United States Department of Agriculture 

Foreign Agricultural Service 
January 10, 2020 
 

Livestock and Poultry: 
World Markets and Trade 
 
   

    New Publication and Data Release Schedule 
 
 

Starting with this circular, Livestock and Poultry estimates will be published four times per year  
(January, April, July, October) for selected countries.  
 
However, all countries will be updated in April and October.  
 
The next release of this circular is April 9, 2020.  
 
 
 

   
Country/Commodities for               Table of Contents 
January and July Releases  
Beef and Veal 
Chicken 
COUNTRIES Beef Pork Overview………….......………………………………  2 
Meat
Angola x Cattle and Beef Summary Tables.…….……  3 
 
Argentina x
Australia x Pork 
Brazil x x x Overview………………………………….....…………  7 
Canada x x x Swine and Pork Summary Tables……………  8 
 
China x x x
Chicken Meat   
Cuba x
EU x x x Overview………………….............…………………  12 
Hong Kong x x Chicken Meat Summary Tables ………..……  13 
 
Iraq x
Japan x x x Notes to Readers…………...……….……………  15 
 
Mexico x x x
New Zealand x
Philippines x x
Saudi Arabia x
South Africa x
South Korea x x x
Thailand x
United States x x x

  Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA 
For email subscription, click here to register:  https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/new 
 Beef and Veal

Selected revisions from the October 2019 Forecast:

Argentina: Production in 2019 and 2020 is revised higher due to rising cattle slaughter driven
by robust export demand. Exports for 2019 and 2020 are revised upward as packers will
continue to capitalize on Chinese market opportunities stemming from shifts in animal protein
supplies and consumption spurred by African Swine Fever (ASF) outbreaks. In addition to a
favorable exchange rate supporting competitive prices in the global market, a weak economy
has depressed domestic beef consumption generating an uptick in exportable supplies. These
factors are expected to more than offset the impact of higher export taxes announced in
December 2019.

Australia: For 2019, expected exports are revised higher to over 1.8 million tons on stronger-
than-expected demand, particularly from China. The ongoing drought has bolstered cattle
slaughter, which is also revised upward, generating greater exportable beef supplies. The beef
production and export forecasts for 2020 are raised.

Brazil: Exports for 2019 totalled nearly 2.4 million tons. The export forecast for 2020 is
revised marginally lower to 2.6 million tons. Higher-than-expected beef prices in 2020 will
dampen domestic consumption which is forecast down 2 percent. Despite a slight downward
revision (2 percent), the 2020 production forecast remains at a record level (10.6 million tons).

China: Imports for 2019 are revised lower on weaker-than-expected demand. Imports for
2020 are unchanged.

Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 2 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Beef and Veal Production - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
Oct Jan Oct Jan

none
Production
Argentina 2,840 3,050 3,040 3,120 3,125 3,150
Australia 2,149 2,306 2,300 2,450 2,080 2,085
Brazil 9,550 9,900 10,210 10,225 10,800 10,585
Canada 1,201 1,265 1,330 1,350 1,325 1,370
China 6,346 6,440 6,850 6,850 6,625 6,625
European Union 7,869 8,003 7,910 7,875 7,780 7,780
Hong Kong 6 6 6 6 5 5
Japan 469 475 475 470 470 475
Korea, South 281 279 289 280 296 295
Mexico 1,925 1,980 2,030 2,020 2,070 2,065
New Zealand 654 672 686 686 685 679
Others 15,754 15,845 13,725 1,367 13,981 13,981
Total Foreign 49,044 50,221 36,493 49,223 49,242 49,095
United States 11,943 12,256 12,289 12,381 12,619 12,514
Total 60,987 62,477 48,782 61,604 61,861 61,609
none
Total Dom. Consumption
Argentina 2,547 2,562 2,360 2,372 2,365 2,325
Australia 677 656 655 637 650 627
Brazil 7,750 7,866 8,003 7,914 8,240 8,047
Canada 981 999 967 1,012 935 985
China 7,313 7,910 9,233 9,133 9,508 9,508
European Union 7,838 8,024 7,905 7,862 7,785 7,775
Hong Kong 549 547 356 356 355 355
Japan 1,273 1,320 1,345 1,332 1,360 1,360
Korea, South 818 853 926 892 942 920
Mexico 1,841 1,872 1,880 1,865 1,890 1,880
New Zealand 74 51 50 50 49 50
Others 15,344 15,799 13,628 1,792 13,551 13,551
Total Foreign 47,005 48,459 35,472 47,076 47,630 47,383
United States 12,052 12,180 12,240 12,408 12,422 12,321
Total 59,057 60,639 47,712 59,484 60,052 59,704

Notes: Includes meat of other bovines for certain countries. India includes carabeef (water buffalo). From 2019, the following countries
are excluded: Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Oman, Peru, Singapore, Turkey, and Venezuela. The notation of a month beneath a year conveys
the month in which the forecast for that year was released.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 3 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Beef and Veal Trade - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
Oct Jan Oct Jan

none
Total Imports
Argentina 0 19 20 17 15 15
Australia 13 12 12 12 12 12
Brazil 56 48 43 45 40 42
Canada 239 245 200 215 190 215
China 974 1,467 2,400 2,300 2,900 2,900
European Union 337 373 355 357 355 355
Hong Kong 543 541 350 350 350 350
Japan 813 862 880 870 890 890
Korea, South 531 582 635 610 645 625
Mexico 196 202 205 200 210 205
New Zealand 13 12 14 13 15 13
Others 2,904 2,997 2,782 440 2,757 2,757
Total Foreign 6,619 7,360 5,554 7,788 8,379 8,379
United States 1,358 1,360 1,374 1,388 1,302 1,306
Total 7,977 8,720 6,928 9,176 9,681 9,685
none
Total Exports
Argentina 293 507 700 765 775 840
Australia 1,485 1,662 1,657 1,825 1,442 1,470
Brazil 1,856 2,082 2,250 2,356 2,600 2,580
Canada 461 502 570 560 590 610
China 17 17 17 17 17 17
European Union 368 352 360 370 350 360
Hong Kong 0 0 0 0 0 0
Japan 4 5 6 6 6 6
Korea, South 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mexico 280 310 355 355 390 390
New Zealand 593 633 650 649 651 642
Others 3,314 3,063 2,879 15 3,187 3,187
Total Foreign 8,671 9,133 6,580 9,942 10,008 10,102
United States 1,297 1,434 1,418 1,372 1,499 1,499
Total 9,968 10,567 7,998 11,314 11,507 11,601

Notes: Includes meat of other bovines for certain countries. Indian exports are carabeef (water buffalo). From 2019, the following
countries are excluded: Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Oman, Peru, Singapore, Turkey, and Venezuela. The notation of a month beneath a year
conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 4 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Cattle Stocks - Selected Countries Summary
(in 1,000 head)
2017 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
Oct Jan Oct Jan

none
Total Cattle Beg. Stks
Argentina 53,515 53,715 53,805 53,805 54,085 53,685
Australia 24,971 26,176 25,734 25,734 24,484 23,934
Brazil 226,045 232,350 238,158 238,158 244,143 244,150
Canada 11,535 11,565 11,440 11,440 11,075 11,045
China 88,345 90,387 90,000 90,000 87,500 87,500
European Union 89,152 88,819 87,407 87,407 86,080 86,250
Japan 3,822 3,842 3,835 3,835 3,845 3,850
Korea, South 3,381 3,429 3,521 3,521 3,592 3,629
Mexico 16,490 16,584 16,699 16,699 16,900 16,920
New Zealand 10,152 10,146 10,107 10,107 10,128 10,103
Others 363,025 364,651 351,311 18,050 353,268 353,268
Total Foreign 890,433 901,664 558,756 892,017 895,100 894,334
United States 93,625 94,298 94,760 94,760 94,950 94,700
Total 984,058 995,962 653,516 986,777 990,050 989,034
none
Production (Calf Crop)
Argentina 14,200 14,650 14,780 14,780 14,900 14,900
Australia 9,700 9,100 8,700 8,700 8,500 8,400
Brazil 48,735 49,500 50,490 50,490 51,500 51,500
Canada 4,348 4,292 4,325 4,325 4,400 4,400
China 48,800 47,500 48,500 48,500 49,500 49,500
European Union 29,550 28,800 28,350 28,350 28,300 28,300
Japan 1,201 1,224 1,225 1,225 1,230 1,230
Korea, South 932 968 982 991 1,000 1,028
Mexico 7,485 7,700 7,900 7,900 8,105 8,105
New Zealand 4,728 4,895 4,915 4,915 4,855 4,875
Others 86,832 87,280 83,650 6,590 84,150 84,150
Total Foreign 256,511 255,909 176,757 253,826 256,440 256,388
United States 35,758 36,403 36,300 36,300 36,200 36,200
Total 292,269 292,312 213,057 290,126 292,640 292,588

Notes: May contain other bovines. From 2019, Turkey is excluded. The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which
the forecast for that year was released.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 5 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Cattle Trade - Selected Countries Summary
(in 1,000 head)
2017 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
Oct Jan Oct Jan

none
Total Imports
Argentina 0 0 0 0 0 0
Australia 0 0 0 0 0 0
Brazil 0 0 0 0 0 0
Canada 141 202 210 260 210 250
China 121 168 160 160 170 170
European Union 0 0 0 0 0 0
Japan 15 14 15 15 15 15
Korea, South 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mexico 32 24 27 27 28 28
New Zealand 0 0 0 0 0 0
Others 1,213 1,802 452 110 382 382
Total Foreign 1,522 2,210 522 914 805 845
United States 1,807 1,899 2,050 2,030 2,150 2,065
Total 3,329 4,109 2,572 2,944 2,955 2,910
none
Total Exports
Argentina 0 0 0 0 0 0
Australia 885 1,151 1,150 1,300 900 900
Brazil 407 785 630 554 650 605
Canada 642 631 710 730 700 700
China 19 19 17 17 15 15
European Union 1,028 1,005 950 975 920 920
Japan 0 0 0 0 0 0
Korea, South 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mexico 1,203 1,278 1,350 1,330 1,400 1,400
New Zealand 27 17 17 22 17 20
Others 436 500 277 25 302 302
Total Foreign 4,647 5,386 4,849 5,205 4,904 4,862
United States 193 244 265 295 265 285
Total 4,840 5,630 5,114 5,500 5,169 5,147

Notes: May contain other bovines. From 2019, Turkey is excluded. The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which
the forecast for that year was released.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 6 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Pork

Selected revisions from the October 2019 Forecast:

Canada: Exports are revised up 8 percent in 2020 after China removed restrictions on imports
of Canadian beef and pork in November. China accounted for one-third of Canada’s exports in
the first half of 2019, but exports struggled during the second half due to the loss in market
access. Production is revised 2 percent higher in 2020 on improved export prospects.

China: Pork production is revised up nearly 4 percent in 2020 on strong gains in average
carcass weights and, to a lesser extent, slaughter. Motivated by record profits, producers are
finishing animals at higher weights to maximize pork output. However, a sharply lower breeding
herd and continued impacts from African Swine Fever (ASF) will drive production 23 percent
lower year-over-year in 2020. Pork imports are unchanged at 2.6 million tons in 2019 and
revised up 200,000 tons to 3.7 million tons in 2020. The United States, Canada, and Brazil all
stand to increase market share in China this year; however, the European Union is expected to
remain the dominant supplier.

European Union: Exports are revised 6 percent higher in 2019 on strong second-half
shipments to China. Monthly exports reached a record 400,000 tons in October with exports to
China quadrupling year-over-year to 250,000 tons. 2020 exports are unchanged at a record 3.9
million tons. Pork production forecasts are revised marginally lower on reduced slaughter.

Mexico: Imports are revised down 2 and 3 percent in 2019 and 2020 respectively. A weak
economy has slowed gains in pork consumption while growth in domestic production has
reduced demand for imports. Despite the removal of retaliatory tariffs on U.S. pork last spring,
imports have been slow to rebound.

Philippines: Pork production is lowered 2 percent in 2019. ASF has not spread as quickly as
previously anticipated, resulting in a lower-than-expected herd liquidation. Higher-than-
expected hog supplies and fewer disease impacts boost 2020 production by 5 percent from the
previous estimate, but production is forecast to fall 10 percent year-over-year due to ASF
impacts. Imports are lowered 14 percent for 2020 due to higher domestic supplies.

Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 7 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Pork Production - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
Oct Jan Oct Jan

none
Production
Brazil 3,725 3,763 3,975 3,975 4,155 4,155
Canada 1,958 1,955 2,000 2,020 2,050 2,085
China 54,518 54,040 46,500 46,500 34,750 36,000
European Union 23,660 24,082 24,120 23,980 24,400 24,250
Hong Kong 126 128 77 83 53 54
Japan 1,272 1,284 1,295 1,285 1,300 1,290
Korea, South 1,280 1,329 1,365 1,352 1,375 1,335
Mexico 1,267 1,321 1,390 1,405 1,450 1,465
Philippines 1,563 1,601 1,675 1,640 1,400 1,475
Others 11,085 11,492 10,912 3,240 11,275 11,275
Total Foreign 100,454 100,995 85,637 93,458 82,208 83,384
United States 11,611 11,943 12,516 12,543 13,015 12,999
Total 112,065 112,938 98,153 106,001 95,223 96,383
none
Total Dom. Consumption
Brazil 2,941 3,035 3,102 3,117 3,107 3,157
Canada 816 864 939 939 955 940
China 55,930 55,398 48,970 48,970 38,150 39,600
European Union 20,817 21,163 20,685 20,345 20,515 20,365
Hong Kong 589 551 427 418 428 354
Japan 2,731 2,775 2,790 2,730 2,805 2,785
Korea, South 1,926 2,001 2,044 2,026 2,104 2,044
Mexico 2,180 2,331 2,405 2,390 2,485 2,450
Philippines 1,804 1,887 1,939 1,879 1,750 1,775
Others 12,336 12,589 12,102 3,310 12,389 12,389
Total Foreign 102,070 102,594 86,611 95,225 84,688 85,859
United States 9,541 9,748 9,951 10,126 10,101 10,165
Total 111,611 112,342 96,562 105,351 94,789 96,024

Note: The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 8 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Pork Trade - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
Oct Jan Oct Jan

none
Total Imports
Brazil 2 2 2 2 2 2
Canada 222 233 250 250 225 260
China 1,620 1,561 2,600 2,600 3,500 3,700
European Union 14 14 15 15 15 15
Hong Kong 463 423 350 335 375 300
Japan 1,475 1,481 1,510 1,510 1,515 1,490
Korea, South 645 753 700 685 700 695
Mexico 1,083 1,188 1,225 1,200 1,275 1,235
Philippines 242 287 265 240 350 300
Others 1,612 1,496 1,620 130 1,590 1,590
Total Foreign 7,378 7,438 7,047 8,460 9,547 9,587
United States 506 473 434 434 415 401
Total 7,884 7,911 7,481 8,894 9,962 9,988
none
Total Exports
Brazil 786 730 875 860 1,050 1,000
Canada 1,351 1,331 1,315 1,330 1,300 1,400
China 208 203 130 130 100 100
European Union 2,857 2,933 3,450 3,650 3,900 3,900
Hong Kong 0 0 0 0 0 0
Japan 5 4 5 3 5 5
Korea, South 2 1 1 1 1 1
Mexico 170 178 210 215 240 250
Philippines 1 1 1 1 0 0
Others 361 399 430 60 476 476
Total Foreign 5,741 5,780 6,047 6,620 7,072 7,132
United States 2,555 2,665 2,985 2,856 3,311 3,221
Total 8,296 8,445 9,032 9,476 10,383 10,353

Note: The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 9 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Swine Stocks - Selected Countries Summary
(in 1,000 head)
2017 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
Oct Jan Oct Jan

none
Total Beginning Stocks
Brazil 39,215 38,829 38,427 38,427 37,725 37,725
Canada 13,935 14,170 13,975 13,975 14,180 14,150
China 442,092 441,589 428,070 428,070 310,000 335,000
European Union 147,188 150,257 148,223 148,192 148,500 148,500
Japan 9,346 9,280 9,156 9,156 9,242 9,242
Korea, South 11,487 11,273 11,333 11,333 11,500 11,090
Mexico 10,229 10,410 10,700 10,800 11,000 11,125
Others 31,743 32,337 32,594 23,600 33,425 33,425
Total Foreign 705,235 708,145 683,484 692,547 575,572 600,257
United States 71,345 73,145 74,915 75,070 77,050 77,338
Total 776,580 781,290 758,399 767,617 652,622 677,595
none
Production (Pig Crop)
Brazil 40,230 40,954 42,500 42,500 44,000 44,000
Canada 29,026 28,027 28,300 28,450 28,550 28,900
China 705,000 685,000 490,000 490,000 410,000 412,000
European Union 267,250 267,000 267,500 266,500 271,000 270,000
Japan 16,785 16,690 17,000 17,000 17,030 17,030
Korea, South 18,191 19,118 19,700 19,530 19,825 19,415
Mexico 18,100 18,750 19,400 19,600 19,950 20,200
Others 59,792 63,366 64,480 50,915 66,075 66,075
Total Foreign 1,154,374 1,138,905 935,315 948,060 876,430 877,620
United States 129,429 132,568 138,145 138,032 143,255 142,790
Total 1,283,803 1,271,473 1,073,460 1,086,092 1,019,685 1,020,410

Notes: The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 10 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Swine Trade - Selected Countries Summary
(in 1,000 head)
2017 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
Oct Jan Oct Jan

none
Total Imports
Brazil 2 2 2 2 2 2
Canada 222 233 250 250 225 260
China 1,620 1,561 2,600 2,600 3,500 3,700
European Union 14 14 15 15 15 15
Japan 1,475 1,481 1,510 1,510 1,515 1,490
Korea, South 645 753 700 685 700 695
Mexico 1,083 1,188 1,225 1,200 1,275 1,235
Others 2,317 2,206 2,235 705 2,315 2,190
Total Foreign 7,378 7,438 7,047 8,460 9,547 9,587
United States 506 473 434 434 415 401
Total 7,884 7,911 7,481 8,894 9,962 9,988
none
Total Exports
Brazil 786 730 875 860 1,050 1,000
Canada 1,351 1,331 1,315 1,330 1,300 1,400
China 208 203 130 130 100 100
European Union 2,857 2,933 3,450 3,650 3,900 3,900
Japan 5 4 5 3 5 5
Korea, South 2 1 1 1 1 1
Mexico 170 178 210 215 240 250
Others 362 400 431 61 476 476
Total Foreign 5,741 5,780 6,047 6,620 7,072 7,132
United States 2,555 2,665 2,985 2,856 3,311 3,221
Total 8,296 8,445 9,032 9,476 10,383 10,353

Notes: The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 11 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Obust
Chicken Meat

Selected revisions from the October 2019 Forecast:

Angola: Imports for 2020 are revised down 11 percent to 250,000 tons due to a depreciating
currency and lowered expectations for income growth. Through October 2019 imports
declined 23 percent year-on-year.

Brazil: Exports for 2019 and 2020 are revised down 4 and 7 percent respectively to 3.72 and
3.75 million tons due to lower-than-expected shipments to the EU, Cuba, and Africa which
partially offset growing trade to China.

China: Production for 2019 and 2020 is revised down to 13.1 and 14.8 million tons
respectively, based on official production data. Despite the downward revision, production will
reach a record level in 2020 as lower pork supplies due to African Swine Fever (ASF) spur
chicken consumption.

Cuba: Imports for 2020 are revised down 37 percent

to 145,000 tons due to worsening economic
conditions, foreign currency shortages, and limited
credit availability. U.S. exports to Cuba fell from a
record monthly high of 34,000 tons in July 2019 to
4,000 tons in October and November.

Iraq: Imports for 2019 and 2020 are both revised

down to 500,000 tons due to weaker-than-expected demand. Source: Trade Data
Monitor, LLC

Philippines: Imports for 2019 are revised up 10 percent to 345,000 tons as consumers
substitute chicken for pork following ASF outbreaks.

South Africa: Imports for 2019 are revised down 11 percent to 485,000 on lower imports
from Brazil and the United States due to uncertainty regarding proposed tariff hikes. Imports
for 2020 are revised down 14 percent to 480,000 tons.

Thailand: Exports for 2019 and 2020 are revised down 11 and 12 percent to 885,000 and
970,000 tons respectively on lower-than-expected 2019 exports and an appreciating currency.
Exports to China slowed over the summer in 2019 due to lower-than-expected Chinese prices
and the temporary ban of a major Thai poultry exporter.

Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 12 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Chicken Meat Production - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Ready to Cook Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
Oct Jan Oct Jan

none
Production
Angola 27 27 22 28 25 28
Brazil 13,612 13,355 13,635 13,635 13,975 13,915
Canada 1,236 1,296 1,330 1,330 1,355 1,360
China 11,600 11,700 13,800 13,100 15,800 14,800
Cuba 24 25 25 25 26 23
European Union 11,912 12,260 12,460 12,460 12,600 12,600
Iraq 201 219 215 235 225 245
Japan 1,661 1,685 1,720 1,720 1,735 1,735
Korea, South 852 915 942 942 957 955
Mexico 3,400 3,485 3,600 3,625 3,710 3,725
Philippines 1,344 1,380 1,450 1,450 1,600 1,600
Saudi Arabia 600 710 730 730 750 750
South Africa 1,335 1,407 1,395 1,395 1,420 1,420
Thailand 2,990 3,170 3,300 3,300 3,490 3,490
Others 24,133 24,589 25,125 4,740 25,665 25,665
Total Foreign 74,927 76,223 59,364 79,100 83,333 82,311
United States 18,938 19,361 19,823 19,906 20,165 20,615
Total 93,865 95,584 79,187 99,006 103,498 102,926
none
Total Dom. Consumption
Angola 294 344 282 273 305 278
Brazil 9,768 9,671 9,789 9,925 9,938 10,175
Canada 1,273 1,334 1,374 1,381 1,405 1,420
China 11,475 11,595 13,980 13,235 16,110 15,120
Cuba 305 305 315 315 256 168
European Union 11,281 11,536 11,660 11,655 11,750 11,700
Iraq 645 745 770 735 805 745
Japan 2,688 2,761 2,810 2,800 2,825 2,820
Korea, South 988 1,040 1,067 1,062 1,107 1,090
Mexico 4,198 4,301 4,443 4,468 4,573 4,588
Philippines 1,609 1,700 1,763 1,795 1,998 1,990
Saudi Arabia 1,275 1,308 1,320 1,318 1,345 1,340
South Africa 1,778 1,877 1,895 1,830 1,930 1,850
Thailand 2,226 2,354 2,350 2,455 2,370 2,500
Others 26,295 26,576 27,094 4,785 27,649 27,649
Total Foreign 76,098 77,447 58,603 80,341 84,366 83,433
United States 15,826 16,184 16,598 16,664 16,912 17,271
Total 91,924 93,631 75,201 97,005 101,278 100,704

Notes: Chicken paws are excluded.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 13 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Chicken Meat Trade - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Ready to Cook Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
Oct Jan Oct Jan

none
Total Imports
Angola 267 317 260 245 280 250
Brazil 3 3 4 5 3 5
Canada 174 170 165 175 170 180
China 311 342 625 565 750 750
Cuba 281 280 290 290 230 145
European Union 692 703 780 740 760 710
Iraq 444 526 555 500 580 500
Japan 1,056 1,074 1,090 1,080 1,100 1,095
Korea, South 132 163 185 180 200 185
Mexico 804 820 845 845 865 865
Philippines 266 320 315 345 400 390
Saudi Arabia 711 628 620 630 625 635
South Africa 508 521 545 485 555 480
Thailand 1 2 2 2 2 2
Others 3,445 3,383 3,569 200 3,700 3,700
Total Foreign 9,095 9,252 6,481 9,656 10,220 9,892
United States 59 64 60 60 61 62
Total 9,154 9,316 6,541 9,716 10,281 9,954
none
Total Exports
Angola 0 0 0 0 0 0
Brazil 3,847 3,687 3,850 3,715 4,040 3,745
Canada 134 124 120 123 125 125
China 436 447 445 430 440 430
Cuba 0 0 0 0 0 0
European Union 1,323 1,427 1,580 1,545 1,610 1,610
Iraq 0 0 0 0 0 0
Japan 7 7 7 7 7 7
Korea, South 6 33 50 50 55 55
Mexico 6 4 2 2 2 2
Philippines 1 0 2 0 2 0
Saudi Arabia 36 30 30 42 30 45
South Africa 65 51 45 50 45 50
Thailand 757 826 990 885 1,100 970
Others 1,288 1,408 1,593 148 1,716 1,716
Total Foreign 7,906 8,044 7,269 8,442 9,172 8,755
United States 3,137 3,245 3,262 3,259 3,325 3,404
Total 11,043 11,289 10,531 11,701 12,497 12,159

Notes: Chicken paws are excluded.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 14 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 Notes to Readers
The Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade circular is designed to give a snapshot of the current
situation among the major players in world beef, pork, and chicken meat trade.
Data Revisions in PSDs for Years Prior to 2018:
Revisions are made based on new and/or additional information.
Commodity/Attribute Years Countries

Cattle
Trade 2012-2017 Canada
Beef
Trade 2009-2017 Canada
Swine
Trade 2010-2017 China, EU
Pork
Trade 2010-2017 Brazil, EU, Philippines, South Korea
Chicken Meat
Production 2013-2017 Angola, Iraq
Trade 2010-2017 Philippines, Saudi Arabia, South Africa

Conversion Rates and HS Codes

Beef & Veal Pork Chicken Meat
Conversion Rate 1.4 1.3 None
HS Codes Fresh/Chilled: 0201 Fresh/Chilled: 020311, 020312, 020319 Fresh/Chilled: 020711, 020713
Frozen: 0202 Frozen: 020321, 020322, 020329 Frozen: 020712, 020714
Processed: 021020 & 160250 Processed: 021011, 021012, 021019, Processed: 160232
160241, 160242, 160249
Note: There are several exceptions by country/product. In general, chicken paws are excluded. Also, beef and veal estimates include meat of
other bovines for certain countries. In particular, India estimates include carabeef (water buffalo).

Technical Notes
CWE/PWE: All quantities (beef and pork) noted are in Carcass Weight Equivalent (CWE) unless otherwise
noted as Product Weight Equivalent (PWE). CWE is the weight of an animal after slaughter and removal
of most internal organs, head, and skin. PWE is the actual weight of the meat product exported.
RTC (Ready-to-Cook): RTC means any slaughtered poultry free from protruding pinfeathers and vestigial
feathers (hair or down), from which the head, feet, crop, oil gland, trachea, esophagus, entrails, and
lungs have been removed, and from which the mature reproductive organs and kidneys may have been
removed, and with or without the giblets, and which is suitable for cooking without need of further
processing Ready-to-cook poultry also means any cut-up or disjointed portion of poultry or other parts
of poultry, such as reproductive organs, head, or feet that are suitable for cooking without need of
further processing.
Assumptions
Diseases: Forecast reflects animal disease policies/restrictions in place as of January 10, 2020 and
assumes their continuation.
Trade Actions: This report only considers those trade actions which are in place or have had formal
announcement of effective dates as of the time of publication. Further, unless a formal end date is
specified, this report also assumes such actions are in place throughout the time period covered by these
forecasts.

Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 15 January 2020

Global Market Analysis
 PSD Online
The entire USDA PSD database is available online at: http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline.

Additional Resources
• Situation and outlook information on U.S. livestock and poultry can be obtained from the USDA-
Economic Research Service at: https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/animal-products/.

Future Releases and Contact Information

Please visit http://www.fas.usda.gov/data/livestock-and-poultry-world-markets-and-trade to view
archived and future releases. Starting with this circular, Livestock and Poultry estimates will be published
four times per year (January, April, July, October) for selected countries. However, all countries will be
updated in April and October. The next release of this circular is April 9, 2020.

Country/Commodities for January and July Releases

Countries Beef Pork Chicken Meat
Angola x
Argentina x
Australia x
Brazil x x x
Canada x x x
China x x x
Cuba x
EU x x x
Hong Kong x x
Iraq x
Japan x x x
Mexico x x x
New Zealand x
Philippines x x
Saudi Arabia x
South Africa x
South Korea x x x
Thailand x
United States x x x

Questions may be directed to the following staff:

Lindsay Kuberka (202) 644-4650 Lindsay.Kuberka@usda.gov Swine and Pork
Matt Snyder (202) 369-1068 Matt.Snyder@usda.gov Chicken Meat
Jake Vuillemin (202) 690-4476 Jacob.Vuillemin@usda.gov Cattle and Beef
Claire Mezoughem (202) 720-7715 Claire.Mezoughem@usda.gov Livestock and Poultry

Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 16 January 2020

Global Market Analysis