Persistence
Persistence
_________________
A Dissertation in Practice
Presented to
University of Denver
__________________
In Partial Fulfillment
Doctor of Education
__________________
by
Andrea J. Gross
August 2023
ABSTRACT
As the looming enrollment cliff approaches and more adult learners return to
higher education, understanding the factors that affect their persistence and retention is
vital for higher education institutions. Previous studies have shown that external factors
aimed to acquire knowledge of up-front employer tuition funding and its effects on adult
approach, this program evaluation examines the differences between students receiving
up-front employer tuition funding and those who do not. The results indicated that
students who received employer funding retained at higher rates than those who did not
across all programs except graduate certificates. The length of time and cost of the degree
affect how influential employer tuition funding is for the adult learner. The results also
indicated that employer tuition funding affects completion time while influencing a
include locking tuition rates for those who remain active with continuous enrollment,
reviewing transfer policies for undergraduate students to increase the courses allowed to
be used for transfer credits, awarding Prior Learning Assessment (PLA) credit for
college-level level knowledge and competencies at both the undergraduate and graduate-
articulation agreements with statewide community colleges, and reengage students who
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have stopped out by offering discounted or locked tuition to return. Understanding the
academic journey for adult learners and the influence employer tuition funding can help
institutions formulate practices and facilitate degree completion within the post-
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Throughout this journey, I felt supported, encouraged, cheered on, and challenged
by many individuals. The list of those to thank is long, but I begin by thanking my wife,
EdD as I worked early morning and weekends, and she likely knows more about post-
traditional learners and retention than she has ever wanted to know. She provided
encouragement and a listening ear and was my biggest cheerleader throughout, even
when the alarm clock would go off at 3:00 a.m. Thank you to my committee: Dr. Cecilia
Orphan for being my advisor and champion, and for the endless edits and revisions
needed to get me to this place, Dr. Chris Nicholson for sparking my passion for serving
the adult learner, as well as your continued mentorship and support over the past nine
years, and for Dr. Laura Sponsler for supporting me during the final stretch of my
dissertation. Thank you to Dr. Bobbie Kite, my honorary committee member, for her
analysis. A special thank you to my family and friends: to my parents, Art and Chris
sister, Dr. Nicole Bartholomew, for sharing her expertise and lending a listening ear, and
to my friends who cheered me on along the way. Thank you to those colleagues who
completed their journey before me and alongside me for their critical thought partnership
and accountability. Thank you to my writing partners, Diana and Allyson; they provided
the accountability, friendship, and encouragement I needed to finish. Finally, thank you to
University College and my colleagues for their support over the past seven years.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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Chapter Five: Discussion, Implications, and Recommendations.....................................105
Introduction ..........................................................................................................105
Research Questions ..............................................................................................106
Summary of Results ............................................................................................108
Discussion of Results and Recommendations .....................................................109
Stakeholder Recommendations ............................................................................ 114
Suggestions for Further Research ........................................................................ 116
Evaluation Conclusion ......................................................................................... 118
Bibliography ....................................................................................................................121
Appendices .......................................................................................................................135
Appendix A. Visual Representation of Theoretical Framework ..........................135
Appendix B. Bean and Metzner (1985) Conceptual Model of Nontraditional
Undergraduate Student Attrition ..........................................................................136
Appendix C. Summary of Persistence/Retention Models, Frameworks, and
Key Ideas .............................................................................................................137
Appendix D. Historical Look at Retention ..........................................................139
Appendix E. Hallie Preskill (2012) Mutually Reinforcing Relationships
Between Strategy and Process .............................................................................140
Appendix F. Letter Requesting Use of Archived Data ........................................141
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LIST OF TABLES
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LIST OF FIGURES
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CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
Preface
Susan finds herself at a crossroads yet again, the same one she has found herself
standing at in the past. Each time she has hit this crossroad, she has chosen to pivot
toward a different path and, yet again, finds herself at the very crossroad she stood at
years before. Susan continues to get stuck at the crossroads of education and career
advancement. She feels stuck on the corporate treadmill; her experience has helped her to
advance her career; however, she feels stagnant because others are passing her by, and
she has reached the ceiling for career advancement. She needs something more to
advance in her career, provide for her family, and attain her personal and professional
goals. Might furthering her education be the answer? Will an additional credential allow
her to break through the ceiling? She has what seems to be a hundred responsibilities on
her plate. Is it the right time to add another competing priority to her already hectic life?
She has been thinking of taking the leap, and her spouse is supportive but is the
investment of her time and money worth it for her and her family, and is additional
After months of contemplation and her exhaustion from the corporate treadmill,
Susan was thrilled when her company announced that they had changed their educational
tuition benefits for their employees. This new policy will eliminate the requirement for
employees to pay tuition upfront and then be reimbursed by the company. Instead, the
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company will cover tuition costs immediately. She needed this push to finally take the
leap and pursue additional education to advance her career. Her employer's change in
tuition funding policy significantly reduces her financial burden. She understands that
taking this leap means she will need to sacrifice her time and energy; however, the
reduction of financial costs makes this education endeavor possible, and she is excited
about this opportunity to reenter higher education. She plans to take advantage of the
opportunity to grow personally and professionally, and now that her dream is a reality,
her next step is to find the program that will help her take her career to the next level.
Susan is so grateful and excited for this opportunity for her and her family as they are all
in it together.
While this is a glimpse into Susan’s career and educational state, she is not much
different from Arthur, Angela, Michael, Louis, or the countless other post-traditional
learners who desire further education to advance their careers. This vignette tells the story
the leap back into higher education and the challenges they face while pursuing higher
education (NCES, 2020). Some will return to complete the bachelor’s degree they started
years ago, others to upskill or reskill with certificates, and others to earn master’s degrees
(UPCEA, 2017). Millions of adult learners are and will continue to return to higher
helping them persist and retain throughout their programs (Carnevale et al., 2015). The
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Introduction
Across the United States, post-traditional learners–ages 25 and older, account for
56% of the students enrolled in postsecondary education (National Center for Educational
Statistics, 2022). These learners face obstacles different from those of students ages 18-
23. Finding the delicate balance required to excel academically while juggling the
competing demands of work, life, and family can be challenging for adult learners.
Thirty-eight percent of adult learners will drop out in their first year due to financial
pressure and family obligations (National Adult Learner Coalition, 2017). The impacts of
adult students stopping out extend beyond the higher education institutions they depart
from. Their departure impacts not only their lives but also the lives of their families and
earnings compared to those who do not have a degree (Pew Research Center, 2014).
Individuals with four-year degrees have greater career mobility and are more likely to
vote and be engaged in their communities (UPCEA, 2017). Persistence and retention of
adult learners is an area that needs more research to fill the gaps of understanding on how
While many institutional leaders across the country are thinking strategically
about how to provide access to the millions of adult learners through online education,
micro-credentialing, and technical degrees (Fong et al., 2017; Nichols, 2019), they must
also navigate the obstacles that impede their progress toward degree completion.
has partnered with Guild to help attract, serve, and retain post-traditional learners. Guild
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serves as the conduit between employers and higher education institutions to provide
education, upskilling, and opportunity (Guild website, n.d.). Guild’s focus is to transform
employee after the completion of a course, into a strategic investment that aligns
and brand equity in the process (Guild website, n.d.). Guild focuses on providing
opportunities to those who traditionally are not offered the opportunity to advance their
careers (Guild: You’re your talent rising, April 12, 2023). Guild’s approach is to reduce
the financial stress for the employee and not require the employee to pay the tuition up-
front, as few employees take advantage of the benefit when a company sets up the benefit
the high out-of-pocket expenses and partners with companies and higher education
University College began its partnership with Guild in 2017 and remains the only
Top-Ranked institution partnered with Guild. During the time frame of this program
evaluation, University College admitted, on average, 100-150 new students through the
Guild partnership across their academic programs each quarter (Guild Admissions
Report, 2023). University College has admitted approximately 2,600 students into a
University College program through the partnership with Guild, and this population
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continues to grow as they admit between 50-70 new students each quarter (Guild
Admissions Report, 2023). Of these students, this program evaluation will focus on the
1,005 who have completed their degree(s) or credential(s) through one of University
College’s academic programs as of the fall 2022 quarter. These students have completed
the requirements for one or more of the following programs, Bachelor of Arts
the continued growth of the partnership and more than five years’ worth of data, this
program evaluation evaluated the effect of Guild employer tuition funding on the
program evaluation compared students entering through the Guild partnership to those
Problem Statement
Over the past 15 years, higher education institution leaders and policymakers have
increased their focus on retention, making retention a significant field of study across
different student classifications (Berger et al., 2005). Higher education institutions have
and their unique characteristics to determine the essential factors needed to support
students (Paulsen & St. John, 1997, 2002; Chen & Hossler, 2017; Tran & Smith, 2017).
Much of the research focuses on social integration, how connected a student is to the
institution, faculty, and other students (Tinto, 1993), self-efficacy, belief in their ability to
perception of acceptance and affiliation with members of a group whom they share
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similar attitudes, values, and goals (Braxton, 2014), and while each of these is important
factors, failing to understand the role funding plays leaves a significant gap in the
funding may have on their ability to persist and retain toward degree completion is vital
to serving the growing adult student population. Bean and Metzner (1985) state, “The
chief difference between the attrition process of traditional and non-traditional students is
that non-traditional students are more affected by the external environment than by the
social integration variables affecting traditional student attrition” (p. 485). 1 Funding is a
crucial part of the external environment for adult learners as they often have more
family commitments, work demands, lack of flexibility from the institution, faculty-staff
connection, motivation, and cost (Bergman et al., 2014; Erisman & Steele, 2015; Merrill,
2015; Pearson, 2019; Renner & Shursha, 2022). These stop-out behaviors influence
retention and increase the time to degree completion. Even though these external
environmental factors affect persistence and retention, researchers often lump tuition
costs in with other factors, minimize external environmental factors, or even ignore them
when studying retention across all student populations. Research has demonstrated that
financial support positively affects college completion (Chen & Hossler, 2017; Pearson,
2019; Tran & Smith, 2017). According to labor statistics, adult degree programs are
crucial in meeting the growing demand for an educated workforce and are vital for the
1
Note that Bean and Metzner (1985) use the term non-traditional student when referring to the post-
traditional or adult learner. In this paper, this student population will be referred to as post-traditional or
adult learners to distinguish but not “other” this unique and growing population.
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stability and growth of a nation's economy. There are more than 166 million people in the
U.S. workforce (Statista, 2023), and there are 20.3 million who are 25 and older with
some college but no degree (Causey et al., 2023). However, degree programs geared
toward the post-traditional learner often struggle with low student retention rates
needed to understand how these tuition funding models affect the persistence and
retention of adult learners. Reducing the financial costs for the adult learner positively
influences a student’s persistence, retention, and time to degree completion (Chen &
Hossler, 2017; Tran & Smith, 2017). Reducing financial costs is critical to increasing the
retention rates of this unique student population. The benefit of tuition funding stretches
beyond the students themselves and affects the lives of their families, their communities,
and the overall economy (McKinsey Global Institute, 2021). Covid-19 has amplified the
workers (McKinsey Global Institute, 2021). Economic recovery and employment levels
for women, those with lower income jobs, and lower educational attainment are expected
to lag behind and unlikely to recover by 2024 (McKinsey Global Institute, 2021). A
significant gap in the research on persistence and retention is the role of external factors,
completion.
education system and building upon the already established retention theories will help
educators continue to best attract, serve, and retain the variety of student populations on
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their campuses who attend in person and/or virtually. Efforts to find the solutions to the
retention problems we face across higher education need to be as unique as the student
populations served, and with the growing percentage of adult learners returning to high
education (National Center for Educational Statistics, 2022), researching the effects of
employer tuition funding on persistence and retention is critical to serving the adult
learner and the institutions enrolling these learners into their programs. The higher
education landscape is changing, and more post-traditional learners are entering higher
education across all types of institutions (Miller, 2014); thus, there is a need for research
to analyze how cost affects persistence, retention, and time to degree completion.
Understanding the factors that affect their persistence and retention is vital for the
higher education institutions that admit these students. Previous studies have shown that
(Bergman et al., 2014; Chen & Hossler, 2014; Tran & Smith, 2017). Evaluating the
University College and Guild partnership from both a use and methods perspective
begins to fill the gap in research on how up-front employer tuition funding influences
persistence and retention for adult learners. It is common for companies to offer tuition
benefits as part of their benefits package to attract and retain employees. Research has
shown that tuition benefits are beneficial in increasing employee retention (Cappelli,
2004); however, the benefits for students and the influence these benefits have on
persistence and retention through to degree completion are less understood. This
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funding and its effects on adult learners' persistence, retention, and time to degree
completion. Understanding how adult learners progress through degree completion and
the influence employer tuition funding has can help institutions formulate practices and
access and support to the millions of adult learners across all institution types helps lessen
Guild is an Ed Tech company that serves as the conduit between employers and
Education (PCO) units, by building strategic education and reskilling experiences. Guild
distributed as talent, everyone benefits. Individuals rise, companies, grown and our
economy thrives” (Guild website, 2023, About Us section). Guild has expanded employer
tuition benefits beyond white-collar and salary employees into blue-collar occupations
and for hourly employees (Romer, 2023). Guild is a Denver-based company that serves
students and employers across the country and remains focused on equity and inclusion
within the educational benefits offered. Half of the students who completed a program
through one of Guild’s educational partners identify as a person of color, and 59%
tuition reimbursement into a strategic investment that aligns employees with company
needs, increasing recruiting, retention, upskilling, and brand equity (Guild Website,
2023). The partnership between University College and Guild began in 2017, and the
number of students in the program continues to grow as Guild adds new employers to
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their employer portfolio. In 2019, Guild (formerly Guild Education) became a unicorn (a
startup company with a value of over one billion dollars) following a 157-million-dollar
fundraising round (Toussaint, 2020). In 2021, Guild offered more than 4.4 million
employees’ access to higher education through their partnerships with employers and
higher education institutions (Mann, 2023). During the 2021 calendar year, 310,000
employees took advantage of this benefit (Mann, 2023). As Guild continues to grow and
the Guild and University College partnership continues to mature gaining insight from
this partnership can lead to transformative change for University College and the students
they serve.
affects persistence, retention, and time to degree completion for post-traditional learners.
The following research questions guided the evaluation of the external partnership
through the Guild partnership compare to students who do not receive this
funding?
Little is known about post-traditional learners' enrollment and completion patterns, and
these research questions will provide insight into how employer tuition funding
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influences persistence, retention, and time to degree completion for the post-traditional
student population. I hypothesize that there will be a positive relationship between up-
front employer tuition funding and persistence and retention and a negative relationship
between up-front employer funding and time to degree completion. In this evaluation, I
examined the effect of up-front employer tuition funding on various student populations,
hypothesize that up-front employer tuition funding will influence retention most when
testing the independent variables of age, GPA, race, gender, and up-front employer tuition
Theoretical Framework
The theoretical framework that supports this program evaluation comprises three
separate theories, each essential in understanding the persistence and retention of post-
traditional learners. Bean and Metzner’s (1985) Conceptual Model speaks of the
differences between traditional and post-traditional learners, pointing to the need for
further exploration of external environmental factors, including but not limited to cost,
retention for post-traditional learners. Bean and Metzner built their model upon the
groundwork of organizational turnover, and one of the educational factors for degree
completion for the post-traditional student population is the perceived value of earning
the degree. Therefore, this is a fitting framework as it not only focuses on the post-
offer tuition benefits to help with employee retention and reduce organizational turnover.
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The overall perceived value from Been and Metzner’s model can be explained further
with Human Capital Theory. I used Human Capital Theory to examine students as
learners (Long, 2007). Adult learners approach their return to higher education as a
business decision that affects not only the decision to begin a degree but also the decision
to continue toward degree completion (Bowers & Bergman, 2016). These theories serve
as the foundation of this program evaluation and strengthen the argument for up-front
Employers who offer tuition benefits that pay for tuition up-front have a higher
percentage of employees engaging with the benefit than those who offer tuition benefits
as reimbursement (EdAssist, 2012). As the employer shares the funding costs, the
student’s return on investment increases considerably, reducing the financial burden for
the student. Understanding how the adult learner engages throughout their academic
journey through these two theories can help higher education leaders and policymakers
strategically approach persistence and retention for this population. The final theory used
is the Evaluative Inquiry for Learning in Organizations (EILO) (Preskill, 1999), which
allows for a reflective practice of strategic organizational practices and the application of
findings to improve persistence and retention for adult learners. I designed this program
evaluation to provide results that can guide how higher education leaders approach
strategic planning and organizational change when navigating the complex problem of
persistence and retention for adult learners. A visual representation of the theoretical
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Methodology Summary
evaluation. Through a statistical program, Stata, I analyzed archived data between 2017
and 2022 of University College students who completed their program(s) of study. I used
correlation and multiple regression to examine the relationship between the independent
variables (age, GPA, race, gender, and employer funding for tuition and fees) on the
dependent variable, retention, for different sample groups (Guild and Organic students). I
also utilized t-tests to compare the time to completion for those students funded by Guild
and those who are not. Aside from running statistical tests on just the overall Guild and
Organic populations, I also tested based on level of degree (graduate and undergraduate)
Graduate Certificate, and four-course Specialized graduate Certificate) of both Guild and
Organic students. Finally, I conducted a Kruskal Wallis Test to examine different levels of
employer tuition funding and the effects on time to degree completion. The three funding
levels included unlimited employer tuition funding, some employer tuition funding, and
Results Summary
The results suggest that employer funding significantly affects the time to degree
completion for each population tested except for six-course and four-course graduate
certificates. Employer tuition funding had the most significant influence on the students
who completed a Bachelor of Arts, followed by those in Master of Arts programs and
those in Master of Science programs. The length of a student’s program and the cost
associated with the program were likely contributing factors, as no significant effect was
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found in either six-course or four-course Graduate Certificates. While the results suggest
employer tuition funding affects the time to completion and retention, employer tuition
funding was not the most influential factor. The independent variable GPA had the
employer tuition funding. The results align with Bean and Metzner’s (1985) model that
for the adult learning population, external environmental factors are important to
factors that affect persistence, retention, and time to degree completion are as complex as
the learners themselves. The results also suggest that post-traditional learners with
unlimited employer tuition funding will complete their degrees the fastest, followed by
learners with no employer tuition funding and, finally, learners with some employer
tuition funding. These results align with Human Capital Theory, showing that post-
traditional learners decide to return to higher education and persist toward completion
based on a decision of return on investment (ROI) (Bowers & Bergman, 2016). Employer
funding plays a role in this ROI evaluation for the post-traditional learner, thus increasing
Significance of Research
University of Denver. University College serves over 3,000 adult learners annually in
undergraduate and graduate academic programming and is the largest graduate school at
the University of Denver. University College facilitates postsecondary access to the most
jobs while enrolled in classes, 65% reside outside the state of Colorado, 64% identify as
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female, 25% identify as students of color, 10% are active duty or veteran students, and
effectively serve this unique population, educators and practitioners must understand the
academic journey of adult learners and how it differs from traditional-aged students.
Manchester (2008) states that the two primary reasons employers participate in
tuition funding programs are to promote employee retention and increase recruitment. As
employers continue to expand and rethink their tuition funding to attract and keep highly
skilled employees, research on the effects of tuition benefits should be a focus for
to develop their current employees and attract new employees. Much of the research and
studies on tuition benefits are from the vantage point of the employer assessing the
effectiveness of these benefits to the companies and their employees from a workplace
setting (Cappelli, 2004; Flaherty Manchester, 2012; Gallup-Lumina Foundation, 2016; St.
Amour, 2020). What is missing is an understanding of how these tuition benefits affect
the learner and the institutions admitting and supporting these students. Examining tuition
funding for these students is just as crucial for higher education institutions as it is for
their employers. Understanding the effect of cost on post-traditional learners can lead to
scholarships, and other financial benefits to attract and serve this unique student
population. Higher education professionals and leaders can use the results of this program
evaluation as a reference point when addressing the financial obstacles for adult learners.
While not every post-traditional or continuing education unit can or should partner with
Guild or another similar external partner to address persistence and retention problems
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for post-traditional learners understanding how tuition costs affect adult learners is vital
to serving this growing population effectively. Adult students return to higher education
to upskill, reskill, or make career pivots, ultimately increasing their socioeconomic status.
However, the financial burden may be too significant of an obstacle to overcome, leading
to higher rates of stopping out and, thus, lower student retention rates for institutions.
Results of this program evaluation point to the significance of cost for the post-
traditional student population. The results of this program evaluation suggest that adult
learners are influenced by cost, which can be seen in decision patterns to return to higher
education and persist through to completion. Extrapolating research and studies centered
around traditional-aged students will not suffice when understanding the patterns of post-
traditional learners. This program evaluation is essential for leaders and administrators of
professional and continuing education units as they strategically plan for the future of
Definition of Terms
Table 1.1
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Organic Student A student admitted into a program (bachelor’s, graduate
certificate, or master’s) at the University of Denver’s
University College as a direct result of recruiting efforts
not tied to the partnership with Guild.
Persistence Continuous learning process from when a student enrolls
into a program until they reach their educational goal of
degree or graduate certificate completion (Tinto, 1975).
Post-Traditional Learner Students who frequently must balance life, work, and
their education concurrently. These students are
typically 25 and older, care for dependents, and work
full-time while enrolled (American Council on
Education).
Some studies instead refer to non-traditional learners, as
this term uses a deficit lens by categorizing adult
learners as not something, “othering” them, or giving the
perception that they are different from the norm; this
program evaluation will not use this term. Instead, it will
use the term post-traditional learner.
Retention Continuous enrollment quarter to quarter (or semester to
semester) from matriculation to graduation at the same
institution (Berger et al., 2005). It is common for adult
learners to stop-out for a quarter or two and then return
(UPCEA, 2017). Those who maintain active student
status based on University College policy will be
considered retained.
Stop-Out One who withdraws temporarily from a college or
university (Merriam-Webster).
Some studies instead refer to drop-out, as this term
places the responsibility solely on the students to retain
themselves rather than the institution to regain them; this
program evaluation will not use this term. Instead, it will
use the term stop-out
Time to Degree The attainment of a degree (bachelor’s, graduate
Completion certificate, or master’s).
This term is used in place of graduation as students
pursuing a graduate certificate do not graduate by
University College definitions they complete.
Tuition Reimbursement Tuition funding program where an organization or
company reimburses the employee for tuition and fees
after the completion of a course. This type of tuition
funding requires the employee/student to pay out-of-
pocket and receive reimbursement from the employer at
the end of the semester or quarter.
Up-Front Tuition Tuition funding program where an organization or
Funding company pays up-front for tuition and fees or before the
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course is completed. This type of tuition funding
eliminates the need for employees/students to have out-
of-pocket expenses up-front.
Dissertation Overview
This section outlines the organization of this program evaluation. Chapter One
began with a vignette to capture a typical adult learner and the obstacles they often face
in pursuing higher education, giving examples of the students behind the quantitative
approach to this program evaluation. Chapter One has also provided background
information on the Guild partnership; the students served, and a statement of the problem.
Chapter One also defined key terms used throughout the program evaluation and
Chapter Two outlines the literature review and conceptual framework used to
guide this program evaluation. The literature review is used to orient this program
evaluation within prior research. This chapter establishes a foundation for the program
evaluation by reviewing the history of retention and exploring the six most-cited
theoretical retention models. I review prior studies and existing literature on retention, the
education units. I then establish the theoretical framework used for this program
evaluation using Bean and Metzner’s (1985) Conceptual Model, Human Capital Theory,
Chapter Three describes the methodology used in this program evaluation. I begin
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describing an outcomes approach to this program evaluation and tying it to strategic
College, Guild, and the students served. I then provide details on my approach to
instrumentation and data collection procedures and the possible influence COVID-19
may have on the program evaluation. This chapter concludes with my positionality
statement, how it informs my research, and the decisions made throughout this program
evaluation.
Chapter Four presents the results of my program evaluation as they relate to each
research question. I present descriptive statistics and t-test results on the various student
populations. I then turn to an analysis of employer tuition funding levels using the
Kruskal Wallis Test. Finally, I present the results of the Guild and Organic student
populations established through correlation and multiple regression, where I break the
results down into subsets of populations including by level (graduate and undergraduate)
In Chapter Five, I discuss the results of this program evaluation and how they
intersect with previous research conducted, and how this program evaluation begins to
fill the gap in research on the persistence and retention of post-traditional learners. I
practice, the need for partnerships and programs that support state workforce needs, and
the need for further research on the effects of external factors on the persistence and
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CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW
This literature review explores existing research on the effects of employer tuition
funding on post-traditional learners and is used to orient and place this program
evaluation within previous research. This literature review is organized into six sections.
In the first two sections, I explore retention within higher education, including a brief
history of the study of retention, the six major retention theories, and how the research
relates to the current issues of persistence and retention for adult learners. Examining the
literature on the study of retention shows not only the importance placed on retention
within higher education but also the need for more research on the persistence and
retention of serving adult learners. The third section examines the influence of external
factors between traditional and post-traditional learners. In the fourth section, I delve into
the influence of the external factor of finances on post-traditional students and retention
rates. I explore the financial impact of employer tuition funding on students’ ability or
perceived ability to persist and complete their degrees. The fifth section examines
professional and continuing education units and the students they serve. A look at student
retention and completion and how this student population differs from a traditional-aged
student anchors the importance of this research on serving this unique student population.
The last section of the literature review incorporates the theoretical framework for this
program evaluation, drawing upon Hallie Preskill’s Evaluative Inquiry for Learning in
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Organizations, Bean and Metzner’s Conceptual Model (see diagram in Appendix B), and
American colleges have existed for over 300 years, but it was in the early 1970s
that retention became a focus of institutions, educators, and researchers (Berger et al.,
2005). Berger and colleagues explain the development of retention by breaking it down
In the first era of student enrollment and retention, higher education institutions
were serving few students; therefore, retention was not a thought or consideration, as it
was likely not essential for the survival of a higher education institution (Berger et al.,
2005). Across higher education institutions, there was little to no concern with degree
attainment, as college was more of a luxury than a necessity (Berger et al., 2005). After
the American Revolution, new colleges were chartered; however, it would be years until
enrollments began to grow (Thelin, 2004). The early 1800s was a rapid expansion of
American colleges, private religious colleges emerged, and enrollments grew by over
80% (Berger et al., 2005). The expansion of college enrollment continued until the
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The second era of student enrollment and retention came about when institutions
began to see growth in degree attainment, quite the change from the first era of the
American Higher Education System. The birth of student life occurred during this era as
more students attended colleges, and the importance of co-curricular social activities
began; colleges created social curriculum, and extra curricular activities emerged (Berger
et al., 2005). While persistence was still not a concern during this time, the social
activities and connectedness that Spady (1971) and others will point to later began to
The third era of student enrollment and retention brought about the birth of
selective admission practices as colleges grew and gained stability for the first time since
the inception of American colleges (Berger et al., 2005). While the thought of retention
may be in the minds of some, it was an afterthought for many as the focus during this era
was on attracting students–the right students–in this case, privileged students, generally
white and from higher socioeconomic backgrounds, not on keeping the students an
institution had already admitted and committed to serving (Berger et al., 2005). In 1938,
John McNeely published one of the first research studies on retention and the issues of
student departure (Berger et al., 2005). The title of McNeely’s study was “College
Student Mortality,” he completed his study on behalf of the United States Department of
Interior and the Office of Education. While the results of his research are important to the
study of retention, the idea of student mortality, or the death of a student associated with
the departure from a college, is problematic. The word mortality suggests that education
is a linear process, that all individuals must follow the same path to be successful, and
that leaving or stopping out is equivalent to a student’s figurative death. This insinuation
22
of death or suicide will continue throughout many theories of retention that I explore later
in this chapter. John McNeely (1938) pointed to academic dismissal, financial difficulty,
illness/death, lack of interest, and parents calling students home as the principal causes of
why students were departing from the higher education system. Twenty-five institutions
participated in McNeely’s study, and his research showed that of the 25 institutions, 10
showed that the largest percentage of students departed due to financial difficulties
(McNeely, 1938, p. 48). Tuition and funding are not new issues for retention; each has
existed since the first study of retention in higher education institutions across the United
States.
constant and even grew in the late 1940s after the Second World War (Berger et al.,
2005). The GI Bill, which funded education for soldiers returning from war, was likely
the reason for the increase in enrollment growth across American higher education
institutions (Greenberg, 2004). This era saw higher education becoming increasingly tied
to economic and social development and was viewed as a way to improve oneself.
Retention remained an afterthought of higher education leaders during the 1950s while
higher education leaders did not feel the pressure to retain the students enrolled in their
programs.
In the 1960s, the fifth era of student enrollment and retention, the focus shifted to
enrolling a more racially and ethnically diverse student body, and this change was met
with challenges (Stulberg & Chen, 2014). Higher education leaders’ concerns about the
23
lack of student completion led to studies that focused on individual student characteristics
Student stop-out studies began in the late 1960s and became some of the foundations for
William Spady’s work. These early retention studies were conducted by Knoell (1960),
Marsh (1966), Panos and Astin (1968), Bayer (1968), and Trent and Medsker (1968).
These early retention theorists grounded their studies in psychology rather than sociology,
and thus they often explained retention in terms of student characteristics, personal
attributes, and shortcomings. These studies place the onus of retention solely on the
strengths and weaknesses of the students while ignoring the institutional and social
context. Psychological theories claim that higher education institutions can improve
retention through the selection process by admitting only those academically suited or by
improving students’ skills (Knoell, 1960; Marsh, 1966; Panos & Astin, 1968; Bayer,
1968, Trent & Medsker;1968; and Tinto, 1993). Restricting access or finding the right
continues the oppression of minoritized students. Solving retention problems through the
admissions and selection process fails to address the structures, policies, procedures, and
supports an institution has or does not have and their influence on the student’s journey
toward completion (Swail, 2003). Addressing the issues of persistence and retention
through selective admission practices places the problem solely on the student while
ignoring the institution’s role and the bureaucratic system of higher education in
In the sixth era of student enrollment and retention, retention was a common
concern for higher education leaders. As enrollments were predicted to fall, the focus of
24
higher education leaders shifted to retaining students once they enrolled. Spady’s (1971)
examined the interaction between the student and the college environment (Berger et al.,
2005). This study focused on traditional undergraduate students, and the findings
indicated that if there is alignment with the student and their environments, the student
will assimilate both socially and academically, leading to a higher likely hood of
pressure to hide or ignore parts of their cultural identity to be more like the people around
them, which further oppresses minoritized students, especially considering that higher
education predominately serves white students (Rambaut, 2015). Vincent Tinto built upon
organizational theoretical models. Tinto’s model (1975, 1993) indicates that persistence is
tied to student characteristics and their initial commitment to the institution and
their new environment. Tinto indicates that for students to persist, there must be academic
and social integration (Tinto, 1975, 1993). Other researchers who approached the study of
persistence from a sociological and psychological lens are Kamens (1971, 1974), Astin
(1977, 1985), and Pascarella and Terenzini (1979, 1980). Kamens (1971, 1974) argued
that student retention is linked to the status privilege their college can guarantee them in
the broader social order (p. 294). Astin (1977, 1985) indicated that the greater the
student’s involvement in their academic institution, the greater their persistence rate.
Pascarella and Terenzini (1979, 1980) tied student retention to student social and
academic life, including informal interactions between students and faculty. Retention
25
through the psychological lens places the onus of stopping out on the student instead of
shared ownership of student departure on both the student and institution. These theories
focus on the shortcomings or weaknesses of the student and exclude the influence social
or external factors may play in persistence and retention. The sociological perspective on
retention moves beyond student attributes and incorporates their social status within the
In the 1980s, as enrollments were expected to level off, the study of retention
increased. As the supply of students decreased, the demand for institutions to attract the
best and the brightest increased (Berger et al., 2005). While attracting and enrolling the
best and brightest students is subjective, the highly sought-after students were often from
privileged backgrounds, white, male, and those with higher socioeconomic status
(Carnevale & Rose, 2013). The need to attract this elite student population was a focus of
higher institutions, and thus the practice of Enrollment Management emerged (Hossler,
2002). Jack Maguire, the Dean of Enrollment for Boston College, coined the term
Enrollment Management in 1976 (Hossler, 2002). He and others knew that not only was
it becoming increasingly important to recruit new students, but it was now critical to
retain those students an institution had admitted (Berger et al., 2005). The practice of
retaining its students. Bean (1980, 1983) offered a new theoretical retention model
adapted from organizational studies of worker turnover (Price & Mueller, 1981). By the
end of the 1980s, several models and theories were established across several institutional
types (Berger et al., 2005). I will cover the six most-cited retention models in depth later
26
in this chapter. Refer to Appendix C for a summary of many of the highly cited retention
In the 1990s, era eight of student enrollment and retention, retention was now
alike (Berger et al., 2005). Much of the focus of retention was on students’ social and
academic integration; however, in the 1990s, researchers began to look at retention from
other lenses, including the impacts finances may have on retention (Berger et al., 2005).
Also, higher education institutions began to pay greater attention to the retention of
In the ninth era of student enrollment and retention–the current era of retention;
the concept of retention is well established and is a noteworthy policy agenda within
higher education. College enrollment has increased from two million students to 20
million students in just over 60 years (Carnevale et al., 2015). There are widespread
efforts to serve and retain students, especially in highly competitive higher education
spaces, as retaining an institution’s students is cheaper than recruiting and finding new
students (Marsh, 2014). Refer to Appendix D for a historical look at the retention timeline
college students, students from lower socioeconomic backgrounds, adult students, and
online students (Berger et al., 2005). One size does not fit all when it comes to student
retention, and the efforts to serve and retain students should be as diverse as the students
who attend our higher education institutions (Cabrera et al., 1993). As student
27
populations diversify across college campuses, so do these institutions’ retention issues.
While much work and progress have been made on student retention research, more
Retention Theory
gaps and the foundation for this program evaluation, I will turn to the six most-cited
student retention theoretical models that serve as the framework for retention theory as
cited by available research. I determined the following retention theories as the most cited
by verifying citation counts in Google Scholar for each retention model listed in
Appendix C. These theoretical models are the Undergraduate Dropout Process Model
(Spady, 1970, 1971), the Institutional Departure Model (Tinto, 1975, 1993), the Student
Attrition Model (Bean, 1980, 1982), the Student-Faculty Informal Contact Model
(Pascarella, 1980), the Nontraditional Student Attrition Model (Bean & Metzner, 1985)
and the Student Retention Integrated Model (Cabrera & Castaneda, 1993). I present these
summary of these and other influential retention models, frameworks, and their key
concepts.
Many authors and researchers consider The Undergraduate Process Model (Spady,
1970, 1971) the first theoretical model and one of the main seminal articles on student
retention (Berger et al., 2012). William Spady’s work laid the foundation for student
retention theory, which considers the relationship between the student and institution and
28
the influence this relationship has on student retention and attrition. The Undergraduate
Process Model, coined by Spady (1970, 1971), linked the process of student attrition to
Durkheim’s Suicide Theory of social integration. Early retention models, including Spady
1970, 1971; Tinto, 1975, 1993, have linked the idea of student retention to Durkheim’s
theory (Aljohani, 2016). While the results of Spady’s and others’ research are important
to retention, the idea of suicide or the death of a student associated with the departure
from a college is problematic. The linkage suggests that a student who does not follow
the prescribed path for attaining education through the higher education system is
does not account for the differences in student types, influences, obstacles they may face,
that to explain the dropout process of undergraduate students; one must take an
interdisciplinary approach that examines the interaction between the student and the
academically and socially are most beneficial for the student persisting (Spady, 1970, p.
77). The act of assimilation is problematic as students may feel pressure to hide or ignore
parts of their cultural identity to be more like the people around them, which in higher
(Rambaut, 2015). Spady concluded that a student’s decision to continue or withdraw from
their current institution is influenced by two factors in each system, academic and social.
The two main factors within the academic system are grades and intellectual development
(Spady, 1970, p. 77-78). Within the social system, normative congruence (where
attitudes, interests, and personality dispositions are compatible with the attributes and
29
influences of the environment) and friendship support align with Durkheim’s (1951)
characteristics and the campus environment and adjusted his model after testing 653
Spady’s findings revealed that intrinsic rewarding academic activities and the
establishment of personal contact with faculty and peers are fundamental components of
integration, satisfaction, and commitment to the institution they are attending (Spady,
1971, p. 62). Many retention theorists cite Spady’s research, and while it is a seminal
study in retention theory, his work focused on traditional undergraduate students and
extrapolating results to the post-traditional learner does not address the differences in
student populations. See Figure 2.1 for the final version of Spady’s Undergraduate
Process Model.
Figure 2.1
30
Note. From “A Comprehensive Review of the Major Studies and Theoretical Models of Student Retention
in Higher Education,” by O. Aljohani, 2016, Higher Education Studies, 6(2), p. 5.
(http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/hes.v6n2p1). Copyright 2016 by author.
completion by building upon Spady’s (1970, 1971) model and Durkheim’s (1951) Theory
of Suicide. Tinto (1993) also incorporated the rites of passage of tribal societies’ views of
social anthropologist Van Gennep (1960) into his work. Tinto links students’
incorporation into their academic institutions into three stages of passage: – separation,
transition, and integration. A gap in Tinto’s Institutional Departure Model (1975, 1993) is
the role of external factors such as finances, hours of employment, family responsibility,
persistence. Later retention theories by Bean and Metzner (1985) and Cabrera and
colleagues (1993) incorporate more intentionally the external factors that influence
the student’s motivation, academic ability, and the institution’s academic and social
characteristics. The match between the student’s and the institutions’ characteristics
the student’s goals and commitments are constantly changing based on their experience at
college. The stronger the student commitments, the higher the probability of that student
31
Tinto’s final model (1993) states that colleges consist of two systems – academic
and social, and students who persist integrate into both systems. In his model, Spady
and faculty. Tinto critiqued his own 1975 model, stating that “it does not adequately
distinguish between those behaviors that lead to institutional transfer and those that result
in permanent withdraw from higher education” (Tinto, 1982, p. 689). See Figure 2.2 for
Figure 2.2
Note. From “A Comprehensive Review of the Major Studies and Theoretical Models of Student Retention
in Higher Education,” by O. Aljohani, 2016, Higher Education Studies, 6(2), p. 6
(http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/hes.v6n2p1). Copyright 2016 by author.
32
Student Attrition Model (Bean, 1980, 1982)
Bean’s Student Attrition Model (1980, 1982) builds upon James L. Price’s 1977
decision to stay at or leave the institution they are attending is like an employee’s
behavior and decisions within work organizations. Bean suggests that organizational
determinates influence student and employee satisfaction and their decision to persist or
stay. In Price’s research, he argued that employee satisfaction which leads to employee
turnover, misses the mark by itself, and both integration and salary or pay also influence
turnover. Instead of using the pay variable as Price (1977) did when thinking about the
including student GPA, student development, institutional quality, and overall value.
Bean (1982) built upon his own model, suggesting a linkage between student
attitudes and behavior, and used intentions and attitudes to predict the retention and
persistence of students. Bean’s model modifies Fishbein and Ajzen’s (1975) Social and
Personal Beliefs Model (SPBM). The key ideas of SPBM include the importance of
student intention, beliefs, and behavioral influences. Bean (1982) argues that when
background, organizational outcomes and attitude, and environment. See Figure 2.3 for
33
Figure 2.3
Note. From “A Comprehensive Review of the Major Studies and Theoretical Models of Student Retention
in Higher Education,” by O. Aljohani, 2016, Higher Education Studies, 6(2), p. 8.
(http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/hes.v6n2p1). Copyright 2016 by author.
he emphasizes the importance of informal contact with faculty. Based on Spady’s (1970,
1971) and Tinto’s (1975) theoretical models, Pascarella argues that interactions between
students and faculty members influence student’s integration into both social and
academic systems. The model hypothesizes that students who have positive relationships
with their faculty outside the classroom, referred to as informal interactions, positively
impact student retention, especially in the first year. Pascarella (1980) argued that there
are different forms of student-faculty interactions, each with different levels of influence.
The most substantial influence on student retention comes from informal interactions that
extend beyond the knowledge shared in the classroom. Various factors influence this
34
interaction, including student background differences, faculty culture, classroom
informal contact and education outcomes, and the quality of the informal contact leads to
better educational outcomes and, thus, continued persistence (p. 564-565). Not all
or artistic interests, value issues, or future career concerns (Pascarella, 1980, p. 565).
characteristics, the faculty culture and classroom experiences, peer culture, and the
Pascarella’s model is centered around the traditional student and thus extending the
other influencing factors is problematic. Most adult learners are not fully immersed in the
campus, and their faculty interactions differ significantly from traditional students. See
35
Figure 2.4
Note. From “A Comprehensive Review of the Major Studies and Theoretical Models of Student Retention
in Higher Education,” by O. Aljohani, 2016, Higher Education Studies, 6(2), p. 9
(http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/hes.v6n2p1). Copyright 2016 by author.
Bean and Metzner (1985) argue that retention models neglect to examine the
by Spady (1970), Tinto (1975), Astin (1977), and Pascarella (1980) focus on socialization
and social integration which neglects the post-traditional learner as there is often a lack of
integration as students often commute to campus–and today are often online and
therefore are not fully immersed into the social activities and norms of the physical
campus environment. To fill this gap in the research, Bean and Metzner built the
Nontraditional Undergraduate Student Attrition Model. Bean and Metzner derived this
model from the Student Attrition Model of Bean (1982) and other theorists (Bentler &
Speckart, 1981; Fishbein & Ajen, 1975; Lewin, 1935; Locke, 1976). The Nontraditional
36
Student Attrition Model postulates that post-traditional students are different from
academic performance, intent to leave, background and defining variables, and external
environmental variables.
institution has little to no control over including –finances, hours of employment, outside
student retention and attrition for post-traditional students. Bean and Metzner claim these
external factors play a more significant role in retention for the post-traditional learner
than academic variables. While the Nontraditional Student Attrition Model focused on
post-traditional undergraduate students, the model can also be extended to examine post-
traditional learners at the graduate level. There are more similarities than differences
between post-traditional undergraduate and graduate learners; they face many of the same
obstacles of outside obligations of work and family; thus, this model could be extending
to test the retention of post-traditional graduate students. I will discuss this theory in
further detail as a part of the theoretical framework for this study. See Figure 2.5 for Bean
37
Figure 2.5
Note. From “A Comprehensive Review of the Major Studies and Theoretical Models of Student Retention
in Higher Education,” by O. Aljohani, 2016, Higher Education Studies, 6(2), p. 10,
(http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/hes.v6n2p1). Copyright 2016 by author.
integrative framework by merging the variables of retention models from Tinto (1975)
and Bean (1982). Cabrera and colleagues conducted an empirical study to test the
convergence of these two theories in predicting student retention. The findings of Cabrera
and colleagues’ longitudinal study indicated the convergence of these two distinguished
retention models with a few amendments to provide a better understanding of the student
attrition process than either model on its own. The Student Retention Integrated Model
included all statistically significant variables from both theories; the model excluded
38
Figure 2.6
Note. From “A Comprehensive Review of the Major Studies and Theoretical Models of Student Retention
in Higher Education,” by O. Aljohani, 2016, Higher Education Studies, 6(2), p. 11
(http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/hes.v6n2p1). Copyright 2016 by author.
assumptions from both theories to be valid. The Student Retention Integrated Model also
found that a more comprehensive understanding of student attrition results from complex
interactions, characteristics, and institutional fit. This study included the following
external variables: Encouragement from Friends and Family and Finance Attitudes and
Institutional Commitment. This study supports the claims made by Bean (1982) on the
recommend that higher education professionals design student retention plans around the
39
variables most strongly influencing and encouraging student persistence. Cabrera and
address student retention within their academic units, and these retention plans may need
to differ across units. This strategic approach to retention aligns with the decision to lean
evaluation approach for this program evaluation. I address Evaluative Inquiry for
There are many studies on persistence and retention, with a vast majority of the
theoretical student retention models focusing on traditional-aged students who are often
integrated into the campus community as a part of attending college and earning a degree;
however, these models do not explain the experience of adult learners who spend little if
any time on campus and have commitments outside of their academics to family and
often full-time employment (Graham et al., 2000). The differences between post-
traditional and traditional learners have been well established, and thus examining the
persistence and retention patterns of post-traditional learners in the same way traditional
students are examined is ineffective. To understand the patterns of persistence for the
adult learner, research must align with the characteristics and demographics of the
population.
The focus of many of the retention theories has been and continues to remain on
social and academic integration; however, for the adult student population, this focus
40
does not consider the environmental factors that Bean and Metzner (1985) focused their
research on. Bean and Metzner (1985) and Bergman and colleagues (2014) found that
more than student entry characteristics or social integration, external environment factors
played a vital role in the persistence of adult students. Bean and Metzner identify five
external environmental factors that directly affect post-traditional student retention. These
responsibility, and the opportunity to transfer. While no one factor is the sole contributor
to adult student retention and degree completion, examining financial factors is especially
important in this unique population (Bergman et al., 2014). The environmental factor of
finances is also the only one that the institution can have some influence on. Generally,
post-traditional learners are financially independent and carry the burden of financial
responsibility for themselves and others. A lack of financial support, including financial
aid, scholarships, or employer tuition funding, could deter an adult learner from starting
students who are often more affected by college pricing (McKinney & Burridge, 2015)
has been shown to strongly influence the retention of community college students
(Barrow et al., 2014). Castleman & Long (2016) studied the effects of need-based grant
eligibility on college completion. While Castleman & Long focused their research on
traditional undergraduate students, the results suggest that need-based aid has a positive
impact on persistence and degree attainment. Additional studies and research are needed
41
to explore the effects of finances on persistence for the adult student population. With
increases in employer tuition benefits offered from companies studying tuition support
through employer funding and its effects on the persistence of adult learners is an
forced more institutions to intensify their retention efforts. The National Student
Clearinghouse Research Center (2022) shows a 7.4% drop in total enrollment across all
higher education institutions since 2020, partly attributed to Covid. Enrollment in adult
learners fell by 5.8%, with half of the decrease coming from the community college
reform has shifted from access to cost and completion as there is a higher scrutiny on the
cost of higher education and the retention rates of students, especially minoritized
populations (Carnevale et al., 2015). Colleges are suffering from historic enrollment
declines during the pandemic, suggesting the importance of retention and re-engaging
adult learners looking to complete degrees they began years ago and advance their
education through certificates and graduate degrees (Causey et al., 2023). Higher
through programs designed for the adult student population, online platforms, and the
The Gallup and Lumina Foundation conducted a survey in 2021 to explore the
risks to the enrollment and retention of adult learners. They surveyed 5,215 adults
pursuing a bachelor’s or associate degree and 3,002 who had never enrolled in
postsecondary education. Over half of all unenrolled adults surveyed reported cost as a
42
fundamental reason for not continuing education (Gallup Lumina, 2021). Cost is the most
significant barrier to the never-enrolled student population and those who stopped out
after enrolling. The study also found that over half of currently enrolled students
continued in their educational pursuits because of the financial aid they received.
Examining the barriers finances place in the way of adult learners and the benefits of
more skilled and educated workers to employers and the economy can lead to a more
strategic approach to employer tuition assistance programs. These programs can benefit
more than just the students or employees who are taking advantage of them, but can also
benefit higher education institutions, companies, and the communities these students and
To help fill the skills gap, employers within the United States spend
all sizes offer these educational benefits; while the policies and caveats associated with
the educational benefits vary across employers, the benefits for the employees and
companies are apparent (Pelletier, 2019). The Lumina Foundation (2016) published a
report showing that investing in current employees can be one of the best returns on
investment and creates a competitive advantage. This report revealed that Cigna helped
control talent management costs through its educational assistance program; for every
dollar spent, Cigna saved $1.29. These tuition assistance programs led to a substantial
return on investment–129% for Cigna and 144% for Discover, in reducing hiring costs as
43
In recent years organizations like Fed Ex Express, JP Morgan, Starbucks, Target,
Walmart, and The Walt Disney Company have received media attention for their
have direct partnerships with Arizona State University (Go to College, on us, 2022) and
where employees can earn online degrees tuition-free. In 2022 Waste Management
extended their employee tuition benefits to dependents and spouses (Waste Management,
2021). Waste Management is among the first employers to extend educational benefits
beyond their employees at this scale. Chipotle, Target, Walmart, The Walt Disney
Company, and many others are partnered with various higher education institutions
When surveyed, employers report that upskilling offers the employee the
possibility to meet personal and often professional goals of earning a degree or credential
along with opportunities for career advancement, higher wages, and higher levels of job
assistance also benefit from having more skilled workers, advantages in a highly
competitive environment with a strong pool of candidates, and often higher employee
44
The economy is pushing for a more educated workforce, as are companies; however,
without funding to assist with tuition, specifically for working adults, it is unlikely they
will start, let alone complete their degrees, based on the financial pressures this student
population faces. Some financial pressures these students face is housing, childcare, bills,
incurring additional debt, caring for aging parents, and other financial needs, each
impacting adult learners’ pursuit of education (Deutsch & Schmertz, 2011). Carnevale
and colleagues (2015) identified tuition assistance as the most crucial component in
removing barriers for working learners, as most workers could not afford the cost of
tuition without financial support. Financial constraints of the adult learner are a
significant concern and often play a more prominent role in the pursuit of higher
assistance benefits on community college students. Tran and Smith took a quantitative
approach to determine the impact of funding for 5,201 community college students who
began at a public community college from 2003-04. This national study found that 90%
of community college students did not receive educational benefits from employers;
however, those who did have better retention and attainment outcomes (Tran & Smith,
2017). Trans and Smith found that those who received employer funding were 2.7% less
likely to stop-out and 2.6% more likely to continue onto a four-year degree after
completing their associate degree (p. 88). Tran and Smith also found evidence that
outcomes, such as completion of their program over more immediate ones, such as GPA
and completed credit hours at the end of their first year (p. 93). Across the United States,
45
post-traditional learners–ages 25 and up comprise 56% of the students enrolled in
research on employer funding models, student retention, and degree completion for post-
however, recently, there has been a push for employers to provide programs that offer up-
front tuition funding rather than reimbursing employees afterward (Guild website, n.d.).
A two-year study conducted by the Lumina Foundation (2023), found that tuition
reimbursement programs have a return on investment (ROI) of 1.29 dollars for every
dollar spent. While the average ROI for Guild partners, each offering up-front tuition
funding, is 3 dollars for every dollar spent (Guild, 2023). The high up-front out-of-pocket
costs of the tuition reimbursement model may prevent some from utilizing the benefits if
their employer refunds the employee versus paying the tuition up-front (St. Amour,
2020). The policy of requiring employer reimbursement versus the employer paying up
review of tuition assistance programs found that only 40% of programs offered up-front
funding instead of tuition reimbursement, and notably, the companies that offered up-
front funding had 3% more employees taking advantage of the benefit (EdAssist, 2012).
Recently, employers have been making changes to modernize their tuition assistance
also increasing tuition funding levels and the pool of eligible employees, where
employees are eligible for education benefits 60-90 days after employment (versus nine
months) – Tyson Foods recently announced that employees are eligible for tuition
46
funding benefits on day one of employment. Many employers, including but not limited
to Amazon, Bank of America, Home Depot, McDonalds, Target, and UPS even extend
tuition benefits to part-time employees (Higher Ed Insight, 2021). New and emerging
innovative programs. Some employers are developing these tuition benefit programs
through a direct relationship with higher education institutions, and others are creating
and others. As companies refine their education benefit packages finding the right fit for
these adult learners is key, and many are turning to institutions or colleges that specialize
Higher education institutions no longer serve just those who live in or near the
communities in which their campus is located, and the ages of the student population
extend beyond the 18-23-year-old traditional student. According to the National Center
for Education Statistics (NCES, 2020), the adult student population in the United States
grew from 5.1 million in 2000 to 6.2 million in 2017. Post-traditional enrollment numbers
are expected to continue in their upward trajectory. Predictions expect this student
population to increase by 11% from fall 2017 to fall 2028 (NCES, 2020). The
diverse, is typically working part or full-time, has greater financial and family
commitments which create competing priorities for students (Osam et al., 2017). These
student predictions and the changing landscape of higher education emphasize the need
47
for studying adult students instead of clumping them in with the traditional student
Many private and public institutions have divisions or departments where lifelong
learning is at their core, focusing their work on adult learners often hidden in plain sight
across many campuses. Many names are used to refer to these units; however, in this
program evaluation, I will categorize all these units as Professional, Continuing, and
Online Education (PCO) units. These PCO units are geared toward serving post-
traditional learners through alternative educational pathways and advocating for those
who often do not have a voice on campus and are distinctly different from traditional full-
time students (UPCEA, 2017). PCO units often function quite differently from the
traditional units on campus, with extended operational hours, different or varied policies,
and various course modality offerings to provide the flexibility a post-traditional student
needs to balance work, family, and academics. The faculty and staff in these units serve
as the champions for this growing population of adult learners' unique needs in all aspects
of their educational journey (UPCEA, 2017). PCO units offer a variety of professional
programs characterized by the rapid invention of new jobs and categories of work;
careers that span 60 years and involve numerous job changes across many distinct areas;
the knowledge that provides immediate value in jobs; and regionalized and localized
occupational needs (UPCEA, 2017, p. 8). With the connection of each of these
characteristics to the jobs and careers of the students who attend these units, researching
the connection of employer funding to the success and completion of these students is not
48
Theoretical Framework
The theoretical framework for this program evaluation is comprised of Bean and
Metzner’s Conceptual Model, Human Capital Theory, and Evaluative Inquiry for
Learning in Organizations. Each of these models and theories are essential in providing
structure to the program evaluation as they each serve as a cog in the wheel of
understanding persistence and retention for post-traditional learners. Utilizing Bean and
Metzner’s Conceptual Model shows the differences between traditional and post-
traditional learners, pointing to the need to explore external environmental factors further
when researching persistence and retention for post-traditional learners. Bean and
Metzner’s Model was built upon organizational turnover and speaks to overall perceived
value of a student earning their degree. I used Human Capital Theory to address a
student’s perceived value in education. Human Capital Theory allows the program
analysis of post-traditional learners, which impacts the decision to start a degree, continue
organizational practices and applying results to improve persistence for adult learners.
Utilizing EILO allows the results of this program evaluation to become a catalyst for
growth for each of the stakeholders as the program evaluation was designed to create
transformative learning. Figure 2.7 highlights the major points for each model or theory
as a foundation for this program evaluation. Each model and theory will be discussed in
turn.
49
Figure 2.7
listed as Appendix A.
(Berger et al., 2005). Many unresolved problems in student retention highlight the need to
build upon the contributions of the early retention theorist Spady (1970), Tinto (1975),
Astin (1977), and Pascarella (1980), who have led the way in developing theories and
students. Early retention theorists focus on how social belonging, connectedness, and the
retention. Social interaction and connectedness to campus are key elements for traditional
learners but are often not as relevant for adult learners. In contrast to the importance of
50
the social integration factors for traditional students Bean and Metzner (1985) argue that
these social integration factors are far less important than external environmental factors
for post-traditional learners. While institutions have little control over these external
factors, understanding each and their influence on the persistence of adult learners is key
(1980, 1983) offered a new theoretical retention model adapted from organizational
studies of worker turnover (Price & Mueller, 1981), which Bean and Metzner expanded
on in 1985. Bean and Metzner’s research focused on the non-traditional (termed post-
traditional or adult learner in this paper) undergraduate students, concluding that the
external environment affects this student population more than social integration
variables (p. 530). Bean and Metzner define the environmental variables as finances,
transfer. Bean and Metzner demonstrate that each factor influences the persistence of
adult learners and that further research on adult learners is needed to continue to
sense as the external factors remain relevant. Understanding the role finances plays for
learners within higher education institutions. Many variables can be used to measure the
ability to finance education, often related to the socioeconomic status of the student’s
parents, income (student or parent), perception or uncertainty around finances, and access
51
to financial aid. Many studies have concluded that financial stress positively relates to
students’ decision to stop-out (Lenning et al., 1980; Marsh, 1966; Pantages & Credon,
1978; Summerskill, 1962). While many adult learners also work full-time, and employers
shift toward a more progressive tuition benefits model, examining the effects of employer
(1990), Ability to Pay model indicates that students with a greater ability to pay for
college integrate themselves into college life and are more likely to succeed. By applying
Bean and Metzner’s (1985) model with the understanding of how the increased financial
ability to pay positively influences students’ persistence, this program evaluation will
take a closer look at the environmental factor of finances and specifically employer
tuition funding as a source of funding and the influence it has on adult learners’
grounded in establishing a return on investment associated with the decision to begin and
continue the pursuit of a higher education degree or stop-out (Long, 2007; Becker, 1975).
If or when the cost-time and money outweigh the reward–economic gain, the student is
likely to stop-out instead of persisting through to completion. Opinion polling data shows
that 74% of adults agree two-and four-year degrees are now equally or more important in
securing a successful career than 20 years ago (Gallup Lumina, 2023). The same research
also shows that many Americans have doubts about the cost and quality of a college
education leading to the return on investment of a student’s time and money. While there
52
are many benefits–increased social and economic mobility, increased access to job
opportunities, and marketability to those who earn a college degree, if those benefits are
not evident or are not perceived by students to outweigh the growing costs of higher
Consumers consider both the cost of a purchase as well as the perceived value of
that purchase. Perceived values are “what consumers get for what they give” or a cost-
benefit evaluation that includes prices and the time and effort invested (Hoyt & Howell,
2011, p. 23). Students are consumers, and their decision to pursue a college degree
follows the pattern of other large purchases, often associated with a cost-benefit
evaluation. Their decision-making process continues each quarter as they assess their
perceived value when deciding to re-enroll in the next quarter. This is a decision they
continue to revisit as they pay with their time and money each time registration rolls
around. Students are not obligated to continue based on their decision to begin a program
and therefore assess the value of their education before registering for each quarter,
similar to a repeat buyer of any other product. The groundwork for the impacts of
1990, 1992, 1993; Amaury Nora 1992, 1993; Edward St. John 1997, 2002; and Michael
Paulsen 1997, 2002. Through the examination of the Financial Nexus Model, Paulsen and
St. John (2002) support the view that students engage in a series of choices regarding
college choice and re-enrollment, and each state of their decision is affected by financial
factors. According to their model, the ability of financial aid to affect decisions depends
upon both the availability of student aid and the student’s perception of the overall cost
53
(Paulsen & St. John, 1997, 2002). Students are more likely to complete their degrees
institutions are more likely to drop out in the third year of college and that each type of
financial aid studied–Pell Grants, subsidized student loans, and unsubsidized student
loans–appeared effective for reducing stop-out risk. Reducing the monetary cost of
tuition can be the tipping point in one’s perception of their return on investment.
costs associated with higher education. In addition, the immediate reduction in financial
costs allows for the vision of long-term benefits associated with earning a degree–
position or increased opportunities with new employers. One way the cost of education
can be reduced for post-traditional students is with employer tuition funding. Reducing
the cost of education increases the return on investment for adult learners deciding to
and referrals. For students to persist, retain, or provide referrals to others, they need to
perceive value in their purchase and see a positive evaluation of the cost-benefit analysis
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Bringing the Theories Together
Human Capital Theory, and Evaluative Inquiry for Learning in Organizations is essential
to this program evaluation. Thinking of each model or theory as a gear that interlocks
with the others gives the analogy that explains the importance of each theory as they are
interdependent. When studying the retention and persistence of adult learners, the
absence of any of these theories leaves a gap in understanding of this unique student
population. Bean and Metzner’s (1985) conceptual model emphasizes the impacts of
financial impacts felt by adult learners. Their study is built upon the underpinnings of
organizational turnover, and one of the educational factors is the overall value perceived
by the student for earning or completing their education. This overall perceived value can
be explained through Human Capital theory. Human Capital theory shows how adult
decision. Returning to college, whether for the bachelor’s degree they never completed or
evaluating the return on investment on themselves. These theories serve as the foundation
for this program evaluation as they strengthen the argument for the need for employer
tuition funding for adult learners and the ultimate impacts on increasing the persistence
Conclusion
There are widespread efforts to serve and retain students, especially in highly
55
cheaper than recruiting and finding new students. Many unresolved issues around
adult students, and online students (Berger et al., 2005). Through the exploration of the
history of retention and retention theories, research specific to adult learners is necessary
as the post-traditional student population continues to grow and the enrollment cliff for
will not work for student retention, and efforts to serve and retain students should reflect
the diverse student populations our higher education systems serve. While much work
and progress has been made, there is more to addressing retention in our higher education
one must consider the many complex variables that contribute to the academic journey of
much of the research focuses on traditional undergraduate students, often leaving out the
surging population of adult learners (Spady, 1970, 1971; Kamens, 1971, 1974; Tinto,
1975, 1993; Astin, 1977, 1985; Pascarella & Terenzini, 1979, 1980). With the shift in the
higher education landscape toward a more diverse and older student population, there has
obstacle that impacts adult learners’ ability to begin, persist, retain, and complete their
degrees, we must explore ways to reduce these financial pressures and increase the return
on investment allowing adult learners to return to higher education and complete the
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degrees they start. This evaluation fills a gap in the research by researching the effects of
The Human Capital Theory examines the return on investment, asking does the
While the answer to this question is individual for each student, it is a part of the
their degree. Finally, as the partnership between University College and Guild is current
and ongoing, understanding the outcomes of funding on adult learners can be used for
transformative learning and can impact strategic planning and organizational change
moving forward, thus impacting not only the adult learners who are entering University
College through this partnership but those who have not yet committed to investing in
themselves both through the Guild partnership or through organic channels. A visual
will discuss the methodology used to test each research question and the hypothesis based
on previous research.
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CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY
This chapter describes the data and methodology of the program evaluation. First,
I discuss the guiding framework used to guide the research questions and analysis of this
program evaluation and the importance of this framework for transformative change.
Second, I revisit the problem statement, research questions, and hypotheses of this
program evaluation. Third, I discuss the research design, including the site description,
which include the use of descriptive statistics, t-tests, the Kruskal Wallis Test, and
multiple regression. Next, I describe my approach to the cleaning of the data as well as
the analysis I then state the limitations of the program evaluation. Finally, I share my
Evaluation Theory
The guiding framework for this evaluation was Evaluative Inquiry for Learning in
Organizations (EILO). Hallie Preskill (1999) derived this theory which focuses on
and organizational learning. Her research has focused on evaluation capacity building,
transfer of learning and training, evaluation use, and evaluation as a catalyst for growth
for individuals, teams, and organizations. Several elements of EILO align with other
58
stakeholder and collaborative evaluation modes; however, Preskill stresses that
evaluation should be ongoing and reflexive, and the research should also embed
evaluation in organizational practice (Preskill & Torres, 1999). Learning from the
evaluation process is an important goal, and the evaluator should work with all
stakeholders to apply the learning from the techniques and findings. Preskill envisions
EILO as an ongoing process for analyzing and understanding critical issues; this process
becomes a catalyst for continued growth and improvement for the organization and the
individual employees (Preskill & Torres, 1999). She acknowledges that evaluation occurs
Conducting this significant program evaluation on the effects of employer tuition funding
on the persistence, retention, and time to degree completion for adult learners loses
meaning if the outcomes are not relevant, practical, and used to further organizational
and there is much yet to be learned about the persistence and retention of adult learners
across all higher education institutions. Program stakeholders should use the outcomes of
this evaluation to strategically plan how the organization–in this case, University College
The evaluation emphasized using this data for both University College moving
forward and other higher education institutions that serve post-traditional learners. I
designed this program evaluation with EILO specifically to provide results that can guide
strategic planning and organizational change when navigating the complex problem of
persistence, retention, and time to completion for adult learners within a complex
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organizational system. This evaluation aimed to create transformative learning, defined
by Preskill and Torres (2000), as a process where individuals, teams, and organizations
identify, examine, and understand the information or process needed to meet specific
goals. I intend to align strategy and evaluation to create learning opportunities for higher
beyond the University of Denver’s campus. Shulha and Wilson (2003) explain:
The partnership between University College and Guild is ongoing; thus, conducting the
evaluation based on a theory of use was appropriate for internal growth and learning
opportunities. It is plausible that sharing the knowledge learned from this program
evaluation beyond University College with other stakeholders, including Guild or other
higher education institutions, will allow for more learning and understanding of the
influence employer tuition funding and cost has on adult learners’ persistence, retention,
and time to completion. An outcome of designing this evaluation with an emphasis on use
was that doing so would “result in more useful recommendations and enhance the use of
One of the goals of this evaluation was to influence learning and strategy and
move from simply having outputs to establishing meaningful outcomes. Evaluating from
the use perspective allows stakeholders to implement the evaluation's results or outputs to
study has results or outputs, but when stakeholders act upon those outputs, they become
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outcomes. Implementing these outcomes allows an organization to progress and improve
strategic decisions. The outputs or results of this program evaluation can provide a
framework for University College’s next strategic planning cycle. From course planning
and predictions to possible policy changes, understanding how cost influences the adult
learners can facilitate change that positively impacts the students, University College, and
the University of Denver. Preskill explains that the potential for positive change and
impact increases when strategy and evaluation are interwoven. She explains that
evaluation and strategy should not be mutually exclusive, and instead they should be fluid
and reinforce each other (Alkin, 2012) (see Appendix E). Taking a use approach allows
for the program evaluation to serve as a model for change and addressing obstacles
surrounding persistence, retention, and time to degree completion for adult learners.
Preskill explains that strategic evaluation often focuses on different questions than
program-level evaluations (Alkin, 2012, p. 331). Some of the questions she focuses on
are: to what extent are we making the right strategic choices; what are we learning about
how well our programs are progressing in implementing our strategy; what else should
we be doing; how should we refine our strategy in the future? I have shaped my research
questions with these focuses in mind as they have served as a framework for examining
The partnership between Guild and University College was a strategic approach
to propel University College forward to serve the growing number of adult learners who
may not have previously had access to higher education. Using Preskill’s evaluation
model allows a reflexive look at the strategic decision to partner with Guild, what
University College has learned from the implementation of the partnership, and what
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changes need to occur to meet the goals of this partnership. A strategic approach needs to
be continually tested and refined and conducting this essential program evaluation allows
Problem Statement
traditional learners, is critical to implementing changes and strategies to serve this unique
population. Much of the research and retention theories focus on traditional learners,
pointing to social connection, self-efficacy, and belonging as essential factors in the study
of retention (Spady, 1970, 1971; Tinto, 1975, 1993; Pascarella, 1980; Cabrera et al.,
1993). While these are important factors for traditional students, they miss the mark when
examining persistence and retention for the post-traditional student population. Finding
the solutions to the retention problems faced across higher education needs to be as
unique as the student populations served. With the growing percentage of adult learners
external environmental factors which are different from traditional learners. Bean and
outside encouragement, family obligations, and the opportunity to transfer as having the
most significant impact on adult learners, and Bound et al. (2010) demonstrated that
persistence and retention research, continued research on the effects of employer tuition
funding on persistence and retention is critical to serving the adult learner and the
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Theoretical Framework
three different theories, which are all essential in exploring and solving the problem of
this chapter and used EILO and Bean and Metzner’s (1985) Conceptual Model and
Human Capital Theory to ground my research. Bean and Metzner’s Conceptual Model
establishes the differences between traditional and post-traditional learners and the need
for further research to understand the effects of external environmental factors when
Organizational turnover is the groundwork for their study, and one of the educational
factors for completing one’s degree is the perceived value of earning the degree. I explain
the perceived value of earning one’s degree with the use of Human Capital Theory.
Human Capital Theory establishes the cost-benefit analysis or business decision adult
learners make each quarter as they move toward or away from degree completion. The
combination of these theories strengthens the argument that employer tuition funding
Human Capital Theory, and Evaluative Inquiry for Learning in Organizations are
interlocked gears. When one gear moves, each of the others moves along as if none
functions independently. Bean and Metzner’s model and Human Capital Theory
illuminate the influence cost and funding have on adult learners, and EILO provides the
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approach to strategically think about how higher education leaders approach the retention
and persistent problems of adult learners. This program evaluation's design and
methodological approach were intended to provide results that can impact strategic
planning and organizational change to address the persistence and retention problem for
post-traditional learners.
persistence and retention and decreases time to degree completion for post-traditional
learners. The following research questions align with the established theoretical
framework, which guides the evaluation of the external partnership between the
through the Guild partnership compare to students who do not receive this
funding?
degree completion for post-traditional learners, I hypothesize that the most significant
funding from one’s employer (Long, 2007; Becker, 1975). According to Bean and
Metzner (1985), adult learners are most directly affected by external environmental
64
factors, one of which is finances. These research questions focus on the importance and
influence of the external factor of finances for adult learners. I expect the relationship
between up-front employer tuition funding (independent variable) and the dependent
retain and persist at higher rates as they have up-front employer tuition funding where
Organic students do not (Frankfort-Nachmias & Leon-Guerrero, 2011). I also expect the
employer funding will have the greatest influence on retention (dependent variable) when
examining the independent variables of age, GPA, race, gender, and up-front employer
between post-traditional learners from traditional learners and a need for more research
traditional-aged learners shows that extrapolating from retention theories that focus on
traditional students (Spady, 1970, 1971; Tinto, 1975, 1993; Pascarella, 1980, Cabrera et
al., 1993) may not be helpful when examining the post-traditional student population.
Instead, the differences in these student populations illuminate the need for further
research on external environmental factors to describe and understand the persistence and
retention of adult learners. Each research question in this program evaluation focuses on
the external environmental factor of finances and, more specifically, on the impact of up-
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front employer tuition funding. Understanding how employer funding influences adult
completion is essential if higher education leaders want to address the persistence and
retention of post-traditional students. If students find value in their degree and do not
carry the financial burden, they are more likely to begin a degree, persist through it, and
Research Design
Wallis Test, and multiple regression, to study the relationship age, GPA, race, gender, and
dependent variables and the five independent variables using a multiple regression model,
which provided the ability to estimate and predict future outcomes (Mendenhall &
Sincich, 2012). The program evaluation used archival data from 2017-2022 to compare
two separate groups of adult learners: those students who entered a University College
academic program through the partnership with Guild–referred to as Guild students, and
those students who are not a part of the partnership–referred to as Organic students. I
examined Guild and Organic students across University College’s academic programs to
understand and gain further insights on the importance of employer tuition funding. I was
interested in the linear relationship between these variables, so I analyzed the data using
t-tests, correlation, and multiple regression models (Mendenhall & Sincich, 2012).
time to degree completion, I conducted Kruskal Wallis Test. In this test, I tested three
66
different levels of employer tuition funding: unlimited employer tuition funding, some
employer tuition funding, and no employer tuition funding. Those students who receive
employer tuition receive between 10,000 and 3,000 dollars per calendar year for tuition,
and fees were all grouped into the employer tuition funding group labeled as some
employer tuition funding. While the funding range is relatively large, this grouping was
necessary for testing purposes due to the lower population numbers of students with some
Using multiple regression models, I tested each of the five independent variables–
age, GPA, race, gender, and employer tuition funding for tuition and fees, against the
subsets of the archived dataset. The subsets included testing the data by level (graduate
(Master of Science and Master of Arts only) and undergraduate) and degree (Master of
Science, Master of Arts, and Bachelor of Arts). This program evaluation does not
examine the independent variables separately, as they are all expected to have varying
levels of influence on each dependent variable. This allowed for the ability to control the
Guerrero, 2011).
time to provide comparison across all groups. I created a unit of time by taking the
completion quarter minus the beginning quarter for every student across the dataset.
Throughout this program evaluation, I will refer to “unit of time” when describing the
results on tuition retention and time to degree completion, as time is not equivalent to
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months or quarters and instead to an arbitrary unit of time that is consistent across all
began their program in winter 2019 (201910) and completed it in spring 2021 (202130)
Site Description
University of Denver (DU). Its mission is to deliver enduring professional growth and
educational pathways (University College Website, 2022). In the mission statement, the
word “access” is used, but what is not mentioned but is found in University College
policies and business rules is the word support. University College has built support
systems and procedures that differ from the rest of the DU campus. These systems and
procedures are designed for post-traditional learners to transition back into higher
education and persist toward their personal, professional, and academic goals. University
College offers career-focused content through both credit and non-credit academic
offered through University College, which are a part of the Guild partnership. University
College provides a variety of degree paths for adult learners; I chose to focus on adult
students pursuing master’s degrees, graduate certificates (both six-course and four-
course), and bachelor’s degrees through a Bachelor of Arts Completion program. The
similarities across these programs allowed for more reliability in the overall program
evaluation and results. Although University College students are DU students, they do not
fit the traditional mold of other DU students. University College students are often
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balancing work and family obligations while attending school, and many are completing
their coursework fully or mostly online. To cater to the adult learner University College
has adjusted policies, procedures, and best practices to account for the differences of this
and asynchronous modalities. Most University College students complete over 70% of
their program requirements online, and many complete their entire program online
without stepping foot on campus until graduation day. These students are more than
traditional learners in this program evaluation and the diversity they bring to the DU
and Online Education (PCO) units–90% have full-time jobs while enrolled in classes,
65% reside outside the state of Colorado, 64% identify as female, 25% identify as
students of color, 10% are active duty or veteran students, and the average age is 32
Guild serves as the conduit between employers and higher education institutions–
often through Professional, Continuing, and Online Education (PCO) units, by building
for America’s workforce through education and reskilling by working to bridge the gap
between education and employment for working adults in the United States to help them
succeed in the future of work (Guild Website, 2022). Guild focuses on transforming
traditional tuition reimbursement into a strategic investment that aligns employees with
69
company needs, increasing recruiting, retention, upskilling, and brand equity (Guild
Website, 2022). The partnership between University College and Guild began in 2017,
and the number of students in the program continues to grow as Guild adds new
employers to their portfolio. During the timeframe of this program evaluation, University
College admitted 100-150 new students each quarter through the Guild partnership across
all their academic programs–master’s, graduate certificates, and the Bachelor of Arts
admit 50-70 new Guild students each quarter; the numbers of new students fluctuate with
the changes in employers and funded programs. Once a Guild student is approved, by
Guild and their company, for employer tuition funding and admitted into an academic
program, they are grandfathered into this funding if they remain with the employer. These
students are more than the companies they are associated with; however, it will be helpful
to understand the employer population associated with the Guild student population and
when each employer began their partnership with Guild. Table 3.1 provides a complete
list of all Guild employer partners associated with University College, listed
alphabetically. The table demonstrates many industries Guild has partnered with,
including but not limited to healthcare, financial, hospitality, fast casual, and supply chain
and transportation. The diversity of companies Guild partners with shows the company’s
works with Guild to set funding levels and approved portfolios of academic programs and
educational partners based on the company’s available budget, goals, and best practices.
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Table 3.1
71
Selection of Participants
any given year (not including students in the Frontline Manager Leadership Program,
(FMLP)). Thirty to 35% of new credit-bearing students each quarter enter University
College through the Guild partnership. In this evaluation, I tested different samples as
subsets of the entire archived dataset to generalize observations back to the overall
ensure the reliability of the program evaluation, I used representative samples for various
subsets across the population. These subsets included students who have completed
master’s, graduate certificates, and bachelor’s degrees, thus allowing for generalization
back to the greater population for these program samples. Ensuring that each sample was
the variables back to the larger population (Mendenhall & Sincich, 2012). This program
evaluation does not include any students admitted to the FMLP program as the program
is a bespoke corporate program and, therefore, not available to Organic students. This
program evaluation did not use randomized sampling as the dataset only included
students who meet the program evaluation criteria, meaning they completed their degrees
between fall 2017 and fall 2022. I examined the results by level (graduate and
account for possible differences that may occur in different subsets of the overall
population.
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The program evaluation did not limit or categorize data based on the
demographics of students. While demographic data was available and included in the
not determined based on these demographics. Rather, the ability to speak to the
completion for adult learners was not limited by age, race, ethnicity, gender, or the
program the student completed. The program evaluation included only those students
who completed one credential between fall 2017 and fall 2022. It is common for students
credential and then use those credits earned toward a master’s degree or to add a graduate
certificate onto their master’s degree without taking six additional courses. Accounting
for the overlap in courses will reduce the reliability of the results; thus, students who
completed multiple degrees during the timeframe of the program evaluation were not
I thoroughly cleaned the data to ensure the reliability and validity of the results.
Participant inclusion criteria included having available data for all variables–dependent
and independent. There were no inclusion or exclusion data required for the following
variables: Student ID, Student Name, Level, Ethnicity, Race, Completion Quarter, Guild,
Award Category Description, Degree, Gender, GPA Level, Credits Earned, Credits
Passed, and Credits Attempted. I excluded any student with the program variable of
‘TRMG’ as this program does not align with the program evaluation. ‘TRMG’ is a cohort
program, and this program is not a part of the Guild portfolio of programs, meaning
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Guild students may not choose this program of study. I excluded any student with a
partnership through Centura. The ‘LBA’ concentration is not a part of the Guild portfolio
of programs, meaning Guild students may not choose this concentration of study. I
excluded six students from the GPA variable who did not graduate and therefore did not
meet the criteria of the dataset. I excluded two students from the Transfer Hours variable
who did not graduate and therefore did not meet the criteria of the dataset. I excluded two
students from the Credits Attempted variable who did not graduate and therefore did not
meet the criteria of the dataset. I excluded 17 students from the GradStatusDesc variable
who did not graduate and therefore did not meet the criteria of the dataset. I kept a log
reporting all demographic and variable data for those individuals removed from the
student population. The dataset only includes students who have completed programs, as
predicting graduation dates for the post-traditional learner population who are in progress
toward their degree would produce less reliable data and impact the program evaluation
results.
Instrumentation
(Guild students and Organic students) using archival data and a statistical program–Stata.
First, I ran t-tests to compare the mean of Organic and Guild students to determine if
there was a significant difference between the two groups. Once I determined that there
was a significant difference between the two groups, I ran multiple regressions using
Stata to examine the relationship between the independent variables (age, GPA, race,
gender, and employer tuition funding for tuition and fees) on each of the dependent
74
variables (persistence/retention and time to degree completion). Finally, I used the
Kruskal Wallis Test to test the effects of different funding levels on time to degree
completion.
The alpha–the level of probability for this program evaluation was set at .05. It is
customary to set the alpha for a quantitative study at .05, .01, or .001 (Frankfort-
Nachmias & Leon-Gerrero, 2011). As .01 and .001 are more cautionary levels of risk
often used within clinical assessments, a probability of .05, allowing for a five percent
Gerrero, 2011). I also used Cronbach’s alpha of .80 to show the measure of reliability
across the program evaluation (Mendenhall & Sincich, 2012). I also tested the effect size
of each sample using Stata. I ensured the validity of the results by testing multiple runs of
the data to compare results for consistency. I tested the data as a large sample and smaller
subsample sets across different levels and degrees to ensure that the independent
variable–employer funding for tuition and fees- was the primary influence on each
subsamples of levels and degree remained consistent throughout all testing to assure that
there were not differences across different student or degree types. Similar results across
Assumptions
which are all needed to produce effective results. Independence indicates there is no
scores is normally distributed along a bell curve, and equal variance is when the
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variances are approximately the same across the samples (Mendenhall & Sincich, 2012).
The variances of the two populations (Guild and Organic) were unequal, and therefore I
used Welch’s formula for unequal variances when running t-tests on each of these
time to degree completion, using analysis of variance (ANOVA) to test the various levels
of Guild employer funding. The data did not allow for ANOVA testing as the distribution
across the three employer funding levels was not evenly distributed. This violates the
assumptions that must be met to conduct an ANOVA, as the n is not high enough across
the three levels. There were still violations at three funding levels (zero employer tuition
funding, some employer tuition funding, and unlimited employer tuition funding).
Therefore, I used the non-parametric Kruskal Wallis Test to test the influence of funding
I ensured the following six assumptions before running regression model tests to
produce effective and reliable results (Mendenhall & Sincich, 2012, pp. 110-111):
linear.
6. The independent variables are fixed; therefore, the least-squares method is the
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Data Processing and Analysis
The data for all University College students–Guild and Organic, is available and
stored as archival data in several university systems. I requested permission to use this
data and pulled reports based on the data via a formal letter addressed to the then
letter in Appendix F). Dr. Chris Nicholson is now the Associate Dean of Enrollment,
tuition funding through the Guild partnership compared to those students not in the Guild
partnership. I ran t-test analyses to determine if there was a significant difference between
the retention of Guild and Organic students. Once I determined there was a significant
difference in the retention of Guild and Organic students, I used different sample sets to
examine students across levels (graduate and undergraduate) and degrees (master’s,
that there would be a positive relationship between employer funding and persistence for
adult learners. The null hypothesis states the difference in group means is zero and the
alternate hypothesis that the different in the group means is different from zero.
funding levels affect the time to degree completion for post-traditional learners. To
account for the violations in assumptions, I ran a Kruskal Wallis Test, a non-parametric
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test, to compare funding at three different levels. I grouped the funding levels into three
categories: unlimited up-front employer tuition funding, some up-front employer tuition
funding, and zero up-front employer tuition funding. I grouped those students who
receive employer tuition funding between 10,000 and 3,000 dollars per calendar year into
the employer tuition funding group labeled as some employer tuition funding. Table 3.2
shows employer tuition funding levels distribution across each funding level from this
program evaluation. I hypothesized that the time to completion would decrease as up-
funding levels.
Table 3.2
In the third research question, I ran multiple regression analyses to determine the
relationship using each independent variable (age, GPA, race, gender, and employer
funding for tuition and fees) on the dependent variable of time to degree completion.
Once the relationship for each independent variable was determined, I examined and
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compared across the same sample sets used in the previous research questions. I
hypothesized that age, GPA, race, gender, and employer funding for tuition and fees
would all affect persistence; however, employer tuition funding would have the greatest
I examined research questions one and three across all levels and degrees using
archival data, thus allowing for comparison across program levels and degree types. I
hypothesized that the greatest determinant of improved persistence rates for post-
traditional students would be employer tuition funding aligning with Bean and Metzner’s
I expected to see post-traditional students who receive employer funding through the
Guild partnership persist and retain at higher rates than the Organic post-traditional
learners who do not receive tuition funding through the Guild partnership. I also expected
the results to indicate that post-traditional students receiving employer tuition funding
(Guild students) have quicker completion times than those not receiving tuition funding
As with all research, limitations exist, and I address the limitations of this
program evaluation in this section. Within the dataset, some Organic students had tuition
funding from the U.S. Department of Veteran Affairs (VA), outside scholarships, or their
employers as tuition reimbursement. Although these students had some funding, they
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were not admitted to University College through the Guild partnership and therefore were
classified as Organic in this program evaluation. While some organic students may
receive funding from outside funding sources, including their employer, the vast majority
who receive employer tuition funding receive that funding as a reimbursement versus
receiving up-front tuition funding like Guild students. I chose not to remove these
Organic students from the program evaluation, as I did not expect the small number of
Organic students who received outside funding to influence or compromise the program
evaluation results. The inclusion of these Organic students who may have outside funding
means that the results of this program evaluation may be understated as the tuition cost to
these Organic students would be lower as they may not be funding their education
which Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) impacted the globe. While there are many
global impacts of COVID-19, including but not limited to economic and social, it is not
yet determined to what extent COVID-19 has impacted higher education as a whole and
this program evaluation particularly. Everything during the pandemic shifted, including
how students engaged with higher education. PCO units, including University College,
saw a greater demand for education during the peak of COVID-19 (National Center for
Educational Statistics, 2021). As the world moved from a pandemic to an endemic, the
demand for higher education decreased, and the competition for attracting students across
higher education institutions increased, with more programs now offering online
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important to recognize that we still do not fully understand the extent of the economic,
The United States faced historic unemployment rates during these times, 26.4
million Americans filed for unemployment between March, 2020 and April, 2020
(Soergel, 2020). Researchers projected that 54 million jobs were vulnerable to reductions
in hours or pay temporary furloughs, or permanent layoffs (McKinsey & Company, 2021;
Strada Education, 2020). This economic shift because of COVID-19 impacted higher
U.S. economy (Barr & Turner, 2013; Kantrowitz, 2010). As individuals faced uncertainty
in employment, many adult learners sought higher education to help them reskill, upskill,
and retool (National Center for Educational Statistics, 2021). With the massive layoffs
across the United States, many used the opportunity to make a career shift or pivot. This
influx in the post-traditional student population and the changes Guild employer partners
made to their tuition funding may have influenced the results of this program evaluation.
Many of the Guild students who pursue their education through University
College as a part of the Guild partnership are or were employed by The Walt Disney
Company (Disney) and used Disney Aspire funding to fund their education., Disney laid
off many employees during the COVID-19 pandemic and reduced tuition funding for
those who remained employed to counter the financial impacts from many months of
park closures. Furloughed employees, who had already been admitted to programs, still
received benefits through Disney, including their educational benefits through the Disney
Aspire program; however, thousands of employees were laid off and no longer eligible
for benefits. University College provided a $500 per course tuition relief grant to provide
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financial and academic support for those University College students who lost their jobs
because of the pandemic. University College offered this tuition relief grant to Guild
students who lost funding and Organic students alike. As these changes occurred in the
middle of the program evaluation and COVID-19 was still impacting our world, it is
unclear if and how COVID-19 influenced this program evaluation. Before COVID-19,
Disney funded all employees who wished to pursue higher education with unlimited
tuition funding. Disney implemented a course cap to their funding model for all Disney
employees including those furloughed as a result of the pandemic. This course cap
reduced the employer tuition funding for Disney students from unlimited funding, prior
to covid. The reduced employer funding afforded graduate-level students tuition funding
for one course per quarter, and undergraduate students funding for two courses per
quarter. Disney implemented the funding course cap from the winter 2021 quarter
through the fall 2021 quarter, which could have influenced the results of each research
fall 2020 quarter who returned to education to upskill due to layoffs and economic
uncertainty. It is unclear how the influx of fall 2020 organic students may have affected
the study as this is an anomaly in the data and deviates heavily from the number of new
Positionality
Over the past nine years, I have dedicated my professional efforts to serving adult
learners in their academic journey. Whether they are returning to education to complete a
degree, they began years ago, upskilling to advance their career, or retooling for a career
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pivot, serving this growing population is my passion. I stumbled into a job as an
academic advisor in May of 2014 at University College and have now made a career of
serving adult students. I advise students in our Bachelor of Arts Completion Program
(BACP), many of whom have entered through the partnership with Guild. I also oversee
the Enrollment Management team and co-lead University College’s Guild partnership
alongside our Associate Dean of Enrollment, Marketing, and Partnerships. I have been
heavily involved with the Guild partnership since its inception in 2017 and have
experienced the growing pains of establishing a large (both monetarily and student
headcount) partnership and the benefits for University College, the University of Denver,
and the students who entered our programs through the Guild partnership. My deep
knowledge and understanding of the Guild partnership and the Guild and Organic student
populations give me the insider’s perspective needed to analyze the data. I can bring the
statistical analysis to life through my understanding of the intricacies of both the Guild
approach the dataset from a point of view others do not have as they do not have the
intimate knowledge of the partnership or the student populations, I have gained over my
time with University College and specifically my in-depth work with the Guild
partnership.
College and have served in this position since August 2020. My roles and responsibilities
as the Director of Enrollment are as complex as the adult students we enroll and serve.
access and implementing strategies, policies, and systems to retain students once they
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begin their program is vital to my position within University College. I collaborate with
enrollment and new student goals. While I often report on numeric goals, I approach my
student experience for each learner, whether admitted organically or through the Guild
partnership. Increasing persistence and retention not only benefits the University of
Denver and University College's bottom line but also benefits the learner, their families,
Conclusion
This program evaluation analyzes the effects employer tuition funding has on
post-traditional learners and their persistence, retention, and time to degree completion. I
used t-tests and multiple regression models to test the relationship between employer
tuition funding and persistence/retention and the time to degree completion for students
entering the program through the Guild partnership and students who entered the program
outside of the partnership. This evaluation demonstrates how influential employer tuition
funding can be for post-traditional learners. I will share the results of this program
Chapter Four, I provide an in-depth explanation and breakdown of the results of this
program evaluation.
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CHAPTER FOUR: RESULTS
In this chapter, I present the results from my program evaluation of the University
College and Guild partnership. I took a quantitative approach to examine the partnership
and the potential effects of employer tuition funding on adult learners' persistence and
retention. My results are based on descriptive analysis, t-tests, Kruskal Wallis Test, and
multiple regression models. Throughout this chapter, I frame the results using each of my
research questions.
tuition funding and its effects on the persistence and retention of adult learners. Bean and
Metzner’s (1985) Nontraditional Student Attrition Model supports the need for further
research and this program evaluation. Understanding the effects of employer funding is
vital to serving the growing adult learner population. By examining the University
College and Guild partnership, I was able to compare different subsets of post-traditional
student populations and how employer funding affected time to completion and retention
compared to students who do not have similar funding. The following research questions
through the Guild partnership compare to students who do not receive this
funding?
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2) How does time to time to degree completion for post-traditional students
Research Question One: How does the retention of post-traditional students who
receive funding through the Guild partnership compared to students who do not receive
this funding?
unequal variances for the overall population and sub-sets of the population. The variances
of the two populations (Guild and Organic) were unequal, and therefore I used Welch’s
formula for unequal variances when running t-tests on each of these populations. I used
the t-test command in Stata 17 (StataCorp., 2023) to calculate t-tests comparing time to
completion for Guild and Organic students. Table 4.1 reveals the average time to
lower than that of Organic students (𝑀𝑀 = 204.4223, 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 = 121.0128), 𝑡𝑡(2394) =
7.0655, 𝑝𝑝 < .001. I used the esize command in Stata 17 (StataCorp., 2023) to calculate
the effect size. Cohen describes the measures of magnitude in effect size and breaks them
down effect into three categories small (𝑑𝑑 = 0.2); medium (𝑑𝑑 = 0.5); and large (𝑑𝑑 ≥
0.8) (Cohen, 1977). The effect size result for this first t-test was small (𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶ℎ𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒’𝑠𝑠 𝑑𝑑 =
.211). According to Cohen (1977), a small effect of .2, while noticeably smaller than a
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medium effect size, does not make the result trivial. Even with a small effect size, the
results suggest that Guild students are more likely to be retained at higher rates than
Table 4.1
I continued testing retention for Guild and Organic students by level (graduate
and undergraduate) as well as by degree [Master of Science (MS), Master of Arts (MA),
Bachelor of Arts (BA)] to examine the effects of employer funding on these different
Table 4.2 reveals that the average time to completion among Guild graduate
students (which includes MS, MA, CRTG, and CRTM) (𝑀𝑀 = 178.6301, 𝑆𝑆𝐷𝐷 =
63.94689) is significantly lower than that of Organic graduate students (𝑀𝑀 = 198.8868,
𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 = 105.359), 𝑡𝑡(1941.7) = 6.4597, 𝑝𝑝 < .001. The effect size was small
(𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶ℎ𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒’𝑠𝑠 𝑑𝑑 = .207). While the effect size of these results was small, they do suggest that
Guild graduate students are retained at higher rates than Organic graduate students. When
comparing the results from this sub population to the overall population, the mean
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difference of time to complete decreased by 3.145 units of time, and the effect size
decreased slightly by .004 compared to the overall population. The removal of the
between the Guild and Organic students, suggesting undergraduate students were
Table 4.2
Table 4.3 reveals that the average time to completion among undergraduate Guild
students (𝑀𝑀 = 213.333, 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 = 84.0485) is significantly lower than that of Organic
.001. The effect size was medium (𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶ℎ𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒’𝑠𝑠 𝑑𝑑 = .648). These results suggest that
undergraduate Guild students are more likely to be retained than Organic undergraduate
students. When comparing the results from this sub population to the overall population,
the mean and effect size increased drastically. The mean increased by 136.521 units of
time, and the effect size increased by .437 compared to the overall population. These
results suggest differences in the effects of employer funding in the graduate-level and
graduate students.
Table 4.3
Table 4.4 reveals that the average time to completion among Master of Science
(MS) Guild students (𝑀𝑀 = 184.8872, 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 = 58.05809) is significantly lower than that of
.001. The effect size was small (𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶ℎ𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒’𝑠𝑠 𝑑𝑑 = .361). These results suggest that MS Guild
students are retained at higher rates than MS Organic students. When comparing the
results from this subpopulation to the overall population, the mean and effect size
increased. The mean increased by 10.137 units of time, and the effect size increased by
.15 compared to the overall population. These results suggest that the retention of
students pursuing MS degrees is influenced by employer funding but not by the same
magnitude as undergraduate students were retained. The mean and effect size also
increased when comparing MS students to the overall graduate-level (MS, MA, CRTG,
CRTM) results. The mean increased by 13.283 units of time, and the effect size increased
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by .154. These results suggest differences in the effects of employer funding among
Table 4.4
Table 4.5 reveals that the average time to completion among Master of Arts (MA)
Guild students (𝑀𝑀 = 190.8635, 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 = 60.8054) is significantly lower than that of MA
Organic students (𝑀𝑀 = 235.4545, 𝑆𝑆𝐷𝐷 = 111.5526), 𝑡𝑡(703.98) = 7.1790, 𝑝𝑝 < .001.
The effect size was much closer to medium yet is still considered small (𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶ℎ𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒’𝑠𝑠 𝑑𝑑 =
.483). These results suggest that MA Guild students are more likely to be retained at
higher rates than MA Organic students. When comparing the results from this sub
population to the overall population, the mean difference in time to complete increased
by 21.189, and the effect size increased by .272 in this group compared to the overall
population. The mean and effect size also increased when comparing MA students to the
overall graduate-level (MS, MA, CRTG, CRTM) results. The mean difference in time to
complete increased by 24.334, and the effect size increased by .276. The results indicate
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program. While the results for both the MS and MA student populations are significant,
indicating Guild students are more likely to be retained, the mean difference in time to
complete and the effect size were larger for MA students than MS students. While MA
students are more greatly influenced by employer tuition funding than MS students,
employer tuition funding has the greatest influence on persistence at the undergraduate
level.
Table 4.5
Table 4.6 reveals that the average time to completion among six-course graduate
certificate (CRTG) Guild students (𝑀𝑀 = 142.9032, 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 = 53.20505) is higher than that
𝑝𝑝 = .040; however, the results are not significant. The effect size was insignificant
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Table 4.6
Table 4.7 reveals that the average time to completion among four-course graduate
certificate (CRTM) Guild students (𝑀𝑀 = 89.30233, 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 = 50.01882) is higher than that
𝑝𝑝 = .436; however, the results are not significant. The effect size was insignificant
Table 4.7
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As the previous results showed no significant difference in retention for CRTG
and CRTM students, I decided to examine the difference between graduate-level degree-
seeking students, excluding those in CRTG and CRTM programs. Table 4.8 reveals that
the average time to completion among graduate Guild students (MS and MA only) (𝑀𝑀 =
188.32, 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 = 59.67777) is significantly lower than that of Organic graduate students
(MS and MA only) (𝑀𝑀 = 222.2144, 𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 = 101.1824), 𝑡𝑡(1805.88) = 10.2785, 𝑝𝑝 <
.001. The effect size was small (𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶ℎ𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒’𝑠𝑠 𝑑𝑑 = .365). These results suggest that Guild
students pursuing MS or MA programs are more likely to be retained at higher rates than
Organic students in the same programs. When comparing the results from this sub
population to the overall population, the mean difference in time to complete increased
by 10.492 units of time, and the effect size increased by .154 in this group compared to
the overall population. By removing the CRTG and CRTM students from the overall
graduate calculations that included both CRTG and CRTM, the mean difference in time
to complete increased by 13.638 units of time, and the effect size increased by .158. This
suggests that the overall time to completion of a degree may influence the effects of
employer tuition funding on retention for post-traditional learners. CRTG students only
have six courses to complete their program, CRTM students only have four courses to
complete their program, while MS and MA students need 12 courses to complete their
program. This aligns with the premise that students make educational decisions based on
return on investment used from the Human Capital Theory. The investment of time and
money for CRTG and CRTM students is less than that for MS and MA students.
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Table 4.8
Student Retention. Given these results, the hypothesis that Guild students would
retain at a higher rate than Organic students was supported for all student populations
except those in graduate certificates (CRTG and CRTM). Based on the results of the
previous tests, I determined that examining the relationship between the number of
courses needed to complete the degree and employer tuition funding would be relevant.
The results support the idea that the more courses a student needs to complete their
degree, the more employer tuition funding affects retention. CRTG and CRTM Guild
students were not found to be retained at higher rates than Organic students. These results
may be partly due to the shorter time and smaller financial commitments for CRTM and
CRTG students, as the cost associated with these programs is far less than that incurred
employer tuition funding has the greatest influence on retention for undergraduate
Research Question Two: How does time to time to degree completion for post-
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H0: Time to degree completion is equal across all funding levels.
funding levels.
I used the Kruskal Wallis Test to evaluate the differences across the three funding
levels (unlimited up-front employer tuition funding, some up-front employer tuition
funding, and no up-front employer tuition funding) on time to degree completion for
time to completion across the three funding levels, 𝜒𝜒2 (2, 𝑁𝑁 = 3,493) = 12.35, 𝑝𝑝 <
.002. Time to degree completion was fastest in the unlimited up-front employer tuition
funding (𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀 = 160) followed by those who had no up-front employer tuition funding
(𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀 = 180), and finally those who had some up-front employer tuition funding (𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀 =
210). These results align with my theoretical framework used to support this program
evaluation. Those students who receive unlimited funding complete their degrees quicker
than the other two groups of students suggesting that employer tuition funding does affect
retention and time to degree completion and is consistent with the results from research
question one. Initially, I had expected those students who receive some tuition funding to
finish quicker than those with no tuition funding; however, these results may suggest that
the decision to return to higher education is strongly influenced by the tuition funding
benefit offered by their employers. Based on the results of this research question, students
with some funding are taking a slower approach to completing their degree to maximize
their funding from their employer. As students with some funding have a capped tuition
model from their employer they are choosing to go at a slower pace even taking quarters
off waiting for their funding to return at the beginning of the calendar year. This aligns
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with the Human Capital theory, where the students weigh higher education and the return
on investment (ROI) partially on funding and proceed through the program at a slower
evaluate the relationship between the independent variables (age, GPA, race, gender, and
employer tuition funding) on the dependent variable of time to completion for the overall
population as well as sub-sets of the overall population. I used the regress and beta
commands in Stata 17 (StataCorp., 2023) to calculate all regression models. As the t-test
results suggested, there was no significant difference in the retention of Guild and
Organic students completing either of the graduate-level certificates (CRTG and CRTM);
I followed the same sequence of testing throughout the entire program evaluation,
examining the overall population (MS, MA, and BA students), followed by graduate-
level only (MS and MA), followed by undergraduate only (BA). As the t-test results
indicated, tuition funding had a greater influence on MA students’ completion time than
on MS students; I also tested each of these populations separately. The first regression
examines the independent variables tuition funding (Guild), age, GPA, race, and gender
on the dependent variable time to completion for the entire population (MS, MA, and
BA), 𝑛𝑛 = 2,743. The proportion of variation accounted for by the independent variables
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in this model was 20% (𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 = .201). The results showed a significant influence for
each independent variable on time to completion (dependent variable) except for gender,
which was not significant. The independent variables of Guild and GPA had a negative
relationship with time to completion, whereas tuition funding and GPA increase, the time
to completion decreases. The Beta coefficients show each independent variable's relative
rank order of contribution to the model. While tuition funding significantly decreases
time to completion, a student’s overall GPA has a greater influence on the dependent
variable of time to completion. The results suggest that both GPA and employer tuition
funding affect the time to degree completion for post-traditional learners. Students with
higher GPAs may be able to register for more courses at a time leading to quicker
completion times than those with lower GPAs. Table 4.9 provides all results for the entire
Table 4.9
The second regression model examines the same independent and dependent
variables for the graduate student population (MS and MA), 𝑛𝑛 = 2,603. The proportion
of variation accounted for by the independent variables in this model was 18% (𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 =
97
.181). The results mirror those of the entire population in that each independent variable
variables of Guild and GPA again had a negative relationship with time to completion;
therefore, as tuition funding and GPA increase, the time to completion decreases. The
Beta coefficients show each independent variable's relative rank order of contribution to
the model. While tuition funding significantly influences decreasing time to completion,
a student’s overall GPA has a greater influence on the dependent variable of time to
completion. The results suggest that GPA contributes to time to degree completion for
students. Table 4.10 provides all results for the graduate population of MS and MA
students.
Table 4.10
The third regression model examines the same independent and dependent
variables as the previous two models for the undergraduate student population (BA), 𝑛𝑛 =
140. The proportion of variation accounted for by the independent variables in this model
was 29% (𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 = .293). The results of this regression model differ from the previous
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two models. The results showed a significant influence of age and GPA on the dependent
variable of time to completion. The independent variables of Guild (𝑝𝑝 = .06), race (𝑝𝑝 =
.54), and gender (𝑝𝑝 = .81) were shown not to be significant. The results of employer
tuition funding influencing retention fall slightly outside the 𝑝𝑝 < .05 baseline. This may
be partly due to one of the limitations of this program evaluation and the change enforced
to taking two courses per quarter instead of the unlimited funding they received prior to
winter 2021 due to COVID. The limitation of taking two courses aligns with the two-
course requirement for any undergraduate student utilizing financial aid, creating some
similarity in the number of courses registered for across Guild and Organic students. If
Disney employees wished to go beyond the course cap, they would have to pay for the
additional courses. The Beta coefficients again show the relative rank order of
contribution of each independent variable to the model, with overall GPA indicating the
greatest influence on the dependent variable of time to completion. Table 4.11 provides
Table 4.11
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The fourth regression model examines the same independent and dependent
1,804. The proportion of variation accounted for by the independent variables in this
model was 17% (𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 = .170). The results of this regression model differ from the
overall population and the graduate-only (MS and MA) population. The results showed a
significant influence of Guild, age, and GPA on the dependent variable of time to
completion. The independent variables of race (𝑝𝑝 = .07), and gender (𝑝𝑝 = .64) are not
significant. The Beta coefficients again show the relative rank order of contribution of
each independent variable to the model, with overall GPA indicating the greatest
influence on the dependent variable of time to completion for graduate students pursuing
an MS degree. Table 4.12 provides all results for the graduate MS population of students.
Table 4.12
The final regression model examines the same independent and dependent
variables as the previous models for the graduate-level MA student population, 𝑛𝑛 = 799.
The proportion of variation accounted for by the independent variables in this model was
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22% (𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 = .222). The results of this regression model mirror the results from the
overall population (MS, MA, and BA) and the graduate-only (MS and MA) population.
The results showed a significant influence of all independent variables, Guild, age, GPA,
and race, on the dependent variable of time to completion. The independent variable of
gender (𝑝𝑝 = .30) was not significant. The Beta coefficients show the relative rank order
of contribution of each independent variable to the model, with overall GPA indicating
the greatest influence on the dependent variable of time to completion for graduate
students pursuing a MA degree. Table 4.13 provides all results for the graduate MA
across the populations tested. This is a relatively low R-squared indicating there are other
are juggling many responsibilities, including family and work obligations, and these
regression models only consider one environmental factor, funding. Adding additional
environmental factors such as hours worked, marital status, children, and others would
Table 4.13
101
Student Retention. Given these results, the hypothesis that Guild students would
show higher retention than Organic students and that the independent variable of
employer tuition funding would have the greatest influence was not supported in any of
the populations tested. The results support that employer tuition funding does influence
retention in the overall population (MS, MA, and BA) and the graduate-level population
(MS and MA); however, tuition funding was not significant across the undergraduate
population. GPA was the greatest indicator of retention across each of the populations
tested. Therefore, one would expect that graduate students who have higher GPAs, as
well as employer tuition funding, would retain at higher rates than those students who
have employer tuition funding and lower GPAs or higher GPAs and no employer funding
(Cabrera et al., 1990; Pearson, 2019). Other environmental factors that may influence
time to degree completion and retention that were not considered in this program
evaluation are hours of employment, outside encouragement, family obligations, and the
Summary of Results
The results of this program evaluation indicate that the independent variable of
employer tuition funding significantly influences time to degree completion for all
populations tested except for six-course and four-course graduate certificate students.
Guild students in MS, MA, or BA programs retained at higher rates, and thus, their time
to degree completion was shorter than Organic students in similar programs. While
employer tuition funding was shown to affect time to completion and retention, it was not
shown to be the highest contributing factor. In each population, GPA was shown to have
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Employer tuition funding was not found to influence the time to degree
completion for those graduate students pursuing only graduate certificates (CRTG and
CRTM). This may be partly due to the length and cost of these programs compared to
courses, double that of a CRTG degree and triple that of a CRTM degree. The BA
program is a completion program where students must have transferable credit hours to
be admitted into the Bachelor of Arts Completion Program; depending on the number of
transferable credit hours, students would have somewhere between 12-39 courses to
complete their BA degree. In this program evaluation, I accounted for transfer credits for
those students who transferred credits into their degree. Aside from the length and cost of
not qualify for Title IV funding, meaning that students who pursue these degrees will
need to pay without the assistance of financial aid and therefore are likely from high
demographics of the overall and sub-populations, this program evaluation did not
consider socioeconomic status as that variable was not available in the dataset. Table 4.14
displays all descriptive data for each independent variable used throughout this program
evaluation.
While the results show the significance of employer tuition funding, they do not
show that it has the greatest influence on retention and time to degree completion. This
result does show the importance of external environmental factors on the persistence and
and that their persistence and retention to degree completion is influenced by more than
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academic and social factors is essential to addressing the retention needs of this unique
population. In the next chapter, I will elaborate on my conclusions and interpretations and
Table 4.14
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CHAPTER FIVE: DISCUSSION, IMPLICATIONS, AND RECOMMENDATIONS
In this chapter, I discuss the results from the program evaluation of the University
College and Guild partnership. I compare the retention between Guild and Organic
students, dive into the different levels of employer tuition funding, and discuss how the
independent variables of age, GPA, gender, and employer tuition funding influence
retention. I tie the results back to the theoretical framework used to guide the evaluation.
further research.
Introduction
Across the United States, post-traditional learners account for 56% of the students
2018). The enrollment cliff is predicted to begin in 2025 as there is a dramatic drop in
traditional-aged students due to the low birthrates. The need for higher educational
institutions to begin adjusting to the adult learner is past due. The need for updated
policies, procedures, and student supports that align more appropriately with the adult
learner is essential for higher education institutions. This is not to say that higher
understand that serving the adult learner is quite different from serving the traditional-
105
aged learner as the needs of this population do not align with the needs of traditional-
aged students. Many colleges and institutions will face declining and stagnant student
enrollment numbers. Taking a strategic approach to the shift in student demographics will
(Spady, 1970, 1971; Tinto, 1975, 1993; Pascarella, 1980; Cabrera et al., 1993). These
theories fail to include environmental factors that influence post-traditional learners. The
groundwork for the removal of financial aid and tuition cost barriers that affect retention
has been laid by many theorists (Cabrera et al., 1990, 1992, 1993; Lenning et al., 1980;
Marsh, 1966; Nora, 1992, 1993; Pantages & Credon, 1978; Paulsen, 1997, 2002; St.
John, 1997, 2002; Summerskill, 1962). This program evaluation builds upon these
theories by examining the influence up-front employer tuition funding has on persistence,
retention, and time to degree completion for post-traditional learners. The results of this
program evaluation begin to fill the gap in the research on how employer funding affects
Research Questions
persistence and retention and decreases time to degree completion for post-traditional
(Preskill, 1999). The following research questions align with the established theoretical
framework, which guides the evaluation of the external partnership between the
106
1) How does the retention of post-traditional students who receive funding
through the Guild partnership compare to students who do not receive this
funding?
As students who enter an academic program through the Guild partnership use up-
front education funding, provided by their employer, comparing these students to Organic
students who do not have this type of funding provides valuable insight into the effect
funding and cost have on persistence and retention for the post-traditional population.
Reducing the financial costs for the adult learner and the relationship it has to their
persistence and retention and time to degree completion is critical to recruiting more
adult learners back to higher education and increasing the retention rates of this unique
student population (Chen & Hossler, 2017; Tran & Smith, 2017). Understanding the
effects of employer funding is vital to serving the growing adult learner population.
Conducting this program evaluation in a way that allowed for comparison across different
subsets of the post-traditional student allows University College to evaluate the different
this program evaluation. I tie the results to existing literature and the theoretical model I
for the program evaluation stakeholders, and suggestions for future research.
107
Summary of Results
Research Question One: How does the retention of post-traditional students who
receive funding through the Guild partnership compare to students who do not receive
this funding?
The results supported the hypothesis that Guild students would retain at higher
rates than Organic students. When comparing across programs, the results supported the
hypothesis that Guild students retain at higher rates than Organic students in MS, MA,
and BA programs. The results did not support the hypothesis that Guild students retain at
higher rates than Organic students for those who completed graduate certificate programs
(CRTG or CRTM). When ranking levels of influence employer tuition funding had on
retention, the greatest influence was found for BA students, followed by MA students,
Research Question Two: How does time to time to degree completion for post-
funding levels.
In the second research question, the results supported the hypothesis that there is a
significant difference in time to completion across different employer funding levels. The
results of this testing indicated that students with unlimited tuition funding had the
shortest time to degree completion; each student in this category of the program
108
evaluation was a Guild student. Those students with no employer tuition funding had the
second shortest time to degree completion; each student in this category was an Organic
student. Finally, the students who had some tuition funding had the longest time to degree
The third research question indicated that employer tuition funding significantly
influences retention; however, GPA had the greatest influence across all levels of students
tested (MS, MA, and BA). Although the results were significant, the hypothesis that
employer tuition funding would have the greatest influence on retention was not
supported. In the next section, I will discuss the results, implications, and
In this section, I discuss all results of the program evaluation and ground them
within previous research and the theoretical framework I used. As the guiding framework
for this evaluation was Evaluative Inquiry for Learning in Organizations (EILO), I also
improvement.
supported the hypothesis that Guild students would retain at higher rates than Organic
students. While the results of the overall population were still significant when including
109
all degree levels, removing the CRTG and CRTM students from the overall graduate
calculations increased the mean difference of time to complete by 13.638 units of time,
and the effect size increased by .158. The lack of significant retention differences in the
CRTG and CRTM students may be due in part to the length and cost of the programs.
CRTG students are committing to half of a master’s degree, and CRTM students are
committing to a third of the time and money of a master’s degree. Human Capital Theory
can be used to explain the difference between CRTG and CRTM students. The cost-
benefit analysis students make when applying for one of these shorter programs differs
from those contemplating a 12-course master’s degree. While cost plays into a student’s
third, respectively, of cost considerations of time and money. It is also important to note
that four-course graduate certificates do not qualify for federal financial aid. Therefore, it
would be fair to say that the Organic students choosing to enter one of these certificates
have the financial means to support out-of-pocket costs of four graduate courses of
approximately 11,500 dollars. As CRTG students have no option for financial assistance,
Employer tuition funding greatly influenced students within the Bachelor of Arts
Completion Program. When comparing the results from the students pursuing a BA to the
overall population (which includes CRTG and CRTM), both the mean and effect size
increased drastically. The mean increased by 136.521 units of time, and the effect size
increased by .437 compared to the overall population. Accounting for the insignificant
results for CRTG and CRTM students, I also compared the results of the BA population
to the MS and MA students only, and the mean still increased drastically, by 126.028
110
units of time; however, the effect size only increased slightly by .072. These results
suggest differences in the effects of employer tuition funding in the graduate-level and
(1985) model that external environmental factors, including finances, influence the
retention of post-traditional undergraduate students. While Bean and Metzner’s study did
not include graduate students based on the results of this program evaluation, the Non-
traditional Student Attrition Model aligns with students in master’s degree programs.
Thinking about the results through the lens of Human Capital Theory, it also makes sense
that employer tuition funding would have a greater influence on retention for BA students
as their path toward completion is longer than that of graduate-level students. While the
per-course cost is less for an undergraduate student, the number of courses needed to
complete could be double or triple that of a graduate-level student. Bean and Metzner’s
Non-traditional Student Attrition Model and Human Capital Theory can be used to
explain these results. Human Capital Theory suggests students consider ROI in decisions
of enrollment and Bean and Metzner’s model suggests that post-traditional learners are
Employer tuition funding levels. I would have liked to evaluate each employer
tuition funding level separately; however, due to the low numbers of students within
certain funding levels, I needed to assess tuition funding levels at three different levels,
unlimited employer tuition funding, some employer tuition funding (between 10,000 and
3,000 dollars), and no employer tuition funding. Initially, I was shocked by the results
because those students who had some employer tuition funding completed their degrees
slower than those students who had no employer tuition funding. While the result was
111
surprising, it indicates that cost is a significant determining factor for post-traditional
students. As the students with some employer tuition funding completed the slowest, they
were likely making registration decisions based on the amount of tuition funding
available to them through their employers. As these students had capped employer tuition
funding that refreshes on January 1 of every year, they were likely taking a slower
approach and even taking quarters off to maximize the amount of tuition funding received
by their employer (Bowers & Bergman, 2016). This premise aligns with my theoretical
Metzner, 1985), and post-traditional learners make higher education decisions based on a
cost-benefit analysis (Becker, 1975; Long, 2007). This leads me to wonder how many of
these students chose to return to higher education regardless of degree program due to the
funding available from their employer. This raises the question of whether the social and
economic mobility of earning a credential was now more attractive and attainable for the
student due in part to the financial support of their employer? The results of testing the
employer tuition funding levels mimics the vignette at the start of this paper; maybe the
tuition funding from their employer, even though it was capped, was the push they
Independent variables, Age, GPA, race, gender, and employer tuition funding
influence on retention. The results showed that employer tuition funding does influence
retention for adult learners except for BA students. While it was surprising that employer
tuition funding was insignificant (𝑝𝑝 = .06) for undergraduate students, this result could
be related to the COVID-19 limitations of this program evaluation which were discussed
at length in chapter three. Based on employer tuition funding levels results, it is plausible
112
that if a course cap did not limit Disney students, they would have completed their degree
even quicker, resulting in a higher difference between the Guild and Organic student
groups. The course cap for undergraduate students also likely influenced the effect size
and mean difference in time to completion results of research question one. The
limitation of taking two courses for Disney undergraduate students aligns with the two-
course requirements for any undergraduate student utilizing financial aid, creating some
similarity in the number of courses registered for across Guild and Organic students.
Further studies are needed to understand if and how COVID-19 impacted this program
The hypothesis was not supported that employer tuition funding would have the
greatest influence on retention; instead, GPA was shown to have the greatest influence on
evaluation. The influence of GPA on retention was unsurprising as it aligns with previous
research indicating the correlation between GPA and retention (Bean, 1980, 1983;
Cabrera et al., 1993; Pascarella & Terenzini, 1979; Pearson, 2019; Tinto 1975, 1982). The
tuition funding and GPA and retention for graduate-level students. Therefore, one would
expect that graduate students who have higher GPAs, as well as employer tuition funding,
would retain at higher rates than graduate students who have employer tuition funding
and lower GPAs or higher GPAs and no employer funding (Cabrera et al., 1990; Pearson,
2019).
113
Stakeholder Recommendations
frame this program evaluation, Evaluative Inquiry for Learning in Organizations (ELIO).
The goal of this program evaluation was to provide results that could be implemented and
used as a catalyst for growth. As University College enters into a new strategic planning
cyle the hope is that the results of this study are imbedded into future decision making.
This program evaluation should be seen as a living document as the Guild and University
College Partnership is ongoing and the results can be imbedded into strategic planning
leadership evaluate how they can reduce costs for all students, particularly organic
students. A few considerations on how University College could increase the ROI for
adult learners and increase persistence and retention include locking tuition rates for
those who remain active with continuous enrollment and increasing scholarship
Reviewing transfer policies for undergraduate students to increase the courses allowed as
transfer credits, creating articulation agreements with statewide community colleges, and
awarding Prior Learning Assessment (PLA) credit for college-level level knowledge and
al., 2014; Gast, 2013; National Adult Learner Coalition, 2017). Providing discount tuition
degrees within three years of completing their undergraduate degree, and reengaging
114
students who have stopped out by offering discounted or locked tuition to return
price-point as part of the strategy for attracting and recruiting post-traditional learners
through the Guild channel. As the competition to attract adult learners continues to rise,
University College could increase the number of Guild students by reducing the financial
costs for Guild students and their employers. Reducing the price point for Guild students
further would provide value to all stakeholders including the University of Denver,
University College, the employer partner, and the students. Reducing the per-credit-hour
cost even further will likely increase the number of employer partners who include
University College in their portfolio of academic partners and may influence the number
of academic programs covered along with funding level. While the price point for Guild
students would be lower University College would make up the tuition dollars with
Employer tuition funding for Guild students has been shown to significantly
influence retention rates, considering other partnerships could prove fruitful. Cultivating
the relationship with local or state employers outside of the Guild partnership may
provide a pipeline of students with employer tuition. The results of this study can be used
with other outside partnerships to show the benefits of employer tuition funding to the
The Guild partnership should continue to be evaluated to assess if and how the
partnership influences student access to DU and retention of these students. I would also
115
how influential those dollars have been for Organic students and what changes could be
made to create a greater impact across the Organic student population. Understanding the
As this program evaluation utilized data from fall 2017 through fall 2020, the data
does not allow for high degrees of testing on the various funding levels. Since fall 2020,
Guild has continued adding new employer partners at various funding levels. I
recommend that further research be conducted on Guild employer tuition funding levels
and the effects it has on time to degree completion and retention for post-traditional adult
learners. Based on the results of my first and third research questions, it would also be
essential to test each tuition funding level instead of grouping them into three level. This
could provide further insight into the funding amount needed to influence students in
different programs. As more students enter University College through the Guild
partnership and complete their degrees, research should be conducted on each employer
funding level instead of the three this program evaluation used. As the average time to
my second research question or some variation of the question utilizing archived data,
once available, from fall 2017 through fall 2024. Further research with a larger dataset
would also allow for testing the populations pre-COVID-19, during COVID-19, and post-
COVID-19. The outcomes of these findings could help all stakeholders understand how
116
higher education and then retain toward completion and the implications and effects of
COVID-19.
Another potential research area would explore just the graduate-level post-
program evaluation where similar, there are likely differences in socioeconomic status
between those who do not already have an undergraduate degree and those who do. The
time to degree completion for a master’s degree is much shorter than for bachelor’s
students, and therefore, the cost-benefit analysis would likely be different across these
student’s decision to return to higher education and the extent to which employer tuition
complete their degree (Gardner et al., 2022; Sogunro, 2014; Yoo & Huang, 2013).
status (SES), as well as how career or salary outcomes after earning one’s degree.
Studying motivation, SES, and employer tuition funding and the possible
interdependence of these three independent variables and the influence on persistence and
retention of adult learns may provide some insightful results in how to best attract and
This program evaluation focused on up-front employer tuition funding and the
completion. There are many outside factors that have been shown to affect post-
117
traditional learners’ persistence and retention including but not limited to hours of
(Bean and Metzner, 1985), childcare, and policies and guidelines of corporate tuition
persistence, retention, and time to degree completion. I hope the results of this study
ignite further research to more fully understand this growing population. Having greater
information on the differences in traditional and post-traditional learners will help leaders
within higher education as well as companies derive strategic approaches to help this
unique population instead of hindering their academic, personal, and professional growth.
outside COVID reveals similar effects on persistence, retention, and time to degree
completion for post-traditional learners. Further research can explore the University
College Guild partnership, other institutions that partner with Guild, or other similar
third-party partnerships to understand more fully if and how the pandemic influenced or
potentially influenced the results of this program evaluation. As higher education leaders
are thinking strategically about providing access to the millions of adult learners through
different paths, including micro-credentials and other short-form courses and certificates,
Evaluation Conclusion
for analyzing and understanding critical issues; this process then becomes a catalyst for
118
continued growth and improvement for the organization and the individual employees
(Preskill & Torres, 1999). This study's results fill the research gap focusing on the
growing student population of adult learners while highlighting the important work of
PCO units. Connecting the job and career-focused educational approach of PCO units to
employer tuition funding is not only important research but necessary. The knowledge
gained will help institutions strategically approach admitting, serving these students, and
In 2017, Guild and University College began their partnership. This partnership
was intended to propel University College forward in serving the growing adult learners
and provide access to many post-traditional learners who have previously not had access
opportunities for higher education leadership and administration serving the post-
As financial aid shrinks and the cost of higher education increases, leveraging
employer funding can help offset the financial strain for adult learners. Employer funding
is not a one-size-fits-all answer to solving the persistence and retention problems across
the higher education system for adult learners; however, it does play a role in the
decision-making process for this unique student population. To effectively serve this
Adult students are returning to higher education to upskill, reskill, or make career
pivots and ultimately increase their socioeconomic status, yet the financial burden may be
too large of an obstacle to overcome leading to higher rates of stopping out and thus
119
lower rates of retention for institutions. While not every post-traditional or continuing
education unit can or should partner with Guild or another similar external partner to
how cost affects adult learners is important to serve this growing population effectively.
These program evaluation results align with Bean and Metzner’s Non-Traditional
Attrition Model (1985) and Human Capital Theory and advance the understanding of cost
can lead to more strategic conversations addressing tuition, scholarships, and other
120
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APPENDIX A: VISUAL REPRESENTATION OF THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
135
APPENDIX B: BEAN AND METZNER (1985) CONCEPTUAL MODEL OF
136
APPENDIX C: SUMMARY OF PERSISTENCE/RETENTION MODELS,
137
Synthesis of Astin Student precollege characteristics and
Terenzini and
(1985, 1993), Tinto experiences, organizational context, peer
Reason (2005)
Conceptual (1975, 1993), and environment, and student's individual
Framework Pascarealla (1985) experiences.
138
APPENDIX D: HISTORICAL LOOK AT RETENTION
139
APPENDIX E: HALLIE PRESKILL (2012) THE MUTUALLY REINFORCING
Figure 1: The Mutually Reinforcing Relationship between Strategy and Process (Alkin,
2012, p. 332).
140
APPENDIX F: LETTER REQUESTING USE OF ARCHIVED DATA
141
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