SSRN 2963665
SSRN 2963665
79
May 2017
1,2,3
Centro de Investigación de la Universidad del Pacífico (CIUP)
Email correspondence:
1
sanborn_ca@up.edu.pe
2
tania.ramirezf@pucp.pe
3
veronicahurtado23@gmail.com
ISBN: 978-1-908749-85-7
email: esid@manchester.ac.uk
Effective States and Inclusive Development Research Centre (ESID)
Global Development Institute, School of Environment, Education and Development,
The University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester M13 9PL, UK
www.effective-states.org
Electroniccopy
Electronic copy available
available at:
at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2963665
https://ssrn.com/abstract=2963665
Mining, political settlements and inclusive development in Peru
Abstract
This paper examines how economic and political factors have influenced mineral
extraction, governance and development in Peru since the late 19th century. It argues
that the legacies of the past have weighed heavily in contemporary mining governance,
but also points to moments in which shifting political alliances and agency aimed to
alter past legacies and introduce positive institutional change.
The background research for this paper was funded by the Effective States and
Inclusive Development Research Centre (ESID), based at The University of
Manchester, UK. This document is an output from a project funded by UK Aid from the
UK government for the benefit of developing countries. However, the views expressed
and information contained in it are not necessarily those of, or endorsed by the UK
government, which can accept no responsibility for such views or information or for any
reliance placed on them.
Electroniccopy
Electronic copy available
available at:
at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2963665
https://ssrn.com/abstract=2963665
Mining, political settlements and inclusive development in Peru
Introduction
When one examines the history of Peru, the last thing that comes to mind is a stable
order or settlement. ‘Pendulum’, ‘labyrinth’, and ‘kaleidoscope’ are among the terms
used by scholars to characterise Peru´s volatile political and social dynamics.1 Since
gaining independence from Spain in 1821, the country has had 12 constitutions and
over 100 governments, while its economic system has run the gamut from extreme
liberalism to statism and back again. A colonial legacy of violence, racism and
corruption, combined with erratic primary export-led development, high concentration of
wealth, and narrow domestic markets, generated patterns of economic inequality and
social exclusion that were also reflected in the political sphere. Democracy with
universal suffrage was not achieved until 1980, and successive popularly elected
governments have only been in place since 2001.
The relationship between these negative outcomes and Peru´s historical reliance on
natural resource-based exports, particularly large-scale mining, has been the subject of
considerable debate. For years, scholars tended to blame Peru’s erratic development
on the perils of such dependency, and on the external economic shocks often
associated with it (Thorp and Bertram, 2013). More recently, some analysts have
shifted attention to the country’s weak institutions, and to the lack of effective, broad-
based political pacts behind them (Sanborn, 1991; Moron and Sanborn, 2007).
Historically, Peruvian elites have been reluctant to construct stable alliances with
broader sectors of the population, and have been unable or unwilling to build
institutions that can govern the national territory, buffer external shocks, regulate
natural resource extraction and invest in the delivery of collective goods (Schmidt,
2004; Paredes, 2013).
Within this history, however, there have been periods of conflict and realignment, in
which new leaders or coalitions have promoted significant changes in the state, and in
its relation to natural resource extraction and governance. These was the case in 1968,
and again in 1992, when authoritarian rulers emerged in the midst of crisis to
concentrate power, construct alliances with key actors, and change the prevailing
economic models and institutions and their relationship to key export sectors. This has
also been partially the case since 2001, as the return to democracy was accompanied
by new forms of political decentralisation and innovations in the governance of Peru´s
abundant mineral resources, in line with global trends. At the same time, this period is
also marked by continuity of the liberal economic reforms undertaken during the
previous decade (Sanborn, 2008; Muñoz, 2010).
As we examine this case within the comparative framework of the Effective States and
Inclusive Development (ESID) project, we pose the following questions:
1
See, for example, Gonzáles de Olarte and Samamé (1991), Cameron (1997), Schmidt (2004:
87-127) Tanaka (1998), Tuesta (1996), and Parodi (2002). Cited in Moron and Sanborn (2007).
When have there been periods of political realignment and ‘settlement’, with a
relatively stable balance of power between contending social groups or classes,
as reflected in the institutions and policies of the state?
How have such settlements shaped the governance and exploitation of Peru´s
natural resources – and more specifically, its minerals – and in turn, how has
this shaped the prospects for future settlement?
How have the relationships between dominant elites, mineral extraction, and
the State affected patterns of inclusive development over time?
These questions are addressed through the following five sections of this paper. In the
first, we discuss the relevance to the Peruvian case of recent literature on political
settlements, institutions, and inclusive development, as well as longstanding work on
political pacts, regime transitions, and the so-called resource curse. We also define key
concepts used in the rest of the paper. In Section II we present an analysis of Peruvian
history in terms of these concepts, and address the first question above, identifying the
main periods of settlement and change. Our second question is addressed in Section
III, which examines the evolution of mining and the main forms of governance thereof,
focused primarily on large-scale mining for export, but also mentioning the presence of
artisanal and small-scale mining (ASM) operations. Section IV discusses the
interactions of political settlements and mining governance, drawing out the cross-
cutting factors that emerge in this case and examining the outcomes of these
interactions for inclusive development in contemporary Peru. The paper ends with a
summary of our answers to these questions and final reflections on this case.
In addressing these questions, the paper adopts both a historical and transnational
perspective. We stress how the legacies of dominant elites and prevailing ideologies
have weighed heavily in the nature of the state, yet also point to moments of
opportunity in which shifting political alliances and agency aimed to alter such legacies
and introduce institutional changes. For most of this history, the mining sector has been
dominated by foreign firms. Hence our study also points to the power of transnational
actors, especially multinational corporations and banks, but also other States and,
more recently, transnational social movements.
This paper is based on the analysis of both primary and secondary sources. Given the
historical scope of the study, we drew on extensive historical literature covering
Peruvian politics and governance in the late 19th and 20th centuries, and analyse a
broad array of published sources on issues related to mining governance and policies.
For more recent periods, we draw on data produced by numerous government
agencies as well as private industry associations, 2 and on major print media and
specialised economics and mining publications. Ten intensive, semi-structured
2
This includes specialised survey data produced by the National Institute for Statistics and
Informatics (INEI), the Central Bank, National Tax Authority (SUNAT), INGEMMET, the
ministries of Energy and Mines, Production and Culture, and the National Mining Society
(SNMPE).
interviews with experts and policymakers were also critical to understanding more
recent events.
What does inclusive development look like in a country like Peru? Clearly, it involves
sustaining economic growth, accompanied by state capacity to tax private wealth and
spend public revenues effectively. It also involves diversifying the economy to decrease
dependence on a few primary export sectors, reducing poverty and inequality,
expanding access to basic services for the majority of the population, and also
expanding labour rights and social security. Politically, this means guaranteeing human
and civil rights to all citizens, strengthening democratic institutions, and expanding
participation at all levels of government. Furthermore, for development to be inclusive
in a country with a large indigenous population, as in Peru, it should be multicultural,
including by granting collective rights to communal lands and other resources, and
respecting ethnic and cultural differences. 3 And in a country with such diverse but
fragile ecosystems, it should also involve the rational use of natural resources, with
effective regulation of the extractive industries and measures to protect the
environment for future generations.
How might these outcomes be achieved? The ESID framework proposes to track the
conditions under which state capacity and elite commitment to development are
achieved and sustained, considering multiple variables such as intra-elite relations,
coalitions and pacts, development ideologies, popular mobilisation, and the role of
transnational actors (Bebbington, 2013; Hickey, 2013). This requires a fundamental
understanding of the political dynamics that have affected the creation of institutions
that might advance inclusive development. In addition, it involves not only the
horizontal negotiations and bargains between elites, but also vertical relations between
elites and their followers (Laws, 2012: 9).
3
Peru has one of the largest indigenous populations in South America, yet their total numbers
are difficult to measure. National census data do not include questions of racial or ethnic
identity, only the maternal language of heads of household. Using this indicator, the last census,
conducted in 2007, estimated the total number of indigenous people at four million or roughly
15.7 percent of the population (INEI, 2007; CEPAL, 2014). Alternative measures range from as
low as 5 percent when only self-identification is used, to as high as 75 percent when taking into
account ancestors, traditions and customs (Sulmont 2012). The Ministry of Culture has
identified 55 main indigenous peoples, the largest being Quechua and Aymara, and over 51
smaller groups of Amazonian peoples (INEI, 2007; Ministry of Culture 2017b).
For the purposes of this paper, when we refer to ‘elites’, we mean the minority of
individuals or groups that hold resources which allow them to exercise control over the
state, and, more generally, on the establishment of political settlements and the
corresponding distribution of assets and rights in society. Such resources are often
economic (land and financial or industrial capital, held nationally or transnationally), but
may also be intellectual (technocrats, think tanks, mainstream media) or coercive (in
the case of military elites, control over the organised use of force) (Hickey, 2013: 3, 4;
di John and Putzel, 2009: 15). Such elites and the sources of their power change over
time. Within the framework of this project, it is important to identify periods when certain
actors accumulate enough power from outside the dominant coalition to either provoke
its breakdown or force a transition and analyse to what extent this leads to new
agreements and policies that affect inclusive development.
The work of Terry Karl (1997, 1986), Michael L. Ross (1999), Anthony Bebbington
(2013), and others reminds us that in countries highly dependent on natural resource
extraction, the role of this activity per se must be taken into account when examining
the evolution of politics and the prospects for inclusive development. However, while
extraction may distort the incentives of political and economic elites in various ways, it
is also through politics that the revenues resulting from such activity can be channelled
towards more desirable results. How can this be done? Some recent ‘institutionalist’
literature argues that if countries like Peru did not create inclusive politics and effective
states early, it may be extremely difficult to avoid erratic and inequitable development
outcomes (Aceglomu and Robinson, 2012; Slater and Soifer 2010). Yet research and
debate on democratic consolidation (Munck and Snyder, 2007; Schmitter, 1992;
Schmitter and Karl, 1991), as well as that of authors such as Bebbington (2013), and
Orihuela (2013) – who look specifically at mining countries – argue that a country can
also build such institutions at later stages under certain conditions.
This work thus indicates that there are at least two routes to alter the balance of power:
(1) social mobilisation, which can drive those in power to make positive institutional
innovations, or can change the very balance of power (Tilly, 1978; Mahoney and
Thelen, 2010; Bebbington, 2013), or (2) linking to transnational actors and ‘epistemic
communities’, which transmit new ideas and incentives for institutional reform (Haas,
1992; Orihuela, 2013). These routes may be related, but it is important to disaggregate
them analytically. In the case of transnational actors, some may exert more coercive
power over national elites, even pushing in a way to undermine prevailing settlements.
Others work through peer networks and voluntary forms of engagement, and still others
by informing and empowering local grassroots activists. In the case of social
mobilisation, which has expanded in Peru since 2000 when compared to the 1990s,
transnational activists and donors have supported a number of environmental and
social policy reforms. Yet this support has not helped to overcome the fundamentally
fragmented and localised nature of much social movement and protest in Peru, and the
inability to forge a movement or alliance capable of significantly changing the country´s
current development path (Remy, 2005; Panfichi, 2011).
Within this framework, the argument in this paper can be summarised as follows. There
are three broad periods that we identify in the Peruvian case as ‘settled’, in terms of
having relatively stable institutional arrangements that have been crucial for the
development of economic policy models and the distribution of holding power among
key actors – this being defined as ‘the capability of an individual or group to engage
and survive in conflicts’ (Khan, 2010: 6). These are the very long period of oligarchic
predominance (1895-1968), a second period we call statist (196890), and the
neoliberal period which dates from the early 1990s. Each of these periods is reflected
in particular patterns of state building and economic models, as well as governance of
mining and related extractive industries. However, in the face of global market forces,
and with pressure from new ideological trends and mobilisation from excluded actors,
each settlement lost strength and eventually became radically altered.
Transnational actors have been influential across this history, but as we will see, their
roles have also changed over time. They have limited what parties to the settlement
can do within national institutions, and they have also at certain times helped to
undermine a settlement. Local and regional actors, including mayors and other
community-based leaders, have not been part of the ruling coalition in the three
settlements identified, or have played a marginal role. They have not forged stable
alliances with the national political elite, and have encountered resistance to the
projects they desire to roll out, or to their efforts to modify investment priorities that
come from the capital city, Lima. The power of these sub-national elites lies in their
protest capacity, rather than their ability to influence the prior definition of state
priorities. This scenario is exacerbated by the fractured character of competitive
politics, meaning local leaders have few party channels through which to express
voice, allowing Lima-based technocrats operating in the state to define institutional
arrangements.
The lack of a unified nation and strong ruling coalition is associated with Peru´s loss of
major southern territory, rich in these nitrates, to neighbouring Chile in the War of the
Pacific (1879-83). It was in the wake of the crisis following this war that Peru attained
the first semblance of a stable order: the ‘Aristocratic Republic’ (1895-1919). This
period was characterised by a dominant oligarchy with a liberal economic orientation
and elected civilian governments, although with highly restricted suffrage and
personalist elite parties. In this period, we see an expansion and diversification of
exports, including oil, copper and silver, with significant presence of foreign investors,
especially from Britain, Germany and the United States.
In 1919, the Aristocratic Republic gave way to a long period of authoritarian rule under
President Augusto Leguía (1919-30). Here there were important efforts to strengthen
the state bureaucracy, including the creation of the Central Bank and the Bank of
Agricultural Credit, and the construction of large irrigation and transportation
infrastructure, mainly on the coast. Leguía also gave legal recognition to indigenous
communities in the constitution of 1920, and created a central government agency for
Indigenous affairs (the Dirección de Asuntos Indigenas). However, the land-based
oligarchy retained enormous holding power over the state and continued to control
large expanses of national territory. Hence, despite its pro-Indigenous discourse, this
administration adopted laws that forced thousands of indigenous men into mandatory
unpaid labour in road building, while semi-feudal working conditions under large
landowners in the highlands persisted.4
4
The Law of Highway Conscription, in 1920, mandated that all men ages 18 to 60 were
required to do unpaid roadwork for a certain number of days per year. Only a few could buy
their way out of this obligation (Contreras and Cueto, 2009).
This regime also accelerated Peru´s opening to foreign capital and control. Leguía
incurred huge debts to US banks to cover the costs of his public works, and engaged
US advisors in strategic areas, while allowing widespread corruption to persist. British
owners of the Peruvian Corporation were given control over the railroads in perpetuity.
The Great Depression of 1929, however, affected the economy significantly. Workers
and emerging urban middle classes were hit hardest by the increased cost of living and
a scarcity of basic goods, leading to an increase in labour protests. In 1930, Leguía
was forced to resign by a military coalition led by Commander Luis Sánchez Cerro,
who subsequently won election to the presidency in 1931 by a narrow margin that was
challenged by the main opposition party, APRA.
During its first 100 years as an independent nation, therefore, Peru had an economy
that was primarily liberal in orientation and, after recovery from the War of the Pacific,
was oriented towards a variety of primary commodity exports. National power was
largely in the hands of a coastal oligarchy, supported through a prevailing consensus
with highland landowners, or gamonales, and acting as intermediaries for foreign
capital (Burga and Flores Galindo, 1979; Klaren, 2004). Large sectors of the population
continued to be excluded from full civil rights, as well as from the benefits of export
booms, including the indigenous people and expanding urban working classes.
Due to the expansion of cities, from the 1930s onward Peru saw the expansion of
modern trade unions and of two mass-based political parties that operated more or less
clandestinely: the American Popular Revolutionary Alliance (APRA) and the Socialist
Party. As the political and economic power of the United States expanded significantly
in Latin America after the 1930s, both parties were critical of US imperialism and of the
presence of foreign corporations operating largely as enclaves in Peru. However, the
APRA would eventually ally with a sector of the economic elite and US interests in the
context of the Cold War, while the Socialist Party would become the pro-Soviet
Communist Party after the death of its founder, José Carlos Mariátegui.
During the Depression years, the international context was less favourable for large-
scale foreign investment in Peru. The contraction of external demand led governments
to offer greater impulse to national industry, in the context of expanding middle classes
and an internal market, and expansion of public services such as health and education
(Contreras and Cueto, 2009; Thorp and Bertram, 2013). In this period, small and
medium-sized mining companies with national capital began to develop more projects.
However, progress towards economic diversification was limited, and foreign capitalists
remained in control of large-scale mineral operations. Mass-based politics were also
largely repressed or controlled, except for a brief ‘democratic spring’ (1945-48), in
which a civilian president was elected in alliance with the APRA, but quickly deposed
by a military coup and a new coalition, led by General Manuel Odría, that gave strong
emphasis to foreign investment, especially in mining (Portocarrero, 1983).
By the end of the 1950s, however, the elite consensus for economic liberalism with
foreign domination of leading export sectors began to face greater challenges. The
APRA and the abovementioned Communist Party would be joined by other nationalist
and reform-oriented parties, and by more radical Left groups and guerrilla movements
inspired by increasing peasant demands for land reform, as well as by the Cuban
revolution and other Third World experiences. The 1963 election of Fernando Belaunde
of the moderate Acción Popular (AP) party appeared to signal a new political
realignment in favour of democratic reform and economic modernisation within a
capitalist economy. However, this promise failed in the face of strong opposition from a
pragmatic alliance between right wing, pro-oligarchic forces grouped in the Union
Nacional Odriista (UNO)5 and the APRA party leadership in Congress. By exercising
veto power over public spending, the APRA-UNO alliance tied the executive´s hands.
Meanwhile, peasant organisations impatient with the slow pace of land reform began to
forcibly take over lands in the Andean highlands, with support from leftist guerillas, and
the army was sent to brutally repress them (Klarén, 2004).
In a global context marked by increasing demand for energy and the creation of the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Peru´s oil reserves
remained in the hands of US corporations, and became the object of considerable
popular demand for more national control. Belaunde´s modernising project included an
historical agreement to take back control of the country´s northern oil fields from the
US-owned International Petroleum Company (IPC), known as ‘The Act of Talara’,
which was signed in 1968. However, the lack of transparency in negotiating the deal
became the breaking point for this administration. In 1968, a group within the military
led by General Juan Velasco Alvarado distanced itself from oligarchic interests and
took power into its own hands, installing the Revolutionary Government of the Armed
Forces (Stepan, 1978; Collier, 1979).
Although this section covers a very long period of time, from 1895 to 1968, we have
opted to consider it as one overall political settlement; in terms of the prolonged
economic and especially political power of the landed oligarchy, its hold on key
institutions, and its ability to block social and political reforms. It is also a period in
which the prevailing ideas about development, held by the elites in power, largely
prioritised primary exports, including minerals, and largely in the hands of transnational
firms. Yet we do also point to changes in this period, in terms of the growth of a state
apparatus and emergence of new political and social actors contesting for power,
especially during the sixties, with alternative ideas focusing on strengthening internal
markets and greater national control over key exports sectors. Such actors would
become dominant after 1968.
5
The UNO was a party created by former dictator Manuel Odría (President 1948-56) and linked
to sugar and cotton barons. Its alliance with APRA allowed for an opposition majority against
Belaunde from 1963 to 1968 (Manrique, 2009).
Ruling out elections and political parties, they proposed instead a corporatist model of
political inclusion with organised participation along class lines, involving peasant
communities, trade unions, progressive Catholics and former members of the APRA
and the Marxist left who had been excluded from national politics. As various authors
have pointed out, the GFRA eliminated the landed oligarchy as a political force,
reduced the political and economic weight of foreign capital, and made enormous
efforts to strengthen the state apparatus as well as its role in the economy (McClintock
and Lowenthal, 1983; Cotler, 1995; Sanborn, 1991). Mining, hydrocarbons and other
productive sectors were nationalised; import-substitution industrialisation (ISI) policies
were pursued by encouraging domestic banking and industrial groups to expand their
presence in the economy while restricting foreign ownership; and Peru sought
leadership in diverse Third World and non-aligned fora.
The global context for this ‘Peruvian experiment’ was initially favourable, given the rise
of other progressive and radical regimes in the region and the emergence of numerous
South–South efforts to empower developing country commodity exporters. Peru was
active in OPEC in the 1960s, and was a co-founder of the Intergovernmental Council of
Copper Exporting Countries (CIPEC), along with Zambia, Zaire and Chile (Hinfelaar
and Achberger, 2017). As with other countries in this study,6 the Cold War and the
global flow of ‘petrodollars’ gave Peru bargaining power vis-à-vis international financial
institutions, and the banks made large loans against projected oil revenues, despite the
authoritarian nature of the regime (Stallings, 1992; Guasti, 1985).
In 1975, an internal coup replaced Velasco with the more conservative General
Francisco Morales Bermudez, and harsher repression of labour and popular protests
ensued. Important social actors who were considered part of the political settlement
under Velasco were eventually excluded by the generals under the new ruling junta
6
See Hinfelaar and Achberger (2017); and Abdulai (2017).
10
(Sulmont, 1980). Strikes and protests in opposition to the junta culminated in a major
national strike in July 1977 and the decision by the military to retreat from power
(Sanborn, 1991). This retreat was negotiated from the top down, between the generals,
leaders of APRA, and moderate right-wing parties. Although the Peruvian state
emerged from this period larger in scope and less dependent on the United States and
other foreign powers, it was also deeply in debt, and as a result the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) and Peru´s numerous creditors would continue gaining power
over the country throughout the 1970s and 1980s (Stallings, 1992).
The political legacy of the military regime was a shift towards the Left in the political
spectrum, with a renovation of the APRA as a centrist force and the emergence of a
host of new Marxist parties. Having failed to establish a stable form of authoritarian
rule, however, the military opted to initiate a process of transition to democracy. This
included an elected constituent assembly, in which leftist parties held nearly a third of
the seats, which in turn produced a new constitution in 1979. The constitution reflected
considerable agreement among military and civilian elites in favour of a stronger state
and executive branch than in the 1960s, but also contained a broader array of rights
and freedoms than the military desired.
In 1980, former President Fernando Belaunde and his Acción Popular (AP) party were
elected back into power, forging an alliance with the more conservative Partido Popular
Cristiano (PPC) to have a majority in congress and share cabinet posts. Yet the
popularity of this centre-right alliance was transitory and plummeted as the economy
slid into a worsening crisis. Continued efforts to impose austerity measures designed
by the IMF and implemented by a group of liberal technocrats produced widespread
protests (Dargent, 2015: 91). Despite their international ties, these technocrats (dubbed
‘Grupo Dynamo’) faced the constant challenge of negotiating with President Belaunde
and the more populist wing of his party. As a result, the fundamentally statist nature of
the national economy remained through the 1980s (ibid.).
Why did the transition to democracy after 1980 not result in a new and stable political
settlement? Part of the answer can be attributed to external economic constraints,
coupled with policy incoherence resulting from internal pressures between neoliberals
and populists (Dargent, 2015). Yet the explanation also lies in the process of political
negotiation that took place as the military withdrew from government. The new
democracy was challenged on one hand by military leaders, who retained an enormous
degree of power and impunity, and on the other by new leftist parties that continued to
denounce ‘bourgeois democracy’ – some of them leaving open the option for armed
struggle until well into the decade. The new regime was also challenged from the start
by the Maoist splinter group, ‘PCP-Shining Path’, insurgents who operated through
force and terror, building power in territories and spaces (such as universities and
public schools) where the central state had long neglected the population (CVR, 2003).
In 1985, the country elected a young reformist president, Alan García of APRA, who
proposed to lead Peru out of crisis, restore peace, and construct a ‘more social form of
11
democracy’ with support from European socialists and other allies (Sanborn, 1991).
The Marxist United Left front was the second most powerful political force in the
country by this time and leaders of the two parties coincided on various policy goals.
García´s initial strategy was to defy the international banks, with a moratorium on debt
repayments, while negotiating with a handful of top business leaders for an economic
recovery plan that involved their commitment to new investments in the country. When
these leaders did not respond as expected, he turned on them and attempted to
nationalise the private banks, provoking a schism in his own party and a new neoliberal
protest movement (Movimiento Libertad) led by writer Mario Vargas Llosa and joined
by some business leaders and young urban professionals. In this period, foreign
investment fell to minimal levels, the country entered a dual spiral of political violence
and hyper-inflation, and Peru became largely isolated from the global financial system.
Throughout the 1980s, the PCP-Shining Path gained presence in remote areas of the
Peruvian Andes and Amazon, where poverty was widespread, public services and
infrastructure were minimal and the state had little presence or authority. Through a
combination of political mobilising, coercion and terror, the group gained control in
large parts of the country, and by 1990 much of the country was under states of
emergency, with restricted civil liberties and shared political-military commandos.
In order to pursue structural adjustment and combat the PCP-Shining Path more
aggressively, and without any signification opposition, Fujimori opted to forge an
authoritarian coalition with military officers and key leaders of private business, staging
a ‘self-coup’ in 1992 that included temporarily shutting down congress, intervening in
the judiciary, and censoring the major media. These measures were accepted by a
majority of Peruvians living in a context of political violence and extreme economic
instability.
Pressure from the Organization of American States (OAS) and international human
rights organisations led Fujimori to maintain spaces of political competition, however,
12
The dramatic realignment instigated by Fujimori led to what we consider a new political
settlement in Peru, in which powerful elites coalesced around pro-market economics
and the radical reopening of the economy to international competition. Two-and-a-half
decades later, there are still few political contenders who question the decision to
return the most productive sectors of the economy to private hands, and virtually none
with real power that propose reestablishing state-owned enterprises in mining or other
key export sectors.
Another important characteristic of the settlement that emerged in the 1990s is the
centrality and political power of technocrats, who acted as ideologues and agenda
setters as they drafted and implemented public policy. Although both the military and
prior civilian governments had employed technical advisors, they tended to have
diverse partisan loyalties, and ultimately it was the generals or the politicians who
remained at the forefront of policymaking. Success with stabilisation in the 1990s,
however, allowed technocrats without strong party ties to expand their influence in
cabinet-level positions (Wise, 2003; Abusada et al., 2000) and to ‘[launch] more
ambitious market reforms that transformed the state and structure of the economy’
(Dargent, 2015: 98). Concentrated in the Ministry of the Presidency and the Ministry of
Economy and Finance, they tended to come from a small group of private universities,
and were supported by a network of new thinktanks and consulting firms (Wise, 2003:
238-39), created by private business interests with funding from the World Bank and
USAID (Dargent, 2015: 139).
7
The Fujimori regime after 1992 has been called ‘competitive authoritarianism’, because
elections were held without major fraud and there were spaces for political opposition in the new
congress, local governments, and a sector of the media (Levitsky and Way, 2010). The 1993
constitution remained in place by democratically elected governments after 2000.
13
and a lack of strong ideological leadership. This power vacuum served to further
empower the new class of technocrats, who ironically shared a hostility to the state with
administrative knowledge thereof (Vergara and Encinas, 2016). Hence we argue that
the return to democracy did not represent a totally new political settlement.
In this period, the power of private corporations – notably those related to extractive
industries, telecommunications and banking – has been exhibited not only at the level
of national policy, but across society. During the 2000s, business leadership
associations and lobbies continued to be outspoken in their demands on government,
and for the most part in their support for continuing with an economically liberal policy
direction with priority placed on primary commodity exports. Successive Peruvian
governments have strongly encouraged the movement towards corporate social
responsibility (CSR) and have given incentives to private companies to provide
essential public goods and services in their areas of operation (Sanborn, 2008). This
has been questioned by critics, who point to the risks of giving private actors greater
responsibilities for public functions and potentially undermining, rather than reinforcing,
government capacity (Perla, 2012; Arellano-Yanguas, 2011).
14
the leading sector for much of this history. Peru is one of the world´s leading mineral
producers, with major deposits in copper, gold, silver, zinc and lead, as well as other
resources. Since 1960, mining products have accounted for over half of total export
value and up to a quarter of total tax revenues (see Appendix I). For most of this
history, large-scale mining operations have been privately owned and dominated by
foreign capital, with the exception of two decades under state-owned enterprises, in the
1970s and 1980s.
In this section, we shift from an analysis of Peru´s overall history of political settlements
and change, to a discussion of the changing nature of mineral governance and
extraction in each of these periods. The objective is to discuss how or to what extent
the political settlements shape the governance of mining, and how this in turn shapes
the prospects for future settlements.
15
After a period of rapid growth of mineral production between 1895 and 1929, the
bonanza came to a halt with the Great Depression (Seminario, 2014). However,
production by foreign mining firms remained important to the country, going from 97
percent of total mineral exports in 1929 to 79 percent in 1939 (Thorp and Bertram,
2013). During this period, domestic capitalists began to exploit other minerals that were
gaining in importance over copper: first gold and then lead and zinc. Along with
commercial fishing and cotton production, this primarily medium-scale mining helped to
boost economic recovery. The resurgence of domestically-owned mining was
supported by the state through a series of measures, including preferential access for
Peruvians to non-concessional gold deposits (until 1936), the creation of a national
Mining Bank in 1941 to provide credit to Peruvian miners, and the introduction of price
and import controls (Dore, 1986; Orrego 2012). During this period, Peru also saw an
initial phase of expansion in artisanal gold mining along riverbanks in Cuzco, Puno and
Madre de Dios (Pachas, 2012).
During the brief democratic opening (1945-48), the government also introduced a new
framework for labour rights, including recognition of trade unions and more worker-
favourable procedures for dismissal and retirement, which helped to strengthen the
mineworkers’ confederation, among other labour groups (Kruijt and Vellinga, 1983: 72-
75). However, by the 1950s the expansion of domestically-owned mines was limited by
the tendency of the large American firms to accumulate and retain the largest mineral
deposits and vast expanses of land. While Peruvian firms’ finances began to improve
again in the 1940s, unfavourable price conditions for lead and zinc – the minerals most
exploited by Peruvian investors –would also hold back national industry.
Under the new Mining Code of 1950, two major contracts for open-pit projects were
signed with US-owned companies. The first, with Marcona Mining Company (MMC),
was signed in 1952 to launch the development of an iron ore mine on the southern
coast. The second, with Southern Peru Copper Corporation (SPCC), was signed in
1954 to enable exploitation of a copper deposit further south, in Tacna (Toquepala).
Both deals led to a new mining boom, with increased exports and significant benefits to
foreign capital. By 1960, the three largest US-owned companies accounted for 73
percent of total mineral production (Thorp and Bertram, 2013). However, some
medium-sized Peruvian mining companies also emerged in this period, notably Arias-
Ballón, the Benavides Group and Picasso (Becker, 1983).
16
As mentioned in Section II, in the late 1950s, social mobilisation grew stronger around
demands for agrarian reform and national sovereignty over natural resources. Land
possession by mining companies in the central highlands was a primary focus for
protest. The civilian government of Manuel Prado, who governed in a widely criticised
alliance with the banned APRA party (the so-called ‘Convivencia’), responded timidly,
creating an Institute for Land Reform and Colonisation, which focused on studies
aimed at laying the groundwork for future reform. This government also promoted the
creation of a steel plant in the port of Chimbote on the northern coast, with the idea of
industrialising production, and launched the beginning of the commercial fishmeal
industry in the same area. The most lucrative mining projects, however, remained in
foreign hands, and tax rates on mining remained around 20 percent, which nationalist
forces considered too low (Contreras and Cueto, 2009).
Under the more reformist government of Fernando Belaúnde, tax rates on mining were
increased to 48 percent, generating opposition from influential mining interests claiming
that the existing mining code guaranteed them tax stability (Hunt, 2011). At the same
time, official commissions were created in parliament to investigate alleged excess
profit repatriation by MMC and SPCC. These measures reflected government efforts to
gain greater control over foreign capital.
During this period, there was another major expansion of mining production, led by the
large-scale operations of SPCC (40 percent of total mineral production), MMC (22
percent) and the expansion of the CPMC operations (27 percent) (Thorp and Bertram,
2013). Yet, despite increased world copper prices, during the 1960s, there were no
further major investments in the sector, apparently due to caution on the part of
companies that held deposits in reserve in hopes that domestic political conditions
would improve (íbid). Meanwhile, small-scale gold extraction in the Amazon continued
to grow in this period, with greater state support since 1950 in terms of concessions
and of finance through the Mining Bank (Pachas, 2012; Torres, 2013).
In 1969, the Junta negotiated with SPCC for a major new copper project (Cuajone),
obtaining more favourable tax, trading and foreign exchange arrangements than the
state had previously enjoyed. The company also returned the exploitation rights over a
deposit between Cuajone and Toquepala (Quellaveco) that the government wanted to
exploit to expand domestic production (Becker, 1983; interview 09, 2015). However,
negotiations failed with the other two US mining companies, ending in the
17
nationalisations of the huge CPMC in 1974 and of MMC in 1975.8 During the 1970s,
the participation of some national investors in the mining sector did increase, as
foreigners transferred shares to Peruvians to avoid being expropriated (Torres, 2013),
but this was primarily in small and medium-sized mining operations, while the state
remained the major large-scale operator (Becker, 1983, Glave and Kuramoto, 2007).
The military regime also brought important changes in mining governance, including
the creation of the first Ministry of Mining and Energy in 1969 and a new Law of Mining
in 1970, which reestablished the leading role of the state in production (Becker, 1983;
Guasti, 1985). Two large state-owned enterprises, CENTROMIN and HIERRO PERU,
were created by the nationalisation of CPMC and MMC, respectively. CENTROMIN
would own and operate the seven mines that had belonged to CPMC, as well as its
concentration plants, foundry and refinery based in La Oroya. Both would later
participate in a third project, Minera Asociada Tintaya (Interview 02, 2015; Pasco-Font.
2000). MINERO PERU was also created to operate a zinc refinery, the Cerro Verde
copper mine, and the still-to-be-exploited mines of Quellaveco and Antamina, while
MINPECO was created as the state-owned minerals trader.
Although 1980 brought a change in political regime, governance of the mining sector
did not change dramatically in the subsequent decade. A new General Mining Law was
passed in 1981, with the goal of promoting more benefits for private companies and
eradicating the government monopoly over the metals trade. This was not enough to
revive private investment, however, and major operations remained largely under the
control of state-owned enterprises. Ideologically, President Belaunde and his finance
minister, Manuel Ulloa, were favourable to privatisation of this sector, but their party
followers did not necessarily share that agenda. Strong resistance from public
employees’ and mineworkers’ unions, as well as the Marxist Left parties, also made it
8
Apparently, the military leaders initially wanted a joint venture with CPMC and a part of the
stock that company held in SPCC, which was refused. The nationalisation was then presented
as a political victory in a famous speech by General Fernandez Maldonado. (Becker, 1983;
Sánchez Albavera, 1981).
18
politically risky to attempt such a move, and within a few years that government would
be mired in crisis and replaced by leaders with no desire to privatise (Interviews 07, 08
and 09, 2015).
During the 1980s, mining production and exports decreased, due to a combination of
low world prices and the anti-export bias of prevailing economic policies. Mining
investment was also affected directly by internal armed conflict initiated by the PCP-
Shining Path in the 1980s, with millions of dollars in losses due to sabotage and work
stoppages, leading in some cases to the full militarisation of mining camps and
operations (Comisión de la Verdad y Reconciliación 2003). The decade ended in
economic and political disaster for the country as a whole, with increasing external
debt, unprecedented inflation and public finances nearly bankrupt. In the mining sector,
new explorations for large-scale deposits were virtually halted and state-run
companies, which continued to account for 60 percent of total mining production in the
1980s, operated under the burden of generating foreign exchange for other public
expenditures, and were also subject to considerable internal corruption (Fitzgerald,
1979; Glave and Kuramoto, 2007).
The reform of the mining sector drew collaboration from experienced professionals
within the state-owned mining enterprises, as well as from some private sector miners
who assumed public functions (Interviews 02 and 07, 2015). At the outset, government
officials also worked to resolve outstanding conflicts between private companies and
the state (Interviews 08 and 09, 2015). Measures were also taken to guarantee tax and
19
exchange rate stability and offer attractive tax incentives (Muñoz and Vega 2000).
Mineral commercialisation was also liberalised and the concession system simplified
(Interviews 02, 06 and 08, 2015). These measures, encouraged by World Bank
advisors and domestic experts, were considered necessary to attract new investors to
what was still a high-risk country.
Policymakers in this period had reduced space for negotiation with investors around
purchase prices, given the risk involved and the poor shape of some of the existing
assets, which would require considerable new investment to modernise. From 1991 to
2000, the privatisation of mining operations generated an estimated US$ 1.2 billion in
direct income for the state (Bury, 2011; Ruiz Caro 2002: 28). And while mineral
exploration activities doubled worldwide in the 1990s, they multiplied by 20 in Peru in
this period (Poveda, 2007). This involved expansion not only in areas with existing
mining operations, in the central and southern highlands, but also into parts of the
country where people were not accustomed to large-scale mining, including areas with
fragile ecosystems or thriving agricultural interests. According to the Geological, Mining
and Metallurgical Institute – INGEMMET, a government agency – the total land area
authorised for the granting of concession rights grew from 7.8 percent of national
territory in 1991 to 12 percent in 1999. Transnational capital also renewed its
predominance in the mining sector in the 1990s, alone or in partnership with national
firms (Aste, 1997; Bebbington and Hinojosa, 2011). By 2000, 11 of the world´s 20
major transnational mining companies were operating in Peru (Bury, 2011).
Trade unions and professional associations saw their political and economic power
recede significantly under neoliberalism, while business and business interests
associations – the National Confederation of Private Business Institutions (CONFIEP),
the National Society of Mining, Oil and Energy (SNMPE) and, to a lesser extent, the
National Exporters’ Association (ADEX) – gained in prestige and access to power. In
the mining sector, transnational firms held most of the large new mining projects, such
as Antamina (one of the 10 largest copper mines in the world), while some national
industry leaders also had considerable political power.
In this period, World Bank and IMF staff also encouraged Peruvian policymakers to
establish new environmental and social legislation that could more effectively prevent
or reduce the negative impacts left behind by past extractive activity (Szablowski, 2002;
Arellano-Yanguas, 2011). Instead of creating a separate authority for oversight of
environmental standards in this and other industries, however, policymakers opted to
incorporate enforcement of environmental norms into each line ministry. For example,
an environmental office was established for the first time within the Ministry of Mines in
1992 (the General Direction of Environmental Issues in Mining – DGAAM). This
produced an apparent conflict of interest in regard to mining, as the Ministry of Energy
and Mines was charged both with promoting new investment, and implementing
regulatory standards often resisted by the companies that invested (Charpentier and
Hidalgo, 1999, World Bank, 2005).
20
Peru also introduced the requirement for investors to present an environmental impact
assessment (EIA) for new projects during this period, as well as an environmental
adjustment and management plan (PAMA) to manage legacies of past operations.
However, testimonies from this period suggest that, in practice, the environmental
norms established in the 1990s were driven by international pressures, but, as with
other such policy innovations (including ILO 169), these were not priorities of the elites
within Peru’s existing political settlement, and were not implemented with the kind of
institutional and political support necessary to give them teeth. Furthermore, in the
1990s, environmental conflicts around mining were not as salient as they would
become in the next decade, as more mining investments moved into the operation
stage.
In terms of ASM, the Fujimori administration did not adopt any new legislation or policy
initiatives in the first half of the 1990s. From 1995 to 2000, however, the government
took limited steps to formalise and regulate the expansion of ASM in the Amazon,
including the first Registry of Artisanal Miners. However, the overall liberalisation of the
mineral trade and liquidation of the state-run Mining Bank, in a context of favourable
international gold prices, not only contributed to the largest expansion of this sector to
that date, but also to a proliferation of informal producers and the atomisation of gold
traders operating parallel to the state (Cano, 2015).
C.2 Stage II: Continuity and change in mining governance in the 21st century
The return to democracy in 2001 was followed by a new bonanza period in global
mineral prices, and the entry into the production stage of several new large-scale
mining operations (Glave and Kuramoto, 2007; Portocarrero, Sanborn y Camacho,
2007). From 2002 to 2012, total mineral exports increased in value from US$3.2 billion
to US$27.4 billion, accounting for over half of total Peruvian exports. Mining
concessions also continued to expand nationwide after 2000. By 2015, around 14.2
percent of national territory had been titled for mining rights or mining rights in process,
although a far smaller share –just 1.22 percent – had been authorised for mining
activity (MINEM, 2016).9 From 2005 onward, this boom in extractive activity began to
generate considerable net profits for investors, and hence enormous tax revenues. At
its peak in 2007, the mining industry accounted for a third of all profits generated, a
quarter of all direct taxes and half of all income taxes paid in the country (Zegarra,
2014).
In this period, ASM also gained in numbers of miners and political influence, becoming
funders, powerbrokers and even candidates in subnational elections but – in contrast
with the Bolivian case – without relatively stable pacts with the national level and
political parties. They also provided funding to national-level politicians and parties who
9
The share of national territory that remained off-limits for mining activity in 2015, due to various
factors, including creation of national parks and protected nature areas as well as urban zoning,
was estimated at 65 percent. The granting of mining rights alone does not authorize holders to
engage in active mineral exploration, mine construction, or extraction, all of which require
numerous steps, from negotiating purchase or lease of surface lands, to obtaining approval of
EIAs – procedures that can take years to complete (MINEM 2016).
21
promised to defend their interests. Initially, this sector was also allied with international
aid organisations, including the World Bank, that saw the formalisation of this activity
as a route to inclusion (Mosquera 2006; World Bank2004). With the support of regional
and local politicians, the first legal framework to formalise small-scale miners was
enacted in 2002. However, the intensity of the ‘gold fever’ after 2005, induced by
booming prices, undermined attempts by the state to establish order and encourage
more sustainable practices. With political decentralisation, the authorisation and
regulation of ASM was transferred to regional governments, some of which were run by
prominent small and medium-scale miners, and lacked either the technical capacity or
political motivation to enforce high environmental and social standards (Cano, 2015).
After 2006, central government policies surrounding ASM took a sharp turn towards an
emphasis on contention and repression (Valencia, 2014; Medina, 2014). This change
coincided with the negotiation of a Free Trade Agreement with the US, under which
Peru committed to the creation of a new Ministry of the Environment (MINAM) that
received significant support from the US, West Germany, Japan and other international
donors, as well as strong pressures from international and local conservationists to do
something about the ‘ecological catastrophe’ being created by artisanal miners,
especially in parts of the Amazon. Increases in scale and intensification of extraction
methods employed in ASM certainly contributed to this reaction, as well as an
association of the sector with money laundering and other illegal activities (Cano,
2015). For its part, MINAM was ‘colonised’ by professionals from environmental NGOs
and movements who formed part of global networks in which eradication of this
unregulated, small-scale activity was a high priority. They thus gave this task new
prominence, but with a focus on suppression rather than formalisation (ibid.).
The ASM also created tensions in some areas with larger, formal sector mining
companies. In some regions there were overlapping claims for land and minerals
between larger firms and artisanal miners, who were also community leaders and
authorities. The emphasis on containing ASM is thus framed as favouring the claims of
the larger firms. Although Ollanta Humala´s Nationalist Party received political support
and alleged campaign donations from ASM, under that administration the militarisation
of this effort and intensification of interdiction actions increased, while efforts at
formalisation were largely abandoned (Cano, 2015).
An additional key theme of this period is that the return to democracy came with a
significant increase in social conflicts related to mining activity. These involved a variety
of demands, including respect for indigenous rights, claims related to environmental
and social impacts, disputes over land and water resources, and demands for greater
distribution of the tax revenues and other economic benefits obtained. These conflicts
led Peru´s governments to introduce reforms aimed at reducing tension or responding
to underlying demands associated with mining expansion. Although a detailed analysis
22
of these policy changes and reforms is beyond the scope of this paper, what follows is
a summary of the major reforms.10
Meanwhile, beginning under the Toledo administration (2001–06), there was increased
pressure for political and fiscal decentralisation. Due to lobbying by local government
authorities and some industry leaders, congress expanded the total amount of tax
revenues from mining to be transferred to subnational government coffers. As in the
case of Ghana, where 10 percent11 of mining tax revenue is transferred to subnational
authorities (Abdulai, 2017), in Peru the ‘mining canon’ was established in 2001 to
distribute a full 50 percent of all the income tax revenues captured by the central
government from mining to subnational governments, to be used for public investment
in the regions and districts where the mining operations take place.12 This has meant
that large sums of money were flowing to some regional and municipal governments,
which were often unprepared to manage them effectively and transparently, while
others with high levels of poverty and basic needs received very little. According to
most analysts, in fact, this tax distribution scheme created more tension than it
10
For more details on these measures, see Sanborn and Chonn (2015); Sanborn and Paredes
(2015).
11
Note that the Office of Administration of Stool Lands (OASL), which oversees this distribution,
is allowed to retain 10 percent of it for its own costs, so 9 percent is actually transferred to
subnational authorities.
12
Since 2003, the formula for canon distribution provides 25 percent to the regional government
where the operation is based, 25 percent to the provincial municipality and related districts, 20
percent to the producer district and 40 percent to all other municipalities in the region (Sanborn
and Dammert, 2013).
23
Within Latin America, however, Peru has been a leader in the adoption of revenue
transparency measures in the extractive industries. Considerable information about
concessions, contracts and environmental impact assessments (EIAs) are available on
government websites, and a diversity of watchdog NGOs focus on large mining
companies, trying to bridge the communications gap. Also beginning under the Toledo
administration, Peru also signed on to be a member of the Extractive Industries
Transparency Initiative (EITI), and in 2011 it became the first country in the Americas to
be deemed compliant with the standards of this voluntary reporting programme. Among
the four countries in this study, Peru was the third to join EITI (after Zambia and
Ghana); Bolivia has not yet joined. Under the EITI, a majority of large mining and oil
companies in Peru agreed to open their books to an independent evaluation and
publish the amounts that they pay in taxes to the state.
2. Environmental regulation
Although Peru adopted modern environmental legislation for the mining sector in the
1990s, grassroots community organisers and pressure from mainstream international
actors motivated the government to prioritise these issues more fully in the 21st
century. The creation of MINAM in 2008 occurred in the context of increased demands
from IFIs as a condition for approving energy projects, and of the negotiation of the
Free Trade Agreement between Peru and the United States (Barandarián Gomez,
2008).
Within MINAM, an important change for the industry was the establishment of the
regulatory agencies with authority across all sectors, such as the Organism for
Environmental Evaluation and Fiscalisation (OEFA) charged with monitoring
environmental performance and SENACE, charged with reviewing and approving EIAs.
The latter was established in the wake of violent protests against the Conga mining
project in Cajamarca, in which citizen mobilisations together with national and
international NGOs and even other public officials, questioned the legitimacy of the EIA
that had been approved for the project to be implemented (Lanegra, 2015). This led to
a proposed transfer in 2015 of all environmental functions from line ministries to the
new agency, a notable change from the model of sectorial environmental authorities
settled during the 1990s.
13
The main regions dependent on mining are Moquegua (40 percent of regional GDP), Tacna
(34 percent), Pasco (27 percent), Ancash (26 percent) and Arequipa (24 percent) (McKinsey,
2013).
24
slow investment in a period of economic downturn and will create more bureaucratic
burden (La Republica, 2012). Near the end of its term, in fact, the Humala
administration passed a series of decrees curtailing the ability of environmental
authorities to sanction violations, while a group of mining companies went to court to
resist paying a mandatory corporate contribution to the agency. 14 Hence the
enforcement of rules regarding regulation of the environmental impacts of large-scale
mining and hydrocarbon operations has remained a challenge for public authorities
(Pulgar Vidal, 2008; De Echave and Diez, 2013).
As we have written elsewhere, this has represented an important step forward for
indigenous rights in Peru, as for the first time in history, the state has been required to
identify who its indigenous peoples are, and to communicate with and consult
indigenous peoples in transparent and culturally appropriate processes. At the same
time, resistance to applying the Law of Prior Consultation to decisions related to mining
activity, on the part of both the central government and private investors, contributed to
the stalling of implementation of this right in the Andean highlands – where most
Quechua and Aymara peoples live – until late 2015 (Sanborn, Hurtadoand Ramirez,
2016). When the first cases of consultation about mining began, the staff of the Ministry
of Energy and Mines lacked the intercultural capabilities to conduct these processes in
an appropriate way, while the Vice Ministry for Intercultural Affairs lacked the authority
14
See for example: http://servindi.org/actualidad/135812 and
http://larepublica.pe/impresa/economia/16893-aporte-por-regulacion-oefa-gana-nuevo-proceso-
minera and
http://www.actualidadambiental.pe/?p=31113
15
In 2009, after months of strikes and protests by native Amazonian peoples over not being
consulted on new legislation related to forestry and extractive investments, a confrontation
broke out in the city of Bagua, in the Amazonas region, when police tried to forcibly disperse a
59-day roadblock. In what is known as the ‘Baguazo’, 23 police officers and 10 civilians were
killed and hundreds wounded (Amnesty International, 2014; Barrera-Hernández, 2009). This
violence spurred Humala to approve the implementation of ILO 169 as one of his first actions in
office.
25
In summary, when comparing mining governance in the 1990s and after 2000, we see
continuity in the promotion of private investment, the concentration of power and
decision-making in the executive, and the influence of technocrats with global ties
(Arellano-Yanguas, 2016: 180). There has been change, however, in the emergence of
a wider variety of actors with influence on policy debates, promoting norms and
institutions related to decentralisation, revenue transparency and redistribution,
environmental oversight and indigenous and rural community rights. In some cases,
these changes have been the result of social mobilisation and violent protest, while in
others they have come from engagement with international agencies whose agendas
combine an uneasy balance of commitments to growth, private investment and socio-
political inclusion, including the US government (in the context of negotiating the FTA)
as well as the World Bank/IFC. However, neither pressure from outside nor from within
has produced a significant shift in the development paradigm, towards a more
significant diversification of production with expansion of opportunities to larger
numbers of citizens and a more effective commitment to environmental sustainability.
The military regime of 1968-80 tried to radically alter state capacity by achieving
autonomy from oligarchic landowners and foreign interests, including US corporations.
However, the junta failed to achieve its stated development goals, including building a
more dynamic and national mining sector to channel the rents obtained into an
industrialisation programme.
A context of multiple crises throughout the 1980s created political and ideological
space for the authoritarian restructuring of the 1990s, with support from conservative
sectors of the armed forces and private business. The liberal reforms of this period
26
reduced the debt burden, and increased state capacity in areas fundamental to
promoting private investment and market-led growth, without returning to dependency
on any one specific country or narrow set of corporations. They did not, however,
promote state autonomy from private capital per se. While they set the basis for
institutional modernisation of those agencies involved with macro-economic stability,
they did not do the same for the improvement of state capacity for longer-term planning
and human development.
Despite the political salience of mining in each electoral process since 2001, no
political party has constructed and sustained a clear position on the role of this sector
in the broader economy and society. There are also no national parties with significant
power that defend indigenous peoples’ rights to be consulted about development
policies and plans in their territories, even though most mining and hydrocarbon
investments are in the Andes and the Amazon, respectively. And while some political
candidates have toyed with the formalisation and inclusion of small-scale miners in a
national development agenda, as of 2016 this had not become a significant concern of
the governing coalition or parties to the dominant settlement.
In 21st century Peru, however, it is important to avoid treating the ‘mining sector’ as a
unitary actor. Most of the leading transnationals in this industry are present in the
country, including at least 16 of the 23 firms participating in the International Council on
Mining and Minerals (ICMM), an industry association oriented towards improving
standards in the industry and promoting sustainable development.16 Most of the home
offices of ICMM firms have declared support for transparency and consultation
measures. However, other longstanding foreign and domestic mining companies
operating in this country have strongly resisted key reforms, and their voices tend to
prevail within the main industry guild, the National Society of Mining, Petroleum and
Energy (SNMPE).
While the SNMPE may act as one force when negotiating with incoming governments,
in recent years the power and effectiveness of this guild has come under question from
its larger international members, who criticise the local leadership as being overly
conservative, elitist and clubby and, as such, proving largely ineffective in promoting
16
http://www.icmm.com/en-gb/members/member-companies
27
legitimacy and public support for the mining industry per se (Interviews 02, 07 and 09,
2015). 17 While guild leaders may act in the collective interests of members in the
pursuit of certain policy goals, such as in the initial negotiation with each new political
administration, the executives of the largest firms tend to focus more on their specific
interests and build direct ties to policymakers and local authorities, rather than invest
time and energy in the guild as a whole (Interviews 02 and 09, 2015).
The weight of external actors changed in the 21st century, as the debt burden was
reduced significantly and as China and other non-Western actors moved into the
region. Large-scale mining remains largely in the hands of transnational firms and
depends on international demand. In the last two decades, however, transnational
social movements and NGOs have also played a role in promoting institutional
changes and challenging the power of both firms and government, in alliance with local
actors.
17
‘The National Mining Society is one of the most ineffective, inefficient and unequal
organisational messes in the hemisphere’ said one foreign mining executive based in Peru. ‘If a
mining company really wants to get something done, they sit down with the corresponding
authority directly. If it is a company with more than a billion dollars’ worth of investment, they
can have a direct talk with the minister...’ Furthermore, ‘…there is no clear strategy in their
actions, and the studies they once promoted for the sector have been left behind’ (Interview 09,
2015).
28
Although exports are vital to Peru´s small open economy, continued reliance on non-
renewable natural resource exports makes it vulnerable to international price changes,
which affect the economy as a whole. This became more apparent after 2013, when
declining export income translated into reduced transfer of canon revenues and an
overall slowing of growth to 2.4 percent in 2014 (although it rose back to 3.3 percent in
2015 and was estimated at just under 4 percent for 2016 (BCRP 2016))18.
Along with the risks of increased dependency on global demand for minerals, analysts
critical of the weight of mining in Peru´s economy tend to stress its weak links to growth
in other sectors, and the low levels of direct employment it generates (Schuldt, 2013;
Seminario, 2014; Ghezzi, 2015). This argument has been disputed by government
technocrats and private industry leaders, who argue that mining has a stronger ripple
effect and creates more indirect jobs than critics recognise (SNMPE, 2012; IPE, 2013).
In regard to taxation, total tax revenues quadrupled from 2001 to 2015, largely as a
result of export-led growth. However, policymakers have had little ability or incentive to
expand the country´s overall tax base, relying instead on the revenues generated from
a relatively small number of large firms, with mining contributing up to 25 percent, and
from a general consumption tax (IGV), which represents around 26 percent
(SUNAT2017). Tax revenue as a percentage of GDP has remained around 16 percent
since 2006, below the average rate of 21 percent for Latin America as a whole (World
Bank, 2016).19
As for the use of these revenues, public investment as a percentage of GDP increased
from 2.8 percent in 2002 to 5.8 percent in 2015 (MEF, 2016), and successive elected
governments have invested in expanding access to education and health care,
electricity, running water and sewage.20 Social programmes targeted specifically at the
18
Peru´s growth rate for 2016 was projected at just under 4 percent by Peru´s Central Bank in
January 2017. http://rpp.pe/economia/economia/bcr-crecimiento-de-economia-peruana-en-el-
2016-seria-algo-menor-a-4-noticia-1023476
19
http://www.iadb.org/en/news/news-releases/2015-03-10/revenue-statistics-in-latin-america-
and-the-caribbean,11082.html
20
To review the historical evolution of public spending in these services, see: MEF – Ministry of
Economy and Finance (2016b)
29
poor, including income transfers, were also expanded. Progress has been slower in
improving the quality of these services and their equitable distribution, while social
spending has remained low as a share of GDP in Peru when compared with similar
economies (World Bank, 2016b). 21 Peruvian levels of spending on science and
technology, critical to economic diversification, are also among the lowest in the region,
reinforcing the priority on primary sector development (PRODUCE, 2014; Concytec
2016).
One of the most important successes of the post-2000 focus on growth was a dramatic
reduction in poverty. While 55.6 percent of the population was officially poor in 2005,
based on income measures, this dropped to 21.8 percent by 2015, while the share of
people living in extreme poverty declined from 15.8 percent to 4.1 percent in the same
period (Work Bank, 2016: INEI, 2016). Furthermore, in the last decade Peru has seen
a modest decline in overall income inequality, as the Gini index declined from 0.49 in
2004 to 0.44 in 2014 (World Bank, 2016; Castro, Yamada and Oviedo, 2016).
For the most part, these important reductions in both poverty and inequality can be
attributed to the ‘rising tide’ of overall economic growth, associated with expanding
labour markets and shifts from unpaid family workers into wage employment (Cord et
al., 2015; Inchauste et al., 2012; Castro, Yamada and Oviedo 2016). However, some
evidence suggests that, since 2011, government social policies may have contributed
more significantly to reducing inequality (Castro, Yamada and Oviedo 2016), policies
that also rely heavily on a still narrow tax base. It should be stressed, however, that
Peru remains a very unequal society, with Gini levels twice those of more developed
countries and higher than Chile, the most unequal country in the OECD. This is not
only seen in income levels, but also in the persistent gaps between urban and rural
areas and between diverse regions, and the vulnerability of millions of Peruvians who
have climbed into the middle class, but precariously so. Although one in three
Peruvians had joined the middle class by 2012, according to the World Bank, an
estimated 40 percent are considered to be vulnerable to falling back into poverty as
overall growth levels subside – slightly above the average of 37.8 percent for the region
as a whole (Cord et al., 2015).
The benefits from growth to date have also not overcome the country´s longstanding
geographical disparities. In 2015, 45 percent of rural residents remained poor and
nearly 14 percent still lived in extreme poverty, compared to 14.5 percent and just 1
percent in urban areas, respectively (INEI, 2016). Furthermore, if we use a measure of
multidimensional poverty (MDP), involving diverse indicators related to education,
health, housing and access to vital social services, some 60 percent of the rural
21
For example, investment in education in 2012 represented 2.9 percent of GDP – well below
levels of neighbouring countries with similar dependence on natural resource exports, such as
Chile (4.6 percent of GDP), Argentina (5.1 percent), and Bolivia (6.4 percent) (World Bank,
2016b)
30
population in the Andean highlands remained poor in 2014 (Vasquez, 2016). This
includes areas of intensive, large-scale mining activity.22
It is hard to assess the actual results of the huge revenue flows from the mining tax
canon in producer districts and regions. Several studies conducted in producer areas
argue that there has been limited positive impact on local welfare, especially among
rural communities (see for example, Arellano-Yanguas 2011; Paredes et al., 2013).
Others stress that canon resources have increased the relative importance of public
investment, but also note development gaps between regions (Fort and Paredes,
2015).
Peru also continues to stand out for having some of the highest levels of informality in
the developing world, comprising 70.9 percent of the total labour force and 61 percent
of the non-agricultural labour force, according to official government data (INEI, 2016).
This is partly the historical result of a predominantly primary economy, a weak state,
and a lack of elite commitment to investment in human capital, translating into low
levels of educational achievement and, hence, labour productivity (Loayza, 2007).
As mentioned in Section II, informality was also exacerbated as a result of the rollback
of labour rights and deregulation in the 1990s (Chong, Galdo and Saavedra, 2007).
While informality appears to have declined modestly – around 5 percent – since the
early 2000s, and especially since 2005, it remains very high for what is now a middle-
income country. The National Institute of Statistics and Informatics (INEI) concluded
that the informal sector generated 61 percent of total employment, but just 19 percent
of GDP in 2015 (INEI, 2016). This situation reinforces the relative narrowness of the
country’s tax base, as well as the weakness of its organised labour movement. While
up to 40 percent of the economically active population belonged to a trade union in the
1980s, this declined to 2 percent in the late 1990s and has remained between 4 and 6
percent since 2012 (ILO 2017; Villavicencio, 2015: 344).
The persistence of this situation well into the 21st century also reflects the continuity of
neoliberal ideas among the technocrats in the central government, and their strong
identification with private sector elites. Although candidates may appeal to workers
during electoral periods, promising increases in the legal minimum wage or improved
public sector salaries, no government since 2001 has focused on labour rights once in
power. Successive ministers of economy and finance have been more sympathetic to
the demands of employers’ associations, which regularly call for a further rollback of
labour rights and wage guidelines, claiming that the costs of formalisation are too high,
especially for small businesses. 23 The Ministry of Labour remains one of the least
22
According to Vasquez (2016), using a measure of multidimensional poverty, the five poorest
regions of Peru in 2014 were Huancavelica (52.63 percent), Cajamarca (49.89 percent),
Amazonas (46.79 percent), Puno (45.27 percent), and Huánuco (43.99 percent). These regions
include areas of intensive mining activity.
23
See: GESTION.“Excesiva regulación y altos impuestos gravan ingreso al sector formal en
Perú”, visite don March 25 2017, retrieved from: http://gestion.pe/economia/excesiva-
regulacion-y-altos-impuestos-gravan-ingreso-al-sector-formal-peru-2111487
31
modernised public institutions, and authorities have limited capacity or incentive for
supervising Peru´s diverse labour markets and enforcing the rules on the books. In
addition, no political parties with presence in congress have an explicit working class
identity or agenda.
Since 2001, Peruvian democracy has had a weak capacity for interest representation
overall. On one hand, it is positive that elected governments have remained in place
since 2001, the military have largely remained out of politics, and dominant elite
agreements must be legitimated, at least in part, through the democratic process.
Furthermore, the electorate is now very broad-based – nearly 70 percent of the total
population is of voting age – and there have been advances in political and fiscal
decentralisation, especially under the Toledo administration. On the other hand, the
rule changes and ‘anti-party’ rhetoric of the 1990s left a party system that is weak,
fragmented and volatile. Less than 5 percent of Peruvians belong to any party and
short-lived electoral ‘movements’ tend to win subnational elections. The majority of
members elected to Peru´s small congress are newcomers, and are not re-elected to a
second term. While some analysts argue that the decline of parties and traditional
interest organisations is a global phenomenon, others claim that in the Peruvian case
economic informality also feeds political informality (Cameron, 1997). The weakness of
mass-based representative institutions makes it harder for voters to hold politicians
accountable after elections, and facilitates the persistent influence of wealthy and
powerful elites.
A major advance in recent years has been the national Law of Prior Consultation,
which, despite the problems involved in its implementation, has obliged the state to
24
Various electoral laws in Peru promote participation of historically excluded indigenous
peoples, as well as women, and youths. Law 26859, for example, states that all parties must
include at least 30 percent of women on their parliamentary lists, while Law 27734, passed in
2002, states that a minimum of 15 percent of candidates for regional and municipal counsellors
should be of indigenous or native origins in those regions and provinces determined by
authorities to have a high percentage of indigenous residents. As mentioned at the outset, while
the national census does not measure ethnic or racial identities, some 15.6 percent claim an
indigenous mother tongue, and an estimated 40 percent of the population claims to descend
from native Andean or Amazonian peoples (Sulmont, 2012).
32
As for the environmental dimension, as mentioned above, there have been several
advances in the promotion of environmental regulation during the last five years. These
include the creation of institutions aimed at evaluating the environmental impact
assessments presented by investors, monitoring compliance with existing norms,
sanctioning violators, and simplifying administrative oversight. However, maintaining
the authority and autonomy of environmental regulators is an ongoing political struggle
that requires the support of other cabinet members, the media and civil society
organisations, in the face of pressures by the more powerful members of the executive
branch, aligned with private interests, to reduce the social and environmental
protections demanded of investors.
The first question is addressed primarily in Section II, where we identify three broad
periods as having relatively stable institutional arrangements that have been crucial for
the development of economic models and the distribution of holding power among key
actors. These are the very long period of oligarchic predominance (1895-1968), a
33
second period we call statist (1968-90), and the neoliberal period, which dates from the
early 1990s to the present. Although marked by diverse social and economic
pressures, we argue that each period is reflected in particular patterns of state building
and dominant economic models. However, in the face of global market forces, and with
pressure from new ideological trends and mobilisation from excluded actors, our study
discusses how each settlement lost strength and eventually became radically altered
and which groups benefit and loss from these changes.
How did these arrangements shape patterns of governance and exploitation of Peru´s
mineral resources? As we discuss in Section III, the oligarchical period was most
strongly associated with the exploitation of land and labour for agriculture, while
Peruvian elites ceded power over mineral resources to foreign (largely US-based)
corporations with the necessary capital to exploit large deposits and, eventually, to
build and manage large open-pit operations. For decades the hacienda and the mining
enclave coexisted, and the state benefited from tax collection, while labor rights were
only gradually introduced. Over time, however, the demands of urban and rural
workers, peasant communities and emerging middle classes grew enough to challenge
this dominant model.
In the third period (1990- ), large-scale mining shifted back into private and primarily
transnational hands, and become a major driver of economic growth. A new alliance of
military and civilian elites set Peru on a radically liberalising pattern of state reforms,
and the resulting empowerment of the liberal technocracy maintained continuity after
the return to democracy (2000- ). However, the balance of power remained less stable
because of the growing conflicts around expanding mining operations, and because of
some of the very reforms introduced to stem such conflict, such as the mining canon. In
recent years there have also been institutional innovations within the state associated
with environmental regulation and politics of recognition of indigenous rights, which
introduce counterweights without significantly altering the pattern of mining ownership
and governance.
34
In Section IV we address the third question, about the relationships between dominant
elites, mining and inclusive development. Here we argue that three cross-cutting
factors -- state weakness and fractured politics, the power of private capital, and
transnational forces -- help account for the difficulties in overcoming social conflict
around the role of mining in development, and in sustaining more significant mining
governance reforms. The section ends with a discussion of how these dynamics
ultimately restrict the prospects for inclusive development in contemporary Peru.
Final reflections
Although the fate of mining-dependent countries such as Peru is often considered to be
largely determined by international markets and capital flows, this project has focused
on issues of political relationships and the interaction of domestic and transnational
actors. The results of these interactions have important consequences for the
governance of the extractive industries, and for the capacity of the state to achieve
more inclusive and sustainable development.
In the Peruvian case, at the helm of the state we have seen both economically
liberalising coalitions which give priority to primary exports, and more statist coalitions,
which tried (and failed) to promote greater industrialisation. These different coalitions
have significantly altered the patterns of mineral production and regulation as part of
broader agendas. We have also seen private actors resist the political directives of the
state, halting investments or waiting for changing political tides when policies were not
in their favour. The balance of power around mining governance in Peru has been
asymmetrical, but also unstable.
Through the 20th century, the most radical changes in mineral governance were
undertaken under authoritarian rule, in which the dominant elites had little incentive or
commitment to negotiate with other groups in society, especially if they were weak and
dispersed. The democratic opening in 2001 appeared as a favourable scenario to
change this pattern and to modify the ways in which mining itself is governed. As we
have seen, on various levels, Peru has made strides in this century towards
overcoming its historical ‘resource curse’, taking advantage of rising global demand for
minerals and other commodities, and achieving sustained economic growth for nearly
two decades, as well as an implementing an unprecedented degree of decentralisation
of the revenues generated.
35
fact that policymaking towards large- and medium-scale mining is concentrated in the
national government, while the only functions transferred to subnational government in
this regard involve regulating artisanal mining. In recent years, decentralisation has
also coexisted with diverse schemes of public-private partnership, which aim to reduce
the infrastructure gap in Peru, but have been criticised for potentially undermining
efforts to strengthen subnational government institutions, curb corruption, and
marginalise still incipient efforts at citizen deliberation over public spending.
The lack of stronger and more representative parties and civil society organisations in
Peru, exacerbated by the political violence of the 1980s and the attack on
representative institutions in the 1990s, has limited the quality of democracy, as well as
the ability of elites to agree on models of longer-term, inclusive development. The
economy remains unable to create more effective counter-cyclical policies, promote
greater productive diversity, and build more decent employment. As a result, it remains
highly vulnerable to external markets and the newly emergent and in large part informal
middle classes remain vulnerable to falling back into poverty. The need to promote new
mineral production to sustain these revenues – to offset the effect of declining world
prices – has also led policymakers to backslide on environmental and social
safeguards, and to resist implementing new rights, especially those of indigenous
peoples.
The fact that the general liberal economic direction of the 1990s has continued through
this century does not mean there is broad social consensus around it, nor the drive by
ruling elites to expand extractive activity nationwide. The combination of sustained
growth and targeted social policy partially contributed to the important reduction in
poverty levels. But this did not serve to effectively ‘include’ more citizens in alliances,
pacts or coalitions able to overcome the country´s historical political instability and
fragmentation. In class, ethnic and regional terms, there has been limited change in the
main parties to Peru’s dominant political settlements.
36
There is less awareness, however, of the power dynamics that lie behind institutions or
the challenges to building political alliances and coalitions to change them. The
challenges faced by Peru, like many other mineral exporters, include the diversification
of the economy and the reduction of informality, as well as more equitable distribution
of public investment and services. This demands not only technocratic policy decisions,
but broader state reform as well, that can be promoted and sustained by political and
economic elites. In this paper, we have identified the origins of what Arellano-Yanguas
(2008) calls a ‘dual bureaucracy’ within the Peruvian state, in which certain sectors and
agencies linked to market opening and macroeconomic stability have benefitted from
reforms oriented towards professionalisation and modernisation, while other
longstanding social ministries (labour, health, education), and new ones created due to
international pressure or social conflict, such as the ministries of the environment and
of culture, still lack the power to defend policies not popular with primary export
interests.
In this sense, we find that even after nearly two decades of uninterrupted democracy,
high levels of political instability and fragmentation have inhibited the development of
effective institutions and longer-term policies in Peru. To date there are still few powers
within the state that can serve as checks and balances on the executive and
particularly the ministries that promote mining-led growth. The absence of
organisations that represent interests beyond the local sphere, limits the effectiveness
and legitimacy of institutions created to improve mineral governance, regulate
environmental impacts, and protect human rights. Instead, the response of recent
governments to increased social conflict around mining has been characterised by
short-term measures and the arbitrary use of force.
The persistent legacy of the 1970s military regime, and of the neoliberal reforms of the
1990s, have also left an important sector of Peruvian elites adverse to any serious
effort at longer-term national planning on the part of the state. This ideological
inheritance, combined with political instability, also helps to explain the lack of elite
commitment that underlies limited capacity to promote a professional civil service, or
implement more ambitious strategies for promoting economic diversification. To enact
measures that more broadly modernise the state and put it more at the service of
inclusive development requires politicians and technocrats who are committed to this
goal over the long term, and able to resist the short-term interests of those who benefit
from the model at hand.
37
38
20.00
15.48
15.00 12.80 12.96
3. Mineral exports in value (US$ million) and share of total exports (2001-15)
70.00% 30000
60.00% 61.8% 62.1% 60.9% 61.2% 59.4%
58.4% 57.9% 25000
55.6% 56.4% 55.5% 55.0%
52.0%
50.00% 49.4% 51.6%
45.6% 20000
40.00%
15000
30.00%
10000
20.00%
10.00% 5000
0.00% 0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
39
7000
6000
5000
4000
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: MINEM – Ministry of Energy and Mines (2016). In millions of nuevos soles.
10,000
Millions
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
MOQUEGUA
JUNIN
AREQUIPA
TACNA
ICA
MADRE DE DIOS
SAN MARTIN
CAJAMARCA
LA LIBERTAD
PASCO
CUSCO
APURIMAC
AMAZONAS
AYACUCHO
HUANCAVELICA
PIURA
LORETO
CALLAO
UCAYALI
TUMBES
ANCASH
PUNO
LIMA
LAMBAYEQUE
HUANUCO
40
19%
18% 18%
18%
25,000
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2963665
16% 16%
16%
15%
14% 14%
20,000 14% 13% 13% 13%
13% 13%
12% 12%
11%
15,000 10% 10% 10%
9%
9% 9%
8% 8% 8%
8%
7% 7%
10,000
6% 6%
4%
5,000
2%
0 0%
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
41
Mining, political settlements and inclusive development in Peru
Sources: Ombudsman. Monthly Report of Social Conflicts (2005, 2006, 2007, 2008,
2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016).
*Total conflicts registered by December.
42
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54
Interviews
Interview 01. (31 March 2015). Arellano-Yanguas, J., professor, Universidad de
Deusto, España. Telephone interview. (C. Sanborn, V. Hurtado and T. Ramirez,
interviewers).
Interview 02. (5 June 2015). A former general director of mining, Ministry of Energy
and Mines, and board member, Hierro Peru and Centromin. (C. Sanborn and T.
Ramirez, interviewers).
Interview 03. (5 March 2015). Contreras, C., historian, Catholic University of Peru (C.
Sanborn and T. Ramirez, interviewers).
Interview 04. (6 April 2015). De Echave, J., founder and director, CooperAcción (C.
Sanborn, V. Hurtado and T. Ramirez, interviewers).
Interview 05. (6 April 2015). A former prime minister (C. Sanborn and T. Ramirez,
interviewers).
Interview 06. (9 March 2015). Regional coordinator, Revenue Watch Institute (C.
Sanborn, V. Hurtado and T. Ramirez, interviewers).
Interview 07. (16 March 2015). A former minister of energy and mines. (C. Sanborn,
V. Hurtado and T. Ramirez, interviewers).
Interview 08. (23 March 2015). A former minister of transport and communications,
Minister of Energy and Mines and Minister of the Presidency (C. Sanborn and T.
Ramirez, interviewers).
Interview 09. (11 March, 2015). A former executive of a leading foreign mining
company in Peru (C. Sanborn, V. Hurtado and T. Ramirez, interviewers).
55
The Effective States and Inclusive Development Research Centre (ESID) aims to
improve the use of governance research evidence in decision-making. Our key focus is
on the role of state effectiveness and elite commitment in achieving inclusive
development and social justice.
ESID is a partnership of highly reputed research and policy institutes based in Africa,
Asia, Europe and North America. The lead institution is the University of Manchester.
email: esid@manchester.ac.uk
Effective States and Inclusive Development Research Centre (ESID)
Global Development Institute, School of Environment, Education and Development,
The University of Manchester, Oxford Road,
Manchester M13 9PL, UK
www.effective-states.org