the classification criteria.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 45
80 19.7%
30.0%
70
34.5%
60
SPOB
25.5%
Percent
50 LPOB
18.4%
40 17.3% GOB
30 FOB
20 43.6% 40.4%
32.8%
10
0
2000 2005 2012
Source: Authors’ calculations from bank financial statements.
39 It should be noted that before 2000, banks followed different reporting standards and therefore financial statements
are not comparable.
40 Cost of funds is calculated as interest on customer deposits plus interest on borrowed funds divided by total deposits
plus borrowed funds.
46 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
Core capital/
total risk- 27% 32% 23% 20% 25% 18% 30% 26%
weighted assets
Total loans/total
40% 48% 53% 56% 50% 59% 52% 58%
assets
Government
securities/total 117% 91% 26% 50% 38% 27% 31% 42%
loans
Total loans/total
58% 64% 153% 76% 82% 77% 158% 77%
deposits
Total NPLs/total
9% 4% 46% 8% 16% 6% 28% 8%
loans
3% 3%
3
2.5%
Percent
2.2%
1.9%
2
1%
1
0%
0
2000-2005
2012
2000-2005
2012
2000-2005
2012
2000-2005
2012
15
10
0
2000-2005
2012
2000-2005
2012
2000-2005
2012
2000-2005
2012
FOB FOB GOB GOB LPOB LPOB SPOB SPOB
Source: Authors’ calculations from bank financial statements.
branch network and strong reputation, had a cost of funds of only 1.7% and
Citibank had a cost of funds of 3.7%. UBA Bank and Bank of Africa, both
new entrants to the markets and banks that are headquartered in West Africa,
had very high costs of funds in 2012 of 9.72% and 9.48%, respectively. This
may reflect their lack of reputation in the market.41
Overall, it can be said that the FOB segment maintains a significant if falling
share of the market. The segment also changed between 2000 and 2005,
as there is more diversity within this segment with some new entrants. The
discussion shows that even within the FOB segment there is variation of
performance based on size, length of presence in Kenya and location of the
parent bank, all of which affect the reputation of the banks.
41 It can be hypothesised that these smaller FOB banks are not viewed by the market as foreign-owned banks but small
privately owned banks.
42 Refer to the historical section above for explanation of sources of high NPLs.
43 This was partly due to a change in government policy whereby it is no longer mandatory for government parastatals
to keep funds in government-owned banks.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 49
44 Again there are differences within this segment. Equity Bank, with its large branch network, has a cost of funds of
2.9% and I&M Bank has a cost of funds of 7.9%.
45 Refer to Appendix 3 for the changing shares of specific banks in the LPOB segment.
50 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
lower than for FOBs but higher than for GOBs and LPOBs. However, banks
in this segment still experience difficulties. They are not conservative, with a
total loan/total assets ratio and a total loans/total deposits ratio very similar
to the LPOB segment. However, with a ROA of 1.9%, this segment has the
lowest ROA and the highest cost of funds. Overall, this shows that the SPOB
segment still faces significant barriers in terms of competing with banks in other
segments. Their inability to exert competitive pressure on the other segments
has implications for increasing access to financial services, and partly explains
the persistence of high interest rate spreads in Kenya. While there have been
changes in the nature of the segmentation of the banking sector in Kenya, it
has not been completely eroded.
Note: This represents the proportion of the adult population reporting that they are currently using a bank in the
segment, it does not take account of multiple account use in the same sector. Respondents may also have an account
in a different sector.
Sources: Authors’ calculations from FinAccess surveys
Table 10 lists the top five banks and highlights changes in outreach between
2006 and 2013. It shows that while the largest increase in outreach can be
attributed to Equity Bank, Co-operative also increasing its outreach. Postbank
lost out to the competition (it do not offer loans) and KCB expanded its
outreach marginally.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 51
Supply-side data also reflect the fact that the increase in access, as discussed
above, has been driven by the LPOBs, one GOB (KCB) and one SPOB (Family
Bank) (see Figure 17). It should be noted that the agency banking model has
been key to allowing banks to increase access to finance. As at December 2012,
there were ten commercial banks that had contracted 16,333 active agents
facilitating over 38 million transactions valued at Ksh195.8 billion (Central
Bank of Kenya, 2012).47
Since these data were collected, the Commercial Bank of Africa (CBA) has
grown considerably in outreach through its M-Shwari product embedded
into M-PESA. Recent data indicate that CBA has some 5.6 million deposit
accounts, compared to Equity Bank’s 7.4 million, with an average account
balance of Ksh16,000 compared to Equity’s average balance of Ksh21,445.
However, CBA’s number of loan accounts (879,000) now exceeds that of
Equity Bank (840,000) (Ngigi, 2014b). Loan sizes are likely to be much lower,
however, given M-Shwari’s loan limit of approximately Ksh8,000, and costs
are high at 7.5% per month. This is revolutionary in the low-end market,
although the actual profile of borrowers remains to be established. However,
CBA’s enforcement mechanisms for these loans are currently weak and it
reported in January 2014 that it had blacklisted 140,000 clients (16%) with
credit bureaux (Ngigi, 2014a).
46 Data for individual banks in the 2009 dataset are not consistent with other years and we therefore do not present
them here. Nevertheless, the data for the segments, which combine a number of banks, appear consistent and have
therefore been presented.
47 The CBK does not provide a breakdown of the number of agents per bank. However, the three banks with the
largest agent networks are Equity Bank and Co-operative Bank (in the LPOB segment) and Kenya Commercial Bank
(in the GOB segment).
52 Kenya’s Financial Transformation in the 21st Century
16,000
14,000
Number of accounts (’000)
12,000
SPOB
10,000
FOB
8,000
GOB
6,000 LPOB
4,000
2,000
0
2006 2008 2010 2012
Source: Central Bank of Kenya supervision reports (various years).
5 Conclusions
This chapter has traced the evolution of the banking sector in Kenya from 2000
to 2012. It shows that at the macro level, there has been significant progress in
terms of increased financial depth, reduced concentration, increased stability
and increased access. However we note three main areas of concern: the
low savings rates, the lack of credit to key sectors of the economy including
agriculture and manufacturing, and the high interest rate spread and margin.
At the micro level, we focus on the evolution of four different segments of
the banking sector – FOBs, GOBs, LPOBs and SPOBs. It had been noted
in 2005 that the first three banks to be established in Kenya (between 1896
and 1910) remained the three dominant banks (Upadhyaya, 2011). Of these
three banks, two were in the FOB segment and one was in the GOB segment.
The analysis shows that there was a significant change in the strength of the
segments between 2005 and 2012. Banks in the LPOB segment gained ground
and managed to overcome the reputation barriers they faced in 2005. This
can be mainly attributed to the phenomenal rise of Equity Bank, but other
banks in the LPOB segment also increased or maintained their share of the
market. This reduction in the historical dominance of the FOBs and GOBs
is the positive story of the banking system in Kenya.
Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 53
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Transformation of Kenya’s Banking Sector, 2000–2012 59
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Ecobank FOB 7
TOTAL INDUSTRY 43
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