Exhibit A.
$700 plus for an autograph from the 2018 Topps Heritage set. Seems like a lot for a player who has not taken a single regular season at-bat, or thrown a single regular season pitch. Ohtani has thrown innings and taken at-bats during Spring Training. They have not gone so well. He is hitting .100 at the moment and has struck out almost one-third of the time. Ohtani has also pitched a little more than 2 innings and given up 9 runs.
Not exactly the type of player who would have a large card budget in my collection. Even if he were a Cardinals player, or made an appearance on the Durham Bulls, I would pass him by without a thought at the moment.
I felt like there were better uses of my money in the Topps Heritage set this year. Namely, there is an autograph of Cardinals prospect Jack Flaherty. It's a nice looking card, but more importantly there is a pretty good chance that Flaherty is going to be a pretty nice pitcher......
even if his first time around in the Majors could have been a little bit better.
He has a nice looking card in Heritage too......
and for around $15 this seems to be a little bit more sound of an investment. Flaherty does have an ERA of almost 5 in Spring Training, but he also has 20 strike outs in just 13 innings. Swings and misses are always a good thing with pitching prospects. I am guessing that Flaherty ends up in Memphis to start the season, but at some point he will end up on the Cardinals. Just a hunch, but I am guessing my $15 card might end up being a little bit better than your $700 card.