Conomics
Conomics
FIRE PROTECTION
ENGINEERING
ECONOMICS page 10
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FPE-SP05 3/30/05 3:34 PM Page 1
FIRE PROTECTION
www.sfpe.org 1
FPE-SP05 3/30/05 3:35 PM Page 2
20 VULNERABLE POPULATIONS IN
Newer homes tend to look safer be- to be the first recipients of every new
RESIDENTIAL OCCUPANCIES
FIRE DEATHS annual study of state fire death rates, the 1970s, and most purchases were
page 8
where states like Vermont and Connecti- made voluntarily. The building codes
cut have a high proportion of old homes came along and mopped up the rela-
being occupied by the well-to-do – the tively few hold-outs. The push to inter-
explanatory power of age of housing connected, hard-wired smoke alarms is
melts away. As new homes change a positive development and one more
Dear Editor, hands, they tend to pass down the food driven by codes, but it remains an ex-
chain to relatively less affluent occu- ception in homes even today. Most of
Ordinarily, I am pleased to see fire pants, who bring their higher personal the potential benefit from smoke alarms
statistics used to provide useful insights risks into the home. occurred with the initial acquisitions,
into fire safety strategies. Unfortunately, When you look at the differences that which were not as unreliable as Dr.
Dr. Eisenberg’s feature article in the are actually intrinsic to new homes, it Eisenberg says.
Winter 2005 issue contained more prob- becomes even clearer why you would Dr. Eisenberg says the post-1990 trend
lems than insights. not expect to see age of housing as a in cigarette smoking will no longer be of
In the past 30+ years, I and my col- powerful factor in risk. much help in reducing fire fatalities.
leagues at NFPA have been involved in Dr. Eisenberg cites improved fire From 1990 to 2001, the smoker percent-
more than a dozen studies of the statisti- blocking and stopping, which he says age of the population declined from
cal relationships between fire outcome results in better fire containment. How- 25.4% to 22.7%, an 11% decline or 1% a
measures and potentially explanatory ever, the percentage of dwelling fires year. But the number of cigarettes
variables. We have compared state to confined to the room of origin has been smoked declined by 24% from 1990 to
state, city to city, and census tract to in the narrow range of 69%-71% from 2003, which is more like 2% a year.
census tract. We have compared fires 1980 to 2002 except in 1981-1987, when Since the entire fire death problem de-
per million population and deaths per it was higher. In other words, there is lit- clined by 45% from 1979 to 2001, or
million population. Only one of these tle statistical evidence of a trend up or about 2% a year according to Dr. Eisen-
works is cited in Dr. Eisenberg’s refer- down, but what trend there is indicates berg’s figures, a 2% a year decline ain’t
ences, and perhaps that explains the less containment is occurring, not more. bad. We not only have fewer people
problems in his article. Dr. Eisenberg cites better heating and smoking each year, but our smokers are
Previous studies have consistently electrical design, resulting in less use of smoking less on average.
found that certain variables – led by race extension cords and space heaters. I Dr. Eisenberg’s regression analysis
and age of housing – show up as strong don’t know of any source of data on ex- also cites mobile homes (actually, the
predictors when taken in isolation but tension cord usage, but space heater us- preferred term is manufactured homes)
do not fare so well when the effects of age soared in the late 1970s, driven by as a risk factor. However, NFPA studies
other, stronger variables, such as large changes in the cost and availability have shown that if you focus directly on
poverty and education, are factored in. of different fuel and power choices. a comparison of manufactured homes to
High-poverty areas tend to have high Fires involving space heaters soared, other dwellings, the traditional differ-
fire rates and even higher fire death too, then dropped fast and far from ence in fire death rate relative to hous-
rates. Rural poverty is associated with an about the mid-1980s on. However, the ing units has vanished. You might not
even higher risk multiplier than urban data I have don’t show a comparable pick that up in a study like Dr. Eisen-
poverty, and that may be one crucial drop in relative space heater usage, as berg’s because manufactured homes
place where Dr. Eisenberg went wrong. Dr. Eisenberg postulates. It looks more continued on page 4
BUILD Stronger
Partnerships TM
correlate with poorer neighborhoods Author’s Response that simple. Here Dr. Hall commits the
and also average fewer people per unit, ecological fallacy, as he makes infer-
which means their fire death rate per While Dr. Hall has written extensively ences about individual smoking behav-
person may be higher than their fire on fire deaths, his comments are based ior based on aggregate group data.
death rate per unit. But the main point exclusively on non-peer-reviewed NFPA Dr. Hall closes by recommending that
remains: you cannot call manufactured research and dismiss a large body of fire sprinklers be installed in new
homes a distinctive fire risk anymore. peer-reviewed articles which substanti- homes. Unfortunately, as Dr. Hall says,
Nearly all the points in this letter – the ate my findings. “newer homes probably are safer
exception is the trend in fire confine- Dr. Hall suggests that when “stronger homes.” And if he is arguing that new
ment in dwellings – are taken from pub- variables” are included, race and age of homes will eventually become old and
lished analyses by NFPA staff. In other housing do not fare well. Interestingly, less fire-worthy, he requires that if and
words, the substantiated rebuttals to Dr. the two variables he suggests were each when sprinklers are needed, 30 or 40
Eisenberg’s points are already on the tried, and the results obtained were very years in the future, they will work. That
record and have been widely circulated. similar to those reported, suggesting that is a big “if” because not “many” things in
It is unfortunate when an article with so race and age of structure do matter. a house work after 40 years unless they
many errors appears in a respected pub- His suggestion that I “went wrong” by are properly maintained and/or re-
lication. It is troubling when readily excluding rural areas in the analysis is placed. And unfortunately, unlike a hot
available, technically sound information untrue. Had that data been available, water heater or dishwasher, if sprinklers
would have flagged those errors but was they would have been included. Out of do not work when they are needed,
not consulted or addressed. privacy concerns, the National Center on they are useless. Moreover, to repeat, to
What should a reader take from this Health Statistics suppresses death data date there is no peer-reviewed evidence
article, or more importantly the facts on for counties with a population of less that sprinklers reduce fire deaths.
these issues? If we build safer homes than 100,000 in 1990. However, because Rather that refuting every one of Dr.
and safer products for those homes, the dataset I used is specifically de- Hall’s remaining arguments and pro-
while also teaching ourselves safer be- signed to capture the cause of death and longing this discussion about codes,
haviors, we will become safer, either is not based on a sample, it has advan- variables, and statistical significance,
quickly or slowly depending on the de- tages over both NFIRS and NFPA data. let’s resolve this debate once and for all.
gree of safety provided by each innova- Dr. Hall suggests that when the rela- We are united in our desire to reduce
tion and the rate of turnover in whatever tionship between new homes and afflu- fire deaths. Given that the NPFA has it
is being changed. In that sense, newer ence is broken, the explanatory power within its purview to collect data on age
homes probably are safer than older of age of house “melts away.” One of structure, I suggest that it be collected
homes, but the changes in homes are could only wish that this were the case. in the next NFIRS survey. With good
not currently a primary driver of our By including house value in the equa- data on age of house, this debate might
move to greater safety. If we want them tion, I, in fact, break the connection just resolve itself.
to be, we need to make changes in as he suggests. However, the signifi- In short, I want to save lives by focus-
homes that will make a large difference cance of age of house persists, again ing life safety efforts where fire deaths
in safety – like requiring fire sprinklers suggesting that age of structure matters. are most prevalent now, using proven
in new homes. Dr. Hall continues by suggesting that smoke detector technology. By contrast,
Greater safety does not come auto- increasingly stringent building codes are Dr. Hall wants to try unproven remedies
matically; it comes only if we make it not working, and as proof he suggests that may or may not saves lives in the
happen. All the statistics are only details that fire containment is actually declin- distant future, that have no proven track
on this essential point. ing. That is precisely my point! We have record of success, and that do not help
come to the point of severely diminish- those in most need today.
Sincerely, ing returns to code improvements with
respect to fire deaths. Rather than con- Sincerely,
John R. Hall, Jr., Ph.D. tinuing to strengthen codes in an effort
Assistant Vice President to prevent possible future fire deaths, Elliot F. Eisenberg, Ph.D.
Fire Analysis & Research why not prevent current fire deaths by Housing Policy Economist
National Fire Protection Association focusing our resources where deaths are National Association of Home Builders
occurring today, not where they may or
may not occur many years in the future.
Later, Dr. Hall suggests that the entire
decline in fire deaths may be attributable
to declines in smoking. I wish it were
viewpoint
O
ne of my favorite regular are entirely discretionary for the building prioritize these decisions.
columns is the “Property owner. These improvements and expen- Some of the most important assistance
Report” in every Wednesday’s ditures should be carefully and deliber- that a fire protection engineer can pro-
Wall Street Journal. A recent article by ately considered. Many of these deci- vide is to furnish suggestions on the
Ray A. Smith on February 23, 2005, sions are made with the assistance of a maintenance of a fire detection and sup-
pointed out that savvy investors in fire protection engineer who guides the pression system. Having periodic in-
buildings (and we really are talking building owner through the task of de- spections advances the operation of
savvy) buy buildings not because of the termining which of the options should these systems and provides peace of
value that they represent, but because be chosen. mind that they will operate correctly and
of the income stream that they can pro- Choosing which features to include is effectively if they are called upon.
duce. This is sage advice for anyone difficult. Most building owners would Although building owners are ever-
considering an investment in a building. like to have all the latest in fire protec- watchful for situations that appear to be
Yet, returns on an investment in a tion/prevention incorporated into their fire hazards, an extra critical eye is help-
building can be considered, or even de- buildings. It’s a difficult thing to pay for ful in looking for practices such as the
veloped, in ways other than measuring and difficult for tenants to appreciate. It improper storage of flammable materials
cash flow. The sheer joy of owning an goes without saying that building tenants or the dangerous use of an appliance or
attractive piece of property, satisfaction just expect that their environment is safe a piece of equipment by a tenant or
in contributing to the visual appearance and free from the threat of fire and the building employee. One of the recom-
of a community, or providing a valuable severe disruptions that it can bring. mendations that a fire protection engi-
service to the business community are Older buildings require, for good rea- neer can make is on improved exit sig-
all worthwhile considerations. There is son, more resources for improving fire nage to show the fastest emergency
satisfaction, too, in the knowledge that protection than in newer buildings. New evacuation route. Another would be the
you are doing everything possible to buildings have the benefit of the latest in evaluation of the fire alarm system.
keep your tenants and their important design for fire protection and prevention The assessments that the fire protec-
property as safe as possible. The return, that have been incorporated in model tion engineer can make can be a good
of course, depends on how the owner building codes. Older buildings, obvi- return on investment. Although it may
defines it. Another return that is ex- ously, generally do not. Depending on not be part of the cash flow of the build-
tremely difficult to measure in dollars the age of the building and the amount of ing, the services of a fire protection en-
and cents is the investment that an care provided previously, an older build- gineer do produce both a return in cash
owner makes in fire protection. ing can necessarily command quite a bit and the satisfaction of knowing that you
The expenditures made for fire pro- of attention when improving its fire pro- are doing all that can be done to make
tection can be considered in two veins: tection/prevention system, and this atten- the property as safe as possible. In allo-
those that are required by code or other tion can result in the expenditure of a cating resources for fire protection/pre-
regulations put forth by the local juris- great deal of money. This is not to say vention in your building, strong consid-
diction, and those that you have volun- that an older building is unsafe – quite the eration should be made to the retention
tarily budgeted with the expectation of contrary. It’s just fair to say that an older of a qualified fire protection engineer.
gaining some return. building, in general, is going to require a
Expenditures required by building bit more in the way of resources than a Tomi Sue Beecham is the chair of the
codes are mandatory for all building newer building. When an older building Building Codes and Voluntary Stan-
owners of a particular type of building. does present this situation, then the build- dards Committee of the Building Owners
They represent the minimum that the ing owner is confronted with the chal- and Managers Association International
community has determined are neces- lenge of which improvements to choose. and the senior property manager of a
sary for a safe building, and adherence This is where the assistance of a quali- shopping mall in San Antonio, Texas.
is required. fied fire protection engineer comes into
Analog/addressable and conventional fire control panels • Life-safety rated audio and visual alarms
© 2005 Siemens Building Technologies, Inc.
FPE-SP05 3/30/05 3:37 PM Page 8
flashpoints
fire protection industry news
MEMBERS
Altronix Corporation
Ansul, Inc.
NFPA President Calls for Emergency Planning to Arup Fire
Address Needs of People with Disabilities Automatic Fire Alarm Association
Cybor Fire Protection Company
The head of the National Fire Protection Association (NFPA) is calling on state and
Fike Corporation
local safety officials, building owners, and facility managers to take additional steps GE Global Asset Protection Services
to incorporate the needs of people with all types of disabilities into emergency Harrington Group, Inc.
HSB Professional Loss Control
planning.
James W. Nolan Company (Emeritus)
“We know there have been times in which people who use wheelchairs were sim- MIJA Inc.
ply left behind during emergencies without any specific direction or instruction, pre- Marrioff Systems
Marsh Risk Consulting
sumably to wait for rescue,” says James M. Shannon, NFPA president and CEO. “That
National Fire Sprinkler Association
is just not acceptable. People with disabilities deserve to know there is an effective The Protectowire Co., Inc.
emergency plan in place that will keep them safe. And these plans must be devel- Reliable Fire Equipment Company
S.S. Dannaway & Associates, Inc.
oped with input from accessibility experts and people with disabilities who will be
Underwriters Laboratories, Inc.
affected by the plan.” Wheelock, Inc.
For several decades, NFPA has developed many of the exiting (means of egress) Williams Fire & Hazard Control, Inc.
requirements that are used in buildings all around the world. SMALL BUSINESS MEMBERS
“Clear procedures must be in place, ranging from relocation within the building to Beall & Associates, Inc.
evacuation of the building. It is up to all of us involved in this issue to make sure Bourgeois & Associates, Inc.
The Code Consortium, Inc.
people with disabilities are protected just as much as everyone else.” Davidson and Associates
Shannon reaffirmed NFPA’s commitment to work with accessibility experts to de- Demers Associates, Inc.
velop recommended steps and educational materials for use during emergency Fire Suppression Systems Association
Futrell Fire Consult and Design, Inc.
planning. Gagnon Engineering, Inc.
“As a building code developer, NFPA recognizes that more must be done to pro- Grainger Consulting, Inc.
tect people with disabilities,” said Kevin G. McGuire, a leading expert on accessibility J.M. Cholin Consultants, Inc.
Poole Fire Protection Engineering, Inc.
and emergency evacuation requirements. “I look forward to working with NFPA and Risk Logic, Inc.
others as we strengthen recommended emergency procedures.” Risk Technologies LLC
For more information, go to www.nfpa.org. Scandaliato Design Group
Slicer and Associates, LLC
University of Maryland Online Studies Program
WPI Center for Fire Safety Studies
INTRODUCTION
O
ne way to
increase
awareness
and interest in fire pro-
tection is by means of
the universally effective
stimulus – money. The
ultimate objective is to
inject fire protection into
corporate economics.
Certain factors suggest
the immediacy of this
need.
• The dollar loss from fire is increas- economic environment. There are al- ate and optimize economic selection of
ing. Even if this was attributable entirely ready too few customers to go around. fire safety strategies in combination with
to inflation, would it not be an effective The interruption of production by fire fire insurance or self-insurance options.
attack on inflation to reduce losses due would almost certainly shrink the share This selection process would involve un-
to fire? of the market at a time when profit is, at certainties caused by several factors affect-
• A small number of fires account for best, marginal. ing the occurrence of a fire in a particular
the majority of the world’s fire losses. Engineering economics is used in the building and the amount of damage or
Economies of scale dictate that the trend analysis of proposed fire protection engi- loss if a fire occurs. Essential background
toward bigness will continue, and more neering projects to determine the net eco- in the subject is provided in the SFPE
and more large-loss potentials are being nomic gains to be expected from alterna- Handbook,1, 2 and in the book The Eco-
constructed everyday. tive proposals. It deals with the time value nomics of Fire Protection.3 There are many
• Few enterprises, private or public, of money and other cash-flow concepts good texts on engineering economics
could survive a large-loss fire in today’s and decision-making aids used to evalu- from a more general perspective.4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
Economics
MINIMIZING COSTS ics need to be understood and incorpo- F = Future sum of money ($)
rated in fire risk assessment (versus N = number of interest periods
Figure 1 portrays the economic rela- macroeconomics, which refers to na- i = interest rate per period (%)
tionship between the level of fire risk tional and world economies of com- Interest factors are multiplicative
and the cost of fire to society. Basically, modities, industries, and governments numbers calculated from interest for-
as the level of risk increases, its cost in- that affect more strategic business mulas for given interest rates and peri-
creases. Similarly, as the level of pro- decisions). ods. They are used to convert cash
tection increases, the social cost of flows occurring at different times to a
losses due to fire decreases. The social TIME VALUE OF MONEY common time. For example, in Equa-
cost is the sum of three rather broad tion (1), for finding the future value of
categories. Direct losses refer to prop- The value of money changes from day a sum of money with compound inter-
erty value and those losses such as to day because of three major issues: est, the mathematical expression (1+i)N
business interruption which are com- • Cost of money is referred to as the compound amount
monly covered by insurance. Indirect • Risk factor.
losses refer to financial detriments to a • Inflation or deflation Discounting is the inverse of com-
specific enterprise which are not nor- Cost of money, also variously referred pounding. The present value or worth
mally covered by insurance, e.g., share to as interest rate, rate of return, and dis- of a future cost or benefit N time periods
of the market. Sociological losses are count rate depending on the analysis, is from now is given by:
those which are not borne by the enter- the most predictable and, hence, the
prise suffering the fire but by some seg- most commonly addressed component P(N) = F(1+ i)− N Equation (2)
ment of society, e.g., loss of tax base, of economic analysis.
loss of jobs, distress that an individual’s Risk assessment is the essential objec- And the expression (1+i)-N is referred
death or injury in a fire would cause to tive. Incorporating risk into economic to as the discount factor. The discount
family members, destruction of cultural analysis involves models such as reliabil- rate, i, may represent the opportunity
heritage, environmental damage, etc. ity and utility theory. cost of capital in the absence of inflation.
The curve representing total cost is the For many project comparisons, infla- Values of the compound amount fac-
sum of losses or social cost and the tion can be considered a constant that tor, discount factor, and other interest
cost of fire protection or risk control. will affect each alternative equally and factors are tabulated for a variety of
As may be apparent from Figure 1, not change the decision resulting from interest rates and number of periods in
the optimum level of risk or safety is analysis. most texts on engineering economy.
provided by the fire protection strategy Example tables are presented in
that minimizes the total cost. Some of INTEREST CALCULATIONS Appendix B of Section 5, Chapter 7, in
the important aspects of microeconom- the SFPE Handbook.2 Calculators and
Interest is the money paid for the use computers have greatly reduced the
of borrowed money or the return on in- need for such tables. Most notably,
vested capital. The economic cost of spreadsheet packages such as Quatro
construction, installation, ownership, or Pro and Excel have extensive sections
operation can be estimated correctly on economic functions.
Cost to Society
Total Cost only by including a factor for the eco- However, there is not a one-to-one
nomic cost of money. mapping of these spreadsheet functions
to the interest factors in Appendix B.
Cost of An example is the formula for the Further complicating the situation is that
Risk Control value of a future sum of money after N spreadsheet functions do not use the
Equal Slopes, periods. standard engineering notation conven-
Optimum Level
of Risk tion found in the SFPE Handbook. Not
Social Cost
from Risk
F(N) = P(1+ i) N Equation (1) all practitioners follow a standard con-
vention of notation, and care must be
Level of Risk
Where: taken to avoid confusion when reading
Figure 1. Cost Minimization. P = Present sum of money ($) the literature.
ANNUAL LOSS value has to be a finite amount since no sary data is not a problem. Assessment
society can devote its entire resources to of values of life could also be expected
The loss expected to incur from a fire the elimination of life risk due to any to be reasonably accurate since lawyers
in a particular building can be estimated accident. and judges have considerable profes-
by applying one of the following tech- Damage to life in terms of injuries and sional expertise in the “ex-post” analysis
niques: deaths is an important component of fire of accidents.
• Power functions risk that needs to be assessed, particu- “Willingness-to-pay” is the fourth ap-
• Probability distributions larly for incorporating appropriate safety proach, which is the one most widely
• Event trees measures in national codes, standards, adopted for valuing life. It is based on
• Stochastic models or regulations. For establishing the eco- the money people are willing to spend
The magnitude of fire loss can also be nomic justification of such measures, it is to increase their safety or reduce a par-
estimated by performing simulations for necessary to estimate monetary equiva- ticular mortality risk. It rests on two
several fire scenarios based on a deter- lents for fire deaths and injuries. Insur- principles. First, living is an enjoyable
ministic zone or field model. The ex- ance claims provide some data for the activity for which people would be will-
pected loss can then be expressed on an valuation of injury, but they are likely to ing to sacrifice some expenditure on
annual basis by multiplying the magni- be limited to costs mediated by the mar- other activities, such as consumption.
tude of the consequence by the annual ketplace, such as treatment costs and the Second, safety should be treated as a
frequency or probability of fire value of work time lost. Monetary equiv- commodity like any other and valued
occurrence. alents of pain, grief, and distress suf- according to the value individuals put
fered by the families of fire victims are on it. Despite this individual-oriented
AMORTIZATION intangible costs which are more difficult underpinning, this approach can also be
to evaluate. used to develop a general figure for a
Amortization is the most popular pre- There are four basic methods devel- typical person based on consensus pat-
sent method of estimating the annual oped in the economics literature for esti- terns in the values individuals estimate.
equivalent of the cost incurred in the in- mating value of human life:3 This, in turn, permits analysis of societal
stallation of a fire protection system. The • Output decisions.
annual cost is the product of installation • Life insurance Surveys have been carried out for esti-
cost and the capital recovery factor that, • Court awards mating value of life according to the
like other interest factors, depends on • Willingness-to-pay willingness-to-pay approach. These
the interest rate and the planning pe- The first method is concerned with have shown variability and inconsisten-
riod, usually the life of fire protection gross output based on goods and ser- cies in responses, mainly due to the fact
system or the life of the building or vices which a person can produce if not that most people find it difficult to accu-
process protected. deprived by death of the opportunity to rately quantify the magnitude of a risk. It
But the methods described above do so. Sometimes, gross productivity is is also difficult to put a monetary value
only address the issue of direct loss. reduced by an amount representing con- on intangible benefits such as enjoy-
Thus, these approaches will not always sumption (net output). This approach ment and peace of mind. Economists
justify an appropriate level of fire pro- usually gives a small value for life, espe- therefore use a variety of inferential
tection. For example, premium savings cially if it is based on discounted values methods, which include an examination
on a warehouse full of televisions will of net outputs over a period of years. of patterns from the other three ap-
usually justify a full sprinkler system. The second approach is the insurance proaches for valuing life. Studies have
The savings for a warehouse full of method, which assumes that if an indi- been done of the implied value of life
used automobile tires will seldom jus- vidual has a life insurance policy for $x, associated with several regulatory ac-
tify a sprinkler system, even though it then he/she implicitly values his/her life tions related to safety and health. Stud-
may be a demonstrable environmental at $x. The major advantage in adopting ies could be done based on the
hazard. And a fire-resistive apartment this method is that collection of neces- price/demand curves for safety-oriented
house full of people will never eco- sary data from insurance companies is products, such as smoke alarms. Policy-
nomically justify a sprinkler system not a difficult task. But the major draw- makers should carry out a sensitivity
with premium savings, unless metrics back is that a decision whether or not to analysis using a range of values for hu-
for evaluating the cost of human life purchase insurance and the amount of man life to economically justify the rec-
are employed. that insurance is not necessarily made in ommendation of any fire safety mea-
a manner consistent with one’s best sure. The safety measure cannot be
VALUE OF HUMAN LIFE judgment of the value of one’s life. This economically justified if the implied
decision depends largely on the pre- value of life for adopting the measure is
For economic justification, the proba- mium the assured can bear from his/her unacceptably large.
ble reduction in life risk due to any fire income, taking into account family There are limitations to all the meth-
safety measure should exceed the costs expenditures. ods of valuing human life. For example,
involved in adopting the measure. For The third method for assessing value a common variation of the output
this purpose, it is necessary to assign a of life involves court awards to heirs of a method is the “livelihood approach.”
monetary value to human life. This death. Here again, collection of neces- This method assigns valuations in direct
Sustainable
technology for
fire protection.
For all the valuable
assets in your care.
3M™ Novec™ 1230 Fire Protection Fluid is based on a new,
sustainable halocarbon technology that is re-defining the standards
for safety, performance and environmental responsibility.
tomorrows to come.
proportion to income. The present value socially or politically; however, they are the ratio is less than unity. In the context
of future earnings of an individual is es- often the basis for the third approach – of fire protection engineering, the aver-
timated and reduced by an amount court awards. age annual benefit due to a fire safety
equal to discounted consumption. This strategy should exceed the annual amor-
method gives a small value for life. It BENEFIT-COST ANALYSIS tized cost of installation plus the present
normally favors males over females, values of future costs towards repairs to
working persons over those retired, and The ratio of benefits to costs should the system or replacement of parts.
higher-paid persons over lower-paid. exceed unity for selecting an investment The benefit-cost ratio can be con-
Such preferences may not be acceptable project; the project should be rejected if structed as the aggregated (total dis-
counted) present value of the annual
benefits likely to be realized in future
years divided by the initial cost of in-
stalling a fire protection system.
UTILITY THEORY
Displays the Shortest Distance ues of the costs involved and expected
fire damage. This could lead to the un-
u(100)
However, while physicists live in an unit of measure, the economic value of
ivory tower because their measurements each good and service can be expressed
B do not change, the dollar is always in in terms of a single unit. Just as money
Utility, u(x)
u(0)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90100 x
Money
Figure 2. Typical Utility Functions.3
INFLATION
return, but only a measure of these quantities. Overlooking this even when their net costs remain the same. This behavior in the
simple, seemingly obvious point can cause people and compa- national economy is price inflation. Causes and cures of price
nies to unwisely allocate money and measure economic suc- inflation are not well understood.
cess.
Inflation is an increase in prices paid for goods and services. RELIABILITY
This increase results from both cost inflation and price infla-
tion. Cost inflation is the result of real cost increase to produce System reliability is another confounding factor in fire protec-
goods and services, that is, more input in terms of labor and tion economic analysis. Fire safety systems are not absolute in
capital are needed to produce a given amount of product. Soci- terms of their ability to perform their design function. Reliability
ety as a whole must work harder and invest more to produce is a measure of the likelihood that a system will respond appro-
the same goods and services as before. Cost inflation can result priately to conditions that occur during the system’s lifetime. Es-
from a number of causes: timating reliability for systems requires considerable historical
• Depletion of natural resources information regarding the system and its operations.
• Natural disasters and catastrophes For example, automatic fire control capability involves system
• Social and political disruptions availability, reliability, and effectiveness. With proper mainte-
Cost inflation is not related to money. It could occur in bar- nance and monitoring, installed fire protection systems can be
tering economies. An important aspect of cost inflation is that it considered available with a high degree of certainty. While peri-
must be absorbed somewhere in the economy. It is the out- odic inspection, testing, and maintenance can improve system
come of real cost increases, and that means some or all people reliability, the complexity of these mechanical devices retains an
must work more or spend less. inherent possibility of failure. In some instances, such as a mu-
Price inflation is different. Price inflation is a money phe- seum, it is also necessary to consider the possibility of a non-fire
nomenon not entailing any real costs. More is paid for every- malfunction that can cause major economic or cultural damage.
thing, but people also earn more for their work. In general, most fire protection systems lack adequate relia-
Since the value of currency is an illusionary quantity and bility data. While such information would be welcome, limita-
there is nothing to specifically set the economic value, it is free tions in system reliability data did not prevent sending a man to
to float. The prices of goods and services may rise and fall, the moon. Economic assessment models should include reliabil-
ity considerations. In sophisticated analyses, reliability can be
included in the same manner as other probabilistic events. A
more simplistic approach is to evaluate a failure scenario, as
prescribed by NFPA codes.
It is, however, necessary to evaluate In an economic assessment of fire 2 Watts, Jr, J.M., and Chapman, R.E.,
quantitatively the performance and ef- protection strategies for large and tall “Engineering Economics” Section 5, Chapter
fectiveness of the alternative strategies buildings against extreme events, in ad- 7, SFPE Handbook of Fire Protection
considered. This is to ensure that the dition to catastrophic property damage, Engineering, 3rd edition, National Fire
Protection Association, Quincy, MA, 2002.
strategies would provide levels of safety, monetary equivalents of large numbers
particularly to the occupants of the of people likely to be killed or injured 3 Ramachandran, G., The Economics of Fire
building, equivalent or greater than the should also be evaluated and included Protection, Spon, London, 1998.
life safety level implicit in the fire regula- in the economic analysis. The assess- 4 Fabrycky, W.J., Thuesen, G.J., and
tions. This task would involve a quanti- ment should also include, if possible, Verma, D., Economic Decision Analysis,
tative assessment of fire risk and of the quantitative (monetary) estimates of psy- 3rd edition, Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1998.
effectiveness of different fire protection chological and financial stress to the 5 Grant, E.L., Areson, W.G., and Ireson,
strategies. families of fire victims and other likely W.G., Principles of Engineering Economy,
Some strategies considered may in- consequential losses. ▲ 8th edition, John Wiley & Sons, 1990.
volve combinations of active and pas- 6 Newnan, D.G., and Lavelle, J.P.,
sive protection measures. Evaluation of Jack Watts is with the Fire Safety Insti- Engineering Economic Analysis, 7th edi-
the actions and trade-offs between these tute. Prof. G. Ramachandran is with the tion, Engineering Press, 1998.
measures would be a formidable task. Universities of Leeds and Manchester.
7 Park, C.S., Contemporary Engineering
For this purpose, deterministic and
Economics, 2nd edition, Addison-Wesley,
probabilistic models developed so far REFERENCES 1997.
need to be improved and validated in
the light of experimental, engineering, 8 Riggs, J.L., Bedworth, D.D., and
1 Ramachandran, G., and Hall, Jr., J.R., Randhawa, S.U., Engineering Economics,
and statistical data. Such data are yet to “Measuring Fire Consequences in 4th edition, McGraw-Hill, 1996.
be collected and analyzed, particularly Economic Terms,” Section 5, Chapter 6,
for large, tall, and complex buildings, SFPE Handbook of Fire Protection 9 Sullivan, W.G., Bontadelli, J.A., and
making the analysis more difficult but Engineering, 3rd edition, National Fire Wicks, E.M., Engineering Economy, 11th
Protection Association, Quincy, MA, 2002. edition, Prentice-Hall, 2000.
not eliminating its necessity.
Online Studies C L I C K , L E A R N , A D VA N C E
YOUR CAREER
Take a class in FIRE PROTECTION ENGINEERING this SUMMER or earn
an entire graduate degree from the convenience of your computer.
THE ECONOMICS
of
Automatic Fire Sprinklers
By Stacy N. Welch, P.E. estimates the cost to install fire sprin- tion dropped to approximately 80 cents
klers in new single-family residences to per square foot ($8.60 per square me-
1 Valve,
9 Systems!
• Wet Pilot Deluge
• Dry Pilot Deluge
• Electric Deluge
DDX Features:
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• 250 psi (17,2 bar) same low pressures as the LDX
• Lightweight, both ends grooved • Quick installing segmented trim
• Only one main drain • Refer to Bulletins 510 (DDX)
• System side check valve not & 357 (LP Dry Pipe Valve System)
required
1.800.431.1588
www.reliablesprinkler.com
The Reliable Automatic Sprinkler Co., Inc.
Manufacturer & Distributor of Fire Protection Equipment
FPE-SP05 3/30/05 3:44 PM Page 20
tem for high-rise office buildings.7 Functioning sprinklers reduce the properties. The MACRS system shortens
Many jurisdictions have adopted this magnitude of fires. The number of fire the depreciable life of an asset, which
code or are requiring sprinklers retroac- calls is not reduced, but the demands of in turn provides greater tax deductions
tively in specific occupancies. In addi- and risks to the responding fire depart- in a shorter time. These deductions not
tion, some building owners, corpora- ment personnel are decreased. This en- only make the installation of a sprinkler
tions, and insurance companies have ables slower growth of fire department system more feasible, they also allow
insisted on sprinklers being installed in costs over time. The recovered re- the savings to be reinvested into the
their properties. This was the case at sources may then be reallocated to business.
One Meridian Plaza in Philadelphia. In other community needs, such as the This legislation also discusses the fis-
February 1991, a fire spread through growing demand for emergency med- cal impacts fire has on a community.
eight unsprinklered floors until it ical services. Seven years after their These include increased firefighter
reached an area where sprinklers had sprinkler ordinance was passed, Scotts- workers’ compensation, reduced
been installed at the request of a ten- dale, Arizona, reported a savings of 30 tourism, negative publicity, litigation
ant. A chief from the Philadelphia Fire percent to 50 percent by their citizens costs, lost revenue for destroyed busi-
Department stated that “nine sprinkler for fire service when compared to sur- ness, and increased unemployment.
heads on that floor stopped a fire the rounding communities. They were also These substantial impacts must be con-
whole Philadelphia Fire Department able to employ more personnel in areas sidered when assessing the loss of rev-
couldn’t stop.” Three firefighters died in such as arson investigation, plan re- enue from this tax incentive.
this fire, and 24 others were injured. view, education, building inspection, The tax incentive would also
Direct property loss was estimated to and fire administration.5 strengthen the economy. Approxi-
be $100 million while business inter- There are also insurance benefits to mately 65 percent of the cost of retro-
ruption costs were at least that installing sprinkler systems. The most fitting a sprinkler system is labor. By in-
amount.8 The cost to completely retrofit significant savings are for commercial stalling more sprinkler systems, the
this building with sprinklers would and industrial buildings, and often in- demand for sprinkler designers and fit-
have been a mere fraction of the loss it surance companies will insist on sprin- ters is increased, in addition to a
incurred. klers prior to insuring a property. In greater need for materials.2
multi-family dwellings, the savings may
INDIRECT SAVINGS also be substantial. Owners of four THE COST OF NOT SPRINKLERING
multi-family units involved in a United
During 2002, U.S. fire departments States Fire Administration retrofit pro- Sprinklers save lives. There has not
responded to over 500,000 structure gram received insurance reductions been a single fatality in a sprinklered
fires, and there was over $10 billion in from 4 percent to 40 percent off of their residential building in Cobb County,
direct property damage. There were entire insurance premium.5 Because of Georgia, or in Napa, California, since
also 3,380 civilian fire deaths and the limited use of sprinklers in one- and their long-standing residential sprinkler
18,425 injuries.1 The direct property two-family dwellings, the savings are ordinances were enacted. In addition,
damage cost, in addition to the costs not as great. The Insurance Service Of- Scottsdale, Arizona, credits sprinklers
associated with loss of life, injuries, fire fice (ISO) recommends a reduction of for saving 52 lives since its sprinkler or-
department services, insurance, legal 13 percent for these occupancies when dinance was passed in 1985.5 This is
expenses, etc., is staggering. The po- sprinkler systems meeting NFPA 13D dramatic, considering the NFPA states
tential for savings by more widespread are used, with another 2 percent reduc- that eight out of ten fire deaths in the
installation of sprinklers is also tion for smoke detectors.5 The savings United States occur in residential struc-
staggering. in these occupancies may increase as tures, and there were 2,670 fire deaths
Sprinklers are already required in sprinklers become more prevalent and in homes in 2002 alone.1
many residential and commercial build- insurance companies document result- In addition to saving lives, sprinklers
ings, including industrial and manufac- ing cost reductions. significantly reduce property damage
turing facilities, because of code re- costs. Cobb County and Napa both re-
quirements or insurance requirements. TAX INCENTIVES ported incidental or minimal damage
When these occupancies are sprin- when sprinklers activated in compari-
klered, benefits include reduced prop- Federal tax legislation is currently be- son to possible losses into the millions.
erty damage and loss of life, diminished ing considered by the U.S. Congress, From 1985 to 1995, Scottsdale’s data
business interruption and continued which could be a catalyst for making has shown the average loss in a home
work for their employees, and reduced sprinkler systems much more viable in with sprinklers to be $1,945, while the
experience-based insurance rates.2 In existing buildings. The legislation rec- average loss for a home without sprin-
addition, they do not suffer negative ommends use of the Modified Acceler- klers is $17,067.4 The total property
publicity by having a large-loss fire ated Cost Recovery System (MACRS), damages during this 10-year period
when it could have been prevented. with a five-year class life, for the depre- were just $30,401 when the potential
This negative publicity has the potential ciation of sprinkler systems. Presently, a loss was estimated at $5.4 million. It
to discourage consumers and could straight-line depreciation is used, with a should also be noted the population in
have a significant impact on the success basis of 39 years for commercial prop- Scottsdale during this time period in-
of a corporation or business. erties and 27.5 years for residential creased 54 percent.6 Fresno, California,
states that property damage has been IS IT ALL ABOUT THE MONEY? of Fire Chiefs, NFPA, and National Fire
limited to $42,000 during the 10-year Sprinkler Association, “Fire Sprinkler
period that their residential sprinkler From the price of a sprinkler to the Incentive Act of 2003,” April 18, 2003.
law has been in effect. In addition, value placed on a lost life, the driving 3 “Automatic Fire Sprinklers: The Facts,”
NFPA statistics indicate that property force behind the decision to install sprin- American Fire Sprinkler Association,
damage in hotel fires was reduced by klers is economics. This is why it is es- www.firesprinkler.org/sprinklerinfo.
78 percent in sprinklered buildings be- sential for fire protection professionals, 4 “Automatic Sprinklers: A 10-Year Study,”
tween 1983 and 1987. The average loss lawmakers, code officials, and the sprin- Rural/Metro Fire Department, Scottsdale,
for sprinklered hotels during this pe- kler industry to continue exploring ways Arizona, 1997.
riod was $2,300, compared to the loss to make sprinkler installation more feasi- 5 “The Case for Residential Sprinklers,”
of $10,300 in unsprinklered hotels.3 ble in existing buildings and in occupan- National Fire Sprinkler Association,
The increased life safety and prop- cies that are not currently required to be www.nfsa.org/info/thecase.html.
erty protection provided by sprinklers sprinklered. ▲
6 Smith, S., “Residential Fire Sprinkler Q &
may also be demanded by consumers A,” PMmag.com,
and investors. The Hotel and Motel Fire Stacy Welch is with Marriott Interna- www.pmmag.com/CDA/ArticleInformatio
Safety Act of 1990 requires federal em- tional. n/features/BNP_Features_Item/0,,23771,00
ployees on travel to stay in sprinklered ten-uss_01dbc.html, April 2001.
buildings (when these hotels and mo- REFERENCES 7 NFPA 101, The Life Safety Code, National
tels exceed three stories). Federally Fire Protection Association, Quincy, MA,
funded meetings and conferences must 1 Karter, Jr., M., “Fire Loss in the United States 2003.
also be held in sprinklered buildings. During 2002,” National Fire Protection
8 Routley, J.G., Jennings, C., and Chubb, M.,
Because of the great numbers of fed- Association, Quincy, MA, September 2003.
“High-Rise Office Building Fire, One
eral employees who travel, this has a 2 American Fire Sprinkler Association, Meridian Plaza Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
significant impact on hotel occupancy Campus Firewatch, Congressional Fire (February 23, 1991),” United States Fire
and use. Services Institute, International Association Administration.
By Carl F. Baldassarra, P.E. coordinated technical regulations affecting high-rise buildings. The current edition of
the broad scope of building designs and the Chicago Building Code (CBC) defines
INTRODUCTION occupancies. The code development high-rise buildings as those having a
processes of the two model code organiza- height of 80 feet (24 meters) or more. The
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Over 10 years ago, Potter Electric Signal Co. recognized the problems corrosion can
cause in a sprinkler system. Since then, Potter has been the exclusive provider of a
Vane Type Flow Switch (VSR-F) that includes corrosion proof wetted materials,
eliminating potentially catastrophic problems.
P
A
T
E Today, Potter offers three new corrosion-fighting products.
N
D
E
D
z The PAAR (Potter Automatic Air Release) helps eliminate trapped air in a sprinkler system.
Eliminating trapped air reduces the air/water interface where corrosion often thrives. The PAAR
also includes a secondary automatic water shutoff valve that can be fully supervised.
z The PCMS (Potter Corrosion Monitoring Station) replicates the condition in the cross main or
branch line of a wet pipe system, allowing the system to be regularly inspected for signs of
corrosion. Water sampling, visual inspection, coupon analysis, and sprinkler analysis are
z The PCDS (Potter Chemical Delivery System) utilizes a patented process that allows a
corrosion-inhibiting agent to be added to the water supply as it enters the sprinkler
system. This system is fully supervised, and comes complete with a local alarm and
digital communicator.
800.325.3936 w w w. p o t t e r s i g n a l . c o m
FPE-SP05 3/30/05 3:48 PM Page 24
100
low compared to low-rise buildings, as is the case 90
with other municipalities. It is acknowledged, how- Fires 77
80
ever, that the risk to high-rise building occupants is Fatalities
70
Fires/Fatalities
greater because of the well-known physical charac-
60 57
teristics of high-rise buildings and the larger num-
No. of
ber of persons at risk. The number of fatal fires and 50
total fatalities in Chicago, from 1946 to 2003, is 40 33
shown in Figure 1. The total number of fatalities 30
over the 57-year period is: 14 in office buildings, 57 20 14 10
in residential buildings, and 77 in hotel occupan-
10 5
cies. In the 1980s, the City addressed hotel fire
0
safety through an ordinance requiring a complete Office Residential Hotel
fire detection system in hotel occupancies (or a re-
Building Type
duced level of detection in fully sprinklered build-
ings), and fire fatalities in hotels since then have Figure 1. Fatal Fires and Fatalities in Chicago High-Rise Buildings, 1946-2003.
dramatically declined.
building facade inspections and repairs (1996, 2003), emergency
The Chicago Department of Construction and Permits estimates
generators (2000), and evacuation plans (2001). Some building
that there are approximately 1,700 high-rise buildings in the City.
owners have reported expenses of millions of dollars to comply
Of these, approximately 1,300 were built before 1975 and 400
with these previously adopted ordinances. Clearly, there was a
were built after 1975. Of the 1,300 pre-1975 buildings, it is esti-
heightened sensitivity to an additional ordinance that may require
mated that 1,100 buildings are primarily of residential occupancy.
costly fire safety improvements.
With the exception of New York, no other U.S. city has as many
high-rise residential buildings and dwelling units as Chicago. In
ORDINANCE DEVELOPMENT
recent years, owners of high-rise buildings have been subject to a
number of ordinances which have had a major financial impact
In response to a multiple-fatality fire in the Cook County Ad-
upon some of the buildings. These ordinances require exterior
ministration Building on October 17, 2003, Chicago officials con-
sidered a number of proposals and began development of an or-
dinance to address fire safety for existing high-rise buildings in a
comprehensive manner. The objective of the ordinance was to
provide a reasonable level of safety for the occupants of high-rise
buildings and to do so in a manner that sustains the City’s eco-
nomic strength, and preserves jobs and business opportunities.
The City staff and its consultant reviewed the criteria in the na-
tional model codes, reviewed the experience of other cities and
jurisdictions adopting similar legislation, and considered issues in-
cluding practicality, effectiveness, experience, new technology,
and costs. This work resulted in a comprehensive proposal devel-
oped by the City’s administration.
The issue of safety for existing buildings is especially difficult
because of practical difficulties and costs involved in making im-
provements in these buildings. Accordingly, the proposed ordi-
nance was limited in its scope to fire safety features judged to be
of basic fire safety importance. While some cities elected to essen-
tially require their existing buildings to meet the same fire safety
criteria required of new buildings, such was not the case in Chi-
cago. For example, costly smoke control and pressurization sys-
tems, supplied by emergency power, were not deemed as mini-
mum required features given automatic sprinkler protection for
commercial buildings and the degree of compartmentation in-
cluded in residential buildings.
Shortly after the fire and before the development of a compre-
hensive draft ordinance, the Chicago City Council adopted an or-
dinance that prohibits stairway doors locked against re-entry into
the building unless such doors are equipped with automatic and
manual unlocking systems. (A temporary provision allowed
locked stairway doors on certain floors, similar to the criteria in-
cluded in the NFPA Life Safety Code, until January 2005.)
Two proposals were presented to the Chicago City Council.
One proposal by one of the City’s aldermen would have required
the provision of automatic sprinklers throughout all existing STAIRWAY DOOR LOCKING
high-rise buildings within five years. The administration’s com-
prehensive proposal, however, provided a reasonable balance Prior to October 2003, a number of pre-1975 high-rise buildings
between safety and the costs, and consisted of the following ma- maintained locked doors from the stairway side of the stair enclo-
jor elements: sure in the interest of maintaining building security. While prohib-
• Evacuation plans for all high-rise buildings electronically ited for high-rise buildings constructed after 1975, the Chicago
filed with the City’s 911 center; Building Code was silent on the application of such requirements
• Prohibiting stairway doors locked against re-entry, except for in pre-1975 buildings. Shortly after the fire, the City Council
automatic and manual unlocking systems, in all buildings with adopted an ordinance that prohibited locking of stairway doors
stairways serving four or more stories; that would not allow occupants to re-enter the floors of the build-
• Voice communication systems for occupant notification and ing, except when equipped with automatic/manual unlocking
fire department communication in high-rise buildings; systems. The ordinance was subsequently revised and allowed
• Automatic sprinkler protection for commercial high-rise temporarily locking of certain doors until January 1, 2005.
buildings;
• Life Safety Evaluations (LSE) to verify a minimum level of VOICE COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS
fire safety for nonsprinklered high-rise buildings;
• Modification of material and installation criteria to allow Human behavior studies indicate that it is important to provide
more economical installations and encourage optional fire pro- timely and accurate information and instructions to building occu-
tection improvements; and, pants.1, 2 The current CBC criteria for new high-rise buildings re-
• A requirement for a minimum one-hour fire-resistive stair- quire one-way voice occupant notification systems in public areas
way enclosure in residential buildings. and office tenant spaces over 5,000 square feet (460 m2). In addi-
In addition to the above proposals, the Administration is also tion, the current CBC criteria for new high-rise buildings require
seeking property tax relief and tax incentives for fire safety im- two-way communication systems for fire department use. These
provements at the state and county levels. This is in addition to criteria were included in the ordinance for installation in existing
the tax incentives included in pending federal legislation (see the high-rise buildings. Costs for these systems were judged to be rea-
article on page 18 for a description), generally applicable to com- sonable when viewed on a per-dwelling-unit basis for residential
mercial buildings.
Following development of the proposed ordinance, it was
posted on the City’s Web site and was the subject of a series of
public hearings and community meetings, at which the proposal
was discussed and comments from affected parties were re-
ceived. Stakeholders included regulatory officials, elected offi-
cials, contractors, building owner organizations, labor organiza-
tions, real estate interests, trade associations, and citizens. Not
surprisingly, the testimony of many citizens reflected the percep-
tion that fires are rare events, that they feel adequately protected,
and that they do not need to spend substantial sums of money
on fire protection improvements, particularly sprinklers. Issues
such as the cost of sprinkler installations, the need for improved
life safety, and potential insurance savings were frequently raised.
In addition, certain buildings were evaluated per the criteria in
the ordinance, and cost estimates were obtained for compliance
with the ordinance. As a result of the public comments and trial
building evaluations, the ordinance was subsequently modified
and was adopted on December 15, 2004. A second ordinance
concerning broadening the application of the previously adopted
building evacuation plan ordinance is pending.
The major elements included in the ordinances are discussed
in the following sections.
EVACUATION PLANS
buildings and on a per-area basis for com- were judged to present an unacceptable cilities, open-air portions of stadiums, non-
mercial buildings. The ordinance allows a risk. On the other hand, an ordinance transient residential buildings, designated
five-year installation period. mandating sprinkler protection in a large landmark buildings, and contributing
Nevertheless, a substantial number of number of residential buildings, costing (landmark) buildings. The requirement for
public comments were received concern- hundreds of millions of dollars, was not sprinklers affects almost all commercial
ing this portion of the ordinance, particu- considered necessary because of the non- buildings in the City. In response to the
larly with respect to the cost of compli- transient nature of the occupants and the concerns of the real estate industry, the or-
ance with this provision. As a result, the inherent level of compartmentation in res- dinance was drafted to allow a 12-year in-
current proposal now includes perfor- idential buildings. A review of high-rise stallation period, providing that one-third
mance-based language that will permit residential building fire records, in fact, of the installation is completed in each of
other existing voice communication sys- showed a high degree of the buildings’ three four-year incremental periods. A
tems to be used, provided that the systems ability to limit fires to the unit of origin. plan of compliance is required to be sub-
meet certain criteria and are judged to be Buildings designated as landmarks were mitted to the City within one year.
acceptable by the fire department. also considered to present practical diffi- Based upon a survey conducted by the
culties and, therefore, were exempted Building Owners and Managers Associa-
AUTOMATIC SPRINKLER from the draft ordinance. Nevertheless, tion (BOMA), a trade association repre-
PROTECTION there was a concern about verifying that senting 269 commercial buildings and 94
the residential and landmarked buildings’ percent of the commercial square footage
The benefits of automatic sprinkler construction integrity has been main- in Chicago, approximately 29 percent of
protection are well known to City offi- tained since originally constructed. the responding buildings with 37 percent
cials and need not be repeated here. The draft ordinance took a measured of the rentable square footage were built
While the frequency of fatal fires in high- approach to the installation of automatic after 1975, the effective date of the City’s
rise commercial buildings was low, the sprinklers in existing high-rise buildings. high-rise provisions.3
large numbers of persons in commercial The ordinance mandates the installation of The BOMA-Chicago survey identified 87
high-rise buildings, the nature of the oc- sprinklers in high-rise buildings, with the buildings representing approximately 24.7
cupancy, and typical building geometries following exceptions: open-air parking fa- million square feet (2,290,000 m2) as
affected by this provision. Most of these cluded in the Life Safety Code. Neverthe- made to establish the minimum level of
buildings are “Class B” and “Class C” less, the Life Safety Code requires that the safety consistent with the provisions in
buildings, an industry term reflecting that LSE be approved by the Authority Having the Chicago Building Code specifically
they are not the newer, higher rental rate Jurisdiction. applicable to existing buildings. It was the
properties, making it difficult for the land- The definition of an LSE, specifically for collective judgment of the team that rigor-
lords to raise rental rates to amortize the existing nonsprinklered residential and ous compliance with the CBC provisions
cost of the sprinkler installations. BOMA- landmark commercial buildings, first re- for existing buildings would provide a
Chicago estimated that there is a total of quired that an objective be specified with reasonable level of fire safety. From this
35 million square feet (3,300,000 m2) of respect to the desired level of safety. After review, it was later determined that the
unsprinklered office space in the City, 17 due consideration, a policy decision was CBC requirement for minimum fire resis-
million square feet (1,600,000 m2) of which
may require asbestos abatement. Using a
range of $6.25 to $14 per square foot
($67.20 to $150 per square meter) for in-
stallation costs and $16.25 per square foot
($175 per square meter) for asbestos
abatement, BOMA-Chicago estimated the
cost for city-wide compliance to be $636
million. It was noted that sprinkler retrofits
frequently involve much more than the
cost of the sprinkler system alone. For ex-
ample, a major sprinkler retrofit installa-
tion will involve substantial upgrade or re-
placement of the building’s fire alarm and
supervisory system which monitors the
sprinkler system, possibly triggering a fur-
ther upgrade to achieve ADA compliance;
cutting, painting, and patching; soffit
and/or ceiling installations; and possibly
light fixture replacement.
BOMA-Chicago asked for a longer com-
pliance period and for the ability to have
an alternative to a mandate for automatic
sprinkler protection, as proposed for non-
transient residential landmark commercial
buildings. The BOMA-Chicago cost esti-
mate was disputed as high by the fire
sprinkler industry representatives. The fire
sprinkler industry representatives also
spoke against using a Life Safety Evalua-
tion option (allowed for nontransient resi-
dential and landmark commercial build-
ings), suggesting that automatic sprinklers
are necessary for a reasonable level of
safety in all high-rise buildings.
tance-rated stairway enclosures in residen- mined that certain buildings would not ADOPTION OF THE ORDINANCE
tial buildings was not clear and that a meet the minimum criteria owing primar-
revision to clarify the requirement was ily to inadequate stairway enclosures. As the elected officials determined the
necessary. This was included in a later Again, it was judged that the existing appropriate regulations for the City, they
version of the proposed ordinance. condition was allowed to exist because were faced with choices involving issues
Accordingly, because the CBC require- of a lack of clarity of the stairway enclo- such as: What level of safety is needed for
ments differ for residential and commercial sure requirement. Certain maintenance- existing buildings? How much are the citi-
high-rise buildings, two LSEs were devel- related deficiencies were also noted. It zens willing to pay for the improved level
oped to implement this portion of the or- was the collective judgment of the staff of safety? These issues are definitely in the
dinance, one for nontransient residential and the City’s consultant that the LSE “shades of gray” category. This proposed
buildings and one for commercial (land- identified potentially life-threatening con- ordinance differs from previous, unsuc-
mark) buildings which need not be sprin- ditions, as was intended, and that the cessful attempts at a high-rise ordinance
klered per the proposed ordinance. The corrective measures would be substan- for existing buildings in that it includes a
LSEs are similar to the Fire Safety Evalua- tially less expensive than providing auto- number of cost-saving provisions, tax in-
tion Systems (FSESs) included in NFPA matic sprinkler protection in the same centives, reasonable compliance periods,
101A.5 However, the LSEs were specifi- buildings. and alternatives to a blanket requirement
cally developed to measure the buildings’ for automatic sprinkler installations. The
level of compliance with the minimum MODIFICATION OF INSTALLATION legislative body adopting the ordinance,
provisions of the CBC under which they STANDARDS the 50-member City Council and the
were designed and constructed. The use mayor, balanced the safety interests of the
of NFPA 101A would simply demonstrate The City has, over the years, enforced community against the costs of compli-
the fact that the building did not meet the certain installation practices which exceed ance and reached a consensus that the or-
criteria of NFPA 101 and would be irrele- the criteria included in the applicable dinance be adopted in its final form. While
vant to the objective. NFPA standards. In the interest of facilita- the technical issues and alternatives have
Like other FSESs, the LSEs for this appli- ting economical compliance with the pro- been addressed by fire protection engi-
cation include 18 major parameters: build- posed ordinance and to encourage the neers and other professionals, the actual
ing height; construction type; compartment installation of protection systems which policy decision was made by the elected
area; tenant separation; corridor walls; ver- exceed the minimum requirements of the officials charged with that responsibility.
tical openings; HVAC systems; smoke de- ordinance, e.g., automatic sprinkler sys- The City Council’s action on this ordi-
tection; communication systems; smoke tems in residential buildings, various modi- nance was its determination of an appro-
control; number and capacity of the means fications to the installation standards have priate balance of fire safety and cost for
of egress; dead-end corridors; exit travel been codified in the proposed ordinance. the citizens of the community in order to
distance; elevator controls; emergency These include: provide a reasonable level of safety for the
lighting; mixed occupancy separation; au- • Use of water supply criteria for the occupants of high-rise buildings. ▲
tomatic sprinklers; and auxiliary uses. The greater of either the sprinkler system or
intention of the LSE is to demonstrate that standpipe system demand, generally al- Carl F. Baldassarra is with Schirmer En-
a minimum level of fire safety is achieved lowing the continued use of existing fire gineering Corporation.
in areas involving fire safety, means of pumps;
egress, and general safety, and to allow • Use of all listed sprinkler piping and REFERENCES
alternative methods to achieve compliance sprinklers per NFPA 13, 2002 edition;
if the minimum level of protection is not • Use of NFPA 13, 2002 edition design 1 Bryan, J.L., “Psychological Variables that May
achieved. It is not intended, however, as a criteria; Affect Fire Alarm Design,” Fire Protection
method to circumvent the minimum provi- • Continued zoning of existing dry pipe Engineering, Summer 2001, pp. 42-48.
sions of the CBC applicable to existing systems; 2 Proulx, G., “The Impact of Voice
buildings. The ordinance requires that the • Installation of low-voltage electrical Communication Messages During a
LSE be conducted by a licensed architect risers associated with fire alarm and com- Residential Highrise Fire,” Human Behaviour
or engineer and that a report be completed munication systems within stairway enclo- in Fire – Proceedings of the First
within 12 months after the passage of the sures; International Symposium. Belfast, Northern
ordinance. The City is responsible for re- • Installation of detection system and Ireland, 1998, pp. 265-274.
viewing and approving the LSE for each notification system wiring and components 3 Building Owners and Managers Association
building, an objective measure of the rela- in the same electrical conduit and equip- of Chicago, Presentation Before Chicago
tive level of safety of the building. Building ment enclosure, per NFPA 72; Committee on Buildings, January 28, 2004.
owners will have up to seven years to • Central station monitoring using digi- 4 National Fire Protection Association. Life
complete repairs in order to achieve com- tal alarm communication equipment per Safety Code, Quincy, MA, 2003.
pliance with the LSE, or owners can elect NFPA 72. 5 NFPA 101A, Guide on Alternative Approaches
to sprinkler the building within the 12-year The above modifications have been esti- to Life Safety, National Fire Protection
time frame. mated to save as much as 25 percent of the Association, Quincy, MA, 2001.
LSEs were conducted on a sample of installation cost of certain systems over the
existing high-rise buildings. It was deter- traditional installation methods.
WHAT’S IN A NAME?
Everything!
BlazeMaster ® is a registered trademark of Noveon IP Holdings Corp. *As manufactured by Harvel, IPEX, Thompson Plastics and Tyco.
Soffi-Steel™ is a trademark of Grice Engineering Refer to manufacturer’s installation instructions for product listings and limitations prior to use.
© 2004 Noveon, Inc.
FPE-SP05 3/30/05 3:51 PM Page 34
the Canadian estimates. As a point of com- Table 1: Total Cost of Fire Components.
parison, these estimates, converted and in-
flated to 2002 U.S. dollars, adjusted for the Cost Component Contribution to Total Cost (%)
U.S. population, and using U.S. estimates for
direct and human losses, yield a range of Direct Economic Losses 5% - 6%
$119 billion to $159 billion dollars.
Building on this body of work, a variety of Built into Equipment, Buildings, etc. 25% - 35%
studies have estimated different aspects of
the cost of fire or, more specifically, the Net Fire Insurance 5%
losses resulting from fire. As part of the Fire
Safe Cigarette Act, the Consumer Product Indirect Economic Losses 5% - 15%
Safety Commission developed estimates on
the societal costs of cigarette-ignited fires, Estimates of Human Loss 10% - 15%
valued at the time (1992) at approximately
$4 billion.6 Much of this particular study fo- (Based on information from references 2, 4, 5, and 7)
cused on the economic costs resulting from
burns and anoxia. injury cost methodologies from The National Highway Traffic
To understand the impact of its fire programs, the National In- Safety Administration.8 When this cost methodology is applied to
stitute of Standards and Technology sponsored research on the all fire casualties, the resulting estimate of the cost of human loss
cost of firefighter injuries.7 Based on methods applied from eco- is $30 billion – quite comparable to the estimate used by Hall.
nomic studies, the estimated cost of addressing firefighter in- In addition, the NFPA, as part of its annual report on fire loss
juries and of the efforts to prevent them ranged from $2.8 billion in the United States (most recently published for 20039), pro-
to $7.8 billion. This later research incorporated newly published duces statistically derived estimates on the direct losses from
fire. These estimates of the direct cost of fire in terms of prop-
erty and human loss are widely used and are important inputs
into the estimates for the total cost of fire.
Nearly equal in size to the cost of the Finally, there is the cost of deaths and losses is often done as part of cost studies
fire service is the cost of fire protection injuries to society. Part of these costs is in other fields. The total of these attributed
built into buildings, equipment, infra- conceptually clear, if difficult to estimate, costs is about 10 percent to 15 percent of
structure, and business operations. To- such as the cost of medical treatment, fu- the estimated total cost of fire.
gether, these costs run about 25 percent neral expenses, and time lost from work.
to 35 percent of total cost of fire. The Other costs, more conceptually difficult THE CHALLENGE
cost of built-in fire protection in build- and to some distasteful, included in this
ings is hard to quantify. While fire detec- category are the value of a life and of pain The fire protection engineering com-
tion and suppression systems are identi- and suffering. Estimating these aspects of munity is faced with a remarkable chal-
fiable costs, as are the incremental costs
associated with fire-resistant materials,
much of built-in fire protection also pro-
Design with
vides protection from other hazards (e.g.,
thick walls offer resistance to fires and
provide structural integrity, electrical
safety features reduce the hazard of elec-
trical shock as well as fires).
The cost of fire protection built into
equipment is even more difficult to esti-
mate because there are so many more
Flexibility in Mind.
types of equipment than buildings. Equip- FlexHead–the pioneers of flexible fire protection.
ment ranging from televisions to portable
O
space heaters to cigarette lighters have spe- ver twenty years ago, FlexHead
cial features to prevent them from becom-
invented the first flexible fire
ing the equipment involved in ignition.
The cost of business operations af- sprinkler connection. That sys-
fected by fire considerations includes the tem was used in protecting billion dollar
training of employees in fire safety, cost
of special transportation for flammables, cleanroom facilities. Today, over 95% of
the use of special containers for flamma- the world’s computer chips are produced in
bles, and work time lost evacuating
cleanroom facilities protected by FlexHead.
buildings from false alarms.
Net insurance cost, or insurance over- Now, we’ve applied the same technology and
head, is the cost paid by the public for quality to the commercial marketplace, and
insurance, less what is returned to the
public in payments for insured losses introduced the first flexible fire sprinkler
(which are accounted for as part of di- connection designed for use in suspended
rect losses). Issues here include how to
ceilings. FlexHead’s are fast and simple to
separate fire-related insurance from other
kinds of hazard and peril insurance, and install. In a quarter of the time it takes for
how to accurately estimate the overhead hard-pipe installation, you can easily place
and profit that are paid for fire-related in-
surance. Insurance costs are less than 5 a FlexHead exactly in the center-of-tile.
percent of the overall cost of fire. New or retrofit buildings are ready for
Indirect losses from fire include busi-
revenue producing occupancy quicker,
ness interruptions, costs of temporary
lodging, tax losses, loss of market share, and ready for fast and easy space
legal expenses, and many other cate- changes. All at an installed cost
gories. This is one of the most difficult
categories to estimate with any degree of lower than hard-pipe arm-overs.
accuracy, in part because of the numer- Call us at (800) 829-6975
ous and disparate categories that com-
today or visit us online at
prise this loss group and in part because
disruptions in one category may be off- flexhead.com for more
set by transfers to others. Depending on information.
what is included and how the costs are
derived, this category can range from 5 U.S. Patent #’s 5,396,959, FlexHead systems...the NEW tried-and-true.
percent to 15 percent. Many of these 5,570,745, 6,123,154, 6,119,784,
Made in U.S.A
subtleties require in-depth study that has 6,488,097 800-829-6975 flexhead.com
heretofore not been undertaken.
lenge. Using Hall’s estimates,4 for exam- munity. The role of the fire service has ses, if indeed the necessary data to per-
ple, between $144 billion and $187 bil- changed markedly in the past 20 years. form such analyses were available. Ef-
lion was spent (total cost less losses and Although fire protection is still far and forts to date have most likely achieved
insurance) to avert an untold number of away its primary job, the fire service an understanding of the order of magni-
fires and their resulting losses in 2002. A plays an increasing role in the delivery of tude of the problem and of the relative
substantial portion of this estimated cost, emergency medical services, the re- importance of each component. To ef-
$61 billion, was spent on built-in fire sponse and mitigation of hazardous ma- fectively use this information in policy
protection. Yet combined economic and terials incidents, and most recently, in decisions, it is necessary to to establish
human losses of $52 billion still occurred. homeland security responsibilities. The good quantitative means to derive esti-
This fact presents several confounding fire service is no longer “just” firefighters; mates. ▲
questions, not only about the resources it is now “first responders” with an in-
that are spent to prevent fires and pro- creasingly wide array of services it pro- Patricia Frazier is with the TriData Di-
tect against them, but how to maximize vides. None of the costs discussed here vision of System Planning Corporation.
the benefits of these resources. are discounted for the increasing respon-
First and foremost of these questions sibilities the fire service plays outside of REFERENCES
is how much more would it cost to re- the traditional fire role. Increased effi-
duce the current losses, and as important ciencies in built-in protection and pro- 1 Apostolow, J.J., Bowers, D.L., and
as this cost itself, is the incremental cost moting (or even requiring) built-in pro- Sullivan III, C.M., “The Nation’s Annual
Expenditure for the Prevention and
acceptable and defensible – that is, tection to reduce the incidence of fire
Control of Fire,” Project Report, Worcester
would the increased cost to prevent have the added benefit of freeing up first Polytechnic Institute, Worcester, MA,
losses be worth more or less than the responders to perform other, equally im- December 21, 1978.
losses themselves? Using the estimates portant functions. Innovative designs and
2 Meade, W.A., “First Pass at Computing the
above, if 40 percent more could be spent cost-efficient solutions along with in-
Cost of Fire in a Modern Society,” The
in built-in protection, which resulted in a creased installation of sprinklers and fire-
Herndon Group, March 1991, prepared
50 percent reduction in losses, a near graded materials in residential structures for Center for Fire Research, National
zero sum would be achieved – spending would surely play a significant role here. Institute of Standards and Technology.
as much as was saved – a situation that
3 “Concerned Comments on Meade’s ‘First
may not necessarily make monetary CONCLUSION Pass at Computing the Cost of Fire Safety
sense but could achieve the valued soci- in a Modern Society’,” David J. Thomas,
etal goals of saving lives and property. A The total cost of fire is among the Fire Technology, First Quarter 1993, pp.
corollary question is, with increasing fire larger national problems in terms of its 69-75.
safety improvements in products and economic impact. It is important to con-
4 Hall, J., “The Total Cost of Fire in the
construction materials, whether more sider each major cost element and trade- United States,” NFPA Report, September
should be spent now to achieve lower offs among them when making fire pro- 2004.
losses in the future. This question has tection policy. For example, the size of
special prominence, as it is the nonloss 5 Schaenman, P., et al., “Total Cost of Fire
the fire service affects losses; the extent of
in Canada,” The National Research
(e.g., built-in protection) components built-in protection and engineering affects
Council of Canada Fire Research
that are the driving components in the the cost of fire services and the losses in- Laboratory, December 1994.
total cost of fire. While investments, such curred; the number and size of losses,
as residential sprinklers, increase the etc., should affect net insurance costs. 6 Miller, et al., “Estimating the Costs to
Society of Cigarette Fire Injuries,” National
short-term cost, the long-term cost sav- Changes in incremental costs of the major
Public Services Research Institute, July
ings may be substantial. These and other components of the total cost of fire
1993, as published in Societal Costs of
thorny questions are critical to pose and should be analyzed and the results given Cigarette Fires, Consumer Products Safety
answer. more consideration in setting priorities. Commission, August 1993.
The $150 billion to $200 billion spent Current estimates of the total cost of
7 Frazier, P., et al., “The Economic
averts losses in addition to containing fire include a large component for the
Consequences of Firefighter Injuries and
the losses currently experienced. How fire service itself. With the increasing Their Prevention,” System Planning
many incidents are averted (and how roles of the fire service, the cost of the Corporation, TriData Division, August
can this number be determined), and fire service’s protection and prevention 2004, prepared for National Institute of
what would be the losses from these roles need to be disaggregated from the Standards and Technology.
averted fires? It may well be that what is various other services it provides. Or it
8 Blincoe, L., et al., “The Economic Impact
spent in fire protection services is more would be necessary to assess the overall of Motor Vehicle Crashes 2000,” National
than paid back by the losses that are not costs of providing first responder ser- Highway Traffic and Safety Administration
incurred. Research to examine the cost vices. This is an area where further re- Technical Report, May 2002.
savings current engineering options al- finement is needed.
9 Karter, M. “United States Fire Loss for
ready afford would be beneficial. Lastly, it is critical to understand that 2003,” NFPA Journal, November/
The fire protection community also most methods used to estimate the total December, 2004, pp. 66-71.
has a unique opportunity to provide ad- cost of fire are “soft,” and few would
ditional support to the overall fire com- stand up to the rigors of detailed analy-
By Bernie Till
Remembering the
THE INCIDENT2
Browns Ferry
see Valley Authority facility near Athens,
Alabama, were working to resolve an air
leak in a fire penetration seal. As is nor-
mal in nuclear facilities, ventilation is de-
signed to flow from areas of lower cont-
FIS-2401
FPE-SP05 3/30/05 3:53 PM Page 39
Sprinkler Systems are designed to save buildings and lives, but can impair your
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reopen. Siemens waterless fire suppression solutions can detect and suppress fire
within 10 seconds, before sprinklers engage, without harming your patients, staff
or facility. Siemens is the single-source provider that can integrate fire detection,
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You take care of your patients. Let Siemens help take care of everything else.
To learn more about cost-effective waterless solutions, contact us at
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Building Technologies
Helping Your Building Work For You.™
Table 1. Reported Fire Loss Values Associated with the Browns Ferry Incident.
building had been identified as a leak
point, and plans had been developed Reference Loss Reported Summary
for repair. The penetrations were two
Industrial Fire Protection $500 Million Total loss, no breakdown of
“stacks” of five trays each which passed Handbook4 category
through a square four-foot by four-foot
(1.2 m x 1.2 m) opening. The trays NFPA Fire Protection Handbook5 $227 Million Described as property damage
themselves did not pass through the Energy Power Research Institute Characterized as “direct” loss
two-foot (0.6 m) thick reinforced con- (EPRI)6 $1 Million and identified a “forced outage
crete fire wall. The seal, designed as of 550 days”
both an air seal and a firestop, consisted
SFPE Technical Report $380 Million- Includes property damage of
of formed-in-place polyurethane with a
77-22 450 Million $10 M, cost of replacement
fire retardant or protective material ap- electrical power of $300,000 –
plied to the exposed polyurethane face. $500,000 per day for 18
A candle was used to locate the specific months (total $200 M-$270 M,
leak point by observing flame move- loss of investment return of
ment caused by the airflow. Once the $170 M.
specific location was identified, Fire Journal, July 19763 Over $130 Million Property damage of $10 M,
polyurethane foam sheet material was replacement power costs of
inserted as necessary and the candle $10 M per month for over a
used to determine effectiveness of the year
repair. This time, however, the flame
was pulled into the opening by the air-
flow. The polyurethane material, not yet mates were established. In other words, meters) of cables were directly involved
protected by the fire-retardant material, is the estimate in current valuations, or is in the fire. However, the consequences
ignited. it the actual value when the event oc- of this “small fire” resulted in what was
Attempts by the workers to extinguish curred? For example, if one uses a $100 determined to be a property damage es-
the fire were complicated by the depth million damage assessment under the timate of up to $227 million – the cost of
of the seal, the fact that the seal did not assumption that the referenced value replacing all of the damaged cables –
extend to both faces of the wall (the seal was in 1975 dollars, then, according to a not just the damaged sections. Other
was installed at the reactor building conversion using the Consumer Price In- sources report estimated damage at $500
side), impediments caused by the pene- dex (CPI), the value in 2003 dollars million.4
trating items, and by the lack of immedi- would be $342 million. Of larger importance are the costs of
ately available and appropriate means of Also of concern is the method for repairs and the loss of production capa-
extinguishment. Once obtained, a CO2 making the conversion. There are at bility. The fire in 1975 impacted both
extinguisher was perhaps compromised least five methods for converting past units at the site (a third was under con-
by the airflow, rendering it ineffective. values into current dollar estimates. All struction). Each unit was capable of pro-
The fire ignited the polyvinyl chloride five will give different results, and ducing 1,065 MW of power, and both
(and other) insulated cables. It was later choosing the most accurate is a point of were out of service for eighteen months.
estimated that about 4,000 pounds debate, since there is no common agree- A review of the literature reveals a
(1,800 kg) of cable insulation was in- ment on which is the most accurate. The wide discrepancy in the total reported or
volved, releasing an estimated 1,400 most commonly used is the Consumer estimated loss due to the fire at Browns
pounds (600 kg) of chloride to the reac- Price Index. It is familiar to most people Ferry. (See Table 1.) There are several
tor building. Damaged components in- and is useful for comparing the cost of reasons for this. First among these may
cluded electrical power, plant control average household items. The Gross Do- be the fact that the facility was self-in-
systems, and instrumentation cables.1 mestic Product (GDP) Deflator is similar sured, and either a comprehensive as-
to the CPI, but includes all items pro- sessment of the total impact of the fire
HOW MUCH? WHEN?... AND HOW? duced in the economy. A third method, was not performed or, if performed, was
the GDP, is the market value of all goods proprietary.
Bad news travels fast, and reporting and services produced in a year. The An obvious factor is scope of the esti-
of a fire when it is “fresh” doesn’t always fourth is the GDP per capita, and the mate. Some references identify only fire-
offer the benefit of offering the total cost fifth is the Unskilled Wage Rate. related property damage, while others
of the fire. The Browns Ferry Fire is a include property damage and business
good example. The July 1976 Fire Jour- APPLES AND APPLES interruption costs. None of the refer-
nal reported that the “property dam- ences reviewed captured the additional
age... is estimated at about $10 million, Some estimates of the consequences cost of repairs. SFPE Technical Report
and the cost of replacement power was of the fire refer only to the actual physi- 77-2 offered a possible estimate of over
approximately $10 million per month.”3 cal damage at the facility. In reality, this 1,000 person-hours for repairs (includ-
Another factor is determining the pe- was very small for the Browns Ferry fire. ing overtime).2 Other costs for interac-
riod of time during which the loss esti- It has been reported that only 20 feet (6 tion with the Nuclear Regulatory Com-
EN-GAUGE...
changing the way fire extinguishers are looked at
mission or testimony before the Con- viding balanced fire protection at a level
gressional Joint Commission on Atomic appropriate to minimize the risk to ac-
Energy as well as recovery planning ceptable levels. The SFPE report2 indi-
would also have added to the total cost. cates that this is one lesson learned from
The SFPE report also calculated a loss the incident – two fire protection engi-
of return on investment of $170 million neers were added to the staff following
based on a 10 percent return on the $1 the Browns Ferry event.
billion facility. Ultimately, the total costs of the
Teamwork is critical to the success of any project, ensuring an immediate, intelligent response to any
challenge with maximum efficiency. It is also the foundation of NOTIFIER’s Cooperative Sensing
Technology.
Built into every ONYX Series fire control panel, Cooperative Sensing Technology increases the speed
and accuracy of response to incipient fire signatures while maximizing system stability. By analyzing
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accurately identify a true fire condition, while minimizing nuisance alarms caused by dust, moisture
or spurious smoke at a single device.
Cooperative Sensing Technology is the latest in advanced fire detection – and is
available only from NOTIFIER. Life. Safety. Technology.
Narrowband Signaling
Part 2
4,000 68 69.0
70 5,000 69 69.5
65 6,300 67 66.9
8,000 66 64.9
60 10,000 64 61.5
12,500 63 58.7
55
16,000 67 60.4
50 20,000 65 55.7
25
32
40
50
63
80
100
125
160
200
250
315
400
500
630
800
1,000
1,250
1,600
2,000
2,500
3,150
4,000
5,000
6,300
8,000
10,000
12,500
16,000
20,000
LP=
LA=
LP= 92
Frequency LA= 88
Figure 1. Compressor Room Noise. Table 1. Compressor Room Noise.
dB
70 70
65 65
60 60
55 55
50 50
32
40
50
63
80
100
125
160
200
250
315
400
500
630
800
1,000
1,250
1,600
2,000
2,500
3,150
4,000
5,000
6,300
8,000
10,000
12,500
16,000
20,000
LP=
LA=
32
40
50
63
80
100
125
160
200
250
315
400
500
630
800
1,000
1,250
1,600
2,000
2,500
3,150
4,000
5,000
6,300
8,000
10,000
12,500
16,000
20,000
LP=
LA=
Frequency Frequency
Figure 2. Fire Alarm Signal. Figure 3. Combined Chart of Noise and Alarm Signal.
dB
70
Acutal noise data. Roll-offs 71 dB
greater than 7.5 dB/octave 70
65 or 2.5 dB/one-third octave.
65 65 dB
60
60
55 55
50 50
25
32
40
50
63
80
100
125
160
200
250
315
400
500
630
800
1,000
1,250
1,600
2,000
2,500
3,150
4,000
5,000
6,300
8,000
10,000
12,500
16,000
20,000
32
40
50
63
80
100
125
160
200
250
315
400
500
630
800
1,000
1,250
1,600
2,000
2,500
3,150
4,000
5,000
6,300
8,000
10,000
12,500
16,000
20,000
L P=
L A=
25
Frequency Frequency
Figure 4. Noise Data and Effective Masked Threshold. Figure 5. Penetration of Noise by Alarm.
the best keypad configuration for emergencies. The study, which included
communications, and unmatched survivability. See why we are safe to the core.
Resources
SFPE Annual Meeting and
Professional Development Conference
October 17-21, 2005
Hyatt Regency La Jolla in San Diego, CA
MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY
October 17 October 18 October 19 October 20 October 21
SFPE Annual Meeting Symposium on Advances in Fire Suppression New! Smoke Control: New! Smoke Control:
and Picnic Technologies: Developing and Engineering New Session I – Session II – Design
Fire Suppression Solutions to Protect People, Fundamentals and Fires, Atrium Control,
Environment, and Property Pressurization Systems and Tenability Systems
New! Introduction to
Structural Fire New! Advanced Fire Dynamics Simulator and Smokeview
Protection
The week features several NEW seminars: Advanced Fire Dynamics Simulator and
Smokeview, Smoke Control, Structural Fire Protection, and Dust Explosion. Returning
are the always-popular seminars on sprinkler design, human behavior, principles of fire
protection engineering, and how to study for the FPE/P.E. exam.
For more detailed information visit www.sfpe.org or contact Julie Gordon, SFPE
Education Program Manager, at jgordon@sfpe.org or by phone 301/718-2910.
UPCOMING EVENTS
May 24-26, 2005 October 17-21, 2005
15th Annual International Halon Options Technical Working Conference SFPE Annual Meeting and Professional Development Conference
Albuquerque Marriott Hotel San Diego, CA
Albuquerque, NM Info: www.sfpe.org
Info: www.bfri.nist.gov/866/HOTWC
October 20, 2005
June 6-10, 2005 Fire Safety in Terrestrial Passenger Transportation
NFPA World Safety Conference and Exposition Santander, Spain
Las Vegas, NV Info: grupos.unican.es/GIDAI
Info: www.nfpa.org
November 2-4, 2005
September 28-30, 2005 Fire Safety – Sea Road Rail International Conference
3rd International Conference on Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics Melbourne, Australia
Vienna University of Technology Info: www.rocarm.com/FSAS05CFP.htm
Vienna, Austria
Info: www.ped2005.com
May 11-12, 2006
Fourth International Workshop Structures in Fire – SiF’06
October 6-10, 2005 Aveiro, Portugal
Fourth Mediterranean Combustion Symposium Info: www.civil.ua.pt/sif06.htm
Lisbon, Portugal
Info: Contact Federico Beretta, beretta@irc.cnr.it
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will be able to take individual courses benefit from online admission and registration as
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completely online from the University of well as full technical support and access to the
Engineering Maryland this spring. university’s rich library resources.
4321 Hartwick Road, Suite 208 Two graduate-level courses will be offered by February 21, 2005, is the deadline for
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FPE-SP05 3/30/05 4:01 PM Page 56
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suppression protection for areas up to 40,000 play mounted on the front of the unit. The
square feet. During a fire, the system allows for single “Mode” button controls all operations,
a maximum of 1,200 lbs. of the clean, colorless including autocalibration. Other features
FM-200 gas to be distributed through a fixed include both audible and visual alarms, a
piping network for fast, effective protection of Calibration Due reminder, and Sensor Span
a facility’s most critical assets. Reserve indicators for predictive mainte-
www.siemens.com nance. All sensors are field-replaceable.
—Siemens Building Technologies, Inc. www.biosystems.com
—Biosystems, LLC
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Sales
In a game of poker, a player is dealt five cards.
Offices
What is the probability of a player being dealt a
HEADQUARTERS
“straight flush,” i.e., five sequential cards of the TERRY TANKER Publisher
same suit? 1300 East 9th Street
Cleveland, OH 44114-1503
216.696.7000, ext. 9721
fax 216.696.3432
ttanker@penton.com
and two of another number is (1/6)(1/36)=0.0046. Since double 1s, 2s, 3s, 4s, or 5s would CENTRAL / WEST
3!
be acceptable, there are five ways of achieving a full house. Also, there are =3 WAYNE BAYLISS District Manager
(3 − 1)!1!
possible combinations, so the probability of rolling 6, 6, 6, x, x is 0.0046 x 5 x 6 = 0.069. 51 Pinewood
Irvine, CA 92604
949.701.1437
For the second case, the probability of rolling three of a number is (1/6)3. Since there are fax 949.857.1359
wbayliss@penton.com
five possible combinations of rolling three of a kind (that are not 6s, which would result in
five of a kind), the probability of rolling three of a kind (other than three 6s) on the remain- SOUTHEAST
ing three dice is 0.023. Therefore, the probability of rolling a full house is 0.069 + 0.023 = TOM GRAVES District Manager
1180 Pin Oak Court
0.092. Cumming, GA 30041
770.205.1870
fax 770.205.1872
tgraves@penton.com
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