DFP Poll For Semafor
DFP Poll For Semafor
primary voters
using SMS and web panel respondents. The sample was weighted to be representative of likely voters by age, gender,
education, race, geography, and vote history. The survey was conducted in English. The margin of error associated with
the sample size is ±4 percentage points. Results for subgroups of the sample are subject to increased margins of error.
Partisanship reflected intabulations is based on self-identified party affiliation, not partisan registration. For more
information please visit dataforprogress.org/our-methodology.
Oversamples of respondents in NY-10 and NY-15 were conducted to achieve minimum 100 interviews in each
congressional district and weighted to ensure proportional representation of New York City Democratic primary voters.
N=531 unless otherwise specified. Some values may not add up to 100 due to rounding.
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +62
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +60
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +55
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +42
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +27
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +25
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE ...................................7
.........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +22
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +17
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +7
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +3
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . −12
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . −35
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . −62
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . −64
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
.........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . −86
...........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . (TOTAL)
UNFAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .(NET)
FAVORABLE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +35
...........
[3] Of the following issues, choose the ones that played a . . . . . . . . . . housing
Affordable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74%
..........
role in your vote for the 2025 New York City Democratic
. . . . . . . . . costs
Lowering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
..........
primary for mayor. Select all that apply.
. . . . . . and
Crime . . . . public
. . . . . . safety
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57
..........
. . . . . . .care
Health . . . . access
. . . . . . .and
. . . costs
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
..........
. . . . . . transportation
Public . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
Education ..........
. . . . . . . . . . . . . .issues
Environmental . . . . . .and
. . . .climate
. . . . . . .change
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45
..........
. . . . . . . . .jobs
Creating . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
..........
. . . . . . . . . . . .and
Immigration . . . .border
. . . . . . security
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
..........
. . . . foreign
U.S. . . . . . . . policy
. . . . . .and
. . . .relations
. . . . . . . . with
. . . . Israel
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
..........
. . . . . .of
None . . the
. . . .above
. . . . . played
. . . . . . .a. role
. . . . in
. . .my
. . .vote
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4. . . . . . . . .
[4] You indicated that U.S. foreign policy and relations . . . .should
We . . . . . . reduce
. . . . . . . U.S.
. . . .support
. . . . . . . .for
. . .Israel.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78%
..........
with Israel played a role in your vote for the 2025 New York
We should increase or maintain U.S. support for
City Democratic primary for mayor. Which of the following
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Israel. ..........
best describes your view, even if neither is exactly right?
(N=141) . . . . . .know
Don't . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1. . . . . . . . .
[5] You indicated that you voted for Zohran Mamdani in This was important to me, and swayed how I voted.
the 2025 Democratic primary for New York City mayor. For . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
..........
each of the following, state the extent to which it a ected
This was important to me, but didn't really sway
your decision to vote for him: . . . . .I .voted.
how . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
..........
[7] You indicated that you voted for Zohran Mamdani in This was important to me, and swayed how I voted.
the 2025 Democratic primary for New York City mayor. For . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
..........
each of the following, state the extent to which it a ected
This was important to me, but didn't really sway
your decision to vote for him: . . . . .I .voted.
how . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
..........
(N=232)
(Displayed to respondent's that voted for Zohran Mamdani
in the 2025 Democratic primary for New York City mayor)
[8] You indicated that you voted for Zohran Mamdani in This was important to me, and swayed how I voted.
the 2025 Democratic primary for New York City mayor. For . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89%
..........
each of the following, state the extent to which it a ected
This was important to me, but didn't really sway
your decision to vote for him: . . . . .I .voted.
how . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7. . . . . . . . .
[9] You indicated that you voted for Zohran Mamdani in This was important to me, and swayed how I voted.
the 2025 Democratic primary for New York City mayor. For . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
..........
each of the following, state the extent to which it a ected
This was important to me, but didn't really sway
your decision to vote for him: . . . . .I .voted.
how . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
..........
[10] You indicated that you voted for Zohran Mamdani in This was important to me, and swayed how I voted.
the 2025 Democratic primary for New York City mayor. For . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
..........
each of the following, state the extent to which it a ected
This was important to me, but didn't really sway
your decision to vote for him: . . . . .I .voted.
how . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
..........
[12] You indicated that you voted for Zohran Mamdani in This was important to me, and swayed how I voted.
the 2025 Democratic primary for New York City mayor. For . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
..........
each of the following, state the extent to which it a ected
This was important to me, but didn't really sway
your decision to vote for him: . . . . .I .voted.
how . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
..........
[13] You indicated that you voted for Zohran Mamdani in This was important to me, and swayed how I voted.
the 2025 Democratic primary for New York City mayor. For . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86%
..........
each of the following, state the extent to which it a ected
This was important to me, but didn't really sway
your decision to vote for him: . . . . .I .voted.
how . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
..........
(N=232)
(Displayed to respondent's that voted for Zohran Mamdani
in the 2025 Democratic primary for New York City mayor)
[14] You indicated that you voted for Zohran Mamdani in This was important to me, and swayed how I voted.
the 2025 Democratic primary for New York City mayor. For . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
..........
each of the following, state the extent to which it a ected
This was important to me, but didn't really sway
your decision to vote for him: . . . . .I .voted.
how . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
..........
[16] For each of the following, please say whether you . . . . much
Too . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%
..........
think their support for Israel is too much, too little, or the
. . . . right
The . . . . .amount
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
..........
right amount:
. . . . little
Too . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6. . . . . . . . .
— The U.S. federal government
. . . . . .know
Don't . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
..........
[18] For each of the following, please say whether you . . . . much
Too . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66%
..........
think their support for Israel is too much, too little, or the
. . . . right
The . . . . .amount
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
..........
right amount:
. . . . little
Too . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
..........
— Donald Trump
. . . . . .know
Don't . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
..........
[19] For each of the following, please say whether you . . . . much
Too . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
..........
think their support for Israel is too much, too little, or the
. . . . right
The . . . . .amount
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
..........
right amount:
. . . . little
Too . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7. . . . . . . . .
— Chuck Schumer
. . . . . .know
Don't . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
..........
[20] For each of the following, please say whether you . . . . much
Too . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
..........
think their support for Israel is too much, too little, or the
. . . . right
The . . . . .amount
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
..........
right amount:
. . . . little
Too . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4. . . . . . . . .
— Hakeem Jeffries
. . . . . .know
Don't . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
..........
[21] From what you know about the situation in the . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Israelis ..........
Middle East, do your sympathies lie more with the
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
Palestinians ..........
Palestinians or the Israelis?
. . . . . .know
Don't . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
..........
[22] Which policy regarding U.S. weapons to Israel do you The U.S. should continue delivering weapons to
prefer, even if neither is exactly right? Israel to support Israel's right to defend itself
against terrorism and complete its war aims in
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Gaza. ..........
The U.S. should restrict taxpayer-funded weapons
to Israel until it stops attacking civilians in Gaza,
supports Palestinian rights, and commits to a long-
. . . . . peace
term . . . . . . process.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
..........
. . . . . .know
Don't . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7. . . . . . . . .
[23] Do you believe Israel is committing genocide against Yes, Israel is committing genocide against
the Palestinian people living in Gaza? . . . . . . . . . . .people
Palestinian . . . . . . in
. . .Gaza
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78%
..........
No, Israel is not committing genocide against
. . . . . . . . . . .people
Palestinian . . . . . . in
. . .Gaza
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
..........
. . . . . .know
Don't . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9. . . . . . . . .
[24] The International Criminal Court (ICC) charged and NYC's next mayor should enforce the arrest
issued an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%
warrant ..........
Benjamin Netanyahu for alleged war crimes in Gaza,
NYC's next mayor should not enforce the arrest
including using starvation as a weapon of war. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
warrant ..........
. . . . . .know
Don't . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
..........
Do you believe New York City's next mayor should enforce
the arrest warrant against Netanyahu if he were to visit
New York City?
Page 8/10 (462PZE)
[25] Do you agree or disagree with the following . . . . . . . . agree
Strongly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71%
..........
statement:
. . . . . . . . . . agree
Somewhat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
..........
"The $30 billion in U.S. taxpayer dollars used to pay for . . . . . . . . . . disagree
Somewhat .......................................3
.........
weapons to Israel over the last 20 months would be better . . . . . . . . disagree
Strongly .........................................9
.........
spent lowering costs and supporting Americans struggling
. . . . sure
Not .............................................1
.........
to a ord basics of life like groceries, housing, and
healthcare." (N=270)
. . . . . . .(TOTAL)
AGREE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86%
..........
(SPLIT A)
. . . . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
DISAGREE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
..........
. . . . . . .(NET)
AGREE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . +74
...........
— The candidate opposes the Block the Bombs Act, a new . . . . . . LIKELY
MORE . . . . . . .(TOTAL)
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
..........
bill in Congress which would withhold U.S. weapons to . . . . . LIKELY
LESS . . . . . . (TOTAL)
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
..........
Israel and address concerns about Israel's violations of U.S. . . . . . . LIKELY
MORE . . . . . . .(NET)
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . −24
...........
and international law