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Aviation Finance Overview 2016

Myanmar Presentation, by Paul Ng from Milbank. Topics: Aviation Finance history, current situation and forecasts.

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Mr Renewables
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
1K views32 pages

Aviation Finance Overview 2016

Myanmar Presentation, by Paul Ng from Milbank. Topics: Aviation Finance history, current situation and forecasts.

Uploaded by

Mr Renewables
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 32

1

INTRODUCTION TO
AVIATION FINANCE

Paul Ng
April, 2016
Partner, Milbank
History of commercial aviation

• 1 January 1914 – world’s first commercial flight with one commercial passenger on one commercial flight

• 1 January 2014 – an estimated 8 million people flew on nearly 100,000 flights on that day

• Statistics from IATA, show that some 3.1 billion people flew in 2013, surpassing the 3 billion mark for the first time ever

• About 50 million tonnes of cargo is transported by air each year (about 140,000 tonnes daily). The annual value of these goods is some
$6.4 trillion—or 35% of the value of goods traded internationally.

• Aviation supports over 57 million jobs and generates $2.2 trillion in economic activity. The industry’s direct economic contribution of
around $540 billion would, if translated into the GDP ranking of countries, place the industry in 19th position.

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IATA Outlook

• ​IATA’s airline industry outlook for 2016 - average net profit margin of 5.1% with total net profits of $36.3 billion

• The strengthening industry performance is being driven by a combination of factors:

• Lower oil prices

• Strong demand for passenger travel (+6.7% growth in 2015 and +6.9% in 2016)

• Stronger economic performance in some key economies (including a faster than expected recovery in the Eurozone) is outweighing the
overall impact of slower growth in China and the downturn in the Brazilian economy

• Efficiency gains by airlines are illustrated by record high load factors (80.6% in 2015, tapering slightly to 80.4% in 2016). Capacity is
increasing and is expected to move ahead of demand growth in 2016.

• Profits for the Asia-Pacific region expected to grow from $5.8 billion in 2015 to $6.6 billion in 2016.

• Passenger capacity growth is expected to accelerate from 6.0% in 2015 to 8.4% in 2016 as new aircraft are delivered largely to
accommodate growth in the major emerging markets of India, Indonesia and China.

3
What is Asset Finance?

• Financing of specific assets or equipment

• As opposed to a project, or a whole business

• May be single assets, or portfolio

• Bank

• Leasing company

• Capital Markets, via trustee

• May be loan or lease, or both combined

• “Security” over asset very important

4
Aircraft

• Used and traded globally: “dollar assets”, traded and financed in US dollars

• Very long useful life, 25 to 30 years

• Very high cost – Airbus A320 $88 million; Boeing 737-800 $90 million; Boeing B747-800 $350 million; Airbus
A380 $390 million

• Mobile and potentially dangerous – risk of third party liability

• Global financing market – London, New York, Paris, Frankfurt, Hong Kong and Tokyo

5
Cornerstone of Aircraft Financing

Bank Debt

Leasing Export Credit


Companies

Capital
Markets

• Each financing source is susceptible to both credit market and regulatory shocks which can
reduce the supply and increase the cost of financing

• A diverse funding strategy would be prudent for airlines / lessors

6
Sources of Aircraft Financing

7
Evolution of Aircraft Banking

• The 1960s – 1980s: US Banks lead the way

• Wells Fargo; Chase; Citibank; Bankers Trust; The Bank of America

• The 1980s: Japan to the forefront

• Sumitomo Bank; Fuji Bank; IBJ; Nissho Iwai

• The 1990s – today: European banks take over

• KfW; Calyon; DVB; Natixis; BNP Paribas; Royal Bank of Scotland; HSH Nordbank

• Regional Variants

• Primary source of debt for deliveries in China is Chinese banks – ICBC; China Merchant Bank; Bank of China; China Development Bank;
Agricultural Bank of China; China Construction Bank

• Chinese banks starting to establish a global presence and fund internationally – ICBC provided debt to Korean Air, Lufthansa, British
Airways; CCB to Emirates; Bank of China to Qantas, for instance

8
The Banks

• Many banks worldwide specialize in aircraft finance to airlines

• London a major centre for bank financing

• Usually part of larger transportation finance, structured finance or project finance division

• Banks include Citi, Deutsche, SMBC, BNP, CACIB, Natixis

9
Secured Loan – Basic Structure Documentation

10
Finance Lease – Basic Structure Documentation

11
Finance Lease – Basic Structure Documentation (Cont’d)

12
Common Features

• Special Purpose Companies

• Limited Recourse

• Engine Interchange

• Hull, Hull War and Liability Insurance

• Hull cover provides hedge v third party claims

• Hell and high water clause

• Quiet enjoyment from lessor and mortgagee

• Interest Rate Swaps

13
Security

• Aircraft mortgage

• Security Assignment of lease and hull insurances

• Charge over bank account

• Legal opinion of legal counsel v important

• Import of aircraft

• Local filings

• Ability to repossess, deregister, export

• Withholding tax on lease rentals, documentary taxes

• Advice on strict liability of owner

14
Role of Manufacturers in Financing

• Backstop Financing – secured loans or leases

• Asset Value Guarantees or Residual Value Guarantees

• Product Warranties assignable to financier

15
Role of Export Credit Agencies in Financing

• Credit Support – Loan or guarantees to support bank loans

• US: Eximbank

• Europe: ECGD, COFACE, HERMES (UK, France, Germany)

• Canada: EDC

• Brazil: Ex-Finamex

• Must qualify as exports

16
Illustrative Structure for an ECA Guaranteed Loan
The following represents an indicative structure of an ECA-supported financing for commercial aircraft

17
2011 ASU Premiums – Past and Present

18
Calculation of Premium Rates

19
Leasing Companies

• Purchase aircraft in bulk from manufacturer

• Negotiate packages of leases with airlines, usually operating leases

• GECAS (GE Capital Aviation Services) a subsidiary of GE Capital, based Shannon


and Stamford, Connecticut

• ILFC (International Lease Finance Corporation) previously a subsidiary of AIG,


based Los Angeles – now purchased by AerCap

• AerCap a Dutch/Irish based lessor, listed on NYSE

• SMBC Aviation based in Japan, acquired RBS Aerospace, so large presence in Dublin

• Avolon Dublin based lessor

• BOC Aviation based Singapore

• Some banks also provide operating lease finance

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Increasing Ownership by Lessors

21
Operating Leases

• Lessor keeps main risks and rewards of ownership

• Five year lease of Boeing 737 at a fixed monthly rental of $220,000

• At expiry, airline will hand back aircraft

• Lessor takes residual value risk and reward

• Ongoing maintenance covenants and return conditions very important

• Lessor may take security deposit

• Lessee pays monthly maintenance reserves

• Fixed or floating rate monthly rent

22
Operating Lease – Basic Structure Documentation

23
Finance Leases

• Risks and rewards of ownership transferred to lessee

• Full pay-out lease – repay entire initial cost plus interest

• Functional equivalent of a loan

• 10 to 12 years in Europe and Asia, up to 25 years in USA

• Lessee has purchase option at end of lease, at nominal cost

24
Tax Benefit and Balance Sheet

• Banks have greater taxable profits than airlines

• Banks may claim depreciation benefits or allowances to offset against profit

• Airlines may get off balance sheet treatment

25
Cape Town Convention

• Concept of international interest

• Sale agreement, lease or mortgage

• Virtual international registry

• Improved relief on solvency of airlines

• Key to cheaper financing

• Ratified in many key aviation centers – US, Canada, China, India, Ireland, UK,
Ireland, Myanmar

• Protocols for rolling stock and satellites under development

26
Recent Developments

• Banking Crisis – European banks hit by liquidity difficulties and risk aversion. Most withdrew from market for new
loans, leading to lack of commercial debt for new deliveries

• Export Credit

• Increased during credit crises as commercial debt decreased. EX-IM provided $3.7m support in 2008, $7.9m by
2010, and over $12m in 2011 for Being deliveries

• European ECAs similarly increased

• Support either by providing guarantees to commercial lenders, or a direct loan from the credit agency

• Controversial – not available to all (“home market rule” observed by US and EU (UK, France, Germany, Spain) but
not by Canada or Brazil))

• Increased regulatory supervision of bank activity

• Basel III – potentially increases costs to bank lending

• FACTCA – potentially reduces payments to bank

• Anti-money laundering; Anti-Terrorism; Anti-Corruption Laws – potentially subjects the bank to criminal and civil
sanctions including fines

27
Recent Developments

• Increased reliance on Capital Markets

• US airlines have used capital market products successfully for many years.

• “Enhanced Equipment Trust Certificates” raised $10.2bn for US airlines in 2001. Fell off in mid-2000s because of cheaper European
debt. Back up after 2010 with over eight international airline issuances (not just US airlines).

• Recovered much faster than debt markets after financial crisis

• Relies on “enhancements” to airline credit rating – including liquidity facility to ensure payments of interest, tranching, and strong
repossession/bankruptcy protection in the US

• US “Section 1110” bankruptcy protection for airlines – specific tool to allow financing to airlines. American Airlines successfully issues
EETCs when in Chapter 11 proceedings!

• Overseas EETCs

• Long been mooted as non-US airlines look to access capital markets. Quasi-EETC products in early 2000s (Iberbonds, AirFrans)

• First “modern” foreign EETC – Doric Alpha 2012 (Emirates Airline; Doric Alpha as operating lessor; 24-month liquidity facility; relies on
Cape Town Convention as providing functional equivalent to s1110)

• 2013 BA EETC – first non-US EETC without benefit of Cape Town Convention.

• Others?

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What do we do

• “All of the above”

Financing and Leasing Material Contracts Regulatory and Other Advice

• Predelivery Financing • Acquisition/Divestment • Cape Town

• Finance/Operating Leasing • Maintenance; Power by the Hour; • Insurance


FCPH, Time and Material

• Financing through Banks and • Training Facility • Claims


other Financial Institutions
• Financing through Capital • Simulator Facility • Sanctions advice
Markets
• Equity Investment and Quasi • Setting up of Maintenance Facilities • Emissions Trading
Equity Investments
• Air Services Treaty

• Sales, acquisitions, joint ventures and restructurings involving airlines, lessors and banks; setting up of airlines and
aircraft leasing companies etc.

• Assets: commercial passenger and cargo aircraft; business/corporate jets; engines; simulators; satellites; rockets;
drones; vessels; ships; submarines; trains; locomotives; computer switching devices and other moveable assets

29
Awards

• Ranked # 1 (Chambers Global and Legal 500)

• Award Winning Team

• 2015 Awards Global Transport Finance Awards

• AVIATION ABS DEAL OF THE YEAR - EUROPE : Aldus Aviation Limited

• AVIATION ABS DEAL OF THE YEAR – ASIA: Bank of China Aviation

• EETC DEAL OF THE YEAR – EUROPE: Turkish Airlines

• EETC DEAL OF THE YEAR – NORTH AMERICA: American Airlines

• EETC DEAL OF THE YEAR – LATIN AMERICA: LATAM Airlines

• GLOBAL AVIATION M&A WITH FINANCE DEAL OF THE YEAR: AWAS / Macquarie

“Simply fantastic…”
- CHAMBERS

30
Our Worldwide Offices

Beijing London New York Tokyo


Units 05-06,15th Floor, Tower 2 10 Gresham Street 1 Chase Manhattan Plaza 21F Midtown Tower
China Central Place London EC2V 7JD New York, NY 10005 9-7-1 Akasaka, Minato-ku
79 Jianguo Road United Kingdom +1-212-530-5000 Tokyo 107-6221
Chaoyang District +44-20-7615-3000 Japan
Beijing 100025, China
+86-10-5969-2700

Frankfurt Los Angeles São Paulo Washington, DC


Taunusanlage 15 601 South Figueroa Street Rua Colombia, 325 1850 K Street, NW
Frankfurt am Main 60325 30th Floor Jardim América Suite 1100
Germany Los Angeles, CA 90017 São Paulo 01438-000 Brazil Washington, DC 20006
+49-69-71914-3400 +1-213-892-4000 +55-11-3927-7701 +1-202-835-7500

Hong Kong Munich Singapore Seoul


30/F Alexandra House Maximilianstraße 15 12 Marina Boulevard Level 33, Three IFC
18 Chater Raod (Maximilianhöfe) Marina Bay Financial Centre 10 Gukjegeumyung-ro,
Central, Hong Kong Munich 80539 Germany #36-03 Tower 3 Youngdeungpo-gu
+852-2971-4888 +49-89-25559-3600 Singapore 018982 Seoul 150-945 Korea

www.milbank.com

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