MMSS-04 Rev.
1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 5
Tropical Storm KRISTINE (TRAMI)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 22 October 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
“KRISTINE” INTENSIFIES INTO A TROPICAL STORM
Location of Center (4:00 AM)
The center of Tropical Storm KRISTINE was estimated based
on all available data at 390 km East of Virac, Catanduanes
(13.2°N, 127.8°E)
Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center,
gustiness of up to 80 km/h, and central pressure of 994 hPa
Present Movement
Westward at 15 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to gale-force winds extend outwards up to 680 km
from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW dir. and
Location Cat. speed (km/h)
(°N) (°E) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
2:00 PM 14.3 126.6 390 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte 75 TS NW 15
22 October 2024
24-Hour Forecast
2:00 AM 14.8 125.1 370 km East of Infanta, Quezon 85 TS WNW 15
23 October 2024
36-Hour Forecast
2:00 PM 16.3 123.5 145 km East of Casiguran, Aurora 100 STS NW 20
23 October 2024
48-Hour Forecast
2:00 AM 17.3 121.7 In the vicinity of Delfin Albano, Isabela 110 STS WNW 20
24 October 2024
60-Hour Forecast
2:00 PM 17.2 120.2 Over the coastal waters of Candon, Ilocos Sur 110 STS W 15
24 October 2024
72-Hour Forecast
2:00 AM 17.4 119.0 165 km West Southwest of Sinait, Ilocos Sur 120 TY W 10
25 October 2024
96-Hour Forecast
2:00 AM 18.0 115.7 505 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur 130 TY W 15
26 October 2024
120-Hour Forecast
895 km West of Northern Luzon
2:00 AM 18.0 112.0 130 TY W 15
(OUTSIDE PAR)
27 October 2024
Page 1 of 3
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: ADA
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
MMSS-04 Rev.1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 5
Tropical Storm KRISTINE (TRAMI)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 22 October 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. Luzon Visayas Mindanao
The eastern and central portions of mainland
Cagayan (Piat, Santo Nino, Camalaniugan, Tuao, Lal-
Lo, Enrile, Gonzaga, Alcala, Amulung, Santa Teresita,
Baggao, Buguey, Solana, Rizal, Santa Ana,
Tuguegarao City, Gattaran, Peñablanca, Iguig, Lasam,
Aparri, Allacapan), Isabela, Quirino, the southern
portion of Nueva Vizcaya (Alfonso Castañeda),
Aurora, the eastern portion of Rizal (Tanay, Pililla,
Jala-Jala), the eastern portion of Laguna (Majayjay,
Magdalena, Pila, Santa Cruz, Pagsanjan, Luisiana,
Eastern Samar, Northern Dinagat Islands and
Cavinti, Lumban, Kalayaan, Paete, Pakil, Pangil,
Samar, Samar, Leyte, Surigao del Norte
1 Siniloan, Famy, Santa Maria, Mabitac, Nagcarlan, Liliw),
the northern and eastern portions of Quezon
Biliran, and Southern
Leyte
including Siargao -
Bucas Grande Group
Wind threat: (Tagkawayan, Guinayangan, Buenavista, San Narciso,
Strong San Andres, General Nakar, Pitogo, San Francisco,
winds Calauag, Pagbilao, Infanta, Lopez, Catanauan,
Mulanay, Unisan, General Luna, Plaridel, Quezon,
Alabat, Sampaloc, Padre Burgos, Macalelon, Mauban,
Perez, Agdangan, Gumaca, Atimonan, Real, Lucena
City, Lucban, City of Tayabas) including Polillo
Islands, Marinduque, Romblon, Camarines Norte,
Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, and
Masbate including Ticao Island and Burias Island
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 6 issued at 5:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to “KRISTINE”.
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be
slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered
from the prevailing wind direction.
Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The highest Wind Signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of KRISTINE is still Wind Signal No. 4, considering the
possibility of rapid intensification.
Furthermore, the wind flow coming towards the circulation of KRISTINE and the Northeasterly Windflow will also bring strong to
gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
Today (22 October): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Region, Palawan, Romblon, Aklan, Antique, Negros Island Region,
Central Visayas, Southern Leyte, Zamboanga del Norte, Northern Mindanao, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Agusan
del Norte, Sarangani, Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.
Tomorrow (23 October): MIMAROPA, Visayas, and Mindanao.
Thursday (24 October): MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Visayas, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Zamboanga del Norte, Lanao del
Sur, Northern Mindanao, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.
Page 2 of 3
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: ADA
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
MMSS-04 Rev.1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 5
Tropical Storm KRISTINE (TRAMI)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 22 October 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is hoisted over the eastern seaboard of Luzon, the southern seaboard of Southern Luzon, and the eastern
seaboard of Visayas. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 2 issued at 5:00 AM today.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 6.5 m: The seaboard of Isabela and the northern and eastern seaboards of Bicol Region
Up to 5.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Cagayan, and Aurora, and the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern
Samar
Up to 4.5 m: The seaboards of Polillo Islands, the northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte, the remaining seaboards of Bicol
Region, the western seaboard of Northern Samar, the northern seaboard of Biliran, and the seaboard of the northern
portion of Samar.
Sea travel is risky all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter
or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 4.0 m: The western seaboard of Ilocos Norte.
Up to 3.5 m: The remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon and the seaboards of Southern Leyte, Bohol, Camiguin,
Dinagat Islands, and Surigao del Norte.
Up to 3.0 m: The southern seaboards of Palawan, Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, and Siquijor, the eastern
seaboard of Davao Region and the eastern seaboard of mainland Quezon
Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under
these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 2.5 m: The remaining seaboards of the country.
Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while
venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
KRISTINE is forecast to move northwestward to west northwestward until Thursday (24 October) before turning westward for
the rest of the forecast period. On the track forecast, this tropical cyclone may make landfall over Isabela on tomorrow (23
October) evening and may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Friday (25 October) evening. Changes in forecast
track is not ruled out, depending on the movement of the weather systems surrounding this tropical cyclone in the next few
days.
KRISTINE is forecast to remain as a tropical storm in the next 24 hours. It may reach severe tropical storm category on
tomorrow and may make landfall over Isabela as a severe tropical storm. It is forecast to reach typhoon category on Friday as
it emerges over the West Philippine Sea. Since this tropical cyclone is still over the Philippine Sea, rapid intensification is
not ruled out given the favorable environmental conditions.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all
necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these
hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings,
thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 AM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Page 3 of 3
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: ADA
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
