Growing Risk and Vulnerability—The Mountain Challenge
Risk and Vulnerability in
166
      Mountain Regions
      Given current reported and project-                 and cooperation to address them.                    from a tendency to address mainly
      ed trends in global environmental                   More recently, the Institute for                    hazard in the risk equation, to
      change, exposure to risk and vul-                   Environment and Human Security                      increased assessment of the vulnera-
      nerability in mountain communities                  (EHS) of the UNU, created in 2003                   bility component of risk.
      could increase in coming decades.                   and based in Bonn, Germany, was
      Mountain communities can be                         given a mandate to advance human
                                                                                                              Complexities linked to
      exposed to various hazards simulta-                 security in order to reduce vulnera-
      neously, including rapid-onset haz-                 bility and risk related to environ-
                                                                                                              vulnerability assessment
      ards such as earthquakes, land-                     mental threats through targeted                     • Risk, sensitivity, resilience and
      slides, and volcanic eruptions, as                  research and capacity development                     vulnerability are defined differ-
      well as creeping processes such as                  activities. Most of the Institute’s                   ently in different disciplines. A
      soil degradation, deforestation, loss               activities are centered on vulnera-                   glossary of risk-related terms
      of biodiversity, and drought. It is                 bility assessment—the most crucial                    compiled at UNU-EHS provides
      thus urgent to increase current                     and least known part of the risk                      35 definitions of vulnerability,
      efforts to assess vulnerability and                 equation. This is arguably the most                   without claiming to be exhaus-
      risk, and particularly to consider                  difficult component to address for a                  tive. Although agreement on a
      the aggregated stress of multiple                   variety of reasons, including lack of                 single definition is unlikely, a
      hazards.                                            a common definition, multiple com-                    broad consensus on general con-
           Over the past 20 years the Unit-               plex assessment tools, the need to                    cepts would be useful, particular-
      ed Nations University (UNU) has                     understand complex systems, and                       ly for more effective communica-
      played an important role in promot-                 quantification of thresholds that                     tion among the scientific and
      ing understanding of the challenges                 characterize the states of the sys-                   expert communities.
      facing mountain communities and                     tems considered. Despite these diffi-               • Nature cannot be dissociated
      in fostering political commitment                   culties, there is currently a shift                   from social systems, as both
                                                                                                                interact in complex, non-linear,
      FIGURE 1 Feedback loop system with intervention tools to reduce vulnerability—part of the integrative     unsteady, stochastic ways. Com-
      BBC Conceptual Framework developed at UNU-EHS in Bonn, Germany (see Birkmann 2006).                       munity vulnerability to single or
                                                                                                                multiple hazards is thus best ana-
                                                                                                                lyzed by considering environ-
                                                                                                                mental, social, and economic
                                                                                                                dimensions, or by analyzing cou-
                                                                                                                pled human–environment or
                                                                                                                socio-ecological systems. Cou-
                                                                                                                pled systems are by their very
                                                                                                                nature extremely complex and
                                                                                                                difficult to model. Complexity
                                                                                                                increases in the case of interac-
                                                                                                                tions between elements at vari-
                                                                                                                ous temporal and spatial scales.
                                                                                                                It is also difficult to quantify the
                                                                                                                amount of disturbance that a sys-
                                                                                                                tem can absorb before it changes
                                                                                                                to a new and usually unfavorable
                                                                                                                state.
                                                                                                              • Several vulnerability assessment
                                                                                                                frameworks have been devel-
                                                                                                                oped in academic circles to try
                                                                                                                to capture the above complexi-
                                                                                                                ties. One example is the Sustain-
                                                                                                                ability Systems Program’s vulner-
                                                                                                                ability framework (Turner II et
                                                                                                                al 2003), which looks at the vul-
                                                                                                                nerability of coupled systems by
                                                                                                                accounting for various interact-
                                                                                                                ing spatial dimensions of vulner-
                                                                                                        Mountain Research and Development Vol 28 No 2 May 2008
                                                                                  MountainPlatform
                                                                                                                                         167
  ability and stressors, and by          • Establish the link between moun-       tions, participatory approaches, and
  describing their exposure, sensi-        tain ecosystem degradation and         community-based coping practices
  tivity and resilience. A second is       community vulnerability;               to detect and reduce vulnerability.
  the BBC Conceptual Framework           • Determine the degree to which          UNU-EHS and the Munich Re
  developed at UNU-EHS, which              different community social             Foundation also hold an annual
  focuses on the social, economic,         groups are vulnerable to environ-      summer academy on social vulnera-
  and environmental dimensions             mental degradation; and                bility. The academy provides an
  of vulnerability, linking and          • Characterize the similarities and      opportunity for experts and PhD
  integrating the concept of sus-          differences in coping strategies       researchers from around the world
  tainable development with the            used by different communities.         to develop new approaches to com-
  vulnerability framework. It also                                                plex themes such as human security
  incorporates the notion of inter-           In the process, research will       and resilience of complex social sys-
  vention tools to reduce vulnera-       also concentrate on identification       tems related to disasters. UNU-EHS
  bility (represented as a feedback      and field testing of a set of objec-     also implements a training program
  loop system in Figure 1).              tively verifiable environmental and      for experts dealing with risk and
  Despite the availability of such       socioeconomic indicators that can        vulnerability assessment in large
  assessment frameworks, charac-         be used to: 1) assess the vulnerabili-   cities, including cities in mountain
  terizing vulnerability remains         ty of mountain communities to land       regions.
  difficult, as it is impossible to      degradation; and 2) measure the               All these activities will help in
  collect all relevant information       impact of changes in ecosystem           the long run to refine assessment
  and determine the required             resource management on the local         tools and methodologies to identify
  threshold values.                      environment and socioeconomic            policies and concrete actions
                                         well-being of different social groups    designed to reduce the vulnerability
                                         in individual communities.               of communities facing natural haz-
Vulnerability-related activities
                                              UNU-EHS has also initiated an       ards. This will have relevance and
of UNU-EHS                               Expert Working Group on Measur-          be applicable in mountain regions
In accordance with its mandate,          ing Vulnerability as an exchange         as well as other environments.
UNU-EHS has developed vulnera-           platform for experts and practition-
bility assessment methodologies and      ers from various scientific back-        REFERENCES
conducted vulnerability research         grounds who deal with identifica-        Birkmann J, editor. 2006. Measuring Vulnerabili-
looking at various hazards affecting     tion and measurement of vulnera-         ty to Natural Hazards. Towards Disaster Resilient
                                                                                  Societies. Tokyo, Japan: UNU Press.
floodplains and coastal areas. UNU-      bility. The overall goal of the Expert   Turner II BL, Matson PA, McCarthy JJ, Corell RW,
EHS is also part of the project on       Working Group is to promote the          Christensen L, Eckley N, Hovelsrud-Broda GK,
Sustainable Management in the            concept of security for societies vul-   Kasperson JX, Kasperson RE, Luers A, Martello
                                                                                  ML, Mathiesen S, Naylor R, Polsky C, Pulsipher
High Pamir and Pamir–Alai in             nerable to natural hazards. In this      A, Schiller A, Selink H, Tyler N. 2003. Illustrating
Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. This proj-    context the development of               the coupled human–environment system for vulner-
ect has a work package dealing with      methodologies, approaches, and           ability analysis: Three case studies. PNAS [Pro-
                                                                                  ceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of
vulnerability assessment in commu-       indicators to measure vulnerability      the United States of America] 100(14):8080–8085.
nities facing land degradation,          is a key to bridging the theoretical     Accessible at: www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/
                                                                                  pnas.1231334100
which can be categorized as a creep-     concept of vulnerability and practi-
ing process. Scientists at the Insti-    cal application in decision-making
tute collaborate with scientists in      processes. The Expert Working
                                                                                   Fabrice Renaud
the region and other project part-       Group will continue to meet annu-         Academic Program Officer, Head of Environ-
ners to further develop and test the     ally in the foreseeable future and        mental Assessment & Resource Vulnerability
BBC Conceptual Framework and             the results of research activities in     Section, United Nations University, Institute
                                                                                   for Environment and Human Security
evaluate its suitability as a tool for   the High Pamir and Pamir–Alai will        UNU–EHS, UN Campus, Hermann-Ehlers-
assessing vulnerability to land          be discussed in this forum.               Strasse 10, D-53113 Bonn, Germany.
degradation in rural mountain com-            UNU-EHS has a Chair on Social        renaud@ehs.unu.edu
munities, and to determine the           Vulnerability funded by the Munich        Libor Jansky
impact of better ecosystem manage-       Re Foundation. Activities include         Senior Academic Program Officer, United
                                                                                   Nations University, Vice Rectorate in Europe,
ment in reducing vulnerability and       research on the cultural and eco-         UN Campus, Hermann-Ehlers-Strasse 10,
improving economic well-being.           nomic dimensions of social vulnera-       D–53113 Bonn, Germany.
Other vulnerability frameworks will      bility, including institutional and       jansky@vie.unu.edu
also be considered. More specifical-     governance factors. Special atten-        doi:10.1659/mrd.mp007
ly, the frameworks will be used to:      tion is given to indigenous percep-