Two sectors to watch                 What needs fixing                        Experts                              Soft-power credentials
r of the
state of the nation/china                                                                                                     Yea           Film industry: Chinas largest       Environment: China has                   China has seen a great boost in     Traditional Chinese medicine:
China in                                                                                                                                      corporations are staking
                                                                                                                                              billions on the countrys film
                                                                                                                                              industry. Dalian Wanda is
                                                                                                                                                                                   banned the ivory trade and
                                                                                                                                                                                   re-pivoted on climate change.
                                                                                                                                                                                   But its cities are still cloaked in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          economic and military power in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          recent decades but the current
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          leadership has scored poorly in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Chinas ancient practices
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 in herbal medicine and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 acupuncture are increasingly
his hands?
                                                                                                                                              building a state-of-the-art          smog and its residents fed up.         regards to boosting soft power.       popular overseas as an
                                                                                                                                              studio in Qingdao province,          To be an environmental leader          Cary Huang                             alternative form of healing,
                                                                                                                                              and Alibaba and Tencent have         the country must wean itself           Senior writer, South China             with tcm centres popping up
                                                                                                                               rooster        launched their own production        off coal faster and put force          Morning Post                           in Europe and North America
                                                                                                                                              companies. However, poor             behind anti-pollution efforts.                                                and foreigners flocking to
Xi Jinping may remain popular but with a worsening                                        Devaluation                                         box-office results in 2016 and     The Great Firewall: Even                 Given that the economy has            China for tcm training.
economy, dangerous pollution levels and a newly                                                                                               lukewarm reviews for the             Pokmon Go has reportedly              been slowing down for a few          Zhang Yimou: China has few
                                                                                                                                              priciest film ever shot on the       run afoul of Chinas censors,          years, I think it has probably hit     directors with the overseas
unpredictable relationship with the US, how                                                                Trump                              mainland, The Great Wall, have       showing just how pervasive             the bottom. Once youve hit the        reach of Zhang, director of
strong is the presidents grip on his country?                                                                                                dashed expectations that China       internet controls have become.         bottom the only way to go is up.      Raise the Red Lantern and
                                                                                                                                              will overtake the US as the top      A push for greater innovation          Zhu Tian                               Red Sorghum. Hes also the
By Justin Bergman                                                                                                                             movie market anytime soon.           will be difficult when                 Economist at China Europe              mastermind behind the 2008
Illustration Giacomo Gambineri                                                                                                              Electric cars: China is not just       scientists, entrepreneurs,             International Business                 Olympic opening gala and
                                                                                                                                              the worlds largest car market:      educators and creative types           School in Shanghai                     now a frontrunner to return
                                                                                                                                              in 2015 it became the leader         cant access information                                                      to the spotlight for the 2022
                                                                                                                                              in electric vehicles too, thanks     from beyond the wall.                  The Chinese economy has               Winter Games.
                                                                                                                                              to government subsidies.           The hukou system: Chinas                needed to be rebalanced for          Pandas: Cuddly, docile and
                                                                                                                                              Such incentives have led to a        boom created opportunities             more than a decade. But its           enduringly symbolic of China.
                                                                                             Pollution                                        boom in electric-car start-ups       for hundreds of millions of            done well in that period. Its a       There could be no better soft-
In a pivotal year for his leadership, the           State of the economy                                                 Firewall             but theres been a downside,         migrant workers across the             bit like a Ponzi scheme: even if       power tool for the country,
aim of Chinese president Xi Jinping is to           While larger reforms will take                                                            with companies inflating their       country but the outdated               you know its a Ponzi scheme           particularly at a time when
minimise distractions. Stability is the key         time, Chinas short-term goal                                                             production numbers to pocket         hukou (household registration)         theres still profit to be made        mistrust of Chinese might
                                                    is maintaining the stability of                         What needs                        more cash. A revised subsidy         system restricted access to            before it becomes a problem.          runs deep.
concern, not change. Harmonious relations           its economy. Among the more                               fixing                          scheme launched at the start of      education and health care.             Steve Tsang
with Chinas neighbours  and the erratic           immediate concerns is the                                                                 2017 should help the industry        A reform plan, currently               Director of the Soas                 Monocle view
new leader of the US  are paramount, not           continued weakening of the yuan                                                           grow more sustainably.               under way, is long overdue.            China Institute                      Given his power at the moment,
tiffs over trade or the South China Sea.            and the exodus of cash from the                                                                                                                                                                            Xi Jinping has an opportunity to
     With all eyes on this Octobers National       country. As the yuan slid to its                                                                                                                                                                           show bold leadership with major
                                                    lowest level in eight years at the                                                                                                                                                                         economic and social reforms 
Party Congress, where Xi will officially            end of 2016, capital outflows                                                                                                                                                                              but a cautious approach is more
begin his second five-year term, the image          accelerated and Chinas foreign                                                                                                                                                                            likely in a politically decisive
he wants to portray is that of a leader in          reserves dipped below the $3trn                                                                                                                                                                            year. The bright spot in China
full command of his post. He has focused            (2.8trn) mark  a decline of                                     Household-                                                                                                                               is the robust and fast-moving
considerable attention on consolidating his         $1trn (930bn) from its peak                                      registration                                                                                                                             technology industry, which
                                                    in 2014. Controls on capital                                        system                                                                                                                                 should be a source of inspiration
power and the state-run media has bur-                                                                                                                                                                                    Building new
                                                    outflows have helped but the                                                                                                                                                                               for the countrys stagnant state-
nished his credentials at every given oppor-        stability of the yuan is hard to     Foreign policy                                                                                   Foreign policy                    islands                            owned enterprises.
tunity. Xi Jinping: Leader of Chinas Great        predict. People are worried         With US foreign policy ill-                                                                                                                                           Grade: C+. Chinas global
Revival, trumpeted one headline from the           about the value of their assets,    defined under Trump, China is                                                                                                                                         influence continues to grow but
                                                    says Gan Jie, finance professor      keen to step up and be seen as                                                                                                                                        given the lack of democracy
Xinhua news service this year.                                                           a global leader on everything
     Trouble is, a peek behind the curtain          at the Cheung Kong Graduate                                                                                                                                                                                and its militaristic stance in the
                                                    School of Business in Beijing.       from the environment to free                                                                                                                                          region, this could cause problems.
reveals a host of problems: Chinas ineffi-         Theres a lack of investment        trade. At the forefront of this
cient and debt-ridden state-owned enter-            opportunities in China.             effort is Beijings $1trn (930bn)
prises have long been a drag on growth                                                   One Belt, One Road (obor)
                                                                                                                                                                                                           138 million
                                                    Leaders performance                 initiative, a modern-day Silk
but efforts to reform the economy have                                                   Road connecting Europe, Africa
                                                                                                                                                                                                             tourists
had limited success. Overcapacity in the            Even in the famously opaque                                                                                                                               in 2016                                  Modern-day
                                                    world of Chinese politics, Xi        and Asia through trade and
industrial sector also remains a problem and        Jinpings dominance is without       investment, which finally started
private-sector investment is only now               question right now. His leadership   gaining steam this year with the
picking up after tapering to a trickle last year.   style, glamorous wife and ruthless   opening of a China-UK rail link.                                                                                                                                Silk Road
                                                                                            Challenges remain, however.
     Though the government may have offi-           anti-corruption campaign
                                                    have set him apart from his          China believes that obor will                                                                                                                              China-UK rail link
cially hit its growth target of more than 6.5                                            bolster its soft power but this
                                                    dour predecessors and proved
per cent in 2016  thanks in part to billions                                            wont be enough to persuade                                                                                                         Sectors                                        129bn
                                                    remarkably popular with the
in government stimulus  some economists            public. Now the biggest question     nations wary of its rise. Chinas
                                                                                                                                                                                      Soft-power                            to watch                                        in 2016
believe that the actual rate was much lower.        is what will happen at the 19th      confidence has reached a point
                                                                                                                                                                                      credentials
     The biggest issue is the economy, says       party congress in October  a        whereby it thinks that we have
                                                    pivotal twice-a-decade assembly.     to lead, says Zhang Baohui,
Steve Tsang, director of the Soas China                                                  a political science professor at                                                                          Zhang
Institute at the University of London. If          A political shake-up could allow
                                                                                         Lingnan University in Hong                                                                                Yimou                            Film
                                                    Xi to promote a loyalist as his
the economy is doing well then Xi Jinping           successor as president in 2022,      Kong. But I dont think
will deliver a lot of the things that he wants      ensuring hell retain considerable   that China would do so in an
to deliver. Thats why Trump can poten-             influence and power. To solidify     oppressive manner; the Chinese                                                                                                  Electric
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Traditional
                                                    his position further he has also     are aware that if you want                                                                                                      cars
tially tip the balance. If he does something                                             to create something that is
                                                                                                                                                                                                   medicine
designed to hurt China  and if the markets         made clear that his corruption                                                                                                                                                                                    Defence spending
                                                    campaign is far from over.           China-led, other countries
respond to it  it will really hurt.  (m)                                              will have concerns.
000  monocle  no104