expected-goals

Analyze the relationship between expected goals and odds of winning a game in the English Premier League

Some projects related to the application of Machine Learning for Sports Analytics

AHL expected goals linear model in tensorflow

Using wyscout data to create a xG model

Classification model for expected goals (xG) in women's club soccer, predicting the likelihood that a shot will score using data extracted from StatsBomb.

Fun with Rocket League tracking data

An expected goals (xG) model for the AHL. Also applicable to the CHL.

This repository consists the supplemental materials of the paper "Decomposition of Expected Goal Models: Aggregated SHAP Values for Analyzing Scoring Potential of Player/Team".

FBref player stats scraper

Building xG and xGOT based on Statsbomb World Cup 2022 Open Data

This repository contains a project developed in R aimed at creating a new model for evaluating Expected Goals (xG) in football.

An NHL expected goals (xG) model built with light gradient boosting.

This project simulates the possible outcomes of a football match using a Poisson-based model. By leveraging expected goals (xG) data, the simulation generates probabilities for different scorelines and visualizes them through a heatmap. The project also includes image processing to enhance the presentation of the results.

This repository contains a project developed in R aimed at creating a new model for evaluating Expected Goals (xG) in football.

An Expected Goals (xG) model built with StatsBomb open data. The project covers data scraping, cleaning, feature engineering, model training, and evaluation to estimate goal probabilities from shot events.

MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference 2026 - RIVAL Score: Benchmarking Using Relative Individual Value Assessment

📊⚽ A collection of football analytics projects, data, and analysis by Edd Webster (@eddwebster), including a curated list of publicly available resources published by the football analytics community.

Identify underperforming gems and overperforming traps in Fantasy Premier League using rolling Expected Goals (xG) analysis and statistical momentum trends.

FPL analyzer comparing actual vs expected points (xFPL) to find over/underperformers

Football analytics on EPL 2023–24 team performance: xG/xGD vs results, regression analysis, and home advantage visualization.