A Detailed Report and Winning Strategy for the 123-Hajipur Constituency

1. Executive Summary:

The 123-Hajipur Assembly Constituency, located within the Vaishali district of Bihar, presents a dynamic
electoral landscape. This report provides an in-depth analysis of the constituency, encompassing its
demographic composition, the socio-economic needs of its residents, a review of past election
performances, and the critical factors that influence electoral outcomes. The central challenge
addressed in this report is the formulation of a winning electoral strategy for a candidate belonging to
the Sonar caste who resides within the Hajipur Nagar Parishad. The proposed strategy emphasizes
leveraging the candidate's local connection and caste identity while building broader support across
diverse communities by addressing key local issues such as employment and infrastructure. Effective
outreach, targeted messaging, and a nuanced understanding of the prevailing political dynamics are
identified as crucial components for success in this competitive constituency.

2. Demographic Profile of Hajipur Assembly Constituency:

●​ 2.1 Geographical Boundaries and Administrative Divisions:​
The 123-Hajipur Assembly Constituency is situated within the Vaishali district in the eastern Indian
state of Bihar.1 It is one of the six assembly segments that constitute the Hajipur Lok Sabha
Constituency.1 Notably, the Hajipur Lok Sabha constituency is reserved for candidates from the
Scheduled Castes.1 This reservation status distinguishes it from the Hajipur Assembly constituency,
which is a general seat where candidates from all categories can contest.2 This difference in
reservation implies that while the Lok Sabha elections in this region might be heavily influenced by
the dynamics of Scheduled Caste politics, particularly the Paswan community, the Assembly
elections have a broader social canvas.2 The constituency's geographical area includes both the
urban center of Hajipur town, which is also the headquarters of the Vaishali district and is governed
by the Hajipur Nagar Parishad, and significant rural areas.2
●​ 2.2 Population Composition:
○​ 2.2.1 Caste-wise Distribution: At the state level, Bihar's population has a significant
representation of Other Backward Classes (OBC) and Extremely Backward Classes (EBC), who
together account for over 63% of the total population.3 Scheduled Castes (SCs) constitute
another substantial segment at around 19.65%, followed by Forward Castes at 15.52%.3 An
analysis of the voter list for the Hajipur Assembly seat from 2020 reveals the prominence of
certain surnames, indicating the likely distribution of castes within the constituency.5 Voters with
surnames like Singh (16.4%), Rai (14%), Paswan (9.3%), Muslim (7.9%), Kumar (6.4%), and Shah
(6.3%) constitute a significant portion of the electorate.5 Furthermore, Scheduled Caste voters
make up over 21% of the electorate in the Hajipur Assembly Constituency.2 Given the reservation
of the Hajipur Lok Sabha seat for SCs and the historical dominance of Paswan leaders from this
 community in the parliamentary elections, the Scheduled Caste voters are a crucial
demographic group in the Assembly elections as well.1
○​ 2.2.2 Religious Demographics: The religious landscape of Bihar is predominantly Hindu, with
approximately 82% of the population following Hinduism.3 Islam is the second most prevalent
religion, with around 17% of the state's population identifying as Muslim.3 Within the Hajipur
Assembly Constituency, the Muslim community accounts for nearly 8% of the total voters.2 This
represents a notable minority whose voting preferences can significantly influence the election
results, particularly in closely contested races. At the district level, Vaishali has a religious
composition of 90.20% Hindu and 9.56% Muslim, according to the 2011 Census.7 This
district-level data aligns with the assembly constituency figures, indicating a substantial Hindu
majority and a significant Muslim population.
○​ 2.2.3 Rural and Urban Population Distribution and Density: A significant majority of the
voters in the Hajipur Assembly Constituency, nearly 67%, reside in rural areas.2 The 2011 Census
recorded the population of Hajipur city at 147,688, with 78,047 males and 69,641 females.12 In
contrast, the rural population within the Hajipur Assembly Constituency, as per the same
census, was 296,288.13 This substantial rural population underscores the importance of
addressing issues related to agriculture, rural development, and infrastructure in any electoral
campaign targeting this constituency. The needs and priorities of the voters living in these rural
areas are likely to differ from those residing in the urban center of Hajipur Nagar Parishad.
○​ 2.2.4 Age and Gender Breakdown of the Electorate: As of January 1, 2024, the Hajipur
Assembly Constituency had a total of 3,52,082 registered voters.2 An analysis of the age-wise
electoral data from the 2015 Assembly elections reveals that young voters, particularly those in
the 25-34 age group, constituted a significant portion of the electorate.14 This demographic
often has specific concerns related to education, employment, and future prospects. Electoral
data from various years, including 2015 for the Hajipur Assembly Constituency 15 and 2020 for
the Mahnar Assembly Constituency (for comparison) 16, provides a breakdown of electors by
gender. This information is crucial for understanding the composition of the electorate and for
tailoring campaign strategies to address the specific concerns and preferences of both male
and female voters.

3. Socio-economic Landscape and Needs of the People:

●​ 3.1 Overview of the Economic Conditions:​
Bihar's economy is characterized as largely service-based, with a notable contribution from the
agricultural and industrial sectors.17 Despite being one of the fastest-growing economies in India in
recent years, Bihar has the lowest GDP per capita in the country, indicating widespread economic
challenges.17 In the Vaishali district, where the Hajipur Assembly Constituency is located,
agriculture plays a vital role in the economy.9 This suggests that the livelihoods of a significant
portion of the constituency's population are directly or indirectly tied to agricultural activities. In
2006, the Ministry of Panchayati Raj declared Vaishali as one of the country's 250 most backward
 districts.9 This historical designation reflects the persistent socio-economic challenges in the
region, including issues related to infrastructure, industrial development, and overall economic
opportunities.
●​ 3.2 Analysis of Key Socio-economic Indicators:
○​ 3.2.1 Poverty Levels and Income Distribution: Bihar faces a high incidence of poverty and
economic backwardness 18, and it is recognized as one of the poorest states in India, both in
urban and rural areas.19 The Bihar caste-based survey of 2022 revealed that a substantial
percentage of households in the state have a monthly income of less than ₹ 6,000.4 This
indicates that poverty is likely a significant issue within the Hajipur Assembly Constituency,
affecting a considerable portion of the population. Data specific to the poverty rate in Vaishali
district might offer a more localized understanding, although access to this detailed information
might require specific subscriptions.20
○​ 3.2.2 Employment and Unemployment Rates, Dominant Occupations: The employment
structure in Bihar is heavily reliant on the primary sector, with a large percentage of the
workforce engaged in agriculture.18 Unemployment remains a pressing concern, and Vaishali
district witnessed an increase in its unemployment rate, reaching 10.2 percent in the year ending
June 2019.23 This suggests that the Hajipur Assembly Constituency likely faces challenges
related to the availability of sufficient employment opportunities, particularly for its youth. The
dominant occupations in the Vaishali district are expected to be primarily in agriculture and
allied activities, with some presence of small-scale industries and the service sector.9
○​ 3.2.3 Education Levels, Literacy Rates, and Access to Educational Institutions: While Bihar
has historically had one of the lowest literacy rates in India 18, the situation in the Vaishali district
has improved, with a literacy rate of 66.60% as per the 2011 Census.7 Within the district, Hajipur
city recorded a higher literacy rate of 76.80% in the same census.12 Despite these improvements,
a significant portion of the population in the Vaishali district still lacks formal education. Data on
the number of schools in Vaishali district 25 indicates the existing educational infrastructure,
which might require further strengthening and expansion to meet the needs of the growing
population.
○​ 3.2.4 Healthcare Infrastructure, Accessibility, and Prevalent Health Issues: Medical
facilities in the rural areas of Bihar are generally inadequate 18, and there is a recognized need
for significant enhancements in the state's healthcare infrastructure.26 While Hajipur town has
several hospitals 27, accessibility and the quality of healthcare services, especially in the rural
parts of the Hajipur Assembly Constituency, might be limited. Bihar also faces high rates of
maternal, neonatal, and infant mortality 35, highlighting the need for focused attention on
maternal and child health services in the region.
○​ 3.2.5 Availability of Essential Amenities: In Vaishali district, access to drinking water is
reported to be relatively high at 90.6% of households.25 However, the coverage of improved
sanitation facilities is significantly low, with only 20.5% of households having access.25 This low
sanitation coverage is a critical issue, indicating a lack of basic hygiene infrastructure for a large
 segment of the population, which can have serious implications for public health and overall
well-being.
●​ 3.3 Identification of Primary Needs and Concerns:​
Based on the socio-economic profile of the Hajipur Assembly Constituency and the broader Vaishali
district, the primary needs and concerns of the people likely include: increased employment
opportunities, particularly for the youth; improved infrastructure, including better roads, reliable
electricity supply, and enhanced irrigation facilities for agriculture; better access to quality
education and healthcare services; and poverty alleviation through economic empowerment
initiatives. Local accounts also highlight specific grievances such as the lack of employment for
young people 36 and the poor condition of infrastructure, including dilapidated roads, issues with
waterlogging, and inadequate drainage systems in Hajipur town.36 The overall aspiration for
development and a better quality of life is a recurring theme.

4. Political History and Past Election Performances:

●​ 4.1 Historical Trends:​
The Hajipur Assembly seat has a significant political history, having been established in 1951.2 Over
the years, it has evolved into a stronghold for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Since the turn of the
21st century, the BJP has consistently won this seat, securing victory in seven consecutive
elections.2 A prominent figure in this historical dominance is Nityanand Rai, who represented the
BJP and won this constituency four times starting from the 2000 elections. He later went on to
become a Union Minister of State.2 The current Member of the Legislative Assembly (MLA) from the
Hajipur constituency is Awadhesh Singh, also from the BJP. He first won the seat in a 2014
by-election, which was necessitated by Nityanand Rai's election to the Lok Sabha. Awadhesh Singh
subsequently retained the seat in the 2015 and 2020 Assembly elections.2
●​ 4.2 Analysis of Recent Election Results:
○​ 4.2.1 2020 Assembly Election: In the 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly elections, Awadhesh
Singh of the BJP emerged victorious in the Hajipur constituency, securing 85,552 votes, which
constituted 44.96% of the total votes polled.2 The primary challenger was Deo Kumar Chaurasia
of the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), who received 82,562 votes, representing 43.39% of the votes.2
The election was closely contested, with Awadhesh Singh winning by a narrow margin of just
2,990 votes, or 1.6% of the total votes polled.2 Several other candidates from independent
parties and smaller political outfits also contested, but their vote shares were significantly lower.
○​ 4.2.2 2015 Assembly Election: In the preceding 2015 Bihar Legislative Assembly elections,
Awadhesh Singh of the BJP again won the Hajipur seat, this time with 86,773 votes, which
translated to 48.6% of the total votes polled.2 The runner-up was Jagannath Prasad Rai of the
Indian National Congress (INC), who secured 74,578 votes, accounting for 41.8% of the votes.2
The winning margin in 2015 was considerably larger, with Awadhesh Singh defeating Jagannath
Prasad Rai by 12,195 votes, representing a margin of 6.8%.2 Similar to the 2020 election, several
other candidates contested but did not secure a significant share of the votes.
 ○​ 4.2.3 Earlier Elections (e.g., 2010): Looking further back, in the 2010 Bihar Legislative
Assembly elections, the Hajipur constituency was won by Nitaynand Roy of the BJP.14 The
runner-up in this election was Rajendra Rai of the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP).14 Nityanand Roy's
victory in 2010 further underscores the historical strength of the BJP in this constituency before
he transitioned to national politics.
●​ 4.3 Trends in Voter Turnout and Participation:​
The voter turnout in the Hajipur Assembly Constituency in the 2020 elections was recorded at
50.5%.42 This was a decrease compared to the 2015 elections, which saw a turnout of 57.29%.5
This fluctuation in voter turnout could be influenced by various factors, including local issues,
candidate appeal, and broader political conditions, such as the COVID-19 pandemic which might
have affected participation in the 2020 elections. An analysis of the age-wise electoral data from
the 2015 elections 14 indicates that the highest participation rate was among voters in the
25-34 year age group, followed by those in the 35-44 year age group. This suggests that younger
and middle-aged voters are key demographics in terms of electoral participation in this
constituency. Overall, voter turnout trends in Bihar have shown a fluctuating and sometimes
decreasing pattern in the last two decades 43, potentially due to factors such as migration for
livelihood and education, concerns about safety and intimidation, and logistical challenges like the
availability of transportation on polling day.43
●​ 4.4 Performance of Major Political Parties and Alliances:​
The BJP has been the dominant political force in the Hajipur Assembly Constituency for the past
two decades, consistently winning elections.2 However, the shrinking victory margin in the 2020
election indicates a growing challenge from the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), which significantly
improved its vote share and came very close to defeating the BJP incumbent.2 Other major political
parties like the Indian National Congress (INC) and the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), in its various
factions, have had a limited impact on the outcome of recent Assembly elections in this
constituency.38 The performance of these parties and their candidates is often influenced by the
broader political alliances at the state and national levels, primarily the National Democratic Alliance
(NDA), which includes the BJP, and the Mahagathbandhan, which is led by the RJD and includes
parties like the INC.2
●​ 4.5 Influence of National and State-level Political Dynamics:​
The political landscape of Bihar is currently shaped by the National Democratic Alliance (NDA),
which is in power in the state.45 Key constituents of the NDA in Bihar include the Bharatiya Janata
Party (BJP) and the Janata Dal (United) (JD(U)), along with other smaller regional parties. The
primary opposition is the Mahagathbandhan, comprising the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), the Indian
National Congress (INC), and various left-leaning parties.37 A significant recent development in the
region's politics is the victory of Chirag Paswan of the Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas), an ally of the
NDA, in the Hajipur Lok Sabha election.1 This victory could have a positive impact on the prospects
of other NDA candidates in the region, including the BJP candidate in the Hajipur Assembly
Constituency. Prominent political figures such as the current Chief Minister of Bihar, Nitish Kumar,
 the Leader of the Opposition, Tejashwi Yadav, and Chirag Paswan continue to exert considerable
influence on the state's electorate, including in the Hajipur Assembly Constituency.1

5. Key Factors Influencing Elections in Hajipur:

●​ 5.1 Role of Caste and Community Dynamics:​
Caste and community affiliations play a significant role in the electoral dynamics of the Hajipur
Assembly Constituency. The presence of a substantial Scheduled Caste (SC) population, exceeding
21% of the electorate, and a notable Muslim population, accounting for around 8% of the voters 2,
makes these communities crucial for any candidate seeking to win the election. Understanding their
specific socio-economic needs and political aspirations is paramount for tailoring an effective
campaign. The influence of the Paswan family, particularly the legacy of the late Ram Vilas Paswan
and the current political prominence of his son Chirag Paswan, remains a key factor among
Scheduled Caste voters in the broader Hajipur region.1 Given that Chirag Paswan's party, LJP(RV), is
an ally of the NDA, aligning with or seeking his support could significantly benefit a candidate
aiming to garner the trust and votes of the Paswan community within the Assembly constituency.
However, reports of potential resentment among Kushwaha and Paswan voters over the distribution
of tickets in recent Lok Sabha elections 47 suggest that there might be pockets of dissatisfaction
within these communities towards the dominant NDA alliance. This could create an opportunity for
an alternative candidate to gain traction by addressing their specific grievances. In addition to these
groups, the constituency also has a presence of other caste groups like Yadavs and various Forward
Castes 5, whose preferences will also contribute to the overall electoral outcome.
●​ 5.2 Impact of Local Issues and Grievances:​
Elections in the Hajipur Assembly Constituency are significantly influenced by local issues and
grievances that directly affect the daily lives of the residents. Key concerns such as the lack of
adequate employment opportunities, particularly for the youth 36, the poor state of infrastructure,
including dilapidated roads, frequent waterlogging, and faulty drainage systems 36, and the overall
aspirations of the constituency for development 36 are likely to be major factors shaping voters'
decisions. Additionally, the needs and challenges related to the healthcare and education sectors
also play a crucial role in influencing electoral preferences.36 Voters tend to favor candidates who
demonstrate a clear understanding of these local problems and offer concrete, feasible solutions to
address them. A campaign that focuses on these tangible issues is more likely to resonate with the
electorate than one that relies solely on broader political narratives.
●​ 5.3 Influence of Prominent Political Figures:​
The electoral landscape of the Hajipur Assembly Constituency is also significantly shaped by the
influence of prominent political figures at both the state and national levels. Chirag Paswan, given
his recent victory in the Hajipur Lok Sabha election and his party's alliance with the BJP, is expected
to play a key role in ensuring that the BJP retains the Assembly seat.2 Veteran leaders like Nityanand
Rai, who has a long history of representing this constituency, might also continue to wield
considerable influence among voters. On the opposition side, Tejashwi Yadav, as the chief
 ministerial face of the Mahagathbandhan, will be actively campaigning to sway voters in favor of the
RJD candidate.2 The presence and active campaigning of these influential leaders can significantly
shape voter sentiment and ultimately impact the outcome of the election. Candidates often try to
align themselves with popular leaders or strategically differentiate themselves from them based on
the prevailing political climate and voter preferences.
●​ 5.4 Analysis of Voter Sentiment and Prevailing Political Narratives:​
The declining victory margins of the BJP in recent elections in the Hajipur Assembly Constituency 2
suggest a potential shift in voter sentiment, indicating a growing openness among the electorate to
consider alternative candidates or parties. Anti-incumbency sentiment against the current state
government, which has been in power for a considerable period, could also be a contributing factor
to this changing dynamic.37 However, the continued popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi at
the national level 36 is likely to provide a degree of support for the NDA candidates, including the
BJP nominee in this constituency. The voter sentiment in Hajipur appears to be in a state of
transition, with a strong historical leaning towards the BJP but increasing support for the
opposition, particularly the RJD. National-level political narratives and the overall performance of
the state government continue to hold sway over the electorate's preferences.

6. Winning Strategy:
●​ 6.1 Leveraging Caste Identity and Local Connection:​
For a Vaishya candidate contesting from the Hajipur Assembly Constituency, strategically leveraging
their caste identity and local connection is paramount. The candidate should actively engage with
the Vaishya community residing in Hajipur Nagar Parishad and the broader constituency. This can
be achieved through targeted community meetings, outreach to caste leaders and organizations,
and highlighting the candidate's understanding of the specific socio-economic needs and
aspirations of the Vaishya community. Emphasizing the significance of having representation from
their community in the state assembly can foster a sense of solidarity and encourage community
members to vote for one of their own. Simultaneously, the candidate's residence in Hajipur Nagar
Parishad should be highlighted to underscore their deep local roots and familiarity with the specific
issues affecting the urban population. This local connection can build trust and credibility among
voters within the Nagar Parishad area, showcasing the candidate's long-standing commitment to
the locality and their understanding of its unique challenges and opportunities.
●​ 6.2 Identifying and Targeting Key Voter Segments:​
A successful electoral strategy requires identifying and effectively targeting key voter segments
within the Hajipur Assembly Constituency. The candidate should prioritize mobilizing the Vaishya
caste voters, focusing on their specific needs and encouraging maximum participation. Outreach
efforts should also be directed towards the significant Scheduled Caste (SC) population (over 21%),
addressing their broader socio-economic concerns and potentially aligning with the prevailing
political sentiment within this community, perhaps by seeking support from influential Paswan
leaders like Chirag Paswan, given his current political prominence and NDA affiliation. Engaging with
 Muslim voters (around 8%) is also crucial. The candidate should reach out to community leaders and
members, addressing their specific concerns and ensuring their representation. Given the
substantial youth population (18-34 years), the campaign should utilize relevant platforms and
messages focusing on employment, education, and development to connect with this demographic.
Finally, considering that a majority of the voters reside in rural areas (around 67%), the campaign
must dedicate significant effort to understanding and addressing the concerns of this segment,
focusing on agricultural issues, rural infrastructure, and access to basic amenities.
●​ 6.3 Formulating Core Campaign Messages:​
The core campaign messages should be carefully formulated to resonate with the diverse electorate
of the Hajipur Assembly Constituency. A central slogan could be developed that emphasizes
both local identity and a vision for progress. Key messages should focus on the primary
concerns identified within the constituency, such as generating employment opportunities for the
youth, improving the infrastructure (roads, drainage, sanitation), ensuring better access to quality
healthcare and education, and providing support for the agricultural sector. The candidate should
consistently highlight their commitment to inclusive development, explicitly stating their intention to
address the needs of all communities within the constituency, including the Sonar caste, Scheduled
Castes, Muslims, and other social groups. If the candidate aligns with a major political alliance like
the NDA, the campaign should strategically leverage the alliance's national and state-level
achievements and the popularity of its leaders, particularly the recent Lok Sabha victory of Chirag
Paswan in Hajipur. Emphasizing the benefits of having a representative who is aligned with the ruling
coalition can be a persuasive message. Conversely, if the candidate chooses to run independently,
the core message should emphasize their local roots, their singular focus on the development of
Hajipur, and their commitment to being an independent voice for all constituents, free from the
constraints of party politics.
●​ 6.4 Developing Effective Campaign Tactics and Outreach Strategies:​
To effectively reach and engage with the voters, the candidate should employ a range of campaign
tactics and outreach strategies. Organizing well-attended public rallies in key urban and rural
centers of the constituency can help to build visibility and mobilize support. Holding smaller, more
focused community meetings specifically targeting the Vaishya caste, SC communities, Muslim
voters, and youth groups will allow for a more direct engagement and the addressing of specific
concerns. Door-to-door campaigning, especially in rural areas and within specific communities, is
crucial for personal interaction and building trust at the grassroots level. Utilizing social media and
digital platforms is essential for reaching younger voters and disseminating campaign messages
widely. Creating a strong and engaging online presence can facilitate communication, share
updates, and engage in online discussions with voters. Finally, exploring potential alliances with local
community leaders from various caste and religious groups, as well as considering collaborations
with smaller political parties or influential independent candidates, can help to broaden the
candidate's appeal and reach a wider segment of the electorate.
●​ 6.5 Addressing Potential Challenges and Counter-strategies:​
 The candidate will face several challenges in the Hajipur Assembly Constituency, including
countering the established presence of the BJP and their alliance with the LJP(RV). A strategy to
address this could involve acknowledging the BJP's historical strength but highlighting their
declining victory margins in recent elections.2 Focusing on local issues where the incumbent BJP
MLA might have underperformed or failed to meet the expectations of the voters and emphasizing
the need for fresh leadership and a new approach to development could resonate with some
segments of the electorate. The growing influence of the RJD 2 also presents a challenge. The
candidate should differentiate their platform by offering a unique perspective or focusing on issues
that might not be central to the RJD's campaign, thereby appealing to voters who might be hesitant
to support either of the two major parties. Given that the Vaishya caste might be smaller in number
compared to other dominant communities, a strong mobilization within this community is essential
to provide a dedicated base of support. The candidate should then focus on building broader
coalitions with other communities based on shared interests and concerns, emphasizing common
goals like development and employment.
●​ 6.6 Highlighting Candidate's Strengths:​
The candidate should consistently highlight their key strengths throughout the campaign. Being a
local resident of Hajipur Nagar Parishad provides an immediate connection with the local populace
and demonstrates a deep understanding of the constituency's specific urban and rural issues.
Emphasizing their identity as a member of the Sonar caste can resonate strongly with community
members who might feel underrepresented in the current political landscape and seek a voice for
their specific needs and aspirations. Any prior experience the candidate has in community work,
social activism, or local governance should be showcased to highlight their commitment to public
service and their ability to deliver on promises. Finally, the campaign should underscore the
candidate's personal qualities such as integrity, commitment, and a clear vision for the overall
development and progress of the Hajipur Assembly Constituency.

7. Conclusion and Recommendations:

The Hajipur Assembly Constituency presents a competitive electoral environment characterized by a

significant rural population, a diverse caste structure with notable SC and Muslim segments, and a
substantial youth electorate. Recent election trends indicate a weakening of the BJP's historical
dominance and the emergence of the RJD as a strong challenger. The recent Lok Sabha victory of
Chirag Paswan (LJP(RV), an NDA ally) adds another layer of complexity to the political dynamics. For a
Sonar caste candidate residing in Hajipur Nagar Parishad to achieve victory, a multi-faceted strategy is
essential. This strategy should focus on leveraging the candidate's local connection and caste identity to
mobilize initial support while simultaneously building broader coalitions across different communities by
addressing key local issues such as employment, infrastructure, education, and healthcare.

To implement this strategy effectively, the following actionable steps are recommended:
●​ Immediate Steps: Assemble a well-organized and dedicated campaign team. Conduct thorough
local surveys to gain a deeper understanding of the specific needs and concerns of various voter
segments within the constituency. Develop targeted campaign materials and messaging that
resonate with these diverse groups.
●​ Short-Term Steps: Initiate intensive community outreach programs, including focused meetings
with Sonar community members, Scheduled Caste leaders, Muslim representatives, youth
organizations, and rural residents. Launch a robust and engaging social media campaign to connect
with younger voters and disseminate key campaign messages. Begin a widespread door-to-door
campaigning effort in both urban and rural areas to establish personal connections with voters.
●​ Long-Term Steps: Cultivate strategic alliances with influential community leaders from different
caste and religious backgrounds, as well as explore potential collaborations with smaller political
parties or influential independent candidates. Continuously monitor voter feedback and adapt
campaign messages and policy proposals based on this input. Ensure a strong on-the-ground
presence and robust voter mobilization efforts in the lead-up to and on the day of the election.

By diligently implementing these recommendations and focusing on a campaign that is both

community-centric and strategically astute, the Vaishya caste candidate has a significant opportunity to
make a strong bid for victory in the Hajipur Assembly Constituency.

Key Tables:
1.​ Table: Hajipur Assembly Election Results (2020 & 2015)

Candidate Party Votes Vote % Margin Votes Vote % Margin

Name (2020) (2020) (2020) (2015) (2015) (2015)

Awadhesh BJP 85,552 44.96 2,990 86,773 48.6 12,195

Singh

Deo Kumar RJD 82,562 43.39 - - - -

Chaurasia

Jagannath INC - - - 74,578 41.8 -

Prasad Rai

Ajit Kumar IND 5,242 2.75 - - - -

Dheeraj IND 3,180 1.67 - - - -

Kumar Roy
2.​ Table: Caste Demographics of Hajipur Assembly Constituency (Based on Voter List Analysis -
2020)

Hajipur Caste Estimates

Category Castes Population Percent
Rajput 7216 2
Brahmin 5938 2
General
Bhumihar 28867 8
Kayasth 12629 4
Muslim 18042 5
Yadav 82993 22.5
Koeri 19846 6
OBC
Kurmi 10825 3
Other 18042 5
Mallah 16598 5
Teli 1488 0
EBC Noniya 4185 1
Kanu 7216 2
Other 10825 3
Chamar 17320 5
SC Dusadh 61342 16.5
Other 7216 2
Other 29949 8
Total 360543 100

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