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exponential-smoothing

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This work is a extensive interactive visualization as well as forecasting tool to forecast global monthly temperature. Choice of country and state (for which the forecasting is required) is menu driven and based upon dynamic subsetting of data. In addition, various graphs and parameters pertaining to the model builiding, comparison of predicted …

  • Updated Apr 21, 2018
  • R

Using MS Excel and R, accurately forecasted total core deposit data from a Richmond Bank. The Holt’s Linear Exponential Smoothing had the overall lowest “Quick and Dirty” MAPE (1.2%), the lowest overall Maximum MAPE (3.49%), and consistently more accurate projections for each of the forecast horizons. Overall, the Unaided, Holts Linear Exponenti…

  • Updated Jan 21, 2022
  • R

This project aims to predict gold prices using various time series forecasting techniques. The dataset consists of monthly gold futures data over the last ten years. The primary methods used in this analysis include ARIMA, Error Trend Seasonal (ETS) models, and Exponential Smoothing techniques. The forecast horizon is set for the next two years.

  • Updated May 28, 2024
  • R

Time series forecasting analysis comparing Double Moving Average, Holt's Double Exponential Smoothing, and Linear Trend Model on 252 daily SPY ETF observations (Jan–Dec 2024). Selected optimal model using MSE — DMA: 7.73, Holt's: 18.44, Linear: 93.76 — generating a validated 5-day forward forecast indicating short-term market stabilisation.

  • Updated Apr 20, 2026
  • R

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