This week · daily digest
Updated ·
Macro regime · as of
VIX
elevated
Breadth · % above 200d
mixed
S&P 500 vs 200d EMA
above trend
Conviction moves · last 7 days
111 names changed conviction tier across orbyd's dossiers in the seven days to .
| Name | Date | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| ABEO | NONE | LOW | |
| AEHR | LOW | HIGH | |
| AKTS | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| AMPL | NONE | LOW | |
| AMRX | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| ARCB | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| ASML | LOW | HIGH | |
| ASTS | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| AVGO | HIGH | MEDIUM | |
| BFLY | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| BIDU | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| BVS | NONE | LOW | |
| CARG | NONE | LOW | |
| CCC | NONE | MEDIUM | |
| CDW | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| CERT | NONE | LOW | |
| CLDX | NONE | LOW | |
| COHR | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| DELL | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| DXCM | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| DYN | NONE | MEDIUM | |
| ELF | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| EXFY | NONE | LOW | |
| FA | NONE | LOW | |
| FN | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| FOUR | NONE | LOW | |
| FRD | NONE | LOW | |
| GGAL | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| IREN | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| JBLU | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| KEEL | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| KLAC | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| KMX | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| KNX | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| KOD | NONE | LOW | |
| KYMR | NONE | LOW | |
| LPG | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| LQDA | HIGH | MEDIUM | |
| MARA | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| MAX | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| MMED | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| MOD | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| MOH | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| MP | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| MRVL | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| MTSI | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| MXL | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| MYRG | HIGH | MEDIUM | |
| NABL | NONE | LOW | |
| NKTR | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| NOK | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| NVDA | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| NXT | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| OKLO | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| OMDA | NONE | MEDIUM | |
| ONTO | HIGH | LOW | |
| ORIC | NONE | LOW | |
| ORKA | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| OXM | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| PANW | MEDIUM | HIGH | |
| PD | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| PENG | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| PESI | NONE | MEDIUM | |
| PGNY | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| PLTK | NONE | LOW | |
| PNRG | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| POWI | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| PSNL | MEDIUM | HIGH | |
| PYPL | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| QCOM | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| RAPP | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| RBLX | NONE | LOW | |
| REAX | NONE | LOW | |
| RELY | NONE | MEDIUM | |
| RIVN | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| RKLB | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| RLMD | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| RLYB | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| RMAX | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| RPAY | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| RRGB | NONE | MEDIUM | |
| RVMD | MEDIUM | HIGH | |
| S | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| SE | NONE | MEDIUM | |
| SMTC | HIGH | LOW | |
| SMWB | NONE | LOW | |
| SNEX | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| SNOW | LOW | HIGH | |
| STRL | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| STX | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| TBLA | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| TDOC | NONE | LOW | |
| TENB | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| TER | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| TH | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| TNGX | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| TRVI | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| TSHA | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| TSM | HIGH | LOW | |
| TVTX | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| TWST | LOW | MEDIUM | |
| TXG | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| ULCC | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| UMC | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| UUUU | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| VICR | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| VIR | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| WDC | MEDIUM | LOW | |
| WEAV | NONE | LOW | |
| XRAY | NONE | LOW | |
| ZETA | LOW | MEDIUM |
New & refreshed · last 7 days
LILAK
freshLiberty Latin America Ltd.
Post-catalyst drift: the $500M preferred special dividend and the June Malone/Nair insider cluster already drove a ~70% run off $4.76 to ~$8.30, and the tape has stalled at $7.33. Citi cut to Neutral 2026-07-10 with a $8 target already…
LOVE
freshThe Lovesac Company
Q1 FY27 (2026-06-11) beat in a shrinking furniture category, but the tape refused the news and no volume-confirmed reclaim has fired five weeks on. With ~27–31% short float and clustered June insider buys, the only live edge is a squeeze…
MNPR
freshMonopar Therapeutics Inc.
De-risked Wilson-disease NDA melt-up extended rather than sold the EAN news: a 6.70M-share float ran to fresh all-time highs (~$111 on 2026-07-17) on the June-30 FDA Rare Pediatric Disease designation and clustered analyst PT hikes. The…
PLSE
freshPulse Biosciences, Inc
Sell-side discovery leg is spent: three Strong Buys with a $30.67 average against $28.68 (2026-07-17) leaves ~7% to consensus. The July 13 warrant redemption cleared the last dilution overhang, but the de-risking AFib endpoints are 2027…
PLTR
freshPalantir Technologies Inc.
Deployment-layer story still funds a Buy consensus (~$181 avg PT, Ives $230), but the June-July bounce off the $106.37 low stalled under $135 and rolled to $131.75 (2026-07-17) with the 200-DMA ~$156 overhead. Franco-German Arcadia…
QDEL
freshQuidelOrtho Corporation
Deal-rumor re-rate has already run: $13.79 (Jun 26) to $17.38 (Jul 17), +75% off the $9.92 low, on an unsigned ~$1.5B point-of-care divestiture. Sell-side chased it up (Citi $13→$18). The Aug 4 Q2 print is the binary, and a shrinking base…
CCC
freshCCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc.
Cheap, high-margin insurtech SaaS put in play: a Morgan Stanley-run sale process plus a fresh Elliott activist stake. Shares popped ~13% to ~$6 on the 2026-07-09 Reuters report yet still sit below a plausible PE take-out. The trade is…
CLF
freshCleveland-Cliffs Inc.
GOES re-rating has fully round-tripped: ~$9.79 vs the $16.70 52-wk high, -22.3% in a month, price now BELOW four of five freshly cut targets. The $400M DoD award (7/1) was sold; Weirton transformer plant was cancelled in 2025 and POSCO is…
ETON
freshEton Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Q1 beat-and-raise (adj EPS $0.14 vs $0.09, FY26 guide lifted above $120M, 2026-05-14) confirmed the specialty-pharma rollup, but the story stopped accelerating in mid-May and now drifts through an empty window into the ~August Q2 print the…
Themes · accelerating · as of
Micron-led memory rally, Nasdaq 100 tops 29k, BlackRock calls the chip rout overdone, NVDA/AMD $170B-TAM framing narrative re-accelerated off the mid-month selloff. Fresh money rotating back into memory/compute leaders.
Dossiers in this theme →Dell surges on Supermicro's strong order signal, Vertiv expanding liquid-cooling capacity in Italy plus whale flow. The physical AI-buildout layer keeps ripping alongside the neoclouds.
Dossiers in this theme →Event-driven names heating up: Helus completes Phase 3 MDD enrollment (topline pending), Monopar begins rolling FDA NDA (PT $125), GH Research pops, Inventiva initiated Overweight. Catalyst density rising.
Dossiers in this theme →New theme on a policy catalyst: Trump EO tightening foreign critical-mineral waivers for defense and new aluminum-import action. MP/AA/ATI/UUUU bid as the domestic-supply beneficiaries; UUUU dual-listed with nuclear-uranium.
Dossiers in this theme →OpenAI's $750B cloud spend, Alphabet CFO says demand still outpaces capacity, 'compute is the new oil', Baird initiates NBIS at $250, CoreWeave jumps on power access. Peak cluster confirmation across the group.
Dossiers in this theme →New theme crystallizing off the AI-power-crunch narrative (Fink warning, NY halting datacenters, VST PPAs). Transmission/conductor/transformer/power-electronics names (Valmont raised guidance, Vicor +10% rev, AEIS initiated Overweight) cluster as the electrical-supply arm of AI capex.
Dossiers in this theme →Catalysts ahead · as of
This week 100
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
earnings
Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.
earnings
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
earnings
Enova International, Inc.
earnings
First Solar, Inc.
earnings
HNI Corporation
earnings
Heartland Express, Inc.
earnings
Ichor Holdings
earnings
+92 more
Next week 169
AAON, Inc.
earnings
Apple Inc.
earnings
Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.
fda
Alignment Healthcare, Inc.
earnings
Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
fda
Amazon.com, Inc.
earnings
ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.
earnings
Avalo Therapeutics, Inc.
fda
+161 more
Later 160
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
earnings
Abacus Global Management, Inc.
earnings
ProFrac Holding Corp.
earnings
ACI Worldwide, Inc.
earnings
Alkermes plc
fda
AMN Healthcare Services
earnings
Anterix Inc.
fda
ATI Inc.
earnings
+152 more
Resolved · last 7 days
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Thesis played out
Thesis invalidated
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Thesis invalidated
Thesis invalidated
Thesis played out
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Thesis invalidated
Thesis invalidated
Thesis invalidated
Thesis invalidated
Week-ahead note
The tape holds RISK-ON with the VIX at 17.05 and 57.8% of names above their 200-EMA, SPY sitting +7.2% over its own. Leadership is concentrated in healthcare plus a handful of high-acceleration single names CRNX tops the board (score 131.617, +132.971% on the month) ahead of UTZ (99.135), with ZBIO, CDNA, NVCR and TXG filling out a deep Healthcare bench. The day's rotation is thematic: semi-foundry-equipment and…