MMSS-04 Rev.
1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 12
Tropical Storm CRISING (WIPHA)
Issued at 2:00 PM, 18 July 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.
“CRISING” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES NORTH NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS
MAINLAND CAGAYAN – BABUYAN ISLANDS
Location of Center (1:00 PM)
The center of Tropical Storm CRISING was estimated based
on all available data at 135 km East Northeast of
Tuguegarao City, Cagayan (17.9°N, 123.0°E).
Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h near the center,
gustiness of up to 90 km/h, and central pressure of 992 hPa
Present Movement
North northwestward at 25 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to gale-force winds extend outwards up to 550 km
from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
dir. and
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW
Location Cat. speed
(°N) (°E) (km/h) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
11:00 PM 19.3 121.3 Over the coastal waters of Calayan, Cagayan 75 TS NW 25
18 July 2025
24-Hour Forecast
11:00 AM 19.9 119.4 230 km West Northwest of Calayan, Cagayan 85 TS WNW 20
19 July 2025
36-Hour Forecast
430 km West of Itbayat, Batanes
11:00 PM 20.7 117.7 95 STS WNW 15
(OUTSIDE PAR)
19 July 2025
48-Hour Forecast
670 km West of Itbayat, Batanes
11:00 AM 21.4 115.4 100 STS WNW 20
(OUTSIDE PAR)
20 July 2025
60-Hour Forecast
900 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon
11:00 PM 21.6 113.2 100 STS W 20
(OUTSIDE PAR)
20 July 2025
72-Hour Forecast 1,090 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon or in the
11:00 AM 21.7 111.4 vicinity of Guangdong Province, China 95 STS W 15
21 July 2025 (OUTSIDE PAR)
96-Hour Forecast
1,325 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon
11:00 AM 21.1 109.1 95 STS WSW 10
(OUTSIDE PAR)
22 July 2025
Page 1 of 4
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: RPG
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
MMSS-04 Rev.1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 12
Tropical Storm CRISING (WIPHA)
Issued at 2:00 PM, 18 July 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. Luzon Visayas Mindanao
Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Apayao,
Kalinga, the northern and central portions of Abra (Manabo, Pidigan,
San Juan, Tayum, Langiden, Boliney, Sallapadan, Bucloc, Lagangilang,
Danglas, La Paz, Licuan-Baay, Tineg, Malibcong, Peñarrubia, San Isidro,
Daguioman, San Quintin, Dolores, Lagayan, Bangued, Bucay, Lacub),
2 the eastern portion of Mountain Province (Natonin, Paracelis), the
eastern portion of Ifugao (Aguinaldo, Alfonso Lista), Ilocos Norte, and
- -
Wind threat:
the northern portion of Ilocos Sur (Cabugao, Sinait, Magsingal, San
Gale-force
Juan, San Ildefonso, Santo Domingo, Bantay, San Vicente, Santa
winds
Catalina, Caoayan, City of Vigan, Santa)
Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, the rest of Mountain Province, the rest of
Ifugao, the rest of Abra, Benguet, the rest of Ilocos Sur, La Union,
the northern portion of Pangasinan (San Nicolas, Natividad, San
Quintin, San Manuel, Tayug, Sison, San Fabian, Pozorrubio, Laoac,
1 Binalonan, San Jacinto, Manaoag, Mangaldan, Dagupan City, Binmaley,
Lingayen, Labrador, Sual, City of Alaminos, Bolinao, Anda, Bani, Agno,
- -
Wind threat: Burgos, Mabini, Dasol, Calasiao, Santa Barbara, Mapandan, Bugallon),
Strong the northern portion of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran, Dinalungan,
winds Dipaculao, Baler, Maria Aurora), and the northeastern portion of
Nueva Ecija (Carranglan, Pantabangan)
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
Page 2 of 4
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: RPG
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
MMSS-04 Rev.1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 12
Tropical Storm CRISING (WIPHA)
Issued at 2:00 PM, 18 July 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 12 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone CRISING
and the Southwest Monsoon.
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be
slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered
from the prevailing wind direction.
Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the localities where Wind Signal No. 2 is
hoisted.
Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The Southwest Monsoon will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas
exposed to winds):
Today: Zambales, Bataan, Batangas, Quezon, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Camiguin,
Misamis Oriental, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao Occidental, Davao Oriental, and Sarangani.
Tomorrow: Metro Manila, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula,
Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Davao
Occidental, and Davao Oriental.
Sunday (20 July): Metro Manila, Ilocos Region, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas,
and Northern Samar.
Coastal Inundation
There is a minimal to moderate risk of life-threatening storm surge with peak heights reaching 1.0 to 2.0 m within 24 hours
over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, and Ilocos Sur.
Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 7 issued at 2:00 PM today for the details.
Page 3 of 4
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: RPG
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
MMSS-04 Rev.1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 12
Tropical Storm CRISING (WIPHA)
Issued at 2:00 PM, 18 July 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is hoisted over the northern seaboard of Northern Luzon. Refer to Gale Warning No. 2A issued at 11 AM
today for the details.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 6.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands
Up to 4.5 m: The northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte; the remaining seaboards of Cagayan; and the seaboard of Isabela
Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter
or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 3.5 m: The western seaboards of Ilocos Norte, Palawan, and Antique; the southern seaboard of Iloilo; the western and
southern seaboards of Negros Occidental and Guimaras
Up to 3.0 m: The western seaboards of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands; the southern seaboard of Negros
Oriental; the northern seaboard of Zamboanga Peninsula; the eastern seaboard of Davao Oriental; the remaining seaboards
of Palawan
Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these
conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 2.5 m: The northeastern seaboards of Aurora and Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Catanduanes and Eastern
Samar; the seaboards of Romblon, Siquijor, and Camiguin; the northern and western seaboards of Masbate; the southern
seaboards of Quezon, Oriental Mindoro, Bohol, and Southern Leyte; the northern seaboards of Misamis Oriental, Agusan
del Norte, and Surigao del Norte
Up to 2.0 m: The western seaboards of Bataan and Batangas; the remaining seaboards of Aurora, Polillo Islands, Camarines
Sur, Catanduanes, and Northern Samar; the northern seaboards of Camarines Norte; the southern seaboard of Marinduque;
the seaboards of Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, and Dinagat Islands
Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing
out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
CRISING will move generally northwestward within the next 12 hours. On the forecast track, a landfall scenario over mainland
Cagayan or Babuyan Islands this afternoon or evening is possible. Afterwards, it will move west northwestward traversing over
Extreme Northern Luzon until it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tomorrow (19 July) afternoon.
CRISING will continue to intensify until it reaches Severe Tropical Storm category by tomorrow afternoon.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all
necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these
hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings,
thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Page 4 of 4
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: RPG
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
