An analytical essay on why prediction-based models fail in reflexive, unstable systems. This article argues that accuracy collapses when models influence behavior, and proposes equilibrium and force-based modeling as a more robust framework for understanding pressure, instability, and transitions in AI-shaped systems.

An interpretable system that models the future of work as an equilibrium under AI-driven forces. Instead of predicting job loss, it decomposes workforce disruption into automation pressure, adaptability, skill transferability, demand, and AI augmentation to explain stability, tension, and transition paths by 2030.

An interpretable early-warning engine that detects academic instability before grades collapse. Instead of predicting performance, it models pressure accumulation, buffer strength, and transition risk using attendance, engagement, and study load to explain fragility and identify high-leverage interventions.