Cont Distribution
Cont Distribution
Gauranga C Samanta
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   1 / 45
  Outline
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   2 / 45
  Uniform Distribution
   Definition 1.
   A random variable X is said to be uniform on the interval [a, b] if its
                                                        1
   probability density function is of the form f (x) = b−a , a ≤ x ≤ b, where
   a and b are constants
   Note: We denote a random variable X with the uniform distribution on
   the interval [a, b] as X ∼ U(a, b).
                                      0, if x ≤ a
                                      
   The cdf of X is given by F (x) = x−a b−a , if a < x < b
                                      
                                       1, if , x ≥ b
                                      
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   3 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Theorem 2.
   Let X be uniformly destributed over an interval (a, b) then
                       a+b
    1. E [X ] =         2
                               2
    2. Var (X )        = (b−a)
                            12
                        ( tb ta
                           e −e
                           t(b−a) ,      if t 6= 0
    3. MX (t) =
                            1,        if t = 0
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   4 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 3.
   Suppose Y ∼ U(0, 1) and Y = X 2 . What is the probability density
   function of X ?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   5 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 3.
   Suppose Y ∼ U(0, 1) and Y = X 2 . What is the probability density
   function of X ?
                  (
                    x
                      ,0 ≤ x ≤ 2
   ANS: f (x) = 2
                   0, otherwise
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   5 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 3.
   Suppose Y ∼ U(0, 1) and Y = X 2 . What is the probability density
   function of X ?
                  (
                    x
                      ,0 ≤ x ≤ 2
   ANS: f (x) = 2
                   0, otherwise
   Example 4.
                                                             10
   If X ∼ U(0, 10), then what is P(X +                       X    ≥ 7)?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   5 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 3.
   Suppose Y ∼ U(0, 1) and Y = X 2 . What is the probability density
   function of X ?
                  (
                    x
                      ,0 ≤ x ≤ 2
   ANS: f (x) = 2
                   0, otherwise
   Example 4.
                                                             10
   If X ∼ U(0, 10), then what is P(X +                       X    ≥ 7)?
              7
   ANS:       10
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   5 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 5.
   If X ∼ U(0, 3), what is the probability that the quadratic equation
   4t 2 + 4tX + X + 2 = 0 has real solutions?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   6 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 5.
   If X ∼ U(0, 3), what is the probability that the quadratic equation
   4t 2 + 4tX + X + 2 = 0 has real solutions?
ANS 0.333
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   6 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 5.
   If X ∼ U(0, 3), what is the probability that the quadratic equation
   4t 2 + 4tX + X + 2 = 0 has real solutions?
   ANS 0.333
   Theorem 6.
   If X is a continuous random variable with a strictly increasing cumulative
   distribution function F (x), then the random variable Y , defined by
   Y = F (X ) has the uniform distribution on the interval [0, 1].
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   6 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 7.
   If the probability density function of X is
              e −x                                                                          1
   f (x) = (1+e  −x )2 , − ∞ < x < ∞, then what is the pdf of Y =                         1+e −X
                                                                                                    ?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022       7 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 7.
   If the probability density function of X is
              e −x                                                                          1
   f (x) = (1+e  −x )2 , − ∞ < x < ∞, then what is the pdf of Y =                         1+e −X
                                                                                                    ?
ANS: Y ∼ U(0, 1)
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022       7 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 7.
   If the probability density function of X is
              e −x                                                                          1
   f (x) = (1+e  −x )2 , − ∞ < x < ∞, then what is the pdf of Y =                         1+e −X
                                                                                                    ?
ANS: Y ∼ U(0, 1)
   Example 8.
   A box to be constructed so that its height is 10 inches and its base is X
   inches by X inches. If X has a uniform distribution over the interval (2, 8),
   then what is the expected volume of the box in cubic inches?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022       7 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 7.
   If the probability density function of X is
              e −x                                                                          1
   f (x) = (1+e  −x )2 , − ∞ < x < ∞, then what is the pdf of Y =                         1+e −X
                                                                                                    ?
ANS: Y ∼ U(0, 1)
   Example 8.
   A box to be constructed so that its height is 10 inches and its base is X
   inches by X inches. If X has a uniform distribution over the interval (2, 8),
   then what is the expected volume of the box in cubic inches?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022       7 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 9.
   Two numbers are chosen independently and at random from the interval
   (0, 1). What is the probability that the two numbers differs by more than
   1
   2?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   8 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 9.
   Two numbers are chosen independently and at random from the interval
   (0, 1). What is the probability that the two numbers differs by more than
   1
   2?
              1
   ANS:       4
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   8 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 9.
   Two numbers are chosen independently and at random from the interval
   (0, 1). What is the probability that the two numbers differs by more than
   1
   2?
              1
   ANS:       4
   Example 10.
   If X ∼ U(0, 1), then find E [e X ]
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   8 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Cont.
   Example 9.
   Two numbers are chosen independently and at random from the interval
   (0, 1). What is the probability that the two numbers differs by more than
   1
   2?
              1
   ANS:       4
   Example 10.
   If X ∼ U(0, 1), then find E [e X ]
ANS e − 1
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   8 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Conti.
   Example 11.
   If a stick of length 1 unit is split at a point u that is uniformly distributed
   over (0, 1), determine the expected length of the piece that contains the
   point 0 ≤ x ≤ 1.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   9 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Conti.
   Example 11.
   If a stick of length 1 unit is split at a point u that is uniformly distributed
   over (0, 1), determine the expected length of the piece that contains the
   point 0 ≤ x ≤ 1.
             1
   ANS       2   + x(1 − x)
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   9 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Conti.
   Example 11.
   If a stick of length 1 unit is split at a point u that is uniformly distributed
   over (0, 1), determine the expected length of the piece that contains the
   point 0 ≤ x ≤ 1.
             1
   ANS       2   + x(1 − x)
   Example 12.
   If a point x is taken at random on a line AB of length 2a, with all
   positions of the point being equally likely, find the expected value of the
   rectangle AxxB.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   9 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Conti.
   Example 11.
   If a stick of length 1 unit is split at a point u that is uniformly distributed
   over (0, 1), determine the expected length of the piece that contains the
   point 0 ≤ x ≤ 1.
             1
   ANS       2   + x(1 − x)
   Example 12.
   If a point x is taken at random on a line AB of length 2a, with all
   positions of the point being equally likely, find the expected value of the
   rectangle AxxB.
ANS 23 a2
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   9 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Conti.
   Example 11.
   If a stick of length 1 unit is split at a point u that is uniformly distributed
   over (0, 1), determine the expected length of the piece that contains the
   point 0 ≤ x ≤ 1.
           1
   ANS     2   + x(1 − x)
   Example 12.
   If a point x is taken at random on a line AB of length 2a, with all
   positions of the point being equally likely, find the expected value of the
   rectangle AxxB.
   ANS 23 a2
   Example 13.
   If a strig of length 1 meter is cut into 2 pieces at a random point along its
   length, what is the probability that the longer piece is at least twice the
   length of the shorter one?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions August 16, 2022 9 / 45
  Uniform Distribution Conti.
   Example 11.
   If a stick of length 1 unit is split at a point u that is uniformly distributed
   over (0, 1), determine the expected length of the piece that contains the
   point 0 ≤ x ≤ 1.
           1
   ANS     2   + x(1 − x)
   Example 12.
   If a point x is taken at random on a line AB of length 2a, with all
   positions of the point being equally likely, find the expected value of the
   rectangle AxxB.
   ANS 23 a2
   Example 13.
   If a strig of length 1 meter is cut into 2 pieces at a random point along its
   length, what is the probability that the longer piece is at least twice the
   length of the shorter one?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions August 16, 2022 9 / 45
  Gamma Distribution
   where z is positive real number. The condition z > 0 is assumed for the
   convergence of the integral.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   10 / 45
  Gamma Distribution Cont.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   11 / 45
  Gamma Distribution Cont.
   Definition 15.
                                  1                              −x
                                        α−1 e β , where x > 0, α > 0, β > 0 is
   A rv X with density f (x) = Γ(α)β αx
   said to have a gamma distribution with parameter α and β.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   12 / 45
  Gamma Distribution Cont.
   Example 17.
   Prove the following
    1. If Xi ∼ Γ(αi , β), i = 1, !2, · · · , n are independent, then
       X n           X n
           Xi ∼ Γ         αi , β
           i=1                i=1
    2. If X ∼ Γ(α, β), then kX ∼ Γ(α, kβ), where k > 0
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   13 / 45
  Exponential Distribution
   Definition 18.
   A continuous random variable X is said to be an exponential random
   variable with parameter β ifx its probability density function is of the
                              −
   following form f (x) = β1 e β , x > 0, β > 0
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   14 / 45
  Exponential Distribution Cont.
   Theorem 19.
   Consider a Poisson process with parameter λ. Let W denote the time of
   the occurrence of the first event. W has an exponential distribution with
   β = λ1
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   15 / 45
  Exponential Distribution Cont.
   Theorem 19.
   Consider a Poisson process with parameter λ. Let W denote the time of
   the occurrence of the first event. W has an exponential distribution with
   β = λ1
          The first occurrence of the event will take place after time w only if
          no occurrences of the events are recorded in the time interval [0, w ].
          Let X denote the number of occurrences of the event in this time
          interval.
          Thus, X Poisson rv with parameter λw
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   15 / 45
  Exponential Distribution Cont.
   Thus
                                   P(W > w ) = P(X = 0) = e −λw
   Now we can have f (w ) = λe −λw .
                                                                         1
   This is the pdf of an exponential rv with β =                         λ
   Theorem 20.
                                                                          n
                                                                          X
   If Xi ∼ Exp(β), and Xi are independent, then                                   Xi ∼ Γ(n, β)
                                                                          i=1
   Example 21.
   If the random variable X has a gamma distribution with parameters α = 1
   and β = 2, then what is the probability density function of the random
   variable Y = e X ?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions          August 16, 2022   16 / 45
  Exponential Distribution Cont.
   Thus
                                   P(W > w ) = P(X = 0) = e −λw
   Now we can have f (w ) = λe −λw .
                                                                         1
   This is the pdf of an exponential rv with β =                         λ
   Theorem 20.
                                                                          n
                                                                          X
   If Xi ∼ Exp(β), and Xi are independent, then                                   Xi ∼ Γ(n, β)
                                                                          i=1
   Example 21.
   If the random variable X has a gamma distribution with parameters α = 1
   and β = 2, then what is the probability density function of the random
   variable Y = e X ?
                          1√
   ANS f (x) =          2x x
                             ,    x ≥1
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions          August 16, 2022   16 / 45
  Problems
   Example 22.
   Customers arrive at a certain shop according to an approximate Poisson
   process at a mean frequency of 20 per hour. What is the probability that
   the shopkeeper will have to wait for more than 5 minutes for the arrival of
   the first customer?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   17 / 45
  Problems
   Example 22.
   Customers arrive at a certain shop according to an approximate Poisson
   process at a mean frequency of 20 per hour. What is the probability that
   the shopkeeper will have to wait for more than 5 minutes for the arrival of
   the first customer?
               −5
   ANS: e      3
   Example 23.
   Telephone calls arrive at a college switchboard according to Poisson
   process on an average of two every three minutes. what is the probability
   that the waiting time is more than 2 minutes till the first call arrive after
   10 AM?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   17 / 45
  Problems
   Example 22.
   Customers arrive at a certain shop according to an approximate Poisson
   process at a mean frequency of 20 per hour. What is the probability that
   the shopkeeper will have to wait for more than 5 minutes for the arrival of
   the first customer?
               −5
   ANS: e      3
   Example 23.
   Telephone calls arrive at a college switchboard according to Poisson
   process on an average of two every three minutes. what is the probability
   that the waiting time is more than 2 minutes till the first call arrive after
   10 AM?
                 4
   ANS e − 3
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   17 / 45
  Problems
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   18 / 45
  Problems
   Example 26.
   Suppose that a system contains a certain type of component whose time,
   in years, to failure is given by T . The random variable T is modeled nicely
   by the exponential distribution with mean time to failure β = 5. If 5 of
   these components are installed in different systems, what is the probability
   that at least 2 are still functioning at the end of 8 years?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   19 / 45
  Problems
   Example 26.
   Suppose that a system contains a certain type of component whose time,
   in years, to failure is given by T . The random variable T is modeled nicely
   by the exponential distribution with mean time to failure β = 5. If 5 of
   these components are installed in different systems, what is the probability
   that at least 2 are still functioning at the end of 8 years?
ANS 0.2627
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   19 / 45
  Problems
   Example 26.
   Suppose that a system contains a certain type of component whose time,
   in years, to failure is given by T . The random variable T is modeled nicely
   by the exponential distribution with mean time to failure β = 5. If 5 of
   these components are installed in different systems, what is the probability
   that at least 2 are still functioning at the end of 8 years?
   ANS 0.2627
   Example 27.
   Let the life time of a radio in years, manufactured by a certain company
   follows exponential distribution with average life 15 years. What is the
   probability that, of eight such radios, at least two last more than 15 years.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   19 / 45
  Problems
   Example 28.
   Suppose that telephone calls arriving at a particular switchboard follow a
   Poisson process with an average of 5 calls coming per minute. What is the
   probability that up to a minute will elapse until 2 calls have come in to the
   switchboard?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   20 / 45
  Problems
   Example 28.
   Suppose that telephone calls arriving at a particular switchboard follow a
   Poisson process with an average of 5 calls coming per minute. What is the
   probability that up to a minute will elapse until 2 calls have come in to the
   switchboard?
   ANS 0.96
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   20 / 45
  Chi-Squared Distribution
                                      f (x) =         1
                                                  Γ(γ/2)2γ/2
                                                             x γ/2−1 e −x/2
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   21 / 45
  Chi-Squared Distribution Conti.
   Theorem 30.
      1. The mgf of χ2γ : MX (t) = (1 − 2t)−γ/2 , t < 1/2
      2. E [χ2γ ] = γ
      3. Var (χ2γ ) = 2γ
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   22 / 45
  Chi-Squared Distribution Conti.
   Example 31.
   If life length of certain kind of device follows chi-squared distribution with
   dof 10. Find the probability that exactly 2 of 6 such devices in a system
   will have to be replaced within the first 16 hours of operation. Assume
   that life of the devices are independent.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   23 / 45
  Chi-Squared Distribution Conti.
   Example 31.
   If life length of certain kind of device follows chi-squared distribution with
   dof 10. Find the probability that exactly 2 of 6 such devices in a system
   will have to be replaced within the first 16 hours of operation. Assume
   that life of the devices are independent.
   Example 32.
   If Xi , i = 1, 2, · · · , n are independent chi-squared rv with dof γi ,
                                                     Xn
   i = 1, 2, · · · , n respectively, then show that      Xi follows chi-squared with
                                                                      i=1
         n
         X
   dof          γi
          i=1
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   23 / 45
  Normal Distribution
                                                  (x−µ)2
                                              −
                        f (x) =     √1 e            2σ 2   , −∞ < x, µ < ∞, σ > 0
                                     2πσ
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   24 / 45
  Normal Distribution Conti.
   Definition 34.
   Let X be normally distributed with parameters µ and σ.
                                                    σ2 t 2
      1. The mgf is: MX (t) = e µt+                  2
      2. E [X ] = µ
      3. Var (X ) = σ 2
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   25 / 45
  Normal Distribution Conti.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   26 / 45
  Normal Distribution Conti.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   26 / 45
  Normal Distribution Conti.
   Theorem 37.
                                                          2
                                                    X −µ
   If X ∼ N(µ, σ 2 ), then the rv                     σ         ∼ χ21
   Proof. HM
   Theorem 38 (Normal probability rule).
   Let X ∼ N(µ, σ 2 ). Then
      1. P[−σ < X − µ < σ] = 0.68 or P[−1 < Z < 1] = 0.68
      2. P[−2σ < X − µ < 2σ] = 0.95 or P[−2 < Z < 2] = 0.95
      3. P[−3σ < X − µ < 3σ] = 0.997 or P[−3 < Z < 3] = 0.997
   Example 39.
   If X ∼ N(0, 1), what is the probability of the rv X less than or equal to
   -1.72?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   27 / 45
  Normal Distribution Conti.
   Theorem 37.
                                                          2
                                                    X −µ
   If X ∼ N(µ, σ 2 ), then the rv                     σ         ∼ χ21
   Proof. HM
   Theorem 38 (Normal probability rule).
   Let X ∼ N(µ, σ 2 ). Then
      1. P[−σ < X − µ < σ] = 0.68 or P[−1 < Z < 1] = 0.68
      2. P[−2σ < X − µ < 2σ] = 0.95 or P[−2 < Z < 2] = 0.95
      3. P[−3σ < X − µ < 3σ] = 0.997 or P[−3 < Z < 3] = 0.997
   Example 39.
   If X ∼ N(0, 1), what is the probability of the rv X less than or equal to
   -1.72?
   ANS 0.0427
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   27 / 45
  Problems
   Example 40.
   If F (z) is a cdf for standard normal distribution, prove that
   F (−z) = 1 − F (z)
   Example 41.
   If X ∼ N(3, 16), then what is P(4 ≤ X ≤ 8)?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   28 / 45
  Problems
   Example 40.
   If F (z) is a cdf for standard normal distribution, prove that
   F (−z) = 1 − F (z)
   Example 41.
   If X ∼ N(3, 16), then what is P(4 ≤ X ≤ 8)?
   ANS 0.2957
   Example 42.
   If X ∼ N(7, 4), what is P(15.364 ≤ (X − 7)2 ≤ 20.095)?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   28 / 45
  Problems
   Example 40.
   If F (z) is a cdf for standard normal distribution, prove that
   F (−z) = 1 − F (z)
   Example 41.
   If X ∼ N(3, 16), then what is P(4 ≤ X ≤ 8)?
   ANS 0.2957
   Example 42.
   If X ∼ N(7, 4), what is P(15.364 ≤ (X − 7)2 ≤ 20.095)?
ANS 0.026
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   28 / 45
  Normal Approximation to Binomial
   Theorem 43.
   If X is a binomail rv with mean µ = np and variance σ 2 = npq, then the
   limiting form of the distribution of Z = X√−np
                                              npq , as n → ∞, is the standard
   normal distribution, i. e. Z ∼ N(0, 1)
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   29 / 45
  Normal Approximation to Binomial Cont.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   30 / 45
  Problems
   Example 44.
   A multiple-choice quiz has 200 questions each with 4 possible answers of
   which only 1 is the correct answer. What is the probability that sheer
   guesswork yields from 25 to 30 correct answers for 80 of the 200 problems
   about which the student has no knowledge?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   31 / 45
  Problems
   Example 44.
   A multiple-choice quiz has 200 questions each with 4 possible answers of
   which only 1 is the correct answer. What is the probability that sheer
   guesswork yields from 25 to 30 correct answers for 80 of the 200 problems
   about which the student has no knowledge?
   ANS 0.1196
   Theorem 45.
   If X has the distribution N(µ, σ 2 ) and if Y = aX + b, then
   Y ∼ N(aµ + b, a2 σ 2 )
Proof: HW
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   31 / 45
  Problems
   Example 46.
   If the waist measurements X of 800 boys are normally distributed with
   µ = 66cm and σ 2 25 cm, find the number of boys with waists greater than
   or equal to 72cm
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   32 / 45
  Problems
   Example 46.
   If the waist measurements X of 800 boys are normally distributed with
   µ = 66cm and σ 2 25 cm, find the number of boys with waists greater than
   or equal to 72cm
ANS 92
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   32 / 45
  Problems
   Example 46.
   If the waist measurements X of 800 boys are normally distributed with
   µ = 66cm and σ 2 25 cm, find the number of boys with waists greater than
   or equal to 72cm
   ANS 92
   Example 47.
   Suppose that a fuse has a life length X which may be considered as a
   continuous random variable with an exponential distribution. There are
   two processes by which the fuse may be manufactured. Process-I yields an
   expected life length of 100 hours, while process-II yields an expected life
   length of 150 hours. Suppose that process-II is twice as costly (per fuse)
   as process-I, which costs C dollars per fuse. Assume, furthermore, that if a
   fuse lasts less than 200 hours, a loss of K dollars is assessed against the
   manufacturer. Which process should be used?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   32 / 45
  Problems
   Example 48.
   Suppose that the life length in hours, say T , of a certain electronic tube is
   a random variable with exponential distribution with parameter β. A
   machine using this tube costs C1 dollars/hour to run. While the machine
   is functioning, a profit of C2 dollars/hour is realized. An operator must be
   hired for a prearranged number of hours, say H, and he gets paid C3
   dollars/hour. For what value of H is the expected profit greatest?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   33 / 45
  Problems
   Example 49.
   The lifetimes of interactive computer chips produced by a certain
   semiconductor manufacturer are normally distributed with mean 1.4 × 106
   hours and standard deviation 3 × 105 hours. Use approximation to
   approximate the probability that a batch of 100 chips will contain at least
   80 whose lifetimes are less than 1.7 × 106 hours.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   34 / 45
  Problems
   Example 49.
   The lifetimes of interactive computer chips produced by a certain
   semiconductor manufacturer are normally distributed with mean 1.4 × 106
   hours and standard deviation 3 × 105 hours. Use approximation to
   approximate the probability that a batch of 100 chips will contain at least
   80 whose lifetimes are less than 1.7 × 106 hours.
   ANS 0.891
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   34 / 45
  Problems
   Example 49.
   The lifetimes of interactive computer chips produced by a certain
   semiconductor manufacturer are normally distributed with mean 1.4 × 106
   hours and standard deviation 3 × 105 hours. Use approximation to
   approximate the probability that a batch of 100 chips will contain at least
   80 whose lifetimes are less than 1.7 × 106 hours.
   ANS 0.891
   Example 50.
   Laptop from a typical company has lifetime distribution such that it does
   not fail until an external shock arrive (assume arrival of shock follows
   Poisson process). The probability that laptop will have a lifetime more
   than one year is 0.5. Find the probablity that the laptop will have life more
   than 2 years given that it has already work for more than 1.5 years (correct
   up to three decimal places)
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   34 / 45
  Problems
   Example 49.
   The lifetimes of interactive computer chips produced by a certain
   semiconductor manufacturer are normally distributed with mean 1.4 × 106
   hours and standard deviation 3 × 105 hours. Use approximation to
   approximate the probability that a batch of 100 chips will contain at least
   80 whose lifetimes are less than 1.7 × 106 hours.
   ANS 0.891
   Example 50.
   Laptop from a typical company has lifetime distribution such that it does
   not fail until an external shock arrive (assume arrival of shock follows
   Poisson process). The probability that laptop will have a lifetime more
   than one year is 0.5. Find the probablity that the laptop will have life more
   than 2 years given that it has already work for more than 1.5 years (correct
   up to three decimal places)
   ANS 0.707
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   34 / 45
  Problems
   Example 51.
   There are two types of batteries lifetime of type i battery is an exponential
   random variable with parameter βi , i = 1, 2. The probability that a type i
   battery from the bin is pi . If a randomly chosen battery is still operating
   after t hours of use what is the probability it will still be operating after an
   additional s hours?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   35 / 45
  Problems
   Example 51.
   There are two types of batteries lifetime of type i battery is an exponential
   random variable with parameter βi , i = 1, 2. The probability that a type i
   battery from the bin is pi . If a randomly chosen battery is still operating
   after t hours of use what is the probability it will still be operating after an
   additional s hours?
                  −s           −s
   ANS p1 e β1 + p2 e β2
   Example 52.
   A bag of cookies is underweight if it weighs less than 500 pounds. The
   filling process dispenses cookies with weight that follows the normal
   distribution with mean 504 pounds and standard deviation 4 pounds. If
   you select 5 bags randomly, what is the probability that exactly 2 of them
   will be underweight?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   35 / 45
  Problems
   Example 51.
   There are two types of batteries lifetime of type i battery is an exponential
   random variable with parameter βi , i = 1, 2. The probability that a type i
   battery from the bin is pi . If a randomly chosen battery is still operating
   after t hours of use what is the probability it will still be operating after an
   additional s hours?
                  −s           −s
   ANS p1 e β1 + p2 e β2
   Example 52.
   A bag of cookies is underweight if it weighs less than 500 pounds. The
   filling process dispenses cookies with weight that follows the normal
   distribution with mean 504 pounds and standard deviation 4 pounds. If
   you select 5 bags randomly, what is the probability that exactly 2 of them
   will be underweight?
   ANS0.15173
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   35 / 45
   Example 53.
   Suppose that if you are s minutes early for an appointment, then you incur
   the cost 6s and if you are s minutes late then you incur the cost 10s.
   Suppose also that the travel time from where you presently are to the
   location of your appointment is a continuous random variable having
   uniform density over 60 to 80 minutes. Determine the time at which you
   should depart if you want to minimize your expected cost.
   Example 54.
   Total number of calls received by the call center follows Poisson process
   with rate 120 calls per hour. Find the probability that in a five working
   day week, exactly in two of the five working days, the call center receives
   his tenth call between first 6 to 8 min. of opening the call center each day.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   36 / 45
   Example 53.
   Suppose that if you are s minutes early for an appointment, then you incur
   the cost 6s and if you are s minutes late then you incur the cost 10s.
   Suppose also that the travel time from where you presently are to the
   location of your appointment is a continuous random variable having
   uniform density over 60 to 80 minutes. Determine the time at which you
   should depart if you want to minimize your expected cost.
   Example 54.
   Total number of calls received by the call center follows Poisson process
   with rate 120 calls per hour. Find the probability that in a five working
   day week, exactly in two of the five working days, the call center receives
   his tenth call between first 6 to 8 min. of opening the call center each day.
ANS0.2048
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   36 / 45
  Problems
   Example 55.
   A basketball team will play a 44-games season. Twenty six of these games
   are against class A teams and 18 are against class B teams. Suppose that
   the team will win each game against a class A team with probability 0.4
   and will win each game against a class B team with probability 0.4.
   Suppose also that the results of the different games are independent.
   Approximate the probability that the basketball team wins total 20 games
   in this 44-game season.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   37 / 45
  Problems
   Example 55.
   A basketball team will play a 44-games season. Twenty six of these games
   are against class A teams and 18 are against class B teams. Suppose that
   the team will win each game against a class A team with probability 0.4
   and will win each game against a class B team with probability 0.4.
   Suppose also that the results of the different games are independent.
   Approximate the probability that the basketball team wins total 20 games
   in this 44-game season.
ANS0.0909
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   37 / 45
  Problems
   Example 56.
   Suppose four of you plan to go to Vasco railway station independent of
   each other. You first walk to main gate, then walk to MES bus stop, after
   that travel in a bus and finally walk to the destination. If the time spent in
   each of the four stages of your travel are independent and exponentially
   distributed with mean 20 minutes each, then find the probability that
   exactly two out of four complete the journey within 35 minutes. Assume
   that there is no waiting time between any of the four stages of trip.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   38 / 45
  Problems
   Example 56.
   Suppose four of you plan to go to Vasco railway station independent of
   each other. You first walk to main gate, then walk to MES bus stop, after
   that travel in a bus and finally walk to the destination. If the time spent in
   each of the four stages of your travel are independent and exponentially
   distributed with mean 20 minutes each, then find the probability that
   exactly two out of four complete the journey within 35 minutes. Assume
   that there is no waiting time between any of the four stages of trip.
ANS 0.0486
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   38 / 45
  Problems
   Example 57.
   The IQ of a randomly selected individual is often supposed to follow a
   normal distribution with mean 100 and standard deviation 15. Find the
   probability that an individual has an IQ
     (i) above 140 and
    (ii) between 120 and 130, and
   (iii) find a value x such that 99% of the population has IQ at least x.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   39 / 45
  Problems
   Example 58.
   A power source gives an output voltage of 12 (volts). Because of random
   fluctuations, the true voltage at any given time is V = 12 + X , where
   X ∼ N(0, 0.1). The voltage is measured once an hour, and if it is outside
   the interval [11.5, 12.5] the power source needs to be adjusted. What is
   the probability that no adjustment is needed during a 24-hour period?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   40 / 45
  Problems
   Example 58.
   A power source gives an output voltage of 12 (volts). Because of random
   fluctuations, the true voltage at any given time is V = 12 + X , where
   X ∼ N(0, 0.1). The voltage is measured once an hour, and if it is outside
   the interval [11.5, 12.5] the power source needs to be adjusted. What is
   the probability that no adjustment is needed during a 24-hour period?
   Example 59.
   Suppose that we are attempting to locate a target in three-dimensional
   space, and that the three coordinate errors (in meters) of the point chosen
   are independent normal random variables with mean 0 and standard
   deviation 2. Find the probability that the distance between the point
   chosen and the target exceeds 3 meters.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   40 / 45
  Problems
   Example 58.
   A power source gives an output voltage of 12 (volts). Because of random
   fluctuations, the true voltage at any given time is V = 12 + X , where
   X ∼ N(0, 0.1). The voltage is measured once an hour, and if it is outside
   the interval [11.5, 12.5] the power source needs to be adjusted. What is
   the probability that no adjustment is needed during a 24-hour period?
   Example 59.
   Suppose that we are attempting to locate a target in three-dimensional
   space, and that the three coordinate errors (in meters) of the point chosen
   are independent normal random variables with mean 0 and standard
   deviation 2. Find the probability that the distance between the point
   chosen and the target exceeds 3 meters.
   ANS 0.5222
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   40 / 45
  Problems
   Example 60.
   The marks obtained by a number of students for a certain subject are
   assumed to be approximately normally distributed with mean 65 and with
   satandard deviation of 5. If 3 students are taken at random from this set,
   what is the probability that exactly two of them hav emarks over 70?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   41 / 45
  Problems
   Example 60.
   The marks obtained by a number of students for a certain subject are
   assumed to be approximately normally distributed with mean 65 and with
   satandard deviation of 5. If 3 students are taken at random from this set,
   what is the probability that exactly two of them hav emarks over 70?
ANS 0.06357
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   41 / 45
  Problems
   Example 60.
   The marks obtained by a number of students for a certain subject are
   assumed to be approximately normally distributed with mean 65 and with
   satandard deviation of 5. If 3 students are taken at random from this set,
   what is the probability that exactly two of them hav emarks over 70?
   ANS 0.06357
   Example 61.
   The life time of electric bulbs has Gamma distribution with mean 20 and
   standard deviation 10 seconds. A bulbs with life less than 20 seconds is
   considered defective. What is the probability that of 6 randomly selected
   bulbs at most two are defective?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   41 / 45
  Problems
   Example 60.
   The marks obtained by a number of students for a certain subject are
   assumed to be approximately normally distributed with mean 65 and with
   satandard deviation of 5. If 3 students are taken at random from this set,
   what is the probability that exactly two of them hav emarks over 70?
   ANS 0.06357
   Example 61.
   The life time of electric bulbs has Gamma distribution with mean 20 and
   standard deviation 10 seconds. A bulbs with life less than 20 seconds is
   considered defective. What is the probability that of 6 randomly selected
   bulbs at most two are defective?
   ANS: 0.16579
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   41 / 45
  Problems
   Example 62.
   The annual rainfall (in inches) in a certain region is normally distributed
   with µ = 40 and σ = 4. What is the probability that in two of the next
   four years, the rainfall will exceed 45 inches? Also find the probability that
   the total rainfall of first two years exceeds the total of the next two years.
   Assume that the rainfall in different years are mutually independent.
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   42 / 45
  Problems
   Example 62.
   The annual rainfall (in inches) in a certain region is normally distributed
   with µ = 40 and σ = 4. What is the probability that in two of the next
   four years, the rainfall will exceed 45 inches? Also find the probability that
   the total rainfall of first two years exceeds the total of the next two years.
   Assume that the rainfall in different years are mutually independent.
   Example 63.
   A fire station is to be located on a road. Suppose that the road is of
   infinite length stretching from point O outward to ∞. If the distance of a
   fire from point O is exponentially distributed with mean 1 mile, then where
   should the fire station be located so as to minimize the expected distance
   from the fire?
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   42 / 45
  Problems
   Example 62.
   The annual rainfall (in inches) in a certain region is normally distributed
   with µ = 40 and σ = 4. What is the probability that in two of the next
   four years, the rainfall will exceed 45 inches? Also find the probability that
   the total rainfall of first two years exceeds the total of the next two years.
   Assume that the rainfall in different years are mutually independent.
   Example 63.
   A fire station is to be located on a road. Suppose that the road is of
   infinite length stretching from point O outward to ∞. If the distance of a
   fire from point O is exponentially distributed with mean 1 mile, then where
   should the fire station be located so as to minimize the expected distance
   from the fire?
   ANS: ln 2 miles
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   42 / 45
  Conceptual
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   43 / 45
  Conceptual
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions   August 16, 2022   44 / 45
                                Thank you for your attention
Gauranga C Samanta (P. G. Dept. of Maths)Some Standard Continuous Distributions August 16, 2022 45 / 45