Draft IQ Inc.

Presents

2011
2011 NFL DRAFT PREVIEW

The Blue
Collar
Collar Draft
In This Issue:

Cam Newton: The Enigma 1st Round Mock Draft

“Report Card” from 2010 Top Super Sleepers
Why This RB Class Will Shine 100+ Player Ratings
Path to the Draft: Nothing flashy, but will get the job done
The 2011 Draft class is an interesting bunch. Forget the lack of a consensus
number one overall pick – there is barely a consensus top ten group. The biggest
“name” coming out of this year’s class, Auburn QB Cam Newton, could go as
high as #1 or slip all the way out of the top ten. There are really only a few
bonafide top 10 selections in Alabama DT Marcel Dareus, Missouri QB Blaine
Gabbert, LSU CB Patrick Peterson, and Texas Tech LB Von Miller. Outside of
that, it is a bit of a guessing game. But why? Haven’t scouts been doing this long
enough to at least agree on the top ten pro prospects?

The answer is no, and that’s not a knock on the class of 2011. We’re
calling this class the “Blue Collar Draft” because despite the lack of a
surefire top ten, the class features talent and depth through the middle
rounds. A prospect like Purdue DE Ryan Kerrigan doesn’t fit the mold
of a traditionally flashy top ten pick, but it’s a good lock that he goes
on to have a pretty solid NFL career sprinkled with some Pro Bowl
berths. Same goes for guys like Boston College OT Anthony
Costanzo, Alabama RB Mark Ingram, and…well, really, most of the
first two rounds. When else has a running back been so widely
compared to Emmit Smith in Ingram, yet projected as a mid-first Ingram: Nothing
round prospect? Ingram represents everything there is about this Flashy
year’s draft class.

One of the reasons may be the weak quarterback class. Gabbert figures to be
the first QB taken, but he hardly compares to recent top QB’s taken such as Sam
Bradford or Matt Ryan. Newton is a big name, but there is no doubting the
tremendous risk that comes along with him. There are also questions about Ryan
Mallet’s maturity, Jake Locker’s accuracy, Christian Ponder’s
health, and Colin Kaepernick’s college system. Most draft
classes are remembered for the quarterbacks they produce
(1983’s draft is literally named the “year of the quarterback”).
This year is shaping up to be the year of the question mark.

Couple the weak QB class with a less than stellar DB class –

the defensive equivalent of the quarterback – and you end up
Gabbert: First QB with what we have in 2011. We say that’s not a bad thing. It’s
off the Board? about time the blue collar guys get their due. Championship
teams win at the point of attack at the line of scrimmage.
Anyone who tells you otherwise doesn’t know squat about the game of football.
So don’t dismiss this year’s class as a weak one just because it lacks “flash” at
the top. In the end, these guys will prove that you can’t judge a draft class by the
top ten prospects it is often defined by.

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 I am Cam Newton and you
Have no Idea who I am

Why Cam is the

Biggest Enigma in
the Last Decade

Cam Newton. The man’s name brings about so many emotions: Excitement,
hope, questions, and conjectures. Just what is it about this one-year
championship wonder that brings about so much debate in this year’s draft? We
may have just answered the question with that statement – Newton is the
embodiment of a one-year wonder. His history is steeped with question marks
and intrigue – and thus we have the mystery that is Cam Newton.

Newton began his college career with the Florida Gators as Tim Tebow’s backup
in 2007. He suffered an injury in 2008 and redshirted the rest of the season. Idle
hands leads to the devil’s work, as Newton was arrested in November of 2008
and subsequently suspended from the team after being accused of stealing a
fellow student’s laptop. That led Newton to junior college land, where he led Blinn
College (Texas) to the 2009 NJCAA National Football Championship.

Newton returned to the big stage with Auburn in 2010, where he led the Tigers to
the NCAA Championship. The season was not without controversy, however, as
he spent most of the year under the microscope after allegations that his father
sought money in return for his son playing at the major college level.

This leads us to today, where Cam Newton may be the number one overall pick.
One argument is that despite only playing one full season at the highest NCAA
level, he proved his worth leading Auburn to an SEC and NCAA Championship.
The other side of the coin says Newton has “bust” written all over him, relying on
pure athleticism while disrespecting the game and ignoring the discipline it takes
to be an NFL player.

Welcome to the enigma known as Cam Newton. If you think you know very little
about him, try putting yourself in the shoes of a team about to invest millions of
dollars in the quarterback. There has not been a bigger risk/reward player in
recent history.

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 Enough of the Quarterbacks…It’s
Our Time to Shine!
Because the NFL has become a pass-happy league, the
2011 draft may produce six 1st round quarterbacks and
possibly no 1st round running backs. But do you know
who’s not complaining? The running backs…which is why
we have high hopes for this year’s class.

Quarterbacks and wide receivers – often glory hounds -

have stolen the show the past few years, while the guys
that take a pounding between the tackles seemed to have
Thomas: Does a gone out of style. While the 2010 Super Bowl Champion
Powell: Sleeper
Bit of Everything Green Bay Packers won the big one without the help of
to Watch
injured starting RB Ryan Grant, a staple of the NFL playoff
team remains a dominant ground game.

Sure, teams with elite QB’s such as New England (Brady),

Indianapolis (Manning), and New Orleans (Brees)
consistently win without a continuous 1,000 yard rusher
behind them, the rest of the league still needs the ground
game to compete. Case in point is Kansas City, who finally
returned to the playoffs in 2010 thanks to the two-headed
monster of Jamaal Charles (1,467 yards) and Thomas
Jones (896 yards). That’s more than 2,300 yards of
offense. Pittsburgh, the team that faced the Packers in SB
45, churned out nearly 2,000 yards on the ground in 2010,
with Draft IQ’s top-rated 2008 RB Rashard Mendenhall
gaining 1,273 of them.

While passing is all the rage, the stage is set for the return
of the running back. With defenses designed to stop the
pass, the crop of 2011 RB’s will likely see big dividends on
the field in their first few years in the league. Though the
quarterbacks may steal the headlines on draft day, we
have a feeling the grinders may end up the stars on NFL
Network.

Hunter: MJD Solid but-not-spectacular Mark Ingram heads up a class Leshoure: Most
Comparisons that includes all-around back Mikel Leshoure (Illinois), do- Complete Back?
everything back Daniel Thomas (Kansas St.), speedster
Kendall Hunter (Oklahoma State), enigmatic Jacquizz
Rodgers (Oregon St.), and sleeper Bilal Powell (Louisville).
While the QB’s wash out as first round busts, the 2011 RB
class should produce for years to come. 4
 Better make it two cups…

It’s Time for This Year’s Super-Sleepers!

This is Draft IQ’s favorite time of the year – unearthing those unknown gems that
will go on to big things in the NFL. We’re pleased to bring you our 2011 sleeper
list!

Running Back

Bilal Powell, Louisville: Powell has a history much like Cam Netwon – a
one-year wonder who is escaping a troubled past. Unlike Netwon, Powell
dislikes the spotlight and is known as a hard worker. If we had to bet on
Newton (who could be the #1 overall pick) or Powell (who may go in round
seven), we’re putting our chips on Powell. That should tell you all you need
to know.

Alex Green, Hawaii: Junior college player who put together a 1,200 Green: Big Senior
yard campaign in Hawaii’s spread offense in 2010. Green has a nice Year at Hawaii
combination of size and speed with soft hands. Given the chance, he
could become a productive every-down back.

Wide Receiver

Greg Salas, Hawaii: We know Hawaii puts up exaggerated numbers in a spread

offense, but Salas had back-to-back 100+ catch seasons in 2009-10. He improved each
year, capped off by a 119 catch, 1,889 yard senior season. Salas should make a great
slot wideout in the right system.

Vincent Brown, San Diego State: Watching Brown in his senior year at
SDSU reminded us of T.J. Houshmanzadeh in his early NFL days.
While he doesn’t possess the best size and speed, he has tremendous
hands and good body control that allows him to out-maneuver defenders
for the ball.

Brown: The
next “Housh?” 5
to #1 Wideout
 Sleepers Cont.
Linebacker

Colin McCarthy, Miami (FL): McCarthy embodies everything there is to love about this
draft. While there’s nothing flashy about his measurable, he just gets the job done.
McCarthy is a four-year starter and team captain who finished with 119 tackles and 10.5
tackles for a loss in his senior year. He may not become a Pro-Bowler, but he’ll serve as
a cerebral LB that should be solid for years for the team that drafts him.

Greg Lloyd, Connecticut: Yes, he’s the son of that Greg Lloyd, the five-time Pro-
Bowler from the Pittsburgh Steelers. Don’t ask him about it, though, as the elder Lloyd
allegedly stuck a gun in junior’s mouth when he was twelve over bad grades. Despite
his estranged relationship with his father, Lloyd Jr. shares his dad’s size (6’2, 250 lbs.)
and number (95). A knee injury held him to seven games in 2010, but we’ll put our
money on the genes here.

Cornerback

Shareece Wright, USC: The team that takes a chance on Wright should
get a solid corner, provided he can put his troubled past behind him.
Between injuries and off-field issues, Wright hasn’t been able to put it all
together. The talent is there, no doubt, but it’s up to Wright if he wants to
use it at the next level.

Wright: Does Wright

Safety
Have the Right Stuff ?

Mana Silva, Hawaii: The Rainbow State is churning out a lot of

sleepers this year. Silva’s stock is on the rise after running a 4.44 40-
yard dash at his pro day. Playmaker and mature player will work his
way up from special teams to starter in the NFL.

Silva: Intriguing
Character

Tyler Sash, Iowa: Productive three-year starter in the Big Ten.

Sash has the measurables you want in the position, and has a
knack for the interception.
Sash: Playmaker
at Safety

6
 This Little Mocking Bird Gets it
Right in the 2011 Mock Draft!

1. Carolina Panthers
Cam Newton, QB, Auburn: While the pick defies logic, the team is in a
rebuilding mode, and Newton will help sell tickets in Charlotte.

2. Denver Broncos
Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama: The Broncos need help in the middle of a
rebuilt defense, and Dareus is the safest pick at this position.

3. Buffalo Bills
Von Miller, LB, Texas A&M: If Newton were available, he would be the
pick here as head coach Chan Gailey loves athletic QB’s. Miller offers the
Bills the pass rush upgrade they desperately need.

4. Cincinnati Bengals
Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri: How in the world did the Bengals find
themselves in this situation again? Carson Palmer’s threats of retirement
force Mike Brown’s hand to select another top-five quarterback.

5. Arizona Cardinals
Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU: With Von Miller and the top consensus QB’s
off the board, the Cardinals would be wise to go with the best available
player.

6. Cleveland Browns
A.J. Green, WR, Georgia: Last year we predicted the Browns would take
WR Dez Bryant at #7, desperate for a playmaker. They didn’t, and here they
are again - in the top 10, in desperate need of a playmaker.

7. San Francisco 49ers

Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska: Prince makes the most sense here
with the 49ers needing coverage help, but look for WR Julio Jones to
possibly be the early surprise of the draft at this spot.

8. Tennessee Titans
Julio Jones, WR, Alabama: The Titans have a lot of defensive options
available here, but with Vince Young gone and Kenny Britt’s recent arrest,
they need the firepower on offense.

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Mock Draft Cont.

9. Dallas Cowboys
Tryon Smith, OT, USC: We’ll judge how dedicated Jerry Jones is to winning
by if he finally spends a top-10 pick on a much-needed offensive lineman.
Smith – or any lineman – would be the obvious pick.

10. Washington Redskins

Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina: Shannahan gets potential value here
with Quinn, and is happy to add the DE/OLB while facing Vick twice a year.

11. Houston Texans

Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn: Defensive Coordinator Wade Phillips is installing
a 3-4 defense in Houston, and Fairley will be his big centerpiece.

12. Minnesota Vikings

Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson: With Ray Edwards out the door and this
slot too early to take any of the remaining QB’s, Minnesota goes with the
pass rush specialist.

13. Detroit Lions

Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College: The Lions need to keep QB
Matthew Stafford on his feet, and Castonzo is the best tackle available.

14. St. Louis Rams

Aldon Smith, LB, Missouri: With no offensive playmakers available, Steve
Spagnulo sticks to his defensive roots and goes with the hometown guy.

15. Miami Dolphins

Mike Pouncey, G, Florida: The Dolphins don’t own a second round pick,
so they need to be safe here. Fans may be calling for Mark Ingram, but they
can get a quality back in round three.

16. Jacksonville Jaguars

Cameron Jordan, DE, California: The Jaguars have not drafted wisely in
the past, and should take Jordan in an effort to make up for the Derrick
Harvey pick a few years ago.

17. New England Patriots

Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue: New England always find themselves in the
perfect situation to draft a player that fills a need yet offers a great value.
8
Mock Draft Cont.
18. San Diego Chargers
J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin: Watt is the prototypical 3-4 defensive end, and
fills a glaring hole in San Diego’s defense.

19. New York Giants

Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin: The Giants don’t have a ton of glaring needs
and can draft with the future in mind in Carimi.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa: The Bucs reloaded on offense the last few
years. They give last year’s top pick McCoy some help at DE in Clayborn.

21. Kansas City Chiefs

Nate Solder, OT, Colorado: The Chiefs have ignored the offensive line for
long enough. Solder or G Danny Watkins would be an immediate upgrade.

22. Indianapolis Colts

Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois: Much like the Chiefs, Indy continues to ignore
the offensive line. We thing that trend continues with the athletic Liuget still
available here.

23. Philadelphia Eagles

Brandon Harris, CB, Miami (FL): Though the Eagles hit it big after rolling
the dice on Vick, they’ll pass on talented but troubled cornerback Jimmy
Smith and go with Harris instead.

24. New Orleans Saints

Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State: This might be too early for Heyward,
but the Saints need help at DE and we’re a sucker for a feel-good story,
with Heyward being the son of former Saints RB Craig “Ironhead” Heyward.

25. Seattle Seahawks

Jake Locker, QB, Washington: The Seahawks have a lot of holes to fill,
and finding a replacement for aging QB Matt Hasselbeck is one of them.

9
Mock Draft Cont.
26. Baltimore Ravens
Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado: Smith has all kinds of red flags, but the
Ravens secondary is in dire need of help, and the team is a good landing
place for a troubled player like Smith.

27. Atlanta Falcons

Akeem Ayers, LB, UCLA: The Falcons biggest need is on the defensive
line, but they won’t be able to pass up Ayers at this point of the draft. He
pairs nicely with last year’s first round pick, LB Sean Weatherspoon.

28. New England Patriots

Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama: The Patriots will most likely trade out of this
pick with a team wanting to trade up for a QB, but if they stand pat, it makes
sense to take an every-down back in Ingram or Illinois RB Mikel Leshoure.

29. Chicago Bears

Danny Watkins, OG, Baylor: The Bears offensive line was a leaky faucet
at best last year. Watkins solidifies the interior and brings a much-needed
nasty attitude to the group.

30. New York Jets

Justin Houston, LB, Georgia: Houston fills a pass-rushing need in Rex
Ryan’s aggressive defense, and can also play DE in a pinch.

31. Pittsburgh Steelers

Aaron Williams, CB/S, Texas: The Steelers need help in the secondary
and Williams is the best defensive back available. Big DT Phil Taylor could
also be an option.

32. Green Bay Packers

Martez Wilson, LB, Illinois: The Packers add a versatile playmaker for their
3-4 defense, continuing a recent tradition of a dominant LB core that
includes A.J. Hawk and Clay Matthews.

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 THE RATINGS
Quarterback: A lackluster group that will go higher than expected due to need.

Who We Love: Colin Kaepernick

Athletic QB with a cannon arm and great leadership skills

1. Blaine Gabbert, Missouri: Gabbert will be a top-five selection, but only because of a
weak QB class. Decent accuracy and mobility, but must learn to play in a pro-style
offense after putting up big numbers in Missouri’s spread offense.

2. Ryan Mallett, Arkansas: The stoic QB evokes memories of Drew Bledsoe, with the
physical skills to match. There are maturity issues and admitted drug use, but if Mallett
can move past all of that, he should have a nice pro career.

3. Colin Kaepernick, Nevada: The athletic QB is the only player in college football
history to pass for 9,000 yards and rush for 4,000. Newton has stolen all the college
headlines, but we think Kaepernick will make the better pro.

4. Christian Ponder, Florida State: Injuries have cost Ponder some velocity in
throwing the ball, but in a west coast offense, the accurate thrower will excel.

5. Andy Dalton, TCU: Dalton is solid yet not spectacular. Should make a fine backup
with the potential to develop into a starting QB ala Kevin Kolb.

6. Jake Locker, Washington: Mobile QB who struggles with accuracy. Athleticism at

the quarterback position is a bonus…accuracy is a must. He’ll need some time to adjust
to the pro game.

7. Cam Newton, Auburn: Draft IQ is pretty adamant about our belief that Cam will be a
bust in the pros. One year at Auburn, question marks surrounding his maturity and how
he’ll handle being a high profile NFL player, a basic offense in college…the list goes on
and on. There’s no doubting his athleticism, but the NFL QB needs more than just raw
talent to succeed.

8. Ricky Stanzi, Iowa: Three-year starter who consistently improved each season.
Looks the part of an NFL pro, and could develop into a starter with a few years and the
right coach.

11
9. T.J. Yates, North Carolina: Accurate passer who averaged 60% completion rate all
four years. Has a habit of throwing INT’s, but lowered the TD-INT ratio to 19-9 his final
year.

10. Nathan Enderle, Idaho: Big, strong quarterback who struggles with accuracy and
regressed a bit during senior year.

Running Back: Plenty of talent to choose from this year, from power backs to
change of pace speedsters.

Who We Love: Bilal Powell

Tough runner who is trying to outrun a troubled past

1. Mikel Leshoure, Illinois: Similar skills to former Illinois RB Rashard Mendenhall – a

workhorse with decent speed. Doesn’t have the wear and tear that Ingram has.

2. Mark Ingram, Alabama: Productive former Heisman Trophy winner who ran for
nearly 1,700 yards in 2009 before injuries derailed part of his 2010 season. Tough
inside runner who lacks breakaway speed. If he can stay healthy, Ingram should be a
solid starter for years to come.

3. Ryan Williams, Virginia Tech: Much like Ingram, Williams had a breakout 2009
season before battling injuries. Compact runner with decent speed that will provide a
change of pace at worst, and could easily develop into an every-down starter.

4. Kendall Hunter, Oklahoma State: Hunter is small in stature at 5’7” and 200 lbs., but
his presence on and off the field is huge. Could compare to Maurice Jones-Drew if
given the chance to be an every-down back in the NFL. Two 1,500 yard seasons, a
willing pass blocker, and a community leader – what’s not to like?

5. DeMarco Murray, Oklahoma: Explosive, upright runner who battled injuries at

Oklahoma. Sound familiar? While we’re not ready to anoint him the next Adrian
Peterson, Murray is a game changer and will provide quite an NFL highlight reel if he
can stay healthy.

6. Daniel Thomas, Kansas State: Thomas has a curious background that included
several junior colleges before finally landing at K-State. Once there, he ran for 2,850
yards in just two seasons, with a 5.2 yard per carry average.

12
7. Bilal Powell, Louiville: There’s just something we love about this kid. Overcame
past mistakes and worked his way up the depth chart for a breakout senior season for
Louisville. Didn’t play RB until his senior year in high school, which also helps explain
his one-year wonder season in 2010. His best football is ahead of this power back with
decent speed.

8. Taiwan Jones, Eastern Washington: Jones is earning comparisons to Chris

Johnson and his stock is skyrocketing after strong pro day workouts. Didn’t face top
competition at Eastern Washington, but has the speed and statistics to be an early pick
this year.

9. Jacquizz Rodgers, Oregon State: Shifty runner who put up huge numbers in
Oregon State’s unorthodox offense. Poor workouts will cause Rodgers to slip in the
draft, but given the right offense, Rodgers could be a difference maker in the pros.

10. Jordan Todman, Connecticut: A bit undersized, but Todman put up big numbers
in consecutive years in the Big East. He’ll be a nice third down option to begin his
career, but we won’t be shocked to see him eventually become a team’s every-down
guy.

Wide Receiver: Intriguing class that should make draft day very interesting.

Who We Love: Vincent Brown

Brown’s strong senior season put him on our radar

1. A.J. Green, Georgia: At times, it appeared as if Green was on a different level than
his collegiate opponents. He showed maturity in owning up to his NCAA violation that
earned him a four-game suspension. Tremendous size and speed that rivals Arizona’s
Larry Fitzgerald.

2. Julio Jones, Alabama: Jones put on a show at the combine before an injury shut
him down. Great size and speed, and a better run-blocker than Green. There are some
teams that have Jones rated as the top WR in this class.

3. Torrey Smith, Maryland: Good size and speed on the field, outstanding character off
it. Smith should develop into a decent #1 wideout in the league.

4. Leonard Hankerson, Miami (FL): Hankerson reminds us of former Draft IQ favorite,

Saints WR Marques Colston – big bodied with enough size and speed to dominate
opposing defenders. Unlike Colston, Hankerson will go way before the final round of the
draft.
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5. Titus Young, Boise State: Enigmatic playmaker that still may battle maturity issues.
If Young puts it all together, he could compare to Eagles wideout Desean Jackson.

6. Greg Little, North Carolina: Little was suspended for the 2010 season for receiving
improper benefits from an agent. His post-season workouts at the combine and pro day
were impressive, and Little, who previously played RB and is built like a TE, could be
the steal of this WR class.

7. Vincent Brown, San Diego State: Brown is not flashy but offers his QB a big target
with steady hands and decent playmaking skills. Brown burned Navy in the Poinsettia
Bowl with 8 catches for 165 yards, and followed that up with a strong Senior Bowl week.

8. Randall Cobb, Kentucky: Should make a solid #2 or slot receiver in the NFL.
Elusive and versatile player who is a threat to score every time he touches the ball.

9. Jon Baldwin, Pittsburgh: Could be considered the Cam Newton of the WR class.
Full of talent, but off-field question marks that include a 2009 arrest and open criticism
of his coaching staff and quarterback, coupled with inconsistent play on the field make
Baldwin a high risk/reward player. The days of the diva wideout seem to be wearing
QB’s thin these days, so we’ll see how the Baldwin situation plays out in the pros.

10. Greg Salas, Hawaii: Though the Hawaii numbers helped exaggerate his numbers,
Salas plays a lot like Bengals slot receiver Jordan Shipley. He should fill a similar role
with the team that drafts him.

Tight End: Like many of the position groups, there’s not much value at the top,
but some quality in the middle rounds.

Who We Love: D.J. Williams

Versatile player who can be utilized in multiple packages

1. Kyle Rudolph, Notre Dame: Unquestionably the most talented TE in this group, but
injuries have prevented his stats from matching his potential. He’ll likely be the first TE
off the board, but will his injury woes continue at the hard-hitting pro level?

2. Lance Kendricks, Wisconsin: Athletic pass-catching TE that has just enough bulk
to hold the line as an every-down blocker. Teams looking for a difference maker in the
passing game will like what they find in Kendricks.

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3. D.J. Williams, Arkansas: You either love Williams because of his playmaking ability
and versatility, or you don’t have a place for him in your scheme. The “H-Back” that
Williams played at Arkansas is a dying breed in the pros, so the team that drafts him will
need a scheme that utilizes the athletic, undersized TE.

4. Luke Stocker, Tennessee: Solid all-around player who isn’t a game breaker in the
passing game, but offers enough to produce as a starter.

5. Julius Thomas, Portland State: Thomas only played one year of college football
(2010) after playing basketball for four seasons. The big, athletic TE caught 29 passes
for nearly 500 yards, showing he has a knack for the position. Caught a TD and two-
point conversion in the East-West Shrine game.

6. Virgil Green, Nevada: Another undersized pass catcher who needs to improve his
blocking to become an every down TE. Three-year starter who can contribute right
away in the NFL.

7. Jordan Cameron, USC: Cameron is the first of a few mid-round guys who will be
picked on potential rather than production. Former basketball player who has
prototypical size and speed for the position and could develop into an elite pro.

8. Weslye Saunders, South Carolina: Huge blocker at 270 lbs., a throwback in the
mold of Reggie Kelley. Saunders was suspended in 2010 for lying to NCAA
investigators, and recently had foot surgery, which sets him back a bit. A run-oriented
team looking for a big #2 TE might take a chance on Saunders.

9. Rob Housler, Florida Atlantic: Like Kendricks, Housler is an undersized receiving

threat, though his production came in the Sun Belt rather than a large conference.
Teams who miss out on Kendricks or Williams might want to take a look at Housler.

10. Andre Smith, Virginia Tech: A blocking specialist who came on as a receiver in
2010, if you call 20 receptions “coming on.” Like Saunders, Smith is custom built as the
second guy in a two TE set.

Offensive Tackle Offensive Guard

Smith Watkins

1. Tryon Smith, USC 1. Gabe Watkins, Baylor

2. Anthony Castonzo, Boston College 2. Mike Pouncey, Florida
3. Gabe Carimi, Wisconsin 3. Rodney Hudson, Florida St.
4. Derek Sherrod, Mississippi State 4. Marcus Cannon, TCU
5. Nate Solder, Colorado 5. Clint Boling, Georgia
6. Ben Ijalana, Villanova 6. John Moffitt, Wisconsin
7. Orlando Franklin, Miami (FL) 7. James Carpenter, Alabama
8. Marcus Gilbert, Florida 8. Will Rackley, Lehigh 15
9. James Brewer, Indiana 9. Zach Hurd, Connecticut
10.Lee Ziemba, Auburn 10. Keith Williams, Nebraska
 Center

1. Stefen Wisniewski,
Defensive End: Quite Penn
a fewState
pass-rush specialists
2. Alex Linnenkohl, Oregon
available in this class. State
3. Kristopher O’Dowd, USC
4. Zane Taylor,
Who Utah
We Love: Everson Griffen
5. Ryan Bartholomew, Syracuse Wisniewski

Defensive End: Most talented group in this draft class. Our mock has seven going
in round one.

Who We Love: Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue

Kerrigan always finds a way to wreak havoc in the backfield

1. Robert Quinn, North Carolina: Most talented DE of this class, but 2010 suspension
may cause him to fall. 19 sacks in 2009 had him projected as a potential #1 overall
selection before the suspension.

2. Da’Quan Bowers: If Bowers knee is not an ongoing issue, he should have a solid
career with several Pro Bowls on his resume. Major concerns about the health of his
surgically repaired knee could see him drop out of the top ten.

3. Cameron Jordan, California: The son of former NFL great Steve Jordan, Cameron
is a solid all-around DE who can play in the 4-3 or 3-4.

4. Aldon Smith, Missouri: Raw but versatile pass rusher who suffered a broken leg in
2010 and saw his production drop as a result. Holds the Missouri record for single-
season sacks with 11.5 in 2009.

5. Ryan Kerrigan, Purdue: Explosive defender who racked up 26 tackles for loss in
2010 to go along with 12.5 sacks. May be moved to OLB due to size (265 lbs.).

6. J.J. Watt, Wisconsin: A beast to defend at nearly 6’6”, 290 lbs. Watt had 21 tackles
for loss in 2010, and can play the run and pass as an every-down player.

7. Adrian Clayborn, Iowa: Experienced and versatile player who served as team
captain at Iowa. Clayborn suffers from Erb’s Palsy, which has weakened his right arm
and may scare some teams away. Nothing flashy, but he gets the job done.
16
8. Allen Bailey, Miami (FL): Physical specimen who put together solid back-to-back
seasons in 2009-10 that included 14.5 sacks and 22.5 tackles for loss.

9. Brooks Reed, Arizona: May get moved to OLB because of a lack of size (6’2”, 260
lbs.), but also could stick at end like undersized Brandon Graham did in Philadelphia
last year. Great hustle known as an overachiever.

10. Jabaal Sheard, Pittsburgh: A bit of a tweener who was named the Big East 2010
Defensive Player of the Year after a 9 sack campaign. Red flags with off-field arrest, but
these days it seems like more players have arrests rather than clean records.

Defensive Tackle: This year doesn’t feature the top talent like last year, but
there’s a lot of talent in the middle rounds.

Who We Love: Phil Taylor

Taylor is one of the largest tackles in this year’s class

1. Marcell Dareus, Alabama: Versatile big man in the middle who can play both the
pass and the run. While not as sure of a bet as last year’s top DT Suh, should provide
an instant upgrade for a team in need of a presence on the defensive line.

2. Nick Fairley, Auburn: Can be a game changer when he wants to be. In one year as
a starter he racked up 11.5 sacks and 24 tackles for loss on his way to winning the 2010
Lombardi Award as the best college lineman. He has a history of taking plays off and
many question his work ethic.

3. Corey Liuget, Illinois: Powerful, athletic lineman who is still coming into his own. Put
up stats similar to Fairley in 2010 and his best football is ahead of him.

4. Stephen Paea, Oregon State: Stout defender at 6’1”, 300 lbs. He might not be the
explosive athlete compared to the top ranked DT’s in this class, but will clog the middle
and stuff the run. Not much else you can ask of your DT besides a sack or two.

5. Phil Taylor, Baylor: Classic 3-4 nose tackle at 335 lbs. Taylor ran into some trouble
early in his career and transferred from Penn St. to Baylor. Injuries are a concern, but if
the big man can stay healthy, he’ll easily live up to his 2nd round grade.

6. Muhammad Wilkerson, Temple: Big athletic DT whose production may have been
lost at a very bad program. Wilkerson’s talent is undeniable, and if surrounded by talent
he may finally shine.
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7. Christian Ballard, Iowa: Three-year starter in the Big Ten who can play end or
tackle. May not be a future Pro Bowler, but should be a solid contributor in the pros.

8. Marvin Austin, North Carolina: One of several players at N.C. suspended for the
2010 season. Showed up to the East-West Shrine Game in shape, and shined. His best
football should be in front of him, as a developing talent without a lot of wear and tear.

9. Jarvis Jenkins, Clemson: Jenkins won’t get to the QB often, but will provide a
dependable man in the middle. Respected teammate who will likely be a two-down
player in the NFL.

10. Jurrell Casey, USC: Compiled 67 tackles, 11 for loss, in 2010 for the Trojans. Also
got to the QB 9 times in final two seasons. Solid build at 6’0”, 300 lbs.

Linebacker: If you’re looking for pass-rush specialists, this is the group for you!

Who We Love: Mark Herzlich

Battled cancer off the field and returned to form in 2010

1. Von Miller, Texas A&M: Outstanding pass-rusher with tremendous speed, Miller will
flourish in a defense built around a blitzing outside linebacker.

2. Akeem Ayers, UCLA: Athletic playmaker who can play end or OLB, Ayers is a hard-
hitting defender with a nose for the ball.

3. Martez Wilson, Illinois: Great size and speed, but his statistics never matched his
talent. Could suffer from the Vernon Gholston effect, where his athleticism outmatches
his football acumen.

4. Justin Houston, Georgia: Pass-rush specialist with 10 sacks and 18.5 tackles for
loss as a senior.

5. Bruce Carter, North Carolina: Instinctual player with good size and decent speed.
While he won’t blow you away with athleticism, he has a great football IQ.

6. Mason Foster, Washington: A tackling machine who topped 100+ tackles twice in
college career, including eye-popping 163 his senior year. Can play all three LB spots.
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7. Mark Herzlich, Boston College: Won a highly publicized bout with bone cancer in
2009 and returned to the field in 2010. Previously projected as a top 10 pick, Herzlich’s
medical history will likely scare off some teams. If he builds on his 2010 return to
football, his amazing story is far from finished.

8. Quan Sturdivant, North Carolina: Extremely athletic but lacks power and may get
swallowed up by blockers in the NFL. Battled injuries since high school, including
missing seven games as a senior.

9. Casey Matthews, Oregon: Does not possess outstanding measurable, but his
bloodline is strong (brother is Green Bay LB Clay Matthews, Jr.). Great football IQ and
will be a solid role player at the very least at the pro level.

10. Dontay Moch, Nevada: Converted DE who showed he can stand up as an OLB in
the East-West Shrine game. Playmaker who sifts through the trash to find the ball.

Cornerback: This year’s class is a bit weak, but there is good quality at the top.

Who We Love: Patrick Peterson

A corner who loves to lay the wood…do those still exist? Yes, they do…

1. Patrick Peterson, LSU: Typically when we hear the term “safest pick in the draft” we
tend to doubt it. This year’s “safe” pick is Peterson, due to his measurable and play on
the field. While the draft is an inexact science at best, Peterson runs like a receiver, hits
like a linebacker, and thrives on pressure. His only weakness is a tendency to get beat
on deep routes.

2. Prince Amukamara, Nebraska: Good size, speed, and cover skills you want in a top
corner. Amukamara is a top 15 pick and should produce accordingly in the pros.

3. Brandon Harris, Miami (FL): If Harris were a few inches taller, he’d give Prince a run
for the #2 rating. Like Prince, he has everything else (besides height) you want in a
cover corner.

4. Jimmy Smith, Colorado: Smith has all the measurable at 6’2” and a mid-4.0 40
time, but his off-field issues are a huge question mark. Shuts down his side of the field,
which was great in college, but actually led to little tape for scouts to evaluate. Biggest
boom or bust prospect in this group.

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5. Ras-I Dowling, Virginia: This is where the drop off of talent begins for this group.
Dowling is suited for a zone scheme and is a bit aggressive at times. Team captain for
the Cavaliers.

6. Curtis Brown, Texas: Well-rounded corner with NFL bloodlines. Brown would thrive
as the second guy in an NFL corner tandem.

7. Shareece Wright, USC: Bad luck on the field (broken neck) and off it (arrest &
academics) have limited Wright in fulfilling his potential. Started to put it together with a
strong senior season, and could be a mid-round steal.

8. Johnny Patrick, Louisville: Still coming into his own as a corner after beginning
college career as a wideout. Off-field issues have led to character concerns.

9. Brandon Burton, Utah: Two-year starter with the size and speed you want to be a
solid NFL corner.

10. Chimdi Chekwa, Ohio State: Chekwa started 52 games in four years in the Big
Ten – dependable player who should become a starter in the NFL.

Safety: Relatively weak overall class, but some intriguing late-round prospects.

Who We Love: Shiloh Keo

Hard working safety that always seems to be around the ball

1. Aaron Williams, Texas: Played corner for the Longhorns, but is probably better
suited for the safety position in the NFL. Lacks top end speed at CB, but good instincts
for the ball that will serve him well at safety.

2. Rahim Moore, UCLA: Playmaker who led the NCAA in interceptions in 2009 with
ten. Moore doesn’t have the prototypical size and speed you want in the position, but is
a dedicated worker and has a nose for the ball.

3. Quinton Carter, Oklahoma: Mature player who plays the run well but lacks elite
coverage skills. May serve on special teams for a few seasons while learning the
nuances of NFL coverage.

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4. Jaiquawn Jarrett, Temple: Teams missing out on Carter can get a similar player in
Jarrett – undersized safety who plays the run better than the pass.

5. Tyler Sash, Iowa: Sash gets a high rating thanks to a weak safety class. Dependable
all-around player who produced in the Big Ten. We love him as a college safety, but
we’ll see if his production translates to the pros.

6. Ahmad Black, Florida: Black has the intangibles you want in a safety, but may lack
the size to be an NFL corner. He’ll earn his keep on special teams while waiting for a
chance to start. 108 tackles as a senior.

7. Jeron Johnson, Boise State: 328 tackles and 8 INT’s in four years – a pretty
productive career for Johnson, though he might be a bit undersized.

8. Shiloh Keo, Idaho: Natural leader and all-around player who lacks elite skills, and
will have to outwork his competition. It’s worked for Keo so far.

9. Da’Norris Searcy, North Carolina: Yet another suspended Tar Heel trying to prove
his worth. Searcy returned from a three game suspension to rack up 4 interceptions.
Not a big hitter and questionable speed leaves Searcy’s NFL promise somewhat in
doubt.

10. Chris Conte, California: Converted backup cornerback who had a big senior
season and picked up the FS position surprisingly quick. Good speed and instincts for
the position, and could just be beginning a stellar career at the position.

Final Note: A few years ago, Draft IQ went into overtime working on the draft guide
while finishing up a Master’s Degree. This year, it’s been a busy draft season while
preparing for my first-born child. If 2009’s guide was the “Master’s Thesis Edition” then
we must call this year’s guide the “First Born Edition.” Special thanks to Draft IQ
scouting partner Scott Schwindt, my wife Renea for taking care of our soon-to-be born
son while allowing me the quiet time to sit and analyze players and statistics, and to
said son, who we fully expect to arrive a bit early, right smack in the middle of draft
weekend. We’re not calling him “Daddy’s #1 draft pick” for nothing. Happy “Christmas
in April” everyone!
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 Report Card

How we fared last year

Our grades for last year’s projections for the 2010 NFL rookie class:

LeGarrette Blunt, RB (Signed as college free agent by Tampa Bay): We made

no secret about our man-crush on Blunt last year, making him our “Who We
Love” selection for RB’s and making him our third rated back. He delivered as
an undrafted player with a 1,000 yard rushing season and was in contention
for rookie of the year. Verdict: Hit!

Kyle Wilson, CB (Drafted by N.Y. Jets): Our top ranked corner was indeed a
first round pick, but looked a bit overwhelmed during an up-and-down season.
We still think he’ll be a fine corner, but for now, he hasn’t proven anything.
Verdict: Undecided

Andrew Quarless, TE (Drafted by Green Bay): We said Quarless could be

hitting his stride as he enters the pros after overcoming a troubled past. He did
just after injuries thrust him into a key role during the Packers Super Bowl run.
Verdict: Hit!

Everson Griffen, DE (Drafted by Minnesota): Our #2 rated DE last season only

played in 11 games his rookie year, amassing no sacks. He followed that up
with three arrests in two days during the offseason. Verdict: Miss!

Cody Grimm, S (Drafted by Tampa Bay): Grimm made our Super-Sleeper list,
and when injuries hit the Buccaneer secondary, Grimm responded with 57
tackles and 2 INT’s before an injury ended his season. Verdict: Hit!

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