Date: 16th June, 2025

Time of issue: 1800 hours IST (evening)

Weather forecast Bulletin for Gujarat state and Diu, Daman, Dadra Nagar Haveli.
Based on 1200 UTC observation/chart and available NWP model outputs dated 16.06.2025

Weather realised during past 24 hours ending at 0830 hours IST of 16-06-2025:
 Monsoon was active over Gujarat region.
 Very heavy rainfall occurred at isolated places in districts of South Gujarat region namely Vadodara and
Chhota-Udepur.
 Heavy rainfall occurred at isolated places in the district of Gujarat region namely Valsad, Daman Dadra Nagar
Haveli, Surat, Dang and Banaskantha; in the districts of Saurashtra namely Bhavnagar and Amreli.
 Rainfall occurred at most places over South Gujarat region; at many places over Saurashtra; at a few places
over North Gujarat region, at isolated places over Kutch.
 Day temperatures fall appreciably to markedly in parts of Saurashtra- Kutch, fall appreciably in Gujarat
region; no large change over rest the region. These were above normal to applicably above normal in parts of
Gujarat region, above normal in parts of coastal Saurashtra, below normal in parts of Saurashtra- Kutch,
normal over rest of the region.

Synoptic Situation:
 Southwest monsoon has further advanced into remaining parts of central Arabian Sea; some parts of north
Arabian Sea and Gujarat; remaining parts of Konkan, Madhya Maharashtra and Telangana; some parts of
Madhya Pradesh; some more parts of Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, and Odisha.
 The Northern Limit of Monsoon passes through 20.0°N/60°E, 20.5°N/65°E, Veraval, Bhavnagar, Vadodara,
Khargone, Amravati, Durg, Bargarh, Chandbali, Sandhead Island, 23.5°N/89.5°E, Balurghat and 30°N/85°E.
 Conditions are favourable for further advancement of Southwest monsoon over some more parts of Gujarat
Madhya Pradesh; remaining parts of Vidarbha; some more parts of Chhattisgarh & Odisha during next 24
hours and some parts of West Bengal, Jharkhand, Bihar and East Uttar Pradesh during subsequent 2 days.
 The upper air cyclonic circulation over south Gujarat & neighbourhood extending upto 7.6 km above mean
sea level persists. Under its influence, a Low Pressure area is likely to form over the same region during next
24 hours and it is likely to become more marked and move north-northwestwards during subsequent 24 hours.

STATE FORECAST

WEATHER FORECAST for next 7 days: Valid up to 0830 hours IST of 23/06/2025
Detailed 7 days weather forecast for Gujarat State, Diu, Daman, Dadra & Nagar Haveli is given below

Forecast for MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE

 Gradual fall in maximum temperature by 3-50 C during next 3 days very likely over the region.

DAY-1
(Valid from time of origin to 0830 Hrs. IST of 17/06/2025)

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Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at most places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at most places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at most places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at most places in
Kutch district.

DAY-2
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 17/06/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 18/06/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at most places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at most places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at most places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at most places in
Kutch district.

DAY-3
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 18/06/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 19/06/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at most places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at most places in
Kutch district.

DAY-4
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 19/06/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 20/06/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at many places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at many places in
Kutch district.

DAY-5
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 20/06/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 21/06/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at a few places in
Kutch district.

DAY-6
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 21/06/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 22/06/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,

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Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at a few places in
Kutch district.

DAY-7
(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 22/06/2025 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 23/06/2025)
Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of North Gujarat region
namely Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely
Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad and in Diu; at a few places in
Kutch district.

WEATHER WARNING
for next 7 days for Gujarat State Diu, Daman, Dadra & Nagar Haveli

DAY 1: Heavy to very heavy rains at isolated places with isolated extremely heavy falls very likely in the
districts of Gujarat region namely Surat, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli; in
the districts of Saurashtra namely Amreli and Bhavnagar.

Heavy to very heavy rain very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely
Bharuch, Dang and Tapi; in the districts of Saurashtra namely Rajkot, Junagadh, Gir Somnath,
Botad and in Diu

Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely, Ahmedabad
Anand, Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada; in the districts of Saurashtra namely Surendranagar
Dwarka, Jamnagar and Porbandar.

Light thunderstorm with lightning and surface wind 30-40 kmph accompanied with light to
moderate rain very likely at isolated places in all the districts of North Gujarat region namely
Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely Vadodara,
Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; in all the districts of Saurashtra- Kutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad, Kutch and in Diu.

DAY 2: Heavy to very heavy rains at isolated places with isolated extremely heavy falls very likely in the districts
of in the districts of Saurashtra namely Junagadh, Gir Somnath and in Diu

Heavy to very heavy rain very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely
Bharuch, Surat, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli; in the districts of Saurashtra
namely Rajkot, Porbandar, Amreli and Bhavnagar.

Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Anand, Vadodara,
Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Dang and Tapi; in the districts of Saurashtra namely Dwarka and
Jamnagar.

Light thunderstorm with lightning and surface wind 30-40 kmph accompanied with light to
moderate rain very likely at isolated places in all the districts of North Gujarat region namely
Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand,
Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; in all the districts of South Gujarat region namely Vadodara,
Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara
Nagar Haveli; in all the districts of Saurashtra- Kutch namely Surendranagar, Rajkot, Jamnagar,
Porbandar, Junagadh, Amreli, Bhavnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Gir Somnath, Botad, Kutch and in Diu.

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DAY 3: Heavy to very heavy rain very likely at isolated places in the district of Saurashtra namely
Porbandar, Junagadh, Dwarka, Gir Somnath and in Diu

Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Bharuch, Surat,
Dang, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli; in the districts of Saurashtra
namely Rajkot, Jamnagar, Amreli and Bhavnagar.

DAY 4: Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Dahod, Chhota
Udepur, Narmada, Surat, Dang, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli; in the
districts of Saurashtra namely Amreli, Bhavnagar, Gir Somnath and in Diu.

DAY 5: Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Dang, Navsari,
Valsad, Tapi and in Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli.

DAY 6: Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Dang, Valsad
and in Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli.

DAY 7: Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Dang, Valsad
and in Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli.

WEATHER OUTLOOK
For subsequent 2 days (i.e. for day 8 & 9) valid from 0830 hrs. IST of 23/06/2025 to 0830 hrs. IST of
25/06/2025: No large change.

FORECAST FOR AHMEDABAD & NEIGHBOURHOOD valid till 0830 hours IST of 17/06/2025
 Light to moderate rain/ thundershowers very likely.
 Maximum temperature 37 0C very likely.

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RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION

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THUNDERSTORM WARNING

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HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING: -

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Legends: -
24 HRS CHANGE FROM ACTUAL 24 HRS DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL
IN MAXIMUM & MINIMUM TEMPERTURE IN MAXIMUM & MINIMUM TEMPERTURE
Markedly Rise (> 4.0) Markedly above normal (> + 5.0)
Appreciably Rise (+ 2.1 to 4.0) Appreciably above normal (+ 3.1 to + 5.0)
No large change [ -2,2] Above normal (+ 1.6 to 3.0)
Appreciably fall (- 2.1 to - 4.0) Normal [ -1.5, +1.5]
Markedly fall (< -4.0) Below normal (- 1.6 to - 3.0)
Appreciably below normal ( -3.1 to -5.0)
Markedly below normal (< - 5.0)

Terminology for Spatial Distribution of rainfall: -

Spatial Distribution of Rainfall Descriptive term Criteria for observed/forecast weather
used
Dry Dry No station reported/expecting rainfall

Isolated One or two Places ≤25% of stations get/expected to get rainfall

Scattered At a few Places (26–50) % of stations get/expected to get rainfall

Fairly Widespread At many Places (51–75) % of stations get/expected to get rainfall

Wide spread At most places (76–100) % of stations get/expected to get rainfall

Terminology for intensity of 24 hour accumulated rainfall: -

Terminology Rainfall (mm) Rainfall (cm)
Very light rainfall Trace -2.4 --
Light rainfall 2.5-15.5 Upto 1
Moderate rainfall 15.6-64.4 2-6
Heavy Rainfall 64.5- 115.5 7-11
Very Heavy Rainfall 115.6-204.4 12-20
Extremely heavy rainfall Greater than or equal to 21 cm or more
204.5 mm
Exceptionally Heavy Rainfall When the rainfall observed is a value near about the highest recorded
rainfall at or near the station for the month or the season. However,
this term will be used only when the actual rainfall amount exceeds
12 cm

Terminology for probability of occurrence of weather event: -

Term Probability of occurrence
Unlikely Less than 25%
Likely 25% to 50%
Very likely 50% to 75 %
Most likely more than 75%

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