Prediction market odds & probabilities
Live probabilities from prediction markets — elections, the economy, crypto and sports. Every number is the market price, updated continuously.
Movers today
- Will George Pickens play for New England Patriots in 2026-27?43.0% 4.2%-38.8
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?58.5% 93.5%+35.0
- Will James Harden play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?33.4% 1.6%-31.8
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?31.0% 61.5%+30.5
- Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?7.5% 37.5%+30.0
Top markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 202819.7%$1.2BRepublican Presidential Nominee 202849.0%$681.5MPresidential Election Winner 202820.3%$671.7MF1 Drivers' Champion75.4%$200.5MNetanyahu out by...?43.5%$123.7MNext French Presidential Election31.3%$116.2MBrazil Presidential Election62.5%$116.0MFed Decision in July?79.5%$98.1MVenezuela leader end of 2026?82.1%$94.5MKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?4.5%$67.3MWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?1.9%$64.8MWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?5.5%$63.6MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?48.5%$50.0MWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?21.5%$48.5MHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?84.7%$44.9MNFL Champion 202715.0%$42.0MCalifornia Governor Election Winner92.6%$40.4MWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?3.6%$39.2MMLB World Series Champion 202633.5%$36.6MIran leader end of 2026?79.6%$35.2MWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?4.3%$35.1MNew "Stranger Things" episode released by...?10.5%$30.7MWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?51.8%$30.0MUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?12.5%$28.8MF1 Constructors' Champion85.5%$28.1MWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?3.7%$27.1MIsrael closes its airspace by...?25.5%$25.0MWhat will happen before GTA VI?49.9%$23.5MWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?8.5%$23.2MNobel Peace Prize Winner 202610.5%$22.9MBallon d'Or Winner 202644.9%$22.3MWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?5.5%$21.7MStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?0.4%$21.3MIran leadership change by...?37.0%$21.0MMLS Cup Winner 202629.5%$19.5MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in July?31.5%$19.2MPutin out as President of Russia by...?15.5%$18.8MWhich companies will be acquired before 2027?42.0%$18.1MIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?12.5%$17.5MHantavirus pandemic in 2026?3.1%$17.1M