PAIR
Surebets between 1xBet and Polymarket
Over the period September 11 – October 11, 2026, the Dozor scanner found 78,685 surebets between 1xBet and Polymarket: median life 4.0 s, 7.5% lasted over a minute, median peak ROI 3.0%. Polymarket is an exchange: its price moves with traders’ orders rather than a bookmaker’s algorithm, so it lags behind 1xBet after in-game events and the gaps last longer. The pair diverges most often on the “Winner” market (85% of its surebets), mostly in CS2; 81% were found live.
| Surebets in window | 78,685 |
|---|---|
| Live | 81% |
| Median lifetime | 4.0 s |
| Over a minute | 5,914 (7.5%) |
| Median peak ROI | 3.0% |
| 1xBet | bookmaker, USD, 1,442,953 surebets in the window overall — page |
| Polymarket | exchange, USD, 645,309 surebets in the window overall — page |
Markets where they diverge
| Market | Surebets | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Winner | 66,837 | 85% |
| Total | 6,890 | 8.8% |
| Handicap | 4,877 | 6.2% |
| Total kills | 80 | 0.1% |
| First blood | 1 | 0.0% |
By game
| Game | Surebets |
|---|---|
| CS2 | 40,882 |
| League of Legends | 20,023 |
| Dota 2 | 13,390 |
| Valorant | 2,955 |
| Rainbow Six | 899 |
What to check before betting on this pair
- Both books’ settlement rules for the market: overtime, walkovers, how kills are counted. The same market name does not mean the same rules.
- Both accounts use the same currency (USD), no conversion needed.
- The age of both prices in the scanner card: with a median life of 4.0 s, a surebet with a stale leg has most likely closed already.
More pairs with frequent arbs
- 1xBet and Thunderpick
- Olimp and Polymarket
- Olimp and 1xBet
- 1win and 1xBet
- Duel and 1xBet
- Duel and Polymarket
- BetBoom and 1xBet
- Gamdom and 1xBet
Data: Dozor surebet history for September 11 – October 11, 2026, 4,877,065 records; the method is in the article “How Long Does a Surebet Last?”. The service is analytical: it does not accept bets and does not guarantee profit. 18+.