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Search results for tag #oil

AodeRelay boosted

[?]Ham on Wry » 🌐
@HamonWry@mastodon.world

Here’s a thought: Why not hold more rallies as part of America’s July 4th celebrations.

    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
    @wdlindsy@toad.social

    "A new CNN poll shows Donald Trump’s approval rating on the economy has fallen to a career low of 31%, with most Americans saying his policies have worsened economic conditions. Rising gas prices—linked to the Iran conflict—are a major factor, with many households reporting financial strain and cutting back on spending."


    /9

    aaronparnas.substack.com/p/new

      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
      @wdlindsy@toad.social

      "Trump is clearly enjoying living in a complete fantasy world where the US can simply walk away from the mess it made and let other countries figure out how to deal with it."

      ~ Marty Kelley


      /11

      wonkette.com/p/trump-says-seve

        [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
        @wdlindsy@toad.social

        "Maybe he even believes the US economy won’t be affected by sharply higher oil prices, fertilizer shortages for US agribusiness, slowdowns in supplies of critical materials like helium, disruptions to international shipping far beyond the Strait of Hormuz, that sort of thing."


        /12

          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
          @wdlindsy@toad.social

          "Average US fuel prices have exceeded $4 a gallon for the first time in four years, piling pressure on drivers as Donald Trump’s war on Iran continues to boost oil markets.

          The nationwide average climbed to almost $4.02 on Tuesday, according to AAA data, capping an extraordinary rise from $2.98 just a month ago. The fuel price last reached this high in August 2022."

          ~ Lauren Aratani


          /13

          theguardian.com/business/2026/

            [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
            @wdlindsy@toad.social

            "Trump has suffered so many setbacks in the last day that I couldn’t help wonder: Has Trump become a paper tyrant? … All strut and bluster but little ability to act beyond the bounds of his authority and power."

            Jay Kuo


            /14

            statuskuo.substack.com/p/the-p

              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
              @wdlindsy@toad.social

              "The other day your faithful podcast host argued that Donald Trump’s presidency is in free fall in terms of public opinion. Now the signs are even clearer: His approval ratings have dropped below 40 percent in The New York Times’ polling averages and in two other sets of averages as well. That’s a critical milestone."

              ~ Greg Sargent


              /15

              newrepublic.com/article/208446

                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                "People are tired of this mad king act. The reality is it’s not going to be one single thing. It is this constant sense of unaccountable, imperious governance—of his focus being on things like invading and occupying a major American city, or building himself a ballroom palace, instead of on regular people’s experiences, the cost of living, the crises that regular people are going through all over the country."

                ~ Leah Greenberg


                /16

                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                  @wdlindsy@toad.social

                  "Trump is at a point in his Mad Kingy delusions that he cannot negotiate with any one, over any thing - he can only dictate, attack, and demand that his foes YIELD and BEND THE KNEE."

                  ~ Simon Rosenberg


                  /17

                  hopiumchronicles.com/p/trump-m

                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                    "The markets are badly misreading Donald Trump. This morning, I interviewed a career intelligence analyst who goes by the Bluesky handle Shipwreck. He thinks it’s unlikely that he will announce the war’s end. Instead, it’s more likely he will announce its escalation. The goal, he said, might be placing ground troops on islands in the strait to reopen it to shipping."

                    ~ John Stoehr


                    /18

                    editorialboard.com/there-will-

                      AodeRelay boosted

                      [?]geoworldpolitical » 🌐
                      @geoworldpolitical@mastodon.social

                      The Chevron Plant That Broke the Fertilizer Market — And It Was Not Even in the War Zone

                      LNG feeds ammonia production. A cyclone delayed Chevron Wheatstone restart by weeks. Here is the cascade nobody mapped.

                      theboard.world/articles/energy

                        AodeRelay boosted

                        [?]🇩🇪 🇺🇦 🇨🇦:nonazis: » 🌐
                        @ManyRoads@mstdn.social

                        Oh my! Trump lied??? Is that true?

                        "Iran denies Trump's claim it requested ceasefire, calling it 'false and baseless'"

                        bbc.com/news/live/c36r5p1l7w3t

                          AodeRelay boosted

                          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                          @wdlindsy@toad.social

                          "The only regime change I can see on the horizon is right here at home in November when the Republican regime loses control of Congress."

                          ~ Lucian K. Truscott


                          /8

                          luciantruscott.substack.com/p/

                            AodeRelay boosted

                            [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                            @wdlindsy@toad.social

                            "During the 2024 presidential election, Donald Trump promised that if he were elected president again, he would reduce the price of a gallon of gas by 50% within a year of taking office. '12 months from January 20th… your gasoline for your car is going to be 50% cheaper,' Trump declared at a speech to the Detroit Economic Club on October 10, 2024. 'That’s a big thing.'

                            ~ Judd Legum and Rebecca Crosby


                            /7

                            popular.info/p/the-tale-of-the

                              AodeRelay boosted

                              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                              @wdlindsy@toad.social

                              "The feedstocks for fertilizer are largely manufactured from natural gas, & Persian Gulf nations were major producers, shipping their production out through the Strait of Hormuz, before the war. Here’s what has happened to the price of urea: ...

                              And where do you think plastic comes from? Here’s the price of polyethylene: ...

                              Less than half of U.S. consumption of petroleum products was gasoline."

                              See Krugman's charts.


                              /6

                                AodeRelay boosted

                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                "The rise in gasoline prices, for which the national average just hit $4 a gallon, has made headlines. But other prices are also hugely important.

                                Most non-electric cars run on gasoline, but most trucks are fueled with diesel. And diesel prices are up even more than gasoline prices — approximately $1.70 per gallon as opposed to $1."

                                ~ Paul Krugman


                                /5

                                paulkrugman.substack.com/p/4-g

                                  AodeRelay boosted

                                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                  @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                  "About 20% of the global oil supply and LNG is now under the control of Iran, a situation that did not exist before the war."


                                  /4

                                    AodeRelay boosted

                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                    "In short, the net result of Trump’s illegal war is that Iran is more radical, more powerful, and more dangerous than before the war. It is true that the US destroyed much (all?) of Iran’s ballistic missiles and most (all?) of Iran’s navy, but neither of those military achievements has prevented Iran from exercising control over the Strait of Hormuz."

                                    ~ Robert B. Hubbell


                                    /3

                                    roberthubbell.substack.com/p/t

                                      AodeRelay boosted

                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                      "Susie Wiles, Trump’s chief of staff, keeps scheduling events in which he can talk about his plans to lower the cost of living. But the Iran war keeps making a nonsense of her efforts."

                                      ~ Edward Luce


                                      /2

                                      giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle

                                        AodeRelay boosted

                                        [?]ProPublica » 🌐
                                        @ProPublica@newsie.social

                                        Aaron Szabo, the Trump EPA official leading an effort to loosen rules on methane pollution, was an unnamed author of key oil industry arguments against those same rules just four years ago when he was an oil and gas lobbyist, metadata shows.

                                        propublica.org/article/trump-e

                                          [?]Solarbird :flag_cascadia: » 🌐
                                          @moira@mastodon.murkworks.net

                                          'k what just happened

                                          Oil price taking a nose dive closing in on midnight Cascadian/Pacific daylight time, at $98.84/barrel and falling sharply

                                          Alt...Oil price taking a nose dive closing in on midnight Cascadian/Pacific daylight time, at $98.84/barrel and falling sharply

                                            AodeRelay boosted

                                            [?]Terry Hunter 🌈⭐✌🏼✌🏿✌🏻✌🏽 » 🌐
                                            @TerryHunter@universeodon.com

                                            AodeRelay boosted

                                            [?]Jorro » 🌐
                                            @Jorro@universeodon.com

                                            Pete Hegseth is a clown , and if he ( and Trump ) think this rhetoric helps , they are wrong;

                                            “I think other countries should pay attention” to Trump’s words, Hegseth said, referring to the Truth Social posts. “He’s pointing out, you know, might want to start learning how to fight for yourself.”

                                            cnbc.com/2026/03/31/trump-atta

                                              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                              @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                              "This isn’t a game, and you’re not a magician. This is real blood and guts. Real pain. Real deaths and injuries. Real price increases at the gas pump. Real hardships for real people — in America, in the Middle East, and elsewhere.

                                              You can’t pretend, sir. This isn’t reality television. This is for real. And the reality is Americans are worse off now and less secure than we were when you started this."

                                              ~ Robert Reich


                                              /7

                                              robertreich.substack.com/p/tru

                                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                "To be candid, that is the stupidest, most irresponsible excuse for a plan that any president has ever articulated: Negotiate until you have essentially achieved a deal, then kill the people with whom you were negotiating, bomb 10,000 targets, withdraw from the war with no clear victory, suggest diplomacy to reverse Iran’s wartime gains, and then tell our European allies to clean up our mess."

                                                ~ Robert B. Hubbell


                                                /8

                                                roberthubbell.substack.com/p/m

                                                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                  @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                  "Showing reporters on Air Force One a series of posterboard images of his new ballroom last night, Trump told them: 'I thought I’d do this now because it’s easier. I’m so busy that I don’t have time to do this. But, ah, I’m fighting wars and other things.'"

                                                  ~ Heather Cox Richardson


                                                  /9

                                                  heathercoxrichardson.substack.

                                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                    "'But this is very important ’cause this is going to be with us for a long time and it’s going to be, I think it’ll be the greatest ballroom anywhere in the world.'”


                                                    /10

                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                      "Donald Trump is the…I hesitate to use this word…man who once said, 'We’re going to win so much that you’re going to be sick and tired. You’re going to say, "Please, please, Mr. President, we’re sick and tired of winning. Please let us have at least one loss."”

                                                      ~ Lucian K. Truscott


                                                      /11

                                                      luciantruscott.substack.com/p/

                                                        [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                        @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                        "You evaluate a war not by how much each side blows up but by who emerges stronger, either in relative or absolute terms, when the war ends. Who achieved what? If Iran emerges from this conflict with some kind of effective control of the Strait of Hormuz, that will be a tremendous strategic victory."

                                                        ~ Josh Marshall


                                                        /12

                                                        talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/l

                                                          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                          @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                          "Trump is flailing in Iran. Every word he says adds to the muddle. …

                                                          The words of a president are critically important; as Lincoln once said, there is a world of difference between a horse-chestnut and a chestnut horse. But Trump has yet to address the American people in a serious way about his war aims."

                                                          ~ Ted Widmer


                                                          /14

                                                          theguardian.com/commentisfree/

                                                            [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                            @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                            "For what it’s worth—and keep in mind, this newsletter is free—here’s my speculation, as of early Tuesday morning, March 31, about where Donald Trump is heading on Iran.

                                                            Where he’s heading is toward the exits."

                                                            ~ William Kristol


                                                            /15

                                                            thebulwark.com/p/and-he-ran-he

                                                              AodeRelay boosted

                                                              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                              @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                              When you've lost even the likes of Matt Walsh, you've lost everyone:

                                                              "While our country is at war, our airports are a mess, DHS is not funded, and our elections are not secure, Lindsey Graham is wandering around Disney World with a bubble wand. This is an image that should live in infamy.”

                                                              ~ quoted by Carsen Holaday


                                                              /16

                                                              the-independent.com/arts-enter

                                                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                "On Monday night, the Wall Street Journal reported that Donald Trump has told aides he is willing to end the military campaign against Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed — leaving the complex operation to reopen it for a later date."

                                                                ~ Rudy Martinez


                                                                /1

                                                                chicanoinparis.com/p/the-rest-

                                                                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                  @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                  "The same day, the White House made the position official from a different angle. Press secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters that reopening the Strait of Hormuz is not a 'core objective' of Operation Epic Fury. …

                                                                  Outside the United States, the Hormuz reversal is being read as a significant retreat from the war’s stated rationale."


                                                                  /2

                                                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                    "The war was sold to the world — and to America’s Gulf allies — partly as a mission to restore freedom of navigation through the most critical oil chokepoint on the planet. …

                                                                    The war was partly justified by the need to keep the Strait of Hormuz open. The president has now privately told aides he may declare victory without reopening it. US gas is $4.018 a gallon. Oil is above $112 a barrel. The Strait has been 95% closed for 32 days."


                                                                    /3

                                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                      "Trump’s own deadline for obliterating Iran’s infrastructure if Hormuz isn’t open is April 6. The White House says Hormuz is not a core objective. These statements cannot all be true simultaneously. The rest of the world noticed."

                                                                      And, of course, we shouldn't overlook that he has moved US troops into the area, that he's volatile and lacking a moral center — and capable of any irrational action imaginable.


                                                                      /4

                                                                        [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                        @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                        "Donald Trump’s net approval rating has dropped to -17, the lowest for any President in American history at this point in their presidency:"

                                                                        ~ Aaron Parnas


                                                                        /5

                                                                        aaronparnas.substack.com/p/new

                                                                          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                          @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                          "The oil crisis is about to get physical. The map at the top of this post shows J.P. Morgan’s estimates of when tankers from the Gulf will stop arriving at various destinations. Deliveries to Asian markets will end this week; deliveries to Europe will end next week.

                                                                          And once the crisis gets physical, there will no longer be room for jawboning the markets."

                                                                          ~ Paul Krugman


                                                                          /6

                                                                          paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the

                                                                            [?]JorisBohnsonPM🇬🇧🇺🇦🇪🇺🇵🇸 » 🌐
                                                                            @JorisBohnsonPM@mastodon.social

                                                                            AodeRelay boosted

                                                                            [?]ᴮᵉⁿ ᴿᵒʸᶜᵉVOTE IN THE PRIMARIES » 🌐
                                                                            @benroyce@mastodon.social

                                                                            "Zelensky says allies asked him to scale back attacks on Russian energy"

                                                                            bbc.com/news/articles/c0e7lrxr

                                                                            Yeah, fuck that

                                                                            Fuck any country in Europe still stuck on and

                                                                            Fuck bigot Americans in giant low fuel economy pickup trucks whining

                                                                            Fuck you India, Fuck you China

                                                                            Fuck you all

                                                                            All countries:

                                                                            Get the fuck off oil and gas. Period. End of story

                                                                            Addressing the and defunding vile regimes is job #1

                                                                            :

                                                                            Pulverize 's sector to oblivion

                                                                              AodeRelay boosted

                                                                              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                              @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                              "Only 33% of Americans approve of the job he is doing, and 62% disapprove, according to the UMass Amherst national poll. This figure may well represent the worst approval rating of Trump’s political career.

                                                                              The UMass poll finds broad opposition to Trump’s illegal and dangerous war in Iran: 29% say they approve of Trump’s military actions against Iran, while 54% disapprove."

                                                                              ~ Andrew Perez


                                                                              /1

                                                                              zeteo.com/p/are-these-trumps-w

                                                                                AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                [?]Nonilex » 🌐
                                                                                @Nonilex@masto.ai

                                                                                also said that had agreed to allow 20 ships carrying through the starting Monday morning & continuing over the next few days “out of a sign of respect” [I’m sure, that’s why 🤨].

                                                                                “I would only say that we’re doing extremely well in that negotiation but you never know with Iran because we negotiate with them & then we always have to blow them up,” he said.

                                                                                  AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                  [?]Nonilex » 🌐
                                                                                  @Nonilex@masto.ai

                                                                                  raised the idea of forces seizing Iran’s Island, its main terminal in the Persian Gulf.

                                                                                  “Maybe we take Kharg Island, maybe we don’t. We have a lot of options,” Trump told the newspaper. “It would also mean we had to be there (on Kharg Island) for a while.”


                                                                                  apnews.com/live/iran-war-israe

                                                                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                    "Before Iran, there was Covid: Trump falls apart in a crisis. But journalists are still letting him write the headlines."

                                                                                    As Dan Froomkin says, this is exactly analogous to how the press behaved when Trump careened from lie to lie and bogus solution to bogus solution during the Covid crisis of his first term.

                                                                                    ~ Dan Froomkin


                                                                                    /1

                                                                                    criticalread.substack.com/p/be

                                                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                      "Our top journalists continue to fundamentally cover up Trump’s derangement and incoherence. The man is lying almost constantly, gaslighting at full throttle, but the news coverage sanewashes his nonsense with euphemisms like “freestyle diplomacy.”

                                                                                      They cover this war largely as a political story, with most of the news coming out of the (lying) White House.

                                                                                      In their brief moments of access, they ask lame questions that get useless answers."


                                                                                      /2

                                                                                        AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                        [?]allen » 🌐
                                                                                        @allen@rail.chat

                                                                                        The Australian states of Victoria and Tasmania are trying out a fare-free transit period to reduce fuel consumption.

                                                                                        I'm interested to see future data how much this drives up regional bus and train usage during this oil shock. Will people who don't usually take transit try it out, then continue using it if they like it? We'll see, in any case, Canadian agencies should take note of the results.

                                                                                        theguardian.com/australia-news

                                                                                          AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                          [?]KellyAnn Romanych (she/her) » 🌐
                                                                                          @kellyromanych@mastodon.social

                                                                                          Via Supervisor Holly Mitchell: We remain committed to the long road ahead to phase out oil wells & permanently seal them...We want to hear from residents in our unincorporated communities that live near oil well sites. Please complete the LA County Dept of Regional Planning’s survey experience.arcgis.com/experien
                                                                                          Want more info? The LA County Dept of Regional Planning is hosting a virtual community workshop Tuesday, April 21 from 6:00- 7:00 pm, register planning-lacounty-gov.zoom.us/

                                                                                            AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                            [?]mmalc » 🌐
                                                                                            @mmalc@mastodon.social

                                                                                            If Hormuz is not opened within 25 days, oil field production may permanently reduced.

                                                                                            The “reservoir skin effect” can create “permanent damage around the well, … crippling its long-term productivity. If [well]s are forced to go dark for even two to three weeks, the altered physics of the reservoir dictate that they may never return to their original flow rates.”

                                                                                            fortune.com/2026/03/28/iran-ho

                                                                                            may have done more to wean the world off than decades of campaigning.


                                                                                              AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                              [?]Nick Young :tinoflag: » 🌐
                                                                                              @nickofnz@mastodon.nz

                                                                                              A human and environmental catastrophe is looming.

                                                                                              Fossil fuel prices are rising and supplies restricted.

                                                                                              THIS is why we must end the oil industry with a rapid shift to solar generation and electrification.

                                                                                                AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                "There was no discernible reason for these sudden jumps occurring at 6:50 am, normally a fairly sleepy time for premarket trading. But when Trump’s 7:05 am announcement about all those productive conversations predictably drove oil prices down, and stocks rebounded, those 6:50 am traders made bank. In just a few moments, those anonymous and fortunate folks made roughly $580 million."


                                                                                                /19

                                                                                                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                  @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                  "On unregulated betting markets, people are setting themselves up to make millions if Trump re-escalates, wagering on the precise timing of a land-invasion of Iran."

                                                                                                  ~ Brian Beutler


                                                                                                  /15

                                                                                                  offmessage.net/p/expose-all-of

                                                                                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                    "The reason people are getting so upset about these markets and the reason that politicians now are introducing bills to rein them in is because you can gamble on Iranian missile strikes and, you know, how many deportations will take place in America and whether Gaza will experience a famine."

                                                                                                    McKay Coppins


                                                                                                    /16

                                                                                                    thebulwark.com/p/how-america-l

                                                                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                      "And like you can bet on preposterous, dystopian life and death things that like, of course, nobody should be able to gamble on. Right. Like, I think we all sort of understand that, like, this is a Black Mirror episode when we're gambling on like which, you know, part of Tehran is going to be bombed on what day."


                                                                                                      /17

                                                                                                        AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                        [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                        @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                        "How else do you explain that about 15 minutes before Trump’s surprise announcement of how hunky dory talks were going, there was a sharp increase in purchases of stock market and oil futures?"

                                                                                                        ~ Lisa Needham


                                                                                                        /18

                                                                                                        publicnotice.co/p/trumpism-dea

                                                                                                          AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                          @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                          "If any one day could define the hazy transition from slow to rapid decay — 24 hours that truly defined the decline of the American empire from its pedestal as a global superpower — it would have to be March 23."

                                                                                                          ~ Will Bunch


                                                                                                          /1

                                                                                                          inquirer.com/opinion/laguardia

                                                                                                            [?]Nonilex » 🌐
                                                                                                            @Nonilex@masto.ai

                                                                                                            What could possibly go wrong?

                                                                                                            Exclusive: deploys uncrewed in conflict with

                                                                                                            The US has deployed ​uncrewed speedboats for patrols as part of its operations against Iran, the said, ‌the first time Washington has confirmed using such vessels in an active conflict.


                                                                                                            reuters.com/business/aerospace

                                                                                                              AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                              [?]Vladyslav » 🌐
                                                                                                              @newsgroup@social.vir.group

                                                                                                              The US-Iran conflict has reached another critical juncture. President Trump has extended the deadline for Iranian compliance to April 7, threatening to destroy energy infrastructure if Tehran does not reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

                                                                                                              The war, which began on February 28 with coordinated US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear and military facilities, has already claimed thousands of lives. The humanitarian toll is mounting:

                                                                                                              At least 15 killed in strikes south of Tehran

                                                                                                              Residential buildings hit in Urmiya

                                                                                                              Israeli strikes on dozens of military sites in Tehran

                                                                                                              Hezbollah attacks triggering Israeli offensive in Lebanon, displacing one-fifth of the country's population

                                                                                                              The economic impact is severe. Brent crude has surged over 50% to $110 per barrel. Fertilizer prices are rising, threatening global food supplies. Stock markets continue to fall.

                                                                                                              Mass arrests are sweeping Iran. The Revolutionary Guards report over 100 detentions for alleged espionage for the US or Israel. Media workers, civilians, and suspected operatives are all being swept up.

                                                                                                              Diplomacy is uncertain. Iran says it is not negotiating. The US claims talks are progressing. European foreign ministers report indirect contacts and potential direct meetings soon in Pakistan.

                                                                                                              What is clear is that civilians on all sides are paying the price. Thousands dead. Millions displaced. Global inflation accelerating. And no end in sight.
                                                                                                              newsgroup.site/trump-iran-dead

                                                                                                                AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                [?]TinJar » 🌐
                                                                                                                @TinJar@mastodon.social

                                                                                                                AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                [?]TinJar » 🌐
                                                                                                                @tinjar.bsky.social@bsky.brid.gy

                                                                                                                AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                [?]Cosmic Librarian » 🌐
                                                                                                                @cosmiclibrarian@universeodon.com

                                                                                                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                "WHAT AMERICAN READERS NEED TO KNOW: The five-day window Trump declared on Monday at 11:30 AM UTC expires Saturday March 28 at approximately 11:30 AM UTC (6:30 AM EST). There is no deal. Pakistan just prevented Israel from killing Iran’s foreign minister and parliament speaker — the only senior Iranian officials engaging with mediators. The White House says talks are ongoing. Iran says there are no talks."

                                                                                                                ~ Rudy Martinez


                                                                                                                /1

                                                                                                                chicanoinparis.com/p/the-rest-

                                                                                                                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                  @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                  "Brent crude is at $106 this morning. Saturday morning is the most consequential deadline of the war so far."


                                                                                                                  /2

                                                                                                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                    "There is another problem Trump and Witkoff and Kushner have. The negotiations they started before the war were with a representative of the Iranian leader who was killed, along with much of his government and military leadership, on the first day of the war."

                                                                                                                    ~ Lucian K. Truscott


                                                                                                                    /3

                                                                                                                    luciantruscott.substack.com/p/

                                                                                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                      "I think it's beginning to dawn on the president, maybe just beginning to dawn, and it just dawned on his people long ago, which is that he's not in charge anymore, and he will retain the capacity to continue to cause lots of explosions anywhere he wants. And we continue to do that, and the Israelis are doing that."

                                                                                                                      ~ Rep. Jim Hynes


                                                                                                                      /4

                                                                                                                      contrariannews.org/p/what-can-

                                                                                                                        [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                        @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                        "But we are not in charge anymore because the single biggest factor which is affecting most people on the globe, and certainly Americans as they fill their cars up, is the fact that the strait has been closed for several weeks right now."


                                                                                                                        /5

                                                                                                                          AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                          @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                          "Donald Trump’s stranglehold on American politics is coming to an end. The evidence of his political crisis is all around us. It started long before his ham-handed war with Iran and the resultant spike in gas prices, but recent events have catalyzed his downfall."

                                                                                                                          ~ Dan Pfeiffer


                                                                                                                          /1

                                                                                                                          messageboxnews.com/p/the-repub

                                                                                                                            [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                            @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                            "G. Elliott Morris has some new data up from his monthly Strength in Numbers poll. It reinforces a point we’ve made here again and again - Trump can longer rally the country behind any of his initiatives. His powers of persuasion have ebbed, and some significant portion of the country - 52% to 58% - is no longer available to him."

                                                                                                                            ~ Simon Rosenberg


                                                                                                                            /2

                                                                                                                            hopiumchronicles.com/p/more-en

                                                                                                                              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                              @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                              "The Trump administration is fighting public opinion on two fronts this week. First, our new poll finds a majority of adults blame the president and Senate Republicans for the current chaos at U.S. airports, and Americans oppose sending Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents to help the Transportation Security Administration."

                                                                                                                              ~ G. Elliott Morris


                                                                                                                              /3

                                                                                                                              gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-03-2

                                                                                                                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                "Voters also disapprove of the president publicly refusing an offer from Senate Republicans to fund the non-ICE agencies in the Department of Homeland Security, including the TSA.

                                                                                                                                Second, the public also broadly opposes a possible escalation of the war against Iran that would put boots on the ground in the country. Voters want the U.S. to pursue ceasefire negotiations and an end to the conflict."


                                                                                                                                /4

                                                                                                                                  AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                  [?]Jorro » 🌐
                                                                                                                                  @Jorro@universeodon.com

                                                                                                                                  This is hilarious, the tankers going through the strait of Hormuz are the ones who are able to make deals with Iran , like Pakistan , China and others , each one is making their own deals, no need for talks .

                                                                                                                                  “ Trump claims Iran allowing Pakistan-flagged tankers through strait in sign of good faith for talks”

                                                                                                                                  apnews.com/live/iran-war-israe

                                                                                                                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                    “'We’ve not seen anything like this — there’s been no disruption of this scale in the past. It’s every oil analyst’s study piece or worst nightmare — one that we never thought would happen.'—Gareth Ramsay, chief economist for BP, on the Iran war’s impact on energy markets"

                                                                                                                                    ~ David Kurtz


                                                                                                                                    /7

                                                                                                                                    morningmemo.talkingpointsmemo.

                                                                                                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                      "The war that Israel and the United States launched in the Persian Gulf has already led to what some analysts say is the largest disruption of energy supplies in decades. Unless a resolution is found, the impact is likely to grow. 'We’re already in a very serious scenario, but there is still scope for it to get worse,' said Richard Bronze, head of geopolitics at Energy Aspects, a London-based market research firm."

                                                                                                                                      ~ Stanley Reed


                                                                                                                                      /8

                                                                                                                                      thenation.com/article/world/pe

                                                                                                                                        AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                        [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                        @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                        "Whatever else the Iran War does, the energy and economic crisis Trump created will result in a remapping of the world, with results that are largely unforeseeable. One thing is certain, though: the Iran War has killed the American order created in the wake of the Second World War."

                                                                                                                                        ~ Marcy Wheeler


                                                                                                                                        /9

                                                                                                                                        emptywheel.net/2026/03/25/amer

                                                                                                                                          AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                          @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                          "The energy/economic crisis Trump created will result in widespread unrest around the world. ...

                                                                                                                                          In 2000, the US hegemon could have had renewables and democracy. In 2026, Trump’s failures may deliver renewables and autocracy. Or, it may deliver a period so unstable that something new will result.

                                                                                                                                          But whatever it delivers, the US will no longer be in the driver’s seat."


                                                                                                                                          /10

                                                                                                                                            [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                            @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                            "The most revealing thing about the current Iran conflict is not happening on the battlefield. It is happening inside Donald Trump’s own political orbit, where competing incentives — financial, apocalyptic, and political — are colliding in ways that are becoming harder to contain."

                                                                                                                                            ~ Julie Roginsky


                                                                                                                                            /16

                                                                                                                                            saltypolitics.substack.com/p/i

                                                                                                                                              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                              @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                              "On one side, there is a constellation of voices and interests pushing for escalation or, at the very least, continuation. On the other, there is the blunt reality of rising oil prices, economic anxiety, and slipping approval numbers that are beginning to impose their own limits. What is emerging is not a coherent strategy so much as a pressure system with no obvious release valve."


                                                                                                                                              /17

                                                                                                                                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                "Iran, meanwhile, mocked the 15-point framework plan for peace that Donald Trump has claimed is being discussed, with an Iranian military spokesperson saying on Wednesday that the Americans were negotiating only with themselves."

                                                                                                                                                ~ Clea Skopeliti


                                                                                                                                                /18

                                                                                                                                                theguardian.com/us-news/2026/m

                                                                                                                                                  AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                  @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                  "According to a major NBC exclusive, Trump is apparently not being fully briefed on the war. Instead, his team is compiling short highlight reels. Two-minute clips that show successful strikes, explosions, and what they frame as wins. None of the devastation. None of the losses. That is what he is watching. That is how he is being 'informed.'”

                                                                                                                                                  ~ Ben Meiselas


                                                                                                                                                  /18

                                                                                                                                                  https://www9

                                                                                                                                                  meidasplus.com/p/wednesday-aft

                                                                                                                                                    AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                    [?]Nonilex » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                    @Nonilex@masto.ai

                                                                                                                                                    foreign minister says his government does not plan any negotiations to end the

                                                                                                                                                    In an interview with Iranian state TV late Wednesday, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi also said that no talks with the have taken place, contradicting Trump’s claims.

                                                                                                                                                    “No negotiations have happened with the enemy until now, & we do not plan on any negotiations,” he said.


                                                                                                                                                    apnews.com/live/iran-war-israe

                                                                                                                                                      AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                      [?]Aure Free Press :verified: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                      @Free_Press@mstdn.social

                                                                                                                                                      "This sale brought to you by Donald J. Trump"
                                                                                                                                                      - Aure

                                                                                                                                                      India buys 60 million barrels of Russian oil for April, Bloomberg reports.

                                                                                                                                                      More News at @Free_Press

                                                                                                                                                        [?]Ham on Wry » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                        @HamonWry@mastodon.world

                                                                                                                                                        I never used to swear on my social media accounts

                                                                                                                                                        Then the Tangerine Turd came along and fvcked that up.

                                                                                                                                                          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                          @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                          "Trump’s sudden climb-down [from his threat to bomb Iranian power plants] was startling. Who could have seen this coming?

                                                                                                                                                          The answer is, the person or people who bought large quantities of stock market futures and sold large quantities of oil futures around 15 minutes before Trump’s announcement."

                                                                                                                                                          ~ Paul Krugman


                                                                                                                                                          /2

                                                                                                                                                          paulkrugman.substack.com/p/tre

                                                                                                                                                            [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                            @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                            "This 'sharp and isolated jump in volume' — which you can see for the oil futures market in the chart at the top of this post — was especially bizarre because there were no major news items — no major publicly available news items — to drive sudden big market transactions. The story would be baffling, except that there’s an obvious explanation:"


                                                                                                                                                            /3

                                                                                                                                                              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                              @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                              "Somebody close to Trump knew what he was about to do, and exploited that inside information to make huge, instant profits."


                                                                                                                                                              /4

                                                                                                                                                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                "According to the Financial Times, traders placed about $580 million in oil futures bets roughly 15 minutes before a social media post by Donald Trump about Iran talks, which later caused oil prices to drop sharply."

                                                                                                                                                                ~ Aaron Parnas


                                                                                                                                                                /5

                                                                                                                                                                aaronparnas.substack.com/p/new

                                                                                                                                                                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                  @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                  "The five-day period in which Trump promised to hold off on this particular threat—the war itself continues—coincides with the days the stock market is open.

                                                                                                                                                                  According to The Kobeissi Letter, which analyzes the stock market, the S&P 500 surged upward by 240 points. The price of Brent crude oil dropped to $96 a barrel."

                                                                                                                                                                  ~ Heather Cox Richardson


                                                                                                                                                                  /6

                                                                                                                                                                  heathercoxrichardson.substack.

                                                                                                                                                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                    "Then Iran denied Trump’s claims and said its leaders had had 'no direct or indirect contact' with Trump’s people. Iran’s foreign ministry suggested Trump was trying 'to reduce energy prices and to buy time for implementing his military plans.' It said that countries in the region had approached Iran to begin negotiations" (continued in /8)


                                                                                                                                                                    /7

                                                                                                                                                                      AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                      (continued from /7)

                                                                                                                                                                      "and that 'our response to all of them is clear: we are not the party that started this war, and all such requests should be directed to Washington.'

                                                                                                                                                                      The S&P fell 120 points and the price of Brent crude rose to about $100 a barrel.

                                                                                                                                                                      'What is happening here?' wrote Adam Kobeissi about the stock market in his newsletter."


                                                                                                                                                                      /8

                                                                                                                                                                        [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                        @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                        "The answer to which social media posters jumped was market manipulation. ...

                                                                                                                                                                        Today, at the Palm Beach airport, a reporter asked Trump: 'If the war is ending, do you still need $200 billion?' Trump answered: 'We, ah, it’s always nice to have. It’s always nice to have. It’s a very inflamed world.”'


                                                                                                                                                                        /9

                                                                                                                                                                          AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                          @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                          "The defining characteristic of the Trump administration is corruption. But Trump’s corruption reached new heights on Monday. Trump caused a $3 trillion swing in the capitalization of the US securities markets with a claim that the US had made" (continued in /11)

                                                                                                                                                                          ~ Robert B. Hubbell


                                                                                                                                                                          /10

                                                                                                                                                                          roberthubbell.substack.com/p/t

                                                                                                                                                                            [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                            @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                            (continued from /10)

                                                                                                                                                                            "'very good and productive conversations regarding a complete and total resolution of our hostilities in the Middle East,' a claim that Iran categorically rejected 27 minutes later."


                                                                                                                                                                            /11

                                                                                                                                                                              AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                              @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                              "With Donald Trump in the White House, the markets have never been a stronger indication of which direction the wind is blowing across the top of the Resolute Desk in the Oval Office."

                                                                                                                                                                              ~ Lucian K. Truscott


                                                                                                                                                                              /12

                                                                                                                                                                              luciantruscott.substack.com/p/

                                                                                                                                                                                AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                "Several accounts on the online platform Polymarket laid bets on a US-Iran ceasefire over the weekend that appeared to show signs of insider knowledge, according to experts.

                                                                                                                                                                                Eight accounts, all newly created around 21 March, bet a total of nearly $70,000 (£52,000) on there being a ceasefire."

                                                                                                                                                                                ~ Aisha Down


                                                                                                                                                                                /13

                                                                                                                                                                                theguardian.com/us-news/2026/m

                                                                                                                                                                                  AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                  @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                  "They stand to make nearly $820,000 if such a deal is reached before 31 March.

                                                                                                                                                                                  An account that made the same bet was created shortly before the US struck Iran on 28 February. It also placed a winning bet on those strikes, which raised similar questions around insider trading, and so far has bet on nothing else."


                                                                                                                                                                                  /14

                                                                                                                                                                                    AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                    "The new accounts all appear to have been created late last week, around the time when the US president, Donald Trump, appeared to first double down on war with Iran, then suggest in an after-markets Truth Social post that he was considering 'winding down' military operations."


                                                                                                                                                                                    /15

                                                                                                                                                                                      AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                      "Last month, as American forces gathered in the Middle East in obvious preparation for an attack on Iran, you could’ve made a small fortune gambling on when exactly the bombing would begin. ...

                                                                                                                                                                                      Their boosters [of online prediction markets] tell us, grandly, that the sum of all those bets gives us our best forecast of the future — even a workable approximation of the truth.

                                                                                                                                                                                      ~ David Wallace-Wells


                                                                                                                                                                                      /16

                                                                                                                                                                                      nytimes.com/2026/03/23/opinion

                                                                                                                                                                                        AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                                        [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                        @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                        "They also offer an unnerving implicit philosophy: that we should relate to the future not as citizens or moralists, problem solvers or advocates, but as gamblers, each of us surveying the horizon of possibility somewhat indifferent to human outcomes and looking instead for a betting edge."


                                                                                                                                                                                        /17

                                                                                                                                                                                          [?]Nonilex » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                          @Nonilex@masto.ai

                                                                                                                                                                                          rains missiles onto & mocks Trump's talk of joint control of strait

                                                                                                                                                                                          Iran launched waves of missiles at Israel on Tuesday, a day after said there had been "very good & productive" talks aimed at halting the unleashed by the & Israel ​now raging across the .


                                                                                                                                                                                          reuters.com/world/asia-pacific

                                                                                                                                                                                            [?]Nonilex » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                            @Nonilex@masto.ai

                                                                                                                                                                                            3 senior officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said appeared determined to reach a deal, but that they thought it highly unlikely would agree to demands in any new round of negotiations. [He thinks just because he wants it he’ll get it]

                                                                                                                                                                                              AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                                              [?]Nonilex » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                              @Nonilex@masto.ai

                                                                                                                                                                                              After Trump's Truth Social comment on Monday, Iran said no talks had yet been held. Its embassy in South Africa posted an image on X showing a child's pink steering wheel placed on a car dashboard in front of the passenger seat, apparently mocking Trump's idea, aired to reporters, that he could control the waterway alongside Iran's supreme leader. [that’s a pretty sick burn]

                                                                                                                                                                                              a child's pink steering wheel placed on a car dashboard in front of the passenger seat

                                                                                                                                                                                              Alt...a child's pink steering wheel placed on a car dashboard in front of the passenger seat

                                                                                                                                                                                                AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                                                [?]Extinction Rebellion Global » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                @ExtinctionR@social.rebellion.global

                                                                                                                                                                                                The Trump regime has paid a French company $1Bn to NOT replace oil with renewables. 🤦

                                                                                                                                                                                                cnn.com/2026/03/23/climate/tru

                                                                                                                                                                                                  [?]Ham on Wry » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                  @HamonWry@mastodon.world

                                                                                                                                                                                                  *puts up hand

                                                                                                                                                                                                  I have a question: Why is the price of gasoline up 30% if we have Venezuela’s oil?

                                                                                                                                                                                                    AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                    "It is a sad state of affairs when Americans are unsure whom to believe: the word of their president or that of his foreign adversary. And what makes it worse, many would rate the statements of the enemy, even though it’s Iran — one of the most prolific sponsors of terrorism on earth — over the word of Donald Trump."

                                                                                                                                                                                                    ~ Dan Rather


                                                                                                                                                                                                    /10

                                                                                                                                                                                                    steady.substack.com/p/a-govern

                                                                                                                                                                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                      "TACO Trump is back on the menu, as the incompetent bumbling flip-flopper-in-chief backed down from his pledge to bomb power plants in Iran beginning this evening unless Iran opened the Strait of Hormuz. Iran didn’t open the Straits, but they did threaten to retaliate by bombing desalination plants in Israel and throughout the Middle East."

                                                                                                                                                                                                      ~ Ron Filipkowski


                                                                                                                                                                                                      /7

                                                                                                                                                                                                      meidasplus.com/p/today-in-poli

                                                                                                                                                                                                        [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                        @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                        "Trump claimed that he is only surrendering because Iran contacted him begging and pleading to participate in 'peace negotiations.' But Iran state media, as well as every relevant govt official, denied Trump’s claim. Trump was asked to name an Iranian official who was supposedly in negotiations with Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, but he refused."


                                                                                                                                                                                                        /8

                                                                                                                                                                                                          AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                                                          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                          @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                          "To recap: Donald Trump issues a threat. The Iranians issue their own. He backs down, but lies. The Iranians say, hoo boy, that man's a liar. Then they explain why he’s lying, turning themselves into honest brokers who stand in contrast to an untrustworthy leader who’s lost control, and proving to the world, especially to American allies, that the president is weak."

                                                                                                                                                                                                          ~ John Stoehr


                                                                                                                                                                                                          /9

                                                                                                                                                                                                          editorialboard.com/old-and-wea

                                                                                                                                                                                                            AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                                                            [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                            @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                            "The man in charge is bluffing, blustering, and trying to manipulate the markets by claiming that the administration is in negotiations with Iran and was holding off on further military strikes. Israel's reaction was to drop more bombs on Iran, and the regime itself used Trump's own lines against him in its response."

                                                                                                                                                                                                            ~ Tim Miller


                                                                                                                                                                                                            /5

                                                                                                                                                                                                            thebulwark.com/p/bill-kristol-

                                                                                                                                                                                                              AodeRelay boosted

                                                                                                                                                                                                              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                              @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                              "We will, eventually, get a negotiated settlement with Iran. There will be no change of the Iranian regime, nor unconditional surrender. Which means that President Trump will have failed to achieve his primary war aims."

                                                                                                                                                                                                              ~ Jonathan V. Last


                                                                                                                                                                                                              /1

                                                                                                                                                                                                              thebulwark.com/p/trump-doesnt-

                                                                                                                                                                                                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                "This fact alone demonstrates that Trump does not have, as the saying goes, 'the cards.'

                                                                                                                                                                                                                The only real question is how much damage Trump inflicts on America (and the rest of the world) before he folds."


                                                                                                                                                                                                                /2

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Shannon Bream of Fox News asked Lindsey Graham yesterday if invading Kharg Island would be the good idea some folks want to pretend it is. His response:

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  “We did Iwo Jima. We can do this.”

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  As Gary Legum says,

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  "Look at how excited Graham is to have other people get shot at."


                                                                                                                                                                                                                  /3

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  wonkette.com/p/trump-deflates-

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    [?]Ham on Wry » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    @HamonWry@mastodon.world

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Once again the Tangerine Napoleon has delayed his threatened strikes against facilities in Iran.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    What happened … did Pete Hegseth discover we’re out of cannonballs as well?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      "As Trump’s social media-delivered deadline drew near, world markets slumped and oil prices spiked as traders worried what new chaos would result upon the deadline’s expiration.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      True to form, the TACO moment came this morning. In a new Truth Social post, Trump claimed, without evidence, that the two sides had held 'good conversations' about hostilities ending, and that he was postponing the strikes for five days."

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Jay Kuo


                                                                                                                                                                                                                      /32

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      statuskuo.substack.com/p/escal

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        "Trump says he's negotiating with Iran. Iran says he isn't. Who are you gonna believe? …

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Imagine that you were somebody close to Trump, somebody close enough to actually have an influence on his decisions as well as inside knowledge. Here’s what you could have done really just between last night and now."

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Paul Krugman


                                                                                                                                                                                                                        /33

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        paulkrugman.substack.com/p/adv

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          "You could have sold a bunch of crude oil futures, at very high prices — Brent was over $112 over the weekend — then bought them back immediately after Trump’s announcement of triumphal progress, but before the Iranians said that is not happening. And you could have turned a very, very nice, very large profit."


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                            [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            "To say that insider trading might be driving U.S. policy would have been outrageous in the past. Who thinks that that’s beyond the realm of possibility now?"


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                              "Will Iran be the straw that finally breaks America’s democracy, or forces it to come to its senses, and reckon with the folly of electing a man like Trump?"

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ~ Alexandra Hall Hall


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                              bylinesupplement.com/p/trumps-

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                "At least 2,200 troops of the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit have departed from Camp Pendleton aboard the USS Boxer, an amphibious assault ship."

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                ~ Marcie Jones


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                wonkette.com/p/mullah-said-the

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  "In multiple scenarios, if Donald Trump were to invade and try to occupy Kharg Island for an extended period of time, American casualties would very likely be 'considerable,' one of the people familiar with the matter says."

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  ~ Asawin Suebsaeng and Andrew Perez


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  zeteo.com/p/the-kharg-island-b

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    "Some estimates, the first two sources tell us, are easily in the dozens for an initial phase of occupation, with numbers likely to rise sharply if President Trump wished to hold the island for an extended duration.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Some of the internal Kharg analysis has been shared directly with Trump in recent weeks, sources stress."


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      The Washington Post is taking things seriously tonight. Here is their headline:

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      “Trump threats, U.S. troop build-up raise specter of battle for Hormuz.”

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      It’s not boots on the ground. It’s blood on the ground. At the whim of one man, the blood of thousands has already been spilled. No matter who it belongs to, all blood is precious."

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ~ Lucian K. Truscott


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      luciantruscott.substack.com/p/

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        "Anyone who speaks casually about the death and destruction and madness of war is a despicable monster."


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          "He’s about to wind down and exit because he doesn’t give a damn about anything except maintaining his wealth and power — and the war is now costing him both.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          It’s hurting his financial backers in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar — whose wealth has been seriously diminished by the war and whose vulnerability has been exposed."

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          ~ Robert Reich


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          robertreich.substack.com/p/tru

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            "It’s pissing off Trump’s wealthy political backers at home — who are getting pummeled as the U.S. stock market sinks under the weight of the war.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            It’s infuriating American voters, as gasoline sells for nearly $4 a gallon — causing Republicans to become ever more anxious about a political backlash in the midterm elections."


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              "Meanwhile, markets are reacting, with stocks rising and oil prices falling, and some critics argue this may be an attempt to influence markets while buying time for military positioning in the Middle East."


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                "Donald Trump and his minions are having a meltdown. On Saturday, Trump lashed out at the New York Times for an article saying the obvious — that many of his original war goals, whatever they may have been, remain unaccomplished."

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                ~ Paul Krugman


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                paulkrugman.substack.com/p/whe

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  "Just an hour later, he posted a threat to commit massive war crimes, saying that if Iran doesn’t open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours — that is, today — he will order U.S. forces to begin bombing civilian power plants."


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    "Why the desperation? The answer is obvious. It’s turning out not just that regime change — if that was really the goal — is hard to engineer, but also that the world is a lot more dependent on the Strait of Hormuz than Trump and co. seem to have realized."


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      [?]William Lindsey :toad: » 🌐
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      @wdlindsy@toad.social

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      "The belief that Israel and the US could help instigate widespread revolt was a foundational flaw in the preparations for a war that has spread across the Middle East."

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Mark Mazzetti, Julian E. Barnes, Edward Wong and Ronen Bergman


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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      nytimes.com/2026/03/22/us/poli

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