Skip to content

bug: Chronos quantiles warning #268

@biiiipy

Description

@biiiipy

Initial Checklist

What happened?

When passing level to forecast function, for Chronos it outputs warning about wrong quantiles. Simply take a look at this issue - https://github.com/AzulGarza/timecopilot/issues/262 :

tcf1 = TimeCopilotForecaster(
    models=[
        Chronos(repo_id="amazon/chronos-bolt-mini"),
    ]
)

fcst_df_missing = tcf1.forecast(df=df_missing, h=30, level=[80, 90])
Quantiles to be predicted ([0.04999999999999999, 0.09999999999999998, 0.9, 0.95]) are not within the range of quantiles that Chronos-Bolt was trained on ([0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9]). Quantile predictions will be set to the minimum/maximum levels at which Chronos-Bolt was trained on. This may significantly affect the quality of the predictions.

Relevant log output

Environment

timecopilot==0.0.22

Metadata

Metadata

Assignees

No one assigned

    Labels

    bugSomething isn't working

    Type

    No type

    Projects

    No projects

    Milestone

    No milestone

    Relationships

    None yet

    Development

    No branches or pull requests

    Issue actions