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15.912 Technology Strategy
Fall 2008
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 Intel Photolithography and
Effective Organization of R&D
                Professor Jason Davis
        MIT Sloan School of Management
Intel Photolithography Update (1)
•	 Wilson develops the Consortium option:
  –	 Resolves Free Rider problem with a complicated business model:
     “Virtual National Lab” VNL organized:
      •	 EUV LLC company manages research; holds all IP
      •	 Lawrence Livermore + Sandia + Lawrence Berkeley labs run it
           –	 ~150‐170 people working on EUV
      • Intel (12‐15p; $50m); Motorola (6‐8p; $10m); AMD (2p;$5m)
           –	 Bought shares in EUV LLC
      •	 Equipment manufacturers (Nikon and Canon) purchased rights of first
         refusal with guaranteed margins to convince them to make
         photolithography equipment.
Intel Photolithography Update (2)
•	 Problems emerge for EUV LLC:
  –	 Congress steps in to limit foreign companies value capture…EUV
     LLC forced to create incentives for domestic companies
  –	 By 2006, technical progress on 45‐nm EUV faces major problems
     including power issues.
  –	 Intel pushes EUV back from 2008 (now!) to 2011 on
     Roadmaps…extends optical technologies with “computational”
     tricks to correct errors that are smaller than wavelength of light.
Value Creation: Technology, Markets,
         and Organizations
             How will we
             Create value?
       How will we    How will we
      Deliver value? Capture value?
   The S‐curve Maps Major Transitions
                        Maturity
Performance
                                           Discontinuity
              Takeoff
                   Ferment
                                   Time
Summary Novartis Pharmaceuticals: Organizational design reflects research topic synergies
              Centralizing R&D permits Novartis to focus resources on common, underlying research topics. The Novartis
              corporate senior leadership has traditionally been very technologically oriented (PhD/MD) and drives the
              company to develop new blockbusters. Novartis acquires product rights from biotech firms to plug gaps in
              their offering.
              C              D
                             Technology       •	   Academia leads fundamental research in understanding disease mechanism
                                              •	   Industry labs identify therapeutic targets based on basic science of disease mechanism
                                              •	   Patents of composition provide strong competitive insulation for a single molecule product
Situation
                             Market and       •	   Range of easily exploitable business opportunities is narrowing while the range of radical
                             Strategy              new approaches (e.g. genomics) is expanding rapidly
                                              •	   Pharma industry is driven by blockbuster products anticipated by street visibility through a
              C              D                     10 year pipeline
                                              •	   Novartis portfolio decision-making bodies include business unit representation
                             Organizational   •	   Need high critical mass of researchers to advance the common scientific platforms supportin
                             Context               multiple product categories
              C              D                	   Early stage product development teams are highly cross-functional
                             Leadership       • Corporate leadership is highly technical and closely involved with the research programs
                                                and development projects.
              C              D
                  • Fully centralized                                                                                • Novartis and other major pharma companies
                                                                       CEO
                    research that supports 7-                                                                          spend 15-20% of sales on R&D to discover
                    10 therapeutic area                                                                                and develop “blockbuster” products
 Structure	
                                                                  Novartis Global
                                                                                                                     • Centralized R&D provides critical mass of
                    businesses                                        R&D                                Relevance     specialized expertise and facilities to leverage
                  • Scientific platforms                                                                               science across multiple product categories
                                                          Oncology          Cardiovascular
                    support multiple                                                                                 • To offset the potential disconnect between
                    therapeutic areas (e.g.                                                                            R&D and business, Novartis deploys research
                    immunology)                               C                                                        review including senior business,
                                                                                         D
                                                                                                                       development and manufacturing
                                                                                                                       representatives.
                 Intel: Decentralized R&D structure reflects availability of externally‐available
Summary
                            technology plus a strategic lock on industry standards
             Intel’s strategy is distinct among semiconductor makers: Intel exploits externally-led basic research, and
             concentrates on adapting it to get products to market quickly. Intel “free rides” on fundamental research from
             competitors such as such as Lucent and IBM. They set the rules of the game through their control of
             standards and architecture.
        Technology           • Major technology advancements are acquired from external sources
                             • Product life cycles are very short
                             • As current generation technology approaches theoretical performance limits, search intensifies
                                for radical new approaches
           C                 •D Technology is modular, but Intel has a strategic lock on architectural control
        Market and           • Semiconductor industry is highly competitive and mature
Situation
        Strategy             • Intel competes on its ability to develop processes to bring products to market faster than
                                competitors; flexible production lines allow very efficient variations on existing technology
             C               • Relies on industry consortium (Sematech) to advance manufacturing state of the art
                             D
                             • Emphasis on building strong brand equity to project product “premiumness”
        Organizational       • High level of acquisition activity
        Context              • Strong ability to exploit both internal and external research
           C                 •D Places paramount importance on time-to-market issues associated with technology transfer
        Leadership           • History of strong technological leadership from CEO (from DRAM chips to processors)
             C                  D
                 • Business-unit
                                                                 Intel Executive
                   Decentralized R&D                                  Office                                            • Intel relies on in-sourcing available
                 • Technology Council                                                                                     technology through an Decentralized
 Structure
                   coordinates research     Microprocessor   Intenet Communications      Technology         Relevance     R&D structure.
                                            Product Group             Group           Manufacturing Group
                 • Architecture Labs                                                                                    • Intel is seldom first to invent, but are fast
                   conduct basic research    Microcomputer      Intel Architecture    Components Research                 and efficient adapters
                   to maintain dominance     Research Labs             Labs                 Labs
                                                                                                                        • This approach has yielded substantial
                   in setting industry
                   standards and forecast         C
                                                                                               D
                                                                                                                          profitability, but leaves them vulnerable to
                   future                                                                                                 competitive technological advances.
 Current “best practice” attempts to
 balance & integrate the two poles:
“Basic”
or “fundamental”     Internal or External?
science
EXPLORATION
                         “Applied”
                         research
                       EXPLOITATION
 Current “best practice” attempts to
 balance & integrate the two poles:
"Research”
Spending $                            IBM 1985
                        Intel, 1985   IBM 1995
              Intel, 1985
             External                  Internal
          Pharmaceuticals 1981-1997
                                                          Pharmaceutical Firms: Relevant Patents vs Basic Research Publications, 1981-1997
                                                Pharmaceutical firms: Relevant patents vs basic research publications, 1981-1997
                                     2500
                                                                                                                                  Merck
                                     2000
                                                                             Hoechst/MMD
           No. of relevant patents
Patents
                                                         Bayer
                                     1500
                                                                                               Ciba-Geigy
                                                                              Eli-Lilly
                                                      Pfizer     Warner-Lambert
                                     1000
                                                                    Abbott                                           Hoffman-LaRoche
                                                                                             DuPont
                                                               Rhone-Poulenc    B-M-S
                                      500
                                                                                           Burroughs-Wellcome
                                        0
                                            0             500                1000          1500             2000     2500          3000         3500
                                                                        No. of published articles in relevant basic journals
                                                                                                                         Image by MIT OpenCourseWare.
                                                                                    Publications
                                     Source: Kwanghui Lim: “The Relationship between Research and Innovation in the Semiconductor and
                                     Pharmaceutical Industries: Implications for Theories of Knowledge Spillovers “
                                                        Semiconductors 1981-1997
                                                Semiconductor firms: Relevant patents vs basic research publications, 1981-97
                                     4000
                                                                                                                                  IBM
                                     3500
                                            Motorola
                                               Toshiba
Patents
                                     3000          Mitsubishi
          No. of relevant patents
                                            Tl         Hitachi, NEC
                                     2500
                                                  Fujitsu
                                     2000
                                                ST Micro           Philips
                                     1500     Siemens
                                                                                                               AT&T
                                          Natl semi
                                     1000      Matsushita
                                              Intel
                                      500
                                                        NTT
                                        0
                                            0               1000             2000        3000          4000         5000        6000       7000
                                                                         No. of published articles in relevant basic journals
                                                                                                                    Image by MIT OpenCourseWare.
                                                                              Publications
                                    Source: Kwanghui Lim: “The Relationship between Research and Innovation in the Semiconductor and
                                    Pharmaceutical Industries: Implications for Theories of Knowledge Spillovers “
 Intel Summary and Take‐Aways
•	 Creating Value Often Requires Industry‐wide
   Coordination
  –	 Technology Leaders can benefit by being first on S‐curves and market
     diffusion curves
  –	 Free Rider Problems can emerge
•	 Tradeoffs between Value Creation and
   Value Capture can emerge
•	 Effective Organization Balances Exploration
   and Exploitation
                    Looking Forward:
•	 S‐curve papers handed back; most groups did
   well.
   – Grading focused on ways to create and destroy
     value.
•	 Reflections on Effective Organization:
   –	 Organization Structures:
       • Amount of Structure
       • Connectivity
       • Internal vs. External
   –	 Organization Processes:
       • Co‐evolving
       • Exploration and Exploitation
       • Patching
   –	 Incentives:
       • High Power “entrepreneurial” incentives vs. Coordination