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2015 NFL Draft Insights

This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2015 NFL Draft. It discusses several key positions in this year's draft class including quarterbacks, running backs, offensive tackles, and cornerbacks. The class is described as unique with deep positions at receiver but a poor quarterback class. The cover story analyzes the rise of the receiving position in today's NFL and passing-focused offenses. It also outlines the draft philosophy used in their scouting reports, focusing on a prospect's physical traits, football skills, football IQ, and pro projection. Several potential late-round steals are highlighted at running back and wide receiver.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
403 views23 pages

2015 NFL Draft Insights

This document provides an overview and analysis of the 2015 NFL Draft. It discusses several key positions in this year's draft class including quarterbacks, running backs, offensive tackles, and cornerbacks. The class is described as unique with deep positions at receiver but a poor quarterback class. The cover story analyzes the rise of the receiving position in today's NFL and passing-focused offenses. It also outlines the draft philosophy used in their scouting reports, focusing on a prospect's physical traits, football skills, football IQ, and pro projection. Several potential late-round steals are highlighted at running back and wide receiver.

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tcy09
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NFL Draft Preview 2015

The Age of the

Re
Receiver
In This Issue:
Inside the Draft IQ Philosophy
Late Round Sleepers

1st Round Mock Draft


100+ Player Ratings

Path to the Draft:


Something for Everyone in 2014
Every draft has its own narrative, thats the reason we start every guide with the Path to
the Draft. Last years cover story emphasized Seattles blueprint of drafting and
developing mid-round prospects, collectively molding them into a championship roster.
This years draft doesnt offer the same opportunity, so teams will have to draw up a
new blueprint for 2015. It is, however, a unique draft with a few incredibly deep positions
and equally weak groups at several others. The QB class is as about as poor as its
been since 1997, a draft that featured Jim Drukenmiller as the first and only QB taken in
the first round (by San Francisco). Receiver, on the other hand, offers 8-10 first-round
talents and more potential starters and game changers later into the draft. We anticipate
a lot of movement via trade at the top of the draft as teams jostle for position to select
one of the few superstars available this year.

RB: The NFL is an ebb and flow of trends and after two years of no running
backs selected in round one, we expect two Georgias Todd Gurley and
Wisconsins Melvin Gordon to be taken in the top 25. Theres a chance of
Indianas Tevin Coleman, Nebraskas Ameer Abdullah or Boise States Jay
Ajayi sneaking into round one as well. As youll see in our cover story, its
still a passing league, but a focus on the RB position seems to be coming
back in style.
Gurley: Blend of
Speed & Power

OT: This group is deep and theres a lot to like. Theres a cluster at the top with Iowas
Brandon Scherff, LSUs Lael Collins, Stanfords Andrus Peat and Miamis Ereck
Flowers, but second-tier guys like Floridas D.J. Humphries, Pitts T.J. Clemmings,
Oregons Jake Fisher and Texas A&Ms Cedric Ogbuehi (coming off a torn ACL) all
have bright futures as starting tackles in the NFL.
CB: Speaking of trends, for two years in a row we have deep classes at both
receiver and their defensive counterpart. Michigan States Trae Waynes is the
consensus top CB but beyond that theres a litany of players with a lot to offer.
Natural talents like Wake Forests Kevin Johnson and Miamis (Ohio) Quentin
Rollins are juxtaposed with talented yet troubled prospects like Washingtons
Marcus Peters and LSUs Jalen Collins. There are some intriguing players late
including Louisvilles Charles Gaines, USCs Josh Shaw and Memphis Bobby
McCain.
Sit back and buckle up, the unpredictability of this years class should make for
an interesting day one. Fitting as the draft moves to Chicago this year, the first
time not in New York in 51 years. The path might be a bumpy one so sit back
and try to enjoy the ride!

Johnson:
Complete CB

Cover Story: The Dawn of the Receiving Era


For years NFL rule changes have typically favored the passing game. It
really started to take shape in the late 1970s when the rule stating a
defense cannot engage a receiver 5 yards beyond the line of
scrimmage was instituted. Since then it seems each year rule changes
like no head slaps, greater protection of QBs in the pocket, postreception football move to decrease fumbles, etc. all seem to favor
passing offenses.

Green-Beckham:
The Enigma

But the rule changes are only part of the story. Longtime Dallas
Cowboys Vice President of Player Personnel Gil Brandt studied trends
in Texas high school football and what he discovered helps explain the
offensive output by signal callers and their pass catchers. A statistical
analysis of 242 of the largest Texas high school teams revealed that
only 53 teams scored less than 25 points. Brandt credits the high
scoring to increasingly complex passing offenses utilized at the high
school level. By the time these players reach the NFL theyve been
working within pass-oriented systems for up to 8 years.

McBride: Late
Round Steal?

The initial thought was that the offensive metamorphosis would lead to
a bevy of high performing quarterbacks putting up numbers never
before seen in the league. And after 2011 it looked like that was about
to happen. Twelve teams nearly a fifth of the league drafted QBs in
the 2011 draft. Cam Newton, Jake Locker, Blaine Gabbert, Christian
Ponder, Andy Dalton and Colin Kaepernick were at the head of the
class, taken in the first two rounds. Newton passed for 422 yards in his
pro debut. Kaepernick has appeared in a Super Bowl. Even the much
maligned Dalton has averaged 3,700 yards passing in his first four
seasons.

Perriman: Late
Riser

A look at the state of QBs in this years offseason reveals that the new
age of QB never came. Ponder and Gabbert were busts. Locker is out
of the league. For teams in need of a QB in 2015 such as Cleveland,
Tampa Bay, Houston, Tennessee and the N.Y. Jets, there were no big
free agent finds, no QBs waiting in the wings to be traded. They
essentially played a game of musical chairs with Tampas Josh
McCown signing with Cleveland, Houstons Ryan Fitzpatrick now with
the Jets and Clevelands Bryan Hoyer in Houston. Tampa Bay and
Tennessee are expected to try their luck again in this years draft,
selecting first and second respectively.

Dorsett: Fastest
of the Bunch?

Though passing numbers are up teams are still struggling to develop a


franchise QB. Wide receivers, on the other hand, are developing at a
rapid pace. Until recently a receiver was expected to take about three
seasons to develop, but 2014s draft class said to the world, To hell
with your three years, were here now. They were, arguably, the
greatest rookie WR class of all time. Statistically there is no argument.
The 33 receivers taken produced 807 receptions for 10,445 yards and
81 TDs. Odell Beckham Jr., Mike Evans and Kelvin Benjamin became
the first trio from the same draft to top 1,000 yards their rookie years.
This years class looks to be just as good, with as many as 8 first round
prospects. Amari Cooper, Kevin White and Devante Parker make up
this years top trio, but a host of others are lining up behind them, ready
to make their mark in the NFL. It seems the receiver, not the QB, is
ultimately the position that will define modern NFL offenses.

The Definitive Draft IQ Philosophy

The Science Behind The Player Rating System


Ive been following the NFL draft closely since 1990 and putting together the yearly
guide that started on a Days Inn hotel Xerox machine and developed into the small
manifesto it is today since 1998. Since the beginning there has been a four-prong
philosophy used to rank players. A fifth prong that naturally exists among every fan is
team fit but this of course differs from person to person based on their NFL teams
needs. The four prongs break down to these simple concepts:
1. Does the prospect look like a football player? Every position has an ideal size or
sizes, such as 510 slippery slot receiver or large, 64 red zone threat. Theres a
phrase that youll often hear, He plays bigger/faster than is, which really boils down to
how comfortable a player is in his skin. Different body types are better suited for certain
positions, but you want your football players to be in shape and have a body type that
matches both their position and style of play.
2. Does the prospect play like a football player? Even some of the most athletic players
just play awkward. Current free agent TE Jermaine Gresham looks the part as a big,
strong athlete, but its really tough to watch him awkwardly maneuver around defenders
and making hapless turnovers. We prefer players that make it look effortless.
3. Does the prospect think like a football player? Were talking football IQ and instincts
here. Some players pick up the game quicker than others. Position changes, pedigree,
and coaching staffs all play an integral role in helping develop a players football smarts
(or possibly hinder his development). Does it come easy or do they struggle to pick up
concepts in the classroom and diagnose plays on the field? We like our players thinking
fast and reacting on instinct.
4. What is the prospects floor and ceiling? How pro ready is the player entering the NFL
(his floor) and how much more do you expect him to develop once in the pros (his
ceiling). Amari Cooper and Kevin White are perfect examples from this class as Cooper
is more pro ready now and the safer pick, but with his superior size and speed White
has a greater chance to develop further in the NFL.
There of course are other factors (offense/defense scheme, consistency of productivity,
leadership skills, etc.) but these are the four basic pillars that support our rating system.
4

Late Round Gems Ready for Their Close-Up


Film critic Roger Ebert described Howard Hawks 1946 film noir The Big Sleep as being
about the process of a criminal investigation. Ironically it is the process leading up to the
NFL draft that often uncovers the classic sleeper. Whether its a small school, buying
in on a late bloomer or simply a scout seeing something special in a player that others
missed, each draft offers a plethora of steals that make those mid-to-late round picks
incredibly valuable. Its all about the process of finding the right player for your team.
Running Back
David Johnson, Northern Iowa: Johnson is a big back with some wiggle and
proved he belongs with the big boys, racking up 200 yards receiving alone vs.
Iowa in 2014.
John Crockett, North Dakota State: Extremely productive at the FCS level with
three consecutive 1,000-plus yard seasons including 1,994 yards and 21 TDs in
2014. Has the potential to be an every-down back in the pros.
Tyler Varga, Yale: Versatile back in the Danny Woodhead mold but bigger at
225 lbs., and can play some fullback as well. Tough inside runner and offers
some surprising speed. Finished eighth among all college football backs in yards
per game in 2015 with 142.3.

Crockett

Wide Receiver
Rannell Hall, Central Florida: Teammate Breshad Perriman might get all
the attention but Hall is no slouch. 60 193 lbs. and ran the 40 in 4.38
seconds. Hall was a late addition to the Senior Bowl and looked as
technically sound as any receiver in the game.

Hall

Tre McBride, William & Mary: Former high school RB is a big-bodied


receiver who relies on route running and positioning rather than speed
to get open. He made it look easy vs. smaller corners at the East-West
Shrine game.

The Big Sleep Cont.


Defensive End
Anthony Chickillo, Miami (Fla.): Prototype 4-3 DE was out of place in Miamis
3-4 defensive scheme and should be a better pro than a college player.
Dependable, third generation player for the Hurricanes, started nearly every
game of his college career including nine starts as a true freshman.
Jermauria Rasco, LSU: Though he didnt get the headlines behind more high
profile teammates Rasco led the Tigers in sacks his junior and senior
seasons. Scrappy player with good burst and always seems to be around
the ball.

Chickillo

Defensive Tackle
Leterrius Walton, Central Michigan: Converted offensive lineman is still a work in
progress but a 65 321 and athletic he can play multiple schemes. If coached up,
Walton could become more than just a rotational player.
Xavier Williams, Northern Iowa: Space eater at 325 lbs., Williams posted a surprising 8
sacks in 2014 along with 11 tackles for loss. The question is if he can continue to
disrupt the backfield with such a large leap to the NFL.
Cornerback
Charles Gaines, Louisville: Converted wide receiver is still learning the technical side of
the position but shows natural playmaking ability and cover skills to the point that
opponents often threw away from him in 2014.
Justin Coleman, Tennessee: Physical and confident corner might be relegated to slot
duty because of limited size at 510 190 lbs. Believes he can matchup against anyone.
Ladarius Gunter, Miami (Fla.): Looks the part at 61 and 200 lbs. with natural
athleticism but hasnt put it all together for some reason. Seems to be in his head, if
coached up theres starting potential here.
Safety
Durrell Eskridge, Syracuse: Tremendous size and athletic ability but still
developing as a football player. The physical tools are there, the question
is if his instincts will ever catch up to his athleticism.

Eskridge

Anthony Jefferson, UCLA: Hard worker and respected teammate battled


injury and position changes to settle in at strong safety while earning AllPac-12 honors the past two seasons.

2015 Mock Draft


Do we have to keep doing this? Oh, all right,
fine!

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers


Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State: This pick makes the most sense, it is a
huge need for the Bucs and though Winston might not be the top overall
player, hes a top player that fills their biggest need.
2. Tennessee Titans
Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon: Were pretty sure Mariota goes here, were just
not convinced its Tennessee making the pick.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars
Leonard Williams, DT, USC: Gus Bradley cant pass on the top overall player
in the draft.
4. Oakland Raiders
Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama: Derek Carr had a pretty good rookie campaign,
Cooper gives him an actual receiving threat.
5. Washington Redskins
Dante Fowler, Jr., OLB, Florida: Redskins jump at the chance to grab Fowler
when he falls this far.
6. N.Y. Jets
Bud Dupree, OLB, Kentucky: Rex Ryan may be gone but defense is still the
name of the game in New York.
7. Chicago Bears
Danny Shelton, DT, Washington: Chicago is making the switch to a 3-4
defense without a true NT on their roster. New head coach John Fox has a
history of defensive first round picks. Shelton makes sense here.
8. Atlanta Falcons
Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia: Atlanta is admittedly desperate for a pass rush, but
with guys like Gregory and Ray falling, they can fill that need later. Julio Jones
and Roddy White with Gurley? Who do you defend in Hotlanta?
9. New York Giants
Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa: Giants are still a run-oriented team and have
some holes to fill on the offensive line.
7

Mock Draft Cont.


10. St. Louis Rams
Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State: Tough to pass on Kevin White here but
defense dominates the NFC West and the Rams are already one of the best
before this pick.
11. Minnesota Vikings
Kevin White, WR, West Virginia: What a weapon for young QB Teddy
Bridgewater. If Peterson returns to form, this offense could be potent.
12. Cleveland Browns
DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville: Regardless of who is actually throwing the
passes in Cleveland they need to replace talented WR Josh Gordon. Parker
fits the bill.
13. New Orleans Saints
Randy Gregory, OLB, Nebraska: The Saints are desperate to reload on
offense and take a chance on Gregory, who falls after a failed drug test at the
combine.
14. Miami Dolphins
Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin: Gordon gives Joe Philbins offense a new
dynamic and takes pressure off both Ryan Tannehill and Lamar Miller.
15. San Francisco 49ers
Arik Armstead, DE, Oregon: The 49ers begin to pick up the pieces after
Patrick Willis announced his retirement and Justin Smith expected to follow.
Armstead is a nice start and could play inside or outside in their 3-4 defense.
16. Houston Texans
Nelson Agholor, WR, USC: They dont have to find the next Andre Johnson,
just someone to play opposite DeAndre Hopkins. Agholor gives whoever
starts at QB a decent pair of weapons.
17. San Diego Chargers
Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford: The Chargers line was a mess last season, Peat
offers a good value and stays in California.
18. Kansas City Chiefs
Malcolm Brown, DT, Texas: The temptation to go receiver hill is strongas in
Jalen Strong, but K.C. also has issues on the D-line and can go WR later in a
deep class.
19. Cleveland Browns
Eddie Goldman, DT, Florida State: If the Browns are smart and stay put with
both 1st round picks they could walk away addressing needs on both sides of
the ball.
8

Mock Draft Cont.


20. Philadelphia Eagles
Kevin Johnson, CB, Wake Forest: Well actually be quite surprised if Chip
Kelly stays put, but Johnson is a safe pick and fills a need for the birds.
21. Cincinnati Bengals
Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami: Theres a good chance at least one of Cincys two
starting tackles will be gone next season, and we think its the RT.
22. Pittsburgh Steelers
Marcus Peters, CB, Washington: The Steelers have aged quite a bit on
defense in recent years, opening the door to take a chance on a troubled yet
talented defender in Peters.
23. Detroit Lions
Jordan Phillips, DT, Oklahoma: The Lions lost both their talented interior
lineman that predicated everything they did on defense. They start over with a
high risk/high reward prospect in Phillips...kind of like both Suh and Fairley.
24. Arizona Cardinals
Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State: The Cardinals need a plan for Larry
Fitzgeralds eventual replacement and they go with the hometown boy that
offers a similar style of play.
25. Carolina Panthers
Lael Collins, OT, LSU: The panthers have major issues at both tackle
positions. They can fill one here and have their choice. A case could also be
made for Florida OT D.J. Humphries
26. Baltimore Ravens
Breshad Perriman, WR, Central Florida: Dont believe Joe Flacco when he tells
you the Ravens are happy with their current crop of wideouts. They need a big
weapon and get one in Perriman.
27. Dallas Cowboys
Phillip Dorsett, WR, Miami (Fla.): The Cowboys dont get the RB they need this
deep into the first round, so they load up with more weapons for Romo.
28. Denver Broncos
D.J. Humprhies, OT, Florida: Last years RT Louis Vasquez was a fill-in from
the guard position. Humphries is a plug-and-play RT, allowing Vasquez to move
back to his natural position.
29. Indianapolis Colts
Landon Collins, S, Alabama: Collins fits a major need for the Colts and they
manage to get the top rated player at his position near the bottom of the round.

Mock Draft Cont.


30. Green Bay Packers
Eric Kendricks, LB, UCLA: With A.J. Hawk gone, the Packers find a more
athletic replacement in Kendricks.
31. New Orleans Saints
Jalen Collins, CB, LSU: The defensive rebuild continues, again with a
questionable but talented character. Defensive coordinator Rob Ryan should
gravitate towards Collins aggressive nature.
32. New England Patriots
Laken Tomlinson, OG, Duke: Classic Patriots selection, unheralded yet solid
player who might start from day one.

THE
RATINGS
Quarterback: This is the weakest class we can remember.
Who We Love: Brett Hundley

Physically a combination of Robert Griffin III and Cam Newton.


1. Jameis Winston, Florida State: Has all the physical skills and on-field leadership
you want in a franchise QB. The big question mark is the off-field behavior. Hes ready
for the physical rigors of the NFL. Is he ready for the fame?
NFL Equal: Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh
2. Marcus Mariota, Oregon: Unlike Winston, Mariotas questions come on the field.
Dual-threat QB looks the part but is a system QB that will need to adjust to NFL play.
NFL Equal: Ryan Tannehill, Miami
10

3. Brett Hundley, UCLA: Hundley put up consistent numbers three years in a row in
the Pac 12, even during an injury-filled senior campaign. Physical specimen should
develop into a quality starter with some seasoning.
4. Bryce Petty, Baylor: Has physical tools and all the confidence you want in your QB.
Can make every NFL throw but operated in a college system that dictated his reads.
Hell need some time to learn how to read and react to NFL defenses.
5. Garrett Grayson, Colorado St.: There is a significant drop off in this years class
after Petty. From here on out its mostly career backups, including Grayson. Decent
accuracy but average arm strength gives defenders that extra split second they need to
defend his passes.
6. Sean Mannion, Oregon State: Looks the part at nearly 66 and 230 lbs. but hasnt
yet put it all together. Wildly inconsistent, youre not sure if youre getting Joe Flacco or
Andy Dalton.
7. Taylor Kelly, Arizona State: Athletic QB with intangibles off the chart. He wont win
any arm strength competitions and is undersized for the position, but something about
his college game reminds of Tom Bradys Michigan days.
8. Shane Carden, East Carolina: Gunslinger with impressive yardage and TD-INT
ration in three years as a Pirate. Carden unfortunately lacks the physical tools height
and arm strength specifically. Hell make a roster and try to prove himself from there.
9. Connor Halliday, Washington State: Put up big numbers in the Cougars spread
offense, so the question of system quarterback will linger until he plays in the NFL.
Good size at 64 and an NFL arm.
10. Bo Wallace, Mississippi: Perhaps the most physically gifted of this weak QB class
but sloppy mechanics and inconsistency leave a lot to be desired. Wallace will need to
be coached up but will be one worth watching in the coming seasons.

11

Running Back: Deep class with a potential once-in-a-decade back at the top.
Who We Love: Ameer Abdullah, Nebraska

Unheralded but undersized, Abdullah is solid in every aspect of his game.


1. Todd Gurley, Georgia: Medical re-checks after a torn ACL look good so Gurley
should be on an NFL field in 2015. Terrific blend of speed and power and tough to bring
down once he gets going.
NFL Equal: Marshawn Lynch, Seattle
2. Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin: Put up huge numbers in 2014 with 2,587 yards rushing
and 29 TDs. More speed than power with great acceleration and good vision.
NFL Equal: LeSean McCoy, Buffalo
3. Ameer Abdullah, Nebraska: Small stature at 58 and 200 lbs. but tremendous
instinct and patience as a runner. Put up back-to-back 1,600-plus yard seasons at
Nebraska. Should thrive in the NFL in the right system.
4. Tevin Coleman, Indiana: Speed back with decent power and runs with authority,
which sometimes leads to injury. Had 2,036 yards rushing and averaged an insane 40.3
yards per score on his 15 TD runs. As big a home run threat as youll find in this draft.
5. Jay Ajayi, Boise State: London-born Ajayi had a rough start to his college career
with an arrest and torn ACL in 2011. Rebounded to set school records in rushing yards
(1,823), rushing TDs (28) and all-purpose yards (2,358) among others. Big knock is a
lack of patience as he often bounces outside looking for the big play. That wont fly in
the NFL.
6. Duke Johnson, Miami (Fla.): Miamis all-time leader in all-purpose yards bounced
back from a broken ankle in 2013 to rush for 1,652 yards in 2014. Big play threat may
be best utilized as the speed option of a two-back set due to his slight frame and injury
concerns.
7. T.J. Yeldon, Alabama: Big play threat but rough around the edges as an upright
runner with issues in pass protection and with fumbling. If coached up Yeldon could be
the steal of this talented RB class.
8. David Johnson, Northern Iowa: Poor mans LeVeon Bell put up big numbers at
Northern Iowa, including three 1,000-plus yard seasons and 141 receptions in four
seasons.

12

9. David Cobb, Minnesota: Workhorse back with a thick build, Cobb was made to be a
feature back in the NFL. Not the big play threat other backs are but will keep the chains
moving in the right direction.
10. Javorius Allen, USC: Looks the part and put up nearly 2,000 all-purpose yards in
2014. Allen does everything good, nothing great.
Wide Receiver: This class is as deep, if not deeper, than last years fantastic class
of wideouts. There are starters to be found in the middle rounds.
Who We Love: Nelson Agholor, USC

Great blend of size and speed and a dynamic return man for added value.
1. Kevin White, West Virginia: Has the highest floor of any wide receiver since A.J.
Green in 2011. 63 and 210 lbs. and a burner who can beat you on the outside. The
only concern is the one year of production at West Virginia, but what a year with 109
receptions for 1,447 yards and 10 TDs.
NFL Equal: Julio Jones, Atlanta
2. Amari Cooper, Alabama: White may have the highest ceiling but Cooper has the
highest floor. Which one of those is more valued on draft day has yet to be determined.
Technically solid, can run any route and can turn short passes into long gains. Not as
explosive as some of the other WRs in this class but as close to a veteran as youll find
in a rookie.
NFL Equal: Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh
3. DeVante Parker, Louisville: Not quite the playmaker as White, not quite the
technician of Cooper, but may excel in each category over one of the other two, putting
him right in the middle of the debate on best receiver. Though he may not be the first
WR taken, he may pull and Odell Beckham Jr. and be the best after 2015.
4. Dorial Green-Beckham, Oklahoma: Were going to use two Bengals receivers for
comparison Green-Beckham has the size and talent of A.J. Green and the off-field
issues of Chris Henry. Troubles are well documented with multiple drug charges and
accused of assaulting his girlfriend, leading to his dismissal from Missouri. At 66, 225
lbs. hes the wildcard of the first round, no one is sure where hell ultimately be drafted.
5. Jaelen Strong, Arizona State: Big-bodied receiver will win contested balls in tight
coverage, minimizing the window for his QB to hit. Coming off a wrist injury but
medically cleared. Three consecutive 1,000-plus yard seasons with the Sun Devils.
13

6. Nelson Agholor, USC: Stepped up in the wake of Marquise Lees injury in 2013,
becoming the teams most consistent receiver. Followed that with 104 catches for 1,313
yards and 12 TDs in 2014 as the official number one receiver. After Cooper hes
probably the most polished receiver available.
7. Phillip Dorsett, Miami (Fla.): Possibly the fastest receiver in the draft and can cut on
a dime, turning cornerbacks around. Has terrific body control and is a threat wherever
he catches the ball. A bit small at 59 but an absolute playmaker. The only caveat the
same thing was said about similar player in Tavon Austin.
8. Breshad Perriman, Central Florida: Has all the physical tools at 63 215 lbs. and
ran an insane 4.25 40 yard dash at his pro day. Modern day Mike Mamula, as Perriman
was inconsistent at Central Florida, running sloppy routes and dropping catchable balls.
Very raw but could put it all together to be a star. If hes not over-drafted he could be the
steal of the draft. Great pedigree, son of former NFL receiver Brett Perriman.
9. Tyler Lockett, Kansas State: Similar player to Dorsett with a bit less in the speed
department. Small in stature at 59 but makes big plays. Father is former Kansas State
great and NFL WR Kevin Lockett. Should excel in the slot.
10. Josh Harper, Fresno State: Followed up a strong 2013 campaign with a better
2014 despite the loss of QB Derek Carr. Good size, speed and route running. May
never be a true number one but a steady, reliable number two for a decade.

Best of the Rest

The Burners

The Big Guys

Devin Smith, Ohio State (4.38 40 dash)

Devin Funchess, Michigan (65)

Sammie Coates, Auburn (4.36 40 dash)

Vince Mayle, Wash. St. (62)

Stefon Diggs, Maryland (4.46 40 dash)

Tony Lippett, Michigan (63)

Chris Conley, Georgia (4.35 40 dash)

Devin Gardner, Michigan (64)

14

Tight End: Weak class with a few quality all-around prospects at the top.
Who We Love: Jeff Heuerman, Ohio State

If given the opportunity in a passing offense, he may end up the best all-around
TE in this class.
1. Maxx Williams, Minnesota: Second generation player is the son of former N.Y.
Giants offensive lineman Brian Williams. Not a game changer but can do everything
asked of an NFL TE. Very scheme-diverse and can should be a day one starter.
NFL Equal: Jordan Cameron, Miami
2. Clive Walford, Miami (Fla.): More athletic than Williams but nowhere near as
consistent. Will offer mismatches against LBs trying to cover him, but probably needs
some coaching and seasoning at the pro level.
NFL Equal: Jermaine Gresham, Free Agent
3. Jeff Heuerman, Ohio State: Excellent blocker offers surprising athleticism and
hands. Not a big threat to make plays after the catch but at 65 hes a big target for
QBs.
4. Nick OLeary, Florida State: Gritty player is more of a receiving threat than in-line
blocker. Would be best suited as the receiving TE in an offense that features two TEs.
5. Ben Koyack, Notre Dame: Following in Notre Dames tradition of churning out NFL
TEs like Kyle Rudolph and Tyler Eifert. Koyack offers similar skills but not nearly as
polished as his predecessors and will need a year or two to develop.
6. Jesse James, Penn State: Red zone threat but doesnt always play as big as his
size (67, 255 lbs.). Continued steady improvement his junior year but should have
stayed for one more year.
7. Nick Boyle, Delaware: A big blocking TE that flashes occasionally as a receiver, as
his 42 receptions for 476 yards and 7 TDs as a junior reflect.
8. Tyler Croft, Rutgers: Receiving threat not much of a blocker at 240 lbs. Will likely be
utilized as a spread TE in the Jimmy Graham mold.
9. E.J. Bibbs, Iowa State: Jack-of-all-trades is a good athlete and a highlight reel of
excellent grabs but lacks the size to hold up as an every-down TE.
10. MyCole Prewitt, Southern Illinois: Good athlete caught 81 balls for 861 yards
along with 13 TDs in 2014 at the FCS level.
15

Offensive Tackle

Offensive Guard

Collins

Marpet
1. A.J. Cann, South Carolina
2. Laken Tomlinson, Duke
3. Tre Jackson, Florida State
4. Arie Kouandjio, Alabama
5. Ali Marpet, Hobart
6. John Miller, Louisville
7. Josue Matias, Florida
8. Jarvis Harrison, Texas A&M
9. Jamil Douglas, Arizona State
10. Jamon Brown, Louisville

1. Brandon Scherff, Iowa


2. Lael Collins, LSU
3. Andrus Peat, Stanford
4. Ereck Flowers, Miami (Fla.)
5. T.J. Clemmings, Pittsburgh
6. Jake Fisher, Oregon
7. D.J. Humprhies, Florida
8. Cedric Ogbuehi, Texas A&M
9. Daryl Williams, Oklahoma
10. Ty Sambrailo, Colorado State
Center

1. Cameron Erving, Florida State


2. Reese Dismukes, Auburn
3. Hroniss Grasu, Oregon
4. Andy Gallik, Boston College
5. B.J. Finney, Kansas State
Defensive End: Tough group to classify as some project as OLBs in a 3-4
defense.
Who We Love: Owamagbe Odighizuwa

More than just a cool name, Odighizuwa is relentless on the line.


1. Alvin Bud Dupree, Kentucky: Undersized 4-3 DE at 270 lbs. has tremendous
pass rushing and tackling skills. Projects as a double-digit sack artist at the pro level.
NFL Equal: Ezekiel Ziggy Ansah, Detroit

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2. Shane Ray, Missouri: Just days before the draft Ray was cited on a marijuana
possession charge after being pulled over for speeding. These citations are becoming
more common among college players but the timing is what is so bad here. A top-ten
prospect will likely fall out of the first round now. Undersized at 245 lbs. and will be
drafted high with one mission in mind get to the quarterback. Explosive athlete has the
speed to blow by left tackles.
NFL Equal: Bruce Irvin, Seattle

3. Arik Armstead, Oregon: Prototype 3-4 DE at 67 and 295 lbs. Powerful but raw
athlete is versatile enough to move in side on a 4-3 front as well.
4. Randy Gregory, Nebraska: Gregorys stock is sliding fast. Once considered a
potential top-5 pick, Gregory failed a drug test at the scouting combine even though he
knew the test was coming. That and his lack of size (240 lbs.) have teams secondguessing him as a high first round talent. Elite pass-rusher, but possibly a one-trick
pony.
5. Owamagbe Odighizuwa, UCLA: Scheme-versatile and a tremendous athlete who
gives maximum effort. Two surgeries on his hip wiped out his 2013 season but he
rebounded in 2014, starting 13 games and recording 6 sacks and 11 tackles for loss.
6. Mario Edwards, Florida State: 3-4 run-stuffing DE at 63 and 295 lbs. There are
questions about keeping him motivated every play.
7. Nate Orchard, Utah State: Came out of nowhere his senior season to log 18.5 sacks
and 19 tackles for loss, after putting up only 6 sacks his first three seasons. Undersized
and will struggle against bigger lineman in run defense.
8. Danielle Hunter, LSU: Surprisingly solid against both the pass and the run despite
his small stature at 240 lbs. 66 frame helps him clog passing lanes.
9. Trey Flowers, Arkansas: Stout run defender that also averaged 5.5 sacks per year
in final three seasons with the Razorbacks.
10. ZaDarius Smith, Kentucky: Bud Duprees running mate on the Kentucky D-line,
Smith makes his living as a grinder. Still developing with only five years of organized
football. Steadily improved, making the successful transition from JUCO to SEC and
now the NFL.

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Defensive Tackle: Some intriguing prospects this year that could become
difference makers in the NFL.
Who We Love: Marcus Hardison

Hardison is an electric player to watch, rare for the big men in the middle.
1. Leonard Williams, USC: Tremendous athlete and instincts for the game. Williams
can play up and down the line, specifically DT in a 4-3 or DE in a 3-4. Disruptive and
powerful and shows a passion for the game.
NFL Equal: Gerald McCoy, Tampa Bay
2. Danny Shelton, Washington: Impressive athlete at 340 lbs., Shelton rarely leaves
the field, even on passing downs. Could be a 3-4 NT anchor or a 4-3 run-stuffer.
NFL Equal: Haloti Ngata, Detroit
3. Malcolm Brown, Texas: Playmaker against the run and the pass, Brown disrupts
plays by getting into the backfield often, but may need to be part of a rotation to stay
fresh.
4. Eddie Goldman, Florida State: Very similar to Brown as a stout run defender, not
quite the pass-rushing threat though. Will likely be a better pro than a college player.
5. Jordan Phillips, Oklahoma: A rare blend of size and athleticism at 66 335 lbs. but
maddening inconsistency. One of the top boom-or-bust prospects in this draft.
6. Michael Bennett, Ohio State: If he can add strength Bennett might develop into an
Aaron Donald-type player as an elite interior pass rush threat.
7. Carl Davis, Iowa: Davis only does one thing, but does he ever do it well. The big
man clogs up running lanes and ties up lineman, allowing the LBs behind him to run
free.
8. Marcus Hardison, Arizona State: Raw prospect just scratching the surface of his
potential. Racked up 10 sacks, 15 tackles for loss and caused 6 turnovers in 2014.
9. Xavier Cooper, Washington State: Pass rushing prospect played out of scheme in
the Cougars 3-4 defense. Will make a good rotational player that could develop into an
every-down DT.
10. Grady Jarrett, Clemson: Son of former NFL LB Jessie Tuggle. Stout run defender
doesnt offer much pass rush threat, suited for a 4-3 rotation. Tallied 83 tackles in 2013,
impressive for an interior lineman.
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Linebacker: Decent class with some projects and question marks throughout.
Who We Love: Shaq Thompson

Incredible athlete who can play multiple positions on offense and defense.
1. Dante Fowler, Jr., Florida (OLB): Can play all over and often was asked to do just
that in college. High character and football IQ. A defensive mastermind should have a
field day with Fowlers natural talent and versatility.
NFL Equal: Terrell Suggs, Baltimore
2. Vic Beasley, Clemson (OLB): Sack artist racked up 33 sacks in three years as a
starter on his way to becoming Clemsons all-time sack leader. A bit aggressive and
sometimes over-pursues plays. May not be an every-down player.
NFL Equal: Von Miller, Denver
3. Shaq Thompson, Washington (OLB): 2014 Paul Hornung Award-winner for his
versatility, Thompson could play safety or running back but has committed to being a
linebacker. It might be his most instinctual position, as he scored 4 defensive TDs in
2014.
4. Eric Kendricks, UCLA (ILB/OLB): Can play inside in a 3-4 or outside as a weak side
4-3 LB. Four-year starter at UCLA, racked up 480 tackles in his career. Older brother
Mychal is currently a LB for the Eagles.
5. Denzel Perryman, Miami (Fla.) (ILB): Strong, fast and instinctual, Perryman can
play inside or outside, and racked up 100+ tackles at each position at Miami. Struggles
in coverage and may not be a three-down backer.
6. Eli Harold, Virginia (OLB): Played both LB and DE at Virginia primarily rushing the
passer. Fits best in a 3-4 scheme, will likely struggle when asked to cover backs and
TEs.
7. Stephone Anthony, Clemson (OLB): Has the size and physical tools to be a
starting NFL inside linebacker, but is a bit raw and somewhat of a project.
8. Benardrick McKinney, Mississippi State (ILB): Solid run defender can play all LB
spots, but will be a liability in pass coverage.
9. Paul Dawson, TCU (ILB): An enigma in that he played fast and put up big numbers
in TCUs unconventional defense, but poor workouts leading up the draft have teams
taking a closer look. Could be this years Vontaze Burfict.
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10. Ramik Wilson, Georgia (ILB): Rangy LB racked up 243 tackles as a two-year
starter at Georgie. Can play all three spots and should be a solid special teamer while
coaches figure out where he fits best.
Cornerback: Not quite as deep as last year but another deep class with potential
starters to be found in the middle rounds.
Who We Love: Quentin Rollins

Though his resume is only one season long, Rollins is a sure bet to be a star.
1. Trae Waynes, Michigan State: Arguably the best cover corner in the class. Physical
corner with good recovery speed. Only knock is hes a bit lanky, but they pay corners to
cover, not tackle.
NFL Equal: Darqueze Denanrd, Cincinnati
2. Marcus Peters, Washington: The first of several troubled players in this group.
Immature attitude led to a litany of offenses including being held out of the 1st quarter of
the Huskies 2013 bowl game, a one-game suspension after an in-game sideline tirade,
and permanent dismissal from the team in November of 2014. On the field, Peters has
excellent athleticism and ball skills, though he does tend to grab receivers downfield.
NFL Equal: Vontae Davis, Indianapolis
3. Kevin Johnson, Wake Forest: Lanky athlete with fluid hips, Johnson flew under the
radar at a program that doesnt get a lot of national attention. Best natural cover corner
after Waynes in this group.
4. Quentin Rollins, Miami (Ohio): Rollins story is pretty incredible. Four year player for
the Red Hawks basketball team, decided to give football a try his senior year and ended
up starting. A natural at the position with tremendous ball skills (7 INTs in his first year
of college football), Rollins is incredibly raw but a superstar in the making.
5. P.J. Williams, Florida State: Big game player was the 2014 National Championship
game MVP. Solid all around corner has off-field issues, specifically a recent DUI charge
(that was eventually dropped) leading up to the draft. A first round talent will likely go
somewhere in round
6. Jalen Collins, LSU: Another enigma in this draft, Collins is everything you want
physically in a corner with great size (62 200 lbs.) and speed, but is immature and
didnt put it all together in college. Needs to be coached up and watch what the veterans
do when he gets to the pros. Low risk-high reward as a mid-round pick but we think
someone will gamble early.
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7. Byron Jones, Connecticut: Aggressive corner battled injuries throughout 2014 that
limited him to 7 games. Versatile, played both corner and safety in college. Voted team
captain and highly respected by teammates.
8. DJoun Smith, Florida Atlantic: A bit undersized at 510 but tremendous athlete
and great ball skills. 7 INTs in 2013 before a down year in 2014. The move from Florida
Atlantic to the NFL might be a gradual transition, but Smith projects as a starter in the
pros.
9. Alex Carter, Stanford: Son of former first-round pick Tom Carter. Plays a physical
style that might draw some penalties but also the new style of play for the modern CB.
10. Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, Oregon: First team All-Pac 12 three straight years, the only thing
not to like about Ekpre-Olomu is his size. At 59 hell be at a huge disadvantage against
the bigger receivers in the NFL. Has a knack for creating turnovers with 18 takeaways in
his career. Coming off a knee injury suffered just before the playoff game vs. Florida St..
Safety: Not a lot to get excited about in this group, with Collins the only potential
first-rounder.
Who We Love: Damarious Randall

Randall quite possibly the only potential true star of this group.
1. Landon Collins, Alabama: Better in run support than pass coverage but the most
solid all-around safety in this years class. Does everything good, nothing great.
NFL Equal: Rashad Johnson, Arizona
2. Damarious Randall, Arizona State: Fast, physical free safety is still developing, so
we may not have seen the best of this first-team All- Pac-12 player.
NFL Equal: Charles Woodson, Oakland
3. Cody Prewitt, Mississippi: Good instincts with 12 career INTs in the SEC, Prewitt is
more of a center fielder than a run defender, but is a solid tackler and will lay the wood
when given the opportunity.
4. Derron Smith, Fresno State: Not a great tackler but tremendous in coverage and
has good ball skills with 14 INTs as three years as a starter.
5. Eric Rowe, Utah: All-conference and three-year starter at free safety, Rowe made
the position move to CB in 2014 after the team lost Keith McGill. Could remain at
corner, shows good instincts at both positions.
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6. Jaquiski Tartt, Samford: Two year All-American and a standout at the Senior Bowl,
Tartt is a heavy-hitting safety that will need time to adjust to the level of play in the pros,
but should become a solid starter.
7. Chris Hackett, TCU: Played both safety and corner at FSU but at 58 he projects as
a either full-time safety or slot corner. Aggressive and a good athlete, size is his biggest
liability.
8. Anthony Harris, Virginia: All around safety has good ball skills and is a solid tackler
but lanky at 61 190 lbs. and not much of an intimidating presence.
9. Kurtis Drummond, Michigan State: Centerfielder had 12 career INTs in four years,
but needs to improve his tackling and doesnt offer much in run support.
9. Durrell Eskridge, Syracuse: Big safety at 63 and hits with some power, still a work
in progress but is a playmaker with high upside.

FINAL THOUGHTS

This years draft was particularly challenging to prepare for because of the lack of depth
at so many positions and the growing variations of schemes that teams use today in
both the college and pros. Offenses combine spreads with read options, defenses run
hybrid 3-4/4-3, or TCUs crazy 4-2-5 defense. As the passing game evolves, defensive
ends are becoming lighter and quicker with getting to the QB a priority over all else.
Because of this, we hypothesize that in a year or two well be featuring a cover story
about the return of the running back. For now, however, its the wide receivers time to
shine, and oh how they will. This class is loaded.
The draft will have a different feel this year as it emanates from Roosevelt University in
Chicago this year the first time in 51 years it hasnt been held somewhere in New
York. Changing faces, changing city, and hopefully your team changing for the better!
As always, Merry Christmas in April!

-Travis Yates, April 2015


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Report Card
No Draft Prognosticator Left Behind:
How we fared last year
Lache Seastrunk, RB (Drafted by Washington): We got a little punch drunk and
listed Seastrunk as our number one back last year. Admittedly, we got a bit over
excited watching some of his big runs. Perhaps the biggest miss of our career,
cut by the Redskins and eventually signed with Tennessee: Verdict: MISS!
Terrance West, RB, (Drafted by Cleveland): The back from tiny Towson topped
our Who We Love list at the RB positon. Ended up starting 6 games for the
Browns, scoring 4 TDs. Verdict: HIT!
Zach Mettenberger, QB (Drafted by Tennessee): Despite being drafted in the 6th
round, Mettenberger was our 3rd rated QB and he showed why, starting 6
games for the Titans, throwing for nearly 1,500 yards and 8 TDs. Verdict: HIT!
Jace Amaro, TE (Drafted by New York Jets): The Jets thought highly of Amaro,
as we did, ranking him as our third TE. Up and down rookie season where he
caught 38 balls for 345 yards and 2 TDs. We expected more, and still do in year
two. Verdict: Undecided
E.J. Gaines, CB (Drafted by St. Louis): We were really high on Gaines, calling
him a future starterand it happened his rookie year despite being drafted in
the 6th round. Verdict: HIT!
Johnny Manziel, QB (Drafted by Cleveland): The jury is technically still out on
this one but Manziels rookie season was so bad he spend the offseason in
rehab. We pondered if he was Bret Favre or Ryan Leaf. I think were seeing the
truth come out. Verdict: MISS!
Overall: Score one more for the good guys! We whiffed on Seastrunk but came
back with solid rankings on West and Mettenberger. The rest of the ratings were
pretty accurate, which is no small feat in todays NFL!
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