MMSS-04 Rev.
1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 8
Typhoon PEPITO (MAN-YI)
Issued at 8:00 AM, 16 November 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
TYPHOON “PEPITO” CONTINUES TO THREATEN SOUTHERN LUZON AND EASTERN VISAYAS AT NEAR SUPER
TYPHOON.
Location of Center (7:00 AM)
The center of the eye of Typhoon PEPITO was estimated
based on all available data including from Guiuan Weather
Surveillance Radar at 235 km East of Catarman, Northern
Samar (12.5°N, 126.8°E).
Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 175 km/h near the center,
gustiness of up to 215 km/h, and central pressure of 940 hPa
Present Movement
Northwestward at 25 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 440
km from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW dir. and
Location Cat. speed (km/h)
(°N) (°E) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
5:00 PM 13.3 125.2 160 km East of Legazpi City, Albay 185 STY WNW 20
16 November 2024
24-Hour Forecast
Over the coastal waters of Calaguas, Camarines
5:00 AM 14.4 123.2 185 STY WNW 20
Norte
17 November 2024
36-Hour Forecast
5:00 PM 15.8 121.1 In the vicinity of Pantabangan, Nueva Ecija 175 TY NW 25
17 November 2024
48-Hour Forecast
5:00 AM 17.4 118.7 195 km West Southwest of Sinait, Ilocos Sur 130 TY NW 25
18 November 2024
60-Hour Forecast
425 km West of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
5:00 PM 18.3 116.5 120 TY WNW 20
(OUTSIDE PAR)
18 November 2024
72-Hour Forecast
600 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur
5:00 AM 18.4 114.8 100 STS W 15
(OUTSIDE PAR)
19 November 2024
96-Hour Forecast
960 km West of Northern Luzon
5:00 AM 17.4 111.4 65 TS WSW 15
(OUTSIDE PAR)
20 November 2024
120-Hour Forecast
1,085 km West of Northern Luzon
5:00 AM 16.7 110.2 - LOW WSW Slowly
(OUTSIDE PAR)
21 November 2024
Page 1 of 4
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: SFD
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
MMSS-04 Rev.1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 8
Typhoon PEPITO (MAN-YI)
Issued at 8:00 AM, 16 November 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. Luzon Visayas Mindanao
Catanduanes, the eastern portion of Albay
(Rapu-Rapu, Bacacay Santo Domingo, City of The eastern portion of Northern Samar
Tabaco, Malilipot, Tiwi, Malinao), the eastern (Palapag, Laoang, Mapanas, Gamay,
3 portion of Camarines Sur (Caramoan,
Presentacion, San Jose, Garchitorena, Lagonoy,
Lapinig, Catubig, Pambujan) and the
northernmost portion of Eastern Samar
-
Wind threat: Sagñay, Tigaon, Goa, Tinambac, Siruma), and the (San Policarpo, Arteche, Oras, Jipapad)
Storm-force easternmost portion of Sorsogon (Prieto Diaz)
winds
Warning lead time: 18 hours
Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
The northern portion of Eastern Samar
(Dolores, Maslog, Can-Avid, Taft, Sulat, San
The rest of Camarines Sur, the rest of Albay, Julian, City of Borongan), the northern
the rest of Sorsogon, Ticao Island, Camarines portion of Samar (Matuguinao, Calbayog
2 Norte, the northeastern portion of Quezon
(Perez, Alabat, Quezon, Calauag, Guinayangan,
City, Santa Margarita, San Jorge, San Jose
de Buan, Tarangnan, Motiong, Gandara,
-
Wind threat: Tagkawayan) including Pollilo Islands Jiabong, City of Catbalogan, Paranas,
Gale-force Hinabangan, San Sebastian, Pagsanghan),
winds and the rest of Northern Samar
Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
The rest of Eastern Samar, the rest of
Samar, Biliran, the northern and central
portions of Leyte (Tunga, Pastrana, San
Miguel, Matag-Ob, Tolosa, Palo, Calubian,
The rest of Masbate including Burias Island,
Leyte, Mayorga, Julita, Carigara, Babatngon,
Marinduque, Romblon, the rest of Quezon, The
Dagami, Jaro, San Isidro, Santa Fe, Albuera,
Laguna, Rizal, Cavite, Batangas, Metro Manila, northern
Villaba, La Paz, Palompon, Macarthur,
Zambales, Bataan, Bulacan, Pampanga, Tarlac, portion of
Tabontabon, Tanauan, Merida, Ormoc City,
1 Nueva Ecija, Aurora, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya,
Isabela, mainland Cagayan, Pangasinan, La
Isabel, Dulag, Capoocan, Alangalang,
Burauen, Tabango, Tacloban City, Kananga,
Dinagat
Islands
Wind threat: Union, Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Apayao, (Loreto,
Barugo, Abuyog, Javier, City of Baybay,
Strong Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, and Tubajon)
Mahaplag), the northeastern portion of
winds Benguet
Southern Leyte (Silago), the northernmost
portion of Cebu (Daanbantayan, Medellin)
including Bantayan Islands, and the
northernmost portion of Iloilo (Carles)
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
Page 2 of 4
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: SFD
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
MMSS-04 Rev.1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 8
Typhoon PEPITO (MAN-YI)
Issued at 8:00 AM, 16 November 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 42 issued at 8:00 AM today for the three-day heavy rainfall outlook associated with “PEPITO”.
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly
stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the
prevailing wind direction.
Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 3.
Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The highest Wind Signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of PEPITO is Wind Signal No. 5.
Coastal Inundation
There is a high risk of life-threatening storm surge with peak heights exceeding 3.0 m in the next 48 hours over the low-lying or
exposed coastal localities of Eastern Samar, Northern Samar, Samar, Bicol Region, Marinduque, Quezon including Polillo Islands,
Cavite, Batangas, Metro Manila, Central Luzon, Isabela, and Ilocos Region. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 5 issued at 2:00 AM
today for the details.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is hoisted over the eastern and southern seaboards of Southern Luzon and the eastern seabooad of
Visayas. Refer to Gale Warning No. 10 issued at 5:00 AM today for the details.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough, high, or very high seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 14.0 m: The seaboard of Catanduanes.
Up to 12.0 m: The northern seaboard of Camarines Sur.
Up to 9.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar; the seaboard of Camarines Norte.
Up to 7.0 m: The eastern seaboards of Albay, Sorsogon, and Eastern Samar.
Up to 5.5 m: The remaining seaboards of Camarines Sur.
Up to 4.5 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands; the seaboards of Aurora; the remaining seaboards of
Albay, Sorsogon, and Northern Samar; the seaboards of Burias and Ticao Islands.
Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek
shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 4.0 m: The seaboards of Dinagat Islands and northern Quezon.
Up to 3.5 m: The seaboards of Isabela and Surigao del Norte including Siargao and Bucas Grande Islands; the remaining
seaboards of Polillo Islands and Quezon, Bicol Region, and Eastern Visayas
Up to 3.0 m: The eastern seaboards of Cagayan and Babuyan Islands; the seaboard of Surigao del Sur; the seaboards of
Marinduque, Romblon, and northern Cebu
Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these
conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Page 3 of 4
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: SFD
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
MMSS-04 Rev.1 / 24-06-2024
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 8
Typhoon PEPITO (MAN-YI)
Issued at 8:00 AM, 16 November 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes and Davao Oriental
Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Oriental Mindoro, Aklan, Capiz, Davao del Sur, and Ilocos Region.
Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing
out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
PEPITO is forecast to move generally west northwestward within the next three days before turning generally westward to
west southwestward from Monday (18 November) afternoon to Thursday (20 November) early morning. On the track
forecast, PEPITO is more likely to make landfall in the vicinity of Catanduanes tonight or tomorrow (17 November) early
morning. However, considering the limits of the forecast confidence cone, a landfall scenario over the eastern coast of
Camarines Sur, Albay, or Sorsogon during the same time frame, or along the eastern coast of Quezon or Aurora tomorrow
afternoon or evening remains not ruled out. PEPITO is expected to exit the PAR region on Monday.
Regardless of the landfall point, PEPITO will more likely move generally west northwestward over the weekend and pass
over or near the landmass of Bicol Region, Quezon, Central Luzon provinces, and the provinces of Benguet, La Union, and
Pangasinan before emerging over the West Philippine Sea tomorrow evening or Monday morning.
It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still be experienced in localities
outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more
details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
PEPITO will continue to intensify today and may reach super typhoon category within the next hours prior to its landfall
tonight or tomorrow early morning. Although a slight weakening may occur after its initial passage over land, much of the
weakening will occur tomorrow as PEPITO passes over the landmass of Central Luzon. Nevertheless, it will traverse the
country as a typhoon and will likely be downgraded into a severe tropical storm once it is over the West Philippine Sea on
Monday.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all
necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these
hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings,
thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 AM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Page 4 of 4
Prepared by: PCDM Checked by: SFD
“tracking the sky…helping the country.”
Weather and Flood Forecasting Center Tel. No.: (+632) 8284-0800 ext. 4800
Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago Avenue Website: https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Brgy. Central, Quezon City 1100, Philippines
