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Hi, I'm Dagart 👋

I’m a Causal Marketing Measurement Scientist specializing in Bayesian Marketing Mix Modeling (PyMC), geo-based incrementality testing, and budget optimization.

I build and operationalize scalable MMM frameworks that translate complex posterior outputs into real-world media investment decisions. My work focuses on experiment-anchored modeling, hierarchical geo-level MMMs, and turning decision science into repeatable systems.

Current Focus

  • Bayesian hierarchical MMM in PyMC
  • Geo holdout experiment design
  • Incrementality calibration of MMM
  • Budget optimization under uncertainty
  • Scalable modeling workflows and automation

Technical Stack

Causal & Econometric Modeling

  • Bayesian MMM (PyMC)
  • Hierarchical modeling
  • Bayesian Structural Time Series (CausalImpact)
  • Incrementality testing & geo experiments
  • Budget optimization & scenario modeling

Programming

  • Python (PyMC, ArviZ, Pandas, NumPy)
  • SQL

Cloud & Data

  • Google BigQuery
  • AWS
  • Databricks
  • MLFlow

Visualization & Communication

  • Matplotlib
  • Seaborn
  • Plotly
  • Tableau

Soft Skills

Research, Communication, Accountability, Initiative, Collaboration, Critical Thinking, Passion, Presentation, Project Delivery, Idea Generation


Github Projects

Data Science Portfolio Website

  • My main portfolio website that contains the following data science projects
  • Analyzed the impact of a "Delivery Club" special on sales for a grocery retailer using a Python causal impact library, revealing a 41.1% uplift in sales.
  • Developed a predictive model for Parkinson's severity using boosted tree models with feature engineering, resulting in significant improvement in F1 score and recall.
  • Analyzed customer buying patterns to uncover product relationships in alcohol retail, revealing insights about customer preferences.
  • Predicted customer behavior using historical music sales data, achieving high accuracy through feature space compression and Random Forest.
  • Segmented customers for a grocery chain to provide marketing insights based on dietary preferences.
  • Created a dashboard for targeted marketing campaigns based on bank customer demographics.

Streamlit Apps

  • Boosted tree models for predicting the maximum severity of Parkinsons for clinical patients based on their protein and peptide mass spectrometry quantities.
  • Explainable results using Feature Importance for each patient and a description of the top proteins.
  • Uses an XGBoost Classifier to predict how likely an employee will leave based on the HR data.
  • Provides SHAP values to explain the probability score assigned to the employee.

Deep Learning Project

  • Used DenseNet-201 pre-trained neural network and fine-tuned one hidden layer with 4096 nodes and 30% dropout for regularization.
  • Solved imbalanced target distribution using class weights to the parameters for the neural network.
  • Applied hyperparameter tuning of # of hidden layers, nodes, learning rate, batch size, learning rate decay, and momentum to find optimal values.
  • Final Test Statistics:
    • AUC: 0.990
    • F1: 0.972
    • Recall: 0.971
    • Precision: 0.973

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