MEMORANDUM
Luke Schwarz
                                                                           Engineering Department
                                                                                Morton Thiokol Inc.
                                                                            2475 Washington Blvd.
                                                                               Ogden, Utah 84401
                                                                                   (801) 629-2270
December 27, 1985
Todd May
Director of Marshall Space Flight Center
Marshall Space Flight Center
Huntsville, AL 35811
(256)-544-2121
Subject: Delaying the launch of the Challenger shuttle.
Problem: We strongly recommend that the launch of the Challenger shuttle be delayed.
Launches at lower temperatures have a tendency to sustain more damage to the O-rings. With
the temperature being forecasted at about 26-29 °F, launching the shuttle will result in a
catastrophic failure and likely loss of life.
Details: Data from previous shuttle launches shows that all shuttles launched at temperatures
lower than 66 °F suffered some level of O-ring erosion. The O-rings are made to seal under the
pressure of the gases, but they don’t always perform as intended in colder weather. A test on
secondary O-rings showed that “At 100 °F the o-ring maintained contact. At 75 °F the o-ring lost
contact for 2.4 seconds. At 50 °F the o-ring did not re-establish contact in ten minutes at which
time the test was terminated” (Winsor 1988). If the O-rings obtain too much erosion damage and
the secondary O-rings fail to make contact quick enough hot gases will leak from the SRB and
cause massive complications putting the shuttle and its passengers at risk.
Solution: It is crucial that the launch of the Challenger shuttle be delayed until the temperature
is at least 66 °F in order to avoid a major disaster resulting in the loss of the Challenger shuttle
and it’s passengers.
Key
      = Forecasted Temperature Of The Challenger Launch (26-29 °F)
   = Predicted Damage To The Challenger’s O-rings
    = Shuttle Launches
             = Trend Line
Damage Index = A system created by Tufte which is used to illustrate the severity of the
damage the O-rings insured. The score given to each launch is based upon O-ring erosion,
Heating, and blow-by which are weighted differently based upon their impact on the rocket’s
function (Tufte 1997).
                                            References
Tufte, E. R. (1997). Visual and statistical thinking: Displays of evidence for making decisions ;
        displays of evidence for making decisions. Graphics Pr.
Winsor, D. (1988). Communication failures contributing to the Challenger accident: An example
      for technical communicators. IEEE Transactions on Professional Communication,31(3),
      101-107. doi:10.1109/47.7814