5/27/2022
Betting Strategy
Chase the Winner
David Gregory
Bankroll Required: 381 units. This covers 3, 7-step Martingale failures
at 127 units each.
Goal: To win 64 units per one session played. This recoups ½ of a 7-
step Marty failure if all 127 units are lost.
Strategy Theory: The theory behind this EC Betting strategy is
capitalizing on the way patterns continually form.
Game Selection: This strategy is intended to be played only on the
game of Craps for the reason there are no Zeros to be encountered as in
Roulette, and no 5% Banker’s commission as in Baccarat. Baccarat can
also produce a ‘Tie’ which interrupts the flow of a pattern.
History: When reviewing the past few years of my game-play
documentation history, there was something that really caught my eye. I
noticed when comparing the outcome patterns of Roulette, Baccarat and
Craps, the patterns appeared to be identical in every respect; except
Roulette patterns will contain ‘0’ zeros and Baccarat patterns will
contain ‘T's’ Ties.
Example Pattern:
XXXOXXOXOOOOXOXXXXOOXXXOOXOOOXOXXOXOXXOO
XXXOXOXOXOXXOOXXOOXXOXOXXOXX (Ignore the red O for
now because it does not represent a ‘0’ zero encountered in Roulette.
The example pattern above is the first few outcomes of an actual game I
played. X and O represents the outcomes for EC. Which game was I
playing based on the pattern above? Roulette, Craps or Baccarat? Could
you guess it to save your life? Outcome patterns appear identical on all
games for all practical purposes. And that’s the basis behind this
strategy.
BTW, the example pattern above was from playing the game of Craps.
Something else of significance to notice in the pattern above is how
many times an outcome repeats itself. Not just in the example above, but
in all game patterns. That is an important part of this strategy.
There are only 3 possible patterns that can form in a series: Doubles
XXOO - Alternating XOXO - Streaks XXX (3 or more).
Taking a good look at the example pattern above, how well would you
be doing using a 7-step Martingale if you placed your next bet on the
last outcome and doubling down when you lost? Real good, 24 units up
until you run into the killer Alternating pattern that starts at the Red O
above. The most important aspect of this strategy is anticipating the
forming of an Alternating pattern.
Playing the Strategy: This strategy is played by placing your bet on the
last outcome and doubling down every time you lose using a 7 step
Martingale.
However, when you encounter a pattern starting to alternate, take heed,
this is where the most harm can come. This is what to do:
Referring to the example pattern above, the X to the left of the red O
was a win. The next bet would be X again, a loss because the next
outcome is O, The bet is doubled and placed on O, but it is a loss also
because the next outcome is X. There are now two lost bets in a row
because the pattern is alternating. Therefore, the next outcome is
skipped, and no bet is paced to determine if it is continuing to alternate.
It is, so the next bet is doubled from the previous loss and placed
opposite of the last outcome, and it hits, the Alternating pattern is
obviously continuing. Therefore, continue betting opposite of the last
outcome until the Alternating pattern ceases. Then go back to placing
bets on the last outcome. If you would have continued playing starting at
the alternating pattern 0 following the rule, you would have won an
additional 13 units, 37 units total from the whole pattern above.
Simple enough, but here is where this strategy can get tricky to explain.
Some gut feel is involved here, and I do not know how well I can
explain it, but I’ll try.
The 3 various patterns: Doubles, Alternating and Streaks, also show up
in patterns themselves, but do not generally repeat that often.
If a lengthy (4 or more) Alternating pattern formed in the near past such
as: XOXO, the next time I see XXXOX, I may decide not to skip the
next outcome and bet X, figuring an Alternating pattern has formed
earlier and is not due again, at least not a lengthy one. On the other hand,
I may notice that a particular session is producing quite a few
Alternating patterns. In that case when I see the pattern XXXOX has
formed, I will not skip an outcome but immediately bet O.
There are other various times I deviate from the rules, but just too
difficult to explain in writing. However, this should be sufficient enough
for coding.
Game Over: After an accumulated loss of the original 381-unit
Bankroll, the game is over and considered it has reached its short-term
life. It could be that the winnings are higher than the 381unit loss and
this would be considered a success. But if the loss is 384 units + (plus),
this would be considered a strategy failure.
Note: I suggest that you code and resolve one session at a time. I.e.,
After a result is reached of a 64 unit win or a Marty failure, shut down
and restart the prosses over. I know that sounds weird, but it duplicates
more of a real-life situation. I never play a session immediately followed
by another. I play one session a day. I believe you would tell me this
makes no difference at all. But let’s try it anyway, it will eliminate any
argument I may have if the strategy fails.
