MMSS-04 Rev.
1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 24
Typhoon CARINA (GAEMI)
Issued at 5:00 PM, 25 July 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 PM today.
“CARINA” CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND IS NOW OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA
Location of Center (4:00 PM)
The center of the eye of Typhoon CARINA was estimated based
on all available data at 550 km North Northwest of Itbayat,
Batanes (25.3°N, 119.6°E)
Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h near the center,
gustiness of up to 180 km/h, and central pressure of 975 hPa
Present Movement
West Southwestward at 10 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 640 km
from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW dir. and
Location Cat. speed (km/h)
(°N) (°E) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
670 km North Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes or in
2:00 AM 26.0 118.6 95 STS NW 15
the vicinity of Fujian, China (OUTSIDE PAR)
26 July 2024
24-Hour Forecast 890 km North Northwest of Extreme Northern
2:00 PM 27.7 117.4 Luzon or in the vicinity of Fujian, China (OUTSIDE 65 TS NNW 20
26 July 2024 PAR)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. Luzon Visayas Mindanao
1 Batanes - -
Wind threat: Warning lead time: 36 hours
Strong Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
winds Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
Page 1 of 2
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: ACJ
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
MMSS-04 Rev.1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 24
Typhoon CARINA (GAEMI)
Issued at 5:00 PM, 25 July 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 PM today.
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Typhoon CARINA is now less likely to directly bring heavy rainfall over any portion of the country. However, the Southwest Monsoon
enhanced by CARINA will bring heavy to intense rainfall over Ilocos Region, Abra, Apayao, Benguet, Zambales, and Bataan for toniight
while moderate to heavy rainfall over various localities in the western portion of Luzon from tonight through Saturday. For more
information, refer to Weather Advisory No. 31 issued at 11:00 AM today and the Public Weather Forecast issued at 4:00 PM today.
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly
stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the
prevailing wind direction.
Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The Southwest Monsoon enhanced by CARINA will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal
and upland areas exposed to winds):
Today and tomorrow (26 July): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Nueva Vizcaya,
Quirino, the eastern portion of Isabela, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas,
Negros Occidental, and Northern Samar
Saturday (27 July): Batanes, Ilocos Region, Zambales, Bataan, Marinduque, Romblon, and Kalayaan Islands.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
Gale Warning is in effect over the coastal waters of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and northwestern
Cagayan. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas. For more information, refer to Gale
Warning No. 7 issued at 5:00 PM today.
In the next 24 hours, CARINA and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will bring rough seas over the western seaboard of Central
Luzon (2.5 to 4.0 m). Moderate to rough seas are also expected over the northern and western seaboards of Northern Luzon outside
Gale Warning areas, the western seaboard of Southern Luzon (1.5 to 4.0 m), and the eastern seaboard of Northern Luzon (1.5 to
3.5 m). Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these
conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas are also expected over the eastern seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon, the southern seaboard of
Southern Luzon (1.0 to 2.5 m), the western and eastern seaboards of Visayas, and the eastern seaboard of Mindanao (1.0 to 2.0
m). Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out
to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
Outside PAR region, CARINA will continue to move west northwestward over Southeastern China. It will continue to weaken
as it further interacts with the landmass.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all
necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these
hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings,
thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Page 2 of 2
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: ACJ
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
