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Date: 03rd August, 2025
Time of issue: 1800 hours IST (Evening)
Weather forecast Bulletin for Gujarat state and Diu, Daman, Dadra Nagar Haveli
based on 1200 UTC observation/chart and available NWP model outputs dated 03.08.2025
Weather realised during past 24 hours ending at 0830 hours IST of 03.08.2025:
• Heavy rainfall occurred at isolated places in Mahisagar district of North Gujarat region.
• Rainfall occurred at many places over South Gujarat region; at a few places over North Gujarat region;
at isolated places over Saurashtra; Weather was dry over Kutch.
Synoptic Situation:
• The monsoon trough at mean sea level continues to pass through Amritsar, Chandigarh, Shamli,
Shahjahanpur, Lucknow, Chapra, Bankura, Canning and thence southeastwards to the northeast Bay of
Bengal.
• The upper air cyclonic circulation over northeast Arabian sea & neighbourhood at 5.8 km above mean sea
level persists.
• The upper air cyclonic circulation over north Gujarat & adjoining south Rajasthan at 3.1 km above mean sea
level persists.
STATE FORECAST
WEATHER FORECAST for next 7 days: Valid up to 0830 hours IST of 10/08/2025
Detailed 7 days weather forecast for Gujarat State, Diu, Daman, Dadra & Nagar Haveli is given below
DAY-1
(Valid from time of origin to 0830 Hrs. IST of 04/08/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at isolated places
in Kutch district.
DAY-2
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 04/08/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 05/08/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
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Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at isolated places
in Kutch district.
DAY-3
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 05/08/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 06/08/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at isolated places
in Kutch district.
DAY-4
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 06/08/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 07/08/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad, Kutch and in Diu.
DAY-5
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 07/08/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 08/08/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad, Kutch and in Diu.
DAY-6
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 08/08/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 09/08/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad, Kutch and in Diu.
DAY-7
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 09/08/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 10/08/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at a few places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at a few places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad, Kutch and in Diu
WEATHER WARNING
for next 7 days for Gujarat State Diu, Daman, Dadra & Nagar Haveli
DAY 1: Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of North Gujarat region namely
Sabarkantha, Aravalli and Mahisagar.
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DAY 2: NIL
DAY 3: NIL
DAY 4: NIL
DAY 5: NIL
DAY 6: NIL
DAY 7: NIL
WEATHER OUTLOOK
For subsequent 2 days (i.e. for day 8 & 9) valid from 0830 hrs. IST of 10/08/2025 to 0830 hrs. IST of
12/08/2025: No large change.
FORECAST FOR AHMEDABAD & NEIGHBOURHOOD valid till 0830 hours IST of 04/08/2025
Light to moderate rain/ thundershowers very likely.
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RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION
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HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING
THUNDERSTORM WARNING:- NIL
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Impact expected and action suggested due to isolated thunderstorm with lightning/gusty & Squally
winds & Hailstorm:
Impacts expected Actions suggested
• Breaking of tree branches, uprooting of large • People are advised to keep a watch on the
avenue trees. Large dead limbs blown from trees. weather for worsening conditions and be ready to
Damage to Standing crops. move to safer places accordingly.
• Minor to Major damage to banana and papaya
• Stay indoors, close windows & doors and avoid
trees.
travel if possible.
• Minor to major damage to power and
communication lines due to breaking of branches. • Take safe shelters; do not take shelter under
• Strong wind/hail may damage plantation, trees.
horticulture and standing crops. • Do not lie on concrete floors and do not lean
• Hail may injure people and cattle at open places. against concrete walls.
• Partial damage to vulnerable structures due to • Unplug electrical/ electronic appliances.
strong winds.
• Immediately get out of water bodies.
• Minor damage to kutcha houses/walls and huts.
• Loose objects may fly. • Keep away from all the objects that conduct
electricity.
Expected Impact with respect to Red Colour warning for rainfall
➢ Most of the routes of the city are closed due to waterlogging.
➢ Water logging/ flooding in most parts of low-lying areas in the city, Heavy traffic jam
problem in all the routes of the city.
➢ Probability of death due to lightning.
➢ Slum areas along railway track, river and drain may affect severely.
➢ It may lead to riverine flooding along the rivers and respective catchment areas.
➢ Localized and short-term disruption to municipal services (water, electricity, etc.)
➢ Possibility of danger to very old buildings and unmaintained structures.
➢ Falling of trees/branches and advertising hoardings in gusty winds.
➢ Damage to horticulture crop, plantation and Kharif crops like rice, maize, pearl millet,
black gram, banana, saffota, mango etc. in the outskirts of the city.
➢ Extensive clogging of drains due to debris flows in drainage areas.
➢ Severe disruption to solar energy output.
➢ Severe impact on agriculture – loss of livestock and significant loss of crops due to flooding
and soil erosion – impact on economy and livelihoods
➢ Life threatening, extensive flash flooding of vulnerable areas.
➢ Possibility of landslide at hilly areas, due to this, closure of the road and human casualties may
be occurred.
➢ Fisheries activities may be hampered severely.
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Expected Impact with respect to Orange colour warning for rainfall
➢ Water logging/ flooding in many parts of low-lying areas in the city, Heavy traffic jam problem
in many routes of the city.
➢ Drain water over flow in many parts of city.
➢ Probability of damage vulnerable structure and house.
➢ Possibility of danger to very old buildings and unmaintained structures.
➢ Falling of trees/branches and advertising hoardings in gusty winds.
➢ Significant clogging of drains due to debris flows in drainage areas
➢ Significant disruption to solar energy output.
➢ Significant impact to agriculture – secure livestock and move small animals to shelter. Some loss
of crops in flood or soil erosion prone areas.
➢ Possible life-threatening flash flooding of vulnerable areas.
➢ Inundation of coastal areas coinciding with high tides and Squally weather along the coast and
rough sea conditions during cyclone.
➢ Possibility of landslide at hilly areas, due to this, closure of the road and human casualties may
be occurred.
➢ Fisheries activities may be hampered.
Expected Impact with respect to Yellow colour warning for rainfall
➢ Major damage to kuchcha roads due to inundation.
➢ Major disruption in traffic in city areas.
➢ Inundation of low-lying areas leading to damage to kuchcha houses.
➢ Water logging in underpass in city areas.
➢ Sudden reduction in visibility during heavy downpour leading to road accidents.
➢ Mainly water logging problem found near wetland and marshy land of urban land rural region.
Action suggested during Red, Orange and Yellow warnings for rainfall
Yellow Orange Red
Traffic may be Traffic may be regulated Check for traffic congestion on your route
regulated effectively. before leaving for your destination.
effectively. People in the affected Follow any traffic advisories that are issued in
areas may restrict their this regard.
movement. Avoid going to areas that face water logging
problem often.
Avoid staying in vulnerable structure.
People living in very old buildings
unmaintained structures and river banks may
take caution and move to safer places.
People in the affected areas may restrict their
movement.
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Legends: -
Colour Coded Warning
No Warning (No Action)
Watch (Be Aware)
Alert (Be Prepared To Take Action)
Warning (Take Action)
Monsoon Activity
Category Met Sub-Division rainfall
Active • Rainfall more than 1.5 and less than 4 times of normal.
• Spatial distribution should be widespread or fairly widespread.
• At least two stations should record 5 cm or more rainfall for west coast
Sub-Divisions and 3 cm or more in case of the other Sub-Divisions.
Vigorous • Rainfall more than 4 times of normal.
• Distribution should be widespread or fairly widespread.
• At least two stations should record more than 8 cm of rainfall for west
coast Sub-Divisions and 5 cm of rainfall in case of the other Sub-
Divisions.
Terminology for Spatial Distribution of rainfall: -
Spatial Distribution of Rainfall Descriptive term Criteria for observed/forecast weather
used
Dry Dry No station reported/expecting rainfall
Isolated One or two Places ≤25% of stations get/expected to get rainfall
Scattered At a few Places (26–50) % of stations get/expected to get rainfall
Fairly Widespread At many Places (51–75) % of stations get/expected to get rainfall
Wide spread At most places (76–100) % of stations get/expected to get rainfall
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Terminology for intensity of 24 hour accumulated rainfall: -
Terminology Rainfall (mm) Rainfall (cm)
Very light rainfall Trace -2.4 --
Light rainfall 2.5-15.5 Upto 1
Moderate rainfall 15.6-64.4 2-6
Heavy Rainfall 64.5- 115.5 7-11
Very Heavy Rainfall 115.6-204.4 12-20
Extremely heavy rainfall Greater than or equal to 21 cm or more
204.5 mm
Exceptionally Heavy Rainfall When the rainfall observed is a value near about the highest recorded
rainfall at or near the station for the month or the season. However,
this term will be used only when the actual rainfall amount exceeds
12 cm
Terminology for probability of occurrence of weather event: -
Term Probability of occurrence
Unlikely Less than 25%
Likely 25% to 50%
Very likely 50% to 75 %
Most likely more than 75%
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