Rural Electrification
Hideo Semba
       JICA Study Team
     Contents
1.   Objective
2.   Workflow & Organization
3.   Present Situation of Barangay Electrification
4.   Proposed Plan of Barangay Electrification
5.   Selection Method
6.   Database
7.   Summary
  Collaboration Work on Preparing
  Rural Electrification (R/E) Plan
             DOE : Main
        R/E Plan Preparation
NPC-SPUG
                                                  NEA
     JICA Team
      Discuss Concept & Step for R/E Plan
      Draw Work Flow for R/E Plan
      Prepare Map for Project Monitoring    etc
Basic Concept of R/E Promotion (On / Off Grid)
  Significance of Electrification   Rural Development
 Construction of Grid Network       Social Infrastructure
 Issues
   Huge Investment        Low Demand in Rural Area
   Long Time
                          Not Feasible
 Advice
  Efficient Combination of Grid
  Extension and Stand-Alone System
    Objective and Situation of
    Rural Electrification Plan
?
?    Total
     Total Electrification
           Electrification of
                           of the
                              the Philippine
                                   Philippine
?
?    Promote
     Promote Private
               Private Investment
                        Investment inin
     Missionary
     Missionary Electrification
                 Electrification
?
?    Commercialize
     Commercialize // privatize
                        privatize existing
                                  existing
     SPUG
     SPUG areas
            areas
?
?    Institutional
     Institutional Relationship
                    Relationship
?
?    Regulatory
     Regulatory Aspects
                  Aspects
                               Source : NEA Documents
  Share of MEDP & DDP
        Un-Energized
        Un-Energized Barangay
                     Barangay
         Total
          Total        :: 5,409
                          5,409
             ECs
             ECs       :: 5,277
                          5,277
             PIOU/LGU
             PIOU/LGU :: 132
                          132
For Stand-Alone          For Grid Extension
     MEDP                         DDP
   Image of Cover Area of DDP & MEDP
         MEDP
                 Un-electrified      Pref. A : Rate
                                                        Nominated
                Village (off-grid)        60%         Village by Grid
                                                         Extension
                                                                        Pref. D : Rate
                                                                            55%
Pref. B : Rate
    70%
  Electrified                                                          Future
    Village                                                        Grid Extension
                                Existing                     Future Supply Area
 Existing                                                by Grid Extension (on-grid)
                           Distribution Area
 Grid Line
                                          Pref.
                                          Pref.CC::Rate
                                                   Rate                         DDP
                                              40%
                                               40%
             E.Cs                         SPUG                                          PIOUs
                                                                                                                       Work
Viable / Unviable areas within       CAPEX and OPEX                         Viable / Unviable areas within
      its franchise area            New Installation Plan                         its franchise area
                                                                                                                       Work
                            NEA                                                         Results
                                                                                                   Viable              Flow
                                                                                                                       Flow
       NEA                                                                             Verified?
 Verify E.C. data
 Viable / Un-viable                                                           Un-viable
                                                    15 / Mar 2003
                                                       to DOE                           Un-viable
                                                                                                            PIOUDP
                                                                                        List(PIOU)
        Results    Viable
       Verified?
                                              DOE : Rural Electrification Plan
                                                                                                             DUs Budget
Un-viable                                       Un-viable               SPUG              NECDDP             QTPs Fund
    NEA Check                                   List(NEA)
                                                                       CAPEX
   adjoining E.C                                                                           PIOUDP
                                               Un-viable                OPEX                                     Area of Yes
                                               List(PIOU)           New installation
                                                                         plan                                          Area of No
                                                                                                               DU
    Other EC       Yes
                                                                                                               QTP
   interested?
                                                                    MEDP 2004-2008
  No
                                                                                                                                SPUGs
                                                                                               PDP            July 2003        2004 MEP
   Un-viable
                   NECDDP               No         DOE
   List(NEA)
                                               Prioritization
                                                                        No
                      SPUGs                                      ERC
MEDP 2003                             Petition                                                   2003 SPUG
                                                                Decision?
                     2003 MEP     for U.C. to ERC                            Yes          Missionary Electrification
                                                       Yes
                    15/Mar 2003                                                                    Project
            New Industry Relationships
                                                                                                  JCPC
                ERC                        PSALM                          DOE
                                            Corp.
                                                                                NPC                NEA
                       WESM                  Industry
                                              IndustryParticipants
                                                                                 S
                                                       Participants              P
                                                                                 U
                                                                                 G
          GENCOs                  Suppliers/                                                DUs
                                                                TRANSCO
                                 Aggregators                                             PUs    ECs
     LEGEND:
                Oversight   Regulation     Coordination   Ownership/   Policymaking    Operation   Supervision
Source : DOE                                              Control
 Presentation                Competitive                                              Regulated
 Rural Electrification Family
        QTPs
        QTPs                      DOE
                                  DOE
        Financing,
         Financing,Project
                   Project        Policy
                                  PolicyDirection-Goal
                                         Direction-GoalSetting,
                                                       Setting,
        Implementation
         Implementation&&         Program
                                  ProgramManagement,
                                            Management,
        Operation
         Operation                Coordination
                                  Coordination
ERC
ERC
Rate
 RateDesign,
      Design,
Licensing
 Licensingof
          ofQTPs
             QTPs            Rural
                             Rural
                             Electrification
                             Electrification
                                       NEA/ECs,
                                       NEA/ECs, PIOUs
                                                PIOUs
                                       Project
                                        ProjectIdentification,
                                                Identification,
 NPC-SPUG
 NPC-SPUG                              Implementation,
                                        Implementation,
 Petitioner
 Petitionerof
            ofShare
              Shareof
                    ofMEDP
                      MEDPfrom
                           fromUCUC    Monitoring
                                        Monitoring
 Project
 ProjectImplementation,
         Implementation,Operation
                         Operation
       Historical Performance of Rural
       Electrification (1999 - 2002)
       Number of Energized Barangay
Year    Target  Actual Cumulative Remaining Rate
        Number Number   Number     Number (%)
1999       900     755     32,281             9,731 76.9
2000      1,621    1,36    33,647             8,352 80.1
2001      1,353   1,244    34,891             7,108 83.1
2002      1,636   1,699    36,590             5,409 87.1
                                    Source : O-I Law Terminal Report
                                                                                                                                                                    Source : DOE
  ECs Electrification Level by Regions
                                                                                                                                                                    As of Jun 2003
                  99%       98%
                                                            99%                                  95%
                    91% 92%                                                90% 90%                                                                                          91%
100%
                                                                                                                           89%                          90%
                                                             84%                                           82%
90%
                                                                                                                                                                    80%
80%                                                                                                                    68%
70%
                                                                                                                                                                      57%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
 0%
                                                                                                                                                                     ARMM
                                                                                                                                Region 10
                                                                                                                                            Region 11
                                                                                                                                                        Region 12
       Region 1
                   Region 2
                                    Region 3
                                                                         Region 5
                                                                                    Region 6
                                                                                               Region 7
                                                                                                          Region 8
                                                                                                                     Region 9
                                                            Region 4-B
                              CAR
                                               Region 4-A
                                                                                                                                                                            CARAGA
 Proposed Number of Rural Electrification
Total Number of Un-Energized Barangay : 5,409
Year    Target    Remaining       Cumulative    Rate
        Number     Number          Number       (%)
 2003     1,619        3,790          38,209         91
 2004     1,258        2,532          39,467         94
 2005     1,304        1,228          40,771         97
 2006     1,228               0       41,999       100
                                           As of Jun 2003
       Rural Electrification Promotion
               by Organization
                              40
                               0       Un-electrified Barangays (2003 - 2006)
                 914
      600                                                      2,406
        78
             811
                                      560
NEA   NPC-SPUG     DOE   PIOUS/LGUS    PNOC-EDC   IPPs   Adopt a Barangay   Others
     Appraisal of Universal Charge
NPC-SPUG Proposed                 ERC Approval   Final UC
     CY 2002                        CY 2002       CY 2003
Total Levy (P/kWh)       0.0831        0.0168      0.0373
 Operating Cost (OPEX) 0.0256          0.0168      0.0143
 Capital Expense (CAPEX) 0.0575             0      0.0230
                   140                           44
                   Barangay                      Barangay
                        CAPEX JUL-DEC 2003
    Present Fund Source
    ER1-94 (PHP 0.01/kWh) by GENCOs
    Barangay Electrification Program (BEP)
    NEA Subsidy to ECs
    UC for NPC-SPUG / QTPs
    PNOC Fund (Geothermal Service Contract)
    Other Donors (ODA, Loan etc)
Organization to promote
                           O-I LAW
                           Project Team
 Expanded Rural Electrification (ER) Team
  Oversight               Technical
  Committee               Working Group
    DOE                     NEA
    NEA                     DOE
    NPC-SPUG                NPC-SPUG
    PNOC-EDC                PNOC
    PNOC
    NEDA
    DOF
    Example of Selection Procedure
Grid Extension vs PV System
20 Years Total Cost          20 Years Total Power
   Initial Investment        Generated (kWh)
   O & M Cost         etc
          Generation Cost (PHP/kWh)
          Lower Cost System is considered
             9W Fluorescent lamp x 2hrs x 3Lamps = 54Wh
                  (AM6:00~7:00 x 1Lamp,
                    PM7:00~8:00 x 2Lamps, PM8:00~10:00 x 1Lamp)
             24W TV 2hrs = 48Wh
             Total Power Demand:102Wh
             50
             40
Demand[Wh]
             30
             20
             10
              0
                  1
                                             11
                                                    13
                                                         15
                                                              17
                                                                   19
                                                                        21
                                                                               23
                                                  Time
                      Lamp1i9Wj       Lamp2i9Wj      Lamp3i9Wj         TVi24Wj
 25km from Grid Line
                       Grid Extension VS PV(Aurora)
P1000/kWh
  1.40
                                                                               Grid   170 households
                                                                               Grid   50 households
  1.20
                                                                               Grid   100 households
                                                                               Grid   250 households
  1.00                                                                         PV
  0.80
  0.60
  0.40
  0.20
  0.00
         0.05
         0.10
         0.20
                0.30
                0.40
                       0.50
                              0.60
                              0.70
                                     0.80
                                            0.90
                                            1.00
                                            1.10
                                                   1.20
                                                   1.30
                                                          1.40
                                                                 1.50
                                                                 1.60
                                                                        1.70
                                                                               1.80
                                                                               1.90
                                                                               2.00
                                                                                        2.10
                                                                                        2.20
                                                                                               2.30
                                                                                                      2.40
                                                                                                      2.50
                                      kWh/day/household
 10km from Grid Line
                Grid Extension VS PV(Aurora)
P1000/kWh
  0.60
                                               Grid   170 households
                                               Grid   50 households
  0.50                                         Grid   100 households
                                               Grid   250 households
                                               PV
  0.40
  0.30
  0.20
  0.10
  0.00
         0.05
         0.10
                0.20
                0.30
                0.40
                0.50
                0.60
                0.70
                0.80
                0.90
                1.00
                1.10
                1.20
                1.30
                1.40
                                     1.50
                                     1.60
                                     1.70
                                     1.80
                                     1.90
                                     2.00
                                     2.10
                                     2.20
                                     2.30
                                     2.40
                                     2.50
                       kWh/day/household
5km from Grid Line
                Grid Extension VS PV(Aurora)
P1000/kWh
  0.30
                                               Grid   170 households
                                               Grid   50 households
  0.25                                         Grid   100 households
                                               Grid   250 households
                                               PV
  0.20
  0.15
  0.10
  0.05
  0.00
         0.05
         0.10
                0.20
                0.30
                0.40
                0.50
                0.60
                0.70
                0.80
                0.90
                1.00
                1.10
                1.20
                1.30
                1.40
                                     1.50
                                     1.60
                                     1.70
                                     1.80
                                     1.90
                                     2.00
                                     2.10
                                     2.20
                                     2.30
                                     2.40
                                     2.50
                       kWh/day/household
 0.5km from Grid Line
              Grid Extension VS PV(Santiago)
P1000/kWh
  0.08
  0.07                                         Grid   109 households
                                               Grid   50 households
  0.06                                         Grid   150 households
                                               Grid   200 households
  0.05                                         PV
  0.04
  0.03
  0.02
  0.01
  0.00
         0.05
         0.10
         0.20
         0.30
         0.40
         0.50
         0.60
         0.70
         0.80
         0.90
         1.00
         1.10
         1.20
         1.30
         1.40
         1.50
         1.60
         1.70
         1.80
         1.90
         2.00
         2.10
         2.20
         2.30
         2.40
         2.50
                        kWh/day/household
<Result (example)>
Household : 170
Distance from Grid : 25km
      Load > 0.3kWh/Day.HH      : Grid Extension
      Load< 0.3kWh/Day.HH       : PV system
Distance from Grid : 10km
      Load > 0.1kWh/Day.HH      : Grid Extension
      Load< 0.1kWh/Day.HH       : PV system
Distance from Grid : 5km
      Load > 0.07kWh/Day.HH : Grid
Extension Load< 0.07kWh/Day.HH : PV
system
Distance from Grid : 0.5km
      Grid Extension is cost feasible.
<Result (example)>
Household : 50
Distance from Grid : 25km
      Load > 0.8kWh/Day.HH      : Grid Extension
      Load< 0.8kWh/Day.HH       : PV system
Distance from Grid : 10km
      Load > 0.4kWh/Day.HH      : Grid Extension
      Load< 0.4kWh/Day.HH       : PV system
Distance from Grid : 5km
      Load > 0.2kWh/Day.HH       : Grid Extension
      Load< 0.2kWh/Day.HH        : PV system
Distance from Grid : 0.5km
      Grid Extension is cost feasible.
                Length of Grid Extension VS PV(Aurora)
                       (Demand :0.1kWh/day)
P1000/kWh
   0.7
            Grid   170 households
   0.6      Grid   50 households
            Grid   100 households
   0.5      Grid   250 households
            PV
   0.4
   0.3
   0.2
   0.1
    0
            1           5           10        15   20    25
                                         km
<Result (example)>
 Assumption of Consumption : 0.1kWh/Day.HH
 Household : 250
 Distance > 15km : PV system
 Distance< 15km : Grid
 Extension
 Household : 170
 Distance > 10km : PV system
 Distance< 10km : Grid
 Extension
 Household : 100
 Distance > 5km : PV system
 Distance< 5km : Grid Extension
 Distance< 3km
 Grid Extension is cost feasible
 Factors for Consideration
Distance is far from grid line and demand is
small, stand-alone system like PV system has
advantages.
General assumption is used for this examples.
Actual assumption (Location, Distance, Access
etc) is needed to adopt for specified Barangay.
Typical sample is available by changing
assumptions.
   Potential of Renewable Energy
Insolation   Precipitation   Wind Power
           Utilization of Renewable
           Energy Resource
Insolation     4.5 to 5.5 kWh/m2
               Yearly Average in Philippine
               Far from Grid Line &           PV system is useful
               Insolation High
               Far from Grid Line             Micro-Hydro system
Rainfall
               Geographical Condition         is useful
Wind Power     Energy Potential is High       Wind system is
                                              useful
Database for DOE
   Electrification Ratio Map
Objective                                Easily &
                                         Visually
  For Smooth Project Monitoring
  For Future Plan
1st Stage
 Municipality Level &             Each Regions &
 Each ECs Level Data              ECs    Completed
2nd Stage               JICA Team        DOE will
                        Sample           follow!!
 Barangay Level         (Masbate)
         MAP OF ELECTRIFICATION RATIO
Legend
    90% and above
    89% to 75%
    74% to 50%
    Under 49%
    Data unavailable
    Municipality Border
    Electric Utilities Jurisdiction
                                      REGION 1
                                                 Example Map
                 MAP OF ELECTRIFICATION RATIO
Legend
             90% and above
             89% to 75%
             74% to 50%
             Under 49%
             Data unavailable
             Municipality Border
             Electric Utilities Jurisdiction
1. Adams
2. Bacarra
3. Bangui
4. Burgos
5. Carasi                                                                             8
6. Dumalneg
                                                                   4              3
7. Laoag City
                                                                                      6
8. Pagudpud
9. Pasuguin
                                                                                              1
10. Piddig
11. Sarrat
12. Vintar
                                                          9
13. Badoc
14. Batac
15. Currimao                                                  2
16. Dingras
                                                                       12
17. Espiritu                                        7                                     5
                                                                             10
18. Marcos                                               22       11
19. Nueva Era
20. Paoay
                                                                        16    23
21. Pinili
                                               20
22. San Nicolas
                                                    14                  18
23. Solsona                              15
                                                                   17
                                               21
                                  13                          19
                                                              REGION 1-1 Illocos Norte
                 MAP OF ELECTRIFICATION RATIO
Legend
             90% and above
             89% to 75%                                     8
             74% to 50%
             Under 49%
             Data unavailable                        2
             Municipality Border                      6
             Electric Utilities Jurisdiction
                                                     4
1. Bantay                                           10
2. Cabugao
                                                      5
3. Caoayan                                       7
                                                      1
4. Magsingal                                   9
                                                 11
5. San IIdefonso                                    3
6. San Juan
                                                      26
7. San Vicente
                                                                 20
8. Sinait
                                                           21
9. Sta. Catalina
10. Sto. Domingo                                            31
11. Vigan
                                                         25 14
12. Alilem
13. Banayoyo
                                                          27 19
14. Burgos                                                  13        24
15. Candon                                            15
                                                            18
16. Cervantes
17. Del Pilar                                                         17
18. Galimuyod                                              30    23
19. Lidlidda
                                                                                 22
                                                           29     28
20. Nagbukel                                                                16
21. Narvacan
22. Quirino                                                      33
23. Salcedo
24. San Emilio                                             34
                                                                      12
25. San Esteban
26. Santa
27. Santiago
28. Sigay
29. Sta. Cruz
30. Sta. Lucia
31. Sta. Maria                                                         32
32. Sugpon
33. Suyo
34. Tagudin
                                                                REGION 1-2 Illocos Sur
                 MAP OF ELECTRIFICATION RATIO
Legend
            90% and above
            89% to 75%
            74% to 50%
            Under 49%
            Data unavailable
            Municipality Border
            Electric Utilities Jurisdiction
                                                                     3
1. Bacnotan                                        4                            7
2. Balaoan                                                      2
3. Bangar
4. Luna
5. San Gabriel
6. Santol                                                                       6
                                                       1
7. Sudipen
8. Agoo
                                                                     5
9. Aringay                                         B3
10. Bagulin
11. Burgos                                    B1
12. Caba                                                                   10
13. Nagulian
14. Pugo
15. Rosario
16. Sto. Tomas
                                              B2                13         11
17. Tubao
B1. San Fernando City
B2. Bauang
B3. San Juan                                   12
                                                                 17
                                                       8
                                                                         14
                                                           16
                                                                      15
                                                                REGION 1-3 La Union
                 MAP OF ELECTRIFICATION RATIO
Legend
             90% and above
             89% to 75%
             74% to 50%
             Under 49%
             Data unavailable
             Municipality Border
             Electric Utilities Jurisdiction
1. Agno
2. Alaminos
3. Anda
4. Bani
5. Bolinao
6. Burgos
7. Dasol
                                                   5
8. Infanta
9. Mabini
                                                   4
                                                                   2
                                                       6       9
                                                       REGION 1-4 Pangasinan 1
                 MAP OF ELECTRIFICATION RATIO
Legend
             90% and above
             89% to 75%
             74% to 50%
             Under 49%
             Data unavailable
             Municipality Border
             Electric Utilities Jurisdiction
1. 1. Sual
2. Aguilar
3. Basista
4. Binmaley
5. Bugallon
6. Labrador
7. Lingayen                                                                  B3
8. Mangatarem
9. Urbiztondo
10. Bayambang                         1                                 13       B4
11. Malasiqui
                                                                   B2
12. San Carlos City
                                               6               4
13. Mangaldan
                                                   7               B1
14. Alcala
                                                                             B5
15. Bautista
                                                   5               12
B1. Calasiao
B2. Dangupan City                                                                11
B3. San Fabian                                         2                     3
B4. San Jacinto                                                                            14
B5. Sta. Barbara                                                    9            10
                                                                                      15
                                                           8
                                      REGION 1-5 Central Pangasinan
                  MAP OF ELECTRIFICATION RATIO
Legend
              90% and above
              89% to 75%
              74% to 50%
              Under 49%
              Data unavailable
              Municipality Border
              Electric Utilities Jurisdiction
1. Mapandan
2. Binalonan
3. Laoac
4. Pozorrubio
5. Sto. Tomas
6. Urdaneta City
7. Villasis
8. Asingan
9. Balungao
10. Natividad                                    4                              13
                                                                      12
11. Rosales
12. San Manuel                                               2                        10
                                            B1
13. San Nicolas                                                                 16
14. San Quintin
                                                 3                    8
                                   1
15. Sta. Maria
16. Tayug                                                                            14
                                                     6                     15
17. Umingan
B1. Manaoag                                                                                17
                                                         7
                                                             5              9
                                                                 11
                                                         REGION 1-6 Pangasinan 3
                     Barangay
Masbate Island
                     Level
      Municipality
      Level
                       Example
                       We can manage
                       Barangay level
        Advantages of Mapping
By utilizing this map, the following issues are found
visually:
        Lower electrification rate Municipality is
         given priority for electrification.
        Un-energized Barangay which is far from
         the grid line is given priority for
         introducing stand-alone systems.
Advice for Future Promotion
  Rural Electrification Framework
  Completion
    Building Database
       Strengthen Organizations
           Obtain Funding
              Regulatory Framework
                          Summary
1.        Work Flow
Work flow was drawn by cooperation of R/E families. This work flow
will utilize for future planning.
2.      Rural Electrification Program
DOE and Team discuss 5 years rural electrification planning concept.
Examples of electrification selection procedure is indicated. The
output of other activity and this study is taking into account, DOE
start to prepare MEDP.
3.     Present Situation of Rural Electrification
Information were collected and analyzed. Based on those
information, electrification ratio map were made for DOEs database.
4.     Selection Method of Electrification
Rough calculation results were indicated. However, for specified
Barangay, more practical assumption (Location, HH, Access,
Distance, Consumption etc ) is required.