YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

WELCOME TO

POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

The first full week of the 2019 NFL exhibition season is here, and Point Spread
Weekly has it covered. Our feature story breaks down each team’s various
situational records. Aaron Rodgers and the Pack, along with Philadelphia, look
to extend league-best 9-1 SU & ATS records at home over the last 5 years.
Elsewhere, Matt Youmans and Jeff Fogle share their own twists on how the
sharps will be approaching the upcoming NFL slate.

Speaking of NFL, next week the 2019 VSiN NFL Betting Guide arrives. If you
loved the college guide, it is a must have, loaded with key stats, trends, and

PAGE 6
editorials, plus previews and predictions from VSiN’s staff of experts.

Elsewhere in PSW issue #50, you’ll find a story on Sunday’s AFL championship.
I’ve put together a betting history of the Arena Bowl, complete with game logs
and key betting trends.

On page 3, guest columnist Jimmy Vaccaro has returned from Pittsburgh to

PRESEASON
rejoin the team at South Point. He missed Vegas, and he shares some details
about his recent journey with us.

Dave Tuley’s Takes, Brady Kannon’s golf breakdowns, Ian Cameron’s previews
of CFL action, and Lou Finocchiaro’s look at Fight Night 156 round out our
editorial offerings. SITUATIONAL
ANALYSIS FOR ALL
Now let’s cash some tickets this week!

Steve Makinen @SteveMakinen

32 NFL TEAMS
Editor, steve@vsin.com

CONTENTS

PAGE 16
3 EVERYBODY IS IN LOVE WITH SPORTS BETTING
4 TULEY’S TAKES: NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1
14 NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 STRENGTH RATINGS
18 NFL PRESEASON IN FULL PADS THIS WEEK
19
19
WEEK 9 CFL ANALYSIS AND A BEST BET
CFL WEEK 9 STRENGTH RATINGS FACT, NOT
20
21
ARENA BOWL XXXII STRENGTH RATINGS
BETTING HISTORY OF THE ARENA BOWL OPINION: SHARPS
22
23
ARENA BOWL HISTORICAL GAME LOGS
MLB TEAM REPORT DO BET THE NFL
25
26
STEVE MAKINEN’S WNBA STRENGTH RATINGS
FEDEXCUP PLAYOFFS TAKE FLIGHT PRESEASON
27 CONSUMER ENERGY 400
28 INSIGHT THE OCTAGON: UNDERHOOK IN URUGUAY
29 STRENGTH RATINGS TUTORIAL

DATABASE CREATIVE COO

EDITOR MANAGER DIRECTOR VSiN
STEVE MAKINEN JASON LATUS MATT DEVINE BILL ADEE
CONTRIBUTING WRITERS AND EDITORS: Matt Youmans, Dave Tuley, Jonathan Von Tobel, Amal Shah,
Wes Reynolds, Bruce Marshall, Greg Peterson, Brady Kannon, Lou Finochiarro, Vinny Magliulo, Jeff Fogle,
Jimmy Vaccaro, Mitch Moss, Ron Flatter, Ian Cameron, Jeff Cogliandro, Paul Howard, Brent Musburger and
Mike Tierney
photos by USA Today Sports Images

2 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

BY JIMMY VACCARO

EVERYBODY IS IN LOVE
WITH SPORTS BETTING When I left in January,
Michael Gaughan joked
not see it here at the South Point. Michael is old school and
he’s not going to change.
and said, “You’ll be back.”
When I was a kid running around here, you had to keep
The only place I would ever your ears and eyes open because it’s a changing business.
consider leaving Las Vegas
for was Pittsburgh, because At 73 years old, turning 74 in October, nobody can hit it
it’s 22 miles from Trafford, better than I did. This is a major part of my life. I was always
Pa., and my family. Going involved with this stuff. I came to town at the right time. It’s
back was just like old times. hard to say no to Michael, who opened the door for me in
I had a lot of time to spend 1975.
with my cousins and close
friends, and I enjoyed it Michael is the only owner who keeps as much interest in
immensely. the sportsbook as he does in the rest of the casino. The
sportsbook is very important to him. It’s marketing, too.
I went to work for the Rivers Casino with the expectation There’s no doubt the South Point’s gets a lot of ink.
that I might be there for a long time. But like with most every
business, things change. And I’m old school and they are Michael said, “You can come back anytime you want.” But
new school, so it didn’t work out. Departing was a mutual he wanted me back by Aug. 1 for football.
agreement. It was a cordial goodbye.
The thing we didn’t know was with Chris Andrews and his
But I’m really looking forward to this year -- year No. 45 for health issues. I speak to Chris every day and we’re hoping
me in this business. for the best. He’s in for a fight and he understands this. It will
at least be the middle of October before Chris comes back.
We are seeing a metamorphosis of sports wagering across The kids are running the book. Chris checks in almost daily
the country. and he’s feeling good.

Why it took all these years, I don’t know. No senators would I truly enjoy the football season. The rest of the year I
listen to me in 1985. I am glad to at least be a part of it really don’t care much for, except March Madness. For this
while it’s happening nationwide. old-timer, I can’t wait for football. I love college football 10
times more than the NFL. There’s more intrigue in college.
Within three to five years, there will be 30 to 35 states If you tell me you can beat the NFL, you’re a genius. In the
offering sports betting. Arizona will be up and running in the NFL, 10 percent of the teams will overachieve, 10 percent
near future. Each state can make its own rules, and I think will underachieve and the other 80 percent will be within a
some states wanted to see how others do for a year. It’s field goal.
only the beginning.
I like what I do here and I enjoy being on the VSiN
The Rivers paid a $10 million fee to get in Pennsylvania shows. People like the shows because they are devoted to
and operate sports betting. It has a beautiful place. The gambling. It’s good for everybody.
sportsbook is 100 yards from Heinz Field, where the Steelers
play. It’s a new era with a new way of doing business. I When I was in the Rivers sportsbook, I would get questions.
welcome it. Three that everybody asked me: How was VSiN? How is
Brent Musburger? Is Pauly Howard really crazy?
This I can tell you — and I think this old timer is right on this
— whatever you think it’s going to be, it will be three times It’s 50 hours from Pittsburgh to Reno on the train. I was on
bigger. What you see now is nowhere near what it’s going one that was delayed because boulders fell in the Rocky
to be because everybody is in love with sports betting. Mountains. There was a rock slide, and the conductor said
we can’t go because there’s a boulder on the track. We sat
I got a real strong perspective of the new way of doing there for four hours. It took awhile to get here, and it’s great
business. The major change is the use of kiosks, and they to be back.
are everywhere and they are growing. There were 12 kiosks
and four windows with ticket writers. The Rivers plans to I’m back going to the spa every day and I just had lunch
have 18 kiosks, and I told them that might be a low number with Nick Bogdanovich, Richie Baccellieri and Jeff Whitelaw.
on Saturdays and Sundays. The young kids are used to the I’m going to give away a lot of the South Point’s money this
gadgets. At all these places, the signups are through the year.
roof and the young people are getting involved.
I will be here every day. I don’t take any days off, because
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but in three years you I’m crazy.
might see two writers and the rest will be kiosks. You might

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 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

BY DAVE TULEY @VIEWFROMVEGAS

TULEY’S TAKES: NFL

PRESEASON WEEK 1
We hope everyone is enjoying the new VSiN
broadcast schedule, which we here at the Tuley’s
As I wrote last week: “With the offensive explosion
this season and most teams having over-.500
Takes home office believe is a great way to keep records with the 1st Inning Yes, it’s been getting
up with news affecting the odds and point spreads, increasingly harder to find value on those bets with
and complementing the handicapping here in Point books jacking up the vig.” So that’s why the vast
Spread Weekly as well as recapping all the action. majority of my plays lately have been on the 1st
Inning No. Those four series wrap up Wednesday,
Personally, I’ve found myself bouncing all over so I’m planning to play those again in round-robin
the place on a daily basis in trying to continue parlays (and straight when I have a 20-cent edge
handicapping baseball (especially my addiction on the true-odds vig). What does that mean? Let’s
to 1st Inning Yes/No wagers) while also getting take Monday’s Royals-Red Sox game for example.
ready for NFL Preseason Week 1 and also keeping Coming into the game, the Royals were hitting at a
an eye toward the “real” Week 1 lines and the 58-percent clip with the 1st Inning Yes with the Red
futures markets as well, so this column will have Sox at 52.2 percent. Combined, they were around
some back-and-forth to it as well as we look at this 55 percent, so the true-odds vig should have been
week’s betting menu. around Yes -125. However, the books had the
Yes juiced at -185 with the No at +165 (when the
First of all, let’s start with the NFL as it’s still king true-odds vig should have been around +125, or a
when it comes to sports betting. I didn’t make 40-cent edge in my book).
an official pick on the Hall of Fame Game last
Thursday (nor did I bet the Broncos -2.5), but Looking ahead, several weekend series start
I’m hoping anyone who did decide to bet it took Thursday and again I’m expecting there to be
my note about Falcons coach Dan Quinn’s poor more value on the “No” and I’m eyeing these four
preseason record as a sign to either take the matchups: Yankees-Blue Jays (certain to be juiced
Broncos or pass. Granted, it was a coin-flip result high), Braves-Marlins, Padres-Rockies (1st Inning
down to the final seconds of the Broncos’ 14-10 Yes always jacked up at mile-high altitude), Braves-
victory and could have gone either way, but it was Marlins and Phillies-Giants. There is one matchup of
a winning start to the football season for those Yes teams – Cubs at Reds – that I hope isn’t juiced
tracking coaches’ preseason tendencies. too high (-150 would be my limit).

We’ll have a look at those situations in NFL Let’s get back to the NFL, but before going over
Preseason Week 1 in a few paragraphs, but I also the Preseason Week 1 card, I want to address a
want to recap my 1st Inning Crack plays in last question I’ve been getting asked a lot lately. It
week’s PSW. I certainly hope more readers were usually goes something like this:
following along last Wednesday when we went 4-0
with our four recommended “1st Inning No” plays: “With your success with NHL 1st Period Over/
Dodgers-Rockies around +170, Diamondbacks- Unders and now with MLB 1st Inning Yes/No bets,
Yankees around +105, Giants-Phillies around +120 are you planning to handicap NFL (or NCAA) 1st
and Twins-Marlins around -115. If you played those Quarter wagers?”
four in straight bets, you profited nearly 5 units;
the four-team parlay paid around 18/1; and a The short answer is “No.” If you care for an
$100 round-robin by 3’s (meaning four separate explanation, it’s comes down to the fact that I don’t
three-team parlays using those combinations) cost consider the opening quarter of a football game
$400 and paid more than $4,200 (guess how as having what I call a natural conclusion. For
I played it?). The rest of the weekend wasn’t as instance, after the 1st period of a hockey game,
profitable as my suggested plays went 4-8 though I the teams skate off to the locker room. In baseball,
hit another four-teamer on my birthday last Friday the home team is trying to score and the road team
with alternate plays after seeing the daily Yes/No is trying to keep them from scoring before getting
lines, but Monday was another good day as I went three outs and then switching for the second inning.
3-1with four more “1st Inning No” plays: Royals- Even at halftime of football games, you have the
Red Sox, Yankees-Orioles, Nationals-Giants and teams trying to score or prevent the other team
Phillies-Diamondbacks (the lone loser). from scoring before heading to the locker room.

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 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

Now compare those to the end of the first quarter if they get to +3. Note: a lot of people will tell you
of a football game. There’s no urgency to score “the key number of 3 doesn’t mean as much in the
because the only thing that changes at the end of preseason because coaches try to avoid overtime
the quarter is the teams switch sides of the field. and a lot more games end on 1 or 2;” however, if
There’s no real advantage to scoring on the last games are landing on 1 or 2, that still makes +3
play of the first quarter vs. the first play of the valuable. Just sayin’.
second quarter. In fact, you’ll often see teams run
off the last 39 seconds or less of the first quarter Another Thursday game impacted by a head
so the QB can meet with his coaches on the coach’s preseason record is the aforementioned
sideline for an uncharged timeout. Believe me, it’s Quinn as the Falcons are 3.5-point road underdogs
frustrating to have a 1st Quarter bet on a team at the Dolphins. Normally, a team with a game
(let’s say they’re trailing 7-3) or a 1st Quarter Over under its belt is usually shaded a few extra points
10.5 points wager and your team decides to wait against a team making its preseason debut (see
until the 2nd Quarter to run another play. There’s Denver only +1 at Seattle), but with everyone
enough uncertainty and randomness in sports fading Quinn, the lowly Dolphins (though they
betting that I try to avoid situations where I’m even have a starting QB battle with Ryan Fitzpatrick vs.
more at the mercy of decisions of coaches/players Josh Rosen) are favored by more than a field goal.
that aren’t in line with what I’m cheering/betting It’s still not enough to get me to back the Falcons,
for (since we’re being a little esoteric here, you can so I’ll pass.
see how this is part of my “dog or pass” philosophy
as I don’t like betting a favorite to cover a spread Speaking of Seattle, Pete Carroll (35-17-1 ATS)
when the coaches/players’ primary goal is just is another coach that puts a priority on winning
winning the game and not by a certain margin). in the preseason and the Seahawks are between
1- and 2-point home favorites over the Broncos.
Takes for NFL Preseason Week 1 That’s tempting to lay such a short price, however,
As we wrote here last week (and also referred I’m probably going to pass as the Broncos have a
everyone to my VSiN colleague Matt Youman’s game under their belt, so that kinda negates any
article and then I’m guessing most of you have edge for Carroll.
at least heard the clips from handicapper Chuck
Edel’s appearance on “Follow the Money” with Moving to Friday, I do like the fact the Vikings are
Mitch & Pauly), the key to success in betting the now 3-point road dogs at New Orleans. A lot of
NFL preseason is in looking at the head coaches’ people are high on the Saints this year (and bettors
records that tell the priority they put on winning probably liking that Teddy Bridgewater is getting
these otherwise meaningless games, plus their to play against his former team), but Minnesota
game plans that they often discuss openly in coach Mike Zimmer is 14-7 ATS, so I’ll gladly take
interviews and at press conferences as well as QB the Vikes +3.
rotations.
On Saturday, the Chiefs opened as high as 5-point
Now, I’m going to back off of that a bit and point home favorites over the Bengals and Cincinnati has
out the fact that the oddsmakers know all of this, been getting more action than the very popular
too, so the next level of handicapping/betting Chiefs. That’s probably due to all the chatter about
the preseason is to decide when to follows those Andy Reid being 4-13-3 ATS in NFL Preseason
strategies and when the oddsmakers are charging Week 1 as a head coach and 1-4-1 ATS since
too high of a premium and you’re better off moving to KC. I would still recommend taking the
passing on a game (or even bucking the trend if Bengals +3.5. Also Saturday, the Cowboys are
they’re offering too much value on the other side). 3-point road dogs at San Francisco partly due to
Dallas coach Jason Garrett’s preseason record
Everyone seems to know by now that Baltimore’s being 10-20-3 ATS. I’ll pass on fading him as I’m
John Harbaugh is the best long-term preseason not going to lay -3 with the 49ers.
coach at 30-15 ATS and 18-3 ATS since 2014, so
books opened the Ravens between -3 (Westgate) To sum up, Tuley’s Takes for NFL Preseason Week
and -4.5 (South Point and William Hill) over the 1: Jaguars +5 or higher at Ravens, Bills +2.5 or
Jaguars in their preseason opener Thursday. So, higher (hoping for +3) vs. Colts, Vikings +3 or
guess what? Bettors still laid the inflated line and it higher at Saints, Bengals +3.5 or higher at Chiefs.
was up to -5 at Westgate & Caesars Palace as of
late Tuesday afternoon. I had a great preseason Personally, I usually start off the preseason betting
last year thanks to Harbaugh, but I’m planning to about four games a week and keep betting if it’s
fade this move – would really love if it continues to going well (like last year). If I start cold, I’ll back
steam to Jaguars +6 – as no preseason line should off and just watch to research for the upcoming
be this high. regular season, so we’ll see how it goes.

In other Thursday games, it’s rare to see a road Good luck with however you choose to play
team favored in the preseason, but the Colts have these games. The preseason is beatable, but let
been bet from pick ‘em to 2.5-point road favorites the bettor beware that if you just go along with
at the Bills (Why? Probably because everyone is all the other bandwagon jumpers, you might get
talking about how Indy head coach Frank Reich “steam”rolled.
was 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS last year). Gimme the Bills

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PRESEASON
SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS
FOR ALL 32 NFL TEAMS
BY STEVE MAKINEN @STEVEMAKINEN
Handicapping the NFL preseason is an entirely different animal from the regular season. In short, some
teams and franchises care more about winning than others. Some want to establish a winning attitude, others
just want to avoid injuries at all cost. Knowing the motivation of every team and coach is critical to success in
betting exhibition games. In my opinion, there is no more important factor.

One of the easiest ways to show the difference between teams’ interest level in the preseason is to analyze
their situational records. Of course, this can change -- sometimes quickly -- as coaching and personnel moves
can have a great affect. But in general, knowing these performance records and employing them in your
betting strategy works as a blueprint for exhibition success.

The difference in how franchises approach these games can be dramatic. The Cowboys, for example, have
long been a team that could just as soon do without these games, while the Seahawks, on the other hand,
try to maintain a winning culture in August.

Below this list of 15 top situational spots for NFL preseason teams over the L5 years, you will find the
situational records and schedules for all 32 teams. This should prove to be a handy reference guide for
betting games over the next four weeks. Enjoy the analysis and the action as we gear up for the games that
truly count.

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 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

15 NFL Preseason Top Situational Spots to Look for in 2019

1. LA RAMS are 0-5 SU & ATS in Week 4
Jeff Fisher wasn’t shy about sharing his disdain for the preseason, and his strategy in the last game of each
exhibition season was to simply avoid any catastrophe that would impact the beginning of the regular
season. It may be early in Sean McVay’s coaching tenure there, but in his first two week 4 games, his teams
have been outscored 52-10.

2. GREEN BAY & PHILADELPHIA are 9-1 SU & ATS at home

The Packers and Eagles have been the league’s best home teams in the preseason over the L5 seasons. Both
organizations have great home environments fueled by passionate fans, and it’s no mistake that the players
get a boost from this even when the game stakes aren’t high.

3. INDIANAPOLIS is 1-6 SU & 0-7 ATS at favorite

The Colts are on a streak of seven straight ATS losses when favored. Expecting a team to win when it doesn’t
really care all that much is dangerous.

4. BALTIMORE is 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS as underdog/pick em

Coach John Harbaugh has seen consistent success in the preseason. One of the Ravens’ best spots has
been in the underdog role, where they have won nine of their L10 against the spread. There’s a reasonable
chance they will be underdogs in Weeks 3 and 4.

5. DENVER is 14-5 SU & 13-5 ATS vs. NFC foes

The Broncos won their 14th game in 19 tries versus NFC opponents in the Hall of Fame Game against
Atlanta. The rest of the 2019 schedule includes the entire NFC West Division.

6. ATLANTA is 3-8 SU & 2-9 ATS after SU loss

Dan Quinn has demonstrated that he cares very little about the results in the preseason. Otherwise, you
would expect to see a better reaction to losses. This trend will be in play already this week at Miami after
Atlanta dropped the Hall of Fame Game to Denver last Thursday.

7. OAKLAND is 2-8 SU & 1-8-1 ATS in Weeks 2 & 3

The middle week games of the preseason are supposed to be the closest to “dress rehearsal” games, most
closely resembling regular season effort, and Oakland has struggled in these contests.

8. SEATTLE is 7-3 SU & ATS in Weeks 3 & 4

Simply put, Pete Carroll takes the preseason seriously, particularly in the later weeks when he hopes the
team will be trending in the right direction.

9. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 SU & ATS vs. NFC

This one is fairly hard to explain, but for whatever reason, the Bucs have struggle both SU & ATS versus NFC
opponents. Tampa plays just one such game in 2019, in Week 4 on the road at Dallas, which is already a
tough spot to begin with.

10. CAROLINA is 6-0 SU & 5-0 ATS after SU loss

It’s been incredibly predictable with the Panthers under Ron Rivera. When they win in the preseason, they
usually follow it up with a stinker, and vice versa. Rivera doesn’t like to see the momentum go too far in
either direction in the preseason

11. NEW ORLEANS is 3-7 SU & ATS in its L10 at home

As opposed to the regular season, the Saints’ home-field advantage in the preseason is minimal. New
Orleans’ two home games in 2019 are in Weeks 1 & 4.

12. DALLAS is 1-9 SU & 2-7-1 ATS in its L10 games away from home
The Cowboys only win of this group is when they beat the Cardinals in the 2017 HOF game. Otherwise this
franchise doesn’t seem to give one iota about what happens when they hit the preseason road.

13. MINNESOTA is 9-2 SU & ATS and the NEW YORK GIANTS are 8-3 SU & ATS on the road
Both of these franchises have played their best exhibition football on the road, most often in the underdog
role

14. CLEVELAND is 15-4 UNDER the total since 2014 in the exhibition season
This is going to be an interesting trend to watch in 2019, as the Browns’ offense looks to be much improved,
and they are playing to lofty expectations. However, totals might also be higher than usual.

15. KANSAS CITY is 4-1 SU & ATS in Week 4

The Chiefs under Andy Reid have seemed to stress heading into the regular season with momentum and that
includes winning in the exhibition finale. This year’s final game is a tough task at Green Bay however.

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 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

Team-by-team Preseason Schedules & Situational Records (since 2014)

ARIZONA CARDINALS BUFFALO BILLS
2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: vs. Los Angeles Chargers Week 1: vs. Indianapolis Colts
Week 2: vs. Oakland Raiders Week 2: at Carolina Panthers
Week 3: at Minnesota Vikings Week 3: at Detroit Lions
Week 4: at Denver Broncos Week 4: vs. Minnesota Vikings
Situational Records (since 2014) Situational Records (since 2014)
All Games: 9-12 SU & 10-9 ATS All Games: 7-14 SU & ATS
Totals: 11 OVER - 10 UNDER Totals: 7 OVER - 14 UNDER
at Home: 4-6 SU & ATS at Home: 3-7 SU & ATS
on Road/Neutral: 5-6 SU & 6-3 ATS on Road/Neutral: 4-7 SU & ATS
Week 1: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 1: 1-4 SU & ATS
Week 2: 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS Week 2: 3-2 SU & ATS
Week 3: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 3: 1-4 SU & ATS
Week 4: 2-3 SU & 2-2 ATS Week 4: 2-3 SU & ATS
as Favorites: 5-6 SU & ATS as Favorites: 3-7 SU & ATS
vs. AFC: 6-9 SU & 6-8 ATS as Underdogs: 4-7 SU & ATS
as Underdogs: 4-6 SU & 5-3 ATS vs. AFC: 3-4 SU & ATS
vs. NFC: 3-3 SU & 4-1 ATS vs. NFC: 4-10 SU & ATS
After SU Win: 3-4 SU & 4-3 ATS After SU Win: 1-4 SU & ATS
After SU Loss: 4-5 SU & 4-4 ATS After SU Loss: 6-5 SU & ATS

ATLANTA FALCONS CAROLINA PANTHERS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 0: vs. Denver Broncos (Canton, OH) L 10-14 Week 1: at Chicago Bears
Week 1: at Miami Dolphins Week 2: vs. Buffalo Bills
Week 2: vs. New York Jets Week 3: at New England Patriots
Week 3: vs. Washington Redskins Week 4: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 4: at Jacksonville Jaguars Situational Records (since 2014)
Situational Records (since 2014) All Games: 12-8 SU & 10-9 ATS
All Games: 7-13 SU & 6-14 ATS Totals: 12 OVER - 8 UNDER
Totals: 6 OVER - 14 UNDER at Home: 6-4 SU & 5-5 ATS
at Home: 5-5 SU & 3-7 ATS on Road/Neutral: 6-4 SU & 5-4 ATS
on Road/Neutral: 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS Week 1: 3-2 SU & ATS
Week 1: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 2: 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS
Week 2: 1-4 SU & ATS Week 3: 2-3 SU & 1-3 ATS
Week 3: 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS Week 4: 3-2 SU & ATS
Week 4: 3-2 SU & 1-4 ATS as Favorites: 8-4 SU & 6-5 ATS
as Favorites: 5-4 SU & 3-6 ATS as Underdogs: 4-4 SU & ATS
as Underdogs: 2-9 SU & 3-8 ATS vs. NFC: 12-8 SU & 10-9 ATS
vs. AFC: 6-12 SU & 5-13 ATS After SU Win: 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS
vs. NFC: 1-1 SU & ATS After SU Loss: 6-0 SU & 5-0 ATS
After SU Win: 1-3 SU & ATS
After SU Loss: 3-8 SU & 2-9 ATS CHICAGO BEARS
2019 Preseason Schedule
BALTIMORE RAVENS Week 1: vs. Carolina Panthers
2019 Preseason Schedule Week 2: at New York Giants
Week 1: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Week 3: at Indianapolis Colts
Week 2: vs. Green Bay Packers Week 4: vs. Tennessee Titans
Week 3: at Philadelphia Eagles Situational Records (since 2014)
Week 4: at Washington Redskins All Games: 10-11 SU & 11-10 ATS
Situational Records (since 2014) Totals: 10 OVER - 11 UNDER
All Games: 18-3 SU & 17-3 ATS at Home: 5-5 SU & 4-6 ATS
Totals: 8 OVER - 12 UNDER on Road/Neutral: 5-6 SU & 7-4 ATS
at Home: 9-1 SU & ATS Week 1: 2-3 SU & ATS
on Road/Neutral: 9-2 SU & 8-2 ATS Week 2: 4-1 SU & ATS
Week 1: 5-0 SU & ATS Week 3: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 2: 4-1 SU & 3-1 ATS Week 4: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 3: 4-1 SU & ATS as Favorites: 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS
Week 4: 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS as Underdogs: 7-7 SU & 9-5 ATS
as Favorites: 10-1 SU & 8-2 ATS vs. AFC: 8-10 SU & 9-9 ATS
as Underdogs: 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS vs. NFC: 2-1 SU & ATS
vs. AFC: 5-0 SU & 4-0 ATS After SU Win: 4-4 SU & 3-5 ATS
vs. NFC: 13-3 SU & ATS After SU Loss: 4-5 SU & 6-3 ATS
After SU Win: 13-1 SU & 12-1 ATS
After SU Loss: 1-2 SU & ATS

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 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

CINCINNATI BENGALS DENVER BRONCOS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: at Kansas City Chiefs Week 0: Atlanta Falcons [W 14-10 at Canton]
Week 2: at Washington Redskins Week 1: at Seattle Seahawks
Week 3: vs. New York Giants Week 2: vs. San Francisco 49ers
Week 4: vs. Indianapolis Colts Week 3: at Los Angeles Rams
Situational Records (since 2014) Week 4: vs. Arizona Cardinals
All Games: 10-10 SU & 11-9 ATS Situational Records (since 2014)
Totals: 7 OVER - 12 UNDER All Games: 14-6 SU & 13-6 ATS
at Home: 5-5 SU & ATS Totals: 9 OVER - 11 UNDER
on Road/Neutral: 5-5 SU & 6-4 ATS at Home: 5-5 SU & 4-5 ATS
Week 1: 3-2 SU & ATS on Road/Neutral: 9-1 SU & ATS
Week 2: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 1: 4-1 SU & ATS
Week 3: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 2: 3-2 SU & ATS
Week 4: 2-3 SU & 3-2 ATS Week 3: 4-1 SU & 3-1 ATS
as Favorites: 4-4 SU & ATS Week 4: 3-2 SU & ATS
as Underdogs: 6-6 SU & 7-5 ATS as Favorites: 6-4 SU & 5-4 ATS
vs. AFC: 3-7 SU & 4-6 ATS as Underdogs: 8-2 SU & ATS
vs. NFC: 7-3 SU & ATS vs. AFC: 1-1 SU & ATS
After SU Win: 4-4 SU & ATS vs. NFC: 13-5 SU & 12-5 ATS
After SU Loss: 3-4 SU & 4-3 ATS After SU Win: 7-4 SU & 6-4 ATS
After SU Loss: 3-1 SU & ATS
CLEVELAND BROWNS
2019 Preseason Schedule DETROIT LIONS
Week 1: vs. Washington Redskins 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 2: at Indianapolis Colts Week 1: vs. New England Patriots
Week 3: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 2: at Houston Texans
Week 4: vs. Detroit Lions Week 3: vs. Buffalo Bills
Situational Records (since 2014) Week 4: at Cleveland Browns
All Games: 9-11 SU & 11-9 ATS Situational Records (since 2014)
Totals: 4 OVER - 15 UNDER All Games: 11-9 SU & 10-9 ATS
at Home: 4-6 SU & ATS Totals: 8 OVER - 12 UNDER
on Road/Neutral: 5-5 SU & 7-3 ATS at Home: 6-4 SU & 5-5 ATS
Week 1: 2-3 SU & 3-2 ATS on Road/Neutral: 5-5 SU & 5-4 ATS
Week 2: 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS Week 1: 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS
Week 3: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 2: 1-4 SU & 1-3 ATS
Week 4: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 3: 3-2 SU & ATS
as Favorites: 4-6 SU & ATS Week 4: 3-2 SU & ATS
vs. AFC: 0-2 SU & ATS as Favorites: 6-3 SU & 4-5 ATS
as Underdogs: 5-5 SU & 7-3 ATS as Underdogs: 5-6 SU & 6-4 ATS
vs. NFC: 9-9 SU & 11-7 ATS vs. AFC: 10-7 SU & 9-7 ATS
After SU Win: 4-2 SU & ATS vs. NFC: 1-2 SU & ATS
After SU Loss: 3-6 SU & 4-5 ATS After SU Win: 3-5 SU & 4-3 ATS
After SU Loss: 4-3 SU & 3-4 ATS
DALLAS COWBOYS
2019 Preseason Schedule GREEN BAY PACKERS
Week 1: at San Francisco 49ers 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 2: at Los Angeles Rams Week 1: vs. Houston Texans
Week 3: vs. Houston Texans Week 2: at Baltimore Ravens
Week 4: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 3: vs. Oakland Raiders (Winnipeg)
Situational Records (since 2014) Week 4: vs. Kansas City Chiefs
All Games: 5-15 SU & 5-13 ATS Situational Records (since 2014)
Totals: 10 OVER - 10 UNDER All Games: 13-7 SU & 13-6 ATS
at Home: 4-6 SU & 3-6 ATS Totals: 8 OVER - 12 UNDER
on Road/Neutral: 1-9 SU & 2-7 ATS at Home: 9-1 SU & ATS
Week 1: 0-5 SU & 2-3 ATS on Road/Neutral: 4-6 SU & 4-5 ATS
Week 2: 2-3 SU & 1-3 ATS Week 1: 4-1 SU & ATS
Week 3: 1-4 SU & ATS Week 2: 4-1 SU & ATS
Week 4: 1-3 SU & ATS Week 3: 2-3 SU & 2-2 ATS
as Favorites: 3-3 SU & 1-3 ATS Week 4: 3-2 SU & ATS
as Underdogs: 2-12 SU & 4-10 ATS as Favorites: 7-0 SU & ATS
vs. AFC: 4-8 SU & 3-8 ATS as Underdogs: 6-7 SU & 6-6 ATS
vs. NFC: 1-7 SU & 2-5 ATS vs. AFC: 7-6 SU & 7-5 ATS
After SU Win: 1-2 SU & ATS vs. NFC: 6-1 SU & ATS
After SU Loss: 3-9 SU & 2-9 ATS After SU Win: 6-4 SU & 6-3 ATS
After SU Loss: 3-2 SU & ATS

9 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

HOUSTON TEXANS KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: at Green Bay Packers Week 1: vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Week 2: vs. Detroit Lions Week 2: at Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 3: at Dallas Cowboys Week 3: vs. San Francisco 49ers
Week 4: vs. Los Angeles Rams Week 4: at Green Bay Packers
Situational Records (since 2014) Situational Records (since 2014)
All Games: 11-7 SU & ATS All Games: 11-9 SU & 10-10 ATS
Totals: 6 OVER - 13 UNDER Totals: 11 OVER - 9 UNDER
at Home: 7-2 SU & 6-2 ATS at Home: 6-4 SU & 5-5 ATS
on Road/Neutral: 4-5 SU & 5-5 ATS on Road/Neutral: 5-5 SU & ATS
Week 1: 2-2 SU & 3-2 ATS Week 1: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 2: 4-1 SU & 3-1 ATS Week 2: 3-2 SU & 2-3 ATS
Week 3: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 3: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 4: 2-2 SU & ATS Week 4: 4-1 SU & ATS
as Favorites: 7-4 SU & 6-4 ATS as Favorites: 9-6 SU & 8-7 ATS
vs. AFC: 3-1 SU & ATS as Underdogs: 2-3 SU & ATS
as Underdogs: 4-3 SU & 5-3 ATS vs. AFC: 4-1 SU & ATS
vs. NFC: 8-6 SU & ATS vs. NFC: 7-8 SU & 6-9 ATS
After SU Win: 4-5 SU & 3-5 ATS After SU Win: 4-3 SU & 3-4 ATS
After SU Loss: 4-0 SU & ATS After SU Loss: 5-3 SU & ATS

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: at Buffalo Bills Week 1: at Arizona Cardinals
Week 2: vs. Cleveland Browns Week 2: vs. New Orleans Saints
Week 3: vs. Chicago Bears Week 3: vs. Seattle Seahawks
Week 4: at Cincinnati Bengals Week 4: at San Francisco 49ers
Situational Records (since 2014) Situational Records (since 2014)
All Games: 8-12 SU & 7-10 ATS All Games: 8-12 SU & 9-10 ATS
Totals: 7 OVER - 13 UNDER Totals: 7 OVER - 11 UNDER
at Home: 2-8 SU & 1-8 ATS at Home: 5-5 SU & 5-4 ATS
on Road/Neutral: 6-4 SU & 6-2 ATS on Road/Neutral: 3-7 SU & 4-6 ATS
Week 1: 2-3 SU & 2-2 ATS Week 1: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 2: 0-5 SU & 0-3 ATS Week 2: 3-2 SU & ATS
Week 3: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 3: 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS
Week 4: 3-2 SU & 2-3 ATS Week 4: 2-3 SU & 2-2 ATS
as Favorites: 1-6 SU & 0-7 ATS as Favorites: 5-2 SU & 4-2 ATS
as Underdogs: 7-6 SU & 7-3 ATS vs. AFC: 0-1 SU & ATS
vs. AFC: 5-5 SU & 4-4 ATS as Underdogs: 3-10 SU & 5-8 ATS
vs. NFC: 3-7 SU & 3-6 ATS vs. NFC: 8-11 SU & 9-9 ATS
After SU Win: 2-3 SU & 1-3 ATS After SU Win: 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS
After SU Loss: 4-6 SU & 4-5 ATS After SU Loss: 5-4 SU & 5-3 ATS

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS LOS ANGELES RAMS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: at Baltimore Ravens Week 1: at Oakland Raiders
Week 2: vs. Philadelphia Eagles Week 2: vs. Dallas Cowboys
Week 3: at Miami Dolphins Week 3: vs. Denver Broncos
Week 4: vs. Atlanta Falcons Week 4: at Houston Texans
Situational Records (since 2014) Situational Records (since 2014)
All Games: 9-11 SU & 12-7 ATS All Games: 7-13 SU & 6-14 ATS
Totals: 7 OVER - 13 UNDER Totals: 10 OVER - 9 UNDER
at Home: 4-6 SU & 4-5 ATS at Home: 5-5 SU & 4-6 ATS
on Road/Neutral: 5-5 SU & 8-2 ATS on Road/Neutral: 2-8 SU & ATS
Week 1: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 1: 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS
Week 2: 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS Week 2: 3-2 SU & ATS
Week 3: 2-3 SU & 3-1 ATS Week 3: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 4: 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS Week 4: 0-5 SU & ATS
as Favorites: 4-4 SU & ATS as Favorites: 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS
vs. AFC: 3-1 SU & ATS as Underdogs: 6-8 SU & ATS
as Underdogs: 5-7 SU & 8-3 ATS vs. AFC: 5-8 SU & ATS
vs. NFC: 6-10 SU & 9-6 ATS vs. NFC: 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS
After SU Win: 2-4 SU & 4-2 ATS After SU Win: 3-4 SU & ATS
After SU Loss: 4-5 SU & 5-3 ATS After SU Loss: 2-6 SU & ATS

10 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

MIAMI DOLPHINS NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: vs. Atlanta Falcons Week 1: vs. Minnesota Vikings
Week 2: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 2: at Los Angeles Chargers
Week 3: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Week 3: at New York Jets
Week 4: at New Orleans Saints Week 4: vs. Miami Dolphins
Situational Records (since 2014) Situational Records (since 2014)
All Games: 9-11 SU & ATS All Games: 8-12 SU & ATS
Totals: 11 OVER - 8 UNDER Totals: 8 OVER - 12 UNDER
at Home: 4-5 SU & 3-6 ATS at Home: 3-7 SU & ATS
on Road/Neutral: 5-6 SU & 6-5 ATS on Road/Neutral: 5-5 SU & ATS
Week 1: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 1: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 2: 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS Week 2: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 3: 3-2 SU & 2-3 ATS Week 3: 3-2 SU & ATS
Week 4: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 4: 1-4 SU & ATS
as Favorites: 4-6 SU & 3-7 ATS as Favorites: 4-7 SU & ATS
vs. AFC: 0-3 SU & ATS as Underdogs: 4-5 SU & ATS
as Underdogs: 5-5 SU & 6-4 ATS vs. AFC: 6-10 SU & ATS
vs. NFC: 9-8 SU & ATS vs. NFC: 2-2 SU & ATS
After SU Win: 2-4 SU & ATS After SU Win: 4-3 SU & ATS
After SU Loss: 5-4 SU & ATS After SU Loss: 2-6 SU & ATS

MINNESOTA VIKINGS NEW YORK GIANTS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: at New Orleans Saints Week 1: vs. New York Jets
Week 2: vs. Seattle Seahawks Week 2: vs. Chicago
Week 3: vs. Arizona Cardinals Week 3: at Cincinnati Bengals
Week 4: at Buffalo Bills Week 4: at New England Patriots
Situational Records (since 2014) Situational Records (since 2014)
All Games: 17-4 SU & 14-7 ATS All Games: 13-8 SU & 11-9 ATS
Totals: 9 OVER - 12 UNDER Totals: 7 OVER - 13 UNDER
at Home: 8-2 SU & 5-5 ATS at Home: 5-5 SU & 3-6 ATS
on Road/Neutral: 9-2 SU & ATS on Road/Neutral: 8-3 SU & ATS
Week 1: 5-0 SU & ATS Week 1: 1-4 SU & ATS
Week 2: 3-2 SU & 2-3 ATS Week 2: 3-2 SU & ATS
Week 3: 5-0 SU & 3-2 ATS Week 3: 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS
Week 4: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 4: 4-1 SU & 3-1 ATS
as Favorites: 10-2 SU & 7-5 ATS as Favorites: 6-5 SU & 4-6 ATS
as Underdogs: 7-2 SU & ATS as Underdogs: 7-3 SU & ATS
vs. AFC: 10-3 SU & ATS vs. AFC: 12-8 SU & 10-9 ATS
vs. NFC: 7-1 SU & 4-4 ATS vs. NFC: 1-0 SU & ATS
After SU Win: 10-4 SU & 9-5 ATS After SU Win: 7-2 SU & 6-2 ATS
After SU Loss: 2-0 SU & 0-2 ATS After SU Loss: 5-2 SU & 4-3 ATS

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS NEW YORK JETS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: at Detroit Lions Week 1: at New York Giants
Week 2: at Tennessee Titans Week 2: at Atlanta Falcons
Week 3: vs. Carolina Panthers Week 3: vs. New Orleans Saints
Week 4: vs. New York Giants Week 4: vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Situational Records (since 2014) Situational Records (since 2014)
All Games: 11-9 SU & 9-10 ATS All Games: 9-11 SU & 9-10 ATS
Totals: 10 OVER - 10 UNDER Totals: 6 OVER - 13 UNDER
at Home: 6-4 SU & 5-5 ATS at Home: 7-3 SU & 6-3 ATS
on Road/Neutral: 5-5 SU & 4-5 ATS on Road/Neutral: 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS
Week 1: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 1: 4-1 SU & 3-1 ATS
Week 2: 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS Week 2: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 3: 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS Week 3: 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS
Week 4: 1-4 SU & 1-3 ATS Week 4: 2-3 SU & ATS
as Favorites: 7-6 SU & 5-8 ATS as Favorites: 5-3 SU & 4-3 ATS
as Underdogs: 4-3 SU & 4-2 ATS as Underdogs: 4-8 SU & 5-7 ATS
vs. AFC: 0-2 SU & ATS vs. AFC: 4-0 SU & 3-0 ATS
vs. NFC: 11-7 SU & 9-8 ATS vs. NFC: 5-11 SU & 6-10 ATS
After SU Win: 5-5 SU & 4-5 ATS After SU Win: 3-4 SU & ATS
After SU Loss: 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS After SU Loss: 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS

11 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

OAKLAND RAIDERS SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: vs. Los Angeles Rams Week 1: vs. Dallas Cowboys
Week 2: at Arizona Cardinals Week 2: at Denver Broncos
Week 3: vs. Green Bay Packers (Winnipeg) Week 3: at Kansas City Chiefs
Week 4: at Seattle Seahawks Week 4: vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Situational Records (since 2014) Situational Records (since 2014)
All Games: 7-13 SU & 6-13 ATS All Games: 9-10 SU & 8-11 ATS
Totals: 10 OVER - 9 UNDER Totals: 8 OVER - 12 UNDER
at Home: 5-5 SU & 4-5 ATS at Home: 5-4 SU & 3-7 ATS
on Road/Neutral: 2-8 SU & ATS on Road/Neutral: 4-6 SU & 5-4 ATS
Week 1: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 1: 2-2 SU & 1-4 ATS
Week 2: 1-4 SU & 0-4 ATS Week 2: 2-3 SU & 2-2 ATS
Week 3: 1-4 SU & ATS Week 3: 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS
Week 4: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 4: 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS
as Favorites: 4-5 SU & 3-5 ATS as Favorites: 5-4 SU & 3-7 ATS
as Underdogs: 3-8 SU & ATS as Underdogs: 4-6 SU & 5-4 ATS
vs. AFC: 0-1 SU & ATS vs. AFC: 7-8 SU & 6-9 ATS
vs. NFC: 7-12 SU & 6-12 ATS vs. NFC: 2-2 SU & ATS
After SU Win: 1-4 SU & ATS After SU Win: 1-4 SU & 1-3 ATS
After SU Loss: 3-7 SU & 2-7 ATS After SU Loss: 5-4 SU & ATS

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: vs. Tennessee Titans Week 1: vs. Denver Broncos
Week 2: at Jacksonville Jaguars Week 2: at Minnesota Vikings
Week 3: vs. Baltimore Ravens Week 3: at Los Angeles Chargers
Week 4: at New York Jets Week 4: vs. Oakland Raiders
Situational Records (since 2014) Situational Records (since 2014)
All Games: 12-8 SU & ATS All Games: 11-9 SU & 12-8 ATS
Totals: 11 OVER - 9 UNDER Totals: 9 OVER - 11 UNDER
at Home: 9-1 SU & ATS at Home: 6-4 SU & ATS
on Road/Neutral: 3-7 SU & ATS on Road/Neutral: 5-5 SU & 6-4 ATS
Week 1: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 1: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 2: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 2: 2-3 SU & 3-2 ATS
Week 3: 4-1 SU & ATS Week 3: 4-1 SU & ATS
Week 4: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 4: 3-2 SU & ATS
as Favorites: 9-3 SU & ATS as Favorites: 8-6 SU & 7-7 ATS
as Underdogs: 3-5 SU & ATS vs. AFC: 8-7 SU & ATS
vs. AFC: 10-6 SU & ATS as Underdogs: 3-3 SU & 5-1 ATS
vs. NFC: 2-2 SU & ATS vs. NFC: 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS
After SU Win: 7-2 SU & ATS After SU Win: 6-2 SU & ATS
After SU Loss: 3-3 SU & ATS After SU Loss: 3-4 SU & 4-3 ATS

PITTSBURGH STEELERS TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 1: at Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 2: vs. Kansas City Chiefs Week 2: vs. Miami Dolphins
Week 3: at Tennessee Titans Week 3: vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 4: at Carolina Panthers Week 4: at Dallas Cowboys
Situational Records (since 2014) Situational Records (since 2014)
All Games: 9-12 SU & ATS All Games: 8-12 SU & ATS
Totals: 8 OVER - 12 UNDER Totals: 7 OVER - 12 UNDER
at Home: 5-5 SU & ATS at Home: 2-8 SU & ATS
on Road/Neutral: 4-7 SU & ATS on Road/Neutral: 6-4 SU & ATS
Week 1: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 1: 1-4 SU & ATS
Week 2: 3-2 SU & ATS Week 2: 4-1 SU & ATS
Week 3: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 3: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 4: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 4: 1-4 SU & ATS
as Favorites: 4-4 SU & ATS as Favorites: 3-8 SU & ATS
as Underdogs: 5-8 SU & ATS as Underdogs: 5-4 SU & ATS
vs. AFC: 2-3 SU & ATS vs. AFC: 8-6 SU & ATS
vs. NFC: 7-9 SU & ATS vs. NFC: 0-6 SU & ATS
After SU Win: 2-5 SU & ATS After SU Win: 2-5 SU & ATS
After SU Loss: 5-4 SU & ATS After SU Loss: 5-3 SU & ATS

12 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

TENNESSEE TITANS WASHINGTON REDSKINS

2019 Preseason Schedule 2019 Preseason Schedule
Week 1: at Philadelphia Eagles Week 1: at Cleveland Browns
Week 2: vs. New England Week 2: vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Week 3: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Week 3: at Atlanta Falcons
Week 4: at Chicago Bears Week 4: vs. Baltimore Ravens
Situational Records (since 2014) Situational Records (since 2014)
All Games: 8-12 SU & ATS All Games: 12-8 SU & 11-9 ATS
Totals: 9 OVER - 9 UNDER Totals: 7 OVER - 13 UNDER
at Home: 5-5 SU & ATS at Home: 7-3 SU & 6-4 ATS
on Road/Neutral: 3-7 SU & ATS on Road/Neutral: 5-5 SU & ATS
Week 1: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 1: 2-3 SU & ATS
Week 2: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 2: 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS
Week 3: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 3: 3-2 SU & ATS
Week 4: 2-3 SU & ATS Week 4: 3-2 SU & ATS
as Favorites: 5-4 SU & ATS as Favorites: 6-4 SU & 5-5 ATS
as Underdogs: 3-8 SU & ATS as Underdogs: 6-4 SU & ATS
vs. AFC: 3-4 SU & ATS vs. AFC: 8-6 SU & 7-7 ATS
vs. NFC: 5-8 SU & ATS vs. NFC: 4-2 SU & ATS
After SU Win: 1-5 SU & ATS After SU Win: 6-3 SU & 5-4 ATS
After SU Loss: 5-4 SU & ATS After SU Loss: 4-2 SU & ATS

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13 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 STRENGTH RATINGS

Power Rating Effective Strength Bettor Rating

# Road Team/Home Team OL FL Score PR Line Edge Score Proj Edge Score Proj Edge

Thursday, August 8, 2019

251 NEW YORK JETS -1 20.5 18 33.4 19 31.7

252 NEW YORK GIANTS 33 18 2.5 15.3 2.7 12.8 6.2

253 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 35 19.5 16.5 34.2 15.4 34.5

254 BUFFALO BILLS -1.5 18 -1.9 17.7 -1.2 19.1 -3.7

255 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 38 20 19.7 38.4 18.8 39.4

256 DETROIT LIONS -1 18.5 -1.4 18.7 0.9 20.7 -1.9

257 WASHINGTON REDSKINS 36 19 17.8 36.2 17.1 36

258 CLEVELAND BROWNS -2.5 20 -2.9 18.4 -0.6 18.9 -1.8

259 ATLANTA FALCONS 34.5 16.5 14.7 31.6 15.3 34.4

260 MIAMI DOLPHINS -3.5 19.5 -5.2 17 -2.3 19.1 -3.8

261 TENNESSEE TITANS 35.5 17.5 15.8 36.7 15.9 34.3

262 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -3 18 -2.7 21 -5.2 18.4 -2.5

263 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 34 20 14.8 33.2 15.7 33.3

264 BALTIMORE RAVENS -2.5 20 -2.5 18.4 -3.6 17.7 -2

265 HOUSTON TEXANS 36 19.5 17.1 34.8 16.1 35.3

266 GREEN BAY PACKERS -2.5 19.5 -2.6 17.7 -0.6 19.2 -3.1

267 CAROLINA PANTHERS 36.5 19 16.3 36.2 18.6 39.3

268 CHICAGO BEARS -2 17.5 -1.6 19.9 -3.7 20.8 -2.2

269 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS 35.5 19 18.2 35.7 16.5 34.2

270 ARIZONA CARDINALS -3 19 -3.3 17.5 0.7 17.7 -1.2

271 DENVER BRONCOS 35.5 20.5 16.5 36.5 16.5 35.1

272 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -1.5 19 -0.9 19.9 -3.4 18.6 -2.2

Friday, August 9, 2019

273 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 38 18 18.1 38.1 19.2 38.1

274 PITTSBURGH STEELERS -2.5 19 -2.6 20 -2 18.9 0.4

275 MINNESOTA VIKINGS 35.5 19.5 15.1 34.9 16.8 35.8

276 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -3 21 -3 19.8 -4.8 19 -2.2

Saturday, August 10, 2019

277 CINCINNATI BENGALS 36 18.5 17.1 35.5 15.7 36.3

278 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -3 19 -2.9 18.4 -1.3 20.7 -5

279 LOS ANGELES RAMS 36.5 18 14.4 35.8 15.5 36.2

280 OAKLAND RAIDERS -4 20.5 -4.8 21.4 -7 20.7 -5.2

281 DALLAS COWBOYS 36.5 17.5 15.2 36.3 15.3 35.8

282 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -4.5 20.5 -5.3 21.1 -6 20.5 -5.2

14 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

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FACT, NOT OPINION:
SHARPS DO BET THE
NFL PRESEASON
BY MATT YOUMANS @MATTYOUMANS247

If there is a time to buy into Jon Gruden’s sales featured on HBO’s “Hard Knocks” this month.
pitch, this is it. But ignore Gruden’s bluster when Bettors are advised to tune out the Super Bowl
he talks about the Oakland Raiders rebuilding for hyperbole and focus on the next game on the
a Super Bowl run because that’s not the point in schedule.
August.
The Raiders open the preseason by hosting the
Which coaches put a priority on winning in the Rams on Saturday, and the line already has
NFL preseason? The answers to that question are moved up 2½ points to Oakland -5½. Gruden is
the keys to cashing tickets. Gruden is one correct motivated to win and has veteran quarterbacks
answer. to run his offense. L.A. coach Sean McVay,
who’s coming off of a Super Bowl loss, has
Only the handicappers who truly love to put in depth concerns on his offensive line and seems
work on betting exhibition games know Gruden is indifferent to winning in August.
8-0 in Week 1 since 2002. In the big picture, that
record means absolutely nothing, yet it’s a fact “The sharps definitely bet the preseason,”
that matters this week. William Hill sportsbook director Nick
Bogdanovich said. “There’s no question. All you
“The super-competitive, crazy guys care more have to do is look at the (line) volatility. But you
about winning, and Gruden is a good preseason can’t show up with a wheelbarrow. It’s smaller
coach,” said Chuck Edel, a professional sports money.”
bettor from Las Vegas. “Some coaches are trying
to instill a winning attitude and change things.” Prior to the Hall of Fame Game last week, ESPN
Gruden’s enthusiasm is contagious and his host Trey Wingo stepped outside his area of
optimism can be intoxicating. All of it will be expertise to comment on gambling with a Twitter
on display while the Raiders’ training camp is post: “If anyone is actually betting a preseason

16 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

game, seek immediate help. No one has a clue of the speed of the game. The rookies are blown
about who will be on the field, how it’s being away by the speed of the game.”
called, etc.”
Falcons at Dolphins (-3½): After losing the
It’s obvious many mainstream media talking Hall of Fame Game last week, Atlanta coach
heads still need education on a foreign subject. Dan Quinn is 0-9 in the past three preseasons.
Edel’s response to Wingo: “He obviously has no New Miami coach Brian Flores is talking up
clue.” the quarterback competition between Ryan
Fitzpatrick and Josh Rosen.
No game is meaningless when there’s money
on the line. Edel is a bettor who spends an “A lot of times, these new coaches want to win,”
extraordinary amount of time digging for nuggets said Edel, who mentioned Cincinnati’s Zac Taylor
of information on exhibition games. and Green Bay’s Matt LaFleur as other first-year
coaches to consider following.
“The preseason is totally different. It’s all about
the information and any edge you can get,” Jaguars at Ravens (-4): This line opened
Edel said. “I watch every press conference and high because there are no secrets with Baltimore
read all the local newspapers. There might be coach John Harbaugh, who’s 13-0 in the past
one sentence that I pick up on that maybe gives three preseasons and 18-3 since 2014. He’s also
me an advantage. You want to see how long the 11-1 in Week 1. The Ravens have veteran Robert
starters might be playing. You don’t get much Griffin III and rookie Trace McSorley behind
game-planning in the preseason, but if a team is starter Lamar Jackson.
game-planning against a team that’s not game-
planning, that’s a huge edge. You have to kind of Panthers at Bears (-3): Veteran backups
feel it out. Chase Daniel and Tyler Bray know Chicago
coach Matt Nagy’s offense, and Daniel is one of
“The biggest advantage we have as bettors is the top No. 2 QBs in the league.
they put the line out Sunday or Monday without
having the information. Once you do get the Chargers at Cardinals (-2): No team is more
information, you have to move fast. Other people of a mystery than Arizona. First-year coach Kliff
are betting this and you’re obviously looking to Kingsbury might want to play No. 1 pick Kyler
get the best number.” Murray more than usual for a projected starter
in the preseason. Murray is not expected to take
The Rams-Raiders number is among the biggest many snaps this week, however. Tyrod Taylor, a
moves so far in preseason Week 1. Here’s a former starter, is the Chargers’ capable backup
two-minute drill on 10 more games to watch to Philip Rivers.
(Westgate SuperBook lines), with a focus on the
quarterbacks: Broncos at Seahawks (-1): Denver’s
quarterbacks did not impress in Canton, Ohio,
Jets (-1½) at Giants: Head coach Adam Gase and this is a challenging back-to-back road spot
and defensive coordinator Gregg Williams, both for the Broncos. Seattle coach Pete Carroll has
new to the Jets, figure to be more aggressive a 32-21 preseason record even after going 0-4
while implementing their system. The experienced last year. The Seahawks seem to have the upper
quarterbacks behind Sam Darnold — Trevor hand by playing veteran backups Paxton Lynch
Siemian, Davis Webb and Luke Falk — should and Geno Smith.
give the Jets an edge over the Giants and rookie
Daniel Jones. Vikings at Saints (-2½): Minnesota’s Mike
Zimmer has been money in the preseason with a
Colts (-1½) at Bills: In his first year, Colts 17-4 SU record and 14-7 ATS. Still, New Orleans
coach Frank Reich went 3-1 in the preseason with boasts arguably the league’s strongest four-man
a one-point loss to Baltimore. Reich has a positive QB rotation with Teddy Bridgewater, Taysom Hill
backup QB situation with Jacoby Brissett, Phillip and J.T. Barrett behind Drew Brees. The price on
Walker and Chad Kelly. Buffalo can move the the home favorite looks cheap.
ball with No. 2 Matt Barkley, but rookie Tyree
Jackson is likely to struggle. Cowboys at 49ers (-4): This number opened
at 3 and that was a bargain for 49ers backers.
Redskins (-2) at Browns: Cleveland opened Dallas coach Jason Garrett, 0-4 last year, is
-1 before a sharp group released a play on a popular preseason fade. Backup QBs Nick
Washington, which has a competitive QB rotation Mullens and C.J. Beathard started a total of 13
with veterans Colt McCoy and Case Keenum games for San Francisco last season after Jimmy
trying to fend off rookie Dwayne Haskins. The Garoppolo’s injury. Edge to the home favorite.
Redskins’ offensive line is a wreck, though.
“Sometimes I think the quarterback battles are
overrated,” Edel said. “But when you have a
situation where quality QBs are competing, that’s
different. In the preseason, I would rather have a
journeyman third-string QB than a rookie because

17 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

BY JEFF FOGLE @JEFFFOGLE

NFL PRESEASON IN
FULL PADS THIS WEEK
Pro football’s preseason slate shifts into full gear this
week with all 32 NFL teams in action.
—It’s not uncommon to see preseason games where
both coaches just want to play it safe and get out of
Dodge without their teams suffering injuries. Scoring
National TV games for bettors to enjoy are limited to sums in these matchups tend to stay well below posted
the NFL Network this week. Those telecasts: N.Y. Jets Over/Unders.
vs. N.Y. Giants (Thursday, 6 p.m. ET), Los Angeles
Chargers at Arizona (Thursday, 9 p.m. ET), Tampa Bay Some coaches emphasize offensive execution in early
at Pittsburgh (Friday, 6:30 p.m. ET) and Dallas at San action. That alone can result in Overs.
Francisco (Saturday, 8 p.m. ET).
VSiN isn’t suggesting August is full of nothing but
Is betting on the NFL preseason for sharp investors? Or free money. Randomness does play a large role in
only so-called gambling degenerates? determining outcomes, particularly with special teams
or defensive touchdowns. You saw last Thursday that
You’ll hear both points of view in this first full week of Denver needed a few breaks to sneak past Atlanta in
exhibition action. Critics will say you’d have to be crazy the final moments of the Hall of Fame game. You’ll see
to bet on games that will be decided by third- and a lot more of it soon.
fourth-teamers. Veteran bettors will say it’s crazy not to
bet if you have a real edge. Edges can be found by following online team coverage,
listening to coaches in press conferences, researching
Why do sharps believe they can find edges in games coaching trends (while remembering to account for
that don’t even count in the standings? Among the many coaching changes), studying exhibition histories of
reasons: veteran quarterbacks and looking for schedule quirks
that give one team a preparation advantage over the
—There’s often an early-game mismatch in terms of how other.
long high-impact players will be on the field. That by
itself can be worth a touchdown, which is significant Bettors don’t have to win all of their plays to make
with low point spreads. money. They just have to hit better than 52.4 percent
to beat the standard 11/10 vigorish on losses. NFL
—There’s often a mid-game mismatch where one team’s preseason dynamics make that achievable.
backup quarterback is an experienced hand who
knows how to drive down the field for points while his
opposite is a first- or second-year player who’s been
instructed to play it safe. There are Augusts where this
scenario by itself is worth two or three touchdowns in
games for a team.

—There’s occasionally a fourth-quarter mismatch

where one team using an up-and-coming playmaker at
quarterback is trying to beat an opponent that wants to
finish the game and go home. It’s a nice ace to have up
your sleeve.

%JTDPVOU
DPEF
74J/

18 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

BY IAN CAMERON @BOBANO

WEEK 9 CFL ANALYSIS

AND A BEST BET
Calgary Stampeders @ and 343 total yards per game during the win streak.
We may see the return of No. 1 QB Bo Levi Mitchell
Winnipeg Blue Bombers for Calgary. He is slated to practice this week but
Spread: Winnipeg -8 • Total: 48.5 is questionable to return as Calgary may opt to
The Blue Bombers return home at 5-2 but off back-to- wait until the next game because of Arbuckle’s win
back losses and will be looking to right the ship with streak as the starting QB. Calgary is on a 6-0 Under
first place in the West Division on the line as they run in road games and 4-0 overall. I like the spot
host the Stampeders, also 5-2. Winnipeg appeared for Winnipeg, but the oddsmakers seem to agree
to be invincible in starting the season 5-0 SU and with that sentiment in making the Blue Bombers a
ATS, but that aura has evaporated after consecutive substantial favorite.
road losses against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and
the winless Toronto Argonauts, the latter as two-TD
favorites. Last week’s loss was peculiar as Winnipeg Saskatchewan Roughriders @
raced out to a 20-0 lead in the second quarter but Montreal Alouettes
seemed to fall asleep and get complacent, allowing Spread: Saskatchewan -2 • Total: 51
the Argos to rattle off 10 straight points before The Roughriders had yet to beat a team at .500 or
halftime to turn the momentum. The Blue Bombers better until last week, when they came from behind
never really got back on track. The offense once in the fourth quarter to defeat the Hamilton Tiger-
again underwhelmed as QB Matt Nichols, who had Cats 24-19. Riders QB Cody Fajardo had a good
been criticized for inconsistency, struggled for a game, battling through a minor injury to lead his
second straight game while the vaunted Winnipeg team to victory against one of the better defenses,
defense got carved up by QB McLeod Bethel- while Saskatchewan’s defense bottled up QB Dane
Thompson, who engineered a game-winning TD Evans and the Ticats offense in his first start since the
drive in the final minutes. The Blue Bombers are still season-ending injury to Jeremiah Masoli. Montreal
one of the league’s elite teams and, even after two is coming off a frustrating 30-27 overtime loss to the
disheartening losses in a row, I would expect them Ottawa Redblacks, which snapped a three-game
to fire back with a strong performance in a game of win streak. The Alouettes lost in more ways than one
this magnitude against the defending West Division when QB Vernon Adams Jr. was injured in the third
champs. Winnipeg has a 3-0 SU and ATS record quarter and never returned. Antonio Pipkin took
on its home field, winning tby an average of 21.4 over at QB and the Alouettes offense simply wasn’t
points against Toronto, Ottawa and Edmonton. the same. Adams’ status is up in the air and, if he
Dating to last season, they’ve gone 6-0 ATS in the isn’t ready to go, it will be Pipkin getting the start.
last six home games. Calgary hasn’t been winning The Alouettes defense played well last week, which
games in pretty fashion, but the bottom line is a is not reflected in the score because Ottawa got two
three-game winning streak. QB Nick Arbuckle and kick-return TDs from DeVonte Dedmon. Montreal
the offense has been effective enough while the proved last week it wasn’t ready being favored,
defense has managed to overcome a multitude of much less laying a full TD, but is now back in the
personnel losses in the offseason and with early- preferred and more successful points-spread role as
season injuries to put up respectable numbers. The an underdog. Montreal is 4-1 ATS as an underdog
Stamps’ stop unit is surrendering just 16.7 points this season, but the prospect of backing the team

CFL WEEK 9 STRENGTH RATINGS

CL FL SCORE PR PRLine Edge? EffStrScr EffStrProj Edge? BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProjEdge?
Thursday, August 8, 2019
681 CALGARY 48.5 31 18 47.3 23.2 48.3
682 WINNIPEG -8 32 -8.3 29.3 -11.4 25.2 -2
* Calgary QB Mitchell is out

Friday, August 9, 2019

683 SASKATCHEWAN -2.5 29 26.7 56.7 28.1 52.8
684 MONTREAL 53 23.5 2.3 29.9 -3.2 24.8 3.3

685 OTTAWA 49 23 14.4 43.6 19.9 50.4

686 EDMONTON -8.5 28 -8.3 29.1 -14.7 30.5 -10.6

Saturday, August 10, 2019

687 BRITISH COLUMBIA 52 18.5 13.5 54.8 22.5 53
688 HAMILTON -13.5 29 -13.8 41.3 -27.9 30.5 -8

19 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

with Pipkin possibly under center against a capable coordinator, but the Lions defense hasn’t picked
Saskatchewan defense doesn’t excite me. The Under up on any of those characteristics. BC’s struggling
appears to be a bet worthy of making here, and it’s defense has allowed 30-plus points in every game
worth noting the Under has cashed at a 5-1 clip in aside from its only win, against the Toronto Argos.
the last six meetings between these teams. The bye week can only help. Hamilton will look to
bounce back after its second loss of the season in
Saskatchewan last week. QB Dane Evans had his
Ottawa Redblacks @ first start in place of Jeremiah Masoli, who is done
Edmonton Eskimos for the season with a torn ACL, and the Ticats played
Spread: Edmonton -8.5 • Total: 48 admirably in defeat. They took the lead in the fourth
The Redblacks got back in the win column and quarter, but Saskatchewan came back to win with a
snapped a four-game losing streak with a thrilling game-winning TD drive in the final minute. I thought
30-27 OT win against the Montreal Alouettes. Evans struggled early last week but settled down and
Ottawa was bolstered by its defense and special got much better as the game progressed. Playing
teams, which included a pair of kick-return TDs in the at home against a weaker defense should lead to
victory to bail out the mostly sputtering offense. QB some much greater success for the Ticats’ offense.
Dominique Davis returned from injury last week for They might also get WR Brandon Banks back from
the Redblacks. He wasn’t crisp but got through the injury after he didn’t suit up last week in the loss at
game and picked up the win. One would think he Saskatchewan, which would be a massive help to
will be more comfortable and sharper with a game Evans and the Hamilton offense. It’s a tricky game as
back from injury under his belt. Ottawa has not BC is sitting in a nice spot here off the bye week but
looked impressive and, in the win last week, it was isn’t a good football team. Still, it’s a lot of points
special teams that was the big factor. The Redblacks to be laying on Hamilton with their backup QB.
have been outgained in six straight games, which The Over is a bet that makes sense to me. The Lions
is a concerning trend. Edmonton is the opposite. offense has enough playmakers to eventually find
The Eskimos have outgained their opponents in six some traction, but the Ticats offense probably will be
of seven games this season, including last week better than last week. Evans getting one game under
against the Calgary Stampeders even though they his belt, coupled with an extended week of practice,
lost 24-18. The Eskimos offense hasn’t been quite as should make him much more comfortable running
good the last few games due to injuries at WR and this offense.
along the offensive line, but QB Trevor Harris has
still performed fairly well with a 71% completion CFL Week 9 Best Bet: BC/Hamilton Over 51.5 -110
rate along with a 10-2 TD-INT ratio. Edmonton
has been at its best at home this season, going 3-0
SU, 2-1 ATS. The team is 2-0 SU and ATS off a
defeat this season, though the wins came against
the two weakest teams (Toronto and BC). I would
look toward the favorite here, given that Ottawa
continues to have its share of trouble on offense and
defense. The Over at a low total might also be worth
consideration. Ottawa’s offense is better with Davis
at QB instead of the inept Jonathon Jennings, while
Edmonton’s offense should welcome this step down
in class.

BC Lions @
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Spread: Hamilton -12 • Total: 51.5

The Lions needed the bye week in the worst way

as they went into it on a woeful 1-6 SU and ATS
start to a season filled with big expectations. BC
suffered consecutive double-digit blowout losses
to the Saskatchewan Roughriders before its bye
week, and this game is probably the last hope to
try and turn the season around. It may be too late
in the tough West Division, with Winnipeg, Calgary,
Edmonton and Saskatchewan ahead of them. BC’s
offense has been a brutally bad underachiever
considering it has veteran QB Mike Reilly, but he
has been plagued by a porous offensive line and the
lack of a consistent ground attack. BC scored only
67 points in its last four games. DeVone Claybrooks
was hired as head coach in the offseason after
years of directing a terrific Calgary defense as the

ARENA BOWL XXXII STRENGTH RATINGS

CL FL SCORE PR PRLine Edge? EffStrScr EffStrProj Edge? BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProjEdge?
Sunday, August 11, 2019
359 PHILADELPHIA 95 54.5 41.4 94.5 40.3 94.1
360 ALBANY -13.5 67 -15 53.2 -11.8 53.8 -13.5

20 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

BY STEVE MAKINEN @STEVEMAKINEN

BETTING HISTORY OF
THE ARENA BOWL
The Arena Football League has reached the
conclusion of another season with Arena
• Double-digit home favorites are just 2-3 SU
& 1-4 ATS all-time in Arena Bowl games, and
Bowl XXXII set for Sunday at Times Union favorites of more than a touchdown are 1-5
Center in Albany, NY. Unlike last year, the ATS.
two teams competing foe title are not a big • In the last eight seasons, the team that held
surprise, as the game pits #1 Albany versus #3 the lead at halftime of Arena Bowl is just 5-3
Philadelphia. The latter upset Washington in outright. Prior to that, halftime leaders had
the semifinals to reach this point, but still, wthe won the first 23 games!
Soul have been the class of the AFL for the last • Topping the 40-point benchmark has proven
half decade or so. Albany, who has been the critical to Arena Bowl success, as those
AFL’s top team from front to back this year, teams that scored 40 points or less have
would love to earn a first league title since ’99 gone just 2-19 SU & 1-7 ATS.
by beating the flagship team. This will be the • On the opposite side of the point barometer,
Empire’s second appearance in Arena Bowl. scoring 55+ points in any Arena Bowl game
The Soul have played in the game five times, has meant good success, as teams that have
winning three of them, including back-to-back reached that mark have gone 16-6 SU &
in 2016 & 2017. Being the home team and 16-5 ATS.
sporting the league’s best record, naturally • Bettors have not been sharp in moving point
Albany is favored. spreads in Arena Bowl games, as they are
just 9-13 ATS all-time when backing either
Whenever I handicap a championship game side, including 5-9 ATS over the L14 seasons.
of any sort, I like to look back at the history “Backing a side” is determined by a line
of that contest for patterns. Like has shown in moving off its opening number TOWARDS
college basketball of late, in the biggest game, either team at close.
most often the best team shines brightest. • There have only been five prior Arena
In other sports or leagues, the underdog Bowl games in which the league’s top seed
team has shown a penchant for rising to the was NOT playing. In those games, teams
occasion. With that in mind, let’s take a look seeded #2 or worse are 3-2 SU & ATS, all as
back at the history of the Arena Bowl game to favorites.
see if we can spot anything that might help us • Washington of 2018 was the worst team by
generate a winning wager on Sunday, focusing record that has ever played in the Arena
more so on those contests since ’96 that have Bowl, having gone just 2-10 in the regular
had posted point spreads and/or totals. season. The five worst seeds to ever play in
a AFL title contest were #6 seeds or worse,
Here are some of the trends that have formed and all five lost, by an average of 12.6 PPG,
regarding Arena Bowl games based on the going 0-4 ATS.
game logs on the following page: • In terms of totals, UNDER the total holds a
12-7 edge all-time in Arena Bowl games that
• The competitiveness of the Arena Bowl had posted numbers. Four of the L6 games
series has increased for the good in recent have gone that way on the total as well,
years, as underdogs have become a much although last year’s game flew OVER by
better betting option. In fact, underdogs are nearly 30 points.
currently on a 6-2 ATS run in the game, and • Bettors have been a little stronger in
are 10-4 ATS since 2004. Favorites are just predicting totals, going 5-2 over the L7
7-7 outright in that span as well, giving hope Arena Bowl games that have seen a posted
to Philadelphia fans for Sunday’s game. opening total move off the number by close.
• In the last eight non-neutral Arena Bowl However, that group has lost in each of the
championship games, ROAD TEAMS hold a last two instances.
5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS edge. Home teams have • The 2018 Arena Bowl game was the first
not won back-to-back games since ’02 & since 2006 that closed with a total of less
’03. Albany hopes to become the first host than 100. Including that game, each of the
to both win and cover the point spread since last three games in which that occurred went
2015 OVER the posted number.

21 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

ARENA BOWL HISTORICAL GAME LOGS

Game Date Site Home Seed Score Road Seed Score Line Total

XXXI 7/28/18 Royal Farms Arena BALTIMORE 2 55 WASHINGTON 4 69 -10.5 95.5

XXX 8/26/17 Wells Fargo Center PHILADELPHIA 1 44 TAMPA BAY 2 40 -13.5 106.5
XXIX 8/26/16 Gila River Arena ARIZONA 1 42 PHILADELPHIA 1 56 -12.5 123
XXVIII 8/29/15 Stockton Arena SAN JOSE 1 68 JACKSONVILLE 3 47 -11.5 105
XXVII 8/23/14 Quicken Loans Arena CLEVELAND 1 32 ARIZONA 1 72 4.5 111
XXVI 8/17/13 Amway Center ARIZONA 1 48 PHILADELPHIA 2 39 -9.5 120
XXV 8/10/12 New Orleans Arena PHILADELPHIA 1 54 ARIZONA 2 72 -3 123
XXIV 8/12/11 US Airways Center ARIZONA 1 70 JACKSONVILLE 1 73 -7 115.5
XXIII 8/20/10 Spokane Veterans Arena SPOKANE 1 69 TAMPA BAY 3 57 -1.5 115
XXII 7/27/08 New Orleans Arena PHILADELPHIA 1 59 SAN JOSE 2 56 -4 118
XXI 7/29/07 New Orleans Arena SAN JOSE 1 55 COLUMBUS 6 33 -7 115
XX 6/11/06 Thomas & Mack Center ORLANDO 2 61 CHICAGO 5 69 -3 98
XIX 6/12/05 Thomas & Mack Center GEORGIA 1 48 COLORADO 1 51 -4 106
XVIII 6/27/04 America West Arena ARIZONA 1 62 SAN JOSE 2 69 -2.5 99.5
XVII 6/22/03 St. Pete Times Forum TAMPA BAY 2 43 ARIZONA 6 29 -3 108.5
XVI 8/18/02 HP Pavilion at San Jose SAN JOSE 1 52 ARIZONA 2 14 -7 105
XV 8/19/01 Van Andel Arena GRAND RAPIDS 1 64 NASHVILLE 2 42 1 112
XIV 8/20/00 TD Waterhouse Centre ORLANDO 2 41 NASHVILLE 6 38 -2.5 92.5
XIII 8/21/99 Pepsi Arena ALBANY 3 59 ORLANDO 8 48 -6
XII 8/23/98 Ice Palace TAMPA BAY 1 31 ORLANDO 4 62 -13 99
XI 8/25/97 America West Arena ARIZONA 1 55 IOWA 2 33 -1.5
X 8/26/96 Iowa Veterans Auditorium IOWA 1 38 TAMPA BAY 2 42 1
IX 9/1/95 ThunderDome TAMPA BAY 1 48 ORLANDO 6 35
VIII 9/2/94 Orlando Arena ORLANDO 1 31 ARIZONA 3 36
VII 8/21/93 Joe Louis Arena DETROIT 1 31 TAMPA BAY 3 51
VI 8/22/92 Orlando Arena ORLANDO 1 38 DETROIT 2 56
V 8/17/91 Joe Louis Arena DETROIT 1 42 TAMPA BAY 2 48
IV 8/11/90 Joe Louis Arena DETROIT 1 51 DALLAS 2 27
III 8/18/89 Joe Louis Arena DETROIT 1 39 PITTSBURGH 2 26
II 7/30/88 Rosemont Horizon CHICAGO 1 13 DETROIT 2 24
I 8/1/87 Pittsburgh Civic Arena PITTSBURGH 1 16 DENVER 2 45

Home Road
H/R H/R F/U F/U
Game Ov/Un Location OL OT Halftime Halftime
SU ATS SU ATS
Score Score
XXXI ROAD ROAD DOG DOG OVER Baltimore, MD -11.5 95.5 20 35
XXX HOME ROAD FAV DOG UNDER Philadelphia, PA -14 104 14 20
XXIX ROAD ROAD DOG DOG UNDER Glendale, AZ -12.5 123 21 35
XXVIII HOME HOME FAV FAV OVER San Jose, CA -10.5 106 27 33
XXVII ROAD ROAD FAV FAV UNDER Cleveland, OH 3.5 113.5 13 44
XXVI N/A N/A FAV DOG UNDER Orlando, FL ** -7 120 24 21
XXV N/A N/A DOG DOG OVER New Orleans, LA ** -1 123 13 27
XXIV ROAD ROAD DOG DOG OVER Phoenix, AZ -9 115.5 35 32
XXIII HOME HOME FAV FAV OVER Spokane, WA -4 114 34 28
XXII N/A N/A FAV DOG UNDER New Orleans, LA ** -3 118 37 27
XXI N/A N/A FAV FAV UNDER New Orleans, LA ** -5.5 118 27 14
XX N/A N/A DOG DOG OVER Las Vegas, NV ** -1.5 97.5 28 34
XIX N/A N/A DOG DOG UNDER Las Vegas, NV ** -3 106 20 24
XVIII ROAD ROAD DOG DOG OVER Phoenix, AZ -2 100 28 35
XVII HOME HOME FAV FAV UNDER Tampa, FL -2.5 108.5 23 16
XVI HOME HOME FAV FAV UNDER San Jose, CA -7 105 24 0
XV HOME HOME DOG DOG UNDER Grand Rapids, MI 0 111.5 37 21
XIV HOME HOME FAV FAV UNDER Orlando, FL -2.5 92.5 29 23
XIII HOME HOME FAV FAV Albany, NY -6 38 21
XII ROAD ROAD DOG DOG UNDER Tampa, FL -14 99 17 24
XI HOME HOME FAV FAV Phoenix, AZ -1.5 24 13
X ROAD ROAD FAV FAV Des Moines, IA 1 28 28
IX HOME St Petersburg, FL 29 15
VIII ROAD Orlando, FL 17 20
VII ROAD Detroit, MI 17 30
VI ROAD Orlando, FL 23 28
V ROAD Detroit, MI 21 28
IV HOME Detroit, MI 31 14
III HOME Detroit, MI 26 12
II ROAD Chicago, IL 7 21
I ROAD Pittsburgh, PA 0 18

KEY: ATS = Against the Spread, F/U = Favorite/Underdog, H/R = Home/Road, OL = Opening Line,
OT = Opening Total, Ov/Un = Over/Under, SU = Straight Up

22 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

MLB TEAM REPORT AL EAST AL CENTRAL AL WEST

BALTIMORE CHI WHITE SOX HOUSTON
Manager: HYDE, BRANDON Manager: RENTERIA, RICH Manager: HINCH, AJ
Overall: 38-74 (-935 $ units), Ov-Un: 55-49, RF/RA: 4.4 - 6.1 Overall: 49-61 (430 $ units), Ov-Un: 48-54, RF/RA: 4.1 - 5.2 Overall: 73-40 (715 $ units), Ov-Un: 48-62, RF/RA: 5.3 - 4.0
at Home: 17-39 (-1480 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-22, RF/RA: 4.4 - 6.6 at Home: 27-28 (305 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-26, RF/RA: 4.1 - 5.6 at Home: 41-15 (1175 $ units), Ov-Un: 22-31, RF/RA: 5.3 - 3.8
on Road: 21-35 (545 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-27, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.6 on Road: 22-33 (125 $ units), Ov-Un: 22-28, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.8 on Road: 32-25 (-460 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-31, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.1
Division: 18-33 (25 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-22, RF/RA: 4.1 - 6.1 Division: 24-23 (590 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-22, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.1 Division: 38-12 (1640 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-26, RF/RA: 6.1 - 3.8
League: 33-64 (-740 $ units), Ov-Un: 48-44, RF/RA: 4.3 - 6.1 League: 43-50 (635 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-43, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.3 League: 65-32 (1175 $ units), Ov-Un: 40-54, RF/RA: 5.4 - 3.8
Interleague: 5-10 (-195 $ units), Ov-Un: 7-5, RF/RA: 4.9 - 6.5 Interleague: 6-11 (-205 $ units), Ov-Un: 6-11, RF/RA: 3.5 - 4.6 Interleague: 8-8 (-460 $ units), Ov-Un: 8-8, RF/RA: 4.6 - 5.1
Night: 23-46 (-1030 $ units), Ov-Un: 38-26, RF/RA: 4.6 - 6.6 Night: 32-30 (1390 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-31, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.9 Night: 53-31 (235 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-48, RF/RA: 5.1 - 3.8
Day: 15-28 (95 $ units), Ov-Un: 17-23, RF/RA: 4.0 - 5.4 Day: 17-31 (-960 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-23, RF/RA: 3.6 - 5.6 Day: 20-9 (480 $ units), Ov-Un: 14-14, RF/RA: 5.8 - 4.4
HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 2 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.1 - 1.5 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.6 - 1.5
Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.244 - 0.269 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.251 - 0.264 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.271 - 0.216
On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.306 - 0.342 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.306 - 0.339 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.347 - 0.281
OPS Tm - Opp: 0.713 - 0.845 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.703 - 0.793 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.827 - 0.678
Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.538 - 1.211 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.385 - 1.305 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.204 - 1.413

BOSTON CLEVELAND LA ANGELS

Manager: CORA, ALEX Manager: FRANCONA, TERRY Manager: AUSMUS, BRAD
Overall: 60-55 (-2575 $ units), Ov-Un: 69-43, RF/RA: 5.7 - 5.2 Overall: 66-46 (230 $ units), Ov-Un: 47-60, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.0 Overall: 56-58 (-750 $ units), Ov-Un: 54-53, RF/RA: 5.0 - 5.1
at Home: 28-27 (-1905 $ units), Ov-Un: 35-20, RF/RA: 5.8 - 5.3 at Home: 36-24 (65 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-34, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.0 at Home: 29-26 (-735 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-28, RF/RA: 5.2 - 5.2
on Road: 32-28 (-670 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-23, RF/RA: 5.7 - 5.1 on Road: 30-22 (165 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-26, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.0 on Road: 27-32 (-15 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-25, RF/RA: 4.8 - 5.1
Division: 28-31 (-1845 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-23, RF/RA: 5.5 - 5.6 Division: 31-19 (125 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-24, RF/RA: 4.9 - 3.8 Division: 25-30 (-765 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-24, RF/RA: 5.2 - 5.4
League: 57-50 (-2075 $ units), Ov-Un: 64-41, RF/RA: 5.8 - 5.2 League: 60-41 (415 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-55, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.0 League: 45-53 (-1845 $ units), Ov-Un: 50-42, RF/RA: 5.1 - 5.3
Interleague: 3-5 (-500 $ units), Ov-Un: 5-2, RF/RA: 4.6 - 6.1 Interleague: 6-5 (-185 $ units), Ov-Un: 5-5, RF/RA: 5.3 - 4.3 Interleague: 11-5 (1095 $ units), Ov-Un: 4-11, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.0
Night: 42-35 (-1000 $ units), Ov-Un: 46-30, RF/RA: 5.8 - 4.9 Night: 39-28 (-235 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-37, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.1 Night: 41-40 (-315 $ units), Ov-Un: 36-41, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.9
Day: 18-20 (-1575 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-13, RF/RA: 5.7 - 5.8 Day: 27-18 (465 $ units), Ov-Un: 19-23, RF/RA: 4.6 - 3.8 Day: 15-18 (-435 $ units), Ov-Un: 18-12, RF/RA: 5.2 - 5.8
HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.5 - 1.4 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.5 - 1.6
Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.275 - 0.255 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.25 - 0.235 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.255 - 0.251
On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.345 - 0.329 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.322 - 0.301 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.33 - 0.326
OPS Tm - Opp: 0.818 - 0.772 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.752 - 0.713 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.769 - 0.773
Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.399 - 1.621 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.23 - 1.397 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.373 - 1.461

NY YANKEES DETROIT OAKLAND

Manager: BOONE, AARON Manager: GARDENHIRE, RON Manager: MELVIN, BOB
Overall: 73-39 (1520 $ units), Ov-Un: 62-45, RF/RA: 5.8 - 4.6 Overall: 32-76 (-3140 $ units), Ov-Un: 48-52, RF/RA: 3.6 - 5.6 Overall: 64-49 (1040 $ units), Ov-Un: 52-59, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.3
at Home: 43-18 (880 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-33, RF/RA: 5.4 - 3.7 at Home: 13-37 (-2145 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-23, RF/RA: 3.2 - 6.0 at Home: 37-21 (1060 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-32, RF/RA: 4.8 - 3.9
on Road: 30-21 (640 $ units), Ov-Un: 38-12, RF/RA: 6.4 - 5.8 on Road: 19-39 (-995 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-29, RF/RA: 3.9 - 5.2 on Road: 27-28 (-20 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-27, RF/RA: 5.3 - 4.8
Division: 40-14 (1910 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-23, RF/RA: 6.3 - 4.4 Division: 14-29 (-1315 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-17, RF/RA: 4.0 - 6.0 Division: 27-26 (-350 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-26, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.9
League: 63-32 (1695 $ units), Ov-Un: 54-37, RF/RA: 5.9 - 4.7 League: 27-61 (-2495 $ units), Ov-Un: 39-44, RF/RA: 3.6 - 5.7 League: 55-44 (650 $ units), Ov-Un: 46-52, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.5
Interleague: 10-7 (-175 $ units), Ov-Un: 8-8, RF/RA: 5.8 - 4.1 Interleague: 5-15 (-645 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-8, RF/RA: 3.8 - 4.9 Interleague: 9-5 (390 $ units), Ov-Un: 6-7, RF/RA: 4.6 - 3.0
Night: 45-24 (1190 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-31, RF/RA: 5.4 - 4.8 Night: 13-46 (-2610 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-27, RF/RA: 3.5 - 5.7 Night: 39-32 (575 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-41, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.2
Day: 28-15 (330 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-14, RF/RA: 6.6 - 4.3 Day: 19-30 (-530 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-25, RF/RA: 3.7 - 5.4 Day: 25-17 (465 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-18, RF/RA: 5.6 - 4.5
HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.7 - 1.6 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 0.9 - 1.5 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.6 - 1.2
Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.271 - 0.252 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.233 - 0.272 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.245 - 0.243
On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.345 - 0.315 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.292 - 0.337 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.322 - 0.312
OPS Tm - Opp: 0.823 - 0.761 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.674 - 0.809 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.763 - 0.714
Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.303 - 1.495 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.471 - 1.176 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.301 - 1.386

TAMPA BAY KANSAS CITY SEATTLE

Manager: CASH, KEVIN Manager: YOST, NED Manager: SERVAIS, SCOTT
Overall: 65-49 (-380 $ units), Ov-Un: 51-55, RF/RA: 4.7 - 3.9 Overall: 40-74 (-2145 $ units), Ov-Un: 57-51, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.3 Overall: 47-67 (-1570 $ units), Ov-Un: 68-40, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.9
at Home: 30-27 (-1035 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-24, RF/RA: 4.5 - 3.9 at Home: 22-35 (-1110 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-22, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.5 at Home: 26-32 (-690 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-21, RF/RA: 5.0 - 5.8
on Road: 35-22 (655 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-31, RF/RA: 4.9 - 3.8 on Road: 18-39 (-1035 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-29, RF/RA: 4.1 - 5.1 on Road: 21-35 (-880 $ units), Ov-Un: 36-19, RF/RA: 4.8 - 6.0
Division: 29-25 (-540 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-24, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.3 Division: 22-34 (-830 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-27, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.8 Division: 23-39 (-1440 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-26, RF/RA: 4.5 - 6.2
League: 54-45 (-980 $ units), Ov-Un: 44-48, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.1 League: 35-69 (-2490 $ units), Ov-Un: 54-44, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.3 League: 44-60 (-1340 $ units), Ov-Un: 64-35, RF/RA: 5.1 - 6.0
Interleague: 11-4 (600 $ units), Ov-Un: 7-7, RF/RA: 4.9 - 2.2 Interleague: 5-5 (345 $ units), Ov-Un: 3-7, RF/RA: 3.3 - 4.5 Interleague: 3-7 (-230 $ units), Ov-Un: 4-5, RF/RA: 3.3 - 4.7
Night: 36-30 (-565 $ units), Ov-Un: 33-28, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.0 Night: 25-42 (-705 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-30, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.1 Night: 33-40 (-305 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-27, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.9
Day: 29-19 (185 $ units), Ov-Un: 18-27, RF/RA: 4.4 - 3.7 Day: 15-32 (-1440 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-21, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.6 Day: 14-27 (-1265 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-13, RF/RA: 5.0 - 5.8
HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.1 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.6 - 1.7
Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.255 - 0.23 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.247 - 0.272 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.242 - 0.27
On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.328 - 0.293 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.31 - 0.346 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.319 - 0.331
OPS Tm - Opp: 0.762 - 0.676 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.71 - 0.799 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.758 - 0.815
Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.252 - 1.399 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.526 - 1.202 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.421 - 1.326

TORONTO MINNESOTA TEXAS

Manager: MONTOYO, CHARLIE Manager: BALDELLI, ROCCO Manager: WOODWARD, CHRIS
Overall: 46-69 (-1370 $ units), Ov-Un: 55-55, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.0 Overall: 70-42 (1805 $ units), Ov-Un: 57-48, RF/RA: 5.8 - 4.5 Overall: 58-54 (1500 $ units), Ov-Un: 53-58, RF/RA: 5.3 - 5.3
at Home: 20-34 (-1355 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-27, RF/RA: 4.2 - 5.5 at Home: 35-21 (600 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-27, RF/RA: 5.5 - 4.4 at Home: 35-22 (1760 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-28, RF/RA: 5.7 - 5.5
on Road: 26-35 (-15 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-28, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.6 on Road: 35-21 (1205 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-21, RF/RA: 6.0 - 4.6 on Road: 23-32 (-260 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-30, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.0
Division: 18-30 (-490 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-22, RF/RA: 5.0 - 5.4 Division: 27-13 (805 $ units), Ov-Un: 17-20, RF/RA: 5.7 - 3.7 Division: 26-32 (170 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-28, RF/RA: 5.4 - 5.5
League: 44-58 (-455 $ units), Ov-Un: 47-50, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.8 League: 64-35 (1960 $ units), Ov-Un: 51-42, RF/RA: 5.9 - 4.4 League: 50-45 (1425 $ units), Ov-Un: 43-51, RF/RA: 5.3 - 5.0
Interleague: 2-11 (-915 $ units), Ov-Un: 8-5, RF/RA: 3.5 - 6.8 Interleague: 6-7 (-155 $ units), Ov-Un: 6-6, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.3 Interleague: 8-9 (75 $ units), Ov-Un: 10-7, RF/RA: 5.2 - 6.9
Night: 26-43 (-1220 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-34, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.0 Night: 44-25 (1590 $ units), Ov-Un: 35-29, RF/RA: 5.9 - 4.7 Night: 40-37 (1135 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-44, RF/RA: 5.0 - 5.0
Day: 20-26 (-150 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-21, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.1 Day: 26-17 (215 $ units), Ov-Un: 22-19, RF/RA: 5.5 - 4.2 Day: 18-17 (365 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-14, RF/RA: 5.9 - 5.8
HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.5 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 2 - 1.2 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.4 - 1.5
Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.238 - 0.262 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.27 - 0.249 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.253 - 0.269
On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.304 - 0.338 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.336 - 0.31 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.324 - 0.34
OPS Tm - Opp: 0.725 - 0.784 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.836 - 0.72 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.771 - 0.801
Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.362 - 1.344 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.367 - 1.376 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.44 - 1.39

23 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

MLB TEAM REPORT NL EAST NL CENTRAL NL WEST

ATLANTA CHICAGO CUBS ARIZONA
Manager: SNITKER, BRIAN Manager: MADDON, JOE Manager: LOVULLO, TOREY
Overall: 66-48 (755 $ units), Ov-Un: 56-52, RF/RA: 5.3 - 4.8 Overall: 61-51 (-235 $ units), Ov-Un: 52-56, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.3 Overall: 56-57 (-80 $ units), Ov-Un: 56-50, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.6
at Home: 32-25 (-415 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-25, RF/RA: 5.4 - 4.9 at Home: 40-18 (1180 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-32, RF/RA: 5.0 - 3.7 at Home: 25-28 (-735 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-25, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.5
on Road: 34-23 (1170 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-27, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.7 on Road: 21-33 (-1415 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-24, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.9 on Road: 31-29 (655 $ units), Ov-Un: 33-25, RF/RA: 5.6 - 4.7
Division: 28-18 (665 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-20, RF/RA: 5.8 - 4.8 Division: 25-21 (15 $ units), Ov-Un: 19-25, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.2 Division: 19-29 (-1170 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-20, RF/RA: 5.0 - 5.1
League: 62-43 (1150 $ units), Ov-Un: 50-49, RF/RA: 5.3 - 4.7 League: 52-44 (-20 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-51, RF/RA: 4.8 - 4.3 League: 42-51 (-1005 $ units), Ov-Un: 47-42, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.8
Interleague: 4-5 (-395 $ units), Ov-Un: 6-3, RF/RA: 5.4 - 5.4 Interleague: 9-7 (-215 $ units), Ov-Un: 10-5, RF/RA: 6.1 - 4.3 Interleague: 14-6 (925 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-8, RF/RA: 5.6 - 3.8
Night: 49-36 (530 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-37, RF/RA: 5.4 - 4.8 Night: 30-33 (-830 $ units), Ov-Un: 32-29, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.7 Night: 36-37 (-240 $ units), Ov-Un: 37-29, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.7
Day: 17-12 (225 $ units), Ov-Un: 14-15, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.8 Day: 31-18 (595 $ units), Ov-Un: 20-27, RF/RA: 5.3 - 3.7 Day: 20-20 (160 $ units), Ov-Un: 19-21, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.4
HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.6 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.6 - 1.2 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.4 - 1.3
Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.261 - 0.255 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.253 - 0.248 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.258 - 0.249
On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.336 - 0.334 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.332 - 0.318 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.327 - 0.317
OPS Tm - Opp: 0.793 - 0.754 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.782 - 0.73 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.772 - 0.743
Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.422 - 1.525 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.371 - 1.299 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.36 - 1.389

MIAMI CINCINNATI COLORADO

Manager: MATTINGLY, DON Manager: BELL, DAVID Manager: BLACK, BUD
Overall: 42-69 (-465 $ units), Ov-Un: 50-55, RF/RA: 3.6 - 4.6 Overall: 53-58 (-245 $ units), Ov-Un: 42-64, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.2 Overall: 52-60 (-535 $ units), Ov-Un: 54-53, RF/RA: 5.3 - 5.7
at Home: 22-35 (-525 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-24, RF/RA: 3.7 - 4.7 at Home: 29-25 (30 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-30, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.4 at Home: 29-27 (-230 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-24, RF/RA: 6.5 - 7.0
on Road: 20-34 (60 $ units), Ov-Un: 19-31, RF/RA: 3.5 - 4.6 on Road: 24-33 (-275 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-34, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.0 on Road: 23-33 (-305 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-29, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.4
Division: 16-35 (-795 $ units), Ov-Un: 22-26, RF/RA: 3.5 - 5.0 Division: 24-28 (-420 $ units), Ov-Un: 22-27, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.6 Division: 23-28 (-710 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-24, RF/RA: 5.7 - 6.2
League: 34-60 (-590 $ units), Ov-Un: 43-46, RF/RA: 3.7 - 4.7 League: 46-49 (-185 $ units), Ov-Un: 38-53, RF/RA: 4.7 - 4.2 League: 44-52 (-650 $ units), Ov-Un: 45-46, RF/RA: 5.4 - 5.7
Interleague: 8-9 (125 $ units), Ov-Un: 7-9, RF/RA: 3.2 - 4.0 Interleague: 7-9 (-60 $ units), Ov-Un: 4-11, RF/RA: 3.3 - 4.0 Interleague: 8-8 (115 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-7, RF/RA: 5.1 - 5.5
Night: 29-46 (-230 $ units), Ov-Un: 38-32, RF/RA: 3.9 - 4.7 Night: 37-28 (1155 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-39, RF/RA: 4.8 - 3.9 Night: 32-40 (-565 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-38, RF/RA: 5.3 - 5.4
Day: 13-23 (-235 $ units), Ov-Un: 12-23, RF/RA: 3.1 - 4.4 Day: 16-30 (-1400 $ units), Ov-Un: 19-25, RF/RA: 4.0 - 4.7 Day: 20-20 (30 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-15, RF/RA: 5.4 - 6.2
HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 0.8 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.5
Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.237 - 0.241 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.246 - 0.239 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.267 - 0.276
On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.294 - 0.324 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.316 - 0.313 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.326 - 0.343
OPS Tm - Opp: 0.658 - 0.74 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.736 - 0.722 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.783 - 0.82
Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.395 - 1.309 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.326 - 1.252 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.434 - 1.307

NY METS MILWAUKEE LA DODGERS

Manager: CALLAWAY, MICKEY Manager: COUNSELL, CRAIG Manager: ROBERTS, DAVE
Overall: 57-56 (-850 $ units), Ov-Un: 57-45, RF/RA: 4.8 - 4.8 Overall: 58-56 (-980 $ units), Ov-Un: 51-59, RF/RA: 4.8 - 5.0 Overall: 75-40 (1265 $ units), Ov-Un: 55-54, RF/RA: 5.5 - 3.9
at Home: 30-20 (110 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-21, RF/RA: 4.8 - 4.5 at Home: 33-24 (-160 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-28, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.1 at Home: 44-15 (1665 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-28, RF/RA: 5.5 - 3.3
on Road: 27-36 (-960 $ units), Ov-Un: 33-24, RF/RA: 4.8 - 5.0 on Road: 25-32 (-820 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-31, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.9 on Road: 31-25 (-400 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-26, RF/RA: 5.4 - 4.5
Division: 25-24 (-285 $ units), Ov-Un: 28-15, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.1 Division: 28-24 (70 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-27, RF/RA: 4.8 - 5.4 Division: 34-17 (480 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-23, RF/RA: 5.7 - 4.1
League: 47-52 (-1330 $ units), Ov-Un: 51-38, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.7 League: 54-47 (-170 $ units), Ov-Un: 47-51, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.0 League: 72-34 (1915 $ units), Ov-Un: 51-49, RF/RA: 5.6 - 3.8
Interleague: 10-4 (480 $ units), Ov-Un: 6-7, RF/RA: 6.0 - 4.9 Interleague: 4-9 (-810 $ units), Ov-Un: 4-8, RF/RA: 4.0 - 5.1 Interleague: 3-6 (-650 $ units), Ov-Un: 4-5, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.8
Night: 37-37 (-965 $ units), Ov-Un: 40-27, RF/RA: 4.8 - 5.0 Night: 34-37 (-1295 $ units), Ov-Un: 33-35, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.2 Night: 53-32 (195 $ units), Ov-Un: 37-43, RF/RA: 5.2 - 3.7
Day: 20-19 (115 $ units), Ov-Un: 17-18, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.3 Day: 24-19 (315 $ units), Ov-Un: 18-24, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.7 Day: 22-8 (1070 $ units), Ov-Un: 18-11, RF/RA: 6.1 - 4.3
HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.5 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.6 - 1.4 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.7 - 1.1
Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.253 - 0.253 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.248 - 0.256 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.261 - 0.226
On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.325 - 0.323 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.327 - 0.328 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.342 - 0.282
OPS Tm - Opp: 0.759 - 0.748 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.77 - 0.763 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.811 - 0.667
Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.489 - 1.279 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.328 - 1.441 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.211 - 1.539

PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH SAN DIEGO

Manager: KAPLER, GABE Manager: HURDLE, CLINT Manager: GREEN, ANDY
Overall: 59-53 (-285 $ units), Ov-Un: 53-57, RF/RA: 4.8 - 4.9 Overall: 48-64 (-860 $ units), Ov-Un: 63-42, RF/RA: 4.7 - 5.5 Overall: 51-60 (-1410 $ units), Ov-Un: 51-51, RF/RA: 4.4 - 4.9
at Home: 34-26 (-130 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-32, RF/RA: 5.0 - 5.0 at Home: 24-30 (-835 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-15, RF/RA: 5.0 - 5.9 at Home: 25-30 (-1465 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-26, RF/RA: 3.9 - 4.4
on Road: 25-27 (-155 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-25, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.8 on Road: 24-34 (-25 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-27, RF/RA: 4.4 - 5.0 on Road: 26-30 (55 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-25, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.3
Division: 26-26 (-605 $ units), Ov-Un: 29-22, RF/RA: 5.2 - 5.4 Division: 20-30 (-560 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-21, RF/RA: 4.7 - 5.6 Division: 21-26 (-725 $ units), Ov-Un: 23-22, RF/RA: 4.3 - 5.5
League: 51-48 (-265 $ units), Ov-Un: 50-47, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.2 League: 38-60 (-1555 $ units), Ov-Un: 54-39, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.6 League: 43-56 (-1735 $ units), Ov-Un: 44-48, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.9
Interleague: 8-5 (-20 $ units), Ov-Un: 3-10, RF/RA: 4.2 - 3.2 Interleague: 10-4 (695 $ units), Ov-Un: 9-3, RF/RA: 5.8 - 4.8 Interleague: 8-4 (325 $ units), Ov-Un: 7-3, RF/RA: 5.9 - 4.4
Night: 35-39 (-935 $ units), Ov-Un: 36-37, RF/RA: 4.7 - 5.1 Night: 28-38 (-585 $ units), Ov-Un: 37-26, RF/RA: 4.5 - 5.5 Night: 32-38 (-1025 $ units), Ov-Un: 31-32, RF/RA: 4.0 - 4.7
Day: 24-14 (650 $ units), Ov-Un: 17-20, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.6 Day: 20-26 (-275 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-16, RF/RA: 4.9 - 5.4 Day: 19-22 (-385 $ units), Ov-Un: 20-19, RF/RA: 5.1 - 5.1
HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.7 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.1 - 1.5 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.5 - 1.4
Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.246 - 0.261 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.266 - 0.264 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.245 - 0.252
On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.323 - 0.332 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.323 - 0.339 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.311 - 0.312
OPS Tm - Opp: 0.744 - 0.789 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.751 - 0.804 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.74 - 0.745
Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.44 - 1.352 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.443 - 1.392 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.316 - 1.352

WASHINGTON ST LOUIS SAN FRANCISCO

Manager: MARTINEZ, DAVE Manager: SHILDT, MIKE Manager: BOCHY, BRUCE
Overall: 59-53 (-1095 $ units), Ov-Un: 52-54, RF/RA: 5.0 - 4.6 Overall: 58-53 (-725 $ units), Ov-Un: 46-58, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.4 Overall: 56-57 (1175 $ units), Ov-Un: 56-50, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.8
at Home: 31-25 (-685 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-26, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.8 at Home: 31-23 (-325 $ units), Ov-Un: 19-32, RF/RA: 4.3 - 3.7 at Home: 25-29 (-200 $ units), Ov-Un: 26-24, RF/RA: 3.3 - 4.6
on Road: 28-28 (-410 $ units), Ov-Un: 25-28, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.5 on Road: 27-30 (-400 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-26, RF/RA: 4.6 - 5.0 on Road: 31-28 (1375 $ units), Ov-Un: 30-26, RF/RA: 5.2 - 4.9
Division: 30-22 (365 $ units), Ov-Un: 24-25, RF/RA: 5.5 - 4.6 Division: 26-20 (270 $ units), Ov-Un: 20-22, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.4 Division: 30-27 (1265 $ units), Ov-Un: 27-27, RF/RA: 4.5 - 4.5
League: 51-49 (-1155 $ units), Ov-Un: 47-47, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.7 League: 51-42 (75 $ units), Ov-Un: 40-47, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.3 League: 50-50 (1305 $ units), Ov-Un: 49-45, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.8
Interleague: 8-4 (60 $ units), Ov-Un: 5-7, RF/RA: 5.6 - 3.8 Interleague: 7-11 (-800 $ units), Ov-Un: 6-11, RF/RA: 3.9 - 4.6 Interleague: 6-7 (-130 $ units), Ov-Un: 7-5, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.9
Night: 35-33 (-625 $ units), Ov-Un: 33-29, RF/RA: 5.1 - 4.6 Night: 36-36 (-820 $ units), Ov-Un: 34-35, RF/RA: 4.6 - 4.7 Night: 37-32 (1410 $ units), Ov-Un: 35-30, RF/RA: 4.3 - 4.9
Day: 24-20 (-470 $ units), Ov-Un: 19-25, RF/RA: 4.9 - 4.6 Day: 22-17 (95 $ units), Ov-Un: 12-23, RF/RA: 4.2 - 3.7 Day: 19-25 (-235 $ units), Ov-Un: 21-20, RF/RA: 4.2 - 4.7
HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.2 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1.3 - 1.3 HR's/Game Tm - Opp: 1 - 1.4
Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.256 - 0.248 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.243 - 0.245 Batting AVG Tm - Opp: 0.238 - 0.254
On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.334 - 0.319 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.315 - 0.322 On Base % Tm - Opp: 0.303 - 0.321
OPS Tm - Opp: 0.769 - 0.728 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.72 - 0.736 OPS Tm - Opp: 0.7 - 0.753
Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.528 - 1.445 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.192 - 1.307 Bullpen WHIP Tm - Opp: 1.215 - 1.265

24 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

STEVE MAKINEN’S WNBA

STRENGTH RATINGS Power Rating Effective Strength Bettor Rating

# Road Team/Home Team OL FL Score PR Line Edge Score Proj Edge Score Proj Edge

Wednesday, August 7, 2019

641 NEW YORK LIBERTY 70.5 82 170 79.6 165.3

642 CHICAGO SKY 76 -8.5 88 -6 85.7 -6.1

Thursday, August 8, 2019

643 INDIANA FEVER 72.5 79 167.6 76.1 166.1

644 WASHINGTON MYSTICS 83.5 -13.5 88.6 -9.6 90.1 -14

645 PHOENIX MERCURY 78.5 71.5 151.3 72.7 151.6

646 LOS ANGELES SPARKS 79.5 -6 79.8 -8.3 79 -6.3

647 DALLAS WINGS 70.5 65.6 141.9 68.7 146

648 SEATTLE STORM 78.5 -8.8 76.3 -10.8 77.3 -8.7

Friday, August 9, 2019

649 CONNECTICUT SUN 80 76.5 154 76.8 153.8

650 MINNESOTA LYNX 76 1.3 77.5 -1 77 -0.3

651 CHICAGO SKY 76 80.8 163.1 78.2 160.5

652 LAS VEGAS ACES 83 -5 82.3 -1.6 82.3 -4.1

Saturday, August 10, 2019

653 ATLANTA DREAM 72 71.8 151.2 74 149.8

654 INDIANA FEVER 72.5 -5.5 79.3 -7.5 75.9 -1.9

655 DALLAS WINGS 70.5 67.9 140.6 69.2 145.3

656 PHOENIX MERCURY 78.5 -9.3 72.7 -4.8 76.1 -7

Sunday, August 11, 2019

657 MINNESOTA LYNX 76 77.2 163 76.5 162.6

658 WASHINGTON MYSTICS 83.5 -10 85.7 -8.5 86.1 -9.6

659 SEATTLE STORM 78.5 80.4 157 79.1 155.7

660 NEW YORK LIBERTY 70.5 2.8 76.7 3.7 76.6 2.6

661 CHICAGO SKY 76 77.2 157.7 77.8 161.8

662 LOS ANGELES SPARKS 79.5 -6.5 80.5 -3.3 84.1 -6.3

663 CONNECTICUT SUN 80 74.3 146.5 77.2 154.8

664 LAS VEGAS ACES 83 -1 72.2 2.2 77.6 -0.4

Tuesday, August 13, 2019

601 MINNESOTA LYNX 76 74.8 148.7 79.1 155.7

602 NEW YORK LIBERTY 70.5 3 73.9 0.9 76.7 2.4

603 ATLANTA DREAM 72 71.2 144.7 70.4 147.3

604 LAS VEGAS ACES 83 -11.3 73.5 -2.4 76.9 -6.6

25 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

BY BRADY KANNON @LASVEGASGOLFER

FEDEXCUP PLAYOFFS
TAKE FLIGHT
It is easy now to clearly see the beautiful scheduling
coordination with golf and football.
putting. As for most weeks on the tour, current form is a factor
for determining Northern Trust winners. The champion usually
is someone who has been playing well.
The PGA Tour ended its regular season last week and will
now kick off its three-week postseason tournament series,
the FedExCup Playoffs, that culminates on Aug. 25 with the Full Tournament Head to Head Match Up
crowning of this year’s FedExCup champion. The Northern Marc Leishman (-120) over Rory Sabbatini
Trust at Liberty National Golf Club in Jersey City, N.J., Sabbatini has been a hot player, with two top-10 finishes in
begins golf’s postseason Thursday, the same day that the his last four starts, but those came in second-tier events with
NFL will begin its first full week of preseason games. When watered-down fields. Leishman counters with two top-five
football season concludes with the anointing of its Super Bowl finishes in the last two months against highly competitive fields
champion on Feb. 2, the 2020 golf season will be just getting at The Memorial and at the WGC FedEx St. Jude. Both enter
started again. in good form, but Leishman is the better ball striker, with a
No. 18 ranking in Strokes Gained. Leishman also has the
The FedExCup playoff series opened in 2007 and was advantage of playing here in 2017 for the international side
a four-event show until being trimmed this year to three in the Presidents Cup. I’ll take the better player as a small
tournaments. At the end of play last Sunday at the Wyndham favorite.
Championship, the top 125 players in FedExCup points
standings qualified for round one of the playoffs. The top To WIN The Northern Trust
70 will advance into round two next week for the BMW Marc Leishman (60/1)
Championship at Medinah Country Club in Chicago. The final Let’s go back to the well here again with the 22nd-
leg, The Tour Championship, closes the door on the season at ranked player in the world. Leishman is a former winner
East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta with a field of the final top 30 in the FedExCup Playoff series, having taken the BMW
players in the standings competing for the $10 million grand Championship two years ago while going wire-to-wire against
prize. the top competition in the sport. It was just a month later that
he competed in the Presidents Cup at this course. Leishman is
Liberty National Golf Club, designed by Robert Cubb and 29th on the tour in Scrambling and 38th in Strokes Gained:
Tom Kite, is situated on the shores of New York Harbor with Putting. I like the way he can play and is playing now. I feel
a stunning view of Manhattan and the Statue of Liberty just 60-1 is too high of a number.
a thousand yards away. The course is almost 7,400 yards
in length and plays to a par 71. It hosted this tournament in Patrick Cantlay (20/1), Webb Simpson (25/1),
2009 and 2013 and was home to the Presidents Cup in 2017. Tommy Fleetwood (25/1)
The entire facility cost an estimated $250 million to build and All are tremendous ball strikers who are in very good form.
is equipped with a spa, restaurant, helicopter port, yacht Simpson, in fact, comes in off of two straight second-place
services and millions of cubic feet of dirt that was brought in to finishes.
create the golf course.
If putting is of less importance this week and ball striking is the
It is difficult to handicap this week because there are only two key, is there any better player to fit that mold than Fleetwood?
prior standard tournaments at the site to evaluate. In addition, He finished runner-up to Shane Lowry at the British Open and
because the course was not received well by the pros in then came right back, ripe for a letdown, with a fourth-place
2009, there have been a number of changes, including the finish at the WGC FedEx St. Jude in Memphis. He hasn’t
widening of fairways and massive overhauls to the greens. missed a cut all season and ranks No. 1 in Scrambling.
While this week marks the first time on this course for over half
of the field, it is to some extent the first time for everyone. No. 3 in Scrambling is Cantlay. He’s also third in Strokes
Gained: Tee to Green and 11th in Approach the Green. If
Based on the 2013 tournament, ball-striking will far outweigh that’s not enough, he’s also 27th in Strokes Gained: Putting.
I like the 25-1 on Webb and Tommy better than 20-1 on
Patrick, but this guy’s game is too good to not be in the
FOURSOMES conversation this week.

There’s not much more to say about Simpson other than he

Wes Reynolds Matt Youmans may be the hottest golfer in the game not named Brooks
YTD: -85.0 units YTD: -26.0 units Koepka. Besides his seconds two weeks in a row, he was
second two months ago in Canada. He ranks second in
No Plays this Week No Plays this Week Scrambling. At ninth in the FedExCup standings, Simpson
might not be just a good bet to win this week but maybe to
win the whole darned thing.

26 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

STEVE MAKINEN’S RACE SIMULATION

CONSUMER ENERGY 400

RACE PROJECTIONS
Qualifying Practice Average
Fin Driver Car Team Position Position Finish

1 Logano Joey 22 Penske Racing 3 1 3.278

2 Busch Kyle 18 Joe Gibbs Racing 5 5 4.24
3 Harvick Kevin 4 Stewart Haas Racing 1 12 4.789
4 Keselowski Brad 2 Penske Racing 7 6 6.658
5 Hamlin Denny 11 Joe Gibbs Racing 2 16 7.411
6 Truex Martin 19 Joe Gibbs Racing 21 8 8.561
7 Bowyer Clint 14 Stewart Haas Racing 11 2 9.911
8 Busch Kurt 1 Chip Ganassi Racing 9 13 9.924
9 Jones Erik 20 Joe Gibbs Racing 6 10 9.928
10 Blaney Ryan 12 Penske Racing 8 11 10.232
11 Larson Kyle 42 Chip Ganassi Racing 22 4 10.559
12 Elliott Chase 9 Hendrick Motorsports 16 19 11.027
13 Almirola Aric 10 Stewart Haas Racing 4 17 11.059
14 Suarez Daniel 41 Stewart Haas Racing 15 3 12.416
15 Bowman Alex 88 Hendrick Motorsports 17 15 14.563
16 Byron William 24 Hendrick Motorsports 19 20 14.808
17 Menard Paul 21 Wood Brothers 13 7 16.3
18 Hemric Daniel 8 Richard Childress Racing 14 9 16.336
19 Dillon Austin 3 Richard Childress Racing 12 14 16.99
20 Stenhouse Ricky 17 Roush Fenway Racing 10 18 18.754
21 Johnson Jimmie 48 Hendrick Motorsports 20 23 19.458
22 Newman Ryan 6 Roush Fenway Racing 18 22 19.537
23 Buescher Chris 37 JTG Daugherty Racing 23 21 21.666
24 Preece Ryan 47 JTG Daugherty Racing 27 24 26.1035
25 Dibenedetto Matt 95 Leavine Family Racing 30 29 26.508
26 McDowell Michael 34 Front Row Motorsports 24 27 26.531
27 Wallace Darrell 43 Richard Petty Motorsports 26 30 27.0915
28 Ragan David 38 Front Row Motorsports 25 25 27.9125
29 Dillon Ty 13 Germain Racing 29 26 28.2835
30 Tifft Matt 36 Front Row Motorsports 31 33 30.7455
31 Smithley Garrett 77 Spire Motorsports 28 28 31.011
32 LaJoie Corey 32 Go FAS Racing 32 32 31.5595
33 Cassill Landon 0 StarCom Racing 34 34 33.086
34 Gase Joey 53 Petty Ware Racing 35 36 33.3085
35 Houff Quin 27 Premium Motorsports 33 31 33.782
36 Chastain Ross 15 Premium Motorsports 36 35 33.9205
37 McLeod B.J. 51 Petty Ware Racing 37 38 35.929
38 Theriault Austin 52 Rick Ware Racing 38 37 36.823

NASCAR Race Simulations are developed using a proprietary formula factoring in recent performance
of driver and team, performance at track & track type, qualifying results, and speed at practice sessions.
Simulations in Point Spread Weekly are done on Tuesday’s using projected qualifying and practice ranks for
the upcoming race and actual results in those sessions in the days leading up to the race can alter overall
projections greatly. Average finish positions in the simulations, which are run 1000x each week, can be
considered a “Driver Power Rating” for that race, and can then be used to approximate odds to win, place
in Top 5 or Top 10, or to compare two drivers in a matchup wager.
 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

BY LOU FINOCCHIARO @GAMBLOU

INSIGHT THE OCTAGON:

UNDERHOOK IN URUGUAY
This week, the UFC travels to Montevideo, Uruguay, because Latifi may find the stand-up challenging
for a fight card designed to further expand its brand against this opponent.
in the fertile South American market. The main event
will present less entertainment value than almost every Latifi can also counter well but the biggest concern
other fight on the card, so we’ll discuss it briefly before is his ability to fight effectively past 6 to 7 difficult
returning to a fight twice scheduled for earlier this minutes. Because of his size, he requires massive
year, one which may finally go off Saturday. amounts of energy use, and history shows that he
Value occasionally presents itself earlier in the week tends to wear down quickly with his style of explosive
on underappreciated favorites. I think we have one offensive output.
this week.
Oezdemir is five years younger, which provides
an advantage from the start. He’s also the taller,
Women’s Strawweight longer fighter versed in BJJ but who wants to use
(125 pounds) Championship his kickboxing background to batter opponents and
Champion Valentina ‘Bullet’ Shevchenko finish them.
-1200 vs. Liz ‘girl-rilla’ Carmouche +750
Oezdemir, a top-5 fighter in this division, impressed
The UFC is sending Shevchenko to Uruguay to me in his last outing against up-and-coming Dom
familiarize her to South American fight fans because, Reyes in losing a split decision that could have gone
with Cris Cyborg getting shipped out of the UFC either way. He’ll be focused on getting back into the
(supposedly), the next big-money appearance for win column after losing a fight that he believes he
Featherweight and Bantamweight champion Amanda won.
Nunes is a potential third fight against the undersized
but aptly nicknamed Bullet. For their first scheduled fight, Oezdemir opened at
-175 but dropped to -115 before it was cancelled.
While it would be foolish to disregard Carmouche here The same pattern is emerging here as Oezdemir
(as I did with Nunes against Cyborg), I will say that opened -165 and the number has compressed to its
unless a gaping gash or some unforeseen situation current -125.
arises where Shevchenko is stopped, she will out-skill
Carmouche. My advice is to patiently monitor this number to see
if it continues to drop. If it rises by a penny, I will
In 2010, these two fought and Carmouche won jump because the current -125 is acceptable but
via doctor’s stoppage, so this rematch provides obviously not as good as anything lower.
Shevchenko another shot against the only other fighter For publication purposes I’ll have to strike at -125
not named Amanda Nunes to beat her. Carmouche’s so anything below today’s published price of -125 is
odds are enticing, but it’s early and her price is bound surely a recommendation.
to rise. So a look later in the week may be warranted
as I could easily see this fight going a full 25 minutes. 2019 Insight the Octagon results: 10-13 -2.0 units

Next up is a fight first previewed on PSW May 29 for

the UFC Stockholm card.

Volkan Oezdemir -125 vs. Ilir Latifi +115

Light Heavyweight co-main event

Two Swiss fighters who’ve trained extensively

together face one another to determine who steps up
in this division and who falls back into the mosh pit.

Latifi is appropriately nicknamed “Sledgehammer”

as he is stocky, quick, explosive and ultra-powerful,
relying on destructive roundhouse punches early in
fights. He has a solid wrestling base, which allows
him to pressure opponents to get inside their reach in
order to deliver punishment from the inside. I could
see Latifi trying to work Oezdemir to the ground

28 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

 YOUR YEAR-ROUND HANDICAPPING RESOURCE

BY STEVE MAKINEN @STEVEMAKINEN

STRENGTH RATINGS
TUTORIAL
As we dive head-first into the start of the NFL their own. 2) Each morning I do go back and
season, here is a quick explanation of each make postgame adjustments to the ratings
of the three Strength Ratings offered each based upon results, closing lines, and injuries
week for every game in the various sports we for the purpose of future numbers. 3) Point
cover: spread projections (proj) are built for the
home team. In other words, if the number is
• The Power Ratings (PR) are my own positive, that means the road team would be
manually adjusted ratings updated after favored.
every game based upon analysis of live
action and box scores In general, the best practice is to use the
• The Effective Strength Ratings (EffStr) are ratings and scores (scr) as a basis of where
purely statistical ratings, using the teams’ to expect the lines to be when they come out
key stats against schedule strength and and/or they close. While I stand behind the
their previous opponents’ averages. These Strength Ratings’ for their quality, validity,
are also adjusted for any key injuries the and the methods by which each is built,
team had endured or faced against. tracking the records against the actual lines
• The Bettors Ratings (BtrRtg) are a is the only way to verify the success rates of
quantified interpretation of how bettors each.
perceive teams based upon how lines of
recent games have moved and closed. Over the course of a day or week, the
lines for some games will change. Unless a
Some important points: 1) On injuries player is out, the ratings only change on a
situations where a key line move player is day to day basis based on games played.
listed as doubtful or out, I have already built I personally update the ratings daily, but
the adjustments into the ratings. Where the obviously for uses in the Point Spread
player is questionable or probable, I have Weekly, I cannot present the daily changes.
not, so if that player ends up missing then It is in “overadjustments’ by oddsmakers
the reader needs to account for those on daily that a lot of value can be found.

STRENGTH RATINGS EXAMPLE

CL FL SCORE PR PRLine Edge? EffStrScr EffStrProj Edge? BtrRtgScr BtrRtgProjEdge?
Thursday, August 1, 2019
241 DENVER BRONCOS -2.5 20.5 19 34 19.2 35.5
242 ATLANTA FALCONS 34 16.5 4 15 4 16.3 2.9

29 POINT SPREAD WEEKLY

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