Mong Project Outline
Mong Project Outline
1.0   Introduction:
2.0   Classical Approach
2.1 Definition :
Textbook 1:
       The Gilbreths also experimented with the design and use the proper
        tools and equipment optimizing work performance.
Textbook 1:
   The evolution of modern management began in the closing decades
    of th 19th century, after the industrial revolution had swept through
    Europe and America.
   Nearly 200 years before Adam Smith had been one of the first
    writers to investigate the advantages associated with producing
    goods and in services in factories.
   Taylor believed that if the amount of time and effort that each
    worker expends to produce a unit of output (a finished good or
    service) can be reduced by increasing specialization and the
    division of labor, the production process will become more
    efficient.
   Principle 1: Study the way workers perform their tasks, gather all
    the informal job knowledge that workers possess, and experiment
    with ways of improving how tasks are performed
   It produces the huge cost savings and dramatic output increases that
    occur in large organized work settings.
                                                           (Daft, 2012)
Textbook 3:
   In the last half of the nineteenth century, organizations were unable
    to obtain increased productivity from employees despite making
    large investment in new technologies.
   At Midvale, Taylor carefully documented the large amount of time
    that was wasted by workers who were ill equipped and poorly
    trained to perform the simple tasks.
   Complicating the situation, there were no systematic rules to serve
    as guidelines for doing the jobs most efficiently.
   Workers learned their jobs by the use of rules of thumbs and
    trial-and-error processes.
   In response to the inefficiencies he observed in the steel industry,
    Taylor developed scientific management, which is summarized in
    Table 1.2
   The scientific method should be applied to determining the one best
    way to do a particular job.
   This optimal approach to work spares the worker from management
    criticism and provides managers and owners with the most output
    from each worker.
   Next, Taylor supported the use of scientific selection methods to
    make the best matches between workers and jobs.
   Taylor found this approach inefficient, and he suggested using
    measure of workers aptitudes,traits, and performance to
    scientifically determine the fit between person and job.
   Finally, Taylor perceived a clear separation between the work of
    employees and managers.
   In Taylor’s view, employees did the physical work and managers
    planned, directed and coordinated employees’ efforts so that the
    goals would be reached.
   In one of the most famous applications, Henry Ford utilized
    scientific management in the production process of the factury that
    manufactured the Model-T Ford .
   The lasting contribution of scientific management was to transform
    management into a more objective, systematic body of knowledge
    in which best practices can be discovered for different jobs.
   Scientific management had a shortcomings.
   It did not appreciate the social context of work and the needs
    (beyond pay) of workers.
   It often led to dehumanizing working conditions in which every
    aspect of a worker’s effort was measured, prohibiting employees
    initiative.
   Scientific management also assumed that workers had no useful
    ideas, and that only managers and experts were capable of coming
    up with the good ideas or innovations.
                                (Gomez-Meija, Balkin, Cardy, 2015)
Example from textbook (Robbins 2016)
   Th owners thought Schultz’s style and high energy would clash
    with the existing culture.
   But Schultz was quite persuasive and was able to allay the owners’
    fears.
   They asked him to join the company as director of retail operations
    and marketing, which he enthusiastically did.
   Schultz’s passion for the coffee business was obvious.
   Although some of the company employees resented the fact that he
    was an ‘outsider,” Schultz had found his niche and he had lots of
    idea for the company.
   As he says, “I wanted to make a positive impact.”
Example from the internet :
   Starbucks uses scientific management principles to create a
    welcoming environment for partners.
   The first principle that Starbucks use is the specialized selecting
    and training of workers.
   Starbucks has a Rotational Development Program to provide the
    knowledge and professional skills for the first entry at Starbucks.
   It based at Corporate Headquarters in Seattle, and it is two-year
    program consisting of three, eight months rotations in various areas
    within a specific business unit.
    The program is aim to develop strong and successful leaders for
    growing business. Then, looking into the single unit, each worker
    has their own responsibility in the production line of coffee and
    food.
   To provide the best service to the customers consistently, there are
    many specialized requirements for Café lead and cook.
   They should have at least one-year certificate from college or
    technical school, or six month to one year related experience and
    training.
               The proficient of using food service equipment with Food Handlers
                Card is also the required ability for all the cooking staffs.
                Each individual must perform each responsibility satisfactorily to
                achieve a common success in the customer service.
      3.1   Definition :
               The field of study that researches the actions (behaviour) of people
                at work is called organizational behavior (OB)
               Much of what managers do today when managing people-
                motivating, leading, building trust, working with a team, managing
                conflict, and so forth-has comeout of OB research.
               Four stand out as early advocates of the OB approach : Robert
                Owen, Hugo Munsterberg, Mary Parker Follett, and Chester
                Barnard.
   their contributors were varied and distinct, yet all believed that
    people were the most important asset of the organization and should
    be managed accordingly.
   Their ideas provided the foundation for such management practises
    as employee selection procedures, motivation programs, and work
    teams.
Textbook 1 :
   Although their writings were different, these theorists all espoused a
    theme that focused on behavioral management , the study of how
    managers should personally behave to motivate employees and
    encourage them to perform at high levels and be committed to
    achieving organizational goals.
   If F. W. Taylor is considered the father of management thought,
    Mary Parker Follett (1868–1933) serves as its mother. Much of her
    writing about management and about the way managers should
    behave toward workers was a response to her concern that Taylor
    was ignoring the human side of the organization.
   She pointed out that management often overlooks the multitude of
    ways in which employees can contribute to the organization when
    managers allow them to participate and exercise initiative in their
    everyday work lives.
   Follett proposed that “authority should go with knowledge . . .
    whether it is up the line or down.”
   In other words, if workers have the relevant knowledge, then
    workers, rather than managers, should be in control of the work
    process itself, and managers should behave as coaches and
    facilitators—not as monitors and supervisors.
   In making this statement, Follett anticipated the current interest in
    self-managed teams and empowerment.
   She also recognized the importance of having managers in different
    departments communicate directly with each other to speed
    decision making.
   She advocated what she called “cross-functioning”: members of
    different departments working together in cross-departmental teams
    to accomplish projects—an approach that is increasingly used
    today.
   Fayol also mentioned expertise and knowledge as important sources
    of managers’ authority, but Follett went further.
   She proposed that knowledge and expertise, and not managers’
    formal authority deriving from their position in the hierarchy,
    should decide who will lead at any particular moment.
   Follett took a horizontal view of power and authority, in contrast to
    Fayol, who saw the formal line of authority and vertical chain of
    command as being most essential to effective management.
    Follett’s behavioral approach to management was very radical for
    its time.
   To increase efficiency, they studied ways to improve various
    characteristics of the work setting, such as job specialization or the
    kinds of tools workers used.
   d. One series of studies was conducted from 1924 to 1932 at the
    Hawthorne Works of the Western Electric Company.
   This research, now known as the Hawthorne studies, began as an
    attempt to investigate how characteristics of the work
    setting—specifically the level of lighting or illumination— affect
    worker fatigue and performance.
   The researchers conducted an experiment in which they
    systematically measured worker productivity at various levels of
    illumination.
   The experiment produced some unexpected results.
    The researchers found that regardless of whether they raised or
    lowered the level of illumination, productivity increased.
   In fact, productivity began to fall only when the level of
    illumination dropped to the level of moonlight—a level at which
    workers could presumably no longer see well enough to do their
    work efficiently.
   The researchers found these results puzzling and invited a noted
    Harvard psychologist, Elton Mayo, to help them.
   Mayo proposed another series of experiments to solve the mystery.
    These experiments, known as the relay assembly test experiments,
    were designed to investigate the effects of other aspects of the work
    context on job performance, such as the effect of the number and
    length of rest periods and hours of work on fatigue and monotony.
    The goal was to raise productivity.
   During a two-year study of a small group of female workers, the
    researchers again observed that productivity increased over time,
    but the increases could not be solely attributed to the effects of
    changes in the work setting.
   Gradually the researchers discovered that, to some degree, the
    results they were obtaining were influenced by the fact that the
    researchers themselves had become part of the experiment
   In other words, the presence of the researchers was affecting the
    results because the workers enjoyed receiving attention and being
    the subject of study and were willing to cooperate with the
    researchers to produce the results they believed the researchers
    desired.
   Subsequently it was found that many other factors also influence
    worker behavior, and it was not clear what was actually influencing
    the Hawthorne workers’ behavior.
   However, this particular effect—which became known as the
    Hawthorne effect —seemed to suggest that workers’ attitudes
    toward their managers affect the level of workers’ performance.
   In particular, the significant finding was that each manager’s
    personal behavior or leadership approach can affect performance.
   This finding led many researchers to turn their attention to
    managerial behavior and leadership.
   If supervisors could be trained to behave in ways that would elicit
    cooperative behavior from their subordinates, productivity could be
    increased.
   From this view emerged the human relations movement , which
    advocates that supervisors be behaviorally trained to manage
    subordinates in ways that elicit their cooperation and increase their
    productivity.
   The importance of behavioral or human relations training became
    even clearer to its supporters after another series of
    experiments—the bank wiring room experiments
   Workers who violated this informal production norm were
    subjected to sanctions by other group members.
    Those who violated group performance norms and performed
    above the norm were called “ratebusters”; those who performed
    below the norm were called “chiselers.”
   The experimenters concluded that both types of workers threatened
    the group as a whole.
    Ratebusters threatened group members because they revealed to
    managers how fast the work could be done.
   Chiselers were looked down on because they were not doing their
    share of the work.
   One implication of the Hawthorne studies was that the behavior of
    managers and workers in the work setting is as important in
    explaining the level of performance as the technical aspects of the
    task.
   Managers must understand the workings of the informal
    organization , the system of behavioral rules and norms that emerge
    in a group, when they try to manage or change behavior in
    organizations.
   Many studies have found that as time passes, groups often develop
    elaborate procedures and norms that bond members together,
    allowing unified action either to cooperate with management to
    raise performance or to restrict output and thwart the attainment of
    organizational goals.
   It was becoming increasingly clear to researchers that
    understanding behavior in organizations is a complex process that is
    critical to increasing performance.
   5 Indeed, the increasing interest in the area of management known
    as organizational behavior , the study of the factors that have an
    impact on how individuals and groups respond to and act in
    organizations, dates from these early studies.
                                                (Jones, George, 2016)
Textbook 2 :
   The behavioral science approach uses scientific methods and draws
    from sociology, psychology,anthropology,economics and other
    disciplines to develop theories about human behavior and
    interaction in an organizational setting.
   One specific set of management techniques based in the behavioral
    sciences approach is organization development (OD).
   In the 1970s, organization development evolved as a separate field
    that applied the behavioral sciences to improve internal
    relationships and increases problem-solving capabilites.
   Other concepts that grew out of the behavioral sciences approach
    included matrix organizations, self-managed teams, ideas about
    corporate culture, and management by wandering around.
                                                          (Daft, 2012)
Textbook 3 :
   The behavioral perspective incorporates psychological and social
    process of human behavior to improve productivity and work
    satisfactions.
   Operational theorists view management as a mechanical process in
    which employees would fit into any job or organization designed
    for optimum efficiency if given monetary incentives to do so.
   Hawthorne effect is the finding that paying special attention to
    employees motivates them to put greater effort into their jobs (from
    the Hawthorne management studies)
   They labelled the phenomenon the Hawthorne effect, and suggested
    that when a manager or leader shows concern for employees, their
    motivation and productivity are likely to improve.
   Later studies at Hawthorne revealed that the informal organization
    had a profound effect on a group productivity.
   Individuals who exceeded the group performance norm were
    considered ‘ratebusters” and those who perform below the norm
    were viewed as the “chiselers”.
   The work group disciplined both types of norm violations because
    ratebusters could speed up the pace of work beyond what we
    considered fair, while chiselers avoided doing the fair share of the
    work.
   The Hawthorne studies provided evidence that employee attitudes
    significantly affect performance in a manner which differs from the
    financial incentives championed by advocates of scientific
    management.
                                  (Gomez-mejia/ Balkin/ Cardy, 2015)
Example from textbook (Robbin 2016) :
   In fact, his intention to restore quality control led him to a decision
    to close (all that times) 7,100 U.S. stores for one evening to retrain
    135,00 baristas on the coffee experience . . . what it meant, what it
    wa.
   It was a bold decision, and one that many “experts” felt would be a
    disaster.
   Another controversial decision was to hold a leadership conference
    with all store managers (some 8000 of them) and 2000 other
    partners-all at one time and locations. Why ?
   To energize and galvanize these employees around what starbucks
    stands for and what needed to be done for the company to survive
    and prosper.
Example from internet :
   Howard believes in treating people with respect and dignity.
   He always cared about his employees and gave them the
    opportunities to come forward and show their abilities for the
    company.
   In 1999, Schultz stepped down from the post of CEO for Smith and
    continued as chairman and chief global strategist of company.
   According to Howard's, "treat people like family and they will be
    loyal and give their all" and on his philosophy Starbucks created
    different benefit programs for employees including part timers.
   It consist of stock share plan, work life balance etc.
   Schultz played a major role in developing an employee ownership
    program at Starbucks shortly after he bought the company.
   He introduced 'Bean Stock' plan in which all employees were
    eligible to get the shares of the company.
   Make them feel like an owner improved employee's performance
                and to retain them.
               It boosted employee commitment and maintained low employee
                turnover (Long, 2002).
      4.1   Definition :
               Based on research in space-time geometry, one airline innovated a
                unique boarding process called “reverse pyramid” that has at least
                two minutes in boarding time.
               This is an example for the quantitative approach, which is the use of
                quantitative techniques to improve decision making.
               This approach also is known as management science.
               What exactly does quantitative approach do? It involves applying
                statistics optimization models, information models, computer
                simulations and other quantitative techniques to management
                activities.
               Work scheduling can be more efficient as a result of critical-path
                scheduling analysis.
               The economic order quantity model helps managers determine
                optimum inventory levels.
               Another area where quantitative techniques are used frequently is in
                total quality management.
Textbook 1 :
   Management science theory is a contemporary approach to
    management that focuses on the use of rigorous quantitative
    techniques to help managers make maximum use of organizational
    resources to produce goods and services.
   In essence, management science theory is a contemporary extension
    of scientific management, which, as developed by Taylor, also took
    a quantitative approach to measuring the worker–task mix to raise
    efficiency.
   There are many branches of management science; and IT, which is
    having a significant impact on all kinds of management practices, is
    affecting the tools managers use to make decisions.
   Quantitative management uses mathematical techniques—such as
    linear and nonlinear programming, modeling, simulation, queuing
    theory, and chaos theory—to help managers decide, for example,
    how much inventory to hold at different times of the year, where to
    locate a new factory, and how best to invest an organization’s
    financial capital.
   IT offers managers new and improved ways of handling information
    so they can make more accurate assessments of the situation and
    better decisions.
    Operations management gives managers a set of techniques they
    can use to analyze any aspect of an organization’s production
    system to increase efficiency.
     IT, through the Internet and through growing B2B networks, is
    transforming how managers acquire inputs and dispose of finished
    products.
    Total quality management (TQM) focuses on analyzing an
    organization’s input, conversion, and output activities to increase
    product quality.
    Once again, through sophisticated software packages and
    computer-controlled production, IT is changing how managers and
    employees think about the work process and ways of improving it.
    Management information systems (MISs) give managers
    information about events occurring inside the organization as well
    as in its external environment—information that is vital for effective
    decision making.
    IT gives managers access to more and better information and
    allows more managers at all levels to participate in the decision
    making process.
                                                  (Jones, George, 2016)
Textbook 2 :
   The quantitative perspective also referred to as management
    science, provided a way to address those problems.
   This view is distinguished for its application of mathematics,
    statistics and other quantitative techniques to management decision
    making and problem solving.
   Managers soon saw how quantitative techniques could be applied to
    large-scale business firms.
   Let’s look at three subsets of the quantitative perspective.
   Operations research grew directly out of the World War II military
    groups (called operational research teams in Great Britain and
    operations research teams in United States). It consists of
    mathematical model building and other applications              of
    quantitative techniques to managerial problems.
   Operations management refers to the field of management that
    specializes in the physical production of goods and services.
    Operations management specialist use a quantitative techniques to
    solve the manufacturing problems.
   Information technology (IT) is the most recent sub field of the
    quantitative perspective. Which is often reflected in management
    information system design to provided relevant information o
    managers in a timely and cos-efficient manners.
                                                            (Daft 2012)
Textbook 3 :
   The focus is on the development of various statistical tools and
    techniques to improve efficiency and allow management to make
    informed decisions regarding the costs and benefits of alternative
    course of action.
   Four of these quantitative methods, which are still widely use today,
    included : (1) break-even analysis (2) basic economic order quantity
    (EOQ) (3) material requirement planning, MRP and (4) quality
    management.
   Break-even analysis.
     Break-even analysis provides formulas which assess the total
    fixed costs associated with producing a product, the variable costs
    for each units, and the contribution made by the sales of each unit to
    recovering both fixed and variable cost.
     The break-even point is the number of units which must be sold
    at a given price to recover all fixed and variable costs.
   Quality management
     Total quality management (TQM) is an organization wide
    approach that focuses on quality as an overarching goal.
     The basis of this approach is the understanding that all
    employees and organizational units should be working
    harmoniously to satisfy the customer.
     The TQM perspective views quality as the central purpose of
    the organization, in contrast to the focus on efficiency advocated by
    the operational perspective.
       The key elements of the TQM approach are
        Focus on the customer : it is important to identify the
    organization’s customers. External customers consume the
    organization’s product or service. Internal customers are employees
    who receive the output of employees.
     Employee involvement : since quality is considered the job of
    all employees, employees should be involved in quality initiatives.
    Front-line employees are likely to have the closet contact with
    external customers and thus can make the most valuable
    contributions to quality. In TQM workers are are often organized
    into empowered teams that have the authority to make the quality
    improvements.
     Continuous improvement : the quest for quality is a
    never-ending process in which people are continuously working to
    improve the performance, speed, and number of features of the
    product or service. Continuous improvement means that small,
    incremental improvements that occur on a regular basis will
    eventually add up to vast improvements in quality.
                                (Gomez-mejia/ Balkin/ Cardy, 2015)
Example in textbook (Robbins 2016) :
   Starbucks’ main product is coffee- more than 30 blends and
    single-origin coffees.
   In addition to fresh-brewed coffee, here’s a sampling of other
    products the company also offers :
   Handcrafted beverages: Hot and ice espresso beverages, coffee and
    noncoffee blended beverage, Tazo teas and smoothies.
   Merchandise : Home espresso machines, coffee brewers and
    grinders, premium chocolates, coffee mugs and coffee accessories,
    compact discs, and other assorted items.
   Global consumer products : Starbucks Frappuccino coffee drinks,
    Starbucks Iced Coffee drinks, Starbucks Liqueurs and a line os
    super-premium ice creams.
   Starbucks card and my starbucks rewards program: A reloadable
    stored-value card and a consumer rewards program
   Brand Portfolio : Starbucks Entertainment, Ethos Water, Seattle’s
    Best Coffee and Tazo tea.
Example in internet :
   Starbucks has been a successful company over many decades
    largely because of its stellar business strategies.
   The company engages in both horizontal and vertical integration.
   Horizontal integration is evident in Starbucks' evolution of
    products.
   Vertical integration can be seen in the acquisitions that support the
    supply chain and business operations.
   Market research is appropriate for each change in the integration of
    operations that will be customer-facing or will impact the services
    customers experience.
   Consider that Starbucks has conducted market research on dairy
    substitutes in its hand-crafted coffee beverages.
   Note also that Starbucks is highly attentive to monitoring social
    medianetworks for consumer brand affinity and customer
    complaint.
   Starbucks also actively solicits customer suggestions on its website.
   Market research can take many different forms and can also be
    conducted on the major channels.
   For their market research on dairy substitutes in coffee beverages,
    Starbucks employed at least these three market research approaches:
     Cultural trends (the         dairy   "problem,"    health-conscious
    consumers, nut allergies)
     Environmental factors in supply chain management (the
    almond crop "problem")
       Social media monitoring (word-of-mouth, brand ambassadors)
       Customer preferences tracking (website customer comments)
       In-store product testing
      5.1   Definition :
               Starting in the 1960s, management began to look at what was
                happening in the external environment outside the boundaries of the
                organization.
               Two contemporary management perspectives-system and and
                contingency-are part of this approach.
               A system is a set of interrelated and interdependent parts arranged
                in a manner that produce a unified whole.
               Closed system are not influenced by and do not interact with their
                environment.
               In contrast, open systems are influenced by and do interact with
                their environment.
               Exhibit MH-7: organization as an open system
   At the input stage an organization acquires resources such as raw
    materials, money, and skilled workers to produce goods and
    services.
    The money the organization obtains from the sales of its outputs
    allows the organization to acquire more resources so the cycle can
    begin again.
   Systems theorists like to argue that the whole is greater than the
    sum of its parts; they mean that an organization performs at a higher
    level when its departments work together rather than separately.
   A supply chain is a network of multiple businesses and individuals
    that are connected through the flow of products or services.
                                                          (Daft,2012)
Textbook 3 :
   The systems theory a modern management theory that views the
    organization as a system of interrelated parts that function in a
    holistic way to achieve a common purpose.
   Open and closed systems :
       Open systems interact with the environment in order to survive.
       Closed systems do not need to interact with the environment.
     The operational and bureaucratic perspectives on management
    treated the organization as if it were a closed system by overlooking
    the effect of the environment of management practice.
     Systems theory argues that the environment must always be
    taken into consideration in management decision thinking.
                                (Gomez-mejia/ Balkin/ Cardy, 2015)
Example from textbook (Robbins 2016) :
   His goals were to fix the troubled stores, to reawaken the emotional
    attachment with customers, and to make long-terms changes like
    reorganizing the company and revamping the supply chain.
   The first thing he did.however was o apologize to the staff for the
    decision that had brought the company to this point.
Example from internet :
   One thing that’s been important to Howard Schultz from day one is
    the relationship he has with his employees.
   He treasures those relationships and feels they’re critically
    important to the way the company develops its relationship with its
    customers and the way it is viewed by the public.
   He says, “we know that our people are the heart and soul of our
    success.”
   Starbucks 200,000-plus employees worldwide serve millions of
    customer each week.
   That’s a lot of opportunities to either satisfy or disappoint the
    customer.
   The experiences customers have in the stores ultimately affect the
    company’s relationship with its customers.
   That’s why starbucks has created a unique relationship with its
    employees. Starbucks provides all employees who work more than
    20 hours a week health care benefits and stock options.
Suggestion and Recommendation :
   Throughout the history management, experts have learned ways to
    improve the efficiency and effectiveness of work.
   What was learned in each of the periods of management
    development still hold some truth and usefulness for managers
    today.
   Companies like Starbucks would benefit from the use of scientific
    management and the quantitative approaches in the production side
    of their business.
   Scientific management could be used to make their retail
    establishments more efficient and quantitative management can help
    to improve the logistics of the company.
   Examining how organizational behavior can be used, the company
    already applies some technique to help employees feel like they are
    contributing and to help increase employees satisfaction.
   Managers should understand the use a number of Fayol’s fourteen
    management principles, including division of work esprit de corps,
    and unity of command.
             Summary :
                Starbucks managers an top executives alike must view the company
                 as a complete system, realizing that the successful management and
                 operation of each part of the company affects the well being of the
                 entire corporations.
P1-11 How might biases and errors affect the decision making done by Starbucks
       executives? By Starbucks store managers? By Starbucks partners?
1.0    Introduction:
2.0    Decision-Making Biases and Errors
2.1   Definition :
         When managers make decisions, they not only use their own
          particular style, they may use “rules of thumbs” or heuristic, to
          simplify their decision making.
         Why? Because they may lead to errors and biases in processing and
          evaluating information.
         When decision makers tend to think they know more than they do
          or hold unrealistically positive views of themselves and their
          performance, they’re exhibiting the overconfidence bias.
   This influences the information they pay attention to, the problem
    they identify, and the alternatives they develop.
   Decision makers who seek out information that reaffirms their past
    choices and discounts information that contradicts past judgments
    exhibit the confirmation bias.
   The sunk costs error occurs when decision makers forget that
    current choices cant correct the pass.
   Decision makers who are quick to take credit for their successes
    and to blame the failure on outside factors are exhibiting the
    self-serving bias.
   Beyond that, the managers also should pay attention to “how” they
    make decisions and try identify the heuristic they typically use and
    critically evaluate the appropriateness of those heuristic.
Textbook 1 :
   In the 1970s psychologists Daniel Kahneman and the late Amos
    Tversky suggested that because all decision makers are subject to
    bounded rationality, they tend to use heuristics , which are rules of
    thumb that simplify the process of making decisions
   Kahneman and Tversky argued that rules of thumb are often useful
    because they help decision makers make sense of complex,
    uncertain, and ambiguous information.
   Systematic errors are errors that people make over and over and
    that result in poor decision making
   Because of cognitive biases, which are caused by systematic errors,
    otherwise capable managers may end up making bad decisions
   0 Four sources of bias that can adversely affect the way managers
    make decisions are prior hypotheses, representativeness, the
    illusion of control, and escalating commitment (see Figure 7.6 )
   Prior hypothesis bias is a decision makers who have strong prior
    beliefs about the relationship between two variables tend to make
    decisions based on those beliefs even when presented with
    evidence that their beliefs are wrong. In doing so, they fall victim
    to prior hypothesis bias .
     Moreover, decision makers tend to seek and use information that
    is consistent with their prior beliefs and to ignore information that
    contradicts those beliefs.
   Representativenes bias has many decision makers inappropriately
    generalize from a small sample or even from a single vivid case or
    episode; these are instances of the representativeness bias
   Illusion eror is other errors in decision making result from the
    illusion of control , which is the tendency of decision makers to
    overestimate their ability to control activities and events. Top
    managers seem particularly prone to this bias.
   Having worked their way to the top of an organization, they tend to
    have an exaggerated sense of their own worth and are
    overconfident about their ability to succeed and to control events.
   The illusion of control causes managers to overestimate the odds of
    a favorable outcome and, consequently, to make inappropriate
    decisions.
   As mentioned earlier, most mergers turn out unfavorably; yet time
    and time again, top managers overestimate their abilities to
    combine companies with vastly different cultures in a successful
    merger
   Escalating commitment having already committed significant
    resources to a course of action, some managers commit more
    resources to the project even if they receive feedback that the
    project is failing.
   Feelings of personal responsibility for a project apparently bias the
    analysis of decision makers and lead to this escalating
    commitment .
   The managers decide to increase their investment of time and
    money in a course of action and even ignore evidence that it is
    illegal, unethical, uneconomical, or impractical (see Figure 7.5 ).
    Often the more appropriate decision would be to cut their losses
    and run.
   Be aware of your biases is how can managers avoid the negative
    effects of cognitive biases and improve their decision making and
    problem-solving abilities? Managers must become aware of biases
    and their effects, and they must identify their own personal style of
    making decisions.
   One useful way for managers to analyze their decision-making
    style is to review two decisions that they made recently—one
    decision that turned out well and one that turned out poorly.
    Problem-solving experts recommend that managers start by
    determining how much time to spend on each of the
    decision-making steps, such as gathering information to identify
    the pros and cons of alternatives or ranking the alternatives, to
    make sure they spend sufficient time on each step.
                                                 (Jones, George, 2016)
Textbook 2 :
   Heuristics or “rules of thumb” is a strategies that simplify the
    process of making decisions.
   Among those that tend to bias how decision makers process
    information are (1) availability; (2) representativeness;
    (3)confirmation; (4) sunk costs; (5) anchoring and adjustment and
    (6) escalation of commitment
   The availability bias: using only the information available
     This is because of the availability bias- managers use
    information readily available from memory to make judgments.
     The bias, of course, is that readily available information may
    not present a complete picture of a situation.
     The availability bias may be stocked by the news media, which
    tends to favor news that is unusual or dramatic.
   The confirmation bias : seeking information to support one’s point
    of view.
     The confirmation bias is when people seek information to
    support their point of view and discount data that do not.
Textbook 3 :
   It is a major leap of faith to assume that all decision making is
    rational. It is not. This is because rational decision making is based
    on the following assumptions:
       The problem is clear and unambiguous
       There is a single, well-defined goal that all parties agree to.
       Full information is available.
       All the alternatives and their consequences are known.
       The decision preferences are clear.
       The decision preferences are constant and stable over time.
       There are no time and cost constraints affecting the decision.
       The decision solution will maximize the economic payoff.
   Organization politics :
     Organizations are likely to have coalitions, which are political
    alliances between employees who agree on goals and priorities.
     Organization politics involves the exercise of power in an
    organization to control resources and influence policy.
     Organization politics is more likely to be present in firms with
    democratic culture where power is decentralized and decisions are
    made through consensus.
   Emotions and personal preferences :
     Decision makers are not robots choosing alternatives without
    emotion or passion.
     Many times a poor decision is reached because the decision
    makers is having a bad day.
     The two emotions which are the most disruptive to quality
    decision making are anger and depression.
       Personal preferences include a variety of individual quirks.
     It is vital to make certain the person or group making a
    decision is not swayed by an individual agenda o pattern of
    decision making.
   Illusion of control :
     Another limitation of rational decision making results from the
    illusion of control, which is the tendency for a decision maker to be
    overconfident of his or her ability to control activities and events.
     Top executives are especially susceptible to this problem,
    because they can be isolated from the rank and file employees and
    may be surrounded with “yes men”
                                   (Gomez-meija/Balkin/cardy, 2015)
Example from textbook (Robbins 2016) :
   On thing you may not realize is that after running the show for 15
    years at Starbucks, Howard Schultz, at age 46 stepped out of the
    CEO job in 200 (he remained as chairman of the company) because
    he was “a bit bored.”
   At first the company thrived, but then the perils of rapid
    mass-market expansion began to set in ans customer traffic began
    to fall for the first time ever.
   As he watched what was happening, there were times when he felt
    the decision being made were not good ones.
   In fact, his intention to restore quality control led him to a decision
    o close all (at that time) 7100 U.S. stores for one evening to retrain
    135,000 baristas on the coffee experience. . . what it meant, what it
    was.
   It was a bold decision, and one that many “experts” felt would be a
    public relations and financial disasters.
Example from the internet :
   On Schultz's return from Italy, he shared his revelation and ideas
    for modifying the format of Starbucks stores with Baldwin and
    Bowker.
   But instead of winning their approval, Schultz encountered strong
    resistance.
   Baldwin and Bowker argued that Starbucks was a retailer, not a
    restaurant or bar.
   They feared that serving drinks would put them in the beverage
    business and dilute the integrity of Starbucks' mission as a coffee
    store.
   They pointed out that Starbucks was a profitable small, private
    company and there was no reason to rock the boat.
   But a more pressing reason for their resistance emerged
    shortly—Baldwin and Bowker were excited by an opportunity to
    purchase Peet's Coffee and Tea.
   The acquisition took place in 1984; to fund it, Starbucks had to
    take on considerable debt, leaving little in the way of financial
    flexibility to support Schultz's ideas for entering the beverage part
    of the coffee business or expanding the number of Starbucks stores.
   For most of 1984, Starbucks managers were dividing their time
    between their operations in Seattle and the Peet's enterprise in San
    Francisco.
   Schultz found himself in San Francisco every other week
    supervising the marketing and operations of the five Peet's stores.
   Starbucks employees began to feel neglected and, in one quarter,
    did not receive their usual bonus due to tight financial conditions.
   Employee discontent escalated to the point where a union election
    was called, and the union won by three votes.
   Baldwin was shocked at the results, concluding that employees no
    longer trusted him.
    In the months that followed, he began to spend more of his energy
    on the Peet's operation in San Francisco.
   It took Howard Schultz nearly a year to convince Jerry Baldwin to
    let him test an espresso bar. After Baldwin relented, Starbucks'
    sixth store, which opened in April 1984, became the first one
    designed to sell beverages and the first one in downtown Seattle.
   Schultz asked for a 1,500-square-foot space to set up a full-scale
    Italian-style espresso bar, but Jerry agreed to allocating only 300
    square feet in a corner of the new store.
   There was no pre-opening marketing blitz and no sign announcing
    Now Serving Espresso—the lack of fanfare was part of a deliberate
    experiment to see what would happen.
   By closing time on the first day, some 400 customers had been
    served, well above the 250-customer average of Starbucks'
    best-performing stores.
   Within two months the store was serving 800 customers per day.
    The two baristas could not keep up with orders during the early
    morning hours, resulting in lines outside the door onto the
    sidewalk.
   Most of the business was at the espresso counter; sales at the
    regular retail counter were only adequate.
   Schultz was elated by the test results; his visits to the store
    indicated that it was becoming a gathering place and that customers
    were pleased with the beverages being served.
   Schultz expected that Baldwin's doubts about entering the beverage
    side of the business would be dispelled and that he would gain
    approval to take Starbucks to a new level.
   Every day he went into Baldwin's office to show him the sales
    figures and customer counts at the new downtown store.
   But Baldwin was not comfortable with the success of the new
    store; he believed that espresso drinks were a distraction from the
    core business of selling fine arabica coffees at retail and rebelled at
    the thought that people would see Starbucks as a place to get a
    quick cup of coffee to go.
   He adamantly told Schultz, "We're coffee roasters. I don't want to
    be in the restaurant business . . . Besides, we're too deeply in debt
    to consider pursuing this idea."
   While he didn't deny that the experiment was succeeding, he didn't
    want to go forward with introducing beverages in other Starbucks
    stores.
   Schultz's efforts to persuade Baldwin to change his mind continued
    to meet strong resistance, although to avoid a total impasse
    Baldwin finally did agree to let Schultz put espresso machines in
    the back of two other Starbucks stores.
   Over the next several months, Schultz—at the age of 33—made up
    his mind to leave Starbucks and start his own company.
    His plan was to open espresso bars in high-traffic downtown
    locations that would emulate the friendly, energetic atmosphere he
    had encountered in Italian espresso bars.
   Schultz had become friends with a corporate lawyer, Scott
    Greenberg, who helped companies raise venture capital and go
    public.
   Greenberg told Schultz he believed investors would be interested in
    providing venture capital for the kind of company Schultz had in
    mind.
   Baldwin and Bowker, knowing how frustrated Schultz had
    become, supported his efforts to go out on his own and agreed to
    let him stay in his current job and office until definitive plans were
    in place.
   Schultz left Starbucks in late 1985.